POPULARITY
Today I'm joined by Tim Shenk, a history professor at George Washington University and the author of Left Adrift: What Happened to Liberal Politics. We start back in 1992 with Bill Clinton's presidential campaign and the emergence of party strategists Stan Greenberg and Doug Schoen. We discuss competing approaches for coalition building—Greenberg's preference for New Deal-esque pocketbook populism and Schoen's for a more complete move to the center on social and cultural issues. Turning towards this year's campaign, Tim makes the case that Kamala Harris has largely rejected the expected Brahmin Left playbook. But does Harris's campaign rhetoric actually represent a lasting change for Democrats? Is the progressive moment over? Join us for an engaging conversation on the past, present, and future of the Democratic Party. Get full access to The Liberal Patriot at www.liberalpatriot.com/subscribe
Left Adrift: What Happened to Liberal Politics by Timothy Shenk Amazon.com A rivalry that remade the political world as we know it today Politics today doesn't look much like it did fifty years ago. Electorates that were once divided by economics—with blue-collar workers supporting leftwing parties while the wealthy trended right—are now more likely to split along cultural lines. Campaigns have gone high-tech, hoping to turn electioneering into a science. Meanwhile, a permanent class of political consultants has emerged, with teams of pollsters, message gurus, and field operatives. Taken together, all this amounts to a silent revolution that has transformed politics across much of the globe. Left Adrift provides a new perspective on this transformation by following the lives of two political strategists who watched it unfold firsthand. Stan Greenberg and Doug Schoen were Zeligs of the international center-left, with an eerie talent for showing up at just the right moment to see history being made. But they could not stand each other. The mutual disdain was, partly, a result of professional jealousy, of decades spent nursing private grievances while competing for the same clients. But it grew out of a deeper conflict, a clash of political visions that raised fundamental questions about democracy itself. Left Adrift is about that battle—and the world it made.
In her quest for the White House, it seems as if Kamala Harris is doing everything in her power to disassociate herself with liberal ideas. So what, exactly, has happened to liberal politics in the United States today? That's exactly the question which the excellent young George Washington historian, Timothy Shenk, asks in his new book, Left Adrift. And in tracing the fate of liberal politics in America today, Shenk goes back to the Democratic party's two most influential political strategists of the Clinton era: Stan Greenberg and Doug Schoen. The story of these two Zeligs of the center-left, Shenk explains, helps us understand not only Kamala Harris' innate conservatism, but also the challenges (and perhaps opportunities) for American liberalism to reinvent itself in today's age of illiberal populism. Timothy Shenk is an assistant professor of history at George Washington University. A senior editor at Dissent magazine, he has written for the New York Times, the Nation, the New Republic, and Jacobin, among other publications. He received his bachelor's degree and PhD in history from Columbia University, has been a Mellon postdoctoral fellow at Washington University in St. Louis, and has received fellowships from the National Endowment for the Humanities and the New America Foundation. Named as one of the "100 most connected men" by GQ magazine, Andrew Keen is amongst the world's best known broadcasters and commentators. In addition to presenting KEEN ON, he is the host of the long-running How To Fix Democracy show. He is also the author of four prescient books about digital technology: CULT OF THE AMATEUR, DIGITAL VERTIGO, THE INTERNET IS NOT THE ANSWER and HOW TO FIX THE FUTURE. Andrew lives in San Francisco, is married to Cassandra Knight, Google's VP of Litigation & Discovery, and has two grown children.Keen On is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe
Listen to the rest of this premium episode by subscribing at patreon.com/knowyourenemyHistorian Timothy Shenk joins us for a conversation about his new book, Left Adrift: What Happened to Liberal Politics, a timely look at political strategy on the liberal-left as the New Deal Consensus cracked up in the late 1960s and 1970s through Bill Clinton's presidency and beyond. He tells the story of how Democrats responded to class dealignment through the careers of two consultants, Stan Greenberg and Doug Schoen—a story that, following these two men, also takes us to the UK, Israel, and South Africa. We discuss what happened to the New Deal coalition, arguments about how to appeal to working class voters drifting right, the limits—and necessity—of polling and even focus groups, why Bill Clinton's role in the rise of neoliberalism is more complicated than you might believe, lessons for the American left from their being crushed in Israel, and what all this might mean for 2024.Sources:Timothy Shenk, Left Adrift: What Happened to Liberal Politics(2024)Douglas E. Schoen, Enoch Powell and the Powellites(1977)Stanley B. Greenberg, Race and State in Capitalist Development(1980)"Explaining McCarthy," TIME, April 18, 1969Listen again:"Realignments (w/ Timothy Shenk)," Know Your Enemy, Feb 27, 2023
Stan Greenberg, a Democratic pollster and strategist who's advised candidates from former President Bill Clinton, to former British Prime Minister Tony Blair, joins Chuck to talk about his firm's latest report, which he says shows a path for a Biden victory in November.
Host Sascha O'Sullivan delves into the secrets of the polling industry and asks — if the polls were wrong before, could they be wrong again?David Cameron's former pollster Andrew Cooper tells Sascha how the Conservatives upstaged the polling industry in 2015 and pulled an unexpected election victory out of the bag.Labour polling stalwart Stan Greenberg, who has run the numbers for Tony Blair, Bill Clinton, Nelson Mandela and Ed Miliband, explains what the other side of the 2015 campaign was like.Tom Lubbock of JL Partners and Josh Williams of Labour Together explain why voter archetypes — from "Mondeo Man" to "Stevenage Woman" — are so beloved by the media ... and how they're actually useful for politicians seeking to win elections. Sascha also tags along to a series of focus groups — including with More in Common's Luke Tryl — to see how they really work.And the New Statesman's associate political editor, Rachel Cunliffe, and pollster Scarlett Maguire explain how communicating polling can be twisted or over-egged — and why we really should be talking about more than just the top line. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Renowned Democratic figure and survey pro, Stan Greenberg, has recently highlighted a potential barrier to success for President Joe Biden that could pose a significant hurdle for the duration of his presidency. It's a known reality that Democrats have traditionally relied on a certain demographic mix to secure political victories. This mix notably includes minority groups, the young voting populace, and the LGBTQ community. However, Greenberg, during a recent appearance on CNN, underscored a worrying trend - these select voting segments that once staunchly supported the Democrats, are now notably tilting towards former President Donald Trump. The seasoned pollster, who partners with James Carville in the Democracy Corps, expressed the truth in a blunt manner. 'The situation is grim', he confessed. He substantiated his point by revealing that young, black, Hispanic, and LGBTQ voters were collectively registering higher approval for Trump than they were for Biden. His grave assessment was echoed by CNN anchor John King during this exchange. Greenberg's response reiterated the urgency of the situation, expressing a sober realization that their previous electoral strongholds or 'base' were showing signs of strain.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Krystal and Saagar bring the news about midterm polls, Biden's speech, Twitter policy, Ukraine diplomacy, Biden's stumbles, windfall profits tax, pandemic reckoning, and populist messaging!To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/To listen to Breaking Points as a podcast, check them out on Apple and SpotifyApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar/id1570045623 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Kbsy61zJSzPxNZZ3PKbXl Merch: https://breaking-points.myshopify.com/Stan Greenberg: https://prospect.org/politics/a-memo-to-democrats/ More Perfect Union: https://perfectunion.us/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Krystal and Saagar bring the news about midterm polls, Biden's speech, Twitter policy, Ukraine diplomacy, Biden's stumbles, windfall profits tax, pandemic reckoning, and populist messaging! To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/ To listen to Breaking Points as a podcast, check them out on Apple and Spotify Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar/id1570045623 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Kbsy61zJSzPxNZZ3PKbXl Merch: https://breaking-points.myshopify.com/ Stan Greenberg: https://prospect.org/politics/a-memo-to-democrats/ More Perfect Union: https://perfectunion.us/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
We took a break last week to watch the final House Jan 6 hearing, before election day anyway. But Howie Klein is back today. And there's lots to talk about, including a post script to my interview with Ryan Grim on yesterday's show. It was about AIPAC and DMFI targeting progressives during the primaries, effectively killing off most of them. What we both realized was that a major part of the story wasn't addressed... that's the fact that these groups are led by (cue the sinister music) Democrats! Of course, the corporate media still insists on covering the horse race instead of the issues, and the polls show everything tightening right now. So Dems are freaking out, while Michael Moore is predicting a Blue Tsunami. Howie has a post up at Down With Tyranny that includes a video from Stan Greenberg, one of the Democratic Party's top pollsters, explaining what the Dems must do to win in less than three weeks.. We'll hear what he has to say, because we must win this election.
Celinda Lake, President of Lake Research, has been a leading Democratic researcher and strategist for 30+ years. In this conversation she talks her Montana roots, her path to polling, working for groundbreaking women like Geraldine Ferraro, Carol Mosley Braun, and Nancy Pelosi, working on Biden 2020, and lessons & insights from four decades working to elect Democrats and advance progressive goals. IN THIS EPISODE…Celinda talks growing up on a ranch in Montana…The progressive tradition in Montana…The Vietnam War influences Celinda's politics…Celinda's theory on why Montana produces so much political talent…Celinda moves from the academic world to the campaign world…Celinda tells the story of one of her heroes, the first woman pollster in politics…The first races on which Celinda cut her teeth as a political pollster…Celinda remembers lessons learned from heading up focus groups for Clinton-Gore '92…The origins and rise of Lake Research…The story of turning down a US Senator who wanted to work with Lake Research…How Celinda thinks of issue messaging…Celinda talks the challenges women candidates face…Celinda's memories of working with trailblazers Geraldine Ferraro, Barbara Mikulski, Carol Mosley Braun, and Nancy Pelosi…Celinda polls for AOC during her 2018 upset…What Celinda knows about Joe Biden that might not be common knowledge…Celinda's take on what makes a good pollster…Celinda's strangest work habit…AND….22 rifles, Spence Abraham, John Anzalone, Jerry Austin, David Axelrod, the Barbara Lee Family Foundation, Matt Barreto, Max Baucus, Jill Biden, Valerie Biden, Heather Booth, blueberry muffins, Ron Brown, James Carville, the cat's meow, Hillary Clinton, Copper Kings, country schools, Joe Crowley, Mike Donilon, EEOC lawyers, Emerge, EMILYs List, fitbits, Kathleen Frankovic, Anderson Gardner, gatekeeping, Geoff Garin, Geneva, the gender gap, Ed Goeas, Mandy Grunwald, Stan Greenberg, Bill Hamilton, Kamala Harris, Gary Hart, Peter Hart, Harrison Hickman, Higher Heights, Italian city-states, Justice Democrats, George Lakoff, Joe Lamson, Ed Lazarus, Silas Lee, Ann Lewis, looking for patterns, Mike Lux, Dotty Lynch, mainframes, Nelson Mandela, Mike Mansfield, Mark Mellman, Jim Messina, Lee Metcalf, Warren Miller, Barbara Mikulski, Walter Mondale, Motown, new voices, Northern Plains Resource Council, Kathleen O'Reilly, Ross Perot, John Podesta, Lana Pollack, Bob Putnam, the race-class narrative, ranked-choice voting, Jeanette Rankin, Ready to Run, Ronald Reagan, red state sensibilities, Nelson Rockefeller, Steve Rosenthal, Anat Shenker-Osorio, Smith College, Alysia Snell, social proof, Social Security cards, Doug Sosnik, Debbie Stabenow, Gail Stoltz, student deferments, Phil Tawney, Jon Tester, two for one, University of Michigan, Kathy van Hook, Women's Campaign Fund, The Women's Lobby, Pat Williams, & more!
Wisconsin Representative and Progressive Caucus Co-chair Mark Pocan joins Thom for a national listener Town Hall. Also Forensic Psychiatrist and Clinical Professor Dr. Bandy Lee reveals how Trump and other cult leaders infect their disciples and endanger public health.
Stanley Greenberg has been in the middle of Democratic Party politics for decades. His work as a pollster for Bill Clinton in 1992 helped reshape the party following years of losing ground to Republicans among working-class white voters. This year, Greenberg has been doing Zoom focus groups with some of these same types of voters - and he’s hearing about health care as the issue that’s most on people’s minds once again. In his wide-ranging conversation with John, he talks about what Democrats have learned over the years about populism; about how he’s surprised what a big issue climate change is for voters; and he tells John that he was pushing for Joe Biden to pick a different running mate. On this episode, Greenberg predicts that in November we will see "the biggest turnout in the history of presidential elections." See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Hard Hat Riot of 1970 may have lost some of its historical importance in the eyes of everyone but the most astute modern day political operatives. But author David Paul Kuhn ("The Hard Hat Riot") and political strategist Stan Greenberg ("RIP GOP") make the case that any Democrat worth their salt should mark that infamous clash between college students and construction workers as the inception of the greatest electoral barrier their party has faced in the 50 years since. That is the disenfranchisement of blue collar whites, and their departure from the left was felt in the 2016, just as they may serve as Biden's key to victory in 2020. Plus, Al and James discuss Trump's latest outrages.
The 2020 election will liberate us from Donald Trump and Republican hegemony. A sweeping Democratic victory will make it possible at last for us to address our most serious problems—because 2020 will bring the death of the Republican party as we’ve known it. That’s what Stan Greenberg says—he’s a longtime pollster and adviser to presidents from Clinton to Obama. He’s also a bestselling author, with a new book out—it has the wonderful title R.I.P. G.O.P.: How the New America is Dooming the Republicans. Plus: Naomi Klein on the Green New Deal—she says we need to follow the example of the New Deal era of the 1930s, when nothing would have happened without “massive pressure from social movements” that “changed the calculus of what was possible.” Naomi is the author of several number one bestsellers, including This Changes Everything. Also: movies and politics. No political figure has blurred the line between them more than Ronald Reagan—and no president understood the power of collective fantasy better than Reagan did. That’s what the great movie critic J. Hoberman says—his new book about movie culture in the Age of Reagan is called Make My Day. Subscribe to The Nation to support all of our podcasts: http://thenation.com/podcastsubscribe
The 2020 election will liberate us from Donald Trump and Republican hegemony. A sweeping Democratic victory will make it possible at last for us to address our most serious problems. That's what Stan Greenberg says – he's a longtime pollster and adviser to Democratic presidents from Clinton to Obama. He's also a bestselling author, with a new book out – it has the wonderful title R.I.P. G.O.P.: how the New America is Dooming the Republicans. Plus: Stacey Abrams probably would be governor of Georgia right now if the vote count had been fair and the vote suppression stopped – she's a remarkable person and a fighter for the right to vote. Her new book is “Lead from the Outside”--it was Number Three on the New York Times bestseller list. Also: We look back at some of the big events of 2019, and some of our favorite interviews, starting with the terrorist attacks by white nationalists, in El Paso and elsewhere. Historian Kathleen Belew says they are NOT isolated events carried out by loners; in fact they are connected, the work of a movement, with tens of thousands of active members.
The 2020 election will liberate us from Donald Trump and Republican hegemony. A sweeping Democratic victory will make it possible at last for us to address our most serious problems. That’s what Stan Greenberg says – he’s a longtime pollster and adviser to Democratic presidents from Clinton to Obama. He’s also a bestselling author, with a new book out – it has the wonderful title R.I.P. G.O.P.: how the New America is Dooming the Republicans. Plus: Stacey Abrams probably would be governor of Georgia right now if the vote count had been fair and the vote suppression stopped – she’s a remarkable person and a fighter for the right to vote. Her new book is “Lead from the Outside”--it was Number Three on the New York Times bestseller list. Also: We look back at some of the big events of 2019, and some of our favorite interviews, starting with the terrorist attacks by white nationalists, in El Paso and elsewhere. Historian Kathleen Belew says they are NOT isolated events carried out by loners; in fact they are connected, the work of a movement, with tens of thousands of active members.
Could the Republican defense of Trump in the impeachment proceedings open the door to a watershed victory for Democrats across the board? Even before Nancy Pelosi finally agreed that it was time to begin impeachment proceedings, the Democrats' prospects for a sweep of the 202 elections were good. That's what Stan Greenberg says -- he's a longtime pollster and adviser to Democratic presidents from Clinton to Obama. He's also a bestselling author, with a new book out – it has the wonderful title 'R.I.P. G.O.P.' Also: Jeet Heer of The Nation magazine considers the Republicans' defense of Trump – that Joe Biden's son Hunter Biden really was corrupt in his dealings in Ukraine, and that he really did influence his father's work as vice president, and so Trump was right to ask the president of Ukraine for more information. Plus: historian Eric Foner talks about voter suppression and the right to vote, about who gets to be a citizen, what rights undocumented immigrants have, and about the history of mass incarceration--and how they all relate to the 13th, 14th and 15th Amendments, part of the country's attempt to redefine citizenship after the end of slavery. His new book is 'The Second Founding: How the Civil War and Reconstruction Remade the Constitution.' how the New America is Dooming the Republicans. We spoke with him about the 2020 election BEFORE impeachment proceedings began—
Could the Republican defense of Trump in the impeachment proceedings open the door to a watershed victory for Democrats across the board? Even before Nancy Pelosi finally agreed that it was time to begin impeachment proceedings, the Democrats’ prospects for a sweep of the 202 elections were good. That’s what Stan Greenberg says -- he’s a longtime pollster and adviser to Democratic presidents from Clinton to Obama. He’s also a bestselling author, with a new book out – it has the wonderful title 'R.I.P. G.O.P.' Also: Jeet Heer of The Nation magazine considers the Republicans’ defense of Trump – that Joe Biden’s son Hunter Biden really was corrupt in his dealings in Ukraine, and that he really did influence his father’s work as vice president, and so Trump was right to ask the president of Ukraine for more information. Plus: historian Eric Foner talks about voter suppression and the right to vote, about who gets to be a citizen, what rights undocumented immigrants have, and about the history of mass incarceration--and how they all relate to the 13th, 14th and 15th Amendments, part of the country’s attempt to redefine citizenship after the end of slavery. His new book is 'The Second Founding: How the Civil War and Reconstruction Remade the Constitution.' how the New America is Dooming the Republicans. We spoke with him about the 2020 election BEFORE impeachment proceedings began—
The 2020 election will liberate us from Donald Trump and Republican hegemony. A sweeping Democratic victory will make it possible at last for us to address our most serious problems. That’s what Stan Greenberg says – he’s a longtime pollster and adviser to Democratic presidents from Clinton to Obama. He’s also a bestselling author, with a new book out – it has the wonderful title R.I.P. G.O.P.: how the New America is Dooming the Republicans. Also: Edward Snowden published a memoir this week, called Permament Record, and The Nation magazine features an excerpt--it’s about his youthful enthusiasm for home computers connected to the internet, which had just become available, and the contrast he draws between the internet in those days and what it soon brought: the “identitarian consistency” required by “surveillance capitalism.” Editor D.D. Guttenplan explains. Also: What’s Really Going on While Trump Creates Chaos: Sasha Abramsky separates what Trump is actually doing from what he’s tweeting. His new column at TheNation.com is “Signal/Noise.”
A portion of our Young Turks Main Show from February 27, 2018. For more go to http://www.tytnetwork.com/join. Hour 1: Trump still supports raising the age limit to buy certain firearms, White House press secretary Sarah Sanders told reporters on Tuesday. But her statement is at odds with Republican sources on Capitol Hill, who have told CNN that Trump's interest in the issue has privately waned in recent days. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which works to elect Democrats to the U.S. House, commissioned a survey and analysis from Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research and GBA Strategies to help think through health care messaging. In April, the firm’s veteran pollster Stan Greenberg briefed House Democrats on the findings with a presentation at the offices of the Democratic National Committee. The messaging handouts, obtained by The Intercept, made clear where the party wants its candidates to stand when it comes to health care reform: preferably nowhere, but certainly not with single-payer advocates. Hour 2: The Georgia Senate has approved a bill that would give adoption agencies the ability to decide not to work with LGBTQ couples. Sean Hannity asks Left about right-wing art. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Renowned Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg has advised the likes of Bill Clinton, Tony Blair and Nelson Mandela. But he first made a name for himself studying white working class voters. His seminal 1985 report on so-called Reagan Democrats examined why auto workers were abandoning the Democratic Party in Macomb County, Michigan. Greenberg joins Katie and Brian to discuss how the 2016 election gave him déjà vu, why he's been spending time in Macomb again and what he's hearing from Trump supporters there. Plus, a caller in Chicago gets on the line to explain why she went from being a lifelong Democrat to voting for Donald Trump. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://news.iheart.com/podcast-advertisers
#USA #USelection2016 #USelection #Trump #Clinton #StanGreenberg #American #USpolitics #politics
With less than a month to go, the question that’s been at the center of the midterm elections continues to be the big unknown: Who will take control of the Senate.We know that stats: 36 races are on the ballots; to takeover control, Republicans need a net gain of 6. And the closer we get, the more the contest seems to be coming down to just 4 or 5 key states.As listeners of this podcast know, most predictions show probabilities leaning toward a Republican win. Of course, a few notable exceptions exist.And now a new one: the Women’s Voices Women’s Vote Action Fund and Democracy Corp teamed up to look at the Senate races. Their finding: For the first time in this election cycle, movement across a “range of indicators that suggest the Democrats are more likely to hold control of the U.S. Senate than not.”The survey was conducted by Stan Greenberg, longtime Democratic pollster, Polling adviser to President Bill Clinton, Al Gore and Nelson Mandela, among many others; CEO of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Co-Founder Democracy Corps.
America's Future Now conference: Live from Washington DC Manufacturing America:Common Sense About Global Economic Strategy, Moderator: Robert Borosage, Campaign for America’s FutureClyde Prestowitz, Economic Strategy InstituteThea Lee, AFL-CIORep. Rosa DeLauro (D-CT)Stan Greenberg, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Reseach
America's Future Now conference: Live from Washington DC Manufacturing America:Common Sense About Global Economic Strategy, Moderator: Robert Borosage, Campaign for America’s FutureClyde Prestowitz, Economic Strategy InstituteThea Lee, AFL-CIORep. Rosa DeLauro (D-CT)Stan Greenberg, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Reseach