Podcasts about european central bank ecb

The US Supreme Court ruled that a broad swath of President Trump's tariffs are illegal, but there is still much to sort out after the decision, says Deepak Puri, the Private Bank's Chief Investment Officer for the Americas. “It's not the time to really change your asset allocation or portfolio construction, because I feel that a lot of this was already sort of baked into the market reaction,” Deepak says. “I don't think last Friday's decision really rules out or addresses the issue of potential refunds, which is what the market really wants more clarity on. But if made, those refunds could total around $170 billion. So there might be some uncertainty there.” In the week ahead, some key earnings reports are likely to get a lot of attention, Deepak says. “The bulk of the fourth-quarter earnings is behind us, but still some of the key players are going to be reporting this week” he says, noting some major technology names. But for the year ahead, “The key question is going to be whether the trend of the strongest earnings growth that we have seen in the technology sector stays with us in 2026.”For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2026 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Markus Müller, the Private Bank's Head of the CIO Office and CIO for Sustainability, joins this week's PERSPECTIVES Weekly Podcast to highlight the forces shaping markets during Chinese New Year.Markus notes that while near‑term data releases will attract attention, the more important focus is China's ongoing structural transition. As he puts it, “it isn't true that China is stagnating – it's still transforming very fast.” He points to the country's rapid expansion in areas like clean energy as evidence of this broader shift.The episode also looks at AI-driven market volatility, with Markus emphasising that shifting sentiment may cause temporary tremors but that AI remains “a structurally positive story”.Finally, Markus highlights the key releases he's watching this week—from the FOMC Minutes to inflation data across major economies and the first February PMIs, offering early insight into global momentum.For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2026 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Dr. Jacky Tang, Deutsche Bank Private Bank's CIO for Emerging Markets, breaks down the key forces shaping Asia's market outlook. On Japan's weekend election, Jacky notes that “A victory for the LDP would point to broad policy continuity, with fiscal support and gradual BOJ normalisation still in place.”He explains that such stability would support higher wages and investment, improving corporate profitability and contributing to a steeper yield curve that could benefit the banking sector. The episode also explores upcoming CPI releases from China, India and the US, and why Asia's inflation trends continue to diverge from those in the US. Jacky then discusses the latest developments in US-Asia relations — from reduced friction following the US-India trade agreement to a cautious stabilisation in US-China engagement. For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2026 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

The dollar has been trading around multi-year lows against its peers, but the downward trend may not last, says Dr. Jacky Tang, the Private Bank's emerging markets CIO, in his first appearance on the Perspectives podcast. "While a weak US dollar favours Asian equities and uplifts gold prices, as we can see from the recent price action, we need to also look at the US macro picture." He said he expects the dollar to stabilise after a period of being rocked by geopolitical developments.Corporate earnings season is still in its early stages, but some important technology names have already reported. "Big tech earnings were mixed," Jacky says, noting some disappointing cloud revenue. "The economy appears stable. However, investors are watching for winners or losers in the AI space." For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2026 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Markets have exhibited some sensitivity to geopolitical concerns amid debates over the status of Greenland, says Deepak Puri, the Private Bank's Chief Investment Officer for the Americas, though he also notes that those concerns can be somewhat transient. “Usually markets tend to shrug these off,” Deepak says, “because if they're not instrumental in changing the macro backdrop, markets say ‘Okay, nothing's changing.'” He noted that the tariff threats from the US had been a particular concern, so there was some relief when the White House changed course.The Federal Reserve will be in focus this week, and Deepak says it is not only because of an impending policy decision. Markets expect rates to remain unchanged, and “I think the Fed should be comfortable with a pause as there hasn't really been much change either around inflation or labour market,” Deepak says. But also of interest is the expectation that President Trump will soon nominate the next Fed chair, and the Supreme Court could soon issue a decision related to the Fed's independence from politics.For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2026 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

S&P 500 earnings season for the 4th quarter has just gotten started, but early results have been strong, says Christian Nolting, the Private Bank's Global Chief Investment Officer. “The market is expecting roughly 7% growth this year, which seems a lot, but it's less than last year. And the whisper news is obviously it could be a bit better”, Christian says. “From that perspective, we don't need to change at this point in time our investment strategy.” On the commodities side, gold prices have been climbing for quite some time, but Christian says that shouldn't necessarily herald a shift for portfolios. “Just to sell something because it's nicely moving up is never a good idea”, Christian says. “There needs to be a fundamental change for us to sell gold, and I don't see that at this point in time.” In the week ahead, he expects markets to be closely watching the World Economic Forum in Davos, as well as a potential decision from the Supreme Court on tariff policy. For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2026 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Markets started the year from a position of strength despite some geopolitical instability, says Christian Nolting, the Private Bank's Global Chief Investment Officer. Oil prices shuddered after the US military operation in Venezuela, but “one of our topics for this year is discipline instead of drama”, Christian says. “And from that perspective, we don't need to change at this point in time our investment strategy.” The bond market has had a busy start to the year, and Christian says this is to be expected as companies often wait until January to address their funding needs. “We do still like the investment grade corporate bonds more than the high yield.” And in the week to come, Christian says that US inflation figures are likely to get a lot of attention, both because of what they mean for the cost of living and for their implications on Federal Reserve policy to come.For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2026 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Leading digital bank Monzo has announced that it has secured a full banking licence from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Central Bank of Ireland (CBI) to enable it to take its much-loved product into European markets and supercharge its global ambitions. Founded in 2015 and fully regulated in the UK since 2017, Monzo has grown to become the UK's leading digital bank, a household name and much-loved brand, trusted by more than 14 million customers and over 800,000 businesses. With a mission to make money work for everyone, it has pioneered tools and features that transform people's relationship with money. With today's news, Monzo becomes the first digital bank fully regulated by the CBI. This licence unlocks the next chapter in the company's mission to expand into Europe, starting with Ireland. With its European headquarters and a growing team in Dublin, the bank will be working closely with customers to deliver a product that solves real problems and puts them in control of their finances. Michael Carney, EU CEO at Monzo, said: "The approval from European regulators means we can now take our much-loved products and service to millions more personal and business customers. Monzo has already proven that by combining the trust of a regulated bank with cutting-edge technology, we can truly transform people's relationship with money. Today marks a significant step forward in our global mission to make money work for everyone." Elaine Deehan, Country Manager for Ireland at Monzo: "We're excited to be launching an Irish digital bank serving customers and businesses. People here are tech-savvy who value digital-first products that are built around their real life. Banking with Monzo is designed to make managing money effortless - an account with no maintenance fees, packed with clever savings, budgeting and security features and human customer support on hand 24/7." A new kind of free bank account in Ireland In the coming months, Irish customers will be able to apply for Monzo's free personal, joint, business, children's, and instant-access savings accounts - all managed in one easy-to-use app, packed with powerful budgeting tools. Each will come with an Irish IBAN, giving customers the confidence and convenience of a locally licensed bank. Monzo's free instant access savings account allows customers to start saving with as little as €1 and access their money whenever they need it. The account will offer a competitive 1.6% variable interest rate, which is nearly twelve times the average Irish rate on overnight deposits.. Monzo's business accounts are designed to make life simpler for small businesses and sole traders, with fast digital onboarding, automated Tax Pots, integrated invoicing and real-time financial visibility. Every Monzo account is powered by industry-leading technology built for reliability, fraud prevention and security with access to 24/7 human support - either directly in the app or over the phone. Early access and opportunity to co-create products The Monzo team will work closely with its first personal and business customers to test and shape Monzo's first products for Ireland. By working hand-in-hand with customers, Monzo aims to deliver a banking experience that truly reflects what Irish customers deserve. Starting today, individuals and businesses can register at www.monzo.com/ie to join Monzo's waitlist for early access. See more stories here.

In our final episode of 2025, Christian Nolting, the Private Bank's Global Chief Investment Officer, sounds an optimistic note for markets in the New Year. “We've now seen three very good years” in markets, Christian says. “I think in ‘26, there might be some more volatility coming up. But overall, I would say the macroeconomic backdrop is a positive one.”The Federal Reserve just delivered a rate cut, and the market is expecting more in 2026, Christian says. But in the week ahead, markets will be alert to the delayed US jobs data. The official numbers “will be very important for the US because there was some weakness in the labour market.”For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

The US dollar has been weakening against its peers lately, “but when you look for the last five years, the dollar is still positive”, notes Deepak Puri, the Private Bank's Chief Investment Officer for the Americas. And the dollar's recent slip could be a reason that stocks have continued to climb. “The dollar weakness does give a boost to the S&P 500 earnings because on an aggregate basis, around 35% of earnings for S&P 500 companies are coming from the overseas markets.” In the week ahead, “all eyes are going to be on the Fed”, Deepak says, pointing to the US central bank's expected rate decision, data releases and commentary on Wednesday. “We want to see if there are additional rate cuts baked into the Fed's median policy statement going into 2026.”For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Stocks have found their footing after a recent period of softness, and that strength could continue through 2026, says Markus Müller, the Private Bank's head of the CIO office and Chief Investment Officer for Sustainability. “Positive year-end seasonality could still be offset by a temporary return of worries around AI market concentration, and also US labour market softness”, Markus says. “But looking across a 12-month horizon, the market is still positive.”Markus was also present at COP30, the latest UN conference on climate change, and he said the developments there were important for investors. “The lack of consensus on a fossil fuels phase-out means continued volatility in oil and gas”, Markus says, adding that changes will reverberate far beyond the energy sector. “It's not just about the climate, but shaping industrial strategy, trade competitiveness, and capital allocation.”For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

The Private Bank's Chief Investment Office just held its quarterly “CIO Day” gathering to set its 12-month forecasts, and it included some interesting shifts to its outlook, says Deepak Puri, the Private Bank's Chief Investment Officer for the Americas. “The key takeaway is that the worst of the trade war is behind us as we enter 2026,” Deepak says, adding that recent market volatility has not changed its views on AI: “We still believe the AI dominance will continue and have a very positive tailwind from the earnings side for 2026. So we upgraded our S&P target.” Central banks were naturally part of the discussion, and Deepak pointed to sharp divisions at the Federal Reserve over the course of monetary policy in the coming months. “We now expect three rate cuts from now till the year end of 2026,” Deepak said, while the European Central Bank is not expected to cut at all, and the Bank of Japan is forecast to raise rates twice.For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Scepticism in the market can be a healthy sign, says Christian Nolting, the Private Bank's Global Chief Investment Officer – and that's currently in evidence in the mood around lofty tech valuations. “There's a bit of discussion in the market about AI. Is it a bubble or not?”, Christian said. “And from that perspective, I think it's quite healthy if we also see the market not always going up in a straight line.”And importantly, analysts will soon have access to data that was unavailable to markets during the US government shutdown. US labour market data and inflation figures will be of particular interest, Christian said, as they will have clear implications for Federal Reserve policy in the months ahead.For more investing insights, please visit wealth.db.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

For a while it seemed like all the earnings growth was coming from a short list of major tech firms, but now that has begun to change, says Dr. Dirk Steffen, the Private Bank's EMEA CIO. "The lead in terms of earnings growth by these mega caps is actually narrowing somewhat ", Dirk says. “This is a positive and healthy sign for the stock market in our view.”But that is not a reason to be excessively exuberant, Dirk says. “It's important not to get carried away by these very solid numbers,” though he acknowledges that results so far have been “a huge win for corporate America.” And while the reporting season continues, Dirk says he'll be paying attention to results from some European firms this week for further clues about how they are coping with tariffs and shifting trading patterns.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Stock markets are soaring amid AI enthusiasm, but that does not necessarily mean we are in bubble territory, says Markus Müller, the Private Bank's head of the CIO office and Chief Investment Officer for Sustainability. “The difference now is the foundation. Equities are showing strong earnings, robust cash flows and disciplined balance sheets. That's not typical bubble behaviour,” Markus says, though he also points to the need for careful risk management. “Overinvestment is a risk. Global data centre spending surged.”This tension is on display in the current U.S. earnings season, Markus says. “Fundamentals are strong, but the pace of investment and market concentration require respect. The top 10 US companies now represent over 20% of the global equity market value. And tech alone is about 35% of US market cap. With that concentration, risk management is essential.”For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

In a central bank triple-header, we'll see announcements from the Fed, the ECB and the Bank of Japan in the week ahead. And while the banks share similar aims, Markus Müller, Chief Investment Officer Sustainability & Global Head of the Chief Investment Office for Deutsche Bank's Private Bank, describes the different situations facing central bankers as being like "three captains steering ships through different waters – some choppy, some calm, some foggy”.Switching to sustainability and COP30 in Belem, Brazil, next month, Markus expects a more reflective mood at what is being called the 'nature COP'. Fragile global economic alliances and the lack of strong US commitment will likely limit practical outcomes, he says. "It's a chance to reframe the narrative, but not necessarily to rewrite the results." For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

US earnings season got started with some strong results from big banks, but markets have also been focused on emerging risks for some regional banks, says Deepak Puri, the Private Bank's Chief Investment Officer for the Americas. “There have been two big delinquencies in recent days in the US”, Deepak says, noting that they “have had some exposure to the regional banking sector.” Bond markets meanwhile have been coming under some stress in the high-yield space, Deepak says. “The default rate is really important to see, especially for those companies that are really on the fringe of what I would call junk.” And on the data front, Deepak says markets will be watching for US inflation figures that are expected at the end of the week.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Just as people should get routine screenings from their doctors, the upcoming earnings season will provide a valuable “health check for the market,” says Christian Nolting, the Private Bank's Global Chief Investment Officer. Analysts have recently cut their earnings forecasts, and Christian says markets aren't necessarily expecting particularly strong results – but that means “the companies really do need to deliver.”And even with gold trading near historic highs, Christian says that any dips in the price might be regarded as buying opportunities. “Although the dollar has been strengthening recently, we still see investors including central banks buying gold, just to diversify. And we think this trend will continue.”For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

