Podcasts about ECB

APAC stocks began the week mixed amid several holiday closures throughout the week and the ongoing US government shutdown.Nikkei 225 rallied, JPY fell and the JGB curve steepened amid hopes of fiscal loosening and a delay to BoJ policy normalisation following Sanae Takaichi's LDP leadership victory.Crude futures gained after OPEC+ producers agreed to a modest production increase of 137k bpd in November.Israel and Hamas are preparing for mediated negotiations on Monday in Egypt; hopes for a ceasefire have increased.NEC Director Hassett commented that mass layoffs of federal workers will begin if President Trump sees that shutdown talks are going nowhere.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Construction PMI (Sep), Sentix (Oct), Retail Sales (Aug), US Employment Trends (Sep), New Zealand NZIER (Q3), BoE's Bailey, ECB's de Guindos, Lane, Escriva & Lagarde.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly firmer, taking their cue from Wall Street's gains amid light newsflow, whilst the looming delay of the US jobs report due to the government shutdown keeps focus on Fed speak and ISM data.US President Trump said he is considering taxpayer rebates of USD 1,000–2,000 funded by tariff revenue, according to Reuters.USD/JPY saw upside momentum as BoJ Governor Ueda stressed the importance of maintaining an accommodative monetary environment to support the economy.European equity futures are indicative of a mildly firmer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.2% after cash closed +1.1% on Thursday.Highlights include Turkish CPI (Sep), EZ & UK Final Composite PMIs (Sep), EZ Producer Prices (Aug), ISM Services (Sep), ECB's Lagarde, Schnabel, Fed's Williams, Jefferson, BoE's Bailey.Due to the US government shutdown, the following data will not be released: US NFP (Sep)Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses and US futures are firmer into a quieter than initially scheduled session on account of the gov't shutdown, ES +0.3%.DXY underpressure, down to a 97.70 trough. JPY is the relative laggard after remarks from Ueda, NZD continues to climb.USTs await ISM Services, Bunds unreactive to PMI revisions and remarks from Lagarde re. Knot. Gilts are attentive to the OBR's first forecast round.Crude saw fleeting upside on Hamas asking for more time to consult on Trump's Gaza plan, XAU pauses for breath.Looking ahead, US Final Composite PMIs (Sep), ISM Services (Sep), ECB's Schnabel, Fed's Williams, Jefferson, BoE's Bailey.Due to the US government shutdown, the following data will not be released: US NFP (Sep).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Yas and Lauren discuss the first two games of the World Cup and a quietly good week for England before getting into a deep dive on South African cricket. Yas is joined by ESPN Cricinfo's Firdose Moonda to chat about the domestic set-up in South Africa and how they continue to punch above their weight, before Katya speaks to one of their brightest young stars, Annerie Dercksen. 0:00 Intro / 1:22 Lauren Winfield-Hill / 12:46 Seat Unique / 13:36 Firdose Moonda / 43:04 Annerie Dercksen / 1:03:33 Outro The Metro Bank Girls in Cricket Fund in collaboration with the ECB aims to triple the number of girls' cricket teams by breaking down barriers and creating supportive and inclusive spaces. Help transform the game, head to https://www.metrobankonline.co.uk/cricket/ to champion the future of girls' cricket.

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.theflyingfrisby.comNB I have further thoughts on the Semler Scientific deal (NASDAQ:SMLR) which you can read at the end of today's piece.It's hard, nigh impossible to call the top in a bull market.If you can get out within 10% of the top, you have done very well. Most don't.We have been waiting a long time, but we are in a bull market now: not just for gold, but for silver, platinum and the companies that mine these precious metals.It feels very frothy.But is this just a rush before an interim top early in a secular bull market?Or are we nearing the top?Where are we in the cycle now? Which innings of nine, to use the baseball analogy?The other day I suggested we were in innings six - for gold at least. I got a lot of stick for saying that, which probably means I'm right.But I put some polls up on my various WhatsApp chats and the general consensus was 6 for the metal, 3 for the miners.I also have this poll running on X, so you can see current consensus. It's far from conclusive.It's important to remember that a bull market in gold and a bull market in gold mining companies are not one and the same. Of course, there is a lot of crossover between the two, but it is possible to have one without the other.From 2022 to 2024, for example, as gold climbed, mining stocks were largely flat or falling. The reverse can also happen. Gold can be going nowhere, while mining stocks can rise. In fact, this is not uncommon, because when gold is flat and volatility disappears, investors get a clearer idea of what the price of the final product is going to be, what the profitability of a mine will be, and that security can enable investment to flow.As you know I have a target of $7,000 gold by the end of this decade, maybe even $10,000 if we get a proper blow-off top.If you live in a Third World country, such as the UK, I urge you to own gold or silver. The bullion dealer I recommend is The Pure Gold Company. Pricing is competitive, quality of service is high. They deliver to the UK, the US, Canada and Europe or you can store your gold with them. More here.We're closing in now on $4,000. But just because I have a target of $7,000 gold doesn't mean we will get there. Anything but.Another target I'm looking for is for central banks around the world to hold roughly 40% of their reserves in gold. We're currently just above 25%. We were at 20% barely a year ago. A combination of higher gold prices and increased reserves through accumulation will mean we get to 40% pretty quickly.Central banks' total gold holdings are currently 36,000 tonnes, according to the ECB. For some context, all the gold that has ever been mined - and of course still exists - amounts to 216,000 tonnes. 36,000 tonnes is quite the share.Central banks are currently accumulating at a rate of 1,000 tonnes per year, says Reuters, which has been the case since 2022 and the freezing of Russian US dollar assets. Annual gold supply is 3,600 tonnes or thereabouts. Given that half of that is taken up with jewellery, that doesn't leave a lot left over for everyone else (only about 800 tonnes - hence this bull market).Central bank holdings have already overtaken US debt, as you can see from the chart above, and the euro. Next stop is to exceed their US dollar holdings (currently 48%). We'll get there soon enough, as they accumulate gold, the gold price rises and the relative value of the US dollar holdings recedes.$7,000 gold would take us there near enough.Another target is a Dow-to-gold ratio well below 10, perhaps at 5 where it reached in 2011. (Some have a target below 2 for this one, as we saw in 1929 and 1980, which would mean a gold price in the tens of thousands. Unlikely, I would have thought, but not impossible: it has happened before).With the Dow currently at 46,400, and gold at $3,900 we are currently at 12.Note that the gold to oil ratio has never been this low ever, barring the insanity of Covid when oil went negative. Does that make oil a buy and gold a sell? Probably.This is a key reason mining companies are starting to do so well. Energy is their biggest input cost. Gold is their output. If they can't make money now, they won't ever make money.I have lived through a long and painful bear market for mining. It began in 2011. It's been over a decade, with brief respites in 2016 and 2020, almost relentlessly down. It's made me extremely cynical. Maybe I've got too much recency bias.But the HUI, the index of unhedged gold producers, is butting up against its old 2011 highs, rather like silver, which we will come to in a moment. I know this chart is not adjusted for inflation, but even so it is a concern. Then again, if it goes through, there is no overhead resistance. It would be a proper, mega breakout.Either way, these last few months have been nuts.I remain of the view that for gold, the metal, as I said the other day, we're in innings six. Mining I'm not so sure.I stole these pictures from Winston Miles of Stifel Wealth Management. They were taken at the Denver Gold Show a few weeks ago. The place is dead. That is not end-of-a-bull-market behaviour“There were hardly any new generalist investors” he says. “Zero retail, everyone was a specialist, and occupancy at the main stage was literally 10% full for most of the presentations.”Then again the Munich gold show - Edelmetallmesse, which ran from 2006 but ended in 2019 with the bear market effectively putting it out of business - is reopening this year and something like 120 mining companies have signed up to attend. That's quite the reversal.It's because mining companies are finding investment again. That means they're issuing paper. Will there be buyers for it?Capital is flowing. Share prices are multiplying in some cases. Animal spirits are high.So many contradictions and mixed signals. Such is the bull market wall of worry. What to do? What to do?

