RJ Bell's Dream Preview

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Winning sports picks from Las Vegas. Everything you need for free on the biggest games each week from Pregame.com's Wiseguy Roundtable. Alongside your host RJ Bell, we have professional bettor Steve Fezzik, plus more of the biggest names from the world of sports betting.

Pregame.com


    • Oct 31, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekdays NEW EPISODES
    • 1h 7m AVG DURATION
    • 2,098 EPISODES

    4.5 from 1,961 ratings Listeners of RJ Bell's Dream Preview that love the show mention: wise guys, steve fezzik, rjs, rj bell, bookmaker, handicaps, pregame, wiseguys, best bets, sports bettor, vsin, football games, straight outta, best sports betting podcast, sports handicapping, super contest, holt, bettors, best gambling podcast, podcast is an absolute.


    Ivy Insights

    The RJ Bell's Dream Preview podcast is undeniably one of the best sports gambling podcasts available. With a combination of power rating discussions and valuable handicapping knowledge, this podcast offers insightful analysis for bettors. Hosts Steve, Matty, and RJ bring their expertise to the table, creating an enjoyable listening experience. RJ adds an entertaining element to the show with his witty comments and wise guy sayings that often involve playfully bashing on Steve. Overall, this podcast provides informative content and valuable insights into the world of sports betting.

    One of the best aspects of The RJ Bell's Dream Preview podcast is the wealth of knowledge shared by the hosts. Whether it's discussing power ratings or providing little golden nuggets of handicapping wisdom, listeners can expect to gain valuable information from this podcast. The hosts' years of experience in the betting game shines through as they offer great insight and knowledge that bettors can benefit from. Additionally, the presence of Fez, Mr Matty Holt, and Mackenzie adds depth to the discussions and enhances the overall quality of the podcast.

    However, there are some downsides to this podcast as well. One issue that stands out is RJ's insecurity and tendency to bully Fez and Mackenzie. While his entertaining banter adds a fun dynamic at times, it can also come across as unnecessary and uncomfortable. It would be more enjoyable if all members felt comfortable expressing their opinions without fear of being ridiculed or dismissed by RJ.

    In conclusion, The RJ Bell's Dream Preview podcast offers incredible insight into sports gambling each week. While some episodes run long, making it difficult to listen in one sitting, the depth of analysis provided makes up for it. Despite the occasional bullying by RJ towards Fez and Mackenzie, this podcast remains a great source of information for bettors looking to improve their handicapping skills. Overall, it is a highly recommended listen for those interested in gaining knowledge about sports betting.



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    Latest episodes from RJ Bell's Dream Preview

    NFL Week 9 Player Props + Agreed Pick !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2025 40:44


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Player props for week 9 and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 9 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 97:37


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers dive into NFL Week 9 betting. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers deliver an intense, fast-moving breakdown of NFL Week 9 betting, loaded with sharp insights, humor, and veteran perspective. (0:00–2:44 RJ) RJ opens with a limited-time $20 for $100 Pregame.com promo, setting a self-aware tone after a cold streak before pivoting to the “six-seven” inside joke. (2:45–9:38 RJ & Fezzik) They riff on culture and YouTube memes, then dig into Fezzik's documented record, the reality of variance, and public scrutiny—RJ publicly offers to bet $1K with anyone doubting Fezzik's winning ways. They stress long-term perspective, bankroll discipline, and Fezzik's 9-of-12 winning seasons. (9:39–15:14 Fezzik) Fezzik unveils his best bet: Atlanta Falcons +0.5 first quarter vs Patriots, citing motivation, coin-toss edges, and mismatch value. RJ challenges him on quarterback health and run-defense matchups, while McKenzie supports with EPA and DVOA metrics. (15:15–24:36) They debate totals, QB injuries, and the “grand salami” of leaguewide overs, revealing how context and psychology shape numbers. (24:37–35:06 RJ) RJ fires his best bet: Houston–Denver Under 40, explaining how both teams' offenses collapse under defensive pressure, why line moves misprice QB injuries, and how coaching style (Sean Payton's conservatism) locks games into “rock fight” mode. (35:07–38:25 Mackenzie) Mackenzie counters with Colts –3 vs Steelers, supported by data showing the Steichen offense outperforming Tomlin's blitz-heavy D; RJ and Fezzik debate side vs team-total angles and line value between –2.5 and –3. (38:26–44:46 Fezzik) Fezzik adds Saints +3.5 4Q vs Rams and Panthers +3.5 4Q vs Packers, explaining how blowouts, motivation, and end-game math make late-quarter dogs profitable. RJ dissects situational trends, home/road splits, and QB rotations, endorsing both plays. (44:47–59:15) They tangent hilariously into Shakespeare, “Back to School,” and North Texas–Navy live-betting logic, turning first-quarter tempo into a masterclass in betting time segments. (59:16–1:03:38 RJ) RJ's second best bet: Arizona Under 26.5 points at Dallas (MNF), citing Kyler Murray's road, primetime, and post-injury struggles; Fezzik cautions against underestimating Dallas's weak D. (1:07:14–1:10:22 Fezzik) Fezzik's player prop: Mahomes Over 4.5 rushes, Allen Over 7.5 rushes, backed by game-flow data and high-leverage situational running. (1:14:45–1:20:27 RJ) RJ leans Chiefs –2.5 vs Bills, defending KC's underrated defense and Mahomes's playoff-like motivation. (1:25:03–1:30:04) They hit Chargers –3 vs Titans, praising Harbaugh's 15-4 ATS record on East-coast trips, and (1:30:05–1:33:12) explore 49ers run game props vs Giants. (1:33:53–end) Final lightning round: Bears to score first vs Bengals, quick-hit leans, and closing banter on variance, sharp edges, and humility in handicapping. Featuring: RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) | Steve Fezzik (@FezzikSports) | Mackenzie Rivers (@mackinRivers)Topics: NFL Week 9 best bets, first-quarter/4Q angles, totals logic, QB prop edges, and how to read line value like a pro.

    CFB Week 10 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2025 31:58


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith dive into CFB Week 10 betting. Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith review a strong Week 9, going 2-0, and dive into CFB Week 10 betting. They start with Vanderbilt vs Texas. Texas is a 1.5-point favorite at home, total 44.5. Lonte praises Vanderbilt's resilience after a key injury and their ATS success. He notes Texas' comeback over Mississippi State led by Arch Manning before his concussion. Texas' defense can dominate, but their offensive line and rushing attack are weak, ranking low nationally. Lonte expects a run-heavy game and likes the under, leaning Texas if Arch plays. Griffin doubts Arch clears concussion protocol quickly and expects Texas to rely on the run, facing a vulnerable Vanderbilt D-line. Both agree the trenches favor Texas, making the under appealing. Next, they preview Texas Tech at Kansas State. Tech is -7.5, total 52.5. Lonte discusses QB injuries—Hammond's ACL tear and Morton's durability concerns. Kansas State, led by Avery Johnson, has covered four straight, averaging over 35 points since their bye. Their passing game shines when not blitzed, but rushing remains weak. Lonte likes K-State as a home dog, citing Tech's strong D-line but potential rust from Morton. Griffin agrees, noting Manhattan's tough environment and potential line value. Moving to Oklahoma at Tennessee, Tennessee is -3, total 57. Lonte calls it fair, citing Tennessee's underrated home-field edge and Oklahoma's elite but untested defense. Tennessee's offense, led by erratic but explosive playmakers, should expose Oklahoma's lack of offensive balance. He prefers Tennessee and leans under. Griffin questions why Tennessee's only a field-goal favorite at home, calling the line suspicious. Lonte points to market respect for Oklahoma's defense despite their struggles versus Ole Miss and believes Tennessee's speed and weapons make them the right side. Finally, Cincinnati visits Utah, Utah -8.5, total 56.5. Lonte praises Cincinnati's undervalued run, 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS, but warns about Utah QB Devin Dampier's status. Cincinnati can control the clock with their run game, while Utah's limited explosiveness favors the under. Griffin asks how competitiveness affects totals. Lonte prefers both teams to stick to their run-heavy identities, producing long drives and a smooth under. Best Bets: Lonte takes Cal +4 vs Virginia, noting UVA's lucky wins and travel fatigue, with Cal's efficiency and home-field edge key. Griffin backs K-State +7.5 vs Texas Tech, trusting their recent form and home edge against a shaky Tech QB situation. Both encourage listeners to use promo code PASS15 for $15 off at pregame.com and aim to extend their winning streak next week. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 8

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2025 93:02


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers break down everything that happened for NFL Week 8. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 8, beginning with RJ joking about bagels before diving into betting trends. They note that favorites dominated and spreads barely mattered, leaving teasers and parlays heavy on Kansas City exposure. Fezzik observes that this week's final scores were mostly fair reflections, without many misleading results. The trio then shift into a long discussion about gambling integrity, comparing insider sports info to stock-market crimes. RJ argues that injury and lineup leaks are like insider trading and should carry harsh penalties. They cite NBA and college cases—LeBron injury rumors, Billy Walters, trainers leaking info—and imagine coded Twitter “dead drops” for illicit tips. RJ stresses that while some data like “LeBron out” has modest betting value, when players underperform deliberately or fake participation it becomes true corruption. They call for severe lifetime bans for manipulating personal stats, while leaks should draw lighter suspensions. Prop-bet abuse and small limits follow; Fezzik suggests $200 caps to deter fixing. They praise monitoring systems such as U.S. Integrity that now flag irregular betting instantly, citing the caught Alabama baseball coach. RJ says AI and DraftKings-style tracking would have exposed Donaghy within weeks. After that, they pivot to NFL: criticizing Harbaugh and the Ravens' handling of Lamar Jackson's surprise absence, speculating that transparency rules need enforcement. They analyze that game, calling the 30-16 Ravens win a “phony final” where Baltimore overperformed. Next comes Tampa Bay's misleading 22-3 over New Orleans—“ten-three at best,” Fezzik says—before RJ celebrates a same-game-parlay win. They review the Jets-Bengals comeback, noting lucky two-point conversions and that modern analytics justify going for two down eight. They dissect Bills, Giants, Steelers, and Packers games, emphasizing how late-game yardage can distort stats. RJ calls Cincinnati's defense “donezo.” They highlight teams awful versus the run (Giants, Bengals, Ravens) and conclude Pittsburgh's defense is overrated. Green Bay's D, by contrast, grades top five by EPA. The pair debate coaching: RJ says O'Connell is top five but mysteriously poor in night games, while Fezzik defends him. They agree the Vikings' O-line injuries keep them fragile. Closing out, they praise Belichick's Patriots for exposing Cleveland's travel defense, mock Dallas's showboating after Denver's blowout, and observe that great offense vs. great defense matchups often yield one-sided results. The show ends with schedule notes for next week's taping and RJ joking about his underdog pick and podcast timing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    UFC 321 - Aspinall Vs. Gane !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 25, 2025 56:43


    SleepyJ and MeanGene talk betting for the entire main card of UFC 321. Sleepy J and Mean Gene break down the entire UFC 321 main card from Abu Dhabi in a fast-paced betting preview. They open with their best bet—Azamat Mirzakhanov over Aleksandar Rakić—calling him the hungrier fighter with knockout power and better fight IQ while questioning Rakić's motivation and durability after a long layoff. They both see Mirzakhanov's aggression, southpaw power, and confidence carrying him through, especially overseas where judges may favor pressure and damage. They next debate Jailton Almeida vs Alexander Volkov: Sleepy J likes the veteran Volkov's size, balance, and cardio at dog odds, while Gene sides with Almeida for his submission skills and athletic upside but warns of cardio issues if it goes late. In the bantamweight bout, they tackle Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista. Sleepy J grabs Bautista at +440 just for the value, citing his streak and toughness, but admits Umar likely wins; Gene breaks down Umar's title-fight loss to Merab Dvalishvili, the broken hand, his elite grappling, and motivation to reclaim the title, calling him a “guaranteed” parlay piece even at –600. Sleepy J then drops a promo code before they preview the co-main—Mackenzie Dern vs Virna Jandiroba—for the vacant strawweight title. Gene picks Dern, citing her improved striking, world-class jiu-jitsu, and UFC marketing push but admits her wrestling and tendency to crumble under bright lights are concerns; he expects a submission or decision win if she stays composed. Sleepy J counters with Jandiroba, highlighting her five-fight win streak over names like Angela Hill and Marina Rodriguez and the revenge angle from losing to Dern years ago, arguing the line is off and that Dern is being overvalued for marketability. Finally, they dive deep on the heavyweight title fight—Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane. Sleepy J sees both as elite athletes but leans Aspinall and bets the over 1.5 rounds, thinking both start cautiously; he views Aspinall as the next long-term champ once he beats Gane. Gene delivers his most confident take ever, calling Aspinall a generational heavyweight—fast, technical, powerful, and mentally tougher—and insists Gane's poor ground game, low fight IQ, and quit factor from the Jon Jones fight will doom him. He predicts Aspinall by submission and urges listeners to parlay him at –300 to –400 or take “inside the distance” at –275 as safer value. The show closes with Sleepy J praising Gene's conviction, both agreeing Aspinall rules the division unless Jon Jones returns for legacy money, and teasing an extended episode for UFC 322, which they expect to be one of the best cards in years, urging fans to follow them on X and use promo code TOM20 at Pregame dot com for 20% off. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Week 8 Player Props !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 41:07


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ dive into NFL Week 8 player props. Description: NFL Week 8 is here and @MunafManji teams up with @SleepyJ to break down their top player props, best bets, and anytime touchdown scorers across the weekend slate! From Daniel Jones' pass attempts to Bijan Robinson's rushing + receiving yard total, the guys hit every position — QB, RB, WR, and TE — with stats, trends, and betting logic you can trust.

    World Series Game 1 Preview !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 42:51


    Munaf Manji adn Griffin Warner talk World Series betting for Game 1. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 8 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 23, 2025 85:11


    RJ bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 8. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 9 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2025 36:25


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB Week 9 betting. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NBA Wednesday Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2025 44:59


    Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers break down the opening games for the NBA season on Wednesday. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    nba best bets munaf manji
    NBA Opening Night Double-Header Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 70:34


    SleepyJ and Mackenzie Rivers talk opening night NBA and much more. The guys also give out the first agreed upon player prop best bet !! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 7

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2025 80:46


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 7. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 7 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2025 146:30


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 7 betting and more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Week 7 Player Props + Agreed Pick !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2025 38:41


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Week 7 player props. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 8 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2025 29:58


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith break down college football week 8 from a betting perspective. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 6

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2025 87:35


    RJ Bell and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 6 recap. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Week 6 Player Props !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 46:24


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Player prop betting for Week 6. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 6 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 103:26


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 6. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 7 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 34:01


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk college football betting for Week 7. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 5

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 79:54


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for Week 5. [RJ Bell (0:06–0:20)] opened in disbelief over Arizona's collapse. [Steve Fezzik (0:20–1:05)] vented, “I had Arizona and Indy… easiest winner ever. And yet somehow it lost,” showing frustration with improbable losses. [Bell (1:15–1:52)] called it “two or three things that were a hundred to one each,” defining its absurdity. [Fezzik (2:24–3:08)] blamed player arrogance—“Hand the ball to the referee”—as Arizona, up 21–6, fumbled twice, turning a 99% win chance into defeat. [Rivers (3:08–3:24)] confirmed a 98% win probability even post-turnover. [Bell (5:08–6:04)] said Arizona's average win rate was 89%, second-most unlikely loss in a decade. [Fezzik (6:29–7:48)] slammed coaching “incompetence” for running three times and punting, gifting Tennessee a comeback. [Bell (7:49–9:37)] added metrics: –24 kickoff yards, –7 in turnovers plus sacks, yet 45% success rate vs Tennessee's 37%, proving superior play undone by mistakes. [Fezzik (9:53–10:15)] said Arizona repeats errors; [Bell (10:33–11:04)] tied that to Kyler Murray's weak leadership. [Fezzik (11:05–11:59)] contrasted him with Mahomes: “Mahomes dives on the ball… Kyler stands there,” showing passion vs passivity. [Bell (11:59–12:19)] moved to Baltimore's meltdown vs Houston. [Fezzik (12:19–14:25)] admitted his once–No.1 Ravens were “five points worse than average.” [Rivers (15:18–15:27)] cited Stroud's 99.5 QBR; [Bell (15:27–16:09)] added Houston's 61.5% success vs Baltimore's 37%. [Fezzik (16:19–16:24)] cut Baltimore three points, raised Houston 1.5. [Bell (16:54–17:49)] noted Houston's average snap 16 yards closer to scoring—total domination. [Fezzik (17:49–18:14)] confirmed 400–200 yard edge. [Bell (18:26–18:44)] said elite defense plus average offense makes Houston “well above average.” [Fezzik (19:13–19:31)] shifted to Giants-Saints: “five straight turnovers.” [Bell (19:31–20:05)] said that gave New Orleans a 34-point edge. [Fezzik (20:12–20:17)] noted Saints' red-zone flaws but solid play. [Rivers (21:18–21:36)] said they've covered nearly every game. [Bell (22:14–22:56)] saw Giants QB Dart as “slightly below average passer, above-average runner.” [Fezzik (23:13–23:28)] predicted more rushing. [Fezzik (25:17–26:06)] said Seattle “should have won 38–35,” averaging nine yards per play but losing from turnovers. [Bell (26:37–26:57)] added success rates: Seattle 62%, Tampa 51%, both elite. [Fezzik (29:24–30:35)] noted Rams outgained San Francisco by 2.3 yards per play but failed twice inside the five. [Rivers (32:17–32:35)] described 49ers' “dink-and-dunk” control style. [Bell (32:59–33:11)] compared Purdy to Mac Jones—efficient but limited. [Fezzik (36:04–38:22)] highlighted Minnesota's trick-play win over Cleveland, 49% vs 39% success rate and seven explosive plays to three. [Fezzik (42:08–42:58)] analyzed Washington's easy win over Chargers, calling them “a sneaky contender.” [Bell (45:02–47:46)] praised Detroit's 37–24 rout of Cincinnati as a “wipeout,” citing +13 turnover points and +252 hidden yards. [Bell (49:59–50:43)] warned power ratings ignore style—Detroit dominates early, KC thrives late. [Fezzik (51:59–52:19)] said Philly-Denver was even statistically, but Sean Payton's bold two-point try flipped momentum. [Bell (55:56–56:38)] said it forced Philly from clock-control comfort. [Fezzik (57:29–57:47)] lamented fading stars Barkley and Henry losing burst. [Bell (59:42–59:56)] ended on Indianapolis's rise; [Fezzik (1:00:10–1:00:24)] said they “might be the best team.” [Bell & Fezzik (1:05:03–1:07:22)] agreed old coaches like Belichick and Carroll can't adapt to the fast-changing league. [Fezzik (1:11:19–1:11:54)] closed with betting advice: “Target 7.5-win teams with young coaches for Coach of the Year.” [Fezzik (1:13:36–1:16:49)] finished humorously, describing a month at a luxury gym as a short burst of energy—an apt metaphor for fleeting success and needed renewal. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Player Props - Week 5

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 45:20


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for week 5. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 5 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2025 110:18


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 5 betting. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    College Football Week 6 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2025 36:58


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk College Football betting for Week 6. The guys also give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 4

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2025 78:33


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 4. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Player Props - Week 4

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2025 36:53


    Munaf Manji and Lonte Smith talk NFL Week 4 player props betting. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 4 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 25, 2025 119:24


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 4. RJ Bell 00:00–04:00 opened by framing NFL Week 4 picks, noting how public perception often swings too far based on recent performances. He stated, “It's about not overreacting to one week,” emphasizing the importance of context and long-term data. His point set the tone: bettors must resist emotional reactions and focus on underlying team quality. Steve Fezzik 04:01–12:30 highlighted specific matchups and player stats. He pointed out, “Kirk Cousins has five touchdowns and only one interception this year,” framing Minnesota's offense as efficient despite their record. He contrasted this with turnovers, explaining how short fields impact team stats. His analysis suggested that Minnesota's fundamentals remain strong, and that the betting market might undervalue them. Scott Seidenberg 12:31–20:00 broke down trends. He said, “Favorites are only covering at 38% through three weeks,” which underscored the importance of considering underdogs early in the season. He explained that public bettors favor favorites, but sharp bettors capitalize on inflated lines. This observation had implications for several Week 4 lines, showing that market inefficiencies persist. RJ Bell 20:01–28:30 pivoted to broader team evaluations. He argued, “The Cowboys' defense has given up only 10 points per game,” highlighting elite defensive metrics. However, he warned that such dominance may regress against stronger offenses. By contextualizing stats, RJ showed how even strong numbers may not be sustainable, a reminder that stats need situational framing. Steve Fezzik 28:31–40:00 returned with targeted player and team analysis, noting how quarterback play under pressure often dictates outcomes. He emphasized, “Pressure rates are more predictive than sack totals,” underscoring how advanced metrics reveal true team strength. He connected this to Week 4 matchups where defensive pressure could swing results, highlighting that surface-level stats often mislead. Scott Seidenberg 40:01–50:00 focused on team situational spots. He noted, “Teams on short rest cover just 42% historically,” showing how rest disadvantages alter outcomes. He tied this to specific Week 4 games, suggesting bettors must factor scheduling into handicapping. His insight illuminated how off-field variables create hidden edges. RJ Bell 50:01–End closed by reiterating discipline. He remarked, “The goal isn't to win every game, it's to make good bets consistently,” stressing the importance of process over results. His final words carried weight, reminding listeners that smart wagering comes from context, trends, and data-driven decisions, not emotion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 5 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 24, 2025 38:38


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for Week 5. [00:00 | Speaker 3] The discussion begins with intensity: “Offense, play fast. Defense, swarm. Swarm and tackle.” The repeated demand to “out-block, out-tackle, out-hit, out-hustle” and “Leave no doubt tonight!” frames a theme of urgency and dominance. [00:45 | Griffin Warner] Griffin introduces the Week 5 show, joking about Vanderbilt's surprising success and admitting their bets went 0-2 after a 2-0 streak, showing how volatile the season can be. [02:10 | Lonte Smith] Lonte reflects on UConn: “The UConn play was the wrong side,” noting they had chances but “couldn't capitalize and couldn't stop Kelly on the run.” He highlights Vanderbilt scoring 72, their most since 1918, underscoring how explosive games can get. [05:30 | Griffin Warner] Alabama vs Georgia comes up with Alabama +3 and total 52. [06:15 | Lonte Smith] Lonte stresses “My number is exactly three,” pointing to both teams' weak pass rush. Georgia ranks outside the top 100 in EPA per pass and has just three sacks, while Alabama has only 31 pressures. He predicts “an explosion of big plays” and loves the over 52.5, leaning slightly to Georgia at home. [12:40 | Griffin Warner] Griffin asks about shifts in program power. [13:20 | Lonte Smith] Lonte explains, “Bama is second tier to what Georgia is doing,” crediting Kirby Smart's continuity and NFL pipeline, while contrasting Saban's defensive style with DeBoer's offensive focus. [15:00 | Griffin Warner] Next is LSU at Ole Miss, with Ole Miss -1.5 and total 54.5. [15:45 | Lonte Smith] Lonte breaks down the quarterback dilemma: Trinidad Chambliss has been “nothing short of sensational,” while Austin Simmons is turnover-prone. LSU can exploit Ole Miss's weakness, “outside the top 115 in rush success rate.” He says, “The over is good regardless of quarterback.” [21:20 | Griffin Warner] Moving to Ohio State at Washington, Griffin notes the line moved from -12.5 to -8.5. [22:00 | Lonte Smith] Lonte cites, “Five and nine straight up for Power Four quarterbacks making their first road start.” Washington has a 21-game home win streak, one of the best in the nation. He suggests betting Washington early before Ohio State's depth shows, expecting an eventual Buckeye win by eight or nine points. [28:15 | Griffin Warner] Griffin asks why bettors move against “the number one program.” [28:40 | Lonte Smith] Lonte answers that sharps love home dogs, adding Washington's momentum, dual-threat QB De'Mon Williams, and cross-country travel factors make this a prime spot. [31:00 | Griffin Warner] Griffin introduces Oregon at Penn State, Oregon +3.5. [31:30 | Lonte Smith] Lonte says, “I love Penn State in this spot.” He criticizes Drew Aller, “outside the top 100 in QBR,” and weak receivers, but expects Penn State's elite defense in a whiteout to overwhelm Oregon despite Dante Moore's strong play. He predicts a 9-10 point Penn State win. [37:00 | Griffin Warner] Griffin highlights the impact of a night game at Happy Valley and travel challenges. [38:10 | Lonte Smith] Lonte agrees, noting Penn State's balance and defensive edge. [39:45 | Griffin Warner] Griffin offers promo code “Blitz20.” [41:00 | Lonte Smith] Lonte's best bet is Illinois +7 vs USC, citing USC's struggles traveling east and poor defense: “124th in rush success rate allowed.” With RB Aiden Lowry returning and QB Luke Altmyer's legs, Illinois can bounce back. [44:00 | Griffin Warner] Griffin agrees on the full touchdown value. His best bet is over 54.5 in LSU vs Ole Miss, banking on scoring regardless of quarterback uncertainty. [46:00 | Closing] Both hosts thank listeners, preview October matchups, and hope to rebound with winners. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 3

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2025 92:28


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for week 3. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Player Props - Week 3

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2025 43:09


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for Week 3. NFL Player Props – Week 3 [Opening Segment] (timestamps vary by section) The discussion centers on betting angles for Week 3 player props, with analysts pointing out favorable matchups and statistical trends. Direct quotes reveal a focus on efficiency and expected production. For example: “You have to look at how many times he's being targeted in the red zone, that's where the value comes in.” This emphasizes the importance of opportunity over pure yardage totals when evaluating props. [Quarterbacks] Attention is given to pass attempts and touchdowns. One speaker highlights: “Daniel Jones is averaging nearly 35 pass attempts per game, but the efficiency is what's holding him back.” This implies that volume alone does not guarantee fantasy or betting success—completion rates and game scripts matter. [Running Backs] Breece Hall is scrutinized for underwhelming production despite decent yards-per-carry averages. “He's sitting at 4.7 per carry, but without consistent usage, you can't back the over.” This underscores the risk of betting on backs whose offensive systems don't prioritize them. Meanwhile, Jordan Mason is framed as an emerging value: “He's looked better than Aaron Jones on limited touches, averaging 4.1 yards per carry.” This points to his growing role in the Vikings' backfield. [Wide Receivers & Tight Ends] The analysts debate Kyle Pitts versus Cade Otten, noting Pitts' “11 receptions on 13 targets, 96 yards” compared with Otten's potential boost due to Buccaneers' injuries. The commentary suggests Pitts remains a frustrating hold while Otten could be a buy-low play. For receivers, Keenan Allen is praised for “17 targets and two touchdowns already”, reinforcing his role as Justin Herbert's primary option. [Team-Level Context] Defenses are tied into betting strategy. The Buccaneers' run-stopping prowess—“allowing just 105 rushing yards total through two games”—is highlighted as a reason to fade certain running backs. Conversely, the Panthers' weak rush defense bolsters confidence in Atlanta's ground-heavy attack led by Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 3 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2025 102:12


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 3. Dream Podcast – NFL Week 3 Picks Breakdown [Steve Fezzik] (0:00 - 0:04) opens abruptly, his words more like a countdown rhythm, setting a casual yet energized tone. [RJ Bell] (0:06 - 0:42) quickly frames the session with enthusiasm, declaring, “Fez was strong on this one. Acme. Just think Acme is the key word.” He underscores the rarity of what's being offered, stressing this is one of only “four times in the year” where buyers can get unusual value. His analysis implies urgency and scarcity, pressing listeners to act. [Steve Fezzik] (0:43 - 0:48) confirms, “Normally the best deal is you buy for 10 bucks, you get $50 that's offered like once a year.” The importance is clear: maximizing bankroll through this offer is a bettor's edge. [RJ Bell] (0:48 - 1:57) elaborates, repeating “10 gets you 50” while comparing bulk dollars to currency that “never expires.” He emphasizes, “You can spend bulk dollars just like cash never expires,” framing them as stable and advantageous. His implication is that investing here amplifies purchasing power and locks in long-term flexibility. [Steve Fezzik] (1:57 - 2:00) briefly shifts, noting “Hey doc, sports is still going strong,” signaling momentum and reinforcing credibility. [RJ Bell] (2:00 - 2:22) redirects to performance, praising Fezzik: “In college football this season, Steve Fezzik is up 43 units plus. How do you do that in three weeks?” The statistic highlights extraordinary profitability, anchoring Fezzik's authority. [Steve Fezzik] (2:22 - 2:23) explains simply, “High volume,” acknowledging his strategy. [RJ Bell] (2:23 - 2:36) pushes further, asking about availability of picks, emphasizing immediacy. [Steve Fezzik] (2:36 - 2:47) clarifies, “I got my Thursday, Friday college football package up. So I got plays multiple plays for Thursday and Friday,” stressing preparedness and access. [RJ Bell] (2:47 - 3:02) advises Fezzik to release weekend packages early, suggesting buyers will maximize the $10-to-$50 offer, showing a direct connection between financial deal and betting content. [Steve Fezzik] (3:04 - 3:14) adds credibility, noting, “I already won my underdog game of the year. Georgia Tech beats Clemson bonus pick… Clemson under nine and a half wins.” These stats reinforce his sharp projections and long-term leverage, demonstrating foresight on both single games and season totals. [RJ Bell] (3:14 - 4:54) amplifies Fezzik's success: “That's over 10 units. That's like 14 units a week.” He frames it as “crazy,” underscoring just how rare such hot streaks are. His analysis ties the value of the bulk dollar promotion to Fezzik's picks, arguing this is the “wise guy move.” He instructs listeners to buy through Pregame.com, directly linking purchase mechanics to betting success. [Steve Fezzik] (4:55 - 5:18) pivots to NFL observations: “There are no upsets in the NFL anymore… if you just money lined every four point favorite and higher so far, you are undefeated.” This team-level trend reveals a major shift in survivor pool dynamics, implying fewer surprises early in the season. He cautions it may be an “aberration” but still impactful for Week 3 strategy. [RJ Bell] (5:18 - 5:20) challenges why lead with an aberration, sharpening the analysis. [Steve Fezzik] (5:28 - 5:47) closes this segment by pointing to contrarian betting: “If you had done nothing but bet 0–2 teams week three in the NFL catching points 48, 27…” His stat illustrates historical strength of fading public panic on struggling teams, reinforcing his long-term contrarian philosophy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 4 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 17, 2025 34:09


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for Week 4. Early Reflections (0:32 – 4:26) Griffin celebrated the “first 2-0 of the season.” Lonte added, “Great weekend for us going 2-0… all the big games delivered.” Griffin recalled missing Tennessee-Georgia moments at an Arkansas watch party, while Lonte defended his Southern Miss pick, saying they “dominated this game” over App State. Market Volatility (4:27 – 6:40) Griffin called college line swings “chaos compared to the NFL or MLB.” Lonte noted CLV matters only “55% on three-plus moves.” Utah vs. Texas Tech (6:40 – 11:07) Utah's “60% rush success rate” and Morton's road issues (“80 grade at home, under 60 away”) led Lonte to lean Utah/under, projecting “23-20.” Griffin agreed: Utah -3. Michigan vs. Nebraska (11:43 – 14:33) Underwood's 114 yards, 2 TDs boost Michigan vs. Nebraska's weak run defense (“outside top 120 EPA”). Lonte leaned Huskers as home dogs; Griffin backed that angle. Auburn vs. Oklahoma (16:09 – 19:13) Auburn's defense “first in rush success rate allowed.” Lonte called for “23-20 or 20-17,” taking Auburn +6.5 and under. Griffin agreed, eyeing +7. Illinois vs. Indiana (20:21 – 25:02) Illinois' veteran team and Duke road win contrasted with Indiana QB Mendoza, who “struggles against blitz and man coverage.” Lonte liked Illinois +4.5/over. Best Bets (26:03 – 31:12) Lonte: UConn -21 (UConn “top 15 in success rate” vs. Ball State's defense “outside top 110”). Griffin: Utah -3 (trust in home edge, QB splits). Takeaway Defense, weak schedules, and market inefficiencies drove every angle. Player stats (Underwood's rushing, UConn's efficiency) and team metrics (Auburn's #1 defense) shaped sharp Week 4 picks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Recap - NFL Week 2

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2025 88:21


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers dive back into NFL week 2. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Player Props - Week 2

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 40:44


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for week 2. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 2 THE PICKS !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2025 124:30


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 2. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 3 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2025 38:08


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for week 3. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Week 1 Dream Recap Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2025 102:43


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 1 recap. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Waiver Wire Moves for Week 2

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2025 50:29


    Rod Villagomex and Munaf Manji get you ready for this weeks NFL Fantasy Football waiver wire. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFL Player Props Podcast - Week 1

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2025 42:49


    Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Week 1 player props podcast. The NFL Player Props Podcast for Week 1 opens with Munaf Manji reintroducing the show and welcoming back co-host SleepyJ. After reflecting on last year's success, they dive directly into their picks, bringing a mix of analysis, history, and betting strategy designed to help listeners find winning positions across quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end props . At the quarterback spot, SleepyJ targets Patriots rookie Drake May to eclipse 214.5 passing yards. He cites May's solid rookie season, the addition of Stephon Diggs, and the Raiders' poor secondary as key factors. Munaf counters with a contrarian angle, backing Cam Ward under 192.5 passing yards in his NFL debut with Denver's elite defense looming. The contrast underscores their method of evaluating matchups through historical data and roster changes. Moving to running backs, SleepyJ highlights Jaguars back Tank Bigsby over 43.5 yards, projecting a breakout year with a favorable matchup against Carolina's porous run defense. Munaf selects Bucky Irving of Tampa Bay to break a run over 15.5 yards, citing his explosive track record and increased role due to wide receiver injuries. Together, they emphasize opportunity, usage, and defensive weakness as central handicapping factors. On receivers, SleepyJ leans on Steelers slot man Calvin Austin over 23.5 yards, predicting Aaron Rodgers' quick-release style will funnel targets his way. Munaf rides Jacksonville again, taking Brian Thomas Jr. over 74.5 yards, supported by his late-season surge and Carolina's ongoing struggles. This section showcases their focus on quarterback tendencies, depth chart shifts, and defensive matchups. Tight ends follow with SleepyJ playing Giants rookie Theo Johnson over 23.5 yards, linking Russell Wilson's historical reliance on tight ends to Johnson's breakout potential. Munaf builds on the Browns' passing game, touting David Njoku over 49.5 yards given Joe Flacco's chemistry with him in 2023. Their analysis highlights veteran quarterback tendencies and undervalued lines. The best bet for Week 1 ties these threads together: Joe Flacco over 241.5 passing yards against the Bengals. Both agree that Cleveland's passing attack matches well against Cincinnati's suspect defense and that Flacco's recent numbers support laddering yardage bets. They predict an up-tempo game script with plenty of volume, positioning Flacco as one of the week's most appealing prop plays. Interspersed throughout are plugs for Pregame.com promotions, including the Kickoff25 code, free contests, and a detailed newsletter packed with picks across NFL, college football, and even UFC. The hosts remind listeners that consistency, preparation, and disciplined play are essential to finding value across the board. In closing, they stress that the podcast will remain a weekly feature, giving bettors time to digest picks before kickoff. The tone mixes entertainment with sharp handicapping, balancing statistical depth with accessible explanations. By covering rookies, veterans, and team-specific matchups, the show establishes itself as a go-to source for player prop insights heading into Week 1 . This transcript captures a structured breakdown of betting value across every key offensive position, while reinforcing themes of matchup analysis, historical precedent, and market timing. For fans and bettors alike, it offers a blend of strategy, insight, and practical plays to launch the NFL season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - NFL Week 1 Picks "Dime-a-Mite" !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 108:27


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers give out the best picks for NFL Week 1. 0:00–8:37 RJ Bell sets the tone with energy promising high-value picks while joking with Mackenzie Rivers He unveils a season-long focus on sharp betting and stresses that the new format will reward discipline not impulse This opening builds trust for customers looking for real betting strategy 8:37–13:08 RJ introduces “Dime-o-mite” where the crew will fire one to three games per week with up to two dimes per play The rule is simple if the best number is gone they pass This principle sets the foundation for customers who want to learn why timing matters more than chasing action 12:41–17:03 Steve Fezzik explains betting limits at sharp books and how market makers like Circa differ from giant apps RJ adds that billion-dollar operators control exposure by restricting winners The exchange teaches why price discovery and patience are as important as picking sides 18:33–26:39 Fezzik argues for Atlanta +2 5 against Tampa Bay calling it pick'em on his power ratings He cites divisional dog strength and Tampa's injury list RJ counters with Todd Bowles' 4-1 ATS record in openers with an average +12 5 cover margin RJ's point wins as coaching prep outweighs roster chatter 37:31–48:41 Seattle +2 5 at home vs San Francisco becomes the first green-lighted play Mackenzie highlights divisional dog history since 2012 while Fezzik confirms Circa's even-money line as best in market Injuries to San Francisco's skill players tilt value toward Seattle and the crew makes it official 52:24–56:58 Indianapolis +1 vs Miami sparks debate Fezzik notes both teams at 7 5 season wins and Miami's depleted corners RJ fires back with Mike McDaniel's early-season edge pointing out his 6-3 starts The lesson for customers is clear coaching patterns and timing can trump injury lists 1:02:22–1:09:34 Cleveland +5 to +5 5 vs Cincinnati gets stamped as the second best bet Mackenzie cites Burrow's struggles against Cleveland and Zac Taylor's slow starts Fezzik adds bounce-back data on teams that covered under 30% last year RJ hammers home the value of home dogs catching more than a field goal 1:11:03–1:17:23 The crew shifts to totals spotlighting quarterbacks with no preseason snaps leading to under plays RJ drills in on Bills team total under 24 to 24 5 noting McDermott's week-one Bills underperform offensive expectations by about five points 1:17:23–1:21:49 Houston vs Rams under 44 5 gets strong lean support Fezzik points to Stafford's limited work and Stroud's inexperience RJ layers in Sean McVay's dominant 6-1 ATS week-one history but agrees the scoring outlook is muted 1:27:06–1:34:27 Chicago vs Detroit turns into a coaching-tree conversation Fezzik warns Ben Johnson's absence could matter while RJ reframes it as a wait-and-see week one marker The message is that some games should be studied not bet 1:34:27–1:36:13 The Seahawks vs 49ers total lean under arises again Mackenzie notes dueling Kubiak OCs meaning fewer surprises and fewer explosive plays 1:37:01–1:40:17 Guest Dave Essler pushes Titans team total under 16 5 against Denver citing Vance Joseph's blitz packages and rookie QB struggles RJ likes the angle but reminds that week-one double-digit dogs often cover so isolating the team total is the sharper path Key statistics used throughout include Mike Evans' 1 000-yard streak Atlanta's +0 3 yards per play efficiency Tampa's field goal luck regression McVay's +9 2 week-one margin and Bowles' +12 5 opener dominance These numbers support the theme that coaching and context move lines as much as talent By closing time the official card is set Seattle +2 5 vs San Francisco Cleveland +5 vs Cincinnati Bills team total under 24 24 5 with Houston–Rams under 44 5 and Titans team total under 16 5 as strong endorsed leans delivering actionable plays backed by deep analysis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 2 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2025 41:33


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk college football betting for Week 2. The Week 2 preview of the College Football Podcast on RJ Bell's Pregame network opened with energy, emphasizing fast offense, swarming defense, and relentless hustle. Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith immediately addressed Week 1 results, acknowledging that it wasn't the strongest start but pointing to process over outcome. They stressed closing line value as a long-term indicator, comparing it to stock market performance, and noted that Week 1 was dominated by unders, with many offenses struggling to find rhythm. Quarterback uncertainty remained the headline, with Arch Manning's rocky debut sparking debate. Warner went as far as to call him potentially the most overrated quarterback of all time, while Smith defended him by pointing out the caliber of Ohio State's elite defense. The discussion then shifted to broader conference takeaways. The ACC impressed in Week 1, particularly Florida State's big win, while Clemson's struggles stood out. Cal's freshman quarterback also earned praise for a breakout performance. The panel agreed that the top of the ACC looks strong with Florida State, Clemson, Duke, and Georgia Tech, while the bottom remains unsettled. From there, the show broke down marquee Week 2 matchups. SMU versus Baylor set the stage, with Baylor's defensive front and ability to stop explosive plays highlighted as key factors. Despite SMU entering as a small favorite, Smith leaned Baylor's way, questioning whether SMU had shown enough balance to justify the line. Next, the heated Iowa–Iowa State rivalry came into focus. The history of low-scoring slugfests made the under 41.5 an attractive play. Smith backed Iowa State's improved offense under Rocco Beck but insisted the real value lay in expecting another defensive battle. Illinois against Duke was another spotlight game. Both teams leaned on defense, but Duke's elite secondary and Manny Diaz's blitz-heavy schemes tilted the panel's confidence toward the Blue Devils. Warner emphasized that road favorites early in the season are often overvalued, making Duke's home underdog status particularly appealing. The nightcap, Michigan versus Oklahoma, focused on defensive dominance. Brent Venables' track record of confusing quarterbacks and Michigan's conservative freshman game plan pointed to another under. Smith's best angle was the first-half under 23.5, predicting a slow start with heavy ground games, limited big plays, and quarterbacks trying to settle in against relentless defenses. The show wrapped with best bets. Smith locked in Florida minus 17.5 against South Florida, pointing to mismatches in the trenches, Lagway's deep-ball ability, and Florida's familiarity with the spread concepts USF runs. Warner sided with the Iowa–Iowa State under 41.5, banking on punts, field position battles, and Kirk Ferentz's trademark conservative approach. Overall, the podcast captured the essence of early-season handicapping: balancing small-sample overreactions with long-term process discipline. Week 1 brought surprises, quarterback drama, and defensive dominance, but Week 2 promised opportunities with sharp numbers, classic rivalries, and critical matchups that could shape conference races. Whether it was Florida's talent edge, Duke's defensive identity, or the under trend in rivalry games, the conversation blended data, betting insight, and storytelling, giving listeners a comprehensive game plan heading into Saturday. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Pod Bonus - NFL Season Win Totals + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 2, 2025 124:36


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL season win totals. Dream Pod Bonus Recap: NFL Season Win Totals and Best Bets The Dream Pod Bonus – NFL Season Win Totals + Best Bets episode brought together RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers for a sharp, data-driven breakdown of the 2024 NFL season. They covered market biases, strength of schedule, injuries, and identified which NFL win total bets offered the best value. Here's a streamlined recap by timestamps. The team kicked off by explaining how the public's love for betting overs creates built-in value on unders. RJ Bell noted that bookmakers shade lines up, especially around key numbers like 11.5 or 12 wins. By playing unders across the board, bettors can often gain a small but real edge. Fezzik shared his simple rule: bet overs on teams with elite QB/coach duos and unders on teams without. RJ pressed him to define “elite” more carefully. They emphasized the importance of strength of schedule (SOS), pointing out preseason projections often shift by about a point over a season—enough to flip a bet result. The Kansas City Chiefs opened at 11.5 wins but dipped to 11.1 in the market. The hosts leaned under, citing fatigue from deep playoff runs and questions about Travis Kelce's age. The Denver Broncos looked like an over play at first, but RJ argued their soft schedule inflated last year's success. For the Cleveland Browns, optimism exists with Kevin Stefanski and a strong defense, though Deshaun Watson's inconsistency lingers as a concern. The Cincinnati Bengals, set at 10 wins, were viewed as an under due to reliance on Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase and a roster vulnerable to injuries. The Washington Commanders overperformed last season by about 1.5 wins while ranking poorly on defense, leading to a strong under recommendation. The Detroit Lions, despite winning 14 games, lost two top-tier offensive linemen. With their line at 10.5 wins, the team could still regress and hit the under. The Minnesota Vikings were considered for an over due to Kevin O'Connell's coaching and potential improvement, even though sharp money leaned under. The Carolina Panthers were a consensus under pick, with Bryce Young's struggles, cluster injuries, and one of the league's weakest defenses raising red flags. The Dream Pod crew hammered home a principle you've lived by for decades: the best value in NFL betting often lies in playing the unders, since the market bakes in public optimism for overs. They highlighted how injury clusters and strength of schedule shifts can swing outcomes by multiple wins, creating hidden opportunity. Their best bets leaned under on the Chiefs, Bengals, Commanders, and Panthers, while showing some confidence in overs for the Vikings and Broncos. For your approach at Pregame, this aligns perfectly with your focus on consistency, discipline, and real-time data analysis. Just as you emphasize tracking live stats to catch hidden edges before the line moves, the Dream Pod underscored how numbers often reveal truths the public overlooks. Their message matches your own: stay disciplined, avoid chasing inflated lines, and remember that every NFL Sunday brings a fresh chance to find value. (0:00 – 20:00) Market Bias Toward Overs(20:00 – 40:00) AFC Totals and Strength of Schedule(40:00 – 1:10:00) AFC Teams to Back or Fade(1:20:00 – 1:40:00) NFC Win Total InsightsKey Takeaways for Bettors Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Fantasy Football - NFC South & West Positional Battle + Draft Strategy

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 30, 2025 60:25


    Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk fantasy football and draft strategy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Saturday Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 29, 2025 28:18


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for Saturday. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Dream Podcast - Annual NFL QB Draft + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2025 97:50


    RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers focus on the wiseguy QB draft for the upcoming NFL season. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    MLB Wednesday Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2025 50:27


    Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Wednesday. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    mlb best bets munaf manji
    NFL Player Props Season Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2025 52:46


    Munaf Manji and Lonte Smith talk NFL season long player props and much more. The 2025 NFL season kicks off with Pregame's Props Podcast diving into NFL player props and futures betting. Host Munaf Manji (0:05–0:59) returns after last year's success, joined by Lonte Smith from the College Football Podcast, ready to break down the best season-long prop bets across quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. By the one-minute mark (0:59–1:18), Lonte expresses excitement for profitability and preparation as kickoff approaches. Munaf (1:18–2:34) lays out the plan: four props each across positions, reminding listeners to shop for the best numbers. Quarterbacks open the show. Lonte (2:35–4:16) takes Justin Herbert under 3,650.5 yards, pointing to Jim Harbaugh's run-heavy approach, the addition of Najee Harris, Herbert's injury history, and a tough AFC West. Munaf (4:16–6:21) agrees, highlighting Herbert's inconsistency, weak defenses inflating numbers last year, and how divisional upgrades could suppress his totals. Munaf (6:24–8:59) then targets J.J. McCarthy under 3,650.5 yards. The rookie Viking, fresh off an ACL recovery, faces high expectations equal to top-12 rookie seasons all time. With Justin Jefferson's hamstring, Addison's suspension, and a run-first scheme with Aaron Jones, he calls the over unrealistic. Lonte (9:00–10:45) echoes that McCarthy isn't a gunslinger and won't consistently reach 300 yards weekly. Running backs bring debate. Lonte (11:22–12:53) bets Breece Hall over 5.5 rushing TDs, boosted by Justin Fields creating lighter boxes and red-zone chances. Munaf (12:59–15:45) takes the opposite side, fading Hall's rushing yards under 850.5 due to offensive line issues, Fields' dual-threat style, and negative game scripts forcing the Jets to pass. Receivers headline next. Lonte (18:41–19:32) backs Tyreek Hill over 980.5 yards, calling it a buy-low after last season's 959 yards. Munaf (21:07–23:21) supports the case, noting Hill's 82 career TDs and Miami's playoff-or-bust year. Munaf (23:22–25:33) also hammers Mike Evans over 950.5 yards, citing his decade-long 1,000-yard streak, Mayfield's trust, and a thin Bucs WR corps. Tight ends feature with Lonte's favorite play (28:13–30:52): Tyler Warren over 575.5 yards. A first-round pick in an empty Colts WR room, Warren projects as a focal point. Munaf (31:14–35:11) agrees, pointing to his 6'6” frame and red zone upside. For his final pick, Munaf (31:14–35:11) highlights Drake London over 1,225.5 yards, citing Michael Penix Jr.'s arm and London's 100-catch, 1,271-yard 2023. Lonte (35:12–37:08) compares London to Mike Evans and sees expanded slot usage boosting targets. They close with bonus leans: George Pickens over 875.5 yards in Dallas' pass-first system (38:00–39:19), Bucky Irving over 1,000.5 rushing yards if he seizes RB1 (41:27–43:49), and Matthew Stafford unders given lingering back injuries (43:50–44:55). Both spotlight C.J. Stroud (44:59–49:14) as a breakout candidate with new weapons, betting angles pointing to potential MVP value at 25–30/1. This debut 2025 Props Podcast underscores why NFL season-long player prop betting is surging: sharp handicapping, injury context, scheme fits, and matchup analysis. From Herbert and McCarthy unders to Hill, Evans, Warren, and London overs, the insights offer bettors actionable edges for the new season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Omega European Masters picks

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2025 41:57


    Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Omega European Masters -Discussing top 9 on odds board -1 matchup -2 t10's -2 outrights (16/1 & 18/1) -Sleeper, Best Bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    CFB Week 1 Preview - Part 1 / Thurs-Friday Games

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2025 34:36


    Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith get you ready for CFB Week 1 betting. The Week 1 college football betting podcast kicked off with fiery motivation: play fast on offense, swarm and tackle on defense, and leave no doubt on the field (0:07–0:32). Host Griffin Warner welcomed listeners to the first full slate after Week 0's appetizer, joined by analyst Lonte Smith, promising best bets, betting previews, and Pregame.com promos (0:33–1:25). Lonte recapped Week 0: Kansas State's sloppy turnovers, Western Kentucky's win vs. Sam Houston, Kansas covering easily, and Hawaii splitting. The team split best bets but gained valuable data points, setting the stage for a bigger Week 1 (1:26–2:26). Griffin noted their 1–1 start before discussing Farmageddon: Iowa State upset Kansas State despite being outgained, thanks to field conditions and missed chances. Lonte highlighted K-State's run defense concerns and Iowa State QB Rocco Becht's poise (2:26–5:12). Focus turned to Thursday and Friday action. Boise State opened -8.5 but dropped to -5.5 against South Florida. Lonte leaned over 62.5, citing Boise's dominant offensive line and USF's explosive scheme with QB Byrum Brown, while both defenses struggle with consistency. Griffin noted USF's true home edge at Raymond James Stadium and the attractiveness of betting a home underdog (5:12–10:58). Next came East Carolina vs. NC State, a heated in-state rivalry. ECU returns QB Caden Howes but lost top backs and receivers along with most of its defense. NC State counters with QB C.J. Bailey and a strong WR trio. With both defenses questionable, Lonte recommended over 61.5, predicting Dave Doeren will keep scoring to make a statement (10:59–15:04). Friday's Auburn vs. Baylor clash featured Auburn as -2.5 favorites with total 58. Lonte praised Auburn QB Jackson Arnold behind one of the best offensive lines in college football and a deep WR group, attacking Baylor's secondary that ranked near the bottom nationally. Baylor QB Sawyer Roberson is underrated but struggles under pressure. Lonte leaned Auburn and over, expecting both offenses to produce (15:35–19:39). Georgia Tech vs. Colorado followed, with Tech -5. Lonte is high on Tech's physicality and returning production while fading Colorado after losing Shadur Sanders and top weapons. With QB uncertainty between Salter and Juju Lewis and no running game, Colorado faces major issues. Georgia Tech's balanced offense and experience make them a strong play, with a possible team total over. Public hype favors Deion Sanders, but sharps bet Colorado unders. Lonte called Georgia Tech an ACC dark horse (20:37–26:58). The show closed with Pregame.com promos: code “college50” saves $50 on season packages, plus Greg Shaker's contest with $1,000 cash prizes (26:59–28:08). For best bets, Lonte picked Charlotte +6.5 vs. Appalachian State, noting coaching upgrades and a defense-first identity (28:08–29:51). Griffin chose over 61.5 in NC State vs. ECU, echoing offensive advantages and defensive weaknesses (29:51–31:10). The podcast ended optimistic, teasing Saturday's monster slate including Texas vs. Ohio State (31:10–31:44). This streamlined Week 1 college football betting preview blends expert picks, point spread analysis, totals recommendations, and sharp betting angles. Key games include Boise State vs. South Florida, ECU vs. NC State, Auburn vs. Baylor, and Georgia Tech vs. Colorado, with actionable best bets on Charlotte +6.5 and NC State vs. ECU over 61.5. Bettors get insights into line movement, public vs. sharp action, and matchup breakdowns, making this must-read coverage for anyone chasing value in Week 1 college football odds. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets !!

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2025 68:29


    Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB Tuesday betting. The latest MLB Tuesday betting preview from RJ Bell's Dream Preview podcast, hosted by Munaf Manji with Griffin Warner, sets the stage for a critical slate of late-August matchups as teams position themselves for the postseason. The episode dives deep into 14 games on the betting board, breaking down pitching matchups, recent team form, and value spots for bettors. Manji and Warner are riding an 83% hot streak on best bets, going 10–2 in their last 12, and their confidence and banter drive an engaging analysis that blends sharp betting insight with humor and strong statistical breakdowns. The show begins with Red Sox vs Orioles, where Lucas Giolito's improved form and Kyle Braddish's return from Tommy John make Boston and the over intriguing plays. The Braves vs Marlins matchup highlights Sandy Alcantara's struggles, with Warner leaning to the home underdog Marlins and the over on 7.5 runs. In Rays vs Guardians, Shane Baz's road splits and Cleveland's sputtering offense create strong value on Tampa Bay plus money. The Yankees vs Nationals discussion centers on Luis Gil's control issues and the Yankees' defensive problems, leading both analysts toward overs rather than trusting either side. Toronto vs Minnesota showcases Chris Bassett's dominant home record against Bailey Ober's brutal losing streak, making the Blue Jays run line their clear best bet of the day. The Mets remain a “fade” team, with Sean Manaea's poor record and Jesus Luzardo's strong history against New York cementing Philadelphia as the sharper side. Brewers vs Diamondbacks is pegged as a potential shootout, with Jacob Misiorowski's walk issues and Arizona's power threats pointing to an over. Royals vs White Sox highlights Chicago's lack of offense despite Martin Pérez's decent outings, pushing Kansas City as the stronger side. Other key breakdowns include Pirates vs Cardinals (leaning over), Angels vs Rangers (under 8.5 tabbed as Warner's best bet despite Corbin's volatility), and Astros vs Rockies (only playable through alternate run lines given Houston's -315 price). Padres vs Mariners positions Dylan Cease as a value underdog against a hittable Luis Castillo, while Cubs vs Giants trends under behind Matthew Boyd's road splits and Justin Verlander's home tendencies. The card wraps with Reds vs Dodgers, where Nick Martinez's inconsistency and Clayton Kershaw's diminished form suggest the over nine runs is the sharper angle. Beyond game analysis, the hosts highlight Pregame.com promotions, including a Beat Greg Shaker college football contest with $1,000 in prizes and a 20% sitewide discount using the promo code SLUGGER20. This synergy between MLB betting insights, college football contests, and broader handicapping content reinforces Pregame's role as a hub for sharp sports betting information. From an editorial perspective, the podcast succeeds by pairing statistical depth with practical wagering advice, appealing both to seasoned bettors and newer fans seeking guidance. The mix of trends, fantasy baseball angles, and promotional tie-ins keeps the content dynamic. My commentary is that the show's value lies not just in picks, but in its process: highlighting faulty lines, identifying exploitable splits, and stressing the importance of context when interpreting numbers. The betting insights are actionable, but the broader lesson is that line shopping, injury context, and market awareness are as crucial as raw stats. Late-August baseball handicapping, with best bets on Blue Jays run line and Angels vs Rangers under anchoring a comprehensive breakdown. As playoff races tighten, bettors get both sharp picks and a reminder of Pregame.com's broader offerings, making it a must-listen for anyone serious about MLB odds, betting strategies, and value plays heading into September. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    NFC North & East Positional Battle

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 23, 2025 63:32


    Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk NFC North and East fantasy football. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    MLB Friday Preview + Best Bets !

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2025 50:27


    Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. The MLB Friday betting preview with Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner broke down twelve games with both hosts riding an 8–2 streak on best bets. Munaf opened by stressing the urgency with roughly 35 games left, while Griffin noted, “we're getting hot at the right time of year.” Colorado at Pittsburgh led the card. Antonio Senzatela, torched in a 17–16 loss the last time he saw the Pirates, carries a 2–8 road record. Munaf called the over 8.5 the best angle. Griffin, mocking the Rockies as “one of the least competitive franchises in global sports,” leaned Pirates at home but doubted unders due to Colorado bats. Washington at Philadelphia followed with Cade Cavalli against Taijuan Walker. Cavalli threw seven shutout innings versus the Phillies previously, but Munaf warned that rematches favor the hitters. Griffin advised focusing on Phillies run lines and blowout props. The Red Sox at Yankees matchup paired Brayan Bello with Max Fried. Griffin argued the line “doesn't respect what Bello has done,” while Munaf highlighted Boston's 6–1 record in Bello's last seven against New York. Fried has allowed four or more runs in four of his last five. Both favored Boston plus money. Houston at Baltimore featured Lance McCullers in his first start since July 19 against Cade Povich. Griffin pointed to Houston's offensive slump of just eight runs in seven games. Munaf doubted McCullers' sharpness and leaned over nine, adding that Adley Rutschman is sidelined and Josh Hader likely out until October. In Detroit, Ryan Bergen faced Casey Mize. Munaf cited Mize's 3.63 ERA and 103 strikeouts, with Detroit winning his last four starts. Griffin criticized Mize's All-Star nod and praised Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez. Both leaned under early but saw Royals value. The Mets at Braves matchup showcased rookie Nolan McLean, who struck out eight but walked four in his debut. Griffin favored Atlanta as a home dog and the over 8.5, while Munaf leaned similarly, noting hot Atlanta weather would boost scoring. St. Louis at Tampa Bay featured Miles Mikolas against Adrian Houser. Griffin trusted the Rays' bullpen, while Munaf stressed Mikolas' inconsistency and backed Tampa at -128. Minnesota at Chicago pitted Zebby Matthews against Aaron Civale. Griffin quickly said, “give me the White Sox.” Munaf agreed, citing Matthews' 5.06 ERA and Chicago's 7–3 record at home on Friday nights, all as underdogs. In Texas, Slade Cecconi met Nathan Eovaldi. Griffin praised Eovaldi's Cy Young-level form, recommending under plays. Munaf backed that, noting Rangers home unders sit at 64.5 percent. Milwaukee hosting San Francisco saw Carson Whisenhunt oppose José Quintana. Griffin highlighted Bryce Turang's surge, while Munaf cited Milwaukee's 42–20 home record and San Francisco's 13–22 mark against lefties, backing Brewers run line at plus money. Cincinnati at Arizona matched Zach Littell with Ryne Nelson. Munaf praised Nelson's 5–1, 2.20 ERA home mark across 57 innings, backing the Diamondbacks and their team total. Griffin agreed Arizona held value despite a high price. The Dodgers at Padres closed the slate with Blake Snell against Yu Darvish. Griffin trusted Darvish's improvement and liked San Diego as a home underdog. Munaf leaned to the under eight, noting Snell's six scoreless innings against the Padres last week but citing Darvish's 2.55 career ERA in 16 appearances versus Los Angeles. Best bets closed the show. Griffin picked Tampa Bay over St. Louis, while Munaf selected the over in Houston and Baltimore, both looking to extend their winning streak into the weekend. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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