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Jeremy Corbyn is no stranger to media and political pile-ons. Neither is Hasan Piker.Hasan was due to grace the PolJOE dungeon with his presence, for a chat with the former leader of the Labour Party, but the UK government had other ideas.Himself and his uncle, Cenk Uygur, had their e-visas revoked by the Home Office, who believed their arrival would not be "conducive to the public good." We decided to find out whether that was true or not by carrying on with the interview regardless.Hasan and Corbyn joined Seán for a wide-ranging chat on where their philosophies blend, and where they differ. How the global drive for equality and emancipation continues to be undermined by the very states sworn to protect them, and where the left can learn to become a true force in mainstream and grassroots political movements alike. EXCLUSIVE NordVPN Deal ➼ https://nordvpn.com/joesundaySubscribe to How to Rebuild Britain now: https://linktr.ee/howtorebuildbritain Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Monday the 15th of June, Barbara Edmonds defends the Labour Party against Nicola Willis' claim of an 18 billion dollar "hidden bill." Mike also talks to the Prime Minister about Labour's spending and whether the government will bring in a bed tax. We find out whether a peace deal between the US and Iran is imminent. Mike's also back from his holiday - and tells us about the joy of seeing your children spreading their wings and living their dreams. The Commentary Box talks the Football World Cup, the upcoming Super Rugby Final and how the Warriors need to bounce back after back-to-back losses. Get the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast every weekday morning on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Joining Ciara, filling in for Pat, to take a look at the main stories in the Sunday papers Louise O'Reilly, Sinn Féin TD for Dublin Fingal West, Paul Hosford, Deputy Political Editor with The Irish Examiner, and Pat Rabbitte, former Labour Party leader.
Do you feel sorry for STARMER? The drowning, deluded loser! #JonGaunt #Starmer #UKPolitics #NetZero #ArmedForces #TroopingTheColour #NationalSecurity #TwoTierBritain #LionsLedByDonkeys Is Keir Starmer becoming a tragic figure, or is he just a tragicomic clown? Today, we dive into the fallout from his latest statement—clinging to office while claiming he won't leave the UK in chaos. The irony? Many would argue the chaos is already here, and he's the one at the helm. In this live show, we're talking about the "lions led by donkeys." We all saw the incredible pride of our armed forces at Trooping the Colour today, yet we face the hard reality: our real defence forces are being hollowed out. How can we justify committing billions to Net Zero while we can't adequately fund the men and women who keep us safe? It's time for a reality check. Is Starmer truly deluded, or is there a more calculated "controlled demolition" of our national interests at play? JOIN THE CONVERSATION TODAY. Is Starmer a "tragicomic clown" or a genuine threat to national security? Should we be prioritising Net Zero over our armed forces? "Lions led by donkeys"—is this the most accurate description of modern Britain? What do you think? Leave a comment below or join the live chat. Is there one thing Starmer could do today to prove he isn't deluded? Support the Channel: If you value the truth and want to keep these conversations going, please like, subscribe, and share this stream. #JonGaunt #Starmer #UKPolitics #TroopingTheColour #NetZero #ArmedForces #TwoTierBritain #LionsLedByDonkeys #StarmerSpeech #LabourParty #UKGovernment #PoliticalCommentary Jon Gaunt, Keir Starmer, Starmer, UK politics, Net Zero, Armed Forces, Trooping the Colour, British Defence, National Security, Two-Tier Britain, Lions Led by Donkeys, Starmer Speech, Labour Party, UK Government, Political Commentary This is political blogging and hard-hitting social commentary from Triple Sony Gold Award-winning talk radio legend, Jon Gaunt — former host on BBC, Talk Radio, and Sky News. On Jon Gaunt TV, we cut through the noise and say what others won't. No political correctness. No censorship. Just real conversations that matter.
Morse code transcription: vvv vvv Taylor Swift Singer tearfully thanks family as she makes history joining Songwriters Hall of Fame Chris Mason Dissent fizzes again at the top of the Labour Party Baroness Casey warns grooming survivors are still being failed Elon Musks SpaceX raises 75bn ahead of record stock market debut I spent uni savings on getting my teeth fixed how lack of NHS care is hitting hard Belfast Nineteen now arrested over disorder with house targeted in arson David Hockney obituary A genius in practically every medium Arrest after railway bridge collapse in Warwickshire How to tell your friends you dont want to just split the bill 60 of children should be walking or cycling to school by 2035, ministers say
Morse code transcription: vvv vvv Elon Musks SpaceX raises 75bn ahead of record stock market debut Belfast Nineteen now arrested over disorder with house targeted in arson 60 of children should be walking or cycling to school by 2035, ministers say How to tell your friends you dont want to just split the bill Baroness Casey warns grooming survivors are still being failed Taylor Swift Singer tearfully thanks family as she makes history joining Songwriters Hall of Fame Chris Mason Dissent fizzes again at the top of the Labour Party David Hockney obituary A genius in practically every medium Arrest after railway bridge collapse in Warwickshire I spent uni savings on getting my teeth fixed how lack of NHS care is hitting hard
Morse code transcription: vvv vvv Elon Musks SpaceX raises 75bn ahead of record stock market debut Chris Mason Dissent fizzes again at the top of the Labour Party 60 of children should be walking or cycling to school by 2035, ministers say David Hockney obituary A genius in practically every medium Baroness Casey warns grooming survivors are still being failed Taylor Swift Singer tearfully thanks family as she makes history joining Songwriters Hall of Fame I spent uni savings on getting my teeth fixed how lack of NHS care is hitting hard Arrest after railway bridge collapse in Warwickshire Belfast Nineteen now arrested over disorder with house targeted in arson How to tell your friends you dont want to just split the bill
Morse code transcription: vvv vvv David Hockney obituary A genius in practically every medium Elon Musks SpaceX raises 75bn ahead of record stock market debut I spent uni savings on getting my teeth fixed how lack of NHS care is hitting hard How to tell your friends you dont want to just split the bill Chris Mason Dissent fizzes again at the top of the Labour Party Belfast Nineteen now arrested over disorder with house targeted in arson Taylor Swift Singer tearfully thanks family as she makes history joining Songwriters Hall of Fame Baroness Casey warns grooming survivors are still being failed 60 of children should be walking or cycling to school by 2035, ministers say Arrest after railway bridge collapse in Warwickshire
Anatol Lieven examines rising anti-immigrant tensions in the United Kingdom, where violent demonstrations in Belfastand England highlight growing public anger toward sudden demographic changes and crimes allegedly committed by asylum seekers. Lieven suggests these tensions are politically explosive, potentially forcing a leadership change in the Labour Party if right-wing parties continue to gain ground. (2)1919
SCHEDULE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 6-11-26.1900 BRUSSELSAnatol Lieven discusses NATO's top US commander, General Grynkewich, who states Russia is not looking for conflict despite European concerns about US military withdrawals. Lieven agrees, noting that the Russian army is bogged down in Ukraine, making a deliberate attack on NATO members like the Baltics appear militarily absurd. (1)Anatol Lieven examines rising anti-immigrant tensions in the United Kingdom, where violent demonstrations in Belfastand England highlight growing public anger toward sudden demographic changes and crimes allegedly committed by asylum seekers. Lieven suggests these tensions are politically explosive, potentially forcing a leadership change in the Labour Party if right-wing parties continue to gain ground. (2)Leila Philip discusses the ancient Algonquin legend of Great Beaver, an environmental parable about resource hoarding and the creation of the Connecticut River Valley. The story reflects traditional ecological knowledge, emphasizing the beaver's immense power to control the water cycle and shape resilient landscapes. (3)Cliff May argues that Qatar utilizes its vast energy wealth to buy influence through professional sports, media platforms like Al Jazeera, and university campuses. He argues these investments allow the state to manipulate Western academic discourse and hedge political bets while hosting major US military assets. (4)Jack Burnham discusses China and North Korea's strategic alignment, noting that Xi Jinping's festive visit to Pyongyang signals China's willingness to de-emphasize denuclearization in favor of regional stability and strategic balancing against the US. North Korea, now an "arsenal of tyranny," leverages its military experience from the Ukrainian front lines to strengthen its regime. (5)Jack Burnham examines the Pentagon's 1260H list, which identifies Chinese companies allegedly assisting the PRC's military-industrial base, signaling increased regulatory scrutiny for these entities. Burnham recommends streamlining government lists to prevent companies from exploiting gaps and advises retail investors of the national security risks these firms pose. (6)Andrea Ferrara describes using the James Webb Space Telescope to investigate a mysterious red light source initially thought to be the most distant galaxy. By observing luminosity changes over two years, he determined it is likely a rare pair-instability supernova, resulting from the explosion of a massive primordial star. (7)Andrea Ferrara proposes building a 40-meter telescope on the lunar surface to succeed the James Webb Space Telescope. This moon-based facility would avoid atmospheric interference, allowing scientists to directly detect the universe's first stars and resolve long-standing mysteries regarding the aftermath of the Big Bang. (8)Mickey Trescott explains that autoimmune diseases occur when the body's immune system attacks its own organs, a condition affecting a high percentage of women. The protocol is a diet and lifestyle experiment designed to help individuals identify personal triggers and manage their chronic health symptoms. (9)Mickey Trescott describes how the core autoimmune protocol involves a strict 30-to-90-day elimination phase removing common triggers like grains, dairy, and nightshades. This "detective work" calms the immune system, allowing patients to systematically reintroduce foods to discover which specific ingredients negatively impact their health. (10)Mickey Trescott introduces a modified autoimmune protocol that includes rice and coffee, making it more accessible and affordable than the core version. A successful transition requires tracking baseline symptoms and preparing the kitchen to handle the nutritional demands of the upcoming elimination and reintroduction phases. (11)Mickey Trescott emphasizes consuming nutrient-dense foods like bone broth and fatty fish to resolve inflammation and support the microbiome. During reintroduction, patients identify specific food "villains" by monitoring symptom flare-ups, ultimately empowering them to choose a diet that maintains their long-term vitality. (12)Evan Ellis discusses Bolivia's severe instability as blockades led by supporters of Evo Morales disrupt the capital's supply of food and oxygen. Morales is described as a dangerous figure using cocaine-related funds to destabilize the democratically elected government, posing a significant risk to regional US allies. (13)Evan Ellis highlights a razor-thin election in Peru between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sanchez, exposing deep national divisions over corruption and wealth distribution. The outcome is geopolitically significant, as China already maintains a massive foothold in Peru through control of critical infrastructure, including major ports, mines, and electricity. (14)Evan Ellis notes how public frustration with rising crime and President Petro's "total peace" plan has fueled the rise of hardline political candidates in Colombia. As the country grapples with internal conflict, many Colombians seek a "strong hand" to restore security, mirroring historical law-and-order movements seen in neighboring South Americannations. (15)Evan Ellis discusses how a banking scandal involving Flavio Bolsonaro has impacted Brazilian polls, giving Lula da Silva a temporary lead. Meanwhile, El Salvador's President Bukele remains highly popular due to a dramatic security transformation that has revitalized urban life, despite international concerns regarding due process and human rights. (16)Four name/term corrections: (1) Grinkovich → Grynkewich (General Alexus Grynkewich, current SACEUR) (2) Labor Party → Labour Party (UK spelling per house style) (3) Laya Philip → Leila Philip (the actual author of Beaverland) (6) 126H list → 1260H list (Section 1260H of the NDAA — the standard reference)
In this episode of 3 Movies That Changed Your Life screenwriter Stuart Wright talks with the Mayor Of East Midlands, Claire Ward about: It's A Wonderful Life, On The Town, and Gladiator. Discover how these films shaped her journey through life, personal growth, and understanding of cinema's power. Claire also talks about why and possibly how East Midlands hopes to attract more film and TV productions to the region. Movies That Changed Your Life Find out about how East Midlands hopes to attract more film and TV productions to the region and the lasting impact of cinema on Claire Ward's life with Stuart Wright on his movie podcast. [1:20] Why and how the Mayor of East Midlands office hopes to attract more film and TV productions to the region 3 Films That Have Impacted Everything In Your Adult Life It's A Wonderful Life (1946): Approach life with a sense of optimism [10:00] It's A Wonderful Life encapsulates Claire's approach to life. Always think about the good things you have, value what you have and feel how lucky you are. And approach life with a sense of optimism. On The Town (1949): Huge Frank Sinatra fan [21:30] Claire has always been a massive fan of On The Town. Probably because she has been a fan of Frank Sinatra since she was three years old and got to meet him when she was seven. Gladiator (2000): Perfect soundtrack to wind down to [27:40] When Gladiator Claire was an MP, in the first term of the new Labour government and was a DCMS select committee member. No matter what kind of day she had had, the Gladiator film score would take her to a good place and help her unwind. Key Take Aways: Discover how movies that changed your life shape personal and professional growth. Why and how the Mayor of East Midlands office hopes to attract more film and TV productions to the region Understand cinema's transformative power through It's A Wonderful Life (1946), On The Town (1949), Gladiator (2000) Subscribe on Apple Podcasts, follow on Spotify or wherever you listen to your podcasts for more movies that impacted your life! Share your favourite movies that impacted your life on X (@leytonrocks) and leave a 5-star review and tell us which 3 films impacted your adult life. Best ones get read out on the podcast About my Guest: Claire Ward is the Mayor Of East Midlands for the Labour Party. For more information see https://www.eastmidlands-cca.gov.uk/the-mayor/ Credits: Intro/Outro music: *Rocking The Stew* by Tokyo Dragons (https://www.instagram.com/slomaxster/) Written, produced, and hosted by Stuart Wright for [Britflicks.com](https://www.britflicks.com/britflicks-podcast/) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is anyone else feeling for Chris Hipkins right now? He's having a terrible week, and it just looks bad. A large part of the blame has to rest with the people below him just not doing their job. First, the Superintendent Naidoo schemozzle. Notification of his intent to run for political office on a Thursday, just before it's announced the next Monday, was an organisational failure. The superintendent should've known the police manual better, and so should the backroom administrators of the Labour Party. Then, they released their public transport policy that everyone says is low on its costing. And then the spokesman, Tangi Utikere, was unable to name the projects in the National Land Transport Fund that would be defunded to make room for it. Making it seem like a good enough idea drawn up on the back of an envelope. Making it seem like no one has really done the backroom grunt work on the numbers. And it is a good idea for young people in towns and cities, but why on earth would you release it when the nation's attention is on Fieldays and the rural sector? It was plainly evident last night that the country folk have no desire to subsidise the city folks' transport. This was the week for a rural sector announcement, not an urban one. Labour's political management seems amateur. And then there's the festering accusation that Labour simply didn't set up a site at Fieldays. Which, if true, lies at the head of the organisational staff. That has been Labour's perennial problem. A handful of somewhat competent politicians without the backup of a competent party mechanism. It leads us all to the feeling that if they can't manage day-to-day business, how on earth could they run a country? LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
FIRST WITH YESTERDAY'S NEWS (highlights from Thursday on Newstalk ZB) Do Better, Labour/If We Can't See the Problem, At Least We Don't Have to Think About It/Same Goes for the End of the World/Accidental Podcast RouletteSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Political commentator Mike Indian finds it worrying how quickly narratives about events such as those in Southampton and Belfast can take on a life of their own, with some comments from politicians at home and overseas being less than helpful. A myth has sprung up about a two-tier justice system, weaponised by figures on the right. It taps into a lack of faith in our institutions. Ultimately, we all have an interest in how our streets are policed. It would appear that the Prime Minister is going to apply tighter controls to social media companies regarding under 16s. With the Makerfield by-election soon upon us, he may not be in office much longer: this could be his attempt at a legacy. But a blanket ban will be very difficult to enforce. While Makerfield may seem an important by-election, changing the leadership of the Labour Party will undermine its legitimacy. Whoever is in charge should concentrate on how the government can make people's lives better. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Its Politics Thursday and this week Nick is joined by National MP Tim Costley and Labour MP Camilla Belich to discuss the top political issues of the week. Labour's new policy $20 cap for public transport - is it too good to be true? The panel look at the viability of the $65 million cost and is it fair to rural taxpayers? Then onto the investigation launched by the police commissioner into conduct of superintendent Rakesh Naidoo whilst announcing his candidacy for the Labour Party. The panel discuss the labour list rankings, and Greg O'Connor's departure from politics. Also charter schools - a mixed bag of results, are they worth it? Would Labour keep them? LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
They say hope is the last thing to die. And thus it was yesterday when I heard Labour's first policy announcement in months. Give me a reason to vote for Labour – and they didn't. Chris Hipkins and Tangi Utikere announced a cap of some public transport fares —mostly for the cities, mostly for Auckland, where there's already a cap— that cuts off at a lower spending base. Not really the sort of bold and visionary policy you'd hope would come from a party that's been sitting around for years in Opposition, promising policy once the Budget's been released like it's going to be something quite seismic, revolutionary, changing the way we do things. A bit like the bold and visionary Labour of yore. That's what they came up with, starting with Michael Joseph Savage and moving through. Labour governments in the past have given us state housing, and the welfare state, and GST, and a shakeup of our economic policy, and a nuclear free New Zealand, and the Super Fund, and Kiwibank, although via Jim Anderton's Progressive Party. You would hardly say that this lot are the visionary Labour politicians of yesteryear. From them we get a lowered cap on public transport – after months, years, of being able to sit and develop policy, this is what they come up with. Labour's transport spokesperson was bigging it up, Tangi Utikere saying it will be a game changer for those who use public transport. “This is a real policy that will make a huge difference to households, commuters, shift workers, students, people who get from A to B every single day, every week. They're sitting around the kitchen table realising that their household bills are getting higher. This will provide absolute certainty for them when it comes to sorting their public transport.” Will it make a difference? I'm not sure how shift workers will benefit given the last bus in Auckland during the week finishes at 12:30am. Did Tangi even look at a bus timetable before he talked about how shift workers will find this absolutely a game changer? For some, I'm sure the extra 30 bucks will make a huge difference. I had a text yesterday that said, “it takes me three buses each way to get to and from work. As someone who's on a low income with a new baby, that extra $30 will go a long way. The current $50 cap does help with clear budgeting, but at $20 it feels like a godsend." So that's fantastic, but wouldn't it be better all round for the country, for people who are doing it tough right now, if we had targeted assistance? At the moment, Labour's spraying around universal policies, universal benefits, universal – although in the case of the public transport it's only universal if you happen to live in an area where there is public transport. As I say, it's mainly for the cities, mainly for Auckland. But the three GP visits for all... The taxes are going to be targeted, so why aren't the benefits? Why not give young Taylor who has to take three buses to work and has a young baby and is right at that stage of life where it's really grindy and in a particular stage in history where it's particularly, particularly grindy, why not give those young people a bit of extra assistance and not have young urban professionals who live close to public transport who don't need the cap putting it towards their end of week espresso martinis? Now I had an email from Dean who says, “my wife and I are both professionals who commute to the Auckland CBD. We have two sons, 22 and 23, one who lives at home. We'll be saving around $165 a week or close to $8,000 a year – that's simply going to pay for our next family holiday." They're just going to put the money, the public transport subsidy that taxpayers who don't live anywhere near a bus are helping to fund, towards a holiday and they don't even have the option of turning it down really. Once you hit that cap, that's it. Okay, so will it help you? Do you need the help? Would you like to see that help targeted more to those who need it rather than being universal? Would you like to see some visionary bold Labour policy? Hand up, yes I would. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
We're at a pivotal moment in world geopolitics. Increasingly the masks and the gloves are both off - but it's not a binary choice any more between two sets of suits in slightly different coloured ties: now we have the right showing its true colours - and a chance for the progressive majority in this country to find its feet and lead us towards a genuinely thoughtful, emotionally literate, high-bandwidth politics that ditches the toxic tribalism and instead lays the ground for a future that could actually work. We're joined this week by Neal Lawson, co-founder and Executive Director of the progressive pressure group, Compass; and Rupert Read, Co-Director of the Climate Majority Project. Neal is a member of the Labour Party, and Rupert of the Green party and we came together to discuss the forthcoming by-election in Makerfield, where Andy Burnham, Mayor of Greater Manchester is standing as a candidate, with a view to standing for leadership of the Labour Party if he wins. His main challenger is the Reform party led by Nigel Farage. The Greens are newly invigorated after their recent win in the Gorton and Denton by-election in Manchester, so there has been a lot of conversation in progressive circles as to whether the Greens should step away to give Burnham a clear run. This seemed a good moment to have a vigorous conversation - to explore the possibilities and potential and the routes forward should Burnham win. CompassThe Climate Majority ProjectAndy Burnham in the Observer committing to PR Jamie Driscoll's post in The Canary - There's Nothing Pragmatic About Centrism The Fraud by Paul Holden —About Accidental Gods—We offer three strands all rooted in the same soil, drawing from the same river: Accidental Gods, Dreaming Awake and the Thrutopia Writing Masterclass Our next Open Gathering offered as part of our Accidental Gods Programme is 'WALKING THE PATH OF THE INNER WARRIOR' which will run on Sunday 28th June 2026 from 16:00 - 20:00 GMT - details are here. You don't have to be a member of Accidental Gods to come along - but if you are, all Gatherings are half price.If you'd like to join us at Accidental Gods, this is the membership where we endeavour to help you to connect fully with the living web of life. If you'd like to train more deeply in the contemporary shamanic work at Dreaming Awake, you'll find us here. If you'd like to explore the recordings from our last Thrutopia Writing Masterclass, the details are hereManda and Louise both offer one-to-one Mentoring Calls. Manda is fully booked just now, but if you'd like to contact Louise, details are here.
The Labour Party is promising cost-of-living relief for public transport users - pledging to cap their fares at no more than $20 a week if elected. National says it's just more irresponsible spending from Labour. Deputy political editor Craig McCulloch reports.
The Labour Party has announced a weekly public transport cap of $20 in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch, and $10 a week everywhere else, at a reported cost of $65 million a year. Chris Hipkins spoke to John Campbell.
The Labour Party made its first big policy pledge ahead of November's election - a $20 weekly cap on public transport fares in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch, and $10 everywhere else in the country. Reporter Matthew Theunissen visited some major transport hubs to see how it was received.
Labour's pushing back on the suggestion its numbers don't add up for a proposed cap on bus and train fares. The party's promising to cap fares at $20 a week in Auckland, Wellington, and Christchurch, and $10 elsewhere. It's estimated to cost $65 million a year – the funding coming from the Land Transport Fund. Transport spokesperson Tangi Utikere told Heather du Plessis-Allan the amount's calculated by looking at current public transport numbers. He says there are people who only take monthly or weekly trips, and the overall goal is to help households doing it tough. Utikere says regular commuters could save about $1,200 a year. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
So that was what we waited months for, eh? Labour's cheaper public transport policy. A policy so predictable that we actually did predict it four hours before it was released. And it was predictable because it's not a new idea. It's an idea they took from 2022, dusted it off, and tried running out again with the tiniest of tweaks. Being predictable is a problem because it's not interesting. It means it won't get cut-through. It's not a policy that creates the kind of buzz they need after months of policy drought. You know what else is a problem? Their maths. There is no way this is going to cost $65 million a year and save 1.3 million public transport users an average of $1,200 a year. $1,200 times 1.3 million users is $1.6 billion. They're either fibbing about the cost, or they're fibbing about the benefit. I think it's a bit of both. What's worse for me, though, is that this policy suggests Labour may not have any ideas other than spending money. It's what they do every single time there's an election or a crisis. Cost of living crisis post-Covid? Hand out $350. Child poverty? Give mums of newborns $70 a week for a few weeks. Want to win an election? Make a year of university free. That doesn't grow the economy. It doesn't actually fix the fundamental problems we have, like high inflation or low wages. It just throws money at the symptom—stretched budgets—and grows the debt. It's not running a country. Spending money is the easiest thing in the world to do. You and I could run the place tomorrow if that was the extent of the thinking required. I'm disappointed this is what Labour made us all wait months for. They've got another five months. They need to do more than this with future policy announcements if they want a proper chance at the election. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
James Schneider co-founded Momentum, the grassroots left-wing organisation that helped Jeremy Corbyn become leader of the Labour Party, and he's our guest this episode. James currently heads up Communications for Progressive International, a group that unites and mobilises trade unions, leftist parties, peasant movements and groups like Code Pink, the Democratic Socialists of America and South Africa's shack dwellers movement. He holds a degree in Theology, too, and he talked to Jonty Langley for Shibboleth magazine Issue 7 and Beer Christianity. It's an excellent episode if you're interested in the US anti-ICE movement, the history of US aggression around the world, and what part religion is playing in it all. James is a brilliant thinker, the author of Our Bloc: How We Win, and has even played Chess at an international level -- so you're gonna want to hear what he has to say. If you want to read an edited version of the interview, as well as more pieces about what's happening in and because of the US, check out Issue 7 of Shibboleth magazine.
Doubts a senior police officer gave his employer enough notice about plans to run for the Labour Party. Commissioner Richard Chambers says he only learned of Rakesh Naidoo's candidacy on Sunday afternoon, and his position is now untenable. Labour says Naidoo told a supervisor of his intentions last Thursday and followed all appropriate steps. But political commentator Grant Duncan told Heather du Plessis-Allan that may not have been enough notice. He says Police should've been able to steer Naidoo towards low-level operational duties, and there are also questions around leave. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Now, I can't imagine Labour's woken up feeling awesome this morning about how that reset is going. What do you think? This is a reset – you do realise that. After months of saying nothing, having no new policy and generating headlines for Ayesha Verrall singing weird songs about ducks, they started this week with a classic reset move. They got themselves a story in the Herald on Monday, claiming Nicola Willis tried to hide secret spending in the Budget. Then they followed it up really quickly with a list announcement, unveiling the policeman candidate. And then tomorrow they were supposed to have their big, substantive policy announcement – something they haven't done in months. It was meant to be this run of good news. Unfortunately for them, it's gone a little bit pear-shaped, hasn't it? The “secret money” has turned out to actually just be an accounting provision. The list announcement got derailed by Greg O'Connor taking a crack at them. Then the new guy for one of the Māori seats revealed there's some tax relief policy coming – which he wasn't supposed to say. Then Chippy got busted for using his government KiwiSaver to buy a bach, and the policeman didn't tell his bosses early enough that he was off to join the Labour Party. All of this is not a good look for Labour, because they can hardly expect to convince voters they're ready to govern if they can't even get 24 hours' worth of announcements to go to plan without being derailed by four or five different issues. But to be fair to Labour, the last 24–48 hours is really not the end of the world. A lot of this is pretty beltway stuff – at least the parts involving the policeman are. In five months' time, when the election rolls around, no one but the biggest political nerds in this country will remember any of it. Five months gives them plenty of time to fix all of this, but they really do have to get on and fix it, because this is the same problem, just repeated – the same problem as the Ayesha Verrall duck-song situation. It looks like a party unable to get its act together and just do one thing properly. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Britain’s Prime Minister Keir Starmer is fighting for his political life as a rival Labour superstar comes for his job - and the PM’s latest move is to announce an Australian-style social media ban for under-16s. Today, we look at Andy Burnham, the so-called King of the North, who’s lining himself up to destroy Starmer and remake the United Kingdom. Richard Ferguson’s here in just a moment. Read more about this story at theaustralian.com.au and see the video by subscribing to our YouTube channel. Andy Burnham wants to be Makerfield’s MP: but do the voters want him? Henry Nowak death: The left is to blame for this terrible tragedy ‘Manchesterism’ pain in store if Andy Burnham marches on Fallout over Henry Nowak murder the fight Reform has been waiting for This episode of The Front is presented by Claire Harvey, produced by Kristen Amiet and edited by Lia Tsamoglou. Our team includes Kristen Amiet, Tiffany Dimmack, Joshua Burton and Jasper Leak, who also composed our music. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Something has finally emerged from the silent, yawning abyss that is the Labour Party. Unfortunately, it's not policy - it's their list. Seventy-two names, 30 new candidates. Party president Jill Day and leader Chris Hipkins say the lineup reflects modern New Zealand. They've got candidates from business, farming, the public service, unions, and community services - Rhodes scholars, Fulbright scholars and Uncle Tom Cobley and all. They've gone for a 50-50 gender split and diversity. Remember, polling suggests Labour could win about 44 seats and Chris Hipkins is expecting at least 10 new MPs to enter Parliament at the end of this year. One standout newcomer is police superintendent Rakesh Naidoo, ranked 13th - almost guaranteed a seat. He's a list-only candidate, straight into position number 13. Pity he didn't tell Mark Mitchell. There are some major ranking shifts. Māori seat MP Cushla Tangaere-Manuel jumps to ninth, while Vanushi Walters rises to eighth after returning to Parliament this term. These are high up in the rankings - and no, I haven't heard of them either. Names I have heard of, such as Camilla Belich and Deborah Russell, have dropped down the rankings. They may struggle to return. And poor old MP Greg O'Connor - having had his electorate, Ōhāriu, withdrawn and redrawn from beneath him - isn't even on the list. So this is a de facto announcement of his retirement and he's not happy. Now remember that Chris Hipkins promised policy after the Budget to answer our questions. Questions like: will they reverse the public service spending cuts? Will they reverse the increase in defence spending? Will they finally unveil a meaningful capital gains tax regime? But here we are, 11 days after the Budget and still no trace of policy. So what on earth are we going to vote for these people on? That is anybody's guess. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Act Party leader and Deputy PM talks about Fieldays and why he’s leaving a lot of the heavy lifting there to his Ag Spokesperson, Andrew Hoggard. We also pay tribute to the departing Mark Cameron and cast a critical eye over the Labour Party list rankings.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Marie Sherlock, Labour Party health spokesperson, discusses HSE data which shows 5,500 more people were hospitalised following road traffic incidents over almost a decade when compared to Gardai/RSA serious injuries figures.
This is a cracking briefing from Labour's Deputy Leader. On Makerfield and what happens next for the party. Lucy takes us inside the heart of the Labour Party... do Labour MPs and members actually want a leadership election? And what would happen if there was one? Are the issues that Labour faces actually to do with Keir Starmer at all? Lucy is also a massive football fan, but how does she behave at games... the answer may surprise you. PLUS... beauty tips on how to look 20 years younger. THE POLITICAL PARTY LIVE 9 November: Liz Kendall Plus many more to be announced soon! https://nimaxtheatres.com/shows/the-political-party-with-matt-forde/ SEE the final dates of Matt's stand-up tour 'Defying Calamity' across the UK:https://www.mattforde.com/live-shows June3 Portsmouth New Theatre Royal - EXTRA DATE 4 Coventry Warwick Arts Centre5 Cambridge Junction6 Sheffield Steamworks9 Liverpool Everyman Theatre10 Chipping Norton Theatre 12 Norwich Playhouse - EXTRA DATE14 York The Crescent - EXTRA DATE15 Leeds City Varieties - EXTRA DATE 16 Glasgow Glee Club - EXTRA DATE 18 Aberdeen Lemon Tree - EXTRA DATE 26 Bristol 1532 - EXTRA DATEJuly 3 Basingstoke The Haymarket - EXTRA DATE 8 Birmingham Glee Club - EXTRA DATE 10 Bedford Quarry Theatre - EXTRA DATE 16 Maidenhead Norden Farm - EXTRA DATE DONATE to the RNOH Charity here:https://www.justgiving.com/campaign/mattforde Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
On this week's episode, Sarah is asking what happened in the brutal murder of student Henry Nowak and Peter would like to know why the Blair Creature has returned from the deep to haunt the Labour Party. And the pair pore over our mailbag to consider what the Festival of Britain brought the UK and if we might ever see it's like again. While Peter embraces the charms of Paris, Sarah less so. They also ask what use libertarianism? But are united in their love of Spain and its wonderful cities.On our reading and watch list this week: · Scarman Report – Lord Scarman· The Abolition of Liberty – Peter Hitchens· Robert Peel: A Biography – Douglas Hurd· Magnifica Humanitas (Magnificent Humanity) - Pope Leo XIV · Tales from the Alhambra – Washington Irvine Please do get in touch, email: Alas@dailymail.co.uk you can leave a comment on Spotify or even send us a voice note on Whatsapp – on 07796 657512, start your message with the word ‘alas'. Presenters: Sarah Vine & Peter HitchensProducer: Philip WildingEditor: Chelsey MooreProduction Manager: Vittoria CecchiniExecutive Producer: Jamie East A Daily Mail production. Seriously PopularTo get in touch email alas@mailonline.co.uk, you can leave a comment on Spotify or even send us a voice note on WhatsApp - on 07796 657512 start your message with the word 'alas'Presenters: Sarah Vine & Peter HitchensProducer: Phillip WildingEditor: Chelsey MooreProduction Manager: Vittoria CecchiniExecutive Producer: Jamie EastA Daily Mail production. Seriously Popular Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Is Pope Leo's encyclical the most important contribution to the AI debate so far, and is he doing more to hold Silicon Valley to account than any Western government? What did Alastair say to Tony Blair about his explosive essay attacking the direction of Starmer's government, the Labour Party, and net zero? Why does Rory think Blair is now closer to JD Vance than to the values that defined New Labour? Join Rory and Alastair as they answer all these questions and more. __________ Go deeper into the world of The Rest Is Politics by signing up for our free newsletter HERE, featuring exclusive interviews, analysis and weekend reads from Alastair and Rory. Join The Rest Is Politics Plus. Start your free trial at therestispolitics.com to unlock exclusive bonus content – including Rory and Alastair's miniseries – plus ad-free listening, early access to episodes and live show tickets, exclusive newsletters, discounted book prices, and a private chatroom on Discord. The Rest Is Politics is powered by Fuse Energy. Stop overpaying for energy. Switch at fuseenergy.com/politics and get a free TRIP+ subscription. Get our exclusive NordVPN deal here ➼ nordvpn.com/restispolitics It's risk-free with Nord's 30 day money back guarantee ✅ __________ Instagram: @restispolitics Twitter: @restispolitics Email: therestispolitics@goalhanger.com __________ Social Producer: Celine Charles Video Editor: Josh Smith, James Clayden Assistant Producer: Daisy Alston-Horne Producer: Evan Green Exec Producer: Chris Sawyer General Manager: Tom Whiter Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Henry Nowak lay bleeding in Police custody after they callously cuffed him, ignoring his pleading dying breath. As the British political establishment lines up to apportion blame along predictable lines, we take you through the facts. Plus: While Trump & Netenyahu bring out the handbags, Israel pledges to take over even more territory in Gaza. Has Emily Thornberry finally had a Damascian moment over the genocide? Finally, Andy Burnham rules out a general election should he take control of the Labour Party in June. With Aaron Bastani & Paul Holden.
Nigel Farage has said that the death of Henry Nowak is proof that "we're living in a two-tier culture...where the rights and privileges of white people matter less than those of ethnic minorities". Police bodycam footage shows Nowak, 18, being arrested for alleged racial abuse minutes before he died from stab wounds in December 2025. It's a tragedy that's very quickly become political. We explain why it's an issue that's particularly tricky for Labour to respond to. Also, a snapshot of strange by-election campaign where cabinet members are not welcome, Labour MPs might be allowed a selfie with Andy Burnham (if they're lucky), and the future of the country is decided upon by a tiny group of people in a club where they hold auctions of exotic birds.And what the Mandelson files tell us about the Labour Party – and about Patrick Maguire Syndrome.Steven Swinford, political editor, The TimesPatrick Maguire, chief political commentator, The TimesLara Spirit, deputy political editor, The Sunday TimesProducers: Euan Dawtrey, Harry KitsonExecutive producer: Molly GuinnessPicture: Henry Nowak with his father, Mark (Family handout/PA)Audio: PA, ITVThis podcast was brought to you thanks to subscribers of The Times and The Sunday Times. To enjoy unlimited digital access to all our journalism subscribe here. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
(14) Simon Constable and Jim McTague discuss the leadership vacuum in the United Kingdom as internal Labour Party disputes intensify. Some elites are calling for Tony Blair's return while the Reform Party gains traction among dissatisfied voters.1940
STREAMING MAKING JBS, FEATURING CONSTABLE AND MCTAGUE. 5-28-281903 POPULAR HISTORY OF FRANCE.This conversation features a broadcast recording between host John Batchelor and correspondents Simon Constable and Jim McTague, who discuss the intersection of global commodities, regional weather, and international politics. Reporting from the French Pyrenees, Constable describes the local agriculture of vines and olive trees while noting the impact of Middle Eastern violence on energy prices and Brent crude. In Lancaster, Pennsylvania, McTague highlights the burden of rising gasoline costs on American consumers, illustrating the economic strain through long lines at local fueling stations. The dialogue shifts to the instability of British leadership, critiquing the current state of the Labour Party and the nostalgic but controversial calls for Tony Blair's return. The participants also weigh the growing influence of artificial intelligence on creative work and data security, reflecting on how these technologies are reshaping professional standards. Ultimately, the transcript serves as a multinational overview of how localized environmental conditions and geopolitical skirmishes drive market volatility.
SCHEDULE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 5-28-26.1890 VIKINGS(1) Anatol Lieven discusses Moscow's escalation and the future of Ukraine negotiations, noting that Russia has threatened targeted strikes on Ukrainian headquarters in Kyiv. High casualty rates and stalled front lines contribute to a mood of frustration in Moscow.(2) Anatol Lieven examines the struggle for UK Labour Party leadership, where Andy Burnham is the preferred candidate to replace Keir Starmer but must first win a by-election. The rising Reform Party poses a significant threat to established political figures.(3) Josh Rogin discusses the Trump-Xi summit, noting that the President's visit to Beijing featured major CEOs but yielded no new trade agreements. Both nations remain locked in a trade war with mismatched expectations regarding economic cooperation.(4) Josh Rogin examines upcoming Section 301 investigations that will address Chinese forced labor and dumping. Simultaneously, a critical shortage of magnets from China is impacting the production of U.S. defense technology and fighter jets.(5) Evan Ellis describes turmoil in Bolivia, where supporters of Evo Morales have blockaded La Paz, causing severe humanitarian shortages. These groups utilize military-style tactics to protect drug territories and pressure the government while Morales evades justice.(6) Evan Ellis examines electoral crossroads in Colombia and Peru, with Colombia facing a choice between leftist and pro-U.S. candidates in its upcoming election. In Peru, Keiko Fujimori leads a narrow race with implications for regional security and Chinese influence.(7) Evan Ellis discusses legacies and alliances in Brazil, Venezuela, and Cuba, where Flavio Bolsonaro seeks U.S. alignment in Brazil, while the U.S. conducts military exercises near Venezuela. Meanwhile, the U.S. offers financial aid to Cuba to encourage democratic and economic transitions.(8) Evan Ellis previews Pope Leo's historic visit to South America, including his former missionary grounds. In Argentina, President Milei struggles with declining approval as Peronist opposition organizes for future electoral challenges.(9) Stephen Mazie discusses Supreme Court challenges to birthright citizenship and the President's power over the Federal Reserve. Rulings could drastically redefine executive authority and independent federal agencies.(10) Stephen Mazie examines the Supreme Court's recent ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, which has disrupted primary elections by allowing the elimination of majority-minority districts. This reflects a long-term effort by the conservative majority to weaken federal oversight.(11) Jeff McCausland analyzes the tense naval standoff between U.S. and Iranian forces in the Strait of Hormuz. Critics argue the administration failed to anticipate the blockade or effectively address regional Iranian proxies.(12) Jeff McCausland discusses Russian casualties and NATO's growing nuclear anxiety, noting that Russia has reportedly suffered 500,000 deaths in Ukraine, creating severe manpower shortages. Consequently, European allies like France are considering moving nuclear assets eastward due to waning confidence in U.S. support.(13) Simon Constable and Jim McTague examine global commodities and the economic impact of war, noting that high energy prices, including $8 diesel in France, are straining consumer budgets. While some commodity prices are stabilizing, the ongoing conflict in Iran continues to drive global inflation.(14) Simon Constable and Jim McTague discuss the leadership vacuum in the United Kingdom as internal Labour Party disputes intensify. Some elites are calling for Tony Blair's return while the Reform Party gains traction among dissatisfied voters.(15) Douglas Messier and David Livingston discuss the Starship 12 mission, which achieved significant milestones despite booster failures. NASA has also awarded major contracts to Blue Origin for lunar rovers and a specialized base lander.(16) Douglas Messier and David Livingston examine NASA's phased plan to establish a permanently crewed moon base by 2032. The timeline involves uncrewed test landings and orbital refueling to prepare for future human missions.
Tony Blair's lengthy – and excoriating – 5,600-word essay on the future of the Labour Party and Britain has set Westminster alight this week. The former prime minister's critique has sparked a lively debate, and triggered robust responses from Labour leadership hopefuls Andy Burnham and Wes Streeting. But is Blair right in some of his criticism? Host Lucy Fisher unpacks the article with FT colleagues Robert Shrimsley, Anna Gross and Stephen Bush. They also examine Rupert Lowe, the personality behind the far-right party Restore Britain, and whether it can harm Reform UK by splitting the rightwing vote.Follow: Lucy @LOS_Fisher or @lucyfisher.ft.comWant more? Tony Blair criticises Labour's Andy Burnham for leftwing ‘delusion'Tony Blair ‘does not understand' role of inequality in politics, Andy Burnham saysLabour's retreat from intellectual debate traps it in comfort zoneTurning Neets into engineersBritain's expanding ‘lost generation'UK risks ‘lost generation' without more jobs for young people Nigel Farage loses viral touch to Musk-backed Rupert LoweSenior Reform UK figures clash over immigration plans You can also sign up here for Stephen Bush's morning newsletter Inside Politics for straight-talking insight into the stories that matter, plus puns and tongue (mostly) in cheek views. Get 30 days free.Political Fix was presented by Lucy Fisher and produced by Persis Love. Manuela Saragosa is the executive producer. Original music and sound engineering by Breen Turner. The broadcast engineers are Andrew Georgiades and Petros Gioumpasis. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Preview for Later Today: Jim McTague examines the hypothetical return of Tony Blair to lead Britain's Labour Party, questioning whether interest is genuine nostalgia or a reaction to Keir Starmer's leadership while recalling Blair's political history.1880
This week there's only one subject to discuss – and that's Tony Blair – who has written a blistering 5,000 word essay criticising everyone from Keir Starmer to Andy Burnham, Ed Miliband and Wes Streeting.Tom McTague is joined by political editor Ailbhe Rea to discuss this “right wing” intervention. LISTEN AD-FREE:
Richie Allen with a unique take on the day's top news stories. On today's show: Is the Iran-American on again off again peace deal finally back on? Tony Blair pens 5,000 word essay on the future of the Labour Party, why we must embrace AI and then roll it out to save public services. But, who's Blair really working for? The share of babies born to migrant parents reached 40pc for the first time last year. What does it mean? Plus much more.
You can watch this episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/uXkk5GHpPE4This week on Planet Normal, your co-pilots of sanity, Liam Halligan and Allison Pearson, dive into a political landscape dominated by explosive leadership interventions and growing institutional scandal. Following a dramatic local election period, the duo analyzes a scathing 5,000-word essay by former Prime Minister Tony Blair, who has openly lacerated his own party for what he calls an “infinite capacity for self-delusion”.Liam details the escalating fiscal warning signs rattling the British establishment. He warns that despite a temporary dip in the UK inflation rate to 2.8%, it is on track to hit 5% later this year. With long-term government borrowing costs flirting with 30-year highs, Liam argues that cosmetic fixes like supermarket price controls and rollercoaster VAT cuts will do nothing to soothe terrified sovereign bond markets.Meanwhile Allison shares her assessment of the Scottish National Party following the sensational embezzlement guilty plea of its former chief executive. This week's stowaway on the rocket is serial entrepreneur and hospitality titan Luke Johnson, who shares a powerful breakdown of how Britain is currently navigating life under what he defines as a “highly damaging socialist government”.HighlightsBlair is talking sense on this Lefty Labour Party, and Starmer should listen to save themSir Keir Starmer faces mounting threats to his leadership as ideological factions fracture the Labour Party.Looming fiscal disaster deepens as the UK inflation rate is projected to climb back toward 5%.The SNP establishment faces total mockery following the sensational embezzlement fallout of its leadership.Sign up to our most popular newsletter, From the Editor. Look forward to receiving free-thinking comment and the day's biggest stories, every morning. telegraph.co.uk/fromtheeditor |Book your tickets to 'How to make Brexit a success' on 29th June in London: telegraph.co.uk/brexit-big-debate |Read Allison ‘Did you really not know about your husband, Nicola?':https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/05/26/allison-pearson-nicola-sturgeon-husband/ |Read more from Allison: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/authors/a/ak-ao/allison-pearson/ | Read Liam ‘The approaching inflation crisis is a disaster for Labour': https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/05/24/the-approaching-inflation-crisis-is-a-disaster-for-labour/ |Read more from Liam: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/authors/liam-halligan/ |Read Liam's Substack: https://liamhalligan.substack.com/ |Need help subscribing or reviewing? Learn more about podcasts here:https://www.telegraph.co.uk/radio/podcasts/podcast-can-find-best-ones-listen/ |Email: planetnormal@telegraph.co.uk |For 30 days' free access to The Telegraph: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/normal | Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
President Donald Trump's diplomatic trip to China, the history of Zionism, and the future of British politics after the routing of the Labour Party. Dr. Larry P. Arnn, president of Hillsdale College, joins Hugh Hewitt on the Hillsdale Dialogues. Release date: 22 May 2026See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
President Donald Trump's diplomatic trip to China, the history of Zionism, and the future of British politics after the routing of the Labour Party. Dr. Larry P. Arnn, president of Hillsdale College, joins Hugh Hewitt on the Hillsdale Dialogues. Release date: 22 May 2026
President Donald Trump's diplomatic trip to China, the history of Zionism, and the future of British politics after the routing of the Labour Party. Dr. Larry P. Arnn, president of Hillsdale College, joins Hugh Hewitt on the Hillsdale Dialogues. Release date: 22 May 2026See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Simon Constable discusses the political maneuvering to replace Prime Minister Keir Starmer. He critiques the lack of clear leadership in Parliament and the potential for unelected transitions of power within the Labour Party. (14/16)1900 CALDWELL ID
SCHEDULE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 5-20-26.1874 BEAVERRick Fisher discusses record-breaking arms packages for Taiwan, including loitering drones and missile defense, to counter potential Chinese invasion. Gordon Chang emphasizes the need for equipment capable of surviving an initial massive missile barrage. (1/16)Greg Scarlatoiu details North Korea's role as an arsenal for Russia and Iran, providing missiles and tunnel technology for profit. Kim Jong-un's survival strategy relies on nuclear weapons and maintaining relevance among allies. (2/16)Steve Yates critiques the personal diplomacy approach at the Beijing summit, noting an asymmetric information environment. He highlights the lack of a joint statement and ongoing tensions regarding Taiwan's sovereignty and defense. (3/16)Steve Yates characterizes China as an opportunistic bystander in foreign policy regarding the Strait of Hormuz and Russia-Ukraine. He argues Beijing lacks the will or power to lead in resolving international crises effectively. (4/16)Gordon Chang discusses China's "red lines" as tools for diplomatic intimidation. He argues China is fundamentally weak due to demographic collapse, a failing economy, and a military that lacks operational leadership for major invasions. (5/16)Michael Bernstam explains Russia's dependence on China for technology and energy exports. Despite short-term gains from high oil prices, Russia remains a junior partner struggling with domestic refinery issues caused by Ukrainian drones. (6/16)Jason Bedrick argues that the Bible is the essential foundation for the U.S. Constitution and Declaration of Independence. He laments the decline in biblical literacy, noting it creates a profound gap in cultural understanding. (7/16)Joel Kotkin explores how the Iranian diaspora in California largely favors a republic over the current regime. This highly professional and accomplished community draws on their experience in a free society to envision reform. (8/16)Mary Kissel discusses differing interpretations of the Trump-Xi summit, focusing on "strategic stability." She expresses concern over managed trade and the lack of consensus regarding North Korea's denuclearization and Chinese human rights abuses. (9/16)Mary Kissel discusses the historic indictment of Raul Castro for the 1996 shootdown of unarmed aircraft. She interprets this move as diplomatic leverage to encourage a transition toward a more open, prosperous Cuba. (10/16)Anne Lord reviews Chris Horton's Ghost Nation, detailing Taiwan's indigenous history and independent spirit. The book refutes Chinese Communist Party claims that the island has always been a "sacred territory" of mainland China. (11/16)Anne Lord emphasizes Taiwan's critical importance to the global economy via its semiconductor industry. She notes that the Taiwanese people are prepared and investing heavily in defense to protect their democracy and technology. (12/16)Simon Constable describes an idyllic spring in France before pivoting to alarming price increases for diesel, electricity, and natural gas. He warns that inflation is barreling through global economies as an "unleaded tax." (13/16)Simon Constable discusses the political maneuvering to replace Prime Minister Keir Starmer. He critiques the lack of clear leadership in Parliament and the potential for unelected transitions of power within the Labour Party. (14/16)Bob Zimmerman discusses the upcoming SpaceX IPO, which could raise $75 billion. He argues that SpaceX is the real American space program, while NASA has become an ineffective sideshow supporting SpaceX's ambitious goals. (15/16)Bob Zimmerman explains how private enterprise and competition are transforming the space industry. He also describes unique geological features on Mars, such as "brain terrain," captured in recent images by the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter. (16/16)Note: corrected "Labor Party" → Labour Party (UK spelling).
Tommy and Ben dig into a week dominated by ominous signs of regime change, nuclear standoffs, and a “historic” summit that left almost everyone disappointed.First they cover the signs pointing to American intervention in Cuba, including reports of Cuban drones, a possible indictment of 94-year-old Raúl Castro, a visit by CIA director John Ratcliffe, and a full blockade that has left the island in a state of humanitarian catastrophe. Then they look to Bolivia, where supporters of former President Evo Morales have blockaded roads and clashes with police are escalating. When it comes to the war in Iran, the global economy remains paralyzed by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, while Trump vacillates on whether to restart the war or engage in real talks. The guys also recap Trump's China trip, which turned out to be a dud by almost every measure — no trade deal, no help on Iran, and some deeply alarming comments about Taiwan. And finally, Tommy and Ben are subjected to the sounds of Eurovision. Then Tommy is joined by Pod Save the UK host Nish Kumar to discuss the fate of Prime Minister Keir Starmer and the Labour Party, and the troubling rise of the right-wing Reform UK party. Check out Nish's special, Don't Kill My Vibe.For a closed-captioned version of this episode, click here. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@crooked.com and include the name of the podcast, episode title, and episode date.For Friends of the Pod, the boys answer questions about multi-party systems and Obama's pivot to Asia.Preorder Ben's book All We Say: The Battle for American Identity: A History in 15 Speeches and subscribe to his Substack here.
Our Global Head of Fixed Income Research Andrew Sheets and Chief UK Economist Bruna Skarica discuss why they see a more constructive UK outlook than markets do, despite energy, fiscal and political risks.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Global Head of Fixed Income Research at Morgan Stanley. Bruna Skarica: And I'm Bruna Skarica, Morgan Stanley's Chief UK Economist. Andrew Sheets: Today, the debate around growth and debt in the United Kingdom. It's Wednesday, May 20th at 2pm in London. Bruna, I'm so glad you could join us today because I actually really did want to talk about what's going on here in the United Kingdom. I don't think it's an exaggeration to say that this is the country where you hear some of the strongest divergence of opinions. Pessimists point to political uncertainty, vulnerability to oil prices from the Strait of Hormuz, and rising bond yields. And yet, UK growth this year has been pretty good. Inflation is set to come down, and the currency's been pretty stable, hardly the stuff of big instability. So, Bruna, I was hoping you could help us set the scene. Let's start with how you see the economy. Bruna Skarica: I actually think your framing is perfect. For the past five years, there has been a striking divergence of opinion on the UK, which I do think mimics to a degree some of the divisions on the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee. The question really is – has the country underwent structural changes in the past decade of supply-side shocks such that its potential growth is very low, perhaps as low as 1 percent on the year. And has the inflationary process shifted in such a way that, for example, we need much higher jobless rate in order to generate enough economic slack to get inflation down to 2 percent? Or the other question is, has the UK just had a unique string of external shocks amplified perhaps by domestic policy choices, which mean that we have seen a prolonged period of low growth and high inflation – but again, without major structural changes. We are in the more constructive structural camp. I actually think that's probably Morgan Stanley's biggest out of consensus call in the UK. In recent years in particular, we have seen quite robust CapEx. And last year, actually very healthy private sector productivity gains. When you adjust for accurate labor market data, UK's private sector productivity growth is just under 2 percent as of the end of 2025, actually not too far off from the U.S. But for these good structural trends to persist and continue to improve, we do need a more supportive cyclical environment. And there, unfortunately, given the rise in oil prices, it's hard to be overly constructive about growth and inflation in the UK this year. We've downgraded our growth forecasts to around 1 percent over [20]26 and [20]27, and we have lifted our inflation projections by around 150 basis points at their peak to a peak of around 3.5 percent later in the year. Andrew Sheets: So, Bruna, how much does the price of oil or the price of natural gas matter for this outlook, especially as the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively shut? Bruna Skarica: It does matter a fair bit. We use Morgan Stanley's commodity team's forecasts in our own scenario analyses for the UK economy. Now, their base case still sees a gentle decline in oil prices this year, which leads to outcomes I've already mentioned. The activity flatlines from the second quarter, we have a rise in inflation from April onwards, but we don't have a recession. However, if we fail to see any movement lower in oil, and as you rightly pointed out, natural gas prices as well; or if we even saw a move higher over the summer, we do think that risks of a recession would be quite pronounced in the second half of the year. UK consumers are already in for a year of flat real disposable income growth. Higher prices of food and energy than in our base case could result in even lower discretionary spending growth than what we're already modeling. And if the Bank of England had to hike rates in this inflationary scenario, we think they would act twice in this kind of a scenario. We also have these tight financial conditions which would weigh on household spending. Andrew Sheets: So, Bruna, I think that's a great segue into that out-of-consensus call that we have on the Bank of England. You know, the market is expecting the Bank of England to raise interest rates. We think that they'll be on hold. And if you take a step back, it's a view that, kind of, puts the UK and the Bank of England a little bit between the Federal Reserve, which we think is going to be lowering rates over the next twelve months modestly, and the European Central Bank, which we think will raise rates in the near term. Could you talk a bit more about why you think it will remain on hold? And why you differ from what the market's seeing? Bruna Skarica: Yeah, absolutely. So, in our base case, the one where we do see a bit of a decline in oil and gas prices over the course of this year, we think the Bank of England remains on hold. It's important to remember that they were about to cut rates, prior to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. So, there is a bit of restrictiveness there in the starting stance, which we think can just be maintained for a longer period of time than would've otherwise been the case. And so, for the Bank of England to avoid having to tighten rates. Now, with respect to the market, I think it's fair to say that the market price is a probability-weighted outcome, where there is some chance, a non-negligible one, that the Bank of England will have to hike rates aggressively if oil prices were to rise from here. To give you a bit of clarity here, bank's own analyses suggests that in a scenario where oil prices were to rise towards $130 per barrel and stay there for a few months, the bank could hike rates by four times. Now, it's interesting that in this scenario, the bank actually doesn't forecast a recession. Now, we think that in the case of such elevated commodity prices, as I've already mentioned, we would certainly see high inflation, potentially as high as 6 percent, but also recessionary impulses. So, even in the scenario of elevated oil prices, we think the bank could only deliver around two hikes. And so, this kind of probability-weighted outcome that we have, which differs a little bit from our model case, even that is actually fairly lower than what the market is pricing. So, I think that's maybe one of the main differences that we have versus the market. The market is expecting a repeat of 2022, so elevated inflation with growth just about holding on. We disagree that's possible because there's far less scope for a fiscal response to shield growth from an inflationary external shock. Andrew Sheets: But Bruna, maybe I'll take even a bigger step back here because to borrow a British phrase, it almost seems like some of these debates over oil prices are kind of small beer compared to these two big questions around the UK. Which are, you know, concerns over a lack of productivity growth and concerns that the UK economy is just, kind of, poorly positioned over the long term – especially in the wake of Brexit and concern over the fiscal situation. And this idea that, well, government debt is historically high for the UK, concern that that will continue. And I think it's no exaggeration to say that when you talk to investors about the UK, those are often, kind of, two of the big questions that hang over the debate. So, your brief thoughts on both of those issues. And again, where you think the market might be potentially surprised? Bruna Skarica: So, one of the most interesting things when I talk to clients is when I mention some of these statistics around measured cyclical productivity growth last year, they're often very, very surprised. And we do think it's more important to talk about this because there is evidence, I would say nascent evidence, that UK is benefiting from the AI tailwind. We are seeing more CapEx adoption. We are seeing slower hiring, but more resilient growth, which, as I say, results in cyclical productivity growth that looks very robust, especially in UK's historical context. In the last ten years, of course, UK's productivity growth has been very lackluster. So, over the course of this year, I think that's actually my primary focus to see how much of this uplift in productivity last year is cyclical and perhaps will dissipate over 2026 with the slowdown in growth. And how much of it was actually structural. Now, in terms of the fiscal question, you know, one thing that's interesting to mention is the UK is, per IMF calculations, in the middle of the most severe fiscal consolidation amongst its G7 peers. Medium-term fiscal plans deliver a decline in deficit to below 2 percent of GDP by 2030. Again, this is hard to square with gilt yields where they currently stand. So, it's fair to say that the market is just more focused on the risks of delivery. For example, departmental spending settlements look challenging to deliver. Ministry of Defense is looking for a [£]30 billion top-up to its budgets. Labor backbenchers have recently come out seeking for a bit more capital expenditure. Political volatility is high. We are actually quite confident around our 2026 fiscal forecasts. We're looking for a deficit at 4 percent. But when it comes to 2027, I think it's fair to say that risks here really depend on the political trajectory with risks skewed, I think, towards a slightly higher deficit than around 3.5 percent, which we have in our base case. Andrew Sheets: But Bruna, just to be very direct, is it fair to say that for investors who are very concerned about productivity growth in the UK, you'd argue that that actually could be a bit better than people are expecting as capital deepens? And that for investors afraid of the fiscal trajectory, that actually could be one of the best fiscal trajectories In the G7? Bruna Skarica: Yeah, absolutely. I mean, one of our recent outlook titles was “Everything is Relative,” and that's exactly the point that we always try to make with the UK. It seems like it has a lot of idiosyncratic fiscal problems, but I would say a lot of its fiscal challenges are very similar to other DM countries – demographic aging, slowing in potential GDP growth. And when it comes to productivity growth, I'm not trying to argue that we're likely to see UK's potential GDP growth in excess of 2 percent anytime soon. However, we do think that the picture is actually much better in terms of productivity growth than perhaps what the average market participants think is the case. Andrew Sheets: Finally, Bruna, just a word on politics. I'm mindful that we have a global audience. And for those less steeped in the latest UK news, what's been happening? And what are the developments that investors are watching out for? Bruna Skarica: Yeah, absolutely. So, we had local elections in the UK in early May, and they delivered quite sizable losses for the governing Labour Party. Since then, a number of Labour MPs, Members of Parliament, just under 100 of them, called on Prime Minister Starmer to resign. Now, challenging a Labour leader and a prime minister in this case is not an easy process to trigger.However, Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham is now looking to enter the House of Commons. He will be contesting a by-election, most likely on June 18th. I would say that's the key date to watch out for from here. Andy Burnham has previously said UK politicians should be less focused on the bond market, but perhaps it's worth reiterating. More recently, he said he supports the current fiscal rules, which of course require debt-to-GDP ratio to be on the declining trajectory over the next five years. Now, Andrew, for you, what stands out in the pricing of the UK story? Andrew Sheets: Well, Bruna, I really think this is the country where across everything that we look at, there's the biggest gap, I think, between kind of conventional wisdom and what we at Morgan Stanley are forecasting.The market's conventional wisdom is that productivity growth is going to be very weak and very bad. That's not what you see in the numbers and is in our forecast. The market thinks the government finances are very weak. As you mentioned, relative to the G7, they're on a pretty good trajectory and at a pretty good level. And I think this is also a market where you have some interesting risk premium. I mean, again, we talk a lot in this podcast about how little risk premium there is in a lot of different asset classes. That's not the case in the UK. The government bond market, in our view, is offering a lot of risk premium to take on the risk of owning the government debt. And, you know, one example of that is, you know, you look at what interest rate is implied on a UK 10-year government bond 10 years from now. It's implying that yield is 6.6 percent. That's a very high yield, especially if you think that growth is going to be weak in this country. So, I think it's a really interesting macro story. It's one certainly where we at Morgan Stanley differ, and where there's some risk premium on offer. So, I'm so glad you could join us today to dig into it in more detail. Bruna Skarica: Absolutely. Thank you so much for the invite. Andrew Sheets: And thank you as always for your time. If you find Thoughts on the Market useful, let us know by leaving a review wherever you listen. And also tell a friend or colleague about us today.
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