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Sam Harris speaks with Peter Zeihan about Trump's second term and its economic and geopolitical consequences. They discuss Zeihan's failed 2024 election prediction, the unprecedented unraveling of American power, Trump's tariff policies, the AI bubble, deglobalization and supply chain vulnerabilities, China's demographic and economic collapse, the degradation of military readiness, Trump's incompetent foreign policy team, Steven Witkoff's role as a Russian propaganda conduit, Melania Trump's unexpected effectiveness as Ukraine's unofficial ambassador, the 28-point peace plan and its $100 billion bribe, the repatriation of kidnapped Ukrainian children, and other topics. If the Making Sense podcast logo in your player is BLACK, you can SUBSCRIBE to gain access to all full-length episodes at samharris.org/subscribe.
Peter Zeihan is a geopolitical analyst, speaker and author. What does the next decade really hold? Beneath every forecast about the future, one thing quietly determines everything else: energy. From globalization to warfare to artificial intelligence, how will the world be reshaped in the years ahead? Sponsors: See discounts for all the products I use and recommend: https://chriswillx.com/deals Get up to $50 off the RP Hypertrophy App at https://rpstrength.com/modernwisdom Get 35% off your first subscription on the best supplements from Momentous at https://livemomentous.com/modernwisdom Get 15% off any Saily data plan at https://saily.com/modernwisdom Extra Stuff: Get my free reading list of 100 books to read before you die: https://chriswillx.com/books Try my productivity energy drink Neutonic: https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom Episodes You Might Enjoy: #577 - David Goggins - This Is How To Master Your Life: https://tinyurl.com/43hv6y59 #712 - Dr Jordan Peterson - How To Destroy Your Negative Beliefs: https://tinyurl.com/2rtz7avf #700 - Dr Andrew Huberman - The Secret Tools To Hack Your Brain: https://tinyurl.com/3ccn5vkp - Get In Touch: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact - Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Space debris recently struck China's Tiangong space station. Given the congested nature of the ~350km altitude band, this collision is a warning of what might come to low Earth orbit (LEO).Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4435jWp
The US and South Korea have struck a deal for the US to help build nuclear-powered submarines for the Koreans. The US has kept this technology close to the chest for a long time, with the access list now a whopping two countries long: Australia and South Korea.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/484AVgO
Both the Ukrainians and the Russians will hate this plan.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3Ma1ZCB
Last chance to access our biggest discount of the year! Join Peter Zeihan's Patreon and get 50% off your first month with code PZ50.Cyber Monday Sale: https://bit.ly/PZBFSale*Sale ends at 11:59PM ETDoubling the US industrial capacity requires 50% more electricity...already a high barrier to entry. If we want to throw in some new data centers, add another 25-50% on top of that. No small feat.Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/48198Ob
Ready to level up your geopolitical insight? Join Peter Zeihan's Patreon and get 50% off your first month with code PZ50.Black Friday Sale: https://bit.ly/PZBFSaleThe world we've known and loved is going away, which means the US will have to pull itself up by its bootstraps and get to work...because there is a massive defense buildout and reindustrialization looming on the horizon.Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4ikb6MX
Ready to level up your geopolitical insight? Join Peter Zeihan's Patreon and get 50% off your first month with code PZ50.Black Friday Sale: https://bit.ly/PZBFSaleThe US shale revolution has altered the trajectory of the US energy sector, but can that success story be replicated anywhere else?Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4ijvhdS
Ready to level up your geopolitical insight? Join Peter Zeihan's Patreon and get 50% off your first month with code PZ50. Black Friday Sale: https://bit.ly/PZBFSaleDespite New Mexico's hot air balloon festival and dramatic landscapes, there's not much else going for the state. They rank low on economic and social indicators, they have an arid climate, they're navigating complex racial and tribal dynamics...needless to say, they could use a win.Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3MlGBu7
Some officials over in Ukraine have been stuffing their pockets with $100 million stolen from the energy sector. Before you get worried that someone has been dipping into the US or EU aid...this dates back long before all that started flowing in.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3X7C15a
Let's talk about the Sichuan. And no, we're not ordering take-out. We're talking about China's newest Type 076 amphibious assault ship, somewhat similar in size to the US Wasp-class.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4i8G0bh
Yet another innovation has come from the Ukraine War. We're talking drone-on-drone warfare. Codename: Octopus.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4nXW8gV
Massive population shocks are nothing new; just look at the Mongol invasions or the Black Death. But is the demographic collapse of today comparable to those historic cases?Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4pjcFgH
We're entering an era where restructuring global manufacturing will be non-negotiable. As supply chains collapse and tariffs complicate this process, can technology like 3D printing take some of the pressure off?Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/49SbbFq
The AI race has been all the rage, but what if we were racing ourselves straight into regression?Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4hYjNMV
ExxonMobil has introduced a new type of proppant that might just spark the next US shale revolution.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4i2oaXs
The Trump administration's sanctions on Russia's energy sector are proving to be more substantive than the other policies we've seen.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4nR3DGv
For a country that doesn't get much attention, Myanmar matters much more than most realize. While caught in a civil war for decades, Myanmar has a whole lot going for it.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3JrrLl1
We've discussed how essential semiconductors are in our increasingly technological world, so here's an update on ASML's new High-NA EUV lithography machines.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3WHTHUB
The strategies implemented by Russia and Ukraine are shifting once again. Let's discuss!Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/43ekKKV
Staging a meaningful protest requires several things, and a large young population is one of the key components. So, what happens when there aren't enough young people left?Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/47FYgnt
President Trump has wrapped up a whirlwind trip to Asia; he met with several key regional leaders...Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/43Q87FY
It appears that US military strikes against the Venezuelan government are imminent. Let's take a look at what passes for a military in Venezuela.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4nMXOdi
I'm thrilled to share that my first novel, and fifth book overall, is officially in the works! Acceptable Range is coming in early 2027, and you can join the interest list below now! Join the list here: https://bit.ly/AcceptableRangeFrom Peter Zeihan, New York Times bestselling author of The End of the World Is Just the Beginning, comes his first work of fiction: a high-stakes geopolitical thriller that spans continents and tests the limits of power, trust, technology, and national survival. A striking fusion of real-world insight and pulse-pounding suspense, Acceptable Range is a global-systems thriller — part autopsy, part countdown — propelled by the momentum of a civilization in collapse. It examines the machinery of the modern world and how a system built for perfection forgets how to survive error. Even before someone…gives things a push. In an age defined by feedback loops and vanishing margins, the question is no longer whether collapse can be stopped — only whether it can be contained within an acceptable range. Acceptable Range is the first installment of a trilogy, forthcoming from BenBella Books in early 2027.
The Fed just cut interest rates by 0.25%. Instead of the desired boost to a slowing US economy, we ended up with a market drop.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4hzmS5K
The world as we know it is going away. The large, interconnected systems that span the globe are breaking down, so those smaller, regional blocs are growing in importance. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/47wOeFb
We've all heard the saying "the enemy of my enemy is my friend," but I'm not sure if that applies to South Korea and Japan forming an alliance against China.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4hAUAYP
To be thorough in our discussion of China's demographic collapse, we must explore as many potential solutions as possible...even if one of those is a UAE-style model of imported workers (aka slavery).Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4oEtJ06
We've kicked, flogged, and beaten the snot out of China's demographic horse, but what other countries are facing a similar demographic decline?Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/49tfyXo
Bolivia is in the midst of a political reshuffling that could alter its minerals future. For decades, Bolivia's socialist government has kept the country poor and starved of foreign investment.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4hy7xTb
The Trump administration is sending the USS Ford, America's most powerful supercarrier, to the waters off Venezuela...Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/47tc44J
The recent deadly clashes along the Pakistan-Afghanistan border have less to do with current events, and more to do with the fractured ethnic and political foundations of the countries. So, let's look at the mounting instability threatening Pakistan's internal cohesion.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3J58g1u
Trump just cut off military and economic aid to Columbia, because of...you guessed it...a political clash with President Petro. Bonus points if you guessed that this move would have some adverse effects, like reviving the Colombian cocaine trade.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/47vz7vA
The US just committed roughly $20 billion in a currency-swap with Argentina. That's a whole lot of pesos. So, why did the US extend this lifeline, and will it save Argentina from itself?Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/43IFGd4
Let's first establish that Qatar is not building a new base in the US. They are funding an expansion of an existing US facility used to train F-15 pilots. And second, Qatar isn't interested in those Idaho potatoes, they're looking for something a bit more nuanced.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4qmrQXE
The Trump administration's campaign against alleged Venezuelan drug smuggling is raising some eyebrows. Let's unpack the War Powers Act and how it applies to this.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3LlgWkI
Today on the show, Jay sits down with geopolitical analyst Peter Zeihan for a sweeping conversation about the collapse of the global order. Zeihan explains why China is nearing its end, how demographics are set up to decimate economies around the world, and why the U.S. may soon abandon its role as world policeman and what that would mean for the world. Follow Peter: https://x.com/PeterZeihan https://linktr.ee/zeihanongeopolitics @ZeihanonGeopolitics Learn to invest alongside the top minds in commodities. Join The Commodity University today. CLICK: https://linkly.link/26yH8 Join us LIVE at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference on January 25 & 26. Tickets: https://VRICMedia.com Sign up for my free weekly newsletter at https://2ly.link/211gx Be part of our online investment community: https://cambridgehouse.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC https://www.instagram.com/jaymartinbc https://www.facebook.com/TheJayMartinShow https://www.linkedin.com/company/cambridge-house-international 00:00 — The Rare Earths Headline: Hype or Real Threat? 01:44 — How Did China Corner the Rare Earths Market? 06:44 — “China will be gone in ten years” 11:17 — Can Automation and Robotics Fix China's Labor Collapse? 15:07 — Why Will India and Indonesia Age Faster Than the U.S.? 18:42 — Can Culture or Religion Prevent Fertility Decline? 22:42 — What Is the Actual Purpose of the SCO and BRICS? 25:01 — Did Belt & Road Actually Backfire on China? 30:54 — Is China Smelling Blood in the Water as U.S. Influence Wanes? 31:57 — Saudi Arabia + Pakistan: A New Nuclear Umbrella? 38:04 — Why America Is Ending Globalization (and Security Guarantees) 46:02 — What Happens When the U.S. Stops Policing the World? 51:57 — Which Countries Can Survive Deglobalization? 55:22 — Japan's Strategy: Alternative Alliances and Naval Power 56:55 — Have We Already Passed the Point of No Return? Copyright © 2025 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.
There has been plenty of public frustration over Trump's policies and actions, but that doesn't necessarily translate to political momentum.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4neSMWC
Since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, the US has been trying to figure out the appropriate level of involvement. Tomahawk Missiles would be quite the game-changer for this cyclical conversation.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4ol8C2C
US military intervention in Venezuela keeps getting floated around, but I'm not sure people fully comprehend how UGLY this would be.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3WEp0Q1
It looks like the peace deal between Israel, Gaza, Hamas, and other Arab States is holding (so far). The fighting has stopped, refugees are returning, and Trump deserves all the praise he's getting right now.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4nMyGE3
It's Friday evening, the office is packing up for the weekend, and the boss decides it's the perfect time to announce something big. So, I hope you enjoyed your weekend of mulling over the idea of what a 100% tariff on all Chinese imports would look like.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4n7L0xN
While the Russians are busy throwing everything they can at Ukraine, could China make a move to seize Siberia?Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3IRFG3u
Anytime we have a sitting US president that has exceeded the average lifespan, it's a warranted endeavor to explore what happens after...they bite the dust. So, how would President Vance hold up?Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3IWhCfC
The US needs to massively expand its ability to generate electricity. A possible solution? Mixed-oxide nuclear fuel.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3KGvCL6
Next up on Trump's chopping block, we have US agriculture. Staring down a broad list of restrictive tariffs, US agriculture is entering a crisis of its own.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/46V2Xt4
President Trump might finally be throwing the Ukrainians a bone, as the US may begin providing the precision targeting intelligence for strikes deep inside Russia. This marks a major shift in US policy on Ukraine.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4oqtplN
It looks like there's finally a sign of life coming from the Senate chambers. After years of ceding power to the executive branch, a handful of Senators seem to have finally taken a stand.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4gRsWWW
It appears Trump and Hegseth have been getting the Led out, because the song 'Ramble On' pretty much summarizes how their speeches went the other day.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4gPT30m
This Flashback Friday is from episode 442, published last November 22, 2014 Geography and demographic patterns prove their importance in the discussions featured on today's Creating Wealth Show. Jason Hartman talks to Peter Zeihan, author of The Accidental Superpower, about the many factors which have affected the economic and social growth of America and several other vital world powers. They consider topics from China's one-child policy, the comparative strength of the dollar and the how the future looks in terms of oil production and 3D printing. Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com