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Oil hit $120 a barrel during the last Iran conflict. Today it's sitting around $80... during the SAME kind of conflict. That gap is the whole story for where mortgage rates go next, and I break down exactly why in today's video.I also walk through the two things the Federal Reserve actually cares about (inflation and jobs), what last week's data really showed, and why I'm telling you there's basically a 100% chance the Fed does nothing at next week's meeting. Then I get into what I'm personally telling my clients to do right now if you're under contract, or if you're planning to buy later this year.Stick around to the end, I show you the exact tools I use every single day to track this stuff myself, and how you can use them too.
The Guild Mortgage Company wants to be your home loan lender. They do all types of mortgages; FHA, VA, USDA & Conventional. Guild Mortgage Company is an Equal Housing Lender; NMLS 3274. Roy West NMLS 316801 Phone (409) 866-1901.
Mortgage rates, inflation data, and Federal Reserve rate expectations all came together this week. Consumer inflation (CPI) and producer inflation (PPI) both came in negative, yet markets are still pricing in a possible Fed rate hike — Dan breaks down why the numbers and the Fed's next move don't seem to line up, what's coming next week before the Fed meeting, how oil prices tie into mortgage rates, and why he thinks rates could test their lows again soon.00:00 Intro: Why the Fed hike talk doesn't add up 01:35 This week's inflation and jobs data 03:45 What's coming next week before the Fed meets 05:45 Fed rate hike odds and closing outlook
The Guild Mortgage Company wants to be your home loan lender. They do all types of mortgages; FHA, VA, USDA & Conventional. Guild Mortgage Company is an Equal Housing Lender; NMLS 3274. Roy West NMLS 316801 Phone (409) 866-1901.
The Guild Mortgage Company wants to be your home loan lender. They do all types of mortgages; FHA, VA, USDA & Conventional. Guild Mortgage Company is an Equal Housing Lender; NMLS 3274. Roy West NMLS 316801 Phone (409) 866-1901.
The Guild Mortgage Company wants to be your home loan lender. They do all types of mortgages; FHA, VA, USDA & Conventional. Guild Mortgage Company is an Equal Housing Lender; NMLS 3274. Roy West NMLS 316801 Phone (409) 866-1901.
The Guild Mortgage Company wants to be your home loan lender. They do all types of mortgages; FHA, VA, USDA & Conventional. Guild Mortgage Company is an Equal Housing Lender; NMLS 3274. Roy West NMLS 316801 Phone (409) 866-1901.
The Guild Mortgage Company wants to be your home loan lender. They do all types of mortgages; FHA, VA, USDA & Conventional. Guild Mortgage Company is an Equal Housing Lender; NMLS 3274. Roy West NMLS 316801 Phone (409) 866-1901.
The Guild Mortgage Company wants to be your home loan lender. They do all types of mortgages; FHA, VA, USDA & Conventional. Guild Mortgage Company is an Equal Housing Lender; NMLS 3274. Roy West NMLS 316801 Phone (409) 866-1901.
The Guild Mortgage Company wants to be your home loan lender. They do all types of mortgages; FHA, VA, USDA & Conventional. Guild Mortgage Company is an Equal Housing Lender; NMLS 3274. Roy West NMLS 316801 Phone (409) 866-1901.
Affordable housing is one of the biggest challenges facing communities today. But how does it actually get funded?In this episode of ChangeMakers, Katie Goar sits down with Jason Blain, Senior Commercial Banker at Independent Bank*, to break down how banks, developers, and public programs work together to create affordable housing.Jason shares a behind-the-scenes look at the real financial tools driving housing development, including tax credits, rate buydowns, and community partnerships. He also explains why homeownership still plays a critical role in building long-term wealth and stability.This conversation goes beyond theory. You'll hear how affordable housing projects come together, what slows them down, and what needs to change to scale solutions.*Independent Bank is a Member FDIC and Equal Housing Lender.The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. It should not be relied upon as a substitute for consultation with qualified financial or legal professionals. Banking products, terms, rates, and regulations may vary and are subject to change. Please consult your financial institution or a licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
The Guild Mortgage Company wants to be your home loan lender. They do all types of mortgages; FHA, VA, USDA & Conventional. Guild Mortgage Company is an Equal Housing Lender; NMLS 3274. Roy West NMLS 316801 Phone (409) 866-1901.
Are you shopping for a mortgage rate the wrong way?Most homebuyers are told to “shop around” for mortgage rates — so they go to Bankrate, LendingTree, or other online rate sites, enter their information, compare teaser rates, and hope they're getting the best deal.But the lowest advertised mortgage rate is not always the best mortgage deal.In this video, I take you behind the scenes and show how we compare your loan across 30+ lenders using one application and one credit pull — instead of sending your information all over the internet.We break down why mortgage rates vary based on credit score, down payment, income, loan program, property type, and whether you qualify for affordable mortgage programs. I also show examples comparing Conventional, FHA, and VA loan options so you can see why the “best rate” depends on your full financial picture — not just one advertised number online.You'll also see how points, lender fees, and hidden costs can make a low rate much more expensive than it looks.In this video, we cover:✅ How we compare your loan to 30+ lenders✅ Why one application and one credit pull matters✅ Why online mortgage quotes can be misleading✅ Why points and fees matter as much as the rate✅ How credit score impacts mortgage pricing✅ Conventional vs. FHA vs. VA loan examples✅ How RateWatch 2.2 can track refinance savings✅ How to upload your Loan Estimate for a second opinion
LIVE WEEKDAYS AT 9AM — THE RATE UPDATE WITH DAN FRIOMortgage rates move for a reason — and every weekday morning, we break down what is driving them.Today's Rate Update recaps what is happening right now with mortgage rates, the bond market, the 10-Year Treasury, mortgage-backed securities, inflation concerns, oil prices, and the economic headlines that matter to homebuyers, homeowners, and real estate professionals.Every weekday at 9AM, we go live to look at the market data behind mortgage rates — not hype, not guessing, just plain-English analysis of what is moving the market and why it matters.Today's video:https://youtube.com/live/Cy3CqRURnUYCHAPTERS00:00 — Opening Bell: Mortgage Rates & Market Setup01:15 — Why Mortgage Rates Move Every Day03:00 — 10-Year Treasury & Bond Market Reaction05:00 — Mortgage-Backed Securities Explained07:00 — Inflation, Oil Prices & Rate Pressure09:30 — What Homebuyers Need to Watch Today12:00 — What Homeowners Should Know About Refinancing14:30 — Real Estate Market Takeaways16:30 — Final Thoughts & Next StepsWHAT WE COVER LIVE EACH MORNING• Mortgage rates today• The 10-Year Treasury• Mortgage-backed securities• Inflation data• Jobs reports• Federal Reserve expectations• Oil prices• Stock market movement• Housing and real estate news• Economic headlines that may impact mortgage ratesMy goal is simple: help you understand what's happening, why it matters, and how it may affect your next move as a buyer, homeowner, or real estate professional.No hype. No guessing. Just real market data explained in plain English.
99% chance of NO Fed rate cut?In today's video, we break down why the Federal Reserve may not be ready to cut interest rates — even though homebuyers, homeowners, and the housing market are all waiting for relief.The big issue: the economy is still too strong, inflation is still too sticky, and the Fed does not want to cut too early and risk reigniting inflation.That matters because the Fed does NOT directly set mortgage rates — but Fed policy, inflation, the 10-Year Treasury, and mortgage bonds all help drive where mortgage rates move next.So if you're waiting for mortgage rates to drop before buying a home or refinancing, this is the data you need to understand.Watch here:https://youtu.be/mXfhEySRie8
Mortgage Rates Just Hit a Critical Week — Jobs, Inflation & What Buyers Should Expect Next
Oil is dropping — and that could be a big deal for mortgage rates.In today's Rate Update, we're looking at why oil prices matter so much for homebuyers and homeowners watching mortgage rates.Oil is one of the biggest inflation pressure points in the economy. When oil spikes, inflation fears can rise, bond yields can move higher, and mortgage rates can feel the pressure. But when oil starts falling, the opposite can happen — inflation pressure may cool, bonds may improve, and mortgage rates may get some relief.Mortgage rates dropped yesterday, and now the big question is whether this is the start of a bigger move lower or just a short-term reaction.Today we're watching oil, the 10-Year Treasury, mortgage-backed securities, jobs data, and the broader market reaction.If oil keeps sliding back toward the $60–$65 range, mortgage rates may have room to follow lower. But if jobs data comes in too strong or inflation pressure stays sticky, that could slow down the move.For homebuyers, this is why preparation matters. For homeowners, this is why tracking refinance opportunities matters. The market can move quickly — and understanding what drives mortgage rates can help you make better decisions.CHAPTERS00:00 Mortgage rates are reacting to oil00:42 Why oil matters for mortgage rates01:35 Oil prices are falling02:28 The inflation connection homeowners need to understand03:20 Mortgage rates dropped yesterday04:05 Can rates move back toward the high-5s?05:05 Today's economic data to watch06:00 Jobs, claims, payrolls, and bond market reaction07:05 What homebuyers should do right now08:00 What homeowners watching refinance rates should know08:40 Final takeaway: watch oil, bonds, and rates