Podcasts about Fixed income

To be sure, factor investing has been a thing in equities for some time now, with vast pools of capital managed by firms that employ a systematic approach to harvesting style factors like growth, value and momentum. In 2013, Asness, Moskowitz and Pedersen authored, “Value and Momentum Everywhere”, for the Journal of Finance, finding common factors in return attribution across 8 markets.Still, a decade later, fixed income factor investing is a nascent strategy. Enter Karishma Kaul, Head of Systematic Fixed Income Strategies at Fidelity. With a masters in financial engineering from Cornell, she hit Wall Street in 2008, landing on a fixed income desk the day of the Lehman Bankruptcy. The ensuing financial crisis would provide valuable lessons on the limitations of theoretical models and the pitfalls that potentially arise from back-tests.Our discussion shifts to fixed income factor investing. Karishma provides an overview of common factors, including value, momentum and quality. The latter, she argues can play an important stabilizing role during risk-off periods. She makes the point that each of these factors delivers incremental risk-adjusted return in isolation, but when put together, add further value due to favorably low correlation among them.We discuss implementation, a process that can be complicated in fixed income where attention must be paid to trading frictions. Lastly, we touch on the risk of potential return dampening due crowding. Here, Karishma acknowledges this as a risk to monitor, but notes that the capital in these strategies is still small and there should be plenty of room for growth.I hope you enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my conversation with Karishma Kaul.

Our conversation outlines the current landscape for fixed income investors and where to locate opportunity within the asset class. We also discuss the road ahead for monetary policy, the economy and credit markets. Featured are Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office, and Robert Cohen, Global Head of Developed Credit, DoubleLine Capital. Host: Daniel Cassidy

European bourses are mostly lower but have trimmed the losses seen at the cash open. The main macro story for the region thus far has been the flash PMI prints for September.French PMI missed, German PMI modestly beat, EZ PMI was mixed, UK PMI only saw manufacturing beat; the main theme of the PMIs was growth concerns.DXY is on a firmer footing following the uneventful BoJ decision overnight coupled with weakness from the EUR post-PMI; JPY underperforms BoJ kept monetary policy settings unchanged and made no change to forward guidance with the central bank to patiently continue monetary easing.Australian unions agreed to endorse recommendations made by the industrial umpire to end the dispute with Chevron; strike actions have been called off. Looking ahead highlights include US PMIs (Flash), Canadian Retail Sales, ECB's de Guindos, Fed's Daly, Cook & Kashkari. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

2023 has been a year of soaring prices and rising inflation rates. In tough markets like today's, fixed-income maturities can help provide stability and growth. We review traditional income strategies—such as bonds, deferred fixed annuities, and CDs—as well as new innovations in the space, like fractional CDs. About Fresh Invest: From market shifts to emerging asset classes, Fresh Invest breaks down the current financial climate, what it means to you as an investor, and actionable steps you can take to manage your money and set yourself up for a solid financial future. Join Morning Brew co-founder and executive chairman Alex Lieberman on his weekly deep dive with Fidelity guests. Custom music by Davis Jones. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

APAC stocks traded mixed amid a higher yield environment and after this week's central bank frenzy culminated with a lack of surprises from the BoJ.BoJ kept monetary policy settings unchanged and made no change to forward guidance with the central bank to patiently continue monetary easing.European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.3% after the cash market closed down 1.5% yesterday.DXY remains firm on a 105 handle, JPY lags post-BoJ with USD/JPY around the 148 mark, Cable is sub-1.23.Australian unions agreed to endorse recommendations made by the industrial umpire to end the dispute with Chevron.Looking ahead, highlights include French, German, EU, UK & US PMIs (Flash), Canadian Retail Sales, UK CBI Trends, BoJ Governor Ueda, ECB's de Guindos, Riksbank's Thedeen, Fed's Daly, Cook & Kashkari.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The major indexes fell for a third straight day as an ongoing climb in Treasury yields and the prospects for another Fed rate hike unnerved investors.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

The Fed kept rates unchanged and provided more hawkish dot plots; signalled a further rate hike this year and fewer cuts next year.APAC stocks were pressured in the aftermath of the FOMC's hawkish pause; US futures are also softer (ES -0.3%) European equity futures are indicative of a lower open with Euro Stoxx 50 future -1.0% after the cash market closed up 0.8% yesterday.DXY has held onto its post-FOMC gains, USD/JPY has advanced as high as 148.45, antipodeans lag peers.Brazil Central Bank cut the Selic rate by 50bps to 12.75%, as expected; anticipates further reductions of the same magnitude in the next meetings.Looking ahead, highlights include US IJC, Existing Home Sales & EZ Consumer Confidence (Flash), BoE, SNB, Riksbank, Norges Bank, CBRT & SARB Policy Announcements, ECB's Lagarde, Schnabel & Riksbank's Thedeen, Supply from Spain, France & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are pressured as the region reacts to the FOMC, US futures are lower but action is slightly more containedDXY is off 105.68 best but remains supported, GBP pressured and sub-1.23 ahead of the BoE with pricing still near 50/50CHF collapses as SNB leaves rates unchanged, SEK pressured on the initial Riksbank announcement before appreciating on FX hedging & NOK benefits from Norges Bank guidance for another hikeBrief move higher on the SNB for EGBs/USTs has dissipated with hawkish FOMC undertones persisting pre-BoECommodities pressured in-fitting with the broader risk tone and USD action, TTF hindered further on an Offshore Alliance Woodside updateLooking ahead, highlights include US IJC, Existing Home Sales & EZ Consumer Confidence (Flash), BoE, CBRT & SARB Policy Announcements, ECB's Lagarde & Schnabel. Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Fed leaders concluded a two-day policy meeting by leaving interest rates unchanged, as expected, but signaled another rate increase later this year could be necessary.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

A potential debt-deflation cycle in China could spell opportunity for U.S. Treasuries and Asia corporate bonds outside of China.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic research for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about the impact of China's economy on fixed income markets. It's Wednesday, September 20th, at 10 a.m. in New York. We spend a lot of time on this podcast talking about the market ramifications of the evolving US-China relationship, and understandably so, as they are the world's biggest economies. But today, I want to focus more on the evolving economy inside of China and how it has implications for global fixed income markets. A few weeks ago on Thoughts on the Market, my colleague Morgan Stanley's Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter, detailed how our Asia economics team is increasingly calling attention to what they term China's 3D challenge of debt, demographics and deflation. In short, there's a risk that servicing high levels of debt in China's economy could strain its weak demographic profile and dampen demand in the economy, all leading to a debt deflation cycle. While such an adverse outcome currently is in our economists base case, there's been material slowing in China's economic growth. So in either case, China, at least for the moment, is a weaker consumer on the global stage, meaning they may effectively export disinflation to developed market countries. And while our economists flag this weakness may not translate to substantial disinflation pressures, they also note directionally it may help already cooling inflation in places like the United States. Understandably, our team in fixed income research across the globe is focused on many potential impacts from the spillover effects of China's 3D challenge. But there's two that stand out to me as most relevant to investors. First, for investors in U.S. Treasury bonds, this disinflation pressure, even if modest, could help push yields lower in line with our preference for owning bonds over equities. That disinflation pressure could add to other more meaningful pressures in the U.S. in the fourth quarter, as student loan repayments start in the absence of major entertainment events that were a one time shot to consumption this past summer. Second, if you're an investor in corporate bonds, our Asia corporate credit team sees opportunities to diversify away from China Credit, which has been struggling to deliver solid risk adjusted returns and remains concentrated in the property sector, with our team seeing opportunities in Japan, Australia and New Zealand in particular. Credit markets in these countries not only provide geographical diversification but also diversification into sectors like financials and materials. This is a developing story that's sure to impact the global outlook for the foreseeable future, and you can be sure we'll keep you updated on how it will influence markets. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague, or leave us a review on Apple Podcasts. It helps more people find the show.

FTSE 100 outperforms after sub-forecast UK inflation data, Real Estate and Banking leadingStateside, futures are essentially flat pre-FOMCGBP undermined as market pricing pivots to 50/50 for pause/hike by the BoE, DXY at 105.00, USD/JPY over 148.00EGBs & USTs rise on significant Gilt upside, US yields lower with the short-end leadingCrude benchmarks pressured after seven sessions of upside, XAU flat while Palladium outperformsLooking ahead, highlights include US MBAs, FOMC & Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference, BCB Policy Announcement, BoC Minutes, ECB's Elderson.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly lower with risk appetite dampened ahead of the incoming deluge of central bank policy announcements.European equity futures are indicative of a contained open with Euro Stoxx 50 future flat after the cash market closed down 0.1% yesterday.DXY was steady above the 105 mark, EUR/USD and Cable sit below 1.07 and 1.24 respectively with the latter eyeing upcoming CPI data.Crude futures continued their pullback from a YTD peak with WTI back below USD 94/bbl amid profit-taking and cautiousness ahead of upcoming risk events.Looking ahead, highlights include UK CPI & US MBA, FOMC & Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference, BCB Policy Announcement, BoC Minutes, ECB's Panetta, Schnabel & Elderson.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Rising oil prices and Treasury yields weighed on the major indexes ahead of the Fed's rate decision Wednesday.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

European bourses & US futures are in the green but only modestly so as markets continue to count down to multiple Central Bank announcementsUSD remains pressured pre-FOMC but the index retains 105.00 with peers generally contained/modestly firmerEGBs and Gilts continue to regain some poise while USTs are contained and meandering either side of parityCrude benchmarks retain a positive bias but have slipped from best following the latest OECD forecastsUAW is to announce new strikes on Friday if progress is not made, potential for Canadian strikes at Ford facilities as wellLooking ahead, highlights include Canadian CPI, ECB's Elderson and supply from the USRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly lower following the flat performance stateside ahead of a flurry of central bank meetings.European equity futures are indicative of a contained open with Euro Stoxx 50 future flat after the cash market closed down 1.4% yesterday.FX markets are steady with the DXY maintaining 105 status, EUR/USD rangebound and USD/JPY bouncing off support at 147.50.Crude futures continued to gain with Brent crude futures above the USD 95.00/bbl level for the first time since November.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ CPI (Final) & Canadian CPI, ECB's Elderson, Supply from UK & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US 10-year yield is breaking on a combination of improved economic activity in the US since May and recently a rally in oil lifting energy prices and inflation expectations. We talk about the upside and downside case on bonds, and finally we talk about interest rates in Europe and why higher bond yields in Europe are sending a different signal than in the US, with Peter Garnry and Oskar Bernhardtsen. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here. Click here to open an account with Saxo

A shift into higher rates globally over the latter part of 2023 has created a new investment regime in the fixed income markets; prompting investors to reassess their strategic asset allocation. Despite the reset of fixed income yields to much higher levels, making the asset class look attractive, how can investors be prepared for potential rate cuts while balancing the exciting opportunities that the market is presenting as we make our way through the current market cycle? On this episode of Disruptive Forces, Jaina Varsani, Fixed Income Portfolio Specialist, and Toby Bracey, Fixed Income Client Portfolio Manager, join Anu Rajakumar to do a deeper dive into the various sectors of fixed income broadly, while assessing what the opportunities and risk profile are that have placed this asset class into the spotlight.      This podcast includes general market commentary, general investment education and general information about Neuberger Berman. It is provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. This communication is not directed at any investor or category of investors and should not be regarded as investment advice or a suggestion to engage in or refrain from any investment-related course of action. Investment decisions should be made based on an investor's individual objectives and circumstances and in consultation with his or her advisors. Information is obtained from sources deemed reliable, but there is no representation or warranty as to its accuracy, completeness, or reliability. All information is current as of the date of recording and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. This material may include estimates, outlooks, projections and other “forward-looking statements.” Due to a variety of factors, actual events or market behavior may differ significantly from any views expressed. Neuberger Berman products and services may not be available in all jurisdictions or to all client types. Diversification does not guarantee profit or protect against loss in declining markets. Investing entails risks including the possible loss of principal. Investments in hedge funds and private equity are speculative, involve a higher degree of risk than more traditional investments and are intended for sophisticated investors only. Indexes are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.    Discussions of any specific sectors and companies are for informational purposes only. This material is not intended as a formal research report and should not be relied upon as a basis for making an investment decision. The firm, its employees and advisory accounts may hold positions of any companies discussed. Specific securities identified and described do not represent all of the securities purchased, sold or recommended for advisory clients. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. Any discussion of environmental, social and governance (ESG) factor and ratings are for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a basis for making an investment decision. ESG factors are one of many factors that may be considered when making investment decisions.      This material is being issued on a limited basis through various global subsidiaries and affiliates of Neuberger Berman Group LLC. Please visit http://www.nb.com/disclosure-global-communications for the specific entities and jurisdictional limitations and restrictions.     The “Neuberger Berman” name and logo are registered service marks of Neuberger Berman Group LLC.    © 2023 Neuberger Berman Group LLC. All rights reserved  

Join the CIO fixed income team every other month for a discussion around the drivers behind asset class trends and performance, positioning and a near-term outlook. Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy, moderates a panel which includes insights from Senior Fixed Income Strategists Barry McAlinden, Frank Sileo and Alina Golant, along with Senior Municipal Strategist, Kathleen McNamara.

The major equities indexes were generally in a holding pattern Monday as investors looked ahead to the Fed's updates about rates and inflation.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

APAC stocks were mostly lower following last Friday's declines on Wall St and with the region cautious in holiday-thinned trade.Evergrande shares slumped by more than 20% after some of its wealth management employees were detained by Chinese authorities.European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.1% after the cash market closed up 0.4% on Friday.DXY and EUR/USD were contained on 105 and 1.06 handles respectively, antipodeans marginally outperform.US National Security Adviser Sullivan and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met in Malta over the weekend in a pre-unannounced meetingLooking ahead, highlights include US NAHB Housing Market Index, Bundesbank Monthly Report, remarks from Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister, ECB de Guindos & Panetta.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are in the red with US futures contained in light newsflow ahead of a key Central Bank weekDXY above 105.00, but in the red, Antipodeans outperform with other G10s relatively contained vs USDDebt futures depressed heading into a packed week, yields bid across the curve with the belly leadingCrude benchmarks remain firmer as known demand- & supply-side factors continue to assistUS' Sullivan and China's Wang Yi met with talks described as candid, substantive and constructiveLooking ahead, highlights include US NAHB Housing Market Index. Remarks from Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister, ECB's PanettaRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Hear from top portfolio managers and business heads from UBS Asset Management's Muni, Taxable Fixed Income and Liquidity teams. Together, they provide views on markets and what they believe you should be focused on within the fixed income space.

In this episode, Portfolio Manager Jeremiah Buckley, CFA, and Head of U.S. Fixed Income Greg Wilensky, CFA, discuss current opportunities in equity and fixed income markets. They also weigh in on why careful security selection, a flexible asset allocation, and managing risk at an aggregate level are key for multi-asset portfolios in today's markets.

Where we see value in U.S. fixed income and how we believe investors should position portfolios to take advantage of the opportunities available.

Manpreet speaks to Audrey about the implications for bond investors from recent central bank decisions, our views on EM bonds and why we like Japanese equities in light of the BoJ's recent commentsSpeaker:Manpreet Gill, CIO of Africa, Middle East & Europe (AME/E) and Head of Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities (FICC) Strategy, Standard Chartered BankGoh, Audrey Sze Chieh,  Head of Asset Allocation and Thematic Strategy, Standard Chartered BankFor more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.

US stocks rallied with risk sentiment spurred by several factors including strong US data, a dovish ECB hike, the PBoC RRR cut, and a blockbuster Arm IPO.APAC stocks gained after global risk was fuelled by the upside in Europe and the US; Hang Seng and Shanghai Comp were both initially underpinned by the encouraging Chinese activity data.DXY marginally softened but held on to most of the prior day's gains above the 105.00 level while EUR/USD languished around a 6-month low.China's NBS said the economy saw accelerated demand, but domestic demand remains insufficient, while the PBoC maintained its MLF rate.Several of the ECB's more hawkish rate-setters believe that rates could rise again in December, in the scenario of hot wages and inflation, via FT citing sources.Looking ahead, highlights include French & Italian CPI (Final), EZ Labour Costs, Italian Trade Balance, US UoM Sentiment, NY Fed Manufacturing, Import & Export Prices, BoE/IPSOS Inflation Attitude Survey, ECB TLTRO Repayment Publication, Speeches from ECB's Lagarde & CBR's Nabiullina and Quad Witching.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

A bounce in Treasury yields weighed on the major indexes Friday, as investors looked ahead to next week's Fed meeting.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

European bourses are in the green as sentiment improves after constructive Chinese dataThough, US futures are more contained with specifics light into Quad WitchingDXY idles above 105.00, JPY pressured as yields lift despite sources while Yuan rebounds on mentioned dataFixed benchmarks under pressure in a marked reversal of post-ECB highs with multiple factors weighingCrude benchmarks firmer intraday, though shy of best, metals more mixedLooking ahead, highlights include US UoM Sentiment, NY Fed Manufacturing, Import & Export Prices, BoE/IPSOS Inflation Attitude Survey. CBR's Nabiullina, Quad Witching.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Our conversation outlines the current landscape for fixed income investors and where to locate opportunity within the asset class. We also discuss the road ahead for monetary policy, the economy and the broader markets. Featured are Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office, and Alex Obaza, Portfolio Manager, T.Rowe Price. Host: Daniel Cassidy

European bourses are generally contained pre-ECB, though the FTSE 100 sees marked outperformanceStateside, futures fare slightly better than mainland European peers ahead of numerous US data pointsDXY back to a 104.80 peak, AUD underpinned post-jobs with EUR & GBP rangeboundDebt futures experience modest divergence going into the ECB where a hike is priced with around 65% probabilityCrude benchmarks continue to benefit from the energy reports while metals are mixedLooking ahead, highlights include US IJC, PPI, NZ Manufacturing PMI, ECB Policy Announcement & ECB President Lagarde's Press Conference, Supply from US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were predominantly firmer and mostly shrugged off the indecision seen on Wall St.European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.2% after the cash market closed down 0.4% yesterday.DXY is a touch softer but holding above 104.50, EUR/USD lingers around 1.0750 ahead of ECB, AUD firmer post-jobs.The latest Aussie employment data provided encouragement but was predominantly fuelled by an increase in part-time jobs.Looking ahead, highlights include US IJC, PPI, NZ Manufacturing PMI, ECB Policy Announcement & ECB President Lagarde's Press Conference, Supply from US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The major indexes jumped to one-week highs after producer price readings largely meet expectations, bolstering confidence in a "soft landing."Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

APAC stocks were pressured following the tech-led declines on Wall St owing to the Apple event and with participants cautious ahead of the upcoming US CPI data.Apple (AAPL) shares sold off after the new iPhone prices provided some disappointment, whilst some also cited a “sell the news” event. ECB's new 2024 inflation projection is to be above 3% vs. 3% in June, firming the case for an interest rate hike, according to Reuters sources.DXY eked mild gains amid the risk-off mood, EUR/USD remained indecisive after yesterday's whipsawing, and USD/JPY resumed its upward trend after finding support near 147.00.Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP Estimate, US CPI, IEA Oil Market Report, Supply from Italy, UK, Germany & USRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are in the red following the risk-off sentiment in APAC trade, US futures tentative pre-CPIEuropean autos saw brief marked outperformance on von der Leyen's comments, though this has since paredDXY is on a firmer footing with EUR & GBP softer while the PLN experienced marked appreciation after the Polish PM's advisor spokeEGBs softer after hawkish ECB sources while Gilts remain in the green after particularly soft growth data; USTs under marginal pressure pre-CPI/supplyCrude benchmarks are modestly firmer continuing Tuesday's upside while metals are mixed/subdued as the USD remains resilientLooking ahead, highlights include US CPI & supplyRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Consumer prices ticked up slightly as expected in August, though the path for interest rates remains unclear.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

Jeff Rosenkranz, manager of the Shelton Tactical Credit Fund, says the economy and rate cycle are both reaching inflection points, making it tricky to make moves in fixed income without risking being wrong and facing punishment that's "severe". As such, he suggests moving up in credit quality, avoiding undue risks and starting to lengthen maturities, planning for rates to start going lower in six to nine months when the Federal Reserve has pushed the economy to where inflation finally recedes. Also on the show, Toby Eng discusses the latest results from Northwestern Mutual's 2023 Planning and Progress Study, showing that nearly one-third of Americans lose sleep at least once a month due to financial uncertainties. In the Market Call, Conrad Doenges, chief investment officer at Ranger Investment Management, makes his first appearance on the show and discusses small-and micro-cap investing.

European bourses/US futures are generally struggling for direction though Tech lags post-ORCL -9.1% pre-marketUSD at the top-end of parameters but still sub-105.00; GBP stumbles on caveats to UK wage dataGilts outperform post-data but are off highs as BoE's appointee Breeden says she agrees that August CPI risks are skewed to the upsideCrude benchmarks choppy with specifics light while TTF continues to benefit from strike action, metals softer after Monday's strengthLooking ahead, highlights include BoE's Mann, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The major U.S. benchmarks were under pressure as tech stocks wobbled and crude oil rallied, while investors waited for key inflation data.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

In today's podcast on fixed-income we preview the ECB rate decision on Thursday on the back of a recent stagflation outlook from the EU Commission making the policy decision a difficult one. We argue for a hawkish pause with the potential move by the ECB to stop reinvestments into the PEPP facility. Based on a slowing economy and stagflation light outlook we go through why both European and US sovereign bonds have an attractive risk-reward ratio, with Peter Garnry and Althea Spinozzi. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here. Click here to open an account with Saxo

APAC stocks were mixed with the region tentative in the absence of any fresh macro catalysts.European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.2% after the cash market closed up 0.4% yesterday.DXY was contained above 104.50, EUR/USD and USD/JPY are steady on 1.07 and 146 handles respectively, Cable eyes jobs dataAustralia union said it wants industrial action to continue until it secures a union-negotiated deal at Australian LNG facilities, according to ReutersLooking ahead, highlights include UK Labour Data, German Wholesale Prices, German & EZ ZEW, US NFIB Business Optimism Index, BoE's Mann, Supply from Netherlands, UK & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

A ratings upgrade for Tesla helped drive the major stock indexes higher as investors awaited monthly inflation updates.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

Oyster's Capital Markets experts were recently featured on the Bond Dealer Association's podcast, “Bonding Time,” discussing issues affecting the U.S. fixed income markets. The podcast, hosted by Michael Decker of BDA, covers:Fair Pricing for  Fixed Income products and compliance with Rule 2121, and MSRB Rule G30 Best execution and the SEC's new proposalThe latest on FINRA and MSRB trade reporting, including the proposals to shorten the trade reporting time to one minuteMSEC Rule 15-c-12 disclosure requirementsOyster Consulting has the expertise, experience and licensed professionals you need, all under one roof. Follow us on LinkedIn to take advantage of our industry insights or subscribe to our monthly newsletter. Does your firm need help now? Contact us today!

APAC stocks traded mixed as yields climbed following comments from BoJ Governor Ueda.Ueda said the BoJ cannot rule out that they might have sufficient data by year-end to determine whether they can end negative rates. Chinese inflation data showed headline CPI Y/Y was softer than expected but no longer in deflationary territory.European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.1% after the cash market closed up 0.4% on Friday.DXY is on the backfoot, JPY leads post-Ueda, EUR/USD and Cable are back on 1.07 and 1.25 handles respectively.Looking ahead, highlights include NY Fed SCE, Speech from BoE's Pill, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses & US futures are firmer in a continuation of the APAC handover where action was driven by Chinese inflationTesla +5.5% in pre-market trade following action by Morgan StanleyUSD pressured by both the JPY & Yuan following Ueda and midpoint/CPI respectivelyCore fixed benchmarks remain depressed but are off worst as JGBs regroup from BoJ-inspired lowsCrude continues to pullback despite bullish catalysts while metals benefit from China and the softer USDLooking ahead, highlights include NY Fed SCE. Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The major indexes posted declines for the week amid uncertainty fueled by rising oil prices and the prospect for additional Fed rate hikes.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

Jonny Goulden and Saad Siddiqui discuss the latest market developments and their impacts for the EM fixed income asset class. This podcast was recorded on 08 September 2023. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4506420-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Concern over interest rates, a strengthening dollar, and China's iPhone ban combined to send U.S. equities broadly lower for a third day this week.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

The major U.S. indexes dropped to their lowest levels in more than a week as stronger-than-expected economic readings and a rally in oil prices stirred Fed concerns.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

Investors anticipate new legislation on tech regulation, AI and defense, amid speculation about a potential government shutdown.-----Transcription -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Research for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about Congress coming back in the session and its impact on markets. It's Wednesday, September 6th, at 10 a.m. in New York. Congress returns from summer break this week with a full agenda. Expect to see tons of headlines on various policies that markets care about. Tech regulation, artificial intelligence regulation, defense spending, disaster relief aid and the risk of a government shutdown, are just some of the issues that should be tackled. It can be a bit overwhelming, so here's our cheat sheet for September in D.C. to help cut through the noise and understand why this could be a good set up for U.S bonds. On tech regulation and A.I, don't expect any meaningful movement here. New versions of legislative proposals on data privacy and liability for spreading misinformation may come, but there's still no comprehensive bipartisan agreement that could turn proposals into law. So we continue to expect that this only becomes possible after the 2024 election delivers a new government makeup. On defense spending, we expect that aid to Ukraine will continue and the Congress will approve overall defense spending levels in excess of the cap set by the agreement put in place alongside the hike of the debt ceiling. There's bipartisan agreement here, with the exception of House Republicans. Resolving issues with those holdouts will likely take brinkmanship over a government shutdown and perhaps even an actual government shutdown, but ultimately we see a deal that should be positive for a defense sector which has benefited recently by elevated spending by Western governments. The biggest story to track, though, is that risk of a government shutdown. As we previously discussed on this podcast, a shutdown is a real risk because House Republicans are not in sync with the rest of the House of Representatives and Senate on spending levels for fiscal 2024. Further, there's the sense that both sides may rightly or wrongly perceive political value in a shutdown. So there's both motive and opportunity here. And while a shutdown on its own is not sufficient to ruin our economists' expectation of a soft landing for the U.S. economy, it does add some fresh downside risk to growth in the 4th quarter, which economists already expect would be challenged. Major entertainment events in the U.S. boosted consumption above expectations this summer, and those effects should start to wane at the same time that the student loan moratorium rolls off, meaning many households will again have to direct some level of their income away from consumption toward servicing loans come October 1st. Put it all together, and it's a strong rationale for our view that high grade bonds have value here. U.S. government bond yields should be near their peak, with the market moving beyond the notion that the Fed may have to hike substantially more this economic cycle. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague, or leave us a review on Apple Podcasts. It helps more people find the show.