The Run-Up

A year ago, Astead took “The Run-Up” listeners home for Thanksgiving.Specifically, he convened a focus group of family and friends to talk about the election and the question of Black people's changing relationship to the Democratic Party.This year, he got the group back together for a different mission.The question was: What happened? What can Democrats learn from their defeat in 2024?On today's show: an autopsy conducted not by consultants or elected officials but by committed, everyday Democratic voters. And a farewell. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

President-elect Trump's cabinet nominees and major appointments — which have arrived quickly in the days since he won the election — are more than just a list of allies. The roster is a window into how he sees the mission of a second term.One priority will be immigration and border control, and, more specifically, Trump's campaign promise of “mass deportations.”On Sunday night, Trump announced the person he was putting in charge of this effort: Tom Homan.Homan was the acting director of Immigration and Customs Enforcement during the first Trump administration, and he played a key role in the family separation policy.Back in March 2023, we went to see Homan speak at the Conservative Political Action Conference, known as CPAC. After his panel, we sat down to discuss his views on the border and how he and Trump might institute their preferred policies, like mass deportation, if given the chance.Which of course, they now have been.On today's show, that candid interview from 2023 with Tom Homan, and a possible glimpse at our immigration future. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

For more than two years, we've been asking pretty much everyone we meet a version of the same question:Who are you going to vote for and why?And on Wednesday morning, we had the answer to that question. Or at least the first part.Donald Trump easily won the electoral vote, and as of early Thursday, he's on track to win the popular vote too.The second part of the question — the why of 2024 — is a little more complicated. It will take time to answer in its entirety.But we wanted to start small, by talking with one Michigan voter. She came to mind on election night, when it became clear that it was going to be a Trump victory and that the sweep of his support was telling a new story about this country.  Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

For months now, “The Run-Up” has been traveling around the country talking with people, trying to ensure that when today came, whatever happened wouldn't feel like a surprise.So as people go to the polls to cast their vote for Kamala Harris, Donald Trump or someone else, we wanted to return to the place where we started almost exactly a year ago.Clallam County, in the northwest corner of Washington State.It's the last true bellwether county in America. Voters there have correctly picked the president every year since 1980.Last year, what we found in Clallam really did match the mood of the country.Democrats were worried about Joe Biden's age. Some Republicans were hoping they might have an option other than Donald Trump. And overall, people expressed frustration with their options and both political parties.On Election Day, we return to Clallam to hear what's on the minds of these voters — people whose feelings and decisions could reflect how the country votes. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

One phenomenon that's been getting a lot of attention during this election is the growing gender gap among young people.Young men are leaning right, and young women are moving left.In recent national surveys from The New York Times and Siena College, young women favored Kamala Harris by 42 percentage points and young men favored Donald Trump by 12 points.And Trump has made explicit appeals to men — or at least his version of masculinity — a huge part of his message and campaign strategy.So, as we enter the election's final days, we wanted to see how these messages were landing in the key battleground state of Wisconsin.On the show today: What's driving the gender divide in 2024? And is Trump's bet on young men working? Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

For most of this year, we've been focused on the race for president, the messages coming from both parties' nominees and their reception among voters.But that's not all that's on the ballot this November, and so much of what any president can do in the White House depends on who's in Congress.So before Election Day, we wanted to take a look at the down-ballot landscape of 2024.Who will control the House and the Senate? And what can we learn about both parties when we turn away from the top of the ticket?On today's episode:Amy Walter, publisher and editor in chief of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

There's no state more likely to tip the election than Pennsylvania.It has the most electoral votes of any swing state, with 19, and its flip from red to blue in 2020 helped secure the win for Joe Biden.For Kamala Harris to prevail there this year, she needs to win over moderates, even Republicans, who are turned off by Donald Trump. And she has to drive up enthusiasm among the Democratic base, including Black voters in urban centers like Philadelphia.On the show today, the Democrats' final push in Pennsylvania — and a conversation with Al Schmidt, the state's top election official, on how he's preparing for close results in this closely watched state. Featured in the episode:Canvassers with the Working Families PartyAl Schmidt, Pennsylvania's secretary of state Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

