Podcasts about bruce bueno de mesquita

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In order to make an impact in the political world, we need to understand the science of politics, which means setting aside emotion and designing general models of strategic behavior and equilibrium drawn from game theory. These models may not only explain the past but predict the future.Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a political scientist, a professor at New York University, and a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution. He is also an author, and his latest work is titled, The Invention of Power: Popes, Kings, and the Birth of the West, where he argues that battles over power nearly 1000 years ago have had profound consequences for European history up to the present.Bruce and Greg discuss all of Bruce's books, how to use game theory, and to look at political science analytically, just like any other science. They go over the emergence of Western Europe, the rise and fall of dictatorships, and the possible fate of Vladimir Putin. *unSILOed Podcast is produced by University FM.*Episode Quotes:What makes game theory such a powerful tool for predicting present and future outcomes?13:45: ​​People think about their own well-being. They're interested in making themselves, their families so forth, better off. They understand that rivals, competitors are thinking exactly the same thing about themselves. So you have to figure out what should I do? And how will people competing with me react to what I do. Will I be worse off if I do what I really want, or will I be better off doing what I really want or doing something else? Well, that's the domain of game theory. It is how entities—in this case, people—interact strategically.Why dictators keep their inner circle small23:41: Dictators depend on very few people to keep them in power, so they have to keep those people sufficiently happy that they don't find a rival who could do better by them.One of the unfortunate features of political science02:52: If you want to improve the way the world works, from whatever lights you have as to what is an improvement. You can't do that without understanding what makes it come out the way it is so that you can figure out how to incentivize, by rewarding or punishing people, to behave differently. That requires science. It doesn't require opinion. It doesn't require speculation. It doesn't require partisanship.Rationality doesn't require that you're right21:08: Rationality doesn't require that you're right. It just requires that your actions are motivated by your beliefs about what are the things that you should do now.Show Links:Recommended Resources:Perfect Bayesian equilibriumThe Concordat of WormsGuest Profile:Faculty Profile at  NYUProfessional Profile at  American Academy of Arts and SciencesBruce Bueno de Mesquita on LinkedInBruce Bueno de Mesquita on TEDTalkHis Work:Bruce Bueno de Mesquita on Google ScholarArticles for HooverArticles on The AtlanticThe Invention of Power: Popes, Kings, and the Birth of the WestThe Dictator's Handbook: Why Bad Behavior is Almost Always Good PoliticsThe Predictioneer's Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the FutureWar and Reason: Domestic and International Imperatives

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita presents a novel explanation for western exceptionalism.Today's book: The Invention of Power: Popes Kings, and the Birth of the WestFollow @IdeasHavingSexx on twitterOther works by BruceContact Bruce: bruce.buenodemesquita@nyu.eduBruce's recommended reading: The Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism, by Max Weber, and The WEIRDest People in the World: How the West Became Psychologically Peculiar and Particularly Prosperous, by Joseph HenrichEconomic growth, Catholicism, religion, church and state, democracy, revolution, politics, Trump

In this episode, Bruce shows us how Game Theory can be successfully applied in the field of political science. In particular, we discuss the explanatory and predictive power of the Selectorate Theory, which analyses political systems regarding their properties as democracy or autocracy. Bruce explains the underlying game theoretic model of this theory, how he obtains the data, and which conclusions he can draw from the results, including predictions on coups or revolutions. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is the Julius Silver professor at New York University and emeritus senior fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution. He is a political scientist, specializing in policy forecasting, political economy, and international security policy. He is also the author of many books, like “The predictioneer's game” and “The dictator's handbook”, among others. You can read more on the Selectorate Theory here, here and here, and develop your own predictions using the online version of the Predictioneer's Game software.

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Hosted by Andrew Keen, Keen On features conversations with some of the world's leading thinkers and writers about the economic, political, and technological issues being discussed in the news, right now. In this episode, Andrew is joined by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, the author of The Invention of Power: Popes, Kings, and the Birth of the West. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is the Julius Silver Professor of Politics at New York University and was director of its Alexander Hamilton Center for Political Economy from 2006-2016. He is the author of twenty-three books, including The Dictator's Handbook. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

What security studies was like in the utopian '90s.  The West's sphere-of-influence reaction to the China-Solomon Islands agreement.  What the Kanye West documentary teaches us about the bygone hustle culture.  That time when The History Channel pitted game theory against Nostradamus, and brought in John Mearsheimer to attack Bruce Bueno De Mesquita.  Why Republicans are lost on Russia-Putin.Rob Farley Tweet: https://twitter.com/drfarls/status/1508944926268133386Koryo Dynasty Tweet: https://twitter.com/koryodynasty/status/1508246571766677508?s=20&t=T5F5Gy8YZqv_UHE4rEkawQWoke Global Times Tweet: https://twitter.com/wokeglobaltimes/status/1505902135300481026?t=jonk7lIDIuGEGRvg_i4LSg&s=19Armchair Analysis Segment: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5zaW1wbGVjYXN0LmNvbS8yeHpVaUh4dw/episode/YWQ5MzM2N2YtMjAwYS00OGQ4LTljYzYtNWU2NjQwM2YxZDgz?ep=14Contributors: Gaby Magnuson, Alex Auty, Hunter Marston, Ciara Mitchell

Is Putin's Real Target in Ukraine the Energy Riches in the East of the Country? | How Much is Putin Vulnerable to a Backlash from Parents of Dead Sons? | "Finally, a Road Map to Hold Trump Accountable?" backgroundbriefing.org/donate twitter.com/ianmastersmedia facebook.com/ianmastersmedia

¿Por qué muchos dirigentes que han arruinado a sus países se mantienen tanto tiempo en el poder? ¿Cómo puede ser que países ricos en recursos tengan a gran parte de la población en la pobreza? ¿Por qué las autocracias tienen unas políticas económicas tan funestas? ¿Por qué a las democracias se les da tan bien la guerra? Desde hace dos décadas, y tras examinar los éxitos y fracasos de autócratas, demócratas y jefes ejecutivos, los politólogos Bruce Bueno de Mesquita y Alastair Smith han determinado que los líderes están dispuestos a hacer cualquier cosa para mantenerse en el poder. Por simple que pueda parecer este punto de vista, revela la lógica de la política y explica casi todo lo que necesitamos saber acerca de cómo son dirigidos los países y las empresas. ¿Te gusta lo que escuchas? ¡Déjamelo en un comentario, dale a like y suscríbete para apoyar el proyecto! Nos vemos en el siguiente episodio, tribu.

We go on yet another forced march, this time we learn the rules of the game from "The Dictator's Handbook," by Bruce Bueno De Mesquita and Alastair Smith.

My discussion of "The Dictator's Handbook: Why Bad Behavior is Almost Always Good Politics" by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and Alastair Smith --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/ami1649/message

08-12-2021 Alastair Smith And Bruce Bueno De Mesquita

There is a fascinating and depressing positive correlation between the reputation of an American president and the number of people dying in wars while that president is in office. Political scientist Bruce Bueno de Mesquita of NYU and co-author of The Spoils of War talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about how presidents go to war. Bueno de Mesquita argues that the decision of how and when to go to war is made in self-interested ways rather than in consideration of what is best for the nation. The discussion includes a revisionist perspective on the presidencies of George Washington, Abraham Lincoln, and others as Bueno de Mesquita tries to make the case that the reputations of these men are over-inflated. Actually released 12 Dec 2016.

Ten years ago, NYU political scientists Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and Alastair Smith wrote "The Dictator's Handbook," which posited that all political leaders — from autocrats to democratically-elected officials — are governed by an uncomfortably similar set of rules and incentives. We thought now’s the perfect time to take a fresh look at their model and re-learn the dos and don’ts of political power. We discuss the Trump presidency, the Electoral College, voter fraud, jolly old Putin, and a variety of delectable topics to get you revved up and ready for election day.If you haven’t already, please join our coalition of essentials by subscribing to Uncertain Things here (or wherever you get your podcasts).[5:55] The basic principles of the theory[13:00] Democracies & Dictatorships, a sliding scale[19:56] It’s a mess, but we’re course-correcting [23:05] The problem with the Electoral College (it’s not what you think)[29: 21] All leaders want to shrink their coalition (on gerrymandering, sore loser laws, and Tanzania)[33:05] The people push back[35:25] How vote fraud actually happens[37:45] On social media (the information/disinformation arms race)[49:21] Universities are not democracies[54:46] Which companies win, which commit fraud[1:00:31] What we get wrong about foreign aid (the Petro-State Problem}[1:006:31] The liberalizing myth[1:08:44] The issue with inequity in democracy[1:14:00] A Yang gang post-script Get full access to Uncertain Things at uncertain.substack.com/subscribe

The Dictator's Handbook: Why Bad Behavior is Almost Always Good Politics is a 2011 non-fiction book by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and Alastair Smith, published by the company Public Affairs. It discusses how politicians gain and retain political power. Bueno de Mesquita is a fellow at the Hoover Institution. Wikipedia --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/pbliving/message Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/pbliving/support

Ningún lider gobierna solo. Este es un libro que intenta revolucionar la política mostrándonos su más cruda verdad. Los autores nos hablan de las diferencias entre los tiranos y las democracias de una forma que no dejará tranquilo a todos por lo crudo y realista de su acercamiento.  Resumen del Libro: Este libro explica cómo los líderes buscan el poder, llegan a él y luego lo mantienen. Hacen un análisis profundo de las realidades que subyacen en nuestra política actual y nos dan una vista más profunda de las verdaderas motivaciones que guían a nuestros gobernantes.    ¡Conviértete en El Padrino de nuestro podcast ayudándonos mes a mes! Ingresa a https://www.patreon.com/elementalpodcast |Nuestra página|:http://www.elementalpodcast.cl/  |Twitter| (@elementalpodcas)  |Facebook|  |Instagram|   |Subscríbete en iTunes|: https://goo.gl/exXvXV |Subscríbete en Stitcher|: https://goo.gl/ZzStCQ |Subscríbete en Podbean|: https://goo.gl/JV8VUZ |Subscríbete en Spotify|: https://goo.gl/jJdL5n   |Amazon|: http://a.co/i9pRrO8 |Autor|:  Bruce Bueno de Mesquita y Alastair Smith    Links y notas del Show:   00:00 |Elemental episodio #032| 02:03 |Dónde gastar| 18:20 |Corrupción| 24:29 |Ayuda Extranjera| |Charla mencionada que hablan del "Blood Oil"|: https://www.thersa.org/events/2017/09/how-to-end-the-tyranny-of-oil |Página personal de Leif Wenar, autor del libro "Blood Oil"|: http://www.wenar.info/ |Página mencionada para escapar de la economía del "Blood Oil"|: http://www.cleantrade.org/  32:08 |La gente se subleva| 37:17 |Guerra y paz| 39:55 |¿Qué se puede hacer?| |4 veces ha ganado un candidato sin la mayoría de los votos gracias al colegio electoral|: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zcZTTB10_Vo  48:57 |Cierre y conclusiones|   Pedro García-Huidobro (@pedroghg) y Santiago Allamand (@stgoallamand) discuten sobre distintos libros todas las semanas.   Agradecimientos especiales a: |Música Intro|: Osvaldo Guzmán |Sonidos Adicionales|: Osvaldo Guzmán |Diseñadora|: María de los Ángeles Manriquez |Musica Cierre|: ”Rollin at 5" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com) Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

Ningún lider gobierna solo. Este es un libro que intenta revolucionar la política mostrándonos su más cruda verdad. Los autores nos hablan de las diferencias entre los tiranos y las democracias de una forma que no dejará tranquilo a todos por lo crudo y realista de su acercamiento.  Resumen del Libro: Este libro explica cómo los líderes buscan el poder, llegan a él y luego lo mantienen. Hacen un análisis profundo de las realidades que subyacen en nuestra política actual y nos dan una vista más profunda de las verdaderas motivaciones que guían a nuestros gobernantes.      |Nuestra página|:http://www.elementalpodcast.cl/  |Twitter| (@elementalpodcas)  |Facebook|  |Instagram|   |Subscríbete en iTunes|: https://goo.gl/exXvXV |Subscríbete en Stitcher|: https://goo.gl/ZzStCQ |Subscríbete en Podbean|: https://goo.gl/JV8VUZ |Subscríbete en Spotify|: https://goo.gl/jJdL5n   |Amazon|: http://a.co/i9pRrO8|Autor|: Bruce Bueno de Mesquita y Alastair Smith Links y notas del Show: 00:00 |Elemental episodio 31| |The Rules for Rulers de CGP Grey|  02:16 |Selectorate theory, Ningún lider gobierna solo| 04:31 |3 dimensiones de la política| |Gráfico intercambiables/influyentes/esenciales| 07:45 |5 Reglas para gobernar| 14:00 |Llegar al poder| |Politics In The Animal Kingdom de CGP Grey| 26:15 |Quedarse en el poder| |Gerrymandering Explained de CGP Grey|  |Ilustración simple de Gerrymandering| |Caso extremo de Gerrymandering| 34:06 |Mantener el tesoro, Impuestos| 37:43 |Mantener el tesoro, Extracción| 39:39 |Mantener el tesoro, Deuda| 43:11 |Cierre y conclusiones|   Agradecimientos especiales a: |Música Intro|: Osvaldo Guzmán|Sonidos Adicionales|: Osvaldo Guzmán |Diseñadora|: María de los Ángeles Manriquez|Musica Cierre|: ”Rollin at 5" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 Licensehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

“Politics is about doing what your constituents want.” According to CIA consultant, political scientist, and NYU Professor Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, that's just how politics works. Bueno de Mesquita has built complex political algorithms based on this principle — developing mathematical analyses that draw on the logic of self-interest to predict civil wars, coup d'etats, purges, and political reforms. His upcoming book, co-authored with Alastair Smith, offers a new theory on why revolutions happen, and why politicians act the way they do. He joins The IVY Podcast to provide clarity on the Trump administration's current actions, and why a U.S. President may have no real political incentive to act in interest of all Americans. He also offers a solution to improving governance that would use computer programs to eliminate gerrymandering.

Bruce Bueno De Mesquita, author of the Dictator's Handbook: Why Bad Behavior is Almost Always Good Politics joins me to talk cynicism, liberalism, and Scottish boarder war music. Music Citation: Artist - Rori and Alex McEwan Album - Great Scottish Ballads Tracks - Wife of Usher's Well, The Cooper O'Fife

There is a fascinating and depressing positive correlation between the reputation of an American president and the number of people dying in wars while that president is in office. Political scientist Bruce Bueno de Mesquita of NYU and co-author of The Spoils of War talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about how presidents go to war. Bueno de Mesquita argues that the decision of how and when to go to war is made in self-interested ways rather than in consideration of what is best for the nation. The discussion includes a revisionist perspective on the presidencies of George Washington, Abraham Lincoln, and others as Bueno de Mesquita tries to make the case that the reputations of these men are over-inflated.

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita of Stanford University's Hoover Institution and New York University talks to EconTalk host Russ Roberts about threats to U.S. security, particularly Iran. Bueno de Mesquita argues that Iran is of little danger to the United States. He then looks at what Iran has to gain and to lose by appearing to build a nuclear weapons program and actually using a nuclear weapon. He then goes on to examine the nature of other threats to the United States. The closing topic of the conversation is the peculiar incentives facing U.S. Presidents as their terms expire.

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita of Stanford University's Hoover Institution and New York University talks to EconTalk host Russ Roberts about threats to U.S. security, particularly Iran. Bueno de Mesquita argues that Iran is of little danger to the United States. He then looks at what Iran has to gain and to lose by appearing to build a nuclear weapons program and actually using a nuclear weapon. He then goes on to examine the nature of other threats to the United States. The closing topic of the conversation is the peculiar incentives facing U.S. Presidents as their terms expire.

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita of Stanford University's Hoover Institution and New York University talks to EconTalk host Russ Roberts about threats to U.S. security, particularly Iran. Bueno de Mesquita argues that Iran is of little danger to the United States. He then looks at what Iran has to gain and to lose by appearing to build a nuclear weapons program and actually using a nuclear weapon. He then goes on to examine the nature of other threats to the United States. The closing topic of the conversation is the peculiar incentives facing U.S. Presidents as their terms expire.

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, NYU and the Hoover Institute, talks about the political economy of political campaigns and his forthcoming book, The Strategy of Campaigning: Lessons from Ronald Reagan and Boris Yeltsin. He talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the different strategies politicians pursue in attracting support from voters and party delegates, the persistence of negative campaigning, the cost to politicians of sticking to their principles and how the political choices of Reagan and Yeltsin intersected to end the Cold War and dissolve the Soviet Union.

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, NYU and the Hoover Institute, talks about the political economy of political campaigns and his forthcoming book, The Strategy of Campaigning: Lessons from Ronald Reagan and Boris Yeltsin. He talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the different strategies politicians pursue in attracting support from voters and party delegates, the persistence of negative campaigning, the cost to politicians of sticking to their principles and how the political choices of Reagan and Yeltsin intersected to end the Cold War and dissolve the Soviet Union.

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita of NYU and Stanford University's Hoover Institution talks about the incentives facing dictators and democratic leaders. Both have to face competition from rivals. Both try to please their constituents and cronies to stay in power. He applies his insights to foreign aid, the Middle East, Venezuela, the potential for China's evolution to a more democratic system, and Cuba. Along the way, he explains why true democracy is more than just elections--it depends crucially on freedom of assembly and freedom of the press.

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita of NYU and Stanford University's Hoover Institution talks about the incentives facing dictators and democratic leaders. Both have to face competition from rivals. Both try to please their constituents and cronies to stay in power. He applies his insights to foreign aid, the Middle East, Venezuela, the potential for China's evolution to a more democratic system, and Cuba. Along the way, he explains why true democracy is more than just elections--it depends crucially on freedom of assembly and freedom of the press.

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita of NYU and Stanford University's Hoover Institution talks about the incentives facing dictators and democratic leaders. Both have to face competition from rivals. Both try to please their constituents and cronies to stay in power. He applies his insights to foreign aid, the Middle East, Venezuela, the potential for China's evolution to a more democratic system, and Cuba. Along the way, he explains why true democracy is more than just elections--it depends crucially on freedom of assembly and freedom of the press.

Russ Roberts talks with Hoover Institution and NYU political scientist Bruce Bueno de Mesquita about his theory of political power--how dictators and democratically elected leaders respond to the political forces that keep them in office. This lengthy and intense conversation covers a wide range of topics including the evil political genius of Lenin, the dark side of US foreign aid, the sinister machinations of King Leopold of Belgium, the natural resource curse, the British monarchy in the 11th century, term limits and the inevitable failure of the standard methods of fighting world poverty.