Podcasts about us housing

BTC Sessions Ep. 079: Housing Crash Exposed, Immigration Crisis & Economy on the Brink | Ben RabidouxCanada's private sector is shrinking, homes in Ontario are selling for half their 2021 price, and 525,000 asylum claimants are stuck in a backlog with no real mechanism to remove bad actors. Ben Rabideau has been sounding the alarm since 2021 — and the data is finally catching up.In this episode, Ben Rabideau — one of Canada's most respected economic analysts — breaks down what the headline GDP numbers are hiding, why consumer confidence is as low as the depths of the 2008 financial crisis, and what the Bank of Canada's next move will hinge on. You'll learn why stripping out public sector employment reveals a deeply negative private sector jobs picture, how Ontario's housing market is producing court-ordered sales at 50 cents on the dollar, and why Ben believes single-family prices may be near a bottom — while rentals have years of decline ahead. You'll also get a clear-eyed look at Canada's asylum system vulnerabilities, the immigration fraud pipeline that ran through colleges like Conestoga, and why an AI policy framework written by an art dealer should concern every Canadian.⏱️ Timestamps:0:00 - Intro1:56 - Technical Recession and Population Decline2:39 - Ontario BC versus Alberta Economic Split4:37 - Oil Prices and Alberta Investment Boom6:06 - Government Policy Well Meaning or Incompetent10:12 - Immigration Tightening What Has Changed13:11 - Bank of Canada Rate Cut Binary15:06 - Stripping Public Sector Jobs Picture22:10 - Consumer Confidence at Crisis Lows27:32 - Court Ordered Home Sales at Half Price32:59 - Boomer Millennial Housing Transfer by 2030s39:21 - US Housing 30 Year Mortgage Lock In41:23 - Rising Credit Card and Mortgage Delinquencies48:10 - Bill C 22 AI and Surveillance Issues57:29 - Asylum Backlog and Immigration Fraud1:03:18 - Common Sense Immigration Reforms1:06:54 - Following Ben Rabideau and Edge Analytics

The numbers still matter.  They ALWAYS matter.  So you MUST know your numbers.  In today's episode, I am nerding out on the US report from Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University from January 2025.  Specifically, I am going to review the Household and New Housing Demand for housing projections for the next two decades including:  less demand overall, population shrinkage, demand for different layouts, many generations under one roof, and more!  As a listener of this podcast, it's important to know if the product you are supplying for the next 20 years is what the buying customers want (or not)….  Join me in today's episode in nerding out.  

The numbers still matter.  They ALWAYS matter.  So you MUST know your numbers.  In today's episode, I am nerding out on the US report from Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University from January 2025.  Specifically, I am going to review the Household and New Housing Demand for housing projections for the next two decades including:  less demand overall, population shrinkage, demand for different layouts, many generations under one roof, and more!  As a listener of this podcast, it's important to know if the product you are supplying for the next 20 years is what the buying customers want (or not)….  Join me in today's episode in nerding out.  

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On this week's episode of Economic Update, Professor Wolff discusses the history of highly successful government-built and-operated housing launched in 1918, the gains won by UAW workers in the first contract at the Volkswagen factory in Chattanooga, TN, and the story of the three-year strike by the Newspaper Guild against the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, which was finally won—only for the paper's owners to shut it down. The second half features an interview with Rob Robinson about housing, affordability, and homelessness in the U.S. today.   The d@w Team Economic Update with Richard D. Wolff is a DemocracyatWork.info Inc. production. We make it a point to provide the show free of ads and rely on viewer support to continue doing so.  You can support our work by joining our Patreon community:  https://www.patreon.com/democracyatwork Or you can go to our website: https://www.democracyatwork.info/donate     Every donation counts and helps us provide a larger audience with the information they need to better understand the events around the world they can't get anywhere else.  We want to thank our devoted community of supporters who help make this show and others we produce possible each week. We kindly ask you to also support the work we do by encouraging others to subscribe to our YouTube channel and website: www.democracyatwork.info

Real Estate Expert & Best-Selling Author, Gerald Lucas reveals 3 ways to make housing in the US more affordable.

This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain breaks down the downgrade to the 2026 US Single-Unit Housing Starts forecast. Despite lower mortgage rates and moderating home prices, affordability challenges remain a major headwind for builders, buyers, and industry suppliers. Why are most states still facing income deficits when it comes to buying a home? When will meaningful recovery begin? And which regions are positioned to outperform even in a down cycle? Tune in for the data-driven outlook and strategic insights to help you plan for 2026 and beyond. How is your region preparing for continued housing market pressure?