Here's what makes North Carolina, with its 16 Electoral College votes, unique among the electoral battlegrounds this year.Come election night, it will be one of the first of the closely fought states where the polls will close, giving the campaigns, and the public, early clues on where the night is headed.The state is probably the best opportunity for Democrats to win a state this year that they didn't win in 2020, and the party — along with the state's Democratic governor — is optimistic that demographic shifts in the state might favor Kamala Harris.North Carolina is still reeling from Hurricane Helene, which hit late last month, caused an estimated $53 billion in damages and upended early voting plans in the western — and heavily Republican-leaning — part of the state. It also led to a flood of misinformation about the governor, Roy Cooper, and the federal disaster response.On today's show, how Hurricane Helene and the misinformation that followed have reshaped the election landscape in this crucial battleground state — and changed the closing messages from both parties.On today's episode:Gov. Roy Cooper, Democrat of North Carolina Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

On Tuesday night, with three weeks to go until Election Day, Donald Trump was in Georgia.In 2020, he lost the state by around 12,000 votes, and Georgia became central to his claims that the election had been stolen. After his defeat, he went after Republican state officials and voting machines.At his rally on Tuesday, he was doing something different. He was encouraging people to vote early, to participate in a system his party had previously questioned.The plan was to make the results “too big to rig” — just one part of the Republican strategy to make sure last time doesn't repeat itself.On today's show, we take a closer look at the Trump ground game in Georgia and explore why Georgia Republicans are confident that 2024 won't be like 2020. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

We are less than a month from Election Day.That means our polling colleagues are busy. And that they are well positioned to help answer some of the biggest questions we have at this stage in the race.Like: Who has the advantage between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump?What's the most important battleground state?And what are the chances we actually know the final result on election night?On today's show, we do our best to get answers — and to get ready for these next few weeks.Featured on today's episode:Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst for The New York Times. 

Tim Walz, a former high school football coach from a tiny town, has folksy sayings and a camo cap. JD Vance shot to fame with “Hillbilly Elegy,” aiming to speak for parts of rural America that felt left behind.Both parties — especially with their vice-presidential candidates — are trying to convey to rural Americans that they are not forgotten.This comes after Democrats have seen significant erosion of support in rural areas.How have Republicans grown their rural advantage to historic levels? Can Democrats do enough to remain competitive in 2024 — especially in places like Mr. Walz's former congressional district?In the wake of the vice-presidential debate, The Run-Up looks at how both parties are trying to reach rural voters — with their vice-presidential candidates and their messages.

At one point, he supported the presidential aspirations of Donald Trump, a fellow reality TV star and businessman.But now Mark Cuban — perhaps best known for his longtime ownership of the Dallas Mavericks and his perch as a “Shark Tank” shark — has taken on a surprising new role.He is a prolific and vocal supporter of Kamala Harris. Especially when it comes to his view of what a Harris administration would mean for the economy.So, today on The Run-Up, as we enter the homestretch toward Election Day, as Tim Walz and JD Vance are set to face off in what could be the final debate before people head to the polls, a conversation with Kamala Harris's most surprising surrogate.

This year, Democrats and Republicans are both fighting to convince voters that their party alone can fix what both parties say is a big problem: the Southern border.And public sentiment on the issue is shifting. According to Gallup, 55 percent of Americans want to curb immigration, the highest recorded total since 2001.With that in mind, we wanted to talk with people who actually live and work near the border. So we traveled to El Paso, with Jazmine Ulloa, a Times politics reporter who grew up there.On this week's show, a conversation on the border about the border, and what people there make of the shifting politics in the battle over their backyard.On today's episode:Jazmine Ulloa, a national politics reporter for The New York Times

There's a message that Kamala Harris and the Democrats are trying to send in these final weeks: The Democrats are patriots too.It was all over the place at the Democratic National Convention, in the chants of “U.S.A.!” that broke out on the convention floor, in the vice president's speech and in a speech by Wes Moore, the governor of Maryland.This effort to reclaim patriotism can be seen as a way to reclaim more white rural voters. But it's also an appeal to disaffected voters, especially some Black voters, who have lost faith in the system altogether.In this week's “Run-Up,” how the Democrats are using love of country to try to reach the skeptics — the people torn on whether to vote at all. On today's episode:Wes Moore, governor of MarylandPrentiss Haney, community organizer

For the people still on the fence about 2024, Tuesday night's debate was an important data point.How would Vice President Kamala Harris differentiate herself from President Biden? How would former President Donald Trump come across when facing a new opponent? Would this matchup, the first time these candidates met, be enough to help these undecided voters make a decision?On today's “Run-Up,” we look at how they are thinking after the debate. Up first, we watch the debate with Corrie Zech, an undecided voter in Ohio.We initially met her back in June at a watch party for the first presidential debate. Listen to that episode here.Then we catch up with undecided voters we first talked to for this episode, ahead of the debate.Everyone tuned in Tuesday night. They said they're closer to making a decision but, with less than two months to go, have yet to fully make up their minds.

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris will face off in Philadelphia on Tuesday night for the second presidential debate of 2024. It will be the first time the two candidates meet on a debate stage.They enter the debate in a neck-and-neck race, with Mr. Trump leading Ms. Harris, 48 percent to 47 percent, according to the latest national polling from The New York Times and Siena College.That means the people still on the fence — those unsure about whom to vote for or whether to vote at all — are potentially the most important audience for the debate.Today, “The Run-Up” talks with Ruth Igielnik, a Times polling editor, about the 5 percent of voters who are still undecided. We then speak with four undecided voters to ask what they are hoping to hear tonight. 

Former president Trump frequently takes credit for helping to overturn Roe v. Wade.But in recent weeks, he has posted on Truth Social, his social media site, that his administration would be “great for women and their reproductive rights.” He suggested that he might vote for a Florida ballot measure allowing abortion up to around 24 weeks, before reversing his position. And he floated the idea that under a Trump administration, in vitro fertilization treatments would be covered by insurance companies or the federal government.With these shifting messages, Donald Trump is basically daring anti-abortion voters to turn on him. So will they?On this week's show, we check in with Dr. R. Albert Mohler Jr., president of the Southern Baptist Theological Seminary and a leading voice for American evangelicals, to find out.On today's episodeDr. R. Albert Mohler Jr., president of the Southern Baptist Theological Seminary in Louisville, Ky. Listen to an earlier conversation with Dr. Mohler on “The Run-Up” here.

This election, like a lot of elections before it, may come down to which candidate voters think might help them with their grocery bills and housing costs — the essential stuff of everyday economics.That's what people around the country say — and what they tell pollsters too.But the fact that life feels expensive right now is not just something voters are talking about.Campaigns are too.Kamala Harris just released an ad focused on how hard it is to own a home in the United States and an economic policy aimed at curbing prices. And Donald Trump has been on the trail touting his economic record.So, this week on “The Run-Up,” we spend time talking with people who feel the economy is not working for them — and talking to Jason DeParle, who covers poverty for The New York Times, about how the candidates say they'll help the poorest Americans.On today's episodeJason DeParle, who writes about poverty in the United States for The New York Times.

On the final night of the Democratic National Convention, Vice President Kamala Harris took the stage and formally accepted her party's nomination.After the balloons fell, Astead Herndon and his colleagues Maya King and Jennifer Medina broke down the moments that stood out to them from the night — from people touched by gun violence telling their stories to the way Ms. Harris talked about Israel and the war in Gaza to how she told her own story. Plus, there was the rumored special guest who never materialized. On today's episode:Maya King, a politics reporter for The New York TimesJennifer Medina, a politics reporter for The New York Times

Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at the Democratic National Convention tonight, formalizing her rapid ascent to the top of the Democratic ticket and capping a very unusual path to the nomination.No primary. No serious opposition. No real robust sense of what her legislative priorities might be.On today's show, a quest to answer this question: Is a Harris-led Democratic Party substantively different than the Democratic Party of Joe Biden?As they all gathered in Chicago, we put that question to Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Shawn Fain, the president of the United Auto Workers union — and the man hosting Democrats in his town, Chicago mayor Brandon Johnson. 

After two days of the Democratic National Convention, one thing is clear.Democrats are united behind their new nominee.And Kamala Harris has those in the Democratic Party, from the high-profile speakers to the delegates in the hall, thinking they can win.In fact, the unity is such that after months of worrying about whether the convention would be upended by protests over Israel's war in Gaza, so far, things feel quiet.But does anger over foreign policy still pose an electoral threat?On today's show, a conversation with an uncommitted delegate and people who came to Chicago to protest.

Last night, thousands of people gathered in Chicago for the first night of the Democratic National Convention. And the crowd at the United Center was ready for a party.The evening featured a cameo from their candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris, and speeches from Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and, closing out the night, President Biden.Before he could begin his speech, he received a sustained round of applause — more than four minutes long.It was just one memorable moment over the course of an evening that was both a goodbye party and kickoff event.The Run-Up is coming to you from the D.N.C. all week.Today: Night One in Chicago, where the Democrats attempted to reclaim a certain expression of patriotism, and gave thanks to Mr. Biden.On today's episode:Reid Epstein, a politics correspondent for The New York Times.

The Democratic National Convention kicks off in Chicago today, less than a month after Democrats changed their nominee in a remarkable political shake-up. To get set for the week, “The Run-Up” talks with Leah Daughtry, an at-large member of the Democratic National Committee, the chief executive of the 2008 and 2016 Democratic National Conventions and a co-chair of the convention rules committee, an incredibly significant role this year given the nominee switch.She is the ultimate Democratic Party insider. And she is also remarkably candid and straightforward, particularly when it comes to providing insight on how party leaders make decisions.Today, a conversation with Ms. Daughtry about how the Democratic Party got to this unusual moment — and what to expect from the convention.

For much of the 2024 presidential election, it felt like there were pretty ideal conditions for a third-party candidate. Republicans and Democrats had both lined up behind broadly unpopular — and familiar — candidates. In the spring, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was polling at 10 percent in The New York Times/Siena College survey of battleground states, and sustained interest in his candidacy was enough to raise alarm among his major-party rivals.As that alarm grew, the Run-Up team traveled to Royal Oak, Mich., for a Kennedy campaign event to ask people how they were thinking about a third-party vote when the stakes for that decision were so high.Since that visit, a lot has changed in the race. There's a new name on top of the Democratic ticket. And a lot has changed in Mr. Kennedy's campaign, too. But third-party interest among voters who are sick of the system or wary of both parties remains.On today's show: what made RFK Jr. such a threatening spoiler — and how the RFK-curious in a crucial state are thinking about the race now.For more on RFK Jr., listen to Astead's interview with the candidate in March.

On Tuesday afternoon, just hours after Vice President Harris announced that Tim Walz, governor of Minnesota, would be her running mate, Astead sat down with Senator Bernie Sanders in Burlington, Vt.Mr. Sanders, the Vermont progressive who has twice run for president himself, supported the choice of Mr. Walz.But a Harris-Walz ticket was not what he was envisioning for 2024. He was a staunch defender of President Biden remaining in the race, arguing that Mr. Biden was best positioned to defeat former president Donald Trump.Now, since Mr. Biden bowed out and Ms. Harris has stepped in, Mr. Sanders has raised questions about what the Harris campaign's economic message will be and how she will position herself.More recently though, Mr. Sanders has been on the campaign trail for Ms. Harris.His journey is indicative of a larger question facing the progressive wing of the Democratic Party — a question we explore today.With this new Democratic ticket, are progressives all in for Harris?On today's episode: Senator Bernie Sanders, independent of Vermont

It has been less than two weeks since President Biden dropped his re-election bid and threw his support behind Vice President Kamala Harris.Already, Ms. Harris has closed the gap with former President Donald J. Trump in some national polls. The Harris campaign said it had raised more than $200 million in a week. Ms. Harris's supporters even broke attendance records on Zoom, with one group gathering more than 160,000 people on a single call.After more than a year of a presidential contest that was defined by its stability — and people who said they really didn't like their options — there has been a clear vibe shift.With just under 100 days left until Election Day, we wanted to check in on this brand-new race. We spoke to Zoom rally organizers, first-time campaign donors and people who were previously planning to sit the whole thing out.Where did the new energy come from, and how sustainable is it?Do you have a question about the 2024 election? We want to hear from you. Fill out this form or email us at therunup@nytimes.com

Since 2019, our host, Astead Herndon, has been reporting on Kamala Harris — from her campaign for the 2020 Democratic nomination to her time as vice president. Over the years, the same questions have swirled around her.What does she stand for? How does she make decisions? Was she only selected as President Biden's running mate because of her race and gender?Today, Ms. Harris is the presumptive Democratic nominee after Mr. Biden decided to withdraw from the 2024 race. Americans are once again looking at Ms. Harris as their potential president.And on “The Run-Up,” we wanted to play two excerpts from conversations that get at those essential questions. One is with a longtime friend of Ms. Harris. And one is with the vice president herself. On today's episode:Senator Laphonza Butler, Democrat of CaliforniaVice President Kamala Harris

When it finally happened, it felt both inevitable, and unfathomable.President Biden was out of the 2024 presidential race.Shortly after making that announcement, he threw his support behind his vice president, Kamala Harris, to be the next Democratic nominee.Mr. Biden had finally fulfilled his promise to be a bridge to the next generation — albeit under enormous pressure.Ms. Harris issued a statement later in the day, saying that she was honored to have received President Biden's endorsement and that she intends to “earn and win” the nomination.Today, in a special episode of The Run-Up, a top democratic donor discusses what ultimately toppled the Biden campaign and a colleague gives us an inside look at where Democrats go next. On today's show:Robert Wolf, a Democratic donorReid Epstein, a politics correspondent for The New York Times.Do you have a question about the 2024 election? We want to hear from you. Fill out this form or email us at therunup@nytimes.com

Lee Greenwood's “God Bless the U.S.A.” has become former President Donald J. Trump's unofficial theme music on the campaign trail. Here at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, the song was performed live by none other than Mr. Greenwood himself, as Mr. Trump walked into the arena on Monday.The anthem, released in 1984, is essentially a song about togetherness and the diversity of the United States. And it's now become tied to a candidate who has often represented division and chaos.As Mr. Trump is set to deliver the culminating address at the convention today with a newfound message of unity, we explore that message — through the song that has become his soundtrack.We talk to Republicans, including Mr. Greenwood, about what defines American values and whether those values are reflected in the candidacy of Mr. Trump.On today's episode:Lee Greenwood, country music starDo you have a question about the 2024 election? We want to hear from you. Fill out this form or email us at therunup@nytimes.com

On the second day of the Republican National Convention, a collection of Donald Trump's former challengers took the stage. There were people who ran against him in 2016 — like Ted Cruz, Ben Carson and Marco Rubio. And people who just challenged him this year — Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis and Vivek Ramaswamy.No matter how fervently, or recently, they had criticized him, all voiced their support for him and emphasized a message of unity.For analysis of Night 2 of the R.N.C., and this parade of Trump rivals turned boosters, Astead is joined by his Times Audio colleague Michael Barbaro, host of “The Daily.”Do you have a question about the 2024 election? We want to hear from you. Fill out this form or email us at therunup@nytimes.com

Republicans had a big day on Monday. Donald Trump picked J.D. Vance as his running mate. Two days after surviving an assassination attempt, he officially became his party's presidential nominee. And the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee got underway, with a festive mood among the delegates.The Run-Up is here in Milwaukee for the occasion. In special episodes this week, we'll tell you what we're seeing — and what that tells us about Trump's Republican Party.To kick things off, Jess Bidgood, who writes the On Politics newsletter, joined Astead to analyze key moments from Night 1.Do you have a question about the 2024 election? We want to hear from you. Fill out this form or email us at therunup@nytimes.com

You've seen the image by now: Former President Donald J. Trump has blood running down the side of his face. He's being escorted off his rally's stage by the Secret Service, and he pauses to look at the crowd, his fist proudly in the air.It's too soon to know how the attempt on his life on Saturday in Pennsylvania will affect the outcome of the race. But Trump's allies have already made the shock of the assassination attempt, and the violence, part of a clear political message.To hear them tell it, Trump and his party are under attack.This sense of persecution has long been core to Trump's message. And the events of the weekend will only amplify that.Today, as the Republican National Convention gets underway, we're digging into that message with the Trump supporters who most embody it. And we're doing so from their unlikely headquarters, where they gather every evening in Washington D.C.: outside the D.C. Jail.Do you have a question about the 2024 election? We want to hear from you. Fill out this form or email us at therunup@nytimes.com

President Biden is telling people to Google it. Former president Donald J. Trump is distancing himself from it. Even the actress Taraji P. Henson talked about it onstage at the B.E.T. Awards.Project 2025. It's a blueprint for an incoming conservative president — presumably Donald Trump — spearheaded by the Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank.And now it is everywhere in this tumultuous moment of the 2024 presidential race.But what is it? Is it a guide to a possible second Trump administration? And why are Democrats seizing on it now, as Mr. Biden struggles to quiet doubts about his ability to defeat Mr. Trump? This week, we're working through those questions. On today's episodeJonathan Swan, who covers politics and Donald Trump's presidential campaign for The New York Times.Representative Ro Khanna, Democrat of California.

The latest national poll from The New York Times and Siena College shows former President Donald J. Trump leading President Biden by nine percentage points among registered voters — a pretty big shift in his direction in the week since the presidential debate.It has become clear in the past week that there is no obvious path to replacing Mr. Biden as the Democratic Party's nominee. But there is a strong desire among Americans for something different.We heard that directly from voters we met last week in Kenosha, Wis., at a gathering of a group called Braver Angels. It's a nonpartisan organization that finds common ground across political divisions, and it proved a perfect focus group after the debate.We asked these deeply engaged citizens, who had chosen to spend their free time debating policy and politics, how they were feeling about their options for president in November.Their perspective reinforced the gap that this unique political moment has exposed between voters and party leaders.The questions are: Has Mr. Biden's debate performance made the continuation of his campaign untenable? And what, if anything, should happen next?Do you have a question about the 2024 election? We want to hear from you. Fill out this form or email us at therunup@nytimes.com

As you may have heard, Thursday night was the first debate between President Biden and former president Donald J. Trump. In short, it was not a great night for Mr. Biden.The president's debate performance triggered significant panic among top Democrats, who for months have been dismissing concerns about Mr. Biden's age.So, how is this happening? Despite all the concerns polls showed about age, how has the Democratic Party arrived at this moment?That's a line of inquiry The Run-Up has been putting to senior Democratic leaders for the past 18 months. And we wanted to revisit some of those conversations now in a special episode.They include selections of our interviews with Vice President Harris, former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro, Democratic National Committee chair Jaime Harrison and Ron Klain, Mr. Biden's former White House chief of staff.Do you have a question about the 2024 election? We want to hear from you. Fill out this form or email us at therunup@nytimes.com

We don't know exactly what will happen when President Biden and former president Donald J. Trump take the debate stage in Atlanta tonight.We do know, however, that the first debate between the major party candidates is happening earlier in the election season than usual. And we also know that we've seen a version of this show before.Their past matchups have featured bitter insults, constant interruptions and were political spectacles judged more on optics than on substance.This year, considering that the candidates are offering radically different visions for the country, it's hard to imagine an election in which the substance would matter more.So, today, at least on “The Run-Up,” there's no buzzer, no microphone muting and no debate-stage theatrics.Instead, we call four Times colleagues to talk about what the candidates are actually promising for a second term on four key issues: the economy, immigration, abortion and foreign policy.On today's episodeJim Tankersley, a reporter covering economic and tax policy.Zolan Kanno-Youngs, a White House correspondent.Lisa Lerer, a national political correspondent.David E. Sanger, a White House and national security correspondent.

For decades, the mainstream Republican position on abortion rights was clear: Overturn Roe v. Wade and send the issue back to the states.But since June 2022, when the Supreme Court's conservative majority did exactly that, Republicans have faced a question that few seemed to consider beforehand: What comes next?In Arizona, that question is especially important. In that battleground state, Democratic groups have already mobilized to put a citizen initiative on the November ballot that would enshrine abortion rights in the state's Constitution and help increase President Biden's chances at re-election.So this week, after spending time with organizers who support the ballot measure on the last episode, we are meeting its opponents and exploring the anti-abortion movement in Arizona, which finds itself fractured along new fault lines. On today's episode:Matt Gress, a Republican state representative in ArizonaJeff Durbin, pastor of Apologia Church, in the greater Phoenix areaElizabeth Dias, national religion correspondent for The New York Times

Arizona is a battleground state that both parties are desperate to win in November.And right now, supporters of abortion rights in the state are in the midst of gathering signatures to ensure that, along with the presidential race and a competitive Senate contest, enshrining the right to abortion in the state's Constitution will be on the ballot this fall.The measure has broad support in the state, and Democrats are banking on that to drive a wide range of people to the polls to vote on the ballot measure — and, they hope, for Mr. Biden. But there's no guarantee that will happen.For the next two weeks, we're going to focus on how abortion rights could shape the 2024 election in Arizona.This week: We're with volunteers around the state — at a trailhead outside Phoenix and at Bunco night in Bullhead City — who are working to get the measure on the ballot, and we spoke with the people who were supporting their efforts.

In the days since a Manhattan jury found Donald Trump guilty of 34 felony counts, people have mostly been asking one big question.Will this matter in November?Over the past few days, our colleagues at The New York Times and at the Siena College Research Institute have been trying to answer that question. They spoke with 1,900 people they had previously polled to find out how they are currently thinking. Most people have not changed their mind. But some have — and they are moving away from Mr. Trump.This week, Astead speaks with voters about how they are thinking about the presidential race after Mr. Trump's conviction, including with people in one significant group: Trump supporters who said in October that if he were convicted and sentenced, they would back President Biden.He also talks with Ruth Igielnik, who helps oversee polling at The Times, to understand the latest data and who is still on the fence in the race.Do you have a question about the 2024 election? We want to hear from you. Fill out this form or email us a voice memo at therunup@nytimes.com

While the political world waits for a verdict in Donald Trump's criminal trial in Manhattan, we wanted to take a moment to remember how we got here — especially the broader political context of the fall of 2016.Mr. Trump is charged with falsifying business records related to a hush-money payment to the adult film actress Stormy Daniels as part of a scheme to influence the outcome of the 2016 presidential election.Back in 2016, Mr. Trump was down in the polls and worried about losing support from women voters, who would, the thinking went, punish him at the ballot box for the lewd “Access Hollywood” tape and anything Ms. Daniels might make public.That of course is not what happened. And in the years since, assumptions about how women vote have come to feel more complicated.To discuss this, we turn to two women who have spent many years thinking about what women want when it comes to politics and everything else.Kellyanne Conway was Mr. Trump's campaign manager in 2016 and senior counselor to him from 2017 to 2020. Celinda Lake was one of the lead pollsters for the Biden campaign in 2020.In 2005, they wrote a book together called “What Women Really Want,” which argued that politicians needed to take seriously the particular desires of women, who make up more than 50 percent of the electorate.So this week we ask: What's changed since 2005? And do Ms. Conway and Ms. Lake still agree on what women really want?

As he runs for re-election, President Biden is talking about one specific issue a lot: the economy. He emphasizes the nation's low unemployment and slowing inflation, and even rolled out a catchy nickname for the good numbers: Bidenomics.The problem for Biden is that few Americans seem to agree that the economy is strong. They think the opposite.This week, we explore the gap between the good economy, as described by the president, and the not-so-great economy, as felt by so many Americans. And we do it in Dayton, Ohio, where activists are working to get increasing the minimum wage on the ballot in November. It's a view of Biden's economy from the bottom up.Do you have a question about the 2024 election? We want to hear from you. Fill out this form or email us a voice memo at therunup@nytimes.com

If the 2024 presidential election were a road trip, we would now be at the part where you start to wonder: Are we there yet? The matchup is set, but there's still such a long way to go until November.And one of the things we've noticed about the questions that you've been sending in is that you're starting to mix it up. You want to know what Donald Trump's possible vice-presidential picks are, how down-ballot races are shaping up, and what difference celebrity endorsements could make.This week, we're answering your questions by setting the main characters of 2024 aside and talking about the people who aren't named Donald Trump or Joe Biden. Some are candidates and public officials. Others are a little farther from politics. But they all could have an impact on the election come November.Do you have a question about the 2024 election? We want to hear from you. Fill out this form or email us a voice memo at therunup@nytimes.com