Podcasts about pm tony abbott

NSW Labor forced to spend millions on a lifeline for the Eraring power station. Andrew Giles finally fronts the media, only to shift the blame on released detainees. Plus, former PM Tony Abbott on Australia's leadership vacuum.  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Join us in this compelling episode of New Frontiers, where host Paul Johnson and Professor Henry Thompson sit down with former Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott. They delve into a fascinating discussion on leadership, the complexities of global politics, and the pivotal issues facing the Western world today. This insightful conversation explores topics ranging from China's influence, identity politics, the principles of democracy, to the strategic importance of Taiwan and US-Australia relations. Topics Discussed in the Video: - Leadership and Identity Politics: Tony Abbott shares his journey to becoming the Prime Minister of Australia, highlighting his guiding principles and political philosophy. He addresses the divisive nature of identity politics, emphasizing the importance of focusing on individual character and values over group identities. - China's Global Influence & the Western Response: The episode takes a deep dive into the evolving dynamics of China's global influence and the Western response. Abbott discusses the challenges and strategies for dealing with China, stressing the importance of democratic values and the need for a unified stance among Western allies. - Australia's Role in Global Security: Abbott talks about Australia's strategic significance in the Asia-Pacific region, especially in the context of rising tensions in Taiwan and the broader implications for global security. He reflects on Australia's longstanding alliance with the United States and its crucial role in maintaining balance and promoting peace in the region. - A Vision for a Free and Democratic World: The conversation concludes with Tony Abbott's vision for a world that upholds the principles of freedom and democracy. He calls for a recommitment to these ideals, highlighting the role of leadership in navigating the challenges of the 21st century and securing a prosperous future for the next generation.

Welcome to an audio-led edition of Unmade. Today's edition features the story of how Claire Kimball and Kate Watson grew The Squiz from a daily newsletter to a multi faceted brand via podcasting, with events now on the horizon.‘We thought there would be an acquirer by now': How The Squiz made an early pivot towards daily podcastsThis month The Squiz reaches its seven years in the market. Starting life as a daily, agenda-free catchup of the key developments, with a female skew, The Squiz surfed what was a US-led trend.Later The Squiz expanded to a daily podcast - they believe it was Australia's first - and then extended to Squiz Kids. More recently they launched new podcast Squiz News Club.In an honest conversation, founders Claire Kimball and Kate Watson share their challenges and frustrations, including the difficulties of getting in front of media agencies, how they'd expected the business to go faster, how ‘curation' is their favourite word, and why they're planning to soon move into live events.They also discuss their unconventional publishing backgrounds, with neither of them having been a journalist before starting The Squiz. Kimball had been head of communications at Woolworths and was a press secretary to former PM Tony Abbott. Watson had done sales roles for Bauer Media and Sky News Australia.Time to leave you to your Thursday. We'll be back with more tomorrow.Editing was courtesy of Abe's Audio, the people to talk to about voiceovers, sound design and podcast production.Message us: letters@unmade.mediaTim BurrowesPublisher - Unmade This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unmade.media/subscribe

. - 시드니에서 19일 열린 '보수정치행동 컨퍼런스'에서 기조연설에 나선 토니 애벗 전 연방총리는 ‘원주민 헌법기구 보이스 반대에 대한 보수층의 결집'을 촉구했다.

