Podcasts about Global macro

Today's guest is Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Global Chief Economist at BCG and author Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk. In today's episode, Philipp starts by sharing his framework to assess macroeconomic risk, emphasizing the importance of adapting to changing global conditions. Then he applies that framework to the world today and shares his view on tariffs and changing trade relations, the impact of AI on labor and the deflationary effects of technology. He also covers global currencies, including the dollar and gold, and if he believes we are headed for a recession. (0:00) Starts (1:07) Rejecting the master model mentality (3:34) The allure of doom (8:08) Historical recession risk frameworks (14:00) Public debt, balance sheets, and global tariff impacts (19:41) Sentiment indicators (24:41) Wealth distribution in different regions (28:44) AI's impact on labor (33:05) De-dollarization (40:02) Most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Markets rallied at the start of this week. In a significant development last weekend, the United States and China have agreed to a temporary trade deal. Negotiated in Geneva, the two countries will be drastically reducing tariffs on each other's goods. Announced as an initial 90-day pause, this major de-escalation demonstrates that both countries want to focus on easing the escalating tensions seen over the last few months. What does this announcement mean for U.S. and international markets going forward? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on May 12, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

VettaFi's Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF (HFGM) on this week's “ETF of the Week” podcast with Chuck Jaffe of “Money Life.”

U.S. equity markets are under pressure this morning following further tariff threats by President Trump. But as today's guest notes, we've now seen twice that sharp market selloffs have prompted the administration to retreat from its more extreme tariff measures. What clues might this tell us about spreads? And with a Federal Reserve announcement this week, might policymakers have no option but to stay on hold? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on May 5, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.  

Suhail Shaikh is Chief Investment Officer of Fulcrum Asset Management and is the portfolio manager of Fulcrum's Discretionary Macro and Diversified Absolute Return strategies. In today's incredibly volatile environment of tariff wars and deglobalisation, investors tend to be more sensitive about the level of their absolute returns, than their performance against the benchmark. In this episode, we delve into the philosophy of absolute return investing, we talk about the role of skill versus luck, the use of Nowcasting, learnings from the COVID-19 pandemic and the ever controversial topic of market timing. Enjoy the show! 02:00 Started off working on the intranet and taught myself HTML 02:30 Internship at Goldman Sachs 03:30 A lot of well-known global macro traders made their money during equity market crashes 05:00 If you are constantly looking for the next accident, then 90 per cent of the time you are wrong. It is important to make money while the sun is still shining 10:00 Crisis risk offset and momentum during COVID 13:30 Leaving the model aside 15:00 Using Nowcasting for analysis 18:30 AI has been more useful to us in portfolio construction, risk management, scenario analysis and stress testing. I'm more sceptical about AI being helpful in alpha generation. 22:30 Behavioural finance and Fulcrum paper: ‘Don't Bet the Ranch' 23:30 To determine whether someone is skilled or lucky, look at the number of views they take over time 31:30 Sizing [trades] is a complex topic 33:00 The role of dynamic asset allocation 34:00 “The biggest accidents in asset management happen when, in a draw-down, people don't know whether they are benchmarked or absolute return” 35:00 “Dynamic asset allocation is market timing” 40:00 Global Macro and the Magnificent Seven 42:00 Bitcoin and momentum strategies 44:30 Some clients explicitly prohibit us from investing in Bitcoin The paper "Don't Bet The Ranch: Hit ratios, asymmetry and breadth" can be found at: https://fulcrumasset.com/insights/investment-insights/dont-bet-the-ranch-hit-ratios-asymmetry-and-breadth/

U.S. equity markets opened under pressure at the start of this week. This drawdown comes after each of the three major averages logged a third weekly decline in the last four trading weeks. How anatomically similar is today's market drawdown to 1998? And will it last, or is it just an interruption? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar to set you up for the trading week ahead is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on April 21, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

U.S. equity markets jumped at this week's open after Trump announced a tariff exemption on select electronics. This rally emphasizes the fickleness of Trump's governance style - reflecting the market volatility. By contrast, last week, all U.S. assets were on sale, which today's guest points out, raises the possibility that foreign investors are retreating their capital. And he says, “If a trade war morphs into a capital war, then there's more at stake than tariffs.” Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on April 14, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Just two months ago the S&P500 closed at an all-time high. Now, the index is down 17% - hovering just shy of bear market territory. As investors wait with bated breath, does today's guest see this as a short-term correction, or the beginning of something bigger? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and what they may mean for you, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on April 7, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

North American equity markets stumbled at the open of the last trading day of the first quarter. While some investors worry about market declines, our next guest says the data points to a slowdown, not a recession. So should you use this drawdown as a buying opportunity? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar for the trading week ahead, and what they may mean for you and your investments, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on March 31, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Hear from Henry McVey, Head of Global Macro, Balance Sheet & Risk and CIO of KKR's Balance Sheet, and Solita Marcelli, CIO Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, as they discuss and share their outlooks for the rest of 2025 and beyond, including key opportunities and risks.

Markets are up this morning as reports circulate that the Trump administration could reduce the scope of tariffs scheduled to come into effect April 2nd. Cars, microchips and pharmaceuticals could be left out of those levies. But the Fed says even though growth remains solid, the economic outlook still remains uncertain. The impact of Trump's policies continue to have a hold on markets, so as we brace for more change, what might it all mean for investors? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and what it all may mean for you, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on March 24, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing discusses what the latest signals from the US economy say about recession risk. He talks about what the coming week's retail sales data might say, and how they might swing the debate around a downturn. Neil also previews the coming week's Fed decision, a haul of start-of-the-year China data and explains why talk of increased defence spending won't mean an automatic boost for economies.Also on the show, Senior Global Economist Ariane Curtis talks about why we don't think Donald Trump's policy agenda will have an impact on the global economy over the long term. She talks about how the ranking of the top 10 biggest economies could change between now and 2050 and which are set to benefit most from the rollout of AI. Analysis and events referenced in this episode:Event: Drop-In - The Fed, ECB and Bank of England March meetingshttps://www.capitaleconomics.com/events/global-drop-fed-ecb-and-bank-england-march-meetingsData: China Activity Proxyhttps://www.capitaleconomics.com/data-and-charts/china-activity-proxyRead: Will defence spending turbocharge economic growth?https://www.capitaleconomics.com/publications/global-economics-focus/will-defence-spending-turbocharge-economic-growthDrop-In: Is US equities exceptionalism dead?https://www.capitaleconomics.com/events/drop-us-equities-exceptionalism-deadRead: Global megatrends will outweigh Trump disruptionhttps://www.capitaleconomics.com/publications/long-run-economic-outlook/global-megatrends-will-outweigh-trump-disruption

Tariff discussions dominated last week's news cycle, and with market uncertainty still high, major U.S. and Canadian indexes are down to start the week, with the DOW down 200 points. With some citing potential recession fears, what might it all mean for investors? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and what it may mean for you, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on March 10, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Tariffs on major trade partners and a potential government shutdown are all on our radar as we gear up for another busy week in the markets. Plus, we're taking a look back with Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer who is celebrating 30 years at Fidelity. We're asking him about how this current market compares to what he's witnessed in the past 30 years, the potential risks and the insights he has about the future. Topics Covered: • Has the bull market run its course? • What could be the economic and consumer impacts of tariffs? • Could a potential government shutdown impact the stock market? • How can investors protect their money when there's market volatility? If you want to work with a dedicated Fidelity financial consultant who can help you prioritize your financial goals and plan for your full financial picture, click here Read the full transcript View the slides Watch the video replay

Markets are moving fast. But the US market? Not so much. The Mag 7 hasn't hit a new high since mid-December, and the broader market seems to be stuck in place. But while Wall Street pauses, global markets are heating up - especially in Europe and China. The MSCI Europe Index has been on a tear, signalling a potential shift in momentum. So what might this mean for investors looking beyond the US? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and what it may mean for you, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on February 24, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

U.S. equities opened higher this week as investors brace for key economic reports. On deck for release is U.S. CPI, PPI, and retail sales data. Fed Chair Jerome Powell also took to Capitol Hill for his semiannual testimony to lawmakers earlier this week. Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar this busy week ahead, and what it may mean for you, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on February 10, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Over the weekend, President Trump announced his intention to follow through with his tariff threat on key trading partners. Canada was to see a 25% tariff on goods exported to the United States, and a 10% tariff on energy resources. In response, the Canadian government was set to impose 25% tariffs on $30 billion dollars in goods imported from the US. These tariffs were ultimately averted, but the threat of future tariffs still looms over the North American economy. Joining the show today to unpack what this development means for global markets, and our integrated economies, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on February 3, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

U.S. equity markets have retreated this week following a two-week hot streak. Big Tech is set to report their Q4 earnings, and the Federal Reserve will hold its first policy meeting of the year. What key trends should investors look for in Q4 results? And how might the Fed's first policy meeting of the year set the tone for markets in 2025? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on January 27, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

President Donald Trump has been sworn in as the 47th President. All eyes are on markets this week to see how they react to a new President, and his policies. Joining the show today to set you up for the exciting trading week ahead is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on January 20, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Luis Oganes, head of Global Macro research at J.P. Morgan, discusses the outlook for government bond issuance in 2025 with strategists Jay Barry and Aditya Chordia. The team discusses how ongoing central bank QT amplifies issuance trends, and wide budget deficits suggest term premium should remain elevated in the US and UK, while these trends should be less impactful for Euro-area and Japanese yields.   Speakers: Luis Oganes, Head of Global Macro Research Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy Aditya Chordia, European Rates Strategy     This podcast was recorded on 17 January 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4887257-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Friday's employment data confirms that the U.S. economy remains strong and the labor market remains tight. Today's guest says this allows less room, if any, for the Fed to cut rates. Market expectations now suggest the Fed may be done easing, signally a potentially more hawkish stance. How might rising yields and a stronger U.S. dollar shape financial conditions moving forward? And what does he expect to be an ongoing theme for 2025? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on January 13, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced his resignation. Trudeau declared his intention to stay on as prime minister until a new leader is chosen and has asked for the prorogation of Parliament until March 24. Wall Street and Bay Street opened higher on January 6, and investors will be watching December jobs data due Friday for signs of the U.S. economy's strength. As we step into a new trading year, what were the key takeaways from 2024? And how can we apply those lessons to navigate the markets in 2025? Joining the show today to unpack the macro themes on his radar, and to set you up for the trading week ahead, is Fidelity Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. Recorded on January 6, 2025. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Luke Gromen unpacks the dynamics of stablecoins and T-bills, Bitcoin's role as a fiscal policy marker, and the implications of yield curve control. We delve into U.S. dollar devaluation, global liquidity in 2025, and the interplay of tariff threats and international Bitcoin reserves. IN THIS EPISODE YOU'LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 01:10 - Why total federal receipts over 18% of GDP have historically led to recessions. 11:25 - The connection between stablecoins and T-bill demand, and its influence on Bitcoin adoption. 21:58 - How the Bank of England's yield curve control impacts Bitcoin's bullish potential. 23:42 - Luke's argument for early U.S. dollar devaluation to manage debt-to-GDP ratios. 24:46 - Luke's perspective on global liquidity trends for 2025. 26:11 - The role of Bitcoin as a marker of U.S. fiscal policy failures. 28:29 - How tariff negotiations could push nations to adopt Bitcoin reserves. 29:35 - Developments in China, Canada, and France, and their potential effects on global finance. 34:26 - Steps for transitioning to a Bitcoin standard in global credit systems. 50:42 - Luke's strategic approach if advising the U.S. government on managing deficits. Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Luke's X Account. Luke's FFTT Newsletter. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our Bitcoin Fundamentals Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: Bluehost Fintool PrizePicks Vanta Onramp SimpleMining Fundrise TurboTax Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

On today's podcast we'll hear from Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, in our quick hit series “Timmer Time” Today Jurrien outlines the most important questions facing markets in 2025, and let's you know what investors should focus on. For more from Jurrien, head to the Insights section of fidelity.ca to read a recap of his December market insights on the resilient bull market, potential policy shifts from the incoming administration, and the evolving cryptocurrency landscape. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer is back on the show today to discuss the current market environment and his outlook for 2025. He addresses the strong year-end rally in the markets and the continued momentum in the “Magnificent Seven” stocks. He also discusses his expectations for earnings growth, interest rates, inflation, and treasury yields. Jurrien outlines how investors could navigate the new market environment by looking beyond the traditional 60/40 model and incorporating alternatives, gold, and cash. This podcast was recorded on December 16th, 2024.    At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study

Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer is back on the show today to provide his analysis of this week's markets. Much of today's focus is on Bitcoin. Jurrien explains why Bitcoin's demand has been increasing lately, and how this is driving its price. He speaks about Bitcoin's role as a monetary asset and a hedge against inflation, along with gold. Jurrien also analyzes the performance of the Magnificent Seven, and provides his outlook on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Recorded on December 9th, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer is back on the show today to outline the current state of the markets. Jurrien shares his views on the all-time highs made by the S&P 500 recently, the valuations of large-cap growth stocks, and the crypto market. He also provides an outlook for commodities, gold, and the auto industry, and speaks to the uncertainties around the policies of the incoming administration, including potential changes to taxes, tariffs and regulation, discussing the potential impacts of these policies on the economy and markets.   This podcast was recorded on December 2nd, 2024.   At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Our Director of Global Macro unpacks the latest market headlines as we await the Fed's December meeting. And, as the end of the year approaches, time is running out to make some tax savvy moves that could help lower your tax bill for 2024. A Fidelity branch leader walks us through 5 tax ideas his team shares with their clients, that must be considered before the end of 2024 in order to take advantage of them. Plus, he shares additional tax strategies that could set you up for success beyond April. Read the full transcript View the slides Watch the video replay © 2024 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer is back on the show today to discuss the current state of the markets. With its recent surge in value, Jurrien talks about Bitcoin today. He provides insights into the factors driving Bitcoin's growth, including the potential impact of a crypto-friendly administration and the increasing adoption of Bitcoin-related investment products. He also speaks to concerns about the sustainability of Bitcoin's valuation and the potential risks associated with investing in it. Jurrien's conversation with host Pamela Ritchie also touches on the broadening of the market beyond the top-performing stocks, and the potential impact of rising interest rates and inflation on the market, as well as the implications for the U.S. dollar and its effect of emerging markets. And of course, no macro analysis this week would be complete without addressing the potential impact of policy changes under the new administration, including the possibility of tariffs and the potential effects on the market. Recorded on November 25th, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Fidelity Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer is back on the show today to talk us through the current state of the markets. He speaks to the broadening of the stock market beyond the top tech companies, with small caps and other sectors participating in the rally. On the topic of valuations and earnings, he points out that while 2024 is seeing robust returns driven by earnings and valuation expansion, 2025 may be more earnings-driven as valuations normalize. Jurrien and host Pamela Ritchie also discuss Bitcoin and Crypto, AI and tech stocks, and how the Dollar's strength relates to Fed policy. Take a listen. Follow Jurrien's slides @TimmerFidelity on X. Recorded on November 18, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

On this episode of Market Sense, Fidelity's Director of Global Macro and the Managing Director of Fidelity's Asset Allocation Research Team talk about key policy themes to watch with the incoming administration, how they might affect the economy and markets, and what it all might mean for investors. Read the full transcript View the slides Watch the video replay © 2024 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

On today's show, join Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro, to better understand what's moving the markets around the world and to be better prepared for what may be next. Jurrien and host Pamela Ritchie discuss market movements after last week's U.S. elections, and more. Follow Jurrien's slides @TimmerFidelity on X. Recorded on November 11, 2024. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

In this episode, Nik delivers a global macro update covering the economy and every asset class. He analyzes Bitcoin's performance versus Ethereum as ETH faces steep declines and unpacks TBL Liquidity, focusing on key indicators like 10-year Treasuries, real yields, inflation breakevens, and the 2s10s curve, while highlighting the MOVE index as a sign of rising market fear of inflation. Nik then explores the impact of spiking mortgage yields, the Fed's balance sheet, QT, and the ongoing RRP decline. Wrapping up, he explains how the upcoming election won't necessarily affect the debt-to-GDP ratio or inflationary pressures in the months ahead. The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don't pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://thebitcoinlayer.com/unchained and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Efani delivers premium mobile service with unparalleled protection against SIM swaps and privacy invasions. Use code TBL at checkout for $99 off the Efani SAFE Plan. https://www.efani.com/tbl?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Try Stamp Seed, a DIY kit that enables you to hammer your seed words into a durable plate of titanium using professional stamping tools. Take 15% off with code TBL. Get your Stamp Seed today! https://www.stampseed.com/shop/titanium-seed-phrase-storage-kits.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL's research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Block Height 867215 Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #GlobalMacro #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto #BTCvsETH #MarketAnalysis #Liquidity #TBLLiquidity #TreasuryYields #Inflation #YieldCurve #MarketFear #MortgageRates #FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #Election2024 #DebtCrisis #FinancialMarkets #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarket #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macro The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

In this video, Nik dives into what could be a perfect storm brewing in global markets. He unpacks Bitcoin's sudden 5% surge due to major economic shifts. To do so, he explores China's massive 6 trillion yuan bond stimulus and its global ripple effects, alongside the potential return of Trump's aggressive trade policies. Nik discusses the shocking scope of Trump's proposed tariffs and why economists are raising red flags. As the U.S. and China continue clashing, this video explains the overall effects this will have on bitcoin and global markets as the future reshapes. Articles linked below: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/12/trump-trade-tariffs-lighthizer-election-china.html https://www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files/6.9.10Lighthizer.pdf https://www.caixinglobal.com/2024-10-14/exclusive-china-may-issue-6-trillion-yuan-in-treasury-bonds-to-buttress-economy-102245341.html https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/05/18/robert-lighthizer-trump-election-trade-tariffs-treasury-secretary/ The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don't pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://thebitcoinlayer.com/unchained and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Efani delivers premium mobile service with unparalleled protection against SIM swaps and privacy invasions. Use code TBL at checkout for $99 off the Efani SAFE Plan. https://www.efani.com/tbl?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Try Stamp Seed, a DIY kit that enables you to hammer your seed words into a durable plate of titanium using professional stamping tools. Take 15% off with code TBL. Get your Stamp Seed today! https://www.stampseed.com/shop/titanium-seed-phrase-storage-kits.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL's research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Block Height 865671 Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #GlobalMacro #USEconomy #RecessionFears #USDollar #YieldCurve #FederalReserve #USElection2024 #FinancialMarkets #MarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FedPolicy #Unemployment #MarketAnalysis #TBLiquidity #MonetaryPolicy #InterestRates #DollarStrength #RateCuts #BondMarket #LaborMarket #REPO #GlobalMacro #AssetManagement #ChinaEconomy #USChinaTrade #TrumpTariffs #EconomicShifts #BondStimulus #FinancialNews #MarketTrends #InvestmentTrends #GlobalEconomy #Macroeconomics #TariffWar #TrumpEconomy #MarketAnalysis #Geopolitics #FinancialCrisis #TradeWar #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #USChinaConflict #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarket #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macro The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

In this video, Nik walks through our weekly global macro risk report, Mean Median Mode, where we examine the dynamic relationship between interest rates, bond volatility, stock market, and Bitcoin's price movements. Nik discusses how interest rates impact bitcoin, how bond volatility affects global markets, and the correlation between stocks and bitcoin. Nik also explains how he analyzes and finds signals in on-chain data. All this in an attempt to help viewers better understand what moves bitcoin. The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don't pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://thebitcoinlayer.com/unchained and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Efani delivers premium mobile service with unparalleled protection against SIM swaps and privacy invasions. Use code TBL at checkout for $99 off the Efani SAFE Plan. https://www.efani.com/tbl?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Try Stamp Seed, a DIY kit that enables you to hammer your seed words into a durable plate of titanium using professional stamping tools. Take 15% off with code TBL. Get your Stamp Seed today! https://www.stampseed.com/shop/titanium-seed-phrase-storage-kits.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL's research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Block Height 864683 Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #MarketAnalysis #TBLiquidity #MonetaryPolicy #InterestRates #DollarStrength #RateCuts #BondMarket #LaborMarket #REPO #GlobalMacro #AssetManagement #NikExplains #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarket #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macro The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

Immediately after the Fed announced its 50 bps interest rate cut, Vincent Deluard, Director of Global Macro at StoneX, joined Maggie Lake for a live broadcast to discuss its impact on financial markets and the economy. If you missed Wealthion's special broadcast, now is the time to catch up on Vincent's expert insights and learn what this rate cut by the Fed means for investors. Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.wealthion.com/free Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/    #FedRateDecision #FedAnnouncement #Fed #Live #Macro #Markets #FinancialNews #VincentDeluard #MaggieLake #Macro #Wealthion    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, Nik goes around the world of global macro in 21 charts to explain why yields are falling and explore when bitcoin might break out of its current range. We discuss falling yields and the implications of the Fed's first rate cut, oil and gold prices heading separate ways, and bitcoin's outperformance versus Ethereum. Prepare for next week's FOMC meeting with this timely markets recap. The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don't pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://thebitcoinlayer.com/unchained and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Efani delivers premium mobile service with unparalleled protection against SIM swaps and privacy invasions. Use code TBL at checkout for $99 off the Efani SAFE Plan. https://www.efani.com/tbl?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Try Stamp Seed, a DIY kit that enables you to hammer your seed words into a durable plate of titanium using professional stamping tools. Take 15% off with code TBL. Get your Stamp Seed today! https://www.stampseed.com/shop/titanium-seed-phrase-storage-kits.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL's research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Block Height 861185 Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #MacroUpdate #GlobalEconomy #InterestRates #Yields #FOMCMeeting #FedPolicy #MarketTrends #OilPrices #GoldMarkets #Bonds #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicOutlook #Investing #FinanceNews #MacroEconomics #StockMarket #Commodities #FinancialMarkets #EconomicAnalysis #MarketRecap #Recession #TreasuryYields #GlobalMarkets #CentralBankRates #FinancialMarkets #SeptemberOutlook #MarketAnalysis #TBLiquidity #MonetaryPolicy #InterestRates #DollarStrength #RateCuts #BondMarket #LaborMarket #REPO #GlobalMacro #AssetManagement #NikExplains #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarket #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macro The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

In this episode of Huddle +, Patrick chats with Head of Global Macro at PGM Global, Aidan Garrib. They discuss the latest movements in the market, as the FED gears up for the highly anticipated rate-cutting cycle. Check out PGM Global: https://www.pgmglobal.com Follow Aidan on X: https://www.x.com/AidanGarrib *Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your questions to: nostupidquestions@markethuddle.com Visit our merch store!!! https://www.themarkethuddlemerch.com/ To receive our emails with the charts and links each week, please register at: https://markethuddle.com/

In this episode, Nik provides a global macro update covering a disastrous week for Bitcoin and the stock market. We divide the episode into seven sections, answering your questions throughout. We start with bitcoin's price, the Japanese yen carry trade unwind, and the US dollar's impact on financial markets. We also discuss US Treasury yields, the yield curve, the labor market, and S&P 500 performance. The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don't pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://thebitcoinlayer.com/unchained and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Efani delivers premium mobile service with unparalleled protection against SIM swaps and privacy invasions. Use code TBL at checkout for $99 off the Efani SAFE Plan. https://www.efani.com/tbl?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Try Stamp Seed, a DIY kit that enables you to hammer your seed words into a durable plate of titanium using professional stamping tools. Take 15% off with code TBL. Get your Stamp Seed today! https://www.stampseed.com/shop/titanium-seed-phrase-storage-kits.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL's research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Block Height 860204 Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #MacroUpdate #Recession #TreasuryYields #GlobalMarkets #CentralBankRates #FinancialMarkets #SeptemberOutlook #MarketAnalysis #TBLiquidity #MonetaryPolicy #InterestRates #DollarStrength #RateCuts #BondMarket #LaborMarket #REPO #GlobalMacro #AssetManagement #NikExplains #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarket #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macro The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

Prakash Kannan, Chief Economist and Director of the Economics & Investment Strategy department at GIC, returns to Kopi Time to talk about evolving macro developments and implications for asset allocation. We cover it all in this discussion, from Fed outlook to EM resiliency, global liquidity to China policy, yen carry trade to gold, and how a portfolio suitable for the past decade is unlikely to bear similar fruit going forward. Lots of insights.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode, Nik brings us a timely global macro update on Treasury yields, the dollar, and what might happen in financial markets in September. He breaks down the latest path of global central bank rates, including his expectation for rate cuts at every meeting this year. Finally, Nik analyzes the bitcoin consolidation and dives into the math behind TBL Liquidity, our new metric for market signal. The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don't pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://thebitcoinlayer.com/unchained and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Efani delivers premium mobile service with unparalleled protection against SIM swaps and privacy invasions. Use code TBL at checkout for $99 off the Efani SAFE Plan. https://www.efani.com/tbl?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Try Stamp Seed, a DIY kit that enables you to hammer your seed words into a durable plate of titanium using professional stamping tools. Take 15% off with code TBL. Get your Stamp Seed today! https://www.stampseed.com/shop/titanium-seed-phrase-storage-kits.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL's research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Block Height 859146 Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #JoeConsorti #MacroUpdate #TreasuryYields #GlobalMarkets #CentralBankRates #FinancialMarkets #SeptemberOutlook #MarketAnalysis #TBLiquidity #MonetaryPolicy #InterestRates #DollarStrength #RateCuts #BondMarket #LaborMarket #REPO #GlobalMacro #AssetManagement #NikExplains #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarket #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macro The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

In this episode, Nik brings us a global macro update to recap a most dramatic downward revision in labor statistics. He begins with the two most noteworthy items in economics: the downward revision of jobs added by almost one million, the rampant manipulation of labor statistics by the government, and the latest FOMC minutes which stated that the Fed was close to cutting rates in July. Nik breaks down the signals from the yield curve and discusses bitcoin's consolidation. The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don't pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://thebitcoinlayer.com/unchained and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Efani delivers premium mobile service with unparalleled protection against SIM swaps and privacy invasions. Use code TBL at checkout for $99 off the Efani SAFE Plan. https://www.efani.com/tbl?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Try Stamp Seed, a DIY kit that enables you to hammer your seed words into a durable plate of titanium using professional stamping tools. Take 15% off with code TBL. Get your Stamp Seed today! https://www.stampseed.com/shop/titanium-seed-phrase-storage-kits.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL's research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Block Height 857847 Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #JoeConsorti #LaborStatistics #YieldCurve #FOMC #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketAnalysis #BitcoinConsolidation #EconomicUpdate #FinancialNews #MonetaryPolicy #JobMarket #EconomicTrends #RateCuts #FinancialMarkets #InvestmentStrategy #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #Macroeconomics #WealthManagement #BitcoinTrends #LaborMarket #EconomicInsights #FiscalPolicy #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarket #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macro The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Chapters: 00:00:00 - Massive Manipulation of Labor Data 00:03:42 - Unemployment data and the Bitcoin layer 00:07:10 - FED Minutes and Rate Cut Speculation 00:10:48 - The FED's Response to Job Revision 00:14:24 - Signal from the Treasury Market 00:18:08 - Risk Assets vs. Investable Treasuries 00:21:43 - Steepening of the Spot Market Curve 00:25:06 - The Signal in the Curve 00:28:44 - Impact of Funding Rates on the Bitcoin MarketSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

In this episode, Nik brings us a global macro update to recap a most dramatic downward revision in labor statistics. He begins with the two most noteworthy items in economics: the downward revision of jobs added by almost one million, the rampant manipulation of labor statistics by the government, and the latest FOMC minutes which stated that the Fed was close to cutting rates in July. Nik breaks down the signals from the yield curve and discusses bitcoin's consolidation. The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don't pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://thebitcoinlayer.com/unchained and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Efani delivers premium mobile service with unparalleled protection against SIM swaps and privacy invasions. Use code TBL at checkout for $99 off the Efani SAFE Plan. https://www.efani.com/tbl?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Try Stamp Seed, a DIY kit that enables you to hammer your seed words into a durable plate of titanium using professional stamping tools. Take 15% off with code TBL. Get your Stamp Seed today! https://www.stampseed.com/shop/titanium-seed-phrase-storage-kits.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL's research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Block Height 857847 Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #JoeConsorti #LaborStatistics #YieldCurve #FOMC #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketAnalysis #BitcoinConsolidation #EconomicUpdate #FinancialNews #MonetaryPolicy #JobMarket #EconomicTrends #RateCuts #FinancialMarkets #InvestmentStrategy #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #Macroeconomics #WealthManagement #BitcoinTrends #LaborMarket #EconomicInsights #FiscalPolicy #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarket #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macro The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

Today's episode features an in-depth discussion with discretionary global macro trader Asim Ghaffar, founder and CIO of AG Capital. Ghaffar shares his insights on the recent market volatility, including his views on the potential triggers behind the sell-off and the chances we have for a recession. Was it just a blip on the radar, algos deleveraging? He explains his discretionary macro trading approach, highlighting the importance of risk management, position sizing, and the psychological challenges of the business. Ghaffar also discusses the differences between his strategy and systematic trend following, as well as the unique opportunities smaller managers can pursue compared to large global macro funds. In this chat we also explore Ghaffar's personal journey into the industry, the challenges of starting a hedge fund, and his long-term outlook on markets, including his perspective on the role of gold in a portfolio. Chapters: 00:00-02:01=Intro 02:02-11:14= What triggered the Sell-off? The Yen Carry trade? Or just algos gone wild… 11:15-22:35= The secret sauce to a long-term approach, algo moves and the mental games of trading 22:36-31:55= Discretionary vs Global Macro & the unsolvable puzzle or crack under the pressure 31:56-43:00= Psychology & Philosophy? The real head games of trading & sparks to start a hedge fund 43:01-49:50= The potential of a recession, who wants it? Fed rate cuts, the wealth effect, & investment vs trend 49:51-01:06:19= What's beyond the horizon, staying out of the noise and focus on the fed 01:06:20-01:14:22= Commodity prices for discretionary trading & what's with gold? Getting perspective… From the episode: Derivative episode: Wisdom from the wizard maker  with Jack Schwager   Follow along with Asim on LinkedIn and AG Capital's LinkedIn. For more information on AG Capital visit agcapital.fund Don't forget to subscribe to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Derivative⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, follow us on Twitter at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@rcmAlts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and our host Jeff at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@AttainCap2⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, or ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ , and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Facebook⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠sign-up for our blog digest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠www.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer⁠

Anthony Milewski has two passions: the outdoors and investing. At any moment you might find him skiing in France, fly fishing in Alaska, white water rafting in Oregon, or wide awake in the middle of the night analyzing news releases and financial statements.Anthony realized early on that a truly rewarding career needed to include following his passions. But how to do this? As a Fulbright scholar, he spent time in the former Soviet Union and saw firsthand the changes brought about by the privatization of vast swaths of the regional economies. He also noted the great potential in building companies on the back of these changes and, for a time, was employed by Renaissance Capital in Moscow, Russia, working with entrepreneurs and natural resource companies. Upon graduating from the University of Washington, with a MA in international studies and a JD in law, he took a job at New York-based Skadden, Arps where he became immersed in commodity transactions. Anthony would later transition from Skadden to Firebird Management in New York where he worked in the Global Macro funds.Anthony's time at Firebird had a profound impact on his investment style. He realized that you can “get a call right” but the “timing wrong”. Investing, as much as anything, is about understanding the themes and ideas that shape our world, environment, and capital markets. It was this realization that helped to shape his views on identifying themes, thinking about liquidity, and ultimately making successful investment decisions. No one ever lost money selling for a gain! After leaving Firebird he went on to work with other major funds as a C-level executive specializing in global origination and investment processes. This time cemented his views on risk mitigation and liquidity.After years in the asset management business, Anthony realized it was time to strike out on his own. Along with his business partner, Justin Cochrane, he founded and took public several companies. To date, he has helped raise over a billion dollars for listed companies on various exchanges around the globe. In a sense, this was Act Two of his career.All told, Anthony has served as a founder, advisor, director, executive, and investor. He now pursues investment ideas that make money and make the world a better place. That might mean investing in nickel as the key ingredient in batteries, carbon as a way of saving forests, copper for the electrification of things, artificial intelligence to help reduce the impact of farming on our environment — the list goes on.Learn more: https://www.anthonymilewski.com/Influential Entrepreneurs with Mike Saundershttps://businessinnovatorsradio.com/influential-entrepreneurs-with-mike-saunders/Source: https://businessinnovatorsradio.com/interview-with-anthony-milewski-founder-of-the-oregon-group

In this episode featuring Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro for Fidelity, we discuss:  Why TradFi will embrace Bitcoin  Bitcoin has the 'supply characteristics of gold' and 'demand characteristics of a network' How much should traditional investors allocate to Bitcoin?  How has the 60/40 paradigm evolved and where does Bitcoin fit in? Why Bitcoin is exponential gold and an ‘aspirational' store of value Will Bitcoin be the dominant macro asset that demonetizes real estate, equities, bonds, etc? Retail vs institutional demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs Financial repression and fiscal dominance How markets reacts to presidential election cycle Do all roads lead to money printing? ---- Bio: Jurrien Timmer is the Director of Global Macro at Fidelity Investments. In this role, Timmer is part of Fidelity's Global Asset Allocation (GAA) group, where he specializes in asset allocation and global macro strategy. Additionally, he is responsible for analyzing market trends and synthesizing investment perspectives across Asset Management to generate market strategy insights for the media, as well as for Fidelity's clients. Before joining Fidelity in 1995, Mr. Timmer was a vice president in the Fixed Income group at ABN AMRO. He has been in the financial industry since 1985. Follow Jurrien on X at https://x.com/TimmerFidelity  ---- Coin Stories is powered by Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ: BTDR), a publicly-traded leader in Bitcoin mining that stands alone as the only vertically-integrated, technology-focused Bitcoin mining company. Learn more at www.bitdeer.com.  ---- Natalie's Promotional Links:  Bitcoin Nashville is July 25-27th! Join me for my 3rd Annual Women of Bitcoin Brunch! Get 10% off your conference passes using the code HODL: https://b.tc/conference.  Buy Bitcoin, secure it through multisig collaborative custody, start a Bitcoin IRA or take out a Bitcoin loan with UNCHAINED: https://shorturl.at/jmW29 promo code Natalie  Never wait or pay high fees for making Bitcoin payments. Use Speed Lightning Wallet to instantly send and receive Bitcoin: https://speedbtcwallet.onelink.me/cGph/coinstories   Safely self-custody your Bitcoin with Coinkite and the ColdCard Wallet. Get 5% off: https://shorturl.at/apsLU  Master your Bitcoin self-custody with 1-on-1 help and gain peace of mind with the help of The Bitcoin Way: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/partners/natalie-brunell  Protect yourself from SIM Swaps that can hack your accounts and steal your Bitcoin. Join America's most secure mobile service, trusted by CEOs, VIPs and top corporations: https://www.efani.com/natalie  Don't waste hundreds of dollars per month on fiat health insurance. Join me at CrowdHealth, a large community of Bitcoiners passionate about health who crowdfund each other's care: www.crowdhealth.com/natalie   Connect with Bitcoiners and Bitcoin merchants wherever you live and travel on the Orange Pill App: https://shorturl.at/gvxS3 ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories   #money #Bitcoin #investing