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President Donald Trump's recent tariff threat on the European Union, followed by a subsequent delay, boosted European and Asian markets to start the week. What is currently shaping the markets, and what signals is today's guest looking to for clues about the path forward? Joining host Pamela Ritchie to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on May 26, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Crypto News Alerts | Daily Bitcoin (BTC) & Cryptocurrency News
One of the more compelling predictions for the future Bitcoin price comes from Fidelity Investments. Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity's global head of macro, has claimed that Bitcoin could go as high as $1 billion per coin by 2038. If Bitcoin reaches $1 billion, an investment of $1,000 would be worth $16.7 million in 2038. A minimum investment of $60 or 0.001 BTC would be needed to become a millionaire. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Markets rallied at the start of this week. In a significant development last weekend, the United States and China have agreed to a temporary trade deal. Negotiated in Geneva, the two countries will be drastically reducing tariffs on each other's goods. Announced as an initial 90-day pause, this major de-escalation demonstrates that both countries want to focus on easing the escalating tensions seen over the last few months. What does this announcement mean for U.S. and international markets going forward? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on May 12, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
U.S. equity markets are under pressure this morning following further tariff threats by President Trump. But as today's guest notes, we've now seen twice that sharp market selloffs have prompted the administration to retreat from its more extreme tariff measures. What clues might this tell us about spreads? And with a Federal Reserve announcement this week, might policymakers have no option but to stay on hold? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on May 5, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
U.S. equity markets opened under pressure at the start of this week. This drawdown comes after each of the three major averages logged a third weekly decline in the last four trading weeks. How anatomically similar is today's market drawdown to 1998? And will it last, or is it just an interruption? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar to set you up for the trading week ahead is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on April 21, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
U.S. equity markets jumped at this week's open after Trump announced a tariff exemption on select electronics. This rally emphasizes the fickleness of Trump's governance style - reflecting the market volatility. By contrast, last week, all U.S. assets were on sale, which today's guest points out, raises the possibility that foreign investors are retreating their capital. And he says, “If a trade war morphs into a capital war, then there's more at stake than tariffs.” Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on April 14, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Just two months ago the S&P500 closed at an all-time high. Now, the index is down 17% - hovering just shy of bear market territory. As investors wait with bated breath, does today's guest see this as a short-term correction, or the beginning of something bigger? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and what they may mean for you, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on April 7, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
North American equity markets stumbled at the open of the last trading day of the first quarter. While some investors worry about market declines, our next guest says the data points to a slowdown, not a recession. So should you use this drawdown as a buying opportunity? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar for the trading week ahead, and what they may mean for you and your investments, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on March 31, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
In this quarter's episode of Timmer Time, Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity's Director of Global macro, provides a breakdown of how tariffs work, their potential market impacts, and answers key market questions for investors. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Markets are up this morning as reports circulate that the Trump administration could reduce the scope of tariffs scheduled to come into effect April 2nd. Cars, microchips and pharmaceuticals could be left out of those levies. But the Fed says even though growth remains solid, the economic outlook still remains uncertain. The impact of Trump's policies continue to have a hold on markets, so as we brace for more change, what might it all mean for investors? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and what it all may mean for you, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on March 24, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Tariff discussions dominated last week's news cycle, and with market uncertainty still high, major U.S. and Canadian indexes are down to start the week, with the DOW down 200 points. With some citing potential recession fears, what might it all mean for investors? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and what it may mean for you, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on March 10, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Are politics in Canada and the U.S. dominating your news and social feed – and do they have you worrying about your investment portfolios? Tune in to learn about how Fidelity's investing pros are thinking long-term and trying to step ahead. Fidelity Institutional Portfolio Manager and former Bank of Canada analyst, Ilan Kolet, will talk about what's happening in Canada and ways he is protecting clients portfolios. Tom Stevenson, Investment Director, Fidelity International, will share global impacts and where there might be investment opportunities in Asia, Europe and around the world. Additional insights from Jurrien Timmer, KY Wong, and Pedro Antunes. This show was initially presented as a live webcast of The Upside, our investor webcast on March 4, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Tariffs on major trade partners and a potential government shutdown are all on our radar as we gear up for another busy week in the markets. Plus, we're taking a look back with Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer who is celebrating 30 years at Fidelity. We're asking him about how this current market compares to what he's witnessed in the past 30 years, the potential risks and the insights he has about the future. Topics Covered: • Has the bull market run its course? • What could be the economic and consumer impacts of tariffs? • Could a potential government shutdown impact the stock market? • How can investors protect their money when there's market volatility? If you want to work with a dedicated Fidelity financial consultant who can help you prioritize your financial goals and plan for your full financial picture, click here Read the full transcript View the slides Watch the video replay
Markets are moving fast. But the US market? Not so much. The Mag 7 hasn't hit a new high since mid-December, and the broader market seems to be stuck in place. But while Wall Street pauses, global markets are heating up - especially in Europe and China. The MSCI Europe Index has been on a tear, signalling a potential shift in momentum. So what might this mean for investors looking beyond the US? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and what it may mean for you, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on February 24, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
U.S. equities opened higher this week as investors brace for key economic reports. On deck for release is U.S. CPI, PPI, and retail sales data. Fed Chair Jerome Powell also took to Capitol Hill for his semiannual testimony to lawmakers earlier this week. Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar this busy week ahead, and what it may mean for you, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on February 10, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Have you been watching the mail for weeks getting all your tax documents in order? You're not alone! On this week's episode of Market Sense, we're talking with a Fidelity Financial Consultant who has a background in tax preparation to hear her strategies to help reduce your taxable income. Plus, Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer is getting us caught up on this week's market news. For more information about managing your taxes click here Read the full transcript View the slides Watch the video replay
Over the weekend, President Trump announced his intention to follow through with his tariff threat on key trading partners. Canada was to see a 25% tariff on goods exported to the United States, and a 10% tariff on energy resources. In response, the Canadian government was set to impose 25% tariffs on $30 billion dollars in goods imported from the US. These tariffs were ultimately averted, but the threat of future tariffs still looms over the North American economy. Joining the show today to unpack what this development means for global markets, and our integrated economies, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on February 3, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
U.S. equity markets have retreated this week following a two-week hot streak. Big Tech is set to report their Q4 earnings, and the Federal Reserve will hold its first policy meeting of the year. What key trends should investors look for in Q4 results? And how might the Fed's first policy meeting of the year set the tone for markets in 2025? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on January 27, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
On this episode of Market Sense, our Fidelity branch leaders answer frequently asked questions from customers and webcast viewers on everything from retirement planning, to how much to consider holding cash, to the evolving role of bonds. Plus, Jurrien Timmer weighs in on the Fed's January meeting and China's cheaper AI model and what it might mean for tech stocks. Read the full transcript View the slides Watch the video replay
President Donald Trump has been sworn in as the 47th President. All eyes are on markets this week to see how they react to a new President, and his policies. Joining the show today to set you up for the exciting trading week ahead is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on January 20, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Friday's employment data confirms that the U.S. economy remains strong and the labor market remains tight. Today's guest says this allows less room, if any, for the Fed to cut rates. Market expectations now suggest the Fed may be done easing, signally a potentially more hawkish stance. How might rising yields and a stronger U.S. dollar shape financial conditions moving forward? And what does he expect to be an ongoing theme for 2025? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on January 13, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced his resignation. Trudeau declared his intention to stay on as prime minister until a new leader is chosen and has asked for the prorogation of Parliament until March 24. Wall Street and Bay Street opened higher on January 6, and investors will be watching December jobs data due Friday for signs of the U.S. economy's strength. As we step into a new trading year, what were the key takeaways from 2024? And how can we apply those lessons to navigate the markets in 2025? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on January 6, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
On today's podcast we'll hear from Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, in our quick hit series “Timmer Time” Today Jurrien outlines the most important questions facing markets in 2025, and let's you know what investors should focus on. For more from Jurrien, head to the Insights section of fidelity.ca to read a recap of his December market insights on the resilient bull market, potential policy shifts from the incoming administration, and the evolving cryptocurrency landscape. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer is back on the show today to discuss the current market environment and his outlook for 2025. He addresses the strong year-end rally in the markets and the continued momentum in the “Magnificent Seven” stocks. He also discusses his expectations for earnings growth, interest rates, inflation, and treasury yields. Jurrien outlines how investors could navigate the new market environment by looking beyond the traditional 60/40 model and incorporating alternatives, gold, and cash. This podcast was recorded on December 16th, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study
Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer is back on the show today to provide his analysis of this week's markets. Much of today's focus is on Bitcoin. Jurrien explains why Bitcoin's demand has been increasing lately, and how this is driving its price. He speaks about Bitcoin's role as a monetary asset and a hedge against inflation, along with gold. Jurrien also analyzes the performance of the Magnificent Seven, and provides his outlook on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Recorded on December 9th, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer is back on the show today to outline the current state of the markets. Jurrien shares his views on the all-time highs made by the S&P 500 recently, the valuations of large-cap growth stocks, and the crypto market. He also provides an outlook for commodities, gold, and the auto industry, and speaks to the uncertainties around the policies of the incoming administration, including potential changes to taxes, tariffs and regulation, discussing the potential impacts of these policies on the economy and markets. This podcast was recorded on December 2nd, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer is back on the show today to discuss the current state of the markets. With its recent surge in value, Jurrien talks about Bitcoin today. He provides insights into the factors driving Bitcoin's growth, including the potential impact of a crypto-friendly administration and the increasing adoption of Bitcoin-related investment products. He also speaks to concerns about the sustainability of Bitcoin's valuation and the potential risks associated with investing in it. Jurrien's conversation with host Pamela Ritchie also touches on the broadening of the market beyond the top-performing stocks, and the potential impact of rising interest rates and inflation on the market, as well as the implications for the U.S. dollar and its effect of emerging markets. And of course, no macro analysis this week would be complete without addressing the potential impact of policy changes under the new administration, including the possibility of tariffs and the potential effects on the market. Recorded on November 25th, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer is back on the show today to talk us through the current state of the markets. He speaks to the broadening of the stock market beyond the top tech companies, with small caps and other sectors participating in the rally. On the topic of valuations and earnings, he points out that while 2024 is seeing robust returns driven by earnings and valuation expansion, 2025 may be more earnings-driven as valuations normalize. Jurrien and host Pamela Ritchie also discuss Bitcoin and Crypto, AI and tech stocks, and how the Dollar's strength relates to Fed policy. Take a listen. Follow Jurrien's slides @TimmerFidelity on X. Recorded on November 18, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
On today's show, join Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro, to better understand what's moving the markets around the world and to be better prepared for what may be next. Jurrien and host Pamela Ritchie discuss market movements after last week's U.S. elections, and more. Follow Jurrien's slides @TimmerFidelity on X. Recorded on November 11, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
It's a busy time in global markets. We are only a few business days away from the US presidential election. It is also the busiest earnings week of the third quarter, with many tech heavyweights reporting. And here in Canada, market watchers are eagerly anticipating new GDP data. There's lots to unpack in the markets right now, and back on the show to help us break it all down is Fidelity's Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer. Jurrien addresses the prospect of a low-return environment ahead, as some market analysts predict a "lost decade" with moderate gains for both stocks and bonds. He notes that historically, markets oscillate between periods of high and low returns, and with current high valuations, mean reversion may naturally drive returns lower. Jurrien and host Pamela Ritchie discuss the role of liquidity, noting that technical factors like the reverse repo program have buffered the effects of the Fed's tightening. Jurrien expects these buffers to diminish in 2025, potentially spurring a liquidity wave that could boost equities without triggering a recession, though it may slightly elevate inflation. He highlights a balanced labor market, which reduces inflationary pressures, and believes supply disruptions like port strikes will have minimal impact. He also looks ahead to 2025, where he foresees both equity growth and rising yields, which could create occasional market volatility. Recorded on October 28th, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
In this episode, Jurrien Timmer joins the show to discuss where we are in the current bull market, the push & pull between earnings and valuations, and the various influences on interest rates. We also delve into when the US debt level becomes a real problem, monetary hedges, and much more. Enjoy! __ Follow Jurrien: https://x.com/TimmerFidelity Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world's crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:14) Where Are We in the Bull Market? (04:22) Is this Bull Market Unique? (07:07) Economic Resilience to Short Rates (09:12) Quantitative Tightening & Liquidity (12:39) Election Impact on Markets (15:54) Unpacking the Move in Yields (22:20) Outlook for Risk Assets (26:39) Earnings vs Valuation (34:52) Ledger Ad (35:37) Did We Achieve A Soft Landing? (37:32) Inflation Reacceleration Risk (42:02) Gold, Bitcoin & Monetary Hedges (45:40) Path To Negative Real Rates (49:07) When Does The US Level Debt Actually Matter? (56:42) Learn More About Jurrien __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
Back on the show today for a detailed analysis of the macro factors shaping markets this week is Fidelity's Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer, offering a detailed analysis of the Fed's monetary policy and its implications for markets. Jurrien explains the technical factors, such as reverse repos and the Treasury General Account, that have offset the Fed's quantitative tightening effects. He outlines the scenario of a potential "fiscal cliff" if the government faces budgetary gridlock, which could push the Fed to end quantitative tightening to avoid reducing bank reserves, likely leading to increased liquidity. He sees this liquidity wave benefitting equities, gold, and bitcoin, since these are assets that generally thrive in a liquid environment. For inflation, Jurrien sees a higher baseline of around 2.5-3% as tolerable for the Fed, especially given fiscal challenges and elevated debt service costs. This environment could still support the stock market, as inflation in this range generally doesn't harm equity valuations. Bonds, however, may struggle to deliver capital gains, especially as yields have risen, reducing the negative correlation between stocks and bonds that once served as a key portfolio hedge. Recorded on October 21st, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Following Friday's U.S. jobs numbers that were well above estimates, a soft landing appeared more within reach than ever. With strong labour numbers and a seemingly resilient economy, is there room for the bull market to continue? And what about Q3 earnings season? Can earnings maintain market momentum? Back on the show today to take us through these questions and many more, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer. Jurrien emphasizes that while earnings are still growing, the acceleration may be slowing, which could affect momentum and stock prices, especially in popular sectors like AI. He notes that we're currently in the mid-stages of the current bull market, but rising interest rates could limit the upside. Jurrien and host Pamela Ritchie also talk about the valuation of emerging markets, particularly India, and the issue of stock dilution. Jurrien explains that while the U.S. market tends to reward shareholders more through buybacks and returns, emerging markets have historically diluted shareholder value, which affects their P/E ratios. Despite this, he believes that emerging markets will remain attractive due to various growth factors. Recorded on October 7th, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
The global economic cycle may be due for a rebound. As September ends, the S&P, DOW, and NASDAQ are all up more than 1.5 percent on the month. And stocks in China surged over 8 percent for the country's best day in 16 years. So, going into Q4, where do we go from here? Back on the show today to unpack the latest market action is Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer. Jurrien explains the complexities surrounding the concept of R-Star, the neutral interest rate, and emphasizes the challenges in determining whether the Federal Reserve's policies are restrictive or neutral, given the current economic context. Referencing plenty of economic data as usual, he highlights that the markets appear to be pricing in a soft landing scenario, with stable fundamentals and increasing earnings growth, while uncertainty about the upcoming U.S. elections adds complexity to market leadership. Jurrien and host Pamela Ritchie also discuss shifts in the labor market. The key question seems to be whether the Fed can maintain the current balance in the labor market without triggering a more significant economic downturn, as shifts in employment rates could lead to a different phase in the economic cycle. Recorded on September 30th, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
On today's podcast, host Glen Davidson sits down with Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro, for an interview in a very captivating space – the Fidelity Chart Room. We'll hear the history of how this esteemed room came to be decades ago, was used over the years, and how it is still used today. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer is back on the show today for his analysis on the latest market action, including the much-anticipated Fed announcement and what it may mean for you. He explains that the size and speed of the rate cut are not as important as the terminal rate and the Fed's path to reaching a neutral policy rate. He believes the Fed has room to be more aggressive with a 50 basis point cut to jump-start the rate cutting cycle, as inflation has moderated and the economy is not in crisis. Jurrien and host Pamela Ritchie also discuss the rotation in the market away from the mega-cap growth stocks towards the broader market, and how active management can help capitalize on this shift. Jurrien also touches on the favorable financial conditions, the strength of the earnings outlook, and the implications of fiscal dominance for gold prices. Recorded on September 16th, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
On episode 157 of The Compound and Friends, Michael Batnick and Downtown Josh Brown are joined by Jurrien Timmer to discuss: the Fed's first cut, the labor market, economic indicators, the fall of Carl Icahn, and much more! This episode is sponsored by Public. Discover how you can lock in a 6.8% yield until 2028 with a Bond Account at: https://public.com/compound Sign up for The Compound Newsletter and never miss out! https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe Instagram: https://instagram.com/thecompoundnews Twitter: https://twitter.com/thecompoundnews LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-compound-media/ A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The [6.9%] yield is the average annualized yield to maturity (YTM) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees, as of [8/28/2024]. A bond's yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate; therefore a bond's YTM is “locked in” when the bond is purchased. Your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTM is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTM of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity, or if the issuer calls or defaults on the bond. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. See our Fee Schedule. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. You should evaluate each bond before investing in a Bond Account. The bonds in your Bond Account will not be rebalanced and allocations will not be updated, except for Corporate Actions. Fractional Bonds also carry additional risks including that they are only available on Public and cannot be transferred to other brokerages. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds. See Bond Account Disclosures to learn more. Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
U.S. equity markets popped at the start of this week - a sign of hope for investors following a bleak trading week last week. After another soft jobs report last Friday, the focus is squarely back on growth. The JOLTS report shows that all of the excess labor demand from the pandemic has been corrected. So now the question is - does it stop here? Back on the show to shed light on this and much more is Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer. Jurrien reminds listeners and host Pamela Ritchie that market conditions have remained stable. He discusses the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cuts, noting skepticism about the need for aggressive cuts, while emphasizing the shift in focus from inflation control to supporting economic growth. He addresses the debate over whether rate cuts indicate economic deterioration or a controlled slowdown, and of course, references many historical examples. Jurrien also touches on broader market trends, such as the potential unwinding of the dominance of the Mag Seven tech stocks and the strengthening of other sectors, and he considers the impact of AI on productivity and economic growth. Recorded on September 9th, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Earnings estimates continue to rise. This rise in earnings combined with falling rates could be a good backdrop for equities, a few high valuations notwithstanding. Joining us to unpack the latest market action is Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro. Jurrien speaks with host Pamela Ritchie about the risks and effects of a possible rotation out of mega caps stocks and how a gradual reduction in rates by the Fed could change the economic landscape. Expanding on his market insights, Jurrien says if we do get a rotation out of the Magnifcent 7, we could be in a “careful what you wish for scenario.” He says wherever big stocks go, people will follow. Jurrien says we're coming to a normalization in the market in both directions since the pandemic and he believes we are not heading into a recession. Jurrien says yes, we need to stay vigilant and monitor market moves, but investors should also take this as an opportunity to rebalance and diversify their portfolios. You can also see Jurrien's slides on X, formerly known as Twitter. Recorded on August 19, 2024. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro, is back today for his quick hit “Timmer Time” to share why elections may, or may not, matter to financial markets. Also why bonds may be back! For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
After a week of volatility, US equity and bond markets are on the rebound. Key economic data will be released shortly, including CPI and retail sales. Joining us to unpack the latest market action, and what it may mean for you is Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro. Jurrien speaks with host Pamela Ritchie, and shares his latest thoughts on the Fed, monetary policy, and valuations. Also, what market movers to keep an eye on in the near future. As always Jurrien will be sharing his ever-popular charts, so we encourage you to follow along by watching this as a video podcast on platforms that support video such as Spotify or YouTube Music. You can also see Jurrien's slides on X, formerly known as Twitter. Recorded on August 12, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.
Join Jurrien Timmer as he explores the current financial landscape, discussing Bitcoin's place in portfolios and the economic factors shaping our future. Learn why he thinks Bitcoin deserves a spot alongside traditional assets and what that means for the upcoming bull market. This episode offers an insightful look at market trends, the Fed's role, and the potential for a new financial era. Jurrien Timmer: https://x.com/TimmerFidelity ►► Sponsored by iTrust Capital Invest in Bitcoin, Crypto Assets & Gold with Your IRA Using iTrust Capital.
In this episode featuring Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro for Fidelity, we discuss: Why TradFi will embrace Bitcoin Bitcoin has the 'supply characteristics of gold' and 'demand characteristics of a network' How much should traditional investors allocate to Bitcoin? How has the 60/40 paradigm evolved and where does Bitcoin fit in? Why Bitcoin is exponential gold and an ‘aspirational' store of value Will Bitcoin be the dominant macro asset that demonetizes real estate, equities, bonds, etc? Retail vs institutional demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs Financial repression and fiscal dominance How markets reacts to presidential election cycle Do all roads lead to money printing? ---- Bio: Jurrien Timmer is the Director of Global Macro at Fidelity Investments. In this role, Timmer is part of Fidelity's Global Asset Allocation (GAA) group, where he specializes in asset allocation and global macro strategy. Additionally, he is responsible for analyzing market trends and synthesizing investment perspectives across Asset Management to generate market strategy insights for the media, as well as for Fidelity's clients. Before joining Fidelity in 1995, Mr. Timmer was a vice president in the Fixed Income group at ABN AMRO. He has been in the financial industry since 1985. Follow Jurrien on X at https://x.com/TimmerFidelity ---- Coin Stories is powered by Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ: BTDR), a publicly-traded leader in Bitcoin mining that stands alone as the only vertically-integrated, technology-focused Bitcoin mining company. Learn more at www.bitdeer.com. ---- Natalie's Promotional Links: Bitcoin Nashville is July 25-27th! Join me for my 3rd Annual Women of Bitcoin Brunch! Get 10% off your conference passes using the code HODL: https://b.tc/conference. Buy Bitcoin, secure it through multisig collaborative custody, start a Bitcoin IRA or take out a Bitcoin loan with UNCHAINED: https://shorturl.at/jmW29 promo code Natalie Never wait or pay high fees for making Bitcoin payments. Use Speed Lightning Wallet to instantly send and receive Bitcoin: https://speedbtcwallet.onelink.me/cGph/coinstories Safely self-custody your Bitcoin with Coinkite and the ColdCard Wallet. Get 5% off: https://shorturl.at/apsLU Master your Bitcoin self-custody with 1-on-1 help and gain peace of mind with the help of The Bitcoin Way: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/partners/natalie-brunell Protect yourself from SIM Swaps that can hack your accounts and steal your Bitcoin. Join America's most secure mobile service, trusted by CEOs, VIPs and top corporations: https://www.efani.com/natalie Don't waste hundreds of dollars per month on fiat health insurance. Join me at CrowdHealth, a large community of Bitcoiners passionate about health who crowdfund each other's care: www.crowdhealth.com/natalie Connect with Bitcoiners and Bitcoin merchants wherever you live and travel on the Orange Pill App: https://shorturl.at/gvxS3 ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target is just gravity: it's a sure force, something the investing world simply takes for granted. But, Fidelity Investments's Jurrien Timmer believes that force is about to change: “Three is the new two in terms of inflation. And by some metrics, if you take longer-term measures of inflation, we're closer to three and a half”. Timmer is director of global macro at Fidelity, an 80-year-old investing house that manages an astounding $13 trillion. In the latest episode of the Finimize podcast, he and Carl discuss where US inflation will ultimately land, whether the yield curve even matters anymore, and much more.Listen in the Finimize app, or wherever you get your podcasts.Partner with us: https://business.finimize.com/Subscribe To Finimize Newsletter: https://finimize.com/
Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Mark Zandi, Claudia Sahm, and Jurrien Timmer. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer, has suggested that the Bitcoin (BTC) market cap has the potential to reach a quarter of the “monetary gold” market, hitting an impressive $6 trillion. Meanwhile, altcoins are still heating up.~This episode is sponsored by iTrust Capital~iTrustCapital | Get $100 Funding Reward + No Monthly Fees when you sign up using our custom link! ➜ https://bit.ly/iTrustPaul00:00 Intro00:19 Sponsor: iTrust Capital00:49 BTC ETF breaks volume record00:41 Donald Trump04:36 ETFs in 6 months + Price Prediction08:07 Crypto downsides09:33 ETFs distraction to utility10:53 Uniswap11:36 Solana Updates13:19 Charts (LuxAlgo)14:26 Outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~Crypto Weekend Outlook
Crypto News Alerts | Daily Bitcoin (BTC) & Cryptocurrency News
One Bitcoin may be equivalent to $1 billion by this specific date, according to Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro at Fidelity. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Crypto News Alerts | Daily Bitcoin (BTC) & Cryptocurrency News
Fidelity Investments' ($4.5 trillion AUM) global macro director Jurrien Timmer updated his 2025 outlook on Bitcoin following the latest BTC price surge. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On this episode of “On The Tape,” Guy & Danny discuss rising interest rates (3:00), gold/bitcoin (14:30), oil demand destruction (17:00), Only an Equities Crash Can Rescue the Bond Market, Barclays Says (19:00), strikes (21:00), consumer stocks (22:00), Danny rips off the tape on the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) (25:00), Genius Sports (27:30), and NFL picks of the week (29:30). Later, Dan & Guy are joined by Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro at Fidelity to talk about the stock market in limbo (35:30), what it will take for the market rally to broaden out (39:00), the yield curve (47:30), rate-sensitive sectors in the market (51:00), the consumer (54:30), and U.S. dollar strength (57:30). TAKE OUR SURVEY: https://rb.gy/3m8if About the Show: On The Tape is a weekly podcast with CNBC Fast Money's Guy Adami, Dan Nathan and Danny Moses. They're offering takes on the biggest market-moving headlines of the week, trade ideas, in-depth analysis, tips and advice. Each episode, they are joined by prominent Wall Street participants to help viewers make smarter investment decisions. Bear market, bull market, recession, inflation or deflation… we're here to help guide your portfolio into the green. Risk Reversal brings you years of experience from former Wall Street insiders trading stocks to experts in the commodity market. Check out our show notes here Learn more about Ro body: ro.co/tape See what adding futures can do for you at cmegroup.com/onthetape. Shoot us an email at OnTheTape@riskreversal.com with any feedback, suggestions, or questions for us to answer on the pod and follow us @OnTheTapePod. We're on social: Follow Dan Nathan @RiskReversal on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow Danny Moses @DMoses34 on Twitter Follow Liz Young @LizYoungStrat on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Subscribe to our YouTube page