In the second episode of 'Abbott & Credlin', join former-PM Tony Abbott and his then-Chief of Staff Peta Credlin as they delve into political history, philosophy, and share their behind-the-scenes insights as former leaders. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The late Cardinal George Pell's funeral took place today where former Prime Ministers attended and read eulogies. It was former PM Tony Abbott's eulogy that had people in shock with his comments to the protestors. Have a listen to hear his speech.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Rt. Hon. Tony Abbott, former P.M. of Australia joins #SWYSI in Budapest to discuss the Ukrainian Crisis, Vladimir Putin, Russia and China's desire for a New World Order, woke attacks on our history and values, the left's hypocrisy and selective outrage, and why he has been surprised by Australia's reaction to Covid. ---------------- SUBSCRIBE: If you are enjoying the show, please subscribe to our channel on YouTube (click the Subscribe Button underneath the video and then Click on the Bell icon next to it to make sure you Receive All Notifications) AUDIO: If you prefer Audio you can subscribe on itunes or Soundcloud. Soundcloud: https://soundcloud.com/user-923838732 SUPPORT/DONATE / JOIN OUR MEMBERSHIP SCHEME The NCF Channel is still very new and to continue to produce quality programming we need your support. Your donations will help ensure the channel not only continues but can grow into a major online platform challenging the cultural orthodoxies dominant in our institutions, public life and media. You can join our membership scheme or donate in a variety of ways via our website: http://www.newcultureforum.org.uk It is set up to accept one time and monthly donations. JOIN US ON SOCIAL MEDIA: Web: http://www.newcultureforum.org.uk F: https://www.facebook.com/NCultureForum/ Y: http://www.youtube.com/c/NewCultureForum T: http://www.twitter.com/NewCultureForum

Former Primer Minister Tony Abbott has given an explosive speech in Taiwan, accusing China of weaponising trade, belligerence and forcing ethnic minority Uyghurs into "concentration camps". See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Luke Grant is joined by Peta Credlin, former chief of staff to PM Tony Abbott & host of Credlin on Sky News, who joins the ranks of the nation's honourees, being appointed an Officer in the Order of Australia on the Queen's Birthday list.   Ms Credlin is among a record proportion of women receiving honours this year with others including outgoing Department of Foreign Affairs & Trade secretary Frances Adamson, who was the first female head of that department, and Tasmanian judge Barbara Baker. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Michael is joined by Maurice Newman, Columnist with the Australian & Former Business Adviser to PM Tony Abbott, regarding his recent article that takes the view that President Biden’s backing of climate catastrophists will leave Australia politically isolated.   Mr Newman writes, ‘with the election of President Joe Biden the Australian government risks being politically stranded without a coherent narrative.   ‘Indeed, the Prime Minister should not underestimate the fresh energy the US election result is bringing to the climate change movement.’   ‘By re-joining the Paris Accord and cancelling the Keystone pipeline, Mr Biden and his hard-line ‘climate team’ have sent an emphatic message to fellow globalists everywhere that Washington will back the UN’s ‘Great Reset’ initiative using multilateral ‘zero emissions’ agreements to achieve social and economic change.’ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Recording early afternoon on Wednesday 7 September, Allan and Darren begin by grappling with the previous day’s news of the arrival back in Australia of the last two China correspondents from Australian media outlets: the ABC’s Bill Birtles and the AFR’s Mike Smith. Darren tries to piece together his own theory of what happened, and Allan offers some insight on the mechanics behind DFAT’s role in cases like these, both in warning Australians of risks, and then the decision to shelter them, in this case while negotiating their safe departure from China. Note that the conversation occurred before more details emerged of allegations by PRC state media of “raids” on PRC journalists in Australia by national security agencies, and news of the cancellation of visas for two Chinese scholars. The discussion turns next to the speech delivered by the Deputy Head of Mission at the Chinese embassy, Wang Xining, at the National Press Club in late August. Allan explains the types of constraints on all diplomats in giving a speech like this, and