APAC stocks were firmer, with gains across the board following a positive handover from Wall Street, where tech outperformed, whilst the US jobs reports this week look set to be delayed after CR votes failed again on Wednesday, as expected.Fitch said a US government shutdown does not have near-term implications for the ‘AA+'/stable US sovereign rating; S&P estimated the shutdown could reduce GDP growth by 0.1–0.2 ppts per week.10yr JGB futures came under pressure after the 10yr JGB auction, which printed a lower cover ratio than the prior sale and followed the recent 2yr JGB auction that saw the weakest cover ratio since 2009.The US will provide Ukraine with intelligence for missile strikes deep inside Russia, and US officials are asking NATO allies to provide similar support, via WSJ.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI (Sep), EZ Unemployment (Aug), US Challenger Layoffs (Sep), BoJ's Uchida, Fed's Logan, ECB's de Guindos, BoC's Mendes, Supply from Spain, France, and the UK.Due to the US government shutdown, the following US data will not be released: Weekly Claims, Factory Orders (Aug), Durable Goods Rev. (Aug).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are mostly higher as the solid start to the quarter continues, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.3%; US futures marginally extend on Wednesday's gains, ES +0.3%DXY currently lower for a 5th consecutive session, peers modestly firmer across the board with JPY leadingEGBs softer into supply but despite mixed/tepid taps the complex has lifted back to initial marginal peaks, USTs flat with the docket thinner than usualCrude began firmer but has since pulled back to lows despite a lack of newsflow, spot gold has taken a slight breather while base metals remain underpinnedLooking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Layoffs (Sep), Chicago Fed BLS Unemployment forecast, BoJ's Uchida, Fed's Logan, ECB's de Guindos, BoC's MendesDue to the US government shutdown, the following US data will not be released: Weekly Claims, Factory Orders (Aug), Durable Goods Rev. (Aug)Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger Picture The EU is experiencing inflation. Will make the case to raise rates and this way the Fed can use this as why they are not lowering the rates.8 billion of the green new scam has been cancelled. Trump calls out Powell, letting everyone know he is an obstructionist. Powell is interfering on purpose. The [DS] is destroying themselves by telling the American public that they want illegals to get health insurance. Is this a cover story to keep the Government shutdown long enough to try to get ICE, National Guard to abandon their posts. No matter what the D's do there is no coming back from this. Trump is now prepositioning the National Guard in the cities where Antifa operates or is shipped into. All this is being done for the insurrection that is coming to America.   Economy Eurozone inflation rises over 2% target  Annual inflation in the euro area rose to 2.2% in September, up from 2.0% in August and the highest level since April, n . Among inflation's key drivers, services led the pack with a 3.2% annual increase, up slightly from 3.1% in August, according to statistics body Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Food, alcohol and tobacco prices rose by 3.0%. Although Wednesday's figures means inflation now sits above the European Central Bank's (ECB) forecast of 2%, it is still lower than in the UK where inflation was 3.8% in August. Source:  uk.finance.yahoo.com  (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/russvought/status/1973450301236715838 ADP Payrolls Unexpectedly Crater To -32,000, Worst Since March 2023 And Below All Estimates   ADP reported that in September, the US private sector shed 32,000 jobs, the worst print since March 2023... ... and far below the lowest estimate; in fact the print was a 6 sigma miss to estimates of which Pantheon's +25K was  the lowest.   the original number was actually well higher, at 11K, but after the ADP conducted its annual preliminary rebenchmarking of the National Employment Report in September based on the full-year 2024 results of the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (which as a reminder eliminated 911K jobs from the Biden regime that were never actually there), there was a reduction of 43,000 jobs in September compared to pre-benchmarked data. The trend was unchanged; job creation continued to lose momentum across most sectors. Source: zerohedge.com https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973365787143393588   jobs report we receive this week. Friday's jobs report will not be published as long as the government shutdown continues. BREAKING: Supreme Court Allows Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook to Keep Her Job… For Now The US Supreme Court   allowed embattled Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook to remain in her chair for now. The high court will hear the case in January 2026 and allow Lisa Cook to keep her job in the meantime. This also means Lisa Cook will be able to participate in December's interest rate meeting. Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/mrddmia/status/1973411249208594489  financial institutions." "The Federal Reserve is committed to upholding the highes...

In the second of a two-part episode, Morgan Stanley's chief economists talk about their near-term U.S. outlook based on tariffs, labor supply and the Fed's response. They also discuss India's path to strong economic growth.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Seth Carpenter: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Global Chief Economist. Yesterday I sat down with my colleagues, Mike Gapen, Chetan Ahya and Jens Eisenschmidt, who cover the U.S., Asia, and Europe respectively. We talked about... Well, we didn't get to the U.S. We talked about Asia. We talked about Europe. Today, we are going to focus on the U.S. and maybe one or two more economies around the world. It's Wednesday, October 1st at 10am in New York. Jens Eisenschmidt: And 4pm in Frankfurt. Chetan Ahya: And 10 pm in Hong Kong. All right, gentlemen. So yesterday we talked a lot about China, the anti-involution policy, and what's going on with deflation there. Talked a little bit about Japan and what the Bank of Japan is doing. We shifted over to Europe and what the ECB is doing there – there were lots of questions about deflation, disinflation, whether or not inflation might actually pick up in Japan. So, [that] was all about soft inflation. Mike, let me put you on the spot here, because things are, well, things are a little bit different in the U.S. when it comes to inflation. A lot of attention on tariffs and whether or not tariffs are going to drive up inflation. Of course, inflation, the United States never got back to the Fed's target after the COVID surge of inflation. So, where do you see inflation going? Is the effect of tariffs – has that fully run its course, or is there still more entrained? How do you see the outlook for inflation in the U.S.? Michael Gapen: Yeah, certainly a key question for the outlook here. So, core PCE inflation is running around 2.9 percent. We think it can get towards 3, maybe a little above 3 by year end. We do not think that the economy has fully absorbed tariffs yet; we think more pass through is coming. The President just announced additional tariffs the other day. We had them factored into our baseline. I think it's fair to say companies are still figuring out exactly how much they can pass through to consumers and when. So, I think the year-on-year rate of inflation will continue to move higher into year end. Hit 3 percent, maybe a little bit above. The key question then is what happens in 2026. Is inflation driven by tariffs transitory – the famous T word; and the year-on-year rate of inflation will come back down? That's what the Fed's forecast thinks; we do as well. But as everyone knows, the Fed has started to ease policy to support the labor market. The economy has performed pretty well, so there's a risk maybe that inflation doesn't come down as much next year. Seth Carpenter: Alright, so tariffs are clearly a key policy variable that can affect inflation. There's also been immigration restriction, to say the least, and what we saw coming out of COVID – when people were reluctant to go back to work, and businesses were reporting lots of shortages of workers – is that in certain services industries, we saw some pressure on prices. So, tariffs mostly affect consumer goods prices. Is there a contribution from immigration restriction onto overall inflation through services? Michael Gapen: I think the answer is yes; and I hesitate there because it's hard to see it in real time. But it is fair to say the average immigrant in the U.S. is younger. They have higher rates of labor force participation. They tend to reside in lower income households. So, they're labor supply heavy in terms of their effect on the economy. And yes, they tend to have larger relative presence in construction and manufacturing. But in terms of numbers, a lot of immigrants work in the service sector, as you note. And services inflation has been to the upside lately, right? So, the surprise has been that goods inflation maybe hasn't been as strong. The pass through from tariffs has been weaker. But in terms of upside surprises in inflation, it's common services and in many cases, non-housing related services. So, I'd say there's maybe some nascent signs that immigration controls may be keeping services prices firmer than thought. But may be hard to tie that directly at the moment. So, it's easier to say I think immigration controls may prevent inflation from coming down as much next year. It's not altogether clear how much they're pushing services inflation up. I think there's some evidence to support that, and we'll have to see whether that continues. Seth Carpenter: Alright, so we're seeing higher costs and higher prices from tariffs. We're seeing less labor supply when it comes to immigration. Those seem like a recipe for a big slowdown in growth, and I think that's been your forecast for quite some time – is that the U.S. was going to slow down a lot. Are we seeing that in the data? Is the U.S. economy slowing down or is everything just fine? How are you thinking about it? And what's the evidence that there's a slowdown and what are maybe the counterarguments that there's not that much of a slowdown? Michael Gapen: Well, I think that the data doesn't support much of a slowdown. So yes, the economy did moderate in the first half of the year. I think the smart thing to do is average through Q1 and Q2 outcomes [be]cause there was a lot of volatility in trade and inventories. If you do that, the economy grew at about a 1.8 percent annualized rate in the first half of the year, down from about 2.5 percent last year. So, some moderation there, but not a lot. We would argue that that probably isn't a tariff story. We would've expected tariffs and immigration policies to have greater downward pressure on growth in the second half of the year. But to your question, incoming data in the third quarter has been really strong, and we're tracking growth somewhere around 3 percent right now.So, there's not a lot of evidence in hand at present that tariffs are putting significant downward pressure on growth. Seth Carpenter: So those growth numbers that you cite are on spending, which is normally the way we calculate things like GDP, consumption spending. But the labor market, I mean, non-farm payroll reports really have been quite weak. How do you reconcile that intellectual tension on the one hand spending holding up? On the other hand, that job creation [is] pretty, pretty weak. Michael Gapen: Yeah. I think the way that we would reconcile it is when we look at the data for the non-financial corporate sector, what appears to be clear is that non-labor costs have risen and tariffs would reside in that. And the data does show that what would be called unit non-labor costs. So, the cost per unit of output attributable to everything other than labor that rose a lot. What corporates apparently did was they reduced labor costs. And they absorbed some of it in lower profitability. What they didn't do was push price a lot. We'll see how long this tension can go on. It may be that corporates are in the early stages of passing through inflation, so we will see more inflation further out in a slowdown in spending. Or it may be that corporates are deciding that they will bear most of the burden of the tariffs, and cost control and efficiencies will be the order of the day. And maybe the Fed is right to be worried about downside risk to employment. So, I reconcile it that way. I think corporates have absorbed most of the tariff shock to date, and we're still in the early stages of seeing whether or not they will be able to pass it along to consumers. Seth Carpenter: All right, so then let's think about the Fed, the central bank. Yesterday, I talked to Chetan about the Bank of Japan. There reflation is real. Talked to Jens yesterday about the ECB where inflation has come down. So, those other developed market economies, the prescriptions for monetary policy are pretty straightforward. The Fed, on the other hand, they're in a bit of a bind in that regard. What do you think the Fed is trying to achieve here? How would you describe their strategy? Michael Gapen: I would describe their strategy as a recalibration, which is, I think, you know, technical monetary policy jargon for – where their policy stance is now; is not correct to balance risks to the economy. Earlier this year, the Fed thought that the primary risk was to persistent inflation. Boy, the effective tariff rate was rising quickly and that should pass due to inflation. We should be worried about upside risk to inflation. And then employment decelerated rapidly and has stayed low now for four consecutive months. Yes, labor supply has come down, but there's also a lot of evidence that labor demand has come down. So, I think what the Fed is saying is the balance of risks have become more balanced. They need to worry about inflation, but now they also need to worry about the labor market. So having a restrictive policy stance in their mind doesn't make sense. The Fed's not arguing – we need to get below neutral. We need to get easy. They're just saying we probably need to move in the direction of neutral. That will allow us to respond better if inflation stays firm or the labor market weakens. So, a recalibration meaning, you know, we think two more rate cuts into year end get a little bit closer to neutral, and that puts them in a better spot to respond to the evolving economic conditions. Seth Carpenter: All right. That makes a lot of sense. We can't end a conversation this year about the Fed, though, without touching on the fact that the White House has been putting a lot of pressure on the Federal Reserve trying to get Chair Powell and his committee to push interest rates substantially lower than where they are now. Michael Gapen: You've noticed? Seth Carpenter: I've noticed. From my understanding, a lot of people in markets have noticed as well. There's been some turnover among policy makers. We have a new member of the Board of Governors of the Fed. This discussion about Federal Reserve independence. How do you think about it? Is Chair Powell changing policy based on political pressure? Michael Gapen: I don't think so. I think there's enough evidence in the labor market data to support the Fed's shift in stance. We have certainly highlighted immigration controls, what they would mean for the labor force. And how that means even a slowing, growing economy could keep the unemployment rate low. But it's also fair to say labor demand has come down. If labor demand were still very strong, you might see job openings higher, you might see vacancies higher. You may even see faster wage growth. So, I think the Fed's right to look at the labor market and say, ‘Okay, on the surface, it looks like a no hire, no fire labor market. We can live with that, but there are some layoffs underneath. There are signs of weakness. Slack is getting created slowly.' So, I think the Fed has solid ground to stand on in terms of shifting their view. But you're right, that looking forward into 2026 with the end of Powell's term as chair and likely turnover in other areas of the board. Whether the Fed maintains a conventional reaction function or one that's perhaps more politically driven remains an open question – and I think is a risk for investors. Seth Carpenter: I want to change things up a lot here. Chetan, yesterday you and I talked about China. We talked about Japan. Two really big economies that I think are well known to investors.Another economy in Asia that you cover is India. For a long time, we have said India was going to be the fastest growing major economy in the world. Do you still see it to be the case? That India's got a really bright growth outlook? And in the current circumstance with tariffs going on, how do you think India is fairing vis-a-vis U.S. tariffs? Chetan Ahya: So yes, Seth, we are still optimistic about India's growth outlook. Having said that, you know, there are two issues that the economy has been going through. Number one is that the domestic demand had slowed down because of previous tightening of fiscal and monetary policies. And at the same time, we have now seen this trade tensions, which will slow global trade. But also, directly India will be affected by the fact that the U.S. has imposed 50 percent tariff on close to 60 percent of India's exports to the U.S. So, both these issues are affecting the outlook in the near term. We still don't have clarity on what happens on trade tensions, but what we have seen is that the government has really worked quite hard to get the economy going from domestic demand perspective. And so, they have taken up three sets of policy actions. They have reduced household income tax. The central bank has cut interest rates because inflation has been in control. And at the same time, they have now just recently announced reduction in Goods and Services Tax, which is akin to like consumption tax. And so, these three policy actions together we think will drive domestic demand growth from the fourth quarter of this year itself. It will still be not back up to strong growth levels. And for that we still need that solution to trade policy uncertainty. But I think there will be a significant recovery coming up in the next few months. Seth Carpenter: All right. Thanks for that, Chetan. It's such an interesting story going on there in India. Well, Michael, Chetan, thank the three of you for joining me today in this conversation. And to the listeners, thank you for listening. If you enjoy this show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or a colleague today.

APAC stocks traded mixed following modest gains on Wall Street, with focus on the length of the US government shutdown after the Senate rejected the House-passed CR, whilst Chinese participants were away for Golden Week.The Senate has rejected the House-passed CR (as expected), cementing a shutdown, while House and Senate GOP leaders will hold a 10 a.m. (15:00 BST) news conference Wednesday, according to Politico, citing sources.BoJ Tankan Survey came in mixed and not strong enough to trigger hawkish repricing. Pricing tilted incrementally dovish as the dust settled, with a BoJ official noting firms were divided on the impact of US tariffs.The OPEC Secretariat firmly rejected media reports alleging that the OPEC-8 countries are planning to increase production by 500k bpd, calling the claims wholly inaccurate and misleading. Looking ahead, highlights include EZ & UK Final Manufacturing PMI (Sep), EZ Flash HICP (Sep), US ADP (Sep), ISM Manufacturing (Sep), Atlanta Fed GDP, BoC Minutes, Fed's Barkin, ECB's Elderson, de Guindos, Rehn, BoC's Rogers, supply from UK and Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Government has officially gone into a shutdown. Weighing on the general risk tone in the early morning and the USD.European bourses have since bounce and extended to highs, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.3%; Healthcare leading. Stateside, futures remain lower awaiting data, ES -0.3%.DXY delved as low as 97.46 before recovering modestly, JPY tops the leaderboard, GBP & EUR both firmer though EUR losing some steam more recently.USTs contained awaiting data and shutdown updates, Bunds hit by soft supply, Gilts lag on Reeves.Crude initially steady but under increasing pressure this morning, XAU has resumed its ascent.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP (Sep), ISM Manufacturing (Sep), Atlanta Fed GDP, BoC Minutes, Fedʼs Barkin, ECBʼs Elderson, de Guindos, Rehn, BoCʼs Rogers.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Voor het eerst in zeven jaar tijd komt het er weer op aan: de Amerikaanse overheid gaat in 'shutdown'. Het schuldenplafond is bereikt en er is nog geen akkoord voor de begroting. Normaal gesproken wordt zo'n shutdown vlak van tevoren afgewend, en is het een politiek steekspel tot het einde. Maar met Trump is alles anders. Wat dat voor jouw aandelen betekent, hoor je in deze aflevering. Dan hebben we het dus ook over Warren Buffett. De cashberg van zijn Berkshire Hathaway groeit en groeit en groeit. Maar ein-de-lijk lijkt daar verandering in te komen. Berkshire zou interesse hebben in het overnemen van een compleet bedrijfsonderdeel. Gaat om de petrochemische tak van oliebedrijf Occidental Petroleum. En dat ten tijde van een slecht lopende oliesector. Een slimme zet? Verder hoor je over Nike. Ook daar was het lang wachten, maar betere tijden lijken aan te breken voor het sportmerk. De omzet groeit weer. En dat is te danken aan de strategie van topman Elliott Hill, die nu een klein jaar erop heeft zitten. En het gaat over Mark Zuckerberg. Die kijkt mee met alles wat je doet, zo blijkt maar weer. Hij heeft een nieuwe manier gevonden om nog meer data van jou te verkopen aan adverteerders.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Morgan Stanley's chief economists discuss how policymakers in China, Japan and the European Union are addressing slower growth, deflation or the return of inflationary pressures. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Seth Carpenter: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Global Chief Economist.Well, a lot has changed since the second quarter and the last time we did one of these around the world economics roundtable. After an extended pause, the United States Federal Reserve started cutting rates again. Europe's recovery is showing, well, some mixed signals. And in Asia, there's once again increasing reliance on policy support to keep growth on track.Today for the first part of a two-part conversation, I'm going to engage with Chetan Ahya, our Chief Asia economist, and Jens Eisenschmidt, our Chief Europe economist, to really get into a conversation about what's going on in the economy around the world.It's Tuesday, September 30th at 10am in New York.Jens Eisenschmidt: And 4pm in Frankfurt.Chetan Ahya: And 10pm in HongSeth Carpenter: So, it's getting to be the end of the third quarter, and the narrative around the world is still quite murky from my perspective. The Fed has delivered on a rate cut. The ECB has decided that maybe disinflation is over. And in Asia, China's policymakers are trying to lean in and push policy to right the wrongs of deflation in that economy.I want to get into some of the real hard questions that investors around the world are asking in terms of what's going on in the economy, how it's working out, and what we should look for. So, Chetan, if I can actually start with you. One of the terms that we've heard a lot coming out of China is the anti-involution policy.Can you just lay out briefly for us, what do we mean when we say the anti-involution policy in China?Chetan Ahya: Well, the anti-evolution policy is a response to China's excess capacity and persistent deflation challenge. And in China's context, involution refers to the dynamic where producers compete excessively, resulting in aggressive price cuts and diminishing returns on capital employed. And look, at the heart of this deflation challenge is China's approach of maintaining high real GDP growth with more investment in manufacturing and infrastructure when aggregate demand slows. And in the past few years, policy makers push for investment in manufacturing and infrastructure to offset the sharp slow down in property sector.And as a result, a number of industry sectors now have large excess capacities, explaining this persistent deflationary environment. And after close to two and a half years of deflation, policy makers are recognizing that deflation is not good for the corporate sector, households and the government. And from the past experience, we know that when policymakers in China signal a clear intention, it will be followed up by an intensification of policy efforts to cut capacity in select sectors. However, we think moving economy out of deflation will be challenging. These supply reduction efforts may be helpful but will not be sufficient on their own. And this time for a sustainable solution to deflation problem, we think a pivot is needed – supporting consumption via systematic efforts to increase social welfare spending, particularly targeted towards migrant workers in urban China and rural poor. But we are not optimistic that this solution will be implemented in scale.Seth Carpenter: So that makes sense because in the past when we've been talking about the issue of deflation in China, it's essentially this mismatch between the amount of demand in the economy not being sufficient to match the supply. As you said, you and your team have been thinking that the best solution here would be to increase demand, and instead what the policymakers are doing is reducing supply.So, if you don't think this change in policy, this anti-evolution policy is sufficient to break this deflation cycle – what do you see as the most likely outcome for economic growth in China this year and next?Chetan Ahya: So, this year we expect GDP growth to be around 4.7 percent, which implies that in the back half of the year you'll see growth slowing down to around 4.5 percent because we already grew at 5.2 in the first half. And, going forward we think that, you know, you should be looking more at normal GDP growth set because as we just discussed deflation is a key challenge.So, while we have real GDP growth at 4.7 for 2025, normal GDP growth is going to be 4 percent. And next year, again, we think normal GDP growth will be in that range of 4 percent.Seth Carpenter: That whole spiral of deflation – it's sort of interesting, Japan as an economy has broken that sort of stagnation or disinflation spiral that it was in for 25 years. We've been writing for a long time about the reflation story going on in Japan. Let me ask you, our forecast has been that the reflationary dynamic is there. It's embedded, it's not going away anytime. But, on the other hand, we basically see the Bank of Japan as on hold, not just for the rest of this year, but for all of next year as well.Can you let us know a little bit about what's going on with Japan and why we don't think the Bank of Japan might raise interest rates anytime soon?Chetan Ahya: So, Seth, at the outset, we think BoJ needs still some more time to be sure that we are on that virtuous cycle of rising prices and wages. Yes, both prices and wages have gone up. But it is very clear from the data that a large part of this rise in prices can be attributed to currency depreciation and supply side factors, such as higher energy prices earlier, and food prices now. And similarly, currency depreciation has also played a role in lifting corporate profits, which then has allowed the corporate sector to increase wages.So, if you look at the drivers to rise in prices and wage growth as of now, we think that demand has not really played a big role. To just establish that point, if you look at Japan's GDP, it's just about 1 percent higher than pre-COVID on a real basis. And if you look at Japan's consumption, real consumption trend, it's still 1 percent below pre-COVID levels.So, we think BoJ still needs more time. And just to add one more point on this. BoJ is also conscious about what tariffs will do to Japan's exports, and economy; and therefore, they want to wait for some more time to see the evidence that demand also picks up before they take up a policy rate hike.Seth Carpenter: So, one economy in deflation and policy is probably not enough to prevent it. Another economy that's got reflation, but a very cautious central bank who wants to make sure it continues. Jens, let's pivot now to Europe because at the last policy meeting, President Lagarde of the ECB said pretty, pretty strongly that she thinks the disinflationary process in Europe has come to an end. And that the ECB is basically on hold at this point going forward.Do you agree with her assessment? Do you think she's got it right? You think she's got it wrong? How could she be wrong, if she's wrong? And what's your outlook for the ECB?Jens Eisenschmidt: Yeah, there a ton of questions here. I think I was also struck by the statement as you were. I think there is probably – that's at least my interpretation – a reference here to – Okay, we have come down a long way in terms of inflation in the Euro area. Rather being at 10 percent at some point in the past and now basically at target. And we think; I mean, we just got the data actually, for September in. It's more or less in line with what we had expected up again to 2.3. But that's really it. And then from here it's really down.Very good reasons to believe this will be the case. We have actually inflation below target next year, and the ECB agrees. So that's why I think she can't have made reference to what Liza had because the ECB itself is predicting that inflation from here will fall. So, I think it's really probably rather description of the way traveled. And then there may be some nuances here in the policy prescription forward.So, for now we think inflation will undershoot the target. And we think this undershoot has good chances to extend well into the medium term. So that's the famous 2027 forecast. The ECB in its last installment of the forecast in September doesn't disagree. Or it's actually, in theory at least, in agreement because it has a 1.9 here for 2027. So, it's also below target.But when asked about that at the press conference, the President said, yes, it's actually, very close to 2. So, it really cannot be really distinguished here. So, from that perspective, policy makers probably want to wait it out. In particular for the October meeting, which is not a forecast meeting, we don't expect any change.And then the focus of attention is really on the December meeting with the new forecast. What will 2028 show in their forecast for inflation? And will the 1.9 in [20]27 actually be rather 1.8? In which case I think the discussion on further cuts will heat up. We have a cut for December, and we have another one for March.Seth Carpenter: Of course, very often one of the things that drives inflation is overall economic growth and a key determinant of economic growth tends to be fiscal policy. And there we've got two big economies very much in the headlines right now. Germany, on the one hand, with plans to increase spending both on infrastructure and on defense spending. And then France, who's seen lots of instability, shall we say, with the government as they try to come up with a plan for fiscal consolidation.So, with those two economies in mind, can you walk us through what is the fiscal outlook for Germany, in particular? Is it going to be enough to stimulate overall growth in Europe? And then for France, are they going to be able to get the fiscal consolidation that they're looking for? How do you see those two economies evolving in terms of fiscal policy?Jens Eisenschmidt: Yeah, it's of course neither black or white, as you know. I think here we really look into the German case specifically, as the clear case where fiscal stimulus will happen. It may just not happen as quickly, and it's a very trade open economy. So, it's very much exposed to the current headwinds coming out of China for one. Or also U.S. tariffs. So, from that we conclude our net-net is actually, yes, there is textbook fiscal stimulus. So, basically domestic demand replacing less foreign demand.So that's fine, but just not enough. We see essentially better growth in Germany, but that's more cyclically driven. But it was; it just would not be enough for what you would normally think given the size of the fiscal stimulus, which is enormous. But it will also take some time, this fiscal stimulus to unfold.On the other side in France, as you rightly ask, how much consolidation are we going to get? I think the answer has to be very likely less than what the last – or the previous Prime Minister has had planned. So, all in all, that gets us into a situation of a country that lacks a clear economic policy structure, a clear governance structure; tries to – on a very fragile parliamentary majority – tries to consolidate the budget. Probably gets less consolidation going forward than what would be desirable. And, you know, here is sort of – not really...It's been muddling through a little bit. This is probably a good description of the approach here in France, and we actually have on the lack of a clear economic policy agenda and still some fiscal consolidation. We have actually lackluster growth in France for this year and next.Seth Carpenter: Okay, so what I'm hearing you saying is inflation seems likely to come down and probably undershoot their target causing President Lagarde and the ECB to reconsider how many cuts they're going to do. And then growth probably isn't going to be as stimulated by fiscal policy as I think lots of people in markets are hoping for.Chetan, Jens, thanks for joining us.And to the listeners, thank you for listening. Be sure to turn in tomorrow where I'm going to put Michael Gapen, Morgan Stanley's Chief U.S. Economist on the hot seat, talk about the U.S. and maybe one or two more economies around the world.And if you enjoy this show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or a colleague today.

At the back end of 2024 outgoing ICC Chair Greg Barclay suggested the West Indies should into seperate islands and nations. Then news broke that new ICC chair Jay Shah and the head of CA and ECB are planning to introduce a two tier system to test cricket so they can play each other more and make more money. The implication is that West Indies would be one of those teams that would fall into a unprofitable tier two. Predictably this has caused huge outrage. Machel and Santokie had to jump into the studio to address the latest drama in West Indies cricket. As ever please leave a rating, review and subscribe to the Caribbean Cricket Podcast. No other channels keeps it as real as we do on the Caribbean Cricket Podcast. If you'd like to support the Caribbean Cricket Podcast you can become a patron for as little as £1/$1 a month here - patreon.com/Caribcricket If you would like to read some high quality articles on West Indies cricket - please subscribe to our brand new site - ⁠Caribbean Cricket News on CounterPress • West Indies Cricket independent news⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

APAC stocks traded flat/mixed following a mostly but modestly firmer handover from Wall Street, with focus on the looming US government shutdown and the possibility of delayed NFP. Meanwhile, the White House announcement of further tariff details overnight capped upside in sentiment.The White House announced tariffs, including a 10% levy on timber and lumber from 14th October, alongside 25% duties on cabinets and vanities, with further hikes on cabinets and upholstered furniture set for 1st January unless trade deals are reached.Punchbowl's Sherman said that from listening to Schumer, Jeffries, and Vance, it does not sound like there was a breakthrough in the meeting, adding that a shutdown is around the corner.BoJ Summary of Opinions noted one member suggested it may be time to consider raising the policy interest rate again, while another said the BoJ gains more information on the US outlook by waiting, and one argued the Bank should maintain accommodative conditions at this point.RBA maintained its Cash Rate at 3.60%, as expected, in a unanimous decision, noting that the decline in underlying inflation has slowedLooking ahead, highlights include UK GDP (Q2), French CPI Prelim (Sep), German CPI Prelim (Sep), Italian CPI Prelim (Sep), US Consumer Confidence, JOLTS Job Openings. Speakers include RBA's Bullock, ECB's Lagarde, Cipollone, Elderson, Fed's Logan, Jefferson, Goolsbee, BoE's Lombardelli, Mann, Breeden. Earnings from Nike, Lamb Weston.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses & US futures modestly lower into a session of data & Fed speak, awaiting updates on the increasingly likely US gov't shutdown.DXY extending on recent pressure, EUR and GBP both firmer, JPY bid for a 3rd consecutive session, AUD bolstered by a hawkish-hold.Fixed benchmarks hit highs on cooler French HICP but have since trimmed with EGBs in the red after hotter German State CPIs, mainland due shortlyCrude continues to falter, XAU hit another ATH but has since come under pressure.Looking ahead, highlights include US Consumer Confidence, JOLTS Job Openings. Speakers include RBA's Bullock, ECB's Cipollone, Elderson, Fed's Goolsbee, BoE's Lombardelli, Mann, Breeden. Earnings from Nike, Lamb Weston.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Oliebedrijven zitten met de handen in het haar. Het lijkt maar niet beter te gaan in hun sector. De olieprijs staat ook nog eens op het laagste niveau in twee maanden tijd. TotalEnergies neemt daarom maatregelen en komt volgens de Financial Times met een besparingsplan van 7,5 miljard dollar. Groot punt: ze gaan beknibbelen op de cadeautjes voor de aandeelhouders. Het aandeleninkoopprogramma wordt teruggesnoeid. Wie volgt er met maatregelen? Gaat het cadeautjesprogramma van Shell er straks aan? Dat zoeken we deze aflevering uit. Dan hebben we ook beter nieuws. Het aantal fusies en overnames trekt eindelijk aan. Na jaren van droogte weten de beursbedrijven elkaar weer te vinden. Dit kwartaal waren al die deals onderaan de streep goed voor meer dan 1 biljoen dollar. En verder hoor je over een domper bij Spotify, een familieruzie die al 23 jaar duurt, een vrouw die vanwege het piepelen van JPMorgan zeven jaar celstraf krijgt... en je komt erachter hoe we Bassie en Adriaan weer eens in de aflevering hebben weten te fietsen. Olé!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Front Run The Week — Free SignalsGet early signals before they hit headlines. Subscribe free at tokentrust.substack.com — or tap here: tokentrust.substack.comOctober is usually known as “Uptober” in crypto, but 2025 is shaping up to be an ‘Abruptober'—a month full of sudden changes, sharp turns, and unexpected market surprises. In this episode of The Chip Mahoney Show, we delve into the crucial connections between Concordium (CCD), cutting-edge PayFi infrastructure, and the European Central Bank's startling advice on cash management.We'll explore how Abruptober is set to impact Bitcoin, Ethereum, and DeFi tokens, and why Concordium could serve as a leading indicator in the adoption of Web3 and blockchain technology. Also, we'll discuss the ECB's cash hoarding guidance in contrast to innovative on-chain yield strategies, along with what investors should monitor as whales, treasuries, and retail participants navigate these turbulent waters.Whether you consider yourself a crypto investor, fintech builder, or are simply looking to understand the future of tech and tokenized finance, this episode breaks down the signals behind the noise, offering you insights that could shape your investing strategy.

Oliebedrijven zitten met de handen in het haar. Het lijkt maar niet beter te gaan in hun sector. De olieprijs staat ook nog eens op het laagste niveau in twee maanden tijd. TotalEnergies neemt daarom maatregelen en komt volgens de Financial Times met een besparingsplan van 7,5 miljard dollar. Groot punt: ze gaan beknibbelen op de cadeautjes voor de aandeelhouders. Het aandeleninkoopprogramma wordt teruggesnoeid. Wie volgt er met maatregelen? Gaat het cadeautjesprogramma van Shell er straks aan? Dat zoeken we deze aflevering uit.

A firmer start to the week for equities, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.3%, ES +0.5%; focus on a packed labour market agenda for the week and the looming US gov't shutdown.President Trump will be meeting with congressional leaders at 20:00BST/15:00ET; ahead of this, Trump has said if the Democrats refuse to make a deal "the country closes".USD pulling back from last week's data induced gains, JPY leads into a packed week and supported by BoJ's Noguchi. EUR & GBP also firmerFixed benchmarks in the green, Bunds lead after mostly cooler-than-expected Spanish flash figures, Gilts await Chancellor ReevesCrude curtaield by OPEC+ production reports, XAU at another ATH, Copper posting modest gainsLooking ahead, highlights include ECB's Cipollone, Muller, Kazaks, Schnabel, Lane, BoE's Ramsden, Fed's Waller, Hammack, Musalem, Williams, Bostic. Events include Bank of Israel Announcement, Labour Party Conference (29th Sept - 1st Oct). Earnings from Jefferies, Carnival.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks eventually traded mostly firmer following the positive Wall Street performance on Friday, albeit participants remain cautious ahead of a risk-packed week that culminates with Friday's US jobs report.US President Trump said he will discuss the looming government shutdown with congressional leaders on Monday and believes Democrats may want to make a deal; he added that if Democrats refuse to make a deal, "the country closes", according to Reuters.The Trump administration is reportedly considering tariffs on foreign electronic devices based on the number of chips in each device, according to Reuters sources.OPEC+ will likely raise oil production quotas by at least 137k bpd at its October 5th meeting, according to Reuters, citing sources.European equity futures are indicative of a firmer cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.3% after cash closed +1.0% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish CPI Flash (Sep), EZ Sentiment (Sep). ECB's Cipollone, Muller, Kazaks, Schnabel, Lane, BoE's Ramsden, Fed's Waller, Hammack, Musalem, Williams, Bostic, and UK Chancellor Reeves. Events include Bank of Israel Announcement, Labour Party Conference (29th Sept - 1st Oct). Earnings from Jefferies, Carnival.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Op 1 iemand hoeft ABN Amro niet te rekenen. De Nederlandsche Bank gaat niet zomaar voor een overname van de bank liggen, zegt president Olaf Sleijpen. Hij is fan van één Europese kapitaalmarkt, en daarbij hoort ook dat elk overnamebod op waarde moet worden beoordeeld. Dus ziet hij het voorstel van het Belgische KBC vrolijk tegemoet. Als KBC nog twijfelde, is dit dan de bevestiging dat de weg voor een overname vrij is? Dat zoeken we deze aflevering uit. Verder hebben we het over de Europese autosector. Die krijgt bijval van een belangrijke politicus. De man aan de leiding van het grootste autoland van Europa is om. Friedrich Merz springt voor zijn autobouwers in de bres en wil af van de verplichte overstap naar elektrische motoren. Tegen 2035 wil de EU dat autobouwers geen enkele benzine- of dieselmotor meer maken. Maar autobouwers zien het als de strop, aangezien de concurrentie uit China moordend is. En met Merz aan hun zijde kan daar nog wel eens verandering in komen. Je hoort ook nog over een miljardenovername tussen twee Nederlandse bedrijven op Wall Street. Over de grootste uitkoop van een beursbedrijf met geleend geld ooit. Groter dan die van Twitter zelfs. En het gaat over het einde van een beursverhaal aan het Damrak. Een verhaal dat van korte duur was, want na één jaar zit het avontuur er alweer op.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Deze week moet het gebeuren. Dan moeten de aandeelhouders van Just Eat Takeaway hun aandelen hebben aangeboden bij Prosus. Goed moment om vooruit te blikken op de toekomst van het bedrijf, dat werd opgericht door Jitse Groen.Errol Keyner, van de VEB, denkt dat het onder de vleugels van Prosus beter zal gaan. De ceo van Prosus, zegt hij, gaat het beter doen dan Groen. Je hoort deze aflevering waarom. In Beurs in Zicht stomen we je klaar voor de beursweek die je tegemoet gaat. Want soms zie je door de beursbomen het beursbos niet meer. Dat is verleden tijd! Iedere week vertelt een vriend van de show waar jouw focus moet liggen.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kevin Howells is alongside Dave Bracegirdle at Trent Bridge for reaction to Nottinghamshire win the Division One title. Captain Haseeb Hameed gives his thoughts on the season.Plus, the Professional Cricketers' Association chief executive Daryl Mitchell doesn't rule out strike action from players as clubs reject a notion to lower the amount of games from next season. ECB Managing Director of competitions and major events Neil Snowball tells us his thoughts on the matter, as well as the ECB's involvement in the process.

The World Cup is nearly here! Katya Witney, Ben Gardner and Yas Rana preview the tournament with power rankings, players to watch and more. We've also got Lauren on the end of the English summer and the news that Kate Cross has lost her central contract, as well as a snippet of Aadya Sharma's interview with the great Mithali Raj. 0:00 Intro / 1:29 Lauren Winfield-Hill / 17:16 World Cup Power Rankings / 33:57 Kate Cross / 38:18 World Cup Power Rankings Pt.2 / 54:32 Mithali Raj interview / 1:07:07 Outro The Metro Bank Girls in Cricket Fund in collaboration with the ECB aims to triple the number of girls' cricket teams by breaking down barriers and creating supportive and inclusive spaces. Help transform the game, head to https://www.metrobankonline.co.uk/cricket/ to champion the future of girls' cricket.

US President Trump announced 100% tariffs on Pharmaceuticals, 50% tariffs on all Kitchen Cabinets, Bathroom Vanities, and associated products, a 30% tariff on Upholstered Furniture, and a 25% tariff will be imposed on all “Heavy Trucks” made in other parts of the world.US President Trump signed an executive order on TikTok, saying he had good talks with Chinese President Xi and that China is fully on board. EU plans to impose tariffs of 25–50% on Chinese steel and related products, according to Reuters, citing Handelsblatt.APAC stocks traded mostly lower after being subdued for a bulk of the session following a similar performance stateside.European equity futures are indicative of a slightly firmer cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.4% after cash closed -0.3% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include US PCE (Aug), US University of Michigan Final (Sep), ECB's Cipollone, Lagarde, Fed's Barkin, Bowman, and supply from Italy.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Het is weer zo ver. Trump is boos, omdat zijn land ‘overspoeld’ wordt met producten uit het buitenland. Hij voert daarom volgende week (op 1 oktober) tarieven in. Een tarief van 25 procent dus op zware vrachtwagens, 50 procent op keukenkastjes en 100 procent op merkgeneesmiddelen. Het goede nieuws voor Europa is dat wij onder een ander tarief vallen, verder is er niet veel goed nieuws te melden. Deze aflevering hebben we het over deze nieuwe escalatie. Ook steken we hand in eigen boezem, want waarom valt Europa nu China aan met tarieven op staal? Trump zat niet stil: hij keurt ook de verkoop van de Amerikaanse tak van TikTok goed. Alleen China moet nog wel even tekenen bij het kruisje. Ook hoor je meer over eventuele renteverlagingen in de VS. In de middag kwam het inflatiecijfer uit. Wat betekent dat voor het rentebeleid van de Fed?Verder gaat het ook over twee Hollandse drama's. Dat van Ajax (de ene na de andere commissaris loopt weg) en dat van Philips. Dat heeft problemen in eigen land én in de VS. Hebben we ook nog nieuws over Elon Musk. Die heeft behoorlijk gefaald met zijn werk voor DOGE, blijkt nu. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Hij is vaak voorspeld. Door autojournalisten, door analisten. Telkens wist Elon Musk hem te ontwijken, maar nu lijkt dat lastig. Techbedrijf Xiaomi, slechts een jaar bezig, zou dan toch echt dé Tesla-killer worden.De Chinese autobouwer wil showrooms openen in Europa en zelfs ook auto's willen bouwen op ons continent. Deze aflevering kijken we wat dat voor autobouwers (en Tesla in het specifiek) betekent. Ook duiken we in het aandeel van Xiaomi. Dat is in 12 maanden met bijna 200 procent gestegen.Hebben we het ook over Apple. Dat wil dat Brussel de regels aanpast. Volgens eigen zeggen is de wet digitale markten niet goed voor gebruikers, maar het lijkt er op dat Apple vooral zelf last heeft van de wet.Intel heeft op zijn beurt weer wat nodig van Apple. Geld en een samenwerking om precies te zijn. Rupsje Nooitgenoeg wil namelijk nog meer centjes bij (oud) klanten ophalen.Verder bespreken we het onderzoek dat Brussel doet naar SAP, een Amerikaans onderzoek naar Philips en hun concurrenten, TKH dat iets afsplitst (of toch niet) en je hoort meer over Trump die 'gesaboteerd' wordt. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Over 1.6 billion contactless point of sale (POS) payments, valued at €28.3 billion, were made in shops, restaurants and other retail outlets in the 12 months to June 2025, according to the latest payments analysis published today in Banking & Payments Federation Ireland's (BPFI) Payments Monitor. The report reveals that contactless payments accounted for 87.9% of all POS card payments in H1 2025, with more than half of all contactless payments now made using mobile wallets such as Apple Pay or Google Pay, rather than cards. Speaking on the publication of the latest Payments Monitor, Gillian Byrne, Head of Payments, BPFI, stated: "Looking at the payments trends in today's report, we can see that contactless payments continue to be very popular with Irish consumers, accounting for almost nine out of ten point of sale (POS) card payments made in shops, restaurants and other retail outlets in Ireland in the first half of 2025. The use of smartphones and watches is growing in popularity and is the preferred payment device over physical cards for many consumers. Some 58.2% of contactless payments were made using mobile wallets rather than cards in the first half of 2025 (58.8% in Q2 2025), up from 52% in the same period of 2024. Overall, there were almost 454 million mobile wallet payments in Ireland on Irish cards in H1 2025, up 19.7% on the same period in 2024." Adoption of mobile wallet payments varies by region Looking at regional variations, Ms Byrne added: "Dublin had the highest number of contactless and mobile wallet payments per capita in Ireland at 392 and 238, respectively, in the twelve months ending June 2025, accounting for 39.1% of all contactless payments and 41.8% of mobile wallet payments. Carlow had the second-highest number of contactless payments per capita at 339, followed by Limerick with 299 and Waterford with 289. By contrast, Roscommon had the lowest contactless per capita at 139, behind Offaly with 148 and Monaghan at 157." As cash usage declines, digital euro plans will be key Ms Byrne continued: "As the popularity of contactless payments has grown, cash usage has fallen in recent years, with less than half of POS payments in Ireland made in cash in 2024, according to European Central Bank (ECB) survey data, down from about 54% two years earlier. While cash remains of vital importance to many people, a recent consumer survey commissioned by BPFI shows that 7% of consumers say they don't use cash, while most use it for small payments, with 54% holding less than €50 cash on hand. The ECB has noted the limitations of physical cash in an increasingly digital world and is seeking to complement it with a digital form of cash - the digital euro." "However, there is still some uncertainty as to how a digital euro will work, reflected in the fact that almost one in four (23%) said that they did not plan to use the digital euro, and 14% of consumers said they didn't know how much digital euro they expected to hold. When asked how they would use the digital euro, just under half of respondents stated they would be likely or very likely to use a digital euro for online purchases, sending money to friends or family or for POS payments. The ECB is expected to announce the next steps for the digital euro shortly, although it is likely we will see the rollout of digital euro wallets by banks in the years to come. However, the results of today's research points to the need for raising greater consumer awareness of the digital euro and how consumers could benefit from using it in the future." Efficiency and consumer experience must remain priorities for digital euro rollout She concluded: "Meanwhile, a recent PwC study commissioned by the European Credit Sector Associations estimates that implementing the digital euro could cost euro area banks about €18 billion - before ongoing running costs and enhancements are factored in. The focus must be on efficiency and long-term viability, giving banks and payment providers the...

Paul Buitink spreekt met Jeroen Blokland over de Franse schuldencrisis, het nieuwe prijsrecord voor goud, pensioenen, financiële repressie en centrale banken.Blokland stelt dat er anders belegd moet worden dan met de traditionele 60/40-portefeuille van aandelen en obligaties. Ook grote beleggers, zoals pensioenfondsen, zullen volgens hem de stap moeten maken naar schaarse assets. Hij noemt dit de grote herbalancering en schreef er een nieuw boek over. Goud kan volgens hem niet langer genegeerd worden door institutionele beleggers. Welke impact gaat dit hebben?Volgens Blokland hadden we het schuldenprobleem in Frankrijk al van mijlenver kunnen zien aankomen. De kosten van de verzorgingsstaat lopen steeds verder op en zullen door de vergrijzing alleen maar toenemen. Hij verwacht niet dat de Fransen dit gaan oplossen en acht het waarschijnlijk dat de ECB uiteindelijk te hulp schiet.Uiteindelijk zullen centrale banken, wanneer het erop aankomt, landen met hoge schulden uit de brand helpen. Spaarders en obligatiehouders zijn dan de klos: hoge inflatie en lage rentes liggen in het verschiet. Met sparen en obligaties verlies je koopkracht. Blokland benadrukt daarom dat mensen alternatieven moeten zoeken. Moeten pensioenfondsen hun posities in staatsschulden afbouwen?Daarnaast bespreken ze de recente all-time high voor goud. Is het tijd voor hoogtevrees en verkopen, of juist niet? Tot slot komen ook bitcoin, zilver en ethereum aan bod. Waar gaat de bitcoinprijs naartoe?Koop het boek van Jeroen Blokland hier: https://degroteherbalancering.com/ Het fonds van Jeroen: https://bloklandfund.com/nl/ Overweegt u om goud en zilver aan te kopen? Dat kan via de volgende website: https://bit.ly/3xxy4sYTimestamps00:00 Intro02:59 Boek: De Grote Herbalancering & 60-40 denken10:44 Franse Schuldencrisis & Staatsobligaties15:50 Fiscale dominantie & Centrale banken18:55 Staatsobligaties, Pensioenen & Frankrijk26:37 Financiële repressie: hoge inflatie & lage rente34:36 Stijging goudprijs & hoogtevrees42:23 Bitcoin, Zilver & EthereumTwitter:@Hollandgold:   / hollandgold  @paulbuitink:   / paulbuitink  Let op: Holland Gold vindt het belangrijk dat iedereen vrijuit kan spreken. Wij willen u er graag op attenderen dat de uitspraken die worden gedaan door de geïnterviewde niet persé betekenen dat Holland Gold hier achter staat. Alle uitspraken zijn gedaan op persoonlijke titel door de geïnterviewde en dragen zo bij aan een breed, kleurrijk en voor de kijker interessant beeld van de onderwerpen. Zo willen en kunnen wij u een transparante bijdrage en een zo volledig mogelijk inzicht geven in de economische marktontwikkelingen. Al onze video's zijn er enkel op gericht u te informeren. De informatie en data die we presenteren kunnen verouderd zijn bij het bekijken van onze video's. Onze video's zijn geen financieel advies. U alleen kunt bepalen hoe het beste uw vermogen kunt beleggen. U draagt zelf de risico's van uw keuzes.Bekijk onze website: https://www.hollandgold.nl

Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureThe Eurozone is feeling the inflation pressure. Mexico is in a recession and the rest of the world is going to follow. The economy is an illusion and Biden created it with fake numbers. Trump is bringing the economy out of the recession and he is transforming the system right in front of the [CB]. The [DS] is now showing who they truly are. They are pushing their foot soldiers to become more violent, the people are witness the insurrection. Trump is pushing the [DS] down the path of war. The [DS] is following the 16 year plan and it ends with war. DC is now setting up anti-scale fencing. The people of the US are now judging what they are seeing. Justice is coming.   Economy Eurozone Faces Inflation, Growth Threat From China's Rare Earths Dominance, ECB Warns   The eurozone economy faces the threat of higher inflation rates and slower economic growth if supplies of rare earth minerals from China are disrupted, the European Central Bank said Tuesday. In a report, the ECB's economists said the eurozone relies heavily on rare earths from China, either directly or through intermediaries such as large U.S. technology companies. Were those supplies to be interrupted as a result of trade or other disputes, the eurozone would suffer economic harm, they warned. Source: wsj.com https://twitter.com/SNienow/status/1970594156469788775 https://twitter.com/WallStreetMav/status/1970830346217251294 (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970838444659093881  February 2020. This suggests that official BLS job openings data will likely continue to trend lower. All as the number of unemployed Americans now exceeds available jobs for the first time since April 2021. Job weakness is spreading. https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1970819754592964811 US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned that cutting rates too aggressively risked stoking inflation US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently issued a cautionary statement, warning that the Federal Reserve should avoid cutting interest rates too aggressively, as it could reignite inflation and undermine the Fed's efforts to reach its 2% target. Powell's comments, made on September 23, 2025, stressed the need for caution in monetary policy to balance the dual goals of maximum employment and price stability, particularly as inflation remains somewhat elevated despite a cooling labor market.    https://twitter.com/JoeLang51440671/status/1970845535767527606   “key” to the plan. Trump chose Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary for a reason. Anybody remember what he was pushing right after the election? “Ultra-Long Bonds: A Bold Bet on Stability” “Perhaps the most intriguing part of Bessent's vision is his openness to issuing ultra-long Treasury bonds—securities with maturities of 50 years or even 100 years. This isn't just a technical adjustment; it's a statement. Ultra-long bonds send a clear signal about how the Treasury plans to manage its debt in a changing economic environment.” “Stability” is the key. Why would Bessent be pushing for “ultra-long bonds?” “Ultra-long bonds (like 50-year or 100-year Treasuries) may become more common.

