Podcast appearances and mentions of paul saffo

Arguably, the most important thing we need to do when thinking about the future, is to hold our strong opinions weakly. In the world of business strategy, the process of mapping what may lie ahead is usually tempted by a perfected, tried-and-true, method. So what happens when the forecast is wrong? On this episode of Looking Outside we are exploring the process and purpose of scenario planning, with world leading forecaster, professor and futurist, Paul Saffo. Having helped organizations, governments and future leaders build skills in forecasting for the future for decades, Paul knows better than most how predictions of the future can fail when certainty is the desired outcome. Equally he's seen how people can become entranced with a specific method and obsessed with the accuracy of their predictions. He says instead, when thinking about the future, we should intentionally second guess assumptions, especially, those of so-called subject matter experts. Sometimes, it comes down simply to having a good compass and learning to read the stars.----------More:Looking Outside podcast www.looking-outside.comConnect with host, Jo Lepore on LinkedIn & X & jolepore.comLearn more about Paul Saffo, futurist with a pastFollow Paul on LinkedIn & X & Instagram Check out more of Paul's work with the Long Now Foundation, Singularity University, The Atlantic Council and the Millennium Project----------⭐ Follow & rate the show - it makes a difference!----------Looking Outside is a podcast exploring fresh perspectives of familiar topics. Hosted by its creator, futurist and strategist, Jo Lepore. New episodes every 2 weeks. Never the same topic.All views are that of the host and guests and don't necessarily reflect those of their employers. Copyright 2025. Theme songs by Azteca X.

Changing your mind isn't indecision—it's intelligent leadership. And that's why great leaders change their minds. In this episode of Reflect Forward, I dig into why the best leaders are those who are open to changing their minds. If leadership is about learning, then pivoting when presented with new information is not just acceptable—it's essential. One of my favorite leadership philosophies comes from futurist Paul Saffo, who coined the phrase: “Strong opinions, loosely held.” It means having the confidence to act decisively and the humility to evolve your thinking when things change. This blend of conviction and adaptability is what makes a leader trustworthy, resilient, and future-ready. Why is it so hard to change your mind? We explore the psychology behind resistance, including: • Cognitive dissonance – the discomfort of holding conflicting beliefs • The sunk cost fallacy – continuing down a path just because you've already invested in it • Confirmation bias – our tendency to seek information that confirms our beliefs • Ego and fear of looking wrong – which can lead to rigidity and poor decision-making Leading by example I share a few personal stories where I changed my mind as a leader—once during a key hiring decision and again in response to a product development timeline. These moments weren't easy. They required introspection, courage, and a willingness to let go of ego. But they helped build trust with my team, made our business stronger, and reinforced one of my core leadership beliefs: Great leadership isn't about always being right—it's about being open to getting it right. Mental flexibility is a leadership muscle You'll walk away with four practical tools for building mental flexibility: 1. Build in decision checkpoints. 2. Create safe feedback loops. 3. Practice saying “I don't know… yet.” 4. Make self-reflection a ritual. I also tie all of this back to the Ownership Mindset—because leadership is about owning both your successes and your missteps. That means being willing to evolve, especially when it's uncomfortable. Key Takeaways • The best leaders are learners—and learners change their minds. Resistance is natural, but self-awareness can override it. Changing your mind with transparency builds credibility. Reflection and feedback improve decision-making agility. The Ownership Mindset requires the courage to grow and adapt. Challenge of the Week Say out loud: “I changed my mind.” Even just once. Pay attention to how it feels and how it shifts your thinking. Then ask yourself: “What belief or decision am I holding onto too tightly?” If you enjoyed this episode, I'd be so grateful if you'd share it with another leader who could use this message. And don't forget to subscribe, rate, and review Reflect Forward—your support helps amplify these conversations on modern leadership.

Watch the opening panel session at the 2009 GTD Summit moderated by Guy Kawasaki. Features David Allen with thought leaders Major General Randal Fullhart, Marshall Goldsmith, Jim Fallows and Paul Saffo. -- This audio is one of many available at GTD Connect, a learning space and community hub for all things GTD. Join GTD practitioners from around the world in learning, sharing, and developing the skills for stress-free productivity. Sign up for a free guest pass Learn about membership options Knowing how to get the right things done is a key to success. It's easy to get distracted and overwhelmed. Stay focused and increase productivity with GTD Connect—a subscription-based online learning center from the David Allen Company. GTD Connect gives you access to a wealth of multimedia content designed to help you stay on track and deepen your awareness of principles you can also learn in GTD courses, coaching, and by reading the Getting Things Done book. You'll also get the support and encouragement of a thriving global community of people you won't find anywhere else. If you already know you'd like to join, click here to choose from monthly or annual options. If you'd like to try GTD Connect free for 14 days, read on for what's included and how to get your free trial. During your 14-day free trial, you will have access to: Recorded webinars with David Allen & the certified coaches and trainers on a wide range of productivity topics GTD Getting Started & Refresher Series to reinforce the fundamentals you may have learned in a GTD course, coaching, or book Extensive audio, video, and document library Slice of GTD Life series to see how others are making GTD stick David Allen's exclusive interviews with people in his network all over the world Lively members-only discussion forums sharing ideas, tips, and tricks Note: GTD Connect is designed to reinforce your learning, and we also recommend that you take a course, get individual coaching, or read the Getting Things Done book. Ready to start your free trial?

Do you know the difference between accurate forecasting and effective forecasting?Technology forecaster Paul Saffo says accurate forecasting is nearly impossible to do. But if you aim for effective forecasting, he notes, then at least you're considering the full range of reasonable possibilities for the future, rather than jumping to one conclusion and preparing only for that outcome. “If you head straight towards accurate forecasting, you may end up in a much worse situation by overlooking things that eventually come to pass,” Saffo argues.In this episode, he shares his six rules for effective forecasting—from visualizing future uncertainty to discerning patterns in past data—and explains why it's important to be your own worst critic of your forecasts. Key episode topics include: strategy, strategic planning, risk management, decision making and problem solving, forecasting, technology. HBR On Strategy curates the best case studies and conversations with the world's top business and management experts, to help you unlock new ways of doing business. New episodes every week. · Listen to the full HBR IdeaCast episode: Six Rules for Effective Forecasting (2007)· Find more episodes of HBR IdeaCast· Discover 100 years of Harvard Business Review articles, case studies, podcasts, and more at HBR.org]]>

Han hade kunnat köpa en Jumbojet!!! De där första åren på Svenska internet var galna. Och det började med Passagen. I dag berättar Mattias om när han som en ung ingenjör som åkte till Silicon Valley och “uppräckte Internet”. När han kom hem övertalade han Telia att bygga Passagen. Vi pratar om:Hur ett litet gäng tidiga entusiaster byggde Sveriges största sajt i en liten lokal på Mårbackagatan 11 i Farsta och hur Jonas Birgersson skickade första fakturan för webbsnickrandet från sin rollspelsförening i Lund innan det blev big business.Om hur många i samma gäng sen byggde Framfab (peak 40BSEK i värdering) och Bredbandsbolaget (peak 300MSEK i monthly burn-rate) innan dotcom-krashen kom och raderade drömmarna för hundratusentals svenskar. Om hur bolagsbyggandet har fortsatt med Citytåg, Red Flag / Bokio plus en massa annat och hur senaste fokuset är elektriska surfbrädor (lansering i september 2024) där han också har fått legendaren Paul Saffo in i styrelsen. Läs mer:Så såg svenska Internet ut på 90-talet, Power Point!!!Mattias LinkedInLind Surfbrädor Dagens Tech görs av Halvt Vargtjut Media AB.Redaktör: Richard Sandenskog

As a holiday treat, this rebroadcast episode from January 2021 features Paul Saffo, forecaster and Head of Future Studies at Stanford University. He forecasts the future of city development in light of historic patterns of change, economic shifts, and the role of real estate post pandemic.

Drew Levin is currently Director of Product at Riot Games and before that a Director of Product Management at Zynga. Zynga vs. Riot: two companies with wildly different approaches to game development, decision-making, and a culture of debate and discussion. Even more, Drew worked as a political campaign manager before game development. I believe Drew is uniquely experienced in speaking very deeply about different cultures and approaches to having constructive debates within a corporate context. However, more broadly, in our talk today, we discuss the following: - #1. The problem at many companies focused on winning vs. discussion and seeking truth - #2. Impact of company culture - #3. Specific techniques to facilitate more constructive discussions - #4. Ideas and ways in which we can improve discussions

Paul Saffo is a technology forecaster based in Silicon Valley. An Adjunct Professor in the School of Engineering at Stanford University, Saffo teaches courses on the future of engineering and the impact of technological change on the future.   For show notes and transcript visit: https://kk.org/cooltools/paul-saffo-technology-forecaster/   If you're enjoying the Cool Tools podcast, check out our paperback book Four Favorite Tools: Fantastic tools by 150 notable creators, available in both Color or B&W on Amazon: https://geni.us/fourfavoritetools

Income from Adsense and digital products may pay a bill or two. But most creators take their dreams full-time with the help of paid sponsorships. Thankfully, brands are finally seeing the value in creator services and they're paying accordingly. As a creator, ignoring sponsored opportunities now means ignoring major revenue. But spending hours searching for brand partners, negotiating rates, and cutting deals aren't the things you dreamed of doing as a full-time creator. Eager to help creators earn what they're worth without sacrificing time spent doing what they love, ConvertKit's Armando Roggio developed the Sponsorship Network. ConvertKit's Sponsorship Network acts as an agent for large and emerging creators, connecting brands with the best creator fit and negotiating on a creator's behalf. In this episode, Creator Jay Clouse, Armando, and Miguel discuss why today's content creators are uniquely valuable to brands, how the Sponsorship Network adds value to brands and creators, and why sponsorships are the key to unlocking a life you love.Key Takeaways [00:47] - Today's listener shoutout: Jay Clouse's podcast, Creative Elements, just launched a video show.  [01:49] - Have you heard?  [02:02] - Elon Musk is backing out of his deal to buy Twitter and Twitter is not pleased, especially as Musk defames the company on his way out. [03:54] - An old video from Paul Saffo has resurfaced in which he claims the creator economy's primary value is high engagement.  [09:06] - Today's main topic: Making a living with sponsorships.  [10:36] - ConvertKit's new Sponsorship Network initiative is a way for ConvertKit to act as an agent for creators and sell sponsorships to brands on their behalf. [12:34] - ConvertKit's Sponsorship Network not only adds value to creators but also speeds up the process for brands who typically have to go through an extensive search process to find the right creative partner. [15:34] - Creators should spend time doing what they do best. Having someone handle the backend of sponsorship administration and negotiation allows creators to focus on providing value to brands. [19:23] - To qualify for the ConvertKit Sponsorship Network, you have to have 10,000 or more subscribers, send an editorial newsletter at least weekly, and have an audience that's solidly engaged.  [22:16] - Once you've generated a large following, it makes economic sense to offload sales and sponsorship negotiations.  [22:47] - Emerging creators are still valuable to brands because mid-size creators still have highly engaged audiences.  [25:18] - Especially given the new iOS update, open rates are less compelling than ever. Focus on the quality of your list over the quantity by removing unengaged subscribers. [30:11] - The influencer market in the United States is worth about $16 billion. [33:15] - Even if it's not through ConvertKit, and even if you don't have 10,000 subscribers yet, pursue sponsorships however you can.  [36:52] - A sneak peek at next week's episode.  Quotes[13:05] - “If you think about these companies, they could choose to buy ads on the Meta platform or on Google, and frankly they do. But they know that the creators have a special relationship with their audiences that is not replicated on Facebook or anywhere. And by advertising with the creator, the brands believe, and I think this is true, that a little bit of trust is passed from the creator to the audience regarding that brand.” ~ @armandoroggio[17:36] - “A lot of us got here because our ‘customer' is our audience and we want to serve them and do right by them. The more time you spend focusing on sponsor negotiation and administration, you start to get confused as to who you're serving. And it can get the flywheel in the wrong direction. So it's helpful to work with somebody to make all that streamlined to make sure everybody's winning and allow us to have as much time as possible to foster the audience and continue to develop that relationship.” ~ @jayclouse[34:05] - “As a creator, don't leave sponsorship money on the table. There's an opportunity here. The content that you create has value. And working with sponsors that have products you love who are also willing to help you make a living and continue to create is something you should pursue.” ~ @armandoroggioLinks Watch The Future Belongs to Creators on YouTube Armando Roggio Jay Clouse Creative Elements Podcast Creative Elements Video Episodes (Justin Moore Ep.) Justin Moore Elon Musk Twitter The Creator Economy | Paul Saffo Long Now Foundation ConvertKit Sponsorship Network Craft + Commerce Notion Zapier SparkLoop Tim Ferriss ConvertKit's tip jar feature Sunsama SoundCloud Virgin Records Athletic Greens Casper Meta Google Peloton  Connect with our hosts Charli Prangley Miguel Pou Haley Janicek Stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify Twitter Facebook Instagram Every week we celebrate a win from a listener.Tell us about a recent launch, milestone or success (big or small!) right here and we might just shout you out in the next episode: https://convertk.it/listenershoutout. Start building your audience for freeWith ConvertKit landing pages, you can build a beautiful page for your project in just a few minutes. Choose colors, add photos, build a custom opt-in form, and add your copy. All without writing any code! Check out landingpages.new to get started.

This episode is the Keynote Address from the 2021 Charleston Library Conference, titled "How to Think Like a Civilization" Presented by Paul Saffo, Consulting Associate Professor, Stanford University, and moderated by Michael Keller, Vice Provost, Academic Council, Stanford University Library. Paul says we live in a moment when the institutions most needed to tackle our global problems are dissolving into uncertainty. That uncertainty tempts us into focusing on what is lost - but we know better. The proper task is to consider how to shape what will emerge in its place.  Like it or not, we are recreating ourselves into a new planetary civilization. With luck - and a bit of help from librarians - we might just get it right. Video of the presentation available at https: https://youtu.be/iPin-yntMAY?t=0  

In this first episode of 2021, Matt interviews Paul Saffo, Silicon Valley based futurist, about long term trends and their impacts on our cities and workplaces. Paul places COVID-19 in perspective and talks about the trends affecting our global civilization, impacts on the real estate business, and the opportunities for the real estate industry “to become good ancestors” through our work in the built environment. This is a look forward — way forward – with the end of COVID in sight and the beginning of new times following 2020.

In this first episode of 2021, Matt interviews Paul Saffo, Silicon Valley based futurist, about long term trends and their impacts on our cities and workplaces. Paul places COVID-19 in perspective and talks about the trends affecting our global civilization, impacts on the real estate business, and the opportunities for the real estate industry “to become good ancestors” through our work in the built environment.

We are all in unusual times at present and so today we are doing something unusual. Ordinarily our Futurepod conversations are with guests you have met before in earlier interviews. But today you are going to hear a conversation with people you have not heard from before. But hopefully we will get them back for a longer interview later on.Jerome (Jerry) C. Glenn, Theodore (Ted) Gordon and Paul Saffo from the Millennium Project have just released a set of COVID scenarios for the American Red Cross. And we at Futurepod thought that these scenarios were important and hopefully useful for our listener’s that we changed up how we normally do things in order to get this to you as soon as we could.The Millennium Project connects futurists around the world to improve global foresight. It was founded in 1996 after a three-year feasibility study with the United Nations University, Smithsonian Institution, Futures Group International, and the American Council for the UNU.

The Future of Cars with Game-Changers taps the insights of two industry experts who will focus on and analyze the hottest automotive news stories. Bill Newman, Automotive Expert at SAP, will join us live from the Center of Automotive Research Management Briefing Seminar ( CAR MBS) to discuss the uncertainty in the industry and optimism toward the future. Joe Barkai, Independent Industry Analyst, will focus on mobility, connected cars, and the future of traditional OEMs including GM's launch of Maven peer-to-peer car-sharing program. The experts speak. Bill Newman, SAP: Take a risk … Because what works today won't work tomorrow, but what worked yesterday may work again (Amrita Sahasrabudhe). Joe Barkai:Never mistake a clear view for a short distance… Except that you must. (Paul Saffo). Join us for Automotive Update: Inside the Headlines at CAR MBS 2018.

Stewart Brand and Paul Saffo will discuss the Pace Layers framework for how a healthy society functions, which Stewart introduced in his book The Clock of Long Now (01999). More than fifteen years after its debut, this concept continues to be influential and inspiring. From January 02015. The Pace Layers idea is illustrated by a simple diagram showing six layers which function simultaneously at different speeds within society. They range from Nature (the slowest) to Fashion (the fastest, shown at the top). As the layers progress, Stewart proposed, their differing speeds help make a society more adaptable. Cultures can be robust and healthy precisely because these layers come into conflict. Each level should be allowed to operate at its own pace, safely sustained by the slower levels below and kept invigorated by livelier levels above. Though originally conceived as a tool for thinking about society, Pace Layers has had broad influence as experts in other disciplines have applied its framework to their areas including consulting and systems thinking. Jeff Veen of True Ventures (formerly Adobe, Adaptive Path, and Wired) recently said that Pace Layers provides a vocabulary to think about the stacked layers of contemporary design. Phil Libin, CEO of Evernote, has called the Pace Layers chapter in The Clock of the Long Now “the most profound thing I've ever read.” Today in a networked world where everything seems to be about speed, awareness of the slower layers and perspective on how all layers interact can give insight into what the future may hold.

Is Thomas More's vision of an ideal society becoming reality in modern-day California? The Forum travels to Singularity University at the heart of Silicon Valley to ask why California keeps attracting utopian thinkers who want to use advanced technology to solve humanity's biggest challenges. Jack Stewart is joined by forecaster Paul Saffo, Chair of Future Studies at Singularity University, Ryan Mullenix, partner at NBBJ Architecture, Krista Donaldson, CEO of Silicon Valley healthcare start up D-Rev, and Colin Milburn, Chair in Science and the Humanities at University of California, Davis. Photo: NASA Hangar One at Moffett Field, California, Credit: Simon Dawson

According to futurist (and Long Now board member) Paul Saffo, the "new economy” anticipated in the late 01990s is arriving late and in utterly unexpected ways. Social media, maker culture, the proliferation of sensors, and even the 02008 market crash are merely local phenomena in a much larger shift. What unfolds in the next few years will determine the shape of the global economy for the next half-century and will force a profound rethink of economic theory. Paul Saffo teaches forecasting at Stanford and Singularity University. Journalists rely on him for cruelly telling quotes about everything from the monthly disruptions in Silicon Valley to the yearly turmoils in the global economy.

Stewart Brand and Paul Saffo will discuss the Pace Layers framework for how a healthy society functions, which Stewart introduced in his book The Clock of Long Now (01999). More than fifteen years after its debut, this concept continues to be influential and inspiring. From January 02015. The Pace Layers idea is illustrated by a simple diagram showing six layers which function simultaneously at different speeds within society. They range from Nature (the slowest) to Fashion (the fastest, shown at the top). As the layers progress, Stewart proposed, their differing speeds help make a society more adaptable. Cultures can be robust and healthy precisely because these layers come into conflict. Each level should be allowed to operate at its own pace, safely sustained by the slower levels below and kept invigorated by livelier levels above. Though originally conceived as a tool for thinking about society, Pace Layers has had broad influence as experts in other disciplines have applied its framework to their areas including consulting and systems thinking. Jeff Veen of True Ventures (formerly Adobe, Adaptive Path, and Wired) recently said that Pace Layers provides a vocabulary to think about the stacked layers of contemporary design. Phil Libin, CEO of Evernote, has called the Pace Layers chapter in The Clock of the Long Now “the most profound thing I've ever read.” Today in a networked world where everything seems to be about speed, awareness of the slower layers and perspective on how all layers interact can give insight into what the future may hold.

Paul Saffo, a forecaster with over two decades experience exploring technological change on its impact on business currently teaching at Stanford, discusses the growth of personal media and the changes this shift is triggering. (February 4, 2009)

In this audio interview, forecaster Paul Saffo covers a range of interesting subjects, including different methodologies for forecasting social trends. Topics he offers predictions about include global warming, the mortgage crisis, and the decline of the nation state. https://ssir.org/podcasts/entry/paul_saffo_-_forecasting_future_trends

"Some would argue that forecasting is a dangerous exercise in futility, but they are mistaken. In fact, effective forecasting is not merely possible, but remarkably easy; all it takes is simple shift in perspective and a few common-sense heuristics." The most quoted futurist alive, Paul Saffo specializes in the history and future of technology. In a recent article in the Harvard Business Review he spelled out the secrets of his trade, which he will expand on in this talk. Saffo is a member of the board of The Long Now Foundation.

Agony Column Podcast News : "If you want to see what thirty-somethings are going to be developing at companies when they are senior managers, find out what they read when they were fifteen."

Paul Saffo, Silicon Valley Guru für die Zukunft der Technologie, beschreibt in einem Harvard Business Review Artikel die sechs goldenen Regeln des Forecasting. Dieser Podcast stellt sie vor und interpretiert einige neu . . .

Paul Saffo, technology forecaster and author of the HBR article "Six Rules for Effective Forecasting."