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Europe's macro outlook is shifting. After years of fiscal restraint and fragmented policy, the region is entering a new chapter one centered on pro-growth fiscal policy, energy security, and capital-market reform. For investors, this transformation signals the potential for renewed momentum in European equities and fixed income.In this episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido speaks with Helen Jewell, Chief Investment Officer for EMEA Fundamental Equities, and Roelof Salomons, Chief Investment Strategist for Northern Europe at the BlackRock Investment Institute, about how Europe's evolving macro and investing environment is creating new opportunities across sectors.They explore how fiscal flexibility is enabling investment in productivity and innovation, how energy transition and AI demand are reshaping infrastructure and power markets, and why European banks, defense companies, and energy-efficiency leaders have emerged as standouts. The conversation also looks at the valuation gap between Europe and the U.S., the implications of potential ECB rate cuts, and what reforms could drive a broader, more durable resurgence.Key Takeaways:· Europe's shift toward fiscal flexibility marks its first explicitly pro-growth stance in over a decade.· The intersection of energy transition and AI is driving infrastructure and power investment.· Banks, defense, and efficiency-focused industrials remain strong performers.· Europe still trades at a discount to the U.S., offering selective opportunity.· Integration of capital markets could unlock long-term competitiveness.Key moments in this episode:00:00 Introduction: Europe's Economic Challenges and Optimism01:10 Meet the Experts: Helen Jewell and Roelof Salomons02:17 Historical Context: Europe's Economic Journey03:51 Current Barriers and Progress in Europe05:40 Sector Focus: Defense, Banks, and Energy08:49 Fiscal Policy and Unified European Growth10:33 Energy and AI: The Long-Term Investment Landscape14:30 Valuation and Market Opportunities in Europe17:17 Conclusion: Path to a Broad Resurgence in Europe19:21 Closing Remarks and Future OutlookEurope investing; Europe macro; European equities; investing in Europe; capital-markets union; energy transition Europe; European fiscal policy; European banks; AI power demand; ECB rate cuts; BlackRock Investment Institute; European defense; valuation gap; competitiveness in EuropeSources: “What's needed for an investment renaissance in Europe?”, BlackRock Investment Institute, October 2025; NATO, August 2025; BlackRock Fundamental Equities analysis, September 2025; “Entering The Age of Electricity”, IEA Electricity Demand 2025;This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and Non-EEA countries, this is authorized and regulated by the FCA. In the EEA, it is authorized and regulated by the AFM. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
De hele week werd gesmacht naar de cijfers van Nvidia, want die zouden bewijzen: die AI-bubbel bestaat niet. Héél even leek het nog waar te zijn ook. Maar het sentiment sloeg snel om, en toen trok onze redder alle beurzen met zich mee omlaag, ondanks die mega goede cijfers. Ook op onze eigen AEX staan de chipaandelen lager. Waar het misging en hoe die onverklaarbare omslag nu te verklaren valt, bespreken we deze aflevering. Je hoort ook waarom defensie-aandelen vandaag weer fors lager staan en waarom een vredesplan van Donald Trump en Vladimir Poetin beleggers kennelijk meer overtuigd dan groeiprognoses van het Duitse Rheinmetall, het bedrijf dat het meest inlevert. Dan duiken we ook nog in de cijfers van gamereus Ubisoft en moeten we het nog eens hebben over het bedrijf achter oorwurm Baby Shark. Het bedrijf ging naar de beurs dinsdag en het aandeel won direct 60 procent aan waarde, maar daar is drie dagen later niks meer van over. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
De hele week werd gesmacht naar de cijfers van Nvidia, want die zouden bewijzen: die AI-bubbel bestaat niet. Héél even leek het nog waar te zijn ook. Maar het sentiment sloeg snel om, en toen trok onze redder alle beurzen met zich mee omlaag, ondanks die mega goede cijfers. Ook op onze eigen AEX staan de chipaandelen lager. Waar het misging en hoe die onverklaarbare omslag nu te verklaren valt, bespreken we deze aflevering. Je hoort ook waarom defensie-aandelen vandaag weer fors lager staan en waarom een vredesplan van Donald Trump en Vladimir Poetin beleggers kennelijk meer overtuigd dan groeiprognoses van het Duitse Rheinmetall, het bedrijf dat het meest inlevert. Dan duiken we ook nog in de cijfers van gamereus Ubisoft en moeten we het nog eens hebben over het bedrijf achter oorwurm Baby Shark. Het bedrijf ging naar de beurs dinsdag en het aandeel won direct 60 procent aan waarde, maar daar is drie dagen later niks meer van over. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On today's episode of the Sports Pundit Podcast, we're joined by Beth Barrett-Wild, Tournament Director ICC Women's T20 World Cup 2026 & Director of Women's Professional Game at the England Cricket (ECB).Beth has spent her career at the forefront of cricket's evolution, from her early years at MCC and the ECB, to now helping shape one of the most significant upcoming global moments in women's sport. Her work spans governance, competition management, and commercial growth, giving her a unique perspective on how to build both a world-class tournament and a sustainable future for the game.In this conversation, Beth reflects on her leadership journey, the structural changes underway in women's cricket, and how England can evolve its domestic pathways through initiatives like Project Darwin. She talks about Australia's decade-long dominance and what it means for competitive balance, the importance of storytelling, and cultural positioning in growing fandom, as well as how the World Cup can drive lasting impact for players, fans, and the sport itself.Timestamps02:30 - Beth's Cricket Journey: From MCC to ECB and the ICC10:00 - Talent Pathways and Project Darwin17:00 - Rethinking England's Domestic Structure22:00 - Australia's Dominance and the Challenge of Competitive Balance28:00 - Building a Compelling Global Product33:00 – Together or Separate: Positioning Women's Cricket38:00 - The Power of Storytelling and Player Narratives49:00 - Moving from Social Justice to Performance and Entertainment54:00 - Vision for the 2026 ICC Women's T20 World CupAbout The HostAndy Marston is the founder of Sports Pundit, a community and media platform for sports and technology executives. Through a weekly newsletter, podcast network, lively group chat, and regular social events, he shares industry analysis and connects leaders across the sector. Alongside Sports Pundit, Andy leads Corporate Venture at athlete-backed venture firm, The Players Fund, where he works with high-profile sports IP such as Como 1907 to design venture strategies and drive innovation initiatives. Connect on LinkedInAbout Sports PunditSports Pundit is a community-driven platform for executives working in sport, built around content, events, and conversation. Through its weekly newsletter, social channels, WhatsApp groups, and podcast network, it connects industry leaders across the globe.At the heart of the platform is the Sports Pundit Podcast Network, a multi-show lineup created for sports executives, by sports executives. The network features six domain-specific podcasts spanning innovation, marketing, finance, performance, and media, alongside a conversational companion show, The Pitch. Together, they deliver insider perspectives that live up to Sports Pundit's mission to be “The Voice of the Sports Industry.”Produced by OH SIXThe Sports Pundit Podcast is proudly produced by OH SIX, a content marketing agency specialising in producing digital and social-first content that connects. Trusted by Premier League clubs, F1 teams, and top brands, OH SIX deliver premium content end-to-end, from ideation, working with talent during production and platform specific content to reach audiences on screen.
October brought AI hype, digital euro déjà vu, and the shocking return of crypto — which means it was just another totally normal month in Nordic fintech.Pål, Ville, and Janne reunite to unpack the biggest stories from the Helsinki Fintech Farm newsletter. Spoiler: every startup is now an AI company. From automated compliance tools to AI-powered CFOs and even kiosks that buy your old phone via Swish — if it's got electricity, someone's calling it AI.Meanwhile, Klarna is back in the headlines with a new subscription model that makes Ville long for more gamified tiers, Pål rant about paying to breathe, and Janne quietly celebrate another strong month for dad jokes. The trio also tackle the ECB's digital euro saga — now entering its “we promise it's still happening” phase — and Nordea's cautious dip into crypto trading, which Ville swears has absolutely nothing to do with his day job.Your biweekly dose of fintech group therapy is here — complete with skepticism, sarcasm, and just enough substance to make it count. In other words: business as usual at Fintech Daydreaming.Episode hosted by Pål Krogdahl, Ville Sointu & Janne SalminenEpisode produced and edited by Fintech Daydreaming- Email us on Hello@FintechDaydreaming.com- Fintech Daydreaming home page - https://www.FintechDaydreaming.com- Fintech Daydreaming on Twitter - https://twitter.com/FintechDaydream- Fintech Daydreaming on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/fintech-daydreaming- Pål Krogdahl - https://www.linkedin.com/in/krogdahl/- Ville Sointu - https://www.linkedin.com/in/ville-sointu-54682b/
De hele week werd gesmacht naar de cijfers van Nvidia, want die zouden bewijzen: die AI-bubbel bestaat niet. Héél even leek het nog waar te zijn ook. Maar het sentiment sloeg snel om, en toen trok onze redder alle beurzen met zich mee omlaag, ondanks die mega goede cijfers. Ook op onze eigen AEX staan de chipaandelen lager. Waar het misging en hoe die onverklaarbare omslag nu te verklaren valt, bespreken we deze aflevering.
Het hoge woord is eruit, de cijfers waar iedereen op zat te wachten zijn er. Nvidia heeft een sport gemaakt van het overtreffen van verwachtingen. Omzet en winst zijn hoger dan beleggers en analisten hadden kunnen dromen. En ook de toekomst ziet er volgens Nvidia nog beter uit dat gedacht. Ter vergelijking: ze beweren dat de verkopen tien keer zo hoog gaan zijn als drie jaar geleden. Topman Jensen Huang maakt ook van de situatie gebruik om zich uit te laten over een AI-bubbel. Die ziet hij in ieder geval niet. Hij heeft inzicht in de aankomende groei van alle bedrijven die geld gaan verdienen aan kunstmatige intelligentie. En met hun groei zit het volgens Huang meer dan snor. Maar is Huang wel de juiste persoon om te beoordelen wat een bubbel is en wat niet? Dat hoor je in deze aflevering. We gaan dus uitgebreid in op de cijfers van Nvidia, en we vertellen je ook nog een spannend verhaal over ASML. Voormalig topman Peter Wennink zou hebben voorgesteld informatie van Chinese bedrijven door te spelen aan de Amerikanen, om zo geen exportrestricties op z'n dak te krijgen. En de chipmachinemaker zou een afspraak met de VS hebben geschonden over die exportrestricties.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Het hoge woord is eruit, de cijfers waar iedereen op zat te wachten zijn er. Nvidia heeft een sport gemaakt van het overtreffen van verwachtingen. Omzet en winst zijn hoger dan beleggers en analisten hadden kunnen dromen. En ook de toekomst ziet er volgens Nvidia nog beter uit dat gedacht. Ter vergelijking: ze beweren dat de verkopen tien keer zo hoog gaan zijn als drie jaar geleden. Topman Jensen Huang maakt ook van de situatie gebruik om zich uit te laten over een AI-bubbel. Die ziet hij in ieder geval niet. Hij heeft inzicht in de aankomende groei van alle bedrijven die geld gaan verdienen aan kunstmatige intelligentie. En met hun groei zit het volgens Huang meer dan snor. Maar is Huang wel de juiste persoon om te beoordelen wat een bubbel is en wat niet? Dat hoor je in deze aflevering. We gaan dus uitgebreid in op de cijfers van Nvidia, en we vertellen je ook nog een spannend verhaal over ASML. Voormalig topman Peter Wennink zou hebben voorgesteld informatie van Chinese bedrijven door te spelen aan de Amerikanen, om zo geen exportrestricties op z'n dak te krijgen. En de chipmachinemaker zou een afspraak met de VS hebben geschonden over die exportrestricties.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Het is officieel: ASML is het beurslievelingetje van Nederland geworden. Het stoot Shell van de troon als meest populaire aandeel in de beleggingsportefeuille. Onder de leus 'never sell Shell' maakte de oliereus in de afgelopen 25 jaar een koersstijging van precies nul procent door. Dus gaat het er bij ASML dan anders uitzien? Dat hoor je in deze aflevering. Dan hoor je ook of die portefeuille verder een beetje op orde is. En of Nederland Spaarland ook het archief in kan. Want voor het eerst hebben Nederlanders meer dan 200 miljard euro in hun beleggingen zitten. Verder hebben we het over Warner Bros Discovery. Dat gooit het verkoopbord wel heel duidelijk in de voortuin nu. Concurrent Paramount Skydance heeft al verschillende keren een bod gedaan op Warner Bros, maar liep telkens tegen een afwijzing aan. En nu laat Warner Bros weten dat ze een krabbel zetten als er een bod van meer dan 74 miljard dollar komt. Je hoort ook nog hoe de rijksten ter wereld nog meer geld weten te slaan uit hun goudstaven. En hoe Amazon met een ouderwetse truc probeert de markt van zelfrijdende taxi's te veroveren.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
IT'S ASHES WEEK. One of the biggest occasions of the sporting year is here, and with it we have a special show unlike any other we've done before. The Barmy Army is so influential it has made it into the Oxford Dictionary: to quote…it is a term for a group of passionate, noisy, and dedicated fans who support the English national cricket team, especially during overseas tours. For over 30 years, they've built incredible atmospheres by leveraging trumpets, original songs and bucket hats so fashionable they're found all over Glastonbury. But did you know behind this infamous group sits a hugely successful business, with a responsibility to bring the best experiences to the thousands of touring fans under their banner. Chris Millard is the man in charge of the Barmy Army, and in a 6 week period that will no doubt have them front and centre of sports news as 40,000 England fans descend on Australia, we thought it was the perfect time to take a look at the organisation that defines fandom and community. This is a side of the Barmy Army you will not have seen before.It's time to build the hype for as we enter the ultimate cricketing Christmas. We're delighted to welcome Chris to the Business of SportTimestamps:00:00 Intro03:22 What the Barmy Army Has Planned for the Ashes09:20 What the Barmy Army Is Today12:15 The Revenue Streams14:41 How Bazball Has Boosted Test Cricket Demand16:39 How Touring Groups Collaborate in Cricket23:39 Did Commercial Growth Threaten the Barmy Army's Values?27:07 How Barmy Army Merch & Licensing Works31:14 How Fan Culture Can Help Strengthen County Cricket34:20 Why Test Cricket Survives Only in a Few Nations37:52 How Packed Calendars Impact Player Welfare43:08 How Iconic Grounds Were Left Off the Ashes List46:03 Predicting the Ashes Outcome51:43 The Long-Term Vision for the Barmy Army BusinessOn today's show we discuss: The Business Behind the Barmy Army:How a grassroots fan group founded in 1994 has grown into a multimillion-pound sports business.Why the Barmy Army now operates with full-time staff, global partnerships, and a sophisticated travel, merchandise, and events model.The operational challenge of managing over 3,500 official tourists, and more than 40,000 fans, on a single Ashes tour.How it evolved from a group of England fans into a global movement with over two million social followers.Partnerships & Governance in Cricket:Inside the economics of a modern fan brand. From travel packages to apparel, partnerships, and social media monetisation.How collaborations with TNT Sports, retro kit lines, and bespoke tour collections have turned the Barmy Army into a fashion and lifestyle label as much as a supporters' group.The Barmy Army's evolving relationship with the ECB, from being seen as a rival to becoming an ally and trusted partner.How the group now collaborates with governing bodies across the world to influence tour schedules, ticketing, and fan logistics.Test Cricket, Tourism & the Global Game:Why the Barmy Army believes Test cricket is still the sport's heartbeat and how their tours generate up to $750 million in host-country impact.The critical link between tourism, culture, and cricket's survival, from Barbados to the Ashes.The fight to preserve the long-form game amid scheduling chaos and private league dominance.The obstacles of perception, access, and tradition when expanding into new territories.Why the future of fandom will be driven by authenticity, emotion, and the fans who live the game, not the corporations who sell it.
