The Peter Zeihan Podcast Series

A cornerstone of modern globalization, the World Trade Organization (WTO), is collapsing. Following the Cold War, the post-WWII system needed a legal system to enforce trade rules, so the WTO was born. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4vaKeoS

Trump's latest statement telling countries to secure their own oil dismantles the very fabric of the global order. We'd be stepping away from the post-WWII system where the U.S. provided security for everyone, so economic growth could be the priority. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4c4puXe

Taking Iran's Oil is far more complicated and dangerous than Trump has made it out to be. We're talking about a humanitarian crisis and a full-blown ground invasion to actually control Iranian production. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4dtlF05

Iran was able to successfully strike Prince Sultan Air Base, which is a U.S. base in Saudi Arabia. And guess who supplied Iran with the targeting data necessary to carry out the strike? The Russians. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4lZB2PS

The British-led effort to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by forming a coalition without U.S. involvement is just unrealistic. Most countries lack the naval power to do this, and even if the coalition could assemble the ships needed, countering Iran's drones and missiles would be extremely difficult. Protecting shipping and reopening the strait would require naval escorts and control of vast stretches of the Iranian coastline...not something this coalition could achieve.

European efforts to build trade systems that exclude the U.S. are inherently flawed. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/413Yzpe

Despite the ongoing conflict in the Persian Gulf, shipping in the Strait of Hormuz remains open...sort of. The Iranians have taken control, requiring ships to get clearance for safe passage. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/40XWUl6

The U.S. is preparing for a potential ground operation in Iran. Marines from the USS Tripoli and Boxer, as well as elements from the 82nd Airborne, could be looped in. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/40RY3L0

Buying your first home is one of those major milestones that your parents and grandparents probably didn't even think twice about. Now, that milestone is slipping further out of reach for the average American.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4dPbkeK

The global energy trade has been taking hit after hit, and things might be getting worse. Ukraine launched a large drone attack on oil export facilities in the Baltic, proving they can disrupt Russian exports.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4c4bHRw

If the U.S. wants to force a meaningful change in Iran's government, there's only one path forward. They have to destabilize the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4sB6eYq

Aluminum production in the Persian Gulf is going bye-bye. As Iran ramps up strikes on gas fields, pipelines, and power plants, the countries that depend upon cheap natural gas will no longer be able to run their smelters.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4byhxKT

Now that the Strait of Hormuz is shut down due to the Iran war, the impact is beginning to hit global food systems. This is coming in the form of fertilizer production disruptions in the Persian Gulf.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3NEtJk2

Claims that the U.S. will end the war by seizing Iranian assets make no strategic sense. Targeting Kharg Island or removing the uranium from Isfahan with ground operations is just too risky.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/477h7IL

The Supreme Court ruled Trump's tariffs were illegal, forcing the administration to do things...the right way. Welcome to Section 301 investigations. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4lCaOCU

The U.S. has kicked off renegotiating NAFTA, but Canada was left out of the first round between Mexico and the U.S. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4seVsGP

Russia is taking what they've learned on the battlefield in the Ukraine War and sharing that with Iran. This is not a new strategy for the Russians, but it is already spelling trouble for the US. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter:

Before anybody asks, no, the following is NOT financial advice. The U.S. dollar is constantly in the spotlight, so where is it heading? Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter:

Trump has launched a new regional security initiative called the Shield of the Americas. This partners with several Latin American leaders that Trump likes to target drug cartels throughout LATAM.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4sMNEfD

Sweden has seized its first shadow fleet vessel. They even went after a bulk carrier rather than a tanker. As more countries join in on the crackdown on Russia's shadow fleet, the dominoes are beginning to fall.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter:

There have been two major developments involving India, Russia, and the Iran war being conflated. These are two separate issues altogether. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter:

We've all heard the claim that the Iraq War was a war for oil, but American energy firms barely wanted to touch Iraq after Saddam fell. Things might be shifting now.Join the Analyst Tier on Patreon to access Peter's daily coverage of the Iran War: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4bhti75

Macron is proposing that France expand its nuclear deterrent to help shield the entire European Union. This comes at a time when Europe is losing confidence in the United States' security guarantees. But there are major obstacles in the way.Join the Analyst Tier on Patreon to access Peter's daily coverage of the Iran War: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4cDYaB4

The U.S. has a drone that punches in the same (financial) weight class as the Iranian Shahed. Everybody, meet LUCAS.Join the Analyst Tier on Patreon to access Peter's daily coverage of the Iran War: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4s2SVzJ

As Trump has been screaming into the void about acquiring Greenland, the wheels over in Iceland and Norway are starting to turn.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/47yhWu4

The Belgian government has seized a tanker of the shadow fleet. With the United States, India, and now the Europeans intervening, it is only a matter of time – months at most – before the entire fleet is shut down. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/40EeUk9

Panama has taken control of the port facilities previously run by a Chinese company after the courts ruled the original contracts were secured through bribes. This move reaffirms U.S.–Panama relations, as a U.S. ally is now operating the ports.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3P7ck3B

The U.S. is pressuring Ukraine to avoid striking specific Russian energy infrastructure. As you could imagine, this all has to do with American economic interests.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4aHoV6c

I hate to say it, but we still haven't located the fountain of youth. Unfortunately, that means there's no current medical breakthrough that will meaningfully reverse the global demographic problem.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4qQOcPZ

U.S. strikes against Iran appear imminent, with two aircraft carriers being positioned in the Persian Gulf. Trump has presented Iran with negotiation terms that would effectively end Iran's status as a regional power, so it's no surprise that negotiations have stalled. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4qX5dIu

The Trump administration has accused China of conducting a small nuclear test in 2020. The claim is that a seismic event was detected in Western China around that time. A lot is going on here, so let's unpack it.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3ZLIYKv

Following the Christmas Day U.S. airstrike on a jihadist target in northern Nigeria, the U.S. has deployed 100 troops, more so advisors, to train local counterterrorism forces in Nigeria.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3MCfFqM

Starlink cut service to Russian forces along the front line, leaving these troops largely isolated. Ukraine has taken advantage of the situation by launching localized offensives and reclaiming a nice chunk of land.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4aOeVH6

Drones now account for the majority of casualties in the Ukraine War. One of the innovations that has allowed Russia to improve strike range is by mounting Starlink terminals to drones.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4kLNxhC

Japan has identified a large rare earth deposit of its own, but it's not going to change global supply dynamics. Here's the situation...Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/46MOb8z

Since the U.S. shut down Venezuelan oil exports, Cuba has been sliding towards a severe energy crisis. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4kG7MNG

The Canadians built and financed a new bridge connecting Detroit and Ontario, but now Trump wants his 50%.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3Zzf1gs

India's navy has begun seizing shadow fleet tankers in its exclusive economic zone. If India continues down this path, other countries will likely join the bandwagon, marking the end of the shadow fleet.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan

The U.S. is turning to the Aussies for some help with stationing four American submarines at Stirling in a hedge against potential future conflicts with China.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3MknGjZ

Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party just won a two-thirds majority in the lower house. This gives Prime Minister Takaichi a rare personal mandate and practically total control of the government for the next few years.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3O0pf7c

Japan has a...special way of measuring deficits, leaving true borrowing understated by excluding major obligations like pensions and local government debt, and counting planned bond issuance as income. But Japan isn't the only country facing debt issues.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/46FFeOd

The Trump administration has announced a plan to create a $12 billion stockpile of rare earths. The goal is to create a buffer against any supply disruptions, but this is just a band-aid.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4rALnTR

The last remaining US-Russia nuclear arms control agreement has expired, which means for the first time in decades, we're in a world with no active nuclear arms control.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4aeIJfH

The EU struggles to take any decisive action on foreign and security policy because it has to wait for all 29 member states to agree. Whereas the US can make and enforce security decisions at the drop of a hat.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4bCclWO

Venezuela has been dragged through the mud thanks to Chávez and Maduro, but it might be seeing its first genuinely positive development in decades.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3Zg90Fh

First order of business: No, this isn't financial advice. Second order of business: taking a loan out in Yuan to profit from a Chinese collapse is a very bad idea.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/49WMsQ4

Is India overhyped or genuinely important moving forward? Well, you could make a case for both.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4a3K4Y1

Let's talk about the current state of electronic warfare in the Ukraine War and how Iran is fitting into all this.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3Z7bTIt

The EU and India have struck a trade deal, but it's not the breakthrough it's being made out to be. Just because you sign a trade deal doesn't mean that integration magically appears.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/45FjmCm

Xi Jinping has removed yet another senior official from China's Central Military Commission (CMC). After 14 years of eliminating officials, prioritizing loyalty over competence, China's institutions are hollow.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan

France has seized a shadow fleet tanker suspected of carrying sanctioned oil under a false flag and has taken it to Marseille. Should this ship be formally impounded, the entirety of the shadow fleet would fall.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4q1N5fQ