Podcasts about fezzik

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things NBA playoffs. Plus, the guys discuss NFL Hard Knocks and give out best bets. In this podcast episode, RJ Bell and his expert panel analyze a historic NBA playoff collapse, strategic betting angles, and key NFL developments. The episode opens with a promotion for discounted picks at pregame.com, spotlighting successful handicappers like Dave Esler and Greg Shaker. The heart of the episode is the New York Knicks' unprecedented collapse against the Indiana Pacers in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Scott Seidenberg recounts how the Knicks lost a 14-point lead in the final 2:45, with the Pacers scoring 23 points in 3:14—an NBA playoff record since 1997. Aaron Neesmith's six 3-pointers in the fourth quarter were the most in any playoff fourth quarter since 1997–98. The panel discusses the psychological and statistical impacts of this loss, with RJ questioning how such a collapse may affect the Knicks' mindset for the rest of the series. McKenzie Rivers and Steve Fezzik explore the zigzag theory in betting, revealing that Game 2's line moved from Knicks -4.5 to -6, despite the traumatic nature of Game 1's finish. Statistical trends support a potential Knicks bounce back: favorites after a Game 1 loss are 59% ATS since 2002, particularly dominant in first quarters. However, McKenzie notes this edge vanishes when teams are closely seeded. Despite the market showing confidence in New York, concerns linger over their seven-man rotation, fatigue after an overtime loss, and historical playoff struggles. RJ emphasizes the Knicks' tendency to crumble under high expectations, comparing this year to the pressure-filled 1994 and 1999 Knicks teams. Attention then shifts to the Oklahoma City Thunder, who dominated the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 1. Anthony Edwards was held to 18 points and scoreless in the fourth quarter. The panel credits OKC's elite perimeter defense and deep roster. McKenzie highlights OKC's transition from regular-season darlings to playoff powerhouses, noting they lead the league in turnovers forced and have the lowest turnovers committed. Betting markets reflected OKC's strength; post-Game 1, their series odds jumped from -330 to -675, reflecting a 1–1.5 point market upgrade. In NFL coverage, the panel discusses two major Hard Knocks announcements: the Buffalo Bills will be featured in training camp, while the NFC East will be showcased during the regular season. They also debate the NFL's decision to retain the “tush push” after the Packers' failed attempt to ban it, with Fezzik estimating the Eagles would've been downgraded by half a point without it. Jalen Hurts' rushing TD prop even increased from 9.5 to 10.5 after the rule's preservation. The episode concludes with betting strategies across sports. RJ and Fezzik analyze the Rockies' historically bad MLB season, advocating for under 40 wins. They highlight Colorado's -160 run differential just a third into the season—on pace to break modern records. Additionally, they discuss the Tampa Bay Rays' skewed home-heavy schedule, recommending an under 77.5 wins bet as they face 59 road games in their final 97. The podcast closes with RJ teasing advanced NFL projection models and a “five-pack” of early NFL bets for next week. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the NFL schedule release. The guys also discuss Fezzik's NFL power rankings and the NBA playoffs. RJ Bell (0:05-0:24) opened the podcast celebrating the team's sharp NFL schedule release analysis and hinted at Fezzik's overenthusiasm. Mackenzie Rivers (0:24-0:26) supported RJ's disciplinary stance. RJ detailed NBA playoff promotions (0:26-1:44), highlighting Mackenzie's 20+ unit season profit and Fezzik's 21.7, while Diamond Dave Esler led with 37 units. Mackenzie (1:45-1:52) admitted frequent alignment with Fezzik's picks. RJ offered bundled picks at a discounted price. Fezzik (4:47-5:57) introduced the critical Week 18 schedule impact, noting six teams—Jets, Washington, Vegas, Pittsburgh, Carolina, Indy—may face weakened division leaders, offering betting value. RJ (5:57-6:19) supported this with Kansas City's precedent of resting players. Fezzik (7:02-7:14) warned about Saints and Jets possibly tanking due to QB issues. Scott Seidenberg (7:26-8:24) declared Kansas City's schedule as brutal, starting in Brazil, facing the Eagles, and enduring short-week matchups against Buffalo and Baltimore. RJ (8:24-13:19) added context about KC's fatigue from years of dense scheduling and pointed to their 11th hardest schedule overall. Fezzik (13:20-14:32) explained that by Robbie Greer's method, the Giants had the hardest (+1.6 per game) and the 49ers the easiest (-1.4). Fezzik (16:48-20:05) outlined a strategy of betting unders on NFC teams, due to their road-heavy schedules. RJ (22:37-23:55) spotlighted the 49ers' easiest stretch—Week 13 to 17—and New England's favorable Weeks 5-9. Scott (24:37-25:19) dissected Dallas' post-bye stretch as brutal. RJ (25:26-26:08) showcased Cincinnati's taxing three-game stretch against Baltimore, Buffalo, Baltimore. Betting insights included RJ (29:46-29:52) favoring Miami over Cincinnati in Week 16 and Fezzik (52:06-52:09) favoring Minnesota vs Cleveland in London. RJ (54:53-55:04) noted the 49ers' early season is manageable but highlighted their late-season schedule as historically easy. RJ (1:24:28-1:24:44) confidently placed a best bet on 49ers over 10 wins, supported by Mackenzie. Scott (1:25:32-1:26:07) advised splitting bets on Broncos and Chargers to fade the Chiefs in AFC West. Mackenzie (1:40:21-1:41:31) warned of increased NBA playoff injuries, stating all-star absences are five times higher than 20 years ago. He and Scott (1:43:57-1:44:05) saw the Knicks as undervalued against the Pacers, projecting the Knicks as deserving stronger home court consideration than the market indicates. Throughout, RJ questioned the sustainability of the Chiefs and emphasized the 49ers' position as strategically undervalued. The panel agreed that San Francisco remains a betting target despite roster losses, with RJ and Mackenzie noting their favorable odds across the board. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the NFL schedule release. The guys also discuss Fezzik's NFL power rankings and the NBA playoffs. RJ Bell (0:05-0:24) opened the podcast celebrating the team's sharp NFL schedule release analysis and hinted at Fezzik's overenthusiasm. Mackenzie Rivers (0:24-0:26) supported RJ's disciplinary stance. RJ detailed NBA playoff promotions (0:26-1:44), highlighting Mackenzie's 20+ unit season profit and Fezzik's 21.7, while Diamond Dave Esler led with 37 units. Mackenzie (1:45-1:52) admitted frequent alignment with Fezzik's picks. RJ offered bundled picks at a discounted price. Fezzik (4:47-5:57) introduced the critical Week 18 schedule impact, noting six teams—Jets, Washington, Vegas, Pittsburgh, Carolina, Indy—may face weakened division leaders, offering betting value. RJ (5:57-6:19) supported this with Kansas City's precedent of resting players. Fezzik (7:02-7:14) warned about Saints and Jets possibly tanking due to QB issues. Scott Seidenberg (7:26-8:24) declared Kansas City's schedule as brutal, starting in Brazil, facing the Eagles, and enduring short-week matchups against Buffalo and Baltimore. RJ (8:24-13:19) added context about KC's fatigue from years of dense scheduling and pointed to their 11th hardest schedule overall. Fezzik (13:20-14:32) explained that by Robbie Greer's method, the Giants had the hardest (+1.6 per game) and the 49ers the easiest (-1.4). Fezzik (16:48-20:05) outlined a strategy of betting unders on NFC teams, due to their road-heavy schedules. RJ (22:37-23:55) spotlighted the 49ers' easiest stretch—Week 13 to 17—and New England's favorable Weeks 5-9. Scott (24:37-25:19) dissected Dallas' post-bye stretch as brutal. RJ (25:26-26:08) showcased Cincinnati's taxing three-game stretch against Baltimore, Buffalo, Baltimore. Betting insights included RJ (29:46-29:52) favoring Miami over Cincinnati in Week 16 and Fezzik (52:06-52:09) favoring Minnesota vs Cleveland in London. RJ (54:53-55:04) noted the 49ers' early season is manageable but highlighted their late-season schedule as historically easy. RJ (1:24:28-1:24:44) confidently placed a best bet on 49ers over 10 wins, supported by Mackenzie. Scott (1:25:32-1:26:07) advised splitting bets on Broncos and Chargers to fade the Chiefs in AFC West. Mackenzie (1:40:21-1:41:31) warned of increased NBA playoff injuries, stating all-star absences are five times higher than 20 years ago. He and Scott (1:43:57-1:44:05) saw the Knicks as undervalued against the Pacers, projecting the Knicks as deserving stronger home court consideration than the market indicates. Throughout, RJ questioned the sustainability of the Chiefs and emphasized the 49ers' position as strategically undervalued. The panel agreed that San Francisco remains a betting target despite roster losses, with RJ and Mackenzie noting their favorable odds across the board. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL trades and NBA playoffs this week. The guys are gearing up for the NFL schedule release and much more.

