Podcasts about market volatility

Markets fluctuate. That sounds obvious—until a favorite stock climbs for years and investors start treating gravity as optional. Tom and Don revisit Financial Physics and the essential difference between a temporary market decline and permanent single-company damage.The cure is not predicting the next dip. It is connecting the return you need with the volatility you can tolerate, then owning thousands of companies and rebalancing instead of reacting.Questions range from IRA eligibility for business owners to building a global portfolio in Singapore, choosing bonds near retirement, using a self-directed 401(k) window, and making a retirement plan before the calendar makes one for you.00:00 Money Monday and the law of financial fluctuation02:57 Why individual winners eventually stumble05:04 Temporary market declines versus permanent stock losses06:56 Return, volatility, and the tradeoff nobody escapes09:32 Diversification across roughly 10,700 companies12:16 IRA contributions for LLCs, partnerships, and corporations15:54 A listener's investing journey from Singapore18:08 Fixing a concentrated U.S. portfolio overseas21:17 Bonds as retirement approaches23:40 Self-directed 401(k) windows and overthinking24:31 Build a retirement life—not just a retirement dateQuestions? Comments? Click!

This week's episode dives into the shifting macroeconomic landscape, analyzing how geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and fluctuating oil prices are impacting both equities and crypto markets. Despite short-term volatility, institutional buying continues to drive strength across major tech earnings, while regulatory milestones like the Crypto Clarity Act set the stage for massive institutional adoption, particularly for assets like Ethereum.Beyond the stock and crypto markets, smart money is rotating back into commercial real estate as transaction volumes rebound 26 percent year-over-year. As retail investors exit struggling syndications, well-capitalized funds are deploying dry powder to acquire distressed assets, signaling a powerful wealth-building opportunity for operators ready to capitalize on market capitulation and emerging value plays.KEY TOPICS DISCUSSEDGeopolitical impacts on market volatility and oil pricesS&P 500 earnings season expectations for major tech companiesSpaceX valuation drops and the future of trillion-dollar IPOsThe Crypto Clarity Act and the push for digital asset regulationInstitutional capital flowing into Ethereum over BitcoinCommercial real estate transaction volumes rebounding 26 percentSmart money acquiring distressed retail syndication assetsThe rise of educational finance influencers in modern mediaKEY TAKEAWAYSStaying fully invested during volatile periods is critical, as missing just a few of the best trading days can severely diminish long-term portfolio returns.The Crypto Clarity Act will likely flush out thousands of useless meme coins while funneling institutional trillions into established utility networks like Ethereum.Real estate investors must transition from a buy-and-hold mindset into an operator mindset to drive income and reduce expenses in a higher-rate environment.Commercial real estate is seeing a 26 percent increase in transactional volume as frustrated retail investors capitulate and smart money steps in to buy at market value.Wealth generation requires holding equity in real assets or businesses, as it is becoming mathematically impossible to out-earn inflation by simply selling your time.CONNECT & TAKE ACTIONImagos Income Fund: Text "INCOME" or "DEALS" to 844-447-1555 to learn more about Matty A's private debt fund targeting 10% fixed returns paid out monthly.

Plus: Novo Nordisk files a deceptive advertising lawsuit against Eli Lilly. And the latest Chinese AI model launches rattle expectations for the biggest AI players in the US. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  What Does This Week’s Market Volatility Mean for Your Retirement Portfolio? By Tom Dupree, Founder, Dupree Financial Group Inflation cooled. The big banks beat expectations. And somehow, it was still a wild week in the market. If you’ve been watching your account balance bounce around and wondering whether any of it has anything to do with the actual value of what you own, here’s the short answer: usually not. Most of what moved the market this week wasn’t new information about businesses — it was leverage, technical trading, and forced selling. That distinction matters more for your retirement than almost anything else you’ll read this month, because it tells you when to act and when to simply hold on. This week’s episode of The Tom Dupree Show walked through four separate stories — cooling inflation, strong bank earnings, a leveraged-ETF blowup on the other side of the world, and a regulatory fight over how often companies should report earnings — that all point to the same lesson: know what you own, know why the price is moving, and don’t confuse someone else’s forced selling with your own emergency. Key Takeaways Inflation cooled to 3.5% year-over-year in June, but the Fed’s new chair has questioned whether the 2% target is even the right one — the ground rules for bonds and rate-sensitive investments could shift. Bank profits this quarter came mostly from paying less on deposits, not from a borrowing boom — a reminder that cash flow, not headlines, tells the real story. A leveraged single-stock ETF collapse in South Korea forced hundreds of thousands of retail accounts into liquidation — a case study in what daily-compounding leverage does to a portfolio. Semiconductor stocks have swung hard on technical signals, not fundamentals — which can create real opportunity for patient, long-term owners. A federal proposal to let companies report earnings twice a year instead of four times has reignited a real debate about transparency versus short-termism. Why Does the Market Feel So Unpredictable Right Now? If you’re 55, 65, or 75 and watching a retirement account that’s supposed to fund the next 30 or 40 years of your life, a week like this one is unsettling. The headlines contradict each other: inflation is cooling, but chip stocks are getting hammered one day and ripping higher the next. Banks are thriving, but somewhere on the other side of the world, hundreds of thousands of retail investors just lost their entire trading accounts overnight. It’s a lot to hold at once, and it’s reasonable to wonder whether any of it should change what you do with your own money. Here’s the honest answer: for most retirees holding a diversified, income-producing portfolio, almost none of it should. But understanding why requires pulling apart what actually happened this week — and separating the noise from the signal. What Actually Happened This Week — The Data Start with the good news. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that headline inflation cooled to 3.5% year-over-year in June, with core inflation (which strips out food and energy) coming in at 2.6% — both below what economists expected, and producer prices actually declined for the month. That’s a meaningfully better inflation picture than markets were braced for. But the Fed’s target isn’t necessarily fixed anymore. Kevin Warsh, who was sworn in as Federal Reserve chairman this spring, has openly questioned the assumptions behind the central bank’s longstanding 2% inflation goal and launched a broader review of how the Fed operates. For retirees who own bonds or rate-sensitive income investments, that’s not a footnote — it’s a reason to pay attention to what “the target” even means over the next few years, rather than assuming the old rules still apply. Meanwhile, bank earnings came in strong — but not for the reason most people assume. The lift came primarily from banks paying less to fund themselves (short-term deposit rates have fallen faster than the loans on their books have repriced), not from a fresh wave of borrowing. It’s a good environment for financial stocks, but it’s a funding-cost story more than a booming-economy story, and that distinction matters if you’re trying to judge whether the rally has legs. Then there’s the semiconductor sector, which has been the market’s most volatile corner. Taiwan Semiconductor, the company that manufactures the vast majority of the world’s advanced AI chips, reported June revenue up nearly 68% year-over-year, a genuinely extraordinary number driven by AI infrastructure demand. And yet chip stocks broadly have been whipping up and down for reasons that have very little to do with numbers like that one. A lot of that action is technical: when a stock breaks below a widely watched moving average, institutional trading algorithms are programmed to sell, regardless of what the underlying business is doing. That selling then triggers more selling. It looks like panic. It’s often just mechanics. The starkest illustration of what leverage does in a downturn came out of South Korea this month, where a wave of new single-stock leveraged ETFs tied to semiconductor giants Samsung and SK Hynix triggered margin calls on more than 1.2 million retail trading accounts, with roughly 320,000 to 360,000 of those accounts fully liquidated in a matter of days. These products were designed to move twice the daily price swing of a single stock — which sounds appealing on the way up and is devastating on the way down, because the losses compound daily rather than tracking the stock’s actual return over time. It’s an ocean away from Lexington, Kentucky, but the lesson travels: leverage doesn’t just add risk, it changes the math entirely. Finally, there’s a quieter but genuinely important story developing in Washington. The SEC has proposed letting public companies choose to report earnings twice a year instead of four times, a change championed by President Trump and SEC Chairman Paul Atkins as a way to reduce short-term pressure on management teams. The idea splits reasonable people: less frequent reporting could free executives to run their businesses for the next several years instead of the next ninety days, but it could also mean investors — including retirees who depend on knowing exactly what they own — get less information, less often. This week’s news cycle also included a primetime presidential address in which Trump alleged that newly declassified intelligence showed foreign interference — including from China — in the 2020 election, along with claims of voter registration fraud in Michigan. Election security officials, including the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, have said they’ve found no evidence that any votes were altered in past elections. Whatever your read on the speech, it fed into a broader theme running through the whole hour: how much can you trust the numbers an institution hands you, whether that’s a vote count or a government inflation report? It’s why we do our own research instead of relying solely on government statistics or Wall Street’s sell-side analysts, and it’s the same instinct that should guide how you evaluate any claim, official or otherwise. The Reframe: Manufactured Volatility vs. Real Risk Here’s the framework we come back to on nearly every episode of the show, and it’s the one thing we want you to take from this week’s news: there is a real difference between manufactured volatility and real risk, and confusing the two is one of the most expensive mistakes a retiree can make. Manufactured volatility is what happens when a stock’s price swings because of leverage unwinding, algorithmic trading around technical levels, or funds racing to exit ahead of a quarterly number — not because the underlying business got worse. The Korean ETF collapse is manufactured volatility in its purest form: a Samsung or SK Hynix shareholder holding actual shares, with no leverage, watched the same news and the same earnings power, just without the forced-selling spiral. Real risk is different. Real risk is a company losing its competitive position, cutting its dividend, or piling on debt it can’t service. Real risk should change what you own. Manufactured volatility, more often than not, should not. The trouble is that from the outside, both look identical on a stock chart. A share price falling 10% doesn’t come labeled “manufactured” or “real.” Telling the difference requires actually knowing the business you own — its cash flow, its dividend history, its balance sheet — well enough to judge whether this week’s headline changed anything about that story. That’s the diligence part of the job, and there’s no shortcut around it. How Should Retirement Investors Respond to This Kind of Volatility? At Dupree Financial Group, this is exactly why our approach centers on dividend-paying stocks and bonds rather than chasing whatever sector is moving fastest. When you own a company for the income it generates — not for a price target — a week of manufactured volatility becomes far less threatening, and sometimes it becomes an opportunity. When institutions are forced to sell a good company for reasons that have nothing to do with its fundamentals, the price drop that scares one investor is simply a better entry point for another. That’s not a guarantee of a favorable outcome — all investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal — but it’s a fundamentally different posture than reacting to every headline. Seven Steps to Retirement-Proof Your Portfolio Against Manufactured Volatility Know what you own, line by line. Pull up your statement and be able to explain, in one sentence each, why you own every major holding. If you can’t, that’s the first thing to fix — not the market. Separate the headline from the business. Before reacting to a price move, ask whether anything actually changed about the company’s earnings, dividend, or balance sheet — or whether it’s a technical or leverage-driven move like the ones described above. Keep leveraged and single-stock ETFs out of retirement money entirely. These products are built for daily traders, not long-term holders. The Korean ETF collapse is a real-world example of what daily compounding leverage can do to an account in a matter of days. Read past the quarterly headline number. Whether or not the reporting-frequency rules change, judge a company on multi-year cash flow and dividend trends, not a single quarter’s beat or miss. Keep a watchlist of quality companies for when panic creates a discount. When forced selling knocks a good business down for reasons unrelated to its fundamentals, that’s the moment long-term investors get paid for their patience. Revisit your income plan, not just your account balance. A retirement portfolio’s job is to produce cash flow you can live on for 30 to 40 years. Judge a volatile week by whether your income stream held up — not by the number on the login screen. Get a second set of eyes on your portfolio. If you’re not sure whether what you own is built to withstand this kind of volatility, or whether you’re carrying more leverage or concentration risk than you realize, that’s exactly what a portfolio review is for. Frequently Asked Questions Is a leveraged ETF a good way to boost my retirement returns? No. Leveraged ETFs reset and compound daily, so their long-term return can diverge sharply from the underlying stock’s actual performance — including large losses even when the stock has technically risen over time. They’re built for short-term traders, not retirement accounts. Does cooling inflation mean the Fed will cut interest rates soon? Not necessarily. While June’s cooler CPI reading supports the case for rate cuts, the Fed’s new chairman has signaled openness to rethinking the central bank’s approach to its inflation target, adding real uncertainty to the timeline for any rate decisions. Why do stock prices swing so much when a company’s earnings didn’t change? Much of the day-to-day movement in popular stocks comes from technical trading, algorithmic strategies tied to chart levels, and leveraged funds being forced to buy or sell — not from new information about the business itself. That’s manufactured volatility, not real risk. What does the debate over quarterly earnings reports mean for individual investors? If the SEC’s proposal is adopted, some companies may report financial results only twice a year instead of four times. That could reduce short-term pressure on management, but it may also mean investors get less frequent, less detailed information about what they actually own. How do I know if my retirement portfolio is built to handle volatility? Start by confirming you can explain why you own every major holding and that none of your retirement money sits in leveraged or single-stock products. A complimentary portfolio review with a fee-only fiduciary advisor is the fastest way to get an honest, unbiased answer. The Bottom Line Weeks like this one will keep happening. Leverage will keep building up somewhere and unwinding somewhere else. Traders will keep reacting to chart levels instead of cash flow. What won’t change is the difference between a business that’s actually worth less than it was last week and a stock price that simply got caught in someone else’s forced selling. Learn to tell those two things apart, build your income around companies you understand, and a volatile week stops being a threat to your retirement — it starts being background noise, or even opportunity. Schedule a Complimentary Portfolio Review If you’re not sure whether your portfolio is built to take advantage of volatility like we saw this week — instead of getting knocked around by it — we’ll take a look. No charge. No pressure. Just an honest conversation about what you own and whether it’s working for you. Call: 859-233-0400  |  Visit: dupreefinancial.com You Might Also Like Catch up on past episodes of The Tom Dupree Show — our full podcast archive, updated every week. Meet the team at Dupree Financial Group — learn about our fee-only, fiduciary approach and the people behind it. [PLACEHOLDER — link to a prior show notes/blog post on dividend investing fundamentals once a confirmed URL is available] About the Author: Tom Dupree is the founder of Dupree Financial Group and host of The Tom Dupree Show, heard weekly across Central Kentucky radio and podcast. With 47 years in the investment business, starting in municipal bonds in 1978, Tom built DFG’s investment philosophy around one idea: retirement money should generate income you can see, not just a balance you hope holds up. Dupree Financial Group is an independent, fee-only fiduciary Registered Investment Advisor based in Lexington, Kentucky. REGULATORY DISCLAIMER: This material is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, or tax advice, nor is it a solicitation to buy or sell any security. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance of any market index or security is not indicative of future results. Dupree Financial Group is a fee-only fiduciary and does not receive commissions on any products or securities discussed. 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This week's Lagniappe podcast explores a market that continues to trade in a holding pattern. Greg and Doug discuss why easing inflation has helped calm markets, how strong bank earnings are setting an optimistic tone, and why small- and mid-cap stocks continue to outperform as demand for AI infrastructure fuels growth across the broader economy. The guys also recap an exciting FIFA World Cup semifinal round and preview Sunday's Argentina-Spain final. They close by discussing rising bond yields, what current betting markets suggest about the 2026 U.S. midterm elections, and why reducing political uncertainty could become an important catalyst for markets later this year. Key Takeaways [0:17] – Markets Remain in a Holding Pattern [1:57] – Iran, Oil Prices & Market Volatility [3:44] – Earnings Season Begins [5:00] – Why Small- & Mid-Cap Stocks Are Leading [8:34] – World Cup Semifinals Recap [11:07] – Bonds, Interest Rates & Inflation [13:45] – Midterm Elections & Betting Markets View Transcript Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener's individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener's choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.

This week, Brownfield's Meghan Grebner and University of Kentucky ag economist Kenny Burdine talk about the recent drop in markets, some risk management strategies, and future outlooks for the livestock sector. They also preview next week's Cattle on Feed and Cattle Inventory reports from the USDA. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Welcome back to Fraudology.In this episode, I'm sitting down with Mark Porteous, a longtime leader in e-commerce fraud and trust who knows two-sided marketplaces from the inside out. Mark spent nine years at StockX, where he started in customer support before building the company's fraud program from the ground up. And honestly, that is one of the best ways to learn marketplace fraud prevention because you see the customer complaints, the chargebacks, the seller issues, the account problems, and the policy gaps before anybody has officially decided they belong to a fraud team.We get into what makes online marketplace fraud so different from traditional e-commerce. In a standard retail transaction, the merchant controls the inventory, the pricing, and fulfillment. In a two-sided marketplace, the platform may be trusting one person to sell, another person to buy, and sometimes a third person to deliver the product. Every additional participant creates another identity question, another fraud vector, and another opportunity for marketplace scams or policy abuse.The deeper theme of this episode is market volatility fraud. Prices can change dramatically because of a sports result, a viral release, an artist announcement, a celebrity event, or a sudden shortage. When that happens, legitimate customer behavior changes, but fraudulent behavior changes too. Sellers may decide not to fulfill because they can resell the item for more. Buyers may file friendly fraud chargebacks after prices fall. Stolen cards may be used to purchase high-demand inventory. And risk models that normally work well can suddenly start treating good customers like fraudsters.Marketplace fraud prevention cannot stay on autopilot. Fraud leaders need strong policies, clear escalation playbooks, reliable fraud intelligence, and real collaboration with vendors, data teams, customer support, marketing, product, and leadership.What you'll hear in this episode:How Mark moved from customer support into building a marketplace fraud program from the ground up.Why two-sided and multi-sided marketplaces create more complex identity, payment, seller, and fulfillment risks.How marketplace pricing volatility can trigger seller non-fulfillment, policy abuse, first-party fraud, and chargebacks.Why World Cup ticket pricing is a real-time example of market volatility fraud.How friendly fraud can increase when buyers repurchase the same item after its secondary-market price drops.Why fraud models and vendor strategies cannot be left on autopilot during high-demand events.How approval rates, false declines, fraud risk scoring, and card-not-present fraud need to be balanced during sudden demand spikes.Why fraud leaders need playbooks, policy enforcement, and clear escalation paths before an unexpected event happens.How to work with marketing, product, growth, finance, customer support, and security without becoming the team that says no to everything.Why strong fraud storytelling must always be supported by fraud analytics and measurable business impact.You should listen to this episode if you:Work in marketplace fraud prevention, trust and safety, fraud operations, or fraud risk management.Manage buyer fraud, seller fraud, marketplace chargebacks, seller verification, or payment fraud prevention.Work for a ticketing, sneaker, collectible, resale, delivery, or multi-sided marketplace.Need a better approach to fraud monitoring during major events, product releases, shortages, or pricing spikes.Want to improve collaboration between fraud, customer support, product, growth, marketing, finance, and security teams.

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Apple shares surging after striking a deal with Alibaba to use its Qwen AI model in Apple services in China. The traders break down where the tech giants are heading after the historic deal, and China's broader outlook after its GDP slows. Then, semis taking big swings. Co-founder of PEAK6 Investments Matt Hulsizer gives his take on AI shortages, market volatility and Fed policies. Plus, United Airlines XXX after its second quarter earnings report after the bell, IBM falling further, what to expect from Netflix earnings. Fast Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

What if the biggest reason retirees avoid annuities has nothing to do with the product itself? Greg examines why annuities continue setting sales records while remaining one of the most criticized financial tools. He breaks down the differences between annuities, CDs, and market-based investments, explains the role of guarantees and risk management, and shares his perspective on why parts of the financial industry push back against them. Plus, a look at where annuities may fit within a broader retirement strategy. Subscribe or follow so you never miss an episode! Check out Fire Your Financial Advisor on YouTube! Learn more at GoldenReserve.com or follow on social: Facebook & LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Why do smart retirees make costly financial decisions when stress takes over? Ryan Oliver explores the emotional side of retirement, from market volatility and identity shifts to the urge to tinker with a long-term plan during uncertain times. He discusses common mistakes retirees make under pressure, why the early years of retirement can be especially challenging, and the value of having guardrails in place before stress arrives. Learn how preparation, structure, and confidence can help keep emotions from driving important financial decisions Schedule your complimentary appointment today: TheRetirementKey.com Get a free copy of Abe’s book: The Retirement Mountain: The 7 Steps To A Long-Lasting Retirement Follow us on social media: YouTube | Instagram | Facebook | LinkedInSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Is your retirement strategy built to withstand market volatility, or are you riding an emotional roller coaster with a traditional buy-and-hold portfolio? In this episode of Retirement Coffee Talk, Charisse Rivers of Zinnia Wealth breaks down how to navigate current market uncertainties, from AI trends to shifting economic factors. Moving beyond cookie-cutter advice, Charisse reveals how multi-bucket financial strategies and customized income planning help shield retirees from running out of money. Learn how to transform your accumulated assets into a reliable personal paycheck, lower your future tax liabilities, and build an all-weather plan designed for long-term confidence. Like this episode? Hit that Follow button and never miss an episode!

What if the biggest threat to your retirement portfolio isn’t the market, it’s the emotional decisions you make during market swings? Granger Hughes explores why trying to time the market can be especially risky in retirement and how investors can pursue growth while managing risk. Joined by Brad Jenkins, Chief Investment Officer at Market Guard, they discuss disciplined investing, downside protection strategies, tax, loss harvesting, portfolio customization, and the importance of aligning investments with individual risk tolerance. The conversation highlights practical ways to stay focused on long-term goals while avoiding short-term emotional reactions in unpredictable markets Hit play to discover what your financial advisor should be telling you. For events and complimentary consultations, visit hughesretirementgroup.com. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On this episode: Micron's earnings sparked excitement, but market volatility remains. Greg explains why retirement planning shouldn't depend on stock picking or chasing the next hot investment. From 401(k)s to advisory accounts, fees can quietly drain retirement assets. Greg breaks down the true cost of financial advice and why value matters. An advisor suggested borrowing instead of spending retirement money. Greg examines the math, tax consequences, and why some retirement advice may not serve clients. Delayed dreams, working too long, tax mistakes, and outdated estate plans. Greg shares lessons retirees wish they had learned sooner. Subscribe or follow so you never miss an episode! Check out Fire Your Financial Advisor on YouTube! Learn more at GoldenReserve.com or follow on social: Facebook & LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Flattening yield curves, violent sector rotations, and shifting market leadership often trigger recession headlines—but do they really predict when markets will peak? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz look at why investors frequently confuse condition indicators with timing indicators. While yield curve flattening and rapid rotations between growth and value stocks can reveal that the market environment is changing, they don't tell you exactly when a recession or bear market will begin. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - Markets' Response to Hormuz Limbo 5:54 - Consolidation Patterns Remain Unchanged 11:24 - The Risk of Continuing Iran Conflict 14:58 - The Ambiguous Fed 16:43 - Chip Stocks' Behavior 18:16 - Market Volatility is Low 21:35 - SEC Rules Changes & Liquidity 23:24 - The Japanese Yen & Carry Trade 29:58 - Japan's "Trolly Car" Problem & Risk to U.S. 32:47 - Yield Curve Warnings 37:43 - Long- or Short-duration Bonds? 40:05 - What's the Real Yield? 42:00 - Why Own Bonds Now? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO,w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/oFqAQg5DkiI ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Breakout Still Waiting," https://youtu.be/hGKaEy7tJiY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Markets, Rates, and Risk" https://youtube.com/live/ua-paCoNRwo ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Flattening Curves And Style Rotations Deceptive Omens?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/are-flattening-curves-and-style-rotations-deceptive-omens/ 'The Low VIX Hides Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-low-vix-hides-fierce-undercurrents/ "The Yen At 40-Year Lows: Should You Care?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-yen-at-40-year-low-should-you-care/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Premarket #SP500 #Semiconductors #Investing #YieldCurve #Recession #RiskManagement

Flattening yield curves, violent sector rotations, and shifting market leadership often trigger recession headlines—but do they really predict when markets will peak? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz look at why investors frequently confuse condition indicators with timing indicators. While yield curve flattening and rapid rotations between growth and value stocks can reveal that the market environment is changing, they don't tell you exactly when a recession or bear market will begin. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - Markets' Response to Hormuz Limbo 5:54 - Consolidation Patterns Remain Unchanged 11:24 - The Risk of Continuing Iran Conflict 14:58 - The Ambiguous Fed 16:43 - Chip Stocks' Behavior 18:16 - Market Volatility is Low 21:35 - SEC Rules Changes & Liquidity 23:24 - The Japanese Yen & Carry Trade 29:58 - Japan's "Trolly Car" Problem & Risk to U.S. 32:47 - Yield Curve Warnings 37:43 - Long- or Short-duration Bonds? 40:05 - What's the Real Yield? 42:00 - Why Own Bonds Now? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO,w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/oFqAQg5DkiI ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Breakout Still Waiting," https://youtu.be/hGKaEy7tJiY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Markets, Rates, and Risk" https://youtube.com/live/ua-paCoNRwo ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Flattening Curves And Style Rotations Deceptive Omens?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/are-flattening-curves-and-style-rotations-deceptive-omens/ 'The Low VIX Hides Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-low-vix-hides-fierce-undercurrents/ "The Yen At 40-Year Lows: Should You Care?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-yen-at-40-year-low-should-you-care/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Premarket #SP500 #Semiconductors #Investing #YieldCurve #Recession #RiskManagement

Trying to predict the markets from headlines, hype, or hot tips is often where retirement plans go off the rails. In this episode, Jim Fox explains why chasing noise—from interest‑rate speculation and geopolitical events to the latest “next big thing”—can quietly undermine long‑term outcomes. The discussion focuses on controlling what you actually can: building a balanced plan, managing risk, and aligning assets with real retirement goals instead of short‑term forecasts. Jim breaks down why steady planning often outperforms market timing and why simplicity, balance, and discipline matter more than guessing what comes next. Ready to connect with Jim today? Get some Financial Straight Talk! Follow us on social media: YouTube | FacebookSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Could the timing of market returns have a bigger impact on your retirement than the returns themselves? In this episode, Justin Doback explains sequence of returns risk and why early market declines can affect retirement income differently than downturns later in retirement. He discusses real-world examples, common mistakes retirees make, and strategies designed to help manage withdrawals during volatile markets. Learn why diversification, distribution planning, and balancing growth with principal protection are important considerations when building a retirement income strategy. Schedule your complimentary appointment today: TheRetirementKey.com Get a free copy of Abe’s book: The Retirement Mountain: The 7 Steps To A Long-Lasting Retirement Follow us on social media: YouTube | Instagram | Facebook | LinkedInSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode of OIC 2026 Conversations, Mark Longo sits down with Matt Fox, Co-Founder & CEO of SpotGamma, to discuss how options flow is increasingly driving today's markets. The conversation explores the explosive growth of 0DTE options, the role of gamma in shaping intraday price action, and how traders can use support and resistance levels derived from options positioning to better understand market behavior. Mark and Matt also dive into: The rise of 0DTE trading Positive vs. negative gamma environments Why options volume is growing faster than stock volume Gamma scalping and dealer positioning Intraday volatility versus end-of-day market stability The GameStop phenomenon and the origins of "Diamond Hands" Real-time options analytics and market structure The growing debate around 24/7 options trading Why Matt believes more options products are good—but nonstop markets may not be

In this episode of OIC 2026 Conversations, Mark Longo sits down with Matt Fox, Co-Founder & CEO of SpotGamma, to discuss how options flow is increasingly driving today's markets. The conversation explores the explosive growth of 0DTE options, the role of gamma in shaping intraday price action, and how traders can use support and resistance levels derived from options positioning to better understand market behavior. Mark and Matt also dive into: The rise of 0DTE trading Positive vs. negative gamma environments Why options volume is growing faster than stock volume Gamma scalping and dealer positioning Intraday volatility versus end-of-day market stability The GameStop phenomenon and the origins of "Diamond Hands" Real-time options analytics and market structure The growing debate around 24/7 options trading Why Matt believes more options products are good—but nonstop markets may not be

The stock market inevitably goes through ups and downs, but the downturns don't have to derail your financial future if the right preparations are made ahead of time. Pat discusses how putting a plan together can help deal with potential market corrections so your money will still be ready to work when you need it.

Don and Tom take apart a clickbait Kiplinger piece touting the “five top buy-and-hold investments to manage market volatility,” arguing that the list is a random grab-bag of recent winners rather than a coherent portfolio. They explain why the suggested mix—VOO, VXUS, a healthcare sector ETF, Apple stock, and gold—does little to reduce volatility and instead layers on concentration risk, sector bets, and performance chasing. From there, they broaden the discussion into a more useful question: where should investors actually go for trustworthy information, how should listeners think about evaluating a financial advisor, and what really matters when judging portfolio design. The back half of the episode features a thoughtful call about investing a spendthrift trust for two sons over a 12-year horizon, plus a warning that advisor performance can't be measured by returns alone without understanding risk, asset allocation, and the planning services being delivered.0:05 Cold open, podcast intros, and Tom's ever-growing aircraft museum1:40 Don tees up a Kiplinger clickbait article on the “five top buy-and-hold investments” for market volatility2:14 Why the article's opening about political uncertainty and inflation could apply to almost any year3:36 The one part they agree with: long-term wealth is built by disciplined exposure to quality assets, not reacting to headlines4:53 The rise of numbered clickbait headlines and whether numbers in titles actually matter5:53 Why “stability” and “stock picks” don't belong in the same sentence6:27 Kiplinger pick #1: VOO — fine as a broad U.S. stock fund, but hardly a volatility solution7:06 Kiplinger pick #2: VXUS — the one recommendation they think mostly holds up8:21 Kiplinger pick #3: XLV healthcare ETF — a sector bet masquerading as a defensive holding9:33 Why a healthcare sector fund lags a total-world approach while adding unnecessary concentration10:28 Kiplinger pick #4: Apple stock — and why adding a single stock you already own inside the S&P 500 makes little sense10:59 The problem with betting on one company instead of owning the economy through broad diversification12:20 Kiplinger pick #5: gold — and why recent gains don't make it a volatility manager12:48 Gold's long-term history, lack of fundamentals, and why its recent performance actually illustrates volatility rather than reducing it14:12 The bigger issue: how do you decide which financial publications or sources are worth trusting?15:26 Why Vanguard and Dimensional research tend to be more reliable than headline-driven finance content16:35 The real reason people click these articles: fear, underperformance anxiety, and the urge to “improve” a portfolio17:23 Why the Kiplinger portfolio is missing the one thing you'd expect in a true volatility-management portfolio: bonds18:51 Don and Tom's plea to listeners: follow evidence-based advice rather than clickbait lists19:30 Listener call from Brian in Bremerton about investing spendthrift trusts for his sons over a 12-year horizon20:55 The challenge: balancing growth with the possibility of distributions for education, cars, weddings, or a house23:08 Don's suggested framework: keep a cash/fixed-income reserve for near-term needs and invest the rest aggressively for growth24:48 Why a target-date fund may not be the best fit for this kind of trust structure25:37 A practical allocation idea: roughly 80/20 with a global equity fund plus a broad bond fund26:51 Brian explains that Roth IRA funding is already part of the family's gifting and estate strategy27:32 A listener from Seoul praises the show and begs them not to turn into a “humblebrag retirement call-in show”29:49 Listener question: how do you measure whether your financial advisor is performing well?30:42 Why advisor performance should not be judged by returns alone32:11 The importance of understanding what services you're actually paying for: planning, rebalancing, tax guidance, income strategy, and more33:11 What to examine in a portfolio besides returns: risk level, asset allocation, and whether key asset classes are missing34:11 Why even benchmark comparisons can be misleading if the portfolio isn't properly diversified35:18 The better question: is your advisor delivering the services and portfolio design you actually need?Questions? Comments? Click!

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Clem Chambers to the show. Clem Chambers is Author, Journalist and Founder/CEO of ADVFN. The discussion begins with current market volatility: gold is down roughly 30% from its January peak, and oil has cratered 40% from its March high. Chambers identifies the AI space as the major action now, though it recently corrected, and sees the previous gold rally as driven by fears of a China-Taiwan conflict, which has likely been postponed. He argues that gold's price peak roughly a year out from a potential invasion window, and the sacking of Chinese generals suggests the army resisted such plans, removing that immediate geopolitical bid. He now sees a better floor for gold around $3,500 when inflation, not war, becomes the dominant driver. Chambers emphasizes a transformative global shift: America is abandoning globalization for “re-localization” and must reindustrialize to compete with China, especially in AI. He coins the phrase “electricity is destiny,” noting China has 250% more electricity, but America is now having a “Sputnik moment” and must go all-in on energy and AI or lose democracy. This energy build-out—nuclear, fossil fuels, infrastructure—creates massive long-term investment themes, though lags and government intervention pose risks. He is particularly bullish on platinum and palladium, noting tiny annual supply, Russian and South African geopolitical risks, and that much of the production is destroyed by catalytic converters, leaving no net accumulation. On precious metals, Chambers advises a 2.5–5% portfolio allocation, dollar-cost averaging into physical gold or ETFs, but warns miners behave irrationally and are difficult to understand. He also notes gold has a small inflationary overhang from 3,200 tons of annual mine supply. For viewers, Chambers highlights his free investment platform ADVFN, which offers real-time UK and soon US pricing with advanced tools, and his Substack and YouTube channel where he shares contrarian market thinking. The interview closes with the reminder that active economic participation puts investors on the upward leg of the K-shaped economy. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:03 – Market Volatility and A.I. 00:09:40 – US-China Economies & Taiwan 00:14:15 – Reindustrialization Strategy 00:22:10 – Reserve Currency Debate 00:28:17 – Gold Supply Inflation 00:35:14 – Energy Dominance Thesis 00:40:09 – Platinum/Palladium Plays 00:43:30 – Energy Complex & Peace Deals 00:51:07 – WTI Price & Disruptions 00:57:00 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Investment Platform: https://anewfn.com/ Website: https://www.clemchambers.com/ X: https://x.com/@clemchambers LinkedIn: https://uk.linkedin.com/in/clem-chambers-756145196 Clem Chambers is an author, journalist and founder/former CEO of ADVFN, Europe's leading stocks and markets website. He is General Partner of Ylem Capital clem@ylem.capital. A sought after media commentator, Clem is a regular guest on major television networks including CNBC (US, Europe, Asia, Arabia), Al-Jazeera, BBC, BNN and Fox News. He has recently started ANewFN, providing tools for private investors. Clem writes for Seeking Alpha, Forbes and Engineering and Technology magazine and has written Nikkei BP, the Gulf News and The Scotsman as well as specialist trading and business publications Risk AFRICA, Traders and Your Trading Edge. He has written investment columns for Wired Magazine, which described him as a ‘Market Maven'. Clem's first thriller novel ‘The Armageddon Trade' was published in 2009, followed by ‘The Twain Maxim' in 2010, ‘Kusanagi' in 2011 and ‘The First Horseman' in 2012. The fifth installment in the Jim Evans Saga, ‘The Shrine’, was published in January 2016 as an Amazon Kindle single. In November 2018, Clem won Journalist of the Year in the Business Market Commentary category in the State Street UK Institutional Press Awards. The awards recognise outstanding performance in institutional financial services reporting in the UK. He was shortlisted in 2016 and 2017 as Columnist of the Year (Business Media) in the PPA Awards for his column in E&T Magazine, The Institution Of Engineering & Technology, and in June 2017 won silver in the Tabbie Awards for his Money and Markets column in the same publication.

Axel Merk and Cole Keller break down gold's recent weakness, with prices pressured by rising bond yields and geopolitical tensions, including the war in Iran. While short-term traders have exited, they say long-term holders remain committed and gold is still up over 20% year-over-year. Both argue gold remains a key portfolio diversifier as concerns about U.S. dollar purchasing power persist.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Excited about the next big IPO? That excitement could lead to costly decisions if not managed carefully. Brandon Bowen discusses the hype around high-profile IPOs and why investors nearing retirement may need to approach them cautiously. He explains how emotions like FOMO can influence decision-making and highlights the importance of maintaining a disciplined investment strategy. The episode also explores diversification, reducing single-stock risk, and aligning investments with income needs. If market headlines are shaping your choices, this conversation offers perspective on staying focused on your long-term plan. Like what you hear? Get a second opinion today: bowenwealth.com Follow us on social media: YouTube | Facebook | LinkedInSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

