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Most of us don't know most things. Yet most of us also think we understand a lot (OK, not quantum mechanics or Federal Reserve policy). We are all living with what Sloman and Fernbach argue is an Illusionof how much we know: a knowledge illusion. And this is fueling the fracturing of society.
We start out today with a little Chicken N Pickle talk and some eye rolling about Tyler's $150 pickleball paddle. Then we move on to content most of you will find more substantial. Patrick Fernbach, our guest today, is Director of Mechanical Engineering at KLH Engineers in Kentucky. Tyler asks Patrick what grinds his gears when it comes to the construction industry. Patrick discusses the fact that construction contract practices put the engineers and the trades at opposite ends of an unnecessarily complicated process. The long chain of contracts makes meaningful collaboration incredibly difficult. Patrick acknowledges that he has not hung a single piece of ductwork, yet he's designed miles of it. The closer he can get to the trades, however, the better he can do his job and the better those people can do their jobs. He wants to hear from tradesmen who can provide some productive pushback on designs that cause complications where the screw meets the stud. He wants to know when his designs are a pain in someone's neck. Eddie asks Patrick to turn his thoughts in the opposite direction, toward the relationship between engineers on one end and architects and owners on the other end. He knows that the industry expects him to stay in his lane, but he doesn't think that's always the way it should be. Eddie asks Patrick what kinds of things he struggles with in the process of doing his job. Patrick says that the most challenging thing is the ever-changing nature of the project. Architects and owners don't always seem to understand just how many changes need to happen as a result of something that seems like a minor design adjustment. The live nature of BIM360 makes this even more challenging. It's difficult to track changes and determine which elements are locked and which ones aren't. Tyler discusses his experience with the ripple effect of small changes that seem to cause the unraveling of an entire project, and Eddie discusses how iterative design blurs the lines regarding completion of project elements. Patrick raises the issue of meetings, and how the number of meetings seems to be continually increasing because of the dynamic nature of design. Although he doesn't necessarily say that there have been too many meetings, he has definitely noticed that this aspect of the work is consuming more of the average engineer's time. Construction lacks some of the systems that manufacturing has, Patrick says. It feels like we're in the process of putting those systems into place, which explains why things are kind of clunky at this point. We ask Patrick to list some of the positives in construction-related engineering right now. Here are some of the things he lists: The increasingly smooth process of design-build The expectation for more detailed permit sets–detailed enough that the building could almost be built from them Increased proactive interest from a variety of vendors and subs who want to make sure that their contributions to a project will work smoothly VDC technology that increases efficiencies Eddie asks about how fees have changed as approaches have changed. Patrick said that it varies from job to job because of varied expectations and services requested. We explore how engineers like Patrick–those who seek to engage with the tradespeople–move the industry forward. Patrick explains that siloed pricing structures that don't involve upstream and downstream communication lead to some design elements being done multiple times. Eddie piggybacks on this and contrasts the novice owner or general contractor from the experienced one. The experienced one knows that detailed design pays off in the long run. The bidding process is more effective. There are fewer RFIs. There are fewer complications. The guesswork is gone. Patrick confirms what Eddie says with examples from a recent project. Patrick's Megaphone Message: Trust isn't a soft skill; it's a project multiplier. Build strong partnerships. Build strong teams. Show up with mutual respect for one another. Show up knowing each other's strengths and weaknesses. Don't BIM for BIM's sake. Be intentional when you model and design. It's about creating value for the owner and the downstream consumer. Find Patrick Online: LinkedIn - KLH Engineers Find Us Online: BrosPodcast.com - LinkedIn - Youtube - Instagram - Facebook - Eddie's LinkedIn - Tyler's LinkedIn If you enjoy the podcast, please rate us on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to us! Thanks for listening!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Hoewel onzekerheid inherent is aan wetenschap, zijn er talloze onderwerpen waarover wetenschappelijke consensus bestaat. Denk maar aan de invloed van de mens op klimaatverandering of het bestaan van evolutie. Toch zijn er mensen die er - zeer stellig - meningen op na houden die tegen deze wetenschappelijke consensus in gaan. Heeft dit te maken met een gebrek aan kennis? En zo ja, waar komt die stelligheid dan vandaan? Aan de hand van recent psychologisch onderzoek proberen we deze vragen te beantwoorden.Meer over change blindness vind je in Hoofdstuk 9 van het boek Drang naar Samenhang: De Psychologie van het Begrijpen. De illusion of explanatory depth wordt besproken in Hoofdstuk 10. Seezing, freezing en het bevestigingsvooroordeel (confirmation bias) komen terug in Hoofdstuk 14. Muziek: Rolf ZwaanBronLight, N., Fernbach, P.M., Rabb, N., Geana, M.V., & Sloman, S.A. (2022). Knowledge overconfidence is associated with anti-consensus views on controversial scientific issues. Science Advances, 8, eabo0038. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
We all know less than we think we do – and that's OK.Phil Fernbach is a Professor of Marketing at the Leeds School of Business at the University of Colorado, Boulder. He is a cognitive scientist who studies how people think. He applies insights from his research to improve public disclosure and help consumers and managers make better decisions. With co-author Steve Sloman he wrote The Knowledge Illusion: Why We Never Think Alone, which was chosen as an editor's pick by the New York Times when it was released in 2017.We talked to Phil about the Knowledge Illusion, about how acknowledging what we don't know can help us be better leaders and teammates.EPISODE QUOTES:What is the Knowledge Illusion?[00:01:45] The knowledge illusion is a very profound fact about human beings. This was actually a phenomenon that was first studied in the cognitive science world, in the nineties, by a researcher by the name of Frank Keil. And in his studies, he brought people into the lab and he asked them about their understanding of sort of common household objects, like zippers and toilets, and ballpoint pens. The first thing he would do would be he'd ask people how well they understood those objects. … [Most people] sort of nod their heads and say, “Oh yeah, I kind of know how that works.” In the next phase of the study, what he would do is ask people to explain in detail exactly how the object works, and what he found was pretty amazing. He found that people, in general, know remarkably little about the way that the world works. They reach inside and try to explain these phenomena and they realize that they have almost nothing to say, maybe one or two sentences. And yet that feeling that they have at the beginning, that they understand these things in a lot more depth than they do. The disconnect between those two things is what's called in the cognitive science world the illusion of explanatory depth. It's people's belief that they can explain things in more depth than they can. Why do we overestimate how much we know?[00:07:25] The illusion comes from the fact that most of what we know, or think we know, is actually not in our own heads, but it's in the heads of other people or in the environment, or on the internet. Because it's so natural for us to rely on information that exists outside of our own heads, we often fail to realize what's in our heads. So if everybody around me is sort of nodding their head and saying, oh yeah, we understand this, we sort of get the feeling that we ourselves understand it as well.On using The Knowledge Illusion to build strong teams[00:10:25] All the problems we work on in business nowadays are complex. And I'm sure your listeners have the experience of running into people all the time, who feel like they know everything. And in fact, they might feel pressure to sort of pretend like they understand everything in detail. That's why people never ask obvious questions in a business setting because they think that they should understand everything in detail and know everything. A good group is going to have a leader who understands his or her own limitations and knows how to put together a team with complementary skills in a way that functions effectively.SHOW LINKS:Guest's Profile:Faculty Profile at Leeds School of BusinessPhilip Fernbach on LinkedInMore About This Guest:People Have Limited Knowledge. What's the Remedy? Nobody Knows
04-14-22 Zoom Call hosted by Albert Lau ft. Morgan White and Talese Fernbach
Tutaj zamówisz audioserial https://kolanowski.kryminatorium.pl/ Ten odcinek to wersja dźwiękowa filmu opublikowanego na kanale Marcin Myszka na YouTube. Tam znajdziesz dodatkowe zdjęcia i materiały związane z omawianą sprawą. ▶️ Link do filmu ► https://youtu.be/TGLJ5sD-dSA ⠀ Wampir Z Kalisza – Samuel Fernbach "Tego dnia z samego rana uprawiałem seks z koleżanką. To mnie nie zaspokoiło. Chciałem znaleźć inną partnerkę. Wcześniej jeszcze trochę wypiłem, szumiało mi w głowie. Gdy wracałem z miasta, spotkałem dziewczynkę. Wiedziałem, że idzie do skupu, bo miała przy sobie puste butelki. Powiedziałem, że ja też mam kilka. Mogę jej dać, ale musi iść ze mną po nie do piwnicy". ⠀ kontakt: e-mail: kryminatorium@gmail.com Instagram: Marcin Myszka - Kryminatorium
This week I'm speaking with authors of The Knowledge Illusion, Steve Sloman and Phil Fernbach. Steven Sloman is a cognitive scientist at Brown University who studies how people think. Phil Fernbach is a cognitive scientist and professor of marketing at the University of Colorado, Boulder. The book explores why we think we know so much more than we do, and the profound implications for individuals and society. Humans have built hugely complex societies and technologies, but most of us don't even know how a pen or a toilet works. How have we achieved so much despite understanding so little? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This week I'm speaking with authors of The Knowledge Illusion, Steve Sloman and Phil Fernbach. Steven Sloman is a cognitive scientist at Brown University who studies how people think. Phil Fernbach is a cognitive scientist and professor of marketing at the University of Colorado, Boulder. The book explores why we think we know so much more than we do, and the profound implications for individuals and society. Humans have built hugely complex societies and technologies, but most of us don't even know how a pen or a toilet works. How have we achieved so much despite understanding so little? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
durée : 00:17:45 - Les Experts France Bleu Elsass - Le sourcier et géobiologue Michel Fernbach nous parle aujourd'hui de son métier et de l'influence de l'environnement immédiat, l'habitat, la nature, la montagne sur la santé physique et psychique.
durée : 00:24:27 - Les Experts France Bleu Elsass - Vous voulez tout savoir sur les les réseaux telluriques ? Ecoutez notre spécialiste Michel Fernbach , sourcier et géobiologue. Möchten Sie alles über Tellur-Netzwerke wissen? Hören Sie unserem Spezialisten Michel Fernbach, Browser und Geobiologe zu.
durée : 00:22:03 - Les Experts France Bleu Elsass - Pour un lieu de vie sain et serein et une meilleure santé, la géobiologie et sourcellerie peuvent vous aider.
Tema for denne episoden, som på vagt vis innleder sommersesongen her på podkasten, er seks forskjellige tema, tre fra hver av oss. Vi har valgt ut diverse ting vi har tenkt på i det siste, og ser om vi får noe klokt ut av å diskutere dem litt. Ønsker dere alle en god sommer! Økologi (Pål) Forelesning om økologisk forskning i Andrews forest, Oregon, ved Michael Paul Nelson (anbefales, mye interessant om økologi og hvordan denne forskningen foregår): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RMfdxiMIZi0&t=2001s Forskningsartikkel om trevekst og karbonopptak: Stephenson et al, 2015, «Rate of tree carbon accumulation increases continuously with tree size», Nature, 507, s.90-93 https://www.nature.com/articles/nature12914 Forakt (Lars) Erica Etelson, (2020), Beyond Contempt: How Liberals Can Communicate Across the Great Divide, New Society Publishers Arkitektens liste (P) Selve listen: https://www.arch2o.com/250-things-an-architect-should-know/ Episode av 99%invisible: https://99percentinvisible.org/episode/the-smell-of-concrete-after-rain/?fbclid=IwAR1u25xHXFQSxFDSiui_90olceKUF1BdedFaH7ZrjrQgvJ9pOLYXbF-dgFo Forståelse (L) Her er noen bøker som på forskjellig måte tematiserer vår forståelse og hvor lett vi forvirres av ordet: Holt, John, (2015), How Children Fail, Penguin Education, Kindle Edition, [1964] Dennett, Daniel C. (2017), From Bacteria to Bach and Back: The Evolution of Minds, W. W. Norton & Company, Kindle Edition Deutsch, David, (2011), The Beginning of Infinity: Explanations that Transform the World, Allen Lane Firestein, Stuart, (2012), Ignorance: How It Drives Science, Oxford University Press Sloman, Steven, og Fernbach, Philip, (2017), The Knowledge Illusion: Why We Never Think Alone, Pan Books, 2017 Sosiale media (P) https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2020/jun/11/twitter-aims-to-limit-people-sharing-articles-they-have-not-read Læreplantanker (L) Les innlegg om dette tema på Lars sin blogg, og hør intervjuet med skoleforsker Kirsten Sivesind (ep.60) https://larsogpaal.libsyn.com/episode-60-om-lreplaner-med-kirsten-sivesind ---------------------------- Logoen vår er laget av Sveinung Sudbø, se hans arbeider på originalkopi.com Musikken er av Arne Kjelsrud Mathisen, se facebooksiden Nygrenda Vev og Dur for mer info. ---------------------------- Takk for at du hører på. Ta kontakt med oss på vår facebookside eller på larsogpaal@gmail.com Det finnes ingen bedre måte å få spredt podkasten vår til flere enn via dere lyttere, så takk om du deler eller forteller andre om oss. Både Lars og Pål skriver nå på hver sin blogg, med litt varierende regelmessighet. Du finner dem på disse nettsidene: https://paljabekk.com/ https://larssandaker.blogspot.com/ Alt godt, hilsen Lars og Pål
durée : 00:26:14 - Les Experts France Bleu Elsass - Michel Fernbach vous présente son activité de Géobiologue - Magnétiseur - Radiesthésiste - Sourcier.
Sylvain Didelot Le pardon à soi même.. l effet miroir...suite Marie Thérèse Fernbach Marie Thérèse Fernbach et Sylvain Didelot Le site de Marie Thérèse https://www.quetavolontesoitfete.com https://youtu.be/jLUwWMACm2A
Something to get you thinking today. I'm talking to Dr Madeline Fernbach, Australian Clinical Psychologist with expertise and a passion for working with the transgender and gender fluid community.Madeline is fascinated by identity and the way people see themselves. She explains in this episode that during her awkward middle teenage years she drifted at the fringes of many social groups. Without a fixed groups of friend until later in her life she developed an interest in what makes humans belong - or not belong - in groups.This is interest drove her to complete a PhD on the topic, after which she began work at the Australian Research Centre for Sex, Health And Society at Latrobe University. Throughout her career she has been involved in sexual health and identity research, and in the last five years these interests have coalesced, leading her to specialise in supporting the transgender community.She says, 'The best part of my job is talking about identity and providing support so that people can take control of their lives in ways that are consistent with who they are.'In this episode Madeline and I discuss:What identity is and how it relates to gender.Social identity theory and the sense of self we get from the groups we belong to.The importance of authenticity for our wellbeing.How our mental health is affected when there is a gap between our public and private selves.The Genderbread Person. What is it and how does it help us to understand the many facets of gender?The fascinating, complex nature of gender and how we express it.Madeline's tips for individuals and families grappling with gender and identity.This is a really thoughtful, insightful and frank interview that might get you thinking about your identity, your personal and public personas and what it means to you to live a truly authentic life.
In this IMMERSIVE episode, “Risk,” our goal is to immerse you in a soundscape that pulled and pushed you to alternatively feel risk-seeking and risk-averse. To preserve this immersive experience, we stripped out a lot of the reporting we did on the science of risk. Here, you can find out more about the science of risk perception. We’ll walk you through the episode, and point out materials – interviews we did with researchers, journal articles we dug up, books we read – that let you dig deeper into the research. SCENE: You finally make it to the top after a long climb (after a strenuous skinning up). WHAT THIS ILLUSTRATES: This should make you feel like you’ve invested a lot of resources and effort into an activity. Later, when you make a decision, this investment of resources can color your choice even though it shouldn’t if you’re objectively evaluating a risk. FIND OUT MORE: Read Heuristic Traps in Recreational Avalanche Accidents. NARRATION: You’re imagining this environment because it is the perfect environment because it’s the perfect setting to explore your feelings towards risk. FIND OUT MORE: Listen to our interview with Leaf VanBoven (starting at 03:40). SCENE: You’re very close to skiing down the mountain. You feel the powder under your skis. The wind pushes on your cheeks. WHAT THIS ILLUSTRATES: Proximity to something (especially something you find somewhat addictive) makes you perceive it as more rewarding than if you would be considering it from a distance. FIND OUT MORE: Listen to our interview with Fernbach (starting at 39:00). SCENE: WE ARE INVINCIBLE! WHAT THIS ILLUSTRATES: When you are overconfident, you disregard evidence that contradicts your confidence. FIND OUT MORE: Listen to our interview with McKell Carter and Kim Farrelly (starting at 57:00) SCENE: CINDY’S AVALANCHE STORY WHAT THIS ILLUSTRATES: Hearing a distastrous result from an expert, which occurs from a similar situation to your own will decreases your confidence in taking the risk and makes you more risk averse. Of course, this is assumming you are not brimming with overconfidence. FIND OUT MORE: By reading SEVERAL(most) of the articles here. SCENE: My intuition is telling me something’s off. Come on, Jake, what are you afraid of? WHAT THIS ILLUSTRATES: Groups heavily influence decision making during risky situations. Males are particularly good at evoking risky decisions. However, there is a lot of nuance in this dynamic. FIND OUT MORE: Listen to our interview with VanBoven (starting at 13:00 and 30:00) SCENE: You’re normally cautious, so if you think it’s fine then I’m sure it’ll be OK. WHAT THIS ILLUSTRATES: Contagious understanding. You can get a house of cards effect, where your knowledge in something rests on the belief that someone else in the community has done the intellectual heavy-lifting and have a solid knowledge of something. However, this is not always the case and many people can believe they have knowledge of something even though nobody does. FIND OUT MORE: Listen to our interview with Fernbach (starting at 48:20) SCENE: Question! Why is one type of snow better for avalanches? How do you know? You just guessing? WHAT THIS ILLUSTRATES: In our lives, we often do not notice complexity because it’s cumbersome and doesn’t actually change our decisions. We have an illustion of knowledge. But in risky situations, complexity really matters and one way to poke holes in our normal knowledge illusion is by asking very simple questions, which will (hopefully) give you more pause and consider more factors. FIND OUT MORE: Read Phillip Fernbach’s book “The Knowledge Illusion”. Listen to our interview with Fernbach (starting at 9:30). Our website: qualiapod.com Listen to us on the RadioPublic app to help support the show. Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Qualiapod/ Twitter: @qualiapod
Podcast Marie Therese Fernbach l effet Miroir Avec Sylvain Didelot. Marie Therese Fernbach "l'effet miroir", qu'est ce que c'est ? a quoi cela peut il servir dans l'accomplissement intérieur de la non dualité ? etc... En effet sur la base de cette hypothèse qui amène l'idée que l'autre n''est que "mon miroir", il est celui ou celle, qui vient me permettre de guérir mes blessures.... Marie Thérèse FERNBACH Lieu dit Treunaff Route de Loc Envel Toull Ar C'Hoad 22810 PLOUNEVEZ MOEDEC Miroir et accompagnatrice de votre Identité Divine Enseignante de "Un Cours en Miracles" Soins et Enseignements rémunérés sur la base du don conscient Prise de rendez vous / rendezvous marietherese@gmail.com Par téléphone 0604401139 ou au 0763212473 Mon témoignage EPHATHA sur .edilivre.com/ephata-marie-therese-fernbach.html Blog Le Cercle Chamanique Sacré de la Dragonne Blanche Vidéos You tube Marie Thérèse Fernbach https://youtu.be/bHgKPQKKHCs
How do we grow as communicators, leaders and FP&A professionals? Today's AFP Conversations guest, Philip Fernbach, thinks the first thing we need to do is stop assuming we know more than we do. A University of Colorado professor of marketing and co-author of "The Knowledge Illusion: Why We Never Think Alone," Fernbach points out that humans have built hugely complex societies and technologies, but most of us don’t even know how a pen or a toilet works. Similarly, FP&A professionals are tasked with making accurate forecasts, yet many don’t even understand their organization’s products or customers. Thanks for listening to AFP Conversations. Please give it a review on your podcast app of choice -- it will help other listeners find the show, and host Ira Apfel will read your review on air.
Drs. Sloman and Fernbach discuss their book THE KNOWLEDGE ILLUSION: WHY WE NEVER THINK ALONE