Het is officieel: ASML is het beurslievelingetje van Nederland geworden. Het stoot Shell van de troon als meest populaire aandeel in de beleggingsportefeuille. Onder de leus 'never sell Shell' maakte de oliereus in de afgelopen 25 jaar een koersstijging van precies nul procent door. Dus gaat het er bij ASML dan anders uitzien? Dat hoor je in deze aflevering. Dan hoor je ook of die portefeuille verder een beetje op orde is. En of Nederland Spaarland ook het archief in kan. Want voor het eerst hebben Nederlanders meer dan 200 miljard euro in hun beleggingen zitten. Verder hebben we het over Warner Bros Discovery. Dat gooit het verkoopbord wel heel duidelijk in de voortuin nu. Concurrent Paramount Skydance heeft al verschillende keren een bod gedaan op Warner Bros, maar liep telkens tegen een afwijzing aan. En nu laat Warner Bros weten dat ze een krabbel zetten als er een bod van meer dan 74 miljard dollar komt. Je hoort ook nog hoe de rijksten ter wereld nog meer geld weten te slaan uit hun goudstaven. En hoe Amazon met een ouderwetse truc probeert de markt van zelfrijdende taxi's te veroveren.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
APAC stocks extended losses throughout the session following a similar lead from Wall Street, which had seen heavy losses on Monday. Overall newsflow in APAC hours was quiet, although tech stocks were among the laggards in the region.DXY traded flat for most of the session and eventually drifted lower before dipping under 99.50 despite quiet newsflow, but as haven FX (JPY and CHF) gained amid risk aversion. JGB futures saw limited movement at the short end while the long end continued to weaken, pushing the 20-year yield to its highest level since July 1999. Bitcoin saw deep losses and eventually fell under the USD 90,000 mark to levels last seen in April, whilst Ethereum fell under USD 3,000.European equity futures are indicative of a lower cash open, with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down 1.1% after cash closed 0.9% lower on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Weekly Estimate, US Factory Orders (Aug), US Durable Goods (Aug), and Japanese Trade Balance. Speakers include ECB's Elderson; BoE's Pill, Dhingra; Fed's Barr, Barkin. Earnings include Home Depot, Baidu, Medtronic, PDD; Imperial Brands, Diploma.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
En de verkopen exploderen. Vijf keer zo veel denken ze te gaan verkopen in de komende vijf jaar. Waar ze afgelopen jaar nog voor 10 miljard euro aan bommen en tanks verkochten, ziet het Duitse defensiebedrijf Rheinmetall dat in 2030 toenemen naar 50 miljard euro. En daarbij gaan ze uit van een aantal scenario's, die niet mals zijn. En die ook nog eens opgesteld zijn in samenwerking met geheime diensten. Wat die zijn en wat dat voor defensie-aandelen betekent, hoor je in deze aflevering. Verder zwaaien we alwéér een AEX-bedrijf uit. AkzoNobel heeft een fusiepartner gevonden in het Amerikaanse Axalta. Samen worden ze een verf- en coatingbedrijf van zo'n 17 miljard dollar. En op termijn moet het dan ook gedaan zijn met de notering in Amsterdam. We zoeken voor je uit of je AkzoNobel straks moet gaan missen. En je hoort over de topman van Google. Zelfs hij heeft het over een mogelijke AI-bubbel. En hij heeft een onheilspellende boodschap. Als die bubbel knapt, gaat iedereen dat voelen. Maar hij vindt al die miljardeninvesteringen dan wel weer geheel terecht.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
En de verkopen exploderen. Vijf keer zo veel denken ze te gaan verkopen in de komende vijf jaar. Waar ze afgelopen jaar nog voor 10 miljard euro aan bommen en tanks verkochten, ziet het Duitse defensiebedrijf Rheinmetall dat in 2030 toenemen naar 50 miljard euro. En daarbij gaan ze uit van een aantal scenario's, die niet mals zijn. En die ook nog eens opgesteld zijn in samenwerking met geheime diensten. Wat die zijn en wat dat voor defensie-aandelen betekent, hoor je in deze aflevering. Verder zwaaien we alwéér een AEX-bedrijf uit. AkzoNobel heeft een fusiepartner gevonden in het Amerikaanse Axalta. Samen worden ze een verf- en coatingbedrijf van zo'n 17 miljard dollar. En op termijn moet het dan ook gedaan zijn met de notering in Amsterdam. We zoeken voor je uit of je AkzoNobel straks moet gaan missen. En je hoort over de topman van Google. Zelfs hij heeft het over een mogelijke AI-bubbel. En hij heeft een onheilspellende boodschap. Als die bubbel knapt, gaat iedereen dat voelen. Maar hij vindt al die miljardeninvesteringen dan wel weer geheel terecht.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In the first of a two-part episode presenting our 2026 outlooks, Chief Global Cross-Asset Strategist Serena Tang has Chief Global Economist Seth Carpenter explain his thoughts on how economies around the world are expected to perform and how central banks may respond.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Serena Tang: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Serena Tang, Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Cross-Asset Strategist. Seth Carpenter: And I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Global Chief Economist. Serena Tang: So today and tomorrow, a two-part conversation on Morgan Stanley's year ahead outlook. Today, we'll focus on the all-important macroeconomic backdrop. And tomorrow, we'll be back with our views on investing across asset classes and markets. Serena Tang: It's Monday, November 17th at 10am in New York. So, Seth, 2025 has been a year of transition. Global growth slowed under the weight of tariffs and policy uncertainty. Yet resilience in consumer spending and AI driven investments kept recession fears at bay. Your team has published its economic outlook for 2026. So, what's your view on global growth for the year ahead? Seth Carpenter: We really think next year is going to be the global economy slowing down a little bit more just like it did this year, settling into a slower growth rate. But at the same time, we think inflation is going to keep drifting down in most of the world. Now that anodyne view, though, masks some heterogeneity around the world; and importantly, some real uncertainty about different ways things could possibly go. Here in the U.S., we think there is more slowing to come in the near term, especially the fourth quarter of this year and the beginning of next year. But once the economy works its way through the tariffs, maybe some of the lagged effects of monetary policy, we'll start to see things pick up a bit in the second half of the year. China's a different story. We see the really tepid growth there pushed down by the deflationary spiral they've been in. We think that continues for next year, and so they're probably not quite going to get to their 5 percent growth target. And in Europe, there's this push and pull of fiscal policy across the continent. There's a central bank that thinks they've achieved their job in terms of inflation, but overall, we think growth there is, kind of, unremarkable, a little bit over 1 percent. Not bad, but nothing to write home about at all. So that's where we think things are going in general. But I have to say next year, may well be a year for surprises. Serena Tang: Right. So where do you see the biggest drivers of global growth in 2026, and what are some of the key downside risks? Seth Carpenter: That's a great question. I really do think that the U.S. is going to be a real key driver of the story here. And in fact – and maybe we'll talk about this later – if we're wrong, there's some upside scenarios, there's some downside scenarios. But most of them around the world are going to come from the U.S. Two things are going on right now in the U.S. We've had strong spending data. We've also had very, very weak employment data. That usually doesn't last for very long. And so that's why we think in the near term there's some slowdown in the U.S. and then over time things recover. We could be wrong in either direction. And so, if we're wrong and the labor market sending the real signal, then the downside risk to the U.S. economy – and by extension the global economy – really is a recession in the U.S. Now, given the starting point, given how low unemployment is, given the spending businesses are doing for AI, if we did get that recession, it would be mild. On the other hand, like I said, spending is strong. Business spending, especially CapEx for AI; household spending, especially at the top end of the income distribution where wealth is rising from stocks, where the liability side of the balance sheet is insulated with fixed rate mortgages. That spending could just stay strong, and we might see this upside surprise where the spending really dominates the scene. And again, that would spill over for the rest of the world. What I don't see is a lot of reason to suspect that you're going to get a big breakout next year to the upside or the downside from either Europe or China, relative to our baseline scenarios. It could happen, but I really think most of the story is going to be driven in the U.S. Serena Tang: So, Seth, markets have been focused on the Fed, as it should. What is the likely path in 2026 and how are you thinking about central bank policy in general in other regions? Seth Carpenter: Absolutely. The Fed is always of central importance to most people in markets. Our view – and the market's view, I have to say, has been evolving here. Our view is that the Fed's actually got a few more rate cuts to get through, and that by the time we get to the middle of next year, the middle of 2026, they're going to have their policy rate down just a little bit above 3 percent. So roughly where the committee