That is the trap. And it is compounded right now by something called recency bias — the tendency to assume that what has been happening will keep happening. Markets have gone up for a long time. New IPOs are capturing attention. There is enthusiasm in the air. And enthusiasm breeds complacency. People assume the funds that have been performing well will keep performing well, without checking whether the companies inside them still deserve their valuations.   [ { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "PodcastEpisode", "name": "When to Hold, When to Sell: Staying Invested Through Market Volatility", "url": "https://www.dupreefinancial.com/when-to-hold-when-to-sell-market-volatility/", "description": "Tom Dupree and Lead Advisor Mike Johnson discuss the discipline behind staying invested during volatile markets — covering dividend income strategy, valuation-based sell decisions, and why the firm currently holds a significant cash position.", "partOfSeries": { "@type": "PodcastSeries", "name": "The Tom Dupree Show", "url": "https://www.dupreefinancial.com" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Tom Dupree" }, "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Dupree Financial Group", "url": "https://www.dupreefinancial.com" } }, { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "FAQPage", "mainEntity": [ { "@type": "Question", "name": "Should I sell my investments when the stock market drops?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Selling during a market drop is one of the costliest decisions a retirement investor can make. Research from Hartford Funds shows that 76% of the stock market's best single days occurred during a bear market or in the first two months of a new bull market. Investors who exit to avoid the declines frequently miss the recoveries that follow almost immediately — often within days." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "How does dividend income protect a retirement portfolio during volatility?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Dividend income provides a return that doesn't depend on stock prices rising. When markets fall, dividends continue to arrive and can cover living expenses without forcing a sale at depressed prices. For retirement investors managing sequence of returns risk — the danger that early losses permanently damage a portfolio — income from dividends reduces or eliminates the need to liquidate holdings at the worst possible moment." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the right way to decide when to sell a stock?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The sell decision should be grounded in company-specific valuation and fundamentals, not broad market fear. A position may warrant trimming when its price has risen well beyond what the underlying business justifies, when the dividend yield for new buyers has become unattractive, or when the company's core business model has changed materially. Selling because the market is falling — absent a fundamental reason specific to that company — is rarely supported by evidence." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "Can you successfully time the stock market to avoid losses?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Consistent broad market timing has an extremely poor track record. Fidelity's analysis shows that a hypothetical $10,000 invested in the S&P 500 from 1988 through 2024 grew to over $500,000 for a buy-and-hold investor — but missing just 5 of the best days reduced those gains by 38%, and missing the 50 best days left the investor with under $40,000. The best and worst days cluster together, so exiting to avoid the bad ones typically means missing the good ones too." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is sequence of returns risk and why does it matter in retirement?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Sequence of returns risk is the danger that poor market returns early in retirement — combined with ongoing withdrawals — permanently damage a portfolio before it can recover. Retirement researcher Wade Pfau found that roughly 77% of a portfolio's final outcome is explained by just the first ten years of returns. Fidelity's research illustrates this with two hypothetical retirees who each start with $1 million and withdraw $50,000 a year, experiencing the same returns over 30 years in reverse order — one finishes with over $3 million, the other runs out of money by year 27. A dividend-income approach helps manage this risk by providing cash flow that reduces forced selling during down markets." } } ] } ] Should You Sell When the Market Drops? The Case for Staying Invested During Volatility By Tom Dupree, Founder — Dupree Financial Group  |  Last Updated: June 2026  |  dupreefinancial.com I have been managing money for 47 years. In that time, I have watched investors survive crashes, recessions, a pandemic, and a handful of moments that felt — from inside them — like the whole thing was coming apart. The ones who came through it best almost never did it by being clever about timing. They did it by staying invested when everything in them said to get out. That sounds simple. It is not. Because when the market is dropping and the financial news is relentless and your account balance is going the wrong direction, selling feels like the rational move. It feels like you are finally doing something instead of just watching it happen to you. But here is what I have seen happen to the investors who acted on that feeling. They sold. They waited for things to settle down. And by the time they felt safe enough to get back in, the market had already recovered most of the ground they were trying to protect themselves from losing. The exit was imperfect. The re-entry was worse. And the cost of both — measured in missed growth and missed dividends — followed them for years. This post is about staying invested during market volatility — what that actually means in practice, when it is right to hold, and how dividend income changes the calculation entirely for anyone approaching or already in retirement. Key Takeaways The best market days happen during the worst ones. Research shows 76% of the market’s best single days occur during bear markets or in the first two months of a new bull run. Exiting to avoid the declines means missing the recoveries. Dividends solve a problem index funds cannot. Income from your holdings lets you cover living expenses in retirement without selling assets at depressed prices — the key to managing sequence of returns risk. Valuation is not the same as market fear. The right reason to sell a position is a change in the company’s underlying value or business fundamentals — not a falling stock price. Cash is a valuation call, not a retreat. Holding more cash than usual signals that current prices don’t offer enough compelling opportunities — it preserves capital and creates optionality. Knowing what you own is not optional. Without understanding your underlying holdings, market price movements become your only signal — and that is exactly when emotional decision-making takes over. Why Panic Selling Costs More Than the Drop Itself There is a number I come back to every time markets get rough, and it never stops being striking. Seventy-six percent of the stock market’s best single days over the past 30 years occurred either during a bear market or in the first two months of a new bull market. Think about what that means in practical terms. The days that do the most to rebuild a damaged portfolio almost never arrive when things feel safe. They arrive in the middle of the chaos — often within days of the worst declines. Fidelity’s data makes the cost of missing those days concrete. A hypothetical $10,000 invested in the S&P 500 from 1988 through 2024 grew to over $500,000 for a buy-and-hold investor. Miss just the 5 best days over that entire period and that gain shrinks by 38%. Miss the 50 best days and the $500,000 portfolio is worth under $40,000. Same time period, same starting amount — the only difference is whether you were in the market on a handful of days you could not have predicted in advance. Most investors who exit during a decline are not planning to miss 30 or 40 good days. They are planning to get back in when things settle down. But the settling down and the best days are not separate events. They are the same event. The investor who moved to cash in March 2020 — when the news was genuinely terrifying — locked in losses right before one of the fastest recoveries in market history. The recovery did not wait for the all-clear signal. “Income from the portfolio tilts the table in your favor — it puts time back on your side while you wait for price appreciation.” — Tom Dupree, Dupree Financial Group I have watched this play out with investors who were half right. They called a decline correctly. The market went down, just as they predicted. But it did not go down as far as they expected, so they never pulled the trigger to buy back in — and then the market moved up, and their window closed. Being right about direction and wrong about magnitude still cost them. A partial win that turns into a full loss. The ego piece matters too. Once someone has made a public call to get out, getting back in means admitting the exit was a mistake. I have seen investors stay on the sidelines for years rather than admit they were wrong. The market moved on. They did not. Why Retirement Investors Face a Different Problem Than Everyone Else For investors who are still accumulating — still adding to their portfolios every month — a market decline is a nuisance. It may even be an opportunity. They are buyers, and lower prices mean they get more for their money. For investors who are drawing from their portfolios to pay for their lives, a market decline at the wrong time is something far more serious. There is a specific name for it: sequence of returns risk. Retirement researcher Wade Pfau has quantified the magnitude of this effect: approximately 77% of a portfolio’s final retirement outcome can be explained by the returns of just the first ten years. The first decade is not just an early chapter in a long story. For most retirees, it is most of the story. Fidelity puts a dollar figure on it. Two hypothetical retirees each start with $1 million and withdraw $50,000 a year, experiencing the exact same set of annual returns over 30 years — just in reverse order. The retiree whose strong years come first finishes with over $3 million. The one whose losses arrive first sees the portfolio gone by year 27. Same returns. Same withdrawals. Different sequence. Completely different life. This is the problem that average returns and long-term market graphs do not show you. They assume you are a lump sum sitting patiently in the market for decades, untouched. Most retirees are not that. They are drawing money out regularly. And when you are drawing money out, the order of returns matters as much as the average of them. I have said this on the show, and I will say it again here: Wall Street will show you long-term averages because averages look good. But averages do not pay your electric bill in a down market. What pays your electric bill is income — dividends arriving in your account regardless of what prices are doing. How Dividend Income Changes the Calculus on Staying Invested When a stock pays a meaningful dividend, the decision to sell it is not just a price decision. It is also a decision to give up a stream of income — potentially forever. That changes the analysis. Take a position like AGNC, a mortgage REIT that carries an above-average dividend yield. The price moves around. But the income it generates is meaningful, consistent, and independent of what the stock is doing on any given Tuesday. Selling to avoid price volatility means giving up that income. And over time, the income you give up typically exceeds whatever you thought you were protecting yourself from. The same logic applies to long-held pipeline stocks. The dividend yield on those positions for new buyers today is far less attractive than it was when we established our stake years ago. But we have continued to hold because the income stream we are receiving — based on our original cost basis — is still excellent, and we do not believe we can replicate that income at current prices. This is the part of portfolio management that does not show up in most financial planning software. It is not just about what a stock is worth today. It is about what it pays you while you hold it. A stock that generates consistent income buys you time — time to wait through price volatility without being forced into a sale, time for the thesis on the business to play out, time for the market to re-price something it has temporarily misjudged. That is what I mean when I say income puts time back on your side. In retirement, time is the asset you have the least of. Dividends give some of it back. When Does It Actually Make Sense to Sell? Staying invested does not mean holding everything forever. The argument against panic selling is not an argument against selling. It is an argument for selling with a reason — a real, company-specific, valuation-grounded reason. We trim positions when the math stops making sense. Earlier this year, we reduced our oil company holdings. Not because oil was going to collapse. Not because the market scared us. But because when we looked at the valuations, the stocks had gotten expensive relative to what the underlying business was actually producing. The commodity prices and the stock prices had diverged to a point where the math no longer worked in our favor. That is a logical reason to take some off the table. We also sold Kroger. That one took a little more explanation to clients. Kroger looks like a grocery company. And it is. But a meaningful portion of Kroger’s profitability runs through its fuel stations. When gasoline prices rise and consumption falls, that profit driver weakens. Meanwhile, the grocery side of the business had to contend with sharply higher food prices — which does not help unit volume. The business model was under real pressure on two fronts. The stock price had not fully caught up with that reality. So we sold. Notice what both of those decisions have in common. Neither one was driven by where the S&P 500 was trading or what the Federal Reserve said last week. Both were grounded in a specific company, a specific business dynamic, and a specific valuation judgment. That process has to be built into how you manage a portfolio from the beginning — not invented in the middle of a panic. Investor Howard Marks captured it well: “You can’t predict, but you can prepare.” The preparation is knowing, in advance, what would cause you to sell a given holding. Price hitting a specific valuation threshold? A change in the company’s earnings power? A dividend cut? Define it before the market gets rough, so you are not making those decisions under pressure. “You can’t predict, but you can prepare.” — Howard Marks, investor and co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management What a Large Cash Position Really Signals Right now, Dupree Financial Group holds roughly 35% of client portfolios in cash and short-duration bonds. That is well above our historical norm. And I want to be specific about what that means and what it does not mean. It does not mean we think the market is about to crash. Nobody knows that. It does not mean we are sitting on our hands. Cash in this rate environment still generates a return. What it does mean is that when we look at current equity valuations broadly — across the sectors we know well, the companies we follow closely — we are having a harder time finding things we want to own at current prices. Valuations look stretched relative to what the underlying businesses can reasonably deliver. And when we cannot find things worth buying at the price the market is asking, holding cash is not a failure of nerve. It is a rational response to what the market is offering. Here is the result we can point to: portfolios with that 35% defensive allocation have delivered returns comparable to some fully-invested indexes. Protecting retirement capital while generating competitive returns with meaningfully less risk — that is not a bad outcome. It is actually the whole point. We are not a hedge fund required to be 100% deployed. We are managing retirement money. That means the risk profile — not the potential return — has to come first. The sell discipline flows from the risk profile. Everything else follows from that. The Real Problem With Most 401(k) Portfolios I talk to a lot of people approaching retirement who, when I ask what they own, tell me the names of their funds. Fidelity Target Date 2025. Vanguard Total Market. Some growth fund their HR department selected in 2011. They do not know the underlying holdings. They do not know their actual sector exposure. They do not know what percentage of the fund is in companies that have become very expensive over the past few years, and what percentage is in companies that are still reasonably priced. They do not know whether any of their holdings pay meaningful dividends. What they do know is the price of the fund. And when the price goes down, that is the only signal they have. No context, no analysis, no understanding of whether the drop reflects something real or just a broad market reaction that will pass. So they feel fear. And some of them act on it. That is the trap. And it is compounded right now by something called recency bias — the tendency to assume that what has been happening will keep happening. Markets have gone up for a long time. New IPOs are capturing attention. There is enthusiasm in the air. And enthusiasm breeds complacency. People assume the funds that have been performing well will keep performing well, without checking whether the companies inside them still deserve their valuations. The major indexes have also undergone significant rotation lately — the companies that led for the past several years are no longer the leaders. If you hold a broad index fund and have not looked inside it recently, the portfolio you thought you owned may be meaningfully different from the one you actually own today. Know what you own. Why you own it. And what conditions would cause you to make a change. That is not a complicated framework. But without it, you are flying on instruments you cannot read in weather you did not see coming. What to Actually Do: A Framework for Staying Invested Wisely Here is how we think about it at Dupree Financial Group — and how I would encourage any retirement investor to think about it: Understand each holding before volatility arrives. Know what every position is, what it pays, what would make you sell it, and what would make you add to it. This should be settled before the market gets rough, not improvised in the middle of it. Build income into the portfolio. Dividend-paying holdings provide cash flow that lets you meet retirement expenses without selling assets at depressed prices. This is the most direct and reliable way to manage sequence of returns risk. Sell on valuation, not on fear. If the stock price has risen well beyond what the business justifies — or if something has fundamentally changed in how the company earns money — that is a reason to trim or exit. A declining stock price, by itself, is not. In fact, a declining price in a good business is often a reason to consider adding. Treat cash as a judgment about opportunity, not a retreat from markets. Holding cash is a statement that you do not currently see enough value to deploy it. It keeps you liquid for when better opportunities appear. It is not the same as giving up on investing. If you do not understand your portfolio, get help before the next downturn. You should be able to articulate, in plain terms, what you own and why. If you cannot, find someone who can help you get there. Not a product salesperson — a fiduciary who charges a fee to give you advice that is actually in your interest. Frequently Asked Questions Should I sell my investments when the stock market drops? Selling during a market drop is one of the costliest decisions a retirement investor can make. Research from Hartford Funds shows that 76% of the stock market’s best single days occurred during a bear market or in the first two months of a new bull market. Investors who exit to avoid the declines frequently miss the recoveries that follow almost immediately — often within days. Unless there is a fundamental, company-specific reason to sell, staying invested has historically been the better outcome. How does dividend income protect a retirement portfolio during volatility? Dividend income provides a return that doesn’t depend on stock prices rising. When markets fall, dividends continue to arrive and can cover living expenses without forcing a sale at depressed prices. For retirement investors managing sequence of returns risk, income from dividends reduces or eliminates the need to liquidate holdings at exactly the wrong moment — which is when the long-term damage typically gets done. What is the right way to decide when to sell a stock? The sell decision should be grounded in company-specific valuation and fundamentals — not broad market fear. A position may warrant trimming when its price has risen well beyond what the underlying business justifies, when the dividend yield for new buyers has become unattractive, or when the company’s core business model has changed materially. Selling because the market is falling, absent a specific reason tied to that company, is rarely the right call. Can you successfully time the stock market to avoid losses? Consistent broad market timing has an extremely poor track record. Fidelity’s analysis shows that a hypothetical $10,000 invested in the S&P 500 from 1988 through 2024 grew to over $500,000 for a buy-and-hold investor — but missing just 5 of the best days reduced those gains by 38%, and missing the 50 best days left the investor with under $40,000. The best and worst days cluster together, so exiting to avoid the bad ones typically means missing the good ones too. Valuation analysis on individual holdings is a more reliable guide than macro market calls. What is sequence of returns risk and why does it matter in retirement? Sequence of returns risk is the danger that poor market returns early in retirement — combined with ongoing withdrawals — permanently damage a portfolio before it can recover. Retirement researcher Wade Pfau found that roughly 77% of a portfolio’s final outcome is explained by just the first ten years of returns. Fidelity’s research puts a dollar figure on it: two hypothetical retirees, each starting with $1 million and withdrawing $50,000 a year, experience the same returns over 30 years but in reverse order — one finishes with over $3 million, the other runs out of money by year 27. A dividend-income approach helps manage this risk by providing cash flow that reduces forced selling during down markets. The Close: What the Market Does Not Owe You I learned this one the hard way early in my career, and it cost me personally and it cost some of my clients. The market does not care that you own something. It does not reward loyalty. It does not notice that you’ve held a position through three bad quarters and deserve a good one. The market is just the market. In the long run, it prices things with reasonable efficiency. In the short run, it is highly inefficient — driven by fear, greed, momentum, and a hundred other forces that have nothing to do with the underlying value of the businesses you own. Your job — and our job — is to understand value well enough to hold when the market underprices something good, and to step back when it overprices something we used to like. To get paid while we wait, through dividends. To stay optimistic enough to keep doing this at all, because investing requires belief that businesses will create value over time and that human ingenuity will keep generating things worth owning. None of that is possible if you sell every time it gets uncomfortable. Staying invested is not a passive act. Done right, it is one of the most disciplined things an investor can do. Related Reading and podcasts: The Tom Dupree Show — Full Episode Archive Dupree Financial Group — How We Build Income Portfolios What Is a Fee-Only Fiduciary and Why Does It Matter? Schedule a Complimentary Portfolio Review If you’re not sure whether your portfolio is built to generate income through market volatility — we’ll take a look. No charge. No pressure. Just an honest conversation about what you own and whether it’s working for you. Call: 859-233-0400  |  Visit: dupreefinancial.com About the Author Tom Dupree is the founder of Dupree Financial Group and has worked in the investment industry for 47 years. Dupree Financial Group is a fee-only, fiduciary Registered Investment Advisory firm based in Lexington, Kentucky, specializing in income-generating, dividend-paying portfolios for retirees and those approaching retirement. Tom hosts The Tom Dupree Show, a weekly radio program and podcast covering retirement investing topics in plain English. Dupree Financial Group is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. The information presented is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Securities mentioned are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Please consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. The post Staying Invested During Market Volatility: When to Hold and When to Sell | Dupree Financial appeared first on Dupree Financial.

While the market chases AI stocks and IPOs at 90x sales, Simon Erickson is looking in the opposite direction, at CME Group (NASDAQ:CME), the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, a business that doesn't care if markets go up or down. It just needs them to move. CME Group sits at the center of global derivatives trading across six asset classes, interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, energy, agriculture, and metals, capturing the bid-ask spread on every contract that clears through its platform. Q1 2026 delivered all-time records in both revenue (up 14% to nearly $2 billion) and average daily volume (36.2 million contracts/day, up 22%), with record volumes across all six product lines simultaneously.0:00 - Introduction and Overview of CME Group as a business3:31 - Review of CME's six product classes 6:41 - Review of Q1 2026 Results (from our 7investing Community Forum)8:42 - Why Kevin Warsh as the new Fed Chair will be important for CME Group10:48 - New Retail product lines: Crypto, e-mini futures, and even compute pricing14:18 - A look at CME Group's current valuation and why the stock has been selling off16:19 - Why we recently upgraded CME Group to a "Strong Buy" conviction rating 18:32 - Q&A with audience questions + a review of CME Group's capital allocation policiesThe business model is exceptional: near-zero variable costs as volumes scale, massive network effects, and a 70% operating margin in Q1 2026, up 250 basis points year over year. With geopolitical uncertainty (Iran oil prices, Russia/Eastern Europe conflict, China tariff tensions) and a brand new Federal Reserve Chairman in Kevin Walsh navigating rate policy, Simon believes 2026 and 2027 will bring more volatility, not less. That's directly in CME Group's favor. The company is also launching new products including Bitcoin volatility futures, e-mini S&P 500 and NASDAQ options at one-tenth standard contract size (opening the door to retail investors), and a first-of-its-kind AI compute futures product in partnership with Silicon Data Partner.CME Group is also returning serious capital to shareholders: a longstanding variable dividend policy that pays out 50% of annual earnings, plus a $3 billion share repurchase authorization, $500 million of which was deployed just last quarter, with $2.5 billion still available. CEO Terry Duffy is transitioning out after a decade at the helm, handing off to 20-year company veteran Lynn Fitzpatrick (currently President and CFO), in what Simon views as seamless succession planning. This is a company that knows exactly what it is and executes flawlessly.7investing upgraded CME Group to strong buy conviction in November 2024, the stock returned 51% by March 2026, nearly tripling the S&P 500 return over the same period. They've just upgraded it to strong buy again in June 2026. The stock has pulled back significantly from its March highs, and valuation multiples on price-to-earnings, price-to-sales, and price-to-free-cash-flow are all at five-year lows. If you want a stock that hedges against market chaos rather than suffering through it, CME Group is worth a serious look.Discuss CME Group with us in our 7investing Community Forum! https://discord.com/invite/PT9ZQqdXXSStocks & Companies Mentioned:CME Group (NASDAQ:CME)Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB) — teased for upcoming Friday episodeKalshi — private (prediction markets competitor)FMX Exchange — private (interest rate futures competitor)FanDuel — private (CME prediction markets partner)Silicon Data Partner — private (CME compute futures partner)#CMEGroup #CME #StockAnalysis #ValueInvesting #DividendStocks #HiddenGems #MarketVolatility #DerivativesTrading #InterestRates #Bitcoin #CryptoFutures #InvestingIn2026 #UndervaluedStocks #GrowthStocks #7investing #Simonerickson

THE TOM DUPREE SHOW  |  PODCAST SHOW NOTES When to Hold, When to Sell: Staying Invested Through Market Volatility The Tom Dupree Show  |  Dupree Financial Group  |  dupreefinancial.com  |  859-233-0400 Episode Description When markets get choppy, the instinct to move to the sidelines can feel overwhelming — but acting on that instinct often costs investors far more than the volatility itself. In this episode, Tom Dupree and Lead Advisor Mike Johnson walk through the discipline behind staying invested, explaining how Dupree Financial Group evaluates when to hold a position, when to trim, and when to walk away entirely. The conversation covers real examples from their current portfolio — including dividend-paying holdings, pipeline stocks, and a diesel engine company that became a quasi-AI play — to illustrate how valuation and income generation shape every buy, hold, and sell decision. Tom and Mike also explain why the firm carries a significant cash position right now, and what that signals about how they view current market valuations. “Income from the portfolio tilts the table in your favor — it puts time back on your side while you wait for price appreciation.” Topics Covered Why panic selling during volatility almost always harms long-term returns How dividend income changes the calculus on whether to hold or sell The difference between timing the market and assessing individual stock valuations Real portfolio decisions: oil companies, pipeline stocks, Kroger, and an AI-adjacent diesel play Why the firm is holding more cash than usual — and what it says about current valuations The perma-bull vs. perma-bear debate and why optimism is essential for long-term investors How a team-based investment approach produces better decisions than any single viewpoint Why most 401(k) holders don’t know what they own — and why that matters more than ever Key Takeaways Dividends give you staying power. When a holding generates consistent income, missing that payout by selling too early is a real cost. Income from your portfolio buys you time to wait out price swings without being forced to sell at the wrong moment. The market’s best days cluster around its worst ones. Nearly half of the 50 best market days over the past 30 years occurred during bear markets. Investors who exit to avoid the drops frequently miss the recoveries that follow within days. Valuation — not emotion — should drive selling decisions. Tom and Mike trim positions when the math no longer makes sense: oil company stocks trading 25% above where they were when oil prices were identical, or a grocery chain whose core margin driver is eroding. Logic, not fear, triggers the sell. You can’t time the market, but you can prepare for it. As investor Howard Marks has noted, the goal isn’t prediction — it’s preparation. Knowing what you own, why you own it, and at what price it becomes expensive puts you in a position to act with clarity rather than react with panic. Not all stocks are meant to be held forever. Some positions are designed to be traded; others are core long-term holds. Understanding the difference — and building that distinction into your process from the start — is what separates disciplined investing from guesswork. A cash position is itself a valuation statement. Dupree Financial Group currently holds a significant cash and bond allocation because valuations look stretched. That defensive posture has allowed the portfolio to perform comparably to fully-invested indexes while taking on meaningfully less risk. Know what you own. Many retirement investors hold mutual funds or target-date funds without understanding the underlying holdings. If price movements in your portfolio are a mystery to you, you’re letting emotions — not analysis — make your decisions for you. About The Tom Dupree Show The Tom Dupree Show is hosted by Tom Dupree, founder of Dupree Financial Group and a 47-year veteran of the investment business. Each episode covers the financial topics that matter most to retirees and those approaching retirement — in plain English, without the Wall Street spin. Dupree Financial Group is a fee-only, fiduciary Registered Investment Advisory firm based in Lexington, Kentucky. The firm manages separately managed accounts focused on income-generating, dividend-paying portfolios — no products sold, no commissions, no conflicts of interest. Past episodes are available at dupreefinancial.com under the podcast tab. Schedule a Complimentary Portfolio Review If you’re not sure whether your portfolio is built to generate income through market volatility — we’ll take a look. No charge. No pressure. Just an honest conversation about what you own and whether it’s working for you. Call: 859-233-0400  |  Visit: dupreefinancial.com Dupree Financial Group is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. The information presented is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Securities mentioned are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation to buy or sell. Please consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.The post Staying Invested During Market Volatility: When to Hold and When to Sell appeared first on Dupree Financial.

What if trying to hit financial “home runs” is actually hurting your retirement plan? From this past weekend’s radio show, Abe Abich explains why a “singles and doubles” approach—steady, consistent decisions—can shape a more stable retirement strategy. The episode explores the risks of emotional investing, the importance of staying invested through market swings, and how overlooked “slow leak” expenses can gradually impact savings. Abe also shares real client scenarios to highlight the value of building a clear income plan designed to handle both expected needs and life’s surprises. Schedule your complimentary appointment today: TheRetirementKey.com Get a free copy of Abe’s book: The Retirement Mountain: The 7 Steps To A Long-Lasting Retirement Follow us on social media: YouTube | Instagram | Facebook | LinkedInSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

What happens to your retirement plan when inflation starts climbing again? This episode with Matt Deaton breaks down the latest inflation trends, how rising energy costs ripple through the economy, and why the Federal Reserve faces a tough balancing act. You’ll also hear how market volatility, valuations, and signals from major investors are shaping today’s environment. The conversation highlights the importance of diversification, risk management strategies, and building a plan that can adapt—whether markets move up or down. For more information or to schedule a consultation, call 480-680-6868 or visit www.successinthenewretirement.com! Follow us on social media: Facebook | LinkedInSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mike Switzer interviews Becca Mathis, a certified financial planner with Jeter Hrubala Wealth Strategies in Spartanburg, SC.

Is the 4% rule still relevant—or quietly outdated? Abe Abich explores how today’s economic conditions have reshaped this long-standing retirement guideline. While the rule can still serve as a starting point, updated research suggests a wider range and greater emphasis on flexibility. From lower expected returns and inflation concerns to longer retirements, Abe breaks down why a static withdrawal strategy may fall short. Learn how adapting withdrawals, building income sources, and adjusting spending over time can better align with modern retirement planning. Schedule your complimentary appointment today: TheRetirementKey.com Get a free copy of Abe’s book: The Retirement Mountain: The 7 Steps To A Long-Lasting Retirement Follow us on social media: YouTube | Instagram | Facebook | LinkedInSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

What if your “set it and forget it” retirement plan is quietly turning into a financial ticking time bomb? This episode breaks down why taxes can remain one of your largest expenses in retirement and how deferring them may actually increase your burden. You’ll hear why autopilot investing can create hidden risks, especially as retirement approaches, and how portfolio drift can leave you overexposed without realizing it. The conversation also explores market uncertainty, income planning gaps, and the importance of reliable income streams to cover essentials. From tax strategies to portfolio adjustments, this episode highlights how coordination, not guesswork—shapes a more stable retirement path. About America's Retirement Headquarters: We are dedicated to helping retirees achieve the retirement they deserve. From crafting personalized retirement income strategies to providing a single location for all your retirement solutions, our goal is to guide you every step of the way. Let us help you navigate the complexities of retirement so that you can enjoy financial confidence and peace of mind. Visit Us: 1700 Woodlands Drive, Maumee, OH 43537 Call Us: 419-794-3030See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Are today’s booming markets flashing warning signs from the past? In this episode from this past weekend’s radio show, Abe Abich breaks down comparisons between today’s market surge and historical downturns, and what that could mean for those nearing or in retirement. He highlights the importance of staying cautious during strong market runs, rethinking Roth conversion strategies beyond simple projections, and preparing for potential tax changes. The conversation also covers building flexible retirement income plans designed to adapt to market swings, inflation, and evolving personal goals. Schedule your complimentary appointment today: TheRetirementKey.com Get a free copy of Abe’s book: The Retirement Mountain: The 7 Steps To A Long-Lasting Retirement Follow us on social media: YouTube | Instagram | Facebook | LinkedInSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The conversation covers market volatility, the impact of the Fed interest rate decision, and the uncertainty surrounding the Iranian deal. It also delves into the importance of estate planning and the potential consequences of not having an estate plan in place. The host provides insights into common estate planning mistakes and the significance of updating beneficiaries and funding the trust.TakeawaysMarket volatility can be influenced by geopolitical events and presidential comments.Estate planning is crucial for protecting and providing for one's family in the event of incapacity or death.Chapters00:00 Market Volatility and Fed Interest Rate Decision05:47 Key Takeaways from Kevin Warsh's Interest Rate Decision18:11 Post-Fed Interest Rate Decision Analysis32:05 Estate Planning and Family Protection46:42 Common Estate Planning Mistakes

On this episode: The over heated stock market, the war, and inflation: Are these things keeping you from retiring? Have we found the perfect number for your IRA-to-Roth conversion? The purpose for a Will and how you spend your inheritance. Subscribe or follow so you never miss an episode! Check out Fire Your Financial Advisor on YouTube! Learn more at GoldenReserve.com or follow on social: Facebook & LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The stock market crashes about once every three years—at least a 20% drop. Most investors panic and sell. But if you understood why markets always recover, you'd do the opposite. Brian Feroldi reveals three mechanical forces that guarantee long-term market resilience, transforming market crashes from terrifying events into predictable opportunities. Key Topics Discussed Introduction to Market Resilience (00:00:00) Brad Barrett introduces the concept of understanding market recovery through fundamental mechanics rather than accepting it on faith. Understanding Market Crashes (00:05:00) Brian explains crash frequency: 10% drops every eleven months, 15% every two years, 20% every three years, 30% once a decade, and 40%+ drops two to three times per century. Force #1: Stocks Follow Earnings (00:10:00) The first fundamental force—stock prices track corporate earnings over time. Brian introduces the man-and-dog analogy: the man (profits) walks steadily uphill while the dog (prices) runs wild on an elastic leash. Watch the man, not the dog. Force #2: Earnings Always Recover (00:25:00) Brian breaks down the five-phase economic recovery process: cost-cutting, cleansing, government intervention, innovation, and emergence. The Forest Fire Analogy (00:32:00) Economic downturns function like forest fires—clearing deadwood, eliminating weak competitors, and creating optimal conditions for new growth. The COVID pandemic demonstrated this: remote work jumped from under 10% to over 90% in four months. Force #3: Profits Rise Over Time (00:48:00) Five systematic drivers cause profits to rise: productivity gains, inflation, innovation, geographic expansion, and population growth. These forces ensure long-term upward trajectory despite temporary setbacks. Investor Psychology and Closing Thoughts (00:55:00) Discussion about investor behavior during crashes and the importance of saving this episode for future market downturns when emotional fortitude matters most. Notable Quotes "Stocks follow earnings. As go the earnings of a company or an index, also goes the price or the market value of that same index." — Brian Feroldi "The best time to buy is at the period of maximum pessimism. And the period of maximum pessimism is precisely when you absolutely do not want to buy." — Brian Feroldi "Ninety percent of good investing is how you behave in the 10% of time that things are not going well." — Brian Feroldi "Think of the man walking a dog on an elastic leash. The man represents profits, the dog represents stock prices. Watch the man, not the dog." — Brian Feroldi "Innovation accelerates when times are tough. Necessity is the mother of invention." — Brad Barrett and Brian Feroldi Key Takeaways Google "S&P 500 earnings" and study the 100-year chart showing earnings rather than just stock prices to see the steady upward march of the "man" Save this episode in your investor policy statement to re-listen during the next market crash when you need psychological reinforcement Set up automatic dollar-cost averaging contributions to retirement accounts and commit to never stopping them during downturns Review your asset allocation if you're within 10 years of financial independence to ensure appropriate risk levels and cash cushions Markets typically bottom when news is worst because prices predict earnings recovery 6-9 months ahead Resources and Links Why Does the Stock Market Go Up? by Brian Feroldi The Simple Path to Wealth by JL Collins JL Collins Guided Meditation for Market Drops Afford Anything Podcast with Paula Pant Camp FI Brian Feroldi on YouTube Brian Feroldi on Twitter/X Brian Feroldi on Instagram Brian Feroldi on Threads

Is the market acting more like a casino than a place to invest? In this episode from this past weekend’s radio show, Abe Abich shares the story behind his 50-mile charity run before shifting to today’s investing environment and what it may mean for those nearing retirement. The conversation covers Warren Buffett’s recent comments, why guardrails matter in a retirement strategy, and how income planning goes beyond simple math. Abe also walks through real client scenarios to highlight how organization, diversification, and distribution planning can shape retirement decisions. Schedule your complimentary appointment today: TheRetirementKey.com Get a free copy of Abe’s book: The Retirement Mountain: The 7 Steps To A Long-Lasting Retirement Follow us on social media: YouTube | Instagram | Facebook | LinkedInSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Marta Norton breaks down market volatility driven by concentrated moves in semiconductor and memory stocks alongside geopolitical tensions. She also discusses how the SpaceX IPO could open the door for deals from Anthropic and OpenAI, while highlighting consumer spending trends and key metrics to watch for AI investment returns.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Today, a look at what the further acceleration in US- and other market volatility means, particularly for the highly speculative chip stocks that have seen the greatest gains this year, even on a day when the broader market and median stock closed in the green. Elsewhere, gold is melting down and faces a critical support level soon if the selling continues. This and much more on macro and FX also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links Today's only link is to an excellent FT op-ed "Why are we still arguing about the Industrial revolution?" that complains about the attempt to use poor quality 19th century data that provides few insights on how the Industrial Revolution transformed society and the types of available jobs as we attempt to anticipate how AI will transform our current society and the job market. Instead, we should consult the best fiction writers of the time, who provide excellent qualitative documentation of the impact of the industrial revolution.  About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.  

Markets are getting increasingly unstable as investors react to hotter inflation, violent sector rotation, and new concerns about how long the U.S. oil system can keep drawing down commercial inventories.Chuck Zodda and Marc Fandetti break down why the latest CPI report is keeping pressure on the Fed, how crude oil inventories actually work, and why the U.S. may be closer to minimum operating levels than the headline numbers suggest. They also discuss what continued oil drawdowns could mean for late-summer prices, why Social Security's projected shortfall has moved earlier, how airlines are preparing for possible winter capacity cuts, and why Anthropic's new Claude Fable 5 rollout may be tied to its coming IPO.

