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In this episode, we explore how successful individuals make a powerful shift in perspective—from seeing money as an end goal to a tool for unlocking opportunities and building sustainable, long-term wealth. Today's Stocks & Topics: SBSW - Sibanye Stillwater Limited ADR, GOOG - Alphabet Inc., Market Wrap, The Millionaire Mindset: How Successful People Think About Money, ETFs that Pay Weekly Dividend, Stock Support, BIIB - Biogen Inc., Mortgage Rates, BHP - BHP Group Limited ADR, RIO - Rio Tinto plc ADR.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic: https://claude.ai/INVEST* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about the new drop in mortgage rates and whether the Fed rate cut has already been priced in. Related to this episode: Have Fed rate cuts already been priced into mortgage rates? | HousingWire HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are lower mortgage rates breathing new life into the housing market? In this video, we break down the latest data showing a surge in purchase applications, what the recent inflation report means for the Fed's next move, and how buyers and sellers can capitalize on current market conditions. Whether you're navigating the Philadelphia real estate market or watching nationally, this update is for you.
EXCLUSIVE: Is your money safe in today's economy? In this bonus interview, Paula Pant sits down with financial expert Rob Berger to unpack the latest on inflation, interest rates, market valuations, and the future of Social Security. Together, Paula and Rob dive into the tough questions: Is the American Dream dead for Gen Z? Will there be another market crash? How should you invest when stocks feel overpriced? Can you still retire comfortably if Social Security gets cut? Rob also shares his insights on asset allocation, diversification, and long-term investing strategies — advice that matters whether you're in your 20s saving for a first home or in your 60s planning for retirement. Don't miss this conversation between Paula Pant and Rob Berger — a deep dive into money, markets, and the decisions that shape your financial future. Timestamps: (04:19) CPI Numbers, Mortgage Rates, and Market Outlook (05:05) Inflation, Jobs & the Fed's Dilemma (05:46) Stagflation Concerns (06:38) Interest Rate Predictions (07:29) Stock Market Valuations & The Magnificent Seven (09:46) Diversification & Index Fund Concerns (10:53) Rules of Thumb for Asset Allocation (12:07) Bonds: TIPS vs. Nominal Treasuries (13:04) The Future of Social Security (14:41) Retirement Planning for Ages 55–60 (16:59) Should You Invest More Aggressively Near Retirement? (18:52) Gen Z, Millennials & the American Dream (21:08) Action Plan for a 25-Year-Old Buyer (22:45) Predictions for 2026 (and Why Predictions Fail) (25:12) Closing Thoughts & Where to Find Rob Berger Resources mentioned: The Rob Berger Show on YouTube Free Asset Location Cheat-Sheet Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
For investors looking to make sense of housing-related assets amidst changes in Fed policy stance, our co-heads of Securitized Product Research Jay Bacow and James Egan offer their perspective on mortgage rates and the market.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- James Egan: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Jim Egan, co-head of Securitized Products Research at Morgan Stanley.Jay Bacow: I'm Jay Bacow, the other co-head of Securitized Products Research at Morgan Stanley.Today we're talking about the Fed, mortgage rates and the implications to the housing market.It's Monday, September 15th at 11:30am in New York.Now Jim, the Fed is meeting on Wednesday, and both our economists and the market are expecting them to cut rates in this meeting – and continue to cut rates at least probably two more times in 2025, and multiple times in 2026. We've talked a lot about the challenges and the affordability in the U.S. homeowners' market, in the U.S. mortgage market.Before we get into what this could help [with] the affordability challenges, how bad is that affordability right now?James Egan: Sure. And as we've discussed on this podcast in the past, one of the biggest issues with the affordability challenges in the U.S. housing market specifically is how it's fed through to supply issues as the lock-in effect has kept homeowners with low 30-year mortgage rates from listing their homes.But just how locked in does the market remain today? The effective rate on the outstanding mortgage market, kind of the average of the mortgages outstanding, is below 4.25 percent. The prevailing rate for 30-year mortgages today is still over 6.25 percent, so we're talking about two full percentage points, 200 basis points outta the money.Jay Bacow: And that seems like a lot. Has it been that way in the past?James Egan: If we look at roughly 40 years of data ending in 2022, the market was only 100 basis points outta the money for eight individual quarters. The most it was ever out of the money was 135 basis points. We have now been more than 200 basis points out of the the money for three entire years, 12 consecutive quarters. So, this is very unprecedented in the past several decades.But Jay, our economists are calling for Fed cuts, the market's pricing in Fed cuts. How much lower is the mortgage rate going for these affordability equations?Jay Bacow: We actually don't think that the Fed cutting rates necessarily is going to cause the mortgage rate to come down at all. And one way we can think about this is if we look at it, the Fed has already cut rates 100 basis points over the past year, and since the Fed has cut rates 100 basis points in the past year, the mortgage rate is 25 basis points higher.James Egan: Okay, so if I'm not going to be looking at Fed funds for the path of mortgage rates going forward, I have two questions for you.One, what part of the Treasury term structure should I be looking at? And two, you talked about the market pricing in Fed cuts from here. What is the market saying about where those rates will be in the future?Jay Bacow: So, mortgage rates are much more sensitive to the belly of the Treasury curve. Call it the 5- and 10-year portions than Fed funds. They have a little bit of sensitivity to the third year note as well. And when we think about what the market is expecting those portions of the Treasury curve to do, I apologize, I'm going to have to nerd out. Fortunately, being a nerd comes very naturally to me.If you look at the spread between the 5- and the 10-year portion of the treasury curve, 10 years yield about 50 basis points more than the 5-year note. So, you think about it, an investor could buy a 10-year note now. Or they could buy a 5-year note now and then another 5-year note in five years, and they should expect to get the same return if they do either one.So, if they buy the 10-year note right now at 50 basis points above where the 5-year note is. Or they buy the 5-year note, right now, the 5-year note in five years would have to yield 100 basis points above to get the average to be the same. Well, if the 5-year note in five years is 100 basis points above where the 5-year note is right now, mortgage rates are also probably going to be higher in five years.James Egan: Okay, so that's not helping the affordability issues. What can be done to lower mortgage rates from here?Jay Bacow: Well, going back to my inner nerd, if you brought the 5- and 10-year Treasury yields down, that would certainly be helpful. But mortgage rates aren't just predicated on where the Treasury yields are.There's also a risk premium on top of that. And so, if the mortgage originators can sell those loans to other investors at a tighter spread, that would also help bring the rate down. And there are things that can be done on that front. So, for instance, if the capital requirements for investors to own those mortgages go down, that would certainly be helpful.You could try to incentivize investors in a number of different ways, that's one front. But in reality, a lot of these fees are already sort of stuck in place. So, there's only so much that can be done.Now, Jim, let's suppose. I am wrong. I've been wrong in the past. A lot of times with you. I thought the Patriots were gonna beat the Giants in both Super Bowls. Somehow Eli Manning proved me wrong.However, if the mortgage rate does come down, how much does it have to come down for housing activity to start picking up?James Egan: So, this is a question we get asked roughly six to seven times a day…Jay Bacow: How did Eli Manning beat the Patriots?James Egan: How far mortgage rates have to come down in order to really get housing sales started again. And because of the backdrop of today's housing and mortgage markets that we laid out at the top of this podcast, it's really difficult to empirically point to a mortgage rate and calculate this is where rates have to fall to.So, what we have been doing instead is looking at historic periods of affordability improvement, and seeing how much do we need to get that affordability ratio down to get a sustainable growth in sales volumes from here.Jay Bacow: All right. And how much do we have to get that affordability ratio down?James Egan: So, a sustainable increase; historically, we've needed about a 10 percent improvement in the affordability ratio…Jay Bacow: Alright, help me out here. I think about mortgage payments as more of a function of the rate level. So, if we're in the context of like 6.25, 6.5 right now, how far does the mortgage rate need to drop to get a 10 percent improvement? Assuming that there's no change in borrower's income or home prices.James Egan: In that world, we think you need about 100 basis point move. It would take the 30-year mortgage rate to call it, 5.5 percent.Jay Bacow: All right, so if mortgage rates go to 5.5 percent, then we're going to immediately see housing activity pickup.James Egan: That is not exactly what we're saying. What we've seen is the 10 percent improvement is enough to get sustainable growth in sales volumes. A year after you start to see that real improvement, the contemporaneous moves can be up, they can be down. Given what our economists are saying for the labor market going forward, what they're saying for growth in the United States, we do think you can see a little bit of contemporaneous growth.If you start to see that 100 basis point move in mortgage rates now, we think you'll get about a 5 percent increase in purchase volumes as we move through 2026 with the potential for upward inflection in 2027 from that 5 percent growth number – again, if we get that move in mortgage rates.Jay Bacow: Alright, so we expect the Fed to cut rates about 150 basis points over the next year and a half. It doesn't necessarily have to bring the mortgage rate down. But if the mortgage rate does go down to in the context of 5.5 percent, we should start to get a pickup in housing activity maybe the year after that.Jim, always a pleasure talking to you.James Egan: Pleasure talking to you too, Jay. And to all of you regularly hearing us out, thank you for listening to another episode of Thoughts on the Market.Jay Bacow: Please leave us a review or a like wherever you get this podcast and share your Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.James Egan: Go smash that subscribe button.
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about what to expect this week from the Federal Reserve meeting and how mortgage rates could move in response. Related to this episode: Today's Mortgage Rates | HousingWire HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
You’ve been hearing about it for weeks and even months! It’s happening now!! Home mortgageinterest rates have dropped. Is the drop significant? And what will it mean to you as aHomebuyer or Homeseller? Our expert Realtors at Berkshire Hathway HomeServices PremierProperties are here to answer those questions. Pat Karley and Karena Carlson are here to sharewhat they know.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mortgage rates have dropped to a new low for 2025, now averaging 6.27%. The surprising part? It happened even as inflation came in hotter than expected. The reason lies in a sudden spike in jobless claims, led by Texas, that shook bond markets and sent Treasury yields lower. In this episode, Kathy Fettke breaks down why labor data is outweighing inflation concerns, what continuing claims at a three-year high signal for the job market, and why bond traders are betting on a softer economy. You'll also learn what level of jobless claims could tip the U.S. into recession territory — and why the upcoming Fed meeting could be one of the most dramatic in years. JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://realwealth.com/join-step-1 FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://link.chtbl.com/RWS
This Flashback Friday and 10th episode is from Creating Wealth 410, published last September 8, 2014. Dr. Jill Ammon-Wexler is a doctor of psychology with over 45 years of pioneering brain/mind research experience. In addition to teaching mind power methods in universities and corporations, she was invited by former President Jimmy Carter to support his Special Commission on Women in Business, was invited to serve as a Pentagon consultant focused on business communications, and has authored over 30 books and hundreds of articles in both business and individual success categories. Unlike other personal development approaches, her focus is on refining brain/mind power to create more successful action. Instead of presenting strategies that never work in the real-world, you'll get genuine science-based information that can be immediately implemented. Learn more by scrolling down the page to check out Dr. Jill's books, audio books, and other materials. In her books, audio books and programs, Dr. Jill Ammon-Wexler provides insights and action plans for every area of your life: from higher states of awareness to personal achievement ... from instant stress management to healthy longevity ... from enhanced mental performance to mind/brain enhancement. Getting more satisfaction in life does not necessarily result from taking the latest personal growth program. True, this set your feet on a more productive path. BUT...true lasting success only happens when you commit to direct your thoughts and actions every day. In other words, your daily mental habits and resulting actions are what help you create the life and business conditions you want. When not writing or teaching, Dr. Jill enjoys artistic pursuits, gardening and being out-of-doors, good conversation, home and garden design, and kayaking and skiing. Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
Mortgage rates fall to a yearly low. Will the Fed cut drive them down further? Or is the cut already priced in? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about the lowest mortgage rates of the year and how rates were impacted by the CPI report and jobless claims. Related to this episode: Mortgage rates hit new 2025 low as jobless claims spike | HousingWire HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
With a tsunami of mortgage renewals hitting this fall and wild swings in rate predictions, borrowers are scrambling to navigate unprecedented volatility in the mortgage market. Mortgage broker Kyle Green sits down with Adam & Matt this week to decode the chaos as his team sees a 50% spike in inquiries while Bank of Canada rate cut odds swing from 15% to 90% in a single week. From the Trump tariff impact that flipped variable versus fixed strategies to banks pushing aggressive year-end specials before October deadlines, this conversation cuts through the noise to reveal what actually drives your mortgage rate and when timing might save you serious money. Will September finally bring the rate relief borrowers are banking on? What's behind the disconnect between falling rates and flat market activity? And when the spread between three-year and five-year terms is only 20 basis points, how do you calculate which option actually saves you money over time? Don't miss this essential fall mortgage guide!
Think you can't afford to buy a home in Kansas City or that the mortgage process is a headache? Think again! In this episode of "In a World With Real Media," host Brad Burrow sits down with Danielle Hugunin and Jarod Temple—producing area managers at Bell Bank Mortgage—to reveal little-known Kansas City mortgage grants, why family-owned banks are shaking up the industry, and the real strategies behind buying your first (or next) home in KC. Learn how Bell Bank's unique “Not For Sale” culture, hands-on service, and commitment to community can make all the difference. Whether you're a first-time buyer, a parent helping your kids build credit, or just curious about the wild world of real estate, this episode is packed with actionable advice, surprising tips, and stories you won't hear anywhere else. Tune in and discover how you can unlock the door to your dream home in Kansas City—often with less money down than you ever imagined!
Latest details on the fatal shooting of conservative activist Charlie Kirk — what investigators are now revealing, where the manhunt for the gunman stands, and the growing tributes to his life. Also, commemorating the 24th anniversary of the Sept. 11 attacks with an inside look at the remarkable team that cares for the reflecting pools at the 9/11 Memorial and Museum. Plus, breaking down the latest mortgage rates for the real-estate market and the impact they could have on buyers and sellers.
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about inflation and how tariffs are affecting mortgage rates. Related to this episode: Lower mortgage rates are impacting housing demand more noticeably now | HousingWire HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Want to grow your business? Download your free roadmap today: coltivar.com/growth Major moves and market momentum in this week's top financial stories, including: Stocks Rally as Fed Cut NearsJob Growth Revised Sharply LowerMortgage Rates Hit 11-Month LowOracle Signs $300B Deal with OpenAISaudi Arabia Bets Big on SolarTune in for smart commentary, sharp context, and the financial insight you need to lead in a changing world — only on FinWeekly._______________________________________Disclaimer:The views expressed here are those of the individual Coltivar Group, LLC (“Coltivar”) personnel quoted and are not the views of Coltivar or its affiliates. Certain information contained in here has been obtained from third-party sources. While taken from sources believed to be reliable, Coltivar has not independently verified such information and makes no representations about the enduring accuracy of the information or its appropriateness for a given situation.This content is provided for informational purposes only, and should not be relied upon as legal, business, investment, or tax advice. You should consult your own advisers as to those matters. References to any securities or digital assets are for illustrative purposes only, and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendations. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. Please see https://www.coltivar.com/privacy-policy-and-terms-of-use for additional important information. LinkedIn | YouTube coltivar.com
Sign up for the Jason Hartman University Event this coming September https://www.jasonhartman.com/Phoenix . Also don't forget to register for our FREE Masterclass every second Wednesday of each month at https://jasonhartman.com/Wednesday In the introduction, Jason primarily focuses on two key topics: upcoming investment opportunities and a significant legal scandal. He first details an upcoming Phoenix event that will introduce attendees to methods for extracting home equity without affecting existing low-interest mortgages or incurring new monthly payments, and reveal a novel property investment type offering high monthly income relative to purchase price. Subsequently, he transitions to a scathing exposé of Marco Santorelli, a former competitor accused of defrauding investors of $62.5 million through a Ponzi scheme involving bogus promissory notes, with Jason using official government and news sources to highlight the severity of the charges and the devastating impact on victims. Jason then joins Gene Morris of Rebel Capitalist. He asserts that the market is currently experiencing minimal distress, despite ongoing debates about a housing deficit, which he estimates at 4.5 million homes. He argues that housing inventory remains exceptionally low when adjusted for population growth, comparing current levels to those of the 1990s and 2017 but with a significantly larger population. Jason critiques the S&P 500's real returns, claiming they are almost nonexistent when adjusted for inflation, which he believes is understated by the CPI. He advocates for real estate as a superior investment strategy due to its ability to leverage debt, with tenants covering costs and offering substantial returns, far outpacing inflation, especially in a "ludicrous mode" scenario of 15% appreciation. Jason concludes that real estate prices are unlikely to crash without a significant number of distressed homeowners and that even a slight decrease in mortgage rates could unlock millions of new buyers, further exacerbating the existing supply-demand imbalance. #HousingMarket #RealEstate #HousingDeficit #InventoryLevels #HousingAffordability #MortgageRates #PropertyAppreciation #IncomeProperty #LeverageInvesting #CashOnCashReturn #BeatInflation #StockMarketVsRealEstate #S&P500 #CPIUnderstated #RealVsNominal #FinancialEngineering #MarketDistress #RebelCapitalist #Doomers #InvestmentStrategy #DemandSupply #UnmetDemand #NewBuyers #RentalMarket #HousingShortage #LongTermInvesting #AssetClass #ShelterIsNecessary Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 1:33 Sign up for the Jason Hartman University Event this coming September https://www.jasonhartman.com/Phoenix 2:02 A couple of big announcements 7:47 4 reasons to join the JHU event 9:37 Sponsor: https://www.monetary-metals.com/Hartman 10:09 The Marco Santarelli scandal Jason's interview with Gene Morris 15:45 Update on Housing inventory 17:23 S & P 500 versus Inflated Adjusted Returns 18:47 Power of leverage 20:59 September ICE mortgage monitor and delinquencies 21:54 An asteroid hitting the US, Consumer expectations and financial engineering Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
Join economist Dr. Orphe Divounguy and Chris Krug as they discuss the likelihood of multiple Fed rate cuts in the coming months and the impact on the housing market on this episode of Everyday Economics! Everyday Economics is an unrehearsed, free-flow discussion of the economic news shaping the day. The thoughts expressed by the hosts are theirs, unedited, and not necessarily the views of their respective organizations. Support this podcast: https://secure.anedot.com/franklin-news-foundation/ce052532-b1e4-41c4-945c-d7ce2f52c38a?source_code=xxxxxx
Tired of filling out multiple applications and taking multiple credit hits just to shop for the best mortgage rate? In this live event, I'll show you how to: ✅ Compare offers from 30+ mortgage lenders at once ✅ Use just 1 application to save time and stress ✅ Get it all done with only 1 credit pull — protecting your score Whether you're buying your first home, refinancing your current mortgage, or just keeping an eye on rates, this method puts you in control of your loan shopping. No more confusion, no more wasted time — just side-by-side comparisons that can save you thousands.
Your 60-second money minute. Today's topic: Mortgage Rates Near Lowest In A Year
In this week's episode of FTR's Trucking Market Update podcast, we examine payroll employment in trucking and in the broader economy and look at economic indicators related to manufacturing and trade. Plus, we recap the week in the spot market for truck freight.The Trucking Market Update is hosted by FTR's Vice President of Trucking, Avery Vise. As this information is presented, you are welcome to follow along and look at the graphs and indicators yourself by downloading the presentation.Download the PDF: https://ftrintel.com/trucking-podcast Support the show
Following a disappointing August jobs report, mortgage rates dropped to their lowest level since October, sparking new opportunities in the housing market. With potential Fed rate cuts ahead and increased affordability, buyers and sellers alike may need to act quickly. Here's what you need to know about this shifting real estate landscape.
When Warren Buffett makes a move, investors take notice. He just poured nearly $1 billion into homebuilders Lennar and D.R. Horton—despite a sluggish housing market. In this episode, Ron Phillips breaks down Buffett's bet, why real estate fundamentals still point upward, and what most people get wrong about interest rates and mortgages. If you're waiting on the sidelines or already investing, this episode shows why Buffett's strategy matters for you. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN FROM THIS EPISODE Reasons why Warren Buffett invested heavily in Lennar and D.R. Horton despite a sluggish housing market How long-term supply and demand dynamics make residential real estate a solid bet The critical role of land banking in positioning builders for rapid growth Why Fed rate cuts and mortgage rates aren't the same thing and why waiting for the Fed may be a mistake What Buffett's strategy signals for investors who are debating whether to act now or hold cash RESOURCES MENTIONED IN THIS EPISODE DR Horton Lennar Jerome Powell CONNECT WITH US: If you need help with anything in real estate, please email invest@rpcinvest.com Reach Ron: RP Capital Leave podcast reviews and topic suggestions: iTunes Subscribe and get additional info: Get Real Estate Success Facebook Group: Cash Flow Property Facebook Community Instagram: @ronphillips_ YouTube: RpCapital Get the latest trends and insights: RP Capital Newsletter
Segment 1: Ilyce Glink, owner of Think Glink Media, joins John Williams to talk about mortgage rates coming down, Friday’s weak labor report, the likelihood the Fed cuts rates in September and October, the nine metro areas with housing markets worth more than $1 trillion, and a new survey shows a retirement confidence gap. Segment 2: Jim Dallke, Director […]
September 8, 2025 ~ David Hall, founder and CEO of Hall Financial, talks with Chris and Jamie about mortgage rates dropping sharply over the past few days.
Links & ResourcesFollow us on social media for updates: Instagram | YouTubeCheck out our recommended tool: Prop StreamThank you for listening!
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about the shocking jobs Friday report and how it drove a sizable drop in the 10-year yield and mortgage rates. Related to this episode: Shocking jobs report sends mortgage rates falling to new yearly lows | HousingWire HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
You don't always need to pick the hot technology stocks to get great returns Investing is very emotional and it's always nice to be part of the crowd and buy the hot stocks like Apple, Alphabet and Amazon, but they are not always the top performers. Sometimes your boring, undervalued companies can do very well. As an example, Apple over the years has performed nicely, but over the last five years the gain was 114%. Not a bad return, but if you held a boring company like Tractor Supply over the same five years, you would have a gain of 119%. Even an old insurance company like Allstate over the last five years was up 115%. Five years ago, if you saw the value in a company called Tapestry, which owns Coach and Kate Spade, your return was over 545%. Apple's not the only big tech company that was surpassed by these boring companies. If you look at Amazon over the last five years, you'll see a return of only 49%. One other area that is often discounted is that many of your boring companies are also paying dividends and generating cash flow that can be used to purchase other equities on sale. You may be thinking Apple does pay at dividend but it's important to note the yield is only 0.45%. Sometimes being boring is good and not being so concentrated in the hot stocks can pay off in the long run. I especially think this will be the case as we look out over the next 5-10 years! Another weak job report likely solidifies a Fed rate cut August non-farm payrolls increased by just 22,000, which was well below the estimate of 75,000. This weak report also comes with another month of negative revisions as employment in June and July combined is 21,000 lower than previously reported. Healthcare and social assistance continued to lift the headline number as the sectors added 31k and 16k jobs respectively. Many other areas in the report actually saw declines with payrolls in construction falling 7,000, manufacturing declining 12,000, and professional and business services dropping 17,000. Government also saw a decline of 16,000 jobs and I worry this is a ticking time bomb since employees on paid leave or receiving ongoing severance pay are counted as employed in the establishment survey and those that opted to take the government's offer at the beginning of the year will start coming off severance pay as the deal lasted through September. The most recent data I saw was that 75,000 federal employees took the offer, but not all were accepted into the program. I guess we will see the actual data and its impact over the next couple of months. With the weakness, I was surprised to see leisure and hospitality produce a gain of 28,000 jobs in the month. While much of this sounds concerning, the unemployment rate held relatively steady at 4.3% and that doesn't incorporate the fact that 1.9 million or 25.7% of all unemployed people were jobless for 27 weeks or more. My belief is that many of those that have been unemployed that long are skewing the data as I can't imagine they have been looking for a job that hard. With the unemployment rate low and deportations potentially weighing on the supply of workers, I just don't see how it would be possible to maintain strong job growth given the limited supply. Because of this I still don't remain overly concerned by the weak showing. Even with my lack of concern, this will likely lead to a Fed rate cut this month with markets now essentially putting odds for a 25-basis point cut at 100% and even a 50-basis point cut is now on the table with markets putting those odds at 12% after the job print. That's up from a zero percent chance on Thursday. Should you panic over the job opening data? The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey showed job openings fell to 7.18 million in the month of July. This was below the estimate of 7.4 million and also marked the lowest reading since September 2024. It was only the second time since the end of 2020 that job openings came in below 7.2 million. While this may sound troubling, I believe it just illustrates how crazy the labor market got after Covid. If we look at job openings before 2020, nearly 7.2 million openings would have been a great number. In 2016, job openings averaged 5.86 million; in 2017, job openings averaged 6.12 million; in 2018, job openings averaged 7.11 million; and in 2019, job openings averaged 7.15 million. So, while the headline may sound troubling, I still believe we could have job openings fall into the low 6 million range and it wouldn't be problematic, especially given the fact that unemployment remains extremely low. Even with that, I do believe the Fed will use this as further evidence of a softening labor market and that will give them the excuse to cut rates at the meeting this month. I'm still not convinced that is the right move, but we did hear from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, who is supposedly on the short list to replace Powell as Fed chair, that he believes there should be multiple cuts over the next few months, saying interest rates today are perhaps 1.0 to 1.5 percentage points above their “neutral” level. American luxury brands are destroying Europe's luxury brands It appears that European luxury brands like Gucci, Hermes and LVMH have increased their prices beyond what the average consumer is willing to pay. Currently, American consumers are spending the lowest share of discretionary income on luxury goods since 2019. The European luxury brands seem to have their heads in the clouds thinking American consumers would pay any price for a luxury purse from Europe. I think they have now discovered that the American consumer has reached their limit. Two luxury American brands have benefited from the ignorance of the European luxury brands. Both Ralph Lauren and Tapestry, which owns Coach and Kate Spade, have seen their sales increase. A chart of these luxury brands stocks shows European brands dropping while American brands have been increasing. One may be thinking now is the time to step in and buy Tapestry or Ralph Lauren, but with the recent stock increase they are no longer a great value as Ralph Lauren trades at over 20 times forward earnings and Tapestry is now over 19 times forward earnings. I would take a different side of the coin as I believe investors should understand that the European luxury brands will likely not just sit on their hands and do nothing and they will likely try and win back market share. With the increase in prices over the years I'm sure the profit margins are very fat, and they may have a good amount of space to do some heavy discounts to get their market share back. Both Tapestry and Ralph Lauren are dealing with the current tariff situation and that could hurt their profit margins going forward as well. On a side note, in years past we have warned people paying the high prices for European purses that they would not appreciate as much if at all. I have not researched it, but I feel pretty confident that if sales are down as much as they are, the resale on those expensive purses has probably dropped as well. Financial Planning: Mortgage rates reach 2025 low Mortgage rates have fallen to their lowest level of the year, reaching levels not seen since last October. Throughout 2025, 30-year mortgage rates have fluctuated between 6.5% and 7%, and as of Friday, September 5, they dipped as low as 6.29%. While this presents an opportunity for buyers and homeowners considering a refinance, caution is warranted. Rates are still likely to experience volatility even as the broader declining trend continues over the next several years. In 2024, mortgage rates actually rose at year-end despite the Federal Reserve implementing three rate cuts. In 2025, it is widely expected that the Fed will cut again in September, with additional cuts likely by year-end. This current window of lower rates may be worth taking advantage of, but paying upfront points may not be wise just yet, as there will likely be future opportunities to capture even lower rates. Companies Discussed: The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC), Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY), Snowflake Inc. (SNOW) & Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
The jobs report came out this morning and it was a painful one. The US added only 22,000 new jobs in August, according to the latest BLS report. And unemployment ticked up to 4.3%. What does this mean? Find out in today's First Friday episode! Timestamps: Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising run times. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths. (01:48) ADP vs BLS Jobs Data (04:33) Mortgage Rates & Their Impact on Homebuyers and Sellers (11:30) Fed Chair Jerome Powell's Remarks (12:54) The Fed's Dual Mandate Explained (15:58) The Fed's Changing Approach to Unemployment (18:13) Implications: Rate Cuts on the Table For more information, visit the show notes at https://affordanything.com/episode640 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
In this episode of Real Estate News for Investors, Kathy Fettke breaks down a new Bankrate Home Affordability Report that asks: what impacts buyers more, mortgage rates or home prices? The findings show that even a small drop in mortgage rates can lower monthly payments far more than a price cut. Kathy explains why waiting for home values to fall may not be the best strategy, how lower rates could trigger more demand, and what buyers can do now to prepare financially. You'll also hear the latest forecasts for mortgage rates, home price trends across the U.S., and what it all means for investors in 2025. LINKS: JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://realwealth.com/join-step-1 FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://link.chtbl.com/RWS SOURCE: https://www.bankrate.com/real-estate/rates-vs-prices-housing-affordability/
Sign up for the Jason Hartman University Event this coming September https://www.jasonhartman.com/Phoenix . Also don't forget to register for our FREE Masterclass every second Wednesday of each month at https://jasonhartman.com/Wednesday This Flashback Friday is from episode 418 published last September 26, 2014. Joel Skousen is a survivalist author and retreat consultant. He's the author of, "Strategic Relocation--North American Guide to Safe Places." Skousen discusses how our world becoming less stable because of a coming shortage in commodities. He then gives the best and easiest places to relocate to and how people can relocate if they have work or family ties. Last March, Joel walked away with just slight injuries from the crash of his Glasair kit plane. He shares that experience. Joel Skousen is a political scientist, by training, specializing in the philosophy of law and Constitutional theory, and is also a designer of high security residences and retreats. He has designed Self-sufficient and High Security homes throughout North America, and has consulted in Central America as well. His latest book in this field is Strategic Relocation--North American Guide to Safe Places, and is active in consulting with persons who need to relocate for security and increased self-sufficiency. He also assists people who need to live near a large city to develop contingency retreat plans involving rural farm or recreation property. Joel was raised in Oregon and later served as a fighter pilot for the US Marine Corps during the Vietnam era prior to beginning his design firm specializing in high security residences and retreats. During the 80's he took a leave of absence to serve as the Chairman of the Conservative National Committee in Washington DC. and concurrently served as the Executive Editor of Conservative Digest. For two years he published a newsletter entitled, the WORLD AFFAIRS BRIEF, and served as a Senior Editor of "Cogitations" a quarterly journal on law and government . The World Affairs Brief is now back in publication and is available as a weekly email newsletter or in a monthly print edition. Find out more about Joel Skousen at www.joelskousen.com. Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about the Federal Reserve and how labor data is driving mortgage rates this week. Related to this episode: Mortgage rates drop to 11-month low after weak ADP jobs print HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this conversation, Kathy Jones and Liz Ann Sonders discuss the current state of the housing market, the implications of potential Fed policy changes, and the broader economic indicators that could affect market expectations. They explore the complexities of housing affordability, the yield curve, and the potential impact of this week's job reports on both the equity and bond markets. The discussion highlights the interconnectedness of various economic factors and the uncertainty surrounding future market movements.Check out Liz Ann Sonders's and Kevin Gordon's recent housing article "Take the Long Way Home: Is Housing Bottoming?" On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.(0925-9RZJ)
From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger.
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about the job data coming in this week and how it's affecting mortgage rates. Related to this episode: Mortgage rates hit a new 2025 low after soft job openings report HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mortgage rates have dipped recently, but don't expect that trend to continue in 2025. Fannie Mae now projects rates will end the year around 6.5%—barely changed from today. Despite media hype, experts say a real plunge isn't coming anytime soon. In this LIVE episode we will discuss Fannie Mae's Mortgage Interest Rate Forecast while updating you on mortgage rates and the economy to help you in today's housing market.Start your stress-free loan journey todayJoin Rate Watch – we'll watch rates for youEmail: info@theeducatedhomebuyer.comConnect with Us
Is 2025 the perfect time to get into real estate investing? With falling mortgage rates, favorable tax laws, and shifting real estate markets across the US, there are all kinds of opportunities for rookie investors, and in this episode, we'll show you how to make your first or next move! Welcome back to the Real Estate Rookie podcast! The housing market is shifting fast, and today, we're providing you with an all-in-one investing update—chock-full of actionable advice to implement before the year ends. We'll also get into how the recent market shifts have affected our own real estate portfolios. Ashley shares the progress on her current live-in flip and why she's self-managing her short-term rentals, while Tony shares his latest revenue numbers on his 13-unit motel investment and why he's branching off into a new southwestern market! Whether you're a true beginner, a seasoned investor, or somewhere in between, we'll provide the game plan you need to get started in 2025 and a handful of tips on adapting to the current climate! In This Episode We Cover Whether you should invest in real estate in 2025 (or hold off until 2026!) How the One Big Beautiful Bill Act will affect new real estate investors Major rental pivots Ashley and Tony are making to prepare for 2026 The strategies Tony is using to stabilize his underperforming rentals Why Ashley is choosing to self-manage her short-term rental properties And So Much More! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/rookie-609 Interested in learning more about today's sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sign up for the Jason Hartman University Event this coming September https://www.jasonhartman.com/Phoenix . Also don't forget to register for our FREE Masterclass every second Wednesday of each month at https://jasonhartman.com/Wednesday Jason welcomes Christopher Leonard, a journalist and author, primarily focusing on his book, "The Lords of Easy Money: How the Federal Reserve Broke the American Economy." The discussion centers on the Federal Reserve's policies since 2008, particularly quantitative easing and keeping interest rates at zero, and their impact on asset inflation, wealth inequality, and the real economy. Leonard also briefly touches upon his other books, "Kochland" (about the Koch brothers and corporate power) and "The Meat Racket" (about monopolies in the meat industry), highlighting his interest in powerful institutions and their influence on American society. The interview criticizes the Fed's approach under various chairs, including Greenspan and Bernanke, and explores the broader implications of concentrated corporate power and the need for structural economic change. #ChristopherLeonard #LordsOfEasyMoney #FederalReserve #EasyMoney #MoneyPrinting #QuantitativeEasing #InterestRates #GreatRecession #BenBernanke #NewDeal #WallStreet #Inflation #PriceInflation #AssetInflation #AlanGreenspan #DotComBubble #HousingBubble #DoddFrank #DefenseIndustry #MilitaryIndustrialComplex Key Takeaways: 1:31 Easy money: More dollars printed in 4 years 5:45 The Maestro 8:41 A policy of driving up asset prices 12:49 Sponsor: https://www.monetary-metals.com/Hartman 13:22 Levers and Operation: Twist 20:15 Quantitative easing 23:51 Jerome Powell and the need for more control over the FED 26:07 Cut from the same cloth, Yellen and Bernanke 32:27 Kochland and The Meat Racket and the problem with lobbying 35:06 Glass-Steagall vs. Obama Care vs. Dodd-Frank Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com