 The euro survived crises unimagined at its founding in 1992, giving European countries a common currency.  First there was the financial meltdown of 2007-2009, the sovereign debt crisis of 2010-2012, the pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine.  The European Central Bank (ECB) pushed back against these ill winds with dramatic policy innovations, like buying … Read More Read More

The US government shutdown meant that the usual monthly Jobs Report did not arrive, but markets took it in stride, says Deepak Puri, the Private Bank's Chief Investment Officer for the Americas. “Government shutdowns are usually considered non-events for financial markets, primarily because they tend not to change the underlying macro backdrop,” Deepak says. “We would caution investors not to make dramatic moves within their long-term portfolios based on what's happening day-to-day in D.C.”Minutes from the Federal Reserve's most recent meeting are due, and “the focus is really going to be what was the debate like”, Deepak says. “As I look today, there's almost a 100% chance of another 25-basis-point rate cut in the October 29th meeting, and then another 25-basis-point rate cut in the December meeting.”For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

US legislators are nearing a deadline on a budget agreement, and a government shutdown is possible this week, says Christian Nolting, the Private Bank's Global Chief Investment Officer. But he also says that any negative movements in markets would likely be both minor and temporary, should that come to pass. "That would rather be a buying opportunity in the market," Christian said. Meanwhile, recent inflation data in the US showed that price rises remain above the Federal Reserve's target. “It just confirms our view: Inflation stays higher for quite some time,” Christian said. “It limits a bit the ability for the Fed to massively cut [interest rates]. Although if you look at the labour market, I think there is room for the Fed to further cut.”For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Over 1.6 billion contactless point of sale (POS) payments, valued at €28.3 billion, were made in shops, restaurants and other retail outlets in the 12 months to June 2025, according to the latest payments analysis published today in Banking & Payments Federation Ireland's (BPFI) Payments Monitor. The report reveals that contactless payments accounted for 87.9% of all POS card payments in H1 2025, with more than half of all contactless payments now made using mobile wallets such as Apple Pay or Google Pay, rather than cards. Speaking on the publication of the latest Payments Monitor, Gillian Byrne, Head of Payments, BPFI, stated: "Looking at the payments trends in today's report, we can see that contactless payments continue to be very popular with Irish consumers, accounting for almost nine out of ten point of sale (POS) card payments made in shops, restaurants and other retail outlets in Ireland in the first half of 2025. The use of smartphones and watches is growing in popularity and is the preferred payment device over physical cards for many consumers. Some 58.2% of contactless payments were made using mobile wallets rather than cards in the first half of 2025 (58.8% in Q2 2025), up from 52% in the same period of 2024. Overall, there were almost 454 million mobile wallet payments in Ireland on Irish cards in H1 2025, up 19.7% on the same period in 2024." Adoption of mobile wallet payments varies by region Looking at regional variations, Ms Byrne added: "Dublin had the highest number of contactless and mobile wallet payments per capita in Ireland at 392 and 238, respectively, in the twelve months ending June 2025, accounting for 39.1% of all contactless payments and 41.8% of mobile wallet payments. Carlow had the second-highest number of contactless payments per capita at 339, followed by Limerick with 299 and Waterford with 289. By contrast, Roscommon had the lowest contactless per capita at 139, behind Offaly with 148 and Monaghan at 157." As cash usage declines, digital euro plans will be key Ms Byrne continued: "As the popularity of contactless payments has grown, cash usage has fallen in recent years, with less than half of POS payments in Ireland made in cash in 2024, according to European Central Bank (ECB) survey data, down from about 54% two years earlier. While cash remains of vital importance to many people, a recent consumer survey commissioned by BPFI shows that 7% of consumers say they don't use cash, while most use it for small payments, with 54% holding less than €50 cash on hand. The ECB has noted the limitations of physical cash in an increasingly digital world and is seeking to complement it with a digital form of cash - the digital euro." "However, there is still some uncertainty as to how a digital euro will work, reflected in the fact that almost one in four (23%) said that they did not plan to use the digital euro, and 14% of consumers said they didn't know how much digital euro they expected to hold. When asked how they would use the digital euro, just under half of respondents stated they would be likely or very likely to use a digital euro for online purchases, sending money to friends or family or for POS payments. The ECB is expected to announce the next steps for the digital euro shortly, although it is likely we will see the rollout of digital euro wallets by banks in the years to come. However, the results of today's research points to the need for raising greater consumer awareness of the digital euro and how consumers could benefit from using it in the future." Efficiency and consumer experience must remain priorities for digital euro rollout She concluded: "Meanwhile, a recent PwC study commissioned by the European Credit Sector Associations estimates that implementing the digital euro could cost euro area banks about €18 billion - before ongoing running costs and enhancements are factored in. The focus must be on efficiency and long-term viability, giving banks and payment providers the...

The Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates last week was really “a risk management tool” in the face of softer economic data, including a weaker job market, says Deepak Puri, the Private Bank's Chief Investment Officer for the Americas. “But it was not all about the Fed last week”, Deepak says, pointing to policy decisions in the U.K., Japan, and Canada. “A lot to digest from the global central banks last week.” Looking ahead, a shutdown of the US government remains a possibility, while lawmakers remain divided on a budget that could pass a Senate filibuster. But Deepak says that markets may not react strongly even if that happens. “The interesting thing is that the markets tend to look beyond the shutdown”, Deepak says, noting that one occurred during the first Trump administration without rattling stocks. “Even though it took a lot of space in regard to the news, the markets actually had a pretty impressive rally.”For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Markets are anticipating a policy shift this week from the Federal Reserve, which is expected to deliver the first of several rate cuts that could be spread out over the next year, says Dr Dirk Steffen, the Private Bank's EMEA CIO. “It looks like the US central bank is now pondering the labour market much more,” Dirk says, pointing to weak jobs data to explain why the Fed might look beyond a recent uptick in consumer prices.“The Fed will probably deliver more cuts, and the ECB is almost done,” Dirk says. But he does not expect currency markets to be heavily swayed as US rates go down further in coming months while rates in Europe remain little changed, because he thinks those expectations are already priced in.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Interest rates and the US dollar may be heading further down after last week's US jobs report, says Markus Müller, the Private Bank's head of the CIO office and Chief Investment Officer for Sustainability. “It was a weak report and the details raise more questions right now”, Markus says, noting that the revision for June was also negative.Meanwhile, US courts have raised questions about the legality of White House tariff policy, but Markus says that markets are taking those questions in stride, and appear to expect a degree of stability while keeping an eye out for trade deals outside of the US. “Markets will hope for a continued absence of retaliatory tariffs and look for new trade patterns and non-US agreements”, Markus says.In the week ahead, Markus says “We will all be looking at the ECB meeting”, though he also notes coming data on US consumer confidence and inflation will be of interest. For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Recent political developments in both the US and France sparked jitters in global markets. However, amid this uncertainty, the signals coming out of Jackson Hole seem clear. “Our view would be that the Fed is cutting rates at the next meeting on the 17th of September,” says Christian Nolting, the Private Bank's Global Chief Investment Officer. “The market is already forecasting four to five rate cuts until the end of 2026. The question is: will there be even more?”Christian discusses the confidence vote called by France's Prime Minister Bayrou and its impact on bond markets, warning that the weeks ahead could see “more market volatility coming out of France.” He also runs us through what will be another busy week for economic data, highlighting the numbers that will be important for Fed decision-makers in particular.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

While the summer break brings its usual trading slowdown and bond markets in the US have been relatively calm, European bond markets have kept moving. German Bund yields continue to climb and are bringing bonds from across the Eurozone with them, says Dr. Dirk Steffen, the Private Bank's Chief Investment Officer for Europe, Middle East and Africa. “Yields are going up, the market is normalising and this is spilling over into the Eurozone market.” Dirk discusses the summer lull before markets head “back to school” and where we might expect to see fresh activity in September. He also highlights what will be a busy week for economic data, with important earnings reporting in the AI space and a patchwork of data points that will provide an updated outlook for business confidence and inflation.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver a rate cut in September, but that doesn't mean inflation concerns have gone away, says Christian Nolting, the Private Bank's Global Chief Investment Officer. "If consumer price inflation goes higher, which we expect, that could cause some volatility", Christian says, noting that companies have so far been absorbing the impact of tariffs. "Companies are not ready yet to put some costs from the tariffs directly to the consumer, which would be kind of normal behaviour. You do it over time."Economic data to watch in the week ahead will include housing figures in the US and consumer confidence readings in the eurozone. But Christian says he'll be focused on the conclave of global central bankers in Jackson Hole. "The Jackson Hole meeting is always very important to get some hints into the direction of monetary policy of the Fed and maybe other central banks as well. I think that's very important to watch."For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

The latest waves of tariffs were largely shrugged off by stock markets around the world, but that doesn't mean risks aren't accumulating behind the scenes, says Dr. Dirk Steffen, the Private Bank's EMEA CIO. “It's amazing to see the market being so relaxed about these developments, because we think they pose significant economic headwinds to at least certain sectors”, Dirk says. Still, he also thinks it is important to stay invested in stocks. “If you look a bit more medium term, it's probably worth it to stay invested.”"It's fair to characterise the US economy, if anything, as being again in a soft patch”, Dirk says, pointing to recent jobs data as among the factors behind a weakening of the US dollar. “But that doesn't mean that further down the road, the economy in the US can't strike back.” For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Stock markets turned jittery after the latest tariff announcement from the White House, and “we will have another few weeks and months probably ahead of us where tariffs will be a big topic”, says Dr Dirk Steffen, the Private Bank's EMEA CIO. But that doesn't mean that gloom will be the predominant mood. “We are actually quite confident that companies will find a way to deal with negative tariff news”, Dirk says.Meanwhile, investors are showing clear interest in the tech megacaps that are spending heavily on artificial intelligence. “CapEx in the artificial intelligence space is clearly there”, Dirk notes. “We are talking hundreds of billions of US dollars being put to work.”For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Progress on global trade deals has supported markets recently, says Markus Müller, the Private Bank's head of the CIO office and Chief Investment Officer for Sustainability – though he adds that the coming wave of corporate earnings reports will be scrutinised for impacts from shifting tariff regimes. “Markets will start focusing more on what exactly agreed deals mean for corporate profitability”, Markus says.The first earnings reports have suggested that companies are largely absorbing the tariffs for now, rather than passing them on to consumers. But that hasn't been easy for all of them. “Recent company results show some sectors are finding it more difficult than others.”A policy decision from the Federal Reserve will likely take centre stage this week, but we'll also get a read on 2nd quarter GDP for the EU, and inflation figures for the U.S. “It's a pretty full calendar with really some interesting data.” For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Trump wants the green tax credits removed, energy should not be subsidized by the government. This was only in place for [DS]/[CB] agenda. The [CB] is trying to push the oil prices up by shutting the Straight of Hormuz, this will fail because the oil field in Alaska are opening up. Trump puts the spotlight on the Federal Reserve and calls them out. The [DS]/China are trying to fight back, this will not work, Trump has removed the ability for foreign [DS] nations to receive intelligence, Trump can hit them at anytime. Trump is now sending a message to the [DS] to surrender and he wants the people of Iran to rise up and take back their country. Peace through strength. The world is watching.   Economy   SUBSIDY!). Also, it is almost exclusively made in China!!! It is time to break away, finally, from this craziness!!! (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); Interior Dept. Proposes Opening Up 82 Percent Of Alaskan Petroleum Reserve The Department of Interior (DOI) released a draft analysis that proposes reopening up to 82 percent of the 23-million-acre National Petroleum Reserve in Alaska (NPR-A) to oil and gas leasing and development, the agency said in a June 17 statement.   NPR-A was set aside as an emergency oil supply for the U.S. Navy by President Warren Harding in 1923. In 1976, the reserve was transferred to the DOI's Bureau of Land Management (BLM). In 2022, the Biden administration announced the closure of almost half of the NPR-A reserve to oil and gas drilling, overturning a policy from the first Trump administration that sought to boost oil development in the region. The latest proposal reverses the Biden-era restrictions, “consistent with the Trump administration's commitment to Energy Dominance and regulatory reform,” the DOI said. The proposal supports a presidential action, “Unleashing Alaska's Extraordinary Resource Potential,” signed by President Donald Trump on Jan. 20, 2025. The action highlighted that Alaska has an “abundant and largely untapped supply of natural resources” that could deliver energy price relief for Americans, ease trade imbalances, and create high-quality jobs. “Under President Trump's leadership, we're cutting red tape and restoring commonsense policies that ensure responsible development and good stewardship of our public lands,” he said. The Biden-era rule had closed roughly 11 million acres of NPR-A to oil and gas extraction and restricted construction on another 2 million acres. Source: zerohedge.com https://twitter.com/wideawake_media/status/1936695964791640244   something that is good for the elite, or is good for the young, or is good for some versus others." "If it is well done, and if it is well implemented, it would be of service to all citizens." CBDCs not only enable authorities to track who spends what, where, and when—they are programmable, allowing money to be restricted for specific uses, the imposition of expiry dates, and the ability to freeze or limit spending based on user behaviour or location. Once integrated with digital ID, facial recognition, social credit scores and carbon allowances, CBDCs facilitate totalitarian control on an unprecedented scale. The European Central Bank (ECB) is targeting October 2025 t...