 This is Inside Edge, which is our cricket business podcast. Regular co-host Mike Jakeman is away this week, but our guests are Beth Barrett-Wild and Jen Vile from the ECB.  Beth is the Tournament Director at ICC Women's T20 World Cup 2026 & Director of Women's Professional Game at ECB, and Jen Vile is Marketing Director at (ECB)So we are talking women's cricket, the T20 World Cup in England next year, and the hundred, the impact of the new money flooding into the hundred on women's cricket.  There's a lot there and we hope you enjoy it.  Leaders in Sport connects the most influential people and the most powerful ideas in global sport to catalyse discussion, and drive the industry forward. The Summit, part of Leaders Week London (their flagship event), is taking place next week on Wednesday 1 and Thursday 2 October at the Allianz Stadium and this is a final call to secure your place.This is your opportunity to be in the room with the who's who of our industry, it's the most significant gathering of the entire ecosystem of global sport - we're there every year and can testify to that.We will be there, so please come and say hello to us in the Partners Village.  Visit leadersinsport.com/UP for more information and use UP15 for a 15% discount on your Summit passes.Unofficial Partner is the leading podcast for the business of sport. A mix of entertaining and thought provoking conversations with a who's who of the global industry. To join our community of listeners, sign up to the weekly UP Newsletter and follow us on Twitter and TikTok at @UnofficialPartnerWe publish two podcasts each week, on Tuesday and Friday. These are deep conversations with smart people from inside and outside sport. Our entire back catalogue of 400 sports business conversations are available free of charge here. Each pod is available by searching for ‘Unofficial Partner' on Apple, Spotify, Google, Stitcher and every podcast app. If you're interested in collaborating with Unofficial Partner to create one-off podcasts or series, you can reach us via the website.

Ze dachten dat ze ervanaf waren bij Philips. Patiënten, slachtoffers, de Amerikaanse toezichthouder... Met iedereen hadden ze een schikking weten te treffen in het drama rond de apneu-apparaten die vlam vatten. Toch moet Philips nog even herinnerd worden aan het schandaal dat de beurskoers jarenlang in z'n greep had. Want juist die beleggers die hun geld zagen verdampen, die willen nu hun gelijk krijgen. De VEB vraagt de rechter om een onafhankelijk onderzoek, en mocht dat grote fouten bij Philips uitwijzen dan kan er een schadevergoeding geëist worden. Hoe gaat Philips het apneu-spook weer terug in de fles krijgen? En is het dan ein-de-lijk klaar met het drama? Dat bespreken we deze aflevering. Dan pakken we ook de meetlat erbij. We gaan kijken wie de grootste heeft. Amerika of China? We hebben het over hun datacenters. Bedrijven in beide landen blijven maar keer op keer nieuwe plannen aankondigen. De geldput lijkt geen bodem te hebben. Maar wie wint uiteindelijk? En het gaat ook nog over de treurwilg van de dag. Dat is Jerome Powell, de baas van de Federal Reserve. Hij drukt de stemming met een speech vol waarschuwingen over de lage rente, de arbeidsmarkt, en: de 'redelijk hoog gewaardeerde aandelen'.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

APAC stocks eventually traded mixed as the positive sentiment from Wall Street failed to sustain during APAC trade despite a lack of fresh catalysts. there was an absence of Japanese volume as participants were away due to the Autumnal Equinox holiday.OpenAI and NVIDIA announced a strategic partnership to deploy 10 gigawatts of NVIDIA systems, with NVIDIA to invest up to USD 100bln in OpenAI.US President Trump to speak at 09:50 ET /14:50 BST at the UN General Assembly; EU and E3 to meet the Iranian Foreign Minister at 10:00ET / 15:00 BST on Tuesday.European equity futures are indicative of a flat/firmer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 Future +0.1% after cash closed with losses of 0.3% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ/UK/US Flash PMIs (Sep), US Richmond Fed Index, Riksbank Announcement; NBH Policy Announcement; Speakers include BoE's Pill, Fed's Powell, Bostic, Bowman, ECB's Cipollone, BoC's Macklem, US President Trump at UN General Assembly; Supply from Netherlands, UK, Germany, US; Earnings from Micron, Kingfisher.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses gradually climb higher and currently at peaks; US equity futures are flat awaiting Fed Chair Powell.GBP hit by soft PMI, Eurozone data showed diverging fortunes for manufacturing and services.USTs are essentially flat; Gilts modestly out-edge peers following disappointing flash PMI metrics.Crude initially in the red but have managed to climb higher, XAU at another ATH, catching a bid on reports that China aims to become custodian of foreign gold reserves.Looking ahead, US Flash PMIs (Sep), US Richmond Fed Index, NBH Policy Announcement; Speakers include BoE's Pill, Fed's Powell, Bostic, Bowman, ECB's Cipollone, BoC's Macklem, US President Trump at UN General Assembly; Supply from the US; Earnings from Micron.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Heineken slokt behoorlijk wat belangen van buitenlandse brouwerijen op. Het geeft miljarden uit om te groeien in Midden-Amerika. Om precies te zijn Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica en Panama. In dat laatste land krijgen ze zelfs de volledige eigendom van een brouwerij in handen.Volgens Heineken kopen ze 'voor een goede prijs' belangen in een groeimarkt. We kijken deze aflevering of het ook echt zo'n goede deal is. En we bespreken wat dit met het aandeel doet. Een aandeel dat het al langer niet echt lekker doet. Wordt de kater voor aandeelhouders minder? Hebben we het ook over een andere miljardendeal, de overtreffende trap. Nvidia dat even 100 miljard dollar uittrekt om te investeren in OpenAI. Waar het óók een belang in de ChatGPT-maker voor terugkrijgt.Een teleurstelling komt ook voorbij, namelijk een omzetwaarschuwing van ASM. Al verpakt de chipmachinemaker die met goed nieuws. Waardoor de schade voor het aandeel mee lijkt te vallen.Verder deze aflevering: Xi Jinping en Donald Trump gaan elkaar toch niet zien deze herfst Bij Orsted zijn ze blij: Trumps beslissing wordt teruggedraaid Oeso waarschuwt voor Trumps handelsoorlog See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

De Consumentenbond houdt zich al langer bezig met digitale vraagstukken, maar sinds kort komt daar ook een opvallend dossier bij: de digitale euro. Onze gast van deze week is Mahir Alkaya, voormalig Kamerlid en nu adviseur bij de Consumentenbond. Vanuit zijn nieuwe rol kijkt hij naar de belangen van consumenten en adviseert hij de bond over de omgang met de politiek waar hij ooit onderdeel van was. Op het gebied van de digitale euro treedt hij ook op als expert namens de consumentenbond. Als Kamerlid stond hij bekend als een van de weinigen met cryptokennis en schreef hij in 2022 het boek Van wie wordt ons geld. Toen waarschuwde hij voor risico’s rond privacy en macht voor centrale banken. Inmiddels zijn we enkele jaren verder: hoe staat het project ervoor, en welke gevaren of kansen ziet hij nu? Het politieke debat over de digitale euro is niet verdwenen, maar in Nederland wel flink gekrompen. Een motie van de PVV om het project volledig te stoppen kreeg destijds zelfs zijn steun, ondanks dat hij er destijds intensief bij betrokken was. Tegelijkertijd ziet hij ook positieve ontwikkelingen: bepaalde waarborgen zijn inmiddels steviger geregeld, terwijl andere zorgen, zoals over de rol van commerciële banken, blijven bestaan. Want wat gebeurt er als burgers massaal geld bij de Europese Centrale Bank aanhouden? Diezelfde ECB onderhoudt regelmatig contact met maatschappelijke partijen. Mahir spreekt hen geregeld en schetst zijn indruk: hoe competent is de centrale bank in dit traject? In een recente blog van ECB’er Jürgen Schaaf werd ook al vooruitgeblikt op de rol van stablecoins. Dat thema bespreken we in de aflevering, samen met de vraag of stablecoins straks een plek krijgen naast een digitale euro, of juist door de centrale bank worden verdrongen. De Consumentenbond zelf deed onderzoek naar de ideale vorm van een digitale euro. Donderdag verschijnt daar een rapport over, maar in de aflevering geeft onze gast alvast een doorkijkje. Consumenten willen vooral privacy, gebruiksgemak en aantrekkelijke voorwaarden. Ook moet duidelijk zijn hoe een digitale euro zich verhoudt tot contant geld, en of winkeliers straks verplicht worden het te accepteren. Zonder deze garanties dreigt het project te stranden in wantrouwen of onverschilligheid. Tot slot kijken we vooruit: wanneer kan de digitale euro er daadwerkelijk zijn, en hoe groot is het risico dat het hele proces te stroperig verloopt? In de VS zien we ondertussen hoe Bitcoin inmiddels is omarmd door Wall Street. Wat betekent dat voor Europa, waar juist centrale banken het voortouw nemen met een eigen digitale munt? Gasten Mahir Alkaya Paul Buitink Links Host Daniël Mol Redactie Daniël MolSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dat ABN Amro een overnameprooi was, daar werd al langer over geroddeld. Maar het blijken de Belgen die er wel interesse in hebben. De Belgische concurrent KBC overweegt volgens Bloomberg een overname. Er is nog wel één discussiepunt binnen de Belgische bank: hoeveel hebben we ervoor over? Het onderzoek daarnaar zou nog in een vroeg stadium zijn, maar beleggers sorteren er wel alvast op voor. Of we er serieus rekening mee moeten houden dat ABN Amro binnenkort van onze AEX vertrekt, dat hoor je deze aflevering. Diezelfde AEX is sinds vandaag trouwens een stukje groter. Er zitten nu 30 bedrijven in, in plaats van 25. Al wordt er op die eerste dag van de uitbreiding alweer gespeculeerd hoe lang de zaken zo blijven, want op de aandelen Just Eat Takeaway en JDE Peet's staat alweer een 'verkocht'-bord. Wij speculeren lekker mee wie er dan vervolgens weer een plekje in de hoofdindex verdienen. En we vertellen je ook nog waarom Warren Buffet uit de Chinese autobouwer BYD stapt én wat hij eraan verdiend heeft. We onderzoeken hoe ver de bodem reikt voor bodemonderzoeker Fugro. En je hoort waarom een bedrijf dat nog helemaal niks verkoopt, toch ruim 60 procent hoger staat op de Nasdaq vandaag. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Katya Witney, Ben Gardner and Yas Rana wrap up the English domestic summer, selecting their One Day Cup Team of the Tournament and 2025 breakout stars. Also on the show, Lauren Winfield-Hill on winning the tier two ODC with Yorkshire, England's planned intra squad series and the ongoing Australia vs India series, before Katya's interview with umpire Anna Harris about juggling life as a match official with her full time job as a doctor. 0:00 Intro / 1:28 Lauren Winfield-Hill / 17:22 One Day Cup / 42:23 Breakout stars / 47:03 Tammy Beaumont / 54:08 Anna Harris interview / 1:16:35 Outro The Metro Bank Girls in Cricket Fund in collaboration with the ECB aims to triple the number of girls' cricket teams by breaking down barriers and creating supportive and inclusive spaces. Help transform the game, head to https://www.metrobankonline.co.uk/cricket/ to champion the future of girls' cricket.

BoJ kept rates unchanged at 0.50%, as expected, but surprised markets with the announcement to begin selling ETF and J-REIT holdings.US President Trump said he will be harsh if he has to ask Russian President Putin for a ceasefire, but it doesn't feel like the time to do so.US President Trump reportedly seeks to speed up large power projects to meet AI demand.APAC stocks traded mixed as the region only partially sustained the momentum from Wall St, where the S&P 500, DJIA and NDX climbed to fresh record highs.European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures flat after the cash market closed with gains of 1.6% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Retail Sales (Aug), German Producer Prices (Aug), Canadian Retail Sales (Jul), Quad Witching, Trump-Xi phone call, Speakers include BoJ Governor Ueda, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, Fed's Daly, Miran, & Former Fed President Bullard.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Het zit nog altijd tegen bij Apple, maar het kan nu een klein succesje noteren. De fans stonden ouderwets weer voor de deur van de Applestores om als eerste een van de nieuwe iPhone te bemachtigen. Kan dat de weg terug omhoog inzetten voor het bedrijf? Dat gaan we deze aflevering voor je uitzoeken. Verder hoef je niet meer op Italië te letten als je op zoek bent naar een Europese zondebok. Het land krijgt een upgrade van kredietbeoordelaar Fitch en met een begrotingstekort ver onder het Franse mag Giorgia Meloni trots zijn op haar huishoudboekje. Goed nieuws voor de banken in het land, die volgens Bob Homan van ING Investment Office nog best een ritje te maken hebben. Verder bespreken we de steeds vriendelijker beurswaakhond SEC die deze week meerdere keren de kop op stak. Wat betekent een toezichthouder die met bedrijfsbesturen knuffelt voor beleggers? En waar heb je meer aan: een waakhond, of een schoothondje? En we blikken terug op de week met de Chinese aanval op Nvidia, een teleurgestelde Mario Draghi, en de eerste renteverlaging van het jaar in de VS.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Fed cut rates by 25bps to 4.00-4.25%, as expected, citing a shift in risk balance. Bowman and Waller joined consensus, calling for a 25bps reduction; new Governor Miran dissented, preferring a 50bps cut.Nine of the 19 Fed officials see two additional cuts in 2025, two see one cut, and six see no more reductions.Fed Chair Powell said he doesn't feel the need to move quickly on rates, and that “you could think of the cut as a risk management cut”, and that decisions will be taken on a meeting-by-meeting approach.Markets saw an initial dovish reaction to the FOMC statement followed by a hawkish reversal heading into and during Chair Powell's press conference. Fed rate cut in December still fully priced in.APAC stocks traded mixed following the choppy reaction to the FOMC meeting; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.5%.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobless Claims, New Zealand Trade Balance (Aug), BoE Announcement, Norges Bank Announcement, SARB Announcement, Speakers include ECB's Lagarde, de Guindos, Nagel & Schnabel, US President Trump & UK PM Starmer press conference, Supply from Spain, France & US, Earnings from FedEx & Lennar.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are stronger today and trade just off highs; US equity futures also gain, with modest outperformance in the RTY.China drops Google (GOOG) antitrust probe during US trade talks, according to FTDXY trims some post-FOMC gains this morning; NZD plumbs the depths on GDP.Bonds are mixed in the aftermath of the FOMC; Gilts await the BoE.Crude is subdued and precious metals hold an upward bias.Looking ahead, US Jobless Claims, New Zealand Trade Balance (Aug), BoE Announcement, SARB Announcement, Speakers include ECBʼs Nagel, US President Trump & UK PM Starmer press conference. Earnings from FedEx & Lennar.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed with global risk sentiment cautious ahead of the crucial FOMC policy decision.White House said it was further extending the TikTok enforcement delay, with the deadline to sell TikTok extended until December 16th.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.3% on Tuesday.DXY is flat after yesterday's selling pressure. EUR/USD retains a firm footing on a 1.18 handle, GBP awaits UK inflation metrics.USTs and Bunds are steady. Crude futures slightly eased back from this week's peak.Looking ahead, highlights include ECB Wage Tracker, UK Inflation (Aug), EZ HICP Final (Aug), New Zealand GDP (Q2), US Atlanta Fed GDP, FOMC Announcement, BoC Announcement, BCB Announcement, Bank of Indonesia Announcement, ECB's Lagarde, Nagel, Cipollone, Fed Chair Powell, BoC's Macklem & US President Trump, Supply from Germany & UK, Earnings from General Mills.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

White House said it was further extending the TikTok enforcement delay, with the deadline to sell TikTok extended until December 16th.European bourses are mixed; NQ saw fleeting pressure on reports that China ordered tech firms to stop buying NVIDIA's AI chips; NVIDIA -0.9% pre-market.USD is a touch firmer as markets brace for today's FOMC announcementNVIDIA pressure lifts fixed income to highs pre-FOMC, Gilts outperform after the region's inflation report which was broadly in-line but as Services cooled a touch.Crude trades with modest losses; Dollar strength weighs on gold.Looking ahead, New Zealand GDP (Q2), US Atlanta Fed GDP, FOMC Announcement, BoC Announcement, BCB Announcement, Speakers including ECB's Nagel, Fed Chair Powell, BoC's Macklem & US President Trump. Earnings from General Mills.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

As we head towards the end of the year, financial markets are caught between fading growth and expectations regarding monetary policy. How should investors navigate financial markets in the final months of 2025, and where do we see the sweet spots?In this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast, Christian Gattiker, Julius Baer's Head of Research, and Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia, talk to Bernadette Anderko about the macroeconomic developments since Liberation Day, what they expect from the Fed and the ECB for the rest of the year, and the current global opportunities for investors, particularly, but not only, in the equity and fixed income space.(00:32) - Introduction of topic and speakers (01:12) - Macroeconomic developments since Liberation Day (02:10) - Asia's macroeconomic picture (05:05) - Year-end headline research calls (05:39) - Developed-market equity preferences (06:09) - Breaking away from the ‘US only' mindset (06:42) - Emerging market equity sweet spots (08:26) - Where to find value in fixed income (09:10) - Commodities outlook (11:06) - US dollar set to weaken? (11:46) - Dealing with tariff news (12:45) - Summary and closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureThere is virtually no inflation, the Fed predictions have not come true, energy prices are down, so why isn't the Fed lowering the rates by 2 to 3 points? ECB panics over Trump going after the Fed, their world is about to be destroyed. If Trump did not create the parallel system the country would be in a depression right now. The [DS] wants a war, it is part of the 16 year plan and they are trying to move forward with it. The EU has blamed Russia for the illegal problem, cyber attacks and now Ursla says Russia jammed her plane and she had to land. Scare Event will be necessary to have peace. Trump has now called out Big Pharma. Big Pharma gave Trump the covid vaccine results but has not shown the same results to the public, Trump wants them to be transparent. Did Big Pharma lie to Trump during covid to push their vaccines?   Economy (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");  President Trump Calls on Judge Jia Cobb to Recuse Herself From Lawsuit by Fired Federal Reserve Board Member Lisa Cook After Sorority They Are Both Members of Releases Statement in Support of Cook  President Donald Trump posted a statement Sunday night calling on U.S. District Judge Jia Cobb to recuse herself from presiding over the lawsuit by Federal Reserve Board of Governors member Lisa Cook challenging Trump's firing of her from the Fed last Monday over allegations of mortgage fraud. https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1962326210312016149?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1962326210312016149%7Ctwgr%5Ebf1a09094e9d30de8c0fd36bfbd472dd31c215bb%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thegatewaypundit.com%2F2025%2F09%2Fpresident-trump-calls-judge-jia-cobb-recuse-herself%2F Source: thegatewaypundit.com Trump's Pressure on the Fed Poses a ‘Very Serious Danger,' ECB President Warns President Donald Trump's push to take control of the Federal Reserve could pose a serious threat to the U.S. and global economy, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has warned. It would be “very difficult” for Trump to take control of the Fed because he can only remove Fed governors if the Supreme Court finds them guilty of serious misconduct, Lagarde told France's Radio Classique on Monday. “If he succeeds, that would be a very serious danger for the American and global economy,” Lagarde said. Source: barrons.com Bessent: Trump May Declare National Housing Emergency This Fall Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told the Washington Examiner on Monday that President Donald Trump might declare a national housing emergency this fall to address rising prices and dwindling supply. It would be the first national housing emergency since the Great Recession, Datoc reported, when the housing bubble burst as President Barack Obama was preparing to take over the White House from former President George W. Bush. Trump blasted Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell earlier this month for "hurting" the housing industry "very badly" as he campaigned for a reduction in interest rates. Trump has repeatedly urged Powell to cut interest rates while also sharply criticizing Powell.