Podcasts about Global macro

Key TopicsThe cyclicality of trend, value, momentum, and other stylesWhy Dantes Outlook blends trend, relative strength, and dispersionManaging risk during the crucial mid-30s to 40s accumulation yearsSequence-of-returns risk and why it is the “silent killer” of retirement portfoliosHow rolling return analysis helps investors avoid misleading conclusionsThe case for global diversification beyond U.S.-centric portfoliosWhy non-U.S. equities may be entering a long-term leadership cycleMaintaining a risk mandate you can stick with across market regimesVisit us at www.dantesoutlook.com

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, sit down with Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, to break down the current cyclical and secular bull markets, how AI compares to past transformative periods, what rising rates have meant for valuations, and why international equities are becoming more attractive. They also touch on the role of gold and Bitcoin, how to think about barbell strategies, and what history teaches about market narratives. Key TakeawaysMarket Setup: Today's environment features a cyclical bull market on top of a long-running secular bull market, similar to past periods like 1994 and the late 1990s.Interest Rates & Valuations: The 2022 market drop came largely from PE compression as rates jumped from near zero to 5%, while earnings actually grew.Historical Parallels: Timmer highlights similarities between today and both the late 1960s (loose fiscal policy, sticky inflation) and late 1990s (tech-driven excitement).Barbell Approach: A mix of mega-cap leaders and undervalued international equities may help manage concentration risk, especially as Europe and Japan boost payouts and trade at lower valuations.Gold & Bitcoin: Timmer views both as scarce, diversifying assets that hedge against periods when bonds may struggle, especially in potential fiscal-dominance environments.Small Caps vs. Large Caps: Small caps show mixed performance due to both traditional domestic exposure and speculative, unprofitable tech tied to AI.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Jurrien Timmer:• LinkedIn: Jurrien Timmer• X: @TimmerFidelityQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comDisclosure: Jurrien Timmer is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC.Hashtags#FactsVsFeelings #MarketInsights #InvestingPodcast #MacroOutlook #GlobalMarkets #AssetAllocation #CarsonGroup

Equity markets are recovering after indigestion took over through last week. The question of whether a slowing equity market can make it a stronger equity market is being asked. Perhaps this is a useful shift in the narrative away from zero-sum talk. Will the next few weeks of greater government data releases in the US, and the “annual dance” before a year-end Fed decision, allow for markets to calmly march forward? Joining today's episode to help us understand where a 5% drawdown in equity markets lands us as we approach the final month of the year, is Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on November 23, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Key Topics CoveredWhy major equity indices sit far above trendUnderstanding rotations and style cyclesLessons from past extremes (2021, dot-com bubble, 2008–2021 growth dominance)Why valuations matter for decade-long returnsThe risks behind overspending, AI optimism, and mega-sized corporate debt dealsInsights from the Association for Corporate Growth conference in NYCInnovation vs. investor objectivity: avoiding hope-based investingHow the Dantes Outlook's framework is adjusting factor exposureWhy global value is gaining relative strengthWhy combining value + quality (“QARP”—Quality at a Reasonable Price) smooths returnsQuality as a low-volatility style that resists market drawdownsWhy shifting entirely to deep value today would be a mistakeCreating a global blend across different economic cyclesInvestor TakeawaysMarkets move in cycles—don't chase the latest swing.High valuations today imply lower long-term expected returns.A blended factor approach can avoid “value traps” and speculative bubbles.Quality + value helps build a durable core with opportunistic upside.Patience and discipline drive long-term returns—not market gamification.Best ForLong-term investorsAdvisors and CIOs refining factor exposuresListeners seeking plain-language explanations of market cyclesAnyone rethinking portfolio positioning in a late-cycle environmentVisit us at www.dantesoutlook.com

In this episode of EisnerAmper's Engaging Alternatives, Elana Margulies-Snyderman, Director, Publications, speaks with Paul Podolsky, Founder and CIO, Kate Capital, a discretionary global macro manager. Paul, who previously spent over 15 years as an executive at Bridgewater Associates, shares his outlook for his investment strategy, including the greatest opportunities, challenges and more. ✨ What you'll learn:

With market concentration and top-heavy-ness a reality, how narrow is the path forward for investors to tread? There is an argument for harvesting beta, but there is also the presence of powerful stimulus in US markets from a loosening Fed and benevolent tax policy - both of which can propel equity markets further into the horizon. This propulsion is evident over-seas as well as in the US, allowing investors the choice to diversify via region. Joining today's episode for his brilliant take at the beginning of a big week for US - and maybe global - earnings is Fidelity's Head of Global Macros Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on November 17, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.  

Mark Farrington is a Global Macro and Geopolitical Strategist and author of the 'Watchtower Reports,' which cover topics ranging from geopolitical risk to Bank of Japan monetary policy to US dollar dynamics. He previously served as Managing Director and Portfolio Manager of the Macro Currency Group at Principal Global Investors, where he worked for fifteen years. Before that, he spent 17 years in the Asia-Pacific region, primarily with Bankers Trust. In this podcast, we discuss: US Embrace of Industrial Policy and Self-Sufficiency China's Supply Chain Strategy and Retaliation: Barriers to RMB Internationalisation China's Strategic Interest in Gold Enduring US Dollar Dominance Geopolitical Alpha and Experiential Learning Convergence of Allies on US Worldview Fragility and Vulnerability of Europe Financial Crisis Catalysts: Inflation and Volatility The Threat of Systemic Volatility Books mentioned: Theory of International Politics (Kenneth N. Waltz), The Black Swan (Nassim Nicholas Taleb), The Tipping Point (Malcolm Gladwell), Weaving the Net: Conditional Engagement with China (James Shinn), The Meiji Restoration (W.G. Beasley), The Anarchy: The Relentless Rise of the East India Company (William Dalrymple). You can follow Mark's work here.

North American equity markets are off to a strong start this week. As Congress begins steps to avoid a government shutdown, investors are also encouraged by a surprisingly strong earnings season. And the momentum looks good overseas too, with non-U.S. markets showing accelerating earnings estimates and strong performance. But the big question now is whether markets have overestimated AI's ability to drive long-term growth and help the U.S. manage its rising debt. So what does this mean for investors? And how might it shape the path ahead? Joining today's episode to unpack the latest macro movers impacting the markets is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on November 10, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, and Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, are back to break down the latest macro news and market drivers after a brutal week for risk assets.

In this episode:Why extreme bearish sentiment often precedes market recoveriesThe role of relative strength in identifying global equity opportunitiesHow Dantes Outlook is adapting its allocation framework amid shifting leadershipThe importance of staying systematic and globally diversified through volatilityFor full portfolio updates and performance insights:

In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Brad Barrie, Co-Founder, Managing Director, and Chief Investment Officer at Dynamic Wealth Group, to unpack how global-macro investing helps investors prepare for uncertainty — not predict it.From his Halloween-candy analogy on diversification to the risks hiding behind record valuations, Brad explains why hope isn't a strategy, why true diversification means non-correlation, and how the Dynamic Alpha Macro Fund aims to thrive when others panic.In this episode:– Why diversification today often means being “badly diversified”– How global macro can hedge against high valuations and volatility– Why the Dynamic Alpha Macro Fund (DYMAX) is built for flexibility– How technicals and fundamentals work together in a macro framework– Why investors need multiple drivers of return, not just hopeLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise#LeadLagLive #DynamicWealthGroup #GlobalMacro #Investing #Diversification #Markets #DYMAXStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V Support the show

The tantrum in April was tough, but it has been a bountiful year, says today's guest. With an international trade policy that is proving to be less bad than expected for U.S. stocks, as well as the helpful tax and depreciation levers built into the One Big Beautiful Bill, the U.S. exceptionalism story rolls out news highs weekly. A continued expansion in spend for A.I. development provides a powerful platform for the A.I. trade in the year to come as well. Joining this episode to discuss what this may mean for investors and advisors alike is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on November 3, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Topics Covered:High-beta vs. low-volatility stock performanceWhy narrow market breadth can lead to leadership shiftsSigns of improving fundamentals after a mild earnings recessionThe impact of new small-business tax cuts on growth and jobsThe case for quality stocks in a late-cycle environmentGlobal opportunities in value and emerging-market equitiesKey Takeaway:Rotation and selectivity — not just momentum — will shape the next leg of this market.Visit us at dantesoutlook.com

Paula re-joins Jason in studio for a discussion around the US macroeconomic environment, including an outlook for growth, and Fed rate cuts. We also discuss the factors driving equity market momentum, valuations, and portfolio positioning preferences. Featured is Paula Campbell Roberts, Chief Investment Strategist for Global Wealth, Global Client Solutions, Global Macro and Asset Allocation at KKR, and Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas at the UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

2025 has shown some fascinating correlations. Some that we would never have expected, like utilities' performance at the levels of the S&P 500, and strange bed fellows vying for runner up status in the bull market on a year to date basis. As the world this week prepares for more detail on a possible US-China trade deal, a Fed move, and trillions of dollars' worth of earnings to be announced, markets power forward. Can this power extend sustainably to the smaller cap, or equally weighted version of the US markets, or is this the year for those massive tech giants to steal the spotlight, again? How does the Global bull market share the gains through the end of this year? Joining today's episode for a tour through charts and graphs that paint the picture of the market, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on October 27, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Let us know your thoughts, questions, and who you want to hear from next!Join us for an exclusive conversation with Dan Tapiero, a renowned macro investor and one of the first institutional managers to embrace the world of crypto. As the founder of 50T—a top private equity fund focused on blockchain infrastructure—Dan shares his journey from partnering with industry legends like Julian Robertson and Steve Cohen, to making bold, early bets in digital assets. Discover why Dan believes the digital asset ecosystem is on track to hit $50 trillion, how 50T is investing in the “picks and shovels” powering Web3, and what this means for investors looking to tap into the future of global finance. Whether you're a seasoned allocator or crypto-curious, this episode delivers rare insights from one of the sector's true visionaries.Disclaimer: The information in this podcast series is for general financial educational purposes only, should not be considered financial advice and is only intended for wholesale clients. That means the information does not consider your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider if the information is appropriate for you and your needs. You should always consult your trusted licensed professional adviser before making any investment decision.

In This Episode:Why Treasuries are having their strongest October in years.The significance of the negative stock–bond correlation and what it signals for portfolios.Inflation and labor market trends supporting potential Fed rate cuts.How gold, palladium, and other metals fit into a late-cycle allocation.Our portfolio adjustments: longer-duration Treasuries, selective pro-cyclical tilts, and risk management strategies.Why loose financial conditions continue to support speculation — and how we're positioning for the next phase of the cycle.Resources & Links:Subscribe to our Dantes Outlook Substack for full market intelligence updates and model portfolio insights.Email our team: damanick@dantesoutlook.com for private client access and portfolio consultation.

Is this a gilded age of gold and AI as twin investments? Markets last week saw a cooling of some animal spirits due to question marks surrounding U.S.-China trade talks and some U.S. regional banks. The endless but very important question remains about whether AI is in a bubble. That question is answered by today's guest with the comment, the markets look okay. Joining this episode to explore the parallels being drawn to past periods of accelerated growth is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on October 20, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.  

In this episode:Key findings from the Q3 2025 Market Intelligence ReportWhy asset dispersion is narrowing and what that means for diversificationWhere our models see strength—select metals, emerging markets, and durationThe implications of a neutral dollar and extended U.S. equitiesHow we're positioning portfolios for selective exposure and flexibilityReferenced in this episode:Dantes Outlook Market Intelligence Report (Q3 2025)Substack: https://dantesoutlook.substack.comLearn more: https://dantesoutlook.com 

On episode 192 of Ask The Compound, Ben Carlson and Duncan Hill are joined by Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro at Fidelity Investments to discuss the new normal of market concentration, the slowing labor market, international stocks, the deal with gold, defining a bubble and more. Submit your Ask The Compound questions to askthecompoundshow@gmail.com!  This episode is sponsored by Rocket Money. Cancel your unwanted subscriptions and reach your financial goals faster with Rocket Money. Go to https://rocketmoney.com/atc today. This episode is presented by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+, Fidelity's most powerful trading platform yet. Learn more at: https://www.Fidelity.com/TraderPlus Subscribe to The Compound Newsletter for all the latest Compound content, live event announcements, find out who the next TCAF guest is, get updates on the latest merch drops, and more! ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

For this special mini-series, we are recording from the Kepler Alternatives Summit at Wembley Stadium and are thrilled to be joined by six brilliant guests from around the world.In this episode we spend 20mins with Yuexin Zeng, Head of Investor Relations / Macro Analyst at Ocean Arete Limited, to discuss global macro trends, reverse globalisation, East–West economic shifts, and investment opportunities in China's evolving, innovation-led economy.The value of investments and any income from them can fall as well as rise and neither is guaranteed. Investors may not get back the capital they invested. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. The material is provided for informational purposes only. No news or research item is a personal recommendation to trade. Tax treatment depends on the individual circumstances of each client and may be subject to change in the future. Nothing contained herein constitutes investment, legal, tax or other advice.The views and opinions expressed are the views of W1M Wealth Management Limited and are subject to change based on market and other conditions. The information provided does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such.It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. All material(s) have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. There is no representation or warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Copyright © W1M Wealth Management Limited. W1M Wealth Management Limited is authorised and regulated by both by the Financial Conduct Authority of 12 Endeavour Square, London E20 1JN, with firm reference number 120776 and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission of 100 F Street, NE Washington, DC 20549, with firm reference number 801-63787. Registered in England and Wales, Company Number 02080604.Copyright © Waverton Investment Management. Registered Office: 16 Babmaes Street, London, SW1Y 6AH. Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England No 2042285.Copyright © London and Capital Asset Management Limited. London and Capital Asset Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority of 12 Endeavour Square, London E20 1JN, with firm reference number 143286. Registered in England and Wales, Company Number 02112588.London and Capital Wealth Management Europe A.V., S.A. registered with the Commercial Registry of Barcelona at Volume 48048, Sheet 215, Page B-570650 and with Tax Identification Number (NIF) A16860488, authorised and supervised by the Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores (“CNMV”), and registered at CNMV's register under number 307 (https://www.cnmv.es/portal/home.aspx). Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We continue to power through bull market conditions, both on a secular and cyclical basis. A global well-spring of investment opportunities continues to broaden for investors, and technicals remain strong, for now. How will the upcoming earnings season impact the cyclical story? Will tariffs start to bite in a more meaningful way, or will policy changes stemming from the One Big Beautiful Bill kick in just in time? With the Cap-ex cycle for AI in relentless mode, today's guest says there is a lot to like about the current state of affairs for equity investors. Joining this episode to take us through the charts that spell out a continuing bull thesis, while exposing some of the cautionary elements in the marketplace, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on September 29, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

As the trade channels of a new, multipolar world begin to form, the investment thesis that could stick is a global bull market. Is the current bull market a cyclical one within a much more secular story? Do the charts show us a new, sustainable leg up, with the Fed now in easing mode? And what are investors to do with inflation? Joining today's episode to help guide your decisions in this new era of Federal Reserve policy, layered on top of a relentless A.I. build out is Fidelity's Head of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on September 22, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Abdulelah's background and pathway to technical analysisMentorship, the CMT Association, and Riyadh chapter goalsGrowth opportunities in Saudi Arabia and the UAECyclicality, sector exposure, and local vs. global dynamicsUsing relative strength and market breadth in regional analysisAdjusting time frames and macro considerationsVision for growing a regional professional networkLooking ahead to the CMT conferences in Riyadh and DubaiVisit us at www.dantesoutlook.comEmail damanick@dantesoutlook to request a meeting.

Why copper/gold and silver/copper ratios may be sending different signals this cyclePositioning ahead of the FOMC meeting in rates and FXDuration strategy during rate-cutting cyclesActive vs. passive performance in the bond marketElena Zeng on Chinese equities:Hong Kong momentum rebound vs. mainland lagRelative strength of China vs. EM equitiesDomestic liquidity, share buybacks, and foreign inflowsWhy China remains a tactical allocation, not a core holdingVisit us at DantesOutlook.comEmail Damanick@DantesOutlook.com to request a meeting

Topics CoveredSetting the global context: the $7 trillion daily FX market and its driversThe advantages of technical analysis in high-liquidity marketsRule-based systems and algos: strategies for 24/5 tradingKey FX trading approaches: trend, mean reversion, breakouts, session-based, and news-drivenDubai's financial rise: DIFC, regulation, and the time zone advantageThe role of the CMT Association and Women in Technical Analysis in shaping the future of financeUpcoming EventsSeptember 28 – CMT Riyadh Community Meeting: a premier forum for market professionals across Saudi Arabia and beyond.Register hereSeptember 30–October 2 – CMT Global Investment Summit in Dubai: an elite gathering of fund managers, strategists, and investors decoding cross-asset trends and innovations in global markets.Register hereWomen in TA dinnerVisit us at www.dantesoutlook.com 

While the equity bull market remains narrow, with tech leaders directionally powering indices higher, does the rest of the market make sense today? And where in this market do newer assets, or newer asset allocations, take their place in the leaderboard? Where do gold, bitcoin, and bonds of all stripes rank? Does their current placement hold for the months and years ahead, as we settle into a space of fiscal dominance? Today's guest says that the earnings, buybacks and margins stories are indeed underwriting stock strength, despite a chaotic macro-economic picture. Though, there are signs this secular bull market is a maturing one. Joining this episode to share with you his latest research and thoughts is Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on September 8, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

U.S. Valuations: Deutsche Bank research shows that historically, high valuations have led to weaker 10-year returns, raising questions about long-term U.S. equity performanceAI and the Mag-7: The current rally is highly concentrated in mega-cap tech stocks, creating a potential disconnect between pricing and fundamentals.Global Equities & Currencies: State Street reports that the 9% year-to-date decline in the U.S. dollar has boosted international returns, with Europe benefiting mostSector Leadership in Europe: BlackRock highlights resilience in banks, aerospace & defense, luxury, and semiconductors, while remaining cautious on healthcareDiversification: AQR stresses the importance of liquid diversifiers, like trend-following strategies, in reducing risk and improving long-term returnsPortfolio Insights:Dantes Outlook Alpha Capture ETF Model Portfolio gained 2.33% in August, outperforming its benchmark by 30 bps.Key contributors: cyclical sectors, emerging markets, inflation beneficiaries (INFL), and Eurozone/U.S. bond exposure.Year-to-date results: Moderate +6.54%, Aggressive +32.67%, Conservative +9.45%Visit us at www.dantesoutlook.com to learn more.Email damanick@dantesoutlook.com to request a meeting.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and several European leaders are in Washington for ongoing discussions, and attention is turning to the Federal Reserve ahead of the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium taking place later this week from August 21st to 23rd. In the markets, Chinese equities are climbing - Shanghai-listed stocks just reached a ten-year high. Treasury yields are drifting lower, S&P 500 futures are steady, and Bitcoin has broken through a new level. Joining today's episode to unpack these developments, and what they mean for you, is Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on August 18, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Market Breadth: NYSE advancers outpaced decliners 4-to-1, suggesting resilience beneath the equity rally (SentimenTrader).Macro Signals: Inflation remains domestically driven; Fed unlikely to cut quickly. U.S. dollar regains strength versus peers (DeepMacro).Dantes Outlook Positioning: Trimmed active tilts, maintaining preference for U.S. equities while adding emerging markets. Funded by profits in gold and inflation hedges. Launched tactical semiconductor strategy based on momentum signals.Bond Market Evolution: Portfolio trading volumes in U.S. corporate bonds surged 54% in H1 2025, boosting liquidity and efficiency (Barclays).Investor Behavior: Morningstar's “Mind the Gap” shows investors underperform funds by ~1.2% annually due to timing mistakes.Forward-Looking Markets: Historical data shows equities often rebound after major payroll revisions, underscoring how markets anticipate economic shifts (Fidelity).Visit us at www.dantesoutlook.com 

Emerging market economies are benefiting from better-than-expected growth and inflation expectations, with local rates looking set to outperform amid a more dovish US Federal Reserve. Dirk Willer, managing director and global head of macroeconomic research at Citigroup, joins Damian Sassower, Bloomberg Intelligence's chief emerging-market fixed-income strategist, to assess the fixed-income landscape, with implications for interest rate and currency markets across the globe. Willer and Sassower touch on topics ranging from systematic drivers and foreign positioning to FX-hedge flows and central bank reserves.

Topics Covered:Portfolio construction in today's macro climate — balancing risk, correlations, and tracking error.Credit market health — Morningstar DBRS and Proskauer data show improving leverage, coverage, and default rates.Bond market reset — Deutsche Bank's historical context on the worst 5-year Treasury returns and forward expectations.Opportunities in core bonds — PIMCO's view on yields, international duration, and diversification benefits.DeepMacro model positioning — long USD, contrarian equity overweight, and rates strategy.Trend-following under pressure — why CTAs are lagging in 2025.Emerging markets strategy — Victor Zhou on activeness, tracking error, and the under-researched alpha potential in EM small caps.Key Takeaways:Dollar correlations are a driver of our U.S. equity overweight.Credit fundamentals are stronger, with default rates falling.Bond valuations have reset, creating better entry points, but real returns may remain modest.Trend-following struggles highlight the need for multi-strategy systematic approaches.In emerging markets, higher activeness and small-cap allocations improve alpha opportunities.References:Morningstar DBRSProskauer Private Credit Default ReportDeutsche Bank Global Markets ResearchPIMCO Fixed Income OutlookDeepMacro Model PositioningState Street Emerging Markets Strategy Research

This week's episode covers:U.S.–EU trade deal impact and the new 15% tariff baselineMargin debt surges—5th fastest rise since 1998 (source: Deutsche Bank)Fed and ECB hold steady, but tone remains cautiousBreadth weakening beneath the surface despite equity highsTrimming gold, watching silver/platinum and volatility signalsJuly portfolio performance + positioning adjustmentsWhat we're watching: CTA trends, EMFX momentum, and central bank shiftsReferenced Sources:Deutsche Bank Macro Strategy NotesSentimenTrader Momentum/Breadth IndicatorsMRB Partners EM Currency ResearchDantes Outlook internal trend models & analyticsConnect with us to access portfolios:DantesOutlook.com/connect

With trade deal announcements in full swing, global business leaders are pouring over whatever details can be found to show the emerging architecture of America's new trade connections. This week looks to major central banks in Canada and the U.S for decisions about whether to cut or hold interest rates, as well as for commentary from the BoC and the Fed on how to thread the needle between 'overly restrictive' and 'fighting future inflation'. For the economies of these two neighbours, it is a tale of two very different cities. Joining the show today to help set these moving parts into an investment thesis, while explaining the more evident fiscal dominance in markets, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on July 28, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Today's guest is Henry McVey, Head of Global Macro & Asset Allocation and Firmwide Market Risk and CIO of the KKR Balance Sheet.  In today's episode, Henry discusses the current macroeconomic landscape, emphasizing the regime change underway. He touches on the implications of a decline in the US dollar, where he sees opportunities in global markets, particularly in Europe and Japan, and asset allocation advice for investors.  (0:00) Starts (2:26) Investor appetite and regime change (6:20) The US dollar, AI, and the role of productivity (10:14) Market performance and valuation in the US and Europe (22:56) China's economic transformation (29:12) Private equity opportunities in Japan (35:34) Corporate strategy and the loneliness epidemic (45:57) US bonds and government indebtedness (51:02) Henry's most memorable investment ⁠LinkedIn Mid Year Outlook for 2025 Acceleration in the Global Flywheel Art of Learning ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Download their deck on how to navigate the “Big Beautiful Bill” and get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This week's topics include:✅ U.S.–Japan trade deal and what it means for global risk sentiment

The market climb continues with earnings season now in full swing. Companies reporting thus far have been able to meet, beat and release some more guidance - after a semi-paralysis in communication due to the tariff unknowns. While tariffs are still unknowns, the one big beautiful bill has passed and a larger pond for investors to fish in has opened up across the globe. Concerns about the Fed and the bond market are not going away, as this wall of worry continues to be tackled. Joining today's show to bring context to what this moment in the markets means for you is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on July 21, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

With a monster week of earnings around the corner and high flyers in the crypto and Mag7 space, what is the rest of the market signalling? Still resilience? How will releases of eco data like inflation, US treasury quarterly reporting, and the march toward the August 1st tariff deadline nudge markets to travel higher, or take a pause? Giving us the view from the top today is Fidelity Head of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. His incredible charts and graphs could help you stick handle the roads to investing in the second half. Recorded on July 14, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Stock markets have shrugged off multiple layers of risk over the last week to sit in the all-time highs range. Today's guest says we are witnessing momentum, which usually begets more momentum. Is this the case in today's market? How can investors evaluate which signals will inform us about caution, and which signals may help drive equities higher? On a macro level, can U.S. growth peak out, and pass from behind the certain debt drag that has been signed into law via the Big Beautiful Bill? Joining today's episode with research to help you wade through the slightly foggy, but potentially bullish picture is Fidelity's Head of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on July 7, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

J Mintzmyer of Value Investor's Edge talks global tensions and trade wars in the context of shipping (1:30). More bullish on tankers and dry bulk, oil rigs (5:40) Israel/Iran; Russia/Ukraine possible scenarios (7:35). Russian oil sanctions (11:20). Oil price movements and reactions (12:55). Shorting Walmart - a brief update (18:30).Show Notes:Why J Mintzmyer Is Short Walmart And Long 3 Shipping StocksDisruptions And Delays Usually Bullish For Shipping RatesJ Mintzmyer's Note Of Caution On ShippingRed Sea Disruptions And 2 Key Shipping SegmentsEpisode transcriptFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions

Hoover Institution Fellow Jon Hartley and Hedge Fund Investor Kyle Bass discuss Kyle's career and upbringing, the 2000s housing crisis, the 2010s European sovereign debt crisis, the rise and fall of Japan's economy, China's rising aggression and decoupling from the US, and why the US remains the best place in the world to continue to invest as an innovation hub.  Recorded on June 13, 2025. ABOUT THE SERIES: Each episode of Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century, a video podcast series and the official podcast of the Hoover Economic Policy Working Group, focuses on getting into the weeds of economics, finance, and public policy on important current topics through one-on-one interviews. Host Jon Hartley asks guests about their main ideas and contributions to academic research and policy. The podcast is titled after Milton Friedman‘s famous 1962 bestselling book Capitalism and Freedom, which after 60 years, remains prescient from its focus on various topics which are now at the forefront of economic debates, such as monetary policy and inflation, fiscal policy, occupational licensing, education vouchers, income share agreements, the distribution of income, and negative income taxes, among many other topics. For more information about the podcast, visit: https://www.hoover.org/podcast/capitalism-and-freedom?utm_source=podbean&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=cf21_podcast

The global investment landscape is shifting beneath our feet, yet most investors remain fixated on US markets. Rohit Goel, Partner and Head of Global Macro at Breakout Capital, reveals why this myopia could prove costly in the years ahead.Rohit drives home an alarming point: US fiscal deficits running at 6.5-7% of GDP during economic expansion represent an understated risk that markets have largely ignored. "If it is any other country on this planet, you would see a reaction, whether in bond yields or currency," he explains. This fiscal vulnerability could eventually force global investors to demand higher risk premiums on US assets, catalyzing capital flows toward international alternatives.Where might this capital flow? Rohit points to markets starved of investment for fifteen years – Europe, Japan, and particularly emerging markets. Latin America stands at an inflection point with elections potentially delivering reform-minded leadership across major economies. Poland's investment-focused policies create another bright spot, while frontier markets from Nigeria to Sri Lanka implement meaningful reforms after pandemic-era financing constraints forced hard choices.Perhaps most valuable is Rohit's framework for emerging market investing: "In emerging markets, 65% of returns are attributable to country selection." Unlike developed markets where sector selection drives performance, getting the country right is paramount in emerging spaces. And while liquidity remains challenging, patient investors with two-to-five-year horizons stand to benefit as capital eventually follows performance.Rohit also dispels a common misconception about dollar cycles. The currency's likely depreciation over the next several years represents a normal economic cycle unrelated to reserve currency status. Since 1975, the dollar has experienced multiple significant bear markets without losing its position in the global financial architecture.For investors willing to look beyond US borders, the coming years may offer extraordinary opportunities in markets long overlooked by global capital. The question is whether you'll position yourself ahead of this potential sea change or chase it after it's already underway.With ChatDOC, instantly analyze professional documents using AI — featuring word-level citations, chart/formula breakdowns, cross-file query, and full support for PDFs/epub/scanned files.Free version handles 10 documents (up to 3000 pages) and cross-searches 30 files.Click the link below to unlock +10 document slots : https://chatdoc.com?src=leadlaglive Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Today's guest is Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Global Chief Economist at BCG and author Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk. In today's episode, Philipp starts by sharing his framework to assess macroeconomic risk, emphasizing the importance of adapting to changing global conditions. Then he applies that framework to the world today and shares his view on tariffs and changing trade relations, the impact of AI on labor and the deflationary effects of technology. He also covers global currencies, including the dollar and gold, and if he believes we are headed for a recession. (0:00) Starts (1:07) Rejecting the master model mentality (3:34) The allure of doom (8:08) Historical recession risk frameworks (14:00) Public debt, balance sheets, and global tariff impacts (19:41) Sentiment indicators (24:41) Wealth distribution in different regions (28:44) AI's impact on labor (33:05) De-dollarization (40:02) Most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This week, Patrick gets Vincent Deluard’s view on these current market conditions. Follow Vincent on X: https://x.com/vincentdeluard Subscribe To Patrick's New Educational Series ONLY available on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna Visit our merch store!!! https://www.themarkethuddlemerch.com/ To receive our emails with the charts and links each week, please register at: https://markethuddle.com/

Hear from Henry McVey, Head of Global Macro, Balance Sheet & Risk and CIO of KKR's Balance Sheet, and Solita Marcelli, CIO Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, as they discuss and share their outlooks for the rest of 2025 and beyond, including key opportunities and risks.

Luke Gromen unpacks the dynamics of stablecoins and T-bills, Bitcoin's role as a fiscal policy marker, and the implications of yield curve control. We delve into U.S. dollar devaluation, global liquidity in 2025, and the interplay of tariff threats and international Bitcoin reserves. IN THIS EPISODE YOU'LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 01:10 - Why total federal receipts over 18% of GDP have historically led to recessions. 11:25 - The connection between stablecoins and T-bill demand, and its influence on Bitcoin adoption. 21:58 - How the Bank of England's yield curve control impacts Bitcoin's bullish potential. 23:42 - Luke's argument for early U.S. dollar devaluation to manage debt-to-GDP ratios. 24:46 - Luke's perspective on global liquidity trends for 2025. 26:11 - The role of Bitcoin as a marker of U.S. fiscal policy failures. 28:29 - How tariff negotiations could push nations to adopt Bitcoin reserves. 29:35 - Developments in China, Canada, and France, and their potential effects on global finance. 34:26 - Steps for transitioning to a Bitcoin standard in global credit systems. 50:42 - Luke's strategic approach if advising the U.S. government on managing deficits. Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Luke's X Account. Luke's FFTT Newsletter. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our Bitcoin Fundamentals Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: Bluehost Fintool PrizePicks Vanta Onramp SimpleMining Fundrise TurboTax Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm