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Yascha Mounk and Francisco Toro discuss the surprise election of Bernardo Arévalo and the broader state of Latin American politics. Francisco Toro is a Venezuelan journalist and the founder of Caracas Chronicles. He is also a contributing editor at Persuasion and the author of the Substack newsletter The Two Worlds of Climate. In this week's conversation, Yascha Mounk and Francisco Toro discuss the chances Guatemala's reformist president will set the country on a better path; whether El Salvador's “millennial dictator” Nayib Bukele is a regional outlier or a sign of things to come; and why former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro's coup attempt failed. This transcript has been condensed and lightly edited for clarity. Please do listen and spread the word about The Good Fight. If you have not yet signed up for our podcast, please do so now by following this link on your phone. Email: podcast@persuasion.community Website: http://www.persuasion.community Podcast production by Jack Shields, and Brendan Ruberry Connect with us! Spotify | Apple | Google Twitter: @Yascha_Mounk & @joinpersuasion Youtube: Yascha Mounk LinkedIn: Persuasion Community Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
#tijuanalife #collage #arte #tijuana --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/francisco-javier-garcia-r/support
Francisco was born in Venezuela and later watched that country's Democracy implode. He is now a journalist, a contributing editor to Persuasion and an expert on both Latin America and populism.
Silvio Berlusconi was a character without much of one. He led Italy longer than any prime minister in the post-war period, and he will be missed ... by prostitutes. In El Salvador, the president has conducted a major crackdown on crime, netting lawbreakers as well as many innocent people, and netting himself a 91% approval rating. Francisco Toro, Contributing Editor at Persuasion and contributor to the Washington Post, joins to discuss if democracy can survive in such an environment. And, speaking of the environment, the Canadian wildfires could change minds on climate change, even if we're not certain they are entirely the fault of climate change. Produced by Joel Patterson and Corey Wara Email us at thegist@mikepesca.com To advertise on the show, visit: https://advertisecast.com/TheGist Subscribe to The Gist Subscribe: https://subscribe.mikepesca.com/ Follow Mikes Substack at: Pesca Profundities | Mike Pesca | Substack Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
La excongresista Dilian Francisca Toro, integrante de la Coalición Equipo por Colombia, habló sobre las posibles alianzas que podría tener el colectivo integrado además por el exministro de Hacienda Juan Carlos Echeverry, el congresista conservador David Barguil y los exalcaldes Enrique Peñalosa (Bogotá), Alex Char (Barranquilla) y Federico Gutiérrez (Medellín). See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Éditorial de Richard Martineau : retour sur la soirée électorale. Le livre de Nathalie Normandeau. La Rencontre Lisée - Mulcair avec Jean-François Lisée, ancien chef du Parti québécois et Thomas Mulcair, ancien chef du NPD : Mulcair fait la lumière sur sa couette. Retour sur les résultats de la soirée électorale. Segment LCN avec Richard et Jean-François Guérin : retour sur les résultats de l'élection. Entrevue avec Claude Morin, maire de Saint-George de Beauce : il est soulagé ce matin que Maxime Bernier n'ait pas été élu. Chronique Crime et Société avec Félix Séguin, journaliste au Bureau d'enquête de Québecor : le gourou des Laurentides, Jean-Jacques Crèvecoeur. Nathalie Normandeau livre le fond de sa pensée sur Robert Lafrenière. La Rencontre Proulx-Martineau avec Gilles Proulx, chroniqueur au Journal de Montréal Journal de Québec : retour sur les résultats électoraux. La Rencontre Daoust-Martineau avec Yves Daoust, directeur de la section Argent du Journal de Montréal et du Journal de Québec : les Américains gourmands de l'électricité du Québec. Attention, les bourses sur le qui-vive. Entrevue avec Jean-Marc Léger, Président de la firme Léger : Jean-Marc Léger revient sur la soirée électorale. Encore une fois, les sondages de Léger étaient précis. Chronique de Joseph Facal, chroniqueur au Journal de Montréal & au Journal de Québec : retour sur les résultats électoraux. La Rencontre Bock-Côté - Martineau avec Mathieu Bock-Côté, chroniqueur blogueur au Journal de Montréal Journal de Québec et animateur du balado « Les idées mènent le monde » à QUB radio : retour sur les résultats électoraux. Entrevue avec Francisco Toro, commentateur politique vénézuélien et un chroniqueur collaborateur pour Global Opinions et The Washington Post. Il est directeur du contenu du Groupe des 50 : on revient sur les élections et on discute de sa lettre d'opinion dans le Washington Post : Un parti canadien donne toujours la priorité à la circonscription. C'est pourquoi je vote pour le Bloc québécois. Une production QUB radio Septembre 2021 Pour de l'information concernant l'utilisation de vos données personnelles - https://omnystudio.com/policies/listener/fr
Entrevue avec Francisco Toro, commentateur politique vénézuélien et un chroniqueur collaborateur pour Global Opinions et The Washington Post. Il est directeur du contenu du Groupe des 50 : on revient sur les élections et on discute de sa lettre d'opinion dans le Washington Post. Un parti canadien donne toujours la priorité à la circonscription. C'est pourquoi je vote pour le Bloc québécois. Pour de l'information concernant l'utilisation de vos données personnelles - https://omnystudio.com/policies/listener/fr
La presidenta del Partido de La U, Dílian Francisco Toro, afirmó que sus congresistas no votarán la Reforma Tributaria porque en su concepto se deben cambiar “unas líneas rojas” que afectan a la clase media.Manifestó que La U no está de acuerdo que se grave con impuestos a los asalariados y pensionados del país.
Use JESUS20 for 20% off at Swanson.com! Dan and Brad hosted a live meeting with SWAJ listeners. We had a great discussion of important questions. They are listed below: Questions for SWAJ Q+A, June 30, 2020: Randall Balmer’s three point definition of evangelical does not directly mention a belief in Hell or an afterlife. The evacuation plan seems to be such a focus in many churches and I believe this is foundational to many conversions, ie, the fear of spending eternity in a firey Hell or the promise of spending eternity in a heavenly mansion. Has there been any research as to how many people are converted out of fear, especially children? Would you consider the Great Commission a form of colonialism for Christian Nationalists? How did you choose your show music? 2. What does faith mean to you? 3. What kinds of research from other PhDs in your field do you hope to see coming out of the movement for Black lives? 4. The conservative takeover of the Southern Baptist convention - where did all those pastors, church members, and churches go that were either excommunicated or willingly left the SBC? Did they have any impact on evangelicalism, or did they just get out? Did they become a part of the religious left? 5. Has understanding about the origins of the religious right helped you to communicate with people still heavily involved in it? 6. Is it possible to be both libertarian and ethically concerned with social justice? Or do libertarian ideals always = alt right? 7. Does populism result in authoritarianism? I ask because of this op-Ed by Francisco Toro https://tinyurl.com/y8ql725r 8. Obviously American leadership contributes to our anti-science COVID tsunami. But rank and file citizens are the actual problem. Does Europe not have these people? Is the Brexit crowd an anti-mask crowd? Europe has an anti-vax movement. Why not this other garbage? 9. A question for your Q&A: how much did the interest in your podcast from outside the US surprise you? 10. I'm curious about your knowledge of the Falkirk Center at Liberty U? 11. What made the charismatic and neo-pentecostal churches embrace right wing politics?? 12. In the past you mentioned 'non church going, self identified Evangelicals'? Can you expand on that, it doesn't make sense to me.
Conversamos con Francisco Toro, columnista de The Washington Post, sobre el futuro de la estrategia de Juan Guaidó para Venezuela y sobre su reciente gira internacional.
En el primer programa de Fanvius BiobioCine 2019, conversamos con Francisco Toro, director del Festival. Revisamos la programación, las novedades y toda la info necesaria para esta nueva versión.
The crew looks at the crisis in Venezuela and considers the American and world responses to it. Is it any of Washington’s business what goes on there, and will any result have democratic legitimacy? Will more sanctions help to quickly resolve the situation in a way that benefits the people there, or will they increase the suffering? Are Elliot Abrams and John Bolton making a push for military intervention? Finally, Chris congratulates the Patriots while Melanie and Bryan roll their eyes, and Melanie finds a reason to wholeheartedly praise the Trump administration. Links David A. Graham, "How Seriously Should the World Take Trump's Venezuela Threat?", Atlantic, January 29, 2019 Kirk Brown, "GOP Should Back Trump If Emergency Declared To Build Border Wall," State, February 04, 2019 Peter Baker and Edward Wong, "On Venezuela, Rubio Assumes U.S. Role of Ouster in Chief," New York Times, January 26, 2019 Ernesto Londoño and Nicholas Casey,“Trump Administration Discussed Coup Plans With Rebel Venezuelan Officers,” New York Times, September 08, 2018 John Glaser, Tweets, January 24, 2019 Peter Baker and Edward Wong, “Intervening Against Venezuela’s Strongman, Trump Belies ‘America First’,” New York Times, September 24, 2019 Ro Khanna, “Why I strongly oppose U.S. military intervention in Venezuela,” Washington Post, January 30, 2019 John Stuart Mill, “A Few Words on Non-Intervention: Excerpts,” Libertarianism “End the War in Afghanistan,” New York Times, February 03, 2019 Patricia Zengerle, "Senate Leader Wants U.S. Troops To Stay in Syria," Reuters, January 29, 2019 Peter Baker, "A Growing Chorus of Republican Critics for Trump's Foreign Policy," New York Times, January 29, 2019 Moises Naim and Francisco Toro, "Venezuela's Suicide: Lessons from a Failed State," Foreign Affairs, January 28, 2019 Krishnadev Calamur, "Trump's Dumping of Maduro Could be Just the Start," Atlantic, January 24, 2019 Uri Friedman, "The White House's Move on Venezuela is the Least Trumpian Thing It's Done," Atlantic, January 26, 2019 Donovan Slack, "USA Today Investigation: VA Knowingly Hires Doctors with Past Malpractice Claims, Discipline for Poor Care," USA Today, December 3, 2019 Anne Gearan, Paul Sonne, and Carol Morello, "US to Withdraw from Nuclear Arms Control Treaty with Russia, Raising Fears of a New Arms Race," Washington Post, February 1, 2019 Music and Production by Tre Hester
On the second episode of "Two gringos with questions," Chris and Ken interview Venezuelan journalist Francisco Toro. Toro is founder and editor of The Caracas Chronicles and its newsletter, the Weekly Arepa. Toro is also the Chief Content Officer of the Group of 50, which brings together top Latin American business leaders.
Earlier this month, President Trump addressed the deepening political and economic crises in Venezuela stating that the U.S. may consider "military options" if the situation gets worse. This week we spoke to Francisco Toro, a Venezuelan journalist and the Executive Editor of English-language blog Caracas Chronicles, about the current state of affairs in Venezuela and the rapidly deteriorating quality of life for those who remain in the country. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
My guest on this episode is Kevin B. Grier of the University of Oklahoma. Our topic for today is a paper Kevin wrote on the economic consequences of Hugo Chavez along with coauthor Norman Maynard. I had Francisco Toro on the show last year to discuss Venezuela's economic history, so you can listen to that episode if you want a refresher on Chavez. For this episode, our main topic is the empirical method Kevin used to quantify Chavez' effect on Venezuela: synthetic control. Synthetic control is a relatively new empirical technique. It grew out of an older technique called difference in differences (or diff-in-diff). Diff-in-diff is simple and intuitive: Given two statistics with parallel trends, we can compare their changes before and after some intervention affecting only one of them to see the effect of the intervention. So for instance, if you wanted to know the effect of Seattle's minimum wage increase, you could compare the employment trend among low-skilled workers in Seattle to the same trend in Portland. Then assuming Seattle and Portland would have had similar trends if not for the minimum wage hike, we say the difference between the employment growth in the two cities is attributable to the minimum wage hike. But what if Seattle and Portland don't have similar trends? What if there's no labour market similar enough to Seattle's to provide a valid comparison? That's where synthetic control comes in. Seattle might not be like Portland, but it might be like a weighted average of Portland, San Francisco, and several counties just outside Seattle. We could construct this weighted average and call it a synthetic Seattle; it is designed to mimic the dynamics of Seattle's labour market before the minimum wage hike. Then if the synthetic Seattle deviates from the real Seattle after the wage hike, we can attribute that difference to the hike. This is what Kevin has done to study the impact of Hugo Chavez on Venezuela. Listen to the episode to find out his results!
This week on Bombshell, we say nothing about Jim Comey! We recorded Monday and who could have guessed we'd be here today? Instead, we discuss recent casualties in Afghanistan and Somalia, check in on Venezuela and the French elections, and talk about the many ways one does and does not talk to friendly dictators. We also do our part to keep Costco margaritas in business. And then, in honor of Mother’s Day, we talk to our moms. You should too (your moms, not ours). Episode Reading: "Elite troops are being worked too hard and spread too thin, military commander warns," Vera Bergengruen, The Miami Herald "Navy SEAL Who Died in Somalia Was Alongside, Not Behind, Local Forces," Helene Cooper, The New York Times Revolutions Podcast, by Mike Duncan "Facebook purges thousands of fake profiles ahead of UK election," Nick Summers, Endgadget "Trump’s praise for authoritarians vs. his platitudes for allies," Aaron Blake, The Washington Post "Venezuela’s leader wants to replace the National Assembly with one beholden to him," Francisco Toro, WaPo "Mérida Escalates," Francisco Toro, Caracas Chronicles "Tillerson calls for balancing US security interests, values," by Josh Lederman and Matthew Lee, AP "Tillerson Seeking 9% Cut to U.S. State Department Workforce, Sources Say," Nick Wadhams, Bloomberg "The End of Hypocrisy," Henry Farrell and Martha Finnemore, Foreign Affairs "This State Department Employee Survey Is Straight Out Of 'Office Space,'" John Hudson, Buzzfeed "Sci-Fi Writer William Gibson Reimagines the World After the 2016 Election," Alexandra Alter, The New York Times Events: YPFP, Conquering the Foreign Policy Establishment (16 May) CSIS, Command Climate: The State of U.S. Civil-Military Relations (23 May) CNAS, Annual Conference (28 June)
This week on Bombshell, we say nothing about Jim Comey! We recorded Monday and who could have guessed we'd be here today? Instead, we discuss recent casualties in Afghanistan and Somalia, check in on Venezuela and the French elections, and talk about the many ways one does and does not talk to friendly dictators. We also do our part to keep Costco margaritas in business. And then, in honor of Mother’s Day, we talk to our moms. You should too (your moms, not ours). Episode Reading: "Elite troops are being worked too hard and spread too thin, military commander warns," Vera Bergengruen, The Miami Herald "Navy SEAL Who Died in Somalia Was Alongside, Not Behind, Local Forces," Helene Cooper, The New York Times Revolutions Podcast, by Mike Duncan "Facebook purges thousands of fake profiles ahead of UK election," Nick Summers, Endgadget "Trump’s praise for authoritarians vs. his platitudes for allies," Aaron Blake, The Washington Post "Venezuela’s leader wants to replace the National Assembly with one beholden to him," Francisco Toro, WaPo "Mérida Escalates," Francisco Toro, Caracas Chronicles "Tillerson calls for balancing US security interests, values," by Josh Lederman and Matthew Lee, AP "Tillerson Seeking 9% Cut to U.S. State Department Workforce, Sources Say," Nick Wadhams, Bloomberg "The End of Hypocrisy," Henry Farrell and Martha Finnemore, Foreign Affairs "This State Department Employee Survey Is Straight Out Of 'Office Space,'" John Hudson, Buzzfeed "Sci-Fi Writer William Gibson Reimagines the World After the 2016 Election," Alexandra Alter, The New York Times Events: YPFP, Conquering the Foreign Policy Establishment (16 May) CSIS, Command Climate: The State of U.S. Civil-Military Relations (23 May) CNAS, Annual Conference (28 June)
Venezuela is at yet another crisis point. The government of Nicolas Maduro is facing steep opposition from the very people that swept Maduro's predecessor and mentor Hugo Chavez to power nearly 20 years ago. But after years of sharp economic decline it appears that the "revolution's" hold on power is a tenuous as ever. On the line to explain what is going on in Venezuela is Francisco Toro, editor of the news website Caracas Chronicles. He discusses how the situation reached this crisis point and why there is such high probability of violence. Francisco has been on the show before: last year he explained how Venezuela's economy so sharply and abruptly began a downward spiral. He discusses that again, but also in the context of a new protest movement. I caught up with Francisco one day before a massive protest was scheduled in Caracas. Things were definitely heating up. Become a premium subscriber to unlock bonus episodes, earn other rewards, and support the show! Bonus episodes for premium subscribers include: #1: International Relations Theory, explained. #2: A Brief History of Nuclear Non-proliferation #3: A Brief History of NATO #4: The Syrian Civil War, explained. (Well, sort of -- it's complicated!) #5: Meet the Kim family of North Korea. #6: The Sustainable Development Goals, explained (Coming soon!) #7: The Six Day War, Explained. (Coming soon!)
Today's guest is Francisco Toro, he is the blog editor at The Caracas Chronicles, a group blog about Venezuela. Venezuela has all the markings of a paradise. It has a lush, tropical climate and access to vast oil reserves. And yet, the Venezuelan government has run the country into the ground. As of now, all but the wealthiest Venezuelans struggle to eat. What went wrong? It might surprise you, given Venezuela's current state, that the country was for many years a model Latin American country. Before 1989, Venezuela had a stable, two-party democracy. Its economy functioned when the price of oil was high, and it was free of much of the violence that plagued other Latin American nations. That changed in 1989 with an event known as El Caracazo. El Caracazo refers to a series of riots that occurred in February and March of 1989, and their brutal repression by the Venezuelan army. The details surrounding El Caracazo remain deeply controversial among Venezuelans. Before 1989, the Venezuelan economy was characterized by cronyism. Many industries were protected from competition both by tariffs on foreign goods and restrictions on entry by new firms. This arrangement could continue so long as oil prices stayed high, but with the fall of oil prices in the 1980s, the economy sunk into a malaise. The government was deeply indebted, and the incoming government tried to implement neoliberal reforms to save both the economy and the government's balance sheet. Within weeks of the reforms, the riots that would become El Caracazo began. Here's where the controversy lies: Chavez and his supporters on the far left point to these riots as the people rising up against capitalism. But Venezuelans on the right point out that the reforms hadn't had time to take effect when the riots occurred, and therefore they were more likely a reaction against the ongoing economic malaise than the reforms. In any case, Caracazo marked a turning point for Venezuela that would lead to the rise of socialist president Hugo Chavez, who would control the country until his death in 2013. Chavez' brand of Marxism was a throwback to the socialist regimes of the Cold War. His Venezuela was a mixed economy with very heavy restrictions on its capitalist elements. For instance, Chavez made it illegal to fire an employee for any reason. He imposed price controls throughout the economy. When oil prices were high, they propped up the rest of the economy. When they were low, the regime could borrow to paper over critical shortages. During this time, Chavez received praise from Western intellectuals on the left. Even as late as 2013, Salon was praising Chavez' "economic miracle." In 2013, Chavez died and was succeeded by Nicolas Maduro. In 2014, the price of oil collapsed, causing Venezuela to default on its debts. The government has attempted to print its way to solvency, causing high inflation. The Chavez and Maduro regimes have kneecapped the capitalist system and replaced it with nothing. Toro argues that even Soviet-style central planning would be an improvement at this point. There are clear pragmatic reforms Maduro could make to reduce the impact of the crisis. Yet he doesn't, and members of his government who speak out in favour of market-led reforms of any kind are summarily fired. Maduro listens to the advice of a Marxist economist named Alfredo Serrano, who is a mix between a hard-core Stalinist and a utopian campus liberal. Yet despite the continually worsening economy, Maduro holds on to power. He also maintains the support of about a third of the population. Maduro's regime has managed to place the blame for the crisis on sabotage by a nefarious capitalist conspiracy. Businesses that hold inventory for any length of time are at risk of having their warehouses raided and filmed as proof that the ongoing shortages are the work of capitalists hoarding goods. Maduro also scapegoats the many people who earn their livings re-selling price-controlled goods, a group that now encompasses one in six Venezuelans. As dubious as these claims are, the government controls the media and seems to have convinced a third of the population of this narrative.
Venezuela is on a rapid and precipitous decline. You might even say, as my guest today Francisco Toro wrote in a recent piece in the Atlantic that Venezuela is falling apart. Between food, fuel, medicine and commodity shortages, corruption and rampant crime, this one-time middle income country is struggling mightily. There's an incipient humanitarian crisis and instability of Valenzuela could effect the entire region. Fransisco Toro is the proprietor of the blog Caracas Chronicles and co-authored the Atlantic piece, with Moises Naim, who many of you probably know and was a guest on this very show last year. The piece very succinctly describes the causes and consequences of Venezuela's collapse and begins with an very telling anecdote about toilet paper.