The Weekly Watch Podcast - Financial Market Updates

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In this weekly podcast series, our Global Head of Desk Strategy John Briggs helps you cut through the noise and quickly get to grips with the key events & issues shaping financial markets, and delivers bite-sized snapshots of the latest analysis & researc

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    • Dec 15, 2022 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekly NEW EPISODES
    • 9m AVG DURATION
    • 63 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from The Weekly Watch Podcast - Financial Market Updates

    Where are FX markets going in 2023?

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2022 7:03


    With the final central bank meetings of the year in the UK, US, and Europe out of the way, John Briggs and Paul Robson review some of our key FX views and discuss the major factors likely to shape exchange rates heading into 2023.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 15 December 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    How should markets think about the big risk events on the horizon?

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 9, 2022 5:24


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Eimear Daly shares her thoughts on some of the big themes shaping the market outlook for investors and corporate finance professionals, and discusses some big risk events to look out for in the weeks ahead.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 9 December 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Does the Fed have cause to pause?

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 2, 2022 9:25


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, John Briggs and Kevin Cummins discuss the latest economic data out of the US, deconstruct Fed Chair Jerome Powell's (fairly hawkish) recent speech, and get into the potential implications for markets in the months ahead.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 1 December 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Is US inflation really peaking?

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 10, 2022 6:51


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, John Briggs and Kevin Cummins discuss the latest inflation surprise in the US and what it could say about the path of prices in the weeks and months ahead.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 10 November 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    How much more policy tightening is yet to come?

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2022 8:42


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Brian Daingerfield and Ross Walker break down the Bank of England's latest rate hike, and discuss the risks to the economic outlook in the near term.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 3 November 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    How the US midterm elections will play out and why it matters for markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 27, 2022 13:49


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Brian Daingerfield takes a closer look at the US midterm elections in November, how we expect both houses of Congress to look in the wake of the vote, and potential market implications.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 27 October 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    How are Emerging Markets managing inflation, energy shocks, and other post-pandemic pressures?

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2022 14:15


    Alvaro Vivanco surveys the Emerging Market landscape with Eimear Daly. They take a look at how different regions are dealing with higher inflation, rising geopolitical risks, energy market shocks, and other economic pressures.NB: This was recorded on 20 October 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Does fast moving fiscal policy mean yet more market volatility?

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2022 10:28


    John Briggs talks to rates strategist Imogen Bachra on why we think recent policy pivots won't really change the overall picture for net bond supply. Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 13 October 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Why China's 20th Party Congress will be unlike any other

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2022 10:02


    In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Brian Daingerfield and Peiqian Liu take stock of some of the big questions on China that markets are grappling with in the run up to the country's all-important 20th Party Congress.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 6 October 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    What a week - where next for UK markets & policy?

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2022 9:51


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, John Briggs and Ross Walker take stock of a busy week in UK markets and discuss the outlook for monetary policy, growth, FX, and investor sentiment following the Chancellor's mini budget announcement.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 29 September 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    What does the latest hiking cycle mean for bonds & FX?

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2022 12:32


    In this special crossover episode of Bondcast and the Weekly Watch, John Briggs, Jan Nevruzi, and Paul Robson debrief after a series of (very different) interest rate hikes in the US and UK, and discuss the impact on bond markets and FX. Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 22 September 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    What does stickier inflation mean for monetary policy & growth?

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2022 13:37


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Brian Daingerfield and Kevin Cummins discuss our views on the trajectory for inflation, the impact on monetary policy, and looming recession risks.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 15 September 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    What should markets expect from the US midterm election?

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2022 3:32


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Brian Daingerfield takes stock of the US political landscape in the run-up to the midterm elections.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 8 September 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Should easing US inflation and stronger labour markets prompt a recession re-think?

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2022 14:08


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Brian Daingerfield and Kevin Cummins discuss the outlook for US growth and inflation, and take a closer look at what to expect from next week's Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 18 August 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Does weak inflation lock in slower Fed hikes?

