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In this episode, Michael Haskell shares his journey from aspiring soccer player to successful entrepreneur, discussing the importance of aligning profit with purpose, maintaining fiscal discipline, and the value of strong partnerships. He emphasizes the need for adaptability and resilience in business, offering insights into scaling companies globally and the significance of unit-level economics.As you listen:00:00:00 Introduction to Michael Haskell 00:03:00 Aligning Profit with Purpose 00:09:00 The Importance of Fiscal Discipline 00:15:00 Building Strong Partnerships 00:21:00 Adaptability and Resilience in Business 00:27:00 Understanding Unit-Level Economics 00:33:00 Bootstrapping to Success 00:39:00 Navigating Global Markets"Align profit with purpose." "Strong partnerships matter more." "Understand unit-level economics." "Bootstrapping fosters discipline."Takeaways-Align profit with purpose for long-term success. -Maintain fiscal discipline even with external investment. -Strong partnerships are more important than the business idea. -Adaptability and resilience are key in business. -Understand unit-level economics before scaling. -Bootstrapping fosters fiscal discipline. -Be mindful of the quality of business partners. -Focus on strong fundamentals before scaling. -Ask for help and build a network. -Flexibility in contracting can aid business resilience.Send us a textSupport the show
In this episode, we’re joined by Bipen Rai, Managing Director and Head of ETF and Alternatives Strategy at BMO Global Asset Management. We discuss the current macro environment, the outlook for interest rates, and how investors should think about portfolio construction as markets move further away from the post-GFC playbook. Bipen shares his perspective on gold and why it continues to play an important role in portfolios, how macro risks are evolving, and what signals investors should be paying attention to as we move forward. We also touch on the broader investing landscape, risk management, and how investors can think more deliberately about diversification in an increasingly uncertain environment. BMO ETFs is a sponsor of The Canadian Investor Podcast. This episode is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Our New Youtube Channel! Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Fiscal.ai for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Shawn and Daniel break down Snap Inc., a camera-based social media platform with nearly one billion monthly users. IN THIS EPISODE, YOU'LL LEARN: 00:00:00 – Intro 00:08:25 – Why Snapchat, being a founder-led company, is less than ideal in this case 00:09:15 – Why Snapchat is unlikely to be acquired any time soon 00:17:49 – How Snapchat almost didn't become a hit, and what made it suddenly so popular 00:39:24 – Why growth internationally is actually worsening Snapchat's unit economics 00:45:12 – What to know about how the company is dipping its toes into artificial intelligence 00:48:01 – Whether subscriptions can save Snapchat's business model 00:57:55 – Why it has been so much harder for Snapchat to make its unit economics work relative to peers 01:07:08 – How to think about modeling SNAP's intrinsic value 01:07:29 – Whether Shawn and Daniel add SNAP to their Intrinsic Value Portfolio *Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES The Investors Podcast Network is excited to debut a new community known as The Intrinsic Value Community for investors to learn, share ideas, network, and join calls with experts: Sign up for the waitlist(!) Sign up for The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Shawn & Daniel use Fiscal.ai for every company they research — use their referral link to get started with a 15% discount! Snap's investor relations page. Acquired's podcast coverage of Snap. Why Snap CEO Evan Spiegel is betting on smart glasses. Explore our previous Intrinsic Value breakdowns: Transdigm, Salesforce, Berkshire Hathaway, FICO, PayPal, Uber, Nike, Amazon, Airbnb, Alphabet. Related books mentioned in the podcast. Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try Shawn's favorite tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: - Public.com - See the full disclaimer here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
John talks with Rep, Timothy Burchett about political corruption and wasteful spending across the country. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
What happens when a roof truss goes into cardiac arrest? Find out on this week's PlayingFTSE Show!With one week to go before Christmas, the Steves have generated the same result. It's between the FTSE 100 and the S&P 500 and it's positive… just.We haven't looked at Jet2 on the show before, despite it being a stock that several of our UK friends like. But with net cash almost equal to its market cap, is it too good to be true?Steve W thinks it is. But there are some real reasons to like the stock, including an interesting growth opportunity at Gatwick and a strong reputation with its customers…Inpost is a company we hadn't heard of until a couple of years ago. But with lockers springing up all over the UK (as well as Poland) both Steves know it well.The business model is familiar and straightforward, but a there's risk of big customers becoming competitors. So what does Steve D think about buying this one for his portfolio?It's been a tough year for FTSE 100 distributor Bunzl and it's finishing with an uninspiring trading report. And the guidance for 2026 involves further margin contraction.Steve W is invested in this one in a fairly heavy way. So with sales edging higher and ongoing share buybacks, what's he going to do about it in the new year?Only on this week's PlayingFTSE Podcast► Get a free fractional share!This show is sponsored by Trading 212! To get free fractional shares worth up to 100 EUR / GBP, you can open an account with Trading 212 through this link https://www.trading212.com/Jdsfj/FTSE. Terms apply.When investing, your capital is at risk and you may get back less than invested.Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.► Get 15% OFF Fiscal.ai:Huge thanks to our sponsor, Fiscal.ai, the best investing toolkit we've discovered! Get 15% off your subscription with code below and unlock powerful tools to analyze stocks, discover hidden gems, and build income streams. Check them out at Fiscal.ai!https://fiscal.ai/?via=steve► Follow Us On Substack:Sign up for our Substack and get light-hearted, info-packed discussions on everything from market trends and investing psychology to deep dives into different asset classes. We'll analyze what makes the best investors tick and share insights that challenge your thinking while keeping things engaging.Don't miss out! Sign up today and start your journey with us.https://playingftse.substack.com/► Support the show:Appreciate the show and want to offer your support? You could always buy us a coffee at: https://ko-fi.com/playingftse(All proceeds reinvested into the show and not to coffee!)► Timestamps:0:00 INTRO & OUR WEEKS11:16 JET228:00 INPOST1:03:14 BUNZL► Show Notes:What's been going on in the financial world and why should anyone care? Find out as we dive into the latest news and try to figure out what any of it means. We talk about stocks, markets, politics, and loads of other things in a way that's accessible, light-hearted and (we hope) entertaining. For the people who know nothing, by the people who know even less. Enjoy► Wanna get in contact?Got a question for us? Drop it in the comments below or reach out to us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/playing_ftse/► Enquiries: Please email - playingftsepodcast@gmail(dot)com► Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Chris Markowski discusses the current financial landscape, analyzing President Trump's recent speech and the promises made regarding economic recovery and inflation. He emphasizes the importance of accountability in leadership, fiscal responsibility, and the realities of wealth accumulation. The conversation also touches on the dangers of modern trading platforms and the need for sound financial advice.
Escucha el podcast del programa La Voz de la Fiscalía a través de CDN Radio, en Santo Domingo, República Dominicana correspondiente al sábado 20-diciembre-2025.
This week, the focus is on diversification—and why it's getting harder to achieve. Portfolio Strategist Natalie Gill explains how the “diversification mirage,” a key theme in BII's 2026 outlook, is now showing up in real time. A small set of megaforces is increasingly dictating equity performance, meaning traditional attempts to diversify—whether toward equal-weighted indices or new regions—can amount to larger active positions than many investors realize.Natalie also breaks down how rising developed-market bond yields challenge the long-held assumption that long-term bonds reliably balance portfolios. Fiscal strains, shifting central bank stances, and policy divergence between the U.S. and other economies further complicate the diversification picture. As bond volatility rises and a small number of equity drivers dominate returns, investors may need to reconsider how and where true diversification can be found.The episode also highlights the growing disconnect between the Federal Reserve's policy posture and the more hawkish tone across Australia, Canada, and Japan—where fiscal dynamics and reopening risks are influencing long-term rates. These divergences, paired with delayed U.S. labor data and inflation considerations, shape the macro backdrop as markets enter the new year.Key Insights· Diversification is increasingly difficult as a handful of megaforces drive global equity performance.· Traditional diversifiers—such as long-term government bonds—provide less balance amid rising yields.· Policy divergence between the U.S. and other major central banks is creating new cross-market risks.· Fiscal concerns are influencing yield curves, particularly in Japan and the UK.· Portfolios may require more deliberate, active decisions and alternative sources of return to achieve true diversification. diversification, megaforces, capital markets, macro trends, bond yields, portfolio balance, market outlookThis content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
* Fiscalía revoca protección a dueño de Miss Universo* Balacera en la Ciudad de México termina con captura de extorsionadores* También Nuevo León quiere una Ley Esposa
Mauricio Pava, abogado de Ricardo Bonilla, exministro de Hacienda, manifestó su desacuerdo con la jueza, debido a que la Fiscalía y la Procuraduría pidieron detención domiciliaria
The Investing Power Hour is live-streamed every Thursday on the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast YouTube channel at 5:00 PM EST. This week we discussed:(00:00) Introduction(01:15) Meet new guest Aria Radnia(02:29) Diving into Uber: The Elevator Pitch(17:05) Transitioning to Coupang: The Data Breach Impact(28:36) Netflix's New Strategies: Podcasts and Gaming(44:11) Snap's New Monetization Strategy(52:20) Turning Point Brands: A Deep Dive(57:33) Lululemon's Earnings and Market Position(01:04:11) Bubble Watch: Current Market TrendsAria's Twitter: https://www.youtube.com/@QualityInvest5Aria's YouTube: https://x.com/QualityInvest5*****************************************************Subscribe to Emerging Moats Research: emergingmoats.com *********************************************************************Chit Chat Stocks is presented by Interactive Brokers. Get professional pricing, global access, and premier technology with the best brokerage for investors today: https://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Interactive Brokers is a member of SIPC. *********************************************************************Fiscal.ai is building the future of financial data.With custom charts, AI-generated research reports, and endless analytical tools, you can get up to speed on any stock around the globe. All for a reasonable price. Use our LINK and get 15% off any premium plan: https://fiscal.ai/chitchat *********************************************************************Disclosure: Chit Chat Stocks hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation.
Our Head of Corporate Research Andrew Sheets and Chief Investment Officer for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Lisa Shalett unpack what's fueling persistent U.S. inflation and how investors could adjust their portfolios to this new landscape.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Lisa Shalett: And I'm Lisa Shalett, Chief Investment Officer for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. Andrew Sheets: Today, is inflation really transitory or are we entering a new era where higher prices are the norm? Andrew Sheets: It's Thursday, December 18th at 4pm in London. Lisa Shalett: And it's 11am in New York. Andrew Sheets: Lisa, it's great to talk to you again. And, you know, we're having this conversation in the aftermath of, kind of, an unusual dynamic in markets when it comes to inflation. Because inflation is still hovering around 3 percent. That's well above the Federal Reserve's 2 percent target. And yet the Federal Reserve recently lowered interest rates again. Fiscal policy remains very stimulative, and I think there's this real question around whether inflation will moderate? Or whether we're going to see inflation be higher for longer. And you know, you are out with a new report touching on some of the issues behind this and why this might be a structural shift higher in inflation. So, we'd love to get your thoughts on that, and we'll drill down into the various drivers as this conversation goes on. Lisa Shalett: Thanks Andrew. And look, I think as we take a step back, and the reason we're calling this a regime change is because we see factors for inflation coming from both the demand side and the supply side. For example, on the demand side, the role of the infrastructure boom, the GenAI infrastructure boom, has become global. It has caused material appreciation of many commodities in 2025. We're seeing it obviously in some of the dynamics around precious metals. But we're also seeing it in industrial metals. Things like copper, things like nickel. We're also seeing demand factors that may stem from the K-shaped economy. And the K-shaped economy, as we know, is really about this idea that the wealthiest folks are increasingly dominating consumption. And they are getting wealthy through financial asset inflation. On the supply side, there are dynamics like immigration, dynamics around the housing market that we can talk about. But perhaps the wrapper around all of it is how policy is shifting – because increasingly policymakers are being constrained by very high levels of debt and deficits. And determining how to fund those debts and deficits actually removes some of the degrees of freedom that central bankers may have when it comes to actually using interest rates to constrain demand. Andrew Sheets: Well, Lisa, this is such a great point because we're financial analysts. We're not political analysts. But it seems safe to say that voters really don't like inflation. But they also don't like some of the policies that would traditionally be assigned to fight inflation – be they higher interest rates or tighter fiscal policy. And even some of the more recent political shifts that we've seen – I'm talking about the U.S. around, say, immigration policy could arguably be further tightening of that supply side of the economy – measures designed to raise wages, almost explicitly in their policy goals. So how do you see that dynamic? And, again, kind of where does that leave, you think, policy going forward? Lisa Shalett: Yeah. I think the very short answer – our best guess is that policy becomes constrained. So, on the monetary side, we're already seeing the Fed beginning to signal that perhaps they're going to rely on other tools in the toolkit. And what are those tools in the toolkit? Well, they're managing the size of their balance sheet, managing the duration or the mix of things that they hold in the balance sheet. And it's actual, you know, returns to how they think about reserve management in the banking system. All of those things, all of those constraints may enable the U.S. government to fund debts, right? By buying the Treasury bill issuance, which is, you know, swollen to almost [$]2 trillion a year in terms of U.S. deficits. But on the fiscal side, right, the interest payments on debt, begins to crowd out other government spending. So, policy itself in this era of fiscal dominance becomes constrained – both in, you know, Washington, D.C. and from Congress – what they can do, their degrees of freedom – and what the central bank can do to actually control inflation. Andrew Sheets: Another area that you touch on in your report is energy and technology, which are obviously related with this large boom that we're seeing – and continue to expect in AI data center construction. This is a lot of spending on the technology. This is a lot of power needed to power that technology and U.S. data center electricity demand is growing at a rapid rate. And transmission constraints are causing prices to go up. A price that is a pretty visible price for a lot of people when they get their utility bill. So, how do these factors you think shape the story? And where do you think they're going to go as we look into the future? Lisa Shalett: Yeah, 100 percent. I mean, I think, you know, when we talk about, you know, who's going to dominate in Generative AI globally, one of the factors that we have to take into consideration is what is the cost of power? What is the cost of electricity? What is the age of the infrastructure to both generate that electricity and transport it? And transmit it? This is one of the areas where the U.S., at the minute, is facing genuine constraints. When you think about some of the forecasts that have been put out there in terms of $10 trillion of spending related to Generative AI, the number of data centers that are going to be built, and the power shortfall that has been forecast. We're talking about someone having to pay the price, if you will, to ration power until you can upgrade the grid. And in the U.S., that grid upgrade, to be blunt, has lagged some of the rest of the world. Not only because the rest of the world was slower to modernize and leapfrogged in many ways. But we know in China, for example, they have one of the lowest electricity generation costs on the planet. That is an advantage for them. So, we have to consider that power generation writ large is potentially a force for upward inflation, at least in the short term. Andrew Sheets: So we have the fiscal policy backdrop. We have an AI spending backdrop both contributing to the demand side of inflation. We have these supply constraints, whether it's housing or labor also, you know, potentially being more structural drivers of higher inflation. The question I'm sure that investors are asking you is, what should they do about it? So, can you walk us through the key strategies that investors might want to consider as they navigate a new inflationary regime? Lisa Shalett: Sure. So, the first thing that we think it's really important for folks to appreciate is that typically when we've been in these higher inflation regimes in the past, stocks and bonds become positively correlated. And what that means is that the power of a very simple 60-40 or stock-bond-cash portfolio to provide complete or optimal diversification fades. And it requires investors to potentially consider investing, especially beyond fixed income. Stocks very often are pro-inflationary assets; meaning many, many companies have the power to pass through price increases. If you are consuming income from a fixed income or a bond instrument, inflation is your enemy, right? Because it's eating into your real returns. And so, one of the things that we're talking with our clients a lot about in terms of portfolio construction are things like adding real assets, adding infrastructure assets, adding energy, transportation assets, adding commodities. Adding gold even, to a certain extent. You know, there may be cryptocurrencies that have lower correlations to their portfolios. Andrew Sheets: Just to play devil's advocate, you can imagine that some investors might say, ‘Well, I can look in the market at long-term inflation expectations.' And those long-term inflation expectations have been kind of stable and a bit above the Fed's target. But not dramatically. So, what do you say to that? And what do you think those markets either might be missing? Or how could investors leverage that more benign view that's out there in the market? Lisa Shalett: Yeah, so look, I think here's where the debate, right? Our perception has been that inflation expectations have remained extraordinarily anchored – because investors have actually reasonably short memories on the one hand, and we have, by and large, been in disinflationary times. Second, there's extraordinary faith in policy makers – that policy makers will fight inflation. And I think the third thing is that there's extraordinary faith in the deflationary forces of technology. Now, all three of those things may absolutely, positively be true. The problem that we have is that the alternate case, right? The case that we're making – that maybe we're in a new inflationary regime is not priced, and the risk is non-zero. And so, what we see, and what we're watching is – how steep does the yield curve get, right? As we look at yields in the 10-30-year tenure – what is driving those rates higher? Is it a generic term premium? Or are we starting to see an unanchoring, if you will, of inflation expectations. And it takes a while for people to appreciate regime change. And so, look, as is always the case, there's no absolutes in the market. There's no one theory that is priced and the other theory is not. But sometimes you want to hedge, and we think that we're going through a period where diversified portfolios and hedging for these alternative outcomes -- because there are such powerful structural crosscurrents – is the preferred path. Andrew Sheets: Lisa, thanks for sharing your insights Lisa Shalett: Of course, Andrew. That's my pleasure. Andrew Sheets: As a reminder, if you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please take a moment to rate and review us, wherever you listen. It helps more people find the show.
Canadian CPI surprised slightly to the downside, but food inflation is still biting, with big moves in staples like beef and coffee. We also break down the shakeup at Lululemon as the CEO steps down, and why investors appear to be welcoming change. On the Canadian side, we dig into Group Dynamite’s eye-popping results and what’s behind the momentum. Finally, we tackle the name that’s been weighing on markets. We wrap with WSP’s latest acquisition and why grid modernization could be one of the more compelling “picks and shovels” angles to the broader AI buildout. Tickers of Stocks Discussed: LULU, ORCL, WSP.TO, GRGD.TO Our New Youtube Channel! Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Fiscal.ai for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
La actualización presupuestaria de mitad de año (MYEFO) presentada por el Tesorero Jim Chalmers muestra una mejora del déficit y menor deuda, pero confirma un aumento del gasto a corto plazo, mientras persisten las preocupaciones por la inflación.
Fiscal slippage, lower economic growth, sticky inflation, weaker dollar, steeper yield curve, financial instability; these are the key prognostications of Dr. Komal Sri-Kumar in our year-end podcast. President of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, Sri is a deep thinker on macro trade strategies, and his forecasting track record is outstanding. Going into 2026, he is bearish both stocks and bonds, long vols and gold, and bearish the USD. He worries that the inevitable bursting of the AI-bubble and sticky inflation would cause stagflation and financial instability risks in the US next year. He is also concerned about the erosion of institutional strength in the US, from the central bank to the treasury to the statistical agencies. An unambiguously bleak outlook.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Fiscalía tardó 5 años en integrar carpeta; ahora no me dan días para preparar defensa: Rodolfo RuizEnlace para apoyar vía Patreon:https://www.patreon.com/julioastilleroEnlace para hacer donaciones vía PayPal:https://www.paypal.me/julioastilleroCuenta para hacer transferencias a cuenta BBVA a nombre de Julio Hernández López: 1539408017CLABE: 012 320 01539408017 2Tienda:https://julioastillerotienda.com/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
El coordinador del Equipo Especial de Fiscales Lava Jato, Rafael Vela, dejó entrever que habría una intromisión política en la intención anunciada por el Fiscal de la Nación interino, Tomás Gálvez, de desactivar los equipos especiales en el Ministerio Público. En declaraciones a Ampliación de Noticias, Vela afirmó que la decisión sería "una orden" y la vinculó con la comisión del Congreso a cargo de evaluar el acuerdo de colaboración eficaz con la empresa Odebrecht, dirigida por el congresista Alejandro Muñante.
El hombre que más poder tuvo dentro del PSOE y que fue de la máxima confianza de Pedro Sánchez, Santos Cerdán, volvió al Senado a declarar: insistió que no hubo financiación ilegal en el PSOE, aseguró ser víctima de una conspiración del Estado profundo y lanzó una proclama: mejor solo que mal acompañado. Además, la incidencia de la gripe no para de crecer en las últimas tres semanas y tensiona los hospitales y los centros de salud, con comunidades autónomas retomando medidas que no se aplicaban desde la pandemia. Y la Fiscalía pide archivar la causa contra Iñigo Errejón por la presunta agresión sexual a Elisa Mouliáa.
Información al día de EL COMERCIO, Platinum y Radio Quito este jueves 18 de diciembre de 2025Denuncia por el asesinato de Mario Pineida ya está en la Fiscalía; Así fue el rescate del perrito que se metió al Metro de Quito; Fiscalía inicia investigación tras denuncias de supuestas amenazas contra juez anticorrupción; En Asunción se sortearon las fases preliminares de la Libertadores y Sudamericana; Alexa: ¿Qué preguntaron los usuarios al asistente de Amazon en 2025? Gracias por escuchar este podcast, un producto de Grupo EL COMERCIO
Our Public Policy Strategists Michael Zezas and Ariana Salvatore break down key moves from the White House, U.S. Congress and Supreme Court that could influence markets 2026.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Michael Zezas: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy.Ariana Salvatore: And I'm Ariana Salvatore, U.S. Public Policy Strategist.Michael Zezas: Today we'll be talking about the outlook for U.S. public policy and its interaction with markets into 2026.It's Wednesday, December 17th at 10:30am in New York.So, Ariana, we published our year ahead outlook last month. And since then, you've been out there talking to clients about U.S. public policy, its interaction with markets, and how that plays into 2026. What sorts of topics are on investors' minds around this theme?Ariana Salvatore: So, the first thing I'd say is clients are definitely interested in our more bullish outlook, in particular for the U.S. equity market. And normally we would start these conversations by talking through the policy variables, right? Immigration, deregulation, fiscal, and trade policy. But I think now we're actually post peak uncertainty for those variables, and we're talking through how the policy choices that have been made interact with the outlook.So, in particular for the equity market, we do think that some of the upside actually is pretty isolated from the fact that we're post peak uncertainty on tariffs, for example. Consumer discretionary – the double upgrade that our strategists made in the outlook has very little to do with the policy backdrop, and more to do with fundamentals, and things like AI and the dollar tailwind and all of all those factors.So, I think that that's a key difference. I would say it's more about the implementation of these policy decisions rather than which direction is the policy going to go in.Michael Zezas: Picking up on that point about policy uncertainty, when we were having this conversation a year ago, right after the election, looking into 2025, the key policy variables that we were going to care about – trade, fiscal policy regulation – there was a really wide range of plausible outcomes there.With tariffs, for example, you could make a credible argument that they weren't going to increase at all. But you could also make a credible argument that the average effective tariff rate was going to go up to 50 or 60 percent. While the tariff story certainly isn't over going into 2026, it certainly feels like we've landed in a place that's more range bound. It's an average effective tariff rate that's four to five times higher than where we started the year, but not nearly as high as some of the projections would have. There's still some negotiation that's going on between the U.S. and China and ways in which that could temporarily escalate; and with some other geographies as well. But we think the equilibrium rate is roughly around where we're at right now.Fiscal policy is another area where the projections were that we were going to have anything from a very substantial deficit expansion. Tax cuts that wouldn't be offset in any meaningful way by spending cuts; to a fiscal contraction, which was going to be more focused on heavier spending cuts that would've more than offset any tax cuts. We landed somewhere in between. It seems like there's some modest stimulus in the pipe for next year. But again, that is baked. We don't expect Congress to do much more there.And in terms of regulation, listen, this is a little bit more difficult, but regulatory policy tends to move slowly. It's a bureaucratic process. We thought that some of it would start last year, but it would be in process and potentially hit next year and the year after. And that's kind of where we are.So, we more or less know how these variables have become something closer to constants, and to your point, Ariana now it's about observing how economic actors, companies, consumers react to those policy choices. And what that means for the economy next year.All that said, there's always the possibility that we could be wrong. So, going back to tariffs for a minute, what are you looking at that could change or influence trade policy in a way that investors either might not expect or just have to account for in a new way?Ariana Salvatore: So, I would say the clearest catalyst is the impending decision from the Supreme Court on the legality of the IEEPA tariffs. I think on that front, there are really two things to watch. The first is what President Trump does in response. Right now, there's an expectation that he will just replace the tariffs with other existing authorities, which I think probably should still be our base case. There's obviously a growing possibility, we think, that he actually takes a lighter touch on tariffs, given the concerns around affordability. And then the second thing I would say is on the refunds piece. So, if the Supreme Court does, in fact, say that the Treasury has to pay back the tariff revenue that it's collected, we've investigated some different scenarios what that could look like. In short, we think it's going to be dragged out over a long time period, probably six months at a minimum. And a lot of this will come down to the implementation and what specifically Treasury and CBP, its Customs and Border Protection, sets up to get that money back out to companies.The second catalyst on the trade front is really the USMCA review. So, this is an important topic because it matters a lot for the nearshoring narrative, for the trade relationship that the U.S. has with Mexico and Canada. And there are a number of sectors that come into scope. Obviously, Autos is the clearest impact.So, that's something that's going to happen by the middle of next year. But early in January, the USTR has to give his evaluation of the effectiveness of the USMCA to Congress. I think at that point we're going to start to see headlines. We're going to go start to see lawmakers engage more publicly with this topic. And again, a lot at stake in terms of North American supply chains. So that's going to be a really interesting development to keep an eye on next year too.Michael Zezas: So, what about things that Congress might do? Recently the President and Democrats have been talking about the concept of affordability in the wake of some of the off-cycle elections, where that appeared to influence voter behavior and give Democrats an advantage. So are there policies, any legislative policies in particular, that might come to the forefront that might impact how consumers behave?Ariana Salvatore: So a really important starting point here is just on the process itself, right? So, as we've said, one of the more reliable historical priors is that it's difficult to legislate during election years. That's a function of the fact that lawmakers just aren't in D.C. as often. You also have limited availabilities in terms of procedure itself because Republicans would have to probably do another Reconciliation Bill unless you get some bipartisan support.But hitting on this topic of affordability, there really are a few different things on the table right now. Obviously, the President has spoken about these tariff dividend checks, the $2,000. They've spoken about making changes on housing policy, so housing deregulation, and then the third is on these expanded ACA subsidies.Those were obviously the crux of the government shutdown debate. And for a variety of reasons, I think each of these are really challenging to see moving over the finish line in the coming months. We think that you would need to see some sort of exogenous economic downturn, which is not currently in our economists' baseline forecast, to really get that kind of more reactive fiscal policy.And because of those procedural constraints, I would just go back to the point we were saying earlier around tariff policy and maybe the Supreme Court decision, giving Trump this opportunity to pull back a little bit. It's really the easiest and most available policy lever he has to address affordability. And to that point, the administration has already taken steps in this direction. They provided a number of exemptions on agricultural products and said they weren't going to move forward with the Section 232 tariffs on semiconductors in the very near term. So, we're already seeing directionally, I would say, movement in this area.Michael Zezas: Yeah. And I think we should also keep our eye on potential legislation around energy exploration. This is something that in the past has had bipartisan support loosening up regulations around that, and it's something that also ties into the theme of developing AI as a national imperative. That being said, it's not in our base case because Democrats and Republicans might agree on the high points of loosening up regulations for energy exploration. But there's a lot of disagreements on the details below the surface.But there's also the midterm elections next year. So, how do you think investors should be thinking about that – as a major catalyst for policy change? Or is it more of the same: It's an interesting story that we should track, but ultimately not that consequential.Ariana Salvatore: So obviously we're still a year out. A lot can change. But obviously we're keeping an eye on polling and that sort of data that's coming in daily at this point. The historical precedent will tell you that the President's party almost always loses seats in a midterm election. And in the House with a three-seat majority for Republicans, the bar's actually pretty low for Democrats to shift control back. In the Senate, the map is a little bit different. But let's say you were to get something like a split Congress, we think the policy ramifications there are actually quite limited. If you get a divided government, you basically get fiscal gridlock. So, limits to fiscal expansion, absent like a recession or something like that – that we don't expect at the moment. But you really will probably see legislation only in areas that have bipartisan support.In the meantime, I think you could also expect to see more kind of political fights around things like appropriations, funding the government, the debt ceiling that's typical of divided governments, unless you have some area of bipartisan support, like I said. Maybe we see something on healthcare, crypto policy, AI policy, industrial policy is becoming more of the mainstream in both parties, so potentially some action there.But I think that's probably the limit of the most consequential policy items we should be looking out for.Michael Zezas: Right, so the way I've been thinking about it is: No clear new policies that someone has to account for coming out of the midterms. However, we definitely have to pay attention. There could be some soft signals there about political preferences and resulting policy preferences that might become live a couple years down the line after we get into the 2028 general elections – and the new power configuration that could result from that.So – interesting, impactful, not clear that there'll be fundamental catalysts. And probably along the way we should pay attention because markets will discount all sorts of potential outcomes. And it could get the wrong way on interpreting midterm outcomes, which could present opportunities. So, we'll certainly be tracking that throughout 2026.Ariana Salvatore: Yeah. And if you think about the policy items that President Trump has leaned on most heavily this year and that have mattered for markets, there are things in the executive branch, right? So, tariff policy obviously does not depend on Congress. Deregulation helps if you have fundamental backing from Congress but can occur through the executive agencies. So, to your point, less to watch out for in terms of how it will shift Trump's behavior.Michael Zezas: Well, Ariana, thanks for taking the time to talk.Ariana Salvatore: Always great speaking with you, Michael.Michael Zezas: And to our audience, thanks for listening. If you enjoy thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review and tell your friends about the podcast. We want everyone to listen.
The national debt crisis is no longer a political problem—it's an investment bomb that will drive up your interest rates and throttle private sector growth.Today's Stocks & Topics: Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU), Market Wrap, Jones Soda Co. (JSDA), Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY), Stocks on Sale, “The Nation's Unsustainable Fiscal Path”, State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI), China's Energy Supply, Teck Resources Limited (TECK), Prediction Markets.Our Sponsors:* Check out ClickUp and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://www.clickup.com* Check out Incogni: https://incogni.com/investtalk* Check out Invest529: https://www.invest529.com* Check out NordProtect: https://nordprotect.com/investalk* Check out Progressive: https://www.progressive.com* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/INVEST* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Patricia and Christian talk to Professor Steven Hail about some of the tricky questions progressive leaders and activists are facing. The conversation explores Zack Polanski's bold media messaging, bond market myths, and the historic opportunity for MMT-informed politics in the UK. Please help sustain this podcast! Patrons get early access to all episodes and patron-only episodes: https://www.patreon.com/MMTpodcast LIVE EVENT! THE FAUXBEL PRIZE IN ECONOMICS 2026
Patricia and Christian talk to Professor Steven Hail about some of the tricky questions progressive leaders and activists are facing. The conversation explores Zack Polanski's bold media messaging, bond market myths, and the historic opportunity for MMT-informed politics in the UK. Please help sustain this podcast! Patrons get early access to all episodes and patron-only episodes: https://www.patreon.com/MMTpodcast LIVE EVENT! THE FAUXBEL PRIZE IN ECONOMICS 2026
Gregory Bovino regresa a Chicago: Patrulla Fronteriza mantiene operaciones.Trump impone bloqueo total a barcos petroleros en Venezuela.Hegseth se niega a publicar el video completo del doble ataque a una embarcación en el Caribe.El gobierno Trump amplió a 39 países la prohibición de viajeros tras tiroteo contra la guardia nacional.Facturas de energía han aumentado 13% desde que el presidente Trump asumió el cargo.Difunden imágenes del sospechoso del tiroteo en la Universidad Brown e identifican a víctimas.Fiscalía de Los Ángeles acusará a Nick Reiner, de dos cargos por el asesinato de sus padres.Las revelaciones más explosivas de Susie Wiles, la jefa de gabinete de Trump.El acumulado del Powerball vuelve a estar en niveles históricos.Instagram se podrá visualizar en televisores.Escucha de lunes a viernes el ‘Noticiero Univision Edición Nocturna' con Elián Zidán.
On this episode of Chit Chat Stocks, Ryan dissects Monday.com (Ticker: MNDY), concluding with his decision on whether to buy the stock or not. We discuss:(00:00) Introduction(03:37) Growth Metrics and Business Model(06:19) History(09:30) Understanding the Product and User Experience(12:20) Market Position and Competitive Landscape(15:16) Financial Analysis and Valuation Insights(33:28) Profit Margins and Stock-Based Compensation(43:25) The Stickiness of Software and Customer Retention(49:53) AI's Impact on Task Management Software(57:30) Management Dynamics and Company Valuation*****************************************************Sign up for our stock research service, Emerging Moats: emergingmoats.com *********************************************************************Chit Chat Stocks is presented by Interactive Brokers. Get professional pricing, global access, and premier technology with the best brokerage for investors today: https://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Interactive Brokers is a member of SIPC. *********************************************************************Fiscal.ai is building the future of financial data.With custom charts, AI-generated research reports, and endless analytical tools, you can get up to speed on any stock around the globe. All for a reasonable price. Use our LINK and get 15% off any premium plan: https://fiscal.ai/chitchat *********************************************************************Disclosure: Chit Chat Stocks hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation.
Treasurer Jim Chalmers has unveiled a mid-year budget update marked by fiscal restraint, highlighting a $5.4 billion improvement to the deficit alongside critical new funding for the CSIRO and community security. However, the outlook remains fraught as rising inflation threatens real wage growth and persistent spending pressures in childcare and the NDIS continue to squeeze the bottom line.
La actualidad se centra en la implicación de José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero en supuestos casos de corrupción, como el uso de un móvil prepago y posibles testaferros, mientras Santos Cerdán se niega a declarar en el Senado, criticando a la justicia. La Audiencia Nacional investiga en secreto pagos en efectivo del PSOE. El Supremo confirma la multa a García Ortiz, y la Fiscalía solicita archivar el caso contra Íñigo Errejón por agresión sexual, aunque la acusación particular sigue adelante. En el ámbito internacional, Venezuela rechaza amenazas de Trump; España, Reino Unido y la UE acuerdan el futuro tratado sobre Gibraltar; y el Papa condena el antisemitismo. En noticias nacionales, Andalucía acoge a un bebé abandonado, y "Arancel" es designada la palabra del año. Deportivamente, se ofrecen los resultados de la Copa del Rey, la final de la Copa Intercontinental y el fin de la relación entre Carlos Alcaraz y su entrenador. El tiempo prevé estabilidad en Valencia y lluvias en ...
En entrevista para MVS Noticias con Luis Cárdenas, Mario Maldonado, habló sobre que separan del cargo a director de Investigación de Aduanas señalado por enriquecimiento ilícito y “huachicol fiscal”.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Richard Nelson of the Commonwealth Policy Center sits down in the office of Senate Majority Floor Leader Max Wise for an in-depth conversation on priorities for Kentucky's 2026 legislative session. The discussion explores a range of pressing moral and social issues facing the Commonwealth, as well as key fiscal concerns, including income tax policy and broader questions of economic stewardship. Together, they examine how lawmakers are seeking to balance principle, prudence, and public accountability as they prepare for the upcoming session of the General Assembly.If you would like to interview Richard Nelson, Executive Director of the Commonwealth Policy Center, please email richard@commonwealthpolicy.org.Like and Follow us on Facebook: www.facebook.com/commonwealthpolicyFollow us on X: @CPC4KentuckyFollow us on YouTube: @commonwealthpolicycenterE-Newsletter: https://www.commonwealthpolicycenter.org/mailing-list/
Projeto apoiado pelo PT e base governista busca reforçar o equilíbrio fiscal, garantir a execução do Orçamento de 2026 e manter regras do Arcabouço Fiscal. estabelece a redução linear de 10% dos benefícios fiscais concedidos pela União. A proposta também aumenta a tributação sobre BBB: bancos digitais (fintechs), bilionários e bets (apostas online).Sonoras:
En entrevista para MVS Noticias con Ana Francisca Vega, el reportero de investigación Antonio Nieto, autor del libro El Cártel Chilango, reveló que la Fiscalía General de Justicia de la Ciudad de México (FGJ-CDMX) identificó a cuatro nuevos sospechosos del homicidio de Ximena Guzmán y José Muñoz, colaboradores cercanos de la jefa de Gobierno, Clara Brugada.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This province's deficit has skyrocketed to $948 million, which is something the finance minister says is 'deeply troubling' but he has some optimism for 2026. Today on the show we dig into the update and what it may mean for Newfoundland and Labrador. Guests Politics watchers John Whelan, Laurabel Mba and Kristina Ennis, along with markets commentator Larry Short.
Happy birthday to who? Find out on this week's PlayingFTSE Show!This show is the one we recorded, but a Cloudflare outage prevented us from airing it when it was originally due. So don't worry about market performance – just enjoy!It's been a while since we looked at Inditex – the parent company of Zara. But Steve D thinks it's worth coming back to see how things have been going. After a weak first half of the year, things are starting to pick up. So could this be an opportunity to buy shares in a retailer with an unusually strong position?Salesforce's share price has been unusually resilient in a stock market where software firms have been falling. So Steve W's taking a look at the firm's latest earnings.Revenues are up double digits and the outlook seems reasonable. But is this enough to justify a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 30 in today's market?Crowdstrike continues to impress both Steves. It's a business that's built for durability in a world that continues to shift towards artificial intelligence, so why haven't they bought it?High valuation multiples haven't really held the stock back before now – the only recent issue has been an operational one. Given this, maybe they ought to get off the sidelines…Steve W's enthusiasm for acquisition-driven compounders continues with SDI Group – a small UK stock. It's down a lot due to cyclical pressures, but could that be an opportunity?A while ago, we talked about the idea that Judgest Scientific might be getting a bit big. We thought it it was ridiculous, but anyone who disagreed might want to check this one out…Only on this week's PlayingFTSE Podcast!► Get a free fractional share!This show is sponsored by Trading 212! To get free fractional shares worth up to 100 EUR / GBP, you can open an account with Trading 212 through this link https://www.trading212.com/Jdsfj/FTSE. Terms apply.When investing, your capital is at risk and you may get back less than invested.Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.► Get 15% OFF Fiscal.ai:Huge thanks to our sponsor, Fiscal.ai, the best investing toolkit we've discovered! Get 15% off your subscription with code below and unlock powerful tools to analyze stocks, discover hidden gems, and build income streams. Check them out at Fiscal.ai!https://fiscal.ai/?via=steve► Follow Us On Substack:Sign up for our Substack and get light-hearted, info-packed discussions on everything from market trends and investing psychology to deep dives into different asset classes. We'll analyze what makes the best investors tick and share insights that challenge your thinking while keeping things engaging.Don't miss out! Sign up today and start your journey with us.https://playingftse.substack.com/► Support the show:Appreciate the show and want to offer your support? You could always buy us a coffee at: https://ko-fi.com/playingftse(All proceeds reinvested into the show and not to coffee!)► Timestamps:0:00 INTRO & OUR WEEKS8:12 INDITEX24:37 SALESFORCE38:22 CROWDSTRIKE53:28 SDI GROUP► Show Notes:What's been going on in the financial world and why should anyone care? Find out as we dive into the latest news and try to figure out what any of it means. We talk about stocks, markets, politics, and loads of other things in a way that's accessible, light-hearted and (we hope) entertaining. For the people who know nothing, by the people who know even less. Enjoy► Wanna get in contact?Got a question for us? Drop it in the comments below or reach out to us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/playing_ftse/► Enquiries: Please email - playingftsepodcast@gmail(dot)com► Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
En mas notas, coche bomba en Coahuayana fue detonado a distancia, revela Fiscalía de Michoacán, en información internacional, Trump ordena bloqueo total a los petroleros que entran y salen de Venezuela, y en los espectáculos, condenan a prisión domiciliaria a otro médico que suministró ketamina al actor Matthew Perry Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Federico comenta con Luis F. Quintero la multa a Airbnb y el informe que retrata el caos fiscal en España.
How much money does it take to “fully fund” Oregon's public schools? Last month a Joint Committee of the Oregon legislature released a “Report on the Adequacy of Public Education Appropriations.” Oregon's Fiscal and Policy Research offices examined the level of funding provided by the Legislature and other sources for public schools.They concluded that public schools today receive the full $13.5 billion recommended by the Education Commission in 2024 to “fully fund schools.” That means the Legislature appropriated $11.3 billion and the Corporate Activities Tax came in at another $2.2 billion. According to the Oregonian's analysis, advocates for public school funding, like PPS board member Christy Splitt, dismiss the expert report and opines that school funding is “not enough.” She complains the report's conclusion is the result of a “political narrative.”However, the facts remain that school funding has increased over the years while academic outcomes and the student population have declined. Lawmakers have asked for accountability on how schools are using state dollars, only to see plummeting national scores of about 25-percent proficiency in reading and math for today's eighth graders.Maybe more money is never enough because money is not the problem – or the solution – to Oregon's education. At Cascade, we believe options in education would make better use of funding and allow parents a greater say in choosing the school -- public, private or charter -- that meets their child's learning needs.Read the full commentary at www.cascadepolicy.org
Seamus Coffey, Chair of the Fiscal Advisory Council.
As the US enters midterm year, Dan Clifton returns to help navigate the political and economic crosscurrents impacting the world's largest economy. Fiscal stimulus, election year market volatility, recession risks and the Fed's strategy are all under the microscope in this episode of Beyond the Benchmark with Moz Afzal. Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guests:Dan Clifton, Head of Policy Research at Strategashttp://bit.ly/3iTUMIGEFGAM:https://www.newcapital.com/Important disclaimersThe value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, and past performance is no indicator of future performance. Investment products may be subject to investment risks involving, but not limited to, possible loss of all or part of the principal invested. 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Well, of course you heard it here first last Monday - the surplus has been pushed out again. It's like waiting for Christmas when you're a ten-year-old, the whole month of December feels like an eternity. This lot have now pushed it out three times and changed the definition of surplus. Not only have we moved the goalposts, we've lowered them, too. Next year's deficit is almost $14 billion, that's $1.8 billion worse than they thought it would be in May. We're not back in black till 2030 now, instead of 2029. That's what happens when you borrow a bunch of money you have to pay back and then fail to grow your way out of it. Basically, Grant Robertson went and bought a brand new lambo on the credit card and then when he buggered off, we got Nicola who promised she'd get us some more work to pay for the debt so we wouldn't go broke. But that extra work hasn't quite happened yet - so here we are. The good news is - it is coming, they tell us. More than 3 percent next year. In theory. All going to plan. And Willis is promising to get the surplus by 2029, even if the books don't show that yet. I think it's enough to get them re-elected, providing no surprises from Winston, because people know what the alternative is. And that's more debt. On ghost visits to the doctor for billionaires who don't need it with GPs we don't have. Yes, they could please Hooten and slash spending - I'd be here for it. But this is MMP and they're an unashamedly centrist party that needs to win the centre. And winning the centre means not spooking the horses, which is what massive cuts would achieve. So, another fiscal result we were mostly expecting telling us what we mostly knew was coming. Like the last two polls of the year, the pre-Christmas treat for Luxon and co. is - the growth is coming on stream, finally, in an election year. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode of the Canadian Investor Podcast, we discuss a viral tweet about paying off a low-rate mortgage sparked a familiar debate — invest or kill the mortgage? For Canadians, the answer isn’t nearly as simple. With higher renewal rates, stretched market valuations, and taxes in the mix, the math has quietly shifted. We break down when investing still makes sense, when paying down a mortgage becomes a compelling risk-free return, and why today’s market environment looks very different from the last decade. We also dig into where value can still exist in an expensive market — including a deep dive into a Canadian apartment REIT that’s been hit hard despite strong fundamentals. Is this a classic “blood in the streets” setup, or a value trap? Tickers of stocks discussed: CAR-UN.TO Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Our New Youtube Channel! Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Fiscal.ai for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Michigan State Rep. Matt Maddock, Republican leader from the 51st House District and vice chair of the House Appropriations Committee, joins the show to talk about his work pushing back against excessive spending in the latest Democrat-led budget. He explains why he and his GOP colleagues moved the appropriations committee to disapprove specific spending items, hold the line on taxpayer dollars, and cut wasteful “slush fund” spending that doesn't reflect traditional, common-sense Michigan values of fiscal responsibility. Rep. Maddock's efforts are about accountability, transparency, and putting Midwestern families first
There's a view that New Zealand's still a while away from being a 'rockstar' economy. Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update documents are coming out early this afternoon, carrying key economic metrics. Treasury's also releasing a Budget Policy Statement outlining priorities for upcoming spending. Former Finance Minister Steven Joyce told Heather du Plessis-Allan it was a pretty average year for the economy, and next year looks to be better. Joyce says getting core spending below 30% of GDP is the goal, but it won't happen overnight. He says Bill English spent eight years after the Canterbury quakes and the global financial crisis wrestling to get back into surplus. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
When today's guest was on this channel earlier this year, he warned that a 'triumvirate" of three massive asset price bubbles -- in credit, real estate and stocks -- threatened to take down our fragile economy and dash the retirement hopes for millions.Since then, the bubbles have only expanded.Will they expand further -- or pop -- in 2026?To find out, we have the great good fortune to welcome money manager Michael Pento back to the program.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bonds #stocks #housingmarket _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
En este episodio, conversamos con el Dr. Juan Korody, presidente de la Asociación Venezolana de Derecho Tributario, sobre cómo la carga fiscal impacta directamente el bolsillo de las familias venezolanas. Analizamos la delgada línea entre la corresponsabilidad ciudadana y la falta de confianza institucional, y exploramos si los incentivos fiscales son la clave para la diversificación económica del país en un entorno de alta volatilidad. Un análisis profundo sobre la realidad fiscal que nos afecta a todos¡Suscríbete para no perderte el debate! Los incentivos fiscales son la herramienta de moda. Analizamos si son un verdadero motor económico o un simple costo para el Estado.
Chris Markowski, the Watchdog on Wall Street, discusses various pressing economic issues, including the role of government in economic growth, the impact of tariffs, state governance, immigration, and drug trafficking. He emphasizes the importance of financial freedom and the need for individuals to take charge of their economic futures while critiquing government policies that hinder growth and prosperity.
This episode examines markets through the lens of uncertainty rather than prediction. As the Federal Reserve delivers a rate cut amid dissent and conflicting signals, Alan and Mark explore what it means for systematic investors navigating noisy data, fragile liquidity and shifting regimes. The conversation moves from Fed credibility and term premia to bubbles, leverage and the limits of valuation in an environment shaped by narratives as much as fundamentals. Along the way, they return to a core question at the heart of systematic investing: when uncertainty rises and explanations multiply, should prices remain the final arbiter of risk, signal and portfolio design?-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Mark on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:00:00 - Introduction to the Systematic Investor series00:23 - Market context and recent CTA performance02:41 - Initial reactions to the Fed decision and rate cut03:12 - A messy Fed and the problem of dissenting signals06:48 - Inflation, growth projections and policy uncertainty08:31 - Signal versus noise in systematic trading models11:22 - Employment data revisions and confidence in fundamentals13:10 - Bond valuation, term premia and the question of safe assets16:30 - Fiscal dominance, inflation risk and portfolio fragility19:29 - Prices versus value and the limits of interpretation22:47 - Narratives, reflexivity and momentum in markets28:07...
As The Bid takes a short break for the holidays, we're introducing listeners to Market Take, the weekly macro podcast from the BlackRock Investment Institute. Market Take offers fast, digestible insights on what's moving markets - and this week, the focus is squarely on the labor market.Senior Economist Nicholas Fawcett breaks down why softer U.S. labor data is reinforcing expectations for another potential Federal Reserve rate cut. With hiring and labor supply both cooling, policymakers are watching these trends closely as they navigate the balance between inflation control and economic resilience. Nicholas also explores how delayed jobs data complicates the Fed's visibility into the economy, what markets are pricing in ahead of the December meeting, and how fiscal dynamics in the UK are shaping long-term bond views.Whether you're tracking monetary policy, macro signals, or broader capital markets trends, this short episode offers a concise view of the forces shaping the economic backdrop.Key Insights· The U.S. labor market is softening, raising the likelihood of another Fed rate cut.· Payrolls show a “no hiring, no firing” pattern as labor demand and supply slow.· Delayed jobs data may create noise, but markets still expect a quarter-point cut.· Fiscal tightening in the UK influences gilt valuations and long-term yield dynamics.· Labor market trends, inflation, and rates continue to guide broader market sentimentlabor market, inflation, interest rates, Federal Reserve, capital markets, macro trends, market commentary, economic outlookThis content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Abdul Al Assad, founder of Basic Capital, joins the show to discuss why people deserve more leverage in their retirement portfolios. A smart man once said that "men go broke over ladies, liquor, and leverage." Abdul articulates a different version of leverage; specifically medium duration (10 year) non callable, non recourse leverage. In the episode Abdul acknowledges the potential for large market to market drawdowns. That said, he challenges the listeners to think through the long-term implications of what he is saying.We hope you enjoy the discussion. Sponsorship InformationThank you to Trata for sponsoring the show.If you're listening to this podcast, you'll like Trata. Trata is buyside to buyside conversations on individual stocks. Trata makes finding a bull or bear on any stock as easy as clicking two buttons. Over 125 funds globally contribute that collectively cover 2000+ tickers. Trata raised over $3mm coming out of Y Combinator. Before you would track 13Fs, now you can understand what funds are actually thinking. You can join as a lurker or you can join as a contributor and Trata will pay you hundreds of dollars per call. For a free trial, go to trytrata.com/brew OG Sponsor Shoutout!Thank you to Fiscal.ai for sponsoring the show. DISCOUNT INFO: If you use the affiliate link fiscal.ai/brew, you will automatically get 2 weeks of Fiscal Pro for Free and if you find that you want to upgrade, my link will get you 15% off any paid plans. About Fiscal.aiFiscal.ai is the complete modern data terminal for global equities.The Fiscal.ai platform combines a powerful user experience with all the financial data capabilities that professional investors need. Users get up to 20 years of historical financials for all stocks globally that they can easily chart, compare, or export into their own models. And unlike legacy data terminals where it can take hours or even days, Fiscal.ai's data is updated within minutes of earnings reports. Fiscal.ai also tracks all the company-specific Segment & KPI data so you don't have to. Like to track Amazon's Cloud Revenue? They've got it.How about Spotify's premium subscribers? Or Google's quarterly paid clicks?They've got all of it.
In this episode of the Canadian Investor Podcast, EQ Bank announced a major acquisition on the same day as earnings — buying PC Financial and locking in an exclusive partnership with PC Optimum. We break down what the deal really means, why Loblaw becoming a major shareholder matters, and how this positions EQ Bank against Canada’s much larger incumbents. We also dig into earnings from TD and Royal Bank, where strong capital markets are masking softer lending conditions — and why 2026 could look very different for Canadian banks. Are we nearing a reset year? Finally, we cover BRP’s latest results and what looks like a classic cyclical recovery: improving margins, inventory normalization, rising market share, and upgraded guidance — even as the broader consumer picture remains uneven. Tickers of stocks discussed: EQB.TO, TD.TO, RY.TO, DOO.TO Our New Youtube Channel! Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Fiscal.ai for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Niels and Alan sit down with BlackRock's Jeff Rosenberg to examine how the post Covid shift from too little to too much inflation is reshaping portfolios. Jeff explains why bond and equity correlations have changed, why fixed income is drifting back toward income rather than pure diversification, and how fiscal pressure and soft financial repression may influence rates. They explore what systematic really means at BlackRock, from trend ETFs and defensive alpha to market breadth and execution. The conversation ends with the rise of liquid alternatives, whole portfolio thinking and growing equity concentration risk.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Jeff on LinkedIn.Find out more about DUNN CapitalEpisode Timestamps:00:00 - Introduction, Jeff's role at BlackRock Systematic and setting the agenda04:09 - From too little to too much inflation and the end of divine coincidence09:32 - Wage dynamics, “prices are too high” and persistent, not resurgent, inflation14:48 - Bond equity correlation, the changing role of fixed income and income versus diversification19:55 - Fiscal dominance, debt loads and the risk of soft financial repression25:21 - What “systematic” means at BlackRock across beta, factors and pure alpha30:44 - Trend as a systematic return stream and why...