Has the US dollar become too weak? It can be difficult to filter through the headlines that make it appear that the dollar has dropped and lost 50% of its value and is getting close to collapse as some doom and gloom people would want you to believe. The truth is since January 2025; the dollar has been down about 10% against other major currencies. Keep in mind that it fluctuates every day, every hour, and every minute. This is normal, but the headlines can be very scary and it's also important to understand that over the last five years the dollar index has been up about 7%. There are pros and cons to a weak dollar. If you're planning on traveling to Europe or some other foreign country, hotels and other items will cost you more when the dollar weakens since our dollar buys less. Also, the price of foreign cars and trucks will increase because again a dollar buys less. But the other side of the coin is that people from other parts of the world can now come to the United States and spend money in our economy since their currency now goes further. Also, many of our products that we export will be less expensive so exports should increase while our imports decrease, reducing our trade deficit. Lower interest rates can cause our dollar to fall, but a strong economy can help counterbalance that decline. Will there be a default on the dollar? The chances of that happening are extremely low for many reasons. The US dollar is still the dominant global reserve currency, which adds strength to the dollar. It is also understood that yes, we do have high debt, but also if needed, the US can print dollars to pay that debt. Looking forward to 2026, there's a very good chance that the dollar will stabilize as the economy improves. Foreign top trading partners have pledged to invest $5 trillion in the United States. With that large investment, more travel to the US, and people buying more US products such as cars that are now a better deal due to tariffs and a weaker dollar, come the end of the year, we could actually see a firmer dollar, a booming economy and perhaps further declines in gold and silver that are still near all times highs. I get excited, just writing about it, but it will require patience for investors as I do see this as a volatile year.    18% of US adults have taken GLP-1 drugs. What's the concern? The price of GLP –1 drugs have come down and roughly 18% of adults in the US are using them. But there are other considerations outside of just weight loss. These drugs came out to treat type 2 diabetes and obesity not as a lifestyle change to lose 20 or 30 pounds. It is estimated that about half of people will stop taking the drug after one year and will probably be very disappointed with their future weight management. Studies have shown that when people stop taking the drug within about a year and a half, they regain most of the weight they lost. Studies also show that the weight gain comes four times faster than those who lost weight through normal dieting. While on these drugs, people see their blood pressure, cholesterol, and blood glucose levels improved, but when they're off the drug in a little over a year, those levels go back to where they were. Kevin Hall is a former senior investigator at the National Institute of Health and a specialist in nutrition. He says once you're off the drugs, your appetite will be much higher than it was and you could end up overeating, which leads to taking in too many calories. Another study shows people who gain weight back and decide to go back on the medication that it's not as successful the second or third time. People also don't realize a thing called weight cycling or gaining and losing weight and how that can affect the percent of fat to muscle. It is estimated that when you lose weight about 25 to 30% of it is muscle. But the sad part is when you have the weight gain after you're off the drugs, it is unfortunately more fat than muscle. So, as you can see, this is not a good cycle or a good plan for 10 to 20 years. If one thinks it is a good idea to just stay on these drugs for life, there are long-term risks such as gallbladder diseases, pancreatitis, and kidney damage. The kidney damage is one that would really worry me because as you get older and you have more pain you may want to take a pain reliever like Advil or ibuprofen, but doctors now look at people's kidneys to see if they can handle Advil or ibuprofen, which is another strain on your kidneys. Being concerned with how you look and taking the easy way to look better by popping a pill or taking an injection may cause you to have regrets when you're older.   Is the US housing market becoming a buyer's market? From 2020 to about 2022 it was definitely a seller's market and people could ask whatever they wanted for their home and if you didn't take it, there would be 10 people behind you that would. Well now things are changing back to where buyers can negotiate and sometimes even get a price below the asking price. Nationwide, about 62% of homebuyers purchased their home under the listing price. The discount of 8% was also the largest since 2012. Buyers are also obtaining concessions from sellers which could be things like cash for closing costs or buying down the mortgage. As recently as December, there were 600,000 more sellers than buyers and that's the biggest gap going back to 2013. What is helping the housing market is mortgage rates have declined a little bit, which has made homes somewhat more affordable for some buyers along with the cool-off in prices that we have seen. The best place to buy a home currently is Florida and Texas because new home construction has created a big supply of homes for sale. It can really depend on the local market you are looking at, but if you're buying in West Palm Beach, Fort Lauderdale, or Miami, about 85% of homebuyers paid under the original listing price. However, if you're buying a home in Newark, New Jersey, San Francisco, or San Jose, only 39% received a discount from the original list price. It was also noted that those markets had a low amount of new construction. There could be more to come if the supply increases, and prices ease somewhat as it would likely bring more buyers back into the market. Depending on where you're looking at buying, perhaps 2027 will be a great time to buy home.   Financial Planning: How Would an S&P 500 Portfolio Work in Retirement? Many investors nearing retirement feel comfortable staying fully invested in the S&P 500 because recent performance has been strong, but that confidence is often based on a short window of returns rather than the long reality of retirement. Retirement can last 20 to 30 years, and during that time markets will go through multiple corrections and bear markets. Once withdrawals begin, even modest withdrawal rates can amplify losses and deplete a portfolio. The late 1990s provide a clear example when the S&P 500 produced annual returns in the 20% to 30% range for several years in a row and many investors came to believe strong gains were easy and would continue… then 2000 came. Someone withdrawing an inflation-adjusted 4% from an S&P 500 portfolio in 2000 saw the account fall to roughly half its value within just three years, meaning a retiree at 62 with $1 million was left with barley $500k by 65. For those who stayed invested, after the Great Recession 9 years into retirement around age 71, the portfolio had lost close to 2/3rds of its original value.  At that point, the withdrawal rate needed to continue income was now 14%, up from the original 4%. Today the S&P 500 sits near all-time highs and trades at historically elevated forward earnings multiples, mirroring the late 90's. While the index has delivered roughly 10% annual returns over the long term, those averages hide the danger of sequence of returns risk, where starting withdrawals before or during a downturn can permanently impair a portfolio and leave too little capital to fully recover even when markets eventually rebound.   Companies Discussed: Lennar Corporation (LEN), Sysco Corporation (SYY), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) & Visa Inc. (V)  

Donate (no account necessary) | Subscribe (account required) Join Bryan Dean Wright, former CIA Operations Officer, as he dives into today's top stories shaping America and the world. In this New Year's Eve Headline Brief of The Wright Report, Bryan delivers major economic updates, exposes collapsing green energy narratives, explains the White House's aggressive new asylum strategy, and revisits the explosive Somali fraud scandal in Minnesota that is now dominating national politics. He closes with a reflection on truth, power, and why elites work so hard to stop Americans from asking hard questions. Good News for Your Wallet: Pending home sales jumped 3.3 percent in November, the strongest showing in three years, driven by rising wages and lower mortgage rates. Rents are falling across most major cities, creating the most renter-friendly market in at least a decade. HUD data shows that two-thirds of rental demand came from the foreign-born, meaning deportations and self deportations are directly increasing housing supply and lowering prices for native born Americans. The Cheap Labor Myth Collapses: After more than two and a half million illegal migrants have left the country, GDP and wages are rising while rents and crime fall. Bryan argues Americans were lied to for decades by elites who claimed cheap foreign labor was necessary. The data now shows the opposite, and he calls the moment revolutionary. Green Energy Reality Check: China's renewable energy boom is largely a mirage, with many wind and solar projects never connected to the grid. Beijing is simultaneously expanding coal plants across Southeast Asia. Global wind speeds and solar efficiency are declining, and Japan is restricting solar farms for environmental and aesthetic reasons. Bryan says the global green movement is now in retreat. Trump's New Asylum Strategy: The White House is canceling large numbers of asylum claims and sending others to third countries like South Sudan or Palau while cases are reviewed. The administration says most asylum claims are fraudulent and designed to exploit loopholes. Democrats accuse Trump of abandoning human rights. DOJ Targets DEI Programs: The Justice Department is using the False Claims Act to pressure federal contractors to dismantle Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion programs. Companies must either eliminate DEI or face massive fines for defrauding the government. Universities Face a Financial Shake-Up: The Trump administration wants universities and venture capital firms to share profits from taxpayer-funded research. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is pushing for equity stakes or cash returns when patents are commercialized. Elon Musk Enters the Midterm Fight: Despite past clashes with Republicans, Elon Musk says he will spend hundreds of millions of dollars to help the GOP keep Congress. He cites fears of Democrat censorship, economic control, and what he calls ideological extremism. Minnesota's Somali Fraud Scandal Explodes: Federal investigators say Somali-run nonprofits defrauded taxpayers of at least nine billion dollars through fake daycares, autism services, food programs, and Medicaid scams. Money funded luxury lifestyles, Islamist terror groups, and Democratic campaigns. Governor Tim Walz halted earlier investigations after activists accused the state of racism. A Somali academic told the New York Times that fraud is culturally encouraged, a statement Walz has avoided addressing. Bryan explains why Elon Musk now calls the governor "Traitor Tim." A New Year's Reflection: Bryan closes by urging listeners to reject elite deflections and keep demanding the truth. He argues that the real battle ahead is not left versus right, but truth versus lies, and promises that this podcast will continue to challenge power with facts, logic, and reason in the year ahead.   "And you shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free." - John 8:32     Keywords: pending home sales rent decline deportations, cheap labor myth wages GDP, China coal expansion fake green energy, Trump asylum third country policy, DOJ False Claims Act DEI, university patent profit sharing Lutnick, Elon Musk GOP midterms funding, Minnesota Somali fraud nine billion dollars, Tim Walz investigation, al Shabaab terror funding

This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain shares an update on the US Single-Unit Housing market. While affordability remains a challenge, ITR Economics forecasts the housing market is approaching its low point in 2025, followed by growth in 2026 and 2027. Taylor breaks down where affordability is improving, which states are most affected, and why the data points to better years ahead for developers and suppliers. Are you ready for the next housing cycle?

First interview with Alexis Rivas, cofounder & CEO of Cover.

Today on Political Economy, I'm talking with Tobias Peter about housing: From homeownership rates to construction types, we go over the many factors that play into a healthy housing market and explore what is holding back US homeowners.Tobias is the codirector of the Housing Center at AEI. As a senior fellow, his research focuses on housing risk and mortgage markets. Tobias has testified before Congress and has contributed to major publications from the Wall Street Journal to Business Insider.

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The Cowboy's Take Most Recent Video(s): August 16th, 2025 Video The Cowboy's Take Rumble Channel CRITICAL, CURRENT ARTICLES RAT-A-TAT-TAT TRUMP RESISTANCE TAKE ACTION NOW: PRESIDENTIAL 2024 ALT LEFT CHINA OUR ENEMY CLIMATE CHANGE CONSTITUTION CORRUPTION COVID/COVID LITIGATION ECONOMY ELECTION FRAUD FAMILY SAFETY FINANCIAL & PHYSICAL PREPAREDNESS FRAUD GLOBALISM GUN CONTROL […] The post Big Picture Overview–US Housing Markets…China's Finance Woes Deepen….There Will Be No Peace In Ukraine….USA Private Debt (that's You)–18.9 Trillion…Europe is Toast–Intentionally…DC Sues Trump For Trying To Stop Crime appeared first on On the Right Side Radio.

Senator Elizabeth Warren (D) of Massachusetts speaks on the desire for the Fed to lower interest rates, US housing crisis, and crypto. She speaks with Bloomberg's Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Hour 2 of the Tuesday Bob Rose Show, with how open borders have not only put increased pressure on the affordability of housing in US cities, but also inflated prices in Mexico City and Canadian cities. Plus the morning's breaking news for 7-8-25

Could Florida's housing market downturn be the first sign of a nationwide correction — or is it a regional anomaly? In this episode of On the Market, Dave Meyer dives into Florida's sharp drop in home prices, especially in the condo market, and explores the factors behind this shift. Are declining migration, soaring insurance premiums, and excess supply likely to spread to other markets? Whether you're investing in Florida or any other state, understanding these trends is critical to making informed investing decisions in the rapidly changing 2025 housing market. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise  Join BiggerPockets for FREE  Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders  Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-334 Interested in learning more about today's sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Welcome back to America's #1 Daily Podcast,  featuring America's #1 Real Estate Coaches and Top EXP Realty Sponsors in the World, Tim and Julie Harris. Ready to become an EXP Realty Agent and join Tim and Julie Harris?  Visit: https://whylibertas.com/harris or text Tim directly at 512-758-0206. ************************

The numbers still matter.  They ALWAYS matter.  So you MUST know your numbers.  In today's episode, I am nerding out on the US report from Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University from January 2025.  Specifically, I am going to review the Household and New Housing Demand for housing projections for the next two decades including:  less demand overall, population shrinkage, demand for different layouts, many generations under one roof, and more!  As a listener of this podcast, it's important to know if the product you are supplying for the next 20 years is what the buying customers want (or not)….  Join me in today's episode in nerding out.  

Links & ResourcesFollow us on social media for updates: ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠YouTube⁠Check out our recommended tool: ⁠Prop Stream⁠Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and review our podcast. Don't forget to share it with friends who might find it valuable. Stay connected for more insights in our next episode!

Take a deep dive into the complexities of the U.S. housing market with Anthony Paolone, co-head of U.S. Real Estate Stock Research and John Sim, head of Securitized Products Research. They examine supply-demand dynamics, President Trump's tariffs, interest rates and other key factors affecting home prices and affordability. Taking stock of the macroeconomic environment, where could rates go next and how would this impact home prices?   This episode was recorded on April 8, 2025.   This communication is provided for information purposes only. Please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its affiliates and/or subsidiaries (collectively, J.P. Morgan) normally make a market and trade as principal in securities, other financial products and other asset classes that may be discussed in this communication. This communication has been prepared based upon information from sources believed to be reliable, but J.P. Morgan does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to J.P. Morgan and/or its affiliates and an analyst's involvement with any company (or security, other financial product or other asset class) that may be the subject of this communication. Any opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This communication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. J.P. Morgan Research does not provide individually tailored investment advice. Any opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned or related to the information herein. Periodic updates may be provided on companies, issuers or industries based on specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. However, J.P. Morgan may be restricted from updating information contained in this communication for regulatory or other reasons. This communication may not be redistributed or retransmitted, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of J.P. Morgan. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohibited. Receipt and review of this information constitutes your agreement not to redistribute or retransmit the contents and information contained in this communication without first obtaining express permission from an authorized officer of J.P. Morgan. Copyright 2025, JPMorganChase & Co. All rights reserved.

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Links & ResourcesFollow us on social media for updates: ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠YouTube⁠Check out our recommended tool: ⁠Prop Stream⁠Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and review our podcast. Don't forget to share it with friends who might find it valuable. Stay connected for more insights in our next episode!

Olu Sonola, Chief US Economist, and Sarah Repucci, Senior Director, Credit Commentary and Research, delve into Fitch's latest US Cross-Sector Housing Monitor, discussing the US housing outlook and risks from tariffs, labor costs and lower sentiment.

Links & ResourcesFollow us on social media for updates: ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠YouTube⁠Check out our recommended tool: ⁠Prop Stream⁠Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and review our podcast. Don't forget to share it with friends who might find it valuable. Stay connected for more insights in our next episode!

Jason discusses the current state of the foreclosure market, and the importance of income property as a historically proven investment during times of economic uncertainty. He also presented a chart showing the percentage of loan balances that are 90 days or more delinquent by different loan types and discussed the evolution of automobiles and the current state of auto loans, mortgages, and student loans. Jason concluded by predicting a somewhat stagflationary real estate market and announced an upcoming masterclass and Empowered Investor Live event. Today's sponsor http://jasonhartman.com/connected offers real estate investors access to Connected Investors' PiN (Property Intelligence Network) software. This tool provides nationwide property data, including features like unlimited individual property skip tracing, comprehensive property reports, and a Contract Genie for generating legal documents. Subscription options are available on a monthly or annual basis, with the annual plan offering additional benefits such as a dedicated product specialist. The platform emphasizes its commitment to providing accurate, up-to-date information to assist investors in making informed decisions. Visit http://jasonhartman.com/connected today! Jason then talks about leveraging debt, particularly in real estate, to capitalize on inflation. Using borrowed money reduces risk and increases returns, especially when investing in appreciating assets. Jason highlights the "Great Inflation Payoff," where inflation effectively reduces loan balances over time. For example, a $950,000 loan, with 4% inflation, decreases to $912,000 in a year. He emphasizes borrowing over lending, as inflation erodes the value of future debt repayments. Tenant-financed debt, where renters cover mortgage payments, maximizes these benefits. #inflation #realestate #investing #leverage #debt #financialfreedom #wealthbuilding #passiveincome #financialplanning #mortgage #ROI Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 1:29 Welcome to Medillin, Colombia 2:28 A very interesting theory about the FED and the economy 4:51 US Housing foreclosures by Quarter and the housing market 8:35 Percent of loan balances 90+ days delinquent, by loan type 9:28 CAAS- Cars As A Service 12:15 Mortgages, HELOC and student loans 14:38 Sponsor: JasonHartman.com/Connected 15:53  Get your tickets to https://empoweredinvestorlive.com/ Jason on Reducing Risk and Leveraging Debt 16:36 Introduction to Leverage and Inflation 19:09 The Great Inflation Payoff and Tenant-Backed Debt and Real Estate Investing 27:53 Constructive Debt vs. Destructive Debt, RV Ratio and Market Dynamics 30:29 Credit as an Asset, Three Stages of Debt Strategy 33:59 ROI, Return on Inflation and the Twofold Benefits of Inflation in Real Estate     Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

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Send us a textDiscover the surprising shifts in the US housing market and uncover the potential $1.47 trillion climate risk lurking beneath the surface. As home prices continue their unpredictable dance, certain cities are feeling the heat, while others are basking in unexpected gains. From Tampa's downturn to Philadelphia's promising rise, we dissect Redfin's Home Price Index statistics, offering a clear perspective on where the market is headed. With homes lingering longer on the market and selling at discounts, we explore whether this is a temporary lull or a sign of what's to come.Economist Dave Burt joins us to share his insights on the long-term impacts of climate change on real estate values. Known for his prescient prediction of the 2008 mortgage crisis, Burt casts a sobering forecast on the future of at-risk properties. With insurance costs projected to skyrocket, we analyze what this means for homeowners across the nation, particularly in vulnerable regions like Texas and Florida. Historical examples such as Hurricane Sandy's effect on foreclosure rates paint a stark picture of the potential challenges ahead. Tune in to gain the knowledge you need to navigate these turbulent times in real estate.Support the showIntroducing the 60-Day Deal Finder!Visit: www.wealthyAF.aiUse the Coupon Code: WEALTHYAF for 20% off!

Zillow CEO, Jeremy Wacksman discusses company earnings and revenue growth from 2024 amidst a challenged U.S. housing market. He is joined by Bloomberg's Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The US housing market has been through a lot, so what does this current chapter look like? We're going to be looking at several factors impacting the trajectory of the US housing market.Join the Live Q&A on Feb. 7 by becoming an Analyst member on Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanFull Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/zeihan/whats-the-us-housing-market-doing

Could 2025 be the year the US housing market takes off? Experts are predicting a surprising 10.8% surge in home prices despite today's high rates and inventory challenges. What's fueling this unexpected growth, and how can investors position themselves to profit? Tune in as we unpack the trends, risks, and opportunities driving this potential housing boom! Links & Resources Follow us on social media for updates: ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠YouTube⁠ Check out our recommended tool: ⁠Prop Stream⁠ Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and review our podcast. Don't forget to share it with friends who might find it valuable. Stay connected for more insights in our next episode!

Housing affordability is a top concern for Americans and a hot political topic. Estimates for the number of needed homes stretch into the millions, but how is this actually counted? Today on the show, we explain the tricky business of quantifying the US housing shortage.For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

In last week's podcast we focused on the US and China following Donald Trump's win in the US presidential elections. This week we continue to discuss the implications of Trump 2.0 on other parts of the globe. Also on deck next week are US housing starts data, CPI prints in the UK and Japan, as well as Bank Indonesia likely again pausing amid external aftershocks from the US election. Chapters: US (02:03), Europe (07:54), Japan (12:31), Asia (17:53)

Could the combination of skyrocketing rates, labor shortages, and costly imports be the perfect storm to wreck the US housing market? In this episode, we break down the major factors reshaping real estate and examine how much longer buyers, sellers, and investors can weather the pressure. Tune in for expert insights on what's happening now—and what may be coming next. Links & Resources Follow us on social media for updates: ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠YouTube⁠ Check out our recommended tool: ⁠Prop Stream⁠ Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and review our podcast. Don't forget to share it with friends who might find it valuable. Stay connected for more insights in our next episode!

The US economy is humming, with GDP expected to grow at a healthy clip, unemployment low and inflation coming down closer to the Federal Reserve's 2 percent target. Yet polls have shown American voters are worried about the state of the economy, with home prices going through the roof. Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have promised to bring them down. Plus, Boeing workers are voting on a new wage offer, which could end their seven-week strike. 

Some have called this the weirdest housing market in recent history due to the unusual mix of high interest rates and declining affordability. And yet, we still have record high home prices across the 20 largest housing markets in the country. This month, we're diving into the U.S. housing market, a topic very relevant to many investors given a house is often the largest single asset one owns. In this episode, we're excited to shed light on the US housing market, what makes it challenging, what makes it unusual, and what needs to change for it to improve. We're joined by Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's Chief US Economist and Brian Bernard, Director of Equity Research specializing in the industrial sector, which includes homebuilders.

With mortgage rates projected to stay high, could 2025 be the year the US housing market collapses? In this episode, we dive into the potential fallout from rising rates, exploring how homebuyers, sellers, and investors might navigate a dramatically changing market. Tune in to discover what this could mean for the future of real estate—and if there's any way to avoid the impending crisis!

The US housing market is experiencing its worst year since 1995, with existing home sales hitting alarming lows. Join us as we break down the latest data from the National Association of Realtors and analyze why the market remains frozen despite declining mortgage rates. From qualified income requirements to insurance costs, we explore the multiple factors creating this historic housing slowdown. #HousingMarket #RealEstate #Economics #FinancialNews #MarketAnalysis #Investing -----------------------------------------------------------

President Joe Biden once again called for a ceasefire in Lebanon amid escalating Israeli attacks. We'll update you on the devastating toll of Hurricane Helene. Medical records for both vice presidential candidates were improperly accessed at the Department of Veterans Affairs. The US housing market is seeing its lowest turnover rate in at least 30 years. Plus, an NBA legend has died.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

While mortgage rates have come down, our Co-heads of Securitized Products Research say the US housing market still must solve its supply problem.----- Transcript -----Jim Egan: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Jim Egan, co-head of Securitized Products Research at Morgan Stanley.Jay Bacow: And I'm Jay Bacow, the other co-head of Securitize Products Research.Jim Egan: Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, today Jay and I are here to talk about the US housing and mortgage markets.It's Wednesday, August 28th, at 10 am in New York.Now, Jay, mortgage rates declined pretty sharply in the beginning of August. And if I take a little bit of a step back here; while rates have been volatile, to say the least, we're about 50 basis points lower than we were at the beginning of July, 80 basis points lower than the 2024 peak in April, and 135 basis points below cycle peaks back in October of 2023.Big picture. Declining mortgage rates -- what does that mean for mortgages?Jay Bacow: It means that more people are going to have the ability to refinance given the rally in mortgage rates that you described. But we have to be careful when we think about how many more people. We track the percentage of homeowners that have at least 25 basis points of incentive to refinance after accounting for things like low level pricing adjustments. That number is still less than 10 percent of the outstanding homeowners. So broadly speaking, most people are not going to refinance.Now, however, because of the rally that we've seen from the highs, if we look at the percentage of borrowers that took out a mortgage between six and 24 months ago -- which is really where the peak refinance activity happens -- over 30 percent of those borrowers have incentive to refinance.So recent homeowners, if you took your mortgage out not that long ago, you should take a look. You might have an opportunity to refinance. But, for most of the universe of homeowners in America that have much lower mortgage rates, they're not going to be refinancing.Jim Egan: Okay, what about convexity hedging? That's a term that tends to get thrown around a lot in periods of quick and sizable rate moves. What is convexity hedging and should we be concerned?Jay Bacow: Sure. So, because the homeowner in America has the option to refinance their mortgage whenever they want, the investor that owns that security is effectively short that option to the homeowner. And so, as rates rally, the homeowner is more likely to refinance. And what that means is that the duration -- the average life of that mortgage is outstanding -- is going to shorten up. And so, what that means is that if the investor wants to have the same amount of duration, as rates rally, they're going to need to add duration -- which isn't necessarily a good thing because they're going to be buying duration at lower yields and higher prices. And often when rates rally a lot, you will get the explanation that this is happening because of mortgage convexity hedging.Now, convexity hedging will happen more into a rally. But because so much of the universe has mortgages that were taken out in 2020 and 2021, we think realistically the real convexity risks are likely 150 basis points or so lower in rates.But Jim, we have had this rally in rates. We do have lower mortgage rates than we saw over the summer. What does that mean for affordability?Jim Egan: So, affordability is improving. Let's put numbers around what we're talking about. Mortgage rates are at approximately 6.5 percent today at the peak in the fourth quarter of last year, they were closer to 8 percent.Now, over the past few years, we've gotten to use the word unprecedented in the housing market, what feels like an unprecedented number of times. Well, the improvement in affordability that we'd experience if mortgage rates were to hold at these current levels has only happened a handful of times over the past 35 to 40 years. This part of it is by no means unprecedented.Jay Bacow: Alright, now we talked about mortgage rates coming down and that means more refi[nance] activity. But what does the improvement in mortgage rates do to purchase activity?Jim Egan: So that's a question that's coming up a lot in our investor discussions recently. And to begin to answer that question, we looked at those past handful of episodes. In the past, existing home sales almost always climb in the subsequent year and the subsequent two years following an improvement in affordability at the scale that we're witnessing right now.Jay Bacow: So, there's precedent for this unprecedented experienceJim Egan: There is. But there are also a number of differences between our current predicament and these historical examples that I'd say warrant examination. The first is inventory. We simply have never had so few homes for sale as we do right now. Especially when we're looking at those other periods of affordability improvement.And on the affordability front itself, despite the improvement that we've seen, affordability remains significantly more challenged than almost every other historical episode of the past 40 years, with the exception of 1985. Both of these facts are apparent in the lock in effect that you and I have discussed several times on this podcast in the past.Jay Bacow: All right. So just like we think we are a 150 basis points away from convexity hedging being an issue, we're still pretty far away from rates unlocking significant inventory. What does that mean for home sales?Jim Egan: So, the US housing market has a supply problem, not a demand problem. I want to caveat that. Everything is related in the US housing market. For instance, high mortgage rates that put pressure on affordability -- but they've also contributed to this lock-in effect that has led to historically low inventory.This lack of supply has kept home prices climbing, despite high mortgage rates, which is keeping affordability under pressure. So, when we say that housing has a supply problem, we're not dismissing the demand side of the equation; just acknowledging that the binding constraint in the current environment is supply.Jay Bacow: Alright, so if supply is the binding constraint, then what does that mean for sales?Jim Egan: As rates come down, inventory has been increasing. When combined with improvements in affordability, this should catalyze increased sales volumes in the coming year. But the confluence of inputs in the housing market today render the current environment unique from anything that we've experienced over the past few decades.Sales volumes should climb, but the path is unlikely to be linear and the total increase should be limited to call it the mid-single digit percentage point of over the coming year.Jay Bacow: Alright, and now lastly, Jim, home prices continue to set an all time high but there's the absolute level of prices and the pace of home price appreciation. What do you think is going to happen?Jim Egan: We're on the record that this increased supply, even if it's only at the margins, and even if we're close to historic lows, should slow down the pace of home price appreciation. We've begun to see that year-over-year home price growth has come down from 6.5 percent to 5.9 percent over the past three months. We think it will continue to come down, finishing the year at +2 percent.Jay Bacow: Alright, Jim, thanks for those thoughts. And to our listeners, thank you for listening.If you enjoy the podcast, please leave a review wherever you listen, and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

In this explosive episode, we delve into the critical mistakes and policies that could rapidly bring the US housing market to its knees. What actions could trigger a sudden collapse, and what can be done to prevent it? Links & Resources Follow us on social media for updates: ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠YouTube⁠ Check out our recommended tool: ⁠Prop Stream⁠ Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and review our podcast. Don't forget to share it with friends who might find it valuable. Stay connected for more insights in our next episode!

The rise in unused office space has triggered suggestions about converting commercial real estate into residential buildings. But our US Real Estate Research analyst lists three major challenges.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Adam Kramer, from the Morgan Stanley U.S. Real Estate Research team. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I'll discuss a hot real estate topic. Whether the surplus of vacant office space offers a logical solution to the national housing shortage.It's Wednesday, August 14, at 10am in New York.Sitting here in Morgan Stanley's office at 1585 Broadway, Times Square is bustling and New York seems to have recovered from COVID and then some. But the reality inside buildings is a little bit different. On the one hand, 14 percent of U.S. office space is sitting unused. Our analysis shows a permanent impairment in office demand of roughly 25 percent compared to pre-COVID. And on the other hand, we have a national housing shortage of up to 6 million units. So why not simply remove obsolete lower-quality office stock and replace it with much-needed housing? On the surface, the idea of office-to-residential conversion sounds compelling. It could revitalize struggling downtown areas, creating a virtuous cycle that can lead to increased local tax revenues, foot traffic, retail demand and tourism.But is it feasible?We think conversions face at least three significant challenges. First, are the economics of conversion. In order for conversions to make sense, we would need to see office rents decline or apartment rents rise materially – which is unlikely in the next 1-2 years given the supply dynamics — and office values and conversion costs would need to decline materially. Investors can acquire or develop a multifamily property at roughly $600 per square foot. Alternatively, they can acquire and convert an existing office building for a total cost of nearly $700 per square foot, on average. The bottom line is that total conversion costs are higher than acquisition or ground-up development, with more complexity involved as well. The second big challenge is the quality of the buildings themselves. Numerous elements of the physical building impact conversion feasibility. For example, location relative to transit and amenities. Buildings in suboptimal locations are unlikely to be considered. Whether the office asset is vacant or not is also a factor. Office leases are typically longer duration, and a building needs to be close to or fully vacant for a full conversion. And lastly, physical attributes such as architecture, floor-plate depth, windows placement, among others. And finally, regulation presents a third major hurdle. Zoning and building code requirements differ from city to city and can add substantive time, cost, complexity, and limitations to any conversion project. That said, governments are in a unique position to encourage conversions — for example, via tax incentives – and literally remake cities short on affordable housing but with excess, underutilized office space.We have looked at conversion opportunities in three key markets: New York, San Francisco, and Washington, D.C. In Manhattan, active office to residential conversions have been concentrated in the Financial District, and we think this trend will continue. We also see the East Side of Manhattan as a uniquely untapped opportunity for future conversions, given higher vacancy today. This would shift existing East Side office tenants to other locations, boosting demand in higher-quality office neighborhoods like Park Avenue and Grand Central.In San Francisco, we are concerned about other types of real estate properties beyond just office. Retail, multifamily, and lodging in the downtown area are taking longer to recover post-COVID, and we think this will limit conversions in the market. And finally, in Washington, D.C. we think conversion would work best for older, Class B/C office buildings on the edges of pre-existing residential areas. In these three markets, and others, conversions could work in specific instances, with specific buildings in specific sub-markets. But on a national basis, the economic and logistic challenges of wide-scale conversions make this an unlikely solution.Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

The US is falling behind in its race to build enough homes to meet the demand. Zillow just released a report that shows the housing gap is getting worse despite a pandemic-era building  boom. And it's this gap in housing supply that is driving up prices and intensifying the affordability crisis.   Hi I'm Kathy Fettke and this is the Real Estate News for Investors. You can provide rental housing for someone who can't buy a home as a real estate investor. Find out about build-to-rent opportunities in Jacksonville and Central Florida during our webinar on June 25th at newsforinvestors.com. Login in to our investor portal as a RealWealth member to sign up for the webinar. Both the membership and the webinar are free. Please remember to subscribe to the podcast, and we'd really appreciate a 5-star review! It helps us rank and get our message out to more people...   References:   1 - https://zillow.mediaroom.com/2024-06-18-The-U-S-is-now-short-4-5-million-homes-as-the-housing-deficit-grows   Links: ~~~~ JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE

GOOD EVENING: The show begins tonight in the US housing market where gloom and patience are commonplace. To Georgia for the presidential debate. To Tehran for the vote. To Berlin, to Paris, to Kyiv, Rome, Budapest. To Kiel, Germany, to the Arctic Ocean. To Izmir, Turkey, to Nairobi, Kenya. To Pyongyang, to London. 1922 Prince of Wales in India

A landmark settlement with the National Association of Realtors will change the way brokers are paid commissions. How would this affect people looking to buy or sell homes? Our co-heads of Securitized Products Research discuss.----- Transcript -----James Egan: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Jim Egan, co-head of Securitized Products Research at Morgan Stanley.Jay Bacow: And I'm Jay Bacow, the other co-head of Securitized Products Research.James Egan: And on this episode of the podcast, we'll be discussing some proposed changes to the US housing market. It's Thursday, March 28th, at 1pm in New York.Jay Bacow: Jim, two weeks ago, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) settled a case that could fundamentally change how commissions are paid to brokers. Acknowledging that there's a few months until this is all going to get approved, it looks like sellers are no longer going to have to compensate buyers' agents. Which means that the closing cost that sellers have to pay is going to come down from the current 5 to 6 per cent to brokers to something more in the context of 3.5 to 4 percent -- based on estimates from many economists. What does this mean for the housing market?James Egan: So, this is certainly a settlement worth paying attention to.There are a lot of moving pieces here, but some of our first thoughts. Look, if we're lowering the ultimate transaction costs when it comes to selling homes, we do think that -- all else equal and probably a little bit more into the future -- it's going to lead to a higher volume of transactions. Or a higher level of turnover in the housing market.Now sellers no longer having to compensate buyers' agents. That becoming something that buyers will need to do -- that could, at least from a perception perspective, increase the cost for buyers at a place, where we're already at one of our least affordable points in several decades. So, when we think about an increased level of transaction volumes; if that means, especially in the near term, or especially where we are right now, a little bit of an increase in for-sale inventory, combined with some of the affordability issues -- maybe it weighs a little bit on home prices. But our bottom line here is we think from a home price perspective, largely unchanged here. From a transaction volume perspective, all else equal, you could see a little bit of a pickup.Jay Bacow: All right. But Jim, haven't you been calling for some of the story already with increased housing activity, causing home prices to end 2024 slightly below 2023. Does this then change the narrative at all?James Egan: No, I don't think this changes the narrative. If we go back into that call just a little bit, our call for the marginal decrease in year over year home price growth was driven by growth in for-sale inventory this year. We're seeing that steady growth in existing listings over the past couple of months.Now, the most recent housing start print was also positive from this perspective. Single unit housing starts were up for the eighth month in a row and have now increased 11 per cent from their local lows, which were in June of 2023. I think it's also worth pointing out over that same time frame, five plus unit starts, multi-unit housing, they're down in almost every single one of those months -- all but one of them. And they're down 19 per cent from that same month, June of 2023. But that's probably something for another podcast.Jay Bacow Alright. Well, I think there's two more things we should include in this podcast. First, this settlement isn't the only factor that could increase housing activity. Recently, around the State of the Union [address], President Biden announced a number of plans that could also contribute.Now, some of them require congressional approval, including a $10,000 middle-income first-time homebuyer tax credit. And then a separate $10,000 tax credit to middle class families that would sell their home below the median income in the county to help account for some of these lock-in effects that you mentioned.Jay Bacow: However, he also announced a pilot program that would eliminate total insurance fees for some low-risk refinance transactions. And that one doesn't require congressional approval; it's getting put in place as we speak, and that would save homeowners about $750 in closing costs on a refinance.James Egan: Interesting. So, if I'm hearing you correctly, the ones that would require congressional approval, they're more on the -- what we would call housing activity side: sales, purchase volumes. Whereas the one that didn't was on the refinance side. Now, presumably there's not much refinance activity going on right now.Jay Bacow: That's a correct presumption. Right now, we estimate that only about 3 per cent of homeowners have a critical incentive to refinance 25 basis points versus a prevailing mortgage rate. So, this is going to matter a lot more if we rally in rates. Realistically, we think we need a mortgage rate to get closer to 5 per cent than the current level for this to really matter.But I imagine that's probably a similar case with the NAR settlement as well.James Egan: Exactly. And that's why I made a point to say, all else equal, we think this is going to lead to a higher volume of transactions or a higher turnover rate in the housing market. It's because of that lock-in effect. Right now, so much of the homeowning distribution is well below the prevailing mortgage rate, that any real impacts of this we think are just going to be on the margins.Jay Bacow: Alright, so there's a lot of changes are coming to the housing market. They're likely to impact the market more if rates rally and are more of the back half of the year, next year event than this summer.Jim, thanks for taking the time to talk.James Egan: Great speaking with you, Jay.Jay Bacow: And thanks for listening.If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen, and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

High mortgage rates and a limited supply of homes have created one of the tightest markets in decades. Goldman Sachs Research's Roger Ashworth explains the supply-and-demand dynamics that are shaping the US housing market and the outlook for 2024.

The current housing market landscape consists of home prices consistently climbing, high mortgage interest rates, and an overall cooldown. Everyone is speculating about an impending market crash. But is there actually data to suggest an impending crash? That's what we're going to talk about on today's show! On this episode of Investing in Real Estate, we're going to dive into the likelihood of a housing market crash this year. I'm sharing the two main reasons why I don't believe there's a crash in the future, and the dangers of trying to time the market. Click play to learn more!