both he and Darren agree that the prepared text did seem to lean more towards conciliatory than provocative. In the context of a very low month in the bilateral relationship, which also included new investigations into Australian wine exports, the detention of another Australian citizen, CGTN anchor Cheng Lei, and Australia's blocking of an acquisition by a PRC company of a Japanese-owned milk processing company on national interest grounds, they wonder whether the speech will have any lasting impact. In light of some recent analysis Darren asks, is Australia only recently “standing up” to China, or has Australia’s approach been consistent, as claimed by PM Morrison? Allan and Darren both weigh on the Foreign Affairs Bill announced by the Prime Minister and Foreign Minister recently, which if it becomes law is expected to enable Canberra to cancel the Belt and Road Initiative MOU signed by the State of Victoria. As a historian of Australian foreign policy, Allan cannot recall a single issue where state actions have been a real problem for Australian foreign policy, and he observes that the “national interest” test could be wielded in very different ways by different governments into the future. Finally, the two discuss the legacy of retiring Japanese Prime Minster Abe Shinzo, and Allan offers his view on the merits of former PM Tony Abbott taking a position advising the UK government on trade policy. We thank AIIA intern Mitchell McIntosh for his help with research and audio editing and XC Chong for research support. Thanks as always to Rory Stenning for composing our theme music. Relevant Links Matthew Doran and Stephen Dziedzic, “Australian correspondents Bill Birtles and Mike Smith pulled out of China after five-day diplomatic standoff over national security case”, ABC News, 8 September 2020: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-09-08/bill-birtles-mike-smith-evacuated-china-safety-concerns/12638786   “Political retaliation: China correspondent Bill Birtles on being forced home under threats from Beijing”, ABC PM (Radio), 8 September 2020: https://www.abc.net.au/radio/programs/pm/china-correspondent-bill-birtles-on-being-forced-home/12642502 Jade Macmillan, “Cheng Lei, Australian anchor detained in Beijing, accused of 'endangering China's national security'”, ABC News, 8 September 2020: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-09-08/australian-anchor-cheng-lei-china-endanger-national-security/12642596   Global Times, “Australian agents raid Chinese journalists' residences, seize computers 'in violation of legitimate rights': source”, 8 September 2020: https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1200286.shtml   Wang Xining, “China and Australia: Where to from here?”, Address at the National Press Club, 26 August 2020: http://au.china-embassy.org/eng/gdtp_16/t1809360.htm Phillip Coorey, “Morrison sticks to new China doctrine”, Australian Financial Review, 31 August 2020: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/morrison-sticks-to-new-china-doctrine-20200827-p55pqa Kirsy Needham, “Special Report: Australia faces down China in high-stakes strategy”, Reuters, 4 September 2020: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-australia-china-relations-special-rep/special-report-australia-faces-down-china-in-high-stakes-strategy-idUSKBN25V1GM Elena Collinson and James Laurenceson, “Australia-China Monthly Wrap-Up: August 2020”, Australia-China Relations Institute (ACRI), 3 September 2020: https://www.australiachinarelations.org/content/australia-china-monthly-wrap-august-2020 Fergus Ryan, Audrey Fritz and Daria Impiombato, “TikTok and WeChat: Curating and controlling global information flows”, ASPI Policy Brief 37/2020, 8 September 2020: https://www.aspi.org.au/report/tiktok-wechat PM Scott Morrison and FM Marise Payne, Press Conference, Australian Parliament House, 27 August 2020: https://www.pm.gov.au/media/press-conference-australian-parliament-house-act-27aug20 Melissa Conley-Tyler, “Morrison’s foreign relations bill should not pass parliament. Here’s why”, The Conversation (AU), 7 September 2020: https://theconversation.com/morrisons-foreign-relations-bill-should-not-pass-parliament-heres-why-145615 Leader, “Abe Shinzo’s legacy is more impressive than his muted exit suggests”, The Economist, 3 September 2020: https://www.economist.com/leaders/2020/09/03/abe-shinzos-legacy-is-more-impressive-than-his-muted-exit-suggests Kevin Rawlinson and Heather Stewart, “No 10 urged to revoke trade role for 'misogynist' Tony Abbott”, The Guardian, 3 September 2020: https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/sep/03/government-pressured-to-backtrack-on-trade-role-for-tony-abbott “Adam Tooze on the geopolitics of the pandemic”, Sinica Podcast, 6 August 2020: https://supchina.com/podcast/adam-tooze-on-the-geopolitics-of-the-pandemic/ “Adam Tooze on our financial past and future”, Conversations with Tyler podcast, 6 May 2020: https://medium.com/conversations-with-tyler/adam-tooze-tyler-cowen-covid-19-economics-46a9b28a2f59 “Nuzzel” app: https://developers.nuzzel.com/

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As Melbourne enters a second lockdown, Sky News looks to somehow blame both capitalism and Black Lives Matters protestors. Then we look at the biggest news story from the NSW South Coast recently: The Eden-Monaro by-election! Follow the non-stop fun as Labor’s Kristy McBain and my old neighbour Fiona Kotvojs battle it out after fending off almost-challenges from both NSW’s transport-hating transport minister Andrew Constance and raw onion loving former PM Tony Abbott. Who will win?   Watch this episode on Youtube here: https://youtu.be/PSjrES9iDqU   Subscribe to our Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/newsfighters   News Fighters is a “wacky clips” based Australian news and politics comedy monologue podcast, created and hosted by ex-Tonightly/Chaser editor Dylan Behan. Listen to past episodes at: http://www.newsfighters.com Follow us on twitter at https://twitter.com/NewsfightersPod Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/NewsFighters Email: podcast@newsfighters.com Buy us a coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/newsfighters Buy a t-shirt: https://www.redbubble.com/people/dylabdesigns   Subscribe: Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2Uh1kmZ Spotify: https://sptfy.com/1fkQ Google Podcasts: http://bit.ly/2YRpZ08 Pocketcasts: http://bit.ly/2PHbVT2 Luminary:  https://luminary.link/NskgNg8HbW Stitcher: http://bit.ly/2UrV5wf YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/newsfighters

Peta Credlin, former chief of staff to PM Tony Abbott & host of Credlin on Sky News, joins Michael to discuss about the impact of the Morrison government’s $130 billion Coronavirus JobKeeper support package and what it would be like to be at the decision-making table as these big calls were being made.

Former Australian PM Tony Abbott 1-26-20 by John Catsimatidis

Amanda McKenzie is the CEO of the Climate Council, formerly known as the "Climate Commission" until former PM Tony Abbott came along in 2013 and what was a clear illustration of his climate colours, disbanded the commission.However, as is well known, good ideas do not surrender to such misguided, brute force and so after a brief hesitation the former commission re-appeared and renamed as the "Climate Council", but this time with broad public support, both morally and financially.

Political scientist Andy Marks says: ‘I’d suggest the momentum is with Labor and it hasn’t substantially shifted’. AAP Image/NIC ELLISWe are but a few weeks from a federal election, and the way the wind is blowing may depend on what state you’re in. Trust Me, I’m An Expert – along with Politics with Michelle Grattan – is bringing you state-focused podcast episodes as polling day approaches. To catch up on all the political drama unfolding in NSW, I spoke to political scientist (and self-described political tragic) Andy Marks, who predicted a Labor victory on May 18. “Labor will win this election. I think that’s virtually unquestionable. We’re just not seeing enough movement, even in the polls at this point, in the primary vote level, to say the Libs or the Coalition will hang on. I think this is going to be a Labor victory,” he said. Read more: The myth of 'the Queensland voter', Australia's trust deficit, and the path to Indigenous recognition Take this week’s Newspoll – which appeared to show the gap between the two major parties – with a grain of salt, he said. “Early in April, we saw exactly the same primary vote polling as we saw on the weekend. So, there hasn’t really been a discernible shift. You need to see a gap open up to the degree of around about five or six points, for the Coalition to even look like hanging on. It will stay tight, I think until polling day, but I’d suggest the momentum is with Labor and it hasn’t substantially shifted.” You can read the full transcript below, and hear The Conversation’s chief political correspondent Michelle Grattan talk with experts on the seats and issues to watch in WA and Victoria on the Politics with Michelle Grattan podcast. Production assistance by Tilly Gwinner. Read more: Politics with Michelle Grattan: Caroline Fisher on the spin machines of #AusVotes19 New to podcasts? Podcasts are often best enjoyed using a podcast app. All iPhones come with the Apple Podcasts app already installed, or you may want to listen and subscribe on another app such as Pocket Casts (click here to listen to Trust Me, I’m An Expert on Pocket Casts). You can also hear us on Stitcher, Spotify or any of the apps below. Just pick a service from one of those listed below and click on the icon to find Trust Me, I’m An Expert. Additional audio Kindergarten by Unkle Ho, from Elefant Traks SBS news report ABC news report Image AAP Image/NIC ELLIS Transcript: Andy Marks: I’m Andy Marks, I’m a political scientist and Assistant Vice-Chancellor at Western Sydney University. Sunanda Creagh: So Andy, let’s just catch up on where things are up to in New South Wales. What do you see as the key issues in voters’ minds in New South Wales as polling day approaches? Andy Marks: New South Wales is a strange case. It’s the usual suspects in terms of issues but not in the usual way. So we’re seeing the economy feature but we’re not hearing too much in the way of big ticket reform. We are hearing some of that from Labor of course and it’s not about fiscal performance. That’s not winning votes anymore. It’s about issues like cost of living, it’s about issues like wage stagnation. At the other end, you have issues around negative gearing reform and franking credits which are more at the investment end. So a very unusual take on the economy in terms of elections. The other issues that feature, of course, Labor have made it about health in terms of cancer care and the package they have there. Alternatively, the Libs have sought to bring it back towards security and issues around border protection, of course, that we saw with John Howard coming into the campaign on the weekend. The big sleeper is climate and it’s a sleeper in the sense that it’s coming to the fore from a number of angles. We’re seeing the issue of energy reform come up from industry who are madly seeking coherent energy policy from both sides of the parliament. We’re seeing the issue of the environment played out with issues like Adani, and water, of course, is the big one in terms of agriculture and rural electorates across the country. So there’s three different lenses being applied but they all come up in terms of how both sides address the issue of climate. Sunanda Creagh: You mentioned negative gearing there. Sydney, being the centre of the property boom in Australia, people here seem to be mortgaged up to their eyeballs. Lots of people negatively gearing properties. Do you think that issue might be a decider for some Sydney voters who do take advantage of that policy? Andy Marks: Negative gearing will factor on the minds of many voters, but not in the seats that are pressure cookers, so they’re not going to swing seats. I think, for example, certainly among the retirement community those issues, particularly around the franking credits matter, are of importance. The housing market in Sydney and across the eastern states more broadly is softening anyway ahead of this measure. It’s hard to tie a definitive link to that and the coming reforms, should Labor win government. It’s not an issue that’s going to turn swinging seats, but it will factor into some more rusted-on voters. Sunanda Creagh: And speaking of seats, what do you see as the key seats to watch? Andy Marks: Across New South Wales, I reckon there’s about five that are up for a change. At the outset, I have to say this election won’t be won or lost in New South Wales. It’s most likely Queensland where you have up to eight seats and margins of 4% or less that will decide it. In Victoria, there’ll be some significant movement as well. There’s about five that I’m looking at in New South Wales in terms of potential change. Wentworth, of course, is the big one with the contest between Kerryn Phelps and Dave Sharma. Lindsay, where Emma Husar has been moved aside through misconduct allegations, and you have a contest there and out at Western Sydney. Banks, the immigration minister faces a challenge there on a 1.4% margin. Then we, move into some coastal regional seats. Gilmore, where former ALP president Warren Mundine is running against Labor’s Fiona Phillips. Robertson on the Central Coast which is held by just 1.1% by the Libs, so they’re the ones where I think you can see some movement. Now the exciting stuff, in terms of drama, Warringah, of course, where former PM Tony Abbott is facing a challenge. In Reid, Turnbull-backer Craig Laundy turned that razor thin margin into almost a moderately safe seat for the Libs, and that’s up in play again as well. Sunanda Creagh: You mentioned Gilmore, that’s an area that takes in places like Shoalhaven, Jervis Bay, and some of those Batemans Bay type areas. Tell us, what are some of the issues that will be in voters minds in that area? Andy Marks: Look that’s a difficult one to pick. It’s really a four-way contest. You have a candidate in Warren Mundine who was essentially parachuted in by Morrison. The controversy there, of course, being his former role with Labor. You also have Katrina Hodgkinson, who was a former Nationals New South Wales minister and really reputable individual running against the Labor candidate Fiona Phillips. And Grant Schulz, the Lib turned independent who was passed over by Mundine. So, it’s interesting in the sense that the way the vote splits over the course of the election will be something to watch. It’s really one that’s very uncertain for all of the players. Sunanda Creagh: You mentioned Reid, which takes in Canada Bay, Burwood, Strathfield and is currently held by Craig Laundy for the Liberals. He’s been somewhat of a comparatively moderate voice. What do you think will be the issues there? Andy Marks: Reid is an interesting one. Laundy was an incredibly strong local member and he stood up against his own party’s attempted reforms of the anti-discrimination act. That area was lost to Labor in the recent New South Wales election, due to comments made by the Labor opposition leader around Asians taking jobs. Really retrograde comments on his part. So the momentum probably was with Labor, whether the voters have forgiven the foibles of the state party though will remain to be seen. But, that’s a big loss to the Libs in Craig Laundy moving on. Sunanda Creagh: I wanted to ask you about the seat of Farrer. That’s a regional seat, it takes in places like Hay, Murrumbidgee. Some of those areas around the Murray Darling, the Central Darling. With the seat of Farrer, what do you think of some of the issues there? Andy Marks: Look Farrer is an interesting one - you wouldn’t be talking about an electorate with a 20% plus margin as being one that’s up for grabs, but it is. We saw swings in the state election against the coalition of up to 26% in Murray, 19% in Barwon, and around 37% in Orange. So these rural electorates are very volatile and the issue of water management, of course, is the dominant thread across a seat like Farrer. But it’s a diverse seat. So you have areas like Albury, where unemployment is very high, educational attainment is quite low, economic activity has been suppressed through the drought. So the issues across that electorate are incredibly diverse and equally you don’t have in the New South Wales case we had the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party running against the Nationals quite successfully in three seats. They’re not a consolidated force at the federal level. Really, Farrer’s in play because of the Albury Mayor Kevin Mack, who is running the strongest challenge against Sussan Ley. She’s held onto that seat since 2001 and that’s Tim Fischer’s old seat. So, it should be a sure bet for them. This is suddenly a seat that’s in play. Sunanda Creagh: So you mentioned water being an issue in the seat of Farrer, and certainly that’s shaping up to be an issue across the board. If you believe what you read on social media, suddenly everybody’s talking about water buybacks and we’ve had the big story breaking around the water buybacks issue that involved Barnaby Joyce. I’m interested to know what you think on how that issue may influence voters in the lead up to polling day. Andy Marks: Look, there’s already a bit of disaffection towards the Nationals. I think their own internal troubles around leadership, and the other controversies they’ve had around Andrew Broad and other figures have given weight to the perception that their mind is not on the game. They’ve taken their eye off the ball in terms of the concerns of rural voters. So, that’s why we are seeing such a pronounced reaction against them in some seats. Whether that anger was spent, at the New South Wales election and the earlier Victorian poll remains to be seen. I can’t see a repeat of the swings we saw in the state election here in NSW. But certainly, some very generous margins will be really damaged, I think. Sunanda Creagh: So let’s talk about Warringah where Tony Abbott is facing that strong challenge from independent Zali Steggall, who’s been supported by GetUp! in her campaign. That’s also become a point of contention and a point of attack for her political foes. How do you see things playing out? Andy Marks: Look, there’s no doubt it’s going to be a contest. Zali Steggall will take it down to the wire. People need to be aware though that Tony Abbott loves a fight, shifting him on that margin of over 11% is going to be incredibly difficult. It’s not like Bennelong, for example, where we saw John Howard go as a result of demographic shifts and other factors. And it’s not like Wentworth where, of course, Turnbull stepped aside. A former PM, even one that’s controversial, still attracts some traction among voters. Zali Steggall has done well in opening the debate up into issues that challenge the principles that Tony Abbott’s put forward. So, forcing him to for example to talk more about climate, to talk more about issues where he’s clearly a little uncomfortable, has been a good tactic on her part. Obviously, the work of groups like GetUp! will influence things as well. I just can’t see it shifting. I think Tony Abbott is far too an experienced player to go down without a fight, and this is the guy that loves to be backed into a corner. I might be proven wrong, but I think he’ll just hang on in Warringah. Sunanda Creagh: And you mentioned former PMs, speaking of which, let’s talk about Wentworth. Do you think voters will punish the Coalition for turfing out Malcolm Turnbull? We saw Turnbull’s son, Alex Turnbull actively encouraging people not to vote for the Liberal candidate Dave Sharma. And as it turned out Kerryn Phelps did win that seat. So how will things play out there? Andy Marks: Wentworth is an interesting one. I like to call it the contest for the soul of the Liberal Party. Because really, it’s about whether the party will choose to push forward in a progressive way, or revert more to those hard right tendencies that we’ve seen in recent times. The thing to watch at Wentworth will be whether Phelps has managed to translate in a really short timeframe that protest vote into a base. And that would mean Phelps has to have really strong points of differentiation on issues like climate, immigration and border protection. Which she’s, to a very large extent, done on the latter issue. Whether that’s enough to shift people across for good remains to be seen. That’s one that’s too hard to call. Sunanda Creagh: So, Andy Marks what’s your prediction? Who do you think is going to win this federal election? Andy Marks: Look, Labor will win this election. I think that’s virtually unquestionable. We’re just not seeing enough movement, even in the polls at this point in the primary vote level to see the Libs or the Coalition hang on. I think this is going to be a Labor victory. Sunanda Creagh: Even with Newspoll saying it’s tightening as voting day draws closer? Andy Marks: You have to look again at that primary vote figure. Early in April, we saw exactly the same primary vote polling as we saw on the weekend. So, there hasn’t really been a discernible shift. You need to see a gap open up to the degree of around about five or six points, for the Coalition to even look like hanging on. It will stay tight, I think until polling day, but I’d suggest the momentum is with Labor and it hasn’t substantially shifted. So with the Coalition on 38% and Labor on 37%, I don’t see it shifting sufficiently for there to be a change in the momentum. Sunanda Creagh: Let’s talk about the upper house. What do you see as the issues to watch there? Andy Marks: Look, that’s an interesting one from the New South Wales point of view. Jim Molan, arguably their highest profile senator, finds himself in an unwinnable spot on their ticket. This is largely due to reforms that he instigated, internal party reform. So it’s a big ask therefore for somebody to get up. You know, you’re going to require a quota in excess of 14% of the vote to get a spot. Brian Burston’s the other interesting one. He’s a former One Nation representative, now with Clive Palmer’s outfit, and he’s their parliamentary leader in the house. It’s a very interesting contest there. There’s Doug Cameron, a long-standing senator for Labor, retiring, and Tony Sheldon, the former Transport Workers Union secretary coming in on his spot. Sunanda Creagh: And just lastly, what do you want to say about preferences? Do you think preferences will make a big difference in this election? Andy Marks: Look, there’s no doubt that the question around where the United Australia Party’s preferences flow has been a dominant issue in Queensland. I don’t see it being of sufficient weight to shift the momentum, which again in those marginal electorates, up to eight of them, is all with Labor at the moment. So, it will make things a little trickier to call earlier. But, I still see things going Labor’s way in those key seats. Sunanda Creagh: Any final comments? Andy Marks: Look, this is a contest where New South Wales will provide plenty of action. But it’s not going to be the place where it’s won or lost. But it’s certainly going to be the place of high drama. Sunanda Creagh: Andy Marks, thank you so much for your time. Andy Marks: Thank you.

CARBON RATIONS OR CARBON ALLOWANCES?Mon 18th Dec 2017How would carbon rationing work?Would it be forever?Would it hurt?BZE’s Vivien Langford talks to author Stan Cox in Salina Kansas about his book “Anyway you slice it”.Some people  are aware of the Climate Emergency, but others behave as if unaware. Australia’s per capita aviation emissions for example  are 18 metric tonnes compares to 5 for a French Citizen.What if this generation put a cap on fossil fuelled travel and energy use? Would it feel better if it was an app on your phone and was called a Carbon Allowance?We say that the bulk of existing coal oil and gas must stay underground, so shouldn’t we treat these as precious commodities, to be rationed while we make the transition? A Government committee in the UK researched this and said it could become an essential measure but that it was” an idea before its time”. We look into why it is such a taboo subject.“How the world breaks” is a new book by Stan Cox and his son Paul. We talk to Paul Cox in Copenhagen about the anthropology of disaster response. He praises countries like Bangladesh as the Netherlands without a budget”. He wants us to stop talking bout “natural;” disasters as if there was nothing we could do to mitigate them. When Greens MP Adam Bandt called PM Tony Abbott a “climate criminal ” during a Blue Mountains bush fire, he was condemned as insensitive. But when is there a “right time to connect the  dots”? Paul talks about our bushfires and the floods and landslides that are testing resilience around the world. He says economists fear any restraint on growth more than they fear the worst that climate change can bring us.How to change the narrative? Send us your ideas to : radioteam@bze.org.auInterviewsStan Cox – author of “Anyway you slice it ” and ” How the world breaks”Paul Cox- Anthropologist and author “How the world breaks”Music by David Rovics “East Tenessee”, Bangladeshi singer Mak Bul Chowdhury, and “Spirit of Place” sung by Yirmal Marika and Shane Howard.Links:

Frances Abbott, daughter of ex-PM Tony Abbott, confirmed her engagement to Australian Olympic rower Sam Loch but the pair have only been dating two weeks. So, how quick is too quick for a proposal? And do you paint your fingernails the same as your toenails? It’s the dilemma that Holly has some (surprisingly) hard and fast rules about. Plus, why does everyone hate Lena Dunham? The Girls creator defended her friend Murray Miller when he was accused of sexual assault this week. So did she cast doubt over the legitimacy of women’s stories everywhere, or did she do the right thing? Show Notes Your host is Holly Wainwright with Rachel Corbett and Jessie Stephens Mia Freedman is away. Your producer and editor is Elissa Ratliff The Director of Podcasts is Rachel Corbett Leave us a message on the Podcast phone: 02 8999 9386 or join the conversation on the Facebook page: Mamamia Out Loud And if you can spare a second, leave a review and rating in iTunes; it helps us massively. Massively.

Sharri Markson and Cate McGregor discuss the new Australian citizenship test, which includes questions about wife beating, as well as whether Donald Trump is influencing PM Malcolm Turnbull. And Cate tries her hand at imitating ex-PM Tony Abbott - who may or may not be still sniffing around for the top job. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Friend and frequent collaborator Lucas put his hand up to be our first recommendation recipient. To hear songs from these albums, and all the other music we discuss, check out this episode's playlist on Spotify here. That includes the Smith Street Band song Britt references, which is actually called "Wipe That Shit-Eating Grin Off Your Punchable Face", a legacy that we here at HRFY consider perfect for former PM Tony Abbott. If you'd like some personalised recommendations, email us (hrfypod@gmail.com) or tweet us (@hrfypodcast) with three songs you're digging right now, and a bit on why each track speaks to you.