Podcasts about consumer price index cpi

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Best podcasts about consumer price index cpi

Latest podcast episodes about consumer price index cpi

Smartinvesting2000
May 16th, 2025 | U.S. Tariffs and China, Inflation, AI and Jobs, Oil Prices, Trusts and Retirement Accounts, Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS), Charter Communications (CHTR), Krispy Kreme (DNUT) & (LYFT)

Smartinvesting2000

Play Episode Listen Later May 17, 2025 55:38


U.S. Tariffs are hurting China Exports from China have dropped dramatically which has weighed on China's economy. This has caused protests due to lost jobs and wages in their economy. Exports from China to the United States dropped 20% in April, but China did pick up exports from other countries like Indonesia, Thailand and Africa. While this may help a little, the export dollars for China to these other countries pales in comparison to the mighty consumption of the US consumer. China's economy depends on exports considering the fact that in 2024 1/3 of GDP growth came from exports. The Chinese government is panicking a little bit with the central bank in China saying it would cut interest rates and inject more liquidity into the financial system. Some factories in China are pausing their production and laying off workers until things pick up again. Goldman Sachs estimates that roughly 16,000,000 jobs in China come from exports to the United States. With the news that tariffs are being lowered for 90 days it will be interesting to see how companies and these countries react. The US will still have a 30% tariff on many Chinese products, but that is much more manageable than the 145% that was in effect. It is important to remember this is a pause and that rhetoric could pick back up as negotiations continue. I do believe a reescalation in the trade war would really hurt the Chinese economy more than ours and I'm optimistic we will see a trade deal reached, but it will likely take time. I believe it is worth waiting for as a better trade agreement will benefit us for decades down the road.   Inflation continues to cool The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month of April came in at a 12-month rate of 2.3%, which was below the estimate of 2.4% and marked the lowest reading since February 2021. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, came in at 2.8% which matched expectations and was in line with March's reading. Energy was a major help to the headline number as it fell 3.7% compared to last year with gasoline in particular down 11.8% over that timeframe. While this is all great many economists are worried about what the next few months will look like on the inflation front due to tariffs. Joseph Gagnon from the Peterson Institute for International Economics said he believes a 10% average tariff rate would add as much as 1 percentage point to the CPI after about six to nine months. While I would agree with the idea that inflation will likely increase in the months ahead, I still don't believe it will be to a problematic level for two reasons. First, we should remember there are several players that can absorb the costs from these tariffs. You have to consider the companies importing products can reduce their margin, there would be shipping/transportation companies that can reduce their costs, the company's manufacturing products can lower their prices, and then yes, the consumer is the last piece of the puzzle that could now have higher prices. With all that said I don't believe a 10% tariff would result in a 10% increase in prices due to all the places in the supply chain that can absorb some of the cost. The second reason I wouldn't be overly concerned is I wouldn't see the tariff as embedded inflation and it could likely be viewed as a one-time lift to prices that would then be lapped next year. Nonetheless this story will be interesting to monitor in the coming months to see what the actual impact is, but I do remain optimistic about our economy and the inflation outlook.   Could artificial intelligence create more jobs? Many people think that artificial intelligence, also known as AI, is going to reduce jobs for people. The CEO of IBM, who admits that AI has replaced hundreds of workers, said it has created more jobs than it has eliminated. He went on to say it frees up investment that the employer can put to other areas that include such jobs as software engineering, sales, & marketing. Normal things like creating spreadsheets and other routine tasks can be done with artificial intelligence, but it still takes a human to do the critical thinking on how to use that data to enhance business for the company. If you're working for a company and you don't have much contact with other workers that relate to your job, your job could be at risk of being replaced by AI. Make sure your job involves using data to work with other people, which should give you job security in the growing world of AI.   Oil at $50 a barrel? There is talk that we could see oil drop from around $60 a barrel down to $50 a barrel, which would be a big benefit for consumers at the pump. The reason for this is that OPEC and its allies are increasing production of oil faster than anyone expected. By June they could be producing nearly 1,000,000 more barrels of oil per day compared to current levels. The United States is currently the number one producer of oil in the world with production of nearly 15,000,000 barrels per day. If you're wondering does that meet our consumption? It does not as that stands at 19.6 million barrels per day. OPEC is not taking this sitting down and they want to regain market share. To do it appears they're willing to see lower oil prices. The reason why oil prices are expected to drop is that the demand is about the same as it was just one year ago, so the increase in production means we'll probably have an oil glut for a while. At $50 a barrel most oil companies can still make money off of producing oil, but US oil companies might stop doing stock buybacks and could no longer build new wells. What this would do is hurt supply in the future and oil would turn around and increase once again. If you invest in oil companies, you have to realize that supply/demand of oil will rule the price of the stock. But fortunately, most of the big oil companies pay a good dividend, which makes it a little bit easier to hold on when the stocks have a temporary decline. For consumers, this means the average cost per gallon of gasoline across the country, which is now around $3.20 per gallon, could drop to levels around $2.50 per gallon. Consumers in California may not see declines in the prices at the pump as California continues to drive refiners out of the state and reject refined gasoline from other states that do not meet a ridiculously high standard. If you want to blame someone for higher gas prices in California you can blame the governor and Sacramento for ridiculous policies on gasoline.   Financial Planning: Trusts and Retirement Accounts Do Not Mix Naming a living trust as the beneficiary of a retirement account—such as an IRA or 401(k)—is generally not a good idea due to potential tax inefficiencies and administrative complexity. Under the SECURE Act, the "stretch IRA" option has been largely eliminated for most non-spouse beneficiaries, and replaced with a 10-year rule requiring the entire account to be withdrawn within a decade of the original owner's death. If a trust is named as the beneficiary and it isn't specifically drafted to be the beneficiary of a retirement account, it may not qualify for this 10-year treatment and could face even faster distribution requirements, such as a 5-year distribution period, accelerating taxes significantly. Instead, it's typically better to name individual beneficiaries directly on retirement accounts to preserve flexibility and minimize tax impact. For those needing control over distributions—for example, to protect minor children or spendthrift heirs—a carefully drafted trust designed to meet IRS requirements should be used with the help of a qualified estate planning attorney. For most other cases, listing actual people or charities as beneficiaries is a much simpler and more efficient strategy.   Companies Discussed: Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS), Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR), Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) & Lyft, Inc. (LYFT)

X22 Report
Trump Signals The Old Guard Has Failed, Forced Exposure, Offensive Begins, Checkmate – Ep. 3641

X22 Report

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2025 86:03


Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger Picture As time goes on the people now can see the green new scam was a hoax, Bernie Sanders flies on private jet and Hawaii sues oil industry but spares refinery because they donate to the D party. Inflation is down, the fake news and the Fed were wrong. Trump once again calls on the Fed, he has now boxed them in.Transition to a people's economy is happening. The [DS] has lost all power. Trump has now signaled that he has the power and that the old guard has failed and it in the process of being replaced. What we are witnessing the forced exposure of the corrupt system, the people are seeing it. Now the offensive begins and those who were treasonous to this country will be held accountable. Checkmate. Economy https://twitter.com/mkhammer/status/1921181550239993909 https://twitter.com/libsoftiktok/status/1922302004904280481 https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1922270983534129248 (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");   https://twitter.com/WSJ/status/1922270583930167754 The inflation rate in the United States for April 2021, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), was 4.2% over the 12 months from April 2020 to April 2021 TRUMP ECONOMIC UPDATE: Inflation Drops to 2.3%, Lowest Since 2021, and US Treasury Records Second Biggest Surplus in History Thanks to Trump's Record Tariff Revenues  https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1922268438912798730   https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1922277662560526415?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1922277662560526415%7Ctwgr%5E9a0647d641b176e03f79d37607411d8da3baf9a9%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thegatewaypundit.com%2F2025%2F05%2Ftrump-economy-update-inflation-drops-2-3-lowest%2F   Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1922021412983730442 https://twitter.com/charliekirk11/status/1922286454119829804 https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1908318952838594601 @Taylor47 political class didn't do anything about it—they allowed it to happen!" @USTradeRep"The goal very clearly was to remove U.S. tariffs and trade barriers to make it easier for people to outsource to China." TAKE A LISTEN Trump Just Got Britain To Hit China, UK Politicians Say  British politicians are expressing alarm that the new U.S.–UK trade deal gives President Donald Trump the power to block Chinese investments in critical British infrastructure. The deal announced last week requires the UK to “promptly meet U.S. requirements” to shield supply chains and “relevant production facilities” from foreign investment. If the European country does not meet these requirements, the U.S. can reimpose tariffs, effectively using trade pressure to dictate which countries can invest in the UK's core infrastructure. That clause triggered immediate backlash from British lawmakers and media, who say the U.S. now has a de facto “veto” over foreign investment — specifically Chinese money flowing into the UK's steel and aluminum sectors.   “Washington wants the UK and others to peel away from Chinese trade and investment, especially in sensitive areas like steel,” said Allie Renison, a former trade official, speaking to the FT. Source: dailycaller.com

Walker Crips' Market Commentary
Trading tensions & tariff troubles: UK vs US

Walker Crips' Market Commentary

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 22, 2025 8:25


Last week, the UK economy grappled with escalating global trade tensions. UK inflation eased more than expected in March, with headline Consumer Price Index (“CPI”) falling to 2.6% from 2.8%, fuelling expectations of a Bank of England (“BoE”) interest rate cut in May. Core and services inflation also edged lower, reinforcing the view that monetary policy may soon shift. Economists noted tariffs might prove disinflationary, especially with weaker domestic growth. Markets are now almost fully pricing in three rate cuts this year. However, policymakers face uncertainty, with BoE policymaker Megan Greene highlighting the unpredictable impact of US tariffs and dollar weakness on UK inflation. Labour market signals remained mixed: claimant count rose and payrolled employment fell, but job postings climbed 3.3%, business sentiment weakened, CFOs grew defensive and the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales (“ICAEW”) confidence turned negative...Stocks featured:Bunzl, Endeavour Mining and J SainsburyTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management's own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The Pete the Planner® Show
Navigating Now: How sector rotation can impact your investing and your career

The Pete the Planner® Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2025 10:13


Episode 3 – This Economic Shift Could Hit Your Job—and Your Budget Not every part of the economy reacts the same way to a crisis. Some sectors take the brunt of it. Others benefit. And understanding who's winning and who's losing can give you a better handle on what's coming next—for the market and for your own finances. In this episode, we break down: How different sectors are reacting to the current wave of tariffs and inflation Why sector rotation—when investors shift money between industries—is happening right now What the Consumer Price Index (CPI) really tells us about inflation (and what it doesn't) Which sectors may actually benefit from Trump's new tariffs, including U.S. agriculture, auto manufacturing, and discount retail Then we bring it home: How to start funding your emergency fund by identifying flexible vs. fixed expenses Why this is the right moment to tighten up your budget—even if your income hasn't changed The economy is changing. The market is adapting. And your personal finances can too—with a little strategy and a little calm. Watch new episodes every Tuesday and Thursday at 2 PM ET on YouTube or LinkedIn. You can also subscribe to The Pete the Planner Podcast wherever you listen.

Key Wealth Matters
Market ‘Rebound' and Pause on Tariffs

Key Wealth Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 14, 2025 27:16


In this week's jam-packed Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of experts as they share their perspectives on the latest economic reports. Our panel shares detailed insights into CPI inflation, initial unemployment claims, tariffs, the equities and bond market, and rate cuts.  Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities03:48 – The Bureau of Labor Statistics released a favorable Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report showing inflation for March, month-over-month, declined for the first time since May 2020, at -0.1%04:47 – Initial unemployment claims for the week ending April 5 were reported at 223,000, remaining stable05:41 – Comments on the considerable market volatility, within the equities market, brought on by recent U.S. tariff policies 11:41 – Mentions of ‘Prospect Theory', and a reminder of its principles, as the equities market, more specifically the Volatility Index (VIX), looks to be in crisis mode 14:20 – Remarks on bond market volatility and its effect on credit spreads, investment grades and yields19:08 – While a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs has been announced by the President, the Federal Reserve (Fed) may follow suit with a pause on cutting rates at the next two upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings20:10 – Final comments on what U.S. companies are doing to prepare earnings guidance for the second quarter (Q2:2025) after the uncertainty regarding tariffsAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: Do Cracks in the Credit Markets Mean US Corporates' Financial Health Has Cracked? | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

Brownfield Ag News
USDA makes few changes in March supply and demand report | Weekly Commodity Market Update

Brownfield Ag News

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 18, 2025 1:40


This week Will and Ben check in on inflationary measures and USDA's updated supply and demand numbers.Market recap (changes on week as of Friday's close): » May 2025 corn down $.11 at $4.58» December 2025 corn down $.03 at $4.51» May 2025 soybeans down $.09 at $10.16» November 2025 soybeans down $.07 at $10.18» May soybean oil down 1.83 cents at 41.59 cents/lb» May soybean meal up $9.40 at $305.90/short ton» May wheat up $.06 at $5.57» July 2025 wheat up $.08 at $5.73» May 2025 cotton up 1.30 cents at 67.37 cents/lb» December 2025 cotton up $1.52 at 69.98 cents/lb » May WTI Crude Oil up $.18 at $66.96/barrel Weekly highlights:US job openings in January were reported at 7.7 million jobs- that was up from a two year low of 7.5 in December 2024.The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reported up at 0.2% month over month vs expectations of increasing 0.2%. The annual CPI increased 3.1% vs 3.3% last month and expectations of 3.2%.The Producer Price Index (PPI) was flat month over month in February- below expectations of 0.3% growth. The annual PPI was reported at 3.2%- down from 3.7% in January.The Preliminary Consumer Sentiment value fell harder than expected in March. Consumers have concerns about economic health and high levels of future inflation.US retail sales were up 0.2% in February compared to January, but below the 0.6 growth expectations. Year over year retail sales are up 3.1%.USDA left the corn and soybean balance sheets virtually unchanged this month- the exception being a 15-cent decline in the season-average price for soybeans. Sorghum demand categories continue to change, and wheat saw reductions in demand and price.US crude oil stocks were up 60.8 million gallons while gasoline and distillate fuel stocks were down 241 and 65.5 million gallons, respectively. Implied US gasoline demand was up 3% from last week and up 8% compared to the prior four week average.US ethanol production pulled back to 312 million gallons- down from 321, but up from 301 last year and the five-year average of 296 million gallons. Ethanol stocks increased 3.7 million gallons but remain just below the all time record set in April 2020 at the start of the Coronavirus pandemic.The National Oilseed Processors Association reported their members crushed 177.9 million bushels of soybeans in February- below all pre-report estimates.Weekly grain and oilseed export sales were neutral to bullish on the week- corn sales of 38.1 million bushels were in line with pre-report expectations but up from the week prior. Soybean and wheat export sales of 27.6 and 28.8 million bushels, respectively were both above all pre-report expectations. Sorghum sales were healthy at 1.3 million bushels. Rice sales fell to a 5-week low at 0.7 mil. Cwt.Open interest in futures and options of grains and oilseeds was up 0.3% week over week. Producer and merchants reduced their net short position 71,035 contracts, while money managers were net sellers again this week- increasing their net short position. Weekly grain and oilseed export inspections were solid this week. Corn and soybean inspections of 65.3 and 23.8 million bushels were both within range, while wheat inspections of 18.1 million bushels were bullish- above all pre-report expectations. Topics:» Market recap» Checking inflation measures» USDA updates its supply and demand estimates» Oilseed crush comes in below expectations» Reports to watchConnect with Brownfield Ag News:» Get the latest ag news: https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/» Subscribe to Brownfield on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BrownfieldAgNews» Follow Brownfield on X (Twitter): https://x.com/brownfield» Follow Brownfield on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BrownfieldAgNewsAbout Brownfield Ag News:Brownfield Ag News is your trusted source for reliable agriculture news, market trends, weather updates, and expert interviews. Get comprehensive coverage and stay ahead in the ever-evolving agriculture industry.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Smartinvesting2000
March 15th, 2025 | Private Equity in 401K's, Bitcoin Strategic Reserve, Inflation Report, Inflation Front, State and Local Tax (SALT), DoorDash, Inc(DASH), Rocket Companies, Inc.(RKT) & Verizon (VZ)

Smartinvesting2000

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 14, 2025 55:40


Should private equity be allowed in your 401(k)? 70 million Americans have roughly $12 trillion in retirement accounts and the high fee private equity firms want a piece of that. Private equity comes with higher risk than traditional stocks and bonds that are found in retirement accounts. The big difference with private equity is they are generally illiquid investments in companies that are too small or risky to issue publicly traded shares. The businesses they invest in don't issue quarterly reports on earnings and the valuations can at best be called questionable. It should be noted that private funds can tie up investors' money for years and may give you some type of loose valuation of what your investment is worth. The fees that these funds charge is around 2 1/2%, which is well above the average fund of a half percent or so in current 401(k)s. Private equity tries to claim their investments far outperform the stock and bond markets, but a study from Boston College in 2024 found that long-term returns for pension funds, which allow alternatives, generated about the same investment return as a 60/40 split of stocks and bonds. Wall Street and the owners of these private equity funds just want to generate more fees even if it means putting your 401(k) in danger with high-risk investments with little to no liquidity. I'm in hopes that private equity's pursuit of trying to get their hands on your retirement accounts hits a brick wall and the regulators protect your retirement plan.    A bitcoin strategic reserve is a terrible idea Last week there was an executive order signed to create a strategic bitcoin reserve for the United States. Crypto enthusiasts were pleased by the action, but disappointed that the order did not specify a buying schedule or clear strategy to buy more bitcoin. In the current fashion, the reserve will include coins that are already owned by the government that it seized from past law enforcement actions. The US currently owns more than 198,000 bitcoins that are worth about $17 billion. Given our large debt and the current deficit, I think it is just silly to borrow money and buy a volatile asset like bitcoin. The government is not here to make investment profits with our taxpayer dollars, if that were the case why wouldn't they also buy individual stocks? Something like the Strategic Petroleum Reserve makes sense as that commodity plays such an important part in our day to day lives. Bitcoin has no impact on our day to day lives and I just can't see what the strategic benefit would be outside of shooting for investment gains. We should be focused on paying down debt and reducing deficits rather than trying to generate investment returns with taxpayer money. I think even the action of keeping seized bitcoin is a mistake as that could be used to reduce debt. As for the price of bitcoin, I believe it could keep falling. There seems to have been a lot of catalysts that took place last year including the launch of ETFs and a more crypto friendly administration taking office. I don't see many new catalysts in the near future, which could lead to steeper declines. For me, I don't want my own dollars or my tax dollars in bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency for that matter.   Inflation report puts stagflation risks at ease The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February came in at 2.8%, which was below the estimate of 2.9% and less than January's reading of 3%. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy came in at 3.1%, which was also below the estimate of 3.2%. This reading was less than January's reading of 3.3% and it marked the lowest increase since April of 2021 when we saw inflation rise 3%. That was really the beginning of the inflation problems as the March 2021 core CPI rate was 1.6%. I've said it before, but with inflation at these levels I really don't see it as a problem. There are some areas like eggs that increased 59% compared to last year, but outside of that most categories are quite tame. Shelter also continues to lift the inflation numbers as the index rose 4.2% in the month of February. This was the smallest increase for the shelter index since December 2021, but it still remains above both the headline and core numbers, which means it is putting upwards pressure on those reports. This report would have shown limited impact from the recent tariffs, so it will be interesting to see in the coming months what the numbers look like as the tariffs work their way through supply chains. I still believe inflation will not be a problem in 2025 and that the Fed will be able to cut rates a few times this year.   Another win on the inflation front The February Producer Price Index (PPI) showed no change in the pricing level when compared to January. For the 12-month period it rose 3.2%, which was much better than last month's reading of 3.7%. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy actually fell 0.1% from January and the annual increase of 3.4% was down from last month's reading of 3.8%. This report helps us breathe a sigh of relief as December and January produced hotter readings. As we've been saying, inflation will not go down in a straight line and month to month the readings will be bumpy, but the general trend should be lower. As we said with CPI, it will be interesting to see how the tariffs impact these inflation reports in the coming months. One thing that does not get much coverage is that we had tariffs back in 2018 and inflation did not see a major spike. Hopefully that will be the case again and we can move on from this battle against inflation that has lasted a few years now.   Who Benefits from Repealing the “SALT” limit? One of the more controversial changes in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 was the $10,000 limit placed on the State and Local Tax (SALT) itemized deduction.  Prior to 2018, those who itemized could deduct the full amount of state income taxes and property taxes on their federal tax returns.  Under current law through the end of this year, only the first cumulative $10,000 of these taxes is deductible.  This obviously hurts high earners in states like California.  Someone making half a million dollars per year and paying $40,000 in California income taxes only receives a deduction on the first $10,000 and receives no additional deduction for any property taxes they pay. While there isn't as much public sympathy for high-income earners paying more tax, this limit also impacted California homeowners, especially first-time homebuyers.  When buying a home in California, property taxes are about 1.2% of the purchase price of that home. Thanks to Prop 13, property taxes increase minimally after purchase and generally much less than the property value increases. This means the longer you own a home, the lower your property taxes are relative to the fair market value of the property.  This also means that property taxes are most expensive when first buying a home.  In California, home values are high, mortgage rates are high, insurance costs are high, utilities are high, and because of the high value of homes, property taxes are also high. Virtually everything about homeownership in California is expensive, so it's no wonder people are struggling to afford a house. This phenomenon has gotten worse in recent years, but it's not new.  Regarding the SALT deduction, it is common for homeowners to have state income taxes and property taxes that exceed the $10,000 limit even if they're not really “high-earners” because of the income needed to simply afford a home and its corresponding property taxes.  A young family could easily be looking at $20,000 to $25,000 just in state and local taxes, most of which would not be deductible due to the SALT limit.  While the SALT deduction is mainly thought of as a high-earner issue, a lot of normal people in California would benefit from its repeal, especially if federal tax rates do not increase back to their pre-2018 levels.   Companies Discussed: DoorDash, Inc (DASH), Rocket Companies, Inc. (RKT) & Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 348 - Andrew Barclay (StatCan): Measuring Inflation

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 13, 2025 67:09


Is the government manipulating inflation data? Why do so many people feel like their personal costs are rising faster than official inflation numbers suggest? In this episode of the Rational Reminder Podcast, we dive deep into one of the most debated and misunderstood economic topics: inflation. Today, we are joined by Andrew Barclay, an economist and senior analyst in the Consumer Price Division at Statistics Canada, to discuss everything you need to know about inflation and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Statistics Canada is Canada's national statistical agency dedicated to producing accurate, relevant, and timely data to help Canadians better understand their country. In our conversation, we unpack how inflation and the CPI are calculated and why it is so important. We explore the controversy around CPI calculations and the influence of inflation on government benefits, tax brackets, and the overall economy. Andrew also addresses scepticism and conspiracy theories about government inflation reporting, uncovers drivers of the perception gap, and explains how Statistics Canada ensures the accuracy and integrity of its data. Join us to hear the real story behind CPI and inflation with Andrew Barclay!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:00) Background about Andrew and what inspired today's topic.  (0:05:33) Find out why measuring inflation is important and how the CPI is calculated.  (0:10:08) What goes into the CPI basket and how frequently the contents are updated. (0:12:42) How consumer choices impact inflation and how 'shrinkflation' is accounted for. (0:15:43) Learn how quality adjustments are accounted for in the CPI and why they matter.  (0:19:01) Scepticism surrounding quality adjustments and how the CPI adapts to crises. (0:25:21) The role of grocery price tracking and why Canada uses a single CPI measure. (0:28:08) Explore the idea of personal inflation and why it is usually different to the CPI. (0:31:10) The difference between home prices and housing costs and how they are calculated. (0:35:41) Hear how Statistics Canada's approach for housing compares to other methodologies. (0:41:15) Perceived inflation versus actual inflation and drivers of the inflation perception gap. (0:51:58) Statistics Canada's method of dealing with the perception gap and ensuring quality.  (0:55:51) Uncover the most criticized indexes and how Statistics Canada includes feedback. (1:01:52) Andrew's message for those who do not trust the CPI and his definition of success.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Andrew Barclay on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrew-barclay-a38b6035/ Statistics Canada — https://www.statcan.gc.ca/ Canadian System of National Accounts | 'Catalogue of products' — https://publications.gc.ca/Collection/Statcan/13F0029X/13F0029XIE2000001.pdf Bank of Canada — https://www.bankofcanada.ca/ Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) — https://www.crea.ca/ Episode 323: Renting Versus Buying a Home in Canada 2005-2024 — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/323 Surveys of Consumers | University of Michigan — https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/ Statistics Canada | The Daily — https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/index-eng.htm   Books From Today's Episode:   The Courage to Be Disliked — https://www.amazon.com/Courage-Be-Disliked-Phenomenon-Happiness/dp/1501197274   Papers From Today's Episode:  'The naked eye versus the CPI: How does our perception of inflation stack up against the data?' — https://www.statcan.gc.ca/o1/en/plus/256-naked-eye-versus-cpi-how-does-our-perception-inflation-stack-against-data

Vertical Research Advisory
VRA Investing Podcast: Disinflationary Data, Tech Leading, And Contrarian Perspectives - Tyler Herriage - March 12, 2025

Vertical Research Advisory

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 13, 2025 17:45


In today's episode, Tyler breaks down this morning's latest look at inflation data with the Consumer Price Index (CPI). We also saw the tech sector bounce back big today, fueled by better-than-expected economic data and good news for the semiconductors. Additionally, he covers likely upcoming Federal Reserve Policy changes and the potential for a big move higher in stocks. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.

X22 Report
FBI/DOJ Are In The Process Of Cleaning House,Silent War Continues,Puzzle Coming Together – Ep. 3593

X22 Report

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2025 88:03


Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found Click On Picture To See Larger Picture EU has retaliated against Trump's tariffs, the UK decided to break from the EU. Canada folded on shutting down electricity, they fired back with more tariffs. This will not end well for these countries. Inflation has declined, energy prices have declined, drill baby drill. The Fed is trapped and the CR bill passed the house. The [DS] is now running out of time, Trump is negotiating peace. The FBI/DOJ are cleaning house, removing the blocks and finding the documents they need. The silent war continues against the [DS] but they are losing. Trump and the people have the leverage and the proof. Trump and the patriots continue to add more pieces to the puzzle. Soon the people will see a clear picture.   (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:13499335648425062,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-7164-1323"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="//cdn2.customads.co/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); Economy EU Retaliates After Trump Tariffs Take Effect, But UK Breaks With Europe And Refuses To Respond  The EU has retaliated against Trump's 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum just hours after  they took effect at midnight New York time, escalating a trade war that has rattled financial markets and threatened the global economy. The European Commission said its measures would affect up to €26bn of American goods, matching the US tariffs on European exports, and would take effect in April, leaving some time to negotiate with Washington. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said the EU regretted Trump's decision and that tariffs were “bad for business, and even worse for consumers" adding that “tariffs are disrupting supply chains. They bring uncertainty for the economy. Jobs are at stake. Prices will go up." They will go up... for Europe, pushing the economy further into stagflation. https://twitter.com/vonderleyen/status/1899724243287302452?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1899724243287302452%7Ctwgr%5Ecd3e3486d1b8eadf73a88458e034bf4bb98b584a%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Feconomics%2Feu-retaliates-after-trump-tariffs-take-effect-uk-breaks-europe-and-refuses-respond   Source: zerohedge.com https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1899578554074980479 https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1899825311031705890 . https://twitter.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1899638045474713873 Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick Outlines Global Impact and Response from USA Tariff Hammer As we are notice today, for the first time since last year the Consumer Price Index now shows inflation slowing rapidly [CPI DATA HERE] as basic essential prices on energy and gasoline are dropping rapidly and all downstream products start dropping in sequence. Here is our current status after one month: – mortgage rates are down – egg prices are down – gas prices are down – overall inflation dropping – illegal immigration stopped at the border – wages going up – foreign aid shut down – woke initiatives being removed – massive manufacturing investments ongoing. Source: theconservativetreehouse.com AMERICA IS HEALING: Inflation Falls More Than Expected in Big Win For President Trump Less than two months into Donald Trump's presidency and inflation is already falling more than expected. In February, prices didn't rise as much as expected, offering some relief to consumers and businesses, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A key measure of inflation, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), increased 0.2 percent for the month, bringing the annual inflation rate to 2.8 percent. This was a slowdown from January when prices had gone up 0.5 percent. Source: thegatewaypundit.

On The Tape
Temerity, Punditry & More Market Uncertainty

On The Tape

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2025 35:39


Dan Nathan and Guy Adami dive into the implications of the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which came in softer than expected. They discuss how the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metrics, tariffs, and the looming trade war with China affect market sentiment. The conversation touches on the recent fluctuations in the stock market, particularly the performance of tech stocks like Nvidia ahead of their user conference, the impact of the trade war on inflation, and the potential for a slowdown in the job market. The discussion also highlights the recent performance of banking stocks, consumer spending trends, and the importance of bipartisan support for economic reforms. The episode explores the forecasting challenges faced by market strategists and the potential for significant market moves in the near future. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

The 9Innings Podcast
Episode 119:

The 9Innings Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 4, 2025 68:01


In this episode of the 9inningsPodcast, Kevin and Dr. John T. Harvey, an economics professor at TCU, discuss inflation, Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), and fiscal policy. Dr. Harvey explains the complexities of inflation, emphasizing its multifaceted nature and the significant impact of housing costs on the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The conversation covers the limitations of traditional monetary policy, the role of government in job creation, and the need for policies that address the root causes of inflation. Dr. Harvey advocates for a nuanced understanding of inflation and proactive public sector job initiatives to ensure economic stability and social welfare. Understanding Inflation Complexity (00:02:52) CPI Components and Their Impact (00:06:23) Raising Interest Rates as a Solution (00:09:12) CPI Calculation Methods (00:12:51) Labor Shortages and Price Increases (00:14:47) Inflation and Job Creation (00:18:10) Public vs. Private Sector Roles (00:21:27) Competing with the Private Sector (00:25:05) Universal Employment Strategy (00:26:35) Historical Context of Inflation (00:29:07) NEWSLETTER (WHAT NOW): https://substack.com/@9icapital?r=2eig6s&utm_campaign=profile&utm_medium=profile-page Follow Us: youtube: / @9icap Linkedin: / kevin-thompson-ricp%c2%ae-cfp%c2%ae-74964428 facebook: / mlb2cfp Buy MLB2CFP Here: https://www.amazon.com/MLB-CFP%C2%AE-90-Feet-Counting-ebook/dp/B0BLJPYNS4 Book Meeting: https://outlook.office365.com/book/G12473568acb64f719ff3e79cfc9d55ed@NETORGFT11398641.onmicrosoft.com/ Website: http://www.9icapitalgroup.com Hit the subscribe button to get new content notifications. Disclosure: https://sites.google.com/view/9idisclosure/disclosure

Hard Asset Money Show
RedAmericaFirst Town Hall interview with Christian Briggs

Hard Asset Money Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 21, 2025 56:24


In a recent discussion, Christian Briggs, founder and CEO of BMC Capital, Inc. and Hard Assets Management, shared insights on the current economic landscape. He highlighted the unexpected rise in core Producer Price Index (PPI) figures, nearly double the estimates, yet noted the markets' muted reaction compared to the previous Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. Briggs emphasized the potential impact of forthcoming aggressive tariffs on aluminum and steel, essential components in manufacturing sectors from housing to aerospace. He also discussed China's strategic diversification in manufacturing and resource acquisition over the past four years, positioning itself amid global trade tensions. Additionally, Briggs touched upon the challenges posed by the U.S. national debt, the potential for financial corrections, and the role of gold as a stable asset amidst economic uncertainties. He concluded by addressing the future of digital currencies, suggesting a move towards a gold-backed digital dollar to ensure stability and credibility in the financial system.

Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast
Higher Inflation and Slower Job Growth: Will this Impact Real Estate Investors?

Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 17, 2025 4:41


Inflation is on the rise, job growth is slowing, and the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates higher for longer—how will this impact real estate investors? In this episode of Real Estate News for Investors, host Kathy Fettke breaks down the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, the weaker-than-expected January jobs report, and what these economic shifts mean for mortgage rates, housing affordability, and rental demand. Will higher inflation delay the Fed's rate cuts? How will real estate markets react in 2025? Tune in for expert insights on navigating today's market conditions and staying ahead of economic trends. Subscribe now for the latest real estate investing news and updates! LINKS JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://realty.realwealth.com/join-now/ SYNDICATIONS: Wild Pine San Antoniohttps://realwealth.com/wildpine FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://tinyurl.com/RWSsubscribe Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast: https://tinyurl.com/RENsubscribe Sources: 1. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm  2. https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/outlook/economic-outlook/jobs-report-january-2025  3. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/12/cpi-january-2025.html 4. https://www.livemint.com/market/stock-market-news/wall-street-today-dow-jones-drops-400-points-as-us-inflation-rises-50-bps-to-3-yoy-dimming-hopes-for-fed-rate-cuts-11739372126973.html  5. https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/cpi-report-today-inflation-stock-market-02-12-2025 

Key Wealth Matters
Cocoa Prices Aren't the Only Thing on the Rise

Key Wealth Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 17, 2025 22:45


In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into CPI inflation data, retail sales, corporate earnings, the credit market, and commodity trends.   Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities02:00 – The Consumer Price Index (CPI) reported an increase of 3.0% for all items year-over-year for January, higher than the prior month02:43 – Retail sales declined 0.9% month-over-month in January 03:39 – Comments on recent economic data and how it seems inflation is still running hotter than expected07:04 – While fourth quarter 2024 earnings have performed above expectations, it is expected the overall growth for 2025 will be less than 15% 11:27 – Remarks on the credit market as they continue to not show volatility due to the increased demand 15:51 – Comments on trends in commodities, such as copper and gold 18:16 – Final comments about remaining invested and diversified within your portfolio Additional ResourcesKey Questions: Do the California Wildfires Put Any Investment at Risk? | Key Private Bank Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

On Investing
China Enters the AI Chat (With Louis-Vincent Gave)

On Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 14, 2025 50:25


In today's episode, Liz Ann Sonders speaks with Louis-Vincent Gave, CEO of Gavekal Research. Louis discusses the unique market dynamics of the past year, focusing on the concentration of U.S. equities, the divergence between growth and value stocks, and the implications of China's trade surplus. Liz Ann and Louis delve into the impact of DeepSeek on the tech landscape, the potential for market bubbles, and future trends in technology and infrastructure spending.Kathy Jones and Liz Ann also discuss the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and its implications for inflation and the equity market. They explore the impact of tariffs on prices, the labor market, and the overall U.S. economy. The discussion also touches on the potential effects of government employment cuts on the unemployment rate and economic indicators. Kathy and Liz Ann conclude with a look at key data releases and indicators to watch in the coming week.You can read the two reports that Liz Ann and Louis discuss here: "Building Narratives Around Obvious Outliers" and "Another Sputnik Moment." On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. The comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Cryptocurrency-related products carry a substantial level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Investments in cryptocurrencies are relatively new, highly speculative, and may be subject to extreme price volatility, illiquidity, and increased risk of loss, including your entire investment in the fund. Spot markets on which cryptocurrencies trade are relatively new and largely unregulated, and therefore, may be more exposed to fraud and security breaches than established, regulated exchanges for other financial assets or instruments. Some cryptocurrency-related products use futures contracts to attempt to duplicate the performance of an investment in cryptocurrency, which may result in unpredictable pricing, higher transaction costs, and performance that fails to track the price of the reference cryptocurrency as intended. Please read more about risks of trading cryptocurrency futures here. Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and cannot protect against losses in a declining market.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.(0225-V55E)

The Dividend Cafe
Wednesday - February 12, 2025

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 12, 2025 6:40


Mid-Week Market Insights: CPI Report & Federal Reserve Review - Feb 12 In this episode of Dividend Cafe, recorded on February 12th, host Brian Szytel covers the day's market activities influenced by the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. The Dow dropped 225 points, the S&P was down by a quarter of a percent, while the Nasdaq saw a minor gain. The CPI numbers showed a monthly increase of 0.5%, higher than the expected 0.3%, marking a yearly CPI of 3%. The core CPI excluding food and energy also surpassed expectations. Energy and food prices along with the shelter component significantly impacted the CPI. Szytel discusses the Federal Reserve's ongoing efforts to manage inflation, noting the bond market's reaction and Fed Chairman Powell's testimony. The role of the Fed, particularly its expanded balance sheet since the Great Financial Crisis and COVID-19, is critiqued. Szytel concludes with a forward-looking perspective and invites viewers to tune in the next day for more updates. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:32 Inflation Report Breakdown 01:15 Impact on Energy and Food Prices 01:26 Shelter Component Analysis 02:05 Market Reactions and Predictions 03:21 Federal Reserve's Role and Actions 04:51 Conclusion and Sign Off Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Capital Markets Quickie
[34-25] Capital Markets Quickie: Inflation, Tariffs & Earnings – A Pivotal Week for Markets

Capital Markets Quickie

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 10, 2025 3:32


This week is shaping up to be a crucial one for the markets. Investors are closely watching inflation data, as the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report could influence expectations for future Federal Reserve rate cuts. Meanwhile, President Trump's newly announced tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China are raising concerns about potential inflationary pressures and economic growth. Additionally, earnings season continues with reports from major companies such as McDonald's, Coca-Cola, and Airbnb. Will the stock market continue its strong start to the year, or are we in for some turbulence? Tune in to Capital Markets Quickie for all the key insights you need to start your week.Just a quick reminder, Capital Markets Quickie is brought to you by AMF Capital AG, Asset Management Frankfurt, your leading provider for individual investment solutions and mutual funds. Visit https://www.amf-capital.de for more information.>>> Make sure to check out my newsletter "Cela's Weekly Insights":https://endritcela.com/newsletter/>>> You can subscribe here to our YouTube Channel “MVP – Main Value Partners”:https://www.youtube.com/@MainValue>>> Visit my website for more information:http://www.endritcela.com>>> Follow me on LinkedIn:https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/>>> Follow me on Instagram:https://www.instagram.com/endritcela_official/Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast
Breaking News: Mortgage Rates Drop—Is Now the Time to Buy?

Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 6, 2025 4:06


Mortgage rates dropped, so is now the time to buy or refinance?As of February 6th, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate has dipped 9 basis points, bringing it down to 6.52%—its lowest level of the year. But with bond market fluctuations, economic uncertainty, and key reports on the horizon, where are rates headed next? In this episode of Real Estate News for Investors, host Kathy Fettke breaks down the latest mortgage rate shifts, the impact of Trump's new tariffs on inflation and economic growth, and how the bond market is reacting. Plus, we'll explore how the January jobs report and next week's Consumer Price Index (CPI) release could determine where mortgage rates go next. (00:00) Breaking News (00:27) US Bond Market (01:09) Mortgage Rates (01:41) Jobs Report and CPI (02:18) Is Now the Time to Buy?   LINKS JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://realty.realwealth.com/join-now/ FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://tinyurl.com/RWSsubscribe Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast: https://tinyurl.com/RENsubscribe Sources: 1. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/treasuries-fall-short-end-tariffs-011419526.html  2. https://www.businessinsider.com/todays-mortgage-rates-thursday-6-2025-2  3. https://finance.yahoo.com/personal-finance/mortgages/article/mortgage-refinance-rates-today-thursday-february-6-2025-110053659.html 

Financial Survival Network
Fed Pause, Inflation, AI & Your Future - Anthony Saccaro #6227

Financial Survival Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 31, 2025 20:14


Kerry Lutz and Anthony Saccaro discussed the Federal Reserve's current pause on interest rate changes amid ongoing inflation concerns, with Saccaro noting that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) may not fully reflect real inflation due to its exclusion of essential expenses. They emphasized the importance of fiscal policy in conjunction with monetary policy to manage inflation and highlighted the need for reducing government waste. The conversation shifted to the impact of AI on productivity, particularly in the pharmaceutical and legal sectors, where Lutz shared his experience of using AI to significantly reduce contract analysis time. While both acknowledged AI's efficiency, Saccaro raised concerns about its potential to displace jobs and diminish critical thinking skills in students. They also discussed the economic outlook, with Saccaro suggesting a likely market increase by year-end but cautioning about recession risks, particularly for those nearing retirement. He recommended dollar-cost averaging for younger investors and portfolio adjustments for older individuals, concluding with details on how to access Saccaro's financial services. Find Anthony here: https://anthonysaccaro.com Find Kerry here: http://financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ and here: https://inflation.cafe

Afternoon Drive with John Maytham

Patrick Kelly, Chief Director of Price Statistics at Stats SA, joins John Maytham to unpack the latest updates to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) basket. He explains how the inclusion of items like air fryers and streaming services, alongside the removal of landlines and post boxes, reflects shifting consumer habits.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Vancouver Life Real Estate Podcast
Canada's Real Estate Market Revealed: Prices, Inflation, and What It Means for You

The Vancouver Life Real Estate Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 25, 2025 16:38


The final numbers for Canada's housing market in 2024 are in, and they've revealed some unexpected trends. Despite challenges such as high interest rates and declining housing starts, national home prices rose by 2.5% last year, bringing the average home price to $676,640. Every province and territory saw price increases except for Ontario, which experienced a modest 1.7% decline. The Northwest Territories led the nation with a remarkable 34.8% price increase, followed by New Brunswick at 15.5% and the Yukon at 12.8%. British Columbia also performed well, with home prices rising by 5.9%, while Alberta saw solid growth of 9.4%.Ontario's slight decline, however, masks significant issues in the pre-construction condo market, particularly in Toronto, where sales hit a 28-year low in 2024. Newly constructed condos flooded the market, driving prices down by 10-15% or more in some cases as sellers undercut each other. Yet, when viewed at the provincial level, Ontario's overall housing market showed resilience, with a decline that remains manageable by most standards.Meanwhile, inflation continues to ease, as the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) print came in at 1.8%—the second-lowest reading in 46 months. This marks a slight decline from December's 1.9% and the 16th consecutive month of cooling mortgage interest costs, which dropped from 13.2% to 11.6%. Rent inflation also eased, falling from 7.7% to 7.1%. Inflation has now remained within the Bank of Canada's target range for 12 straight months, with the broader CPI reading excluding mortgage interest costs coming in at just 1.3%. These metrics, coupled with a strong employment report, suggest the Bank of Canada may lower interest rates at its next meeting, with markets currently pricing in a 0.25% cut that would bring the overnight rate to 3%, its lowest level since August 2022.This data reinforces the importance of understanding how hyper-local real estate markets operate. For instance, in Vancouver's Mount Pleasant East neighborhood, half duplexes reached their highest prices ever in 2024, climbing 7% above the 2022 peak. By contrast, condos in the same area are 3% below their peak prices, and detached homes are down 9%. These variations emphasize the need for precise, localized market insights when making real estate decisions.Next week we have Mr. Doug Porter, the Chief Economist for the Bank of Montreal coming back on the show to discuss how he sees the Canadian economy shaping up for 2025 _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

Key Wealth Matters
Guess Who's Back?

Key Wealth Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 22, 2025 21:25


In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the Beige Book, CPI data, the stock and bond markets, tariffs, the debt ceiling, and Key Wealth's 2025 Outlook.  Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities02:07 – The Federal Reserve released its Beige Book in advance of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on January 29th03:21 – The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reported at 0.4% on all items for the month of December, and excluding food and energy, the CPI was reported at 0.2%06:48 – As we ease into 2025, we hear about the equities market and the CPI data's effect on it10:07 – Amid Treasury Secretary Designate, Scott Bessent's confirmation, and the plan to gradually increase tariffs, we hear comments on how it may affect the bond market and inflation15:05 – Remarks on Bessent's recent comments on the concept of potentially removing the US debt ceiling and the bond market's skepticism that it could be accomplished 16:10 – Final comments highlighting the recent release of Key Wealth's 2025 OutlookAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: Are Financial Stocks More Attractive Under a Second Trump Administration? | Key Private Bank Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

America's Truckin' Network
America's Truckin' Network -- 1/16/24

America's Truckin' Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 16, 2025 41:36 Transcription Available


Weather and California fires continue to dominate the headlines. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) this week, Kevin explains the difference between the two and digs into the details. Oil prices react to falling U.S. crude oil inventories, the lowest in nearly 3 years; a weaker dollar; Israel and Hamas agreeing to a ceasefire and hostage release; U.S. sanctions potentially disrupting supplies; OPEC predicting increases in global demand.

How to Trade Stocks and Options Podcast by 10minutestocktrader.com
A Once in a Lifetime Financial Event Is Here | 1.15.25 OVTLYR Trading Room

How to Trade Stocks and Options Podcast by 10minutestocktrader.com

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 16, 2025 36:48


This market's been all over the place lately, and today, we're breaking it all down. From the latest CPI data to why the market's been so confusing, we've got you covered. If you've been wondering whether to sit tight or make your next move, this video is for you. Here's What We're Talking About: ➡️ CPI Data Unpacked: We're diving into the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and what it says about inflation, interest rates, and the Fed's next steps. There's been a lot of noise, but we're cutting through it to show how it might shape the market. ➡️ Stocks and Market Trends: • What's up with the mixed signals? Bullish market breadth, bearish trends, and a whole lot of uncertainty. • Why sitting on cash might actually be the smartest play right now. • Updates on Tesla, Nvidia, AMD, and the AI revolution that's driving the market. ➡️ Trading Psychology Tips: • Why being “risk-aware” is key in this volatile market. • The power of patience: not every day has to be a trading day. • How to keep your cool when the market feels like a rollercoaster. ➡️ Cool Tools and Upgrades: • OVTLYR's behavioral heat maps and market breadth indicators are here to make sense of the chaos. • Big news: OVTLYR's new partnership with Tradier means commission-free trading and some sweet perks for users. #CPIData #StockMarket #TradingTips #MarketTrends #InflationReport #TradingPsychology #RiskManagement #TeslaStock #AIStocks #NvidiaStock #OVTLYR #DayTrading #Investing #StockTradingTools

700 WLW On-Demand
America's Truckin' Network -- 1/16/24

700 WLW On-Demand

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 16, 2025 45:12


Weather and California fires continue to dominate the headlines. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) this week, Kevin explains the difference between the two and digs into the details. Oil prices react to falling U.S. crude oil inventories, the lowest in nearly 3 years; a weaker dollar; Israel and Hamas agreeing to a ceasefire and hostage release; U.S. sanctions potentially disrupting supplies; OPEC predicting increases in global demand.

The Dividend Cafe
Wednesday - January 15, 2025

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 15, 2025 7:03


Market Surge: Analyzing a Strong Day in Equities and Bonds In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel reports from West Palm Beach, Florida, on January 15th. He highlights a significant uptick in the equity markets, with The Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq seeing notable gains. The bond market also experienced a rally, with a drop in the 10-year yield. Szytel analyzes the factors behind these movements, including better-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers, and offers insights into the impact of these inflation indicators on market behavior. Additionally, he discusses the Empire State Manufacturing Index, the Fed's Beige Book, and the positive results from big banks' trading revenues. Szytel also addresses a viewer's question about the potential for 10-year yields to surpass 5%, emphasizing the importance of fixed income investments in portfolios amid fluctuating interest rates. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:36 Inflation and Economic Indicators 01:48 Empire State Manufacturing Index and Beige Book Insights 02:49 Q&A: Interest Rates and Treasury Yields 05:09 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

The Dividend Cafe
Tuesday - January 14, 2025

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 14, 2025 6:03


Market Updates and Economic Insights - January 14th, 2025 In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel provides market updates from West Palm Beach, Florida, covering the mixed yet positive performance of major stock indices. The Dow Jones rose 221 points, S&P 500 saw a slight increase, while NASDAQ declined by about a quarter of a percent. Interest rates remained flat with a notable steepening of the yield curve, indicating positive economic signals. Highlights include a lower-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) and a significantly strong NFIB Small Business Survey reading. Comparisons were drawn between current economic conditions and those of the early 1980s. Listeners are encouraged to tune in for tomorrow's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:48 Inflation and Yield Curve Insights 01:52 Small Business Sentiment 02:40 Historical Economic Comparisons 03:39 Market Recap and Closing Remarks Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Blockchain DXB

⚠️ Disclaimer:This episode was entirely AI-generated using Google's Notebook LM. Please note that Google's Notebook LM has been criticized for being extremely left-leaning and displaying strong bias, which is inappropriate for AI-driven content creation. Listeners are encouraged to remain aware of potential biases and consume information critically. ⁠⁠Blockchain DXB⁠⁠ Podcast – 06thJan 2025 Three pivotal dates this month are set to steer Bitcoin and the crypto market's trajectory:

Money Wise
A Sideways Moving Market, The Santa Claus Rally, & RIA vs. Broker

Money Wise

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 14, 2024 80:32


In this week's episode, the Money Wise guys dive into Wall Street's recent performance, highlighting the Dow's 1.8% drop, the S&P 500's modest 0.6% decline, and the NASDAQ's 0.3% gain. Year-to-date, the Dow remains up 16.3%, the S&P 500 has climbed 26.9%, and the NASDAQ continues to lead with a 32.7% increase. The discussion shifts to the recent seven-day losing streak for the Dow—something not seen since 2020—and explores how technical indicators show markets moving sideways since early December. Historically, the second full week of December has shown similar flat or negative trends, even during a strong secular bull market. The guys also delve into inflation, dissecting the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports. While inflation remains relatively sticky, with both measures ticking slightly higher, they explore key factors such as rising wages, which continue to outpace inflation-adjusted earnings for many workers. Housing inflation remains a significant contributor, with mortgage rates hovering above 6.5%, and the guys explain why rates need to dip closer to 6% to see substantial relief in the real estate market. Looking ahead, the group anticipates the Federal Reserve's next move and examines the potential tone for 2025. While markets initially expected aggressive rate cuts next year, expectations have tempered, signaling caution and limited reductions as the Fed remains data-dependent. To close, the conversation touches on broader economic and political dynamics, including the potential for a “Santa Claus rally” post-Christmas and the implications of upcoming policies as the nation approaches a new president. The 'Santa Claus Rally' The Santa Claus Rally refers to the tendency for the stock market to experience a rise during the final trading days of December and the first few days of January. This seasonal phenomenon is often attributed to a combination of factors, including year-end tax strategies, holiday optimism, increased retail investor activity, and institutional investors closing their books for the year. While not guaranteed, the rally has historically been seen as a positive signal for market sentiment heading into the new year, providing investors with a boost of confidence during the holiday season. In the second hour, the Money Wise guys explore RIA vs. Broker. You don't want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

The International Business Podcast
#118: Weekly Concept: Inflation

The International Business Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2024 4:30


If you work across time zones, borders and cultures, this is the show for you. In the Weekly Concept series, Leonardo aims at defining a topic in international business. These are shorter episodes to illustrate key concepts in this discipline.   Today, we talk about inflation.   Inflation is an essential economic principle that denotes the overall rise in the costs of goods and services within an economy over time. This phenomenon results in a decline in the purchasing power of money, indicating that consumers can acquire fewer items with the same amount of currency. Inflation is typically measured using indices such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which tracks the average price changes in a basket of selected goods and services over a specified period, typically on an annual basis.   In today's connected global economy, inflation plays a big role in international business. Companies that work across borders have to deal with different inflation rates, which can impact how they set prices, their profit margins, and how competitive they are overall. Sources for further analysis: - Supply Chain and Inflation: Issues and Impacts  - Ford warns investors of an extra $1 billion in supply chain costs. - Connect with the host Leonardo Marra on LinkedIn.   - If you're looking for more content, be sure to check out the subscriber-only feed. For the cost of just one cup of coffee per month, you'll gain access to the full archive (102 episodes) and bonus subscriber-only episodes, in addition to our regular episodes. Subscribe here. - Subscribe to newsletter here

Schwab Market Update Audio
After Monday's Drop, Wall Street on Yield Watch

Schwab Market Update Audio

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2024 5:08


Investors have their eyes on Treasury yields following Monday's losses fueled partly by a yield rally. Rates could stay in focus ahead of Treasury auctions and CPI later this week.Here is Schwab's early look at the markets for Tuesday, December 10th: Major indexes begin the day licking their wounds and watching the bond market after moderate losses Monday to start a week dominated by U.S. inflation data and central bank meetings. Stocks finished near their lows yesterday, potentially putting the market in a weak spot on the charts as Tuesday dawns.Treasury yields rose across much of the curve Monday amid worries about tomorrow's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and reaffirmation by President-elect Trump that he stands by his tariff and deportation policies, which the market see as inflationary.  Adding to pressure on bonds, which move the opposite direction of yields, was The New York Federal Reserve's November consumer inflation expectations for the year ahead climbing to 3% from 2.9% in October. That followed year-ahead inflation expectations jumping to 2.9% from 2.6% in Friday's University of Michigan's preliminary December consumer sentiment report, the highest in six months. "CPI & PPI loom large this week, and markets will be fixated on this inflation data," said Joe Mazzola, head trading and derivatives strategist at Schwab.Besides CPI, tomorrow brings a rate decision from the Bank of Canada followed by Thursday's expected rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB). The CPI data and Thursday's Producer Price Index (PPI) could have a large impact on the U.S. rate outlook, but the Fed is seen almost certainly lowering rates when it gathers next week. Tech stumbled to start the week after driving last week's rally to record highs. The softness surfaced after China announced an anti-trust investigation into Nvidia (NVDA), which weighed on Nvidia and most other semiconductor stocks. Tech may find itself under more pressure today after Oracle (ORCL) disappointed late Monday with earnings that missed analysts' average estimate. Revenue came in as expected, dominated by AI-driven cloud performance, but shares fell 7% in pre-market trading. While Nvidia and semiconductors weighed on tech yesterday thanks partly to Beijing, not all the China news was bearish. China's Politburo shifted to looser monetary policy and promised more stimulus. This gave U.S.-listed Chinese stocks a boost and appeared to help U.S. gold mining and European luxury goods makers that might benefit from increased Chinese demand. Apple (AAPL), with a large presence in the Chinese market, registered a new all-time high Monday.  As of late Monday, traders saw an 86% chance rates will fall 25 basis points at the conclusion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting December 17–18 and a 14% chance of no move, based on the CME FedWatch Tool. It's unlikely the Fed would want to rock the boat by pausing next week with the market primed for a cut. But the central bank might deliver a so-called "hawkish trim," meaning it could lower rates and also express caution in its updated projections and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. Heading into Tuesday, the question is whether Wall Street sees any "buy the dip" action after Monday's washout. The worst performing S&P 500 sector yesterday was mega-cap dominated communication services, while only the defensive health care sector made any gains.The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 37.42 points (0.61%) Monday to 6,052.85; the Dow Jones Industrial Average®($DJI) slipped 240.59 points (0.54%) to 44,401.93; and the Nasdaq Composite®($COMP) fell 123.08 points (0.62%) to 19,736.69.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(1124-0130)

Levante Ideias de Investimento
Fechamento de Mercado - 10 Dez. 24

Levante Ideias de Investimento

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2024 40:07


Participe do Evento Seleção 10x: https://lvnt.app/z986ol 10/12 - Bolsa 0,80%, Dólar R$ 6,045, VAMO3 +10% e JBSS3 -4% Por que a Bolsa performou assim? 1º. O Ibovespa à vista já abriu em alta e atingiu o máximo em 128,5 mil pontos, às 10h40, para em seguida fraquejar um pouco e ficar oscilando entre 127,8 mil e 128,4 mil para fechar ao redor de 128,2 mil. O alta da bolsa foi devido a combinação de alguns fatores: 1. dólar recuando três centavos depois de dois dias altas com realização de lucros por parte de investidores, 2. quedas dos juros futuros seguindo o dólar e apesar da inflação de novembro, o IPCA, ter registrado 0,39%, um pouco acima do 0,36% esperados, e acumulado 4,87% maior que os 4,78% até outubro, 3. Minério de ferro alta de 1,4% aos 112,7 por tonelada e petróleo estável em US$ 72, e 4. Suposto otimismo do mercado devido a encontro de Lula com presidentes do Senado e Câmara onde teria sido pactuado um entendimento para atender anseios dos parlamentares e assim avançar as negociações para aprovação do pacote fiscal. Destaque para as ações de varejistas que vinham caindo com a alta de juros futuros e hoje recuperaram parte das quedas como verá nas maiores altas. 2º. Na B3, 12 ações subiram entre as 15 ações mais negociadas com destaques para: VALE3 0,1% R$ 59,97, PETR4 0,5% R$ 40,18, B3SA3 1,4% R$ 10,14, RENT3 2,3% R$ 34,33, BBDC4 2,2%R$ 12,51 BBAS3 0,70% R$ 24,85 e WEGE3 1,9% R$ 56,82. 3º. Apenas 3 ações caíram entre as 15 mais negociadas com destaques para: SUZB3 -3% R$ 64,54, JBSS3 -3% R$ 38,57 e MRFG3 -1,5% R$ 20,05. 4º. O preço do petróleo subiu apenas 0,1% para US$ 72 por barril de US$ 71,90, ontem, dentro do limite da volatilidade diária de -/+2%, e sem novidades 5º. O minério de ferro subiu 1,4% para US$ 112,7 de US$ 111,2 a tonelada, ontem, dentro do limite da volatilidade diária de -/+2%, e foi ainda reflexo do discurso de autoridades da China de uma política monetária mais frouxa para estimular a economia que poderia gerar maior demanda por aço e, por tabela, de minério. 6º. As bolsas americanas caíram pelo segundo dia, -0,35% Dow, -0,30% SP500 e Nasdaq -0,25%, com as ações da Oracle caindo -8% depois de divulgar resultados abaixo do esperado e investidores, no geral, na defensiva porque amanhã será divulgado a inflação ao consumidor (Consumer Price Index - CPI) de novembro onde espera-se 2,7% no acumulado em doze meses versus 2,6% no mês passado. Na próxima semana o Fed irá se reunir e a expectativa é um corte de -0,25% nos juros com o target dos fed funds sendo reduzidos de 4,50%-4,75% a.a. para 4,25%-4,50% a.a. 7º. O dólar recuou 3,5 centavos de R$ 6,08 para R$ 6,045, baixa de -0,85%, em função do suposto otimismo com as negociações para aprovação do pacote fiscal. Eu discordo e acho que foi gestores realizando lucros de posições compradas a R$ 6,05 na semana passada. Amanhã, o COPOM do Banco Central aumentará a taxa de juros da Selic em 0,75% ou 1,0% dos atuais 11,25% para 12% ou 12,25% a.a dependendo de quão complicado os diretores do BC julguem que está o cenário macroeconômico no Brasil com dólar em R$ 6,00 e inflação projetada de 4,87%, para 2024, e 4,59%, para 2025, ambas acima do teto da meta de 4,50%. 8º. O saldo de investimentos estrangeiros no mercado secundário da Bovespa, de ações já em negociação, ficou negativo em R$ 736 milhões na sexta-feira, 6 de dezembro, conforme informações da B3. Foi o quarto pregão seguido de compras líquidas no mercado secundário, que já acumula em dezembro um saldo positivo de R$ 940 milhões. No acumulado do ano, porém, o saldo de estrangeiros segue negativo em R$ 24,9 bilhões MAIORES ALTAS VAMO3 +12.08% R$ 5,94 CRFB3 +7.67% R$ 6,46 PETZ3 +7.61% R$ 4,10 PCAR3 +7.56% R$ 2,42 CVCB3 +5.29% R$ 2,19 MAIORES BAIXAS JBSS3 -3.91% R$ 38,37 BRFS3 -3.28% R$ 27,75 SUZB3 -3.06% R$ 64,61 MRFG3 -2.06% R$ 19,95 EMBR3 -1.05% R$ 55,85

Wine and Dime
Inflation, Interest Rates, and Market Performance: What You Need to Know for 2025

Wine and Dime

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 4, 2024 13:27 Transcription Available


About the Guest(s):Kerrie Beene is the Chief Investment Officer and a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ at Rooted Planning Group. With an extensive background in finance and investment strategies, Kerrie brings valuable insights into market trends and personal finance management. She is dedicated to simplifying complex financial concepts for individuals, guiding them toward achieving their financial goals.Episode Summary:Welcome to this insightful episode of Money Roots, where your host Kerrie Beene delves into the dynamics of today's financial market as we inch closer to 2025. This episode is pivotal for anyone interested in understanding inflation trends, interest rate movements, market performance, and the consequences of economic volatility on personal finance. With her extensive expertise, Kerrie provides actionable steps for listeners to adapt and thrive in ever-changing financial conditions.In this episode, we explore current market scenarios with a deep dive into the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, due December 11th, critical for gauging inflation. Kerrie unravels the complexities of core CPI and its implications on everyday expenses like groceries and rent. Additionally, the episode anticipates the Federal Reserve's meeting on December 17th-18th, discussing potential interest rate adjustments that could steer financial strategies. The dialogue enriches your understanding of stock valuations, recent market rallies, and the prospect of market valuation staying above average, offering a long-term investment perspective in the face of market fluctuations.Key Takeaways:Inflation Concerns: Understand the current trends in inflation and how they may affect personal spending and planning.Interest Rate Insights: Explore the potential impacts of continued Federal Reserve actions on borrowing costs and investment opportunities.Market Performance: Learn about the recent gains in stock indexes and the effects of tech stocks leading rallies.Investment Strategy: Insightful advice on maintaining balanced portfolios by knowing risk tolerance and setting long-term goals.Risk Management: The importance of a robust emergency fund to navigate through economic volatility.Notable Quotes:"Economists talk about core CPI because it can give us a more stable view of the underlying trends." — Kerrie Beene"Market dynamics are such that the market may stay overvalued until earnings catch up to valuations." — Kerrie Beene"Volatility, while unsettling, is a chance for disciplined investors to stay focused and avoid emotional reactions." — Kerrie Beene"Having three to six months of living expenses in an easily accessible account can prevent you from selling investments during volatile times." — Kerrie BeeneResources:Follow Kerrie Beene on her professional journey at Rooted Planning Group Website.Embark on the complete journey of financial enlightenment by listening to the full episode. Subscribe to Money Roots and stay tuned for more valuable insights that cultivate your financial knowledge and growth.

Let's Talk Money with Monika Halan
Why is Inflation So High?

Let's Talk Money with Monika Halan

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 21, 2024 17:56


In this episode, Monika explores why inflation has surged in India, hitting 6.2% in October 2024, the highest in over a year. She explains how inflation is measured using the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which tracks price changes in a basket of consumer goods and services. A consistent rise in the CPI indicates inflation, with a recent jump reflecting concerns about India's economic stability. The ideal inflation target for India is set between 2% and 6%, with 4% considered optimal for growth, but the current numbers exceed this range. Monika discusses the key contributors to the recent spike, particularly food inflation. October saw food and beverage prices soar to 9.69%, driven by a 42.2% increase in vegetable costs, along with rising cereal and oil prices. She highlights the persistent food inflation due to extreme weather conditions and challenges in the agricultural sector, exacerbated by the government's struggle to implement necessary reforms. These factors complicate inflation control, and Monika predicts that inflation might not ease until early next year, affecting consumer spending and economic growth. The recent closure of Durga Cooperative Bank is also discussed in this episode. The RBI canceled the bank's license, forcing customers to rely on deposit insurance for refunds. This situation underscores the risks of choosing high-interest cooperative banks, leading to a recommendation to prioritize safer options like large public or private banks for emergency fund deposits. Listener queries include Raj Krishan (name changed), who asks if his family's net worth of INR 7 crore, along with other resources, is sufficient to support his upcoming career switch to entrepreneurship. Another listener, Smitha, shares concerns about financial stability after returning from Australia and asks for guidance on managing property inheritance and finding employment in India. Lastly, Kumarjit inquires about how to choose a reliable financial planner, seeking clarity on professional credentials and fee structures. Chapters: (0:34 - 4:44) Why Inflation is Not Coming Down   (4:45 - 6:48) Why Are Food Prices So High?   (6:49 - 8:27) The Risk of Cooperative Bank Deposits (8:30 - 10:42) Is It Financially Secure Enough to Start a Business?   (10:44 - 13:37) Should You Stay in India or Return to Australia for Financial Stability?   (13:41 - 16:47) How to Choose a Financial Planner? https://www.amfiindia.com/locate-your-nearest-mutual-fund-distributor-details https://aria.org.in/  If you have financial questions that you'd like answers for, please email us at ⁠mailme@monikahalan.com⁠  Monika's book on basic money management ⁠⁠⁠https://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-money-english/⁠⁠⁠ Monika's book on mutual funds ⁠⁠https://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-mutual-funds/⁠⁠ Monika's workbook on recording your financial life ⁠⁠⁠https://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-legacy/⁠⁠⁠ Calculators ⁠⁠⁠https://investor.sebi.gov.in/calculators/index.html⁠⁠⁠ You can find Monika on her social media @monikahalan.  Twitter ⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠ Instagram ⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠ Facebook ⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠ LinkedIn ⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠ Production House: ⁠⁠www.inoutcreatives.com⁠⁠ Production Assistant:⁠⁠ Anshika Gogoi⁠

The FOX News Rundown
Business Rundown: What The Trump Transition Is Signaling To The Business World

The FOX News Rundown

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 15, 2024 18:18


It was a busy week in politics as President-elect Donald Trump's transition team announced many of the names he hopes will fill critical roles on his team. Trump also said he'd launch the Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE. The commission, led by Tesla CEO Elon Musk and former GOP presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, intends to cut government waste and make it work more effectively. However, there is also big economic news, as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed that inflation continues to tick up, prompting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to say they will be "cautious" with future rate cuts. Kenny Polcari, Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Taylor Riggs to discuss what the Trump transition is signaling to Wall Street and whether the Fed's news is giving them reason for concern. Photo Credit: AP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

From Washington – FOX News Radio
Business Rundown: What The Trump Transition Is Signaling To The Business World

From Washington – FOX News Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 15, 2024 18:18


It was a busy week in politics as President-elect Donald Trump's transition team announced many of the names he hopes will fill critical roles on his team. Trump also said he'd launch the Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE. The commission, led by Tesla CEO Elon Musk and former GOP presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, intends to cut government waste and make it work more effectively. However, there is also big economic news, as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed that inflation continues to tick up, prompting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to say they will be "cautious" with future rate cuts. Kenny Polcari, Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Taylor Riggs to discuss what the Trump transition is signaling to Wall Street and whether the Fed's news is giving them reason for concern. Photo Credit: AP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Fox News Rundown Evening Edition
Business Rundown: What The Trump Transition Is Signaling To The Business World

Fox News Rundown Evening Edition

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 15, 2024 18:18


It was a busy week in politics as President-elect Donald Trump's transition team announced many of the names he hopes will fill critical roles on his team. Trump also said he'd launch the Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE. The commission, led by Tesla CEO Elon Musk and former GOP presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, intends to cut government waste and make it work more effectively. However, there is also big economic news, as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed that inflation continues to tick up, prompting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to say they will be "cautious" with future rate cuts. Kenny Polcari, Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Taylor Riggs to discuss what the Trump transition is signaling to Wall Street and whether the Fed's news is giving them reason for concern. Photo Credit: AP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Final Bell
Wednesday Channel Final Bell with Arlan Suderman with StoneX | 11/13/24

The Final Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 13, 2024 14:01


The market is adjusting to a complex mix of factors this week. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) has been a focal point, adding to broader global expectations across markets. Flash sales activity remains a driving factor, with an eye on Brazilian growing conditions, which have been generally favorable. Additionally, the impact of elections continues to weigh on traders' minds, creating a level of uncertainty in pricing movements. For cattle, heavy weights and slower cash sales are contributing to cautious sentiment as the industry assesses near-term demand and pricing prospects.

Grain Markets and Other Stuff
Why Will the New Crop US Corn Carryout Fall Below 2bil Bushels??

Grain Markets and Other Stuff

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2024 11:08


Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links-Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.0:00 USDA Preview2:41 Ethanol Production is Strong5:55 Deere Stock7:17 Brazil Rain8:19 Flash Sale8:57 CPI Preview

Unleashing Intuition Secrets
Countdown to Collapse: The Breaking Point of Biden's Economy and What Comes Next

Unleashing Intuition Secrets

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2024 24:44


In this explosive episode, financial strategist Dr. Kirk Elliott and former Navy SEAL Michael Jaco break down the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, arguing that the government's inflation numbers don't even scratch the surface of what's really going on. They warn that runaway prices, fueled by reckless policies from the Biden administration, supply chain disruptions, and a looming East Coast port workers' strike, could trigger a 1970s-style economic meltdown. Elliott draws chilling parallels between today's situation and the crises of the Carter era, warning that this time the stakes are even higher. With the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate cuts failing to reignite consumer spending and a massive Chinese stimulus threatening global inflation, we could be headed for an unprecedented economic catastrophe. From skyrocketing energy prices to geopolitical tensions with Iran and Russia, the episode uncovers the hidden factors driving instability. As Elliott and Jaco dissect the Biden administration's missteps, from halting domestic energy production to blaming retailers for inflation, they reveal the deeper issues wreaking havoc on the economy. They call attention to underreported dangers like unrealized banking losses and the potential hyperinflation scenario no one's talking about. Amidst all this chaos, they explain why precious metals, particularly silver, have become the lifeboat for those looking to protect and grow their wealth. If you're concerned about your financial future and want expert insight on how to weather the coming storm, don't miss this must-listen episode. Reach out to the experts for actionable steps to safeguard your assets before it's too late! Join host Michael Jaco, Ex-Navy Seal, who teaches you how to tap into your Intuition and Unleash the Power within, so you can become the Master of your Reality. Connect with Michael Jaco at his website - michaelkjaco.com   LANDING PAGE for people to get a "FREE" precious metals consultation with Dr. Kirk Elliott: https://www.kepm.com

The Capitalist Investor with Mark Tepper
Debate Fallout: How Trump vs. Harris Impacts the Market and Economy, Ep. 285

The Capitalist Investor with Mark Tepper

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2024 12:44 Transcription Available


In the most recent episode of the Capitalist Investor, hosts Derek, Tony, and Luke dive into several compelling topics that are capturing the attention of investors and the general public alike. Here's a breakdown of the five hot topics discussed:1. The Presidential Debate: Key Takeaways and Market ImplicationsThe episode kicks off with a lively discussion about the recent presidential debate featuring Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Tony and Luke dissect the debate's chaotic nature, pointing out that both candidates seemed unfocused and often regurgitated pre-formed answers. They noted that Trump's tendency to revisit old talking points, like the border and past accomplishments, didn't sit well versus Harris's more rehearsed but emotionally appealing responses. This debate's immediate effect on the stock market was also scrutinized.2. Tax Plans and Market ReactionsOne of the major focal points was the potential impact of each candidate's tax strategies on the market. The hosts agreed that Harris's tax plan, if enacted, would likely be detrimental to the market. Derek highlighted the Democratic tax plan's shortcomings, explaining that it could lead to considerable market upheaval next year if implemented. Luke went further by giving his take on the intricacies and ramifications of different tax proposals, emphasizing the critical need for a coherent strategy from whichever administration takes office.3. Historical Market Trends and Election PredictionsThe discussion moved towards historical market trends as predictors for election outcomes. Luke explained the historically backed trend where an upward market in September and October signals an incumbent win, while a downward trend indicates a loss for the incumbent. With the market already down 2.53% in September, the hosts pondered whether this could signal Trump's potential victory. The analysis on market movement in response to election cycles provided listeners with an interesting perspective on market behavior. 4. Bond Yields and Inflationary ConcernsTony raised an important point regarding bond yields and inflationary pressures, noting that the market was down slightly until the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report came in hotter than expected. He questioned what the dip in yields might be pricing in, suggesting that another Trump term could bring inflationary concerns back to the forefront due to his tariff policies and economic outlook. This conversation underscored the complexity of market reactions to political and economic news. 5. Public Perception and Campaign StrategiesFinally, the hosts debated public perception following the debate. They noted that, despite a seemingly lackluster performance, Harris gained 4% in betting odds, with Trump losing an equal amount. This shift hinted at Harris's effectiveness in connecting with the average American voter. Derek expressed frustration with both candidates for targeting less informed audiences, urging for more substantial discussions on pressing issues. Additionally, Tony urged Trump to abandon the “rigged election” narrative and focus on forward-looking plans to bolster his campaign.The episode encapsulated a broad spectrum of critical issues, from tax policy and market trends to public perception and economic strategies. As the election approaches, these discussions serve as a valuable resource for investors looking to navigate the volatile political landscape. The insights provided by Derek, Tony, and Luke offer a nuanced view of the many factors influencing the market, making this a must-listen for anyone interested in the intersection of politics and investing. Don't forget to catch up on this enlightening episode if you haven't already! For more insights and to share your thoughts, contact the hosts  @swpconnect.com.

The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe Wednesday - September 11, 2024

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2024 5:52


September 11 Market Update and Inflation Insights In this episode of Dividend Cafe, host Brian Szytel begins with a somber remembrance of the September 11 terrorist attacks, offering thoughts and prayers to those affected. He proceeds with market commentary, noting an initial drop and subsequent recovery, likely influenced by the recent debate between former President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Szytel discusses key inflation data, highlighting that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers are in line with Federal Reserve targets. He also touches on the implications for upcoming interest rate decisions and the balance sheet. Finally, Seitel provides a preview of forthcoming economic data, including initial jobless claims and the Producer Price Index (PPI). 00:00 Introduction and Remembrance of 9/11 00:33 Market Opening and Debate Impact 01:05 Market Performance and Analysis 01:51 Inflation Data and Federal Reserve Expectations 03:34 Upcoming Economic Indicators and Closing Remarks Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Trader Merlin
Nvidia Saves the Day! – 09/11/24

Trader Merlin

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2024 54:35


Today we break down today's biggest market movers and financial headlines! We'll cover how NVIDIA stock rallied and helped lift the broader stock market, delivering a much-needed boost. We'll also dive into the latest earnings report from GameStop, analyzing the numbers and what they mean for investors. Additionally, we'll provide a recap of the presidential debate, discussing the key moments and potential market impacts. Finally, we'll dissect the new Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, examining what it means for inflation trends and future economic policy. Key Topics: NVIDIA Stock Surge: How NVIDIA's performance turned around the market and what's driving this tech giant's success. GameStop Earnings Report: A deep dive into GameStop's latest earnings, what they mean for the company's future, and how investors are reacting. Presidential Debate Recap: Key takeaways from the debate, potential policy impacts, and market implications. CPI Data Breakdown: Understanding the latest CPI numbers, inflation concerns, and the Federal Reserve's possible next moves. This is a must-watch for anyone looking to stay informed on the latest market trends, economic data, and political developments affecting the financial world.  #NVIDIAStock#NVDA #GME #StockMarket #GameStopEarnings #PresidentialDebate #CPIData #Inflation #MarketNews #FinanceLiveShow #EconomicTrends #InvestmentNews #FinancialMarkets Contact TraderMerlin: Email – TraderMerlin@gmail.com Follow TraderMerlin: Twitter: TraderMerlin - https://twitter.com/TraderMerlin IG: TraderMerlin - https://www.instagram.com/tradermerlin/ FB: TraderMerlin  - https://www.facebook.com/TraderMerlin Live Daily Show:  - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCczw6L9MSllTvWDK1fNlLrg Trading Applications used: -          Clik -          TradeStation -          Tradingview

Epic Real Estate Investing
The CPI Report That Might Just Change Real Estate Forever | 1332

Epic Real Estate Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2024 7:49


What if today's economic data holds the key to unlocking cheaper borrowing and boosting your real estate investments? In this eye-opening episode, we dive into the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and what it could mean for your financial future. With inflation cooling down, the Fed might soon lower interest rates, making it easier to secure lower mortgage rates and invest more strategically. But that's not all—lower rates could also spike homebuyer demand, driving up property values and potentially supercharging your portfolio. However, the window for action might be short, so now is the time to scout for deals, consider turnkey properties, and lock in investments before the competition heats up. If you're tired of the 9 to 5 grind and looking to create passive income streams, this episode is a must-listen. I'll break down everything you need to know to navigate the upcoming market shifts and position yourself for maximum gains. Tune in now, and stay ahead of the curve—because the next few months could be pivotal for your investment journey. Don't miss out on this golden opportunity! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Wealth Formula by Buck Joffrey
453: News of the Week 08/14/24

Wealth Formula by Buck Joffrey

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2024 31:43


In this Episode, Buck and Zulfi discuss various topics related to the financial market and investment strategies. They touch on the yen carry trade, the impact of the unemployment report on the market, and the potential for a recession. They also discuss the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and its impact on inflation, as well as […] The post 453: News of the Week 08/14/24 appeared first on Wealth Formula.

Latinos In Real Estate Investing Podcast
Currency Turmoil and Economic Clues | Weekly Business Briefs w/ Martin Perdomo

Latinos In Real Estate Investing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2024 11:54 Transcription Available


Send us a Text Message.Is the yen's recent tumble a harbinger of more economic turbulence to come? Our latest episode unpacks the complexities of the currency market chaos as the yen battles against the dollar amidst significant investor anxiety and major sell-offs. We explore the intricate dynamics of the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts and Japan's steadfast monetary policies, along with the critical role of the yen-carry trade. Plus, we'll decode how upcoming US economic indicators, especially the Consumer Price Index (CPI), might steer market sentiments and future financial strategies.Next, we scrutinize the Federal Reserve's precarious balancing act as it navigates modest inflation upticks and the specter of a slowing labor market. With the July jobs report and the producer price index (PPI) painting a nuanced picture, the Fed's next move is under intense scrutiny. Hear why Fed Governor Michelle Bowman might resist a rate cut, and understand the broader implications of these interconnected economic signals. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis that links these critical elements and projects their potential impact on the global market landscape.This episode is brought to you by Premier Ridge Capital.Sign Up for our Newsletter and get our FREE E-Book where you'll learn everything you need to know about creating financial freedom through multifamily syndication.Visit www.premierridgecapital.com now! This episode is brought to you by Premier Ridge Capital.Build Generational Wealth As A Passive Investor In Multifamily Real Estate Syndication!Visit www.premierridgecapital.com to find out more.Support the Show.

Epic Real Estate Investing
Inflation and Today's CPI Report: What Every Real Estate Investor Must Know | 1313

Epic Real Estate Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 12, 2024 4:14


In this episode, Matt dives deep into the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, revealing surprising insights that could redefine your real estate investment strategy. Discover why inflation unexpectedly dropped to 3%, and what this means for potential interest rate cuts. Uncover the crucial economic factors influencing the Federal Reserve's upcoming decisions and how they could impact your investments. Plus, debunk a prevailing myth about uncovering the best real estate deals and get introduced to the revolutionary 10X Home Finder tool. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting out, this episode equips you with essential knowledge to stay ahead in today's dynamic market. Ready to optimize your real estate portfolio? Hit play now and elevate your investment game! P.S. Whenever you're ready to go deeper and further with your real estate investing, looking into my partner program to help you get your first deal might be the move... take the first step here for free