RJ Bell's Dream Preview

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Winning sports picks from Las Vegas. Everything you need for free on the biggest games each week from Pregame.com's Wiseguy Roundtable. Alongside your host, we have professional bettor Steve Fezzik, plus more of the biggest names from the world of sports betting.

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    • Oct 30, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekdays NEW EPISODES
    • 1h 7m AVG DURATION
    • 2,095 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from RJ Bell's Dream Preview

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 9 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 97:37


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers dive into NFL Week 9 betting. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers deliver an intense, fast-moving breakdown of NFL Week 9 betting, loaded with sharp insights, humor, and veteran perspective. (0:00–2:44 RJ) RJ opens with a limited-time $20 for $100 Pregame.com promo, setting a self-aware tone after a cold streak before pivoting to the “six-seven” inside joke. (2:45–9:38 RJ & Fezzik) They riff on culture and YouTube memes, then dig into Fezzik's documented record, the reality of variance, and public scrutiny—RJ publicly offers to bet $1K with anyone doubting Fezzik's winning ways. They stress long-term perspective, bankroll discipline, and Fezzik's 9-of-12 winning seasons. (9:39–15:14 Fezzik) Fezzik unveils his best bet: Atlanta Falcons +0.5 first quarter vs Patriots, citing motivation, coin-toss edges, and mismatch value. RJ challenges him on quarterback health and run-defense matchups, while McKenzie supports with EPA and DVOA metrics. (15:15–24:36) They debate totals, QB injuries, and the “grand salami” of leaguewide overs, revealing how context and psychology shape numbers. (24:37–35:06 RJ) RJ fires his best bet: Houston–Denver Under 40, explaining how both teams' offenses collapse under defensive pressure, why line moves misprice QB injuries, and how coaching style (Sean Payton's conservatism) locks games into “rock fight” mode. (35:07–38:25 Mackenzie) Mackenzie counters with Colts –3 vs Steelers, supported by data showing the Steichen offense outperforming Tomlin's blitz-heavy D; RJ and Fezzik debate side vs team-total angles and line value between –2.5 and –3. (38:26–44:46 Fezzik) Fezzik adds Saints +3.5 4Q vs Rams and Panthers +3.5 4Q vs Packers, explaining how blowouts, motivation, and end-game math make late-quarter dogs profitable. RJ dissects situational trends, home/road splits, and QB rotations, endorsing both plays. (44:47–59:15) They tangent hilariously into Shakespeare, “Back to School,” and North Texas–Navy live-betting logic, turning first-quarter tempo into a masterclass in betting time segments. (59:16–1:03:38 RJ) RJ's second best bet: Arizona Under 26.5 points at Dallas (MNF), citing Kyler Murray's road, primetime, and post-injury struggles; Fezzik cautions against underestimating Dallas's weak D. (1:07:14–1:10:22 Fezzik) Fezzik's player prop: Mahomes Over 4.5 rushes, Allen Over 7.5 rushes, backed by game-flow data and high-leverage situational running. (1:14:45–1:20:27 RJ) RJ leans Chiefs –2.5 vs Bills, defending KC's underrated defense and Mahomes's playoff-like motivation. (1:25:03–1:30:04) They hit Chargers –3 vs Titans, praising Harbaugh's 15-4 ATS record on East-coast trips, and (1:30:05–1:33:12) explore 49ers run game props vs Giants. (1:33:53–end) Final lightning round: Bears to score first vs Bengals, quick-hit leans, and closing banter on variance, sharp edges, and humility in handicapping. Featuring: RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) | Steve Fezzik (@FezzikSports) | Mackenzie Rivers (@mackinRivers)Topics: NFL Week 9 best bets, first-quarter/4Q angles, totals logic, QB prop edges, and how to read line value like a pro.

    CFB Week 10 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2025 31:58


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith dive into CFB Week 10 betting. Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith review a strong Week 9, going 2-0, and dive into CFB Week 10 betting. They start with Vanderbilt vs Texas. Texas is a 1.5-point favorite at home, total 44.5. Lonte praises Vanderbilt's resilience after a key injury and their ATS success. He notes Texas' comeback over Mississippi State led by Arch Manning before his concussion. Texas' defense can dominate, but their offensive line and rushing attack are weak, ranking low nationally. Lonte expects a run-heavy game and likes the under, leaning Texas if Arch plays. Griffin doubts Arch clears concussion protocol quickly and expects Texas to rely on the run, facing a vulnerable Vanderbilt D-line. Both agree the trenches favor Texas, making the under appealing. Next, they preview Texas Tech at Kansas State. Tech is -7.5, total 52.5. Lonte discusses QB injuries—Hammond's ACL tear and Morton's durability concerns. Kansas State, led by Avery Johnson, has covered four straight, averaging over 35 points since their bye. Their passing game shines when not blitzed, but rushing remains weak. Lonte likes K-State as a home dog, citing Tech's strong D-line but potential rust from Morton. Griffin agrees, noting Manhattan's tough environment and potential line value. Moving to Oklahoma at Tennessee, Tennessee is -3, total 57. Lonte calls it fair, citing Tennessee's underrated home-field edge and Oklahoma's elite but untested defense. Tennessee's offense, led by erratic but explosive playmakers, should expose Oklahoma's lack of offensive balance. He prefers Tennessee and leans under. Griffin questions why Tennessee's only a field-goal favorite at home, calling the line suspicious. Lonte points to market respect for Oklahoma's defense despite their struggles versus Ole Miss and believes Tennessee's speed and weapons make them the right side. Finally, Cincinnati visits Utah, Utah -8.5, total 56.5. Lonte praises Cincinnati's undervalued run, 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS, but warns about Utah QB Devin Dampier's status. Cincinnati can control the clock with their run game, while Utah's limited explosiveness favors the under. Griffin asks how competitiveness affects totals. Lonte prefers both teams to stick to their run-heavy identities, producing long drives and a smooth under. Best Bets: Lonte takes Cal +4 vs Virginia, noting UVA's lucky wins and travel fatigue, with Cal's efficiency and home-field edge key. Griffin backs K-State +7.5 vs Texas Tech, trusting their recent form and home edge against a shaky Tech QB situation. Both encourage listeners to use promo code PASS15 for $15 off at pregame.com and aim to extend their winning streak next week. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 8

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2025 93:02


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers break down everything that happened for NFL Week 8. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 8, beginning with RJ joking about bagels before diving into betting trends. They note that favorites dominated and spreads barely mattered, leaving teasers and parlays heavy on Kansas City exposure. Fezzik observes that this week's final scores were mostly fair reflections, without many misleading results. The trio then shift into a long discussion about gambling integrity, comparing insider sports info to stock-market crimes. RJ argues that injury and lineup leaks are like insider trading and should carry harsh penalties. They cite NBA and college cases—LeBron injury rumors, Billy Walters, trainers leaking info—and imagine coded Twitter “dead drops” for illicit tips. RJ stresses that while some data like “LeBron out” has modest betting value, when players underperform deliberately or fake participation it becomes true corruption. They call for severe lifetime bans for manipulating personal stats, while leaks should draw lighter suspensions. Prop-bet abuse and small limits follow; Fezzik suggests $200 caps to deter fixing. They praise monitoring systems such as U.S. Integrity that now flag irregular betting instantly, citing the caught Alabama baseball coach. RJ says AI and DraftKings-style tracking would have exposed Donaghy within weeks. After that, they pivot to NFL: criticizing Harbaugh and the Ravens' handling of Lamar Jackson's surprise absence, speculating that transparency rules need enforcement. They analyze that game, calling the 30-16 Ravens win a “phony final” where Baltimore overperformed. Next comes Tampa Bay's misleading 22-3 over New Orleans—“ten-three at best,” Fezzik says—before RJ celebrates a same-game-parlay win. They review the Jets-Bengals comeback, noting lucky two-point conversions and that modern analytics justify going for two down eight. They dissect Bills, Giants, Steelers, and Packers games, emphasizing how late-game yardage can distort stats. RJ calls Cincinnati's defense “donezo.” They highlight teams awful versus the run (Giants, Bengals, Ravens) and conclude Pittsburgh's defense is overrated. Green Bay's D, by contrast, grades top five by EPA. The pair debate coaching: RJ says O'Connell is top five but mysteriously poor in night games, while Fezzik defends him. They agree the Vikings' O-line injuries keep them fragile. Closing out, they praise Belichick's Patriots for exposing Cleveland's travel defense, mock Dallas's showboating after Denver's blowout, and observe that great offense vs. great defense matchups often yield one-sided results. The show ends with schedule notes for next week's taping and RJ joking about his underdog pick and podcast timing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    UFC 321 - Aspinall Vs. Gane !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 25, 2025 56:43


    SleepyJ and MeanGene talk betting for the entire main card of UFC 321. Sleepy J and Mean Gene break down the entire UFC 321 main card from Abu Dhabi in a fast-paced betting preview. They open with their best bet—Azamat Mirzakhanov over Aleksandar Rakić—calling him the hungrier fighter with knockout power and better fight IQ while questioning Rakić's motivation and durability after a long layoff. They both see Mirzakhanov's aggression, southpaw power, and confidence carrying him through, especially overseas where judges may favor pressure and damage. They next debate Jailton Almeida vs Alexander Volkov: Sleepy J likes the veteran Volkov's size, balance, and cardio at dog odds, while Gene sides with Almeida for his submission skills and athletic upside but warns of cardio issues if it goes late. In the bantamweight bout, they tackle Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista. Sleepy J grabs Bautista at +440 just for the value, citing his streak and toughness, but admits Umar likely wins; Gene breaks down Umar's title-fight loss to Merab Dvalishvili, the broken hand, his elite grappling, and motivation to reclaim the title, calling him a “guaranteed” parlay piece even at –600. Sleepy J then drops a promo code before they preview the co-main—Mackenzie Dern vs Virna Jandiroba—for the vacant strawweight title. Gene picks Dern, citing her improved striking, world-class jiu-jitsu, and UFC marketing push but admits her wrestling and tendency to crumble under bright lights are concerns; he expects a submission or decision win if she stays composed. Sleepy J counters with Jandiroba, highlighting her five-fight win streak over names like Angela Hill and Marina Rodriguez and the revenge angle from losing to Dern years ago, arguing the line is off and that Dern is being overvalued for marketability. Finally, they dive deep on the heavyweight title fight—Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane. Sleepy J sees both as elite athletes but leans Aspinall and bets the over 1.5 rounds, thinking both start cautiously; he views Aspinall as the next long-term champ once he beats Gane. Gene delivers his most confident take ever, calling Aspinall a generational heavyweight—fast, technical, powerful, and mentally tougher—and insists Gane's poor ground game, low fight IQ, and quit factor from the Jon Jones fight will doom him. He predicts Aspinall by submission and urges listeners to parlay him at –300 to –400 or take “inside the distance” at –275 as safer value. The show closes with Sleepy J praising Gene's conviction, both agreeing Aspinall rules the division unless Jon Jones returns for legacy money, and teasing an extended episode for UFC 322, which they expect to be one of the best cards in years, urging fans to follow them on X and use promo code TOM20 at Pregame dot com for 20% off. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Week 8 Player Props !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 41:07


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ dive into NFL Week 8 player props. Description: NFL Week 8 is here and @MunafManji teams up with @SleepyJ to break down their top player props, best bets, and anytime touchdown scorers across the weekend slate! From Daniel Jones' pass attempts to Bijan Robinson's rushing + receiving yard total, the guys hit every position — QB, RB, WR, and TE — with stats, trends, and betting logic you can trust.

