POPULARITY
Os 49ers chegam pressionados para reencontrar o caminho das vitórias diante do Arizona Cardinals — um rival que vive fase instável, mas sempre dá trabalho na NFC West. A dúvida é: quem vai comandar o ataque, Brock Purdy ou Mac Jones?
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 11. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 11 betting, starting with RJ promoting a discounted half-season package and highlighting hot handicappers before diving into matchups, market moves and derivative angles. They discuss Fezzik's strong college football season, best bets from previous weeks, and review wins on Jets spreads, Houston-Denver unders, Washington and Cincinnati games, plus Rams and London totals, noting a streak of strong “spot seven cover” results. McKenzie recounts past real-estate ventures as the trio jokes, then they shift into Week 11 analysis: Bengals second-half performance vs Pittsburgh, predictive metrics showing large first-half/second-half splits, and why Cincinnati +3.5 in the second half is RJ's best bet. They break down Green Bay's injuries, Philly line moves, wide-receiver depth concerns, and how market shifts through key numbers signal anti-Green Bay sentiment. They analyze Tampa Bay vs Buffalo, Baker Mayfield's lack of recent rushing, and whether injury or coaching changes explain performance dips. They touch on Tennessee improving after coaching changes, Kansas City's struggles, and how situational scheduling affects motivation. Fezzik gives his picks: Miami 1Q -130, Ravens-Browns under 39.5, and props including Brock Bowers and McBride overs, with McBride's volume spike under Jacoby Brissett emphasized. RJ questions line discrepancies in receiving props and discusses weather-driven total movement. The group debates quarterback traits, offensive limitations, and matchup-specific vulnerabilities, including Arizona's resilience and aggregate point-loss profile. They note 49ers scenarios, comeback histories, late-game aggression logic and how analytics or simulations contrast with intuitive coaching decisions. They close by previewing next week's recording schedule, recapping picks, and encouraging bettors to time wagers around market-expected weather drops, emphasizing second-half mismatches, injury context and evolving team profiles while keeping the tone humorous and conversational. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 11. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 11 betting, starting with RJ promoting a discounted half-season package and highlighting hot handicappers before diving into matchups, market moves and derivative angles. They discuss Fezzik's strong college football season, best bets from previous weeks, and review wins on Jets spreads, Houston-Denver unders, Washington and Cincinnati games, plus Rams and London totals, noting a streak of strong “spot seven cover” results. McKenzie recounts past real-estate ventures as the trio jokes, then they shift into Week 11 analysis: Bengals second-half performance vs Pittsburgh, predictive metrics showing large first-half/second-half splits, and why Cincinnati +3.5 in the second half is RJ's best bet. They break down Green Bay's injuries, Philly line moves, wide-receiver depth concerns, and how market shifts through key numbers signal anti-Green Bay sentiment. They analyze Tampa Bay vs Buffalo, Baker Mayfield's lack of recent rushing, and whether injury or coaching changes explain performance dips. They touch on Tennessee improving after coaching changes, Kansas City's struggles, and how situational scheduling affects motivation. Fezzik gives his picks: Miami 1Q -130, Ravens-Browns under 39.5, and props including Brock Bowers and McBride overs, with McBride's volume spike under Jacoby Brissett emphasized. RJ questions line discrepancies in receiving props and discusses weather-driven total movement. The group debates quarterback traits, offensive limitations, and matchup-specific vulnerabilities, including Arizona's resilience and aggregate point-loss profile. They note 49ers scenarios, comeback histories, late-game aggression logic and how analytics or simulations contrast with intuitive coaching decisions. They close by previewing next week's recording schedule, recapping picks, and encouraging bettors to time wagers around market-expected weather drops, emphasizing second-half mismatches, injury context and evolving team profiles while keeping the tone humorous and conversational. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
C'est la mi-saison en NFL, et qui dit mi-saison dit forcément remise des trophées individuels ! Dans cet épisode spécial de Tailgate, votre podcast NFL hebdomadaire, Flav en maître de cérémonie est accompagné de Yaya, Seb et Flo de FrenchTouchdown pour élire les lauréats de cette première moitié de saison.
Dans ce nouvel épisode de Tailgate, votre podcast NFL hebdomadaire, Flav, Yaya, Vince et Seb reviennent sur tous les résultats et les faits marquants de la semaine 10 de la saison régulière.
Épisode spécial de Tailgate, votre podcast NFL d'actualité et d'analyse, consacré à l'un des plus gros tremblements de terre de la saison: le licenciement de Brian Daboll par les New York Giants.
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 10. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 10. RJ Bell opens discussing early college basketball betting value with discounted season packages before turning to NFL Week 10. Joined by Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers, they dissect matchups and betting logic with humor and insight. Fezzik recalls “wax on, wax off” fundamentals and admits to pregame bourbon. Discussion starts with Pittsburgh's turnover-driven defense, strip sacks as skill not luck, and how fading the Steelers has burned bettors. Bell then challenges Fezzik on correlation in QB rushing props, arguing Mahomes and Allen's attempts should be positively related since trailing QBs and peer competition both increase rushing, despite Fezzik's kneel-down caveat. Fezzik's best bet is Steelers +3 vs Chargers, citing injuries and inflated home-field edge; Bell reads data showing Greer's model rates L.A.'s home edge too high due to time zone and turf, but agrees it matters slightly. They pivot to Chargers' offensive-line woes, strip-sack risk, and discuss under 24 as team total. Bell worries Chargers will play ultra-conservative, strengthening the under; both concur. Next, Bell touts Jets +2½ as best bet, saying trades of Gardner and Williams remove malcontents, boost morale, and the market overreacted. He argues the Browns' offense has collapsed under their new QB, while Fezzik doubts locker-room psychology but concedes value. They estimate Cleveland would need a historically low power rating for current pricing. Talk shifts to Baltimore-Minnesota: Bell calls Vikings +4 a top play, seeing market overadjustment; McCarthy's emergence offsets Ravens' hype. Fezzik agrees. McKenzie's best bet is Rams –4½ over 49ers, citing defensive injuries to Warner and Bosa and San Francisco's fading metrics; Bell agrees line aligns with true injury impact. Fezzik's second bet is Bears WR Odunze over 5 catches after a zero-target game—expecting “feed the star” correction. They banter on Cubs nostalgia before Bell endorses the logic. Fezzik's teaser pairs New England +8½ and Philadelphia +8½, fading overrated Tampa and Green Bay; Bell likes the reasoning but downgrades Pats' schedule. Their third core debate centers on Houston-Jacksonville: Bell favors Houston or Jaguars team-total under 20, expecting a grind with backup Davis Mills and Demeco Ryans' disciplined D; Fezzik projects low pace and agrees under likely rises. They elaborate on clock tactics, situational play-calling, and coach analytics gaps, with Fezzik's mock “Omaha” cadence comedy. Later, Fezzik reveals surviving in a 1,500-player contest, leaning Carolina over New Orleans in Survivor, while Bell praises the logic. They close ranking NFC teams—Rams, Seattle, Detroit, Philly—with Seattle surging and Detroit flagged as “fraud alert.” Bell muses about prediction markets, election betting, and “super-forecasters,” proposing such analysis for future shows. After humorous tangents on coaches, parenting, and old movies, they recap best bets: Bell—Jets +2½, Vikings +4, Houston under setup, Patriots +; Fezzik—Chargers under 24, Odunze over 5 catches, Pats/Eagles teaser; Mackenzie—Rams –4½. Fezzik signs off: “Be careful out there.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dans ce nouvel épisode de Tailgate, votre podcast NFL hebdomadaire, Flav, Yaya, Seb et Vince reviennent sur tous les faits marquants de la neuvième semaine de la saison 2025.
Today on The Ave Podcast; we break down the first half of the NFL Season. We discuss the shock of the Colts being really good; if the Ravens can reverse their directions; discuss our favorite team's seasons (Eagles, Patriots, & my Niners); our favorite teams/players outside of our own, and way more. Please enjoy. *The YouTube episode will be up on the SSA YouTube channel on Nov 2nd @ 9:00a.
Dans ce nouvel épisode de Tailgate, votre podcast NFL d'actualité et d'analyse, Flav, Yaya, Seb et Bertrand se lancent dans un exercice toujours aussi attendu : le power ranking des divisions NFL de cette saison 2025.
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers dive into NFL Week 9 betting. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers deliver an intense, fast-moving breakdown of NFL Week 9 betting, loaded with sharp insights, humor, and veteran perspective. (0:00–2:44 RJ) RJ opens with a limited-time $20 for $100 Pregame.com promo, setting a self-aware tone after a cold streak before pivoting to the “six-seven” inside joke. (2:45–9:38 RJ & Fezzik) They riff on culture and YouTube memes, then dig into Fezzik's documented record, the reality of variance, and public scrutiny—RJ publicly offers to bet $1K with anyone doubting Fezzik's winning ways. They stress long-term perspective, bankroll discipline, and Fezzik's 9-of-12 winning seasons. (9:39–15:14 Fezzik) Fezzik unveils his best bet: Atlanta Falcons +0.5 first quarter vs Patriots, citing motivation, coin-toss edges, and mismatch value. RJ challenges him on quarterback health and run-defense matchups, while McKenzie supports with EPA and DVOA metrics. (15:15–24:36) They debate totals, QB injuries, and the “grand salami” of leaguewide overs, revealing how context and psychology shape numbers. (24:37–35:06 RJ) RJ fires his best bet: Houston–Denver Under 40, explaining how both teams' offenses collapse under defensive pressure, why line moves misprice QB injuries, and how coaching style (Sean Payton's conservatism) locks games into “rock fight” mode. (35:07–38:25 Mackenzie) Mackenzie counters with Colts –3 vs Steelers, supported by data showing the Steichen offense outperforming Tomlin's blitz-heavy D; RJ and Fezzik debate side vs team-total angles and line value between –2.5 and –3. (38:26–44:46 Fezzik) Fezzik adds Saints +3.5 4Q vs Rams and Panthers +3.5 4Q vs Packers, explaining how blowouts, motivation, and end-game math make late-quarter dogs profitable. RJ dissects situational trends, home/road splits, and QB rotations, endorsing both plays. (44:47–59:15) They tangent hilariously into Shakespeare, “Back to School,” and North Texas–Navy live-betting logic, turning first-quarter tempo into a masterclass in betting time segments. (59:16–1:03:38 RJ) RJ's second best bet: Arizona Under 26.5 points at Dallas (MNF), citing Kyler Murray's road, primetime, and post-injury struggles; Fezzik cautions against underestimating Dallas's weak D. (1:07:14–1:10:22 Fezzik) Fezzik's player prop: Mahomes Over 4.5 rushes, Allen Over 7.5 rushes, backed by game-flow data and high-leverage situational running. (1:14:45–1:20:27 RJ) RJ leans Chiefs –2.5 vs Bills, defending KC's underrated defense and Mahomes's playoff-like motivation. (1:25:03–1:30:04) They hit Chargers –3 vs Titans, praising Harbaugh's 15-4 ATS record on East-coast trips, and (1:30:05–1:33:12) explore 49ers run game props vs Giants. (1:33:53–end) Final lightning round: Bears to score first vs Bengals, quick-hit leans, and closing banter on variance, sharp edges, and humility in handicapping. Featuring: RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) | Steve Fezzik (@FezzikSports) | Mackenzie Rivers (@mackinRivers)Topics: NFL Week 9 best bets, first-quarter/4Q angles, totals logic, QB prop edges, and how to read line value like a pro.
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers dive into NFL Week 9 betting. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers deliver an intense, fast-moving breakdown of NFL Week 9 betting, loaded with sharp insights, humor, and veteran perspective. (0:00–2:44 RJ) RJ opens with a limited-time $20 for $100 Pregame.com promo, setting a self-aware tone after a cold streak before pivoting to the “six-seven” inside joke. (2:45–9:38 RJ & Fezzik) They riff on culture and YouTube memes, then dig into Fezzik's documented record, the reality of variance, and public scrutiny—RJ publicly offers to bet $1K with anyone doubting Fezzik's winning ways. They stress long-term perspective, bankroll discipline, and Fezzik's 9-of-12 winning seasons. (9:39–15:14 Fezzik) Fezzik unveils his best bet: Atlanta Falcons +0.5 first quarter vs Patriots, citing motivation, coin-toss edges, and mismatch value. RJ challenges him on quarterback health and run-defense matchups, while McKenzie supports with EPA and DVOA metrics. (15:15–24:36) They debate totals, QB injuries, and the “grand salami” of leaguewide overs, revealing how context and psychology shape numbers. (24:37–35:06 RJ) RJ fires his best bet: Houston–Denver Under 40, explaining how both teams' offenses collapse under defensive pressure, why line moves misprice QB injuries, and how coaching style (Sean Payton's conservatism) locks games into “rock fight” mode. (35:07–38:25 Mackenzie) Mackenzie counters with Colts –3 vs Steelers, supported by data showing the Steichen offense outperforming Tomlin's blitz-heavy D; RJ and Fezzik debate side vs team-total angles and line value between –2.5 and –3. (38:26–44:46 Fezzik) Fezzik adds Saints +3.5 4Q vs Rams and Panthers +3.5 4Q vs Packers, explaining how blowouts, motivation, and end-game math make late-quarter dogs profitable. RJ dissects situational trends, home/road splits, and QB rotations, endorsing both plays. (44:47–59:15) They tangent hilariously into Shakespeare, “Back to School,” and North Texas–Navy live-betting logic, turning first-quarter tempo into a masterclass in betting time segments. (59:16–1:03:38 RJ) RJ's second best bet: Arizona Under 26.5 points at Dallas (MNF), citing Kyler Murray's road, primetime, and post-injury struggles; Fezzik cautions against underestimating Dallas's weak D. (1:07:14–1:10:22 Fezzik) Fezzik's player prop: Mahomes Over 4.5 rushes, Allen Over 7.5 rushes, backed by game-flow data and high-leverage situational running. (1:14:45–1:20:27 RJ) RJ leans Chiefs –2.5 vs Bills, defending KC's underrated defense and Mahomes's playoff-like motivation. (1:25:03–1:30:04) They hit Chargers –3 vs Titans, praising Harbaugh's 15-4 ATS record on East-coast trips, and (1:30:05–1:33:12) explore 49ers run game props vs Giants. (1:33:53–end) Final lightning round: Bears to score first vs Bengals, quick-hit leans, and closing banter on variance, sharp edges, and humility in handicapping. Featuring: RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) | Steve Fezzik (@FezzikSports) | Mackenzie Rivers (@mackinRivers)Topics: NFL Week 9 best bets, first-quarter/4Q angles, totals logic, QB prop edges, and how to read line value like a pro.
Dans ce nouvel épisode de Tailgate NFL, votre podcast d'actualité NFL, Flav, Yaya, Seb et Vince reviennent en détail sur tous les faits marquants de la huitième semaine de compétition en NFL.
RJ bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 8. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 8. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dans ce nouvel épisode de notre podcast NFL, Flav, Yaya et Seb décryptent l'actualité de la ligue en s'attardant sur deux franchises qui créent la surprise en ce début de saison : les New England Patriots et les Pittsburgh Steelers.
Dans ce nouvel épisode de notre podcast NFL, Flav, Yaya, Vince et Seb reviennent en détail sur tous les résultats et les faits marquants de la septième semaine de compétition en NFL
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 7 betting and more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 7 betting and more. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 7 from a sports-betting angle, blending statistical analysis, market movement insight and handicapping philosophy. They open by noting season-long trends in scoring and defense and how rule interpretations and injuries have shaped totals. Fezzik details key situational edges such as travel spots, rest advantages and weather, while RJ frames the discussion around market inefficiencies and public versus sharp money influence. They debate notable lines like Chiefs-Chargers, Ravens-Browns and Eagles-Dolphins, highlighting how early-week numbers shifted after injury reports and power-rating updates. Mackenzie adds historical database trends supporting underdogs off low-scoring wins and teams playing second straight road games. They explore coaching mismatches, quarterback efficiency metrics, EPA per play and the value of teasers in tight spreads. The crew discusses how to price quarterback uncertainty and the growing variance from backup play across the league. Fezzik offers his best bets — a first-half total under in Browns-Colts based on pace and defensive matchups, and a look-ahead spot fading a team off an emotional prime-time win. RJ emphasizes betting timing, arguing that getting ahead of key number moves is as valuable as the pick itself. They conclude with meta-analysis on how the market reacts to data driven narratives versus subjective media takes, reinforcing Pregame's theme of “betting truth over talk.” Each segment blends quantitative handicapping with storytelling about motivation, momentum and public perception, and the show ends with Fezzik tracking contest records and RJ inviting listeners to compare their power ratings to the market close. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 6. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 6. (RJ Bell 0:05–4:28) RJ Bell opened by calling it their most pick-heavy show yet and promoted Pregame's 90-day all-access deal, covering every NFL and college pick through mid-January plus NBA from Mackenzie Rivers, who's sustained 56.9% wins over four seasons. Steve Fezzik is up 52 units in college football, Good Fella up 20 in all sports, making this the best seasonal value. (Steve Fezzik 4:29–5:07) Fezzik's best bet: Detroit +2.5 at Kansas City. He rated the Lions 1.5 points better on power numbers, calling it a “much better spot” since Detroit coasted versus Cincinnati while Kansas City drained energy Monday night. (RJ Bell 5:08–10:31) Bell warned Detroit's banged-up secondary could be exposed but agreed the line overrates the Chiefs. He cited Dan Campbell's only coaching weakness—two straight road games five points below his usual ATS—but Fezzik said travel was short and rest ample. Bell's data showed Detroit faced the 27th-easiest schedule, KC the 7th-hardest, suggesting possible inflation, though both agreed the Lions' offense remained elite. (Mackenzie Rivers 13:10–13:15 to RJ Bell 20:02) Rivers mentioned KC's bounce-back narrative; Fezzik described waiting for +3 odds, sparking debate on betting exchanges, line movement, and same-game parlays. (RJ Bell 21:54–29:58) Bell's top pick: Tennessee team total under 18.5. He predicted a post-win letdown, called Tennessee “the NFL's worst offense” by drive-success rate (61%), and leaned on Pete Carroll's 3-loss rebound trend—opponents score 6 points below average. Fezzik added that teams winning twice as 5-point dogs “fall on their face” the next week. (Mackenzie Rivers 34:44–35:26) Rivers confirmed the trend (84-44 fading record since 2012) and EPA data placing Tennessee last (-36). (RJ Bell 35:46–43:07) Rivers and Fezzik pivoted to Cleveland-Pittsburgh, backing the Steelers off a bye versus a Browns squad returning from London. Bell cited Kevin Stefanski's 3-12 ATS mark on consecutive road games (-9.3 margin) and Tomlin's 18-1 straight-up home record vs Cleveland. (Fezzik 43:27–45:55) Fezzik next played Washington –4.5 over Chicago, noting a QB mismatch (Daniels vs Caleb Williams) and power-rating edge. Bell detailed Chicago's “luck-driven” offense ranking 22nd and the NFL's worst defense allowing 57% first-downs after second down. (RJ Bell 55:17–1:02:04) Bell's next bet: Jets-Denver under 43.5, arguing New York's scoring stats are inflated by weak opponents; the London trip and poor coaching amplify offensive risk. (Rivers 1:02:23–1:06:15) Rivers backed New England –3.5 vs New Orleans, citing EPA (+55 vs –something like 30th rank) and trench mismatches. Bell cautioned most bettors can't exploit live-wager edges Fezzik described. (Fezzik 1:15:24–1:17:19) He leaned Atlanta +4.5 vs Buffalo off a bye; Bell replied that McDermott-coached favorites off losses are 16-8-1 ATS (+5.2 margin). (RJ Bell 1:21:09–1:24:04) Bell's marquee pick: San Francisco –3 over Tampa Bay. He cited Todd Bowles' 0-6 ATS record after upset wins and a look-ahead spot to Detroit, arguing Tampa's coin-flip victories and public hype make the 49ers undervalued. (Fezzik 1:25:06–1:26:32) Fezzik's prop: Carolina RB Rico Dowdle rushing-yards over, expecting starter Hubbard's calf injury to boost usage against Dallas, his old team. (RJ Bell 1:28:40–1:32:37) Both liked Seattle over Jacksonville and Miami-Chargers under 43.5, citing O-line injuries, Tyreek Hill's absence, and Jim Harbaugh's 14-2 to-the-under trend when totals drop ≥3 points (–9 ppg). (Fezzik 1:33:07–1:34:22 to RJ Bell 1:37:58) They closed with Indianapolis first-half –4 over Arizona, factoring Kyler Murray's knee injury and reduced mobility. Bell added a division-futures hedge: buy Pittsburgh, offset later with Baltimore. Fezzik ended the packed Week 6 episode with his trademark farewell: “Be careful out there.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mackenzie Rivers and Dan Rivera talk NFL Survivor for week 5. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 5 betting. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 5 betting. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mackenzie Rivers and Dan Rivera talk NFL Survivor contest entries for week 4. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 4. RJ Bell 00:00–04:00 opened by framing NFL Week 4 picks, noting how public perception often swings too far based on recent performances. He stated, “It's about not overreacting to one week,” emphasizing the importance of context and long-term data. His point set the tone: bettors must resist emotional reactions and focus on underlying team quality. Steve Fezzik 04:01–12:30 highlighted specific matchups and player stats. He pointed out, “Kirk Cousins has five touchdowns and only one interception this year,” framing Minnesota's offense as efficient despite their record. He contrasted this with turnovers, explaining how short fields impact team stats. His analysis suggested that Minnesota's fundamentals remain strong, and that the betting market might undervalue them. Scott Seidenberg 12:31–20:00 broke down trends. He said, “Favorites are only covering at 38% through three weeks,” which underscored the importance of considering underdogs early in the season. He explained that public bettors favor favorites, but sharp bettors capitalize on inflated lines. This observation had implications for several Week 4 lines, showing that market inefficiencies persist. RJ Bell 20:01–28:30 pivoted to broader team evaluations. He argued, “The Cowboys' defense has given up only 10 points per game,” highlighting elite defensive metrics. However, he warned that such dominance may regress against stronger offenses. By contextualizing stats, RJ showed how even strong numbers may not be sustainable, a reminder that stats need situational framing. Steve Fezzik 28:31–40:00 returned with targeted player and team analysis, noting how quarterback play under pressure often dictates outcomes. He emphasized, “Pressure rates are more predictive than sack totals,” underscoring how advanced metrics reveal true team strength. He connected this to Week 4 matchups where defensive pressure could swing results, highlighting that surface-level stats often mislead. Scott Seidenberg 40:01–50:00 focused on team situational spots. He noted, “Teams on short rest cover just 42% historically,” showing how rest disadvantages alter outcomes. He tied this to specific Week 4 games, suggesting bettors must factor scheduling into handicapping. His insight illuminated how off-field variables create hidden edges. RJ Bell 50:01–End closed by reiterating discipline. He remarked, “The goal isn't to win every game, it's to make good bets consistently,” stressing the importance of process over results. His final words carried weight, reminding listeners that smart wagering comes from context, trends, and data-driven decisions, not emotion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 4. RJ Bell 00:00–04:00 opened by framing NFL Week 4 picks, noting how public perception often swings too far based on recent performances. He stated, “It's about not overreacting to one week,” emphasizing the importance of context and long-term data. His point set the tone: bettors must resist emotional reactions and focus on underlying team quality. Steve Fezzik 04:01–12:30 highlighted specific matchups and player stats. He pointed out, “Kirk Cousins has five touchdowns and only one interception this year,” framing Minnesota's offense as efficient despite their record. He contrasted this with turnovers, explaining how short fields impact team stats. His analysis suggested that Minnesota's fundamentals remain strong, and that the betting market might undervalue them. Scott Seidenberg 12:31–20:00 broke down trends. He said, “Favorites are only covering at 38% through three weeks,” which underscored the importance of considering underdogs early in the season. He explained that public bettors favor favorites, but sharp bettors capitalize on inflated lines. This observation had implications for several Week 4 lines, showing that market inefficiencies persist. RJ Bell 20:01–28:30 pivoted to broader team evaluations. He argued, “The Cowboys' defense has given up only 10 points per game,” highlighting elite defensive metrics. However, he warned that such dominance may regress against stronger offenses. By contextualizing stats, RJ showed how even strong numbers may not be sustainable, a reminder that stats need situational framing. Steve Fezzik 28:31–40:00 returned with targeted player and team analysis, noting how quarterback play under pressure often dictates outcomes. He emphasized, “Pressure rates are more predictive than sack totals,” underscoring how advanced metrics reveal true team strength. He connected this to Week 4 matchups where defensive pressure could swing results, highlighting that surface-level stats often mislead. Scott Seidenberg 40:01–50:00 focused on team situational spots. He noted, “Teams on short rest cover just 42% historically,” showing how rest disadvantages alter outcomes. He tied this to specific Week 4 games, suggesting bettors must factor scheduling into handicapping. His insight illuminated how off-field variables create hidden edges. RJ Bell 50:01–End closed by reiterating discipline. He remarked, “The goal isn't to win every game, it's to make good bets consistently,” stressing the importance of process over results. His final words carried weight, reminding listeners that smart wagering comes from context, trends, and data-driven decisions, not emotion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mackenzie Rivers and Dan Rivera talk NFL Survivor entries for NFL Week 3. Survivor Podcast – NFL Week 3 Entries Survivor Podcast - NFL Week 3 E… [Mackenzie Rivers] (0:14 – 1:36) Mackenzie opens: “No favorites have lost, essentially, at all this season… does that mean there's a fundamental change?” He frames the survivor context—favorites are dominating, with field-goal favorites now 18-3. The implication is that while carnage hasn't struck yet, it eventually will. [Dan Rivera] (1:37 – 6:10) Dan critiques the Broncos-Colts game: “Sean Payton… you deserve to lose. Your defense was manhandled all game.” His analysis underscores poor coaching decisions and Denver's collapse. He emphasizes that despite chaos, his survivor strategy remains unchanged: avoid saving teams without attaching them to specific weeks and look for calculated creative plays. [Mackenzie Rivers] (6:11 – 10:17) Mackenzie ties league trends to survivor dynamics: “Teams are scoring on 41% of their possessions… an all-time high.” He connects higher efficiency to favorites' success, explaining why survivor pools remain crowded. Yet he warns of regression, reminding listeners that waves of upsets inevitably strike. [Consensus Pick Strategy] The hosts weigh options: Packers, Seahawks, Buccaneers, Chiefs, Colts, Falcons. Chiefs are dismissed due to Thanksgiving/Christmas scheduling needs. Bucs are avoided because of injuries and Todd Bowles' poor Week 3 record. Packers are sidelined due to uncertainty with Jordan Love. That leaves Seattle, Indianapolis, and Atlanta. [Final Decision] (37:35 – 39:41) Dan and Mackenzie agree: “Let's make Atlanta Falcons the official pick.” They cite “least variance” and reliance on Bijan Robinson against Carolina's weak defense. The implication is clear—the Falcons' rushing attack provides the most stable survivor path, minimizing upset risk. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 3. Dream Podcast – NFL Week 3 Picks Breakdown [Steve Fezzik] (0:00 - 0:04) opens abruptly, his words more like a countdown rhythm, setting a casual yet energized tone. [RJ Bell] (0:06 - 0:42) quickly frames the session with enthusiasm, declaring, “Fez was strong on this one. Acme. Just think Acme is the key word.” He underscores the rarity of what's being offered, stressing this is one of only “four times in the year” where buyers can get unusual value. His analysis implies urgency and scarcity, pressing listeners to act. [Steve Fezzik] (0:43 - 0:48) confirms, “Normally the best deal is you buy for 10 bucks, you get $50 that's offered like once a year.” The importance is clear: maximizing bankroll through this offer is a bettor's edge. [RJ Bell] (0:48 - 1:57) elaborates, repeating “10 gets you 50” while comparing bulk dollars to currency that “never expires.” He emphasizes, “You can spend bulk dollars just like cash never expires,” framing them as stable and advantageous. His implication is that investing here amplifies purchasing power and locks in long-term flexibility. [Steve Fezzik] (1:57 - 2:00) briefly shifts, noting “Hey doc, sports is still going strong,” signaling momentum and reinforcing credibility. [RJ Bell] (2:00 - 2:22) redirects to performance, praising Fezzik: “In college football this season, Steve Fezzik is up 43 units plus. How do you do that in three weeks?” The statistic highlights extraordinary profitability, anchoring Fezzik's authority. [Steve Fezzik] (2:22 - 2:23) explains simply, “High volume,” acknowledging his strategy. [RJ Bell] (2:23 - 2:36) pushes further, asking about availability of picks, emphasizing immediacy. [Steve Fezzik] (2:36 - 2:47) clarifies, “I got my Thursday, Friday college football package up. So I got plays multiple plays for Thursday and Friday,” stressing preparedness and access. [RJ Bell] (2:47 - 3:02) advises Fezzik to release weekend packages early, suggesting buyers will maximize the $10-to-$50 offer, showing a direct connection between financial deal and betting content. [Steve Fezzik] (3:04 - 3:14) adds credibility, noting, “I already won my underdog game of the year. Georgia Tech beats Clemson bonus pick… Clemson under nine and a half wins.” These stats reinforce his sharp projections and long-term leverage, demonstrating foresight on both single games and season totals. [RJ Bell] (3:14 - 4:54) amplifies Fezzik's success: “That's over 10 units. That's like 14 units a week.” He frames it as “crazy,” underscoring just how rare such hot streaks are. His analysis ties the value of the bulk dollar promotion to Fezzik's picks, arguing this is the “wise guy move.” He instructs listeners to buy through Pregame.com, directly linking purchase mechanics to betting success. [Steve Fezzik] (4:55 - 5:18) pivots to NFL observations: “There are no upsets in the NFL anymore… if you just money lined every four point favorite and higher so far, you are undefeated.” This team-level trend reveals a major shift in survivor pool dynamics, implying fewer surprises early in the season. He cautions it may be an “aberration” but still impactful for Week 3 strategy. [RJ Bell] (5:18 - 5:20) challenges why lead with an aberration, sharpening the analysis. [Steve Fezzik] (5:28 - 5:47) closes this segment by pointing to contrarian betting: “If you had done nothing but bet 0–2 teams week three in the NFL catching points 48, 27…” His stat illustrates historical strength of fading public panic on struggling teams, reinforcing his long-term contrarian philosophy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 3. Dream Podcast – NFL Week 3 Picks Breakdown [Steve Fezzik] (0:00 - 0:04) opens abruptly, his words more like a countdown rhythm, setting a casual yet energized tone. [RJ Bell] (0:06 - 0:42) quickly frames the session with enthusiasm, declaring, “Fez was strong on this one. Acme. Just think Acme is the key word.” He underscores the rarity of what's being offered, stressing this is one of only “four times in the year” where buyers can get unusual value. His analysis implies urgency and scarcity, pressing listeners to act. [Steve Fezzik] (0:43 - 0:48) confirms, “Normally the best deal is you buy for 10 bucks, you get $50 that's offered like once a year.” The importance is clear: maximizing bankroll through this offer is a bettor's edge. [RJ Bell] (0:48 - 1:57) elaborates, repeating “10 gets you 50” while comparing bulk dollars to currency that “never expires.” He emphasizes, “You can spend bulk dollars just like cash never expires,” framing them as stable and advantageous. His implication is that investing here amplifies purchasing power and locks in long-term flexibility. [Steve Fezzik] (1:57 - 2:00) briefly shifts, noting “Hey doc, sports is still going strong,” signaling momentum and reinforcing credibility. [RJ Bell] (2:00 - 2:22) redirects to performance, praising Fezzik: “In college football this season, Steve Fezzik is up 43 units plus. How do you do that in three weeks?” The statistic highlights extraordinary profitability, anchoring Fezzik's authority. [Steve Fezzik] (2:22 - 2:23) explains simply, “High volume,” acknowledging his strategy. [RJ Bell] (2:23 - 2:36) pushes further, asking about availability of picks, emphasizing immediacy. [Steve Fezzik] (2:36 - 2:47) clarifies, “I got my Thursday, Friday college football package up. So I got plays multiple plays for Thursday and Friday,” stressing preparedness and access. [RJ Bell] (2:47 - 3:02) advises Fezzik to release weekend packages early, suggesting buyers will maximize the $10-to-$50 offer, showing a direct connection between financial deal and betting content. [Steve Fezzik] (3:04 - 3:14) adds credibility, noting, “I already won my underdog game of the year. Georgia Tech beats Clemson bonus pick… Clemson under nine and a half wins.” These stats reinforce his sharp projections and long-term leverage, demonstrating foresight on both single games and season totals. [RJ Bell] (3:14 - 4:54) amplifies Fezzik's success: “That's over 10 units. That's like 14 units a week.” He frames it as “crazy,” underscoring just how rare such hot streaks are. His analysis ties the value of the bulk dollar promotion to Fezzik's picks, arguing this is the “wise guy move.” He instructs listeners to buy through Pregame.com, directly linking purchase mechanics to betting success. [Steve Fezzik] (4:55 - 5:18) pivots to NFL observations: “There are no upsets in the NFL anymore… if you just money lined every four point favorite and higher so far, you are undefeated.” This team-level trend reveals a major shift in survivor pool dynamics, implying fewer surprises early in the season. He cautions it may be an “aberration” but still impactful for Week 3 strategy. [RJ Bell] (5:18 - 5:20) challenges why lead with an aberration, sharpening the analysis. [Steve Fezzik] (5:28 - 5:47) closes this segment by pointing to contrarian betting: “If you had done nothing but bet 0–2 teams week three in the NFL catching points 48, 27…” His stat illustrates historical strength of fading public panic on struggling teams, reinforcing his long-term contrarian philosophy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Richard Sherman reacts to Week 2 of the 2025 NFL season, including Mac Jones lifting the San Francisco 49ers over the New Orleans Saints, Sam Darnold overcoming two first half interceptions to lead the Seattle Seahawks over Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers, Jalen Hurts’ Philadelphia Eagles eking out an ugly win over Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and the Kansas City Chiefs in their Super Bowl rematch, Russell Wilson coming up just short in the New York Giants’ overtime loss to Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys, Micah Parsons and the stingy Green Bay Packers defense locking up Jayden Daniels’ Washington Commanders, and Jared Goff throwing five touchdown passes as the Detroit Lions bounced back with a 52-point performance against Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears. 2:30 - 49ers-Saints 8:30 - Seahawks-Steelers 19:00 - Bears-Lions 31:00 - Commanders-Packers 34:30 - Giants-Cowboys 40:30 - Eagles-Chiefs 48:30 - Broncos-Colts [Timestamps may vary due to advertisements.] All lines provided by hardrock.betSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Today on The Ave Podcast, we discuss all things NFL. Everything from the future of the Atlanta Falcons; break down all of our division winner predictions; why is Miami Dolphins slowly going down the drain + Tyreek Hill; will Trevor Lawrence ever fulfill his potential; and a lot more. We back up.
Mackenzie Rivers and Dane Rivera talk NFL Survivor for Week 2.
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 2. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 2. NFL Week 2: The Picks Breakdown [RJ Bell] (0:05 - 3:09): “Alright guys, just finished up.” He immediately introduced the night's action, noting a major play on Washington at +3.5 from South Point and +3 at even money elsewhere. His breakdown emphasized confidence in the pick, urging listeners to follow the reasoning provided throughout. He also highlighted Steve Fezzik's hot streak, up 32 units already this season, and A.J. Hoffman's consistent multi-year success. This was used to reinforce credibility and demonstrate sharpness in market reads. [Steve Fezzik] (3:09 - 3:19): “Pick them to win outright.” He argued the bet was justified given the game flow, explaining it would predictably settle within a narrow margin. His comment underscored the razor-thin line between winning and losing in close spreads. [RJ Bell] (3:19 - 3:49): “But, once again, if they would have went for it down on, what was it, like the 15? Yeah, could have had a tie.” He expressed frustration over a coaching decision, pointing to how single calls can swing results. The implication was that bettors often find value or heartbreak in these fine margins. [RJ Bell] (3:52 - 3:59): “But, we almost won in the first half.” He reflected on momentum swings, stressing how first-half edges can foreshadow outcomes. His excitement revealed how bettors savor small victories even when final results turn. [Steve Fezzik] (3:59 - 4:10): “Nothing is better than betting like a baseball first five and then watching your team get their teeth kicked in.” His analogy showed the gambler's paradox—sometimes the bet is safe despite later collapses. This framed the unpredictability of sports betting as both painful and exhilarating. [RJ Bell] (4:11 - 4:39): “All right.” He explained their betting breakdown: two dimes split, with one having no vig. This transparency gave insight into bankroll strategy and why certain plays carry less risk. [Steve Fezzik] (4:39 - 4:42): “If you're listening during the summer, you won the Cincinnati under 46.” He referenced past success, reinforcing the credibility of sharp picks on season totals. [RJ Bell] (4:42 - 4:58): “By the way, Fez, I thought you were a little, let's just say, much about Seattle losing.” His pushback highlighted accountability in analysis. The back-and-forth emphasized how handicappers debate variance versus bad beats, reflecting broader conversations among bettors. [Steve Fezzik] (5:02 - 5:10): “Yeah, but I liked the spot.” He defended his position, showing conviction in handicapping angles beyond raw results. This reinforced how context matters more than outcome in evaluating a pick. Key Takeaways Player and Team Stats: The discussion referenced Washington's spread value, Seattle's underdog position, and Cincinnati's win total under 46. These stats were central to their betting angles, showing how sharp bettors exploit lines beyond just wins and losses. Strategic Insights: The speakers revealed how bankroll management (splitting dimes, avoiding vig) and situational angles (coaching calls, first-half strength) shape betting success. Implications: Their commentary stressed that variance and razor-thin spreads define the betting landscape, where judgment, timing, and discipline matter more than hindsight complaints. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers give out the best picks for NFL Week 1. 0:00–8:37 RJ Bell sets the tone with energy promising high-value picks while joking with Mackenzie Rivers He unveils a season-long focus on sharp betting and stresses that the new format will reward discipline not impulse This opening builds trust for customers looking for real betting strategy 8:37–13:08 RJ introduces “Dime-o-mite” where the crew will fire one to three games per week with up to two dimes per play The rule is simple if the best number is gone they pass This principle sets the foundation for customers who want to learn why timing matters more than chasing action 12:41–17:03 Steve Fezzik explains betting limits at sharp books and how market makers like Circa differ from giant apps RJ adds that billion-dollar operators control exposure by restricting winners The exchange teaches why price discovery and patience are as important as picking sides 18:33–26:39 Fezzik argues for Atlanta +2 5 against Tampa Bay calling it pick'em on his power ratings He cites divisional dog strength and Tampa's injury list RJ counters with Todd Bowles' 4-1 ATS record in openers with an average +12 5 cover margin RJ's point wins as coaching prep outweighs roster chatter 37:31–48:41 Seattle +2 5 at home vs San Francisco becomes the first green-lighted play Mackenzie highlights divisional dog history since 2012 while Fezzik confirms Circa's even-money line as best in market Injuries to San Francisco's skill players tilt value toward Seattle and the crew makes it official 52:24–56:58 Indianapolis +1 vs Miami sparks debate Fezzik notes both teams at 7 5 season wins and Miami's depleted corners RJ fires back with Mike McDaniel's early-season edge pointing out his 6-3 starts The lesson for customers is clear coaching patterns and timing can trump injury lists 1:02:22–1:09:34 Cleveland +5 to +5 5 vs Cincinnati gets stamped as the second best bet Mackenzie cites Burrow's struggles against Cleveland and Zac Taylor's slow starts Fezzik adds bounce-back data on teams that covered under 30% last year RJ hammers home the value of home dogs catching more than a field goal 1:11:03–1:17:23 The crew shifts to totals spotlighting quarterbacks with no preseason snaps leading to under plays RJ drills in on Bills team total under 24 to 24 5 noting McDermott's week-one Bills underperform offensive expectations by about five points 1:17:23–1:21:49 Houston vs Rams under 44 5 gets strong lean support Fezzik points to Stafford's limited work and Stroud's inexperience RJ layers in Sean McVay's dominant 6-1 ATS week-one history but agrees the scoring outlook is muted 1:27:06–1:34:27 Chicago vs Detroit turns into a coaching-tree conversation Fezzik warns Ben Johnson's absence could matter while RJ reframes it as a wait-and-see week one marker The message is that some games should be studied not bet 1:34:27–1:36:13 The Seahawks vs 49ers total lean under arises again Mackenzie notes dueling Kubiak OCs meaning fewer surprises and fewer explosive plays 1:37:01–1:40:17 Guest Dave Essler pushes Titans team total under 16 5 against Denver citing Vance Joseph's blitz packages and rookie QB struggles RJ likes the angle but reminds that week-one double-digit dogs often cover so isolating the team total is the sharper path Key statistics used throughout include Mike Evans' 1 000-yard streak Atlanta's +0 3 yards per play efficiency Tampa's field goal luck regression McVay's +9 2 week-one margin and Bowles' +12 5 opener dominance These numbers support the theme that coaching and context move lines as much as talent By closing time the official card is set Seattle +2 5 vs San Francisco Cleveland +5 vs Cincinnati Bills team total under 24 24 5 with Houston–Rams under 44 5 and Titans team total under 16 5 as strong endorsed leans delivering actionable plays backed by deep analysis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers give out the best picks for NFL Week 1. 0:00–8:37 RJ Bell sets the tone with energy promising high-value picks while joking with Mackenzie Rivers He unveils a season-long focus on sharp betting and stresses that the new format will reward discipline not impulse This opening builds trust for customers looking for real betting strategy 8:37–13:08 RJ introduces “Dime-o-mite” where the crew will fire one to three games per week with up to two dimes per play The rule is simple if the best number is gone they pass This principle sets the foundation for customers who want to learn why timing matters more than chasing action 12:41–17:03 Steve Fezzik explains betting limits at sharp books and how market makers like Circa differ from giant apps RJ adds that billion-dollar operators control exposure by restricting winners The exchange teaches why price discovery and patience are as important as picking sides 18:33–26:39 Fezzik argues for Atlanta +2 5 against Tampa Bay calling it pick'em on his power ratings He cites divisional dog strength and Tampa's injury list RJ counters with Todd Bowles' 4-1 ATS record in openers with an average +12 5 cover margin RJ's point wins as coaching prep outweighs roster chatter 37:31–48:41 Seattle +2 5 at home vs San Francisco becomes the first green-lighted play Mackenzie highlights divisional dog history since 2012 while Fezzik confirms Circa's even-money line as best in market Injuries to San Francisco's skill players tilt value toward Seattle and the crew makes it official 52:24–56:58 Indianapolis +1 vs Miami sparks debate Fezzik notes both teams at 7 5 season wins and Miami's depleted corners RJ fires back with Mike McDaniel's early-season edge pointing out his 6-3 starts The lesson for customers is clear coaching patterns and timing can trump injury lists 1:02:22–1:09:34 Cleveland +5 to +5 5 vs Cincinnati gets stamped as the second best bet Mackenzie cites Burrow's struggles against Cleveland and Zac Taylor's slow starts Fezzik adds bounce-back data on teams that covered under 30% last year RJ hammers home the value of home dogs catching more than a field goal 1:11:03–1:17:23 The crew shifts to totals spotlighting quarterbacks with no preseason snaps leading to under plays RJ drills in on Bills team total under 24 to 24 5 noting McDermott's week-one Bills underperform offensive expectations by about five points 1:17:23–1:21:49 Houston vs Rams under 44 5 gets strong lean support Fezzik points to Stafford's limited work and Stroud's inexperience RJ layers in Sean McVay's dominant 6-1 ATS week-one history but agrees the scoring outlook is muted 1:27:06–1:34:27 Chicago vs Detroit turns into a coaching-tree conversation Fezzik warns Ben Johnson's absence could matter while RJ reframes it as a wait-and-see week one marker The message is that some games should be studied not bet 1:34:27–1:36:13 The Seahawks vs 49ers total lean under arises again Mackenzie notes dueling Kubiak OCs meaning fewer surprises and fewer explosive plays 1:37:01–1:40:17 Guest Dave Essler pushes Titans team total under 16 5 against Denver citing Vance Joseph's blitz packages and rookie QB struggles RJ likes the angle but reminds that week-one double-digit dogs often cover so isolating the team total is the sharper path Key statistics used throughout include Mike Evans' 1 000-yard streak Atlanta's +0 3 yards per play efficiency Tampa's field goal luck regression McVay's +9 2 week-one margin and Bowles' +12 5 opener dominance These numbers support the theme that coaching and context move lines as much as talent By closing time the official card is set Seattle +2 5 vs San Francisco Cleveland +5 vs Cincinnati Bills team total under 24 24 5 with Houston–Rams under 44 5 and Titans team total under 16 5 as strong endorsed leans delivering actionable plays backed by deep analysis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On this edition of the Pylon Podcast, we break down each of the stand-alone NFL games during Week One. We also give our predictions for the NFL Awards, as well as predicting the Conference Championship representatives.00:30 - Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles07:13 - Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Chargers (In Brazil)12:19 - Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills16:50 - Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears22:47 - NFL Regular Season Awards & Conference Championship Predictions
RJ bell, Steve Fezzik and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL Preseason and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik talk all things NFL this week.
Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL. The guys get you ready for the preseason and much more.
Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik talk NFL, CFB & MLB. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices