Podcasts about Malacca

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Best podcasts about Malacca

Latest podcast episodes about Malacca

Energy News Beat Podcast
Maritime Operational & Governance Strategy for Infrastructure Investors with Dr. Beatriz Canamary - Huge Impacts in Energy

Energy News Beat Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2026 55:14


Dr. Beatriz Canamary stopped by the Energy News Beat podcast, and we had a great discussion about energy, exports, and our maritime industry, including shipbuilding and the Jones Act. I am going to just be brutally honest for a moment, and say that I have been for totally repealing the Jones Act for years. After my discussion with Dr. Canamery, my opinion has shifted toward more of a "let's get the problem solved and leave the Jones Act in place long-term" stance. But we need a plan to get to a balance. Dr. Canamary has a new book coming out, and we will be getting an interview lined up. Connect with Beatriz on her LinkedIn here: https://www.linkedin.com/in/beatrizcanamary/1. U.S. Maritime Industry RevitalizationThe core focus is rebuilding America's shipbuilding capacity. The U.S. currently represents only 0.4% of global ship production (down from over 50% post-WWII), while China dominates with 60% and South Korea adds another 20%. The discussion emphasizes the need for strategic investment in shipyards, workforce development, and creating predictable cargo demand to justify shipbuilding expansion.2. Energy Security & Dominance Through MaritimeEnergy exports (oil and LNG) are central to U.S. dominance, but they're currently transported on international vessels rather than U.S.-flagged ships. The podcast explores how securing cargo on American vessels strengthens both energy security and the maritime industry. The Strait of Hormuz crisis is cited as a wake-up call about supply chain vulnerabilities.3. Global Choke Points & Geopolitical RisksEight major maritime choke points (Strait of Hormuz, Red Sea/Houthis, Strait of Malacca, etc.) are contested and sometimes weaponized. Insurance companies can effectively shut down shipping by canceling coverage, as Lloyd's of London did during the Iran strike. The discussion highlights the need for U.S. insurance alternatives and control over critical passages.4. Nuclear Technology in MaritimeNuclear propulsion for ships and floating nuclear power plants are presented as innovation differentiators for the U.S. The ABS (American Bureau of Shipping) has frameworks for approving nuclear projects, and companies like Nano Nuclear are developing micro-reactors designed for maritime use. Nuclear is positioned as cleaner than traditional fuel oil and a competitive advantage.5. Autonomous & Advanced Maritime TechnologyA new IMO (International Maritime Organization) framework for autonomous commercial ships was recently approved, with a mandatory code coming in 2032. The U.S. is positioned to compete through innovation in automation, AI, and autonomous vessels rather than on cost—since labor-intensive competition with China/Korea is unwinnable.6. Maritime Prosperity ZonesThe U.S. should develop regional maritime clusters (similar to Europe's model) with specialized capabilities—some regions for tankers, others for icebreakers, etc. The American Maritime Industrial Coalition is mapping supply chains and regional expertise to accelerate production.7. Trade Agreements & Bilateral PartnershipsStrategic trade agreements with U.S. allies can secure cargo flows through American ports on U.S.-flagged vessels, creating demand signals for shipbuilding without direct government subsidies. This creates a win-win for allies seeking energy independence.8. The Ships for America ActA bipartisan bill with 126+ seats of support, expected to pass by year-end. It includes tax incentives and supports the broader maritime revitalization strategy outlined in the National Security Strategy and Maritime Action Plan.9. Geopolitical Shifts & New Trading BlocsThe podcast discusses emerging energy-based trading blocs, China's port dominance (129 ports globally), and concerns about China's influence in South America (Peru, Brazil). It also touches on the Monroe Doctrine and regional security in the Western Hemisphere.10. Ports as Strategic InfrastructureDr. Canamari's forthcoming book explores ports as intelligence hubs, infrastructure assets, and strategic military/trade assets. The discussion covers climate resilience, digital twins, automation, and how ports are increasingly weaponized in global trade wars.This is a comprehensive discussion of how maritime infrastructure, energy, innovation, and geopolitics intersect to shape U.S. competitiveness and national security.Check out the Energy News Beat SubStack https://theenergynewsbeat.substack.com/A shout-out to Steve Reese and the Reese Energy Consulting group for sponsoring the Podcast https://reeseenergyconsulting.com/.Data2 if you have any business systems, can you trust A? Well, they have the patent on validation. . https://data2.zoholandingpage.com/energyAnd we have WellDatabase rolling in as a new sponsor. https://welldatabase.com/

Spybrary
Bestselling Author Brad Thor on Choke Point, Netflix's Cold Zero, and Spy Fiction

Spybrary

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2026 52:54


Brad Thor has sold over 25 million thriller books. Tim Shipman welcomes Brad Thor on Spybrary to discuss Choke Point, the 25th Scot Harvath thriller, and the evolution of Scott Harvath from post-9/11 counterterrorism operator. Thor explains how the new novel uses Thailand, China's ambitions, the Strait of Malacca, sabotage, bomb-making, and geopolitical manipulation as the backdrop for a fast-moving thriller. The conversation also digs into Thor's writing process, his research network of intelligence, military, law enforcement, and diplomatic sources, and how he builds authentic detail even when he has not personally visited a location. Thor reflects on his early career as a travel show host, the honeymoon conversation that pushed him to write his first novel, his friendship with Vince Flynn, the collaborative thriller Cold Zero with Ward Larsen, and the Netflix film adaptation currently in development. Key Topics and Themes Brad Thor's 25th Scot Harvath thriller, Choke Point China's Belt and Road Initiative and global infrastructure influence Thailand, the Strait of Malacca, and the strategic value of a Thai canal The evolution of Scot Harvath Post-9/11 thriller fiction and the rise of the American action-spy hero Real-world tradecraft, bomb-making research, and responsible thriller detail Writing geopolitical thrillers that teach readers something without slowing the pace Bangkok as an underused spy-fiction setting Collaboration with Ward Larsen on Cold Zero The Netflix adaptation of Cold Zero British spy-fiction influences: Fleming, le Carré, Forsyth, MacLean, Deighton Brad Thor Official Website Follow Tim Shipman Buy Choke Point The Top 125 Spy Authors Ranked and Rated by Tim Shipman Join the Spybrary Community

Geopop - Le Scienze nella vita di tutti i giorni
382 - Non solo Hormuz: i 9 stretti che reggono il mondo (e 4 sono in crisi)

Geopop - Le Scienze nella vita di tutti i giorni

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2026 21:39


Tutti conosciamo lo Stretto di Hormuz. Ma di stretti come Hormuz, nel mondo, ce ne sono altri sette. E oggi, per la prima volta nella storia recente, quattro degli otto principali choke points del pianeta sono simultaneamente sotto pressione. In questo video spieghiamo cosa sono i punti di soffocamento degli oceani, chi li controlla e cosa succede quando si chiudono. Analizziamo le rotte alternative reali: da Suez (oltre 6.000 km in più via Capo di Buona Speranza), a Panama (distanza che raddoppia o triplica), fino a Hormuz, dove una vera alternativa marittima non esiste e le pipeline di bypass possono dirottare al massimo circa 2,6 milioni di barili al giorno contro i 20 che passano via mare. Aggiornamento al 4 maggio 2026: il blocco navale USA sui porti iraniani è in vigore dal 13 aprile, la tregua tra Washington e Teheran è fragile, e dopo la conferenza di Parigi del 17 aprile (Macron, Starmer, Meloni, Merz) Europa e alleati continuano a pianificare una missione multinazionale di sminamento. Ecco tutto quello che c'è da sapere. Prendi parte alla nostra Membership per supportare il nostro progetto Missione Cultura e diventare mecenate di Geopop: https://geopop.it/ngCbN 00:00 Crisi di Hormuz: perché preoccupa il mondo 02:20 Cosa sono i choke points e perché sono strategici 04:12 Gli 8 choke points più importanti del mondo 06:41 Canale di Panama: il collegamento tra Atlantico e Pacifico 08:22 Stretto di Malacca: il passaggio marittimo più trafficato 09:21 Stretto di Gibilterra: la porta del Mediterraneo 09:53 Bosforo e Dardanelli: il collegamento con il Mar Nero 10:28 Stretto di Hormuz: passa il 20% del petrolio mondiale 12:09 Magellano e Capo di Buona Speranza: le rotte alternative 15:12 Chi controlla davvero i choke points 16:44 I choke points erano già in crisi prima di Hormuz 18:18 La rotta del futuro: l'Artico Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

AMERICA OUT LOUD PODCAST NETWORK
Rising geopolitical tensions threaten trade, food, and energy security

AMERICA OUT LOUD PODCAST NETWORK

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2026 57:00 Transcription Available


The National Security Hour with Brandon Weichert – Yon emphasized the strategic importance of maritime chokepoints such as the Danish Strait, the Strait of Hormuz, the Panama Canal, the Suez Canal, and the Strait of Malacca. These locations are not obscure geographic trivia; they are the pressure valves of the international system. If even one is blocked or militarized, the economic...

The National Security Hour
Rising geopolitical tensions threaten trade, food, and energy security

The National Security Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2026 57:00 Transcription Available


The National Security Hour with Brandon Weichert – Yon emphasized the strategic importance of maritime chokepoints such as the Danish Strait, the Strait of Hormuz, the Panama Canal, the Suez Canal, and the Strait of Malacca. These locations are not obscure geographic trivia; they are the pressure valves of the international system. If even one is blocked or militarized, the economic...

CXOInsights by CXOCIETY
PodChats for FutureCISO: Resilience imperatives for navigating Asia's poly-crisis

CXOInsights by CXOCIETY

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 1, 2026 20:45


In 2026, the risk engineer in Asia faces a fractured reality. Geopolitical decoupling has splintered supply chains across Southeast Asia, while simmering South China Sea tensions directly threaten subsea cables—the region's digital arteries. Concurrently, climate-driven heatwaves stress power grids, collapsing OT systems in manufacturing hubs. The core dilemma is no longer single-peril analysis but the "poly-crisis": ransomware demands spiking as a grid fails, or a sovereign cyber operation triggering an insurance exclusion. For Asian risk engineers, resilience means stress-testing for layered shocks—where a trade war, a flood, and a data exfiltration all arrive on the same Tuesday.Vivien Bilquez, global head of Cyber at Zurich Resilience Solutions, answers the following questions on resilience imperatives as the region faces its most challenging crises to date. 1.       To set the context for our dialogue, please briefly provide a state of resilience for organisations in Asia today?2.       With global trade splitting into US and China-centric blocs, which regulatory regime (export controls, data localization) costs/is costing/will cost businesses in Asia the most to operate under?3.       Are existing power/electricity backups designed for simultaneous crises (e.g., heatwave blackout plus ransomware), and can we recover in milliseconds rather than minutes?4.       How much do businesses rely on subsea cables through the South China Sea or Strait of Malacca, and what is the backup route if a cable is cut? 5.       If a nation-state or hacktivist group shuts down existing OT systems (e.g., cooling or chemical delivery), what is the financial loss per hour of halted production?6.       Do prevailing insurance policies exclude "sovereign cyber operations" (Stryker clauses), and have organisations moved from relying on insurance to building quantified self-resilience?7.       When an AI-driven disinformation campaign targets an organisation's brand or a climate event shuts plants/production facilities, do organisations have a playbook that unites engineering, the CISO, and the CFO within ten minutes? (If not, can you suggest such a playbook?)8.       State the resilience posture of organisations in Asia9.       What questions do I ask to put my organisation on the track to resilience?10.   What do I need to do to put my organisation on the path towards resilience?

Géopolitis - RTS Un
Détroits, à hauts risques

Géopolitis - RTS Un

Play Episode Listen Later May 24, 2026 26:27


Ormuz, Malacca, Taïwan, Gibraltar, pas de Calais… des détroits cruciaux pour le trafic maritime mais qui sont aussi vulnérables. Un grain de sable dans le système et les répercussions peuvent être redoutables, alors que 90% des échanges mondiaux se font par voie maritime.

Millionnaire Besties
SINGAPOUR : PAYS PARFAIT… OU PRISON DE LUXE ?

Millionnaire Besties

Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2026 15:05


Apprendre à investir en bourse ➡️ https://www.rachelfinance.com/weinvest/youtube (We Invest)

TẠP CHÍ VIỆT NAM
Khủng hoảng Trung Đông : Cơ hội cho hợp tác khai thác dầu khí Việt-Trung ở Biển Đông?

TẠP CHÍ VIỆT NAM

Play Episode Listen Later May 18, 2026 9:08


Khoảng 88% tổng lượng dầu thô nhập khẩu của Việt Nam được nhập từ vùng Vịnh Ba Tư, chỉ đứng sau Philippines (95%) và đứng trước các nước Malaysia (69%), Thái Lan (59%) và Singapore (52%), theo Ngân hàng Đầu tư Maybank (1). Kuwait là nhà cung cấp dầu thô lớn nhất cho Việt Nam, chiếm 80% tổng lượng nhập khẩu. Khoảng 49% khối lượng khí hóa lỏng LNG nhập khẩu của Việt Nam cũng có xuất xứ từ Vùng Vịnh (2). Sự phụ thuộc nghiêm trọng vào gần như một nước, một khu vực vẫn được coi là “chảo lửa” Trung Đông, được phản ánh rõ trong cuộc khủng hoảng eo biển Hormuz.  Ngoài ra, Việt Nam có kho dự trữ dầu chiến lược nhỏ nhất Đông Nam Á, trong khi việc đa dạng hóa các nguồn năng lượng chưa hoàn toàn mang lại hiệu quả. Đọc thêmViệt Nam đối mặt với tình trạng thiếu xăng dầu vì nguồn cung ứng bị gián đoạn Theo một tài liệu của bộ Công Thương, được Reuters trích dẫn ngày 18/03/2026, Việt Nam cũng phải đối mặt với việc các mỏ dầu ngoài khơi đang dần cạn kiệt, khiến sản lượng dầu thô nội địa dự kiến ​​sẽ bị giảm trong thập niên này, chỉ còn khoảng 5,8 đến 8 triệu tấn/năm, thấp hơn mức bình quân 8,6 triệu tấn của 5 năm gần nhất. Do đó, Việt Nam có nguy cơ phụ thuộc nhiều hơn vào nguồn nhập khẩu dầu lửa do hệ thống lọc dầu cần lượng nguyên liệu lớn hơn rất nhiều để đáp ứng nhu cầu ngày càng lớn ở trong nước. UNCLOS nói gì về khai thác dầu khí trong vùng tranh chấp chủ quyền ? Về lâu dài, Việt Nam dự trù tăng cường hoạt động thăm dò, trong đó có việc đưa ra các ưu đãi cho các công ty dầu khí quốc tế đầu tư vào các mỏ ngoài khơi. Mục tiêu là nâng cao trữ lượng có thể khai thác thêm 13 triệu đến 17 triệu tấn dầu thô mỗi năm trong giai đoạn 2026-2030. Khủng hoảng năng lượng ở Trung Đông đã thúc đẩy Philippines nêu khả năng thăm dò dầu khí với Trung Quốc ở Biển Đông, nơi đang có tranh chấp chủ quyền. Liệu Việt Nam có làm như vậy với Trung Quốc ? Thực ra, ngay năm 2005, Trung Quốc, Việt Nam và Philippines đã có thỏa thuận ba bên về “Khảo sát Địa chấn biển chung” (Joint Marine Seismic Undertaking, JSMU) tại khu vực “theo thỏa thuận” rộng 142.886 km² ở Biển Đông, bao gồm một phần quần đảo Trường Sa. Thỏa thuận này kéo dài ba năm và hết hạn vào năm 2008. Trả lời phỏng vấn RFI Tiếng Việt, giảng viên-nhà nghiên cứu Laurent Gédéon, Đại học Công giáo Lyon và Trường Sư phạm Lyon, nhận định : “Cả Philippines và Việt Nam đều coi đó là cơ hội để cải thiện quan hệ chính trị, kinh tế và quân sự với Trung Quốc, đồng thời thúc đẩy phát triển chung các nguồn tài nguyên có thể sẽ rất khó khai thác vì những căng thẳng”. Đọc thêmViệt Nam có bị ảnh hưởng từ hợp tác dầu khí Trung Quốc - Philippines ở Biển Đông? Ý định này vẫn chỉ nằm trên giấy tờ vì những đòi hỏi chủ quyền của Trung Quốc đối với hầu hết Biển Đông, cho dù bị vô hiệu hóa trong phán quyết năm 2016 của Tòa Trọng Tài Thường Trực (PCA) La Haye. Tuy nhiên, các bên vẫn không từ bỏ nỗ lực tìm kiếm một thỏa hiệp, dù chỉ là tạm thời, theo giải thích của nhà nghiên cứu Laurent Gédéon : “Theo luật quốc tế, khi nhiều quốc gia cùng tuyên bố chủ quyền đối với một vùng biển (vùng đặc quyền kinh tế hoặc thềm lục địa chồng lấn), Công ước Liên Hiệp Quốc về Luật Biển (UNCLOS) 1982 quy định nghĩa vụ hợp tác. Thông qua Điều 74 và 83, Công ước quy định các quốc gia phải đàm phán thiện chí để đạt được sự phân định công bằng và không được làm tổn hại hoặc cản trở một thỏa thuận trong tương lai. Cụ thể, điều này có nghĩa là việc khai thác dầu khí đơn phương tiềm ẩn rủi ro pháp lý tại khu vực tranh chấp giữa nhiều quốc gia theo luật quốc tế. Công ước cũng khuyến khích các giải pháp tạm thời. Công ước quy định các quốc gia có thể ký kết các thỏa thuận tạm thời mang tính thực tiễn trong khi chờ phân định cuối cùng. Chính trong khuôn khổ pháp lý này mà các khu vực phát triển chung về dầu khí đang được phát triển. Tuy nhiên, cần nhấn mạnh rằng Công ước không đề cập đến phương pháp cần tuân theo. Do đó, Công ước không định nghĩa một cơ chế tiêu chuẩn cho việc quản lý chung dầu khí, cũng không thiết lập các quy tắc chia sẻ doanh thu hoặc quản trị, cũng không tạo ra một thể chế cụ thể cho các khu vực tranh chấp này. Do đó, các phương thức cụ thể (chia sẻ, thuế, nhà điều hành…) hoàn toàn được đàm phán song phương hoặc trong khu vực giữa các quốc gia”. Đọc thêmViệt Nam bảo vệ chủ quyền ở Biển Đông như nào ? Tiền lệ về gác tranh chấp chủ quyền để cùng thăm dò khai thác Trường hợp tranh chấp chủ quyền trên biển nhưng vẫn hợp tác khai thác dầu khí không phải là hiếm trên thế giới, theo nhà nghiên cứu Laurent Gédéon : “Hai mô hình khu vực phát triển chung có thể được nêu ra làm ví dụ để các bên ở Biển Đông, đặc biệt là Việt Nam, có thể tham khảo. Thứ nhất là Khu vực Phát triển Chung Nigeria-São Tomé và Príncipe (Nigeria-São Tomé and Príncipe Joint Development Zone), liên quan đến hoạt động khai thác dầu khí trong vùng biển mà cả hai quốc gia đều tuyên bố chủ quyền ở Vịnh Guinea. Thứ hai là Khu vực Phát triển Chung Malaysia-Thái Lan (Malaysia-Thailand Joint Development Area, MTJDA), liên quan đến việc khai thác khí đốt tự nhiên trong khu vực tranh chấp giữa Malaysia và Thái Lan, nằm ở Vịnh Thái Lan. Có thể thấy rõ rằng bất chấp những khó khăn, sự hợp tác giữa các bên tuyên bố có quyền về dầu khí ở Biển Đông là khả thi và có thể được thực hiện phù hợp với cả luật pháp quốc tế và luật pháp quốc gia”. Bãi Tư Chính : Việt Nam khẳng định chủ quyền nhưng không khai thác được Tài nguyên dầu khí của Việt Nam tập trung quanh bãi Tư Chính (Vanguard Bank), chiếm khoảng 10% nhu cầu năng lượng của đất nước. Hà Nội khẳng định khu vực nhà giàn DK1, trong đó có bãi Tư Chính, nằm trong vùng đặc quyền kinh tế 200 hải lý tính từ đường cơ sở của Việt Nam và là thềm lục địa phía nam Việt Nam, hoàn toàn phù hợp với UNCLOS 1982. Vùng biển này không tranh chấp với nước nào, và lại càng không tranh chấp với Trung Quốc. Ngược lại, Bắc Kinh và Đài Bắc cho rằng bãi Tư Chính thuộc quần đảo Trường Sa, đang có tranh chấp chủ quyền. Trung Quốc thường xuyên tuần tra tại đây nhằm đe dọa Việt Nam và làm gián đoạn hoạt động của các công ty dầu khí khai thác trong khu vực. Tháng 07/2017, tập đoàn Repsol của Tây Ban Nha phải ngừng hoạt động thăm dò khí đốt tại mỏ Cá Rồng Đỏ ở khu vực bãi Tư Chính. Trong suốt ba tuần tháng 07/2019, Trung Quốc đưa tàu thăm dò Hải Dương 8 (Haiyang Dizhi 8), được nhiều tàu hải cảnh và dân quân biển hộ tống, xâm nhập vùng đặc quyền kinh tế và thềm lục địa Việt Nam tại khu vực bãi Tư Chính. Hoạt động gây rối này tái diễn trong những năm 2023, 2024. Đọc thêmBãi Tư Chính : Việt Nam nên để ngỏ khả năng kiện Trung Quốc Song song với việc “quấy rối” hoạt động thăm dò dầu khí của Việt Nam và tiếp tục đòi chủ quyền đối với hầu hết Biển Đông, từ năm 2017, Trung Quốc cũng “tích cực” đề xuất một số dự án phát triển chung ở Biển Đông với Việt Nam và Philippines. Động cơ đằng sau đề xuất này là gì ? Nhà nghiên cứu Laurent Gédéon giải thích : “Động cơ của Bắc Kinh có thể được xem xét cả về kinh tế và địa chiến lược. Về kinh tế, việc khai thác tài nguyên năng lượng ở Biển Đông cho phép Trung Quốc đáp ứng nhu cầu năng lượng trong nước ngày càng tăng. Hơn nữa, bất kỳ động thái hội nhập khu vực nào cũng nằm trong khuôn khổ rộng lớn hơn của Hiệp định Đối tác Kinh tế Toàn diện Khu vực (RCEP), do Bắc Kinh khởi xướng và có hiệu lực từ tháng 01/2022. Về mặt địa-chiến lược, các sáng kiến ​​chung với các quốc gia giáp Biển Đông cho phép Trung Quốc tăng cường quan hệ hợp tác với những nước này. Về lâu dài, sự gần gũi đó có thể góp phần làm suy yếu mối quan hệ giữa các quốc gia này với Hoa Kỳ và từ đó củng cố vị thế của Bắc Kinh trong bối cảnh cạnh tranh Trung-Mỹ”. Những bị động do phụ thuộc quá lớn vào nguồn cung năng lượng Trung Đông có khiến Hà Nội thay đổi quan điểm về thỏa thuận khai thác chung và chia sẻ công bằng nguồn năng lượng ở Biển Đông không ? Liệu có khả năng Việt Nam và Trung Quốc hợp tác trong tương lai gần hay không ? Nhà nghiên cứu Laurent Gédéon nhận định : “Có khả năng hợp tác cho dù hai nước, Trung Quốc và Việt Nam, không từ bỏ các tuyên bố chủ quyền của họ bởi vì Việt Nam có những lập luận bảo vệ chủ quyền ở Biển Đông, nhưng họ có thể gác lại khía cạnh chủ quyền này hoặc đồng ý gác lại để tập trung vào các cơ chế thực tế để quản lý tài nguyên mà trong trường hợp này, là quản lý tài nguyên dầu mỏ. Đúng là nhiều nguồn tài nguyên đang được khai thác, và một số đang gần cạn kiệt. Nhưng không phải tất cả các nguồn tài nguyên ở Biển Đông đều đã được xác định. Trong khuôn khổ quản lý thực tiễn chung các nguồn tài nguyên dầu khí ở Biển Đông giữa Trung Quốc và Việt Nam, có thể sẽ có các đợt thăm dò chung nhằm xác định các mỏ dầu khí hoặc khí đốt tự nhiên mới, sau đó sẽ được khai thác và chia sẻ chung. Đọc thêmViệt Nam, Malaysia, Philippines: Gác tranh chấp, chống Trung Quốc ở Biển Đông? Thực tế cho thấy Việt Nam phụ thuộc vào nguồn cung dầu mỏ Trung Đông. Nhìn vào tình hình bất ổn hiện nay ở Trung Đông, đặc biệt là những khó khăn do các “điểm kiểm soát” - tức là các eo biển chiến lược - gây ra thì hiện giờ đang có rất nhiều tranh luận liên quan đến eo biển Hormuz, đang bị cả Iran và Mỹ phong tỏa. Ngoài ra còn phải nhắc đến eo biển Malacca, một eo biển nhạy cảm, nơi trung chuyển một phần rất lớn dầu mỏ dành cho các nước ở Đông Nam Á và và Đông Bắc Á. Vì vậy, sự phụ thuộc vào các đặc điểm địa lý có thể trở nên rất nhạy cảm từ góc độ địa-chính trị, đang thúc đẩy Việt Nam tìm cách xác định các nguồn tài nguyên dầu mỏ có thể khai thác được mà không cần đi qua những nơi tiềm ẩn nhiều vấn đề từ góc độ địa-chính trị như vậy”. Để có thể đi đến một quyết định, chắc chắn sẽ gây tranh cãi, nhưng mang tính thiết yếu cho nguồn cung năng lượng Việt Nam Nam, nhà nghiên cứu Laurent Gédéon cho răng, “các liên doanh được thành lập trong khuôn khổ quản lý chung không nên bị coi là một bước thụt lùi hoặc là một thất bại, mà là một cơ chế thực dụng được thiết lập trong khi chờ đợi một giải pháp dứt khoát, mà không phán xét về việc phân định ranh giới sau này các vùng biển liên quan và không đặt ra nghi vấn về các tuyên bố chủ quyền lãnh thổ của mỗi bên”. (1) ASEAN countries exposed by Middle East oil dependence (2) The Middle East Crisis and Southeast Asia's Energy Vulnerability

Tạp chí Việt Nam
Khủng hoảng Trung Đông : Cơ hội cho hợp tác khai thác dầu khí Việt-Trung ở Biển Đông?