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things sports this week. The guys discuss the NFL Draft and the aftermath of the Shedeur Sanders draft slide. Plus, the guys talk NBA Playoffs and offer up some best bets.

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA betting. The wiseguy round table does the annual Vegas wiseguy NBA Playoff draft !! conduct a unique NBA Playoffs team draft, each receiving $250 to bid on teams, with scoring based on playoff progression: 1 point for the first round, 2 for the second, 4 for reaching the Finals, and 8 for winning the title. Boston and Oklahoma City (OKC) are split into halves due to their odds outweighing the individual cap. Mackenzie wins half of Boston for $131, arguing their elite two-way metrics and experience justify the price. He notes Boston's 16–2 playoff run last year, strong net rating, and top-tier half-court efficiency. RJ and Fezzik counter with Cleveland's comparable point differential and challenge the strength of Boston's schedule in the East. Cleveland's hot shooting is scrutinized. Mackenzie explains their +18 clutch rating is extreme compared to the +4.5 average among playoff teams and unsustainable over time. Scott notes they played 38 clutch games, about average, while OKC's low number of clutch situations (24) reflects dominance. OKC's +12.6 point differential is the best in NBA history. They also had 38 wins by 15+ points and only 2 such losses. RJ emphasizes their resilience with an 18–10 record when trailing by double digits, far superior to the second-best 13–14 mark. Lower-tier play-in teams draw minimal bids. Miami goes to RJ for $3. Mackenzie critiques their 10-game losing streak post-Butler trade, Bam's decline, and poor offensive efficiency, though Spolstra and slow pace offer playoff upside. Chicago is seen as improved since trading Zach LaVine, becoming a top-10 team post-All-Star break. Bulls are split among three drafters for $1 each. RJ also picks up Orlando, who are 1600-1 to beat Boston, and praised for grit but dismissed due to weak three-point shooting. Boston led the league with 53.6% of their shots from three, the highest rate in NBA history. RJ gets Detroit for $3. Mackenzie notes they've been the most upgraded team in his power rankings and highlights Cade Cunningham's All-NBA case, but says they lack playoff-caliber depth. RJ grabs Milwaukee for $8, believing Giannis can carry them. The panel debates Lillard's availability; Mackenzie is skeptical, estimating the line implies only a 25% chance he plays. Indiana, led by Tyrese Haliburton, is drafted by Fezzik for $15 due to their strong seeding and Milwaukee matchup. RJ then wins Cleveland for $111, citing their historic shooting profile. They're the only team top five in both three-point rate and percentage. Mackenzie remains skeptical of their overall ceiling. Fezzik outbids the panel at $34 for the Knicks, but Scott highlights their 0-4 record against elite teams and suggests they've struggled against contenders. In the West, Scott makes a calculated move and takes half of OKC for $123. Mackenzie praises their evolution and improved playoff readiness. RJ wins the Clippers for $41, citing Kawhi's elite playoff form when healthy. Fezzik takes Denver for $63, stating he preferred the Clippers but couldn't risk being shut out. Scott grabs Golden State for $45 and the Lakers for $38, expecting both to have favorable paths if they advance. Mackenzie questions the Lakers' hype, citing shallow margins and overperformance against weak opponents. RJ wins the other half of OKC unopposed. The show closes with MVP debates. Jokic's season (52.5 combined PTS+REB+AST) surpasses all prior years, and media sentiment may swing votes his way. OKC's dominance and individual achievements are noted, but voter narratives and recent performances could shift ballots. RJ, Mackenzie, and Fezzik assess title probabilities and wrap with final rosters, confirming RJ and Mackenzie as high spenders and Scott's OKC acquisition as the savviest draft moment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg discuss many topics on this weeks Dream Podcast. The guys cover some NBA coaching changes and NFL season win total adjustments. Plus, Stock market and gambling markets deep dive. The Dream Podcast – NBA + NFL Win Totals & Stock Market! features RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, and Mackenzie Rivers dissecting sports betting insights and investing behavior. RJ introduces a special 90-day all-access betting package, recommending Fezzik for his strong MLB (+43 units) and NBA record. Mackenzie highlights his NBA season performance with a 57.5% win rate over 710 plays, positioning himself as a premier handicapper. The discussion turns to the NCAA tournament, where Duke blew a six-point lead to Houston in under 30 seconds despite a 92.5% win probability. Florida emerged as champions, becoming the first team in over 20 years to win three straight tournament games while trailing by eight or more points, underscoring tournament randomness. Scott discusses refusing to hedge a $300 bet to win $1,800 on Houston, which leads to RJ's broader discussion on hedging psychology—only advisable when money is emotionally or financially pivotal. The NFL segment dives into new overtime rules: both teams now receive possession, unless the first team controls the entire 10-minute period. RJ and Scott analyze how this changes endgame strategies, field goal thresholds, and 2-point conversion decisions. Shifting to NFL win totals, RJ spotlights major market movements. Dallas's total drops from 10 to 7.5 wins, which RJ deems wildly low given Dak Prescott's top-8 QB status, an elite receiver and defender, and a fourth-place schedule. He calls this his “epiphany best bet.” They compare this to Pittsburgh, questioning the sustainability of Mike Tomlin's non-losing streak amid aging quarterbacks and reliance on Mason Rudolph. RJ leans under for the Steelers. Denver firing NBA coach Michael Malone—despite playoff contention and a title last season—signals internal dysfunction. Jokic reportedly approved the move, later drawing up plays on the whiteboard. Mackenzie highlights the “dead coach bounce,” noting teams who fire their coach mid-season win 75% ATS in the next game but regress to 40% ATS in the second. Jokic's role seems to be shifting toward playmaking, suggesting betting unders on his points and overs on assists when Denver is ahead. In the final segment, RJ dives into financial strategy, likening betting discipline to investing. He advises avoiding timing the market, minimizing transaction costs, and investing via low-fee index funds over hedge or mutual funds. RJ references his finance background, recounting managing Ohio State's $7 million endowment and concluding that behavior, not picks, determines most losses. He encourages dollar-cost averaging and diversification, especially outside the U.S. dollar. The key, he insists, is resisting emotional decisions in both betting and finance.

The Circle Back crew dives deep into the latest and greatest news news and drama from Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week. In today's show, we discuss the recent development's on the spaces, Rob Pizzola's continued beef with Steve Fezzik, the NFL rule changes and much more. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circles Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off and proudly presented by Underdog.

