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Phil Rosen believes the recent tech sell-off has been overblown and creates new buying opportunities for investors. As for the TPU and GPU discussions surrounding Alphabet (GOOGL) and Nvidia (NVDA), he sees both companies continuing to prosper for the foreseeable future. Phil tells investors to brace for a Santa Claus rally as he sees many headwinds behind markets. He also sees a more dovish FOMC once Jerome Powell leaves his position as Fed chair. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Just as markets were looking shaky, NY Fed President John Williams dropped dovish comments that spiked the odds of a December rate cut.Today's Stocks & Topics: Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI), Market Wrap, ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW), “The "Dovish" Pivot: December Rate Cut Odds Jump”, Vanguard Mid-Cap Growth Index Fund ETF Shares (VOT), Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF (VGK), NICE Ltd. (NICE), Black Friday, Buying Options, Stride, Inc. (LRN), ‘Big Short' investor Michael Burry on A-I.Our Sponsors:* Check out Incogni: https://incogni.com/investtalk* Check out Invest529: https://www.invest529.com* Check out NordProtect: https://nordprotect.com/investalk* Check out Progressive: https://www.progressive.com* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/INVEST* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
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Singapore shares dipped today as global investors continue to mull the possibility of a US interest rate reduction in December. The Straits Times Index was down 0.3% at 4,483.00 points at 2.29pm Singapore time, with a value turnover of S$857.89M seen in the broader market. In terms of counters to watch, we have Keppel, after the firm inked a deal with JTC to embark on a 2026 study that focuses on a microgrid testbed for renewables and trials demand-response solutions. Elsewhere, from more on the dovish comments made by Federal Reserve officials, to how WeRide narrowed its third-quarter net loss on increased robotaxi orders – more international and corporate headlines remained in focus. On Market View, Money Matters’ finance presenter Chua Tian Tian unpacked the developments with Thilan Wickramasinghe, Head of Equity Research, Maybank Securities.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Ouça o que movimentou o mercado nesta sexta-feira.
In this episode of AIB Market Talk, host Joanne McCabe from AIB's Customer Treasury Services team is joined by Senior Economist John Fahey to unpack the latest developments in global financial markets.Tune in as they discuss:The outcomes of recent ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve meetings, including policy decisions and market surprises.Why the ECB remains steady, the Fed delivered a rate cut but with less dovish guidance, and the Bank of England signals a possible cut in December.The impact of the US government shutdown on monetary policy and market data, and how its resolution could influence the Fed's next move.Currency market trends, with a focus on the US dollar's renewed momentum, euro-dollar forecasts, and the factors shaping sterling's outlook ahead of the UK budget.Insights into interest rate expectations for the eurozone, US, UK, and Japan, and what these mean for investors and businesses as we approach year-end.Whether you're a business leader, investor, or simply keen to stay informed, this episode delivers expert analysis on the forces driving today's markets. Subscribe to AIB Market Talk for regular updates and insights from AIB's team of specialists.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
Ouça o que movimentou o mercado nesta terça-feira.
This week, our Global FX Strategists discuss whether the hawkish Fed surprise changes the outlook for the dollar, how we're thinking about USD/JPY forecasts after a dovish BoJ meeting, and whether recent political events in Asia moves the needle for G10 & EM FX. Speakers Arindam Sandilya, Global FX Strategy Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy Junya Tanase, Japan Markets Research This podcast was recorded on 31 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5121407-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates 25 basis points, as widely expected. Art Hogan breaks down the decision, saying it's not about the rate cut itself but about the language used in the Fed statement and what it means for future monetary policy. Hogan notes the Fed is defending its full employment mandate while keeping inflation on pause, but still has work to do to support the labor market, particularly for lower-income Americans. He also expects more dovish moves from the Fed, including potentially another 75 basis points of rate cuts, to stimulate job growth and keep the economy expanding.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Michael Reinking, Senior Market Strategist at the NYSE, recaps a week where the Fed cut rates 25 basis points, lifting markets to record highs. U.S.-China talks, including a framework for a TikTok deal, eased tensions and supported global indices. Strong retail sales added momentum, though not inflation adjusted. Small caps outperformed following the Fed's move. Reinking flags the Trump-Xi call, triple-witching, and PMI and PCE data as next week's key drivers.
This week, we discuss the Fed rate cut and dovish pivot, exacerbating the K-shaped economy, why the dollar could be bottoming, and why gold helps Quinn sleep at night. We also dig into Bitcoin's correlation to gold, the hollowing out of public markets by private credit, and more. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance — Join us at Origin Summit https://www.originsummit.xyz/ Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for £100 OFF https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london __ Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BX16NXlhxAHHCXiWc9o1EJ2-S20K-sZF/view?usp=sharing — This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): vaneck.com/SMHXFelix — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (03:38) Origin Summit (04:18) Why Are We Cutting Again? (11:30) Cutting Into a Hot Economy? (13:06) VanEck Ad (13:50) Cutting Into a Hot Economy? (17:16) What's Next for the Dollar? (21:39) Market Structure & Asset Allocation (26:47) Is the Gold Trade Still Alive? (28:28) VanEck Ad (29:13) Bitcoin vs Gold (33:52) Private vs Public Markets (48:22) Generational and Class Politics (50:50) Optimism for the Future — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
In this episode, we discuss how the Federal Reserve cited increasing risks to the U.S. labor market as a reason to ease monetary policy. The discussion and content provided within this podcast is intended for informational purposes only and may not be appropriate for all investors. Reliance upon information provided in a podcast is at the sole responsibility of the listener. The information included herein is not based on any particularized financial situation, or need, and is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, a forecast, research, investment advice or a recommendation for any specific PIMCO or other security, strategy, product or service. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Investors should speak to their financial advisors regarding the investment mix that may be right for them based on their financial situation and investment objective. Podcasts may involve discussions with non-PIMCO personnel and such content contain the current opinions of the speaker but not necessarily those of PIMCO. Other podcasts may consist of audio recording of an existing PIMCO article and such material contains the current opinions of the manager. The opinions expressed in all podcasts are subject to change without notice. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. PIMCO as a general matter provides services to qualified institutions, financial intermediaries and institutional investors. This is not an offer to any person in any jurisdiction where unlawful or unauthorized. For additional important information go to www.pimco.com/gbl/en/general/legal-pages/podcast-disclosures
MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
The STI opened higher at 4,315 points but closed down 0.2% at 4,302 as early momentum faded. Across Asia, markets were mixed after the Fed’s rate shift, with eyes on an upcoming Trump-Xi call.Japan’s Nikkei slipped 0.59% after the BOJ held rates steady, while Taiwan is poised to overtake South Korea in GDP per capita as early as 2025. What do these signals mean for investors? And where might the next opportunities or risks emerge?On Market View, Nadiah Koh breaks down these developments with Benjamin Goh, Head of Research and Investor Education at SIAS.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Fed cut rates by 25bps to 4.00-4.25%, as expected, citing a shift in risk balance. Bowman and Waller joined consensus, calling for a 25bps reduction; new Governor Miran dissented, preferring a 50bps cut.Nine of the 19 Fed officials see two additional cuts in 2025, two see one cut, and six see no more reductions.Fed Chair Powell said he doesn't feel the need to move quickly on rates, and that “you could think of the cut as a risk management cut”, and that decisions will be taken on a meeting-by-meeting approach.Markets saw an initial dovish reaction to the FOMC statement followed by a hawkish reversal heading into and during Chair Powell's press conference. Fed rate cut in December still fully priced in.APAC stocks traded mixed following the choppy reaction to the FOMC meeting; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.5%.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobless Claims, New Zealand Trade Balance (Aug), BoE Announcement, Norges Bank Announcement, SARB Announcement, Speakers include ECB's Lagarde, de Guindos, Nagel & Schnabel, US President Trump & UK PM Starmer press conference, Supply from Spain, France & US, Earnings from FedEx & Lennar.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Send us a textFed lowers rates by 25bps, Gov. Miran votes for a bigger cut. Dot plot revised lower but failed to match market expectations. Dollar slides initially but quickly rebounds, stocks and gold retreat. BoE and BoJ expected to stand pat, vote and guidance in focus.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Brian Mulberry and Ryan Stever preview tomorrow's Fed announcement. Ryan doesn't see the “alarm bells ringing” for a rate cut and doesn't see a long-term rate cut cycle as necessary. Brian is focused on the language out of the Fed, saying a cut tomorrow is priced in so what's important is what they see ahead. Ryan maintains that the Fed's independence is paramount as Stephen Miran is confirmed to the board.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
David Doyle says a 25bps is largely baked in and wouldn't move the needle. Instead, says the Dot Plot (or Summary of Economic Projections) would be viewed as a more significant market-moving item. He says a 50bps rate cut is certainly possible with Trump appointee Stephen Miran joining the Fed for the September meeting. David adds that it could be "tricky" to expect the Dot Plot to move to a dovish direction in 2025, but says 2026 could be set up for more rate cuts.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Ahead of the Fed's September meeting, Ahmed Riesgo says it's not just a rate cut that will be critical for markets. He believes dovish guidance for a rate cutting cycle is critical in order to keep investors happy. However, Ahmed explains cases where a post-meeting sell-off can be a "buying opportunity."======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Send us a textUS employment expected to be revised down by 800,000 for year to March. A bigger revision could bolster bets for 50-bps rate cut in September. Dovish expectations pummel bond yields and dollar, lift stocks and gold. Euro and French bonds stay calm after PM Bayrou ousted.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
How do you build a portfolio that doesn't just survive volatility—but thrives in it? Jeff Sarti, CEO of Morton Wealth, joins the Futures Edge with Jim Iuorio and Bobby Iaccino for a masterclass in resilient investing. Jeff unpacks why diversification is so often misunderstood, how to weigh gold against Bitcoin in today's landscape, and what investors must understand about inflation, Fed policy shifts, and the evolving role of private credit. This isn't just theory—it's actionable insight for anyone looking to strengthen their portfolio, elevate their financial decision-making, and engage more intentionally in wealth planning. Whether you're trading the markets or investing for the long term, Jeff's perspective will reframe how you approach risk, resilience, and protecting your financial future.What You'll Learn In This Episode: - Diversification is widely misunderstood but essential for resilience.- Gold remains a core asset—despite the rise of Bitcoin.- Liquidity and financial engineering drive markets more than many realize.- Private credit offers opportunities, but not without risks.- Inflation should reshape your investment strategy.TIMESTAMPS:00:00 Introduction and Weather Talk02:14 Overview of Morton Wealth03:39 Market Analysis and Investment Strategies07:36 Diversification and Asset Allocation10:08 Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Comparative Analysis19:11 The Role of Gold in Modern Finance21:15 Private Equity and Asset-Based Lending27:48 Current Economic Climate and Fed Policies28:22 The Political Landscape of Jerome Powell30:36 Dovish or Hawkish? The Fed's Future Direction32:50 The Impact of Interest Rates on the Economy37:23 Housing Market Dynamics and Rate Cuts39:01 The Role of Financial Education in Wealth Management50:16 Private Credit: Risks and Opportunities
Jared and Cameron discuss various market trends, including Cracker Barrel's rebranding and drubbing (yes, really); reactions to Jackson Hole for stocks, bonds, the US dollar, gold, and silver; and the implications of government intervention in private enterprises. They also cover investment strategies for older investors who are loaded up on tech stocks and look ahead to upcoming economic indicators that could impact the market—namely, Nvidia earnings and PCE.
In the latest Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbinder and Chief Technical Strategist Adam Turnquist discuss how the Federal Reserve saved the week for stocks, use charts to illustrate a broadening market rally, share takeaways from the Fed's Jackson Hole meeting, and preview the week ahead. Tracking #787687
10Y yields should fall if Fed more dovish than expected Leading up to Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, the market has priced in a high likelihood of a 25bp cut at the September FOMC meeting. The prospect of rate cuts has helped to lift homebuilding stocks and the group is up 16% since the end of June. But the 10Y Treasury yield is more relevant for homebuyers taking out fixed-rate or even adjustable-rate mortgages. So a key question is how Fed cuts, which should come--it's just a question of when--may impact long rates. And if rate cuts do result in lower 10Y Treasury yields, what does it mean for affordability. Mark Cabana believes that a very dovish Fed, even amidst a backdrop of higher than desired inflation, could still manage to push long rates lower. Rafe Jadrosich talks about affordability and regional housing dynamics, given that supply is above 2019 levels in Florida and Texas but well below levels from six years ago in the Northeast and Midwest. You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations on the big stories, news and trends affecting your everyday financial life. "Bank of America" and “BofA Securities” are the marketing names for the global banking businesses and global markets businesses (which includes BofA Global Research) of Bank of America Corporation. Lending, derivatives, and other commercial banking activities are performed globally by banking affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including Bank of America, N.A., Member FDIC. Securities, trading, research, strategic advisory, and other investment banking and markets activities are performed globally by affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including, in the United States, BofA Securities, Inc. a registered broker-dealer and Member of FINRA and SIPC, and, in other jurisdictions, by locally registered entities. ©2025 Bank of America Corporation. All rights reserved.
Connect with Early Riders // Connect with OnrampPresented collaboratively by Early Riders & Onramp Media…Final Settlement is a weekly podcast covering the underlying mechanics of the bitcoin protocol, its ongoing development and funding, and real-world applications of the technology.00:00 - Government Intervention in Private Sector12:47 - Private Equity Liquidity Crisis20:52 - Bitcoin Lightning and Traditional Finance29:33 - The Rise of Altcoins and Market Dynamics34:26 - The Risks of the Current Crypto Market38:10 - Shifting Focus: Inflation and Labor Markets42:10 - Global Adoption of Bitcoin as a Reserve Asset44:07 - Innovations in Stablecoins and CBDCs48:11 - The Future of Bitcoin Custody01:00:01 - Custody Risks and Corporate Bitcoin TreasuriesIf you found this valuable, please subscribe to Early Riders Insights for access to the best content in the ecosystem weekly.Links discussed:https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/us-examines-equity-stake-chip-makers-chips-act-cash-grants-sources-say-2025-08-20https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115074444617901812https://docs.congress.hrep.online/legisdocs/basic_20/HB00421.pdfhttps://bitcoin.docsend.com/view/5d9i69p3b78w7wqnhttps://blockchaintechnology-news.com/news/sofi-becomes-first-us-bank-to-use-bitcoin-lightning-for-remittanceshttps://x.com/SpencerHakimian/status/1958906585948069890https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1959279096292053363https://x.com/MacroScope17/status/1959628044580073818https://x.com/AyyouEm/status/1958879078410592741https://x.com/BoringBiz_/status/1959688259015180728https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7363548191142658049/https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/08/21/corporate-bitcoin-treasuries-could-raise-credit-risks-morningstar-dbrs-sayshttps://x.com/strack_ben/status/1958525507655335937https://www.theblock.co/post/367914/bitcoin-og-sell-bitcoin-buy-etherKeep up with Michael: X and LinkedInKeep up with Brian: X and LinkedInKeep up with Liam: X and LinkedIn
Derek Moore and Shane Skinner geek out on the second derivative option Greek Vanna to understand how implied volatility changes cause buying or selling in markets. Plus, does Powell and the Fed not care about inflation anymore? Later, examine the post-election year seasonality to see if we are entering a historically weak period. All that plus what happens historically in markets when the fed has long period between rate cuts, interest rate probabilities, how to understand why stocks go up or down (return attribution). What is Options Vanna? Why do implied volatility changes cause buying and selling in markets? How do option market makers hedge or offset option orders? Understanding how price to forward earnings (the multiple) and EPS estimates drive price What type of environment are we in currently? The Fed's Jerome Powell Jackson Hole speech hints at dropping 2% inflation target Did the Federal Reserve just give the ‘all clear' for a rate cut turning dovish? Why earnings estimates drive price in the S&P 500 index How implied volatility changes affect an option's Delta How VIX Spikes and subsequent drop causes additional buyers to come in What historically happens August to October from a post-election seasonal standpoint? Data shows that when the Fed has time between interest rate cuts historically markets do well Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
"Inflation is still here, inflation is still sticky," says Charles Schwab's Collin Martin. He makes the case that the markets put too much focus on the jobs portion of Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech, which investors interpreted as bullish for an interest rate cut in September. He adds that Friday's core PCE report can completely flip the Fed's script. Liz Ann Sonders adds to that point, telling investors to look beyond September. She believes Wall Street needs to focus on the long-term impacts of interest rate cuts and what they mean for the economy's health.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
It was a down week on Wall Street — until Friday, when dovish commentary from Jerome Powell the markets took as a strong rate cut signal pulled most stocks into green territory. As for stock stories, Meta Platforms (META) is seeking to build out Llama through Alphabet's (GOOGL) Google Cloud after it reportedly froze A.I. hiring. Nvidia (NVDA) moved on developments around a chip it's building for China ahead of earnings next week. Sam Vadas runs through the trading week's biggest stories.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
The market is focused entirely on Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Alex Coffey talks about how stocks on Wall Street can significantly shift on whether Powell gives dovish or hawkish commentary and how he highlights the latest round of economic data.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global Forex and editor of the Marc to Market, joins us to discuss the market reactions to Jerome Powell's dovish comments from his speech today in Jackson Hole Wyoming. The market signal was that there is now a high-probability of a rate cut at the upcoming September FOMC meeting; and this was like throwing gasoline on the bull market fire. Key topics discussed: This speech seemed to nail down an anticipated rate cut in September, even though there may be some dissenting members of the Fed that would prefer to stand pat. Powell seems more concerned with the deterioration of the labor market statistics than he is with the mild uptick in inflation data. Despite that some Fed governors and presidents have voiced concerns that we do not yet know the full extent of how the tariffs may affect inflation on a move forward basis. Marc expects that we'll have 3 key takeaways from the upcoming September Federal Open Market Committee meeting: At least a 25 basis point cut to the Fed funds rate A new dot plot going from 3 to now 4 targeted rate cuts for 2026 Announcement of the slowing or stopping of Quantitative Tightening (QT) Despite the 6-day pullback in US equities over the last 2 weeks, with market expectations of a more hawkish tone, the market launched up to new all-time highs to end the week. Has the market already priced in the upcoming September rate cut after todays bullish close to the end the week? Is the Fed signaling a series of upcoming rate hikes? Are the market moving towards the blow-off top phase? If not what will the drivers be for a continued move higher in the US equities? Marc outlines that he believes the US dollar has more downside ahead of it, with the potential of a pullback below 90 in the high 80s. When asked if that kind of a move lower in the dollar would hurt consumers Marc highlights why it may be more impactful to foreign dollar holders than domestic, since most goods are priced in dollars once entering the country. He feels it is more germane to watch the trends in interest rates for a signal as to how the dollar and other currencies may behave. Click here to visit Marc's site – Marc To Market.
A brief look at financial markets with Bokor In the Morning brought to you by Steve Bokor at Ventum Financial Corp. a member of SIPC
Ouça o que movimentou o mercado nesta sexta-feira.
APAC stocks traded mixed after a lacklustre performance stateside, where mega-cap tech led the declines.RBNZ lowered the OCR by 25bps as expected, cut its OCR forecasts across the projection horizon and voted on the options of either a 25bps or 50bps reduction.European equity futures indicate a negative cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.7% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.9% on Tuesday.DXY is marginally higher for a third session in a row, NZD lags post-RBNZ, GBP eyes inflation data.White House is eyeing Budapest for peace talks with Zelensky and Putin, according to Politico.Looking ahead, highlights include UK CPI, EZ HICP (Final), Riksbank Policy Announcement & FOMC Minutes, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, Fed's Bostic & Waller, Supply from Germany & US, Earnings from Target.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Investors need to be looking past September to the end of Jerome Powell's term, says John Petrides. “The market is going to start pricing in that whoever the next Fed Chair is, they'll be dovish.” He says the market will assume the new Fed Chair will be in-line with President Trump's desire to lower rates. However, Trump's ‘Big Beautiful Bill' and other U.S. policies are increasing debt, potentially straining demand in the bond market. Thus, he thinks the front end of the curve will come down while the longer end remains higher, creating a wider spread.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
On June 13th, Israel launched attacks on several military and nuclear facilities in Iran, marking the beginning of a 12-day war between the two countries. The United States followed with targeted strikes on Iranian nuclear sites to prevent Iran from becoming a nuclear power and posing a threat to regional and global stability. China's involvement in the conflict was limited to condemning the Israeli and US use of military force and calling for de-escalation. Beijing offered only rhetorical support for Tehran. To discuss what the Israel-Iran war reveals about China's relationship with Iran, its evolving strategy in the Middle East, and the broader implications for US-China competition, we are joined by Yun Sun on the podcast today. Yun is a Senior Fellow, co-Director of the East Asia Program and Director of the China Program at the Stimson Center. Her recent piece in The Wire China entitled “How China Sees Iran's Future” offers provides a nuanced take on Beijing's calculus during and after the war. Timestamps[00:00] Start[01:34] China's Diplomatic Strategy Toward the Middle East[05:00] A Limited Chinese Response and China's Regional Role[08:19] Chinese Perceptions of Iran's External Strategic Blunders[15:00] Trickling Chinese Investment into Iran[20:10] Chinese Concerns About a Nuclearized Iran[25:09] Implications of the Israel-Iran War for China's Energy Security[32:04] Trump's Response Shaping Chinese Views of the United States
With President Trump set to announce Jerome Powell's replacement as Fed Chair “very soon”, policy is likely to turn more dovish. The Trump administration also received a boost with a Supreme Court ruling that federal district courts can no longer issue nationwide injunctions. Meanwhile, a trade deal with China has been signed.In the treasury market, two key developments signal more demand ahead. Firstly, changes to the Enhanced Supplementary Leverage Ratio could free up $5.5 trillion for low-risk assets, mainly treasuries. Additionally, the passing of the GENIUS Act by the US Senate introduces stablecoin regulations that could increase mainstream usage, which could in turn drive demand for treasuries. With these changes in pace, the worries about central banks selling treasuries seem less pressing – after all, as the old saying goes, “If you owe money to yourself, it's not really a problem.”
Kevin Hincks reporting from Cboe Global Markets breaks down the latest tensions overseas and how it impacts market performance. Right now, he says headline risk is "leaning more positive" but that a lot of "uncertainty out there" could still keep tensions elevated as Iran/Israel tentatively accept ceasefire terms. Kevin also adds that this week's Fed speakers have become further market-moving events and believes Jerome Powell's testimony in Congress could be another one to watch. Later, Kevin breaks down the latest housing data. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
George Goncalves, Head of Macro Strategy in the Americas recapped an action-packed month full of uncertainty. Weak US fundamentals with the jobs data remaining mixed while inflation continues to come in softer suggesting that the Fed is behind the curve. George then previewed our expectations for the June FOMC meeting where he notes that the US data has deteriorated enough that the Fed may use this meeting to pivot towards a more dovish stance to gain flexibility to ease at future FOMC meetings.
Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones said President Donald Trump is likely to appoint an “uber dovish” Federal Reserve chair to accommodate his growth agenda, adding he thinks US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent would be his likely pick when Jerome Powell’s term ends. Jones, Tudor Investment CEO, spoke with Bloomberg's Matt Miller and Katie Greifeld.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The RBA cut the cash rate by 25bp to 3.85% on Tuesday. The post-meeting communication was more dovish than most expected. In this week's podcast, Belinda Allen and Harry Ottley from the Australian Economics team discuss at the decision itself and what it means for the prospect of future rate cuts. ------ DISCLAIMER ------ Important Information This podcast is approved and distributed by Global Economic & Markets Research (“GEMR”), a business division of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945 (“the Bank”). Before listening to this podcast, you are advised to read the full GEMR disclaimers, which can be found at www.commbankresearch.com.au. No Reliance Information in this podcast is of a general nature only. It does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs and does not constitute personal financial advice. This podcast provides general market-related information and is not investment research and nor does it purport to make any recommendations. The information contained in this podcast is solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial products. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. Where ‘CBA Data' is cited, this refers to the Bank proprietary data that is sourced from the Bank's internal systems and may include, but not be limited to, home loan data, credit card transaction data, merchant facility transaction data and applications for credit. The data used in the ‘CommBank Household Spending Insights' series is a combination of the CBA Data and publicly available ABS, CoreLogic and RBA data. As analysis is based on Bank customer transactions, it may not reflect all trends in the market. All customer data used or represented in this podcast is anonymised before analysis and is used, and disclosed, in accordance with the Group Privacy Statement. The Bank believes that the information in this podcast is correct, and any opinions, conclusions or recommendations made are reasonably held and are based on the information available at the time of its compilation. The Bank makes no representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of any statement made. Liability Disclaimer The Bank does not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of any error or omission in or from the information provided or arising out of the use of all or part of the podcast.
APAC stocks traded higher but with gains capped in severely thinned conditions owing to mass holiday closures across the region and in Europe for Labour Day.BoJ kept rates unchanged at 0.50% and provided some dovish rhetoric despite maintaining its rate hike signal.US is said to have reached out to China recently for tariff talks, according to Bloomberg citing an influential social media account.US stocks were boosted heading into the Wall St closing bell. Futures saw a further lift following strong earnings from Microsoft and Meta.DXY is higher, JPY lags post-BoJ with USD/JPY eyeing 144 to the upside, EUR/USD sits around the 1.13 mark.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Layoffs, Jobless Claims & ISM Manufacturing, BoJ Governor Ueda's Press Conference.Earnings from Amazon, Apple, Riot Platforms, Reddit, Airbnb, Eli Lilly, Roblox, CVS, MasterCard, McDonald's, Drax, Hiscox, Lloyds, Kerry, Whitbread, Standard Chartered & Telecom Italia.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
RBI cuts rates to support growth, India eyes US trade deal, and Vaishnaw talks AI, chips & rail safety. Perplexity plans India pricing, Adani inks big infra deal, and investor faith in equities stays strong. Tune in for the top stories.
In this week's episode we cover yesterday's Fed meeting and rate decision, discuss the macro outlook, dig into the pump.fun vs Raydium battle within Solana, and explain Strategy's recent STRF issuance.
5 sources Bloomberg reports Apple's executive reshuffle in its AI division, naming Vision Pro chief Mike Rockwell as the new head of Siri, replacing John Giannandrea in that role due to concerns over AI product development. Several financial news outlets, including ZeroHedge, analyze the Federal Reserve's March 2025 FOMC meeting. They discuss the decision to hold interest rates steady while slowing quantitative tightening, and the market's positive initial reaction despite a somewhat weaker economic outlook influenced by trade policy. Powell's press conference, particularly his dismissal of a consumer inflation expectations survey and comments on the impact of tariffs, is a central focus of the financial analysis.
The Fed meeting showed a very dovish Fed moving forward, but were they dovish for all the wrong reasons? We'll discuss. Plus, Americans are expected to bet more than $3 billion on March Madness this year. This year, Robinhood is getting in on the action. And, what the last round of housing data is telling us about the spring selling season.
Fed maintained rates & dots, cut growth & lifted inflation projections. To slow the balance sheet runoff. Powell emphasized uncertainty, a wait-and-see approach.Trump posted "The Fed would be MUCH better off CUTTING RATES as U.S.Tariffs start to transition... into the economy"APAC stocks mixed, US futures saw a dovish reaction to the FOMCDXY pulled back, EUR/USD & GBP/USD briefly above 1.09 and 1.30 respectivelyFixed income bid post-FOMC though further gains were somewhat capped given the Tokyo holidayCrude firmer following the risk tone and factoring some geopolitical updates while XAU hit a new USD 3057/oz record highLooking ahead, highlights include US Philly Fed Index, Jobless Claims, Japanese CPI, German Producer Prices, BoE, SNB, Riksbank & SARB Policy Announcements, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde & Lane, SNB's Schlegel, Riksbank's Thedeen, BoC's Macklem & BoE's Bailey. Supply from Spain, France & US, Earnings from PDD, Jabil, Accenture, Micron, Nike, FedEx, RWE & Lanxess.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
The Fed has voted to keep interest rates unchanged in its March meeting, a move Kevin Hincks considers "dovish" despite a decision many were expecting. He talks about what makes the move dovish for the long-term. However, the FOMC did raise its 2025 core PCE inflation forecasts.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about