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RECOVERING POLITICIANS PANEL: LIBERALS LOSE ANOTHER BYELECTION & FAO LAUNCHES INVESTIGATION INTO COST OF ONTARIO EXPANDING ALCOHOL SALES EARLY Libby Znaimer is joined by George Smitherman, a former Ontario Liberal MPP, Deputy Premier and Health Minister, Cheri DiNovo, a former NDP MPP, and Janet Ecker, a former Ontario PC MPP and finance minister. It's another byelection loss for the Trudeau Liberals....this time in the Montreal riding of LaSalle-Émard-Verdun. They lost it to the Bloc Quebecois. Meanwhile, the NDP managed to get re-elected in Manitoba's Elmwood Transcona riding. Our panel weighs in on that and other headlines from Ottawa and Queen's Park. TORONTO INCREASES FINES FOR "BLOCKING THE BOX" BUT HOW WILL IT ACTUALLY BE ENFORCED? Libby Znaimer is now joined by Sgt. Murray Campbell of Toronto Police Traffic Services. Yesterday, we learned from Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow that the City is increasing fines for driver's who "block the box". According to the City of Toronto, "Blocking the Box occurs when a driver enters an intersection on a green or amber signal when there is no reasonable prospect of being able to clear the intersection before the light changes to red. This disrupts traffic flows, causes transit delays and creates serious safety risks." Drivers want further clarity on what does and does not constitute blocking the box and how exactly it will be enforced. CANADA'S INFLATION RATE AT 2 PERCENT IN AUGUST Libby Znaimer is now joined by Moshe Lander, Senior Lecturer of Economics at Concordia University in Montreal and Jim Stanford, Economist and Director of Centre for Future Work Canada's inflation was at 2 percent in August-- the lowest it has been since February of 2021. So, what are the implications of it all? Moshe and Jim weigh in.
Well, good news last night for National. Labour must be left wondering how many more election bribes they'll have to offer before voters begin to nibble. The latest Newshub Reid Research Poll that came out last night has seen National shoot up 4.3 points to 40.9%, and Labour suffered a 5.5% fall from the last Newshub poll, they're on just 26.8%. But before gleeful right and centre right voters pull the cork on the St Emilion premier cru that you have cellared for the day those bloody socialists are booted out of office, just remember it is only a poll. And as Jim Bolger once famously said, buggar the polls. As we've seen around the world, the pollsters were way off when it came to predicting the results of Brexit, the Trump Clinton presidential campaign, and the 2019 Australian election. And as an article in The Conversation shows, in this country in 2020, the polls immediately prior to the election overestimated the National vote and underestimated Labour's. They took the average of the results of all six polls published during the month before Election Day in 2020. National came out on 30.9%, Labour on 47.2%. But predictions based on the opinion polls were wrong. Labour's election result was 50%, National was not 30.9% they were only 25.6%. So the polls in the final fortnight were overestimating National by an average of 5.8 percentage points and underestimating Labour by 3.7. Lots of numbers, but basically, beware the polls. Apparently we, as in Kiwis, used to be relatively forthright when it came to answering questions delivered by pollsters. We'd happily pin our colours to the mast and let complete strangers know our political preference. Not anymore. Social media has fragmented opinion and challenged what truth is like nothing else, according to Murray Campbell, the New Zealand Research Associations Polling Spokesman. People are also careful about protecting their privacy. They're less willing to share their political viewpoints when contacted by total. Add to that the difficulties of reaching people when landlines have all but disappeared. And door knocking isn't really an option because of the growing number of people living in apartment buildings or when homes are heavily protected by security. So do the polls count for anything? Well, they must do, and they must re-energize the party faithful if you're National or dampen and quash the spirits of those who are working for Labour. Certainly, in my electorate in Northcote, the party faithful for National have been out in full force. All blue jacketed, waving their signs, waving gleefully at the Onewa turnoff onto the motorway, happy as clams. Haven't seen a single person in a red shirt. So it certainly gives a fillip to exhausted campaigners when you see a boost in the polls. But does it mean that Christopher Luxon will be thinking well, that's that then. Time to ease back, jobs done? He will not. The show is not over until the votes are counted. Election Day is the only poll that matters. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Polls are coming in thick and fast as we head towards October 14th. The latest is the New Zealand Herald's Poll of Polls, which combines results from a range of pollsters, specifically Curia, Kantar Public, Talbot Mills, and Reid Research. According to the Poll of Polls, National and ACT's chances continue to soar. They have a 95.1% chance of forming a government if the election were held this weekend, and an 87% chance of forming a government for the actual election date. Research Association's Polling spokesperson Murray Campbell told Kerre Woodham that the accuracy of polls, when measured against the election results, is still in pretty good stead. He said that discrepancies in the last election can be attributed to polling companies not factoring in early voting. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Pollsters are pushing back on claims that political polls are inaccurate as election season heats up. The New Zealand Research Association says most polls use robust sampling methods to capture voters' opinions. Alongside decreasing trust, the sector is also facing challenges of dwindling participation. The New Zealand Research Association polling spokesperson Murray Campbell spoke to Ingrid Hipkiss.
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The way AGI wins could look very stupid, published by Christopher King on May 12, 2023 on LessWrong. Computers don't have any sense of aesthetics or patterns that are standard the way people learn how to play chess. They play what they think is the objectively best move in any position, even if it looks absurd, and they can play any move no matter how ugly it is." - Murray Campbell quote about DeepBlue Vinge's principle states: "we usually think we can't predict exactly what a smarter-than-us agent will do, because if we could predict that, we would be that smart ourselves". A popular idea think this means that AGI would invent and use new technology such as nanorobotics to defeat us (this is the example Yudkowsky usually gives). However, this doesn't seem to jive with what happens in other domains where AI becomes superhuman. Usually what the AI does is understandable to humans. It's just that it looks, well, dumb. For example, in chess, computers use roughly the same piece evaluation that humans discovered in the 18th century, didn't discover any new openings, and generally seemed to play ugly moves. But they won anyways. If something like nanorobotics lets you take over the world, you'd expect a human group to be trying to create them to take over the world already because it seems to make sense. In reality, any plan that (for example) relies on DNA as a stepping stone will quickly run into regulatory problems. Instead, I imagine that the AGI's plan will elicit similar reactions as the following: You get a phone call advertising free Mayonnaise! You just need to follow a couple simple steps. The next day, you're confused and in some sort of Mayonnaise cult breaking into a military armory in Mexico. Is this plan something that humans can try? No, it seems pretty straight forward to attempt. So why haven't we tried it? Because it seems and likely is dumb. Why mayonnaise? Why a phone call? Why Mexico? But if AGI is similar to other superhuman AI, this is the type of thing we expect to see; a strategy that looks dumb but works. We have no way to predict which dumb strategy will be used, but given the large number of strategies that look dumb to humans, the AGI's strategy is likely to be one of them. And it has enough Yomi to predict which one will succeed. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org.
Link to original articleWelcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The way AGI wins could look very stupid, published by Christopher King on May 12, 2023 on LessWrong. Computers don't have any sense of aesthetics or patterns that are standard the way people learn how to play chess. They play what they think is the objectively best move in any position, even if it looks absurd, and they can play any move no matter how ugly it is." - Murray Campbell quote about DeepBlue Vinge's principle states: "we usually think we can't predict exactly what a smarter-than-us agent will do, because if we could predict that, we would be that smart ourselves". A popular idea think this means that AGI would invent and use new technology such as nanorobotics to defeat us (this is the example Yudkowsky usually gives). However, this doesn't seem to jive with what happens in other domains where AI becomes superhuman. Usually what the AI does is understandable to humans. It's just that it looks, well, dumb. For example, in chess, computers use roughly the same piece evaluation that humans discovered in the 18th century, didn't discover any new openings, and generally seemed to play ugly moves. But they won anyways. If something like nanorobotics lets you take over the world, you'd expect a human group to be trying to create them to take over the world already because it seems to make sense. In reality, any plan that (for example) relies on DNA as a stepping stone will quickly run into regulatory problems. Instead, I imagine that the AGI's plan will elicit similar reactions as the following: You get a phone call advertising free Mayonnaise! You just need to follow a couple simple steps. The next day, you're confused and in some sort of Mayonnaise cult breaking into a military armory in Mexico. Is this plan something that humans can try? No, it seems pretty straight forward to attempt. So why haven't we tried it? Because it seems and likely is dumb. Why mayonnaise? Why a phone call? Why Mexico? But if AGI is similar to other superhuman AI, this is the type of thing we expect to see; a strategy that looks dumb but works. We have no way to predict which dumb strategy will be used, but given the large number of strategies that look dumb to humans, the AGI's strategy is likely to be one of them. And it has enough Yomi to predict which one will succeed. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org.
May 11th, 1997. The eyes of the world are focused on a chessboard. It's the decisive game of one of the most highly anticipated chess matches of the 20th century. The reigning world champion, Garry Kasparov, is agitated, furrowing his brow and clutching his face while he considers his next move. His opponent—unphased by the pressure—hums loudly from a nearby room. Today, a legendary battle between arguably the greatest chess player that ever lived and a thinking machine. How does a computer master a very human game? And when they face off, who will come out on top? Special thanks to our guests: Bruce Pandolfini, veteran chess teacher, author, and consultant on the Netflix series The Queens Gambit; Tom Standage, historian and editor of The Economist series The World Ahead; Murray Campbell, A.I. research scientist at IBM and creator of Deep Blue; and Feng Hsiung Hsu, system architect of Deep Blue and author of Behind Deep Blue: Building the Computer that Defeated the World Chess Champion. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Elizabeth Murray was born in Scotland and orphaned by the time she was 11. She eventually moved to the American Colonies and later became an independent business woman running her own shop in 18th Century Boston. She survived the turmoil of the American Revolution all while teaching young women how to run their own businesses. Join us on Facebook at The Lives of Women in HIstory Facebook group. Email womensettlers@gmail.com. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/womensettlers/message Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/womensettlers/support
Elizabeth Murray was born in Scotland and orphaned by the time she was 11. She eventually moved to the American Colonies and later became an independent business woman running her own shop in 18th Century Boston. She survived the turmoil of the American Revolution all while teaching young women how to run their own businesses. Join us on Facebook at The Lives of Women in HIstory Facebook group. Email womensettlers@gmail.com. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/womensettlers/message Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/womensettlers/support
In this episode of Combinations looking at the Community Mental Health Transformation Programme, we hear from Dr Waheed Abbasi and Dr Murray Campbell discussing Primary Care Networks and the changes happening within primary care to support the community mental health transformation.
In this episode of The MPFT Podcast, we hear from Dr Murray Campbell and Dr Waheed Abbasi discussing Primary Care Networks and the changes happening within primary care to support the community mental health transformation. A transcript of this episode is available for download.
This episode of Now that's Significant is a partnership between the Research Association of New Zealand and Infotools, filmed to coincide and celebrate the ESOMAR International Market Research Day. Geoff Lowe, Maria Tyrrell, and Murray Campbell discuss what the world would be like without market research, and in the process show the value and role it plays in our daily lives. This episode uses the 3 of the 17 United Nations Sustainability goals, and explores how market research applies to each one. Enjoy the show
Churches in New South Wales will be permitted to re-open for vaccinated people once the vaccination rate reaches 70%. At 80%, vaccinated and unvaccinated people will be permitted by the government to come to church. Churches have the chance to pioneer people living together again, vaccinated and unvaccinated side by side. Lee McMunn says the great commandment is not ‘Live a zero risk life.'How do you welcome all while keeping the vulnerable safe? But on the other hand how to avoid overfunctioning and blocking people from taking risks they are willing to take? How to have difficult ‘front door conversations' that you never expected to have? Plus how do you encourage ‘church workers' to present vaccination certificates? A model of what to do when the pastor's kids catch COVID.We talk with four senior pastors, from St Ives in Sydney, Nigel Fortescue, from Wollongong, Sandy Grant, from Mentone in Melbourne, Murray Campbell, and from Scarborough in the UK, Lee McMunn.http://www.thepastorsheart.net/podcast/caring-covid-cautious-----Please financially support the Living Faith pastoral ministry by going to http://www.livingfaith.online Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/thepastorsheart)
“Victorian State Government pushes to ban Christian practices with threat of 10 years in prison” - a headline that should have every Christian leader pause. This week on the Pastor's Heart, we're discussing upcoming legislation that is being pushed in Victoria. The Change of Suppression (Conversion) Practices Prohibition Bill 2020 has consequences of 10 years imprisonment for anyone engaging in “change of suppression practices.” Expert reading of the bill suggest this threatens religious freedom and implicates Bible Studies, Church services and even one-to-one prayer. This week - we talk with key Christian leaders from Victoria: Murray Campbell and Chris Duke along with Law Professor Neil Foster about the ramifications of this bill. We'll discuss the details of the bill, the implications for Christians in Victoria and wider implications for Churches across Australia and the Western world. We'll also discuss how Christian leaders can respond and opportunities to clarify and limit the scope of the bill. Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/thepastorsheart)
Christopher Chabris is a renowned cognitive scientist, and co-author (with Daniel Simons) of the best selling book, The Invisible Gorilla. Long-time Perpetual Chess listeners will know that he is also a USCF Master, an adult-improver, and a chess dad, thus making him a great recurring guest. Since we have been discussing the science of learning a lot in recent conversations, I thought it would be a great time to check back in with someone with specific domain knowledge. Christopher walks us through the latest in scientific research, as it pertains to learning. This includes explanations of spaced repetition and how aging effects chess skill. Christopher also shares some thoughts about ways that chess learning could be properly studied scientifically. Of course, there was a lot more to discuss than just the science of learning, so Christopher and I also talked about the latest, greatest chess books, what he learned from an online camp with GM Jacob Aagaard. He also told a few more fun stories from his many chess adventures. As always, keep reading for more information and timestamps. 0:00- Since Christopher is a frequent Perpetual Chess Listener, we begin by hearing his perspective on the recent chess improvement tips that have been shared on the show, especially as they relate to the science of learning. Mentioned: Listen to Christopher’s prior Perpetual Chess interview here: https://podcasts.apple.com/jm/podcast/ep-95-uscf-master-cognitive-scientist-christopher-chabris/id1185023674?i=1000421410393 Also Mentioned: IM Erik Kislik 8:45- What do we really know for sure when it comes to chess learning? Mentioned: Spaced repetition. Some of the information cited comes from a study by Yana Weinstein, Christopher R. Madan, & Megan A. Sumeracki- Teaching the Science of Learning Christopher recommends this book for a general overview of the science of learning: https://www.amazon.com/Make-Stick-Science-Successful-Learning/dp/0674729013 GM Jacob Aagard, Perpetual Chess: Woodpecker Method book recap with Neal Bruce, Perpetual Chess Interview with NM Elijah Logozar, interleaving 20:30- Christopher tackles a couple of good Patreon mailbag questions relating to how one could conduct a study to test best practices in chess learning and how to correct any misconceptions that are cited about brain science in the chess world. Mentioned: GM Jan Gustafsson, Malcolm Gladwell 33:00- What do scientists know about aging as it relates to brain function? 37:45- As always, Perpetual Chess is brought to you in part by Chessable.com. One of the many free courses that I like is GM Alex Colovic’s Short and Sweet: Queen’s Gambit Declined. 38:00- Christopher gives a “trip report” on an online chess camp he did with renowned trainer, GM Jacob Aagaard. Also mentioned: GM Leonid Shamkovich, NM Bruce Pandolfini, IM Erik Kislik 49:00- Christopher’s son is playing chess fairly actively, and gives an update on his progress. Then he discusses the aspect of chess he is finding most challenging in his competitions these days, and how he is spending his study time. Mentioned: IM Jim Rizzitano, Secrets of Modern Chess Strategy 57:00- Christopher is an avid chess reader, so he gives a detailed update on some chess books he has recently enjoyed. Mentioned: Gambit App Books here: http://www.gambitbooks.com/webapp/appbooks.html, The Anand Files, The Road to Chess Improvement, Game Changer Improve Your Chess Now, Secrets of Practical Chess, GM Jonathan Rowson We also mentioned, but haven't yet read the following: Think Like a Machine, GM Tukmakov ‘s Modern Chess Formula, The Powerful Impact of Engines 1:02:00- Christopher discusses some of the online leagues in which he has played and gives preparation tips as well as a general comparison of playing online compared to OTB. Mentioned: Lichess4545.com 1:16:30- Christopher was ready this time for the question of brushes with famous chess players! Mentioned: IM Dan Edelman, GM Anatoly Karpov, Deep Thought, GM Walter Browne, GM Patrick Wolff, GM Viswanathan Anand, Murray Campbell, GM Magnus Carlsen, GM Fabiano Caruana, Dan Smith, Twitter Chess Tournament 1:25:00- Thanks as always to Christopher for stopping by and sharing his knowledge and stories. Here is his info: Website-http://chabris.com/ Twitter- https://twitter.com/cfchabris If you would like to help support Perpetual Chess you can do so here: https://www.perpetualchesspod.com/donate
Rory Shiner and Murray Campbell explain how they're slowly beginning to transition their churches back to physical gatherings, but the highlight of this episode is Derek Hanna's relaunch buzz-words bingo board.
