Fixed Interests

Fitch's 2Q25 Risk Headquarters report highlights a worsened risk outlook amid US tariff volatility. David Prowse and Justin Patrie discuss key points from the report, centered around how Trump-era policies continue to elevate investor concerns.

From global macroeconomic trends to sovereign credit developments to regulatory and political changes, Fitch's Fixed Interests podcast delivers the analyst insights and updates you need to stay ahead in a rapidly evolving market. Available wherever you get your podcasts.

Shelly Shetty, Managing Director, Americas Sovereigns and Todd Martinez, Senior Director, Sovereigns, discuss Mexico's recent rating affirmation, and how the sovereign is navigating global trade tensions and domestic fiscal challenges.

Explore the impact of US tariffs on European sovereigns with Jan Friederich, Head of EMEA Sovereigns, and Federico Barriga Salazar, Head of Western European Sovereigns, as they discuss strategic responses and fiscal implications for Europe.

Thomas Rookmaaker, Head of APAC Sovereign Ratings, and Jeremy Zook, lead analyst for China, discuss China's recent downgrade, covering key drivers including the sovereign's weakening public finances and rapidly rising public debt ratios.

Olu Sonola, Chief US Economist, and Sarah Repucci, Senior Director, Credit Commentary and Research, delve into Fitch's latest US Cross-Sector Housing Monitor, discussing the US housing outlook and risks from tariffs, labor costs and lower sentiment.

David Prowse and Justin Patrie discuss the key points in Fitch's 1Q25 Risk Headquarters report, covering how the credit risk environment has evolved since the start of the year in response to inflation, new Trump administration policies, and more.

Join Thomas Rookmaaker and Jeremy Zook from the APAC Sovereigns team as they explore India's 2025 budget, its path for debt reduction, economic outlook, and implications for the sovereign rating amid global uncertainties.

Join Justin Patrie, Head of Credit Commentary & Research, and Meghan Neenan, Head of North America NBFI, as they review 2024's private credit trends, including the growth of asset-based finance, and discuss outlooks on the sector for 2025.

Shelly Shetty, Managing Director, Americas Sovereigns and Richard Francis, Senior Director, Sovereigns, look into the impact new Trump administration policies, including tariffs and tax cuts, may have on US public finances and its sovereign rating.

David Prowse and Justin Patrie discuss the key points in Fitch's 2025 Global Credit Outlook report, including positive drivers for the market such as falling interest rates, and negative drivers including escalating geopolitical risks.

Tariff uncertainty in the US, deflation pressures in China, and political instability in France and Germany are driving forecast changes for 2025. Join Brian Coulton and Ed Parker as they cover these and other developments detailed in Fitch's new Global Economic Outlook report.

Richard Francis, David Prowse, and Justin Patrie discuss the implications of the recent US election, including potential impacts on the US budget, sovereign credit profile, and the macroeconomic effects of new tariffs on global markets.

Erich Arispe, Head of Emerging Europe (EE) Sovereigns, and Malgorzata Krzywicka, Associate Director EE Sovereigns, discuss Central and Eastern Europe's current state of public finances and the region's fiscal consolidation prospects and challenges.

Christopher Wolfe, Managing Director for North America Banks, and Justin Patrie, Head of Fitch Wire, look back at US banks' performance and rating trends in 2024 and discuss expectations for 2025, including potential post-election policy changes.

Explore the latest developments in Common Framework debt restructurings for Ethiopia, Zambia, and Ghana and the impacts of new IMF policies with Paul Gamble, Head of MEA Sovereign ratings, and Thomas Garreau, Associate Director, MEA Sovereigns.

Duncan Innes-Ker, Senior Director, Fitch Wire, and Justin Patrie, Head of Fitch Wire, explore challenges and opportunities for emerging market economies, including recent rate cuts, weaker demand in China, and post-election policy changes in the US.

Thomas Rookmaaker, Head of APAC Sovereigns, and Jeremy Zook, Lead Analyst for India, discuss India's sovereign rating, and what to expect from the country's economic policy following the election of Narendra Modi to his third term as prime minister.

Richard Francis, Richard Hunter and Justin Patrie look into the potential effects the upcoming US election could have on credit, touching on the US' sovereign rating, the different fiscal policy plans offered by the candidates, and more.

Head of EMEA Sovereigns Jan Friederich and Head of Western European Sovereigns Federico Barriga Salazar discuss fiscal policies in the EU, including the impact of the new fiscal rules and implications for the ECB's Transmission Protection Instrument.

David Prowse, Senior Director, Fitch Wire, and Justin Patrie, Head of Fitch Wire, look into our 3Q24 Risk Headquarters report, covering the ongoing impact of high interest rates, escalating geopolitical risks, real estate market challenges and more.

Brian Coulton, Chief Economist, and Ed Parker, Sovereigns Managing Director, parse Fitch's latest Global Economic Outlook report, covering focus points including the gradually slowing US economy, global monetary policy developments and more.

Shelly Shetty, Managing Director, Americas Sovereigns, and Carlos Morales, Lead Mexico Analyst, look at Mexico's recent elections, including challenges and opportunities for the new administration, and rating drivers moving forward.

With elections in the U.S. approaching, Brian Coulton, Chief Economist, and Alex Muscatelli, Director, Economics, look into the potential impact a renewed trade war sparked by US-led tariff hikes could have on the global economy

Euan Gatfield, Head of EMEA CMBS, joins Justin Patrie, Head of Fitch Wire, to explore the current CRE environment, delving into rate cycle impacts and other factors such as e-commerce, post-Covid office space utilization and the energy transition

Paul Gamble, Head of Emerging European Sovereigns, and Erich Arispe, Lead Analyst on Turkiye, discuss the positive rating actions around Turkiye following the country's 2023 economic policy changes, and the impact of recent local elections.

Richard Hunter, Chief Credit Officer, and Justin Patrie, Head of Fitch Wire, dive into the latest Risk Headquarters report, outlining the main risks to global credit this quarter including real estate, geopolitics, China macroeconomics, and more.

Thomas Rookmaaker, Head of APAC Sovereigns, and Krisjanis Krustins, Primary Analyst on Pakistan discuss the results of Pakistan's recent elections, their implications for IMF talks, and the country's reform potential and funding prospects.

Justin Patrie, Head of Fitch Wire, and Meghan Neenan, Head of North America NBFI, dive into the rapidly expanding private credit sector, covering the origins of the space, its growing profile following the 2008 financial crisis and more.

Join Shelly Shetty, Head of Sovereign Ratings for Asia & the Americas, and Todd Martinez, Primary Argentina Analyst & Americas Co-Head, as they discuss the potential economic impacts and rating implications for Argentina under President Milei.

Justin Patrie, Senior Director and Head of Fitch Wire, is joined by fellow Credit Policy Senior Director Lan Wang to discuss the outlook for China's economy, covering policy support, fiscal rebalancing and the property sector, among other topics.

Toby Iles, Head of MEA Sovereigns, joins Head of EMEA Sovereigns Jan Friederich to break down the economic and rating implications of geopolitical risks in the Middle East and North Africa.

Justin Patrie, Senior Director and Head of Fitch Wire, and Melissa Che, Senior Director, North America CMBS, explore the challenges facing U.S. commercial real estate in 2024, including refinancing issues, weakened fundamentals and more.

Richard Hunter, Chief Credit Officer, and Justin Patrie, Senior Director, discuss the key themes of Fitch's recent 2024 Global Outlook report, including sustained elevated interest rates, asset quality deterioration, a US growth slowdown, and more.

Fitch sovereign analysts Shelly Shetty, Managing Director, Todd Martinez, Senior Director, and Jeremy Zook, Director, discuss the impact of supply chain diversification trends such as nearshoring/friendshoring on emerging markets.

Brian Coulton, Chief Economist, and Ed Parker, Sovereigns Managing Director, discuss Fitch's Global Economic Outlook for 2024, including stagnation in the Eurozone, property market concerns in China, and slowing growth in the US

Federico Barriga Salazar, Head of Western European Sovereigns, and Greg Kiss, Sovereigns Director, discuss how underlying fiscal trends in Western Europe have become more challenging in 2023, and divergent debt dynamics among the regions' economies.

Head of EMEA Sovereigns Jan Friederich is joined by MEA Associate Director Thomas Garreau to discuss the functioning of sovereign restructurings under the G20 Common Framework and cases of its application.

APAC Frontier Markets continue to face external financing challenges - join Thomas Rookmaaker, Head of APAC Sovereigns, and Sovereign Directors Sagarika Chandra and Krisjanis Krustins, for a discussion of what to expect in these markets in 2024.

Shelly Shetty, Managing Director, Sovereigns, and Richard Francis, Senior Director, Sovereigns, discuss the recently averted US government shutdown, the August 1st ratings downgrade, and the outlook for US public finances & the rating going forward.

As Fitch cuts its forecasts for China's economic growth, Thomas Rookmaaker, Jeremy Zook and Brian Coulton discuss the implications of the deteriorating macro-outlook for China's sovereign creditworthiness.

Toby Iles, Head of Middle East and Africa Sovereigns, and Doug Winslow, Senior Director, Sovereigns, discuss the direction of reform and related credit developments since the new Nigerian administration took office.

Will the Bank of Japan follow the world in tightening? How far could rates go? What could that mean for public finances? Thomas Rookmaaker, Head of APAC Sovereigns, and Krisjanis Krustins, Primary Analyst on Japan, explore Fitch's latest thinking.

In the latest edition of Fixed Interests, Ed Parker, Global Head of Sovereigns Research, and Laure de Nervo, Primary Egypt Analyst, look into the current pressures on Egypt's economy following Fitch's downgrade of its sovereign credit rating in May.

In the latest episode of Fixed Interests, Brian Coulton, Chief Economist, and Ed Parker, Global Head of Sovereigns Research, explore Fitch's new Global Economic Outlook report, covering China's recovery, central bank inflation concerns, and more.

Paul Gamble, Head of Emerging European Sovereigns, and Erich Arispe, Sovereigns Senior Director, discuss the recent elections in Turkey, and how policy decisions by the Erdogan administration may impact the domestic economy

In the latest episode of Fixed Interests, James Longsdon, Global Head of Banks, and Christopher Wolfe, Head of Bank Ratings, North America,  discuss the recent volatility in the US banking sector, including what still to watch in 2023.

Crude oil exports to Western Europe are vital to Kazakhstan's economy - learn more about the related geopolitical challenges from Michele Napolitano, Head of Western European Sovereigns, and Arvind Ramakrishnan, Director, Emerging Europe Sovereigns

In this edition of Fixed Interests, Sovereigns Senior Director Thomas Rookmaaker, and Director Jeremy Zook, discuss India's fiscal outlook after the recent budget, including plans for sustaining growth while targeting modest deficit reductions.