Podcasts about dvoa

In this episode, Ryan dives deep into the quarterback landscape of the NFC North, using advanced metrics like EPA per dropback, DVOA, CPOE, and PFF grades to separate fact from fiction. After a quick NFL news update and OTA thoughts, he breaks down why Jordan Love and Jared Goff stand out as the clear 1A and 1B in the division, while addressing the hype around Caleb Williams and Kyler Murray's availability concerns. Key discussion points include: Why traditional stats like yards and touchdowns are noisy and unreliable compared to modern metrics Detailed 2023-2025 performance analysis showing Love and Goff consistently ranking in the top 5-10 Caleb Williams' accuracy issues and the massive leap needed to reach elite level The importance of low-noise, reproducible stats that actually tie to real value on the field This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY and visit https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. If you enjoyed this deep dive into quarterback evaluation, please subscribe, leave a 5-star rating and review, and share with fellow Packers fans. Follow along for more analysis as OTAs continue. To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast

In this episode, Ryan dives deep into the quarterback landscape of the NFC North, using advanced metrics like EPA per dropback, DVOA, CPOE, and PFF grades to separate fact from fiction. After a quick NFL news update and OTA thoughts, he breaks down why Jordan Love and Jared Goff stand out as the clear 1A and 1B in the division, while addressing the hype around Caleb Williams and Kyler Murray's availability concerns. Key discussion points include: Why traditional stats like yards and touchdowns are noisy and unreliable compared to modern metrics Detailed 2023-2025 performance analysis showing Love and Goff consistently ranking in the top 5-10 Caleb Williams' accuracy issues and the massive leap needed to reach elite level The importance of low-noise, reproducible stats that actually tie to real value on the field This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY and visit https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. If you enjoyed this deep dive into quarterback evaluation, please subscribe, leave a 5-star rating and review, and share with fellow Packers fans. Follow along for more analysis as OTAs continue. To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast

The end of 2025 left a bad taste in everyone's mouth — but the numbers tell a very different story than the vibes. Ryan digs into DVOA, EPA per play, success rate, and drop-back efficiency to show that, even through chaos and injuries, the Packers fielded one of the best offenses in football. The real disappointment? A defense that should have been elite under Jeff Hafley and dragged the whole operation down.

The end of 2025 left a bad taste in everyone's mouth — but the numbers tell a very different story than the vibes. Ryan digs into DVOA, EPA per play, success rate, and drop-back efficiency to show that, even through chaos and injuries, the Packers fielded one of the best offenses in football. The real disappointment? A defense that should have been elite under Jeff Hafley and dragged the whole operation down.

Learn how elite NFL defenses call the bluff on 12 and 13 personnel by utilizing nickel structures and two-high shells to neutralize play-action "cosplay". This technical breakdown analyzes why these structural shifts drop play-action DVOA from 16% to under 6% while neutralizing a passing meta that currently carries a 51% success rate.—In this episode:Offenses are using 12- and 13-personnel formations as “cosplay” for the passing game to create play-action spacing.Data show that moving from a single-high structure to a two-high shell drops play-action DVOA from 16% to under 6%.The Seattle Seahawks model demonstrates the efficiency of staying in nickel for nearly 80% of snaps against heavy personnel, prioritizing pass defense over run-fit purity.Front variations, such as the Denver Broncos' use of Penny (5-1) packages, protect lighter nickel defenders while maintaining an aggressive five-man pressure floor.The draft standard is shifting toward the “Super Apex” defender who can survive pulling guards in the run game while operating as an elite cover asset.—Timestamps:00:00 - The New Meta: 12 and 13 Personnel00:40 - Dontavian Wicks Trade to the Eagles03:26 - Secondary Overhaul: Woolen and Mitchell05:48 - The Jalen Hurts Processing Debate07:51 - Why Defenses are Moving to Early Down 2-High12:39 - Play-Action Success Rates and Personnel Cosplay21:24 - The Return of the Big Nickel and Three-Safety Structures27:26 - Chargers and Broncos: Base-First Outliers35:40 - Jim Leonard's Influence on Safety Pressures38:48 - Data Hub: 1-High vs. 2-High Efficiency Splits44:48 - Defining the Apex Defender52:46 - Caleb Downs and the "Super Apex" Archetype57:28 - Draft Sleepers: Kyle Louis and Kilgore59:29 - Closing Thoughts: Passing from Heavy Sets—» Join Felix and Cody each Wednesday as we dive deep into the game we love!MatchQuarters is a reader-supported publication. So, make sure to subscribe.—© 2026 MatchQuarters | Cody Alexander | All rights reserved. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.matchquarters.com/subscribe

The Packers have added another name to the special teams coordinator search, and Ryan is losing his mind over it. Sam Sewell, the former assistant special teams coordinator for the Arizona Cardinals — a unit that finished 30th in DVOA — is the latest interview, and the pattern of targeting coaches from the league's worst units continues to baffle. From there, Ryan breaks down the full NFL Combine schedule day by day and maps out every critical offseason date from legal tampering through training camp. Deep dive into the Rasheed Walker tag-and-trade scenario and why the math makes it dead on arrival at a $28 million tag price Full breakdown of Packers trade candidates including Rashawn Gary, Elton Jenkins, Aaron Banks, Josh Jacobs, Keyshawn Nixon, and more — with contract details and realistic return values Rob Demovsky's latest notes on Jordan Morgan, Quay Walker's price tag, Malik Willis's market, and Romeo Doubs' future Ryan fires back at ESPN's Evan Cohen and the tired national narrative questioning Jordan Love after three consecutive strong PFF grades Hit subscribe and leave a review to help the show grow. The offseason content train is just getting started — combine coverage drops this week. #Packers #GreenBay #NFLCombine #PackersTradeRumors #JordanLove #NFLFreeAgency #PackerNet This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast Help keep the show growing and check out everything I'm building across the Packers and NFL world: Support: Patreon: www.patreon.com/pack_daddy Venmo: @Packernetpodcast CashApp: $packpod Website: https://nfldraftgrades.com/ My Board: https://nfldraftgrades.com/board/83a18c42-7a0b-4590-8d1b-453e49840d02

The Packers have added another name to the special teams coordinator search, and Ryan is losing his mind over it. Sam Sewell, the former assistant special teams coordinator for the Arizona Cardinals — a unit that finished 30th in DVOA — is the latest interview, and the pattern of targeting coaches from the league's worst units continues to baffle. From there, Ryan breaks down the full NFL Combine schedule day by day and maps out every critical offseason date from legal tampering through training camp. Deep dive into the Rasheed Walker tag-and-trade scenario and why the math makes it dead on arrival at a $28 million tag price Full breakdown of Packers trade candidates including Rashawn Gary, Elton Jenkins, Aaron Banks, Josh Jacobs, Keyshawn Nixon, and more — with contract details and realistic return values Rob Demovsky's latest notes on Jordan Morgan, Quay Walker's price tag, Malik Willis's market, and Romeo Doubs' future Ryan fires back at ESPN's Evan Cohen and the tired national narrative questioning Jordan Love after three consecutive strong PFF grades Hit subscribe and leave a review to help the show grow. The offseason content train is just getting started — combine coverage drops this week. #Packers #GreenBay #NFLCombine #PackersTradeRumors #JordanLove #NFLFreeAgency #PackerNet This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast Help keep the show growing and check out everything I'm building across the Packers and NFL world: Support: Patreon: www.patreon.com/pack_daddy Venmo: @Packernetpodcast CashApp: $packpod Website: https://nfldraftgrades.com/ My Board: https://nfldraftgrades.com/board/83a18c42-7a0b-4590-8d1b-453e49840d02

The Seahawks are World Champions! Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review Super Bowl LX, how the Seahawks pressured Drake Maye to death, plus some discussion of the Seahawks as an all-time great team and a bit of previewing the offseason. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

2.3.26 Hour 1, Kevin Sheehan opens up the show discussing the Vikings firing their GM Kewsi Adofo-Mensah and the controversy of him taking 2 weeks of paternity leave. Kevin Sheehan looks back on the last Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl matchup to talk about the craziness and massive blunders of the game. Kevin Sheehan talks about Darryn Peterson's performance vs Texas Tech last night and discusses the NFL salary cap rising and what it means. 2.3.26 Hour 2, DVOA stat creator Aaron Schatz joins The Kevin Sheehan Show to discuss the best and worst teams in Super Bowl history based on the DVOA stat and gives his analysis on this year's Super Bowl matchup between the Seahawks and Patriots. Liam Griffin from the Washington Times joins The Kevin Sheehan Show to discuss how the hirings of David Blough and Daronte Jones could change the Commanders' approach to free agency, scheme and re-signing players. 2.3.26 Hour 3, Former Washington Commanders' Offensive Coordinator Scott Turner joins The Kevin Sheehan Show to give his take on the Jayden Daniels vs Drake Maye debate, recruiting Stefon Diggs out of high school and predicting the Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl outcome. Kevin Sheehan hosts Super Bowl Trivia with callers of the show where the winner will get a prize if they survive all three rounds. Kevin Sheehan talks about how the NFL is adding more overseas games next season and where the Commanders could be playing on the schedule.

2.3.26, DVOA stat creator Aaron Schatz joins The Kevin Sheehan Show to discuss the best and worst teams in Super Bowl history based on the DVOA stat and gives his analysis on this year's Super Bowl matchup between the Seahawks and Patriots.

2.3.26 Hour 2, DVOA stat creator Aaron Schatz joins The Kevin Sheehan Show to discuss the best and worst teams in Super Bowl history based on the DVOA stat and gives his analysis on this year's Super Bowl matchup between the Seahawks and Patriots. Liam Griffin from the Washington Times joins The Kevin Sheehan Show to discuss how the hirings of David Blough and Daronte Jones could change the Commanders' approach to free agency, scheme and re-signing players.

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview Super Bowl LX with the Seahawks and Patriots. Plus, we look at the coaching carousel and a few words about the Bill Belichick Hall of Fame controversy. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this hour of A Numbers Game, Gill Alexander and Danny Higgins are joined by Aaron Schatz, FTN Chiefs Analytics Officer and DVOA Creator, to talk about the top-10 worst DVOA teams to make it to the Super Bowl. Plus, Play-by-Play Announcer Ben Wilson joins the show to talk about the Australian Open, Super Bowl, and college basketball.Get instant access to expert picks, public betting splits data, and pro betting tools when you join VSiN Pro. Grab your first month for only $9.99 or take over $60 off an annual subscription when you use promo code: SUPER. Click here to get started. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this hour of A Numbers Game, Gill Alexander and Danny Higgins are joined by Aaron Schatz, FTN Chiefs Analytics Officer and DVOA Creator, to talk about the top-10 worst DVOA teams to make it to the Super Bowl. Plus, Play-by-Play Announcer Ben Wilson joins the show to talk about the Australian Open, Super Bowl, and college basketball.Get instant access to expert picks, public betting splits data, and pro betting tools when you join VSiN Pro. Grab your first month for only $9.99 or take over $60 off an annual subscription when you use promo code: SUPER. Click here to get started. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review this year's conference championship games and give their first thoughts about Super Bowl LX between the New England Patriots and the Seattle Seahawks. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The guys break down Rams–Seahawks, debating Sam Darnold vs. Matthew Stafford, Seattle's all-time defense, and whether this is the best DVOA matchup in playoff history. They then turn to Patriots-Broncos and Jarrett Stidham starting an AFC championship game, unpacking Sean Payton chaos, quarterback vibes, and why this postseason keeps getting stranger. (00:00) Intro (01:33) NFC Championship: Rams at Seahawks (06:47) Will Sam Darnold Go Full Stroud? (31:08) AFC Championship: Patriots at Broncos (49:27) Ringer 107 Picks (44:35) Titans Hire Robert Saleh as Head Coach (49:41) Dolphins Hire Jeff Hafley as Head Coach (54:07) News (01:09:37) Emails Discord link: https://discord.gg/Ge8bbYHrau Check out the 2025 Ringer Fantasy Football Rankings: https://fantasyfootball.theringer.com/ Email us! ringerfantasyfootball@gmail.com The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit www.rg-help.com to learn more about the resources and helplines available. Hosts: Danny Heifetz, Danny Kelly, and Craig Horlbeck Producers: Kai Grady, Carlos Chiriboga, and Cameron Dinwiddie Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier are here to break down the conference championship games. What can Jarrett Stidham do for the Broncos against an improving Patriots defense? What will happen differently in Rams-Seahawks Part III? Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

We break down the Bills' firing of Sean McDermott after their loss to the Broncos, analyze the hire of John Harbaugh to the Giants, and preview the Championship Sunday matchups: Patriots vs. Broncos and Rams vs. Seahawks. Plus, was that the best throw of Caleb Williams' life?—In this episode:The McDermott Firing & Coaching Carousel: We analyze the Bills' decision to move on from Sean McDermott, the hiring of John Harbaugh by the Giants, and Kevin Stefanski landing in Atlanta.Playoff Recap & Controversy: We break down the controversial finish to the Bills-Broncos game, the “meta” flip that doomed Buffalo's roster construction, and Caleb Williams' insane throw in the Bears' loss.The CJ Stroud Dilemma: We discuss the Texans' offensive collapse against New England and debate whether Houston is stuck in “quarterback purgatory” regarding Stroud's next contract.AFC Championship Preview (Patriots vs. Broncos): We look at how the Patriots can attack Denver's pass rush and how the Broncos will adjust with Jared Stidham stepping in for the injured Bo Nix.NFC Championship Preview (Rams vs. Seahawks): We preview the Round 3 matchup between Seattle and LA, focusing on the Stafford vs. Darnold quarterback battle and the Jaxon Smith-Njigba X-factor.—Timestamps:» Part I: The Coaching Carousel & Front Office00:00 The Bills Clean House Discussion on the firing of Sean McDermott and the promotion of GM Brandon Beane.00:47 Roster vs. The Meta Analysis of how the Bills built a roster to beat the Chiefs/Bengals but failed to adjust to the league-wide shift toward 12 personnel.05:43 The “Intellectual” Defensive Coach: A look at candidates like Brian Daboll and the trend toward hiring “intellectual” defensive minds similar to Mike Macdonald and Brandon Staley.07:53 Stefanski to Atlanta Breakdown of the potential fit for Kevin Stefanski with the Falcons' offensive weapons (Bijan Robinson, Drake London).10:38 Ulbrich & The Wide-9 Shift: Why keeping Jeff Ulbrich signals a commitment to the Wide-9/Quarters-heavy defensive structures popularized by the Saleh tree.12:50 The Harbaugh Clause: John Harbaugh to the Giants, and the unique contract clause stating he answers only to the owner.» Part II: Schematic Analysis & Game Recaps21:03 Gap Schemes vs. Speed: How the Bills utilized Pin-Pull concepts to exploit Denver's speed, noting Denver's 20th rank against Duo runs.22:33 Motion to Disrupt Coverage Denver used motion on 75% of plays (a season-high) to force communication checks and disrupt Buffalo's split-field rotations.24:22 Erasing the Deep Ball Denver's secondary held Josh Allen to 0-for-6 passing with 2 INTs on attempts of 20+ yards.27:03 Texans Offensive Collaps:e A breakdown of C.J. Stroud's struggles and the Texans' inability to counter the Patriots' game plan.30:08 Patriots MOFO Spike The Patriots increased their Middle of Field Open (MOFO) usage to 60%, using weak rotation vs. 3x1 and split-field vs. 2x2 to eliminate crossing routes.» Part III: Previews & Adjustments32:59 Patriots vs. Broncos Preview: The matchup of the Patriots' Man-Blocking/Duo schemes against the Broncos' fast-flow defense.40:35 The Caleb Williams Throw Reaction to the 45-yard cross-body throw from Caleb Williams in the Rams-Bears game.46:02 Pressure vs. Condensed Sets Dennis Allen's adjustment to blitz the edges and use DB pressure specifically against 12/13 personnel condensed formations, forcing the Rams into spread looks.» Part IV: NFC Championship Preview48:41 #1 Offense vs. #1 Defense Setting the stage for the Rams (Outside Zone) vs. Seahawks (Wide-9/Cover 2).50:00 The Schematic Conflict The clash between the Rams' outside run game and the Seahawks' defensive front is designed to force runs inside.51:27 The Cover 2 Weakness Identifying the Seahawks' 16th-ranked DVOA vs. Tight Ends as the key area for Stafford to attack the interior of the Cover 2.55:53 The JSN Factor: Why Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the X-factor for breaking down zone coverages in this matchup.—» Join Felix and Cody each Wednesday as we dive deep into the game we love!MatchQuarters is a reader-supported publication. So, make sure to subscribe.—© 2025 MatchQuarters | Cody Alexander | All rights reserved. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.matchquarters.com/subscribe