Retirement doesn’t silence the noise—it just changes it. This episode with Jackie Campbell explores how media headlines, geopolitical concerns, and emotional reactions can derail long-term planning, plus why a structured strategy matters more than ever. The discussion covers investment “buckets,” managing risk in retirement, and avoiding panic-driven decisions. It also highlights real-world scam tactics and how to spot them before they cost you. Plus, reflections from a unique Mar-a-Lago experience and a conversation on work ethic and the American dream add a broader perspective to today’s financial landscape. For more information or to schedule a consultation call 352-251-1015 or visit www.mycampbellandco.com! Follow us on social media: Facebook | YouTube | X | InstagramSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Even with millions saved, retirement questions don’t disappear—they just change. This episode with Christian McPherson explores common concerns like market volatility, long-term care, and economic uncertainty, alongside practical ways to prepare for them. The conversation highlights building a structured plan, managing risk, and creating “guardrails” to protect income. It also touches on client relationships, second opinions, and staying focused on long-term goals. Plus, insights from a professional athlete bring a unique perspective on navigating life’s next chapter. For more information visit www.artofmoney.com! Follow us on social media: YouTube | Instagram | Facebook | LinkedInSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Most investors lose to the market because they're trying to pick winners in a game where only 4% of stocks have created 100% of market wealth over the past century. The math isn't in your favor—but there's a simpler path that is. Key Topics Discussed Introduction to FI 201 (00:00:00) Jonathan introduces the concept of Financial Independence 201, explaining how it builds on FI 101 to help individuals progress from control to optimization and independence on their FI journey. The Genesis of FI 201 (00:05:30) Allen and Kristen explain how they identified the need for a 201-level presentation based on questions emerging from their St. Louis FI 101 sessions, particularly around investing concepts. Asset Allocation Fundamentals (00:15:00) Allen breaks down asset allocation as 'your money pie,' discussing how to balance growth, safety, and emergency funds while considering time horizons and diversification strategies. Risk Tolerance vs Risk Capacity (00:22:00) The team explores the critical difference between emotional risk tolerance and actual risk capacity, using examples from 2008 and 2020 market crashes to illustrate real-world application. Tax-Advantaged Account Strategies (00:35:00) Allen and Brad discuss the various tax treatments of investment accounts including 401(k)s, 457(b)s, Roth IRAs, HSAs, and taxable brokerage accounts, emphasizing lifetime tax optimization. Individual Stocks vs Index Funds (00:48:00) The hosts examine the data on individual stock picking, revealing that only 4% of stocks have contributed to 100% of market wealth over the past century, making a strong case for index investing. Dividends and Tax Control (00:55:00) Brad and Allen discuss why the FI community often prefers capital gains over dividend income, focusing on the importance of maintaining control over when and how you realize taxable events. Notable Quotes "You can't save your way to FI, you have to invest." — Allen Hansen "When there's a dip, you essentially get to buy the market on sale. If you love a bargain, this is it." — Brad Barrett "Why in the world do we not think that way when it comes to the market? Our brain completely flips. We're like, ah, we're scared." — Kristen Knapp "It's not what's my tax this year. It is what is going to be my tax burden over my lifetime." — Brad Barrett "The best investing lesson: stand there and do nothing. If you're invested, just don't do anything and you're going to be rewarded." — Allen Hansen Key Takeaways Assess your own risk tolerance and risk capacity honestly by considering how you would react to a 30% portfolio drop Review your current asset allocation across all accounts and determine if it aligns with your time horizon and financial goals Calculate the difference between your marginal and effective tax rates to understand your true tax burden Identify which tax-advantaged accounts you have access to (401k, 457b, 403b, HSA, IRA) and ensure you're maximizing employer matches Track every dollar of taxable income if you're on ACA subsidies or approaching any subsidy cliffs to avoid losing benefits Consider whether you have the right balance between taxable, tax-deferred, and tax-free accounts for maximum flexibility in retirement Join or start a local FI group to benefit from community wisdom and learn from others at different stages of the journey Review your portfolio for dividend-heavy investments and consider whether you'd prefer more control over when you realize taxable events Resources & Links FI Friends Travel The Simple Path to Wealth by J.L. Collins Tax Planning to and Through Early Retirement by Sean Mullaney and Cody Garrett ChooseFI Community App St. Louis FI Group BlackBerry Documentary (Netflix) Arizona State University Stock Market Wealth Study Brian Feroldi (individual stock investing advocate) Investopedia

Don't underestimate the benefits of portfolio diversification. A well-diversified portfolio can ride waves of market volatility, and new Morningstar research found that's what happened in 2025. When uncertainty emerged at times during the generally bullish market, the report identifies which asset classes performed well, which didn't, and how the classic 60/40 portfolio fared. So, what are the biggest challenges for portfolio diversification today? Amy Arnott is one of the co-authors of the 2026 Diversification Landscape Report. Why Portfolio Diversification Has Paid Off—but More Isn't Always Better   On this episode: 00:00:00 Welcome  00:01:19 Market trends shaping investor sentiment in 2026  00:02:27 Leading and lagging asset classes year to date  00:03:15 Inside Morningstar's 2026 Diversification Landscape Report  00:04:11 60/40 vs. diversified test portfolio and how each performed  00:07:38 Rising inflation and what it means for bonds  00:10:48 How retirees and risk-averse investors can manage volatility   Watch more from Morningstar: The Best Opportunities for Fund Investors Today Will Vacation Inflation Affect Your Summer Travel? Here's What to Know Bond ETF Flows Just Flipped. Here's What It Means for You   Follow Morningstar on social: Facebook https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/ X https://x.com/MorningstarInc Instagram https://www.instagram.com/morningstarinc/?hl=en LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/company/morningstar/posts/?feedView=all   Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

As the federal government continues to print more money, the value of the dollar decreases. Other countries are already beginning to trade in alternative currencies to the dollar. With economic uncertainty, including inflation and other types of market instability, risk mitigation is key. That's why hard assets with a component of scarcity in a portfolio make sense for capital preservation. One of the better examples is precious metals like gold. Gold holds its value and even increases in downturns. Gold hit new highs in 2025. Dana Samuelson, President of the American Gold Exchange, has decades of experience with rare U.S. gold coins and other precious metals.

Don celebrates the continued success of the Friday Q&A format and the encouraging first week of sales for his novel The Line Uncrossed, including a strong Kirkus review, before tackling a series of listener questions centered on retirement income and fixed income investing. He explains how his combination of cash reserves, a CD ladder, and bond funds supports a disciplined withdrawal strategy, discusses why diversified bond funds like BND still play an important role in reducing portfolio volatility, rejects the idea that Social Security and pension income should be counted as bond allocations within an investment portfolio, argues against the concept of a reverse glide path that increases stock exposure later in retirement, and shares lessons learned from decades of entrepreneurship about balancing investments in a business versus the market. Throughout the episode, he emphasizes diversification, discipline, investor behavior, and the importance of managing volatility rather than chasing returns.0:05 Why listener questions remain Don's favorite part of talk radio after 40+ years1:16 Friday Q&A episodes continue to be the most downloaded shows each week1:50 Easier ways to submit questions through the redesigned Talking Real Money website2:42 First-week sales update on The Line Uncrossed and reader support3:21 Positive Kirkus review and details on the ebook bundle4:48 How Don uses cash, bond funds, and a CD ladder during retirement8:00 Why BND and total bond market funds remain useful fixed income tools11:22 Should Social Security and pensions count as bonds in your allocation?14:26 Why Don believes reverse glide paths are a bad retirement strategy17:34 Investing in your own business versus investing in the market21:23 Why compliance reviews delay listener questions from airingQuestions? Comments? Click!

Retirement rarely goes exactly according to plan—and this episode of the Retire Sooner Podcast tackles the real-life financial curveballs that may affect the timeline. Join Wes Moss and special guest host Mallory Boggs for a fast-moving conversation on early retirement, market volatility, taxes, rollover IRAs, annuities, direct indexing, and diversification strategies. • Explore why many Americans retire earlier than expected and how health issues, caregiving responsibilities, and job loss may reshape retirement plans. • Learn how thoughtful retirement income planning, IRA rollover decisions, and mortgage strategies may help create more financial flexibility. • Compare the pros, cons, and tradeoffs of annuities, direct indexing, tax-loss harvesting, and alternative investment strategies beyond the traditional 60/40 portfolio. • Understand why unusually fast stock market recoveries have historically been less common, and why long-term investors often focus on perspective over prediction. • Examine practical planning considerations for high-income earners, looking at tax efficiency, portfolio diversification, and varying levels of investment risk. Listen and subscribe to the Retire Sooner Podcast for more conversations on retirement planning, investing, taxes, and navigating today's financial landscape with a clear, practical long-term perspective. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Don and Tom unload on sensationalized financial journalism, taking aim at recent articles claiming the 4% withdrawal rule and classic 60/40 portfolios are “failing” retirees. They argue that the media increasingly prioritizes fear-driven headlines over practical investing wisdom, pushing emotionally charged narratives that ignore investor behavior and long-term historical returns. The duo also push back against claims that target-date funds could wipe out retirees, explaining why diversified portfolios remain far less risky than headlines suggest. Listener questions cover Robinhood's controversial 2% transfer bonus, SEC transaction fees on ETF sales, Roth IRA liquidity concerns, rebalancing discipline, and the dangers of emotionally reacting to politics and markets. Along the way, Don discusses the release of his Civil War novel The Line Uncrossed, while Tom manages to squeeze in Morse code, Rasputin, and model bomber references for absolutely no good reason whatsoever.0:05 Don and Tom rant about the collapse of quality financial journalism1:43 Criticism of Money.com article attacking the 4% rule and 60/40 portfolios2:44 Morningstar's 3.7% withdrawal study versus the traditional 4% rule4:21 Why “100% stocks beats 60/40” ignores investor psychology and risk tolerance5:03 Emotional pain, market crashes, and why most investors cannot handle full equity exposure6:02 Financial media sensationalism and clickbait retirement headlines7:32 Seattle Times article warning target-date funds could destroy retiree savings8:35 Critique of claims that target-date funds are dangerously risky at retirement9:41 Discussion of Vanguard 2025 target-date allocation and global diversification12:00 Why diversified global portfolios are far less risky than fearmongers suggest13:16 Media outrage, sensationalism, and why Talking Real Money avoids scare tactics14:48 Listener comment about Don's books appearing on Amazon15:15 Reality check on book royalties and publishing economics15:49 Discussion of Don's Civil War novel The Line Uncrossed17:19 Book pricing, Kindle strategy, and avoiding Amazon exclusivity18:41 Transition to listener questions19:10 Caller asks about Robinhood's 2% IRA transfer bonus and possible tax issues20:10 Why IRA transfers and Robinhood bonuses are generally not taxable21:05 Concerns about Robinhood's gamified investing culture versus Vanguard's philosophy22:03 Risks of getting lured into speculative products after transferring assets22:59 Caller explains working with a fee-only fiduciary advisor and self-managing investments24:48 SEC transaction fees on ETF sales explained25:47 Why the SEC fee is effectively meaningless for ordinary investors26:15 Listener question about moving Roth IRA money to CDs due to market fears29:10 Why emotionally reacting to politics and market fears can hurt long-term investing31:17 Importance of maintaining an appropriate long-term asset allocation31:41 Tom jokes nervously about a meeting with HRQuestions? Comments? Click!

Volatility has investors nervous again… but historically, emotional reactions during turbulent markets have often led to the worst investing decisions.Today's Stocks & Topics: Tractor Supply Company (TSCO), Market Wrap, Virtus Reaves Utilities ETF (UTES), Fidelity MSCI Utilities Index ETF (FUTY), Market Volatility Isn't the Problem — Emotional Investing Is, Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH), Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD), Eaton Corporation plc (ETN), International Business Machines Corporation (IBM), New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, Super Ads.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands