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Irish mortgage rates are on average the fifth highest across the 19 states in the Euro Zone, there is a new flex mortgage with Avant and the ECB rate is now 2% but will it go lower? Our expert today was Sean Corbett, Director of SYS Mortgages.All with thanks to Hidden Hearing.
Bulgarije treedt als eenentwintigste land toe tot de Eurozone. En de Nederlandse staatsschuld loopt op.. Dat en meer bespreken we in het economenpanel van BNR Zakendoen
In this special episode, Nina, Alexandra and Adam host a special episode recorded live with the Patrons of Talk Eastern Europe. They start with a discussion on recent news developments, including Ukraine's Operation Spider Web, Bulgaria joining the Eurozone, and the latest on repressions in Georgia. During the main episode, Adam is put in the hot-seat with Alexandra and Nina asking about the recent elections in Poland. They discuss the overall results of both rounds as well as key context heading into the elections. They also discuss how the new president-elect, Karol Nawrocki may act in relations with Europe, but also on the situation with Ukraine.During our bonus section, the co-hosts address patrons questions and discuss in-depth the political repercussions of the election result and what could come next for Poland.The bonus content can be found here:https://www.patreon.com/posts/episode-226-131296617Thank you to all of our patrons who joined us during the recording and all of those who support Talk Eastern Europe. If you want to support the podcast and gain access to additional benefits and bonus content, join us here: www.patreon.com/talkeasterneuropeWe also were short-listed for “Best Deep Dive Podcast” at the recent Publisher Podcast awards, and Alexandra attended the awards on behalf of Talk Eastern Europe. We didn't win, but we were honored to be even considered among such prestigious colleagues. Pictures are available on our Patron Facebook Page.
Die deutsche Wirtschaft kommt weiter nicht in Schwung: Industrieproduktion und Exporte sind im April deutlich gesunken – trotz voller Auftragsbücher und gesunkener Energiepreise. Der Zollstreit mit den USA bleibt ein Unsicherheitsfaktor, strukturelle Reformen lassen weiter auf sich warten. Auch die Dienstleistungsbranche trübt das Bild: Die Stimmung fällt auf breiter Front. In der Eurozone hat die EZB den Einlagenzins auf 2 Prozent gesenkt – den achten Schritt in diesem Zyklus. Weitere Zinssenkungen sind möglich, doch Christine Lagarde deutet eine vorsichtige Pause an. Die Inflationsraten sinken, das Wachstum bleibt schwach. Die Märkte erwarten nur noch einen weiteren Schritt in diesem Jahr. In den USA bleibt der Arbeitsmarkt robust – doch der politische Druck auf die Notenbank wächst. Präsident Trump fordert eine Zinssenkung um 100 Basispunkte. Die FED dürfte bei ihrer Sitzung am 18. Juni jedoch abwarten. Entscheidender werden die neuen Konjunkturprognosen und Dotplots sein – liefern sie Hinweise auf die Zinsrichtung? Zusätzlich belasten neue Zölle auf Stahl und Aluminium den Welthandel. Die USA haben die Sätze verdoppelt – von 25 auf 50 Prozent. Für die deutsche Stahlindustrie ein Rückschlag, aber vor allem die USA selbst könnte am Stärksten darunter leiden. China und die USA verhandeln aktuell in London über Zölle, konkrete Ergebnisse stehen jedoch noch aus. Zu hören in der neuen Folge von results. MärkteAktuell – mit Carina Schäuble und Dr. Ulrich Stephan. (Aufnahmedatum: 10. Juni 2025 um 12:00h)
VOV1 - Trước việc nhiều hộ kinh doanh thông báo “ngừng nhận chuyển khoản” nhằm trốn thuế, ngành thuế khẳng định, có đủ khả năng giám sát, quản lý doanh thu của từng hộ kinh doanh.- Thăm Bảo tàng Lascaris, một điểm đến văn hóa độc đáo, mang đậm dấu ấn lịch sử và nghệ thuật của Pháp, Thủ tướng Phạm Minh Chính khẳng định, văn hoá là sợi dây đầy âm thanh và sắc màu cho tình hữu nghị Việt Nam-Cộng hoà Pháp.- Thủ tướng yêu cầu các bộ, ngành khẩn trương hoàn thiện các dự thảo nghị định phân cấp, phân quyền theo các ngành, lĩnh vực phân công quản lý trước ngày 10/6 để Chính phủ ban hành trước ngày 12/6. - Thêm một bước tiến quan trọng trong quan hệ thương mại Việt – Mỹ khi các doanh nghiệp Việt Nam vừa ký kết 20 Biên bản ghi nhớ nhập khẩu nông sản Mỹ với tổng giá trị ước tính 3 tỷ đô la. - Nga và Ukraine bất đồng về việc thực hiện trao đổi thi thể binh sĩ và tù binh. - Bulgaria sẽ chính thức trở thành quốc gia thứ 21 gia nhập khu vực đồng tiền chung châu Âu – Eurozone từ năm 2026.- Bình luận nhan đề “Đàm phán hạt nhân Mỹ - Iran bế tắc khi hai bên đặt làn ranh đỏ”.
VOV1 - Thủ tướng Phạm Minh Chính tiếp ông Carlo Lustrissimi, Tổng Giám đốc, đồng sáng lập Công ty 5.0 Robotics của Estonia.- Bình Định chuẩn bị cơ sở vật chất để 58 xã, phường mới đi vào hoạt động từ ngày 1/7.- Sáng nay, hơn 100 nghìn thí sinh trên địa bàn thành phố Hà Nội thi môn đầu tiên trong kỳ thi tuyển sinh vào lớp 10 các trường THPT công lập.- Công an TPHCM vào cuộc điều tra vụ nhiều loại thuốc, thực phẩm chức năng bị đổ- Nền kinh tế cả Khu vực đồng tiền chung châu Âu (Eurozone) và Liên minh châu Âu- Mỹ bổ sung trừng phạt gần 40 cá nhân và thực thể liên quan đến Iran.
Welcome to the latest edition of Liquidity Link Live, your exclusive market analysis provided by Northern Trust Asset Management, one of the world's largest cash managers. Tune in each month to discover the very latest insights on the UK, Eurozone and US markets. This edition was recorded on the 5th June 2025.
Friedrich Merz feiert den D-Day, lobt die Verhinderung von Nord Stream 2 und fordert Druck auf Russland. Den ersten Besuch des deutschen Bundeskanzlers bei Donald Trump analysiert Collin McMahon. Bulgarien wird Euro-Land. Die Bulgaren erfüllen laut EU-Kommission die Kriterien für einen Beitritt in die Euro-Zone. Ursula von der Leyen soll bereits vor Jahren angekündigt haben, dass man die Bestimmungen auch sanfter auslegen könnte. Was das bedeutet, erklärt der deutsch-bulgarische Journalist Rumen Milkow. Im Gespräch mit Prof. Philipp Aerni geht es um die Schwächen der Entwicklungshilfe, und Frank Wahlig kommentiert den Zustand der deutschen SPD.
Apple's rollout of artificial intelligence services in China with Alibaba is being held up, Wells Fargo faces an uphill battle to catch up with its rivals after asset cap was lifted, and US President Donald Trump says Russian President Vladimir Putin is not ready for “immediate peace” with Ukraine. Plus, the European Commission has finally given Bulgaria the green light to join the Eurozone in 2026.Mentioned in this podcast:Apple and Alibaba's AI rollout in China delayed by Trump trade warWells Fargo has finally shed its dunce capWells Fargo asset cap lifted after ‘fake accounts' scandalPutin planning to retaliate for Ukraine drone attack, says TrumpBulgaria to join Eurozone in 2026Today's FT News Briefing was produced by Sonja Hutson, Kasia Broussalian, Lulu Smyth, and Marc Filippino. Additional help from Blake Maples, Michael Lello, David da Silva and Gavin Kallmann. Topher Forhecz is the FT's acting co-head of audio. The show's theme song is by Metaphor Music.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Sparerinnen und Sparer müssen sich auf weiter sinkende Zinsen für Tages- und Festgeld einstellen. Denn es gilt als ausgamcht, dass die EZB die Leitzinsen in der Eurozone herabsetzen wird - zum achten Mal seit letztem Sommer. Davon profitieren werden diejenigen, die investieren wollen.
Ausblick für beide Seiten des Atlantiks. – Sowohl in der Eurozone als auch in den USA hat der Preisdruck nachgelassen. Wo sind derzeit die Unterschiede und wo die Gemeinsamkeiten? – Der Markt erwartet, dass die Federal Reserve ihren Leitzinskorridor von aktuell 4,25 – 4,5 % in diesem Jahr noch zwei- bis dreimal um jeweils einen Viertelprozentpunkt senken wird. Ist das realistisch? – Einfuhrzölle erhöhen die Preise für Verbraucher. Manche Beobachter sagen, dass dies nur ein einmaliger Schock sei. Da der Inflationsdruck nicht dauerhaft zunehme, sollte eine Zentralbank durch einen solchen Schock hindurchsehen und ihre Geldpolitik nicht straffen. Stimmt dieses Argument angesichts der aktuellen Lage in den USA? Und welche Rolle spielt hierbei die Fiskalpolitik? – Mit einer Rate von nur noch 1,9 % im Mai nach 2,2 % im April hat die Europäische Zentralbank ihr Inflationsziel von 2 % sogar knapp unterschritten. Bleibt der Preisauftrieb bei etwa 2 % gegenüber dem Vorjahr oder sogar darunter? Oder wird der Preisdruck wie in den USA wieder zunehmen? – Die EZB hat ihren Leitzins, den sogenannten Einlagensatz, zu dem Banken überschüssige Liquidität bei der EZB parken können, heute von 2,25 % auf 2,0 % gesenkt. War es das jetzt, oder wird sie im weiteren Jahresverlauf noch einmal oder mehrmals nachlegen? – Schließlich: Wird die Inflation sich in Deutschland und der Eurozone langfristig bei 2 % einpendeln oder wieder steigen? Und wie wird die EZB darauf reagieren?
Dutch Prime Minister Dick Schoof resigned after far-right leader Geert Wilders walked out of his coalition government, Mexico's new supreme court is set to solely contain judges nominated by the ruling coalition, and Eurozone inflation fell below the European Central Bank's 2 per cent target. Plus, the FT's Akila Quinio explains how the Royal Bank of Scotland was nationalised in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis and then reborn. Mentioned in this podcast:Far-right Dutch leader Geert Wilders quits governmentTiny slice of Mexicans elect supreme court closely tied to ruling partyEurozone inflation falls below target to 1.9%The RBS story: how the world's biggest bank was nationalised and then rebornSouth Korean leftwinger Lee Jae-myung wins presidential electionToday's FT News Briefing was produced by Sonja Hutson, Kasia Broussalian, Ethan Plotkin, Fiona Symon, Mischa Frankl-Duval, and Marc Filippino. Additional help from Blake Maples, Michael Lello, and Gavin Kallmann. Our intern is Michaela Seah. Topher Forhecz is the FT's acting co-head of audio. The show's theme song is by Metaphor Music.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
US equity futures are little changed. European markets are firmer, while most Asian markets gained. US-China trade tensions remain in focus, with Trump-Xi call reportedly expected Friday, though no confirmation yet. China's restrictions on rare earths getting more attention with press highlighting growing concern among car makers that shortage of magnets could grind auto production to halt within weeks. Moreover, US Steel tariffs come into effect today, but a temporary 25% tariff remains for the UK until its trade deal comes into force. Korea's Lee Jae-myung won the presidential election, pledging economic stimulus and renewed trade talks. Markets also eye ECB's Thursday meeting following soft Eurozone inflation and await US jobs data to gauge Fed's rate path.Companies Mentioned: BioNTech
The European Commission has given the green light for Bulgaria to adopt the euro on January 1, 2026, putting the country on course to become the 21st member of the single currency zone. Brussels says Bulgaria has now met all the criteria necessary to join the eurozone, including price stability and fiscal discipline. However, Bulgarians are divided and many protested outside the parliament this Wednesday.
EU-Kommission und EZB sehen die Beitrittskriterien für Bulgarien als erfüllt an – trotz Risiken. Und: Die Private-Equity-Branche steht unter Druck. Doch es gibt Hoffnung.
BGH : Rückforderung von unzulässigen Bankgebühren verjährt nach drei Jahren / VDA befürchtet Produktionsausfall - Rohstoffe aus China fehlen / Tankstellen-Verband beklagt Marktmacht der Mineralölkonzerne. Moderation: Ralf Schmidberger, Autoren: Heidi Radvilas, Klaus Hempel
Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the global economic expansion is losing pace, led by the US.But first up today, the overnight full dairy auction pulled back, and expected, but perhaps not be as much as the derivatives markets suggested. In the end prices were down -1.6% in USD terms and -3.0% in NZD terms on a rising Kiwi dollar. It was a mixed picture across the commodities offered.In the US, the weekly Redbook retail monitor pulled back last week to be 'only' +4.9% higher than the same week a year ago. That is a sharpish dip from the prior week's +6.1% and mid-April's +7.4%. Much of this may be attributable to tariff-tax increases, with sales volumes easing faster now.Meanwhile, April job openings were little-changed but they did come in slightly higher than expected at 7.4 mln. We get the May non-farm payrolls report this Saturday (NZT) and that is expected to show a modest +130,000 rise.Meanwhile April factory orders came in weak, down a sharp -3.7% following the boosted March gain of +3.4%. Between the two months, a slight easing that was setting in since November. From April 2024 these order levels are up +0.6% and that is before accounting for inflation.The US Logistics Managers Index rose, but because inventory costs, warehousing utilisation, and transportation prices all rose at a faster rate, probably not the indicators that help their economy.But the latest RCM/TIPP optimism survey did rise for 'positive' reasons, but only back to levels it was in November after retreating rather sharply from a February high. The tariff-tax staggers may be easing among investors and the surveyors say this indicates US "consumers are closer to optimism".In Canada, Canadians have so heavily altered their travel plans to the US that the duty-free stores at the border seem to be on their knees in what is being called a 'collapse'.In South Korea, the candidate of the more liberal Democratic Party seems to be the winner of Tuesday's snap presidential election. It is a clear break, with voters turning away from the conservative party, who's previous President triggered their constitutional crisis. It's a win for the rule of law. The other main candidate has conceded.In China, they have delivered something of a surprise. The May Caixin China factory PMI unexpectedly dropped to 48.3, down from April's expanding 50.4 and missing market forecasts of a faster expansion (50.6). This was the first contraction in the sector in eight months and the steepest since September 2022. Output shrank alongside a renewed drop in new orders, with foreign sales declining at a faster pace. The official factory PMI came in at 49.5, a small improvement (lesser decline).Eurozone consumer price inflation eased to 1.9% in May, down from 2.2% in April and below market expectations of 2.0%. With inflation under control, that gives the ECB some room to trim interest rates further at their Friday (NZT) review.Globally, the OECD has lowered its economic expansion forecasts as the Trump tariff-taxes bite, and the US an economy they see suffering as much as others from the impact.That is spurring free trade talks among other nations, especially between Australia and the EU.In Australia, their Fair Work Commission's Expert Panel announced the National Minimum Wage and award wages will increase by +3.5% from 1 July 2025, following the 2024-25 Annual Wage Review. That means their National Minimum Wage will increase by +AU$0.85 to AU$24.95 per hour. (NZ$26.90/hr) The New Zealand adult minimum wage is currently $23.50/hr.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.46%, and unchanged from yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$3,353/oz, and down -US$22 from yesterday.Oil prices are up +50 USc in the US at just over US$63.50/bbl and the international Brent price is up +US$1 at US$66/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at 60.1 USc, a -10 bps dip from yesterday at this time. Against the Aussie we are down -10 bps at just on 92.8 AUc. Against the euro we are unchanged at 52.7 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just on 68.1 and down -10 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$105,965 and up +1.6% from yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just on +/-1.2%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.
Markets enjoyed a nice, 2% rally Tuesday on news of a pause until July on Eurozone tariffs by President Trump. (Remember our article in November 2024 revealing tariffs as NOT inflationary; see link below). Goldman Sachs came out this week admitting as much. Duh. This entire rally has been predicated on the realization that tariffs are not the inflationry boogie man, and not that big of a hit to the economy. It's all economic sticks & carrots by the Trump Administration. Money flows are very elevated to levels that are typically seen at the peaks of market advances, not the beginning. We've come very far, very fast; this is a good time to take some profits out of the market. Money flows into Nvidia since the bottom have been stellar, which has elevated the stock price; Nvidia is up 40% from the low. That's still 14% below its all-time highs, but a 40% gain is not chump-change. So the risk tomorrow, after the company's report tonight, is to the downside, or a very muted upside. Options pricing currently are foretelling a move of 7%, either up or down. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KJCZut3qwU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
BNR Beurs is een beetje een sportprogramma geworden. We doen namelijk verslag van alle transfers. Daar kwam geen einde aan. De belangrijkste is die van Christine Lagarde. Zij zou de gedoodverfde opvolger van Klaus Schwab zijn als baas van het World Economic Forum. Maar daarvoor moet ze wel eerst haar positie als voorzitter van de ECB opgeven. Dat zou niet gebeuren, werd al gezegd. Maar volgens Schwab zelf zijn er toch al gesprekken geweest met haar. Er is zelfs al een woning voor haar geregeld in Zwitserland. Kan de ECB zich maar beter klaarmaken voor de zoektocht naar een opvolger? En wat betekent het voor het beleid van de centrale bank? Die vragen beantwoorden we deze uitzending. Dan hebben we het ook over de andere centrale bankier die opvolging zoekt. Hier in Nederland zelfs. Klaas Knot heeft namelijk nog maar een maand te gaan voor zijn termijn afloopt en hij moet stoppen als baas van De Nederlandsche Bank. Maar het blijkt behoorlijk lastig om vervanging te vinden. En dat leidt tot zorgen bij DNB en in de financiële sector. Verder zijn er nog een hoop andere transfers die wél al zeker zijn. Ook daar brengen we verslag over uit. En we brengen goed nieuws! Want sommige analisten durven eindelijk weer positief naar de toekomst te kijken. De grootste onrust op de beurzen is verleden tijd, zeggen ze. En het ene na het andere bedrijf besluit opeens groots in Bitcoin te investeren. Het mediabedrijf van Trump ging al om, en nu wil ook gamewinkel GameStop opeens honderden miljoenen erin steken. Die bedrijven hebben een loophole gevonden waarmee ze praktisch geld kunnen printen. Maar is dat misschien toch te mooi om waar te zijn?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this podcast, Edmund Shing, Global Chief Investment Officer, discusses about the US dollar's weakening situation and its beneficiaries.Four reasons for US dollar weakeningCommodities and emerging markets stocks and bonds tend to benefitAustralia and Canada: Commodity-heavy developed markets also favouredHosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
BNR Beurs is een beetje een sportprogramma geworden. We doen namelijk verslag van alle transfers. Daar kwam geen einde aan. De belangrijkste is die van Christine Lagarde. Zij zou de gedoodverfde opvolger van Klaus Schwab zijn als baas van het World Economic Forum. Maar daarvoor moet ze wel eerst haar positie als voorzitter van de ECB opgeven. Dat zou niet gebeuren, werd al gezegd. Maar volgens Schwab zelf zijn er toch al gesprekken geweest met haar. Er is zelfs al een woning voor haar geregeld in Zwitserland. Kan de ECB zich maar beter klaarmaken voor de zoektocht naar een opvolger? En wat betekent het voor het beleid van de centrale bank? Die vragen beantwoorden we deze uitzending. Dan hebben we het ook over de andere centrale bankier die opvolging zoekt. Hier in Nederland zelfs. Klaas Knot heeft namelijk nog maar een maand te gaan voor zijn termijn afloopt en hij moet stoppen als baas van De Nederlandsche Bank. Maar het blijkt behoorlijk lastig om vervanging te vinden. En dat leidt tot zorgen bij DNB en in de financiële sector. Verder zijn er nog een hoop andere transfers die wél al zeker zijn. Ook daar brengen we verslag over uit. En we brengen goed nieuws! Want sommige analisten durven eindelijk weer positief naar de toekomst te kijken. De grootste onrust op de beurzen is verleden tijd, zeggen ze. En het ene na het andere bedrijf besluit opeens groots in Bitcoin te investeren. Het mediabedrijf van Trump ging al om, en nu wil ook gamewinkel GameStop opeens honderden miljoenen erin steken. Die bedrijven hebben een loophole gevonden waarmee ze praktisch geld kunnen printen. Maar is dat misschien toch te mooi om waar te zijn?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Trotz überraschend positiver BIP-Korrektur für das erste Quartal bleibt das Bild für die deutsche Wirtschaft trüb: Die „Wirtschaftsweisen“ senken ihre Prognose auf Null, kritisieren Subventionen ohne Strukturreformen und fordern ein Umdenken bei Investitionen und Bürokratie. In der Eurozone steht der Handelskonflikt mit den USA weiter im Fokus. Nachdem Donald Trump vor wenigen Tagen erneut mit Zöllen von bis zu 50 Prozent gedroht hatte, wurde diese Ankündigung nach Gesprächen mit der EU-Kommissionspräsidentin vorerst zurückgenommen. Neben spannenden Einblicken in eine IWF-Studie blicken wir auf Präsidentschaftswahlen in Rumänien und Polen – letzteren wird für das Wochenende ein spannendes Kopf-an-Kopf-Rennen prognostiziert. In den USA bringt Trumps Steuerpaket die Diskussion um die Staatsverschuldung erneut auf den Tisch. Nach der Moody's-Herabstufung steigt der Druck an den Anleihemärkten – und auch die Refinanzierungskosten steigen spürbar. Abschließend der Blick nach Großbritannien: Die überraschend gestiegene Inflation weckt Zweifel an der jüngsten Zinssenkung. War die Entscheidung der Bank of England verfrüht – oder waren die Verbraucherpreise nur ein statistischer Ausreißer? Zu hören in der neuen Folge von results. MärkteAktuell – mit Carina Schäuble und Dr. Ulrich Stephan. (Aufnahmedatum: 26. Mai 2025 um 14:00h)
Jeffrey Kleintop breaks down recent international market action, including the Eurozone PMI, which missed expectations. Part of the miss is blamed on tariffs. He also notes a great 1Q earnings season for the Eurozone and an increase in consumer demand. He points to bond market signals to monitor: “if yields continue to climb, it could be an impediment to rising stock prices.” He highlights some areas of the market to watch, including his “New Mag 7” and the financials sector.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Inside Wirtschaft - Der Podcast mit Manuel Koch | Börse und Wirtschaft im Blick
Die deutsche Industrie überrascht mit einem kräftigen Anstieg der Auftragseingänge – doch wie belastbar ist dieser Aufschwung wirklich? "Der Anstieg war im März mit 3,6 Prozent wirklich überraschend stark. Wir sehen allerdings auch Nachholeffekt, weil Januar und Februar besonders schlecht waren. Und wir sehen Vorzieheffekte, weil viele Unternehmen Angst vor den angekündigten US-Zollerhöhungen haben", sagt Manuel Koch. Der Chefredakteur von Inside Wirtschaft weiter: "Im internationalen Vergleich kommt die größte Nachfrage aus der Euro-Zone (+,5,5%), dann aus dem Ausland (+2,8%) und die Inlandsnachfrage (+2,0%) war nicht besonders dynamisch." Was muss jetzt passieren? Alle Details im Interview von BWL-Influencer David Döbele an der Frankfurter Börse und auf https://inside-wirtschaft.de
“We've exited the chaos phase” of trade policy, says Patrick Ryan, “We're moving in the right direction.” He thinks we could see a stronger market in the second half if trade tensions resolve and deregulation comes through. He likes small and mid-cap companies if business sentiment can rise, along with financials. He also likes Europe as signs of financial stimulus in the Eurozone continue.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Welcome to the latest edition of Liquidity Link Live, your exclusive market analysis provided by Northern Trust Asset Management, one of the world's largest cash managers. Tune in each month to discover the very latest insights on the UK, Eurozone and US markets. This edition was recorded on the 6th May 2025.
The U.S. and Ukraine sign a minerals deal, Trump nominates National Security Advisor Mike Waltz for UN ambassador, tens of thousands of protesters participate in global May Day protests, the U.S. Senate blocks a resolution to overturn Trump's ‘Liberation Day' tariffs, the Eurozone's economy grows 0.4%, South Africa's Ramaphosa orders an inquiry Into apartheid-era prosecutions, a Trump-appointed judge blocks the White House from using the Alien Enemies Act for deportations, England rolls out a 'super-jab' for 15 different cancers, Apple is referred for a potential criminal contempt probe, and Scientists reintroduce captive-bred Mexican axolotls into artificial wetlands. Sources: www.verity.news
Sean is joined by EuroZone stalwart Liam Grant to discuss how the planning for WUCC 2026 is going, how the Spring Tour tournaments went and what they expect to happen at Tom's Tourney this weekend. The rankings hadn't been updated when they spoke, so Liam fills the space by going on a couple of patented rants instead.
As the ECB cuts interest rates again, it would take a “wait and see” approach on whether planned tariffs trigger inflation across the Eurozone.With gold prices hitting a new record high — how do you actually go about buying the precious metal?And in the age of AI, could the person you're interviewing for a job not be real? Roger Hearing explores the growing threat of deepfake job applicants.
S&P Futures are moving higher mainly due to optimism on tariff exemptions. The Trump tariff narrative remain the key focus as the White House indicates that that it is looking to help the auto sector. Pharma & semiconductor stocks are on watch as they are under review by the Trump tariff team. China has suspended jet deliveries from Boeing in retaliatory move. U.S. trade officials met with EU's trade representative yesterday, the demands from the Trump administration will be difficult for the Eurozone to agree to. Mining stocks are displaying gains due to a report that indicates President Trump has plans to stockpile critical metals to counter China. On the economic calendar today are reports on Import Exports prices and the Empire state Manufactuing index. JNJ, BACPNC & ERIC are higher after earnings announcements. Caterpillar named a new CEO.
Australian James Aitken is the Founder and Managing Partner of Aitken Advisors, a one-man macroeconomic consultancy based in Wimbledon, England that works with approximately one hundred of the most influential pools of capital in the world. James started his career in 1992 as a foreign exchange trader, moved to London in May 1999, and in March 2002 joined the infamous AIG Financial Products team in London. In August 2006 he joined UBS, where he deployed his knowledge of the inner workings of the financial system to help his institutional investor clients successfully navigate their portfolios through 2007 and 2008. At the urging of his clients, James established his own firm in June 2009. Our conversation covers James' perspective on the Global Financial Crisis from his seat at its epicenter, the Eurozone crisis in 2011, subsequent process-driven opportunities in Greece, views on Central Banks in the US, China, & Europe, some brief observations on India, positioning for the current environment, and what makes a great macro manager. Learn More Follow Ted on Twitter at @tseides or LinkedIn Subscribe to the mailing list Access Transcript with Premium Membership
Once again, Germany is preparing to celebrate the world's worst vegetable as Spargelzeit begins in earnest across the 16 Bundesländer, and two thirds of the podcast are delighted to see it's return. What does 2025 have in store for Spargel lovers, and where will Simon get his regular Spargeleis? The current international economic turmoil caused by US government tarifs leads us back to the question of boycotting US products, which is really only one of many problems Simon seems to be facing on his weekly shop, the other being his fellow early bird customers.Perhaps what we all need is a bit of luck, but it seems all the luck is going elsewhere at the moment, as we discuss an especially fortunate young 8-year-old child who discovered €15,000 while digging a hole at their Kindergarten. With money in the air, we finish with some suggestions for new designs as the EU updates the Eurozone's bank notes.Theme tune courtesy of Kloß mit SoßThe current international economic turmoil caused by US government tarifs leads us back to the question of boycotting US products, which is really only one of many problems Simon seems to be facing on his weekly shop, the other being his fellow early bird customers.Perhaps what we all need is a bit of luck, but it seems all the luck is going elsewhere at the moment, as we discuss an especially fortunate young 8-year-old child who discovered €15,000 while digging a hole at their Kindergarten. With money in the air, we finish things off with some suggestions for designs as the EU looks to update the Eurozone's bank notes.Theme tune courtesy of Kloß mit Soß
Plus, Turkey detains Istanbul's mayor and main rival of President Erdogan. Inflation in the Eurozone cooled more than expected in February. And what to watch for in Federal Reserve's Chair Jerome Powell's comments after the Fed's rates decision. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Our U.S. Public Policy and Currency analysts, Ariana Salvatore and Andrew Watrous, discuss why the dollar fell at the beginning of the first Trump administration and whether it could happen again this year. ----- Transcript ----Ariana Salvatore: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Ariana Salvatore, Morgan Stanley's U.S. Public Policy Strategist.Andrew Watrous: And I'm Andrew Watrous, G10 FX Strategist here at Morgan Stanley.Ariana Salvatore: Today, we'll focus on the U.S. dollar and how it might fare in global markets during the first year of the new Trump administration.It's Tuesday, March 4th at 10am in New York.So, Andrew, a few weeks ago, James Lord came on to talk about the foreign exchange volatility. Since then, tariffs and trade policy have been in the news. Last night at midnight, 25 percent tariffs on Mexico and Canada went into effect, in addition to 10 percent on China. So, let's set the scene for today's conversation. Is the dollar still dominant in global currency markets?Andrew Watrous: Yes, it is. The U.S. dollar is used in about $7 trillion worth of daily FX transactions. And the dollar's share of all currency transactions has been pretty stable over the last few decades. And something like 80 percent of all trade finance is invoiced in dollars, and that share has been pretty stable too.A big part of that dollar dominance is because of the depth and safety of the Treasury security market.Ariana Salvatore: That makes sense. And the dollar fell in 2017, the first year of the Trump administration. Why did that happen?Andrew Watrous: Yeah, so 2017 gets a lot of client attention because the Fed was hiking, there was a lot of uncertainty about would happen in NAFTA, and the U.S. passed a fiscally expansionary budget bill that year.So, people have asked us, ‘Why the U.S. dollar went down despite all those factors?' And I think there are three reasons. One is that even though the possibility that the U.S. could leave NAFTA was all over the headlines that year, U.S. tariffs didn't actually go up. Another factor is that global growth turned out to be really strong in 2017, and that was helped in part by fiscal policy in China and Europe. And finally, there were some political risks in Europe that didn't end up materializing.So, investors took a sigh of relief about the possibility that I think had been priced in a bit that the Eurozone might break up. And then a lot of those factors went into reverse in 2018 and the U.S. dollar went up.Ariana Salvatore: So, applying that framework with those factors to today, is it possible that we see a repeat of 2017 in terms of the U.S. dollar decline?Andrew Watrous: Yeah, I think it's likely that the U.S. dollar continues to go lower for some of the same reasons as we saw in 2017. So, I think that compared to 2017, there's a lot more U.S. dollar positive risk premium around trade policy. So, the bar is higher for the U.S. dollar to go up just from trade headlines alone.And just like in 2017, European policy developments could be a tailwind to the euro. We've been highlighting the potential for German fiscal expansion as European defense policy comes into focus. And unlike in 2017, when the Fed was raising rates, now the Fed is probably going to cut more this year. So that's a headwind to the dollar that didn't exist back in 2017.So, on trade, Ariana. What developments do you expect? Do you think that Trump's new policies will make 2025 different in any way from 2017?Ariana Salvatore: So, taking a step back and looking at this from a very high level, a few things are different in spite of the fact that we're actually talking about a lot of similar policies. Tariffs and tax policy were a big focus in 2017 to 2019, and to be sure, this time around, they are too, but in a slightly different way.So, for example, on tax cuts, we're not talking about bringing rates lower on the individual and corporate side. We're talking about extending current policy. And on tariffs and trade policy, this round I would characterize as much broader, right? So, Trump has scoped in a broader range of trading partners into the discussion like Mexico and Canada; and is talking about a starting point that level-wise is much higher than what we saw in the whole 2018 2019 trade friction period.The highest rate back then we ever saw was 25 percent, and that was on the final batch of Chinese goods, that list four. Whereas this time, we're talking about 25 percent as a starting point for Mexico and Canada.I think sequencing is also a really important distinction. In 2017, we saw the tax cuts through the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) come first, followed by trade tensions in 2018 to 2019. This time around, it's really the inverse. Republicans just passed their budget resolution in the House. That lays the groundwork for the tax cut extensions.But in the meantime, Trump has been talking about tariff implementation since before he was even elected. And we've already had a number of really key trade related catalysts in the just six weeks or so that he's been in office.Andrew Watrous: So, you mentioned expectations for fiscal policy. What are recent developments there, and what do you think will happen with U.S. fiscal?Ariana Salvatore: I mentioned the budget resolution in the house that was passed last week. And you can really think of that as the starting point for the reconciliation process to kick off. And consequently, the extension of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.To be clear, we think that House Republicans will be able to align behind extending most of the expiring Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, but that's still in the books until the end of 2025. So, we see many months needed to kind of build this consensus among cohorts of the Republican caucus in Congress, and we already know there's some key sticking points in the discussion.What happens with the SALT [State and Local Tax] cap? What sort of clawbacks occur with the Inflation Reduction Act? All these are disagreements that right now are going to need time to work their way through Congress. So not a lot of alignment just yet. We think it's going to take most of the year to get there.But ultimately, we do see an extension of most of the TCJA, which is like I said, current law until the end of 2025.But Andrew from what I understand when it comes to fiscal policy, there are really two stages in terms of the market impact that we saw in the last administration. Can you walk us through those?Andrew Watrous: Yeah, so one lesson from 2016 to 2018 is that there were really two stages of when fiscal developments boosted the dollar. The first was right after the U.S. election in 2016, and the second was much later after the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act passed. So right after the 2016 election, within a couple of weeks, the dollar index rallied from 98 up to 103, and 10-year Treasury yields rose as well.And then things sort of moved sideways in between these two stages. Ten-year Treasury yield just moved sideways. Fiscal wasn't as supportive to the U.S. dollar. And as we know, the dollar went down. And then we had the second stage more than a year later. So, the TCJA was passed in December 2017. And then the dollar rallied after that along with the rise in Treasury yield.So, we think that now, what we've seen is actually very similar to what happened in 2017, where the dollar and yields moved a lot after the 2024 election; but now the budget reconciliation process probably won't be a tailwind to the dollar until after a tax cuts extension passes Congress. And as you mentioned, that's not going to be for many, many months. So, in the interim, we think there's a lot of room for the dollar to go down.Ariana Salvatore: And just to level set our expectations there to your point, it is probably going to be later this year. House Republicans have to align on a number of key sticking points. So, we have passage somewhere on the third or fourth quarter of 2025.But when we think about the fiscal picture, aside from the deficit and the macro impacts, a really key component is going to be what these tax changes mean for the equity market. The extension of certain tax policies will matter more for certain sectors versus others. For example, we know that extending some of the corporate provisions, aside from the lower rate, will have an impact across domestically oriented industries like industrials, healthcare, and telecom.But Andrew, to bring it back to this discussion, I want to think a little bit more about how we can loop in our expectations for the equity market and map that to certain dollar outcomes. How do you think that this as a barometer has changed, if at all, from Trump's first term?Andrew Watrous: Yeah, currency strategists like me love talking about yield differentials. But from 2016 to 2018, the U.S. dollar did not trade in line with yield differentials. Instead, in the initial years of President Trump's first term, equities were a much better barometer than interest rates for where the U.S. dollar would go.After President Trump was elected in 2016, U.S. stocks really outperformed stocks in the rest of the world, and the U.S. dollar went up. Then in 2017, stocks outside the U.S. caught up to the move in U.S. stocks, and the U.S. dollar fell. Then in 2018, all that went into reverse, and U.S. stocks started outperforming again, and the U.S. dollar went up.So, what we've been seeing in stocks today really echoes 2017, not 2018. Stocks outside the U.S. have caught up to the post election rise in U.S. stocks. And so, just like it did in 2017, we think that the U.S. dollar will decline to catch up to that move in relative stock indices.Ariana Salvatore: Finally, Andrew, we already discussed the U.S. dollar negative drivers from 2017. But what happened to these drivers the following year in 2018? And is that any indication for what might happen in 2026?Andrew Watrous: So 2018, as you mentioned, does offer a blueprint for how the U.S. dollar could go up. So, for example, if trade tensions evolve in a direction where our economists would have to significantly downwardly revise their global growth forecasts, then the U.S. dollar could start to look more attractive as a safe haven. And in 2018, there was a big rise in long-end Treasury yields. That's not what we're calling for; but if that were to happen, then the U.S. dollar could catch a bid.Ariana Salvatore: Andrew, thanks for taking the time to talk.Andrew Watrous: Great speaking with you, Ariana.Ariana Salvatore: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.