On Tuesday's   Daily Puck Drop, Jason “Puck” Puckett opens the show discussing the improbable Indiana championship run with their victory last night against Miami.  Puck also discusses how devastating the Zach Charbonnet injury is for the Seahawks offense and it's a big day in baseball for Felix Hernandez. Danny Kelly, The Ringer, drops by to talk Seahawks and Rams and how he thinks the game will shake out.  What makes Danny nervous and how big of a loss is Zach Charbonnet?  Danny feels Sam Darnold will respond with the game on the line and he thinks it will be close and Darnold will be the difference in the win.  They dive into the analytics of the game and the stat site DVOA ranks this game as the best matchup in the NFL in the last 50 years. The Gasman, Mike Gastineau, joins Puck to discuss the Indiana Hoosiers capturing their first national championship in football.  Gas was in Miami and expressed his love for the program and what it means for the fanbase, the school and the state.  Gas explains how Curt Cignetti turned around the program. “On This Day…”   The Nordstroms, Bruins go down and two iconic shows make their debut Puck wraps up the show with, “Hey, What the Puck!?”     The Indiana story is what sports is all about (1:00) Puck  (12:04) Danny Kelly, The Ringer (45:50) The Gasman, Mike Gastineau(1:01:55)  “On this Day….”  (1:06:35) “Hey, What the Puck!?” 

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review the Divisional Round in the NFL playoffs and react to this morning's firing of Sean McDermott by the Buffalo Bills. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Breaking news hit mid-episode as Matt LaFleur and Brian Gutekunst officially agreed to multi-year contract extensions, ending weeks of speculation and solidifying the Packers' leadership for years to come. But with Jeff Hafley now a near-certainty to become Miami's next head coach, Green Bay's defensive coordinator search is officially underway. This episode dives deep into the candidates who could transform a defense that inexplicably dropped from 7th to 19th in DVOA despite adding Micah Parsons. From Jim Leonard's Sim pressure schemes in Denver to Christian Parker's Super Bowl-winning secondary work in Philadelphia, from the aggressive Minnesota Vikings tree featuring Dorante Jones to Zach Orr's Ravens pedigree—every major name gets analyzed for fit with Green Bay's current roster. The key question driving everything: which coordinator can actually maximize Micah Parsons, Xavier McKinney, and Edgerrin Cooper together? This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast Help keep the show growing and check out everything I'm building across the Packers and NFL world: Support: Patreon: www.patreon.com/pack_daddy Venmo: @Packernetpodcast CashApp: $packpod Projects: Grade NFL Players ➜ fanfocus-teamgrades.lovable.app Packers Hub ➜ packersgames.com Create NFL Draft Big Boards ➜ nfldraftgrades.com Watch Draft Prospects ➜ draftflix.com Screen Record ➜ pause-play-capture.lovable.app Global Economics Hub ➜ global-economic-insight-hub.lovable.app            

Breaking news hit mid-episode as Matt LaFleur and Brian Gutekunst officially agreed to multi-year contract extensions, ending weeks of speculation and solidifying the Packers' leadership for years to come. But with Jeff Hafley now a near-certainty to become Miami's next head coach, Green Bay's defensive coordinator search is officially underway. This episode dives deep into the candidates who could transform a defense that inexplicably dropped from 7th to 19th in DVOA despite adding Micah Parsons. From Jim Leonard's Sim pressure schemes in Denver to Christian Parker's Super Bowl-winning secondary work in Philadelphia, from the aggressive Minnesota Vikings tree featuring Dorante Jones to Zach Orr's Ravens pedigree—every major name gets analyzed for fit with Green Bay's current roster. The key question driving everything: which coordinator can actually maximize Micah Parsons, Xavier McKinney, and Edgerrin Cooper together? This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast Help keep the show growing and check out everything I'm building across the Packers and NFL world: Support: Patreon: www.patreon.com/pack_daddy Venmo: @Packernetpodcast CashApp: $packpod Projects: Grade NFL Players ➜ fanfocus-teamgrades.lovable.app Packers Hub ➜ packersgames.com Create NFL Draft Big Boards ➜ nfldraftgrades.com Watch Draft Prospects ➜ draftflix.com Screen Record ➜ pause-play-capture.lovable.app Global Economics Hub ➜ global-economic-insight-hub.lovable.app            

Mike Schopp and The Bulldog are joined by the Creator of DVOA, Chief Analytics Officer for FTN Fantasy and ESPN+ NFL Analyst Aaron Schatz to talk about his expectations for Bills vs Broncos, what the Bills could be getting with Ed Oliver and Curtis Samuel back, the challenges ahead for the Bills with playing the Broncos coming off the Bye week, his thoughts on the Be Nix, Bills WR Room and what he wants to see from them, and also his thoughts on the rest of the playoff games going on this weekend!

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier are here to preview the Divisional Round in the NFL. We've got Bills at Broncos, 49ers at Seahawks, Texans at Patriots, and Rams at Bears! Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review Wild-Card Weekend in the NFL, with four great close games and one sort-of defensive snoozer. Plus, we preview the Texans and Steelers as they finish up things on Monday night. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

It's Wild-Card Weekend in the NFL! Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier start with their thoughts on the firing of John Harbaugh and Mike McDaniel, then we move on to preview all the games this weekend from Packers-Bears to Patriots-Chargers. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this hour of A Numbers Game, Gill Alexander and Kelley Bydlon are joined by Aaron Schatz, FTN Chief Analytics Officer, to talk about his best and worst DVOA teams from this season plus gives his take on the updated NFL Awards odds. Also on the show, the hosts are joined by Nick Whalen, Rotowire Senior Analyst, to talk about his best bets for the NFL Super Wild Card Weekend slate.Get instant access to expert picks, public betting splits data, and pro betting tools when you join VSiN Pro. Grab your first month for only $9.99 or take over 15% off an annual subscription when you use promo code: POD25. Click here to get started. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this hour of A Numbers Game, Gill Alexander and Kelley Bydlon are joined by Aaron Schatz, FTN Chief Analytics Officer, to talk about his best and worst DVOA teams from this season plus gives his take on the updated NFL Awards odds. Also on the show, the hosts are joined by Nick Whalen, Rotowire Senior Analyst, to talk about his best bets for the NFL Super Wild Card Weekend slate. Grab your first month for only $9.99 or take over 15% off an annual subscription when you use promo code: POD25. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier have a bit of an NFL playoff preview, look at a bunch of historical DVOA numbers, and talk about Black Monday coach firings in the NFL. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The Packers claimed Trayvon Diggs off waivers, and while there's no rational reason to expect him to save the season, maybe it's time to embrace the irrational. We break down the salary cap implications, the circumstances of his Cowboys departure, and why the "we need bodies" argument might be the only one worth making. Beyond Diggs, we dive into all 14 roster moves, including intriguing practice squad addition Damien Martinez—a physical downhill runner with elite college production—plus the return of Desmond Ritter as QB4 depth. We also examine the first injury report of the week, where Jordan Love appears as a full participant and an illness continues spreading through the locker room. The real surprise comes from DVOA trajectory analysis comparing this Packers team to historical squads with similar seasonal paths. The results? Three of the four most comparable teams won the Super Bowl, including the 2008 Steelers, 2022 Chiefs, and 2010 Packers. Sometimes mediocre teams get lucky—why not us? This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast Help keep the show growing and check out everything I'm building across the Packers and NFL world: Support: Patreon: www.patreon.com/pack_daddy Venmo: @Packernetpodcast CashApp: $packpod Projects: Grade NFL Players ➜ fanfocus-teamgrades.lovable.app Packers Hub ➜ packersgames.com Create NFL Draft Big Boards ➜ nfldraftgrades.com Watch Draft Prospects ➜ draftflix.com Screen Record ➜ pause-play-capture.lovable.app Global Economics Hub ➜ global-economic-insight-hub.lovable.app

The Packers claimed Trayvon Diggs off waivers, and while there's no rational reason to expect him to save the season, maybe it's time to embrace the irrational. We break down the salary cap implications, the circumstances of his Cowboys departure, and why the "we need bodies" argument might be the only one worth making. Beyond Diggs, we dive into all 14 roster moves, including intriguing practice squad addition Damien Martinez—a physical downhill runner with elite college production—plus the return of Desmond Ritter as QB4 depth. We also examine the first injury report of the week, where Jordan Love appears as a full participant and an illness continues spreading through the locker room. The real surprise comes from DVOA trajectory analysis comparing this Packers team to historical squads with similar seasonal paths. The results? Three of the four most comparable teams won the Super Bowl, including the 2008 Steelers, 2022 Chiefs, and 2010 Packers. Sometimes mediocre teams get lucky—why not us? This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast Help keep the show growing and check out everything I'm building across the Packers and NFL world: Support: Patreon: www.patreon.com/pack_daddy Venmo: @Packernetpodcast CashApp: $packpod Projects: Grade NFL Players ➜ fanfocus-teamgrades.lovable.app Packers Hub ➜ packersgames.com Create NFL Draft Big Boards ➜ nfldraftgrades.com Watch Draft Prospects ➜ draftflix.com Screen Record ➜ pause-play-capture.lovable.app Global Economics Hub ➜ global-economic-insight-hub.lovable.app

Has any team ever lost four straight games and still made a Super Bowl run? With the Packers currently spiraling, we're diving deep into the historical data to find out exactly what we're dealing with. In this episode, we break down every team since 1999 that limped into the playoffs on a losing streak—from the 1999 Lions to the 2024 Steelers—and track their EPA and DVOA trends against where Green Bay sits right now. The results? Surprisingly hopeful. While most comparable teams went one-and-done, the Packers' final DVOA of 13.1 is actually HIGHER than all of them, and their regression pattern eerily mirrors the 2010 Super Bowl champions. We also shut down the Trevon Diggs fantasy with cold, hard PFF data—the Cowboys released him mid-week for a reason, and no, he's not better than what we have. Plus quick hits on Micah Parsons' successful ACL surgery and Zeke Elliott quietly filing retirement papers. The defense has tanked at minus-110 EPA per week while the offense holds steady. It's not impossible. It's just unlikely. And here's exactly how unlikely. This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast Help keep the show growing and check out everything I'm building across the Packers and NFL world: Support: Patreon: www.patreon.com/pack_daddy Venmo: @Packernetpodcast CashApp: $packpod Projects: Grade NFL Players ➜ fanfocus-teamgrades.lovable.app Packers Hub ➜ packersgames.com Create NFL Draft Big Boards ➜ nfldraftgrades.com Watch Draft Prospects ➜ draftflix.com Screen Record ➜ pause-play-capture.lovable.app Global Economics Hub ➜ global-economic-insight-hub.lovable.app

Has any team ever lost four straight games and still made a Super Bowl run? With the Packers currently spiraling, we're diving deep into the historical data to find out exactly what we're dealing with. In this episode, we break down every team since 1999 that limped into the playoffs on a losing streak—from the 1999 Lions to the 2024 Steelers—and track their EPA and DVOA trends against where Green Bay sits right now. The results? Surprisingly hopeful. While most comparable teams went one-and-done, the Packers' final DVOA of 13.1 is actually HIGHER than all of them, and their regression pattern eerily mirrors the 2010 Super Bowl champions. We also shut down the Trevon Diggs fantasy with cold, hard PFF data—the Cowboys released him mid-week for a reason, and no, he's not better than what we have. Plus quick hits on Micah Parsons' successful ACL surgery and Zeke Elliott quietly filing retirement papers. The defense has tanked at minus-110 EPA per week while the offense holds steady. It's not impossible. It's just unlikely. And here's exactly how unlikely. This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast Help keep the show growing and check out everything I'm building across the Packers and NFL world: Support: Patreon: www.patreon.com/pack_daddy Venmo: @Packernetpodcast CashApp: $packpod Projects: Grade NFL Players ➜ fanfocus-teamgrades.lovable.app Packers Hub ➜ packersgames.com Create NFL Draft Big Boards ➜ nfldraftgrades.com Watch Draft Prospects ➜ draftflix.com Screen Record ➜ pause-play-capture.lovable.app Global Economics Hub ➜ global-economic-insight-hub.lovable.app

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier are here to preview the final week of the NFL regular season. We've got two big NFC South games plus the 49ers-Seahawks and the Ravens-Steelers. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz, Chief Analytics Officer at FTN Fantasy and founder of Football Outsiders, joins Eric Bradlow to explore how DVOA and play-by-play analytics challenge conventional narratives about the 2025 NFL season, conference strength, playoff probabilities, and the growing influence of data in awards voting. Plus, Eric walks through real-world examples of using generative AI to forecast NBA win totals, college football playoff probabilities, and NFL Super Bowl odds, highlighting how modern models apply Bayesian reasoning, betting markets, and simulation-based analytics. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This episode dives headfirst into the hilarious chaos of our NFC North rivals, tearing apart Bears fans' delusional takes, the Vikings' quarterback nightmare, and the Lions' epic collapse from contenders to complainers. With unfiltered banter and savage breakdowns, we laugh at their misery while celebrating the Packers' rise—because nothing hits harder than watching enemies implode. Shredding Bears fans for their MVP fantasies about Caleb Williams and ignoring real metrics like ELO and DVOA that prove the Packers' superiority Exposing the Vikings' regrets over ditching Sam Darnold for bust JJ McCarthy, who's dead last in EPA and dragging the team to rock bottom Mocking Lions fans' meltdown after Thanksgiving loss, from "same old Lions" cries to calls for firing Dan Campbell and Brad Holmes Highlighting Jordan Love's Player of the Week honors and MVP odds while rivals' dreams fade into despair This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY and visit https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. Drop your hottest takes in the comments—do Bears fans really deserve this much smoke, or are Vikings the biggest joke? Smash that subscribe button, leave a review, and let's keep the rival roasting going strong. Catch the next After Dark for more unfiltered Packers truth. To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast Help keep the show growing and check out everything I'm building across the Packers and NFL world: Support: Patreon: www.patreon.com/pack_daddy Venmo: @Packernetpodcast CashApp: $packpod Projects: Grade NFL Players ➜ fanfocus-teamgrades.lovable.app Packers Hub ➜ packersgames.com Create NFL Draft Big Boards ➜ nfldraftgrades.com Watch Draft Prospects ➜ draftflix.com Screen Record ➜ pause-play-capture.lovable.app Global Economics Hub ➜ global-economic-insight-hub.lovable.app

On this hour of A Numbers Game, Gill Alexander and Kelley Bydlon discuss Giannis Antetokounmpo's future with the Milwaukee Bucks before starting to preview tonight's Thursday Night Football game between the Cowboys and Lions. Also on the show, Aaron Schatz from FTN Fantasy talks the best and worst DVOA teams and awards in the NFL. And, VSiN's Tim Murray visits with his bets for college football's championship weekend. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Dive deep into why advanced NFL metrics like DVOA, EPA, and Massey-Peabody ratings paint the Packers as clearly superior to the Bears, despite Chicago's flashy record. Host Ryan Schlipp nerds out on team variability, opponent adjustments, and why wins aren't everything in evaluating true quality. Tease the controversy: Are the Bears a legit threat or just riding luck? Exploring game-to-game variability and why no team is consistent, using the Panthers' wild DVOA swings as a prime example. Breaking down key metrics: Packers rank top-5 in DVOA and EPA, while Bears hover around 19th-21st, closer to a 6-win team. Debunking record-based hype with Vegas spreads, success rates, and predictive models that favor Green Bay by 6.5 points. Discussing the flaws and strengths of stats, plus why "any given Sunday" doesn't invalidate data-driven analysis. This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY and visit https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. Subscribe, rate, and review on your favorite platform to help us grow—your support means everything! Tell me your thoughts on this one—I want to hear from you. Stay tuned for more Packers breakdowns as we head into Week 14. To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast Help keep the show growing and check out everything I'm building across the Packers and NFL world: Support: Patreon: www.patreon.com/pack_daddy Venmo: @Packernetpodcast CashApp: $packpod Projects: Grade NFL Players ➜ fanfocus-teamgrades.lovable.app Packers Hub ➜ packersgames.com Create NFL Draft Big Boards ➜ nfldraftgrades.com Watch Draft Prospects ➜ draftflix.com Screen Record ➜ pause-play-capture.lovable.app Global Economics Hub ➜ global-economic-insight-hub.lovable.app

Dive into the Packers' playoff push after the Rams' stunning upset, where Green Bay's odds soar to 93% for the postseason and 66% to claim the NFC North crown. Host Ryan Schlipp unpacks the path to a first-round bye, simulates wild scenarios that could send Philly packing, and delivers a sarcastic takedown of NFC contenders who can't handle "bad" losses. With bold historical comparisons to Super Bowl winners and a deep NFC North PFF dive, this episode fuels the fire for Packers dominance—especially against those pesky Bears. Explores updated playoff probabilities, highlighting how beating Chicago twice could seal the division and boost No. 1 seed chances to 76%, while simulating outcomes like the Eagles as a battered No. 7 seed heading to Lambeau. Sarcastic roast of NFC teams' Super Bowl viability: "You can't lose to Carolina and win it all," questioning if anyone besides the 49ers even belongs in the conversation. Historical perspective via DVOA, drawing eerie parallels between the current Packers and the 2023 Chiefs who stumbled late but flipped the switch for a title run. NFC North PFF rankings spotlight: Jordan Love tops QBs at 86 overall, Christian Watson leads receivers, and Green Bay's edges shine while exposing Bears' weaknesses ahead of key clashes. This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY and visit https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. Drop a subscribe, leave a review, and hit the comments with your hottest takes—do the Packers snag that No. 1 seed, or is the NFC West in the way? Let me know; I read every one. Stay tuned for more breakdowns as we gear up for the Bears showdowns. To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast Help keep the show growing and check out everything I'm building across the Packers and NFL world: Support: Patreon: www.patreon.com/pack_daddy Venmo: @Packernetpodcast CashApp: $packpod Projects: Grade NFL Players ➜ fanfocus-teamgrades.lovable.app Packers Hub ➜ packersgames.com Create NFL Draft Big Boards ➜ nfldraftgrades.com Watch Draft Prospects ➜ draftflix.com Screen Record ➜ pause-play-capture.lovable.app Global Economics Hub ➜ global-economic-insight-hub.lovable.app

Dive into a deep analysis of the Detroit Lions' transformation from 2024 juggernauts to a flickering force in 2025, as the Packers gear up for a crucial Thanksgiving clash. Host Ryan Schlipp examines how injuries, coordinator changes, and inconsistencies have dimmed Detroit's shine, while highlighting Green Bay's strategic edges. With stats, injury reports, and matchup breakdowns, this episode unpacks what could decide the NFC North battle. Explores the Lions' offensive line injuries and pass-blocking disasters, contrasting their elite run game led by Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. Analyzes Jared Goff's struggles under pressure and the defense's bend-then-break tendencies, including Aiden Hutchinson's impact. Discusses Packers' acquisitions like Micah Parsons and how they could exploit Detroit's weaknesses for a potential upset. Reviews key stats like DVOA rankings and points per drive, plus injury updates for both teams. This episode is brought to you by PrizePicks! Use code PACKDADDY and visit https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/PACKDADDY to get started with America's #1 fantasy sports app. Subscribe, rate, and review on your favorite platform to stay ahead of Packers news—your feedback keeps the show rolling! Follow on social for more debates using #PackernetPodcast #GoPackGo. To advertise on this podcast please email: ad-sales@libsyn.com Or go to: https://advertising.libsyn.com/packernetpodcast

Hear from Go-Go Head Coach Cody Toppery and Wizards GM Will Dawkins on the state of the franchise; Herm Edwards and Shawne Merriman discuss the Commanders, the NFL at large, and their own personal endeavors; and the Godfather of NFL analytics, Aaron Schatz, explains how he came up with the DVOA stat!

Hear from Go-Go Head Coach Cody Toppery and Wizards GM Will Dawkins on the state of the franchise; Herm Edwards and Shawne Merriman discuss the Commanders, the NFL at large, and their own personal endeavors; and the Godfather of NFL analytics, Aaron Schatz, explains how he came up with the DVOA stat!

11.21.25 Hour 2, Aaron Schatz from FTN Fantasy joins The Kevin Sheehan Show to discuss the creation of the DVOA football stat and what does the stat say about teams this season in contention and the Commanders. Kevin Sheehan and Producer Max go around the NFL to predict the week 12 slate of games.

11.21.25 Hour 1, Kevin Sheehan opens up the show reacting to the Thursday Night Football game between the Bills and Texans and discusses whether he believes Jayden Daniels should play out the rest of the season when he's healthy. Washington Capitals play-by-play Joe Beninati joins The Kevin Sheehan Show to discuss the Capitals outlook after a quarter of the season and Alex Ovechkin's hat trick vs Montreal. Kevin Sheehan talks about the upcoming Maryland vs Michigan College Football matchup. 11.21.25 Hour 2, Aaron Schatz from FTN Fantasy joins The Kevin Sheehan Show to discuss the creation of the DVOA football stat and what does the stat say about teams this season in contention and the Commanders. Kevin Sheehan and Producer Max go around the NFL to predict the week 12 slate of games. 11.21.25 Hour 3, Ben Standig from The Last Man Standig Podcast joins The Kevin Sheehan Show to discuss the Jayden Daniels injury timeline for his possible return to play this season, upcoming free agents for the Commanders and how the team will close out the season. Kevin Sheehan gives you his smell test picks for this weekend's NFL and College Football games. Kevin Sheehan discusses the Commanders getting another international game in the 2026 NFL season.

11.21.25, Aaron Schatz from FTN Fantasy joins The Kevin Sheehan Show to discuss the creation of the DVOA football stat and what does the stat say about teams this season in contention and the Commanders.

(0:00) Paul Perillo of Patriots.com joins the show and opens the third hour discussing if the Patriots are a Super Bowl contender based on their DVOA.(16:37) The guys discuss the possibility of Joe Burrow playing against the Patriots. Plus, the callers weigh in with thoughts and questions for Perillo.(26:31) The guys discuss the Patriots strength of schedule.(36:55) Final thoughts from Paul Perillo on the Patriots outlook in the AFC and this Sunday's matchup against the Bengals.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

With a substitute "protector" this week, we're exploring every angle for our Seahawks to secure victory this Sunday in what people are calling the DVOA Bowl. The LA Rams lead the NFL in DVOA with the Seahawks right behind them. Can Seattle pressure Matt Stafford to tilt the game in favor of the Seahawks? Ernest Jones and Cooper Kupp are captains and have a shot at vengeance, so we share our predictions in how they'll perform. From the offensive line's effectiveness in pass protection to how that can open up the passing game for Sam Darnold and Jaxon Smith-Njigba, we're looking ahead to what could be the biggest game of the year. Join our Sea Hawkers Podcast Pickem League - free prizes for weekly winners. Support the show Get in the Flock! Visit GetInTheFlock.com Or visit our website for other ways to support the show Subscribe via: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | YouTube | TuneIn | RSS Follow us on: Facebook | Twitter Listen on our free app for Android, iOS, Kindle or Windows Phone/PC Call or text: 253-235-9041 Find Sea Hawkers clubs around the world at SeaHawkers.org Music from the show by The 12 Train, download each track at ReverbNation  

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers dive into NFL Week 9 betting. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers deliver an intense, fast-moving breakdown of NFL Week 9 betting, loaded with sharp insights, humor, and veteran perspective. (0:00–2:44 RJ) RJ opens with a limited-time $20 for $100 Pregame.com promo, setting a self-aware tone after a cold streak before pivoting to the “six-seven” inside joke. (2:45–9:38 RJ & Fezzik) They riff on culture and YouTube memes, then dig into Fezzik's documented record, the reality of variance, and public scrutiny—RJ publicly offers to bet $1K with anyone doubting Fezzik's winning ways. They stress long-term perspective, bankroll discipline, and Fezzik's 9-of-12 winning seasons. (9:39–15:14 Fezzik) Fezzik unveils his best bet: Atlanta Falcons +0.5 first quarter vs Patriots, citing motivation, coin-toss edges, and mismatch value. RJ challenges him on quarterback health and run-defense matchups, while McKenzie supports with EPA and DVOA metrics. (15:15–24:36) They debate totals, QB injuries, and the “grand salami” of leaguewide overs, revealing how context and psychology shape numbers. (24:37–35:06 RJ) RJ fires his best bet: Houston–Denver Under 40, explaining how both teams' offenses collapse under defensive pressure, why line moves misprice QB injuries, and how coaching style (Sean Payton's conservatism) locks games into “rock fight” mode. (35:07–38:25 Mackenzie) Mackenzie counters with Colts –3 vs Steelers, supported by data showing the Steichen offense outperforming Tomlin's blitz-heavy D; RJ and Fezzik debate side vs team-total angles and line value between –2.5 and –3. (38:26–44:46 Fezzik) Fezzik adds Saints +3.5 4Q vs Rams and Panthers +3.5 4Q vs Packers, explaining how blowouts, motivation, and end-game math make late-quarter dogs profitable. RJ dissects situational trends, home/road splits, and QB rotations, endorsing both plays. (44:47–59:15) They tangent hilariously into Shakespeare, “Back to School,” and North Texas–Navy live-betting logic, turning first-quarter tempo into a masterclass in betting time segments. (59:16–1:03:38 RJ) RJ's second best bet: Arizona Under 26.5 points at Dallas (MNF), citing Kyler Murray's road, primetime, and post-injury struggles; Fezzik cautions against underestimating Dallas's weak D. (1:07:14–1:10:22 Fezzik) Fezzik's player prop: Mahomes Over 4.5 rushes, Allen Over 7.5 rushes, backed by game-flow data and high-leverage situational running. (1:14:45–1:20:27 RJ) RJ leans Chiefs –2.5 vs Bills, defending KC's underrated defense and Mahomes's playoff-like motivation. (1:25:03–1:30:04) They hit Chargers –3 vs Titans, praising Harbaugh's 15-4 ATS record on East-coast trips, and (1:30:05–1:33:12) explore 49ers run game props vs Giants. (1:33:53–end) Final lightning round: Bears to score first vs Bengals, quick-hit leans, and closing banter on variance, sharp edges, and humility in handicapping. Featuring: RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) | Steve Fezzik (@FezzikSports) | Mackenzie Rivers (@mackinRivers)Topics: NFL Week 9 best bets, first-quarter/4Q angles, totals logic, QB prop edges, and how to read line value like a pro.