Tạp chí Việt Nam

Play Episode Listen Later May 18, 2026 9:08


Khoảng 88% tổng lượng dầu thô nhập khẩu của Việt Nam được nhập từ vùng Vịnh Ba Tư, chỉ đứng sau Philippines (95%) và đứng trước các nước Malaysia (69%), Thái Lan (59%) và Singapore (52%), theo Ngân hàng Đầu tư Maybank (1). Kuwait là nhà cung cấp dầu thô lớn nhất cho Việt Nam, chiếm 80% tổng lượng nhập khẩu. Khoảng 49% khối lượng khí hóa lỏng LNG nhập khẩu của Việt Nam cũng có xuất xứ từ Vùng Vịnh (2). Sự phụ thuộc nghiêm trọng vào gần như một nước, một khu vực vẫn được coi là “chảo lửa” Trung Đông, được phản ánh rõ trong cuộc khủng hoảng eo biển Hormuz.  Ngoài ra, Việt Nam có kho dự trữ dầu chiến lược nhỏ nhất Đông Nam Á, trong khi việc đa dạng hóa các nguồn năng lượng chưa hoàn toàn mang lại hiệu quả. Đọc thêmViệt Nam đối mặt với tình trạng thiếu xăng dầu vì nguồn cung ứng bị gián đoạn Theo một tài liệu của bộ Công Thương, được Reuters trích dẫn ngày 18/03/2026, Việt Nam cũng phải đối mặt với việc các mỏ dầu ngoài khơi đang dần cạn kiệt, khiến sản lượng dầu thô nội địa dự kiến ​​sẽ bị giảm trong thập niên này, chỉ còn khoảng 5,8 đến 8 triệu tấn/năm, thấp hơn mức bình quân 8,6 triệu tấn của 5 năm gần nhất. Do đó, Việt Nam có nguy cơ phụ thuộc nhiều hơn vào nguồn nhập khẩu dầu lửa do hệ thống lọc dầu cần lượng nguyên liệu lớn hơn rất nhiều để đáp ứng nhu cầu ngày càng lớn ở trong nước. UNCLOS nói gì về khai thác dầu khí trong vùng tranh chấp chủ quyền ? Về lâu dài, Việt Nam dự trù tăng cường hoạt động thăm dò, trong đó có việc đưa ra các ưu đãi cho các công ty dầu khí quốc tế đầu tư vào các mỏ ngoài khơi. Mục tiêu là nâng cao trữ lượng có thể khai thác thêm 13 triệu đến 17 triệu tấn dầu thô mỗi năm trong giai đoạn 2026-2030. Khủng hoảng năng lượng ở Trung Đông đã thúc đẩy Philippines nêu khả năng thăm dò dầu khí với Trung Quốc ở Biển Đông, nơi đang có tranh chấp chủ quyền. Liệu Việt Nam có làm như vậy với Trung Quốc ? Thực ra, ngay năm 2005, Trung Quốc, Việt Nam và Philippines đã có thỏa thuận ba bên về “Khảo sát Địa chấn biển chung” (Joint Marine Seismic Undertaking, JSMU) tại khu vực “theo thỏa thuận” rộng 142.886 km² ở Biển Đông, bao gồm một phần quần đảo Trường Sa. Thỏa thuận này kéo dài ba năm và hết hạn vào năm 2008. Trả lời phỏng vấn RFI Tiếng Việt, giảng viên-nhà nghiên cứu Laurent Gédéon, Đại học Công giáo Lyon và Trường Sư phạm Lyon, nhận định : “Cả Philippines và Việt Nam đều coi đó là cơ hội để cải thiện quan hệ chính trị, kinh tế và quân sự với Trung Quốc, đồng thời thúc đẩy phát triển chung các nguồn tài nguyên có thể sẽ rất khó khai thác vì những căng thẳng”. Đọc thêmViệt Nam có bị ảnh hưởng từ hợp tác dầu khí Trung Quốc - Philippines ở Biển Đông? Ý định này vẫn chỉ nằm trên giấy tờ vì những đòi hỏi chủ quyền của Trung Quốc đối với hầu hết Biển Đông, cho dù bị vô hiệu hóa trong phán quyết năm 2016 của Tòa Trọng Tài Thường Trực (PCA) La Haye. Tuy nhiên, các bên vẫn không từ bỏ nỗ lực tìm kiếm một thỏa hiệp, dù chỉ là tạm thời, theo giải thích của nhà nghiên cứu Laurent Gédéon : “Theo luật quốc tế, khi nhiều quốc gia cùng tuyên bố chủ quyền đối với một vùng biển (vùng đặc quyền kinh tế hoặc thềm lục địa chồng lấn), Công ước Liên Hiệp Quốc về Luật Biển (UNCLOS) 1982 quy định nghĩa vụ hợp tác. Thông qua Điều 74 và 83, Công ước quy định các quốc gia phải đàm phán thiện chí để đạt được sự phân định công bằng và không được làm tổn hại hoặc cản trở một thỏa thuận trong tương lai. Cụ thể, điều này có nghĩa là việc khai thác dầu khí đơn phương tiềm ẩn rủi ro pháp lý tại khu vực tranh chấp giữa nhiều quốc gia theo luật quốc tế. Công ước cũng khuyến khích các giải pháp tạm thời. Công ước quy định các quốc gia có thể ký kết các thỏa thuận tạm thời mang tính thực tiễn trong khi chờ phân định cuối cùng. Chính trong khuôn khổ pháp lý này mà các khu vực phát triển chung về dầu khí đang được phát triển. Tuy nhiên, cần nhấn mạnh rằng Công ước không đề cập đến phương pháp cần tuân theo. Do đó, Công ước không định nghĩa một cơ chế tiêu chuẩn cho việc quản lý chung dầu khí, cũng không thiết lập các quy tắc chia sẻ doanh thu hoặc quản trị, cũng không tạo ra một thể chế cụ thể cho các khu vực tranh chấp này. Do đó, các phương thức cụ thể (chia sẻ, thuế, nhà điều hành…) hoàn toàn được đàm phán song phương hoặc trong khu vực giữa các quốc gia”. Đọc thêmViệt Nam bảo vệ chủ quyền ở Biển Đông như nào ? Tiền lệ về gác tranh chấp chủ quyền để cùng thăm dò khai thác Trường hợp tranh chấp chủ quyền trên biển nhưng vẫn hợp tác khai thác dầu khí không phải là hiếm trên thế giới, theo nhà nghiên cứu Laurent Gédéon : “Hai mô hình khu vực phát triển chung có thể được nêu ra làm ví dụ để các bên ở Biển Đông, đặc biệt là Việt Nam, có thể tham khảo. Thứ nhất là Khu vực Phát triển Chung Nigeria-São Tomé và Príncipe (Nigeria-São Tomé and Príncipe Joint Development Zone), liên quan đến hoạt động khai thác dầu khí trong vùng biển mà cả hai quốc gia đều tuyên bố chủ quyền ở Vịnh Guinea. Thứ hai là Khu vực Phát triển Chung Malaysia-Thái Lan (Malaysia-Thailand Joint Development Area, MTJDA), liên quan đến việc khai thác khí đốt tự nhiên trong khu vực tranh chấp giữa Malaysia và Thái Lan, nằm ở Vịnh Thái Lan. Có thể thấy rõ rằng bất chấp những khó khăn, sự hợp tác giữa các bên tuyên bố có quyền về dầu khí ở Biển Đông là khả thi và có thể được thực hiện phù hợp với cả luật pháp quốc tế và luật pháp quốc gia”. Bãi Tư Chính : Việt Nam khẳng định chủ quyền nhưng không khai thác được Tài nguyên dầu khí của Việt Nam tập trung quanh bãi Tư Chính (Vanguard Bank), chiếm khoảng 10% nhu cầu năng lượng của đất nước. Hà Nội khẳng định khu vực nhà giàn DK1, trong đó có bãi Tư Chính, nằm trong vùng đặc quyền kinh tế 200 hải lý tính từ đường cơ sở của Việt Nam và là thềm lục địa phía nam Việt Nam, hoàn toàn phù hợp với UNCLOS 1982. Vùng biển này không tranh chấp với nước nào, và lại càng không tranh chấp với Trung Quốc. Ngược lại, Bắc Kinh và Đài Bắc cho rằng bãi Tư Chính thuộc quần đảo Trường Sa, đang có tranh chấp chủ quyền. Trung Quốc thường xuyên tuần tra tại đây nhằm đe dọa Việt Nam và làm gián đoạn hoạt động của các công ty dầu khí khai thác trong khu vực. Tháng 07/2017, tập đoàn Repsol của Tây Ban Nha phải ngừng hoạt động thăm dò khí đốt tại mỏ Cá Rồng Đỏ ở khu vực bãi Tư Chính. Trong suốt ba tuần tháng 07/2019, Trung Quốc đưa tàu thăm dò Hải Dương 8 (Haiyang Dizhi 8), được nhiều tàu hải cảnh và dân quân biển hộ tống, xâm nhập vùng đặc quyền kinh tế và thềm lục địa Việt Nam tại khu vực bãi Tư Chính. Hoạt động gây rối này tái diễn trong những năm 2023, 2024. Đọc thêmBãi Tư Chính : Việt Nam nên để ngỏ khả năng kiện Trung Quốc Song song với việc “quấy rối” hoạt động thăm dò dầu khí của Việt Nam và tiếp tục đòi chủ quyền đối với hầu hết Biển Đông, từ năm 2017, Trung Quốc cũng “tích cực” đề xuất một số dự án phát triển chung ở Biển Đông với Việt Nam và Philippines. Động cơ đằng sau đề xuất này là gì ? Nhà nghiên cứu Laurent Gédéon giải thích : “Động cơ của Bắc Kinh có thể được xem xét cả về kinh tế và địa chiến lược. Về kinh tế, việc khai thác tài nguyên năng lượng ở Biển Đông cho phép Trung Quốc đáp ứng nhu cầu năng lượng trong nước ngày càng tăng. Hơn nữa, bất kỳ động thái hội nhập khu vực nào cũng nằm trong khuôn khổ rộng lớn hơn của Hiệp định Đối tác Kinh tế Toàn diện Khu vực (RCEP), do Bắc Kinh khởi xướng và có hiệu lực từ tháng 01/2022. Về mặt địa-chiến lược, các sáng kiến ​​chung với các quốc gia giáp Biển Đông cho phép Trung Quốc tăng cường quan hệ hợp tác với những nước này. Về lâu dài, sự gần gũi đó có thể góp phần làm suy yếu mối quan hệ giữa các quốc gia này với Hoa Kỳ và từ đó củng cố vị thế của Bắc Kinh trong bối cảnh cạnh tranh Trung-Mỹ”. Những bị động do phụ thuộc quá lớn vào nguồn cung năng lượng Trung Đông có khiến Hà Nội thay đổi quan điểm về thỏa thuận khai thác chung và chia sẻ công bằng nguồn năng lượng ở Biển Đông không ? Liệu có khả năng Việt Nam và Trung Quốc hợp tác trong tương lai gần hay không ? Nhà nghiên cứu Laurent Gédéon nhận định : “Có khả năng hợp tác cho dù hai nước, Trung Quốc và Việt Nam, không từ bỏ các tuyên bố chủ quyền của họ bởi vì Việt Nam có những lập luận bảo vệ chủ quyền ở Biển Đông, nhưng họ có thể gác lại khía cạnh chủ quyền này hoặc đồng ý gác lại để tập trung vào các cơ chế thực tế để quản lý tài nguyên mà trong trường hợp này, là quản lý tài nguyên dầu mỏ. Đúng là nhiều nguồn tài nguyên đang được khai thác, và một số đang gần cạn kiệt. Nhưng không phải tất cả các nguồn tài nguyên ở Biển Đông đều đã được xác định. Trong khuôn khổ quản lý thực tiễn chung các nguồn tài nguyên dầu khí ở Biển Đông giữa Trung Quốc và Việt Nam, có thể sẽ có các đợt thăm dò chung nhằm xác định các mỏ dầu khí hoặc khí đốt tự nhiên mới, sau đó sẽ được khai thác và chia sẻ chung. Đọc thêmViệt Nam, Malaysia, Philippines: Gác tranh chấp, chống Trung Quốc ở Biển Đông? Thực tế cho thấy Việt Nam phụ thuộc vào nguồn cung dầu mỏ Trung Đông. Nhìn vào tình hình bất ổn hiện nay ở Trung Đông, đặc biệt là những khó khăn do các “điểm kiểm soát” - tức là các eo biển chiến lược - gây ra thì hiện giờ đang có rất nhiều tranh luận liên quan đến eo biển Hormuz, đang bị cả Iran và Mỹ phong tỏa. Ngoài ra còn phải nhắc đến eo biển Malacca, một eo biển nhạy cảm, nơi trung chuyển một phần rất lớn dầu mỏ dành cho các nước ở Đông Nam Á và và Đông Bắc Á. Vì vậy, sự phụ thuộc vào các đặc điểm địa lý có thể trở nên rất nhạy cảm từ góc độ địa-chính trị, đang thúc đẩy Việt Nam tìm cách xác định các nguồn tài nguyên dầu mỏ có thể khai thác được mà không cần đi qua những nơi tiềm ẩn nhiều vấn đề từ góc độ địa-chính trị như vậy”. Để có thể đi đến một quyết định, chắc chắn sẽ gây tranh cãi, nhưng mang tính thiết yếu cho nguồn cung năng lượng Việt Nam Nam, nhà nghiên cứu Laurent Gédéon cho răng, “các liên doanh được thành lập trong khuôn khổ quản lý chung không nên bị coi là một bước thụt lùi hoặc là một thất bại, mà là một cơ chế thực dụng được thiết lập trong khi chờ đợi một giải pháp dứt khoát, mà không phán xét về việc phân định ranh giới sau này các vùng biển liên quan và không đặt ra nghi vấn về các tuyên bố chủ quyền lãnh thổ của mỗi bên”. (1) ASEAN countries exposed by Middle East oil dependence (2) The Middle East Crisis and Southeast Asia's Energy Vulnerability

C dans l'air
Quand Xi Jinping menace Trump... - L'intégrale -

C dans l'air

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2026 66:02


C dans l'air du 14 mai 2026 - Quand Xi Jinping menace Trump...Présentation: Lorrain SénéchalAccueilli en grande pompe ce jeudi à Pékin, le président des États-Unis a rencontré son homologue chinois, au premier jour d'une visite officielle aux lourds enjeux. Échanges d'amabilités et longue poignée de main. Xi Jinping a salué « une visite historique », prônant la stabilité des relations sino-américaines, et Donald Trump a promis un « avenir fabuleux » entre les deux puissances rivales. Mais derrière les sourires, les sujets de tension sont nombreux entre les deux superpuissances : la guerre au Moyen-Orient, les enjeux technologiques, la guerre commerciale, sans oublier Taïwan. Et loin des caméras, les propos sont plus offensifs.Ainsi, Xi Jinping a prévenu Donald Trump que la Chine et les États-Unis pourraient entrer en « conflit » si Washington gérait mal la question de Taïwan, a rapporté la télévision d'État CCTV. Avant de monter dans l'avion pour se rendre à Pékin, le président des États-Unis avait déclaré qu'il parlerait avec le numéro un chinois Xi Jinping de la question des ventes d'armes américaines à Taïwan. Mais pourquoi accepterait-il d'en discuter avec la Chine ?L'Empire du Milieu considère Taïwan comme l'une de ses provinces, qu'elle n'a pas encore réussi à « unifier » avec le reste de son territoire depuis la fin de la guerre civile chinoise en 1949. Elle demande régulièrement aux États-Unis de ne pas soutenir militairement et diplomatiquement les autorités taïwanaises actuelles, et a intensifié ses manœuvres militaires autour de Taïwan depuis 2016. De leur côté, depuis l'adoption par le Congrès en 1979 du Taiwan Relations Act, les États-Unis sont tenus de donner à Taïwan les moyens d'assurer sa défense. Cela pourrait-il changer ? Les États-Unis pourraient-ils lâcher Taïwan et le détroit de Formose en échange du détroit d'Ormuz ? Quels sont les enjeux de la visite de Donald Trump en Chine ? Et que se passe-t-il en mer de Chine méridionale ?Alors que le monde a les yeux rivés vers le Moyen-Orient et le détroit d'Ormuz, l'Empire du Milieu accélère discrètement dans d'autres domaines. En mer de Chine méridionale, Pékin construit activement une île artificielle sur le récif Antelope, situé à quelques centaines de kilomètres des côtes vietnamiennes. Parallèlement, l'Asie s'agite autour d'un autre étroit couloir de navigation : le détroit de Malacca, voie navigable la plus fréquentée au monde. L'Indonésie a fait part de sa volonté d'y imposer des péages avant de faire machine arrière. En Europe, au premier trimestre 2026, jamais la Chine n'avait enregistré un excédent commercial aussi élevé vis-à-vis de l'UE. Les exportations chinoises vers l'Europe atteignent des niveaux record.Nos experts :- Philippe GELIE - Directeur adjoint de la rédaction – Le Figaro- Général Patrick DUTARTRE - Général de l'armée de l'Air et de l'Espace, ancien pilote de chasse- Nicole BACHARAN - Historienne et politologue, spécialiste des États-Unis, auteure de « Requiem pour le monde libre »- Mary-Françoise RENARD - Professeure d'économie - Université Clermont-Auvergne, auteure de la Chine dans l'économie mondiale

The John Batchelor Show
867: AKING OF THE JBS, FEATURING GORDON CHANG, JIM HOLMES, PETER HUESSY, STEVE YATES, 5-12-26 SEPTEMBER 1932.

The John Batchelor Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 61:37


MAKING OF THE JBS, FEATURING GORDON CHANG, JIM HOLMES, PETER HUESSY, STEVE YATES, 5-12-26SEPTEMBER 1932.This collection of transcripts examines the shifting geopolitical landscape in Asia, specifically focusing on Indonesia's strategic pivot away from neutrality. Experts discuss how Jakarta is strengthening ties with the United States to counter China's aggressive maritime claims near the Strait of Malacca. The dialogue transitions to the complexities of nuclear proliferation, highlighting concerns regarding China's lack of transparency and its support for unstable regimes like Iran. Additional segments analyze the high-stakes diplomacy between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, noting the absence of traditional formal documentation in their communications. Contributors evaluate how economic dependenciesand competition for technological dominance in AI and space exploration define the current adversarial relationship. Ultimately, the sources portray a region increasingly defined by military exercises and the delicate balancing of global trade interests.

The John Batchelor Show
868: SCHEDULE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 5-12-26. January 1931.

The John Batchelor Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 5:01


SCHEDULE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 5-12-26.January 1931.Inflation reached 3.8% in April due to gas prices. Elizabeth Peek notes that real hourly wages fell while global eyes turn toward the Strait of Hormuz and Trump's consequential summit in China. (1/16)Elizabeth Peek critiques redistricting as an unattractive game that voters generally dislike. She emphasizes that population growth in Texas and Florida provides more long-term political power than manipulating district lines in blue states. (2/16)Iran is losing $400 million daily due to U.S. sanctions and blockades. Jonathan Schanzer discusses the leadership vacuum in Tehran, noting that decisions are currently made by a chaotic committee of revolutionary figures. (3/16)Israel engages in "constant gardening" to clear Hezbollah threats south of the Litani River. Jonathan Schanzer labels Hamas a spent force, having lost over half its territory and significant rocket-firing capabilities since the conflict began. (4/16)Indonesia is taking "baby steps" toward U.S. cooperation to counter China's unlawful maritime claims. James Holmeshighlights the importance of professional military education and potential overflight agreements to secure the Strait of Malacca. (5/16)Peter Huessy warns of China's lack of transparency regarding its massive nuclear expansion and dual-use systems. The CCP's push to dominate offensive artificial intelligence poses a significant threat to global security and stability. (6/16)Steve Yates reveals there is no such thing as a private meeting with the CCP, as every word is recorded and broadcast to thousands. Trump's top-down personal diplomacy lacks the usual preparatory paperwork. (7/16)The U.S. holds increased leverage over global choke points while China faces a demographic crisis. Steve Yatesdiscusses manufacturing shifts to India, suggesting that China's export-dependent model remains a "shaky house of cards." (8/16)Gregory Copley describes the Beijing summit as a theatrical performance while the Chinese economy and political structure collapse. China has lost global trust, particularly regarding the safety and quality of its electric vehicles. (9/16)The situation in the Strait of Hormuz is fluid as Iran attempts to wait out the U.S. Gregory Copley argues the U.S. requires regime change to stop trans-Eurasian monopolies and restore regional stability. (10/16)Turkey is now considered nuclear ready after displaying an ICBM with a 6,000 km range. Gregory Copley notes this shift toward a "gunpowder state" reflects neo-Ottoman ambitions to balance power against Israel, Russia, and China. (11/16)Gregory Copley discusses Prime Minister Starmer's struggle to maintain party trust following poor election results. He highlights King Charles's role in repairing the U.S.-UK special relationship despite Starmer's apparent indifference toward the monarchy. (12/16)Gordon Chang details China's historical failure to meet trade commitments and its ongoing support for the Iranian regime. He also notes reports of blatant Chinese bribery and intervention within the U.S. government. (13/16)Bob Zimmerman dismisses the government moon race as a political fraud, while noting China's rational, incremental progress. He identifies SpaceX as the true leader, likely reaching the moon with far superior, sustainable technology. (14/16)Syria neutralized a Hezbollah plot to assassinate senior officials to restore a logistical weapons corridor. AHmad Shariwah explains that both Hezbollah and Iran gain from inciting chaos and instability within the Syrian regime. (15/16)John Hardie analyzes the unusual appointment of an army general to lead Russia's Aerospace Forces. Despite high losses, Russia's battlefield gains remain slow, while Ukraine continues to have success with long-range strikes and drones. (16/16)

The John Batchelor Show
S8 Ep866: Indonesia is taking "baby steps" toward U.S. cooperation to counter China's unlawful maritime claims. James Holmes highlights the importance of professional military education and potential overflight agreements to secure the Strait o

The John Batchelor Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 9:01


Indonesia is taking "baby steps" toward U.S. cooperation to counter China's unlawful maritime claims. James Holmeshighlights the importance of professional military education and potential overflight agreements to secure the Strait of Malacca. (5/16)

Nghien cuu Quoc te
Thế lưỡng nan Malacca của Trung Quốc nhìn từ bài học Hormuz

Nghien cuu Quoc te

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 12:01


Từ lâu Bắc Kinh đã coi sự phụ thuộc nặng nề vào Malacca là một điểm yếu chí mạng. Năm 2003, Chủ tịch lúc bấy giờ là Hồ Cẩm Đào cảnh báo về “thế lưỡng nan Malacca”: mối quan ngại rằng bất kỳ cường quốc thù địch nào kiểm soát eo biển này đều có thể chiếm giữ nguồn cung năng lượng của Trung Quốc làm con tin. Xem thêm.

Info éco
Ormuz, Suez, Malacca… Ces détroits qui tiennent l'économie mondiale

Info éco

Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2026 5:36


La crise autour du détroit d'Ormuz rappelle à quel point le commerce mondial dépend de quelques passages maritimes stratégiques. Des goulets parfois étroits, très fréquentés… et extrêmement vulnérables aux conflits, accidents ou catastrophes climatiques.

Shadow Warrior by Rajeev Srinivasan
Ep. 191: Gulf War 3 has become a quagmire; India has no option but to pursue energy self-reliance

Shadow Warrior by Rajeev Srinivasan

Play Episode Listen Later May 11, 2026 19:54


A version of this essay has been published by rediff.com at https://www.rediff.com/news/column/gulf-war-crisis-why-india-will-take-a-huge-hit/20260511.htmIn the heat and dust of elections, many of us have forgotten that there is a war going on. But the PM's warning about sacrifices and conservation reminds us that this essentially unwinnable war, and the on-again, off-again negotiations to bring it to a closure, are going to hit every one of us in our wallets.On 30th April, the Pentagon announced that the US had so far spent $25 billion on the West Asia war. This is a staggeringly huge number, and I was startled because I had casually thrown around this number as the ultimate cost of the war for all parties. Clearly I underestimated the damage, if this is the US' cost alone. Add the other frontline states, and then the untold misery and cost imposed on all of us innocent bystanders. And it's not over yet by any means.Pete Hegseth, the US secretary of war (self-fulfilling prophecy, isn't it, they changed the name from secretary of defense, and lo! they went to war immediately thereafter) bristled at the idea of a quagmire, according to The Economist. But I am old enough to remember Vietnam, and then Afghanistan. These forever wars are easy to get into, but hard to get out of.Indeed, the war has become not only an impasse, but also a charade. Even considering how the narrative gets bizarre from all sides during every war, this one seems especially messed up. So much so that there literally is no point in paying attention to the day-to-day events, because they don't seem to make much difference. Except of course, when the price of Brent crude hits $120, as it did on April 30th, twice what it was before the war. Ouch! And Hormuz is still closed.India is reeling under a heatwave, and we live under the Damocles' sword of power cuts. Kerala announced a half hour of rolling cuts (anodyne euphemism: “load shedding”) every night, but they will not tell you when or where the cuts will be. This is like the Malayalam proverb: “the guy who got hit by lightning was then bitten by a snake”. Incidentally, there's been a number of deaths from snakebites in Kerala as the reptiles enter houses seeking cooler temperatures.If this El Nino weather holds up, India's assumptions about load (maximum 270 GW) will be challenged: we hit a record on April 25th of 256 GW peak demand, and the fact that the grid didn't collapse is admirable, but being so close to the maximum is worrying. In Kerala, the grid cannot absorb the solar electricity produced by many households during the day because the Electricity Board did not purchase enough storage batteries: so much for on-grid.I am also fairly confident that once the elections are over, the government will be forced to increase fuel prices. Petrol has held steady at pump prices of Rs. 107.45/liter for a few years, but as crude oil prices have doubled, I see an inevitable rise not of Rs. 28 or so as speculated, but Rs. 50-100 based on how much inflation the Reserve Bank is willing to tolerate. In passing, I remember seeing somewhere that petrol prices have reached Pak Rs. 500/liter in that country.Therefore I have stopped paying much attention to the daily press releases and JUST IN, BREAKING NEWS types of ‘analysis' (some of the most prominent of these are clear AI slop, possibly manufactured by Chinese troll farms). The big picture is that the Straits of Hormuz remain blocked, the amount of oil and gas coming from the Persian Gulf remains diminished dramatically, and recovery may take months, if not years, even if the strait is unblocked.The chances are increasing that this will become a protracted war, as the principals are standing by their maximalist positions, where this is little reason to believe they will be able to arrive at a via media and a lasting ceasefire.It is not business as usual. This is the biggest energy shock since 1973, and as always, it is developing countries that will be most seriously affected. India is going to take a large hit, with inflation rising by, say, 2%, and GDP growth falling from 7+% to 6%.There are several things India needs to do urgently:* Strive for self-reliance (“Atmanirbhar”) in a variety of areas* Diversify its sources of hydrocarbons to other geographies eg. Africa, South America, Central Asia (through Chabahar), and accelerate exploration of its own (offshore and onshore) blocks as Mumbai High and Assam fields are aging rapidly* Pursue other forms of energy:* Renewables* Coal, including carbon sequestration* Biofuels* Nuclear (both SMR and FBR)* Shift households from LPG to LNG, including tapping Krishna Godavari wells, coal gasification, biomassEspecially at a time when electricity demand for new industries (eg. generativeAI data centers, semiconductors) is ramping up, it is important for India's manufacturing rise to ensure that this does not become a constraint. From a consumer perspective, increased affluence brings increased electricity demand.In addition, the Indian migrant worker population of about 10 million in West Asia, and their inward remittances of some $40-$50 billion per annum (total of $120 billion globally) may be increasingly under pressure if oil/gas production does not go back to pre-war levels.There is one more factor: India needs military muscle. As I said about Pax Indica, the Indian Ocean needs a strong, impartial facilitator of trade in the Hormuz to Malacca sea-lanes, and India is best placed to do this, harking back to Rajendra Chola re-opening Malacca in 1025 CE. But this requires three things:* Major container ports: Trivandrum (Vizhinjam), Vadhavan, Great Nicobar (Galathea Bay)* The ‘switch' to ease multiparty, multi-protocol trade: the India Stack* Security: three aircraft carrier groups, two dozen SSBNs, SSNs, AIP diesel submarinesThis is the time for India to plan forward fully, with the goal of Atmanirbharata, and energy security. The Persian Gulf is no longer a reliable source. The war is indeed a quagmire.950 words This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit rajeevsrinivasan.substack.com/subscribe

CBC News: World Report
Saturday's top stories in 10 minutes

CBC News: World Report

Play Episode Listen Later May 9, 2026 10:07


Spanish authorities and the W-H-O prepare for a high — stakes evacuation as a cruise ship hit by a deadly virus nears the Canary Islands. A fragile three—day ceasefire takes hold in Ukraine as Vladimir Putin marks a scaled—back Victory Day in Moscow. Three men, including two Canadians, are in U.S. custody after New York State Police intercepted a shipment of 89 firearms allegedly bound for the Canadian border. Three men convicted of first—degree murder in the 2022 killings of an elderly Abbotsford couple. A Frontier Airlines flight was forced to evacuate on a Denver runway late last night after striking a pedestrian during takeoff. Indonesia's finance minister sparks a regional row after suggesting a new toll for ships in the Strait of Malacca.A sellout crowd makes history in Toronto as the WNBA's first Canadian team makes a dramatic debut.

Financial Sense(R) Newshour
From Hormuz to Malacca: Edward Gustely on the Battle Over Global Chokepoints (Preview)

Financial Sense(R) Newshour

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2026 1:12


May 6, 2026 – Amid escalating global tensions over energy "choke points," attention is shifting from the Strait of Hormuz to the Malacca Strait—one of the world's busiest, narrowest shipping lanes, critical for China's energy imports...

Southeast Asia Radio
Indonesia's Evolving Foreign Policy with Evan Laksmana

Southeast Asia Radio

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2026 35:58


This week, Greg and Elina are joined by Evan Laksmana to discuss the direction of Indonesia's foreign policy. Lauren and Japhet cover the latest from the region, from the Strait of Malacca to scam networks.

Badlands Media
DEFCON ZERQ Ep. 042: Fauci's Statute Clock, Burn Bags & The 2020 Election Heist Map

Badlands Media

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2026 91:23


Alpha Warrior and Josh Reid come in fired up after a Sunday show that hurt some feelings, and they are not slowing down. The duo opens with the David Morens indictment, the two unnamed coconspirators that almost certainly point to Peter Daszak and Ralph Baric, and the six day perjury statute clock ticking on Fauci. The DOJ said today they will not charge Fauci with perjury, which the guys read as a tell that the actual charge will be something much bigger. From there they roll into Kash Patel's Hannity sit down where Patel openly used the words grand conspiracy, talked about a hidden room of unburned burn bags inside the FBI, and credited rank and file good guys for leaving breadcrumbs. Alpha and Josh argue this was military intelligence preservation all along, finally being entered legally into evidence. Then the receipts. They reconstruct exactly how 2020 was stolen, walking from Soros funded 2018 secretary of state races to COVID timing to mail in ballot rule changes that state supreme courts later ruled unconstitutional. Plus the Strait of Malacca confirmation from Glenn Beck, the IRGC missile incident in UAE, and why the church may be next.

AMERICA OUT LOUD PODCAST NETWORK
OPEC changes and their effects on global energy markets

AMERICA OUT LOUD PODCAST NETWORK

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2026 57:00 Transcription Available


The National Security Hour with LTC Sargis Sangari – Today, the contest runs from the Straits of Hormuz to the Strait of Malacca and into the Kra Isthmus. Deepwater harbors and pipelines were built as insurance. When those investments become stranded, it is a strategic blow to those who counted on them. At the same time, the new frontier is data. AI and massive server farms will ride fiber that follows...

The National Security Hour
OPEC changes and their effects on global energy markets

The National Security Hour

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2026 57:00 Transcription Available


The National Security Hour with LTC Sargis Sangari – Today, the contest runs from the Straits of Hormuz to the Strait of Malacca and into the Kra Isthmus. Deepwater harbors and pipelines were built as insurance. When those investments become stranded, it is a strategic blow to those who counted on them. At the same time, the new frontier is data. AI and massive server farms will ride fiber that follows...

The Situation with Michael Brown
4-29-26 - 10am - Strait of Hormuz & Malacca Strait

The Situation with Michael Brown

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2026 34:27 Transcription Available


In this episode, Michael Brown dives into the global energy crisis, specifically the Strait of Hormuz closure, and its far-reaching implications. He breaks down the Strait's significance, explaining how it's a critical energy chokepoint, and how its closure is affecting global markets. Michael also discusses the US's strategic positioning, including the Indonesia Defense Pact, and how it's putting pressure on China's energy imports. He touches on the Venezuelan oil fields, the Strait of Malacca, and the complex web of alliances and rivalries in the region.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Badlands Media
DEFCON ZERQ Ep. 041: Comey Indicted, RICO Avalanche & The COVID Coverup Crumbles

Badlands Media

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2026 97:53


Alpha Warrior and Josh Reid open the show in an unapologetically good mood, because the FAGA crowd insisting nothing was ever going to happen had a rough day at the office. Comey was indicted. Fauci's right hand man David Morens was indicted. The Southern Poverty Law Center got hit. Eric Swalwell's career imploded. ActBlue is being unwound. And Todd Blanche, the guy everyone was suspicious of two months ago, has quietly turned into the most aggressive acting AG in recent memory. The duo walks through why the Comey indictment is a pressure play to flip him onto Brennan, why retracting the Brennan subpoenas was misdirection, and how predicate crimes in North Carolina, Florida, Virginia, and Minnesota are all being stitched into one massive RICO that they argue traces back to Watergate. From there it gets darker. The Morens indictment opens the door on EcoHealth Alliance, the 72 Ukraine bio labs, Soros, Burisma, and what they call the globalists' real dirty secret: genetic modification programs run through autonomous zones in third world countries. Plus the Strait of Malacca prediction, General Dan Cain's signal, and Trump's silent energy war on China.

Bulkloads Podcast
BLP 362: From a Coin Flip to 750 Trucks: Inside the 75-Year Wayne Transports Empire

Bulkloads Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2026 32:22


Check this episode out on our YouTube: https://youtu.be/hc33VvhAS_I   In 1950, a teenager who'd dropped out of school to save the family farm bought one truck and started hauling gasoline. Today, Wayne Transports runs 750+ trucks, moves nearly 290,000 loads a year, and posts driver turnover rates a fraction of the industry average. In this episode, we sit down with the next generation of Wayne ownership to unpack the full story — the Korean War tragedy that almost ended the company before it started, the bank loan that gave it its name, the move from Milaca to Rosemount that unlocked decades of growth, and how the family handed the president's chair to a non-family member for the first time in company history… one month before COVID hit. We also get into the operational side: the AI tools rebuilding their dispatch floor, the camera + safety stack keeping their fleet on the road, the acquisition playbook that's added 35 trucks a year, and why their turnover sits at 18% while the rest of the industry burns through drivers at 60-90%. If you run a fleet, drive for one, or want to understand how a real American trucking dynasty actually gets built — this one is for you.  

Shadow Warrior by Rajeev Srinivasan
Ep. 190: The need for Pax Indica: Malacca choked 1,001 years ago; Hormuz choked in 2026

Shadow Warrior by Rajeev Srinivasan

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 27, 2026 24:17


A version of this essay was published by firstpost.com at https://www.firstpost.com/opinion/shadow-warrior-the-need-for-pax-indica-malacca-was-blocked-1001-years-ago-hormuz-is-choked-now-14005673.htmlIn 1025 CE, exactly 1,001 years ago, Emperor Rajendra Chola sent an armada (probably the largest fleet in history before the advent of steam) 4,000 kilometers clear across the Indian Ocean. It was on a mission strangely familiar to us in 2026: open up a critical strait that was being choked by a littoral state. The thalassocratic SriVijaya Empire of Sumatra was closing the strait and imposing tolls, as well as winking at a little piracy.The strait in question then was Malacca. The Chola goal: to reopen Indian trade with Southeast Asia and China. Remarkably, the Cholas were not interested in territorial conquest, only in freedom of navigation.It is ironic that today, it is again a question of free trade, that shibboleth that has been waved about for decades (although that was a euphemism for ‘managed trade that benefits the West').The difference between then and now? The salient fact is that Rajendra Chola was able to open Malacca with his wooden ships. With all his aircraft carriers and F-35s and missiles, President Trump is unable to open Hormuz. This must mean something, although reasonable people may differ on what that is. My claim is that it means India has the opportunity, in fact the need, to step into the breach.Maritime trade is severely disturbed today, and it is increasingly a disaster for innocent bystanders bereft of oil and gas. And it is increasingly the Indian Ocean that matters: specifically the sea-lanes from Hormuz to Malacca, which handle a significant portion of both oil/gas trade and goods trade globally.Geo-politics and geo-economics, Mahan's and Spykman's theoriesIt is a reasonable conjecture that the locus of power has shifted over the centuries: in the 19th century, the Atlantic was supreme; in the 20th century, the Pacific; and in the 21st century, the most important ocean is the Indian Ocean. Asia has returned to center stage. In support of this assertion, see how the economic center of gravity of the world has returned to the vicinity of India, after the European colonial interlude.It is therefore appropriate to ask what it would take for India to regain its former keystone role in the Indian Ocean. Of course geography offers it to the country on a platter. From both Alfred Thayer Mahan's theory of naval power, and from Nicholas Spykman's Rimland theory, India could be, or should be, the dominant power in the region: it is almost literally India's ocean.Mahan's ideas, updated for today, suggest that a strong navy should protect a large merchant marine fleet, manage trade, and control choke-points. The preferred hardware may have changed from battleships to aircraft carriers and especially nuclear submarines these days, but the basic idea remains: speak softly but carry a big stick with a force-projection navy.Spykman's Rimland theory seems more appropriate in current circumstances than the Heartland theory popularized by Halford MacKinder. The Eurasian land mass may well be subject to control by a coastal hegemon or an alliance that controls the sea lanes and choke points. Despite pipelines and rail-borne containers, maritime trade still dominates.Spice Route >> Silk RoadA stark reminder of this is the comparison between the fabled ‘Silk Road' and the ancient ‘Spice Route'. Despite all the breathless propaganda about the Silk Road, it is abundantly clear that sea-borne trade was an order of magnitude greater, because a caravan of 500 camels, braving deserts, bandits and so on across central Asia couldn't possibly carry more than 100 tons of goods; whereas an ocean-going stitched teak ship, like a single uru from Beypore, Kerala, could easily carry 400 tons. And the monsoon winds provided predictable, seasonal propulsion.India's prowess was built on the monsoons. By mastering the seasonal winds, Indian mariners turned the ocean into a highway. This made India the supreme trading power. Merchants from Rome and Egypt traded with Chinese and Southeast Asian counterparts on the Malabar and Coromandel coasts, leaving behind troves of coins as evidence.The SwitchThe remarkable thing is that these merchants did not even need to meet each other physically, because India provided the “multi-protocol switch”: translating their diverse needs and offering the conveniences of an entrepot, while also itself producing coveted, high-value products such as black pepper. For example, a Greek buyer could buy something from a Chinese seller, and settle the transaction using Indian credit.And how did India do it? By providing the “switching fabric”, such as the ports, the credit systems, and the security, that allowed these disparate worlds to exchange products and wealth without ever meeting.This is much like what a network gateway such as TIBCO does for packets of different kinds of data (in passing, how appropriate that TIBCO was founded by an Indian-American, Vivek Ranadive!). Hardware switches, eg. from Cisco Systems, have been around for a while, but TIBCO abstracted that functionality in software to connect those with different protocols.India already has many of the ingredients of the switching fabric in the India Stack. Using protocols like UPI, e-KYC, Account Aggregation, Central Bank Digital Currency, and ONDC, especially along with distributed-ledger blockchain-based Smart Contracts, it should be possible to provide end-to-end transparent and reliable multi-party trade support which complements the SWIFT payment system. Complement, not necessarily replace.The same pattern held with India's age-old trade system. The ports were on the Malabar Coast, such as Muziris; on the Coromandel coast, such as Arikkamedu; and on the Konkan Coast, such as Bharuchcha. The credit systems were run by temples which acted as both bankers and venture capitalists for the trading guilds. The security: well, that's what Rajendra Chola demonstrated in 1025 CE.Alas, medieval India lost its maritime focus. So did China. Both became insular, and were overwhelmed by invaders, including Turkics and Europeans. In India's case, the Turkic invaders were land-focused powers, although there were isolated maritime attempts (e.g. the Maratha Navy, Travancore defeating the Dutch in an amphibious battle at Colachel in 1741, etc.)Now, however, there are new ports. The most interesting is the Port of Trivandrum (Vizhinjam). This deep-water container transhipment port is only 10 nautical miles away from the Hormuz-Malacca sea lanes, and now when Dubai is closed, it reportedly has a backlog of a hundred container ships waiting to be berthed. Then there is the upcoming Vadhavan container port in Maharashtra, and the Galathea Bay container port in Great Nicobar, which overlooks the mouth of Malacca.Pax Indica todayThe modern idea of Pax Indica borrows from both perspectives: hard power and a switch. An Internet search brings up the fact that it was my friend Bapa Rao and I who first started talking about it in terms of India being the benevolent hegemon in the Indian Ocean, way back in the 1990s.Later, Shashi Tharoor wrote in his 2011 book Pax Indica that it could be “a peace system based on cooperation, stability, and rule‑based order in Asia and beyond, in which rising India helps shape the rules of the road rather than impose its will through hegemony.” That is, along roughly the same lines as the “multi protocol switch” or entrepot concept.Pax Indica is not an empire; it is an ecosystem. There are three aspects: military power, the full exploration of the multiprotocol switch, and the port-led development policy. Bapa Rao and I will consider these in a future article. Briefly, though, here is what these entail.* Project Power: Use a 3-carrier, 18-24-submarine navy to ensure no single power can close the ocean's gates.* Enable Trade: Use the Digital India Stack to act as the “Multi-Protocol Switch” for a fragmented world, plus super-ports like Vizhinjam (Trivandrum).* Secure the Choke Points: Be ready, like the Cholas, to act decisively when a “Srivijaya-style” blockade threatens the common good.Hard power needs to come through the acquisition of a blue water navy: at least three aircraft carrier groups, one for the Arabian Sea (Hormuz), one for the Bay of Bengal (Malacca), and one in maintenance, refit and upgrades.Even though drones and missiles have rendered them less dominant than in earlier times, carrier groups are still important for air superiority and power projection. But an ever-more critical factor is “area denial” by nuclear attack submarines (SSBN) that can launch second strike nuclear missiles as part of the “triad”, of which India should have at least three to four. In addition, there should be at least a dozen silent AIP-equipped diesel-electrics for securing straits, and at least 6-12 SSN (possibly leased) to enhance blue-water reach.“The IOR must become an Indian lake,” said General Raj Shukla on X. I agree: Not as a territory of conquest, but as a sanctuary of trade, where India sits at the center, as the protocol provider that makes world trade work again, as in millennia past.1500 words, 27 Apr, 2026Here's the notebookLM.google.com AI-generated video about this article: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit rajeevsrinivasan.substack.com/subscribe

MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
The Big Story: Malacca Strait levy talk - Could it ever actually happen?

MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2026 12:37


A recent remark by Indonesia’s Finance Minister, Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa, has sparked debate after he suggested the possibility of a levy on ships passing through the Strait of Malacca—drawing parallels to Iran’s approach in the Strait of Hormuz following tensions in the region. Still, the comments have raised broader questions about one of the world’s most vital shipping routes, where trillions of dollars in trade pass each year. Could strategic sea lanes like the Malacca Strait ever be monetised? What would that mean for regional cooperation, global supply chains, and international law? On The Big Story, Hongbin Jeong speaks with Donald Rothwell, Professor of International Law at the ANU College of Law, Australian National University, to find out more. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

S2 Underground
The Wire - April 24, 2026

S2 Underground

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 24, 2026 3:13


//The Wire//2300Z April 24, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: BUILDUP OF AMERICAN FORCES IN MIDDLE EAST REACHES RECORD LEVELS. KUWAITI BORDER CHECKPOINTS HIT BY FPV DRONES. ARREST MADE REGARDING MOLOTOV ATTACK IN LOUISIANA.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----  -International Events-Middle East: Overnight Kuwaiti forces reported two FPV drone strikes on border crossing checkpoints with Iraq. No casualties were reported as a result of the attack.Analyst Comment: The statement provided by the Kuwaiti Army did not specifically disclose which border crossings were targeted, however there are only two crossing points in total: one main crossing on the northern border, and a smaller outpost on the western border. The interesting detail in the notice is the disclosure that these attacks were conducted by fiber-optically-guided FPV drones, and both of these sites were too far away from each other for these attacks to have been conducted by the same team.-HomeFront-Louisiana: This morning one individual was arrested following the firebombing of a Tesla Service Center two weeks ago. John Michael Hinkhouse was arrested for throwing a Molotov device at the entrance to the facility, which resulted in fire damaging the front of the building. Hinkhouse was located after security cameras tracked him back to his residence after the attack.Washington D.C. - Two incidents involving city busses have taken place over the past 24 hours. Yesterday, a bus caught fire in the 9th Street Tunnel, resulting in the tunnel being shut down for many hours. The cause of the fire remains unknown. This morning, two city busses collided with each other head-on in the Pentagon's south parking lot, resulting in a total of 23x people being injured.Analyst Comment: Currently there are no indications that either incident was nefarious in any way, however it's worth paying attention to during periods of heightened terrorism risk, just in case other incidents pop up later.-----END TEARLINE-----Analyst Comments: Concerning strategic movement in the Middle East, American cargo flights continue unabated, along with the forward deployment of even more fighter aircraft. Last night another squadron of F/A-18's arrived at Al Dhafra Airbase in the UAE, and the USS GEORGE H.W. BUSH (CVN 77) arrived in the Indian Ocean following her long journey around Africa. Another Expeditionary Sea Base (ESB), the USS MIGUEL KIETH (ESB 5) is also projected to be approaching the operational area, after having transited the Strait of Malacca and should be arriving on station soon (though it is not clear as to if she is expected to take part in this operation).This brings a total of 3x aircraft carriers, 2x Expeditionary Sea Bases, and 1x amphibious assault ship (a total of 6 "flat tops") for whatever operations are planned. Of note, CENTCOM has provided press materials that imply that the BUSH is not replacing the LINCOLN or the damaged FORD but will serve independently as a third strike group throughout the region. This buildup has become even more substantial than the 4+ months of lead-up to this war breaking out, with even more naval assets being transferred from the Pacific to supplement the forces already in theater. As a reminder, at least one Brigade Combat Team (BCT) from the 82nd Airborne is still in the region. Considering all of these developments, the grand question remains: Does the US plan to reignite the war? This remains an unknown, and it's impossible to know what secret decisions have been made at the upper echelons of government. What is certain, is that a large-scale rearmament and resupply operation has been ongoing since the ceasefire went into effect, and enough resources are on station to conduct large scale operations if that is the chosen course of action. Not only is the war not over, but there are now vastly more resources i

VOV - Chương trình thời sự
Thời sự 6h 24/4/2026: Đề xuất tăng 8% lương hưu, trợ cấp bảo hiểm xã hội, trợ cấp hàng tháng từ 1/7

VOV - Chương trình thời sự

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 24, 2026 27:42


 - Quốc hội khóa XVI sẽ họp phiên bế mạc kỳ họp thứ nhất trong sáng nay.- Bộ Y tế kiến nghị Chính phủ chi hơn 1800 tỷ đồng mỗi năm để thưởng tiền cho phụ nữ sinh con, nhằm cứu vãn đà suy giảm tỷ lệ sinh trên toàn quốc.- Huế sắp đấu giá 3 lô đất có trụ sở bỏ hoang nhiều năm.Đà Nẵng cũng sẽ đấu giá quyền sử dụng đất Dự án gần 11 nghìn tỷ đồng phục vụ Lễ hội pháo hoa quốc tế.- Thí sinh đăng ký thi tốt nghiệp Trung học phổ thông từ hôm nay.- Hải quân Mỹ vừa bắt giữ thêm một tàu chở dầu được cho là có liên quan đến Iran trên Ấn Độ Dương.Israel cảnh báo có thể đưa Iran trở lại thời kỳ đồ đá, nếu chiến tranh tái bùng phát-Sau tuyên bố gây quan ngại của Bộ trưởng Tài chính Indonesia về khả năng thu phí tàu thuyền qua eo biển Malacca, Chính phủ Indonesia khẳng định, không có kế hoạch này

Chronique Transports
Commerce international: d'Ormuz à Malacca, la guerre des détroits

Chronique Transports

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 24, 2026 2:30


Ouverture, fermeture… Depuis le début guerre en Iran, le détroit d'Ormuz en voit de toutes les couleurs. Tantôt accessible, tantôt bouclé, ce bout de mer a, en tout cas, prouvé son importance. Pivots du transport mondial, tous les détroits du monde sont stratégiques. Mais pendant que les esprits restent tournés vers celui d'Ormuz au Moyen-Orient, un autre détroit est un peu oublié : celui de Malacca. Début avril pourtant, les Américains ont passé un accord avec les Indonésiens. Et ce n'est pas un hasard. Vincent Barret, économiste du groupe AGEFI à Paris, est l'auteur d'un article sur la révolution des détroits. Entretien. RFI : Dans votre article, vous soulignez l'importance de regarder la guerre en Iran dans son ensemble, avec les autres événements sur les détroits du monde. Celui de Malacca en particulier. Pourquoi ?  Vincent Barret : Oui, parfaitement. Sachez qu'en ce mois d'avril, pendant que tous les yeux se tournaient vers le détroit d'Ormuz au Moyen-Orient, les Américains ont signé un accord diplomatique avec l'Indonésie sur le détroit de Malacca.  Le détroit de Malacca étant un passage maritime au large de l'Asie… Oui, c'est un bout de mer frontalier avec Singapour, les Philippines et l'Indonésie. Pourquoi est-il si important aux yeux des Américains ?  Pour sa position dans l'économie de la Chine : 80% du pétrole que les Chinois importent passent par ce détroit de Malacca. Pour les exportations, ce sont 60% des marchandises – produits d'usines, textiles, voitures, batteries électriques, semi-conducteurs, jouets, matières premières comme les minerais ou les terres rares. Tout cela transite par ce détroit de Malacca en direction de l'Europe et du Moyen-Orient. À lire aussiLes détroits : nouveaux centres de gravité de la guerre ? Que préconise cet accord entre Américains et Indonésiens ?  C'est un accord de défense stratégique qui assure aux Américains certaines priorités sur le transport et les données maritimes (transit par la mer) dans cette région du monde. On peut parler par exemple d'accords sur la cybersécurité des ports et des passages dans le détroit – attaques de pirates ennemis pour bloquer les ports, les routes…  Ce détroit n'est pourtant pas la seule route d'exportation. Il y a également les routes terrestres et les chemins de fer qui existent via les corridors entre la Chine et la Turquie et le Moyen-Orient. Pourquoi cette priorité aux bateaux ?  Simplement parce que les tankers et les autres navires permettent de transporter des quantités énormes de marchandises. Certes, la Chine exporte également par les routes. Il faut penser à ses investissements colossaux depuis 20 ans dans les routes de la soie, ce maillage planétaire qu'elle continue de construire. Sur chaque continent, de l'Afrique à l'Amérique du Sud, les Chinois financent des rails, des ports, des autoroutes… La stratégie de Donald Trump, le président américain, avec cet accord sur le détroit de Malacca, s'ajoute à ses volontés de contrôler le passage d'Ormuz. On l'a vu proposer aux pays du Moyen-Orient une taxe sur le détroit d'Ormuz qui le transformerait en route payante... Cela répond à sa personnalité et à son pouvoir fondé sur les « deals » (« accords »), les contrats qui peuvent lui rapporter beaucoup d'argent. Mais lors de l'accord de l'Indonésie, il n'a pas parlé de taxes sur le détroit de Malacca. À lire aussiAprès Ormuz, coup de chaud sur le détroit de Malacca, axe stratégique du commerce mondial Le président Trump cherche-t-il, avec son intérêt pour les détroits, à contrer la Chine ? Ou est-ce une volonté de rivaliser avec les Chinois, avec leurs routes de la soie, en bâtissant lui aussi un réseau de routes américaines à travers le monde ?      Non, je ne le crois pas. Donald Trump n'est pas dans une logique de faire des États-Unis un pays grand exportateur comme l'est la Chine.  Quel est son but ?  Son but est d'empêcher les Chinois ou une autre puissance de pouvoir bloquer le trafic de marchandises. Le président Trump veut assurer une économie intérieure américaine sans volonté de conquérir ou de construire un empire. Même si c'est un vrai moyen de freiner la Chine d'une certaine manière !  Notamment en ce qui concerne les minerais importés de Chine vers les USA par la mer ?  Oui, Donald Trump ne veut pas être paralysé à un moment ou à un autre par un ennemi qui arriverait à barrer des routes stratégiques. Or, quand on sait que 90% environ des matières premières – utiles à la construction des voitures ou autres produits – sont raffinées et exportées par la Chine en raison de ses usines de raffinage uniques au monde, on comprend l'intérêt américain à vouloir un minimum de contrôle sur les passages maritimes. Il en va de sa souveraineté énergétique, de pouvoir garantir son énergie et les produits de base de ses industries.   Un autre accord, là encore un peu oublié par les journalistes occidentaux : en parallèle au détroit de Malacca en Asie, un accord vient d'être signé entre le nord de l'Afrique et l'Europe !  Oui ! Ils ont signé avec le Maroc un accord de défense qui leur permet d'accéder à des données et à un droit de présence en cas de conflit dans le détroit de Gibraltar, frontalier du Maroc et de l'Espagne. Ce détroit est une route vers l'intérieur du continent, donc une assurance sur des routes vers le reste de l'Europe. À lire aussiCes détroits qui conditionnent l'économie mondiale Mais ces contrats diplomatiques avec l'Indonésie ou le Maroc, des pays frontaliers des détroits de Malacca et de Gibraltar, ont aussi un volet militaire ?   L'accord de défense des États-Unis avec l'Indonésie ou le Maroc permettrait, en cas de guerre, d'avoir un accès à ces pays proches des détroits. De cette façon, c'est une manière de dire à la Chine ou à d'autres potentiels ennemis que les Américains sont là, prêts à intervenir. À lire aussiLes «nouvelles routes de la soie»: dix ans après, un bilan contrasté

24H Pujadas - Les partis pris
Les Partis Pris : "Les livres politiques, cette passion française", "'Démarchandisation', l'utopie nordique du PS" et "Ormuz, Malacca : même combat"

24H Pujadas - Les partis pris

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 23, 2026 19:09


À l'heure où l'on déplore la fin de la lecture, il y en a qui n'abandonnent pas le livre et ce sont les hommes et les femmes politiques. Écrire un livre lorsque l'on a une ambition politique, pour Ruth Elkrief, c'est cela qui est français. Plus qu'ailleurs, en France, un livre confère une forme d'autorité et de qualité, ajoute-t-elle. Boris Vallaud sort un livre avec sa vision sur la démarchandisation du monde. D'après François Lenglet, toute noble qu'elle est, cette idée constitue quand même une erreur parce que c'est un défi à l'efficacité. Il explique que toutes les sociétés qui se sont essayées à la démarchandisation et à l'extension de la sphère étatique ont connu les pénuries et les privations et ont fini par s'effondrer sur elles-mêmes. Le ministre des Finances indonésien a eu une idée qu'il a très vite regrettée. Elle évoquait la possibilité d'un péage dans le détroit de Malacca qui longe la Malaisie et l'île d'Indonésie qui s'appelle Sumatra avant de finir dans un deuxième détroit, celui de Singapour. Pour Christian Makarian, le contexte est très différent d'Ormuz. Derrière, il y a la superpuissance chinoise et son alimentation permanente, explique-t-il. Du lundi au vendredi, à partir de 18h, David Pujadas apporte toute son expertise pour analyser l'actualité du jour avec pédagogie.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

The Tara Show
Laser Weapons, Choke Points & The China Conflict No One's Calling

The Tara Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 21, 2026 9:58


Are we already in a global war—and just not calling it that? In this high-stakes episode, we break down the Pentagon's deployment of advanced laser defense systems aboard the USS George H.W. Bush and what it signals about the future of combat operations. We also examine escalating tensions involving China and Iran, including claims of missile support, satellite targeting, and proxy warfare in critical regions like the Red Sea and Strait of Hormuz. From strategic control of global choke points—like the Strait of Malacca and Panama Canal—to questions about nuclear capability and economic dominance, this episode explores whether the U.S. is already engaged in a broader geopolitical conflict. Featuring analysis tied to policies from Donald Trump and commentary from voices like Jesse Watters, we unpack the strategy, the risks, and what could come next.

P.I.D. Radio
Dire Straits is Not Just a Band

P.I.D. Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 18, 2026 82:54


IRAN HAS decided to play red light, green light with the Strait of Hormuz. Less than 24 hours after President Trump announced the opening of the critical waterway, Iran declared it closed again. Further, two Indian flagged tankers reportedly came under fire from Iranian speedboats. This suggests that negotiations between the US and Iran over a peaceful resolution to Operation Epic Fury are simply a stalling tactic by the Iranian regime, perhaps counting on Democrats winning the midterm elections or even the 2028 presidential election. Given the way Presidents Biden and Obama willingly sent billions of dollars to Tehran, you can hardly blame them. We discuss the bind into which Iran has placed China, which gets up to 20% of its oil imports from the Islamic regime – at a deep discount because Iran has few buyers for its oil due to sanctions. This is exacerbated by China's loss of access to Venezuelan oil. As a result, China has had to suddenly ramp up its purchases of American oil to roughly $10 billion worth per month. In addition, the United States just signed a defense agreement with Indonesia. That nation sits on the west side of the cap, Strait of Malacca, a waterway even more critical to China's oil imports than the Strait of Hormuz. And to make things more interesting, American oil sails through the Panama Canal, which is now once again under American control, thanks to President Trump. In short, the United States now controls China's access to about 25% of its oil imports, and has military control over waterways through which about 80% of Chinese oil imports flow, for which the Chinese must now pay full price. This may be President Trump's way of responding to China's threats to control American access to critical rare earth minerals. We also discuss the corrupting influence of social media on sharing the gospel. Children now graduate high school so reliant on artificial intelligence that they literally don't see the need to read anything longer than a menu. So, reading the Bible is a concept that is completely foreign to them. Sharon's niece, Sarah Sachleben, is fighting stage 4 bowel cancer, and the medical bills are piling up. If you are led to help, please go to GilbertHouse.org/hopeforsarah. Follow us! X (formerly Twitter): @pidradio | @sharonkgilbert | @derekgilbert | @gilberthouse_tvTelegram: t.me/gilberthouse | t.me/sharonsroom | t.me/viewfromthebunkerSubstack: gilberthouse.substack.comYouTube: @GilbertHouse | @UnravelingRevelationFacebook.com/pidradio JOIN US IN ISRAEL! We will tour the Holy Land October 11–23, 2026 with an optional three-day extension to Jordan. For more information, log on to GilbertHouse.org/travel. Thank you for making our Build Barn Better project a reality! Our 1,200 square foot pole barn has a new HVAC system, epoxy floor, 100-amp electric service, new windows, insulation, lights, and ceiling fans! If you are so led, you can help out by clicking here: gilberthouse.org/donate. Get our free app! It connects you to this podcast, our weekly Bible studies, and our weekly video programs Unraveling Revelation and A View from the Bunker. The app is available for iOS, Android, Roku, and Apple TV. Links to the app stores are at pidradio.com/app. Video on demand of our best teachings! Stream presentations and teachings based on our research at our new video on demand site: gilberthouse.org/video! Think better, feel better! Our partners at Simply Clean Foods offer freeze-dried, 100% GMO-free food and delicious, vacuum-packed fair trade coffee from Honduras. Find out more at GilbertHouse.org/store/.

The Tara Show
H1: Tax Cuts Surge

The Tara Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2026 30:00


From record-breaking tax refunds to rising global tensions, today's episode connects the dots between your wallet and world power. Is America entering a new era of economic strength—and a dangerous geopolitical showdown?

The Tara Show
Iran Blockade SQUEEZES Hard—China Showdown Next?

The Tara Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2026 9:26


A major shift in global power is unfolding. As tensions with Iran appear to cool under mounting economic pressure, a bigger and more dangerous confrontation may be taking shape. Is this the end of one conflict—or the beginning of something far larger?

Badlands Media
Geopolitics with Ghost Ep. 99: Iran Peace Deal, Choke Points & the Netanyahu Split - 4/17/26

Badlands Media

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2026 126:22


Ghost breaks down what may be one of the most significant geopolitical shifts in years: a US/Iran peace deal that has the Strait of Hormuz reopening, oil prices dropping, and Trump publicly putting Netanyahu on notice. Ghost walks through Trump's Truth Social blitz, Steve Bannon's signal-setting role, and the "Venezuela model" now playing out with Iran. From the Strait of Malacca to an Iraq/Saudi pipeline revival, a US troop exit from Syria, and Erdogan emerging as a key player, this episode covers the full board. Africa gets its moment too, with DRC rare earth tensions and Russia deepening Congo ties. If you thought the Middle East narrative was winding down, think again: Ghost argues it is just reorganizing.

The Tara Show
H2: Faith, Power & War: Vatican Clash Meets Global Showdown

The Tara Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2026 26:49


Religious influence, political backlash, and a rapidly escalating global power struggle—today's episode connects the dots between the Vatican, U.S. politics, and a high-stakes fight over global shipping lanes. What's really happening beneath the headlines? ⚡ HOOK (OPEN) From the Vatican… to the world's most critical shipping lanes—this isn't just politics. It's power.

NTD Good Morning
Trump: 2nd Round of Talks May Happen Soon; House Advances Spy Bill | NTD Good Morning (April 15)

NTD Good Morning

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2026 96:29


President Trump saying on Tuesday that Pakistan's capital city Islamabad is the likely location for US-Iran peace talks. The President confirmed that he would not attend the Iran peace talks, but did not say who would be attending. Speaking on Fox News, President Trump saying he views the war as close to over.Late Tuesday night, House lawmakers advanced a controversial section of a spy bill known as FISA. But the path forward is uncertain, with President Trump calling on Republicans to unite. A floor debate is scheduled for Wednesday on Section 702 of FISA, ahead of a final vote to extend this spy power for the next 18 months without any reforms. This spy power is not without controversy, although it's meant to target intelligence from foreign nationals outside the United States, critics say there aren't enough guardrails to prevent the government from unlawfully spying on American citizens.On Monday, the U.S. and Indonesia upgraded their defense relationship to what they're calling a 'Major Defense Cooperation Partnership.' The move deepens coordination on maritime security in Southeast Asia, highlighting the Strait of Malacca, a narrow but critical shipping lane linking the Indian and Pacific Ocean. Under the new deal, the U.S. and Indonesia will expand joint training, deploy sensors, and integrate American surveillance technology. The goal is to improve monitoring of the waterway and give Washington more presence in the region.

The Alan Sanders Show
March Inflation, Iran Hormuz Blockade, Israel-Lebanon Talks & Swalwell Fall | Ep. 071

The Alan Sanders Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 14, 2026 92:00


The March 2026 CPI report delivered inflation at 3.3% year-over-year, driven by a rising gas prices amid the escalating Iran crisis. The U.S. has now imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz, threatening global oil flows and tightening the squeeze on energy markets. Meanwhile, Israel and Lebanon are holding rare direct peace talks in Washington. At the same time, the Administration has just put agreements in place making it easier to control the Straight of Malacca. Plus, Congressman Eric Swalwell's political career collapses over four days after multiple sexual misconduct allegations surface, and that doesn't even cover the ongoing criminal investigations. We break down the economic fallout, geopolitical risks and what these developments mean for America's future in episode 71 of The Alan Sanders Show. Please take a moment to rate and review the show and then share the episode on social media. You can find me on Facebook, X, Instagram, GETTR, TRUTH Social, TikTok, YouTube and Rumble by searching for The Alan Sanders Show. And, consider becoming a sponsor of the show by visiting my Patreon page!

Did That Really Happen?
The Ghost Bride

Did That Really Happen?

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 6, 2026 44:58


We don't have a new episode this week, so we're cracking open the Patreon vault and releasing one of our bonus episodes on The Ghost Bride! Join us on our journey to 1890s Malacca, and learn about the ghost bride custom, clothing, currency, and more! Sources: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-37103447 https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-04-07/ghost-marriages-in-rural-china-continue-to-thrive/9608624 Wenzhang Zhou and Yang Feng, "When Religious Folk Practice Meets Karl Marx: Courts' Response to Ghost Marriage in Modern China," Religions, 14 (2023) Myron L. Cohen, "Souls and Salvation: Conflicting Themes in Chinese Popular Religion," in Death Ritual in Late Imperial and Modern China, ed. James L. Watson and Evelyn S. Rawski. University of California Press, 1990 Wiki: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Ghost_Bride_(TV_series)  Patrick Brzeski, "Netflix Unveils Launch Dates for First Trio of Chinese-Language Originals," The Hollywood Reporter, 26 August 2019, https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/tv/tv-news/netflix-sets-launch-dates-first-chinese-language-originals-1234398/  Mathew Scott, "Netflix Launches Mobile-Only Plan for Malysia," The Hollywood Reporter, 24 October 2019, https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/netflix-launches-mobile-plan-malaysia-1249730/  https://decider.com/2020/01/23/the-ghost-bride-netflix-stream-it-or-skip-it/ Chiang Hai Ding, "The Origins of the Malaysian Currency System (1867-1906)," Journal of the Malaysian Branch of the Royal Asiatic Society 39, no.1 (1966): 1-18. https://www.jstor.org/stable/41491873  The Kebaya: https://www.bbc.com/travel/article/20230302-the-asian-blouse-that-tells-a-tale-of-many-cultures  Peranakan fashion: https://www.roots.gov.sg/stories-landing/stories/peranakan-fashion-and-its-international-sources/story  Singapore, Sarong Kebaya and Style: Peranakan Fashion (National Heritage Board), https://artsandculture.google.com/story/6AVxGAwa3F7DJA?hl=en 

Géopolitique, le débat
Les détroits : nouveaux centres de gravité de la guerre ?

Géopolitique, le débat

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2026 48:29


Des noms minuscules sur les cartes, mais des effets immenses sur la planète. Ormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, Suez ou encore Malacca : ces détroits bien plus que de simples passages maritimes sont des points de compression du commerce mondial, de l'énergie et des stratégies militaires. Dans le contexte de la guerre iranienne, Ormuz apporte la démonstration spectaculaire que, dans le monde contemporain, contrôler un détroit c'est déjà peser sur l'ordre international...  Avec - Guillaume Ancel, ancien officier, auteur de Petites leçons sur la guerre, comment défendre la paix sans avoir peur de se battre ?, aux éditions Autrement   - Emmanuel Hache, adjoint scientifique à IFP Énergies nouvelles et directeur de recherche à l'IRIS. Dernier ouvrage : Géopolitique des matières premières, Éditions Eyrolles, 2025  - Nicolas Mazzucchi, docteur en géographie économique, directeur de recherche au Centre d'études stratégiques de la marine.

Valuetainment
Chokepoint Crisis: Hormuz is Only the Beginning

Valuetainment

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 25, 2026 12:23


A single chokepoint can shake the global economy. From the Strait of Hormuz to the Strait of Malacca, Pat breaks down the key routes controlling oil, trade, and power. If even one shuts down, the ripple effects hit gas prices, supply chains, and global stability.

Valuetainment
“Trump's Playing POWER Politics” - Xi Meeting SCRAPPED As Trump Focuses On Iran War

Valuetainment

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 18, 2026 18:51


Diesel nears $5 as the Iran conflict squeezes global supply, raising fears of rising costs and economic slowdown. The panel breaks down short-term vs long-term impact, recession risks, and how global chokepoints like Hormuz and Malacca shape energy, trade, and power.

Brave Dynamics: Authentic Leadership Reflections
Global Energy Shock: Southeast Asia & China Effects & Countermeasures - E679

Brave Dynamics: Authentic Leadership Reflections

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 18, 2026 34:16


Is the era of cheap energy over for Southeast Asia? In this special three-person debate, Jeremy Au, Jianggan Li, and Valerie Vu break down the reality of the current energy crisis and its disproportionate impact on Vietnam, China, and Singapore. As oil prices spike by 30-50% in some markets, the team explores the second and third-order consequences that most businesses are missing. From the sudden reduction of traffic in Ho Chi Minh City to China's multi-decade "Coal and Renewables" diversification strategy, this episode is a deep dive into geopolitical resilience. Key insights include: The Vietnam Vulnerability: Why 90% reliance on a single oil source (Kuwait) has left the Vietnamese stock market in shock. China's Energy Fortress: How the "big cousin" uses a mix of 60% coal and 10% renewables to insulate itself from Middle Eastern conflict. The "Hormuz" Dilemma: A look at how the Straits of Malacca and Hormuz remain the ultimate chokepoints for Asian growth. Industry Winners & Losers: Why the crisis is accelerating EV adoption and Nuclear research while crushing the textile and garment sectors. The Wealth Migration: Tracking the movement of capital and family offices between Dubai and Singapore as global instability rises. 00:00 – Real-world impact of the energy crisis in Vietnam 02:38 – Analyzing the 50% fuel price spike in Southeast Asia 07:13 – AI simulations of the US-Israel-Iran geopolitical conflict 12:43 – China's energy strategy: Balancing coal, gas, and renewables 17:50 – How energy costs drive regional food inflation and logistics 23:30 – Net exporters vs. importers: Economic winners and losers 26:50 – Impact on aviation and the Southeast Asian tourism outlook 32:18 – Environmental trade-offs: Rising coal usage and air quality Watch, listen or read the full insight at https://www.bravesea.com/blog/global-energy-shock Get transcripts, startup resources & community discussions at https://www.bravesea.com WhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VakR55X6BIElUEvkN02e TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@jeremyau Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/jeremyauz Twitter X : https://x.com/jeremyau LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bravesea English: Spotify | YouTube | Apple Podcasts Bahasa Indonesia: Spotify | YouTube | Apple Podcasts Chinese: Spotify | YouTube | Apple Podcasts #Vietnam #China #Malaysia #Singapore #Thailand #Philippines #Indonesia #IranWar #News

China Daily Podcast
英语新闻丨司法护航高水平对外开放

China Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 9, 2026 7:34


In a complex global environment and amid a substantial rise in foreign-related cases, Chinese courts are committed to ensuring equal protection for all entities and have implemented various measures to enhance the nation's business environment, offering "Chinese solutions" for resolving international disputes, according to the head of China's top court.首席大法官、最高人民法院院长张军在两会期间接受《中国日报》专访时表示,面对复杂的国际形势和增多的涉外案件,中国法院坚持平等保护原则,多措并举,以优质高效司法服务持续优化营商环境,积极为国际纠纷解决贡献"中国方案"。"Openness is a key feature of Chinese modernization, and the rule of law is the foundation for achieving high-level global engagement," said Zhang Jun, president of the Supreme People's Court, in an exclusive interview with China Daily on the sidelines of the ongoing annual meetings of the nation's top legislative and political advisory bodies.张军指出,开放是中国式现代化的鲜明标识,法治是高水平对外开放的坚实保障。Citing data from the 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-25) period, Zhang said that Chinese courts concluded 128,000 first-instance foreign-related civil and commercial cases involving more than 100 countries and regions, an increase of 65 percent from the previous five years."十四五"期间,中国法院审结一审涉外民商事案件12.8万件,较"十三五"期间增长65%,涉及100多个国家和地区。In 2025 alone, courts nationwide handled over 67,000 foreign-related commercial and maritime cases, up 44 percent year-on-year, he noted.据张军介绍,2025年,全国法院新收一审涉外商事海事案件达6.7万余件,同比增长44%。With global supply chains restructuring and digital trade on the rise, Zhang said that disputes over international goods contracts, service trade, and related cross-border payments, transportation and insurance are increasing.随着全球供应链的重构和数字贸易的兴起,国际货物买卖合同纠纷、服务贸易纠纷,以及与之相关的跨境支付、运输、保险纠纷持续增多。As Chinese companies expand globally and foreign investment grows, particularly with the Belt and Road Initiative, relevant cases are also rising, he said. "The rapid increase and diversity of foreign-related cases highlight China's deep integration into the global market and its shift from focusing on goods flow to regulatory and institutional opening-up," he added.张军表示,随着中国企业"走出去"和外资"引进来"的双向流动加速,以及高质量共建"一带一路"的深入推进,相关纠纷也不断涌现。他补充说:"涉外民商事案件数量的快速增长和类型的日益多样化,是中国经济深度融入全球市场的生动写照,勾勒出中国对外开放从商品和要素流动型开放向规则等制度型开放的转变。"To address the growing number of cases and meet diverse judicial needs, Chinese courts have been striving to provide more equitable, efficient and accessible services to both domestic and foreign litigants, Zhang said.张军说,"面对涉外案件数量持续攀升和当事人司法需求更为多元的新形势,中国法院努力为中外当事人依法提供更加公正、高效、便捷的司法服务和保障。"In June 2018, the first and second international commercial courts of the Supreme People's Court were established in Shen­zhen, Guangdong province, and Xi'an, Shaanxi province, where litigants are allowed to resolve disputes through mediation, arbitration, or litigation, based on their needs. By the end of 2025, these two courts concluded 37 cases involving litigants from 21 countries and regions.2018年6月,最高法院第一、第二国际商事法庭分别在广东深圳和陕西西安成立,当事人可根据需要选择调解、仲裁或诉讼解决纠纷。截至2025年底,这两个法庭审结涉及21个国家和地区当事人的案件37件。China has also set up international commercial tribunals in 18 cities, including Beijing, Shanghai, and Suzhou in Jiangsu province. In 2025, these tribunals concluded more than 1,700 foreign-related commercial and arbitration review cases involving litigants from over 50 countries and regions, a year-on-year increase of 24 percent.中国还在北京、上海、苏州等18个城市设立了国际商事法庭。2025年共审结涉外商事、涉外仲裁司法审查等案件1700件,同比上升24%,当事人覆盖50多个国家。Zhang said that while respecting litigants' preferences for dispute resolution methods is important, the importance of mediation in handling foreign-related cases is also significant.张军表示,中国法院充分尊重当事人选择仲裁、调解解决争议的意愿。He cited a case involving a foreign oil tanker that was unloading at Qingdao port in Shandong province in January, noting that the dispute was resolved within 24 hours following the Xiamen Maritime Court's swift coordination with the Qingdao Maritime Court, and the use of online and offline mediation methods.他举例说,今年1月,厦门海事法院与青岛海事法院快速协调,运用线上线下调解方式,在24小时内成功化解一起外籍油轮在青岛港卸货纠纷。Expanding intl influence扩大国际影响力The international influence of China's foreign-related judiciary is also expanding, thanks to the development of foreign-related adjudication and optimized legal services, Zhang said.张军称,涉外审判的发展和司法服务的优化,也提升了中国涉外司法的国际影响力。In September 2022, a Liberian container ship and a Panamanian oil tanker collided in the Strait of Malacca, and the courts in five countries, including China, had jurisdiction over the case. The parties involved proactively chose the Ningbo Maritime Court in Zhejiang province to resolve their dispute under Chinese law, he noted.2022年9月,利比里亚籍集装箱船与巴拿马籍大型油轮在马六甲海峡发生碰撞,包括中国在内的五国法院均有管辖权。双方当事人主动选择中国宁波海事法院解决纠纷,并适用中国法律。"More parties involved in foreign-related cases, even those with no substantial connection to China, are voluntarily choosing to address their disputes in Chinese courts, which is a strong endorsement of China's judicial system and its international credibility," Zhang said."越来越多与中国并无实际联系的涉外案件,当事人自愿协议选择在中国法院诉讼,这本身就是对中国司法制度和国际公信力的充分认可。"张军补充说道。On their part, Chinese courts are continuously exploring and improving judicial services, he said. In March 2022, a Norwegian company applied to the Shanghai Maritime Court, seeking recognition of a judgment of a United Kingdom court. Despite the lack of an applicable judicial assistance treaty, the Shanghai court recognized the judgment based on the principle of reciprocity, prompting UK courts to recognize two court judgments of China later.中国法院也在不断探索和完善司法服务。2022年3月,挪威一家公司就英国高等法院的一项生效判决向上海海事法院提出承认申请。在缺乏可适用的司法协助条约的情况下,上海海事法院依据互惠原则承认了该判决,促使英国法院此后承认了中国法院的两项判决。This move not only provides a practical judicial example for establishing a reciprocal relationship, but also breaks the "zero record" of mutual recognition of commercial judgments between Chinese and UK courts. "The initiative demonstrates China's sense of responsibility and judicial confidence," Zhang said.张军表示,此举不仅为认定互惠关系提供了可操作的司法范例,也突破了中英两国法院商事判决互认"零记录"。"中国法院率先承认英国法院判决的背后是中国大国担当、司法自信的有力体现。"From 2024 to 2025, Chinese courts received 1,620 applications for recognizing and enforcing foreign judgments, and they concluded 1,510 such cases, he said. "This data shows China's determination to protect the rights of both domestic and foreign parties in foreign-related trials, maintaining a fair, open and inclusive judicial stance," he added.数据显示,2024年至2025年,中国法院共受理申请承认和执行外国民商事判决1620件,审结1510件,充分彰显了中国涉外审判平等保护中外当事人合法权益,以及公正、开放、包容的司法立场。Mission highlighted使命凸显In today's volatile global landscape, Zhang underscored the judiciary's mission to use legal certainty to address external uncertainties. "A stable, transparent legal business environment is vital for protecting foreign investments and promoting international economic cooperation," he said.当前,国际形势复杂多变,全球经济面临诸多不确定性。张军强调,在这样的时代背景下,中国司法肩负着以法治的确定性应对外部环境不确定性的重要使命。"一个稳定、公平、透明、可预期的法治化营商环境,是保护外商投资权益、保障跨境交易安全、促进国际经济合作的'压舱石'。"他说。Chinese courts have participated in the legislation and amendment of significant foreign-related laws — such as the Foreign Investment Law and the Law on Foreign Relations — to enhance China's judicial framework, Zhang said, adding that courts across the country have also shared their judicial expertise to improve international rules and promote global trade.中国法院近年来积极参与我国外商投资法、对外关系法等一批重大涉外法律的立法和修改工作,促进涉外法律体系完善。全国各地法院也分享司法经验,以完善国际规则,促进全球贸易。In December 2025, the United Nations General Assembly adopted the UN Convention on Negotiable Cargo Documents. Zhang said this convention is the first international treaty in the transportation sector that originates from Chinese judicial practice, and was initiated and developed with China's full participation.2025年12月,联合国大会审议通过《联合国可转让货物单证公约》。张军表示,该公约是首部源于中国司法实践、由中国发起并全程参与制定的运输领域国际公约。"Through judicial decisions, Chinese courts will continue to play a crucial role in guarding against external risks, stabilizing market confidence and promoting global trade and investment, thereby protecting our national interests," he said.通过司法裁判,中国法院将继续在防范外部风险、稳定市场信心、促进全球贸易和投资方面发挥重要作用,从而维护国家利益。"Through efficient judicial services, we aim to provide certainty for the stable development of both the Chinese economy and the global economy, acting as a 'navigator' for opening-up and an 'anchor of stability' for global trade," he added.以优质高效的司法服务为中国经济和世界经济的稳定发展注入宝贵的确定性,努力做高水平对外开放的'护航者'和全球经贸秩序的'稳定锚',张军补充说道。foreign-related case /ˈfɒrɪn rɪˈleɪtɪd keɪs/涉外案件first-instance /ˈfɜːst ˈɪnstəns/一审institutional opening-up /ˌɪnstɪˈtjuːʃənl ˈəʊpənɪŋ ʌp/制度型开放litigant /ˈlɪtɪɡənt/诉讼当事人mediation /ˌmiːdiˈeɪʃən/调解arbitration /ˌɑːbɪˈtreɪʃən/仲裁litigation /ˌlɪtɪˈɡeɪʃən/诉讼proactively /prəʊˈæktɪvli/主动地volatile /ˈvɒlətaɪl/动荡的

Argus Media
SAF Insights: Introducing Argus' SAF & HVO fob Straits assessments

Argus Media

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 27, 2026 17:38


Argus launched RED-certified sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) fob Strait of Malacca prices in January 2026, to capture growing production capacity and liquidity in the region. Join Alfonso Berrocal (VP, Business Development, Oil Products and SAF) and Sarah Giam (Associate Editor, Biofuels & Net-Zero) as they: Unpack the rationale behind the price launches Share more details on the prices, and how they are assessed Speak about the latest developments on SAF policy, and how regional SAF and HVO markets might pan out in future You can find the detailed methodology for these prices and others in the Argus Biofuels report here.

Books on Asia
Simon Winchester's Biography of Joseph Needham (with Tim McGirk)

Books on Asia

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 26, 2026 32:15


The Man Who Loved China by Simon Winchester (with Tim McGirk)John Ross talks with Tim McGirk about Simon Winchester's masterpiece, The Man Who Loved China. That man was Joseph Needham, an eccentric Cambridge biochemist who traveled through war-torn China to document the nation's scientific heritage. The ensuing book series, Science and Civilisation in China, revealed the world's debt to Chinese science. John and Tim discuss the “Needham Question” (why China, once the global leader in technology, fell behind) and the scandal that almost ended his academic career. McGirk, a former foreign correspondent who knows Winchester from his early journalism days, shares some reporting anecdotes. Tim also explains how the life of Joseph Needham inspired his own historical novel, The Wondrous Elixir of the Two Chinese Lovers. Books mentionedThe Man Who Loved China: The Fantastic Story of the Eccentric Scientist Who Unlocked the Mysteries of the Middle Kingdom by Simon Winchester (HarperCollins, 2008).Science and Civilisation in China: Needham's monumental series. Volume 1 was published by Cambridge University Press in 1954.The Diamond Sutra: considered the world's oldest dated printed book (AD 868).The Wondrous Elixir of the Two Chinese Lovers by Tim McGirk (Plum Rain Press, 2025) People mentionedJoseph Needham: The Cambridge scientist who documented China's early scientific achievements.Lu Gwei-djen: A scientist from Nanjing who sparked Needham's interest in Chinese culture, and, after a 51-year romance, his second wife.Dorothy Needham: Joseph's first wife and a fellow brilliant scientist.H.T. Huang: A refugee from Malacca who served as Needham's secretary during his epic China expeditions.Zhou Enlai: The Premier of the People's Republic of China and Needham's wartime friend who invited him to investigate biological warfare allegations. Selected locations mentionedCambridge University, the UK, specifically Caius College (pronounced “keys”).Chungking (Chóngqìng): China's wartime capital.Dunhuang: Home of the Mogao Grottos, a vast complex of Buddhist cave temples in northwest China, and where the Diamond Sutra was discovered.    The Books on Asia Podcast is co-produced with Plum Rain Press. Podcast host Amy Chavez is author of The Widow, the Priest, and the Octopus Hunter: Discovering a Lost Way of Life on a Secluded Japanese Island. and Amy's Guide to Best Behavior in Japan.The Books on Asia website posts book reviews, podcast episodes and episode Show Notes. Subscribe to the BOA podcast from your favorite podcast service. Subscribe to the Books on Asia newsletter to receive news of the latest new book releases, reviews and podcast episodes.

The Tipsy Ghost
300!!: Haunted Booty , aka Ourang Medan

The Tipsy Ghost

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 14, 2025 34:26


The episode where Sarah covers the haunted story of the SS Ourang Medan, a ghost ship and urban legend from the 1940s. Legend has it that the ship was found dead in the water after a distress signal was sent out from the straits of Malacca…and when hep arrived, everyone on board was dead. Aliens? Government coverup? Haunted artifacts (LAUREN! We told her to get off the ship, promise)? What are your thoughts?Come say hi on our socials!Facebook- The Tipsy GhostInstagram- @thetipsyghostpodcastTikTok @thetipsyghost_podEmail us your stories at thetipsyghost@gmail.comShow your support when you subscribe, leave a great review & give us a 5 star rating—it really helps!

Daily Rosary
December 3, 2025, Feast of St. Francis Xavier, Holy Rosary (Glorious Mysteries)

Daily Rosary

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 3, 2025 31:56


Friends of the Rosary,Today, December 3, the Church celebrates the feast of St. Francis Xavier (1506-1552), one of the Church's most illustrious missionaries.Born in the castle of Xavier in Navarre, Spain, in 1525, he was from a noble Basque family. In 1534, he went to Paris, where he taught philosophy after obtaining his master's degree, met St. Ignatius of Loyola, and was enrolled as one of the first seven Jesuits.With Ignatius, he received Holy Orders in Venice in 1537. In 1540, he was sent to evangelize India. He labored in western India, the island of Ceylon, Malacca, the Molucca Islands, the island of Mindanao (Philippines), and Japan.This saint was proclaimed patron of foreign missions and of all missionary works by Pope St. Pius X on March 25, 1904.Come, Holy Spirit, come!To Jesus through Mary!Here I am, Lord; I come to do your will.Please give us the grace to respond with joy!+ Mikel Amigot w/ María Blanca | RosaryNetwork.com, New YorkEnhance your faith with the new Holy Rosary University app:Apple iOS | New! Android Google Play