Podcast appearances and mentions of james heale

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Best podcasts about james heale

Latest podcast episodes about james heale

Coffee House Shots
How to do a spending review

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2025 20:26


Labour's spending review is expected on the 11th of June, when we will find out which government departments face cuts and which costs have been ringfenced. This can set the tone for politics for months to come as it gives a clue to which priorities matter most – especially in times of fiscal restraint – and which ministers are up, and which are down. But how is a spending review conducted? How does His Majesty's Treasury balance the negotiations with those competing for its attention? And, following the leaked Angela Rayner memo, do we know which economic arguments are winning out?James Nation, formerly a SpAd at the Treasury, and then Number 10, for Rishi Sunak – now an MD at Forefront Advisers – joins James Heale to take us through the process, the personalities and the politics behind a spending review. Plus – a year on, was Rishi Sunak proven right?Produced by Patrick Gibbons. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Coffee House Shots
Is the welfare state about to expand?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2025 17:24


James Heale and Michael Simmons join Patrick Gibbons to discuss the speculation that Labour could scrap the two-child benefit cap. Is this just red meat for the left of the party or is it a sign that public opinion around welfare has shifted? And, with mixed messages on the economy, can the country afford to scrap it?This comes just a week after Labour's partial U-turn over the winter fuel allowance so, with pressure also increasing from Reform, is the welfare state about to expand?Produced by Patrick Gibbons. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Spectator Radio
Spectator Out Loud: James Heale, Angus Colwell, Alice Loxton, Lloyd Evans, Richard Bratby, Christopher Howse and Catriona Olding

Spectator Radio

Play Episode Listen Later May 25, 2025 37:41


On this week's Spectator Out Loud: James Heale analyses the splits in Labour over direction and policy (1:27); Angus Colwell asks if the ‘lanyard class' are the new enemy (6:21); Alice Loxton explains why bize-sized histories have big appeal (9:58); Lloyd Evans reports on how Butlin's is cashing in on nostalgia (15:00); Richard Bratby on Retrospect Opera, the non-profit record label that resurrects the forgotten works of British opera (20:40); Christopher Howse provides his notes of typos (27:27); and, Catriona Olding reflects on the death of her partner, the Spectator's Jeremy Clarke, two years ago this week (32:15).  Produced and presented by Patrick Gibbons.

Coffee House Shots
David Gauke on prisons, probation & the political reaction to his review

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2025 17:41


Former Justice Secretary and Lord Chancellor David Gauke joins James Heale to talk about his review into prison sentencing. The former Tory minister was appointed by the current Labour Justice Secretary Shabana Mahmood, but says there is a clear centre-right argument for prison reform. He talks James through his policy proposals and the political reaction to them, the thinking behind expanding chemical castration for sex offenders and why deportation is complicated when dealing with the very worst foreign criminals. Ultimately his review is designed to reduce what is currently the highest incarceration rate in Europe. Produced by Patrick Gibbons. 

Spectator Radio
Coffee House Shots: David Gauke on prisons, probation & the political reaction to his review

Spectator Radio

Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2025 17:41


Former Justice Secretary and Lord Chancellor David Gauke joins James Heale to talk about his review into prison sentencing. The former Tory minister was appointed by the current Labour Justice Secretary Shabana Mahmood, but says there is a clear centre-right argument for prison reform. He talks James through his policy proposals and the political reaction to them, the thinking behind expanding chemical castration for sex offenders and why deportation is complicated when dealing with the very worst foreign criminals. Ultimately his review is designed to reduce what is currently the highest incarceration rate in Europe. Produced by Patrick Gibbons. 

Coffee House Shots
Live by the rule of law, die by the rule of law

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2025 10:50


The Independent Sentencing Review chaired by former Lord Chancellor David Gauke has today announced its suggested reforms which sees a major shift from imprisonment to community-led sentencing. Measures include the recommendation that convicted criminals leave prisons after serving around one-third of their sentence, that short prison sentences of up to 12 months are drastically reduced and – the attention grabbing – expansion of chemical castration for paedophiles. What are the political ramifications of these policies, and will they work?  Danny Shaw, former advisor to Home Secretary Yvette Cooper, and James Heale discuss with Lucy Dunn. Also on the podcast, they discuss a last minute obstacle to resolving the Chagos deal and the news that net migration dropped dramatically in 2024.  Produced by Oscar Edmondson and Patrick Gibbons.

Coffee House Shots
Winter fuel U-turn and a rift at the heart of government

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2025 12:26


After sustained speculation and a local elections drubbing, Keir Starmer announced today at PMQs that the government will be softening their policy on winter fuel. Whilst it won't come into effect for some time, they have agreed to ensure that ‘more pensioners are eligible for winter fuel payment.'  This comes hours after a memo was mysteriously leaked to the Telegraph. It contains an extensive list of recommendations from Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner to the Treasury, including a set of eight tax rises such as reinstating the pensions lifetime allowance and altering dividend taxes. This amounts to a direct challenge to Rachel Reeves's fiscal approach and preference for spending cuts. The bigger story, of course, is what this says about feelings within Labour – it's clearly not a happy family. Sources suggest that Angela Rayner is uneasy with the direction of travel in the Treasury and speaks for a silent majority in the Labour party who are fed up with defending controversial measures such as winter fuel. So who leaked this memo? Could Rayner be leading a mutiny? And will the U-turn on winter fuel placate the rebels?  Oscar Edmondson speaks to James Heale and Isabel Hardman. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Coffee House Shots
What has reaction been to the UK-EU deal?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 20, 2025 18:41


Fallout continues from yesterday's summit and the announcement of a deal between the UK and EU – or is it fair to call it 'fallout' as, despite criticism over the deal from Nigel Farage and Kemi Badenoch, has the public got Brexit fatigue?  James Heale and Michael Simmons join Patrick Gibbons to talk about the reaction to the deal. Fisheries has taken up most discussion but Michael points out a lesser talked about commitment to energy policy. And, with the government keen to talk about it in tandem with recent deals with India and the US – and Gulf states soon, according to Rachel Reeves this morning – what's the political narrative around the summit? Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Coffee House Shots
UK-EU reset: ‘brexit betrayal'?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2025 14:24


As EU leaders arrive in London for a summit hosted by Keir Starmer, there has been an announcement that the UK and EU have reached a deal. The UK has extended its agreement on EU fishing boats in British waters, while in return fewer checks on British food exports are expected. There have also been discussions about a defence pact, reduced tuition fees for EU students and access to electronic passport gates for British holiday-makers.  While we await further details, deputy political editor James Heale and director of the Centre for European Reform Charles Grant join Lucy Dunn to unpack what we know so far. Will the deal be an easy sell, or does it risk being seen as a ‘brexit betrayal'? And, does it lack ambition or is it an important first step in restoring trust between two allies? Charles points out that there are important implications: on a future US trade deal; for Northern Ireland; and, in setting precedent; while James highlights the tight-rope Labour have to walk in constructing a narrative around the deal – particularly around avoiding being seen as selling out the ‘somewheres' in favour of the ‘anywheres'. Produced by Patrick Gibbons.  

Coffee House Shots
Debate: should Kemi Badenoch go?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 17, 2025 30:36


Kemi Badenoch has come in for criticism since becoming leader of the opposition – for her energy, her performances at PMQs and her inability to galvanise her shadow cabinet. On this podcast, James Heale hosts the trial of Kemi Badenoch and asks whether someone else might be better placed to take the Tories into the next election and – more importantly – who that prince (or princess) across the water could be. The Spectator's assistant content editor William Atkinson makes the case for the prosecution, while Michael Gove sets out why the Tories should stick with Kemi. Lara Brown, our new commissioning editor, acts as the jury. ‘If your house is on fire you don't wait a year to call the fire brigade,' says William. But Michael argues that political leaders – much like football managers – should be given time and patience in order to implement their direction, philosophy and, ultimately, to become successful. So should she stay or should she go? ... Or should the Tories give it to ‘Big Sam' until the end of the season? Produced by Oscar Edmondson. Have your say, by emailing us at: podcast@spectator.co.uk

Spectator Radio
Coffee House Shots: should Kemi Badenoch go?

Spectator Radio

Play Episode Listen Later May 17, 2025 30:36


Kemi Badenoch has come in for criticism since becoming leader of the opposition – for her energy, her performances at PMQs and her inability to galvanise her shadow cabinet. On this podcast, James Heale hosts the trial of Kemi Badenoch and asks whether someone else might be better placed to take the Tories into the next election and – more importantly – who that prince (or princess) across the water could be. The Spectator's assistant content editor William Atkinson makes the case for the prosecution, while Michael Gove sets out why the Tories should stick with Kemi. Lara Brown, our new commissioning editor, acts as the jury. ‘If your house is on fire you don't wait a year to call the fire brigade,' says William. But Michael argues that political leaders – much like football managers – should be given time and patience in order to implement their direction, philosophy and, ultimately, to become successful. So should she stay or should she go? ... Or should the Tories give it to ‘Big Sam' until the end of the season? Produced by Oscar Edmondson. Have your say, by emailing us at: podcast@spectator.co.uk

Coffee House Shots
Is Badenoch getting better, or is Starmer getting worse?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2025 12:12


Prime Minister's Questions today, and there was lots on the agenda. It is often a fool's game to guess what the leader of the opposition will lead on, but today she had a wide choice of ammunition – from unemployment to welfare to the government's new stance on migration to the war in Gaza. Kemi Badenoch looked assured when holding Keir Starmer to account on the Chancellor's ‘jobs tax' and on funding for children's hospices. But can we attribute her performance to growing confidence in the role – or is the news just getting worse for Keir Starmer? There were a couple of notable moments from the Prime Minister, including an attack on Reform and his response to Liz Saville-Roberts, leader of Plaid Cymru, when she ‘called him out' on his use of the phrase ‘island of strangers' earlier this week. Keir Starmer appeared tetchy – is he taking a leaf out of Rishi Sunak's book? Lucy Dunn speaks to James Heale and Isabel Hardman. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Coffee House Shots
Have Labour out-Reformed Reform on immigration?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2025 13:48


Keir Starmer has kicked off what may be one of his most significant weeks in the job with a white paper on immigration. In it, the government details its plan to ‘take back control' of migration, promising that numbers will fall ‘significantly' – although no target number has been given. The plan includes the following: English tests for all visa applicants (and their adult dependants); an increase in the residency requirement for settled status from five to ten years; and new measures making it harder for firms to hire workers from overseas, including abolishing the social care visa and raising the threshold for a skilled worker visa. Many have interpreted the move as an attempt to stem the rise of Reform by beating them at their own game. The Prime Minister gave a press conference this morning to announce the plans. His language marked a sharp contrast with speeches he made upon becoming leader. Gone are the days of ‘making the case for the benefits of migration' – now replaced with ‘we are becoming an island of strangers'. Are Labour making promises they can't keep – and are they merely echoing Reform? Oscar Edmondson speaks to James Heale and Karl Williams, research director at the Centre for Policy Studies. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Spectator Radio
Coffee House Shots: have Labour out-Reformed Reform?

Spectator Radio

Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2025 13:48


Keir Starmer has kicked off what may be one of his most significant weeks in the job with a white paper on immigration. In it, the government details its plan to ‘take back control' of migration, promising that numbers will fall ‘significantly' – although no target number has been given. The plan includes the following: English tests for all visa applicants (and their adult dependants); an increase in the residency requirement for settled status from five to ten years; and new measures making it harder for firms to hire workers from overseas, including abolishing the social care visa and raising the threshold for a skilled worker visa. Many have interpreted the move as an attempt to stem the rise of Reform by beating them at their own game. The Prime Minister gave a press conference this morning to announce the plans. His language marked a sharp contrast with speeches he made upon becoming leader. Gone are the days of ‘making the case for the benefits of migration' – now replaced with ‘we are becoming an island of strangers'. Are Labour making promises they can't keep – and are they merely echoing Reform? Oscar Edmondson speaks to James Heale and Karl Williams, research director at the Centre for Policy Studies. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Coffee House Shots
Coffee House Shots Live with Zia Yusuf and Jacob Rees-Mogg

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 10, 2025 87:40


The post-mortem has begun on a historic set of local elections – but where does each party go from here? Is Reform unstoppable? Is Kemi the one to lead the Conservative rebuild? Do Labour really ‘get it'? Michael Gove, James Heale and Lucy Dunn are joined by special guests Zia Yusuf and Jacob Rees-Mogg to unpack these questions – as well as the broader ramifications of the local elections on British politics. Listen for: Zia's understanding of why Reform did so well; Jacob's concession that a Tory/Reform pact of some description could be the only way for the Conservatives to avoid extinction; and Michael's assessment of whether Labour will force us closer to the EU. This podcast was originally recorded live at the Emmanuel Centre in Westminster on Wednesday 7 May.

Spectator Radio
Coffee House Shots Live: Zia Yusuf and Jacob Rees-Mogg

Spectator Radio

Play Episode Listen Later May 10, 2025 87:40


The post-mortem has begun on a historic set of local elections – but where does each party go from here? Is Reform unstoppable? Is Kemi the one to lead the Conservative rebuild? Do Labour really ‘get it'? Michael Gove, James Heale and Lucy Dunn are joined by special guests Zia Yusuf and Jacob Rees-Mogg to unpack these questions – as well as the broader ramifications of the local elections on British politics. Listen for: Zia's understanding of why Reform did so well; Jacob's concession that a Tory/Reform pact of some description could be the only way for the Conservatives to avoid extinction; and Michael's assessment of whether Labour will force us closer to the EU. This podcast was originally recorded live at the Emmanuel Centre in Westminster on Wednesday 7 May.

Coffee House Shots
US trade deal: ‘a political win, not an economic win'

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 9, 2025 10:58


On Thursday afternoon Prime Minister Keir Starmer gave a speech about closing the long-awaited UK-US trade deal. Not that his announcement went without a hitch however; after first directing lobby journalists to the wrong Jaguar Land Rover factory in Coventry, Starmer then had his limelight stolen by the election of a new Pope. Although, Labour's ‘historic' trade deal has pipped the Pope on most front pages. The reception has been positive across government too, with many heralding a political win for Labour – just when they really needed one after the local elections. But is this an economic win as well? Critics say the deal is shallow, clearly just a start, and are at pains to point out that we are still in a worse trading position than earlier this year. Meanwhile, the governor of the Bank of England intervened to urge the government to ‘do everything' it can to rebuild trade with the EU.  Lucy Dunn speaks to James Heale and Michael Simmons.  Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Coffee House Shots
Do the Tories hate free trade? Plus, Reform hits new polling high

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2025 14:56


Lots to talk about today, including new polling which puts Reform on 29 points compared to the Tories on just 17. We've also just had the first PMQs since the local elections. But the trade deal announced yesterday between the UK and India is dominating the headlines, with many concerned about some of the concessions made – namely the decision to exempt some short-term Indian workers from national insurance as part of the new agreement. This comes barely a week after the local elections, where immigration has been widely considered the most salient issue. The Conservatives have gone on the attack, despite the fact that a trade deal with India was supposed to be one of the major gains from Brexit – an example of how Britain could ‘venture out into the world' and open up trade with fast-growing economies. Are the Tories now against free trade? Interestingly, Kemi Badenoch omitted to ask about the trade deal at PMQs today, choosing instead to question Keir Starmer on the ongoing concerns around winter fuel and the pressure from many elements within his party to at least water down the policy. Can Starmer afford to U-turn? James Heale speaks to Michael Simmons and Paul Goodman. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

The Media Show
Self-professed media diva Tina Brown and Chris Best, cofounder of the publishing platform Substack

The Media Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2025 43:21


Ros Atkins & Katie Razzall talk to the self professed Media Diva Tina Brown. The former editor in chief of Tatler, Vanity Fair, The New Yorker, and the founding editor in chief of The Daily Beast talks about the changing media landscape and her recent move onto the online publishing platform Substack with her Fresh Hell diary. She's joined by Chris Best cofounder of Substack. Allegations that Viktor Orban is subsidising supportive media outlets with the BBC's Central European Correspondent Nick Thorpe and after Reform UK's successes in last week's English elections the BBC's chief political adviser Ric Bailey, Anna Gross from the Financial Times and James Heale from the Spectator consider how the media has handled Nigel Farage in this campaign – and over the years. Producer: Lisa Jenkinson Assistant Producer: Lucy Wai

Coffee House Shots
Why Reform's rise isn't a surprise

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2025 14:24


It's day five of recriminations after the local elections, with politicians, pollsters and journalists alike still trying to make sense of what just happened. On today's podcast, Rachel Wolf gives her verdict: we should not be shocked by Reform's surge. She argues that Nigel Farage's success should have been predicted – that it's the same, distinctly anti-political silent majority who ‘surprised' us during Brexit, ‘surprised' us in 2019 and are ‘surprising' us now.  How will Labour respond? Will they U-turn on winter fuel? And is Boris Johnson the only one who can win back these disillusioned voters for the Tories? Oscar Edmondson speaks to James Heale and Rachel Wolf, CEO of Public First and former adviser to Boris Johnson. Produced by Oscar Edmondson and Megan McElroy.

Coffee House Shots
Local elections: Reform seizes Runcorn in teal tsunami

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 14:18


Votes are being counted across England, but there is a clear early winner from these local elections: Nigel Farage. His party triumphed in the Runcorn and Helsby by-election this morning, overturning a 14,000-odd majority and winning by just six votes! Elsewhere, Andrea Jenkyns triumphed in Lincolnshire; Reform came second in a number of mayoral races; and their 38 per cent vote share in Runcorn matches the best-ever performance that Ukip achieved in a by-election. So far, the story is one of teal triumph – at the expense of the two main parties. Labour are already pointing to the difficulty incumbents often face at local elections, and will claim victory after narrowly holding out in three mayoral races: North Tyneside, the West of England and Doncaster. The Tories, however, appear to have totally capitulated – but with widespread results for councils across England expected later, that could all change. Oscar Edmondson speaks to James Heale and Lucy Dunn. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Coffee House Shots
Local elections live: is Reform unstoppable?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 15:33


The word ‘unprecedented' is often overused in politics, but these local elections have proved to be just that. The headline is: sweeping success for Reform.  Nigel Farage's 'teal tsunami' comes at the expense of the main parties – turning the two-party consensus on its head. The recriminations for Labour and the Tories have already begun. On the left, a number of MPs have broken cover and urged the government to shift its position on high-salience issues such as winter fuel. On the right, Kemi Badenoch's leadership is looking increasingly shaky, with Tory MPs and staff warning that a step change is needed. Where do the main parties go from here? And can anyone stop Nigel? James Heale speaks to Isabel Hardman and The Spectator's incoming political editor, Tim Shipman. This episode was recorded as part of The Spectator's local elections live broadcast. You can watch the full coverage here.

Spectator Radio
Coffee House Shots: is Reform unstoppable?

Spectator Radio

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 15:33


The word ‘unprecedented' is often overused in politics, but these local elections have proved to be just that. The headline is: sweeping success for Reform. Nigel Farage's 'teal tsunami' comes at the expense of the main parties – turning the two-party consensus on its head. The recriminations for Labour and the Tories have already begun. On the left, a number of MPs have broken cover and urged the government to shift its position on high-salience issues such as winter fuel. On the right, Kemi Badenoch's leadership is looking increasingly shaky, with Tory MPs and staff warning that a step change is needed. Where do the main parties go from here? And can anyone stop Nigel? James Heale speaks to Isabel Hardman and The Spectator's incoming political editor, Tim Shipman. This episode was recorded as part of The Spectator's local elections live broadcast. You can watch the full coverage here.

Coffee House Shots
Michael Gove: how to spin a bad election

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2025 12:26


Voters have gone to the polls today for a historic set of local elections. The polling indicates a rough night for the two main parties and a good showing for Reform, the Lib Dems and the Greens. So be prepared for a lot of election-night spin from both Labour and the Tories. To talk through the various ways in which politicians can claim victory in the face of defeat, James Heale is joined by our editor, Michael Gove – no stranger to the media round himself. They discuss the best candidates to face up to the media from both the Tories and Labour, as well as some of the greatest examples of post-election spin from history. Michael also gives an insight into his own tactics when trying to divert the narrative away from electoral disaster and when encouraging the media to ‘calm down'. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Coffee House Shots
What is Tony Blair up to?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2025 14:50


Tony Blair is making waves in Westminster today after his institute published a report on net zero that appears to undermine Ed Miliband and Labour's green agenda. In his foreword – while not directly critical of the UK government – he encouraged governments around the world to reconsider the cost of net zero. Many have compared Blair's comments to those made by Kemi Badenoch several weeks ago and questioned the timing – just 48 hours before the local elections. What is Blair up to? Should Labour listen to Tony? Also on the podcast, with the local elections tomorrow, we take one final look at the polling. With Labour expecting big losses, how can the party spin the results? James Heale speaks to the pollster James Johnson and John McTernan, former political secretary to Tony Blair. Produced by Oscar Edmondson. For tickets to our local elections shake-up event with Jacob Rees Mogg and Zia Yusuf, click here. 

Coffee House Shots
Revenge of the centrists: Carney wins in Canada

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2025 13:03


Mark Carney has won the Canadian election, leading the Liberal Party to a fourth term. Having only been Prime Minister for 6 weeks, succeeding Justin Trudeau, this is an impressive achievement when you consider that Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives were over 20 percentage points ahead in the polls earlier this year. Trump's rhetoric against Canada – engaging in a trade war and calling for the country to become the 51st state – is credited as turning around the fortunes of the Liberals. Are there lessons for conservatives across the anglosphere, including Kemi Badenoch? Patrick Gibbons speaks to James Heale and Michael Martins. Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Spectator Radio
Coffee House Shots: Revenge of the centrists – Carney wins in Canada

Spectator Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2025 13:03


Mark Carney has won the Canadian election, leading the Liberal Party to a fourth term. Having only been Prime Minister for 6 weeks, succeeding Justin Trudeau, this is an impressive achievement when you consider that Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives were over 20 percentage points ahead in the polls earlier this year. Trump's rhetoric against Canada – engaging in a trade war and calling for the country to become the 51st state – is credited as turning around the fortunes of the Liberals. Are there lessons for conservatives across the anglosphere, including Kemi Badenoch? Patrick Gibbons speaks to James Heale and Michael Martins. Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Coffee House Shots
'The spring of discontent'

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2025 11:21


Are we looking at a spring of discontent? It's the final push ahead of this week's local elections, and what Keir Starmer wants to talk about is expanding the NHS app – which he says will cut waiting lists and end the days of the health service living in the ‘dark ages'. However, what people are actually talking about is public sector pay. The independent pay review body has recommended pay rises of around 4 per cent for teachers and nurses. Will there be industrial action? Are Labour going to be pushed into another round of public sector pay increases? Meanwhile, after Ben Houchen's comments this weekend, the murmurs of a Tory/Reform pact refuse to go away. Was his a helpful intervention? Lucy Dunn speaks to James Heale and Isabel Hardman. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Coffee House Shots
‘An era of five-party politics': John Curtice on the significance of the local elections

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 26, 2025 20:35


Legendary pollster Prof Sir John Curtice joins the Spectator's deputy political editor James Heale to look ahead to next week's local elections. The actual number of seats may be small, as John points out, but the political significance could be much greater. If polling is correct, Reform could win a ‘fresh' by-election for the first time, the mayoralties could be shared between three or more parties, and we could see a fairly even split in terms of vote share across five parties (Labour, the Liberal Democrats, the Conservatives, the Green party, and Reform UK).  The 2024 general election saw five GB-wide parties contest most seats for the first time. These set of local elections could solidify this ‘five-party political system'. In fact, says John, ‘Reform have already won these local elections' by virtue of being able to contest all the seats available. Are we headed for a different kind of politics in Britain? Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Spectator Radio
Coffee House Shots: John Curtice on the local elections

Spectator Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 26, 2025 20:35


Legendary pollster Prof Sir John Curtice joins the Spectator's deputy political editor James Heale to look ahead to next week's local elections. The actual number of seats may be small, as John points out, but the political significance could be much greater. If polling is correct, Reform could win a ‘fresh' by-election for the first time, the mayoralties could be shared between three or more parties, and we could see a fairly even split in terms of vote share across five parties (Labour, the Liberal Democrats, the Conservatives, the Green party, and Reform UK).  The 2024 general election saw five GB-wide parties contest most seats for the first time. These set of local elections could solidify this ‘five-party political system'. In fact, says John, ‘Reform have already won these local elections' by virtue of being able to contest all the seats available. Are we headed for a different kind of politics in Britain? Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Coffee House Shots
Is Robert Jenrick on manoeuvres?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2025 16:49


Despite this being the week that Kemi Badenoch finally showed some steel in PMQs, it's Robert Jenrick who has been stealing the headlines. That's for lots of reasons – mainly his comments about a potential Tory Reform pact, which he clarified on Good Morning Britain this morning, saying: ‘Kemi Badenoch and I are on exactly the same page. Kemi has been very clear there won't be a pact with Reform, and I've said time and again that I want to put Reform out of business. I want to send Nigel Farage back to retirement.' This follows leaked footage which surfaced this week from a student event in late March, where he appeared to suggest that he would back a pact to join forces with Farage. Elsewhere, he had a big win when Yvette Cooper announced that the government will publish migrant crime league tables – a policy he has pushed for. Is he the prince across the water? Or do we need to give Kemi a break? Oscar Edmondson speaks to James Heale and Henry Hill, deputy editor at Conservative Home. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Coffee House Shots
St George's Day: who is the most patriotic leader?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 23, 2025 15:02


Happy St George's Day! To celebrate, we thought we would discuss who is the most patriotic political leader — and why some struggle to communicate their love of country. Keir Starmer declared in an interview with the Mirror this morning that Labour is ‘the patriotic party'. This follows a more concerted effort from those within the party to become more comfortable with the flag. But is Keir Starmer actually a patriot? How will the ‘battle of the Union Jack' play out at the local elections? And does Reform have a point to prove when it comes to patriotism? Oscar Edmondson speaks to James Heale and Claire Ainsley, former executive director of policy for the Labour party, now at the Progressive Policy Institute. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Coffee House Shots
Does Starmer know what a woman is?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 22, 2025 11:27


Parliament is back after the Easter holiday and the Supreme Court ruling over 'what is a woman' continues to dominate talk in Westminster. The Prime Minister has changed his tune on trans, declaring he does not think that trans women are women. This has caused some disquiet in the party, with a number of senior MPs breaking rank over the weekend. Was Starmer right to row in behind the ruling? Also on the podcast, as we edge closer to the local elections, they look increasingly important for the two main parties. Pollsters are forecasting a good result for smaller insurgent parties such as Reform and the Greens, with big losses for Labour and the Conservatives. It is not an overstatement to suggest that these could be the most important local elections in recent history. What will these elections mean for the two-party system? Natasha Feroze speaks to James Heale and Paul Goodman. Produced by Patrick Gibbons and Oscar Edmondson.

Coffee House Shots
How the Liberal Democrats conquered Middle England

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 21, 2025 16:46


The Liberal Democrats' foreign affairs spokesperson Calum Miller, elected as the new MP for Bicester and Woodstock last year, joins James Heale to talk about the ambitions of the party that became the largest third party in Parliament in 100 years at the 2024 general election. They want to overtake the Conservatives to be the second party in local government – could they one day overtake the Tories to become the official opposition?  A former civil servant, Oxford University policy manager and councillor, Calum joins Coffee House Shots to talk about why he got into politics, how Brexit radicalised his desire for good governance and why, for all the fun, there is a serious point behind Ed Davey's stunts.  Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Spectator Radio
Coffee House Shots: How the Liberal Democrats conquered Middle England

Spectator Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 21, 2025 16:46


The Liberal Democrats' foreign affairs spokesperson Calum Miller, elected as the new MP for Bicester and Woodstock last year, joins James Heale to talk about the ambitions of the party that became the largest third party in Parliament in 100 years at the 2024 general election. They want to overtake the Conservatives to be the second party in local government – could they one day overtake the Tories to become the official opposition?  A former civil servant, Oxford University policy manager and councillor, Calum joins Coffee House Shots to talk about why he got into politics, how Brexit radicalised his desire for good governance and why, for all the fun, there is a serious point behind Ed Davey's stunts.  Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Coffee House Shots
How Wes Streeting will make or break Starmer

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2025 14:41


Michael Gove and Katy Balls join James Heale to discuss their interview with the Health Secretary Wes Streeting included in this week's special Easter edition of The Spectator. Michael identifies three key reasons why Streeting's fate is key to the success of the government: immigration, the cost-of-living crisis and faith in the NHS. Seen as the ‘golden child' of Number 10, Streeting has as many supporters in the Labour party as he has detractors – but his Blairite-coded image could help him take the fight to Reform.  Also on the podcast, Michael, Katy and James discuss Nigel Farage's progress in the local election campaign. Plus, as this is Katy's last podcast with Michael and James keep listening to the end for an ‘easter egg' from Michael – as well as why black cabs make the best podcast studios. Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Coffee House Shots
How will the parties judge success at the local elections?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 16, 2025 14:09


With just over two weeks to go until the May elections, the latest national polling suggests an almost three-way split between Reform, Labour and the Conservatives. But will this translate to the locals? And, given these particular seats were last contested in 2021 amidst the 'Boris wave', how will the parties judge success?  The Spectator's deputy political editor James Heale and More in Common's Luke Tryl join Lucy Dunn to discuss. Will the story of the night be Tory losses and Reform  gains? Or will it be about the government's performance against opposition parties? Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Coffee House Shots
'Nationalisation in all but name': the blame game over British Steel

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 13, 2025 11:11


Parliament was recalled from Easter recess for a rare Saturday sitting of Parliament yesterday, to debate the future of British Steel. Legislation was passed to allow the government to take control of the Chinese-owned company – Conservative MP David Davis called this 'nationalisation in all but name'. Though, with broad support across the House including from Reform leader Nigel Farage, the debate centred less around the cure and more around the cause.  Katy Balls and James Heale join Patrick Gibbons to discuss the debate, the political reaction and how much of a precedent this sets for Starmer.  Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Coffee House Shots
Marine Le Pen: justice or lawfare?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 5, 2025 14:04


Marine Le Pen, president of Rassemblement National (National Rally) was found guilty this week of embezzling EU funds to boost her party's finances. The guilty verdict was widely expected, however her sentence was far harsher than even her strongest critics expected – part of which saw her banned from standing for office for five years, with immediate effect. Le Pen had been the favourite to win the next French presidential election in 2027. Pursuing Donald Trump through the courts was widely seen as backfiring as he went on to win the presidential election, and many have argued that there is a double standard with many more figures and parties facing investigation from the right than from the left. Is this a case of justice served, or another example of creeping lawfare across the West? Deputy political editor James Heale discusses with our deputy editor Freddy Gray and French journalist and writer Anne-Elisabeth Moutet.  Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Spectator Radio
Coffee House Shots: Marine Le Pen – justice or lawfare?

Spectator Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 5, 2025 14:04


Marine Le Pen, president of Rassemblement National (National Rally) was found guilty this week of embezzling EU funds to boost her party's finances. The guilty verdict was widely expected, however her sentence was far harsher than even her strongest critics expected – part of which saw her banned from standing for office for five years, with immediate effect. Le Pen had been the favourite to win the next French presidential election in 2027. Pursuing Donald Trump through the courts was widely seen as backfiring as he went on to win the presidential election, and many have argued that there is a double standard with many more figures and parties facing investigation from the right than from the left. Is this a case of justice served, or another example of creeping lawfare across the West? Deputy political editor James Heale discusses with our deputy editor Freddy Gray and French journalist and writer Anne-Elisabeth Moutet.  Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Coffee House Shots
Five years on, who is Keir Starmer?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2025 12:51


Today marks five years since Keir Starmer became leader of the Labour party. In that time, he has gradually purged Labour of its leftist wing and wrestled the party back to the centre, winning a historic majority in 2024. But, five years on, the question remains: what does Keir Starmer stand for? He came in as the acceptable face of Corbynism but looks more and more like a Conservative with each passing domestic policy announcement (take your pick: winter fuel, waging war with the size of the state, welfare cuts etc.). Internationally, it is a different story. Despite saying little on foreign policy in the build-up to the general election, he has been widely praised for his foreign policy and his steady hand when dealing with Trump. Lucy Dunn, James Heale and John McTernan discuss the many faces of Keir Starmer.  Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Coffee House Shots
Should Starmer impose retaliatory tariffs? Plus local elections lookahead

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 2, 2025 14:15


It's World Tariff Day – or Liberation Day, depending on what you prefer to call it – but we won't know for certain what levies Donald Trump will impose on the world until around 9 p.m. this evening. Sources are speculating that Trump still isn't 100 per cent sure himself. But as the UK awaits its fate, what is the polling saying: should Starmer stand up to Trump? Also on the podcast, it's just under a month until the local elections, and we have seen big launch events from Reform UK and the Liberal Democrats. These are the parties expecting to do well – potentially winning upwards of 400 council seats each. Labour and the Tories, meanwhile, are managing expectations. After some internal turbulence over the last month or so, could the local elections put Reform back on track? Who will be the biggest loser? Katy Balls speaks to James Heale and Luke Tryl, executive director of the polling company More in Common. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Coffee House Shots
Welcome to Terrible Tuesday

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 1, 2025 13:57


Britain's real economic pain starts today. Overnight, the cost of living has jumped once again: energy, water, broadband, public transport, TV licences – all up. So too are council tax bills, capital gains, and vehicle taxes. And that's before we even get to the slow stealth march of fiscal drag and the impact of World Tariff Day which could wipe out Rachel Reeve's newly restored headroom. Jonathan Reynolds was the unlucky minister on the broadcast round this morning trying to defend this increasingly bleak picture, is there any good news?  James Heale speaks to Katy Balls and Michael Simmons.  Produced by Oscar Edmondson. 

Coffee House Shots
What to expect on 'World Tariff Day'

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 31, 2025 13:30


This week will see ‘World Tariff Day' – as those in Westminster are not-so-excitedly calling Wednesday – when Donald Trump will announce a wave of new tariffs. Trump is expected to reveal plans for reciprocal tariffs aimed at addressing what he sees as an ongoing trade imbalance between the US and other countries. He argues that it is ‘finally time for the Good Ol' USA to get some of that MONEY, and RESPECT, BACK. GOD BLESS AMERICA!!!'. It had looked as though the Prime Minister's softly-softly approach to US relations was working and that we might avoid Trump's levies... that was until the UK was included in the 25 per cent tariff on cars and auto parts imported into the US, along with steel. There is some hope, however. Donald Trump and Keir Starmer had a call last night in which they spoke about a limited free trade deal. The pair ‘discussed the productive negotiations between their respective teams on a UK–US economic prosperity deal, agreeing that these will continue at pace this week'. It is a knotty situation for the Prime Minister because if he cannot charm his way back into the US's good books, he will face more calls to get tough on Donald and threaten retaliatory tariffs. What's the mood in Westminster? And – more importantly – what's the mood in Washington? James Heale speaks to Katy Balls and Kate Andrews. Produced by Oscar Edmondson. 

Spectator Radio
Spectator Out Loud: Owen Matthews, James Heale, Francis Pike, Christian House and Mark Mason

Spectator Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 30, 2025 32:06


On this week's Spectator Out Loud: Owen Matthews argues that Turkish President Erdogan's position is starting to look shaky (1:19); James Heale examines the new party of the posh: the Lib Dems (7:51); Francis Pike highlights the danger Chinese hypersonic missiles pose to the US navy (13:54); Christian House highlights Norway's occupation during the Second World War, as he reviews Robert Ferguson's book Norway's War (22:01); and, Mark Mason provides his notes on coins (28:18).    Produced and presented by Patrick Gibbons.

Coffee House Shots
Michael Heseltine on Thatcher, Boris and Badenoch

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 29, 2025 29:36


An MP for 35 years, Michael Heseltine served as Environment Secretary and then Defence Secretary in Margaret Thatcher's government. Following his well-publicised resignation in 1986, he returned to government under John Major and was Deputy Prime Minister for the last two years of Major's premiership. Once seen as a potential successor to Thatcher and Major, he has sat in the Lords since stepping down as an MP in 2001, and in recent years has been an outspoken critic of Brexit. Lord Heseltine sits down with James Heale to discuss his thoughts on the current Labour government, how to fix Britain's broken economy and why devolution should go further. ‘Deeply depressed' by attacks on the civil service – Britain's ‘rolls royce' – he provides his thoughts on various political leaders: Starmer is handling Trump well, Reeves is handling the economy badly, Badenoch is being overshadowed by foreign affairs, and Boris Johnson demonstrated he has ‘no integrity'. And on Thatcher, he says new information has vindicated him over the Westland affair and demonstrated her ‘complicity'. His new book, From Acorns to Oaks: An Urgent Agenda to Rebuild Britain, is out now. Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Spectator Radio
Coffee House Shots: Michael Heseltine on Thatcher, Boris and Badenoch

Spectator Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 29, 2025 29:36


An MP for 35 years, Michael Heseltine served as Environment Secretary and then Defence Secretary in Margaret Thatcher's government. Following his well-publicised resignation in 1986, he returned to government under John Major and was Deputy Prime Minister for the last two years of Major's premiership. Once seen as a potential successor to Thatcher and Major, he has sat in the Lords since stepping down as an MP in 2001, and in recent years has been an outspoken critic of Brexit. Lord Heseltine sits down with James Heale to discuss his thoughts on the current Labour government, how to fix Britain's broken economy and why devolution should go further. ‘Deeply depressed' by attacks on the civil service – Britain's ‘rolls royce' – he provides his thoughts on various political leaders: Starmer is handling Trump well, Reeves is handling the economy badly, Badenoch is being overshadowed by foreign affairs, and Boris Johnson demonstrated he has ‘no integrity'. And on Thatcher, he says new information has vindicated him over the Westland affair and demonstrated her ‘complicity'. His new book, From Acorns to Oaks: An Urgent Agenda to Rebuild Britain, is out now. Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Coffee House Shots
Can Britain dodge Trump's tariffs?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 24, 2025 14:08


Reports in the papers today say that the British government is considering scrapping its digital services tax – largely levied at American tech companies – in return for an exemption to Trump's tariffs that come into effect on April 2. Would this be an effective – or desirable – move on the British part? James Heale speaks to Katy Balls and Kate Andrews. Produced by Oscar Edmondson and Cindy Yu.

Coffee House Shots
Does Kemi have a plan?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2025 12:11


It's been Kemi-takes-action week for the Conservatives, with the leader of the opposition trying to prove that she can – in fact – do policy. She launched a series of policy reviews, which will be delivered in a steady stream between now and conference, with a headline statement on Net Zero, declaring that Britain's 2050 emissions target was ‘impossible'. That went down well with the party, and many thought her announcement felt genuinely proactive rather than reactive. After months of being criticised for not doing enough, is she finally shifting the dial? Will it be enough to avoid a local elections wipeout? Katy Balls speaks to James Heale and Paul Goodman. Produced by Oscar Edmondson and Cindy Yu. For tickets to next week's Spring Statement Coffee House Shots live, go to: www.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouselive

Coffee House Shots
Can Keir trust Macron?

Coffee House Shots

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 20, 2025 12:31


It's a big day in defence. Keir Starmer began the day in Barrow talking about nuclear subs and will end the day in a meeting of the ‘coalition of the willing' on the outskirts of London. But that coalition seems like it could be undermined by the European Commission's decision to exclude non-EU arms makers from the bloc's new €150 billion defence fund. Officials are keen to stress that this is not a done deal yet, but this would be a massive blow for the UK (and the US) and a big win for France. With Europe rearming, who stands to benefit? And what should we expect from the meeting of military officials later today? Oscar Edmondson speaks to James Heale and Eliot Wilson, former clerk to the House of Commons, including on the Defence Committee. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.