    World Series Game 1 Preview !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 42:51


    Munaf Manji adn Griffin Warner talk World Series betting for Game 1. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 8 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 23, 2025 85:11


    RJ bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 8. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 9 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2025 36:25


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB Week 9 betting. Offense play fast, defense swarm and tackle, out-block, out-hit, out-hustle, leave no doubt tonight. Welcome to the Pregame.com College Football Podcast; Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith recap last week's bets, one-and-one overall. Griffin laments Alabama-Tennessee over missing by 1.5 points; Lonte says it was still the right handicap. Arkansas barely covered against A&M, but a win's a win. Transitioning to Week 9, Griffin vents about Texas surviving Kentucky in overtime, clinging to playoff hopes despite a sputtering offense led by Arch Manning. Lonte defends Manning's potential but notes he's struggling behind an injured line and inconsistent weapons; Texas' defense elite but the offense stagnant. Next, they preview Ole Miss +5 at Oklahoma. Lonte worries OU quarterback John Metier isn't healthy enough for deep throws, leaning OU and the under, expecting Oklahoma's defense to dictate and Ole Miss to feel a hangover from blowing a 9-point lead at Georgia. Griffin agrees it's defense-driven and wonders whether back-to-back road trips doom the Rebels. Then Kansas State +2.5 at Kansas: Lonte wants K-State at +3, notes both off bye weeks, K-State trending up with a strong run game versus Kansas' weak rush defense. Over 57 also appealing with both offenses capable. Griffin points out Kansas State's pattern of close games and home-field edge from the Jayhawks' new stadium atmosphere. Next, Missouri at Vanderbilt (-2.5): both surprised how competitive Vandy's become. Lonte likes the Commodores at home, praising coach Clark Lea's culture shift and Barton Simmons' roster building. Mizzou coming off back-to-back emotional games and travel; Vandy's defense shaky on late downs but the run game and energy trending up. Griffin jokes about ESPN calling their LSU win a “thumping,” agrees Vandy controlled the game and didn't rush the field. Both like Vanderbilt and the over, expecting a 40-ish shootout. Finally, Texas A&M -2.5 at LSU: Lonte loves LSU, especially if line hits +3. Brian Kelly has lost only one home night game; the Tigers' defense solid though the offense lacks rhythm. A&M banged up with back-to-back road trips, while LSU just needs to stay on schedule and run efficiently. Griffin reads angry texts from an LSU alum demanding Kelly's firing, joking that fan unrest may be a perfect betting signal for a home-dog bounce. Both think LSU live to win outright in Death Valley. Wrapping up, they plug promo code CATCH20 for $20 off a football-access package, noting Griffin's birthday Oct 27 and thanking listeners for staying with them through 10 weeks. Best bets: Lonte takes Michigan State +14 vs Michigan, trusting Sparty's defense and rivalry motivation, noting Michigan struggles laying big road numbers; Griffin grabs Vanderbilt -2.5 vs Missouri, trusting the Commodores' form and Mizzou's fatigue. They sign off: follow @XXLanteXX and @TheRealAndScorchingWarner for Week 10 updates, promising more college-football insight next Tuesday on the Pregame.com Podcast. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NBA Wednesday Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2025 44:59


    Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers break down the opening games for the NBA season on Wednesday. Best bets as always. Munaf Manji opens the RJ Bell's Dream Preview NBA podcast, back from being under the weather and ready for the new season. With 13 games on Wednesday's slate, he and Mackenzie Rivers break down four key matchups, offering sides, totals, and best bets. They begin with the Cleveland Cavaliers at Madison Square Garden facing the New York Knicks. The Cavs are 1.5-point favorites with Darius Garland out, DeAndre Hunter questionable, and Max Strus recovering from foot surgery. The Knicks are missing Josh Hart and Mitchell Robinson, while Karl-Anthony Towns is questionable with a quad strain. Mackenzie likes the Cavs, citing their improved offense, depth, and consistency, noting that even without Garland they're better structured and cohesive. He argues the Knicks' injury list and new coaching approach create uncertainty, favoring Cleveland's early-season form. Munaf agrees, expecting Donovan Mitchell to shine and dominate offensively, particularly with the Knicks lacking frontcourt strength. Both lean slightly toward the over at 227.5, anticipating a strong Cavs offensive showing. Next, they preview the 76ers visiting the Celtics, Boston favored by 2.5. With Paul George, Jared McCain, and Trenton Watford out for Philly and Jason Tatum sidelined for Boston, Mackenzie sees both teams uncertain but leans Sixers due to Joel Embiid's presence, citing his offseason conditioning and potential resurgence. Munaf shares optimism for Embiid and Tyrese Maxey, predicting a big game and slight Sixers edge against Boston's thin frontcourt. For the Spurs at Mavericks matchup, Dallas is -2.5, with key absences including De'Aaron Fox, Kelly Olynyk, and Jeremy Sochan for San Antonio and Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, and Dante Exum for Dallas. Mackenzie leans Spurs, expecting Victor Wembanyama to impress against Anthony Davis, while acknowledging Dallas's experience advantage. They debate rookie Cooper Flagg's outlook, agreeing he's talented but unlikely to have a historically impactful rookie season, noting his youth and the rarity of immediate dominance. Munaf adds that Flaggs' Rookie of the Year odds are overvalued given his supporting cast. They touch on Dallas as a trendy Western Conference pick, with Mackenzie calling it “a hipster choice” but doubting their title chances given chemistry and reliance on a rookie. Munaf concurs, seeing potential but too many variables. Wrapping up, they promote the “Beat Dave Esler NBA Contest” at pregame.com, with $1,000 in prizes and a $75-off code (NBA75) for Mackenzie's full-season picks package. In best bets, Mackenzie doubles down on Cavaliers -1.5, emphasizing matchup dominance, cohesion, and depth. Munaf's best bet is the Chicago Bulls +4.5 vs. Detroit, citing preseason sharpness, defensive improvement, and Detroit's injuries and lack of reliable scoring beyond Cade Cunningham. Mackenzie agrees, backing dogs early-season trends. They close with light banter about gas prices and Munaf's Houston connections before signing off, urging listeners to subscribe and enjoy opening week of the NBA season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NBA Opening Night Double-Header Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 70:34


    SleepyJ and Mackenzie Rivers talk opening night NBA and much more. The guys also give out the first agreed upon player prop best bet !! SleepyJ hosts RJ Bell's Dream Preview for NBA opening night with Mackenzie Rivers. They discuss title odds, awards, and team outlooks. Oklahoma City opens as favorite at +200, and Mackenzie argues they're slightly undervalued given age curves and experience, citing SGA's playoff performance and team growth. Sleepy admits underrating OKC last year due to small-market bias, learning that team cohesion beats star power. They move to other contenders: Mackenzie likes Cleveland's continuity but questions their playoff ceiling; Sleepy doubts Donovan Mitchell's leadership and depth, calling the Cavs regular-season strong but playoff vulnerable. They debate Mitchell's limitations as a facilitator and team chemistry. Sleepy shifts to Houston, citing VanVleet's injury but optimism around Durant, Thompson, and Sengun. Mackenzie praises Durant's adaptability but notes Phoenix's example of misfit stars, still bullish on Houston's upside. Sleepy predicts Rockets could shock people and offers a bold take: betting on Philadelphia and Joel Embiid for MVP at 150-1 and title at 35-1. He argues Embiid looks rejuvenated and motivated by disrespect. Mackenzie agrees, calling those odds insulting and noting Embiid's elite stats despite limited games. They analyze how Philly could rival Knicks or Cavs if healthy. Then they examine bottom teams: Washington, Utah, Brooklyn, and Chicago. Both agree the Wizards are awful, but Sleepy also thinks the Bulls may implode, predicting a rebuild. Mackenzie critiques Chicago's poor contracts and lack of direction since Derrick Rose's injury. Sleepy sees Brooklyn outperforming its 19.5 win total. Transitioning to opening night bets, they preview Houston at OKC. Mackenzie's power ratings made OKC -7.5 but adjusts to -5.5 with Jalen Williams out, leaning Rockets slightly. Sleepy thinks OKC still reliable, given consistency and home edge. They discuss player props—Sleepy leans under KD 23.5 points, expecting him to defer to young teammates; Mackenzie initially leans over but concedes the market's caution. Next, Warriors at Lakers: LeBron's absence moves the line from Lakers -3.5 to Warriors -2.5. Mackenzie analyzes the line evolution, doubts L.A.'s defensive narrative, and argues the Warriors remain superior. He critiques media bias inflating Lakers' perception and calls Warriors -2 a fair play, making it his best bet. Sleepy agrees, taking Luka Doncic (now on Lakers) over 30.5 points, predicting he'll shoulder offense in LeBron's absence. They debate whether LeBron's rest is strategic “LeBron to the rescue” PR timing, likely returning in late November. Mackenzie estimates Lakers around 43–44 wins, under the 46.5 total. They close with promo code NBA25 for 25% off pregame.com. Sleepy endorses Mackenzie as the top NBA handicapper, praising his discipline and analytics. Both recall strong past results and share their agreed prop bet: Warriors' Jonathan Kuminga over 20.5 points, rebounds, and assists, believing he'll step up under bright lights in L.A. They end optimistic for a profitable NBA season and sign off encouraging listeners to enjoy opening night. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 7

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2025 80:46


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 7. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 7 in a fast-paced conversation mixing betting insights, analytics and humor. RJ opens by promoting Pregame's NBA season package and a special Mackenzie Rivers deal, emphasizing his 56.6% documented NBA win rate. They then analyze the Giants-Broncos game, where Denver made a historic comeback from an 18-point deficit. Fezzik argues the Giants' aggressive late-game strategy was reasonable despite media criticism, while RJ compares it to the infamous Falcons-Patriots Super Bowl collapse, concluding that both conservative and aggressive play have risks. The trio examine statistical measures like yards per play, win share, and “garbage time” adjustments, agreeing context matters more than raw stats. They shift to other matchups: the Rams' “phony blowout” over Jacksonville, where stats misled; Miami-Cleveland, where weather and turnovers defined the Browns' win; and Patriots-Titans, where quarterback hand size and fumble tendencies hurt Tennessee. They debate young QB evaluations, noting Drake May's rise to third in combined PFF/QBR rankings, arguing he's surpassed Jaden Daniels and could rival Burrow or Lamar Jackson in value given his youth and contract. RJ cautions against premature hype after short sample sizes like C.J. Stroud's rookie surge, while Fezzik defends updating priors quickly. They discuss the 49ers' quarterback situation—whether Brock Purdy's success reflects him or Kyle Shanahan's system—and criticize GM John Lynch for overpaying veterans. RJ contrasts San Francisco's generosity with Kansas City's and New England's frugality, calling the latter model more sustainable. They review league power ratings using yards per play, noting surprising leaders like Seattle and Denver and questioning whether such metrics truly capture team strength. The Chiefs' demolition of the Raiders sparks debate over coaching continuity, situational creativity, and overreliance on one big win to justify Super Bowl favoritism. Fezzik praises Mahomes' intelligence but laments other teams' lack of innovation, attributing KC's success to organizational stability. They analyze Baltimore's inflated market rating, Chicago's surprising offensive efficiency despite defensive woes, and Indianapolis' quietly elite yards-per-play stats. The crew criticizes the Jets' dysfunction, comparing them unfavorably to Detroit's slow but steady rebuild under Dan Campbell, citing ownership and coaching instability as root causes. Fezzik rants about Dallas Cowboys' “showboating” and lack of discipline, prompting RJ to mock his old-school sensibilities while they segue into Philly's adaptability and Minnesota's quarterback uncertainty with J.J. McCarthy's injuries. They close by evaluating team quality via cumulative point margins in losses, with Green Bay and Denver ranking highest in “close-loss resilience.” RJ highlights Arizona's competitiveness despite poor results and looks ahead to Houston's upcoming test as an underrated statistical power. The show ends on a brisk note, promising a Thursday morning release and teasing deeper analytics in future episodes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 7 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2025 146:30


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 7 betting and more. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 7 from a sports-betting angle, blending statistical analysis, market movement insight and handicapping philosophy. They open by noting season-long trends in scoring and defense and how rule interpretations and injuries have shaped totals. Fezzik details key situational edges such as travel spots, rest advantages and weather, while RJ frames the discussion around market inefficiencies and public versus sharp money influence. They debate notable lines like Chiefs-Chargers, Ravens-Browns and Eagles-Dolphins, highlighting how early-week numbers shifted after injury reports and power-rating updates. Mackenzie adds historical database trends supporting underdogs off low-scoring wins and teams playing second straight road games. They explore coaching mismatches, quarterback efficiency metrics, EPA per play and the value of teasers in tight spreads. The crew discusses how to price quarterback uncertainty and the growing variance from backup play across the league. Fezzik offers his best bets — a first-half total under in Browns-Colts based on pace and defensive matchups, and a look-ahead spot fading a team off an emotional prime-time win. RJ emphasizes betting timing, arguing that getting ahead of key number moves is as valuable as the pick itself. They conclude with meta-analysis on how the market reacts to data driven narratives versus subjective media takes, reinforcing Pregame's theme of “betting truth over talk.” Each segment blends quantitative handicapping with storytelling about motivation, momentum and public perception, and the show ends with Fezzik tracking contest records and RJ inviting listeners to compare their power ratings to the market close. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Week 7 Player Props + Agreed Pick !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2025 38:41


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Week 7 player props. Munaf Manji hosts RJ Bell's Dream Preview Week 7 Props episode with Sleepy J, recapping the Bengals-Steelers Thursday night shootout and Joe Flacco's resurgence before diving into their best player props. Both agree on quarterback Jaden Daniels over 1.5 passing touchdowns at -120 against Dallas, citing the Cowboys' busted coverages and a 54.5 total that implies heavy scoring. Sleepy's running back prop is Bijan Robinson over 121.5 rushing and receiving yards versus the 49ers, expecting a huge game with linebacker Fred Warner sidelined. Munaf counters with Quinshon Judkins over 85.5 rushing yards versus Miami, predicting a ground-heavy game due to bad weather and the Dolphins' porous run defense. For wide receivers, Sleepy likes Courtland Sutton over 56.5 receiving yards, noting his consistent target share and the Giants' tendency to surrender explosive plays. Munaf takes Jackson Smith-Njigba longest reception over 26.5 yards versus Houston, trusting his knack for separation and the Texans' vulnerable secondary. Sleepy's tight end play is Jets' Mason Taylor over 41.5 receiving yards against Carolina, projecting volume with Garrett Wilson likely out and the Panthers ranking worst versus tight ends. Munaf mirrors the logic with Buccaneers' Cade Otton over 41.5 yards versus Detroit, expecting elevated usage amid injuries to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Touchdown props: Sleepy backs Saquon Barkley (-115) to score as the Eagles return to a run-first identity; Munaf picks Washington's Jakorian Merritt (-125) to find the end zone versus Dallas and sprinkles on CeeDee Lamb (+115) on the other side. Their agreed best bet: Texans QB CJ Stroud over 223.5 passing yards Monday night against Seattle, supported by recent trends showing QBs regularly topping this number versus the Seahawks, Seattle's strong run defense forcing Houston to throw, and injuries in Seattle's secondary. Sleepy notes Stroud's protection has improved, making Houston's passing attack viable. Both expect the Texans to stay competitive behind Stroud's arm. They wrap by promoting Pregame.com's coupon code “PROPS20” for $20 off a month of football all-access, highlighting hot streaks from Fezzik, Spartan, GoodFella, and others. Munaf closes by stressing the ongoing momentum of the NFL, NBA, and NHL seasons and thanking listeners for supporting the show. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 8 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2025 29:58


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith break down college football week 8 from a betting perspective. College Football Week 8 (Griffin Warner & Lonte Smith) Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith return on the College Football Podcast from RJ Bell's Dream Preview to analyze four key Week 8 matchups and share best bets. They recap last week's near misses—Griffin hit the Texas-Oklahoma under, while Lonte's Arizona pick lost in overtime—and discuss how betting luck swings in college football. The show opens with Ole Miss vs Georgia, where Lonte favors the under 54.5 due to Georgia's second-half defensive dominance and Ole Miss's inconsistency. He notes Georgia isn't “elite” this season, lacking pass rush and explosive offense, and predicts a defensive battle with potential value on Georgia's second-half line. Next, they shift to USC at Notre Dame. Lonte outlines USC's cluster injuries at running back and offensive line and praises Notre Dame's improving defense, which hasn't allowed a second-half point in three games. Despite liking the Trojans' passing attack, he favors the over 62 and leans Notre Dame to cover –9 given the matchup and cross-country travel. Griffin questions why Notre Dame deserves such a big spread, and Lonte credits their trench play and balance under Marcus Freeman. The third game features Tennessee vs Alabama, with Lonte backing the Vols +8, expecting their offense to exploit Alabama's reduced pass rush and hang around in a high-scoring affair. Griffin takes the over 58.5 as his best bet, anticipating a shift from Nick Saban's defensive identity to an offensive shootout under Kalen DeBoer. Finally, they preview Utah vs BYU, the “Holy War,” where Lonte likes Utah –3.5 on the road, calling BYU's recent wins misleading and praising Utah's elite run defense and revenge motivation after losing the last two meetings. They end by promoting Pregame.com's GOAL50 code for $50 off a 30-day All-Access plan and highlight Steve Fezzik's college football run. Lonte's best bet is Arkansas +7.5 as a live home underdog versus Texas A&M, citing injuries to Aggie playmakers and improved Razorbacks offense. The hosts close by thanking listeners and promising more insights next week on the Straight Outta Vegas AM feed. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 6

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2025 87:35


    RJ Bell and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 6 recap. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Week 6 Player Props !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 46:24


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Player prop betting for Week 6. RJ Bell's Dream Preview returned for NFL Week 6 with hosts Munaf Manji and SleepyJ diving into player prop bets, storylines, and betting insights. The episode opened with the duo reflecting on a surprising Thursday night upset where the Giants beat the Eagles. SleepyJ attributed the result to differing team mindsets—Philadelphia's lack of hunger versus New York's youthful energy and confidence. Munaf noted how rookie quarterback Jackson Dart and running back Cam Scadaboo have injected life into the Giants' offense, while Philadelphia's issues with offensive rhythm and underperforming stars like Saquon Barkley continue to raise concerns. Transitioning to their betting picks, SleepyJ began with a bold play on Browns rookie quarterback Dylan Gabriel to surpass 183.5 passing yards against a weak Steelers secondary, citing multiple mediocre quarterbacks who had already torched Pittsburgh for over 200 yards. Munaf supported the pick, agreeing that game script and defensive inefficiency favored the over. Munaf's first prop focused on Justin Herbert surpassing 19.5 rushing yards versus Miami, explaining that the Chargers' injuries on the offensive line and backfield would force Herbert to scramble more. SleepyJ then paired that with Hassan Haskins over 37.5 rushing yards, arguing that Los Angeles would emphasize the run against a historically bad Dolphins rush defense. The two also discussed Rico Dowdle of the Panthers, taking him to exceed 77.5 rushing yards versus his former team, the Cowboys, driven by motivation and a struggling Dallas defense. Their conversation then shifted to wide receivers. SleepyJ targeted Tetairoa McMillan of Carolina to go over 70.5 receiving yards, calling for a breakout performance against the Cowboys' porous pass defense. Munaf agreed, noting McMillan's consistent target share and developing chemistry with Bryce Young. Munaf's receiver pick was Travis Hunter of Jacksonville over 36.5 receiving yards against the Seahawks, expecting increased involvement due to Seattle's depleted secondary and growing rapport with Trevor Lawrence. SleepyJ added depth with tight end props—Darren Waller and Hunter Henry both to go over their yardage totals, plus a sleeper mention of Rams wideout Tutu Atwell against Baltimore's injured secondary. Munaf closed the section with Tucker Kraft of the Packers over 46.5 receiving yards, leaning on the Bengals' weakness versus tight ends. The hosts then moved to touchdown props: SleepyJ chose Kyren Williams of the Rams to score, citing heavy usage, while Munaf picked Michael Pittman Jr. at +150 odds, expecting him to thrive against Arizona's defense. For their joint best bet, they agreed on Josh Jacobs of Green Bay over 78.5 rushing yards versus the Bengals, predicting a high-volume workload against one of the league's softest run defenses. They wrapped by reminding listeners to use the Dime10 promo code at pregame.com for discounts and teased next week's episode, confident their deep-cut prop selections—though unconventional—offered significant betting value. The show mixed humor, sharp statistical insight, and situational analysis, showcasing both handicappers' commitment to finding undervalued players and exploiting weak defenses in Week 6's NFL slate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 6 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 105:26


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 6. (RJ Bell 0:05–4:28) RJ Bell opened by calling it their most pick-heavy show yet and promoted Pregame's 90-day all-access deal, covering every NFL and college pick through mid-January plus NBA from Mackenzie Rivers, who's sustained 56.9% wins over four seasons. Steve Fezzik is up 52 units in college football, Good Fella up 20 in all sports, making this the best seasonal value. (Steve Fezzik 4:29–5:07) Fezzik's best bet: Detroit +2.5 at Kansas City. He rated the Lions 1.5 points better on power numbers, calling it a “much better spot” since Detroit coasted versus Cincinnati while Kansas City drained energy Monday night. (RJ Bell 5:08–10:31) Bell warned Detroit's banged-up secondary could be exposed but agreed the line overrates the Chiefs. He cited Dan Campbell's only coaching weakness—two straight road games five points below his usual ATS—but Fezzik said travel was short and rest ample. Bell's data showed Detroit faced the 27th-easiest schedule, KC the 7th-hardest, suggesting possible inflation, though both agreed the Lions' offense remained elite. (Mackenzie Rivers 13:10–13:15 to RJ Bell 20:02) Rivers mentioned KC's bounce-back narrative; Fezzik described waiting for +3 odds, sparking debate on betting exchanges, line movement, and same-game parlays. (RJ Bell 21:54–29:58) Bell's top pick: Tennessee team total under 18.5. He predicted a post-win letdown, called Tennessee “the NFL's worst offense” by drive-success rate (61%), and leaned on Pete Carroll's 3-loss rebound trend—opponents score 6 points below average. Fezzik added that teams winning twice as 5-point dogs “fall on their face” the next week. (Mackenzie Rivers 34:44–35:26) Rivers confirmed the trend (84-44 fading record since 2012) and EPA data placing Tennessee last (-36). (RJ Bell 35:46–43:07) Rivers and Fezzik pivoted to Cleveland-Pittsburgh, backing the Steelers off a bye versus a Browns squad returning from London. Bell cited Kevin Stefanski's 3-12 ATS mark on consecutive road games (-9.3 margin) and Tomlin's 18-1 straight-up home record vs Cleveland. (Fezzik 43:27–45:55) Fezzik next played Washington –4.5 over Chicago, noting a QB mismatch (Daniels vs Caleb Williams) and power-rating edge. Bell detailed Chicago's “luck-driven” offense ranking 22nd and the NFL's worst defense allowing 57% first-downs after second down. (RJ Bell 55:17–1:02:04) Bell's next bet: Jets-Denver under 43.5, arguing New York's scoring stats are inflated by weak opponents; the London trip and poor coaching amplify offensive risk. (Rivers 1:02:23–1:06:15) Rivers backed New England –3.5 vs New Orleans, citing EPA (+55 vs –something like 30th rank) and trench mismatches. Bell cautioned most bettors can't exploit live-wager edges Fezzik described. (Fezzik 1:15:24–1:17:19) He leaned Atlanta +4.5 vs Buffalo off a bye; Bell replied that McDermott-coached favorites off losses are 16-8-1 ATS (+5.2 margin). (RJ Bell 1:21:09–1:24:04) Bell's marquee pick: San Francisco –3 over Tampa Bay. He cited Todd Bowles' 0-6 ATS record after upset wins and a look-ahead spot to Detroit, arguing Tampa's coin-flip victories and public hype make the 49ers undervalued. (Fezzik 1:25:06–1:26:32) Fezzik's prop: Carolina RB Rico Dowdle rushing-yards over, expecting starter Hubbard's calf injury to boost usage against Dallas, his old team. (RJ Bell 1:28:40–1:32:37) Both liked Seattle over Jacksonville and Miami-Chargers under 43.5, citing O-line injuries, Tyreek Hill's absence, and Jim Harbaugh's 14-2 to-the-under trend when totals drop ≥3 points (–9 ppg). (Fezzik 1:33:07–1:34:22 to RJ Bell 1:37:58) They closed with Indianapolis first-half –4 over Arizona, factoring Kyler Murray's knee injury and reduced mobility. Bell added a division-futures hedge: buy Pittsburgh, offset later with Baltimore. Fezzik ended the packed Week 6 episode with his trademark farewell: “Be careful out there.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 7 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 34:01


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk college football betting for Week 7. Best bets as always. (0:06 - 0:30, Speaker 3) The show opened with a fierce call to action: “Offense, play fast. Defense, swarm and tackle.” The repeated demand to “Leave no doubt tonight!” captured urgency and confidence, setting a competitive tone. (0:30 - 2:20, Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith) Griffin Warner introduced the Week 7 betting breakdown, starting with Texas' collapse. Lonte Smith said, “They got Sark and the offensive line coach arguing,” pointing to dysfunction and lack of rhythm despite defensive effort. He warned that in the SEC, “You can't bury yourself in tears—you've got to get back up.” (2:20 - 4:49) Reviewing bets, Smith admitted his UAB pick failed because “they were down six starters on defense.” Warner added that early bets can miss late-week injury news, stressing patience in timing wagers. (4:50 - 11:40, Oklahoma vs. Texas) Warner previewed the Red River rivalry, noting Texas dropped from -3.5 to -1. Smith said, “It's not all Arch, but he's the quarterback,” critiquing poor line play and imbalance. With OU's Mateer possibly returning, he said, “With a healthy Mateer, OU minus one and a half.” Expecting strong defenses, Smith favored the under 43: “Both teams can't run the football.” Warner, a Texas fan, recalled painful past matchups and admitted, “I've been afraid of this game all year.” (12:53 - 15:51, Oregon vs. Indiana) Smith said Indiana struggles on the road, contrasting with Oregon's “championship-caliber” balance. He called Oregon's Rose Bowl loss “an outlier” and predicted their athleticism and QB mobility would overwhelm Indiana. (17:47 - 23:11, Arizona State vs. Utah) Utah was a 5.5-point home favorite. Smith highlighted dominance up front: “Their trenches are some of the best in the country.” Arizona State ranked poorly in rushing defense and third-down success, while Utah was 4th in rush success rate. He predicted a 10-point Utah win. (23:51 - 26:40, South Florida vs. North Texas) Warner joked about North Texas canceling classes for tailgating. Smith called it an “elimination game” in the AAC, favoring North Texas due to “defensive improvement and home-field edge.” He noted South Florida's weak run game and sloppy turnovers. (28:51 - 31:09, Best Bets) Smith's pick was Arizona +2.5, citing top-five defensive metrics and calling BYU “a bit of a fraud.” Warner took Texas–Oklahoma under 43, quipping, “I'm rooting for punts.” Their closing exchange mixed data, humor, and insight—showcasing sharp analysis built on stats, context, and conviction. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 5

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 79:54


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for Week 5. [RJ Bell (0:06–0:20)] opened in disbelief over Arizona's collapse. [Steve Fezzik (0:20–1:05)] vented, “I had Arizona and Indy… easiest winner ever. And yet somehow it lost,” showing frustration with improbable losses. [Bell (1:15–1:52)] called it “two or three things that were a hundred to one each,” defining its absurdity. [Fezzik (2:24–3:08)] blamed player arrogance—“Hand the ball to the referee”—as Arizona, up 21–6, fumbled twice, turning a 99% win chance into defeat. [Rivers (3:08–3:24)] confirmed a 98% win probability even post-turnover. [Bell (5:08–6:04)] said Arizona's average win rate was 89%, second-most unlikely loss in a decade. [Fezzik (6:29–7:48)] slammed coaching “incompetence” for running three times and punting, gifting Tennessee a comeback. [Bell (7:49–9:37)] added metrics: –24 kickoff yards, –7 in turnovers plus sacks, yet 45% success rate vs Tennessee's 37%, proving superior play undone by mistakes. [Fezzik (9:53–10:15)] said Arizona repeats errors; [Bell (10:33–11:04)] tied that to Kyler Murray's weak leadership. [Fezzik (11:05–11:59)] contrasted him with Mahomes: “Mahomes dives on the ball… Kyler stands there,” showing passion vs passivity. [Bell (11:59–12:19)] moved to Baltimore's meltdown vs Houston. [Fezzik (12:19–14:25)] admitted his once–No.1 Ravens were “five points worse than average.” [Rivers (15:18–15:27)] cited Stroud's 99.5 QBR; [Bell (15:27–16:09)] added Houston's 61.5% success vs Baltimore's 37%. [Fezzik (16:19–16:24)] cut Baltimore three points, raised Houston 1.5. [Bell (16:54–17:49)] noted Houston's average snap 16 yards closer to scoring—total domination. [Fezzik (17:49–18:14)] confirmed 400–200 yard edge. [Bell (18:26–18:44)] said elite defense plus average offense makes Houston “well above average.” [Fezzik (19:13–19:31)] shifted to Giants-Saints: “five straight turnovers.” [Bell (19:31–20:05)] said that gave New Orleans a 34-point edge. [Fezzik (20:12–20:17)] noted Saints' red-zone flaws but solid play. [Rivers (21:18–21:36)] said they've covered nearly every game. [Bell (22:14–22:56)] saw Giants QB Dart as “slightly below average passer, above-average runner.” [Fezzik (23:13–23:28)] predicted more rushing. [Fezzik (25:17–26:06)] said Seattle “should have won 38–35,” averaging nine yards per play but losing from turnovers. [Bell (26:37–26:57)] added success rates: Seattle 62%, Tampa 51%, both elite. [Fezzik (29:24–30:35)] noted Rams outgained San Francisco by 2.3 yards per play but failed twice inside the five. [Rivers (32:17–32:35)] described 49ers' “dink-and-dunk” control style. [Bell (32:59–33:11)] compared Purdy to Mac Jones—efficient but limited. [Fezzik (36:04–38:22)] highlighted Minnesota's trick-play win over Cleveland, 49% vs 39% success rate and seven explosive plays to three. [Fezzik (42:08–42:58)] analyzed Washington's easy win over Chargers, calling them “a sneaky contender.” [Bell (45:02–47:46)] praised Detroit's 37–24 rout of Cincinnati as a “wipeout,” citing +13 turnover points and +252 hidden yards. [Bell (49:59–50:43)] warned power ratings ignore style—Detroit dominates early, KC thrives late. [Fezzik (51:59–52:19)] said Philly-Denver was even statistically, but Sean Payton's bold two-point try flipped momentum. [Bell (55:56–56:38)] said it forced Philly from clock-control comfort. [Fezzik (57:29–57:47)] lamented fading stars Barkley and Henry losing burst. [Bell (59:42–59:56)] ended on Indianapolis's rise; [Fezzik (1:00:10–1:00:24)] said they “might be the best team.” [Bell & Fezzik (1:05:03–1:07:22)] agreed old coaches like Belichick and Carroll can't adapt to the fast-changing league. [Fezzik (1:11:19–1:11:54)] closed with betting advice: “Target 7.5-win teams with young coaches for Coach of the Year.” [Fezzik (1:13:36–1:16:49)] finished humorously, describing a month at a luxury gym as a short burst of energy—an apt metaphor for fleeting success and needed renewal. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Player Props - Week 5

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 45:20


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for week 5. Munaf Manji (0:16 - 0:58) opened by welcoming listeners to the NFL Week 5 props edition, promising four picks each, touchdown props, and a final best bet. He highlighted last week's success going 3-1 and cashing Bo Nix's passing yards over, setting momentum for this week. SleepyJ (0:59 - 1:15) returned after a busy week, eager to deliver winners. Munaf (1:17 - 1:50) stressed their 3-1 record on best bets and shifted to quarterback props. SleepyJ (1:51 - 3:23) started with Tua Tagovailoa under 32.5 passing attempts, noting Miami's offense fares worse when Tua throws more, pointing to past losses tied to higher attempts. With Tyreek Hill out and Carolina better attacked on the ground, he expected “more HN, less Tua.” Munaf (3:23 - 6:51) agreed Miami should run more without Hill's deep threat. His QB prop was Baker Mayfield to throw an interception vs. Seattle, citing the Seahawks' ball-hawking defense that intercepted Purdy, Rodgers, and Murray twice each. He noted Mayfield threw three picks vs. Seattle in 2019 and another in 2023, making turnovers likely. SleepyJ (6:51 - 7:28) reinforced that without Mike Evans, Mayfield would struggle. Moving to running backs, SleepyJ (7:37 - 9:10) played Jordan Mason under 80.5 rushing + receiving yards against Cleveland, explaining the Browns' top-ranked run defense and Minnesota's depleted offensive line left Mason little chance. Munaf (9:10 - 12:37) supported this with stats: Browns allowing 60.5 rush yards per game and 2.29 per carry. His RB pick was Justice Hill over 14.5 receiving yards, noting Lamar Jackson's absence meant Cooper Rush would rely on checkdowns. Hill's snaps rose to 59% and he logged 41 yards last week, showing reliable production. SleepyJ (12:37 - 13:54) agreed, suggesting Hill could equal Henry's snaps. At wide receiver, SleepyJ (14:03 - 15:37) chose Garrett Wilson over 62.5 yards, citing Dallas' league-worst pass defense and Wilson's dominance with 38 team targets versus the next at six. Munaf (15:38 - 19:43) added Dallas allows 207 yards per game to WRs, worst in the NFL, and praised Wilson's opportunity. His WR pick was Courtland Sutton over 56.5 yards, pointing to chemistry with Bo Nix and recent big-yardage games. SleepyJ (19:44 - 21:17) highlighted Eagles rookie Quinyon Mitchell's struggles, making Sutton a strong matchup. At tight end, SleepyJ (21:28 - 23:49) doubled up with Trey McBride over 63.5 yards and Marvin Harrison Jr. over 50.5 yards for Arizona, arguing with RBs hurt, Kyler Murray would lean on them. Munaf (23:50 - 27:15) agreed, calling it a breakout spot. His TE pick was Sam LaPorta over 39.5 yards vs. Cincinnati, who allow 61 per game to TEs. SleepyJ (27:16 - 29:00) warned about blowout risk but leaned over. Munaf (29:00 - 30:14) emphasized Cincinnati's fragile psyche without Burrow. After promotions, SleepyJ (32:46 - 34:33) chose Alvin Kamara anytime TD vs. the Giants, noting his slump could rebound against a weak rush defense. Munaf (34:34 - 38:57) picked Quinton Johnson anytime TD for the Chargers, citing three scores in four games and Washington's poor defense. For their best bet, Munaf (38:57 - 40:41) gave Nico Collins over 72.5 yards vs. Baltimore, with back-to-back big games and Ravens' injury-riddled secondary. SleepyJ (40:41 - 40:40) added Collins could hit alt lines of 100+ easily, even 150 if the Ravens' holes were exposed. Munaf (40:41 - 41:38) confirmed Collins' alt yardage odds, locking in Texans WR Nico Collins over 72.5 as the official best bet. SleepyJ (41:39 - 42:02) closed by urging use of the promo code and predicting another winning week, while Munaf (42:02 - 42:19) signed off confident they'd improve to 4-1 on best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 5 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2025 110:18


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 5 betting. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    College Football Week 6 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2025 36:58


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk College Football betting for Week 6. The guys also give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 4

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2025 78:33


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 4. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Player Props - Week 4

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2025 36:53


    Munaf Manji and Lonte Smith talk NFL Week 4 player props betting. [Munaf Manji] introduced props across positions. [Lonte Smith] began with Tua Tagovailoa over 243.5 yards Monday night, noting “he's averaged 254 against the Jets” and McDaniel will push him after Miami's 0-3 start. [Munaf Manji] agreed, adding urgency for Tua and coach jobs. His QB prop targeted Jordan Love's longest completion over 38.5, citing Dallas' defense surrendering multiple 40+ plays: “it just takes one pass.” [Lonte Smith] agreed, naming WR Golden as likely to hit. At RB, [Lonte Smith] chose Jameer Gibbs under 64.5, stressing Cleveland's rush defense at 57.3 yards allowed per game and Henry held to 11-for-23. [Munaf Manji] agreed, noting Browns allow only 2.25 yards per carry. His RB pick was Ashton Gentry over 63.5 vs Chicago, pointing to Bears' 5.34 YPC allowed, with Gibbs and Javonte Williams torching them. [Lonte Smith] called it Gentry's “coming out party.” At WR, [Lonte Smith] pushed Nico Collins over 71.5 yards, citing big games vs Tennessee's weak secondary and 8-for-104 last week. [Munaf Manji] doubled down, citing his home splits—70 yards and 16 TDs at home vs 54 and 4 on road—and Sneed's “who?” comment as bulletin-board fuel. At TE, [Lonte Smith] loved Hunter Henry over 40.5, calling it “my favorite play,” citing Panthers' struggles vs McBride and Strange, plus Henry's 23 team-leading targets and 8-for-90 line with 2 TDs. [Munaf Manji] agreed, saying the number is “a little low” and suggested ladder bets. They also mentioned Puka Nacua's steady 9+ targets weekly and Jackson Dart rushing overs at 34.5. For anytime TDs, [Lonte Smith] picked Woody Marks at +200, noting goal-line weakness in Tennessee and dual-threat usage. [Munaf Manji] picked Collins to score at +115, citing 14 TDs in 16 Houston home games, and Mahomes rushing TD at +340, warning it's “alarming” he leads KC in rushing but already has 2 TDs. Finally, both agreed the best bet is Bo Nix over 218.5 passing yards vs Cincinnati. [Munaf Manji] cited Bengals' weak pass defense: Flacco 290, Lawrence 271. He added Nix hit 219 and 3 TDs on them last year. [Lonte Smith] predicted “explosion” plays would push him over. They closed with consensus that Nix's passing over is week four's strongest prop, while Collins and Henry offer strong supporting plays. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 4 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 25, 2025 119:24


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 4. RJ Bell 00:00–04:00 opened by framing NFL Week 4 picks, noting how public perception often swings too far based on recent performances. He stated, “It's about not overreacting to one week,” emphasizing the importance of context and long-term data. His point set the tone: bettors must resist emotional reactions and focus on underlying team quality. Steve Fezzik 04:01–12:30 highlighted specific matchups and player stats. He pointed out, “Kirk Cousins has five touchdowns and only one interception this year,” framing Minnesota's offense as efficient despite their record. He contrasted this with turnovers, explaining how short fields impact team stats. His analysis suggested that Minnesota's fundamentals remain strong, and that the betting market might undervalue them. Scott Seidenberg 12:31–20:00 broke down trends. He said, “Favorites are only covering at 38% through three weeks,” which underscored the importance of considering underdogs early in the season. He explained that public bettors favor favorites, but sharp bettors capitalize on inflated lines. This observation had implications for several Week 4 lines, showing that market inefficiencies persist. RJ Bell 20:01–28:30 pivoted to broader team evaluations. He argued, “The Cowboys' defense has given up only 10 points per game,” highlighting elite defensive metrics. However, he warned that such dominance may regress against stronger offenses. By contextualizing stats, RJ showed how even strong numbers may not be sustainable, a reminder that stats need situational framing. Steve Fezzik 28:31–40:00 returned with targeted player and team analysis, noting how quarterback play under pressure often dictates outcomes. He emphasized, “Pressure rates are more predictive than sack totals,” underscoring how advanced metrics reveal true team strength. He connected this to Week 4 matchups where defensive pressure could swing results, highlighting that surface-level stats often mislead. Scott Seidenberg 40:01–50:00 focused on team situational spots. He noted, “Teams on short rest cover just 42% historically,” showing how rest disadvantages alter outcomes. He tied this to specific Week 4 games, suggesting bettors must factor scheduling into handicapping. His insight illuminated how off-field variables create hidden edges. RJ Bell 50:01–End closed by reiterating discipline. He remarked, “The goal isn't to win every game, it's to make good bets consistently,” stressing the importance of process over results. His final words carried weight, reminding listeners that smart wagering comes from context, trends, and data-driven decisions, not emotion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 5 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 24, 2025 38:38


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for Week 5. [00:00 | Speaker 3] The discussion begins with intensity: “Offense, play fast. Defense, swarm. Swarm and tackle.” The repeated demand to “out-block, out-tackle, out-hit, out-hustle” and “Leave no doubt tonight!” frames a theme of urgency and dominance. [00:45 | Griffin Warner] Griffin introduces the Week 5 show, joking about Vanderbilt's surprising success and admitting their bets went 0-2 after a 2-0 streak, showing how volatile the season can be. [02:10 | Lonte Smith] Lonte reflects on UConn: “The UConn play was the wrong side,” noting they had chances but “couldn't capitalize and couldn't stop Kelly on the run.” He highlights Vanderbilt scoring 72, their most since 1918, underscoring how explosive games can get. [05:30 | Griffin Warner] Alabama vs Georgia comes up with Alabama +3 and total 52. [06:15 | Lonte Smith] Lonte stresses “My number is exactly three,” pointing to both teams' weak pass rush. Georgia ranks outside the top 100 in EPA per pass and has just three sacks, while Alabama has only 31 pressures. He predicts “an explosion of big plays” and loves the over 52.5, leaning slightly to Georgia at home. [12:40 | Griffin Warner] Griffin asks about shifts in program power. [13:20 | Lonte Smith] Lonte explains, “Bama is second tier to what Georgia is doing,” crediting Kirby Smart's continuity and NFL pipeline, while contrasting Saban's defensive style with DeBoer's offensive focus. [15:00 | Griffin Warner] Next is LSU at Ole Miss, with Ole Miss -1.5 and total 54.5. [15:45 | Lonte Smith] Lonte breaks down the quarterback dilemma: Trinidad Chambliss has been “nothing short of sensational,” while Austin Simmons is turnover-prone. LSU can exploit Ole Miss's weakness, “outside the top 115 in rush success rate.” He says, “The over is good regardless of quarterback.” [21:20 | Griffin Warner] Moving to Ohio State at Washington, Griffin notes the line moved from -12.5 to -8.5. [22:00 | Lonte Smith] Lonte cites, “Five and nine straight up for Power Four quarterbacks making their first road start.” Washington has a 21-game home win streak, one of the best in the nation. He suggests betting Washington early before Ohio State's depth shows, expecting an eventual Buckeye win by eight or nine points. [28:15 | Griffin Warner] Griffin asks why bettors move against “the number one program.” [28:40 | Lonte Smith] Lonte answers that sharps love home dogs, adding Washington's momentum, dual-threat QB De'Mon Williams, and cross-country travel factors make this a prime spot. [31:00 | Griffin Warner] Griffin introduces Oregon at Penn State, Oregon +3.5. [31:30 | Lonte Smith] Lonte says, “I love Penn State in this spot.” He criticizes Drew Aller, “outside the top 100 in QBR,” and weak receivers, but expects Penn State's elite defense in a whiteout to overwhelm Oregon despite Dante Moore's strong play. He predicts a 9-10 point Penn State win. [37:00 | Griffin Warner] Griffin highlights the impact of a night game at Happy Valley and travel challenges. [38:10 | Lonte Smith] Lonte agrees, noting Penn State's balance and defensive edge. [39:45 | Griffin Warner] Griffin offers promo code “Blitz20.” [41:00 | Lonte Smith] Lonte's best bet is Illinois +7 vs USC, citing USC's struggles traveling east and poor defense: “124th in rush success rate allowed.” With RB Aiden Lowry returning and QB Luke Altmyer's legs, Illinois can bounce back. [44:00 | Griffin Warner] Griffin agrees on the full touchdown value. His best bet is over 54.5 in LSU vs Ole Miss, banking on scoring regardless of quarterback uncertainty. [46:00 | Closing] Both hosts thank listeners, preview October matchups, and hope to rebound with winners. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 3

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2025 92:28


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for week 3. RJ Bell (0:06–0:28) opened the Week 3 recap with Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers, pointing straight to the Rams' late collapse. Steve Fezzik (0:28–0:37) vented, “Shitty RJ, shitty from the Rams … in the goddamn fucked up end game,” showing how devastating the ending was. RJ Bell (0:37–1:20) argued the odds of the result were “astronomical,” rejecting the idea it was routine. Steve Fezzik (1:20–2:29) explained the math: only a 0.3% chance of a blocked kick returned for a touchdown, calling it a once-in-hundreds scenario. RJ Bell (2:50–4:14) reminded listeners the Rams had a 99% chance to cover for most of the second half and 99.9% on the final snap. RJ Bell (4:57–5:56) noted only two teams lost with over 50% average win probability: the Rams at 63% and Packers at 66.2%. Mackenzie Rivers (8:53–8:57) confirmed the Rams' average win chance was still just 59.5%, proof of how sudden the collapse was. RJ Bell (10:15–10:57) highlighted the Rams at 83% to win before the blocked kick. Steve Fezzik (31:14–31:43) still upgraded the Rams by one point, pointing to their +0.8 yards per play edge. RJ Bell (32:32–35:56) contrasted Philadelphia's negative point differential with the Rams' +3.8 average, moving the Rams ahead in power ratings. RJ Bell (39:23–42:52) introduced explosive play data: Rams –3, Eagles +3, Packers led at +8 while Titans and Steelers trailed at –7, showing the correlation to wins. Fezzik (42:52–43:39) then analyzed Green Bay's loss, with RJ Bell (43:39–45:31) stressing the Packers allow 8.2 fewer points per game than average, best in the league. Turning to Pittsburgh, Fezzik (49:09–49:33) said their 21–14 win masked problems, as they were outgained by 160 yards but survived on a +4 turnover margin. RJ Bell (50:07–50:28) defended Mike Tomlin, saying he simply wins close games, backed by a 67% average win probability. Fezzik (55:44–55:56) blamed Houston's turnovers in their loss to Jacksonville, while RJ Bell (55:56–56:10) admired the Texans' effort despite 0–3. Fezzik (1:05:48–1:05:53) downgraded Atlanta –1.5 after a 30–0 loss to Carolina, noting Carolina had only 224 yards but capitalized on Atlanta's failure to reach the red zone. Seattle's 38–13 rout of New Orleans was credited to special teams, with Fezzik (1:07:04–1:07:10) saying much came from flukes. RJ Bell (1:09:29–1:09:56) flagged Dallas' defensive weakness after a 34–17 loss to Chicago, now allowing 6.5 more points than average, while the Bears controlled the game with 81.5% win probability. Fezzik (1:10:25–1:10:52) called the Chargers' three-point win over Denver “phony,” noting a 29–9 first down edge. Fezzik (1:16:18–1:16:25) lamented Marvin Harrison Jr.'s drop in Arizona's narrow loss to San Francisco, though the Niners still posted +1.6 yards per play. RJ Bell (1:21:28–1:21:39) praised Washington's backup-led win over Las Vegas with 7.5 yards per play and 82.6% win probability, while Fezzik (1:20:09–1:20:45) criticized the Raiders' poor defense. RJ Bell (1:25:10–1:26:54) listed struggling teams: Cincinnati (–8.5), Miami (–8), Saints (–12.5), Raiders (–5.2), Jets (–7), Titans (–6.8). He also tagged over teams like Dallas (+8.9) and Chicago (+6.75) versus under teams like Green Bay (–8) and Cleveland (–7). Finally, RJ Bell (1:28:12–1:28:31) previewed Packers vs. Cowboys as the next big game, with the line moving from Green Bay –2.5 to –7 after CeeDee Lamb's injury. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Player Props - Week 3

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2025 43:09


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for Week 3. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 3 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2025 102:12


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 3. Dream Podcast – NFL Week 3 Picks Breakdown [Steve Fezzik] (0:00 - 0:04) opens abruptly, his words more like a countdown rhythm, setting a casual yet energized tone. [RJ Bell] (0:06 - 0:42) quickly frames the session with enthusiasm, declaring, “Fez was strong on this one. Acme. Just think Acme is the key word.” He underscores the rarity of what's being offered, stressing this is one of only “four times in the year” where buyers can get unusual value. His analysis implies urgency and scarcity, pressing listeners to act. [Steve Fezzik] (0:43 - 0:48) confirms, “Normally the best deal is you buy for 10 bucks, you get $50 that's offered like once a year.” The importance is clear: maximizing bankroll through this offer is a bettor's edge. [RJ Bell] (0:48 - 1:57) elaborates, repeating “10 gets you 50” while comparing bulk dollars to currency that “never expires.” He emphasizes, “You can spend bulk dollars just like cash never expires,” framing them as stable and advantageous. His implication is that investing here amplifies purchasing power and locks in long-term flexibility. [Steve Fezzik] (1:57 - 2:00) briefly shifts, noting “Hey doc, sports is still going strong,” signaling momentum and reinforcing credibility. [RJ Bell] (2:00 - 2:22) redirects to performance, praising Fezzik: “In college football this season, Steve Fezzik is up 43 units plus. How do you do that in three weeks?” The statistic highlights extraordinary profitability, anchoring Fezzik's authority. [Steve Fezzik] (2:22 - 2:23) explains simply, “High volume,” acknowledging his strategy. [RJ Bell] (2:23 - 2:36) pushes further, asking about availability of picks, emphasizing immediacy. [Steve Fezzik] (2:36 - 2:47) clarifies, “I got my Thursday, Friday college football package up. So I got plays multiple plays for Thursday and Friday,” stressing preparedness and access. [RJ Bell] (2:47 - 3:02) advises Fezzik to release weekend packages early, suggesting buyers will maximize the $10-to-$50 offer, showing a direct connection between financial deal and betting content. [Steve Fezzik] (3:04 - 3:14) adds credibility, noting, “I already won my underdog game of the year. Georgia Tech beats Clemson bonus pick… Clemson under nine and a half wins.” These stats reinforce his sharp projections and long-term leverage, demonstrating foresight on both single games and season totals. [RJ Bell] (3:14 - 4:54) amplifies Fezzik's success: “That's over 10 units. That's like 14 units a week.” He frames it as “crazy,” underscoring just how rare such hot streaks are. His analysis ties the value of the bulk dollar promotion to Fezzik's picks, arguing this is the “wise guy move.” He instructs listeners to buy through Pregame.com, directly linking purchase mechanics to betting success. [Steve Fezzik] (4:55 - 5:18) pivots to NFL observations: “There are no upsets in the NFL anymore… if you just money lined every four point favorite and higher so far, you are undefeated.” This team-level trend reveals a major shift in survivor pool dynamics, implying fewer surprises early in the season. He cautions it may be an “aberration” but still impactful for Week 3 strategy. [RJ Bell] (5:18 - 5:20) challenges why lead with an aberration, sharpening the analysis. [Steve Fezzik] (5:28 - 5:47) closes this segment by pointing to contrarian betting: “If you had done nothing but bet 0–2 teams week three in the NFL catching points 48, 27…” His stat illustrates historical strength of fading public panic on struggling teams, reinforcing his long-term contrarian philosophy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 4 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 17, 2025 34:09


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for Week 4. Early Reflections (0:32 – 4:26) Griffin celebrated the “first 2-0 of the season.” Lonte added, “Great weekend for us going 2-0… all the big games delivered.” Griffin recalled missing Tennessee-Georgia moments at an Arkansas watch party, while Lonte defended his Southern Miss pick, saying they “dominated this game” over App State. Market Volatility (4:27 – 6:40) Griffin called college line swings “chaos compared to the NFL or MLB.” Lonte noted CLV matters only “55% on three-plus moves.” Utah vs. Texas Tech (6:40 – 11:07) Utah's “60% rush success rate” and Morton's road issues (“80 grade at home, under 60 away”) led Lonte to lean Utah/under, projecting “23-20.” Griffin agreed: Utah -3. Michigan vs. Nebraska (11:43 – 14:33) Underwood's 114 yards, 2 TDs boost Michigan vs. Nebraska's weak run defense (“outside top 120 EPA”). Lonte leaned Huskers as home dogs; Griffin backed that angle. Auburn vs. Oklahoma (16:09 – 19:13) Auburn's defense “first in rush success rate allowed.” Lonte called for “23-20 or 20-17,” taking Auburn +6.5 and under. Griffin agreed, eyeing +7. Illinois vs. Indiana (20:21 – 25:02) Illinois' veteran team and Duke road win contrasted with Indiana QB Mendoza, who “struggles against blitz and man coverage.” Lonte liked Illinois +4.5/over. Best Bets (26:03 – 31:12) Lonte: UConn -21 (UConn “top 15 in success rate” vs. Ball State's defense “outside top 110”). Griffin: Utah -3 (trust in home edge, QB splits). Takeaway Defense, weak schedules, and market inefficiencies drove every angle. Player stats (Underwood's rushing, UConn's efficiency) and team metrics (Auburn's #1 defense) shaped sharp Week 4 picks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 2