We are back to Jacqueline month! And as you wish, the girls talk The Princess Bride. We know, it's inconceivable how long it took to talk about this one in depth but we are really sorry, we mean it. Anybody want a peanut? We're sorry but life is pain and anyone who tells you differently is selling something. Anyway, enjoy episode one of this years Jacq month and have fun storming the castle! Follow LTP on Social Media

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk CBB Final Four betting. RJ and wiseguy round table also discuss NFL season win totals and much more.

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk CBB betting for the Sweet 16.

Rob Pizzola and the team from The Hammer Betting Network dive deep into the latest news and drama making waves on Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week. In today's show we discuss the insane takes from March Madness, the sports betting influencer bracket, air our grievances and much more. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circles Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off and proudly presented by Underdog.

RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Free agency along with the NBA. Scott and Fezzik discuss CBB Conference tournament betting and much more. Quotes from the Podcast NFL Free Agency Insights

RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Free agency along with the NBA. Scott and Fezzik discuss CBB Conference tournament betting and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell. Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the aftermath of Super Bowl LIX. Fezzik also gives out a best bet. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell. Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the aftermath of Super Bowl LIX. Fezzik also gives out a best bet. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Rob Pizzola and the team from The Hammer Betting Network dive deep into the latest news and drama making waves on Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week. Today's show reacts to the Super Bowl, the latest Twitter spaces and Rob' Pizzola's HUGE beef with Steve Fezzik and FarleyBets. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circles Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off and proudly presented by Underdog.

Host C.J. Sullivan rprepares the C-Jenerates for the greatest weekend of the NFL Season,,,Divisional Playoffs! The Laddy Daddy detonates bombs for all 4 matchups including HOU/KC , WAS/DET, LAR/PHI, BAL/BUF. The Bet Detective goes deeper into the Big Dom/ Eagles fan/ Packer influencer story. , and the backlash from having a hot take TikTok. An extended Man in the Box segment about Barstool, Big Cat fandom, Jason MAC and Fezzik on X along with a tribute to the late, great Bob Eucker! Picks with bits are for obacco use only! Exclusive SGPN Bonuses And Linkshttp://linktr.ee/sportsgamblingpodcastFollow The Sports Gambling Podcast X/Twitter - https://x.com/GamblingPodcastInstagram - https://www.instagram.com/sportsgamblingpodcastTikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@gamblingpodcastFacebook - http://www.facebook.com/sportsgamblingpodcast Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER CO, DC, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA)21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800 BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI)

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL divisional round playoffs. The guys break down each of the 4 games for this weekends action. Key Insights from the Transcript

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Wild-Card betting. The guys talk through each game and offer the best picks. Dave Essler also provides a best bet.

Special thanks to friend and listener Jodi for submitting “The Princess Bride” episode as her Fan Favorite and providing audio for the new introduction.  (Originally aired 2/13/2024) “The Princess Bride” (1987) remains a beloved cult classic nearly 40 years after its release… and after you listen to this fun episode, you'll remember exactly why! Why did author William Goldman and director Rob Reiner have to fight so hard to bring this fractured fairy tale to the silver screen? What sword-fighting mishap landed Cary Elwes in the hospital? Why was the character of Inigo Montoya so personal to Mandy Patinkin, remaining his favorite role to this day? And what famous athlete-turned-actor almost played the role of the lovable Fezzik in Andre the Giant's place? We discuss all this and so much more! So if you're in the mood to revisit a nostalgic film that will have you rooting for true love, a son seeking revenge on his father's killer, and classic tales of romance and adventure, then as you wish.  Find (and subscribe to!) the show on your favorite podcast app or the Scandal Water Podcast Youtube channel.  How to support the show: Rate, review and subscribe! Send your shoutouts to scandalwaterpodcast@gmail.com. Give a gift through buymeacoffee.com/scandalwaterpod or patreon.com/ScandalWaterPodcast– which will also grant you access to fabulous bonus content! #FanFavorites #January #princessbride #bride #theprincessbride #inigomontoya #asyouwish #weddingdress #wedding #bridetobe #dreadpirateroberts #bridal #princessbuttercup #westley #caryelwes #inconceivable #fezzik #mandypatinkin #robinwright #fireswamp #brides #dress #mariage #love #valentinesday #loveisintheair #podcast #RomCom #RomanticComedy #movie #film

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 17 from a betting perspective. The Vegas wiseguys give out this weeks strongest picks and more.

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk all things NFL and much more on this weeks episode of the Fezzik's Focus Podcast. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 15 recap. The guys also talk some poker and much more. Week 15 Overview: Boring Slate and Key Metrics Scott Seidenberg laments the dullness of the early afternoon games, with few close contests, except the Jets-Jaguars matchup (1:55-2:45). Mackenzie Rivers adds data: Winning teams averaged a 93.5% fourth-quarter win share, the highest in three years and third-highest in six years (3:14-3:44). Notable Metrics: Closest game: Jets vs. Jaguars. 49ers-Rams wasn't close. The NFL's Poor Fundamentals Steve Fezzik criticizes multiple teams for poor endgame decisions (4:03-4:55): Example 1: Arizona failed to make a clear distinction between a 20- and 21-point lead. Example 2: Atlanta gave the Raiders unnecessary time after an incompletion. Quote Analysis (5:32-6:44): Fezzik observes an “epidemic” of dropped passes. Puka Nacua, however, secures every catch because he “stares at the ball into his hands.” Mackenzie Rivers attributes drops to receivers focusing on YAC (yards after catch), unlike older eras of “fundamentals.” Game Analysis and Faulty Results Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos Steve Fezzik identifies this as a "faulty final" (7:25-7:37). Turning Point: Jonathan Taylor fumbled with the Colts poised to lead 20-7, but Denver capitalized, outscoring Indianapolis 24-0 to win 31-13 (9:14-9:29). Key Criticism: Denver's poor sportsmanship and focus as a player unnecessarily celebrated a touchdown, risking a penalty (10:15-10:39). Final Takeaway: Fezzik asserts both teams are fundamentally flawed and not playoff-worthy (10:54-11:04). Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions Scott Seidenberg argues the 48-42 final score is misleading, as Buffalo dominated (11:18-11:58). Game Context: Detroit scored two late touchdowns; Buffalo maintained a 97% fourth-quarter win share. Dan Campbell's controversial onside kick strategy reflects his lack of trust in Detroit's defense (12:20-12:28). Team Insight: Fezzik believes Detroit is the third-best team in the NFC North. Injuries, including David Montgomery, diminish their playoff hopes (13:43-14:00). Mackenzie predicts Minnesota wins the division (12:36-13:26). Green Bay Packers Resurgence Mackenzie Rivers praises Jordan Love's improvement (14:30-14:51). Jordan Love: Currently ranked 11th in PFF's QBR composite. Scott Seidenberg adds context: Green Bay's losses (Eagles, Vikings, Lions) are “respectable” (14:51-15:14). Packers' Super Bowl Odds: +1200; Mackenzie identifies eight realistic contenders, including the Packers and Ravens (15:37-15:52). Best/Worst Performances Best Performance (Bad Team): Dallas Cowboys (16:04-16:34). Worst Performance: Carolina Panthers, who “reverted back” to their poor form. Bryce Young's turnovers and overall disarray highlighted why Carolina has been underdogs in 33 straight games (16:49-17:27). Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Chargers Tampa Bay Bucs dominated the Chargers 40-17. Steve Fezzik highlights Baker Mayfield's road success: 13-4 ATS and 17-0 in six-point teasers (32:05-32:25). Chargers' Playoff Path: Seidenberg explores playoff machine scenarios but suggests losses in critical games will cost them (19:00-19:31). Baltimore Ravens: Playoff Path and Stats Lamar Jackson (26:06-26:37): 21/25 passing, 290 yards, 5 TDs against the Giants. Fezzik highlights Baltimore's yards-per-play differential of 1.5, making them “three times better” than Buffalo in this metric (26:06-26:29). Playoff Path: Ravens must beat the Steelers and hope for a Steelers loss against Kansas City or Cincinnati (30:04-30:18). Key Matchups and Line Discussions for Week 16 Buffalo Bills: 13.5-point favorites over New England (36:17-36:57). Eagles vs. Commanders: Line: Eagles -3; Fezzik believes it should be -4.5 based on power ratings (39:01-39:52). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk all things NFL and much more on this weeks episode of the Fezzik's Focus Podcast. Key Quotes with Analysis "Atlanta's running out the clock, and they throw the ball on third and sixth when literally they could have run another 40 seconds off." Timestamp (0:32 - 0:49) | Steve Fezzik criticizes Atlanta's decision-making. Analysis: Atlanta's strategic misstep in Week 15 could have cost them the game. By opting to pass instead of running down the clock, they failed to maximize their lead. Fezzik points out these decisions as examples of poor game management that influence results, especially in critical betting scenarios. "I got the Colts under eight and a half wins. They're six and eight with three easy games on their schedule." Timestamp (1:22 - 2:30) | Steve Fezzik highlights his futures bets on team win totals. Insight: Fezzik tracks multiple ongoing bets, including critical projections for the Colts (under 8.5 wins), Ravens (under 11 wins), and Falcons. He notes that Week 17's Colts matchup will be pivotal. Such futures bets hinge on late-season results, especially as teams face “easy” opponents. "Kansas City somehow wins by 14, despite playing equally... Six-and-a-half to seven-point downgrade if Mahomes can't go." Timestamp (5:17 - 5:34) | Discussion on Patrick Mahomes' injury and impact. Analysis: Fezzik emphasizes Mahomes' health as the most significant factor for the Chiefs. The absence of Mahomes would result in a significant downgrade, reflected in early spreads favoring the Texans (-2.5). This showcases how injury speculation immediately shifts betting lines. "Detroit absolutely dominated that game. Big uptick for Buffalo, huge downtick for Detroit because of the defensive injuries." Timestamp (5:57 - 7:03) | Buffalo's dominance vs. Detroit's injury struggles. Insight: Despite a narrow scoreline, Fezzik highlights Buffalo's control of the game and Detroit's growing injury concerns. Detroit losing RB David Montgomery (meniscus injury) and multiple defensive players raises questions about their long-term competitiveness. "Tampa Bay is surging. They're up to my number seven team. San Fran is refalling... They're now my number 16 team." Timestamp (10:08 - 10:21) | Mid-tier team power ratings shift. Insight: Tampa Bay has climbed in Fezzik's power ratings, while San Francisco has plummeted due to key issues. The contrast underscores how injuries, poor execution, and form fluctuations impact a team's perception, even late in the season. "The efficiency of the marketplace has gotten more and more difficult... Atlanta game closes as a 6.5-point favorite and wins by exactly six." Timestamp (14:06 - 16:35) | Fezzik explains modern betting efficiency. Insight: Fezzik highlights how the NFL betting market has become increasingly efficient, particularly in line movement. The Atlanta game serves as a prime example where early bets (Falcons -4) were profitable, but late value was minimal. Team and Player Analysis Key Players Desmond Ritter (Atlanta Falcons): Critical to Atlanta's struggles, Fezzik criticized Ritter's conservative play, burning time without effective gains. Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs): Mahomes' injury speculation influenced spreads, downgrading the Chiefs' power rating by 6.5–7 points. David Montgomery (Detroit Lions): Out with a knee injury, Montgomery's absence adds significant pressure on Detroit's offense. Jonathan Taylor (Indianapolis Colts): Munaf jokes about Taylor's critical blunder, emphasizing coaching responsibility in key moments. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 15 from a betting perspective. The guys give out the strongest picks for this weeks football action. Dave Essler also chimes in with a best bet. Quotes and Analysis with Timestamps

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik discuss NFL Week 14 review. The guys also talk power ratings and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 13 review. Munaf and Fezzik also talk Las Vegas and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Thanksgiving Day games. Plus, the guys discuss NFL Friday Raiders and Chiefs. Best bets as always. Detailed Breakdown of Quotes, Statistics, and Analysis: Thanksgiving Trends (0:59 - 1:51) Quote: "Since 2004, the favorites on Thanksgiving are 38-19 ATS." Analysis: The dominance of favorites on Thanksgiving underscores the impact of reduced preparation time, which often advantages superior teams. This trend is further emphasized for double-digit favorites, who perform exceptionally well (11-2-1 ATS historically). Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears (4:29 - 23:05) Player Insights: The Lions' Amon-Ra St. Brown, David Montgomery, and other key players faced injury concerns but were deemed likely to play. Team Insights: Detroit boasts a stellar ATS record under Dan Campbell (65% career ATS). Chicago is in a tough spot, coming off consecutive divisional losses, including an overtime game, which historically disadvantages teams playing on short rest (9-30 ATS since 1989). Betting Perspective: Steve Fezzik suggests Detroit at -10.5 is strong, citing their home-field advantage, preparation history, and Chicago's weaknesses. Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins (34:34 - 40:54) Cold Weather Concerns: Miami struggles significantly in sub-30°F games, with Tua Tagovailoa's 0-4 record and ATS underperformance highlighted (fails to cover by 18 PPG in these conditions). Betting Market Dynamics: The market's predictable reaction to weather reports caused line shifts in Green Bay's favor. Fezzik had preemptively bet Green Bay -3, aligning with historical advantages for home teams in cold climates. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders (42:05 - 49:47) Player Performance: Travis Kelce, on the cusp of breaking the Chiefs' all-time receiving touchdown record, is a focal point. Scott predicts Mahomes will target him specifically, making Kelce an anytime TD scorer a strong narrative-driven bet. Team Analysis: Kansas City ranks fifth in fourth-quarter win shares (75%), showcasing their ability to close games effectively. Betting Opportunities: RJ suggests Kansas City's second-half performance, especially their likelihood of maintaining aggression if ahead, as a valuable angle. A wager on Kansas City -5.5 in the second half is proposed. Key Points from the Episode:

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Recap and the week ahead. Plus, Fezzik talks Vegas contests and much more. Team and Player Statistics with Analysis Circa Survivor Contest (0:42-6:18) Survivor Stats: Week 12 began with 95 live entries and ended with 54, marking significant eliminations. An entry failed due to a missed pick, wasting $120,000 in equity. Strategy Advice: Fezzik emphasized the importance of proxies for critical decisions in high-stakes scenarios and advised against splitting multiple entries to underdogs. Phony Finals (7:07-11:49) Dallas vs. Washington (7:26): Despite a 60-point game, Dallas benefited from two kick-return touchdowns. Fezzik criticized their special teams management. Tennessee vs. Houston (8:44): The Titans dominated with 132 rushing yards versus Houston's 40. Houston's points were skewed by turnovers. Denver vs. Las Vegas (10:40): Denver's 10-point win seemed exaggerated as stats were nearly equal. Fezzik noted the key role of turnovers. Rookie Quarterbacks (11:50-12:06)Fezzik ranked rookie QBs: Jaden Daniels, Bo Nix, Caleb Williams, and Drake May. Daniels was praised for rebounding after an injury. Power Ratings Updates (14:01-20:05) Downgrades: New York Giants: -2 points for poor performances. Houston Texans: -1.5 points, citing inflated early ratings. San Francisco 49ers: -1 point, seen as a decline from top-tier contenders. Upgrades: Dallas Cowboys: +1 point for consistent wins. Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles: +1 each, establishing them as top NFC contenders. Baltimore and Kansas City Insights (20:05-20:51)Fezzik predicted Baltimore and Kansas City would face difficulties maintaining playoff dominance. The Chiefs need to improve consistency, despite close wins. Speaker Highlights and Notable Quotes Munaf Manji (7:07, 15:20) NFL Observations: Identified Houston's struggles against tougher schedules. Betting Tips: Highlighted Dolphins' recovery, urging cautious optimism for their playoff potential. Steve Fezzik (2:28, 14:36) Survivor Analysis: Urged against betting underdogs in high-stakes competitions. Power Ratings: Asserted only four realistic Super Bowl contenders: Detroit, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Buffalo. Key Humor (13:17-13:48)Fezzik joked about catching five passes better than professional players, adding a personal touch to the serious analysis. Conclusion The episode effectively recaps Week 12 while giving forward-looking predictions. Fezzik's power ratings spotlight the NFL's top teams while addressing the intricacies of contests like Circa Survivor. Their banter balances technical analysis with entertainment. Key Points Summary

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 11 recap. Munaf and Fezzik talks teams on the rise and decline and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting Week 11. The guys give out the best picks and much more. In the NFL Week 11 podcast, hosts RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg, and Mackenzie Rivers discuss betting strategies and game predictions, highlighting key matchups, player performances, and team trends. Here's a breakdown of each main game covered: Eagles vs. Commanders: Fezzik supports the Eagles, citing their powerful offense and Hurts' dual-threat capabilities. RJ Bell, however, sees potential in Washington, suggesting bets on alternative spreads for an upset possibility. Steelers vs. Ravens: Seidenberg trusts Tomlin's strong track record against the Ravens, especially with Jackson struggling historically against the Steelers' defense. RJ Bell prefers a bet on Baltimore in the first half, as the Steelers tend to pick up momentum later. Chiefs vs. Bills: Rivers backs Mahomes' success as an underdog, while Fezzik leans toward the under, highlighting Kansas City's defense. RJ, however, predicts the game could exceed the total points, given Buffalo's scoring potential and Kansas City's recent injuries. Raiders vs. Dolphins: Both RJ and Fezzik bet on the game under 44.5 points, predicting a conservative game with Miami leaning on the run if they lead and Las Vegas playing cautiously. Vikings vs. Titans: Seidenberg focuses on the Vikings' strong blitz defense, which he expects to disrupt Tennessee's rookie QB, Will Levis. He sees this as a mismatch that favors Minnesota. Packers vs. Bears: Fezzik favors the Packers due to Green Bay's consistent success over Chicago and the Bears' ongoing offensive line injuries, suggesting a bet on the Packers to cover. Additional themes include alternative lines, same-game parlays, and injury-driven picks. The “dead cat bounce” theory is applied, meaning teams may perform poorly following an initial boost after coaching changes. Injury impacts are discussed throughout, particularly for games like Chiefs vs. Bills. Key Takeaways: Fezzik and RJ Bell's Divergent Strategies: While Fezzik often leans toward established favorites, RJ explores underdog opportunities and creative spread bets. Player Impact on Bets: The analysis includes how specific players, like Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, and Will Levis, influence outcomes, with betting strategies tailored to their strengths and weaknesses. Divisional Game Insights: Rivalries, particularly Steelers vs. Ravens, showcase historical betting trends. This podcast provides fans with insightful betting options, focusing on game dynamics, injuries, and unique strategies for each matchup. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Week 10 review. Sleepy and Munaf talk NFL product, Vegas and more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

SleepyJ and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 9 & 10. Fezzik becomes mayor for the day and we go rapid fire questions and Fezzik gives out an early best bet. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 8 recap. Fezzik and Munaf also discuss NFL week 9 and Fezzik gives out a few best bets. In the podcast hosted by Munaf Manji with Steve Fezzik, the two delve into NFL Week 8's significant performances, player stats, and contest updates, alongside Week 9 insights and power ratings. Survivor Contest Update (1:46): Fezzik shares updates on the Circa Survivor, betting on the Lions, and mentions his sixth-place position in the Circa Invitational despite recent challenges. Scoring Trends & Kickoff Rule Impact (3:08): Manji notes an 11-4 over trend, attributing it to new kickoff rules that enable favorable field positioning. Fezzik agrees, observing that quarterbacks need several weeks to find rhythm due to the shorter preseason. Strategy Shift (4:38): Fezzik highlights a shift where teams increasingly opt for long passes on third downs, offering higher returns, which aligns with aggressive plays seen from quarterbacks like Russell Wilson. Player Analysis - Jameis Winston (6:31): Winston's impressive performance as a fill-in led to an upset over Baltimore. His efficient passing provided an unexpected offensive boost. Game Breakdowns & Phony Finals: Detroit vs. Tennessee: Despite a dominant score, the Lions benefited from exceptional special teams and field positioning rather than yardage. Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay: Although Tampa Bay led in yardage and first downs, they lost, indicating a misaligned scoreboard. Jets vs. New England: Fezzik describes New England's victory as misleading since the Jets outperformed statistically. Despite the Jets' 2-6 record, he rates them above-average but cites quarterback struggles. Chargers vs. New Orleans: Fezzik gives a slight upgrade to the Chargers after a well-rounded performance and identifies ongoing injury issues for New Orleans. Kansas City's Defensive Edge (14:21): Kansas City's defensive strength is emphasized, as the team's solid defense would position them as favorites with a more potent offense. Coaching & Analytics (16:40): Fezzik underscores the importance of analytics in coaching, criticizing teams that ignore optimal two-point conversion decisions. He advocates for hiring analytics experts to guide decisions and avoid old-fashioned tactics. Power Rating Adjustments (20:14): In Week 9, Cleveland's ranking sees a boost due to stronger quarterback play, while Dallas drops as defensive injuries expose vulnerabilities. Las Vegas Lifestyle Tips (22:06): Fezzik suggests Red Rock Canyon for scenic activities and recommends Mountains Edge Regional Park for a mix of sports facilities, providing family-friendly alternatives outside the typical Vegas experience. Dining in Vegas (26:42): Fezzik recommends Nobu's beef Wagyu tacos and spicy rock shrimp, advising listeners on budget-friendly ways to enjoy high-end Vegas dining. Fezzik concludes with a college football pick for Connecticut over Georgia State, citing favorable game conditions for Connecticut. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Week 7 and NFL Week 8. Fezzik's Focus NFL Week 8 - Detailed Summary Conclusion This week's discussion explored several key NFL games and outcomes from Week 7, where Sleepy J and Munaf Manji delved into phony finals, reflecting on how turnovers and penalties influenced final scores. They agreed that the Rams were outplayed by the Raiders, but turnovers changed the outcome. Similarly, the Seahawks' 20-point victory over the Falcons was misleading due to Atlanta's errors. The Texans were also highlighted as needing improvement despite winning against the Packers, mostly due to turnovers. The duo also touched on MVP favorites and future odds, emphasizing the importance of careful betting strategies based on situational factors. Key Points Raiders vs. Rams: Despite a win, the Rams were lucky due to turnovers by the Raiders. The stats suggest the Raiders outplayed the Rams. Seahawks vs. Falcons: Seattle's 20-point win was misleading, as Atlanta beat themselves with penalties and turnovers. Statistically, the game was much closer. Texans vs. Packers: Despite a two-point Packers win, stats showed the Texans were underwhelming, and turnovers were key to keeping it close. Player Statistics: CJ Stroud's weak performance (10 of 21 for 86 yards) sparked discussion about his potential sophomore slump. Turnovers and Penalties: Across multiple games, turnovers and penalties played crucial roles in misleading final scores, including Atlanta's errors against Seattle. Sleepy's Betting Insights: Be cautious after a big betting week, as lines may overcompensate. MVP Odds: Lamar Jackson emerged as a top MVP contender after his Monday Night performance, overtaking Patrick Mahomes. Futures Talk: Sleepy J suggests the Vikings and Jets could offer value in future markets based on their schedules and potential for winning streaks. Vegas Tips: Sleepy shares some of his favorite off-strip food spots in Las Vegas, including Greek and Venezuelan eateries. Best Bets: Sleepy recommends bets for the upcoming week, favoring the Vikings, Falcons, Jets, and Texans. Summary Raiders vs. Rams: and agree the Raiders played better, but turnovers led to the Rams' win. Raiders had more plays (75 to 52), yet Rams capitalized on key turnovers. Seahawks vs. Falcons: highlights how Atlanta's penalties and turnovers, including two interceptions, gifted Seattle a 20-point win. Seattle's defensive pressure was a factor, but it wasn't as dominant as the score suggests. Texans vs. Packers: points out CJ Stroud's disappointing performance with only 86 passing yards, contributing to the Texans' struggles despite winning the turnover battle 3-0. Ravens vs. Buccaneers: discusses Baltimore's misleading win as Tampa Bay scored twice late in the game, benefitting from a prevent defense. MVP Favorites: lists Lamar Jackson as the new MVP favorite after his Monday Night Football performance, ahead of Mahomes and Josh Allen. Sleepy J supports betting on potential MVP candidates like Jordan Love and CJ Stroud. Phony Finals Analysis: emphasizes the importance of recognizing misleading results due to turnovers or late-game plays to avoid betting traps the following week. Sleepy's Betting Process: shares his approach, preferring situational analysis over strict power ratings, noting that over-reliance on power rankings can mislead. Vikings and Jets Futures: suggests betting on the Vikings and Jets, predicting these teams will gain value as the season progresses. Vegas Off-Strip Food Recommendations: shares tips on where to eat off the Vegas strip, including authentic Greek and Venezuelan food. Best Bets: recommends betting on the Vikings against the Rams, and a teaser involving the Jets and Texans. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 7 betting. The guys give out their best picks for this week and much more. Speaker Insights and Key Moments (Timestamps included): RJ Bell (0:05 - 1:49) introduces the show, reflecting on a poor betting week. He promotes a $777 basketball season deal for picks, highlighting Mackenzie's 57% win rate over nearly 600 NBA plays. Steve Fezzik (2:21 - 2:31) humorously discusses his difficulties in getting Mackenzie's picks, acknowledging Mackenzie's NBA betting success. RJ refers to Mackenzie as an NBA betting superstar. Steve Fezzik (4:05 - 4:46) discusses home underdogs' historically bad performance, going 0-10 against the spread, a statistical anomaly. Fezzik states, “This won't happen again in my lifetime,” emphasizing the rarity of this outcome. Scott Seidenberg (5:15 - 5:20) confirms that road favorites went 9-0 ATS (against the spread), marking the most covers by road favorites since the merger. The streak extends to 12-0 if combining the results of Weeks 5 and 6. RJ Bell (6:09 - 6:40) reflects on road favorites' performance and mentions how blindly following trends, such as backing road favorites, can lead to disaster. He believes this was the worst week in their betting history. Steve Fezzik (7:10 - 7:33) provides insight into a betting strategy involving Jacksonville's line movement before the game. He discusses the potential for cash-out strategies in betting but acknowledges that they often favor the sportsbook. RJ Bell (9:55 - 10:31) engages in a philosophical discussion about hedging, illustrating how life-changing money influences betting decisions, referencing a hypothetical $35 million cash-out on a $50 million proposition. Steve Fezzik (13:41 - 13:50) compares the unpredictability of the NFL to a roulette wheel, underscoring the randomness of recent betting outcomes and the challenge of predicting future results. Steve Fezzik (20:12 - 20:46) presents a compelling case for betting on Tennessee (+9), supported by advanced statistics. He compares teams' yards per play, showing that Tennessee's defense is among the best in the NFL, even slightly better than Buffalo's defense. Fezzik believes this makes Tennessee a valuable underdog bet. Scott Seidenberg (21:23 - 21:33) briefly supports Tennessee, echoing Fezzik's sentiment about the volatility of last week's results. He points out that this week might be favorable for the underdogs, including Tennessee. RJ Bell (23:28 - 24:17) discusses Buffalo's declining status from being perceived as a top-five team earlier in the season. Despite this, Bell believes Buffalo remains overvalued, particularly when laying 9.5 points. Steve Fezzik (25:15 - 25:23) analyzes Amari Cooper's value to the Buffalo offense, initially rating him as only worth a half-point boost in betting lines, but admits Cooper's value might increase with more integration into Buffalo's system. Scott Seidenberg (29:53 - 30:07) analyzes trends involving teams coming off 20-point wins, supporting Detroit against Minnesota this week. He provides historical data on teams in similar situations, which supports the idea that Detroit may be undervalued. RJ Bell (33:55 - 34:15) wraps up with a humorous take, arguing that betting on Minnesota-Detroit over is simplistic, but he supports Minnesota based on their defense's strength and the weak opposing defense. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik take a look back at NFL Week 6. They also discuss Week 7 and pools in Las Vegas and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Rob Pizzola and the team from The Hammer Betting Network dive deep into the latest news and drama making waves on Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circles Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off HQ and proudly presented by Pinnacle Sportsbook. Circle Back presented by Pinnacle ON TWITTER... Follow CirclesOff - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ Follow Rob - https://x.com/RobPizzola Follow The Hammer - https://x.com/TheHammerHQ Follow Geoff - https://x.com/gfienberg17 Follow Jason - https://x.com/TakesByJ Follow Zack- https://x.com/zackphill SHOW INDEX... 0:00 – Circle Back is bad? 8:37 - Not all bets need to be +EV? 13:03 - Is this the best fantasy punishment? 18:38 - Should Sam Darnold CPOY bets get voided? 27:02 - Sportsbooks didn't refund Chris Olave bets 31:43 - How to make 100% hit rate parlays 35:20 - JJ Gruden big play bets are CANCELLED 43:16 - Fezzik debuts “Swimming Bets” If you want more from Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, Jason Cooper and Zack Phillips, check out the rest of their content on www.thehammer.bet NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and so much more from some of the biggest content creators in the sports betting space. Whether it be strategies, picks, reactions, previews, or picks... we've got it all. #SportsBetting #Betting #betstamp #bettingtips #bettingstrategy #bettingstrategies #bettingadvice #gambling Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 5 reactions. Fezz talks Vegas breakfast spots and much more. The Week 5 Fezzik Focus Podcast provides in-depth analysis of NFL games, betting contests, and team/player performances. Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik engage in a discussion on Fezzik's results and key observations from Week 5. Contest Updates (0:02 - 5:04) Fezzik, a two-time Super Contest winner, reflects on his 2-5 record in the 2024 Circa Invitational, contrasting it with a 12-4 record for his clients. He explains that betting variance plays a big role, with numbers differing between contests and client picks. Despite his struggles, Fezzik remains in the top five but admits that improving from a 50% win rate will be challenging. Fezzik: “People were like how in the world did you go two and five in the contest but you went 12 and four for your clients?” (2:10) Survivor Pools and Betting Trends (5:04 - 8:55) Fezzik dives into Week 5 Survivor Pool eliminations, focusing on the unexpected losses by the heavily favored Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers. He points out how underdogs have consistently upset favorites this season. Fezzik: “There's just something about this season where five and a half to six-point favorites are falling flat.” (6:21) Phony Finals and Game Breakdowns (8:56 - 12:39) Fezzik shares insights on misleading final scores: Buffalo vs. Houston: Though the scoreboard appeared close, Houston dominated in yards per play and total yardage. Indianapolis vs. Jacksonville: Fezzik is baffled that the game was tied late, given Jacksonville's statistical dominance. He criticizes Deshaun Watson harshly, suggesting that Cleveland should bench him in favor of Jameis Winston. Fezzik: “It's time to relegate him... that dude is not getting it done.” (9:55) Quarterback Rankings and Player Evaluations (13:50 - 16:26) Fezzik ranks Jaden Daniels as the 15th-best quarterback this season and expects him to rise into the top 10. He expresses disappointment in Deshaun Watson, ranking him 32nd and labeling him as one of the worst quarterbacks in the league. Fezzik: “I have him 32nd, four and a half points worse than an average quarterback.” (15:05) Power Ratings and Team Updates (17:05 - 20:05) Fezzik discusses teams that saw the most significant movement in his power ratings: Cleveland drops three points due to Watson's struggles. Carolina drops one point, with Fezzik suggesting their defense is among the worst in the league. Fezzik: “I make Cleveland four and a half worse than an average team.” (17:17) He also addresses the Cincinnati Bengals, noting their defensive woes, though he keeps their power rating unchanged due to Joe Burrow's strong offense. NFL Parity and Final Thoughts (20:05 - 23:05) Fezzik highlights the parity in the NFL, explaining that no team has been dominant. He considers Kansas City the best team but notes that the gap between the top seven teams is minimal. Fezzik: “The best team in the league is Kansas City, and they're just barely...” (20:05) Conclusion and Vegas Tips (25:17 - 27:38) Fezzik concludes with Las Vegas recommendations, encouraging visitors to explore downtown as construction for the upcoming F1 race disrupts the Strip. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 5 recap. The guys also look ahead to NFL Week 6 Steve Fezzik (0:48-3:36) highlights the recent uptick in scoring after a slow start to the season. He notes that, contrary to expectations, the kickoff rule changes haven't led to more scoring, but Week 5 saw more offensive touchdowns. Fezzik suggests that this increase could be tied to offenses adjusting to defenses, which initially had the upper hand. RJ Bell (1:15-5:38) agrees, positing that early-season defensive strategies caught offenses off guard, but Week 5's spike may indicate a shift as offenses find ways to counter. Fezzik believes betting the over on total points may now be profitable. Field Goal Trends and Red Zone Efficiency: Scott Seidenberg (7:47-8:47) observes a significant increase in long field goals. Through five weeks, 11 teams are averaging two or more field goals per game, up from just five teams last season. This rise points to field goal kickers becoming more important, even as teams continue to go for it on fourth down. The group also discusses San Francisco's red zone struggles. Despite leading the NFL in red zone plays, the 49ers rank 22nd in red zone efficiency (EPA), a sharp decline from last year's top spot (18:49-20:23). This inefficiency is a concern, especially for a team expected to compete for championships. Key Team and Player Performances: Kirk Cousins (6:15-7:47) draws attention for his steady performances. Fezzik views him as a borderline top-10 quarterback, but RJ argues that Cousins' play this season ranks even higher. The group compares him to more volatile quarterbacks like Kyler Murray, noting that consistency is key. The New York Jets (13:40-14:20) come under scrutiny for their disappointing 2-3 start. Seidenberg points out that despite high hopes with Aaron Rodgers, the offense has stagnated, scoring the same amount of points as last season under Zach Wilson. However, the Jets' defense ranks second in the NFL, giving them a glimmer of hope for a playoff push. Betting Insights and Power Ratings: Fezzik suggests that power ratings need drastic adjustments after Week 5 (3:36-5:38). Teams like Washington, initially viewed as weak, have outperformed, while Cleveland has underwhelmed. Washington's dominant win over Cleveland forces a reassessment of both teams' strengths. The group also discusses how to handle quarterback unpredictability in betting. Fezzik suggests quarterbacks who significantly outperform expectations should bump the team's rating, but warns that quarterback volatility makes it tough to rely on any one metric. Phony Final Scores: Fezzik highlights "phony final scores" where the stats don't align with the result (34:00-34:24). For instance, despite being outgained in yardage, Pittsburgh nearly defeated Dallas through turnovers and grit. Such games can mislead bettors relying on the final score rather than underlying metrics. Chiefs' Dominance and Week 5 Scoring Spike: The podcast emphasizes the Kansas City Chiefs' dominance (17:10-19:49), noting that they've played the fewest defensive snaps while trailing this season (48 plays), reflecting their ability to control games. In comparison, San Francisco is second with 49 plays while trailing. This speaks to both teams' dominance in holding leads. Finally, Week 5's scoring surge (15:10-16:18) is noted, with an average of 50 points per game, nearly six points above expectations. While Fezzik sees this as unsustainable, the group agrees that it reflects a shift in offensive effectiveness. Conclusion: The podcast provides in-depth insights into NFL Week 5, from evolving scoring trends to team evaluations and betting strategies. With a focus on key performances, player analysis, and statistical breakdowns, the hosts guide listeners on how to adjust their betting strategies moving forward, particularly as teams like Washington and Kansas City emerge as key players this season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Rob Pizzola and the team from The Hammer Betting Network dive deep into the latest news and drama making waves on Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circles Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off HQ and proudly presented by Pinnacle Sportsbook. Circle Back presented by Pinnacle ON TWITTER... Follow CirclesOff - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ Follow Rob - https://x.com/RobPizzola Follow The Hammer - https://x.com/TheHammerHQ Follow Geoff - https://x.com/gfienberg17 Follow Jason - https://x.com/TakesByJ Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna SHOW INDEX... 0:00 – Welcome to Circle Back 0:39 – Fezzik stirs the Gambling Twitter pot all week 12:59 – Barstool Tate ends Chalktober Early 19:54 – Biggie vs. Bet105 33:22 – Can you bet with a $50 bankroll? 39:19 - Is BookItWithTrent's content harmful? 52:31 – GRPWins goes after Adam Chernoff 1:04:52 – Taylor Mathis' rise to stardom If you want more from Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, Jason Cooper and Jacob Gramegna, check out the rest of their content on www.thehammer.bet NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and so much more from some of the biggest content creators in the sports betting space. Whether it be strategies, picks, reactions, previews, or picks... we've got it all. #SportsBetting #Betting #betstamp #bettingtips #bettingstrategy #bettingstrategies #bettingadvice #gambling Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 4 recap. They also discuss what to expect in NFL Week 5 betting. Misleading Results (Atlanta vs. New Orleans) Steve Fezzik discusses how the Atlanta-New Orleans game had fluky results due to two unusual touchdowns. He argues that New Orleans should have won easily despite the final score. (1:23 - 2:14) Jets' Offensive Woes Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik analyze the Jets' offensive struggles, with Aaron Rodgers visibly frustrated over miscommunication with receivers. They criticize coach Robert Salah for poor adjustments during the game. (5:02 - 6:09) Justin Fields' Performance Justin Fields of Pittsburgh had one of his best games with over 300 passing yards and 2 rushing touchdowns, but despite this, his team still lost. Fezzik kept Pittsburgh's rating unchanged. (23:45 - 23:59) Minnesota Vikings Upgrade The Vikings saw a five-point upgrade after their strong performance in Week 4. Sam Darnold's three-touchdown game solidified his position in MVP talks. (9:48 - 11:10) Betting Insights (Week 5) Steve Fezzik provides betting strategies for Week 5, noting the Chiefs' and Vikings' favorable odds, particularly with Kansas City benefiting from an easier remaining schedule. (37:00 - 37:04) Kansas City Chiefs Analysis The Chiefs have faced the fourth hardest schedule so far but are well-positioned for future success, given their easier upcoming games. (33:50 - 34:19) Survivor Contest Strategies Fezzik discusses strategies for NFL Survivor pools, explaining how to make strategic plays for the upcoming weeks. (56:00 - 56:28) Strength of Schedule The Kansas City Chiefs and Falcons are noted for having the easiest remaining schedules, setting them up for strong performances in the rest of the season. (33:09 - 33:11) Team Injuries and Future Matchups Fezzik warns that teams like the Buccaneers and Eagles, despite performing well, may face injury concerns moving forward. (23:01 - 23:08) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 4 rankings and much more. Week 5 is on the horizon and Fezzik talks teams to look at. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg give out NFL Week 4 Picks. The guys deep dive into some of the leagues best and worst teams. Dave Essler also chimes in with his Week 4 best bet. Introduction (RJ Bell: 0:16 - 1:38) The podcast opens with RJ Bell commending the insights shared, specifically Steve Fezzik convincing him to back a game he was initially unsure about. The team then dives into a promotion for "Weekender" packages for sports betting enthusiasts, offering access to picks across multiple sports for $10, down from the usual $89. Analysis and Key Team Trends Jacksonville Jaguars (+6.5) vs. Buffalo Bills (Steve Fezzik: 13:24 - 16:59) Fezzik's top pick for Week 4 is the Jacksonville Jaguars at +6.5 against the Buffalo Bills. He critiques the significant shift in odds after Jacksonville's poor performance on Monday Night Football. Fezzik believes the line overreacts to recency bias, citing how Jacksonville's spread moved from +4.5 last week to +6.5 against a Bills team that is only a few points better than Houston. He argues that the number is too generous and sees value in backing the Jaguars. Quote (Steve Fezzik: 14:57 - 15:12): “It's the situational spot...you got a three and Buffalo team that just played Monday night...and you got a Baltimore team 1-2 needing the game like blood.” Ravens vs. Bills (Steve Fezzik: 6:10 - 6:30) Fezzik also notes an interesting trend where big dogs (teams receiving more than 5 points) are performing well this season, covering the spread at 14-2. On the flip side, small dogs (teams receiving 5 points or less) are 11-19-1. Fezzik highlights that his power ratings show no team being significantly better than others this year, with only a 5-point spread between the top and bottom teams in the league. Player Insights and Statistics Trevor Lawrence (Scott Seidenberg: 21:03 - 21:23) Scott Seidenberg notes Trevor Lawrence's struggles, pointing out his 0-8 record straight up in his last eight games. However, Seidenberg finds value in the Jaguars' ability to cover the spread as a significant underdog, referencing a historical trend of teams who lose by 30 or more points and then cover as dogs the following week. Quote (Scott Seidenberg: 21:06): "I do think there's value baked into this line...I think that the public saw Jacksonville get absolutely destroyed, but they're better than that.” Team and Player Statistics Favorite Trends RJ Bell provides macro trends on favorites this season, noting that favorites have gone 20-5-1, but larger underdogs (over 5 points) are outperforming smaller ones. This discrepancy highlights the unpredictable nature of NFL betting so far this season. Power Rankings Insights (Steve Fezzik: 6:10 - 6:44) Fezzik reveals that his NFL power rankings are tighter than ever. No team is rated more than 5 points higher than an average team, with New England being the worst team at -5.5 points. This compressed ranking suggests no elite team dominance, making the NFL season more competitive. Conclusion The podcast emphasizes sharp betting strategies, advocating for value picks based on contrarian analysis. Fezzik's insights into power rankings show a very balanced NFL season, while historical betting trends favor significant underdogs. The group urges caution, particularly with betting favorites, and encourages listeners to look beyond recency bias. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Stece Fezzik and Munaf Manji discuss NFL Week 3 and Week 4. Fezz gives out his top 3 girls in the influencer sports industry and more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL Week 3 betting. The guys are coming off a great Week 2 podcast. Best bets always from Dave Essler and the Vegas wiseguy roundtable. In this Dream Podcast episode, RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers, and Scott Seidenberg break down their top NFL Week 3 betting picks. Their analysis covers player performances, team stats, and betting strategies, all aimed at helping you make informed decisions for the weekend. Tennessee Titans (-1.5) - Fezzik's Best Bet (05:17) Fezzik's top pick is the Tennessee Titans, as he believes they're undervalued after two misleading losses. With Jordan Love unlikely to play for Green Bay, Fezzik has full confidence in Tennessee, noting their superior stats and ability to rebound against the Packers. Titans First Half Bet - Scott Seidenberg (11:55) Scott's favorite bet is the Titans in the first half (-125), pointing out QB Will Levis' strong first-half performance. Levis is 8-3 ATS in first halves, making this a solid wager. New York Giants - RJ Bell (14:58) RJ believes the Giants will put up a strong fight as they seek to avoid an 0-3 start. He stresses the pressure on head coach Brian Daboll, expecting the Giants to be highly motivated and capable of covering. Indianapolis Colts (-1) - Scott Seidenberg (26:37) Scott loves the Colts this week, pointing to their explosive offense, which averages 6.68 yards per play, compared to Chicago's historically poor 2.97. With Caleb Williams struggling, the Colts are a strong favorite to cover. Arizona Cardinals (+3) - Uncle Dave Essler (43:46) Uncle Dave backs Arizona, highlighting Kyler Murray's mobility and Arizona's impressive defense. Goff's inconsistency under pressure makes the Cardinals a great underdog pick against the Lions. Conclusion This week's podcast delivers top NFL Week 3 bets, with the experts favoring teams like the Titans and Colts while taking advantage of underdogs like the Giants and Cardinals. Their deep analysis provides key insights for bettors looking to maximize value. Summary Tennessee Titans (-1.5): Best bet due to Love's likely absence and Titans' solid recent performance. Titans First Half: Seidenberg expects Levis' first-half success to lead, betting on the Titans' first-half Moneyline. Giants: RJ Bell believes in the Giants' desperation for a win, considering Dayball's job security a motivational factor. Colts (-1): Scott predicts an easy win for the Colts due to Chicago's weak offense and low yardage production. Panthers (+7): Mackenzie prefers Andy Dalton over Bryce Young, seeing opportunities for the Panthers' offense to cover. Cardinals (+3): Uncle Dave backs Arizona as a reliable underdog, praising Murray's mobility and Arizona's defensive capabilities. Betting Trends: The Giants' historical trends support RJ's bet, as underdogs continue to cover in these situations. Field Goals: RJ mentions the significant rise in successful field goals across games, a factor in close matchups. Panthers Offense: Dalton's ability to unlock Carolina's passing game is a key factor in covering against the Saints. Team Injuries: Packers' defensive injuries provide even more confidence for the Titans pick. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 2 aftermath. Fezzik and Munaf also do a quick reaction to NFL Week 3 and talk Vegas steak locations. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 1 at first glance. Fezzik talks about Vegas and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Wiseguy Roundtable review's Mike Sando of the Athletic's QB Tiers and compares to Fezzik's QB rankings and the Dream Pod QB Draft. Plus any concern over players that held out and which NFL teams are you buying stock in for the next 5 years? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices