On The Tape

Broadcast live from iConnections Global Alts in South Beach, Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are joined by Dan Greenhaus of Solus Alternative Asset Management and later Vincent Daniel to discuss a sharp, risk-off market move tied to the increasingly financialized AI buildout. They review weakness across private credit and alternative lenders after reports of difficulty placing debt to fund CoreWeave's data center, spilling over into names like Blue Owl and into large alternative managers, banks, and high-profile stocks like IBM, which suffers its worst day in decades. The group debates how a viral AI “thought experiment” amplified uncertainty about near-term industry disruption, the circular quid-pro-quo dynamics of AI financing and chip demand, and whether market valuations offer any cushion if the AI narrative falters. With Nvidia reporting the next day, they focus on expectations for growth and margins, the risk that competition could compress gross margins and re-rate the stock, and the broader question of whether AI success could drive major white-collar job losses, “ghost GDP,” and policy responses. The conversation closes with Vinnie describing investor “what if” fears around AI's impact on employment and fee-based industries. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Jen Saarbach and Kristen Kelly of The Wall Street Skinny to discuss two major developing market stories ahead of meeting in Miami for the iConnections Global Alts conference. The first topic is stress in private credit, centered on Blue Owl's retail-focused semi-liquid vehicle (Blue Owl Capital Corp II) facing heavy redemptions and gating, highlighting the liquidity mismatch between retail redemption needs and long-dated loan assets. They contrast the gated evergreen structure with Blue Owl's publicly traded BDC that was trading roughly 20% below NAV, discuss Blue Owl's reported loan sales near NAV, and explore why the issue is pressuring related stocks like Blue Owl and Blackstone despite an S&P 500 that appears indifferent. The group connects the private credit conversation to how AI/data center buildouts are financed, including references to Meta-related structures and concerns about CoreWeave's ability to raise capital for data center obligations, and notes that credit markets often reprice quickly only after complacency breaks. The second topic is prediction markets, focusing on Kalshi and its partnership with Tradeweb to publish analytics and potentially enable institutional trading of binary outcomes on events like Fed decisions and macro data, raising questions about democratized access, liquidity constraints, regulatory gaps, spoofing, and the role of insider information, along with implications for politics and whether more information is always better. Show Notes 1 big thing: Trump's huge tariff loss (Axios) Blue Owl permanently halts redemptions at private credit fund aimed at retail investors (FT) Wall Street Bond-Trading Hub Tradeweb Strikes Deal With Kalshi (Bloomberg) Exclusive: Supreme Court tariff ruling makes over $175 billion in US revenue subject to refunds, Penn-Wharton estimates (Reuters) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami interviews Michael Kao (@UrbanKaoboy), discussing the historic moves in gold and silver, the debate over fiat debasement versus speculative positioning, and why charts showing central bank gold eclipsing Treasury holdings can be misleading because much of the change is price appreciation rather than new buying. Kao argues true de-dollarization is unlikely due to the lack of a rival fiat ecosystem with comparable liquidity and deep bond markets, and says a shift from Treasuries to gold as a reserve anchor would imply economic austerity and slower global GDP growth. They explore how geopolitics (including post-Ukraine reserve seizure fears) and Trump-related tariff and deficit narratives have fueled gold, while Kao outlines a contrarian view that Trump 2.0 policies plus AI could be deflationary and potentially restore productivity-driven disinflationary growth similar to the late 1990s; he also critiques CBO debt projections for assuming low productivity growth. The conversation covers AI's disruptive impact on industry moats and equity multiple compression versus immediate default risk, touches briefly on Japan's bond market and the yen carry trade, and examines the “sanctity” of large AI CapEx plans and whether AI expands total addressable markets or mainly drives cost cutting. Kao highlights his thesis from his piece on AI electrification: U.S. electricity demand may accelerate sharply after decades of flat growth, creating an energy bottleneck that increases reliance on natural gas (given limits to coal and nuclear), amplified by data center buildouts and LNG exports. He explains his preference for natural gas mineral strategies that distribute cash flow over trading commodities or owning E&P equities due to capital allocation risks, and notes recent oil spikes have often faded since 2022. Show Notes AI, Electrification, and the Hidden Energy Bottleneck | Michael Kao The Fourth Turning by Strauss & Howe —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of The Risk Reversal Podcast, Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down the massive rotation rocking the tech sector. Why are investors dumping software darlings like Salesforce, Adobe, and Oracle while Apple hits new highs? The guys debate whether the "AI tailwind" has officially become a headwind for SaaS companies and if the massive infrastructure spend by Microsoft and Google will ever generate a real return. After the break, Dan sits down with Jason Wilk, Founder and CEO of Dave ($DAVE). Jason shares his incredible founder journey—from a professional golf aspirant to landing Mark Cuban as a lead investor who capped his salary at $30k. They discuss how Dave is using AI-driven underwriting to disrupt JPMorgan and Wells Fargo, slashing default rates from 20% to 1%, and the future of fintech in a high-rate environment. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan welcomes Michael Dempsey, partner at Compound VC, for an in-depth discussion on AI, crypto, and technological investing. Returning guest Dempsey shares his insights on historical and emerging trends in AI, highlighting the evolving landscape of AI commercialization, the increasing speed from research to market, and the shift from market cap expansion to destruction. The podcast also dives into Dempsey's venture capital strategies, discussing his firm's impressive portfolio, including companies like Runway and Wave, and their new public markets fund. The conversation later transitions to crypto, with guest Evan Karvounis sharing his journey and the significant potential he sees in the decentralized exchange, Hyper Liquid. Michael further elaborates on Bitcoin's potential as a store of value. The episode encapsulates a comprehensive overview of the bleeding-edge tech landscape and its promising future. After the break, Dan welcomes Evan Karvounis to the pod. Evan shares his view on Bitcoin's current branding issues linked to the Trump administration and the preference for gold among Eastern investors. The conversation then shifts to Ethereum and Solana, which Evan believes are significantly overvalued, explaining their past success through the 'casino chip thesis.' The focus then moves to Hyper Liquid, a decentralized exchange project Evan heavily invests in. He outlines its unique approach of building a product before a chain, its market potential, and recent impressive growth, particularly in traditional asset trading. The discussion concludes with Hyper Liquid's market positioning and revenue growth potential. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Go Follow TWSS on Substack In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, hosts Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss significant market movements such as the volatility index breaching 20, the rolling over of bank stocks, and Walmart's rise to an all-time high. They also delve into sectors affected by AI disruption, including tech, software, and semiconductors. Special guests from The Wall Street Skinny, Jen Saarbach and Kristen Kelly, join to discuss Google's issuance of a 100-year bond denominated in Sterling, the ongoing Warner Brothers acquisition saga, and the long-term impact of AI on employment and various industries. The episode concludes by examining the potential market effects of these trends and the implications for retail and institutional investors. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan sits with Dan Ives, head of Technology Research at Wedbush. They delve into Q1 market earnings, guidance for 2026, and the implications on CapEx and stock market reactions. The discussion expands to OpenAI's influence, disruptive technologies, and tech stocks like Microsoft, Meta, and Nvidia. They also cover Ives' diversified roles including his tech research, crypto investments, and his eponymous ETF. The conversation touches on AI's impact on tech and software sectors, the rise of financial services utilizing AI, and the broader implications for future investments and market behavior. Show Notes He's Wall Street's Biggest Showman. Should You Trust Him? (Barron's) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan, Guy Adami, Kristen Kelly and Jen Saarbach discuss the recent happenings in the stock market, with a focus on the significant shift in sentiment towards SaaS companies. They explore how AI investments and the ensuing financial implications are affecting market valuations. The conversation touches on several key areas, including Microsoft's fluctuating performance, the role of rising interest rates, and the broader impact on the credit markets, especially in private equity and private credit. Additionally, the panel discusses the recent volatility in the cryptocurrency market, questioning Bitcoin's role as digital gold and the structural issues within the crypto ecosystem. They also examine the intriguing financial strategies and market maneuvers of Elon Musk's companies, particularly the recent merger between SpaceX and xAI. The episode concludes with a look at potential market rotations into sectors like financials and energy, as well as the upcoming challenges posed by macroeconomic conditions and the new Federal Reserve chair. Article Mentioned Hedge Fund's Bet on Liquidity Over Private Credit Is Paying Off (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome Jim Chanos, founder of Chanos and Co, to discuss a wide range of investment and market topics. They delve deep into Chanos' investment strategies, including his focus on short selling and hedging, as well as his views on the AI CapEx and its potential impacts on various industries. Jim also provides insights into specific companies like MicroStrategy and CoreWeave and highlights the implications of excessive reliance on subprime loans in companies like Carvana. The discussion expands to macroeconomic issues, such as the Chinese economy and its trade relationships with the U.S., and the speculative nature of current market conditions. The episode concludes with a look at retail investment behavior and the potential risks in the crypto market. Articles Referenced - Credit Market's Reality Check Follows Decade of Loose Lending (Bloomberg) - The American and Chinese Economies Are Hurtling Toward a Messy Divorce (WSJ) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan hosts Rishi Jaluria from RBC Capital on the 'Okay, Computer' podcast, discussing the recent downturn in software stocks amid a contrasting performance in the semiconductor sector. Rishi attributes the decline to the rise of AI and its transformative impact on software companies. The conversation covers the uncertain future of enterprise software, with examples like Salesforce and Oracle experiencing significant drops. They explore how AI adoption could drive margin expansion across various industries, including retail and oil and gas. Finally, the potential of companies like Microsoft and HubSpot to leverage AI for growth is considered, along with the future role of AI leaders OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google in shaping the tech landscape. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down the market moves following Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve Chair appointment, the shocking gold selloff, silver's collapse, and why Bitcoin can't break out despite the crypto-friendly administration. After the break, Jen Saarbach & Kristen Kelly join the guys to discuss the decline in the US dollar, market sentiment and Gen Z's proclivity for gambling. Checkout these articles mentioned Hedge Funds Are Back on Top After a Long ‘Alpha Winter' (WSJ) Companies rush to refinance as credit looks good (Axios) Gen Z is playing the economy like a casino (Axios) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro Research at Fidelity Investments. The discussion reflects on the October 2023 market scenario when the 10-year yield reached 5% and the S&P 500 declined by 10%. Jurrien discusses the current bond market's stability, the geopolitical factors influencing gold prices, and the stock market's concentration risks with a focus on the Magnificent Seven (Mag 7) tech stocks. The conversation also covers interest rate risks, economic policies, and the potential implications of Japan's bond market volatility on global markets. Ian provides insights into valuation models, diversification strategies, and the AI boom's speculative nature, highlighting the need for careful portfolio management in a high-valuation environment. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan is joined by Steve Milunovich, a tech investor and retired sell-side analyst from Merrill Lynch. The discussion delves into the parallels between the AI boom and the dotcom era, touching on technological waves from the 1980s to the present. Milunovich highlights similarities such as early-stage winners, heavy capital expenditures, and the emergence of application layers later on. They also discuss the circular financing in the tech industry and potential risks, including heavy reliance on significant players like Nvidia and issues surrounding supply constraints. The conversation explores the broader implications of AI across various industries, including financial institutions and industrials, and considers the timeline for wider adoption and monetization of AI technologies. The dialogue is framed by historical context, with references to past tech bubbles, network effects, and the potential for new winners in unexpected sectors. Show Notes AI: The Wrong Kind of Bubble (Breadcrum.vc) Meta inks deal to pay Corning up to $6 billion for fiber-optic cables in AI data centers (CNBC) AI productivity is about to become visible and investable (FT) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami and Dan Nathan break down the biggest week of earnings season 2026, featuring high-stakes reports from Boeing, Microsoft, Texas Instruments, Apple, SanDisk, Western Digital, Exxon, and Chevron. Plus, Jen Saarbach and Kristin Kelly join for "He Said She Said" to analyze Japan's historic bond market crisis and the Netflix-Warner Bros-Paramount M&A saga. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by David Rosenberg, founder and president of Rosenberg Research. The discussion covers Rosenberg's past market predictions, his outlook for 2025-2026, and his insights on various economic themes. Rosenberg reflects on his bearish stance on US equities and bullish view on long-term treasuries, analyzing key trends like inflation, the impact of tariffs, and the strength of the US dollar. The conversation also touches on the influence of AI-related investments in the market, the economic implications of stock market performance, and the potential for recession given current employment and income data. Rosenberg emphasizes the importance of understanding market cycles and the significant role of investor behavior. The episode concludes with his views on gold prices, central bank policies, and possible future economic scenarios. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Deirdre Bosa discuss recent advancements in AI-driven coding tools like Replit and Claude Cowork, sharing personal experiences and their potential to disrupt traditional software development. They elaborate on conversations with Amjad Masad of Replit and Aaron Levie of Box about the future of AI in software. The discussion also touches on the US-China AI rivalry, with CEOs from major tech companies urging policy support to compete with China's subsidized AI ecosystem. The conversation highlights concerns over software disruption, the impact of AI on the software market, and geopolitical implications for AI innovation. After the break, Dan chats with Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, discuss the current state and future trends in AI-related investments as of 2026. Gene shares his perspectives on the AI market's evolution over recent years, particularly focusing on key players like Nvidia and the dynamics around training versus inference. They talk about the impact of recent developments in coding assistants like Claude from Anthropic and its implications for the technology sector. The conversation also covers the valuation and growth prospects of major tech firms including Google, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta, highlighting their individual strategies and market performance. The dialogue underscores a cautious optimism in the AI sector, with a focus on how technological advancements and market sentiment will influence investment decisions. Links Watch Dee's Convo with Replit's CEO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GOa3SfkQ0vE Watch Dee's Convo with the CEO of Box: https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/11/12/box-ceo-trumps-deregulation-could-spark-a-tech-supercycle.html —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami is joined by Danny Moses for a wide‑ranging macro conversation on gold, silver, Japan, energy stocks, banks, the Fed and the “K‑shaped” U.S. economy. They start with precious metals, breaking down why silver's industrial demand from EVs, solar and AI data centers is creating a structural supply squeeze, what it means for gold vs. silver, and how miners like Coeur Mining (CDE), Freeport‑McMoRan (FCX) and Newmont (NEM) fit into the trade. From there, they connect the metals story to Japan's weakening yen, surging bond yields, the carry trade, and the risk that a “point of no return” in Japanese policy spills over into U.S. Treasuries and global risk assets. In this episode of 'He Said, She Said', Guy Adami, Kristen Kelly & Jen Saarbach dive into the theme of unintended consequences. The discussion begins with Jerome Powell's saga and its implications on the Fed's independence and market reactions, highlighting potential political maneuvers and their backfires. Transitioning to monetary policy, they analyze the complexities of interest rate decisions and the perceptions of Fed control over the yield curve. Shifting to consumer finance, they debate the Biden administration's proposal to cap credit card rates and its potential repercussions on the economy. Corporate drama takes center stage with an in-depth analysis of the bidding war for Warner Brothers, involving Netflix, Paramount, and regulatory hurdles, likened to a real-life 'Succession'. They conclude by addressing headlines about Blackstone's housing market involvement and the impact on prices, underscoring the intricate web of economic policies and market behaviors. The episode wraps with discussions on gold and silver markets, oil prices, and the weakening US dollar, showcasing the multifaceted landscape of global finance. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Andrew Ross Sorkin joins Dan Nathan on the RiskReversal Podcast to dig into his new book, 1929: Inside the Greatest Crash in Wall Street History and How It Shattered a Nation, and what the lessons of the 1920s mean for today's stock market, Fed policy, and AI bubble talk. They connect the dots between the roaring '20s and 2026: meme stocks like GameStop and AMC, crypto manias, “democratizing finance,” tariffs, Federal Reserve debates, margin debt, and how political power shapes Wall Street from Hoover and Roosevelt to the current administration. Follow our boy Bill on Instagram —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan sits down with FirstMark Capital co-founder Rick Heitzmann and Jesse Chasse from RBC Capital Markets to unpack why 2026 is the first year VCs feel truly bullish again, as resilient growth, easing rates, and maturing AI set the stage for a new tech cycle. They dig into how AI-powered startups are disintermediating legacy SaaS names, why 80-90% of venture returns still come in the public markets, and what it takes to build the next Pinterest, Shopify, DraftKings, or Airbnb. The conversation covers AI's impact on white-collar jobs, the shift from infrastructure to application-layer winners, and what the coming wave of marquee IPOs means for valuations, scarcity, and whether we're in a bubble or a genuine AI-driven supercycle. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host a special edition of the RiskReversal Podcast where they introduce a new segment called 'He Said, She Said,' featuring Jen Saarbach and Kristen Kelly of 'The Wall Street Skinny.' The episode explores the upcoming bank earnings, focusing on major money centers and investment banks like JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, and Morgan Stanley. Discussions include the impact of recent economic data, monetary policies, and fiscal initiatives on market dynamics. They delve into specifics like price-to-tangible book ratios, interest rates, and debt issuance calendars. The hosts and guests share insights into the current market sentiment, the role of inflation, expenses in the banking sector, and the broader economic implications. The episode also highlights the importance of storytelling and clarity in financial education and market analysis. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host Mike Wilson, Chief U.S. Equity Strategist and CIO at Morgan Stanley. The conversation covers the impact of inflation on stocks, the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, and the current state of the employment market. Mike emphasizes the Fed's priority on funding the deficit and job growth over controlling inflation. The discussion includes the role of AI in corporate productivity, sector-specific investment opportunities, and the intricacies of the IPO and M&A markets. Mike also addresses potential deflationary forces, equity risk premiums, and the broader economic implications of industrial and consumer good sectors. Throughout, they highlight the importance of staying tactical and adaptable in investment strategies. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan brings back Deirdre Bosa, anchor of CNBC's Tech Check. to kick off 2026! The episode dives into recent tech highlights from CES, such as Nvidia's ventures into autonomous driving and the latest from Boston Dynamics. They address the evolving AI landscape, including market reactions to companies like Tesla, Waymo, and Baidu. The discussion also covers potential risks in the tech sector, especially in relation to China's growing tech capabilities and geopolitical tensions. After the break, Dan sits down with Jeff Richards, managing partner at Notable Capital, to discuss the exciting landscape of tech investment. They cover a range of topics from the growth and rotation in tech markets, notable trends in private and public tech companies, to the challenges and opportunities in the IPO market. Jeff highlights the rapid adoption of AI across various industries, the significant impact of private tech companies, and the potential for major tech IPOs in the coming years. The conversation also touches on financial market dynamics, the implications of government debt, and the future of tech innovation and investment. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity's most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC In this special annual mailbag episode of the Risk Reversal Podcast, Guy Adami and Dan Nathan address questions from listeners and viewers, reflecting on a turbulent 2025 and looking forward to 2026. Topics include market volatility, the impact of AI, and the performance of major tech stocks. The discussion also covers forecasts for companies like Uber, the potential of gold and mining stocks, the future of big cap pharma and biotech, and the outlook for US and international ETFs. Additionally, the hosts share insights on risk management, technical analysis, and trade strategies. They conclude with bold predictions for the next year, including a strong stance on market diversification and the performance of the Knicks in the NBA. Show Notes An Interview with Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi About Aggregation and Autonomy (Stratechery) Companies Are Outlining Plans for 2026. Hiring Isn't One of Them. (WSJ) Ph.D.s Can't Find Work as Boston's Biotech Engine Sputters (WSJ) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host Steph Guild, Chief Investment Officer at Robinhood. Steph discusses her 2026 market outlook, reflecting on tech sector growth, AI developments, and S&P 500 predictions. She emphasizes her cautious approach for the coming year, focusing on diversification and value investing. After the break, Steve Quirk, Chief Brokerage Officer at Robinhood joins the pod. Steve talks about Robinhood's latest offerings, including prediction markets and event contracts, highlighting their rapid growth and retail investor interest. The episode also explores new AI tools like Cortex for customer portfolio management and Robinhood's new social platform aimed at fostering community and idea sharing among investors. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Liz Thomas welcome Oz Pearlman, a renowned mentalist and author of 'Read Your Mind: Proven Habits for Success.' Pearlman discusses his recent book launch and whirlwind media tour, including appearances on CNBC, CNN, and 'The Joe Rogan Experience'. He delves into his journey from a Wall Street job to becoming a professional mentalist, highlighting the persistence and relentless pursuit of his goals. Pearlman shares insights on achieving success, the importance of mentors, and cultivating mutually beneficial relationships. He also speaks about dealing with hecklers, overcoming rejection, and creating memorable interactions. Additionally, the conversation touches on the implications of generative AI on various professions and the enduring value of human connection. The episode concludes with Pearlman performing mind-blowing tricks, impressing Dan and Liz. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity's most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC In this episode of 'Okay, Computer' Dan Nathan and Dan Ives, the Global Head of Technology Research at Wedbush Securities, reunite to discuss the resurgence of their podcast and the state of the tech industry. They reflect on past conversations, significant tech changes, and the return of their brand due to popular demand. They delve deeply into the impact of AI on the technology sector, the volatility in the space, and how retail and institutional investors can navigate these changes. Ives highlights his AI-themed ETF, IVES, explaining its investment strategy and evolution. The duo also explores the challenges and opportunities in enterprise software, the performance of tech giants like Microsoft, Google, and Apple, and the significant disruptions brought by AI. Later, Adam Singolda, CEO of Taboola, joins to discuss his company's strategy and the broader implications of AI on journalism and advertising, emphasizing the need for ethical practices in using AI-generated content. The episode provides a comprehensive look at the transformative power of AI and its implications across various tech sectors. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy & Liz discuss the potential risks of a market bubble, the validity of 2025 predictions, and the outlook for 2026. Key topics include sector performance, expectations for the small-cap market, and the implications of the yield curve inversion. The episode also highlights the significance of gold and other precious metals in the current economic climate. The discussion covers broader economic factors such as fiscal stimuli and interest rate differentials, particularly in Japan, and their impact on global markets. Read Liz's outlook here: https://www.sofi.com/article/investment-strategy/the-2026-outlook/ Timecodes 0:00 - 2025 Retrospective 5:45 - 2026 Big Picture 11:50 - Small Caps 16:00 - Yield Curve 21:15 - Japan Factor 25:30 - Gold —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity's most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC Dan Nathan hosts Dan Niles, founder and portfolio manager at Niles Investment Management, on the Risk Reversal Podcast. They review market trends from 2025 and look ahead to 2026, discussing the implications of AI, potential market bubbles, and macroeconomic factors. They examine the challenges for companies like OpenAI, which faces funding and competition issues, and explore the broader market impact of AI and tech investments. They also touch on China's tech advancements, U.S.-China trade dynamics, and specific company performances including Nvidia, Oracle, Cisco, and Palantir. The conversation concludes with insights into the economic outlook for 2026 in light of inflation trends, fiscal policies, and potential market volatility. Show Notes OpenAI in Talks to Raise At Least $10 Billion From Amazon and Use Its AI Chips (The Information) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the Okay Computer Podcast, host Dan Nathan welcomes Ed Elson, the host of Prof G Markets and the First Time Founders podcast. They discuss the dynamics of hosting versus guesting on podcasts, Ed's journey from being an intern for Scott Galloway to co-hosting podcasts with him, and the evolution of Gen Z's relationship with markets and investing. They delve into the generational differences in economic opportunities, the impact of technological advancements, and the challenges and potentials of AI. The conversation touches on notable trends like meme stocks, cryptocurrencies, and the broader implications of AI on job markets and business. They also explore how the current market is shaped by both hype and practicalities surrounding AI investments. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami and Liz Thomas from SoFi discuss the impact of recent Federal Reserve decisions on the market. They analyze the Fed's dovish rate cuts and the implications of its plans to buy $40 billion in treasuries. The conversation shifts to the underperformance of Bitcoin despite expectations for a boost from the Fed's liquidity actions. They explore broader market trends, including the recent Empire Manufacturing Survey's dismal results, and upcoming significant economic data releases such as the unemployment rate and CPI numbers. The episode concludes with insights into the potential future of the AI revolution and its market implications for 2026. Timecodes 0:00 - Fed Speak & BTC 6:15 - Data Talk 13:20 - Jobs/Inflation 19:00 - AI Revolution —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, host Dan Nathan and guest Peter Boockvar, CIO at One Point BFG Wealth Partners, speak with Louis Vincent-Gave, CEO and founder of Gavekal, to discuss the evolving economic competition between the US and China. They explore the impact of past trade embargos, particularly the 2018 semiconductor embargo, and China's response which led to significant industrial advancements. The conversation touches on the implications for global markets, US companies, and the strategic shifts in industrial policy. They also delve into the potential outcomes of continued US-China rivalry, including the growing importance of AI technology, state capitalism, and the future role of the US and China in global trade. The episode highlights the complexities and potential shifts in economic power dynamics and the strategic responses required on both sides. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity's most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC Xxx —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Jim Lanzone (CEO of Yahoo, former CEO of Tinder & CBS Interactive) joins Dan Nathan to pull back the curtain on one of the most fascinating turnaround stories in tech history. With 90% reach across the US internet and profitability that would make most public companies jealous, Jim explains why Yahoo is quietly dominating while the world isn't looking. They discuss the "original sin" deal in 2000 where Yahoo accidentally helped build the Google monopoly, the similarities between the Dot Com crash and today's AI boom, and the exact playbook Apollo is using to revitalize the brand for a potential IPO. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy Adami and Liz Thomas discuss various market developments as the year-end approaches. They focus on the bond market's reaction to anticipated rate cuts and the possible implications of rising treasury yields. The conversation also touches on concerns about the U.S. government deficit, liquidity issues, currency volatility, and the upcoming change in Fed leadership. They analyze potential economic data impacts, such as PPI, Jolts, and retail spending figures. The discussion expands to the rising activity in mergers and acquisitions, the performance of consumer staples versus consumer discretionary stocks, and the global trends in yield movements. Finally, they explore the outlook for gold, healthcare, and biotech sectors for 2026, along with potential market rotations and valuations. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host Stephanie Guild, CIO at Robinhood, on the RiskReversal podcast. The discussion spans various financial topics, including Federal Reserve policies, market trends, and projections for the S&P 500. Stephanie offers insights into the potential for a Santa Claus rally, the valuation of tech stocks, and the impact of consumer behavior on the market. They also explore the effects of AI spending and the sustainability of company valuations like Nvidia and Google. The conversation touches on credit market signals, the role of small businesses, and the significance of investor behavior observed through Robinhood's customer base. They conclude with thoughts on the interplay of government policies and market stability, particularly highlighting the implications of intertwined Federal Reserve and Treasury actions. Show Notes Microsoft Lowers Sales Staff's Growth Targets For Newer AI Software (The Information) -- FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity's most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC In this episode of the Risk Reversal Podcast, hosts Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome Michael Kantrowitz, Chief Investment Strategist and Head of Portfolio Strategy at Piper Sandler. The discussion delves into Kantrowitz's HOPE framework, which stands for Housing, Orders, Profits, and Employment, and its relevance in the current economic climate. They discuss the nuanced macroeconomic indicators and the impact of inflation, interest rates, and employment on the economy and market forecasts. Kantrowitz emphasizes the importance of analyzing specific economic data points and the K-shaped economy. The conversation also touches on home equity, credit spreads, consumer confidence, manufacturing, and the potential implications of AI on the labor market. Kantrowitz presents a cautiously optimistic view of the economic landscape for 2026, predicting improved conditions in cyclical sectors despite ongoing uncertainties. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, host Dan Nathan speaks with Alex Sherman, co-founder and CEO of Bluefish, about the transformative impact of AI on e-commerce and marketing. They discuss how Bluefish aids large brands in gaining visibility and influence over how major AI platforms portray their products. The conversation covers the rapid evolution of AI technology, challenges for e-commerce giants like Amazon and Walmart, and the shift from traditional SEO to AI-driven marketing. Alex shares insights on how AI is changing consumer behavior, the adaptation required by brands, and the influence of large language models on market performance. They also touch on future challenges and opportunities for brands navigating this new landscape. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami hosts Liz Thomas of SoFi, discussing various topics including the current performance of the Green Bay Packers, Japan's economic situation, and its potential global impact. They delve into Japan's rising bond yields, appreciating yen, and how these factors could influence global markets, particularly the US bond and equity markets. Elizabeth explains the potential implications for US investors and highlights interconnected financial systems. They also examine cryptocurrency behavior, consumer sentiment, small-cap stocks performance, and the importance of upcoming economic data. The episode concludes with a discussion on Elizabeth's upcoming mid-December outlook report with Mario. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity's most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome Danny Moses to discuss various market trends and investment strategies. The discussion spans topics such as AI's impact on the market, the performance of key sectors like healthcare, energy, and technology, and the challenges posed by economic indicators and geopolitical factors. They delve into the volatility and potential reshuffling within 'The Magnificent Seven' tech stocks and the implications for the broader market. The episode also highlights the private credit market's sketchy valuations, the Federal Reserve's position on potential rate cuts, and the dynamics within the cryptocurrencies market, including Bitcoin and its associated treasury companies. Finally, they touch on their favorite NFL picks for the week's slate. Show Notes On The Tape Feed (Apple | YouTube) WAWD (Substack) Comparing The Top AI Chips: Nvidia GPUs, Google TPUs, AWS Trainium (YouTube) Google Further Encroaches on Nvidia's Turf With New AI Chip Push (The Information) OpenAI needs to raise at least $207bn by 2030 so it can continue to lose money, HSBC estimates (FT) Private Credit's Sketchy Marks Get Warning Shot From Wall Street's Top Cop (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy Adami and Liz Thomas from SoFi discuss various financial market trends leading into Thanksgiving week. They also touch on the Packers football game which will be played at 1 pm ET on Thursday. They talk about the recent rally in the S&P 500, attributing it to possible Fed rate cuts and positive job numbers. Liz highlights the Fed's stance on unemployment and its implications for future rate decisions. The conversation also covers the CPI, GDP data, consumer spending, and signs of economic stress like rising delinquency rates. They discuss sector-specific trends, focusing on healthcare and energy markets, and explore the potential impact of geopolitical events on big cap pharma stocks. Additionally, they touch upon the dynamics of the yen carry trade, the significance of Bitcoin movements, and oil prices' role in economic forecasts. The episode concludes with Thanksgiving well-wishes and reflections on their collaboration and friendship. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

On this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, hosts Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss recent market trends and significant movements, focusing on AI stocks like Nvidia and their earnings impacts. They delve into the consumer landscape through the lens of major retailers like Walmart and the overall health of the consumer amidst rising delinquency rates. The conversation extends to macroeconomic indicators, including the CME Fed Watch tool and rate cut expectations, as well as insights from industry leaders like Harvey Schwartz of the Carlyle Group. The hosts also explore the implications for companies like Oracle, Intel, and Dell in the current economic climate. Show Notes Checkout Wilf's Podcast —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity's most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital. They discuss a range of topics including market volatility, AI investment trends, consumer spending patterns, and economic forecasts. Calvasina highlights the increasing nervousness among investors regarding high valuations and the potential impact of delayed Fed rate cuts. She notes the importance of monitoring CapEx and regulatory changes, especially as they pertain to AI and tech sectors. The conversation touches on geopolitical dynamics with China and the upcoming US midterm elections, emphasizing their potential market implications. The session is rich with insights into the current market climate, investor sentiment, and future economic expectations. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Help Support CME Group's Charitable Efforts By Donating To St. Jude Children's Research Hospital Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are joined by Terry Duffy, CEO and Chairman of CME Group, at the CME Group Tour Championship in Naples, Florida. They discuss a range of topics including Bitcoin, gold, equities, and market correlations, offering insights into the current financial landscape. The conversation highlights the role of CME's initiatives in retail trading, emphasizing the company's efforts in prediction markets and partnerships with platforms like Robinhood and FanDuel. Other key points include the evolution of market structure, the significance of the ten-year bond, and the increasing relevance of gold and crypto assets. Additionally, Duffy reflects on his leadership style, institutional trust, and future challenges and opportunities in finance. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami and Liz Thomas of SoFi discuss a range of topics including recent Japanese economic trends, the impact of a potential Japanese stimulus on global equities, and the weakening yen. They examine the relationships between various market indicators and their departures from expected norms. They touch on the volatility index and interpret recent movements in the stock market. Other key points include the influence of mortgage rates and housing affordability on the economy, the potential effects of upcoming non-farm payroll reports, and PMI services/manufacturing indices. The podcast also digs into consumer sentiment and Bitcoin's decoupling from gold and its strong correlation with Nasdaq. Additionally, Elizabeth shares insights about her conversation with Jenny Harrington on her own podcast, focusing on dividend investing and personal finance stories. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this RiskReversal podcast episode, Guy Adami and Peter Boockvar discuss recent market trends, including the shifts in AI dominance and financial stresses at Oracle. They analyze the stock market's reaction to Meta's spending and the implications for data center build-outs. The conversation covers the competitive landscape with AI and the potential overrates in hardware infrastructure. They also discuss the unusual dynamics in the US economy and the job market's deceleration, touching on Bitcoin's correlation with other assets. Finally, they explore the bullish outlook on energy stocks and the rebound in big-cap pharma amid regulatory clarity. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity's most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC In this episode of the Risk Reversal Podcast, hosts Guy Adami and Dan Nathan sit down with Jenny Just and Matt Hulsizer of PEAK6 at the Ascend Innovation Summit in Austin, Texas. The discussion explores their backgrounds in options trading at O'Connor and Associates, the evolution of retail trading, and the significance of democratizing finance. The conversation also touches on the role of technology in trading, the importance of culture in maintaining business integrity, and how PEAK6 leverages these elements in various ventures, including Apex Fintech Solutions. Additionally, the episode features a segment with Bill Capuzzi, CEO of Apex, who discusses the impact of fintech innovations and the convergence of traditional and decentralized finance. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Gene Munster discuss upcoming earnings for Nvidia and the recent trends in the technology and AI domain for major companies including SoftBank's sell-off of Nvidia shares. They also wrap up Q3 earnings for the 'Mag Seven' tech giants such as Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Google, and Apple. They address key points about Microsoft's Azure growth, Meta's controversial spending on AI, Amazon's financials amidst AWS growth, Google's AI-driven search improvements, and Apple's forthcoming AI developments. The market's recent shift favoring AI-related stocks and the debate over Amazon's strategic investments without their own AI models are also covered. They conclude by emphasizing the significant role of Nvidia's next report and its effect on AI market sentiment. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media