thinks neutral is. Why do we think that? I think the slowing in the labor market that we talked about before, we think there's something kind of durable there. And now that the government shutdown has ended and we're going to start to get regular data prints again, we think the data are going to show that job creation has been below 50,000 per month on average, and maybe even a few of them are going to get to be negative over the next several months. In that situation, we think the Fed's going to get more inclination to guard against further deterioration in the labor market by keeping cutting rates and making sure that the central bank is not putting any restraint on the economy. That's similar, I would say, to a lot of other developed markets' central banks. But the tension for the ECB, for example, is that President Lagarde has said she thinks; she thinks the disinflationary process is over. She thinks sitting at 2 percent for the policy rate, which the ECB thinks of as neutral, then that's the right place for them to be. Our take though is that the data are going to push them in a different direction. We think there is clearly growth in Europe, but we think it's tepid. And as a result, the disinflationary process has really still got some more room to run and that inflation will undershoot their 2 percent target, and as a result, the ECB is probably going to cut again. And in our view, down to about 1.5 percent. Big difference is in Japan. Japan is the developed market central bank that's hiking. Now, when does that happen? Our best guess is next month in December at the policy meeting. We've seen this shift towards reflation. It hasn't been smooth, hasn't been perfectly linear. But the BoJ looks like they're set to raise rates again in December. But the path for inflation is going to be a bit rocky, and so, they're probably on hold for most of 2026. But we do think eventually, maybe not till 2027, they get back to hiking again – so that Governor Ueda can get the policy rate back close to neutral before he steps down. Serena Tang: So, one of the main investor debates is on AI. Whether it's CapEx, productivity, the future of work. How is that factoring into your team's view on growth and inflation for the next year? Seth Carpenter: Yeah, I mean that is absolutely a key question that we get all the time from investors around the world. When I think about AI and how it's affecting the economy, I think about the demand side of the economy, and that's where you think about this CapEx spending – building data centers, buying semiconductors, that sort of thing. That's demand in the economy. It's using up current resources in the economy, and it's got to be somewhat inflationary. It's part of what has kept the U.S. economy buoyant and resilient this year – is that CapEx spending. Now you also mentioned productivity, and for me, that's on the supply side of the economy. That's after the technology is in place. After firms have started to adopt the technology, they're able to produce either the same amount with fewer workers, or they're able to produce more with the same amount of workers. Either way, that's what productivity means, and it's on the supply side. It can mean faster growth and less inflation. I think where we are for 2026, and it's important that we focus it on the near term, is the demand side is much more important than the supply side. So, we think growth continues. It's supported by this business investment spending. But we still think inflation ends 2026, notably above the Fed's inflation target. And it's going to make five, five and a half years that we've been above target. Productivity should kick in. And we've written down something close to a quarter percentage point of extra productivity growth for 2026, but not enough to really be super disinflationary. We think that builds over time, probably takes a couple of years. And for example, if we think about some of the announcements about these data centers that are being built, where they're really going to unleash the potential of AI, those aren't going to be completed for a couple of years anyway. So, I think for now, AI is dominating the demand side of the economy. Over the next few years, it's going to be a real boost to the supply side of the economy. Serena Tang: So that makes a lot of sense to me, Seth. But can you put those into numbers? Seth Carpenter: Sure, Serena totally. In numbers, that's about 3 percent growth. A little bit more than that for global GDP growth on like a Q4-over-Q4 basis. But for the U.S. in particular, we've got about 1.75 percent. So that's not appreciably different from what we're looking for this year in 2025. But the number really, kind of, masks the evolution over time. We think the front part of the year is going to be much weaker. And only once we get into the second half of next year will things start to pick up. That said, compared to where we were when we did the midyear outlook, it's actually a notable upgrade. We've taken real signal from the fact that business spending, household spending have both been stronger than we think. And we've tried to add in just a little bit more in terms of productivity growth from AI. Layer on top of that, the Fed who's been clearly willing to start to ease interest rates sooner than we thought at the time of the mid-year outlook – all comes together for a little bit better outlook for growth for 2026 in the U.S. Serena Tang: Seth thanks so much for taking the time to talk. Seth Carpenter: Serena, it is always my pleasure to get to talk to you. Serena Tang: And thanks for listening. Please be sure to tune into the second half of our conversation tomorrow to hear how we're thinking about investment strategy in the year ahead. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.
This week, host Richard Graves sits down with Charlie Binns, Lead Nutritionist for the England men's cricket team, fresh from Perth as preparations ramp up for the Ashes. Charlie lifts the lid on what elite fuelling actually looks like across five-day Tests, why recovery is an arms race, and how his team builds simple, repeatable habits the players will actually use, from colour-coded carb periodisation to the humble banana bread on the snack table. He also shares the months of behind-the-scenes logistics you never see: venue-by-venue menus for lunch, tea and post-match; shipping batch-tested supplements across the world; and how day–night “pink ball” Tests flip the entire eating schedule on its head. Expect practical insights, no fluff, and a proper appreciation for just how physically brutal modern cricket really is. What you'll learn from the episode * Cricket's true physical demands: why a Test bowler can cover ~50 km across a match and repeatedly absorb ~8× bodyweight through the front leg, and what that means for fuelling and recovery. * Tour prep, six months out: coordinating stadium caterers, training-day menus, and freighted, batch-tested supplements, plus how strategies are trialled at home before heading overseas. * Match-day fuelling made usable: the role of lunch, tea and all-day snack stations; when to use liquids vs solids; and why simple, high-carb options (wraps, bagels, flapjacks, banana bread) win. * Carbohydrate periodisation in practice: using colour-coded days to align intake with bowling/fielding workloads, then ramping to a high-carb taper before the first ball. * Refuel like a pro: stacking recovery windows, shakes on the final whistle, high-carb changeroom options, team-room snacks, and evening meals, to reduce soreness and restore glycogen for day two (and three). * Day–night Test adjustments: how pink-ball timings shift pre-match, “lunch”, “tea” and sleep hygiene, and the tweaks Charlie makes to keep players alert without compromising recovery. * Communication that sticks: nudging over lecturing, tailoring to individual preferences, and equipping S&C staff to deliver on-ground during play. About Charlie Binns Charlie Binns (BSc, MSc, SENr, UKAD, ISAK) is the Lead Nutritionist for the England & Wales Cricket Board's men's team. He joined the ECB setup after roles across elite rugby and football, including First-Team / Senior Men's Nutritionist at Tottenham Hotspur and consultancy with Birmingham City FC. He also founded CMB Performance & Nutrition, serving athletes and organisations from academy to international level. Charlie's academic route began with a First-Class BSc in Sport & Exercise Nutrition at Leeds Trinity University, followed by an MSc in Applied Sports Nutrition at St Mary's University, Twickenham. He is SENr-registered, UKAD-accredited, and ISAK L1 certified. Before moving into cricket full-time, Charlie built experience in multiple environments to broaden his practice, from Richmond Rugby during his Master's to league and academy football, a deliberate multi-sport grounding he still credits for his applied approach in cricket. Within England Cricket's performance team, Charlie's remit spans: Tour logistics & catering coordination across venues (training, lunch, tea, post-match menus). Carb periodisation frameworks aligned to bowling/fielding loads and match phases. Recovery protocols (e.g., immediate shakes, tart cherry, staged refuelling) to hit repeat high-output days. He's been part of touring groups across the subcontinent, South Africa and Australia, and has supported senior and Lions squads in major series and tournaments. Media reporting has highlighted his role in individualising fuelling targets for players during high-demand campaigns. Outside the ECB, Charlie has hosted CPD for nutritionists across the county game and continues to contribute to practitioner development within cricket.
US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the China rare-earths deal will “hopefully” be done by Thanksgiving, according to Fox News.US President Trump said he does not think more tariff rollbacks will be necessary; he said top US officials spoke with their Chinese counterparts on Friday and that he is speaking to China about soybeans, according to Reuters.Apple (AAPL) has intensified succession planning for CEO Tim Cook and is preparing for him to step down as soon as next year, according to the FT.APAC stocks traded mostly lower after the mixed lead from Wall Street; European equity futures are indicative of an uneventful open with Euro Stoxx 50 future U/C after cash closed -0.9% on Friday.Bitcoin briefly erased all 2025 gains, falling to near USD 93k as crypto markets suffered over the weekend.Looking ahead, highlights include US NY Fed Manufacturing, Canadian CPI. Speakers include Fed's Williams, Jefferson, Kashkari, Waller; ECB's Lane, Villeroy, de Guindos, Cipollone; BoE's Mann; BoC's KozickiClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
European bourses initially opened flat, but have since slipped into the red; US equity futures are mixed.DXY is slightly firmer, whilst Antipodeans slip as the risk tone deteriorates a touch.Bonds are firmer amid the softer European tone but largely awaiting a packed speakers docket, and data later this week.Crude complex started the session in the red, but has since reversed on geopolitical updates; XAU marginally subdued.Looking ahead, highlights include US NY Fed Manufacturing, Construction Spending, Canadian CPI. Speakers include Fed's Williams, Jefferson, Kashkari, Waller; ECB's Cipollone; BoE's Mann; BoC's Kozicki.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Na 14 jaar is het wel mooi geweest voor Tim Cook. Volgens de Financial Times is de zoektocht naar zijn opvolger als CEO van Apple van start. Geen ruzie, of grote fout. Cook is gewoon op pensioengerechtigde leeftijd, en kan dus van zijn verdiensten gaan genieten. Het levert wel een probleem op, want wie oh wie moet in die grote schoenen van hem gaan staan? En wat betekent die keuze voor de toekomst van Apple? Dat bespreken we deze aflevering. Verder hebben we het over de man die al lang met pensioen had moeten zijn, maar dat eindelijk binnenkort maar eens gaat doen. Warren Buffett zat jarenlang op een geldberg van honderden miljarden dollars, maar geeft nu toch weer wat ervan uit. Zijn Berkshire Hathaway steekt een slordige 5 miljard dollar in Alphabet, het moederbedrijf van Google. En dat terwijl het aandeel Alphabet al een enorme stijging achter de rug heeft. Ook hoor je over tech-investeerder Peter Thiel. Die verkoopt juist zijn grootste belang. Gaat om zijn investering in Nvidia. Dat komt woensdag met de kwartaalcijfers, maar daar gaat Thiel niet op wachten. En we vertellen je over Trump die op de knietjes gaat. Hij geeft toe: zijn importheffingen zorgen voor enorme inflatie.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week:Syd gets on board the WBBL Cane TrainThe importance of the ICC's Emerging Nations TrophyWhy can't England play in-swing?Who will make their England debut in the next 12 months?Raf reviews the ECB's latest Equity Report
Na 14 jaar is het wel mooi geweest voor Tim Cook. Volgens de Financial Times is de zoektocht naar zijn opvolger als CEO van Apple van start. Geen ruzie, of grote fout. Cook is gewoon op pensioengerechtigde leeftijd, en kan dus van zijn verdiensten gaan genieten. Het levert wel een probleem op, want wie oh wie moet in die grote schoenen van hem gaan staan? En wat betekent die keuze voor de toekomst van Apple? Dat bespreken we deze aflevering. Verder hebben we het over de man die al lang met pensioen had moeten zijn, maar dat eindelijk binnenkort maar eens gaat doen. Warren Buffett zat jarenlang op een geldberg van honderden miljarden dollars, maar geeft nu toch weer wat ervan uit. Zijn Berkshire Hathaway steekt een slordige 5 miljard dollar in Alphabet, het moederbedrijf van Google. En dat terwijl het aandeel Alphabet al een enorme stijging achter de rug heeft. Ook hoor je over tech-investeerder Peter Thiel. Die verkoopt juist zijn grootste belang. Gaat om zijn investering in Nvidia. Dat komt woensdag met de kwartaalcijfers, maar daar gaat Thiel niet op wachten. En we vertellen je over Trump die op de knietjes gaat. Hij geeft toe: zijn importheffingen zorgen voor enorme inflatie.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Katya Witney chats to former England head coach Mark Robinson about winning the World Cup in 2017, his toughest selection calls, how coaching a women's side changed his perspective on the game and much more. 0:00 Metro Bank / 0:37 Intro / 1:05 Mark Robinson interview / 57:22 Outro The Metro Bank Girls in Cricket Fund in collaboration with the ECB aims to triple the number of girls' cricket teams by breaking down barriers and creating supportive and inclusive spaces. Help transform the game, head to https://www.metrobankonline.co.uk/cricket/ to champion the future of girls' cricket.
European equities opened broadly lower, with all major indices in the red as sentiment soured following weakness in APAC trade; FTSE 100 lags.US equity futures are weaker across the board in pre-market trade as Tech continues to lag on valuation concerns. GBP/USD is in focus this session following reports that Chancellor Reeves has scrapped plans for an income tax rate hike, a move seen as increasing fiscal risks ahead of the November 26th budget.Gilts experienced a volatile session, with the benchmark plunging from 93.37 to 92.07, but has since rebounded modestly on reports around UK forecasts.UKMTO notes of incident off the coast of UAE's Khor Fakkan [near the Strait of Hormuz], believed to be state activity; Vessel is transiting towards Iranian territorial waters.Looking ahead, speakers include ECBʼs Cipollone & Lane, Fedʼs Bostic, Schmid & Logan. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks were pressured following the sell-off stateside, where tech was hit on valuation and China AI race concerns, while sentiment was also not helped by recent hawkish-leaning Fed rhetoric and mixed Chinese activity data.Chinese activity data was mixed, in which Industrial Production disappointed and Retail Sales marginally topped estimates, but both showed a slowdown from the previous, while Chinese House Prices continued to contract.US BLS said it is working on a plan to release the delayed data and stated, "We appreciate your patience while we work to get this information out ASAP, as it may take time to fully assess the situation and finalise revised release dates", according to WSJ.UK PM Starmer and Chancellor Reeves reportedly ditched budget plans to increase income tax rates, according to FT.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.8% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Wholesale Price Index (Oct), French/Spanish CPI Final (Oct), EU Trade Balance (Sep), EU GDP Flash Estimate (Q3), Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Elderson & Lane, Fed's Bostic, Schmid & Logan, Earnings from Swiss Re, Allianz & Siemens Energy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Een derde van de waarde is verloren gegaan sinds de piek van het aandeel Oracle in september. Toen explodeerde de koers nog na een deal met OpenAI. Dat ging voor 300 miljard dollar aan clouddiensten afnemen, en daar waren beleggers nogal blij mee. Maar in de afgelopen weken lijken ze van gedachten veranderd. Er is wat twijfel geweest over de hoge waarderingen van techaandelen, er is wat gesnoeid in die waarderingen ook. En Oracle komt er niet best uit: die daalt het hardst van allemaal. Zijn ze de enige, of de eerste die het te verduren krijgen? Het antwoord op die vraag hoor je in deze aflevering. Verder hebben we het ook over het dubbele afscheid van de week. Warren Buffett schreef een afscheidsbrief, en de beruchte Michael Burry sluit de deuren van zijn investeringsfonds. We vertellen je welke lessen je van deze 2 gurus moet onthouden. Je hoort over de eerste kwartaalcijfers van CVC Capital sinds hun intrede in de AEX. Die eerste paar maanden zijn niet fantastisch geweest. Het aandeel lijkt dit jaar alleen maar te kunnen verliezen. Terwijl CVC zelf juist nog nooit zo veel geld binnenharkte. En we hebben ook nog twee sappige verhalen voor je. Want twee grote klanten van Nvidia blijken keihard te lobbyen voor wetgeving die Nvidia liever niet van kracht ziet worden. En bij Aston Martin blijkt de bestuursvoorzitter op eigen houtje gesprekken te voeren om het bedrijf van de beurs te laten halen.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
US President Trump signed the government funding bill and announced an end to the government shutdown after the House voted to approve the bill, while Trump said the government will resume normal operations and reiterated a call for money to be paid to people directly to buy healthcare.White House Press Secretary Leavitt said the October CPI and jobs data is likely to never be released, while it was separately reported that there was no official word from BLS on plans for October data.US officials flagged they will reduce tariffs on popular groceries, as pressure mounts to address the cost-of-living crisis, according to FT.APAC stocks followed suit to the mixed performance in the US, with little fresh catalysts as the government shutdown ended.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.4% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.1% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP (Sep/Q3), EZ Industrial Production (Sep), US Cleveland Fed (Oct), New Zealand Manufacturing PMI (Nov), IEA OMR, BoE Minutes of the Market Participants Group Meeting, Speakers including BoE's Greene, Fed's Daly, Kashkari, Musalem & Hammack, ECB's Elderson, SNB's Tschudin & Moser, Supply from Italy & US, Earnings from Zealand Pharma, B&M European, Burberry, Siemens, Sabadell, Applied Materials, Disney, JD com & Bilibili.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
European stocks opened mixed and traded choppily since, with macro drivers light; FTSE 100 is subdued post-GDP.DXY drifted lower in early Europe after holding steady overnight, with little reaction to the passage and signing of the US funding bill that formally ends the shutdown.USTs opened softer as risk appetite improved overnight following the House vote to end the shutdown and President Trump signing the legislation.Crude benchmarks are steady after Wednesday's slide, spot gold rises on a softer USD, and base metals extend on Wednesday's gains.Looking ahead, highlights include US Cleveland Fed (Oct), New Zealand Manufacturing PMI (Nov). Speakers include BoE's Greene, Fed's Daly, Kashkari, Musalem & Hammack, ECB's Elderson, SNB's Tschudin & Moser, Supply from the US. Earnings from Applied Materials, Disney.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
39 procent. Dat is hoeveel winstgroei Disney ziet bij hun streamingafdeling. 12,5 miljoen mensen kozen afgelopen kwartaal voor een abonnement op Disney+ of Hulu. Ook bij de afdeling die over de pretparken, de cruisereizen en de merchandise gaat is het feest. Dus deelt Disney cadeautjes uit. Meer aandeleninkoop, en meer dividend. Maar toch zijn beleggers niet tevreden. Die zien vooral een terugloop in advertentie-inkomsten bij de tv-kanalen. Zijn beleggers verwend? Dat vragen we ons deze aflevering af. Dan gaat het ook over modehuis Burberry. Dat heeft eindelijk de smaak weer te pakken. Sinds de pandemie verschraalden de verkopen in China, maar er is weer sprake van groei! Maar is dat te danken aan de nieuwe strategie van Burberry, of hebben ze gewoon weer de wind in de rug in de hele sector? En je hoort over de zorgen van de Autoriteit Financiële Markten. Die ziet 'grote, complexe en ondoorzichtige risico's' door de enorme invloed van techbedrijven op die markten. En tot slot nog een prettig bericht, want je hoeft voorlopig het woord 'shutdown' niet meer te horen. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
US House to vote on a bill which could end the shutdown and keep the government funded through January 2026.European bourses are broadly firmer and continue to make highs, US equity futures also gain with the RTY (+1%) outperforming.USD is firmer ahead of a slew of Fed speakers, GBP pressured on political uncertainty; JPY lags.Global bonds are softer given the risk tone, Gilts lag with PM Starmer pressured into PMQs.Crude benchmarks pull back after Tuesday's gains, XAU remains rangebound.Looking ahead, highlights include BoC Minutes (Oct), EIA STEO, OPEC MOMR, Speakers including ECB's de Guindos, Fed's Paulson, Bostic, Williams, Waller, Miran, Collins; US Treasury Secretary Bessent. Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks traded mixed with the region indecisive amid light fresh catalysts and as participants digested earnings.House Democratic caucus will meet at noon Wednesday in Washington, according to Punchbowl's ShermanUK's Downing Street has launched an extraordinary operation to protect UK PM Starmer amid fears among the PM's closest allies that he is vulnerable to a leadership challenge in the wake of the Budget, according to The Guardian's Crerar.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.1% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI Final (Oct), Italian Industrial Output (Sep), BoC Minutes (Oct), EIA STEO, OPEC MOMR, Speakers including ECB's Schnabel & de Guindos, Fed's Paulson, Bostic, Williams, Barr, Waller, Miran, Collins; US Treasury Secretary Bessent. Supply from Germany & US, Earnings from E On, Bayer, Infineon, ABN AMRO, Cisco & On.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Een paar maanden geleden was het nog ABN Amro zelf die op de snijtafel lag. Het Belgische KBC zou het willen overnemen. Maar nu zijn de rollen omgedraaid, en is ABN degene die het opslokken doet. Voor een kleine miljard euro nemen ze het Haagse NIBC over van eigenaar Blackstone. Een kans om ABN Amro sterker te maken in de Nederlandse markt. En zeker geen beschermingsconstructie tegen een mogelijke overname door KBC, zegt topvrouw Marguerite Bérard. Maar of ze de waarheid spreekt? Dat zoeken we deze aflevering uit. We hebben het ook over de S&P 500. Die heeft voorlopig z'n beste jaren wel even gehad, denkt zakenbank Goldman Sachs. Ze denken dat de Amerikaanse index een mager decennium tegemoet gaat, met maar zo'n 6 procent stijging per jaar. Daarmee zou de VS bij de slechtst presterende regio's horen. Verder hoor je over het volgende topdiner in het Witte Huis. Daar komen hoge piefen van Wall Street langs bij Donald Trump om te luisteren naar wat zijn wensen zijn. En we vertellen je over een topman die al naar die wensen heeft geluisterd, en daarom met radicale eisen voor zijn eigen leveranciers komt.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
De inflatie bleef in oktober met 3,1 procent op jaarbasis ruim boven de doelstelling van rond de 2 procent. Volgens Bas Jacobs, hoogleraar economie en overheidsfinanciën aan de Vrije Universiteit, spelen de uitgaven van onze overheid daar een belangrijke rol in. ‘De Nederlandse overheid geeft eigenlijk veel te veel gas met de begroting.’ Ook gekeken naar de politieke partijen die bezig zijn met ‘elkaar besnuffelen’ in de formatie, ziet Jacobs dat de meeste partijen ook in een komende regeerperiode van plan zijn om flink te blijven besteden. Met als gevolg dus een aanhoudend te hoge inflatie in Nederland. ‘De remweg van inflatie is heel lang, de lonen blijven lang hoog. Dat betekent ook dat op dit moment het monetaire beleid van de ECB voor Nederland te ruim is.’ Het monetaire beleid van de Europese centrale bank is gericht op het gemiddelde van de Eurozone, en daar daalt de inflatie op dit moment richting de 2 procent. ‘Dat betekent dat we in Nederland eigenlijk krapper moeten gaan begroten, en dat zie ik vooralsnog niet gebeuren’, aldus Jacobs. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode of AIB Market Talk, host Joanne McCabe from AIB's Customer Treasury Services team is joined by Senior Economist John Fahey to unpack the latest developments in global financial markets.Tune in as they discuss:The outcomes of recent ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve meetings, including policy decisions and market surprises.Why the ECB remains steady, the Fed delivered a rate cut but with less dovish guidance, and the Bank of England signals a possible cut in December.The impact of the US government shutdown on monetary policy and market data, and how its resolution could influence the Fed's next move.Currency market trends, with a focus on the US dollar's renewed momentum, euro-dollar forecasts, and the factors shaping sterling's outlook ahead of the UK budget.Insights into interest rate expectations for the eurozone, US, UK, and Japan, and what these mean for investors and businesses as we approach year-end.Whether you're a business leader, investor, or simply keen to stay informed, this episode delivers expert analysis on the forces driving today's markets. Subscribe to AIB Market Talk for regular updates and insights from AIB's team of specialists.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
This is a special episode of Other People's Money is our regular series on sports investment which was recorded recently in front of an invited audience at the London headquarters of EY, the Big Four accounting and professional services group. Joining Richard and regular OPM co-host Matt Rogan were John Fallon and Vikram Banerjee.John Fallon was CEO of publishing giant Pearson during the white heat of digital transformation. His book Resurgent is an essential counter balance to the cliches that gather around the much discussed topic of disruption.Vikram Banerjee is managing director of The Hundred, and previously led the strategy, insights and business operations functions at the England and Wales Cricket Board. A former professional cricketer, he has played a key role in setting the strategic direction for the sport, including the creation of the ECB's strategy for cricket – Inspiring Generations – and the South Asian Action Plan, which was launched in 2018. The other voices you'll hear include questions from our audience including Alan Noble and Sarah Hanks, our hosts at EY, plus Gessica Howarth of Sphera Partners.Unofficial Partner is the leading podcast for the business of sport. A mix of entertaining and thought provoking conversations with a who's who of the global industry. To join our community of listeners, sign up to the weekly UP Newsletter and follow us on Twitter and TikTok at @UnofficialPartnerWe publish two podcasts each week, on Tuesday and Friday. These are deep conversations with smart people from inside and outside sport. Our entire back catalogue of 400 sports business conversations are available free of charge here. Each pod is available by searching for ‘Unofficial Partner' on Apple, Spotify, Google, Stitcher and every podcast app. If you're interested in collaborating with Unofficial Partner to create one-off podcasts or series, you can reach us via the website.
APAC stocks were mostly subdued with the region failing to sustain the positive global risk momentum that had been spurred by US-China trade optimism and US government reopening hopes, while there were few fresh catalysts overnight to fuel the recent rally.US Senate voted 60 vs. 40 to pass legislation to fund the federal government and end the shutdown, while the bill now goes to the House.US House Speaker Johnson is seeking a Wednesday vote on the stopgap bill, and won't commit to an ACA subsidy vote.China is reportedly devising a plan to keep the US military from getting its rare earth magnets and is considering a ‘validated end-user' system to fast-track certain export licenses, according to WSJ.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.4% after the cash market finished with gains of 1.8% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Unemployment/Wages (Sep), EZ & German ZEW (Nov), US NFIB (Oct), Weekly Prelim Estimate ADP, Riksbank Minutes, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, BoE's Greene & Dhingra, RBA's Jones, Supply from Netherlands, Earnings from Porsche SE, RWE & Alcon. Holidays: US Veterans' Day; Canadian Remembrance DayRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Meer winst en meer omzet. Met die belofte trapte Adyen de beleggersdag vrolijk af. De marges gaan oplopen, tot boven de 55 procent zeggen ze zelf. Beleggers krijgen het kwijl in de mond ervan. En Adyen ziet ook nog eens een buitenkansje: ze kunnen een van de grootste jongens in hun sector worden. Wat daarvoor nodig is, en wat er gebeurt als Adyen die doelen een keer niet haalt, dat hoor je in deze aflevering. Verder gaat het over datacenterbouwer CoreWeave. Dat verlaagt juist de verwachtingen. Niet omdat het vraag tekort komt, maar omdat ze die vraag niet aankunnen. Het bouwen van die datacenters is duur, de chips die erin moeten ook, en de concurrentie zaagt ook nog eens aan de stoelpoten. Dus ze moeten toegeven dat het allemaal wat minder rooskleurig is dan ze eerder dachten. We vertellen je ook over Softbank. De Japanse investeringsbank casht voor een kleine 6 miljard dollar. Ze verkopen namelijk al hun aandelen Nvidia. En je komt ook nog te weten waarom beleggers zich opeens moeten buigen over de vraag: wat is de definitie van een vliegtuigstoeltje bij het raam?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Er leek maar geen einde aan te komen. Chipmaker TSMC verbrak het ene na het andere record. De omzetgroei bleef maar stijgen en stijgen. Maar opeens zwakt die af. En dat nét nu beleggers toch enige zorgen hebben over een mogelijke bubbel rondom kunstmatige intelligentie. Zijn die zorgen dan toch terecht? Dat hoor je in deze aflevering. Dan hebben we het ook over iets anders waar een einde aan komt. Democraten en Republikeinen maken opeens stappen richting het oplossen van de shutdown. We kijken hoe snel het nu gedaan kan zijn. En we maken de schade voor je op. Wat heeft het de VS gekost? En wat zijn de kosten voor beleggers geweest? Verder hoor je over de Europese Centrale Bank. Daar wordt een zwengel gegeven aan het banencarrousel. In de komende anderhalf jaar komen er zes stoeltjes vrij in het bestuur, met als slotstuk het stoeltje van president Christine Lagarde. En één van de twee grootste kanshebbers is een bekende: Klaas Knot.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Waardeer je onze video's? Steun dan Café Weltschmerz, het podium voor het vrije woord: https://www.cafeweltschmerz.nl/doneren/ECB wil digitale euro ondanks prijskaartje van 1,3 miljard euro in 2029 invoerenWeek 45 blikt terug op een week vol verkiezingstheater.Jeroen en Willem nemen de politieke show door en kijken naar wat er werkelijk speelt.De oorlog gaat onverstoord verder, terwijl critici juridisch zowel worden vrijgesproken als veroordeeld.Nederland trekt de touwtjes strakker aan in de digitale gevangenis, terwijl de aandacht uitgaat naar asielzoekers.Het klimaat is uit, maar de beroving gaat gewoon door.Trump blijkt corrupt, maar heeft gelijk over het klimaatverhaal.De griepprikken leveren niets op, behalve winst voor Big Pharma.En in Paraguay? Daar is vuurwerk nog wél toegestaan.---Deze video is geproduceerd door Café Weltschmerz. Café Weltschmerz gelooft in de kracht van het gesprek en zendt interviews uit over actuele maatschappelijke thema's. Wij bieden een hoogwaardig alternatief voor de mainstream media. Café Weltschmerz is onafhankelijk en niet verbonden aan politieke, religieuze of commerciële partijen.Wil je meer video's bekijken en op de hoogte blijven via onze nieuwsbrief? Ga dan naar: https://www.cafeweltschmerz.nl/videos/Wil je op de hoogte worden gebracht van onze nieuwe video's? Klik dan op deze link: https://bit.ly/3XweTO0
This week Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities is joined by Henry Cook, Europe Economist to discuss the implications of the BoE MPC monetary policy decision this week. Henry and Derek discuss the key takeaways from the meeting and the financial market impact on rates and the pound. The upcoming budget implications are also discussed. The budget is crucial both from a political and markets perspective. The outlook for ECB monetary policy and MUFG's ECB policy and euro forecasts are also outlined.
US is to block NVIDIA's (NVDA) sale of scaled-back AI chips to China, according to The Information.European bourses opened firmer but ultimately conformed to the subdued risk tone, US equity futures also mildly in the red.DXY bid awaiting UoM, trading around 99.78; Kiwi underperforms.Bunds were initially hit by the US risk tone, EGBs then slipped on German data, no reaction to the deteriorating European tone.Commodities rebound from Thursday's equity-led selloff; XAU firmer and holds above USD 4k/oz.Looking ahead, Canadian Jobs, NY Fed SCE, US University of Michigan Prelim, Speakers including Fed's Jefferson and Miran, BoE's Pill, ECB's Elderson & Nagel.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks were mostly lower as the region took its cue from the risk-off mood stateside, where sentiment was weighed on by weak US labour market proxies and AI concerns, while sentiment was also not helped by weak Chinese trade data.US President Trump said they will need a game plan if the Supreme Court case on tariffs does not go well, and can do other things, but they are slow in comparison.US President Trump added there are no new tariff announcements coming while the SCOTUS case is pending.US is to block NVIDIA's (NVDA) sale of scaled-back AI chips to China, according to The Information.European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures +0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.0% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Trade Data, Canadian Jobs, NY Fed SCE, US University of Michigan Prelim, Speakers including Fed's Williams, Jefferson and Miran, BoE's Pill, ECB's Elderson & Nagel, Earnings from Daimler Truck.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Het is hem gelukt. Elon Musk heeft zijn bonus van 1000 miljard dollar (van een biljoen) er doorheen gedrukt. Aandeelhouders van Tesla gingen massaal akkoord: 75 procent stemt voor. Als hij de komende 10 jaar alle doelstellingen haalt, krijgt hij die beloning. Deze aflevering hoor je of dat eigenlijk wel slim is van die aandeelhouders. Aandeelhouders die misschien ook niet veel anders konden voor voor stemmen, want ze werden gedwongen door de directie. Gaan meer beursbedrijven dit doen?Nu we het toch over een Amerikaans aandeel hebben, laten we het ook over andere Amerikaanse aandelen hebben. Die zijn (te wijten aan Donald Trump) een stukje minder geliefd. Sinds Liberation Day zijn buitenlandse beleggers uitgestapt en altijd nog niet terug. Dan is het tijd voor een follow-up. Een paar dagen geleden deed softwarebedrijf Bird een poging om CM.com over te nemen. 166 miljoen euro boden ze ervoor. Maar dat bod wordt keihard afgewezen. Verder hebben we het over de Chinese export. Die is onverwachts toch ingestort. Daarover gesproken: het aandeel van Duolingo is ook ingestort. Het taalbedrijf heeft de ergste beursdag achter de rug. Deze aflevering kijken we ook naar andere bedrijven die deze week werden afgestraft voor slechte cijfers. Zijn beleggers niet veel te streng?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
APAC stocks were higher as the region took impetus from the rebound on Wall St, where all major indices gained amid dip buying.European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures relatively flat after the cash market closed with gains of 0.2% on Wednesday.DXY traded rangebound after having recently snapped a 5-day rally, despite firmer-than-expected ADP and ISM Services data, while catalysts were quiet overnight10yr UST futures saw some slight reprieve after slumping yesterday; Bund futures languished near the prior day's lows.US President Trump is scheduled to make an announcement at 11:00EST/16:00GMT on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Production, EZ Retail Sales, Canadian Leading Index, US Chicago Fed Labour Market Indicators, US Challenger Layoffs, BoE, Banxico & Norges Bank Policy Announcements, Speakers including Fed's Williams, Barr, Hammack, Waller, Paulson & Musalem, ECB's Lane, Nagel, Schnabel & de Guindos, BoE's Bailey, BoC's Macklem, Rogers & Kozicki, Supply from Spain & FranceEarnings from Continental, Commerzbank, AstraZeneca, Sainsbury's, Airbnb, ConocoPhillips & Warner Bros.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Challenger October US Job Cuts jump 175.3% to a 7-month high at 153.074k (prev. 54.064k in September).European bourses are on the backfoot; US equity futures are modestly firmer/flat.Surprise early US Challenger release takes DXY sub-100; NOK gains on Norges, GBP awaits the BoE.Early Challenger lifted USTs to a session high, Gilts await the BoE.Crude benchmarks are higher despite Saudi oil price cuts and US inventory build; focus on Israel declaring the Egyptian border a closed military zone.Looking ahead, US Chicago Fed Labour Market Indicators, BoE & Banxico Policy Announcements, Speakers including Fed's Williams, Barr, Hammack, Waller, Paulson & Musalem, ECB's Lane, Nagel, BoE's Bailey, BoC's Macklem, Rogers & Kozicki.Earnings from Airbnb, ConocoPhillips & Warner Bros.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks were mixed after an early sell-off following the losses stateside, where tech underperformed amid valuation concerns.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.7% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.3% on Tuesday.The USD rally has paused for breath (DXY remains above 100), EUR/USD is unable to reclaim 1.15 status, USD/JPY failed to hold below 153.Global fixed income benchmarks remain supported, crude futures lack direction, Gold remains below USD 4k.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Orders, EZ, UK & US Final PMI, EZ Producer Prices, US ADP, US ISM Services PMI, Riksbank, NBP & BCB Policy Announcements, ECB Wage Tracker, US Supreme Court Tariff hearing begins, Speakers including ECB's Nagel, BoE's Breeden, BoC's Macklem & Rogers, Riksbank's Jansson, US QRA, Supply from Germany.Earnings from BMW, Novo Nordisk, Pandora, AMC, Arm, Snap & McDonald'sRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
The ECB this week held its policy rate right at 2% with policymakers out in force claiming to everyone who might listen they're likely done at that level. Instead, GDP data from all over the continent just came out and showed there's more pringles yet to come from Europe. But there's also one big factor here few people are considering and it has to do with the 2% level itself. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIn a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on. If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. eurodollaruniversity.substack.comhttps://eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Is paying down the federal debt a recession trigger? Bob takes on the MMT claim and checks the record, citing US debt payoffs, Canada's 1990s reforms, and ECB case studies. Conclusion: real wealth beats accounting tricks and paydowns aren't a mechanical path to recession.Read More on Fiscal Austerity: Mises.org/HAP524aThe Upside-Down World of MMT: Mises.org/HAP524bDo Balanced Budgets Cause Depressions?: Mises.org/HAP524cThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFree
Is paying down the federal debt a recession trigger? Bob takes on the MMT claim and checks the record, citing US debt payoffs, Canada's 1990s reforms, and ECB case studies. Conclusion: real wealth beats accounting tricks and paydowns aren't a mechanical path to recession.Read More on Fiscal Austerity: Mises.org/HAP524aThe Upside-Down World of MMT: Mises.org/HAP524bDo Balanced Budgets Cause Depressions?: Mises.org/HAP524cThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFree
Crypto News: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent makes big statements about Bitcoin. Bitwise just updated their XRP ETF filing to include exchange (NYSE) and fee of 0.34%. ECB to launch digital euro by 2029. Brought to you by✅ VeChain is a versatile enterprise-grade L1 smart contract platform https://www.vechain.org/