Crisis Cycle: Challenges, Evolution, and Future of the Euro (Princeton UP, 2025) John Cochrane Luis Garicano Klaus Masuch PRINCETON UNIVERSITY PRESS, 2025 Launched 26 years ago, the euro was never expected to have an easy life but it wasn't supposed to be this hard. A three-year solvency crisis, a string of bailouts, and a rescue by the European Central Bank (ECB) was followed by threats of deflation, negative interest rates, massive purchases of government debt, a global pandemic, a European land war, and an inflation surge. The euro area emerged from these tests but may not survive the next without reforms during this period of relative calm. In Crisis Cycle, economists John Cochrane, Luis Garicano, and Klaus Masuch call for critical reforms to rebuild the system's incentive structure and stop the ECB's unsought mission creep. "A beautiful ship was constructed," they write. "Out at sea, it ran into severe storms. Its captain and crew patched the holes as best they could. Now though it is time to return to the dry dock and fix the ship properly". John Cochrane is a professor of economics at Stanford University, best-known for his work on asset prices and the fiscal theory of the price level. Luis Garicano is an economics professor at the London School of Economics and former vice-chair of the Renew group in the European Parliament. Klaus Masuch recently retired from the ECB, where he was head of the monetary policy strategy department and a negotiator for the "Troika" of official creditors during the sovereign-debt crisis. To see the authors' own book recommendations, click here. Tim Gwynn Jones is an economic and political-risk analyst at Medley Advisors, who also writes 242.news on Substack. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

Crisis Cycle: Challenges, Evolution, and Future of the Euro (Princeton UP, 2025) John Cochrane Luis Garicano Klaus Masuch PRINCETON UNIVERSITY PRESS, 2025 Launched 26 years ago, the euro was never expected to have an easy life but it wasn't supposed to be this hard. A three-year solvency crisis, a string of bailouts, and a rescue by the European Central Bank (ECB) was followed by threats of deflation, negative interest rates, massive purchases of government debt, a global pandemic, a European land war, and an inflation surge. The euro area emerged from these tests but may not survive the next without reforms during this period of relative calm. In Crisis Cycle, economists John Cochrane, Luis Garicano, and Klaus Masuch call for critical reforms to rebuild the system's incentive structure and stop the ECB's unsought mission creep. "A beautiful ship was constructed," they write. "Out at sea, it ran into severe storms. Its captain and crew patched the holes as best they could. Now though it is time to return to the dry dock and fix the ship properly". John Cochrane is a professor of economics at Stanford University, best-known for his work on asset prices and the fiscal theory of the price level. Luis Garicano is an economics professor at the London School of Economics and former vice-chair of the Renew group in the European Parliament. Klaus Masuch recently retired from the ECB, where he was head of the monetary policy strategy department and a negotiator for the "Troika" of official creditors during the sovereign-debt crisis. To see the authors' own book recommendations, click here. Tim Gwynn Jones is an economic and political-risk analyst at Medley Advisors, who also writes 242.news on Substack.

Crisis Cycle: Challenges, Evolution, and Future of the Euro (Princeton UP, 2025) John Cochrane Luis Garicano Klaus Masuch PRINCETON UNIVERSITY PRESS, 2025 Launched 26 years ago, the euro was never expected to have an easy life but it wasn't supposed to be this hard. A three-year solvency crisis, a string of bailouts, and a rescue by the European Central Bank (ECB) was followed by threats of deflation, negative interest rates, massive purchases of government debt, a global pandemic, a European land war, and an inflation surge. The euro area emerged from these tests but may not survive the next without reforms during this period of relative calm. In Crisis Cycle, economists John Cochrane, Luis Garicano, and Klaus Masuch call for critical reforms to rebuild the system's incentive structure and stop the ECB's unsought mission creep. "A beautiful ship was constructed," they write. "Out at sea, it ran into severe storms. Its captain and crew patched the holes as best they could. Now though it is time to return to the dry dock and fix the ship properly". John Cochrane is a professor of economics at Stanford University, best-known for his work on asset prices and the fiscal theory of the price level. Luis Garicano is an economics professor at the London School of Economics and former vice-chair of the Renew group in the European Parliament. Klaus Masuch recently retired from the ECB, where he was head of the monetary policy strategy department and a negotiator for the "Troika" of official creditors during the sovereign-debt crisis. To see the authors' own book recommendations, click here. Tim Gwynn Jones is an economic and political-risk analyst at Medley Advisors, who also writes 242.news on Substack. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/economics

Crisis Cycle: Challenges, Evolution, and Future of the Euro (Princeton UP, 2025) John Cochrane Luis Garicano Klaus Masuch PRINCETON UNIVERSITY PRESS, 2025 Launched 26 years ago, the euro was never expected to have an easy life but it wasn't supposed to be this hard. A three-year solvency crisis, a string of bailouts, and a rescue by the European Central Bank (ECB) was followed by threats of deflation, negative interest rates, massive purchases of government debt, a global pandemic, a European land war, and an inflation surge. The euro area emerged from these tests but may not survive the next without reforms during this period of relative calm. In Crisis Cycle, economists John Cochrane, Luis Garicano, and Klaus Masuch call for critical reforms to rebuild the system's incentive structure and stop the ECB's unsought mission creep. "A beautiful ship was constructed," they write. "Out at sea, it ran into severe storms. Its captain and crew patched the holes as best they could. Now though it is time to return to the dry dock and fix the ship properly". John Cochrane is a professor of economics at Stanford University, best-known for his work on asset prices and the fiscal theory of the price level. Luis Garicano is an economics professor at the London School of Economics and former vice-chair of the Renew group in the European Parliament. Klaus Masuch recently retired from the ECB, where he was head of the monetary policy strategy department and a negotiator for the "Troika" of official creditors during the sovereign-debt crisis. To see the authors' own book recommendations, click here. Tim Gwynn Jones is an economic and political-risk analyst at Medley Advisors, who also writes 242.news on Substack. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/finance

Crisis Cycle: Challenges, Evolution, and Future of the Euro (Princeton UP, 2025) John Cochrane Luis Garicano Klaus Masuch PRINCETON UNIVERSITY PRESS, 2025 Launched 26 years ago, the euro was never expected to have an easy life but it wasn't supposed to be this hard. A three-year solvency crisis, a string of bailouts, and a rescue by the European Central Bank (ECB) was followed by threats of deflation, negative interest rates, massive purchases of government debt, a global pandemic, a European land war, and an inflation surge. The euro area emerged from these tests but may not survive the next without reforms during this period of relative calm. In Crisis Cycle, economists John Cochrane, Luis Garicano, and Klaus Masuch call for critical reforms to rebuild the system's incentive structure and stop the ECB's unsought mission creep. "A beautiful ship was constructed," they write. "Out at sea, it ran into severe storms. Its captain and crew patched the holes as best they could. Now though it is time to return to the dry dock and fix the ship properly". John Cochrane is a professor of economics at Stanford University, best-known for his work on asset prices and the fiscal theory of the price level. Luis Garicano is an economics professor at the London School of Economics and former vice-chair of the Renew group in the European Parliament. Klaus Masuch recently retired from the ECB, where he was head of the monetary policy strategy department and a negotiator for the "Troika" of official creditors during the sovereign-debt crisis. To see the authors' own book recommendations, click here. Tim Gwynn Jones is an economic and political-risk analyst at Medley Advisors, who also writes 242.news on Substack. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Central banks stockpile bullion as Western investors risk being caught off guard. The European Central Bank just issued a stark warning about a potential gold bullion short squeeze—confirming what seasoned investors have suspected for years. Central banks are piling into gold while Western investors remain dangerously underexposed. With gold prices surging and paper markets showing cracks, the window for acquiring physical bullion at suppressed prices may be closing fast.   ECB Acknowledges Gold Market Distortion: The European Central Bank (ECB) has formally recognized the mounting risk of a global gold bullion short squeeze, citing decades of systemic price suppression via leveraged derivatives. This marks a pivotal shift in official sentiment.   Gold Bullion Demand Surges Globally: Central banks, particularly in emerging markets, are aggressively increasing gold reserves. Poland recently surpassed 509 metric tons, positioning gold as over 20% of its national reserves—a benchmark now echoed by institutions like Goldman Sachs.   Western Bullion Reserves Alarmingly Low: While emerging economies ramp up bullion exposure, Western investors remain dangerously underexposed. UBS data reveals family offices hold a mere 2% allocation to precious metals, leaving portfolios vulnerable in a currency devaluation scenario.  

Over 1.5 billion contactless point of sale (POS) payments, valued at €26.7 billion, were made in shops, restaurants and other retail outlets in 2024, according to the latest payments analysis published today in Banking & Payments Federation Ireland's (BPFI) Payments Monitor. The report reveals that contactless payments accounted for 87.1% of all POS card payments in 2024, with more than half of all contactless payments now made using mobile wallets such as Apple Pay or Google Pay rather than cards. A consumer survey on payment behaviour in Ireland, conducted by BPFI for the report, also shows that most consumers are aware of and confident in using many banking and payment technologies, such as instant payments and facial recognition. However, less than half are familiar with open banking services, which enable customers to share their banking data with third parties to provide additional financial management tools, while only a quarter of consumers are aware of plans for a digital euro. Speaking on the publication of the latest Payments Monitor, Gillian Byrne, Head of Payments, BPFI stated: "We can see from today's report that contactless payments continue to be very popular with Irish consumers, accounting for almost 90% of all point of sale (POS) card payments made in shops, restaurants and other retail outlets in Ireland last year. Smartphones and watches have emerged as the preferred payment devices over physical cards for many consumers. Out of 296 contactless payments made per person in Ireland on Irish cards in 2024, 159 of these were mobile wallet payments." Ms Byrne added: "The rapid adoption of mobile wallets is not surprising given that Irish consumers have traditionally embraced new banking and payments technology. For example, almost 85% of adults used internet banking in 2024, according to Eurostat, the fifth highest proportion in the EU, and our consumer research published today as part of the report shows most consumers are aware of and confident in using many banking and payment technologies such as instant payments and facial recognition for making payment or accessing mobile banking." "However, the survey also reveals some gaps, with only 25% of respondents stating that they were aware of open banking tools such as account information services that give a third-party provider access to their bank account to analyse their spending, and only 40% of those who knew about them (i.e. about 10% of all respondents) said they would be confident using them. Furthermore, only one in four respondents were aware of a potential plan for a digital euro, which will be a digital form of cash, despite the fact that proposals for a digital euro date back to 2020. The European Central Bank (ECB) launched its digital euro project in July 2021 and will decide in October whether to move on to the next phase." She concluded: "These results highlight the need for greater consumer awareness of open banking, as recommended in the Department of Finance's National Payment Strategy, as well as the need to raise awareness about the digital euro and its potential impact. It also shows the need for enhanced consumer confidence in new financial technologies, especially among older consumers who consistently reported the lowest levels of awareness and confidence in newer banking and payment technologies." The BPFI Payments Monitor March 2025 is available to download here.

5:07 - 5:21: Speaker’s Stump Speech on Declining Biden approval despite end of term trends that are usually the opposite. DR. AARON HEDLUND, Chief Economist at The Show Me Institute and former Chief Domestic Economist and Senior Advisor at the White House Council of Economic Advisors TOPIC: The latest inflation data | What it means for the Fed next week | A look at the situation in Europe and the position the European Central Bank (ECB) is in (cutting rates in a low-growth economy).https://aaronhedlund.com/ https://twitter.com/aaron_hedlund See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

5:07 - 5:21: Speaker’s Stump Speech on Declining Biden approval despite end of term trends that are usually the opposite. DR. AARON HEDLUND, Chief Economist at The Show Me Institute and former Chief Domestic Economist and Senior Advisor at the White House Council of Economic Advisors TOPIC: The latest inflation data | What it means for the Fed next week | A look at the situation in Europe and the position the European Central Bank (ECB) is in (cutting rates in a low-growth economy).https://aaronhedlund.com/ https://twitter.com/aaron_hedlund See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Investors have their eyes on Treasury yields following Monday's losses fueled partly by a yield rally. Rates could stay in focus ahead of Treasury auctions and CPI later this week.Here is Schwab's early look at the markets for Tuesday, December 10th: Major indexes begin the day licking their wounds and watching the bond market after moderate losses Monday to start a week dominated by U.S. inflation data and central bank meetings. Stocks finished near their lows yesterday, potentially putting the market in a weak spot on the charts as Tuesday dawns.Treasury yields rose across much of the curve Monday amid worries about tomorrow's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and reaffirmation by President-elect Trump that he stands by his tariff and deportation policies, which the market see as inflationary.  Adding to pressure on bonds, which move the opposite direction of yields, was The New York Federal Reserve's November consumer inflation expectations for the year ahead climbing to 3% from 2.9% in October. That followed year-ahead inflation expectations jumping to 2.9% from 2.6% in Friday's University of Michigan's preliminary December consumer sentiment report, the highest in six months. "CPI & PPI loom large this week, and markets will be fixated on this inflation data," said Joe Mazzola, head trading and derivatives strategist at Schwab.Besides CPI, tomorrow brings a rate decision from the Bank of Canada followed by Thursday's expected rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB). The CPI data and Thursday's Producer Price Index (PPI) could have a large impact on the U.S. rate outlook, but the Fed is seen almost certainly lowering rates when it gathers next week. Tech stumbled to start the week after driving last week's rally to record highs. The softness surfaced after China announced an anti-trust investigation into Nvidia (NVDA), which weighed on Nvidia and most other semiconductor stocks. Tech may find itself under more pressure today after Oracle (ORCL) disappointed late Monday with earnings that missed analysts' average estimate. Revenue came in as expected, dominated by AI-driven cloud performance, but shares fell 7% in pre-market trading. While Nvidia and semiconductors weighed on tech yesterday thanks partly to Beijing, not all the China news was bearish. China's Politburo shifted to looser monetary policy and promised more stimulus. This gave U.S.-listed Chinese stocks a boost and appeared to help U.S. gold mining and European luxury goods makers that might benefit from increased Chinese demand. Apple (AAPL), with a large presence in the Chinese market, registered a new all-time high Monday.  As of late Monday, traders saw an 86% chance rates will fall 25 basis points at the conclusion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting December 17–18 and a 14% chance of no move, based on the CME FedWatch Tool. It's unlikely the Fed would want to rock the boat by pausing next week with the market primed for a cut. But the central bank might deliver a so-called "hawkish trim," meaning it could lower rates and also express caution in its updated projections and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. Heading into Tuesday, the question is whether Wall Street sees any "buy the dip" action after Monday's washout. The worst performing S&P 500 sector yesterday was mega-cap dominated communication services, while only the defensive health care sector made any gains.The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 37.42 points (0.61%) Monday to 6,052.85; the Dow Jones Industrial Average®($DJI) slipped 240.59 points (0.54%) to 44,401.93; and the Nasdaq Composite®($COMP) fell 123.08 points (0.62%) to 19,736.69.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(1124-0130)

The question of when markets will start “pricing in” climate volatility and the energy transition is a recurring theme amongst monetary policymakers and the sustainability community. In this week's podcast, Ehsan Khoman, Head of Research – Commodities, ESG and Emerging Markets (EMEA), delves into a recent European Central Bank (ECB) report which suggests companies that are emitting the most carbon are paying rates 14 basis points higher, on average, than those charged to the ones emitting the least. Notwithstanding the challenges in zeroing in on climate risks on a standalone basis, these conclusions have profound implications for lenders and asset managers in systematically pricing in energy transition-linked risks on the path towards net zero. Disclaimer: www.mufgresearch.com (PDF)

Tom warmly receives Mel Mattison as his latest thought provoking guest. Mel, a seasoned finance professional, boasts a traditional finance background and an unyielding interest in financial history. His proficiency encompasses venture capital-backed firms, major asset managers, and self-study on intriguing topics like the monetary history of the United States and central banks. Mel's novel, "Quoz: The Annihilation of the Global Economic Order," is a financial thriller that delves into intricate themes, such as sovereign debt bubbles, globalist manipulation of institutions like central banks, and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS)'s pivotal role. The BIS, established in 1930 to manage reparations payments between Germany and the Allies, has since transformed into a dominant global financial institution. It assumed critical functions during World War II, mediating transactions between Axis powers and the Allies, and set the stage for the Euro and European Central Bank (ECB). Despite its substantial power, the BIS maintains a veil of secrecy and enjoys exclusive benefits such as immunity from prosecution. Central bank leaders convene bimonthly at the BIS headquarters in Basel to deliberate monetary policy without disclosing minutes or agendas. The BIS's involvement in central bank digital currencies, like Project Helvica and Project Jura, remains an enigma due to its lack of transparency. Mattison explores the Federal Reserve's coordinated rate cuts with global central banks and ponders the market consequences when discrepancies between central bank actions emerge. He advocates for the significance of comprehending labor market indicators, fiscal stimulus, and inflation's impact on economic expansion. Mel raises doubts about the yield curve inversion's dependability as a recession harbinger due to recent Federal Reserve manipulations and excessive short-term debt issuance. Entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare are edging towards insolvency, posing potential repercussions like higher interest rates, increased debt, and inflation around 2027-2028. Mel deliberates on the potential fallout of a debt market crisis on pension funds and alternative assets, such as gold, silver, and Bitcoin. He anticipates volatility in the equity market during this critical juncture and proposes that an extreme situation could involve the U.S. Treasury revaluing gold against the dollar in an emergency maneuver, drastically altering financial markets. Time Stamp References0:00 - Introduction0:32 - Mel's Background6:35 - BIS Global Role13:12 - Immunity Vs. Incentives15:16 - Central Banks & US Rates21:20 - C.B. Magic Hats25:55 - Rate Controls & Signals33:10 - Inversions & Recession36:08 - Yellen Debt Issuance40:30 - Entitlement Programs47:10 - The Entitlement Cliff50:24 - Blowout Debts & Pensions54:33 - Treasury Gold Talking Points From This Episode: Mel Mattison discusses BIS's pivotal role in global finance, its secrecy, and potential impact on digital currencies. Mattison raises concerns over yield curve inversion's reliability as a recession indicator amid Federal Reserve manipulations. Mel explores the implications of debt market crises on pension funds and alternative assets. Bitcoin. Guest Links:Website: https://www.MelMattison.com/QuozTwitter: https://twitter.com/MelMattison1LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/melmattison/ Mel Mattison is a writer, investor, and financial services veteran. Leveraging over twenty years' experience in the realm of high finance, he brings real-world authenticity to his fictional narratives. Mel combines this insider knowledge with a critical eye toward the economic forces that shape all our lives. With a knack for deconstructing jargon and making the complex understandable, he sheds light on the sometimes dark and confusing corners of finance. Mel holds an MBA from Duke University and studied creative writing at Loyola University Chicago.

TNT Radio host Patrick Henningsen speaks with independent French researcher and journalist Freddie Ponton, about Dutch politician Mark Rutte who's set to become NATO's new Secretary General. Freddie carries on with an in-depth analysis of the impact the recent Right populist's parties victory at the European Elections has had on the EU bloc which is currently fast-tracking the process of securing EU top positions for the next 5 years to prevent their noticeable advance. Freddie also explains how the EU and the European Central Bank (ECB) are weaponising the interest rates to hinder the democratic process while the U.S. is looking at ways to keep its grip on the EU's new political landscape reality. More from Freddie: X/Twitter  TUNE-IN LIVE to TNT RADIO for the Patrick Henningsen Show every MON-FRI at 4PM-6PM (NEW YORK) | 9PM-11PM (LONDON) https://tntradio.live

In this episode, we discuss the recent rate cuts by the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank (ECB), marking significant moves in the global financial landscape. We analyze the implications of these cuts for the U.S. economy, the dollar, and trade. With a crucial U.S. jobs report on the horizon, we explore how it could influence future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Additionally, we delve into market reactions, share insights from recent earnings reports, and highlight the importance of financial education and networking in the current economic climate. [0:00] Bank of Canada and ECB Rate Cuts - Analysis of the first rate cuts by G7 nations and their potential impact. [1:10] Sticky Inflation Concerns - Despite high shelter inflation in Canada, rate cuts proceed, indicating a shift in central bank strategies. [2:52] European Central Bank's Inflation Forecasts - The ECB's revised inflation expectations for 2024 and 2025 and their implications. [3:25] U.S. Jobs Report Significance - How tomorrow's jobs report could make or break the likelihood of a September rate cut. [5:50] Market Expectations and Reactions - Discussing market predictions and reactions to potential rate cuts. [7:57] Shoutout to the Community - Acknowledging the support and participation of the daily live stream audience. [8:37] Importance of Networking and Education - Opportunities to interact with experts like Jonathan Twombly and Greg Dickerson in the school community. [10:38] Recent Earnings Reports - Highlights from Lululemon, Five Below, and Costco's earnings and their market implications. [11:17] Bankruptcy Trends and Consumer Behavior - Insights from Lisa Song Sutton on the rise in Chapter 7 bankruptcies and its impact on consumer markets. [14:31] Tech Layoffs and Labor Market Dynamics - Explaining why tech layoffs haven't significantly impacted the unemployment rate. One Rental at a Time: Access resources and join the school community. Lisa Song Sutton Interview: Watch the interview discussing bankruptcy trends (link is illustrative). Join the School Community: Sign up for special content and expert sessions (link is illustrative). Thank you for tuning in to today's episode. If you found our discussion insightful, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Your support helps us continue to deliver valuable content. Stay informed, stay proactive, and remember, understanding market dynamics and networking with experts is key to navigating these economic shifts.

Finally, you can easily access Bitcoin in a low-cost ETF with the VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL). Visit https://vaneck.com/HODLFG to learn more. VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/hodlprospectus/ __ Dr. Ingo Sauer of Goethe University Frankfurt joins Forward Guidance to share findings from his 360 paper on Hyperinflation in 1923 and its connection to central bank insolvency. Sauer argues that severe impairment of central bank assets, and not the printing of vast amounts of central bank liabilities (money), was the primary cause of extreme inflation witnessed 101 years ago in Germany, Austria, Hungary and Poland. Sauer inverts the causal line of exchange rate depreciation, money supply increase, and inflation, and he also shares his concern about the current state of the balance sheet of the European Central Bank (ECB). Filmed on March 5, 2024. __ Ingo Sauer's YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@wissenhatkeineneigentumeri9889 Ingo Sauer's 360 page paper, “The Lessons from 1923 for the Euro Area: Enlightening the Dark Side of (In-) Solvent Central Banks' Balance Sheets”: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4620462 Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:56) Overview Of Dr. Sauer's Theory On The Ultimate Cause of Hyperinflation: Central Bank Insolvency (07:05) Dr. Sauer's Concerns About The Euro (11:22) Setting The Stage For German Hyperinflation in 1923 (14:33) The German Mark During World War I (21:40) The Assets Of The Reichsbank Increasingly Became Dominated By German Government Obligations (Not Commercial Bills / Collateral Advances / Gold) (30:03) Central Bank Insolvency (Not Money Supply Increase) Caused Hyperinflation in 1923 (34:53) VanEck Ad (36:48) Failed Attempts To Stabilize German Mark And Inflation, 1919-1922 (41:44) Reichsbank's Holdings Of German Treasury Bills Highly Correlated To (In)Solvency Factor (45:01) Explaining Sauer's "Solvency Factor" (47:29) The Mark's Short-Lived Rally In 1920 (51:10) Marker (57:09) The Mechanics Of Central Bank Insolvency (59:40) Reichsmark Insolvency Led To Depreciation Of The Mark, Which Led To Hyperinflation (01:02:34) Money Supply Did Not Cause Hyperinflation, Argues Sauer (01:15:09) The Explosion In Reichsbank's Money Supply Was Mostly Paper Cash, Not Bank Reserves (01:23:03) Reparations' Impact On German Solvency (01:27:22) The Rentenmark And The Halting Of German HyperInflation (01:30:47) Central Bank Profits and Yield Curve Dynamics (01:34:58) European Debt Crisis (2009-2015) (01:36:45) Fed As Dealer Of Last Resort, European Central Bank (ECB) As Market Maker Of Last Resort (01:38:06) ECB Is Less A Central Bank And More Of A "Headquarters" For Domestic Euro Central Banks (such as Bank of France, for example) (01:40:23) Origin Of Fed, And Clearinghouse Loan Certificates As National Currency Before The Fed (01:44:18) Why Has ECB Balance Sheet Expansion Post 2008 Coincided With Disinflation (Or Deflation), And Not Hyperinflation? (01:47:44) Sauer's Fears About The ECB And The Euro (02:00:46) The Mechanics Of Monetary Financing (02:18:32) Interest Rate Risk Is Not A Systemic Concern __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Layer Two Labs Initiative: While specific details from the link are not provided directly, Layer Two Labs is presumably involved in the development and enhancement of blockchain technologies, particularly focusing on "Layer 2" solutions aimed at scaling and improving efficiency beyond the base layer (Layer 1) of blockchains like Bitcoin and Ethereum. This focus is crucial for addressing issues such as transaction speed, costs, and network congestion.Bitcoin's Inflation-Adjusted High: Analysis from Decrypt highlights that, when adjusted for inflation, Bitcoin's price could be considered at an all-time high. This perspective offers a nuanced view of Bitcoin's value, considering the global inflationary context, and positions Bitcoin as a potential inflation hedge, challenging conventional market assessments based on nominal prices alone.ECB Advisors on Bitcoin's Value: Advisors to the European Central Bank (ECB) have issued a stark assessment, suggesting that Bitcoin has failed as a currency and its fair value might be zero. This viewpoint reflects ongoing skepticism from some traditional financial sectors regarding the intrinsic value and utility of Bitcoin, underscoring the divide between digital asset proponents and traditional financial institutions.England's Crypto Property Legislation: The Law Commission in England is moving forward with consultations to potentially classify cryptocurrencies as property. This legal development is significant as it would provide a solid foundation for the ownership, transfer, and litigation of digital assets, aligning them more closely with traditional property rights and potentially enhancing their legal clarity and market confidence.________News Links

Become a Client: https://nomadcapitalist.com/apply/ Get our free Weekly Rundown newsletter and be the first to hear about breaking news and offers: https://nomadcapitalist.com/email Get on the waiting list and join us for the next Nomad Capitalist Live: https://nomadcapitalist.com/live/ Earlier this year, the European Commission made a significant stride by proposing a comprehensive legal framework set to usher in a central bank digital currency (CBDC) within the Eurozone's 20 member states. The European Central Bank (ECB) had previously outlined plans for the digital euro, which could potentially debut by 2027, offering consumers the ability to transact with “public money” seamlessly both online and offline. In a most recent update, ECB president Christine Lagarde provided further insights into the bloc's CBDC efforts, most notably the security and anonymity of the upcoming digital asset. Uncover the truth about Central Bank Digital Currencies in Europe! Join us as we expose the misleading statements, privacy concerns, and potential risks surrounding the digital Euro. Nomad Capitalist has served as the “architect” and “general contractor” for 1,500+ clients who wanted one company to manage their holistic plans. We help these clients keep more of their wealth, increase their personal freedom, and protect their families and wealth against current and future threats at home. Our in-house team of researchers, strategists, and executioners know more about these strategies than just about anyone. We've also spent more than a decade building a trusted network of attorneys, accountants, real estate agents, and others to assist our clients. As a result, our approach is not only holistic, but agnostic; we offer our clients advice on and options in 90+ countries, more than any other firm by far. If you're looking to diversify internationally, whether for lower taxes or as a “Plan B”, trust the industry pioneers at Nomad Capitalist and our experience serving the needs of globally-minded entrepreneurs and investors. Become Our Client: https://nomadcapitalist.com/apply/ Our Website: http://www.nomadcapitalist.com/ About Our Company: https://nomadcapitalist.com/about/ Buy Mr. Henderson's Book: https://nomadcapitalist.com/book/ DISCLAIMER: The information in this video should not be considered tax, financial, investment, or any kind of professional advice. Only a professional diagnosis of your specific situation can determine which strategies are appropriate for your needs. Nomad Capitalist can and does not provide advice unless/until engaged by you.