I thought it would be useful to give you a taste of the interviews that are in the Ondemand section of this Podcast series. Join me as I have a conversation with Murray Campbell who was once a Journalist with The Globe and Mail and who was brave enough to fly with me from Chicago, IL to Heathrow London that fateful night.Spoiler... we survived. p.s. I will continue with 'It was a Change Problem' April 6th - my schedule is a bit up in the air, as is everyone else's these days.
A new definition of Conversion Therapy proposed to the Victorian Government defines teaching Classical Christianity as harmfulVictorian Baptist pastor Murray Campbell of Mentone Baptist Church, writes on www.murraycampbell.net:In the future, will Churches and religious organisations in Victoria (your home state) have freedom to preach, teach, and counsel and pray in line with their religious convictions? Without significant revisions to the proposed definition [of the Victorian Government's attempts to outlaw conversion therapy], the answer is probably no.Murray Campbell joins us to discuss the Victorian Government's plans to put sexual freedoms in front of religious freedoms, significantly curtailing churches. Plus Murray talks about why pastors should attempt to exercise leadership in the public square.Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/thepastorsheart)
Stand-Alone Sermon preached by Murray Campbell from Mentone Baptist Church.
The Resurrection of Christ - 1 Cor 15:1-11 - Murray Campbell
Today's Shows Are:Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.S5E18: All Roads Lead...S5E19: Option TwoBlack LightningS1E13: Shadow of Death: The Book of WarJessica JonesS2E7: AKA I Want Your Cray CrayS2E8: AKA Ain't We Got FunContact: Geekioshow@gmail.comTwitter: @GeekioshowCall us: 727-489-4335, that’s 727-489-GEEKWebsite: www.geek-io.net/spoilershowWatch Live: www.twitch.tv/geekioshow
This week's Bible talk features Murray Campbell preaching from Matthew 7:13-14 The talk was given on October 2, 2016 at Mentone Bapist.
We speak with Transgrancanaria winner, Gediminas Grinius. Dr Andrew Murray and Donnie Campbell give an insight into their most recent adventure and Jez Bragg talks about getting speed back and how he will tame the Dragon. Marc Laithwaite discusses butter in coffee for Talk Training. The News, a Blog, Up and Coming races and Niandi Carmont c0-hosts and tells us all about her final prep for MDS.
Across The Board: a series of interviews conducted by Dominic Lawson over a game of chess. Today Dominic takes on Murray Campbell, the brains behind the chess computer Deep Blue. Deep Blue made headlines around the world when it beat the former world chess champion Garry Kasparov.
Episode 4 of the Nebraska Mondays podcast features music by the Vinny Golia/Steve Adams/Ross Hammond/Ken Filiano/Scott Amendola Quintet, Raw Data (Tony Passarell, Jon Bafus and Drew Walker), Bristle (Randy McKean, Cory Wright, Lisa Mezzacappa and Murray Campbell), the Know Hassell Project (Passarell, Martin Birke and Steven Sullivan) and the Gilbert Isbin and Scott Walton Duo.
Episode 4 of the Nebraska Mondays podcast features music by the Vinny Golia/Steve Adams/Ross Hammond/Ken Filiano/Scott Amendola Quintet, Raw Data (Tony Passarell, Jon Bafus and Drew Walker), Bristle (Randy McKean, Cory Wright, Lisa Mezzacappa and Murray Campbell), the Know Hassell Project (Passarell, Martin Birke and Steven Sullivan) and the Gilbert Isbin and Scott Walton Duo.
'Serpents and Synthesisers: the Physics of Musical Instruments' by Murray Campbell.Recording Crown Copyright 2008. Reproduced by permission of the Controller of HMSO and Queen's Printer for Scotland.