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2025 89:21


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers dive back into NFL week 2. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Player Props - Week 2

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 40:44


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for week 2. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 2 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2025 124:30


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 2. NFL Week 2: The Picks Breakdown [RJ Bell] (0:05 - 3:09): “Alright guys, just finished up.” He immediately introduced the night's action, noting a major play on Washington at +3.5 from South Point and +3 at even money elsewhere. His breakdown emphasized confidence in the pick, urging listeners to follow the reasoning provided throughout. He also highlighted Steve Fezzik's hot streak, up 32 units already this season, and A.J. Hoffman's consistent multi-year success. This was used to reinforce credibility and demonstrate sharpness in market reads. [Steve Fezzik] (3:09 - 3:19): “Pick them to win outright.” He argued the bet was justified given the game flow, explaining it would predictably settle within a narrow margin. His comment underscored the razor-thin line between winning and losing in close spreads. [RJ Bell] (3:19 - 3:49): “But, once again, if they would have went for it down on, what was it, like the 15? Yeah, could have had a tie.” He expressed frustration over a coaching decision, pointing to how single calls can swing results. The implication was that bettors often find value or heartbreak in these fine margins. [RJ Bell] (3:52 - 3:59): “But, we almost won in the first half.” He reflected on momentum swings, stressing how first-half edges can foreshadow outcomes. His excitement revealed how bettors savor small victories even when final results turn. [Steve Fezzik] (3:59 - 4:10): “Nothing is better than betting like a baseball first five and then watching your team get their teeth kicked in.” His analogy showed the gambler's paradox—sometimes the bet is safe despite later collapses. This framed the unpredictability of sports betting as both painful and exhilarating. [RJ Bell] (4:11 - 4:39): “All right.” He explained their betting breakdown: two dimes split, with one having no vig. This transparency gave insight into bankroll strategy and why certain plays carry less risk. [Steve Fezzik] (4:39 - 4:42): “If you're listening during the summer, you won the Cincinnati under 46.” He referenced past success, reinforcing the credibility of sharp picks on season totals. [RJ Bell] (4:42 - 4:58): “By the way, Fez, I thought you were a little, let's just say, much about Seattle losing.” His pushback highlighted accountability in analysis. The back-and-forth emphasized how handicappers debate variance versus bad beats, reflecting broader conversations among bettors. [Steve Fezzik] (5:02 - 5:10): “Yeah, but I liked the spot.” He defended his position, showing conviction in handicapping angles beyond raw results. This reinforced how context matters more than outcome in evaluating a pick. Key Takeaways Player and Team Stats: The discussion referenced Washington's spread value, Seattle's underdog position, and Cincinnati's win total under 46. These stats were central to their betting angles, showing how sharp bettors exploit lines beyond just wins and losses. Strategic Insights: The speakers revealed how bankroll management (splitting dimes, avoiding vig) and situational angles (coaching calls, first-half strength) shape betting success. Implications: Their commentary stressed that variance and razor-thin spreads define the betting landscape, where judgment, timing, and discipline matter more than hindsight complaints. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 3 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2025 38:08


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for week 3. Game Previews Georgia at Tennessee (6:05 – 12:39) Line: Georgia -3.5 (down from -7.5). Smith: “I don't really trust Gunner Stockton… it'll be a run heavy approach on both sides.” Stat: Georgia top 10 in rush success rate. First-time road starters are 3-10 straight up, 3-9-1 ATS. Lean: Under 49.5, with Tennessee backers getting value if they grabbed +7. Clemson at Georgia Tech (13:33 – 15:59) Line fell from -9 to -3.5. Smith: “This is a good buy low spot for Clemson.” Concern over GT QB Haynes King's health and their 91st-ranked pass success rate. Clemson's defense and potential WR return could tilt the matchup. Florida at LSU (17:24 – 23:12) Line: LSU -7, total 48.5. Florida's discipline issues showed with 11 penalties for 101 yards. Smith: “Under would be the only way I would look.” LSU's defense is improving, while QB Lagway's success depends on teammates cleaning up mistakes. Texas A&M at Notre Dame (23:13 – 30:33) Line: Notre Dame -7, total 49.5. Smith stresses urgency: “This is a must win for Notre Dame.” Player stat: Jeremiah Love had 14 touches for 78 yards; Smith insists he must see 20+ carries. A&M ranks outside top 100 in 3rd/4th down success rate. Lean: Notre Dame under 7 and under the total. Best Bets (31:47 – 35:15) Lonte Smith: Southern Miss +2.5. “I think Southern Miss wins this game outright.” He cites App State's struggles against weak opponents and the Marshall-to-Southern Miss coaching/player pipeline. Griffin Warner: Tennessee +3.5. “It's great to be a Tennessee Vol.” He backs the Knoxville home-field edge against Georgia. Takeaway The discussion highlights Florida's lack of discipline, the volatility of young QBs like Stockton, and Notre Dame's must-win spot. The week closes with confidence in two home underdogs—Southern Miss and Tennessee—as the sharpest plays. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Week 1 Dream Recap Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2025 102:43


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 1 recap. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Waiver Wire Moves for Week 2

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2025 51:29


    Rod Villagomex and Munaf Manji get you ready for this weeks NFL Fantasy Football waiver wire. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Player Props Podcast - Week 1

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2025 42:49


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Week 1 player props podcast. The NFL Player Props Podcast for Week 1 opens with Munaf Manji reintroducing the show and welcoming back co-host SleepyJ. After reflecting on last year's success, they dive directly into their picks, bringing a mix of analysis, history, and betting strategy designed to help listeners find winning positions across quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end props . At the quarterback spot, SleepyJ targets Patriots rookie Drake May to eclipse 214.5 passing yards. He cites May's solid rookie season, the addition of Stephon Diggs, and the Raiders' poor secondary as key factors. Munaf counters with a contrarian angle, backing Cam Ward under 192.5 passing yards in his NFL debut with Denver's elite defense looming. The contrast underscores their method of evaluating matchups through historical data and roster changes. Moving to running backs, SleepyJ highlights Jaguars back Tank Bigsby over 43.5 yards, projecting a breakout year with a favorable matchup against Carolina's porous run defense. Munaf selects Bucky Irving of Tampa Bay to break a run over 15.5 yards, citing his explosive track record and increased role due to wide receiver injuries. Together, they emphasize opportunity, usage, and defensive weakness as central handicapping factors. On receivers, SleepyJ leans on Steelers slot man Calvin Austin over 23.5 yards, predicting Aaron Rodgers' quick-release style will funnel targets his way. Munaf rides Jacksonville again, taking Brian Thomas Jr. over 74.5 yards, supported by his late-season surge and Carolina's ongoing struggles. This section showcases their focus on quarterback tendencies, depth chart shifts, and defensive matchups. Tight ends follow with SleepyJ playing Giants rookie Theo Johnson over 23.5 yards, linking Russell Wilson's historical reliance on tight ends to Johnson's breakout potential. Munaf builds on the Browns' passing game, touting David Njoku over 49.5 yards given Joe Flacco's chemistry with him in 2023. Their analysis highlights veteran quarterback tendencies and undervalued lines. The best bet for Week 1 ties these threads together: Joe Flacco over 241.5 passing yards against the Bengals. Both agree that Cleveland's passing attack matches well against Cincinnati's suspect defense and that Flacco's recent numbers support laddering yardage bets. They predict an up-tempo game script with plenty of volume, positioning Flacco as one of the week's most appealing prop plays. Interspersed throughout are plugs for Pregame.com promotions, including the Kickoff25 code, free contests, and a detailed newsletter packed with picks across NFL, college football, and even UFC. The hosts remind listeners that consistency, preparation, and disciplined play are essential to finding value across the board. In closing, they stress that the podcast will remain a weekly feature, giving bettors time to digest picks before kickoff. The tone mixes entertainment with sharp handicapping, balancing statistical depth with accessible explanations. By covering rookies, veterans, and team-specific matchups, the show establishes itself as a go-to source for player prop insights heading into Week 1 . This transcript captures a structured breakdown of betting value across every key offensive position, while reinforcing themes of matchup analysis, historical precedent, and market timing. For fans and bettors alike, it offers a blend of strategy, insight, and practical plays to launch the NFL season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 1 Picks "Dime-a-Mite" !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 108:27


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers give out the best picks for NFL Week 1. 0:00–8:37 RJ Bell sets the tone with energy promising high-value picks while joking with Mackenzie Rivers He unveils a season-long focus on sharp betting and stresses that the new format will reward discipline not impulse This opening builds trust for customers looking for real betting strategy 8:37–13:08 RJ introduces “Dime-o-mite” where the crew will fire one to three games per week with up to two dimes per play The rule is simple if the best number is gone they pass This principle sets the foundation for customers who want to learn why timing matters more than chasing action 12:41–17:03 Steve Fezzik explains betting limits at sharp books and how market makers like Circa differ from giant apps RJ adds that billion-dollar operators control exposure by restricting winners The exchange teaches why price discovery and patience are as important as picking sides 18:33–26:39 Fezzik argues for Atlanta +2 5 against Tampa Bay calling it pick'em on his power ratings He cites divisional dog strength and Tampa's injury list RJ counters with Todd Bowles' 4-1 ATS record in openers with an average +12 5 cover margin RJ's point wins as coaching prep outweighs roster chatter 37:31–48:41 Seattle +2 5 at home vs San Francisco becomes the first green-lighted play Mackenzie highlights divisional dog history since 2012 while Fezzik confirms Circa's even-money line as best in market Injuries to San Francisco's skill players tilt value toward Seattle and the crew makes it official 52:24–56:58 Indianapolis +1 vs Miami sparks debate Fezzik notes both teams at 7 5 season wins and Miami's depleted corners RJ fires back with Mike McDaniel's early-season edge pointing out his 6-3 starts The lesson for customers is clear coaching patterns and timing can trump injury lists 1:02:22–1:09:34 Cleveland +5 to +5 5 vs Cincinnati gets stamped as the second best bet Mackenzie cites Burrow's struggles against Cleveland and Zac Taylor's slow starts Fezzik adds bounce-back data on teams that covered under 30% last year RJ hammers home the value of home dogs catching more than a field goal 1:11:03–1:17:23 The crew shifts to totals spotlighting quarterbacks with no preseason snaps leading to under plays RJ drills in on Bills team total under 24 to 24 5 noting McDermott's week-one Bills underperform offensive expectations by about five points 1:17:23–1:21:49 Houston vs Rams under 44 5 gets strong lean support Fezzik points to Stafford's limited work and Stroud's inexperience RJ layers in Sean McVay's dominant 6-1 ATS week-one history but agrees the scoring outlook is muted 1:27:06–1:34:27 Chicago vs Detroit turns into a coaching-tree conversation Fezzik warns Ben Johnson's absence could matter while RJ reframes it as a wait-and-see week one marker The message is that some games should be studied not bet 1:34:27–1:36:13 The Seahawks vs 49ers total lean under arises again Mackenzie notes dueling Kubiak OCs meaning fewer surprises and fewer explosive plays 1:37:01–1:40:17 Guest Dave Essler pushes Titans team total under 16 5 against Denver citing Vance Joseph's blitz packages and rookie QB struggles RJ likes the angle but reminds that week-one double-digit dogs often cover so isolating the team total is the sharper path Key statistics used throughout include Mike Evans' 1 000-yard streak Atlanta's +0 3 yards per play efficiency Tampa's field goal luck regression McVay's +9 2 week-one margin and Bowles' +12 5 opener dominance These numbers support the theme that coaching and context move lines as much as talent By closing time the official card is set Seattle +2 5 vs San Francisco Cleveland +5 vs Cincinnati Bills team total under 24 24 5 with Houston–Rams under 44 5 and Titans team total under 16 5 as strong endorsed leans delivering actionable plays backed by deep analysis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 2 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2025 41:33


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk college football betting for Week 2. The Week 2 preview of the College Football Podcast on RJ Bell's Pregame network opened with energy, emphasizing fast offense, swarming defense, and relentless hustle. Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith immediately addressed Week 1 results, acknowledging that it wasn't the strongest start but pointing to process over outcome. They stressed closing line value as a long-term indicator, comparing it to stock market performance, and noted that Week 1 was dominated by unders, with many offenses struggling to find rhythm. Quarterback uncertainty remained the headline, with Arch Manning's rocky debut sparking debate. Warner went as far as to call him potentially the most overrated quarterback of all time, while Smith defended him by pointing out the caliber of Ohio State's elite defense. The discussion then shifted to broader conference takeaways. The ACC impressed in Week 1, particularly Florida State's big win, while Clemson's struggles stood out. Cal's freshman quarterback also earned praise for a breakout performance. The panel agreed that the top of the ACC looks strong with Florida State, Clemson, Duke, and Georgia Tech, while the bottom remains unsettled. From there, the show broke down marquee Week 2 matchups. SMU versus Baylor set the stage, with Baylor's defensive front and ability to stop explosive plays highlighted as key factors. Despite SMU entering as a small favorite, Smith leaned Baylor's way, questioning whether SMU had shown enough balance to justify the line. Next, the heated Iowa–Iowa State rivalry came into focus. The history of low-scoring slugfests made the under 41.5 an attractive play. Smith backed Iowa State's improved offense under Rocco Beck but insisted the real value lay in expecting another defensive battle. Illinois against Duke was another spotlight game. Both teams leaned on defense, but Duke's elite secondary and Manny Diaz's blitz-heavy schemes tilted the panel's confidence toward the Blue Devils. Warner emphasized that road favorites early in the season are often overvalued, making Duke's home underdog status particularly appealing. The nightcap, Michigan versus Oklahoma, focused on defensive dominance. Brent Venables' track record of confusing quarterbacks and Michigan's conservative freshman game plan pointed to another under. Smith's best angle was the first-half under 23.5, predicting a slow start with heavy ground games, limited big plays, and quarterbacks trying to settle in against relentless defenses. The show wrapped with best bets. Smith locked in Florida minus 17.5 against South Florida, pointing to mismatches in the trenches, Lagway's deep-ball ability, and Florida's familiarity with the spread concepts USF runs. Warner sided with the Iowa–Iowa State under 41.5, banking on punts, field position battles, and Kirk Ferentz's trademark conservative approach. Overall, the podcast captured the essence of early-season handicapping: balancing small-sample overreactions with long-term process discipline. Week 1 brought surprises, quarterback drama, and defensive dominance, but Week 2 promised opportunities with sharp numbers, classic rivalries, and critical matchups that could shape conference races. Whether it was Florida's talent edge, Duke's defensive identity, or the under trend in rivalry games, the conversation blended data, betting insight, and storytelling, giving listeners a comprehensive game plan heading into Saturday. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Pod Bonus - NFL Season Win Totals + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 2, 2025 124:36


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL season win totals. Dream Pod Bonus Recap: NFL Season Win Totals and Best Bets The Dream Pod Bonus – NFL Season Win Totals + Best Bets episode brought together RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers for a sharp, data-driven breakdown of the 2024 NFL season. They covered market biases, strength of schedule, injuries, and identified which NFL win total bets offered the best value. Here's a streamlined recap by timestamps. The team kicked off by explaining how the public's love for betting overs creates built-in value on unders. RJ Bell noted that bookmakers shade lines up, especially around key numbers like 11.5 or 12 wins. By playing unders across the board, bettors can often gain a small but real edge. Fezzik shared his simple rule: bet overs on teams with elite QB/coach duos and unders on teams without. RJ pressed him to define “elite” more carefully. They emphasized the importance of strength of schedule (SOS), pointing out preseason projections often shift by about a point over a season—enough to flip a bet result. The Kansas City Chiefs opened at 11.5 wins but dipped to 11.1 in the market. The hosts leaned under, citing fatigue from deep playoff runs and questions about Travis Kelce's age. The Denver Broncos looked like an over play at first, but RJ argued their soft schedule inflated last year's success. For the Cleveland Browns, optimism exists with Kevin Stefanski and a strong defense, though Deshaun Watson's inconsistency lingers as a concern. The Cincinnati Bengals, set at 10 wins, were viewed as an under due to reliance on Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase and a roster vulnerable to injuries. The Washington Commanders overperformed last season by about 1.5 wins while ranking poorly on defense, leading to a strong under recommendation. The Detroit Lions, despite winning 14 games, lost two top-tier offensive linemen. With their line at 10.5 wins, the team could still regress and hit the under. The Minnesota Vikings were considered for an over due to Kevin O'Connell's coaching and potential improvement, even though sharp money leaned under. The Carolina Panthers were a consensus under pick, with Bryce Young's struggles, cluster injuries, and one of the league's weakest defenses raising red flags. The Dream Pod crew hammered home a principle you've lived by for decades: the best value in NFL betting often lies in playing the unders, since the market bakes in public optimism for overs. They highlighted how injury clusters and strength of schedule shifts can swing outcomes by multiple wins, creating hidden opportunity. Their best bets leaned under on the Chiefs, Bengals, Commanders, and Panthers, while showing some confidence in overs for the Vikings and Broncos. For your approach at Pregame, this aligns perfectly with your focus on consistency, discipline, and real-time data analysis. Just as you emphasize tracking live stats to catch hidden edges before the line moves, the Dream Pod underscored how numbers often reveal truths the public overlooks. Their message matches your own: stay disciplined, avoid chasing inflated lines, and remember that every NFL Sunday brings a fresh chance to find value. (0:00 – 20:00) Market Bias Toward Overs(20:00 – 40:00) AFC Totals and Strength of Schedule(40:00 – 1:10:00) AFC Teams to Back or Fade(1:20:00 – 1:40:00) NFC Win Total InsightsKey Takeaways for Bettors Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Fantasy Football - NFC South & West Positional Battle + Draft Strategy

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 30, 2025 60:25


    Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk fantasy football and draft strategy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Saturday Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 29, 2025 29:18


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for Saturday. The college football weekend preview opened with an unmistakable energy: offense must play fast, defense must swarm, and every snap must be about outblocking, outtackling, and outhustling the opponent. That tone set the stage for one of the most anticipated slates of the early season, highlighted by heavyweight matchups across the country and a betting landscape ripe with intrigue. Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith launched into their breakdown by zeroing in on Texas versus Ohio State in Columbus, a rematch of the Cotton Bowl. Warner admitted his Longhorn bias, but Smith carefully dissected the matchup. He argued that Texas brings more proven quarterback play with Arch Manning stepping in, supported by C.J. Baxter's return in the backfield and a deep defensive front led by Colin Simmons. Smith emphasized that the key is limiting Jeremiah Smith, Ohio State's elite wideout. Texas held him to one catch in their last meeting, and repeating that feat would tilt the balance. Still, Warner voiced concern about Arch's lack of experience under pressure, recalling his struggles against Georgia. The debate crystallized into a clash of proven depth on the Texas side versus the star power of Ohio State's top-end talent. The conversation shifted to LSU versus Clemson, a contest marked by questions about both coaching staffs. Brian Kelly's struggles in openers were stacked against Dabo Swinney's recent SEC failures. Smith forecasted Clemson's air attack overwhelming LSU's shaky secondary, citing LSU's ranking outside the top 95 in coverage metrics. He envisioned Clemson building an early lead and rolling behind their veteran offensive line and fearsome defensive front. From there, attention turned to Virginia Tech versus South Carolina in Atlanta. Smith strongly backed the Hokies as 7.5-point underdogs, noting their improved secondary and linebacker strength against a South Carolina team with turnover issues and significant defensive losses to the NFL draft. Warner added that upsets in college football often break wider than in the NFL, making the Hokies live dogs with upset potential. The final featured matchup was Notre Dame versus Miami, a renewal of a rivalry steeped in history. The surprise was freshman CJ Carr earning the starting quarterback role for Notre Dame. Smith highlighted Miami's opportunity to exploit Carr's inexperience, especially if Carson Beck's balanced attack can lean on a strong run game to offset Notre Dame's elite man-to-man secondary. With Reuben Bain anchoring Miami's defense, Smith believed the Hurricanes had the pieces to control tempo and win outright despite being slight underdogs. The show wrapped with best bets. Smith targeted Florida State plus seven in the first half against Alabama, citing Ty Simpson's inexperience and Florida State's defensive improvement under Gus Malzahn's offensive guidance. Warner doubled down on Virginia Tech, preferring the 7.5-point cushion but echoing Smith's belief that the Hokies could win outright. Both leaned on a consistent theme: early-season volatility favors teams with proven depth and coaching stability over untested quarterbacks in hostile settings. In sum, the weekend preview delivered a thorough guide to Saturday and Sunday's premier college football games. Texas versus Ohio State hinges on Arch Manning's poise and Ohio State's receiving dominance, LSU against Clemson pits explosive passing against a fragile secondary, Virginia Tech offers value against an overvalued SEC foe, and Miami has the tools to stun Notre Dame. For bettors and fans alike, the focus is clear: proven systems, balanced rosters, and situational awareness will dictate who cashes tickets and who leaves week one disappointed. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - Annual NFL QB Draft + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2025 97:50


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers focus on the wiseguy QB draft for the upcoming NFL season. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    MLB Wednesday Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2025 50:27


    Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Wednesday. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    mlb best bets munaf manji
    NFL Player Props Season Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2025 52:46


    Munaf Manji and Lonte Smith talk NFL season long player props and much more. The 2025 NFL season kicks off with Pregame's Props Podcast diving into NFL player props and futures betting. Host Munaf Manji (0:05–0:59) returns after last year's success, joined by Lonte Smith from the College Football Podcast, ready to break down the best season-long prop bets across quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. By the one-minute mark (0:59–1:18), Lonte expresses excitement for profitability and preparation as kickoff approaches. Munaf (1:18–2:34) lays out the plan: four props each across positions, reminding listeners to shop for the best numbers. Quarterbacks open the show. Lonte (2:35–4:16) takes Justin Herbert under 3,650.5 yards, pointing to Jim Harbaugh's run-heavy approach, the addition of Najee Harris, Herbert's injury history, and a tough AFC West. Munaf (4:16–6:21) agrees, highlighting Herbert's inconsistency, weak defenses inflating numbers last year, and how divisional upgrades could suppress his totals. Munaf (6:24–8:59) then targets J.J. McCarthy under 3,650.5 yards. The rookie Viking, fresh off an ACL recovery, faces high expectations equal to top-12 rookie seasons all time. With Justin Jefferson's hamstring, Addison's suspension, and a run-first scheme with Aaron Jones, he calls the over unrealistic. Lonte (9:00–10:45) echoes that McCarthy isn't a gunslinger and won't consistently reach 300 yards weekly. Running backs bring debate. Lonte (11:22–12:53) bets Breece Hall over 5.5 rushing TDs, boosted by Justin Fields creating lighter boxes and red-zone chances. Munaf (12:59–15:45) takes the opposite side, fading Hall's rushing yards under 850.5 due to offensive line issues, Fields' dual-threat style, and negative game scripts forcing the Jets to pass. Receivers headline next. Lonte (18:41–19:32) backs Tyreek Hill over 980.5 yards, calling it a buy-low after last season's 959 yards. Munaf (21:07–23:21) supports the case, noting Hill's 82 career TDs and Miami's playoff-or-bust year. Munaf (23:22–25:33) also hammers Mike Evans over 950.5 yards, citing his decade-long 1,000-yard streak, Mayfield's trust, and a thin Bucs WR corps. Tight ends feature with Lonte's favorite play (28:13–30:52): Tyler Warren over 575.5 yards. A first-round pick in an empty Colts WR room, Warren projects as a focal point. Munaf (31:14–35:11) agrees, pointing to his 6'6” frame and red zone upside. For his final pick, Munaf (31:14–35:11) highlights Drake London over 1,225.5 yards, citing Michael Penix Jr.'s arm and London's 100-catch, 1,271-yard 2023. Lonte (35:12–37:08) compares London to Mike Evans and sees expanded slot usage boosting targets. They close with bonus leans: George Pickens over 875.5 yards in Dallas' pass-first system (38:00–39:19), Bucky Irving over 1,000.5 rushing yards if he seizes RB1 (41:27–43:49), and Matthew Stafford unders given lingering back injuries (43:50–44:55). Both spotlight C.J. Stroud (44:59–49:14) as a breakout candidate with new weapons, betting angles pointing to potential MVP value at 25–30/1. This debut 2025 Props Podcast underscores why NFL season-long player prop betting is surging: sharp handicapping, injury context, scheme fits, and matchup analysis. From Herbert and McCarthy unders to Hill, Evans, Warren, and London overs, the insights offer bettors actionable edges for the new season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Omega European Masters picks

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2025 41:57


    Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Omega European Masters -Discussing top 9 on odds board -1 matchup -2 t10's -2 outrights (16/1 & 18/1) -Sleeper, Best Bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 1 Preview - Part 1 / Thurs-Friday Games

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2025 34:36


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith get you ready for CFB Week 1 betting. The Week 1 college football betting podcast kicked off with fiery motivation: play fast on offense, swarm and tackle on defense, and leave no doubt on the field (0:07–0:32). Host Griffin Warner welcomed listeners to the first full slate after Week 0's appetizer, joined by analyst Lonte Smith, promising best bets, betting previews, and Pregame.com promos (0:33–1:25). Lonte recapped Week 0: Kansas State's sloppy turnovers, Western Kentucky's win vs. Sam Houston, Kansas covering easily, and Hawaii splitting. The team split best bets but gained valuable data points, setting the stage for a bigger Week 1 (1:26–2:26). Griffin noted their 1–1 start before discussing Farmageddon: Iowa State upset Kansas State despite being outgained, thanks to field conditions and missed chances. Lonte highlighted K-State's run defense concerns and Iowa State QB Rocco Becht's poise (2:26–5:12). Focus turned to Thursday and Friday action. Boise State opened -8.5 but dropped to -5.5 against South Florida. Lonte leaned over 62.5, citing Boise's dominant offensive line and USF's explosive scheme with QB Byrum Brown, while both defenses struggle with consistency. Griffin noted USF's true home edge at Raymond James Stadium and the attractiveness of betting a home underdog (5:12–10:58). Next came East Carolina vs. NC State, a heated in-state rivalry. ECU returns QB Caden Howes but lost top backs and receivers along with most of its defense. NC State counters with QB C.J. Bailey and a strong WR trio. With both defenses questionable, Lonte recommended over 61.5, predicting Dave Doeren will keep scoring to make a statement (10:59–15:04). Friday's Auburn vs. Baylor clash featured Auburn as -2.5 favorites with total 58. Lonte praised Auburn QB Jackson Arnold behind one of the best offensive lines in college football and a deep WR group, attacking Baylor's secondary that ranked near the bottom nationally. Baylor QB Sawyer Roberson is underrated but struggles under pressure. Lonte leaned Auburn and over, expecting both offenses to produce (15:35–19:39). Georgia Tech vs. Colorado followed, with Tech -5. Lonte is high on Tech's physicality and returning production while fading Colorado after losing Shadur Sanders and top weapons. With QB uncertainty between Salter and Juju Lewis and no running game, Colorado faces major issues. Georgia Tech's balanced offense and experience make them a strong play, with a possible team total over. Public hype favors Deion Sanders, but sharps bet Colorado unders. Lonte called Georgia Tech an ACC dark horse (20:37–26:58). The show closed with Pregame.com promos: code “college50” saves $50 on season packages, plus Greg Shaker's contest with $1,000 cash prizes (26:59–28:08). For best bets, Lonte picked Charlotte +6.5 vs. Appalachian State, noting coaching upgrades and a defense-first identity (28:08–29:51). Griffin chose over 61.5 in NC State vs. ECU, echoing offensive advantages and defensive weaknesses (29:51–31:10). The podcast ended optimistic, teasing Saturday's monster slate including Texas vs. Ohio State (31:10–31:44). This streamlined Week 1 college football betting preview blends expert picks, point spread analysis, totals recommendations, and sharp betting angles. Key games include Boise State vs. South Florida, ECU vs. NC State, Auburn vs. Baylor, and Georgia Tech vs. Colorado, with actionable best bets on Charlotte +6.5 and NC State vs. ECU over 61.5. Bettors get insights into line movement, public vs. sharp action, and matchup breakdowns, making this must-read coverage for anyone chasing value in Week 1 college football odds. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2025 68:29


    Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB Tuesday betting. The latest MLB Tuesday betting preview from RJ Bell's Dream Preview podcast, hosted by Munaf Manji with Griffin Warner, sets the stage for a critical slate of late-August matchups as teams position themselves for the postseason. The episode dives deep into 14 games on the betting board, breaking down pitching matchups, recent team form, and value spots for bettors. Manji and Warner are riding an 83% hot streak on best bets, going 10–2 in their last 12, and their confidence and banter drive an engaging analysis that blends sharp betting insight with humor and strong statistical breakdowns. The show begins with Red Sox vs Orioles, where Lucas Giolito's improved form and Kyle Braddish's return from Tommy John make Boston and the over intriguing plays. The Braves vs Marlins matchup highlights Sandy Alcantara's struggles, with Warner leaning to the home underdog Marlins and the over on 7.5 runs. In Rays vs Guardians, Shane Baz's road splits and Cleveland's sputtering offense create strong value on Tampa Bay plus money. The Yankees vs Nationals discussion centers on Luis Gil's control issues and the Yankees' defensive problems, leading both analysts toward overs rather than trusting either side. Toronto vs Minnesota showcases Chris Bassett's dominant home record against Bailey Ober's brutal losing streak, making the Blue Jays run line their clear best bet of the day. The Mets remain a “fade” team, with Sean Manaea's poor record and Jesus Luzardo's strong history against New York cementing Philadelphia as the sharper side. Brewers vs Diamondbacks is pegged as a potential shootout, with Jacob Misiorowski's walk issues and Arizona's power threats pointing to an over. Royals vs White Sox highlights Chicago's lack of offense despite Martin Pérez's decent outings, pushing Kansas City as the stronger side. Other key breakdowns include Pirates vs Cardinals (leaning over), Angels vs Rangers (under 8.5 tabbed as Warner's best bet despite Corbin's volatility), and Astros vs Rockies (only playable through alternate run lines given Houston's -315 price). Padres vs Mariners positions Dylan Cease as a value underdog against a hittable Luis Castillo, while Cubs vs Giants trends under behind Matthew Boyd's road splits and Justin Verlander's home tendencies. The card wraps with Reds vs Dodgers, where Nick Martinez's inconsistency and Clayton Kershaw's diminished form suggest the over nine runs is the sharper angle. Beyond game analysis, the hosts highlight Pregame.com promotions, including a Beat Greg Shaker college football contest with $1,000 in prizes and a 20% sitewide discount using the promo code SLUGGER20. This synergy between MLB betting insights, college football contests, and broader handicapping content reinforces Pregame's role as a hub for sharp sports betting information. From an editorial perspective, the podcast succeeds by pairing statistical depth with practical wagering advice, appealing both to seasoned bettors and newer fans seeking guidance. The mix of trends, fantasy baseball angles, and promotional tie-ins keeps the content dynamic. My commentary is that the show's value lies not just in picks, but in its process: highlighting faulty lines, identifying exploitable splits, and stressing the importance of context when interpreting numbers. The betting insights are actionable, but the broader lesson is that line shopping, injury context, and market awareness are as crucial as raw stats. Late-August baseball handicapping, with best bets on Blue Jays run line and Angels vs Rangers under anchoring a comprehensive breakdown. As playoff races tighten, bettors get both sharp picks and a reminder of Pregame.com's broader offerings, making it a must-listen for anyone serious about MLB odds, betting strategies, and value plays heading into September. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFC North & East Positional Battle

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 23, 2025 63:32


    Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk NFC North and East fantasy football. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    MLB Friday Preview + Best Bets !

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2025 50:27


    Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. The MLB Friday betting preview with Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner broke down twelve games with both hosts riding an 8–2 streak on best bets. Munaf opened by stressing the urgency with roughly 35 games left, while Griffin noted, “we're getting hot at the right time of year.” Colorado at Pittsburgh led the card. Antonio Senzatela, torched in a 17–16 loss the last time he saw the Pirates, carries a 2–8 road record. Munaf called the over 8.5 the best angle. Griffin, mocking the Rockies as “one of the least competitive franchises in global sports,” leaned Pirates at home but doubted unders due to Colorado bats. Washington at Philadelphia followed with Cade Cavalli against Taijuan Walker. Cavalli threw seven shutout innings versus the Phillies previously, but Munaf warned that rematches favor the hitters. Griffin advised focusing on Phillies run lines and blowout props. The Red Sox at Yankees matchup paired Brayan Bello with Max Fried. Griffin argued the line “doesn't respect what Bello has done,” while Munaf highlighted Boston's 6–1 record in Bello's last seven against New York. Fried has allowed four or more runs in four of his last five. Both favored Boston plus money. Houston at Baltimore featured Lance McCullers in his first start since July 19 against Cade Povich. Griffin pointed to Houston's offensive slump of just eight runs in seven games. Munaf doubted McCullers' sharpness and leaned over nine, adding that Adley Rutschman is sidelined and Josh Hader likely out until October. In Detroit, Ryan Bergen faced Casey Mize. Munaf cited Mize's 3.63 ERA and 103 strikeouts, with Detroit winning his last four starts. Griffin criticized Mize's All-Star nod and praised Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez. Both leaned under early but saw Royals value. The Mets at Braves matchup showcased rookie Nolan McLean, who struck out eight but walked four in his debut. Griffin favored Atlanta as a home dog and the over 8.5, while Munaf leaned similarly, noting hot Atlanta weather would boost scoring. St. Louis at Tampa Bay featured Miles Mikolas against Adrian Houser. Griffin trusted the Rays' bullpen, while Munaf stressed Mikolas' inconsistency and backed Tampa at -128. Minnesota at Chicago pitted Zebby Matthews against Aaron Civale. Griffin quickly said, “give me the White Sox.” Munaf agreed, citing Matthews' 5.06 ERA and Chicago's 7–3 record at home on Friday nights, all as underdogs. In Texas, Slade Cecconi met Nathan Eovaldi. Griffin praised Eovaldi's Cy Young-level form, recommending under plays. Munaf backed that, noting Rangers home unders sit at 64.5 percent. Milwaukee hosting San Francisco saw Carson Whisenhunt oppose José Quintana. Griffin highlighted Bryce Turang's surge, while Munaf cited Milwaukee's 42–20 home record and San Francisco's 13–22 mark against lefties, backing Brewers run line at plus money. Cincinnati at Arizona matched Zach Littell with Ryne Nelson. Munaf praised Nelson's 5–1, 2.20 ERA home mark across 57 innings, backing the Diamondbacks and their team total. Griffin agreed Arizona held value despite a high price. The Dodgers at Padres closed the slate with Blake Snell against Yu Darvish. Griffin trusted Darvish's improvement and liked San Diego as a home underdog. Munaf leaned to the under eight, noting Snell's six scoreless innings against the Padres last week but citing Darvish's 2.55 career ERA in 16 appearances versus Los Angeles. Best bets closed the show. Griffin picked Tampa Bay over St. Louis, while Munaf selected the over in Houston and Baltimore, both looking to extend their winning streak into the weekend. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - PreSeasonPalooza, 15 BETS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 21, 2025 64:02


    RJ Bell and Mackenzie Rivers talk Preseason to NFL Week 1 best bets. The latest Dream Podcast episode, “PreSeasonPalooza, 15 Bets!!,” is a classic mix of sharp betting systems, insider debates, and off-the-rails humor, the kind of show that feels like sitting in a sportsbook bar where the conversation drifts from ATS systems to Larry Bird versus Magic Johnson. RJ Bell opens by reminding listeners about the special Pregame discounts and touting the records of handicappers like AJ Hoffman, Goodfella, and others, before pivoting into the heart of the show: an unusually strong batch of preseason Week 3 betting angles. McKenzie Rivers kicks things off with a light story about the Taste of Chicago festival, which leads RJ into a tangent about Stevie Wonder's 2008 performance and the eternal debate over Chicago deep dish pizza, the type of side story that illustrates how much the Dream Pod thrives on detail and memory. From there, the real substance begins. RJ emphasizes that this preseason slate may be the best group of plays he has seen, with twelve recommendations and five best bets, while McKenzie contributes three researched totals for Week 1, giving listeners over fifteen actionable wagers. McKenzie's primary research zeroes in on the effect of quarterbacks who do not play a single snap in the preseason. Since the NFL moved to a three-game preseason in 2021, those teams have gone 27–12 to the under in Week 1, with an average ATS margin of –2.6 points. Their team totals also fall short, averaging –3.2 compared to expectations. RJ pushes back, calling the no-snap approach “idiotic,” arguing that football players improve by playing football, but McKenzie notes the trend has only grown stronger. They cite teams like the Cowboys, Eagles, Buccaneers, Falcons, Rams, Bills, and Ravens as Week 1 under candidates, especially in games like Cowboys vs Eagles, Buccaneers vs Falcons, and Ravens vs Bills. In classic forum fashion, the pod spins into a debate about Peyton Manning versus Tom Brady, with McKenzie insisting the numbers favor Manning's brilliance and RJ countering that Brady's postseason success and rings will age better historically. From there they wander into Bird vs Magic, Bill Walton's brief dominance, and Gilbert Arenas' scoring outbursts, demonstrating how sports arguments naturally expand. Eventually RJ reins it back in with his own powerful Week 3 preseason system: play favorites who lost both straight up and against the spread in Week 2. Since 2021 these teams are 14–5–1 ATS, but the real gold is in the first quarter, where they are effectively undefeated with massive scoring margins. At home the trend is even stronger, with a 10–1 ATS record and a combined +180 point margin. RJ breaks down which teams qualify this year, including Kansas City, Detroit, the Jets, and Dallas at home, plus Bills, Steelers, Raiders, and Chargers on the road. He highlights home teams in the first quarter as the true best bet subset, noting an 11–0 record with an average +9 point differential. The conversation shifts to how small sample size intersects with logical consistency, with RJ stressing that this system passes the test because it makes sense up and down the spectrum. McKenzie adds that home momentum explains why the advantage continues beyond the opening quarter. As always, the pod mixes sharp betting insight with humor, from round robin discussions to jokes about Britney Spears movies on Easter. The episode closes with RJ previewing Pregame's content schedule: the annual Quarterback Draft, the Season Win Totals Over/Under show, and weekly Dream Previews through the Super Bowl. The takeaway for bettors is clear: Week 1 unders for teams with zero preseason QB snaps, and Week 3 first quarter plays for favorites off a loss, especially at home, form the strongest edges going into the season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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