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2022 3:28


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Brian Daingerfield takes a closer look at the impact of softer US inflation on markets, what it might mean for the Fed in September, and the path forward for inflation globally in the weeks ahead.NB: This was recorded on 11 August 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Keep calm and carry on (hiking interest rates)

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2022 8:48


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, John Briggs and Paul Robson discuss the recent UK Bank Rate hike, the Bank of England's ominous growth forecast, and the impact on our currency views.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 4 August 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Why we're at odds with markets on the Bank of England's August rate hike

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2022 9:29


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, John Briggs and Ross Walker dive into what we expect from the Bank of England when it meets the first week of August, the path for quantitative tightening, and market implications.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 28 July 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Will the Fed also go faster than expected in the fight against inflation?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2022 13:31


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, John Briggs and Kevin Cummins take a closer look at what to expect from the Fed against a backdrop of a larger-than-expected interest rate hike in Europe and a concerning inflation environment.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 21 July 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    What's weighing on the euro?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2022 8:58


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, John Briggs and Paul Robson discuss the impact of energy market dynamics and geopolitics, dollar strength, and concerns about the economic outlook on G3 FX performance.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can listen to our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 14 July 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    What does the UK prime minister's departure mean for the future policy agenda & markets?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 8, 2022 8:00


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, John Briggs and Ross Walker discuss the latest events rocking the UK political landscape, the potential impact of the UK prime minister's resignation on future fiscal and monetary policy, and how markets  could respond in the weeks ahead.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 7 July 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    China's slowly emerging from lockdown, what's the economic and policy outlook from here?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 1, 2022 16:30


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Brian Daingerfield and Galvin Chia discuss the economic and policy outlook for China in the second half of 2022 and key implications for global markets, FX, and commodities. Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 30 June 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    As recession alarms ring, could oil be the path to a soft landing?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2022 13:02


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, John Briggs and Brian Daingerfield discuss the US dollar outlook for Q3 and take a closer look at what's in store for global energy markets in the months ahead.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 23 June 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Central banks are doing whatever it takes to curb inflation, but at what cost?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2022 12:28


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, John Briggs and Kevin Cummins discuss the latest round of global interest rate hikes and take a closer look at the impact on markets and the US economy.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 16 June 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Cutting through the noise in the UK, where to for fiscal policy and interest rates?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2022 9:26


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, John Briggs and Ross Walker discuss the recent Tory confidence vote on Boris Johnson's leadership and the potential impact on fiscal policy, as well as our expectations for the the Bank of England's interest rate decisions in the months ahead.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 9 June 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Will the cost-of-living crisis redraw the political map?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2022 5:22


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Head of G10 FX Strategy for the US, Brian Daingerfield, discusses the cost of living crisis and how the response from policymakers might influence the outcome of the US midterm elections in November.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 26 May 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    Will the ECB hike in July?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2022 8:10


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Head of UK Rates Strategy Imogen Bachra speaks with Chief Euro Area Economist Giovanni Zanni about the direction of travel for European Central Bank (ECB) policy and the timing around an interest rate lift-off.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 12 May 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    The BoE and Fed delivered very different rate hikes - what are the risks for markets?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2022 9:28


    The US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England both hiked interest rates this week - but how they hiked couldn't be more different. In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Co-Head of G10 FX Strategy for the US, Brian Daingerfield, speaks with Imogen Bachra about the Fed, the BoE, and key risks that monetary policy divergence could create for markets.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 5 May 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    How worried should markets be about declining consumer confidence?

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2022 11:16


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy John Briggs speaks with our Chief UK Economist Ross Walker about the troubling state of consumer confidence, and the potential impact on the economic outlook and monetary policy.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 27 April 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    When China coughs the global economy catches a cold - how long will recovery take?

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 22, 2022 9:41


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy John Briggs speaks with our Chief China Economist Peiqian Liu about how the country's recent covid outbreak (and its management of it) could affect supply chains, the global economic outlook, monetary policy, and markets longer term.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 21 April 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    The ECB is stuck between a rock and a hard place – how will it balance inflation and growth risks?

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 13, 2022 11:05


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy John Briggs speaks with our Chief Euro Area Economist Giovanni Zanni about the latest European Central Bank (ECB) meeting as well as market and economic risks facing the region.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can listen to our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 13 April 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    The Fed Watcher weighs in on the US monetary policy outlook

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 8, 2022 12:12


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Imogen Bachra takes the reins from John Briggs and talks to our Chief US Economist Kevin Cummins (known on the Street as ‘The Fed Watcher') about the latest Fed minutes, the path for quantitative tightening, and what markets should expect in the months ahead. Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 7 April 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html.

    What's ahead for global currencies in Q2?

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 1, 2022 11:19


     In the latest episode of The Weekly Watch, Co-Head of G10 FX Strategy for US, Brian Daingerfield, talks to his fellow G10 FX Strategy Co-Head (EMEA) Paul Robson about growing monetary policy divergence across major regions, rising stagflation fears, and the key drivers of global currencies in the quarter ahead.Remember to hit ‘follow' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available.NB: This was recorded on 30 March 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.html Please view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html  

    Will higher yields, geopolitics, supply chain disruptions, and a covid resurgence in China lead to stagflation?

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 24, 2022 11:51


    In the latest episode of The Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy, John Briggs, and Chief China Economist, Peiqian Liu, discuss the combined effects of higher bond yields, Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and supply chain disruption on inflation and economic growth. They also take a closer look at covid's resurgence in China and the impact of a big shift in the country's pandemic management strategy on the economic growth outlook.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.NB: This was recorded on 24 March 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer.

    Will the Bank of England's dovish shift be followed by a dovish fiscal pivot?

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 17, 2022 9:09


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Head of G10 FX Strategy, US, Brian Daingerfield, speaks with Ross Walker, Chief UK Economist and Co-Head of Global Economics about the Bank of England's latest move, what to expect from the upcoming UK Spring Budget, and how regional monetary and fiscal divergence could affect markets in the months ahead.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 17 March 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    What are the growth & inflation risks caused by the Ukraine crisis – and could the ECB get it wrong?

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 11, 2022 8:54


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy John Briggs speaks with Giovanni Zanni, Chief Euro Area Economist, about the risks to growth and inflation caused by the crisis in Ukraine and discuss how markets should digest the latest European Central Bank meeting.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 10 March 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    In Ukraine, what are the paths forward for the country, Russia, and the West?

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 4, 2022 10:59


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy John Briggs speaks with Scott Livingstone, International Advisor at NatWest Group, about the geopolitical implications of the invasion of Ukraine and potential paths forward for the country, Russia, and the West.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 3 March 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    How will the Ukraine crisis impact FX markets and asset classes?

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 25, 2022 9:53


    In the latest episode of the Weekly Watch, Co-Head of G10 FX Strategy for the US, Brian Daingerfield, and Head of Emerging Markets Strategy, Alvaro Vivanco, take a closer look at how the crisis currently unfolding in Ukraine could affect markets in the coming weeks.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 24 February 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    Will the Fed start with an outsized rate hike?

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 18, 2022 10:53


    Global Head of Desk Strategy, John Briggs in discussion with US Economist Kevin Cummins and Co-Head of G10 FX Strategy Brian Daingerfield. Get our take on how US policy could unfold post the March Fed meeting and the impact this will have on fixed income & FX markets.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 17 February 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    How are central bank dynamics moving FX markets?

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 11, 2022 10:04


    Hot on the heels of the Bank of England, ECB and Fed meetings, FX Strategist Paul Robson gives his take on how the latest policy developments may impact growth and FX markets, and why “the squeezed middle” is the trend to watch.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 10 February 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    ECB and BoE deliver a hawkish response – what does that mean for future policy & markets?

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 3, 2022 8:05


    In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy, John Briggs, discusses the hawkish ECB meeting, and also speaks with Ross Walker, Chief UK Economist and Co-Head of Global Economics, about the Bank of England's recent bank rate hike and inflation update, and discusses the impact on the path for monetary tightening.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 3 February 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    What's next for the Russia-Ukraine crisis and are markets fairly pricing the risk?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 28, 2022 14:07


    In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy, John Briggs, speaks with Alvaro Vivanco, EM Strategist, about possible paths forward in the Russia-Ukraine crisis and what they could mean for markets.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 27 January 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    China and the West are diverging on monetary policy, what are the risks?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 21, 2022 7:50


    In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy, John Briggs, speaks with Chief China Economist, Peiqian Liu, about the growing divergence in economic data and monetary policy between China and the West – and what that could mean for the global outlook.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 20 January 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    Will stronger inflation conviction bring back ranges, yield, and carry for investors?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 13, 2022 10:17


    In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy, John Briggs, speaks with Chief US Economist, Kevin Cummins, about US inflation and monetary policy expectations in the months ahead.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 13 January 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    What's in store for markets in Q1 2022?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 7, 2022 11:32


    Central banks and quantitative tightening, Omicron, and energy prices. In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy, John Briggs, speaks with Head of G10 FX Strategy US, Brian Daingerfield, about the key themes and events moving markets in the first few months of 2022.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 6 January 2022. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    Central banks seem undismayed by omicron, what does that mean for markets?

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 16, 2021 9:37


    In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy, John Briggs, speaks with Head of G10 FX Strategy EMEA, Paul Robson, about central banks' relative hawkishness in the final weeks of December and what that could mean for markets early in the new year.Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 16 December 2021. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    How will the big three central banks balance covid and inflation?

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2021 9:55


    In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy, John Briggs, quizzes Ross Walker, Kevin Cummins, and Giovanni Zanni on how the Bank of England, the Fed, and the European Central Bank will close out the year amidst a new surge in covid cases and the continued rise of inflation.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 9 December 2021. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    How should markets & central banks balance Omicron and big shifts in Fed policy?

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 3, 2021 12:07


    In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy, John Briggs, and Head of G10 FX, US, Brian Daingerfield, discuss how markets are digesting risks to the outlook presented by the Omicron covid variant and potentially speedier reduction in monetary policy accommodation from the Fed.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 2 December 2021. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    The upward march of inflation seems hard to reverse – will the Fed blink first?

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2021 7:25


    In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy, John Briggs and Kevin Cummins, Chief US Economist, discuss the US inflation outlook and whether the Fed could taper more quickly than markets expect.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 18 November 2021. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    US inflation and fiscal spending are rising – will one be sacrificed for the other?

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2021 14:48


    In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy, John Briggs, and Head of G10 FX, Americas, Brian Daingerfield, discuss the outlook for US fiscal spending and inflation, the political landscape, and implications for currencies and markets.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 10 November 2021. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    The BoE didn't hike – what does the tightening path look like from here?

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 5, 2021 8:57


    In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Head of G10 FX, EMEA Paul Robson and Chief UK Economist and Co-Head of Global Economics Ross Walker discuss the Bank of England rate hike that wasn't, the trajectory for monetary policy tightening in the UK and what that means for currencies and markets.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 4 November 2021. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

    Why is the ECB going against the (hawkish) grain?

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2021 7:00


    In this episode of the Weekly Watch, Global Head of Desk Strategy John Briggs and European Rates Strategist Imogen Bachra discuss the European Central Bank's bid to cool rate hike predictions amidst a broadly hawkish tilt almost everywhere else – and what it means for markets.  Remember to hit ‘subscribe' so you can watch our latest episodes as soon as they're available – and hit the ‘like' button so it's easier for others to find.  NB: This was recorded on 28 October 2021. For any terms used please refer to this glossary:  https://ci.natwest.com/insights/articles/insight-glossary Please view our full disclaimer here: https://ci.natwest.com/disclaimer. 

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