Sovereign state in East Asia
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SHOW SCHEDULE 3-17-26 ST PATRICK'S DAY1950 STORK CLUB, HITCHCOCK AND LAMOUR1. Guest Elizabeth Peak analyzes how $105 oil impacts global inflation and the resilient U.S. economy. Despite war, AI investment persists. John Bachelor concludes by describing a "creepy," personalized interaction with AI assistant Claude. (1)2. Guest Elizabeth Peak highlights strong public support for Trump's Iranian strikes despite Democratic opposition. She criticizes the DHS shutdown for causing travel chaos and notes that midterm elections will focus on affordability and conflict. (2)3. Guest David Shed details China's global campaign of economic espionage and secret-stealing. Using Brazilian food delivery as a case study, he explains how the PRC leverages data and predatory acquisitions to dominate international markets. (3)4. Guest David Shed recommends that President Trump confront Xi Jinping over economic espionage and cyberattacks during their summit. He emphasizes strengthening ties with India and the Quad to counter China's slowing global economic influence. (4)5. Guest Mary Kissel discusses potential government transitions in Cuba following severe U.S. economic pressure and power grid failures. She notes a broader rightward political shift in South America, including Argentina and ready Venezuelan opposition. (5)6. Guest Mary Kissel evaluates the ongoing conflicts in Tehran and Beirut, noting the "once-in-a-lifetime opportunity" to weaken Iranian proxies. Priorities include destroying nuclear capacity, opening the Strait of Hormuz, and managing rising fuel costs. (6)7. Guest Jonathan Schanzer discusses the killing of Iranian leader Ali Larijani and the degradation of Iran's missile production. He analyzes the closed Strait of Hormuz and the potential for the Iranian people to revolt. (7)8. Guest Jonathan Schanzer details the escalating conflict between Israel and Hezbollah following ceasefire violations. Israel aims to destroy Hezbollah's arsenal while navigating regional dynamics, including opposition from Turkey and quiet support from Gulf nations. (8)Here are the 35-word summaries for the guests featured in segments 9 through 16: (9)SEG 9: Joseph Sternberg Joseph Sternberg, a Wall Street Journal editorial board member, analyzes the stalling of European right-wing populism. He observes voters in the UK, Germany, and Hungary rejecting insurgent parties in favor of moderate, centrist leadership movements. (10)SEG 10: Joseph Sternberg Joseph Sternberg examines UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer's record unpopularity. He attributes this to economic pessimism, perceived political haplessness, and the Labour Party's internal struggle to define its ideological direction between the center and left. (11)SEG 11: Conrad Black Biographer Conrad Black details Canada's immense chromium deposits in the "Ring of Fire." He highlights its strategic value for stainless steel production and US national security, potentially ending reliance on several unreliable foreign minerals sources. (12)SEG 12: Charles Burton Charles Burton, Sinopsis expert, discusses the complex US-China trade dynamic. He examines Xi Jinping's ritualistic goals, potential concessions regarding Taiwan, and Canada's efforts to balance its economic interests and natural resources amidst these ongoing tensions. (13)SEG 13: Grant Newsham evaluates Japan's new hawkish Prime Minister, Takaichi Sai. He argues Japan must accept military risks in the Strait of Hormuz to solidify future American support against the growing threats from mainland China now. (14)SEG 14: :Grant Newsham discusses South Korea's reluctance to assist in the Strait of Hormuz. He characterizes the current administration as ideologically pro-China and skeptical of US alliances, potentially undermining regional security cooperation against common global threats. (15)SEG 15: Craig Unger Journalist Craig Unger reviews the House Oversight Committee's investigation into Donald Trump's ties to Jeffrey Epstein. He examines subpoenas regarding missing documents and investigates long-standing allegations of sexual misconduct and many "catch and kill" patterns. (16)SEG 16: Craig Unger Craig Unger explores the legal and political consequences of the Epstein investigation. He notes growing Republican dissent and argues that while presidential immunity complicates immediate prosecution, these allegations could significantly impact the upcoming national elections. (17)
3. Guest David Shed details China's global campaign of economic espionage and secret-stealing. Using Brazilian food delivery as a case study, he explains how the PRC leverages data and predatory acquisitions to dominate international markets. (3)1650
The BRP boys reflect on Bath's PRC semi final defeat to Tigers before looking ahead to the run in of fixtures in the Prem and Champions Cup. Gabriel and Tom also discusses the latest incomings and outgoings. bathrugbyplug@gmail.com #ThickandThin
After a successful hunt to Africa, New Zealand, or Europe, is it hard to bring your animals home? It doesn't have to be. In this episode Wyatt Fetner of Safari Specialty Importers talks through the process of bringing horns, antlers, skulls, and hides back to the states. Wyatt is a fellow gun nut, and in addition to discussing how to import animal parts, he tells the fascinating story of an extraordinary vintage double-barreled dangerous-game rifle he found in England. ENJOY! https://safarispecialtyimporters.com FRIENDS, PLEASE SUPPORT THE PODCAST! Join the Backcountry Hunting Podcast tribe and get access to all our bonus material on www.patreon.com/backcountry Recent brief Patreon-only audio topics include "How to Set Up A 7mm PRC for Sucess" and "Best Cartridge for Moose & Woodland Bison." Check 'em out! Email us questions here: backcountryhuntingpodcast@gmail.com VISIT OUR SPONSORS HERE: www.swiftbullets.com www.timneytriggers.com www.browning.com www.leupold.com www.siembidacustomknives.com www.onxmaps.com www.silencercentral.com https://www.portersfirearms.com/ https://javelinbipod.com
Trent and Matt discuss not listening to their own podcasts, upcoming travel for their last show of the year, and the approach of spring bear season in Oregon. They compare bear hunting to duck hunting as a social way to get back outdoors and talk about seeing more bears than in past years, concerns about overpopulation, and studies on bear predation on elk calves and deer fawns. They criticize wildlife policy being driven by public votes and advocacy groups, referencing Oregon's 1994 Measure 18 banning hunting bears and cougars with dogs and mentioning IP 28. The conversation shifts to discipline in dog training and parenting, arguing for consistent consequences and leadership. They share bear-encounter stories, cover spring bear tactics (coast vs Cascades timing, south-facing slopes, cameras, calling with fawn distress), and emphasize bear shot placement over caliber, discussing PRC cartridges. Did you know you can get a discount on the onX Hunt app? http://bit.ly/BRO_onXHuntShop Use the promo code: BRO and you'll get a 20% discount!
In this conversation, host Julie DeNofa sits down with Kathy Posey, Paige Butler, and Kim Robbins, three inspiring women serving on the Montgomery County Overdose Prevention Endeavor Board (M-COPE) Kathy and Kim, Co-Founders of M-COPE, share their personal stories of losing a child to addiction and how, after four moms met through the GRASP grief group ( Grief Recovery After Substance Passing) after losing their children to accidental overdose, they realized the need for spreading awareness around the disease of addiction. Paige also shares her journey through a different perspective of loving a child who is now in recovery from substance use disorder. With their stories, Kathy, Paige, and Kim are now turning their pain into purpose in helping other families heal. The mission at M-COPE is to collaborate with individuals, communities, schools, and organizations to raise awareness about substance use disorder and the alarming rise in overdose and drug-related deaths in Montgomery County and surrounding areas. Their efforts are grounded in four key pillars: education, awareness, prevention, and remembrance. Through this approach, they shine a light on the growing drug crisis, work to end the stigma surrounding substance use, and advocate for those currently in need of support as well as for those who can no longer speak for themselves. Topics Discussed: Advice for parents and families learning to navigate grief after overdose loss The importance of remembering loved ones beyond their addiction Recognizing that everyone grieves differently and giving others more grace Understanding emotional triggers and grief waves after loss Why volunteer-driven organizations play a critical role in community recovery How overdose awareness and prevention efforts are helping communities — CHAPTERS: 00:00 Purpose From Pain - Introduction to MCOPE 03:33 Meet Kathy Posey, Kim Robbins, and Paige Bulter 08:04 What M-Cope is and the Four Pillars: Awareness, Prevention, Education, and Rememberance 11:06 Volunteering, Community Partners, and Supporting Newly Bereaved 15:39 Grief Advice For Families: Connection, Caregiving, Healing, and Support 23:10 Recognizing Grief Waves and Triggers and Finding Joy Again 28:47 Honoring Loved Ones Who Lost Their Lives to Addiction 30:39 The Hope of Recovery 33:52 M-COPE Outreach through Blessing Bags, Narcan Outreach, Scholarships And Community Impact 39:11 Recovery Community Resources — Connect with M-Cope online: Website: https://mcope.org/ Scholarship: https://mcope.org/scholarship/ Volunteer Opportunities: https://mcope.org/support/#volunteer Facebook Group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/mocope/?ref=share&mibextid=wwXIfr&rdid=SDyLMs2NFChqDsne&share_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fshare%2Fg%2F1DCtwm4WSp%2F%3Fmibextid%3DwwXIfr — Connect with PRC on Social: IG: https://www.instagram.com/positiverecoverycenters FB: https://www.facebook.com/PositiveRecoveryCenters TT: https://www.tiktok.com/@positiverecoverycenter LI: https://www.linkedin.com/company/positiverecoverycenters YT: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC4JcDF1gjlYch4V4iBbCgZg Want even more expert insights and support on the recovery journey? Subscribe to our newsletter for inspiration, mental health tips, and community updates—straight to your inbox!
The first quarter of 2026 still has three weeks to go, but the assumptions and friend group of the People's Republic of China has changed dramatically.Recent changes in the assumptions concerning Venezuela, Iran, Japan, and other nations will impact the national security concerns of the West's greatest challenger on the world stage.Returning to the Midrats Podcast today from 5-6 PM Eastern to discuss will be Dean Cheng.Dean is a Non-resident Senior Fellow, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies and Non-resident Fellow, George Washington University Space Policy Institute.He recently retired after 14 years with the Heritage Foundation, where he was a senior research fellow on Chinese political and security affairs, and wrote on various aspects of Chinese foreign and defense policy.Prior to joining the Heritage Foundation, he was a senior analyst with the China Studies Division (previously, Project Asia) at CNA from 2001-2009. Before joining CNA, he was a senior analyst with Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) from 1996-2001. From 1993-1995, he was an analyst with the US Congress' Office of Technology Assessment in the International Security and Space Division, where he studied the Chinese defense industrial complex.He is the author of the book Cyber Dragon: Inside China's Information Warfare and Cyber Operations (NY: Praeger Publishing, 2016), as well as a number of papers and book chapters examining various aspects of Chinese security affairs.Show LinksDean Cheng's article on Chinese military purgesAn Army at Dawn, by Rick AtkinsonChina's HQ‑9B Defense System Under ScrutinySummaryIn this episode, Dean Cheng discusses China's strategic posture, military reforms, cyber capabilities, and the implications of recent global events on China's long-term plans. We explore China's economic outlook, military modernization, regional influence, and the impact of purges within the PLA.Chapters00:00: Introduction and Context of Global Tensions03:01: China's Strategic Position and Five-Year Plan07:07: Defense Spending and Global Security Concerns10:05: China's Vulnerabilities and Energy Security11:44: Military Purges and Leadership Control18:22: Military Readiness and Combat Experience23:27: Testing Chinese Military Equipment in Conflicts28:45: Global Arms Market and Strategic Alliances30:24: Military Culture and Learning from Underperformance32:57: Training and Realistic Combat Experience35:40: Cyber Warfare and Electronic Warfare Concerns38:05: Regional Conflicts and China's Diplomatic Stance40:46: China's Image and Political Warfare44:48: Shifts in Global Alliances and Economic Influence47:34: The Importance of Economic Engagement50:25: China's Diplomatic Approach to Neighbors54:16: Cyber Threats and Infrastructure Vulnerabilities
What makes a terrific mountain rifle? In this episode, we interview hunting legend Ron Spomer about his favorite wild sheep hunting rifles (which are excellent for elk and alpine mule deer and black bear as well). Ron takes us through the rifle characteristics and features he considers crucial to a capable backcountry hunting rifle. Naturally, his opinions are liberally laced with true tale tales of wild hunting in wild places. This one was a ton of fun, folks! ENJOY! FRIENDS, PLEASE SUPPORT THE PODCAST! Join the Backcountry Hunting Podcast tribe and get access to all our bonus material on www.patreon.com/backcountry Recent brief Patreon-only audio topics include "How to Set Up A 7mm PRC for Sucess" and "Best Cartridge for Moose & Woodland Bison." Check 'em out! Email us questions here: backcountryhuntingpodcast@gmail.com VISIT OUR SPONSORS HERE: www.swiftbullets.com www.timneytriggers.com www.browning.com www.leupold.com www.siembidacustomknives.com www.onxmaps.com www.silencercentral.com https://www.portersfirearms.com/ https://javelinbipod.com
On today's show Andrew and Bill begin with the war in Iran and its implications for the PRC. Topics include: Upsides and downsides for China, why US strategy was likely related to Iran and not the PRC, questions about the Strait of Hormuz, the Iran partnership and PRC global leadership, implications for Taiwan, why a Beijing visit from Donald Trump remains likely, and yet another US war in the Middle East… From there: What to watch for at the Two Sessions this week, an exodus at Alibaba, waiting for a new DeepSeek model, and distillation alarm at American AI labs. At the end: Another spy scandal engulfs Labour in the UK, and fun facts about Spider-Man: No Way Home and its failure to clear $2 billion worldwide.
The Hoover Institution's Project on Taiwan in the Indo-Pacific Region held a public session on Resilient Realists: How Taiwan Navigates Its Future in a Turbulent World on March 2, 2026 from 1:00-2:30 PM PT. Since the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical competition between the United States and the People's Republic of China (PRC) has rapidly intensified, and the global order has faced growing strains. Through it all, Taiwan has remained remarkably resilient. In the face of relentless diplomatic, economic, and military pressure from Beijing, Taiwan's leaders have leveraged the island's critical role in global technology supply chains, its reputation as a robust liberal democracy, and its strategic position in the Indo-Pacific to deepen engagement with key world powers. As many Americans question core assumptions of the post-Cold War global order, the PRC's military power continues to grow, and the world stands on the cusp of a technological revolution in artificial intelligence, can Taiwan continue to navigate so deftly through turbulent geopolitical waters? To address these topics, the Project on Taiwan in the Indo-Pacific Region at the Hoover Institution held a fireside chat featuring Dr. Hung-mao Tien, President of the Institute for National Policy Research (INPR) in Taipei and a former Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of China (Taiwan). Dr. Tien joined in conversation by Adm. (Ret.) James O. Ellis, the Annenberg Distinguished Visiting Fellow, and Dr. Larry Diamond, the William L. Clayton Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution. ABOUT THE SPEAKERS Dr. Hung-mao Tien is the President and Chairman of the Institute for National Policy Research in Taipei, and board member of several foundations and business corporations in Taiwan. He also serves as a Senior Advisor to the President of the Republic of China (Taiwan). From 2000-2002, he was the Minister of Foreign Affairs. He also served as the chairman of the Straits Exchange Foundation, the semi-official body in Taiwan responsible for direct exchanges and dialogue with the People's Republic of China, Representative (ambassador) to the United Kingdom, and presidential advisor to former President Lee Teng-hui. He has also served in an advisory capacity to Harvard University's Asia Center, The Asia Society in New York, and the Brookings Institution in Washington, D.C. Dr. Tien has taught in universities in both the US and Taiwan as professor of political science. His numerous publications in English (author, editor and co-editor) include: Government and Politics in Kuomintang China 1927-37 (Stanford University Press); The Great Transition: Social and Political Change in the Republic of China (Stanford: Hoover Institution Press); and Democratization in Taiwan, Implications for China (St. Anthony's Series, Oxford University), Consolidating the Third Wave Democracies, Themes and Perspectives (Baltimore and London: The Johns Hopkins University Press), China Under Jiang Zemin (Rienner), and The Security Environment in the Asia-Pacific (M.E. Sharpe). He received his Ph.D. in Political Science from the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Larry Diamond is the William L. Clayton Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, the Mosbacher Senior Fellow in Global Democracy at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI), and a Bass University Fellow in Undergraduate Education at Stanford University. He is also professor by courtesy of political science and sociology at Stanford, where he lectures and teaches courses on democracy (including an online course on EdX). At Hoover, he co-leads the Project on Taiwan in the Indo-Pacific Region and participates in the Program on the US, China, and the World. At FSI, he is among the core faculty of the Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law, which he directed for six and a half years. He leads FSI's Israel Studies Program and is a member of the Program on Arab Reform and Development. He also co-leads the Global Digital Policy Incubator, based at FSI's Cyber Policy Center. He served for thirty-two years as founding coeditor of the Journal of Democracy. Diamond's research focuses on global trends affecting freedom and democracy and on US and international policies to defend and advance democracy. His book Ill Winds: Saving Democracy from Russian Rage, Chinese Ambition, and American Complacency (2019; paperback ed. 2020) analyzes the challenges confronting liberal democracy in the United States and around the world and offers an agenda for strengthening and defending democracy at home and abroad. His other books include In Search of Democracy (2016), The Spirit of Democracy (2008), Developing Democracy: Toward Consolidation (1999), Promoting Democracy in the 1990s (1995), and Class, Ethnicity, and Democracy in Nigeria (1989). He has edited or coedited more than fifty books, including China's Influence and American Interests (2019, with Orville Schell), Silicon Triangle: The United States, Taiwan, China, and Global Semiconductor Security (2023, with James O. Ellis Jr. and Orville Schell), and The Troubling State of India's Democracy (2024, with Šumit Ganguly and Dinsha Mistree). Admiral James O. Ellis Jr. is Annenberg Distinguished Visiting Fellow at the Hoover Institution, where he oversees both the Global Policy and Strategy Initiative and the George P. Shultz Energy Policy Working Group. He retired from a 39-year career with the US Navy in 2004. He has also served in the private and nonprofit sectors in areas of energy and nuclear security. A 1969 graduate of the US Naval Academy, Ellis was designated a naval aviator in 1971. His service as a navy fighter pilot included tours with two carrier-based fighter squadrons and assignment as commanding officer of an F/A-18 strike fighter squadron. In 1991, he assumed command of the USS Abraham Lincoln, a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier. After selection to rear admiral, in 1996, he served as a carrier battle group commander, leading contingency response operations in the Taiwan Strait. His shore assignments included numerous senior military staff tours. Senior command positions included commander in chief, US Naval Forces, Europe, and commander in chief, Allied Forces, Southern Europe, during a time of historic NATO expansion. He led US and NATO forces in combat and humanitarian operations during the 1999 Kosovo crisis. Ellis's final assignment in the navy was as commander of the US Strategic Command during a time of challenge and change. In this role, he was responsible for the global command and control of US strategic and space forces, reporting directly to the secretary of defense.
In this week's episode of China Insider, Miles Yu analyzes the wider impact of Operation Epic Fury in the context of US-China relations, and how the joint operation changes China's calculated approach to extending their influence in the Middle East. Second, Miles covers the Trump Administration's efforts to counter PRC influence via multilateral forums and hemispheric diplomacy in the upcoming Shields of the Americas summit. Finally, Miles weighs in on the “regime change” debate, and the role of such operations within the US national security strategy and key strategic deterrence initiatives as well. China Insider is a weekly podcast project from Hudson Institute's China Center, hosted by China Center Director and Senior Fellow, Dr. Miles Yu, who provides weekly news that mainstream American outlets often miss, as well as in-depth commentary and analysis on the China challenge and the free world's future.
The United States is once again considering military strikes to curb Iran's nuclear activities and missile program. China has emerged as a particularly important partner of Iran, serving as the country's largest trade partner and one of its few sources of consistent diplomatic backing. For Beijing, the stakes in the relationship extend beyond energy security, but also include great power competition with the US and China's broader strategic ambitions in the Middle East. There are reports that Iran is close to finalizing a deal to purchase supersonic anti-ship cruise missiles from China. To unpack China-Iran relations and these recent dynamics, we are joined today by Jonathan Fulton. Jonathan is a nonresident senior fellow with the Middle East Programs at the Atlantic Council and an associate professor of political science at Zayed University in Abu Dhabi. His research focuses on China-GCC relations, China's Belt and Road Initiative, and Chinese foreign policy. This episode was recorded on February 26, 2026. Timestamps: [00:00] Introduction [01:33] China's Interests in Iran and Possible Reactions [04:55] Challenges to Diversifying Oil Imports [09:40] Using Oil Purchases as Leverage with the US [10:59] Frictions in the China-Iran Relationship [12:41] Iran in China's Middle East Strategy [16:00] Iran–China 25-year Cooperation Program [21:56] China-Russia Coordination in Iran Strategy [25:54] Tehran's Points of Leverage with Beijing and Moscow [29:14] Potential Disruptors to the China-Iran Relationship
Much of your technology - your phone, your kid’s ipad, your electric car… wouldn’t function without computer chips. They’re basically tiny pieces of silicon semiconductor wafers that drive our tech-focused economy. And their supply chain is highly centralized. Most chips come from just one country, Taiwan. And Taiwan is in a very delicate geopolitical position. China has claimed sovereignty over the island democracy since the founding of the PRC, in 1949. If China ever decided to exert its claims using military force – that could put chip production in danger. Potentially leading to the largest economic downfall since the Great Depression. According to documents obtained by the New York Times, it’s an issue tech companies here in the US have known about for years, and have largely tried to ignore. Guest: Tripp Mickle, Silicon Valley reporter for the New York Times Related stories: The Looming Taiwan Chip Disaster That Silicon Valley Has Long Ignored - NYT Nvidia’s Quarterly Profit Hits $43 Billion on Strong A.I. Chip Sales - NYT Thank you to the supporters of KUOW, you help make this show possible! If you want to help out, go to kuow.org/donate/soundsidenotes Soundside is a production of KUOW in Seattle, a proud member of the NPR Network.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bath boss Johann van Graan joins the BRP for a mid season check in. The boys talk PRC, squad management and some incomings and outgoings from Farleigh. bathrugbyplug@gmail.com for t-shirts #ThickandThin
Join Alex, James and Jack as they finally get to debrief a Sale win over Bristol in the PRC, chat about the Sarries Salary Cap SCANDAL and look ahead to Sale involvement in the final rounds of the Six Nations.Support the showFor all our other latest thoughts, follow @SharkTankRugby on X/Twitter, or we're at u/SharkTankPod on Reddit. If you'd like to get in touch please drop us an email at sharktankpodcast@outlook.com
In this episode of GREAT POWER PODCAST, host Ilan Berman speaks with Randy Schriver and Mike Kuiken, the Chair and Vice-Chair of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, about the USCC's latest report to Congress, and what they see as the future domains of our unfolding competition with the PRC. MATERIALS REFERENCED:-- The Commission's 2025 Annual Report to Congress (available here: https://www.uscc.gov/annual-report/2025-annual-report-congress)BIOGRAPHIES:Randall Schriver is the Chairman of the Board of the Institute for Indo-Pacific Security (IIPS) and a partner at Pacific Solutions LLC. He is also a lecturer for Stanford University's “Stanford-in-Washington” program, is on the Board of Advisors to the Sasakawa Peace Foundation USA, and is on the Board of Directors of the US-Taiwan Business Council. He served for two years (2018-2019) as the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Indo-Pacific Security Affairs, where he led a team of nearly one hundred professionals and was the principal advisor to the Secretary of Defense on matters related to the Indo-Pacific region.Michael Kuiken serves as Vice Chair of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission following nearly 23 years in the U.S. Senate and is a Distinguished Visiting Fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution. In the private sector, Mike is the Managing Member of Silver Valley Strategies, where he advises founders, CEOs, and investors on geopolitical and government strategies.
The BRP boys return to get you caught up with all the latest from Bath Rugby including a PRC update, a BBW tinted 6N review and some news of 4 re-signings. bathrugbyplug@gmail.com for t-shirts #ThickandThin
Today's episode is the third in a series of three that examine the potential consequences for China if a military operation against Taiwan were to fail. In each of these episodes, we're speaking with authors of a recently published German Marshall Fund study of the possible costs that China would incur across four different, but interrelated areas: the Chinese economy, the military, Chinese social stability, and international costs. The report is titled, “If China Attacks Taiwan” and it is posted on GMFUS.org. Our podcast today focuses on the potential costs for the Chinese economy.To recap, the study considered two scenarios that could take place in the next five years. In the first scenario, a minor skirmish escalates into a multi-week maritime blockade of Taiwan by China. Although several dozen members of the Chinese and Taiwanese military are killed, U.S. intervention eventually forces China to de-escalate. In the second scenario, a conflict escalates into a full-fledged invasion, with Chinese strikes on not only Taiwan but also U.S. forces in Japan and Guam. After several months of heavy fighting, Chinese forces are degraded and eventually withdraw after suffering many tens of thousands of casualties.Our guests today are Charlie Vest and Logan Wright, who co-authored the chapter on the implications for the Chinese economy of a failed operation against Taiwan. Logan is a partner at Rhodium Group and leads the firm's work on China's economy and its global impact. Charlie is an associate director at Rhodium Group, where he manages corporate research and advisory work on China.Timestamps:[00:00] Introduction[02:34] Key Takeaways: China's Ambitions vs. Economic Realities [05:41] The Escalation Dilemma in China's Decisionmaking[09:56] Immediate Disruptions to Trade and FDI[13:52] Gray-Zone Military Engagement and Political Pressures[16:48] Could Beijing Underestimate the Costs of US Intervention? [24:12] Policy Tools and Limitations for Economic Stabilization and Recovery[27:19] Long-Term Economic Effects[29:24] Impact of Social Instability
Roam Shoot Ep1 The Launch, What PRC Caliber is Right for me? Welcome to Roam Shoot. Powered by Experience Wild. Host: Eric(Skeeter) Beckman. Guest/Cohost: Nate Rozeveld ExperienceWild10 at Brenton USA for 10% off entire order on the site Join us for an engaging deep dive into the evolution of hunting technology, firearm calibers, and personal experiences from seasoned outdoorsmen. Whether you're a hunter, shooter, or just curious about the latest gear, this episode provides valuable insights into how advancements are changing the game. Key Topics Covered: Origin stories and how passion for hunting develops over time The impact of thermal imaging and optics on coyote hunting Differences between trapping and night shooting for coyotes The evolution of firearm calibers: PRC, ARC, and traditional rounds Building and customizing AR platforms for hunting The economics and considerations of high-end optics and gear Legal considerations around suppressors, firearm parts, and traveling with gear The future of rifle technology, including new calibers like the 338 ARC Techniques for shooting and improving accuracy with night vision/scopes Tips for passing down firearm knowledge to the next generation Brenton USA Roam Syndicate Vitalize Seed Ina Store Deer Hunter Synthetics Wildlife Legends Taxidermy Find It Fred Note: This episode is packed with practical tips, personal stories, and expert insights — perfect for hunters wanting to stay ahead with gear and technique! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On today's show Andrew and Bill begin with the reports that the PRC is threatening to scuttle Trump's visit to Beijing over a second arms package from the U.S. to Taiwan, including thoughts on next moves from the U.S., how this arms shipment happened, and the PLA's dangerous aerial maneuvers around Taiwan. From there: Reactions to the news that Jimmy Lai has been sentenced to 20 years in Hong Kong prison, a State Council white paper on “One Country, Two Systems,” and Sanae Takaichi's party secures a supermajority in Japan three months after the PRC's pressure campaign over her Taiwan comments. At the end: The propaganda value of AI models, and a word about hockey and the Winter Olympics.
Back in April 2021 we covered news about a record breaking 25 Chinese air force aircraft including fighters and nuclear-capable bombers that entered Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ). At the time 25 seemed like an alarming number. It was the largest incursion by Chinese military planes into Taiwan's ADIZ to date. Related Links: https://talkingtaiwan.com/chinas-alarming-gray-zone-tactics-around-taiwan-and-its-neighboring-nations-in-asia-ep-340/ To be clear these sorts of activities had been going on long before this and long before September of 2020 which about the time that Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense started to publicly report China's incursions. The China's People's Liberation Army has shown no signs of letting up. The PLA's gray zone tactics, have also included the use of drones and balloons. Incursions by warplanes and naval ships into the airspace and waters surrounding Taiwan are now a daily occurrence.. And they have completely shattered the record 25 aircraft in Taiwan's ADIZ many times over. Major military exercises have included the Joint Sword-2024A. Three days after Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te's inauguration in May 20 of 2024, China's PLA conducted two days of military exercises in the air and sea space around Taiwan. More recently, at the end of 2025 on December 29 and 30, People's Republic of China (PRC) military forces carried out a large-scale exercise in the air and ocean areas around Taiwan called "Justice Mission-2025." This two days of PLA military exercises involved at least 200 warplanes. Unfortunately these types of gray zone tactics by China have become commonplace and while they have been more widely reported on, even more troubling are the other gray zone tactics that the PRC has been levying on Taiwan, which include the presence of Chinese owned and operated oil rigs in Taiwan's exclusive economic zone (EEZ) and on January 16th the New York Times reported that China quietly mobilized thousands of fishing boats twice already, most recently in the first few weeks of this new year. Quoting from the New York Times, "By January 11, they had assembled into a rectangle stretching more than 200 miles. Maritime and military experts said the maneuvers suggested that China was strengthening its maritime militia, which is made up of civilian fishing boats trained to join in military operations." This was not the first time, a month earlier on December 25th the Times reported that "about 2,000 Chinese fishing boats assembled in two long, parallel formations on Christmas Day in the East China Sea. Each stretched 290 miles long, about the distance from New York City to Buffalo, forming a reverse L shape" According to the New York Times, "The unusual formations were spotted by Jason Wang, the chief operating officer of ingeniSPACE, a company that analyzes data, and were independently confirmed by The Times using ship location data provided by Starboard Maritime Intelligence." In this episode of Talking Taiwan we will be speaking to Marvin Bernado, Maritime Domain Awareness Analyst at ingeniSPACE and Elva Wu, National Security Researcher / Imagery Analyst at ingeniSPACE. About ingeniSPACE: ingeniSPACE is a geospatial intelligence company integrating remote sensing data across multiple phenomenologies. We are an insight-as-a-service platform delivering all weather day-night multi-temporal understanding around the world. Our intelligence extends the "executive decision making time" that public sector and commercial leaders need to make well-informed decisions. Related Links: https://talkingtaiwan.com/chinas-alarming-gray-zone-tactics-around-taiwan-and-its-neighboring-nations-in-asia-ep-340/
Guest: Grant Newsham. Newsham discusses the PLA purge of leadership, analyzing the implications of Xi Jinping'sremoval of top military officials and what it signals about internal instability within China's armed forces. Guest: Grant Newsham. Newsham critiques the weaknesses of national security studies that expect Chinese attack only at Taiwan, arguing this narrow focus leaves the U.S. vulnerable to broader PRC strategic threats. Guest: John Cochrane. Cochrane analyzes the inadequacy of tariffs as an economic tool, explaining why they fail to achieve their intended goals and often harm domestic consumers and businesses. Guest: John Cochrane. Cochrane discusses the demand for foreign investment, examining how capital flows impact the U.S. economy and the complexities of managing trade imbalances. Guest: Rebecca Grant. Grant compares U.S. carrier capabilities into the future against China's naval expansion plans, assessing the shifting balance of power in the Pacific. Guest: Rick Fisher. Fisher details China's century-long plan for space supremacy, warning that Beijing's strategic investments in space technology pose a significant threat to American dominance. Guest: Steve Yates. Yates examines how allies Australia, Canada, and the UK are seeking favorable trade deals with China, raising concerns about alliance cohesion amid PRC economic pressure. Guest: Steve Yates. Yates discusses strategies for dealing with the PRC as an adversary seeking supremacy, emphasizing the need for coordinated Western responses to Chinese ambitions. Guest: Sinan Ciddi. Ciddi analyzes Erdogan succession prospects in Turkey, examining potential successors and the implications for Turkish domestic and foreign policy. Guest: Sinan Ciddi. Ciddi assesses the possibility of democracy in Turkey, discussing the structural obstacles and political dynamics that shape the country's democratic trajectory. Guest: Sadanand Dhume. Dhume reports on the India-EU trade deal after 21 years of negotiation, analyzing the significance of this agreement for both economies and regional geopolitics. Guest: Michael Bernstam. Bernstam examines Russia's budget gap widening with the sinking price of oil, detailing the fiscal pressures facing Moscow as energy revenues decline. Guest: Simon Constable. Constable reports from France with a resident European pine marten, offering observations on rural life and wildlife in the French countryside. Guest: Simon Constable. Constable discusses the Labour scandal with the Epstein revelations, analyzing the political fallout affecting Britain's governing party. Guest: Bob Zimmerman. Zimmerman reports on Artemis plans for a launch in March, detailing NASA's progress toward returning American astronauts to the Moon. Guest: Bob Zimmerman. Zimmerman analyzes the failing Roscosmos, describing Russia's declining space program and its inability to compete with American and Chinese advancements.
August 1, 1927: a date that lives in PRC history.Support the show
Guest: Steve Yates. Yates examines how allies Australia, Canada, and the UK are seeking favorable trade deals with China, raising concerns about alliance cohesion amid PRC economic pressure.1793
Guest: Grant Newsham. Newsham critiques the weaknesses of national security studies that expect Chinese attack only at Taiwan, arguing this narrow focus leaves the U.S. vulnerable to broader PRC strategic threats.1793
Guest: Steve Yates. Yates discusses strategies for dealing with the PRC as an adversary seeking supremacy, emphasizing the need for coordinated Western responses to Chinese ambitions.1935 US CONSOLATE SHANGHAI
I drove downtown not too long ago to meet with Jesse Appell to talk about his first book, "This was funnier in China" https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/This-Was-Funnier-in-China/Jesse-Appell/9781668087565 Jesse's been performing stand-up comedy and Xiangsheng 相声 for years now. When he isn't engaging in this profession, he's managing and promoting his global tea company, Jesse's Teahouse https://jessesteahouse.com/en-us. This book tells the story of Jesse's experiences engaging with the PRC and building a nice, comfortable, and exciting life for himself. You'll learn about what it was like living there, about his apprenticeship under Xiangsheng Master Ding Guangquan 丁广泉, his performances, the comedy club he created in Beijing, a whole bunch of interesting characters, and a whole lot more. You may want to slow the audio down to half or quarter speed to take in everything Jesse has to say. This is all raw and unedited from the Livestream he ran on his various platforms. We clipped on a couple of Bluetooth mics and hit Play on my iPhone to record. The video of this recording can be found at Jesse's TikTok, YouTube, and IG. Thanks, everyone! Video of the interview: https://www.youtube.com/live/QqSNje4fRzg?si=YzMhQx_ohFt6exR4
I drove downtown not too long ago to meet with Jesse Appell to talk about his first book, "This was funnier in China" https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/This-Was-Funnier-in-China/Jesse-Appell/9781668087565 Jesse's been performing stand-up comedy and Xiangsheng 相声 for years now. When he isn't engaging in this profession, he's managing and promoting his global tea company, Jesse's Teahouse https://jessesteahouse.com/en-us. This book tells the story of Jesse's experiences engaging with the PRC and building a nice, comfortable, and exciting life for himself. You'll learn about what it was like living there, about his apprenticeship under Xiangsheng Master Ding Guangquan 丁广泉, his performances, the comedy club he created in Beijing, a whole bunch of interesting characters, and a whole lot more. You may want to slow the audio down to half or quarter speed to take in everything Jesse has to say. This is all raw and unedited from the Livestream he ran on his various platforms. We clipped on a couple of Bluetooth mics and hit Play on my iPhone to record. The video of this recording can be found at Jesse's TikTok, YouTube, and IG. Thanks, everyone! Video of the interview: https://www.youtube.com/live/QqSNje4fRzg?si=YzMhQx_ohFt6exR4
Today's episode is the second in a three-part series that examines the potential consequences for China if a military operation against Taiwan were to fail. In each of these episodes, we're speaking with authors of a recently published German Marshall Fund study of the possible costs that China would incur across four different, but interrelated areas: the Chinese economy, the military, Chinese social stability, and international costs. Our podcast today focuses on the potential costs for domestic social stability. To recap, the study considered two scenarios occurring in the next five years. In the first scenario, a minor skirmish escalated into a multi-week maritime blockade of Taiwan by China. Although several dozen members of the Chinese and Taiwanese military were killed, US intervention eventually forced China to de-escalate. In the second scenario, a conflict escalated into a full-fledged invasion, with Chinese strikes on not only Taiwan but also US forces in Japan and Guam. After several months of heavy fighting, Chinese forces were degraded and eventually withdrew after suffering many tens of thousands of casualties. Joining us today are Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Jake Rinaldi. Sheena is an associate professor at the University of Texas at Austin and visiting research faculty at the US Army War College. Jake is an associate political scientist at the RAND Corporation.Timestamps: [00:00] Introduction [02:11] Why This Matters to US Policymakers [04:37] Managing Social Stability During Conflict with Taiwan [08:01] How the CCP Identifies and Suppresses Sources of Instability[10:44] Social Stability Organizations and Institutions [15:06] Domestic Pressures & Potential Party Responses [19:00] Estimating Public Support for Reunification [23:09] Scenario 3: Protracted Conventional Conflict [26:55] Lessons Learned from COVID Lockdowns [31:28] Long-Term Implications for Stability Post-Conflict
In the first episode of 2026, Recycled Content host Kara Pochiro hands hosting duties over to Maite Quinn-Richards, President of Resource Recycling. Maite is joined by APR Board members Michael Westerfield of Dart Container Corporation and Nicole Janssen of Denton Plastics for a preview of the key issues shaping the future of plastics recycling, which will be explored at the 2026 Plastics Recycling Conference (PRC) this February in San Diego. Drawing on perspectives from both brand manufacturing and recycling, the conversation explores current market pressures, recycled content demand, design for recyclability, and the growing role of EPR legislation. The episode also highlights PRC being held alongside the Resource Recycling Conference and the Textile Recovery Summit this year, and why policy, market development, and technical recycling conversations must happen together as the industry heads into 2026. For more information about PRC visit plasticsrecycling.com.
Charles Burton and Gordon Chang comment on Prime Minister Mark Carney and Canada's future with the United States and PRC, assessing Ottawa's delicate balancing act between its powerful neighbors.KING AND FDR 1938
SHOW SCHEDULE 1-28-20261900 PRINCETON CANE RUSHBased on your notes, here are all 16 segments formatted for January 28, 2026:1.General Blaine Holt, USAF (Ret.), outlines the mission to rescue Iran from the brutes, detailing strategic options for liberating the Iranian people from the oppressive regime ruling in Tehran.2.Michael Bernstam of the Hoover Institution explains how Russia prospers with the price of gold, analyzing Moscow'seconomic resilience as precious metals revenues offset sanctions and sustain Putin's war machine.3.Bob Zimmerman of Behind the Black explains Blue Origin and SpaceX next missions, previewing upcoming launches and milestones as both companies push forward with ambitious spaceflight development programs.4.Bob Zimmerman explains Roscosmos failures without credit, examining how Russia's space agency stumbles through technical setbacks while refusing accountability, diminishing Moscow's once-proud position in space exploration.5.Victoria Coates and Gordon Chang identify the Baltic states as most vulnerable to Russian annexation, warning that Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania face persistent threats from Putin's expansionist ambitions.6.Ann Stevenson-Yang and Gordon Chang comment on the low spirits and isolation of mainland Chinese singles, examining the demographic and social crisis as young people struggle with loneliness and economic pressures.7.Charles Burton and Gordon Chang observe the contest in Arctic waters, analyzing competing claims and military positioning as Russia, China, and Western nations vie for polar strategic advantage.8.Charles Burton and Gordon Chang comment on Prime Minister Mark Carney and Canada's future with the United States and PRC, assessing Ottawa's delicate balancing act between its powerful neighbors.9.Tevi Troy remarks on the new book McNamara at War, exploring Robert McNamara's tenure as Defense Secretary and his controversial management of the Vietnam War under two presidents.10.Tevi Troy observes McNamara dealing with the rude President Lyndon Johnson, examining the difficult working relationship between the cerebral defense secretary and the domineering, often abusive commander-in-chief.11.Kevin Frazier analyzes how AI can fail like Western Union, warning that excessive concentration and lack of innovation could doom today's artificial intelligence giants just as the telegraph company declined.12.Kevin Frazier warns of regulatory capture in AI governance, cautioning that dominant tech companies may co-opt oversight mechanisms, stifling competition and shaping rules to entrench their market dominance.13.Simon Constable reports from temperate France with commodities analysis, noting copper and gold trading dear as industrial demand and safe-haven buying drive precious and base metals prices higher.14.Simon Constable faults Prime Minister Starmer's lack of leadership, criticizing the British leader's failure to articulate vision or direction as the United Kingdom drifts through economic and political uncertainty.15.Astronomer Paul Kalas explains planetary formation in the Fomalhaut system twenty-five light years distant, revealing how observations of this nearby star illuminate the processes that create worlds around young suns.16.David Livingston explains his twenty-five years hosting The Space Show, reflecting on a quarter century of broadcasting interviews with astronauts, engineers, and visionaries shaping humanity's journey beyond Earth.
Over four weeks, Kevin Freeman spotlights each “horseman,” starting with the CCP's global strategy to undermine the U.S. through economic, political, cultural, and biological warfare. Frank Gaffney details “hide and bide,” Wall Street funding pipelines, infiltration through open borders, overseas police centers, and the coercion of Chinese nationals under PRC security laws. The discussion covers Mao's legacy, using fentanyl and COVID as weapons, deindustrialization, TikTok cognitive ops, and the threat of embedded PLA operators. Solutions include defunding CCP-linked entities, rebuilding U.S. deterrence, and supporting a strong group of coalitions.
Ivana Stradner on Serbia's brute President Aleksandar Vučić welcoming PRC money, examining how Beijingexpands influence in the Balkans through investment while Serbia drifts from Western alignment.1800 BANK OF ENGLAND
Larry has long loved hunting Coues whitetail, known as "The Grey Ghost of the Desert". In this episode Larry talks about hunting the fabulous El Durangueno Ranch in Durango, Mexico's Sierra Madre Mountains. The late and great Jack O'Connor considered the diminutive Coues whitetail subspecies North America's Greatest Game Animal Larry certainly agrees. Larry discusses differences between Coues and "regular" whitetails, hunting techniques, and many more topics, including describing him taking a great buck during the last moments of his hunt. Great information, good stories, and even an invitation to go hunt Coues deer in the future with Larry. In this solo episode, host Larry Weishuhn records from the high-elevation El Durangueno Ranch in Durango, Mexico. He recounts a successful hunt for Coues deer (often called the "Gray Ghost of the Desert") and reflects on the history of the ranch, the wildlife conservation efforts there, and his excitement for the upcoming DSC Convention. Setting: Located in the Sierra Madres of Durango, Mexico, at an elevation between 8,500 and 9,000 feet. History: Owned by Alonso Hayala and his family for 67 years. The property spans approximately 57,000 acres (plus adjoining leases). Wildlife: The ranch is known for its biodiversity, including a massive population of Gould's turkeys, reintroduced Elk (which have flourished into a large herd), and the primary subject of this hunt: Coues deer. Larry describes the Coues deer as a unique, small subspecies of whitetail known for their grey color, large ears, and ability to vanish into the landscape. The Guide: Larry hunted with a local guide named "Zordo." Despite a language barrier, they communicated effectively through hand signals and shared hunting instincts. The Encounter: Day 1: They spotted a massive buck late in the evening but lost the light and could not take a clean shot. Day 2: They returned to the same canyon. After a long hike and glassing session, they spotted the buck chasing a doe at roughly 400 yards. The Shot: Larry set up for a shot across a canyon. At 300 yards, he took the shot when the buck paused behind some brush. The Result: The buck ran a short distance and fell. Upon recovery, Larry realized it was a "monster" Coues deer with a wide spread and long main beams, though it had unfortunately broken off its left main beam. Larry estimates it would have scored in the 120s (a trophy class for this species). Larry detailed the specific equipment he used for this successful hunt: Rifle: Mossberg Patriot with a 20-inch barrel. Caliber: 7mm PRC. Ammo: Hornady Precision Hunter, 175-grain ELD-X bullet. Optics: Stealth Vision binoculars and a 3-18x44 scope. Patreon: Larry promoted his Patreon page ("MRWHITETAIL"), where he offers exclusive video content, tips on wildlife management, and giveaways. DSC Convention: He expressed excitement for the upcoming convention in Atlanta, where he looks forward to reconnecting with friends and listeners. "I'm 78 years old this year... and I'm still going at it strong." — Larry Weishuhn "It is the most accurate, deadly bullet I have ever put through a rifle." — Larry Weishuhn (referencing the Hornady ELD-X) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
SHOW SCHEDULE 1-26-261808 GREAT HALL BANK OF ENGLAND Bill Roggio and Husain Haqqani discuss global turmoil and confrontation, examining U.S. policy failures in Afghanistan. The conversation addresses the ongoing consequences of American withdrawal and the resurgence of threats in the region, highlighting how strategic missteps continue to destabilize the area and embolden adversaries. Bill Roggio and Husain Haqqani examine how Africa remains unprotected from jihadists and plunderers. The discussion explores the continent's vulnerability to extremist expansion and resource exploitation, with weak governance and insufficient international attention allowing terrorist networks and predatory actors to operate with increasing impunity across multiple nations. Ernesto Araujo and Alejandro Pena Esclusa analyze Venezuela's posture of public defiance while remaining privately obedient to the Trump administration. The segment explores the contradictions in Caracas's diplomatic stance, suggesting the regime's theatrical resistance masks behind-the-scenes accommodations driven by economic pressure and political survival calculations. Ernesto Araujo and Alejandro Pena Esclusa report on a spontaneous Rio rally supporting the Bolsonaro family. The demonstration reflects continued popular backing for the former Brazilian president despite legal challenges, indicating that conservative movements in Latin America retain significant grassroots energy and organizational capacity. Malcolm Hoenlein and Thaddeus McCotter discuss Iran's ongoing executions and mass murders. The segment details the regime's brutal crackdown on dissent, highlighting the systematic use of capital punishment against protesters and minorities as Tehran intensifies domestic repression amid international isolation and internal unrest. Malcolm Hoenlein and Thaddeus McCotter examine Saudi Arabia's internal disagreements over a potential air campaign against Iran. The conversation explores Riyadh's strategic calculations, balancing regional security concerns against the risks of direct military confrontation with Tehran and the complexities of American alliance dynamics. Mark Simon and Gordon Chang address Hong Kong's persecution of democracy advocates through show trials. The discussion highlights Beijing's systematic dismantling of civil liberties, using the judicial system to silence opposition figures and signal that resistance to Communist Party authority will face severe consequences. Brandon Weichert and Gordon Chang analyze the PRC using ground-based nodes to influence states. The segment examines China's expanding infrastructure of political and economic pressure points, demonstrating how Beijing leverages physical assets to project power and shape foreign government policies. John Hardie reports that Russia continues targeting heat and light infrastructure in Kyiv, while Ukraine retaliates by striking Russian infrastructure. The segment examines the escalating war of attrition against civilian utilities as both sides seek to undermine morale and economic capacity through systematic attacks on essential services. Jack Burnham reveals that Chinese academics have been granted easy access to Energy Departmentsupercomputing resources used in nuclear weapon simulations. The discussion highlights alarming security lapses allowing potential adversaries to benefit from sensitive American technology with direct military applications and strategic implications. Cleo Paskal and Bill Roggio examine the PRC threat to Oceania from Guam's perspective. The segment details China's aggressive influence peddling and buying throughout the Pacific islands, as Beijing systematically works to undermine American strategic positioning and cultivate dependent relationships across the region. Cleo Paskal and Bill Roggio discuss the UK's giveaway of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius, highlighting China's influence over the Mauritian government. The transfer raises concerns about Beijing potentially gaining strategic access to a critical Indian Ocean location near vital shipping lanes and military installations. Ahmad Sharawi reports that Al Sharaa continues attacking minorities in Syria, with Kurds being driven back while the U.S. stands aside. The Druze community also faces assault as the new regime consolidates power through ethnic persecution despite initial promises of inclusive governance. Janatyn Sayeh describes Iran's mass murders amid a broken economy with no communications or internet access. The segment portrays a regime in crisis, resorting to extreme violence against its population while infrastructure collapse and international isolation accelerate the government's deteriorating grip on power. David Daoud examines how Hezbollah reigns over villages in Lebanon. The segment details the organization's methods of social control, combining armed intimidation with provision of services to maintain dominance over Shia communities and enforce loyalty to the movement's political and military agenda. David Daoud explores what Hezbollah will manage if Tehran fails. The discussion considers the organization's future autonomy and survival prospects should its Iranian patron collapse, examining whether the group can sustain itself independently or faces inevitable decline without external support.
Cleo Paskal and Bill Roggio examine the PRC threat to Oceania from Guam's perspective. The segment details China's aggressive influence peddling and buying throughout the Pacific islands, as Beijing systematically works to undermine American strategic positioning and cultivate dependent relationships across the region.1870 HAWAII
2026-01-26 | UPDATES #113 | “Treason” in the PLA? Xi's unprecedented purge — corruption, loyalty, and coup rumours. Today's story is not “just another corruption scandal” in China. This is the Chinese Communist Party reaching up into the absolute top of the People's Liberation Army — right into the room where war plans live — and yanking out two senior figures in one move. Top figures in fact. Beijing's official language is clipped. The implications are not. China's defence ministry says it has opened investigations into General Zhang Youxia — a vice chairman of the Central Military Commission, effectively the uniformed number two under Xi Jinping — and General Liu Zhenli, a CMC member and chief of the Joint Staff Department. The stated reason: “suspected serious violations of discipline and law.” (Reuters)----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------SOURCES: Xinhua: Defence ministry announcement (Jan 24, 2026). Xinhua / PLA Daily editorial summary (Jan 24, 2026). Reuters: Investigation details and context on PLA purges (Jan 24, 2026). Associated Press: Overview and recent purge timeline (Jan 24, 2026).Financial Times: Loyalty framing and “authority” angle (Jan 25, 2026). Washington Post: Scale of upheaval and command implications (Jan 25, 2026).Wall Street Journal: Reported additional allegations (unconfirmed by PRC statement) South China Morning Post: “Party purity” framing and political timing (Jan 25, 2026). Official explainer of the “CMC Chairperson Responsibility System” (SCIO, background).Reuters (background): Li Shangfu/Wei Fenghe expulsions (Jun 2024) and 2027 readiness reporting (Feb 2023). German Marshall Fund (background): Rocket Force shakeup (Aug 2023). Andrew Erickson (analysis aggregation; includes translated/linked primary text). Sinocism (analysis; discussion of messaging speed and implications). ----------SILICON CURTAIN LIVE EVENTS - FUNDRAISER CAMPAIGN Events in 2025 - Advocacy for a Ukrainian victory with Silicon Curtainhttps://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasOur events of the first half of the year in Lviv, Kyiv and Odesa were a huge success. Now we need to maintain this momentum, and change the tide towards a Ukrainian victory. The Silicon Curtain Roadshow is an ambitious campaign to run a minimum of 12 events in 2025, and potentially many more. Any support you can provide for the fundraising campaign would be gratefully appreciated. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------
Here it is comrades, the long-awaited fourth patron Q&A. We answer questions about America's humiliation, Chinese communism, AI in schools, and our favorite revolutionary books and/or pamphlets.This is only half the questions we received this time, the second half will be posted in Patron Q&A V next week...Send us a message (sorry we can't respond on here). Support the showVisit the Regrettable Century Merch Shop
It's appropriate that weather more typical of Greenland will be assaulting much of the continental United States as the nation is called to address a new front in Communist China's unrestricted warfare against us – namely, the Arctic north. Xi Jinping's regime has absurdly, but ominously, asserted that China is a “near-Arctic nation.” It has been: sending nuclear submarines to execise under the polar icecap; using its large and growing fleet of icebreakers to facilitate PRC shipping via the so-called “Polar Silk Road”; and evincing growing interest in exploiting the region's abundant natural resources. And the Chinese Communist regime has just secured a “strategic partnership” with Canada that may result in the presence of People's Liberation Army forces in North America. A very timely webinar today will explore the absolute necessity of securing Greenland and our northern front. Join us at PresentDangerChina.org. This is Frank Gaffney.
The Cold War is heating up as the CIA continues to build a “Third Force” – a democratic alternative to both Mao's Communists and Chiang Kai-shek's Nationalists. A secret army is being trained on the islands of Okinawa and Saipan. But when these Chinese special forces are dropped inside the PRC to gather information and organize anti-communist guerrillas, there is a grim reckoning. Most perished. Built on a house of cards of faulty intelligence, this ambitious covert project would quickly and quietly collapse. It is, however, a riveting story and one with valuable, evergreen lessons.Please take a second and rate or review, it really helps.
Concern about the possibility of a Chinese attack against Taiwan has surged in recent years. Wargames and research studies have focused primarily on identifying gaps in US and allied capabilities with the goal of strengthening deterrence. A relatively understudied question, however, is the potential consequences for China if a military operation against Taiwan were to fail. To address this gap, the German Marshall Fund led a study of the possible costs that China would incur across four different, but interrelated areas: the Chinese economy, the military, Chinese social stability, and international costs.GMF commissioned four papers on these key areas. We considered two scenarios that could realistically take place in the next five years. In the first scenario, a minor skirmish escalated into a multi-week maritime blockade of Taiwan by China. Although several dozen members of the Chinese and Taiwanese military were killed, US intervention eventually forced China to de-escalate. In the second scenario, a conflict escalated into a full-fledged invasion, with Chinese strikes on not only Taiwan but also U.S. forces in Japan and Guam. After several months of heavy fighting, Chinese forces were degraded and eventually withdrew after suffering many tens of thousands of casualties.The authors found that the costs to China of a failed military action against Taiwan would likely be considerable. We believe their findings are important and warrant wide dissemination. In this podcast, we'll discuss the report's major conclusions and implications. Then we'll talk about the potential impact of a failed Chinese attempt to take Taiwan on China's military capabilities and the possible international costs that Beijing could face. Our next two China Global podcasts will examine the implications of a failed military operation against Taiwan for China's economy and social stability.Our guests today are Zack Cooper and Joel Wuthnow. Zack is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and lecturer at Princeton University. Joel is a senior research fellow in the Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs within the Institute for National Strategic Studies at NDU. Joel's paper and this interview reflect only his personal views and not those of the National Defense University, the Department of War, or the US government.Timestamps: [00:00] Introduction [03:22] Implications for China, the United States, and Taiwan [06:31] Actions to Strengthen Deterrence [08:50] Evaluating Costs and Risks for Chinese Decisionmakers[11:46] Lessons Learned for the PLA [14:05] Steps to Avoid Another Attack [17:14] Intensifying Frictions between Party and Military? [19:53] Anticipating US Intervention as a Military Variable [22:49] Countries and Organizations Likely to Respond to China[25:55] Potential Diplomatic Actions and Costs[31:50] A Treaty Alliance with Taiwan [34:44] Why International Costs Matter to China
Linktree: https://linktr.ee/AnalyticJoin The Normandy For Additional Bonus Audio And Visual Content For All Things Nme+! Join Here: https://ow.ly/msoH50WCu0KIn this segment of Notorious Mass Effect, Analytic Dreamz delivers a thorough analytical breakdown of Peso Pluma and Tito Double P's groundbreaking collaborative album Dinastía, released December 26, 2025 (midnight post-Christmas), via Double P Records.Second cousins Hassan Emilio Kabande Laija (Peso Pluma) and Jesús Roberto Laija (Tito Double P) first connected in Culiacán, Sinaloa around ages 18 and 20. Tito, initially a hobbyist songwriter, became Peso's exclusive composer, crafting breakout hits like “PRC” and “AMG” during hotel sessions that propelled Peso's global stardom and Tito's solo rise. As 2025 Billboard Year-End Top Latin Artists (Tito No. 4, Peso No. 5), they lead the new Mexican music wave.Project development started December 10, 2024 (originally summer 2025 target), spanning over a year. Mexico's 2025 narcocorrido restrictions forced rewrites, tracklist changes, and a shift from explicit crime glorification to street life, grief, loss, boasting, heartbreak, romance, and vulnerability—reframing corridos as cultural heritage.The 15-track set elevates corridos tumbados, romantic ballads, and narratives with sophisticated musicianship. Highlights include “Dopamina” (ambient choral intro, dynamic tuba, syncopated rhythms, vocal contrast: Peso's tenor vs. Tito's aggression), balancing romantic tracks “for the morras,” “healthy corridos,” and songs for crying, drinking, dancing, reflecting.Symbolism centers on biblical Jacob and Esau (cover art duality: black/white, angel/demon, difference without division), plus an intro video with Kate del Castillo, wrestling imagery, and emerging talents Jasiel Núñez and Chivo unmasking for the next generation. Their message: unity over division, family before ego, corridos for Mexico.Dinastía debuted No. 1 on Billboard Top Latin Albums and Regional Mexican Albums (Jan. 10, 2026 chart), No. 6 on Billboard 200 (Tito's first top 10, Peso's third consecutive), No. 5 on Top Streaming Albums (45+ million on-demand streams first week), marking only the second regional Mexican collab to top Top Latin Albums since 2004 and joining historic lists like J Balvin/Bad Bunny's Oasis.Analytic Dreamz explores how this release repositions the genre as culturally rooted, emotionally diverse, and commercially powerful without criminal apology, sets new standards amid restrictions, and solidifies Peso Pluma and Tito Double P as architects of música mexicana's evolution into 2026.Join Analytic Dreamz for this no-fluff, data-driven deep dive into one of 2025-2026's most impactful regional Mexican projects. Stream Dinastía now and stay locked in for more Notorious Mass Effect.Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/analytic-dreamz-notorious-mass-effect/donationsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Linktree: https://linktr.ee/AnalyticJoin The Normandy For Additional Bonus Audio And Visual Content For All Things Nme+! Join Here: https://ow.ly/msoH50WCu0KIn this segment of Notorious Mass Effect, Analytic Dreamz delivers a thorough analytical breakdown of Peso Pluma and Tito Double P's groundbreaking collaborative album Dinastía, released December 26, 2025 (midnight post-Christmas), via Double P Records.Second cousins Hassan Emilio Kabande Laija (Peso Pluma) and Jesús Roberto Laija (Tito Double P) first connected in Culiacán, Sinaloa around ages 18 and 20. Tito, initially a hobbyist songwriter, became Peso's exclusive composer, crafting breakout hits like “PRC” and “AMG” during hotel sessions that propelled Peso's global stardom and Tito's solo rise. As 2025 Billboard Year-End Top Latin Artists (Tito No. 4, Peso No. 5), they lead the new Mexican music wave.Project development started December 10, 2024 (originally summer 2025 target), spanning over a year. Mexico's 2025 narcocorrido restrictions forced rewrites, tracklist changes, and a shift from explicit crime glorification to street life, grief, loss, boasting, heartbreak, romance, and vulnerability—reframing corridos as cultural heritage.The 15-track set elevates corridos tumbados, romantic ballads, and narratives with sophisticated musicianship. Highlights include “Dopamina” (ambient choral intro, dynamic tuba, syncopated rhythms, vocal contrast: Peso's tenor vs. Tito's aggression), balancing romantic tracks “for the morras,” “healthy corridos,” and songs for crying, drinking, dancing, reflecting.Symbolism centers on biblical Jacob and Esau (cover art duality: black/white, angel/demon, difference without division), plus an intro video with Kate del Castillo, wrestling imagery, and emerging talents Jasiel Núñez and Chivo unmasking for the next generation. Their message: unity over division, family before ego, corridos for Mexico.Dinastía debuted No. 1 on Billboard Top Latin Albums and Regional Mexican Albums (Jan. 10, 2026 chart), No. 6 on Billboard 200 (Tito's first top 10, Peso's third consecutive), No. 5 on Top Streaming Albums (45+ million on-demand streams first week), marking only the second regional Mexican collab to top Top Latin Albums since 2004 and joining historic lists like J Balvin/Bad Bunny's Oasis.Analytic Dreamz explores how this release repositions the genre as culturally rooted, emotionally diverse, and commercially powerful without criminal apology, sets new standards amid restrictions, and solidifies Peso Pluma and Tito Double P as architects of música mexicana's evolution into 2026.Join Analytic Dreamz for this no-fluff, data-driven deep dive into one of 2025-2026's most impactful regional Mexican projects. Stream Dinastía now and stay locked in for more Notorious Mass Effect.Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/analytic-dreamz-notorious-mass-effect/donationsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Linktree: https://linktr.ee/AnalyticJoin The Normandy For Additional Bonus Audio And Visual Content For All Things Nme+! Join Here: https://ow.ly/msoH50WCu0KIn this segment of Notorious Mass Effect, Analytic Dreamz delivers a thorough analytical breakdown of Peso Pluma and Tito Double P's groundbreaking collaborative album Dinastía, released December 26, 2025 (midnight post-Christmas), via Double P Records.Second cousins Hassan Emilio Kabande Laija (Peso Pluma) and Jesús Roberto Laija (Tito Double P) first connected in Culiacán, Sinaloa around ages 18 and 20. Tito, initially a hobbyist songwriter, became Peso's exclusive composer, crafting breakout hits like “PRC” and “AMG” during hotel sessions that propelled Peso's global stardom and Tito's solo rise. As 2025 Billboard Year-End Top Latin Artists (Tito No. 4, Peso No. 5), they lead the new Mexican music wave.Project development started December 10, 2024 (originally summer 2025 target), spanning over a year. Mexico's 2025 narcocorrido restrictions forced rewrites, tracklist changes, and a shift from explicit crime glorification to street life, grief, loss, boasting, heartbreak, romance, and vulnerability—reframing corridos as cultural heritage.The 15-track set elevates corridos tumbados, romantic ballads, and narratives with sophisticated musicianship. Highlights include “Dopamina” (ambient choral intro, dynamic tuba, syncopated rhythms, vocal contrast: Peso's tenor vs. Tito's aggression), balancing romantic tracks “for the morras,” “healthy corridos,” and songs for crying, drinking, dancing, reflecting.Symbolism centers on biblical Jacob and Esau (cover art duality: black/white, angel/demon, difference without division), plus an intro video with Kate del Castillo, wrestling imagery, and emerging talents Jasiel Núñez and Chivo unmasking for the next generation. Their message: unity over division, family before ego, corridos for Mexico.Dinastía debuted No. 1 on Billboard Top Latin Albums and Regional Mexican Albums (Jan. 10, 2026 chart), No. 6 on Billboard 200 (Tito's first top 10, Peso's third consecutive), No. 5 on Top Streaming Albums (45+ million on-demand streams first week), marking only the second regional Mexican collab to top Top Latin Albums since 2004 and joining historic lists like J Balvin/Bad Bunny's Oasis.Analytic Dreamz explores how this release repositions the genre as culturally rooted, emotionally diverse, and commercially powerful without criminal apology, sets new standards amid restrictions, and solidifies Peso Pluma and Tito Double P as architects of música mexicana's evolution into 2026.Join Analytic Dreamz for this no-fluff, data-driven deep dive into one of 2025-2026's most impactful regional Mexican projects. Stream Dinastía now and stay locked in for more Notorious Mass Effect.Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/analytic-dreamz-notorious-mass-effect/donationsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
THE ANACONDA STRATEGY AND THE NEO-ENGAGEMENT TRAP Colleagues James Fanell and Bradley Thayer. Fanell and Thayer discuss the "Joint Sword 2024 Alpha" exercises, describing them as an "Anaconda strategy" where the PRC practices suffocating Taiwan through blockades and missile strikes. Thayer argues that despite these overt threats, Washington remains captured by the "neo-engagement school," mistakenly believing that economic engagement can democratize China. They critique "elite capture" within US institutions, noting that the Bidenadministration has largely continued Obama-era policies rather than confronting the reality that the CCP is transforming international norms rather than being transformed by them. FANELL NUMBER 11905 SHANGHAI MIXED COURT
PREVIEW FOR LATER TODAY: Alan Tonelson forecasts a difficult year for the PRC's economy in 2026, citing deflation and a property collapse. He predicts a strong global backlash against the surge of Chinese exports, which threaten foreign manufacturing sectors, as trading partners begin to prioritize their own national economic interests.1939 SHANGHAI
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Guests: Captain James Fanell (USN Ret.) and Bradley Thayer. Fanell and Thayer discuss the PLA's "Joint Sword 2024 Alpha" exercises, describing them as an "Anaconda strategy" designed to suffocate Taiwan following President Lai's inauguration. They argue that despite these overt threats, Washington remains trapped in a failed "engagement school" mindset, believing the PRC could be democratized through trade. Instead, they assert China has transformed U.S. institutions through elite capture, necessitating a shift to a confrontational strategy.
Guests: Captain James Fanell (USN Ret.) and Bradley Thayer. Fanell argues the U.S. must "admit failure" regarding China, likening the situation to a patient acknowledging cancer to begin treatment. To combat "threat deflation" and institutional bias in intelligence, they propose a "Team B" of independent analysts to objectively assess PRC capabilities. Thayer advocates moving oversight of foreign investment (CFIUS) to the Department of Defense and ultimately cutting off all trade to deny the CCP resources and protect intellectual property.