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In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss why a strong year-end rally may already be underway. They explore the drivers behind market momentum, earnings strength, inflation trends, and the Fed's next moves, while adding insight, a bit of humor, and practical perspective for investors heading into the final stretch of 2025.Key Takeaways:· Seasonality on Investors' Side: November and December have historically been strong months for equities, especially when the S&P 500 is up 15% heading into year-end.· Resilient Earnings: Nearly 87% of S&P 500 companies have beaten earnings expectations, one of the strongest showings in years.· Sentiment Still Skeptical: Surveys continue to show more bears than bulls, but confidence is building as investors look toward a possible year-end rally.· Inflation Cooling but Sticky: Core CPI rose just 0.23% in September (2.8% annualized), showing progress even as service-sector prices remain firm.· The Fed Turns Dovish: Rate cuts are expected to continue into 2026, potentially bringing policy below 3%—a setup that has historically supported markets.· Easing Trade Tensions: U.S.–China progress on tariffs and rare earths adds another macro tailwind to investor confidence.· Market Breadth: Equal-weight indexes across the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq recently hit all-time highs, showing strength beyond mega-cap tech.DON'T MISS our special Halloween livestream on YouTube starting at 10:30amCT this Friday, October 31, 2025! Click here for more info: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0alr4-vDLK8 Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Hashtags: #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketRally #InvestingInsights #StockMarket #Inflation #FederalReserve #EarningsSeason #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #WealthManagement
On this episode of Animal Spirits: Talk Your Book, Michael Batnick and Ben Carlson are joined by Gabby Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas at JP Morgan to discuss the 30th annual edition of the firm's capital market assumptions report that covers stock returns, bond yields, inflation, GDP forecasts and more. Find complete show notes on our blogs... Ben Carlson's A Wealth of Common Sense Michael Batnick's The Irrelevant Investor Feel free to shoot us an email at animalspirits@thecompoundnews.com with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation. Check out the latest in financial blogger fashion at The Compound shop: https://idontshop.com Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Ben Carlson are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
After an economic data blackout for weeks, we got an inflation update this morning showing a lower-than-expected increase in the consumer price index. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the price of everyday goods like gasoline, groceries, and rent costs rose 0.3% in September compared to August, and the annual inflation rate rose to 3%. That is above the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2% as policymakers there meet next week to decide their next interest rate move With the Fed, CEOs, investors, and pretty much everyone flying blind in regard to economic data, thanks to the nearly month-long government shutdown, how important was today's inflation update? Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins Fox Business' Gerri Willis to discuss how investors are navigating the current data desert, the President's latest spat with Canada over trade talks, and some of the headlines coming out of the White House. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Watch the video version on YouTube. Shifting macroeconomic trends and evolving consumer behavior continue to redefine the investment landscape, challenging asset managers to adapt their strategies for long-term success. Discover how multi-asset research teams at J.P. Morgan Asset Management approach asset allocation in a rapidly changing environment, with a particular emphasis on consumer markets. Key themes include lessons learned from years of investing in the consumer sector, the value of understanding where consumers are spending, and the use of proprietary data to identify emerging trends and shifts in confidence. In this episode, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and guest Daniel Bloomgarden, Global Head of Research for Multi-Asset Solutions, discuss how technology continues to reshape retail, the complexities of building and maintaining strong consumer brands and the ways companies are adapting to ongoing supply chain disruptions and tariff challenges. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
After an economic data blackout for weeks, we got an inflation update this morning showing a lower-than-expected increase in the consumer price index. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the price of everyday goods like gasoline, groceries, and rent costs rose 0.3% in September compared to August, and the annual inflation rate rose to 3%. That is above the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2% as policymakers there meet next week to decide their next interest rate move With the Fed, CEOs, investors, and pretty much everyone flying blind in regard to economic data, thanks to the nearly month-long government shutdown, how important was today's inflation update? Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins Fox Business' Gerri Willis to discuss how investors are navigating the current data desert, the President's latest spat with Canada over trade talks, and some of the headlines coming out of the White House. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
After an economic data blackout for weeks, we got an inflation update this morning showing a lower-than-expected increase in the consumer price index. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the price of everyday goods like gasoline, groceries, and rent costs rose 0.3% in September compared to August, and the annual inflation rate rose to 3%. That is above the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2% as policymakers there meet next week to decide their next interest rate move With the Fed, CEOs, investors, and pretty much everyone flying blind in regard to economic data, thanks to the nearly month-long government shutdown, how important was today's inflation update? Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins Fox Business' Gerri Willis to discuss how investors are navigating the current data desert, the President's latest spat with Canada over trade talks, and some of the headlines coming out of the White House. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
A tech-fueled rally lifted Wall Street, with the S&P 500 closing in on record highs as easing trade tensions and strong earnings boosted investor confidence. Hopes for progress ahead of President Trump’s upcoming meeting with China’s Xi Jinping helped offset worries about oil prices and inflation. Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, break downs what’s driving the rebound, how investors are positioning ahead of key inflation data, and what the latest corporate layoffs signal about the broader economy. Produced/Presented: Ryan HuangSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Summary: In the latest episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, welcome Kate Hall, VP of Alternative Due Diligence at Carson Group. They dive into the “cockroaches in a bull market” conversation—what it means for credit markets, how private credit has evolved, and why due diligence and diversification are key in today's environment. The trio also discusses gold's surge, strong bank earnings, and why market signals still favor a solid finish to the year.Key Takeaways:Credit Spreads – Markets remain steady with limited signs of broad stress.Private Credit Boom – The space has tripled since 2015, creating new risk dynamics.Diversification – Broad exposure cushions isolated defaults or fraud risks.Gold Momentum – Rising prices reflect sticky inflation and rate-cut expectations.Market Sentiment – A cooling VIX and broad participation support a strong Q4 outlook.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Kate Hall:• LinkedIn: Kate HallQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comHashtags: #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #KateHall #PrivateCredit #Investing #Markets #BullMarket #Gold #MarketInsights #FinancialAdvisors #EconomicOutlook #Diversification
Should the budget stop the avoidance of employers' national insurance by the UK's highest paid professions? How does the government restore the confidence of its creditors? Are we facing a private credit crash? Robert discusses with Chief Market Strategist of JP Morgan Asset Management Europe, Karen Ward. Find out more about how Google's AI is helping fuel the UK's growth and transformation and read the report at goo.gle/aiworks. Email: restismoney@gmail.com X: @TheRestIsMoney Instagram: @TheRestIsMoney TikTok: @RestIsMoney https://goalhanger.com Assistant Producer: India Dunkley, Alice Horrell Producer: Ross Buchanan Head of Content: Tom Whiter Exec Producers: Tony Pastor + Jack Davenport Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Making progress on the energy transition, net zero sustainability, and inclusive growth requires an effort that transcends borders and means involving a wide range of parties including asset owners and policymakers. Jane Ambachtsheer, Global Head of Sustainability, talks to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the significance of this meeting, the PRI advocacy network and its principles for responsible investment, and what investors can expect from the PRI in Person in Sao Paulo, Brazil on 4 - 6 November 2025.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party sealed a new coalition deal that sets up Sanae Takaichi to become the country's first female prime minister. LDP President Takaichi and Hirofumi Yoshimura, co-leader of the Japan Innovation Party, also known as Ishin, signed the coalition agreement on Monday evening. Combined, the LDP and Ishin hold 231 seats in the lower house of parliament. While that is two seats shy of a majority, divisions between opposition parties mean Takaichi is almost certain to win a parliamentary vote on Tuesday to decide the prime minister. We get perspective from Sheila Smith, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow for Asia Pacific Studies. She spoke to Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Avril Hong. Plus - Wall Street traders drove stocks higher amid solid signals from Corporate America and hopes that tensions between the world's two largest economies are cooling. Bond yields edged lower. With the earnings season well underway, about 85% of the companies in the S&P 500 reporting results so far have beaten profit estimates. That's helped fuel a rebound in equities, with the benchmark notching its best two-day gain since June. Sentiment was also buoyed by expectations the trade war will de-escalate as the US and China return to the negotiating table. We heard from Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist at BMO Private Wealth.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Summary: In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into the renewed tensions between the U.S. and China—what they're calling “Trade War 3.0.” They break down the latest round of tariffs, China's restrictions on rare earth exports, and what this means for markets, global trade, and investors. The conversation also touches on October's trademark market volatility, the three-year anniversary of the current bull market, and Carson Group's exciting milestone of surpassing $50 billion in assets under management. To wrap up, Ryan and Sonu discuss how AI investments are shaping economic growth and why diversification remains key as the market rides this wave of innovation.Key Takeaways:Trade War 3.0: The China trade war is back, with new tariffs and export restrictions creating fresh market uncertainty.Not a Shock: October remains the most volatile month for markets—current swings are historically typical.The Bull's Birthday: The three-year bull market continues to show resilience and momentum heading into year four.Massive Impact: AI-related investment is a key driver of GDP growth, fueling spending, innovation, and market optimism.Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @SonuVargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you — factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Investing #MarketOutlook #ChinaTradeWar #Tariffs #GlobalMarkets #EconomicTrends #RareEarths #AIMarkets #NVIDIA #OpenAI #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #MarketInsights
New consumer data at the top of the hour: Carl Quintanilla, David Faber and Leslie Picker kicked things off with a look at the market set-up into a make-or-break week of results out of the Big Banks with JPMorgan Asset Management's Chief Market Strategist for Americas Gabriella Santos. Plus: a look at the bull case for Amazon with one analyst who calls it his top pick - along with a deep-dive on Lululemon shares with company founder Chip Wilson, who's taking aim at the company for what he calls blatant mismanagement in a new WSJ ad. Around the edges: the playbook for energy stocks as the President teases a potential diplomatic trip to the Middle East, and a live look at the NBA's first game in China since 2019 - with a focus on the money at stake. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Watch the video version on YouTube In today's rapidly evolving investment landscape, understanding how quantitative strategies are shaping asset management is more important than ever. This episode explores the dynamic world of quant investing, offering financial advisors and investors practical insights into how systematic, data-driven approaches are transforming portfolio construction and risk management. Discover how quant models identify market inefficiencies, adapt to shifting macroeconomic conditions, and complement traditional fundamental strategies to deliver robust, diversified outcomes. In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, as she sits down with Grace Koo, Co-Head of Risk Managed and Total Return Portfolios at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Together, they unpack the opportunities and challenges of quant investing, sharing actionable perspectives for advisors and investors seeking to stay ahead in a changing market. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, tackle the market implications of the ongoing government shutdown, the surge in gold prices, and what investors should expect from the Fed. They also dig into the booming AI investment cycle, shifting momentum across market caps, and why the labor market remains resilient even as hiring slows.Key TakeawaysGold Shines Bright: Gold has remained on the rise, nearing $4,000 an ounce as central banks buy aggressively and inflation concerns persist.Shutdown, Not Slowdown: Despite Washington gridlock, the S&P 500 keeps hitting record highs. Historically, markets shrug off shutdowns and focus on Fed policy instead.Rate Cuts Coming: Fed futures signal multiple cuts starting this fall. Weak hiring but low layoffs point to a cooling, not collapsing, economy.AI Spending Surge: OpenAI, NVIDIA, AMD, and others are driving a wave of capital investment, with AI-related spending now accounting for roughly 6% of U.S. GDP.Market Momentum Builds: Strong seasonality, easing rates, and improving earnings expectations set the stage for a solid Q4, even as mid-caps lag under tariff pressure.Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @SonuVargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you — factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Gold #FederalReserve #AI #GovernmentShutdown #Investing #StockMarket #WealthManagement #EconomicOutlook #MarketInsights
In this special episode of Facts vs. Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, sit down with Jan van Eck, CEO of VanEck, to discuss gold, crypto, ETFs, and the future of investing. From the history of the first U.S. gold fund to today's innovations in blockchain, stablecoins, and nuclear energy, Jan shares unique insights into how markets are evolving.Key TakeawaysGold & Bitcoin: Gold remains a global safe haven, while Bitcoin is increasingly seen as “digital gold,” according to Jan.Stablecoins: Potentially revolutionary for payments, creating new competition between banks and tech companies.Macro Trends: The rise of India could reshape global markets, while China's equity returns remain lackluster.Energy & AI: Nuclear energy is regaining bipartisan support as demand for power surges, particularly from AI growth.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Jan van Eck:• LinkedIn: Jan van Eck• X: @JanvanEck3 Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Disclosure: Jan van Eck is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC.#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Gold #Bitcoin #Crypto #ETFs #Stablecoins #Investing #WealthManagement #MarketInsights
When announcing interest rate cuts earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns about the labor market, following major downward revisions to job growth data. But is the US Employment picture as bleak as the Fed sees it? Markets get a clearer view on Friday when September's jobs report is released. The data could have a significant impact on the Ced's actions in the coming months as they try to navigate what Powell calls a “very difficult policy environment.” Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss his expectations for Friday's highly anticipated jobs report, what he expects from the Fed in the coming months, and how much Wall Street is worried about a potential government shutdown. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
When announcing interest rate cuts earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns about the labor market, following major downward revisions to job growth data. But is the US Employment picture as bleak as the Fed sees it? Markets get a clearer view on Friday when September's jobs report is released. The data could have a significant impact on the Ced's actions in the coming months as they try to navigate what Powell calls a “very difficult policy environment.” Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss his expectations for Friday's highly anticipated jobs report, what he expects from the Fed in the coming months, and how much Wall Street is worried about a potential government shutdown. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
When announcing interest rate cuts earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns about the labor market, following major downward revisions to job growth data. But is the US Employment picture as bleak as the Fed sees it? Markets get a clearer view on Friday when September's jobs report is released. The data could have a significant impact on the Ced's actions in the coming months as they try to navigate what Powell calls a “very difficult policy environment.” Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss his expectations for Friday's highly anticipated jobs report, what he expects from the Fed in the coming months, and how much Wall Street is worried about a potential government shutdown. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
On the Risk Reversal Podcast, Dan Nathan hosts Marko Kolanovic, former Chief Market Strategist at JP Morgan, to discuss recent market movements and economic trends. They explore the impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts, market reactions to recent economic data, and how seasonal factors and technical aspects could influence market dynamics. The conversation highlights concerns about the sustainability of AI-driven market gains, the concentration of tech stocks, and the potential risks posed by geopolitical issues and tariffs. Marko offers insights into strategic investments in value stocks and critiques recent government involvement in major tech companies like Intel. The discussion wraps up with reflections on the broader implications of state capitalism versus free market principles. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Watch the video version on YouTube. Explore the evolving landscape of retirement investing in today's shifting macroeconomic environment. Discover how retirement is not just a destination, but a dynamic journey shaped by individual needs, spending patterns and regulatory changes. Gain valuable perspectives on the impact of recent policy changes, the increasing adoption of alternatives like real estate and private equity in retirement portfolios and the importance of balancing liquidity and market risk. Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, as she sits down with Katherine Santiago, Head of Quantitative Research for J.P. Morgan's Multi-Asset Solutions team, to discuss data-driven strategies, regulatory updates, and actionable tips for navigating the future of retirement investing. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, tackle the growing comparisons between today's market and the 1929 crash. They cut through the noise on gold sentiment, small-cap strength, earnings growth, Fed policy, and consumer resilience—all in under 52 minutes.Key Takeaways1929 comparisons: Why we believe today's bull market is not a replay of the Great Depression.Gold sentiment: The metal has been a strong diversifier for portfolios so far this year.Small caps: They're breaking out after nearly four years without new highs.Earnings reporting: The hosts debate quarterly vs. semiannual disclosures after President Trump floated the idea last week.The Fed: What the recent rate cut mean, labor market concerns, and why equities rallied.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #StockMarket #BullMarket #Gold #SmallCaps #Fed #RetailSales #InvestingPodcast #MarketUpdate
Companies across the food and agriculture value chain have been facing challenges ranging from changing eating habits as a result of weight loss drugs to tighter US rules on food additives. Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Agne Rackauskaite, Portfolio Manager, discuss the implications of these developments and potential winners and losers. For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. From jobs data revisions and labor supply challenges to the Fed's upcoming rate decisions, productivity, AI, and the outlook for portfolios, this episode is packed with insights advisors and investors can use right now.Key TakeawaysJobs revisions: Recent downward adjustments highlight slowing payroll growth.Labor market: Supply shortages are keeping unemployment low despite weak hiring.Productivity: AI may boost output, but inequality risks remain.Fed policy: There's a debate on whether cuts would stimulate the economy or actually drag it down.Tax refunds: 2025 policy changes could deliver a stimulus-like boost.Global opportunities: International equities could benefit from a weaker dollar.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Dr. David Kelly:• Website: Dr. David Kelly• LinkedIn: Dr. David KellyQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comDisclosure: Dr. David Kelly is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC.#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #DavidKelly #MarketOutlook #FedPolicy #InvestingPodcast #ExcelConference #Economy2025
Watch the video version on YouTube. As fiscal, trade, and regulatory policies take center stage, adapting asset allocation strategies has never been more important. This episode explores how today's policy shifts—from fiscal stimulus and rising tariffs to accelerated deregulation—are shaping market opportunities and risks. Our Multi-Asset Solutions team examines the short- and long-term impacts of recent legislation, the evolving role of government in markets, and the distributional effects on both consumers and corporations. Gain perspective on how higher debt levels, changing demand for Treasuries, and sector-specific policy changes are influencing portfolio decisions, and why staying agile is key in a landscape defined by uncertainty and transition. Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and Geng Ngarmboonanant, Research Analyst on the Multi-Asset Solutions team, as they break down the latest policy developments and share practical insights for navigating today's complex investment environment. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
After a lean period in recent years, European small-cap stocks have entered positive territory. Damien Kohler, Head of European Small Caps, talks to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the attractions of small capitalisation companies and their place in portfolios of investors with an appetite for income.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by Strider Elass of First Trust and Samuel Rines of WisdomTree for a timely discussion on the labor market, inflation trends, tariffs, and what investors should watch heading into late 2025. The conversation covers job growth concentration in a few sectors, revisions in employment data, underlying inflation measures, and how tariffs may reshape growth, manufacturing, and markets.Key TakeawaysAfter the latest jobs report, unemployment sits at 4.3%, with weakness concentrated outside health, education, and government.Real-time shelter metrics suggest underlying inflation is lower than official reports.Effective tariff rates could rise further, pressuring companies and growth.Growth could see a potential reacceleration in late 2025, but risk remains of structural slowdown.Health care services have been driving job creation, while manufacturing faces losses.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Strider Elass:• LinkedIn: Strider Elass• X: @StriderElassConnect with Samuel Rines:• LinkedIn: Samuel Rines• X: @SamuelRinesQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comStrider Elass and Samuel Rines are not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC.#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #JobsReport #Inflation #Tariffs #Economy2025 #InvestingPodcast
Asian stocks climbed for a fourth day on Tuesday as Wall Street's upbeat mood ahead of expected Federal Reserve rate cuts flowed into regional trading. MSCI's Asia-Pacific equities gauge reached its highest level since February 2021 with tech firms like Taiwan Semiconductor and Alibaba Group contributing most to the gains. Shares in Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong rose, while those in Australia declined. The moves followed a surge in bets on rate cuts by the US central bank that pushed stocks near record highs on hopes that easier policy will bolster corporate America. We look at the market landscape with Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist at BMO Private Wealth.In Japan, the implications of the nation's latest political turmoil have spilled into markets. The Nikkei 225 advanced to touch a new intraday record high in the morning. The country's government bonds were firmer after having slumped Monday as Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's decision to step down underscored expectations for looser fiscal policy. Bloomberg Opinion Columnist Gearoid Reidy joins with insight on the road ahead for Japan's ruling bloc.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Get updates for my new book: https://Theperfectportfoliobook.com ----- AI has fueled massive gains for Big Tech, but can one sector really carry the market forever? In this episode, I'm joined by Callie Cox, Chief Market Strategist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, to explore the tension between Wall Street's AI-fueled optimism and the realities of a slowing economy. We discuss what history teaches us about dominant companies, how to spot the difference between hype and durable innovation, and what long-term investors should really be watching. Listen now and learn: ► Why “the stock market is not the economy” — and why that matters in today's AI-driven rally. ► How concentrated earnings growth in tech creates both opportunity and risk. ► What history (GE, dot-coms) tells us about the limits of dominant companies. ► Which sectors beyond Big Tech could quietly benefit from AI adoption. Visit www.TheLongTermInvestor.com for show notes, free resources, and a place to submit questions. (02:22) AI optimism vs. a shaky economic backdrop (05:59) Can tech alone carry market earnings growth? (09:37) Dreaming vs. reality in AI investing (15:36) Lessons from GE and what they mean for Big Tech (19:29) Who really benefits from AI adoption? (21:53) The risks of concentration in the Magnificent 7 (24:51) Balancing story vs. evidence as a long-term investor (29:15) Early signs of real AI adoption and productivity gains (32:04) Everyday use cases of AI in real life Disclosure: This content, which contains security-related opinions and/or information, is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon in any manner as professional advice, or an endorsement of any practices, products or services. There can be no guarantees or assurances that the views expressed here will be applicable for any particular facts or circumstances, and should not be relied upon in any manner. You should consult your own advisers as to legal, business, tax, and other related matters concerning any investment. The commentary in this “post” (including any related blog, podcasts, videos, and social media) reflects the personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of the Plancorp LLC employees providing such comments, and should not be regarded the views of Plancorp LLC. or its respective affiliates or as a description of advisory services provided by Plancorp LLC or performance returns of any Plancorp LLC client. References to any securities or digital assets, or performance data, are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others. Please see disclosures here.
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into a seasonally tricky September. They break down Fed Chair Jerome Powell's dovish stance at the Jackson Hole Symposium, the Fed's balancing act between jobs and inflation, the steepening yield curve, and why gold and international markets are worth watching. Despite short-term volatility risks, they explain why the long-term bull market remains intact.Key Takeaways:Jackson Hole Reaction: Powell leaned dovish, sparking a strong rally, but September cuts aren't a lock.Fed Outlook: Markets are pricing in six rate cuts by late 2026 — potentially a big tailwind.Home Equity = Dry Powder: Falling rates could unleash a wave of consumer spending power.Steepening Yield Curves: A global signal pointing to growth and inflation expectations.Gold Breakout: With its price rising for eight months in a row, gold can be a long-term hedge against volatile inflation and a diversifier beyond bonds.Inflation Risks: Broader services inflation remains sticky, keeping pressure on the Fed.Seasonal Weakness: September has historically been the market's toughest month, but optimism remains.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #Inflation #Gold #ETFs #EconomicUpdate #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese
Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi held their first meeting since Donald Trump returned to power, with the longstanding Asian rivals pledging deeper cooperation as they deal with the economic fallout from the US trade war. Modi announced the resumption of direct flights between the two countries, and said ties in the past year have stabilized after soldiers pulled back from the friction points on the border. The two met at the port city of Tianjin on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit, a security-focused bloc co-founded by China. Bloomberg's Stephen Engle reports from Tianjin.Meantime, Indonesia President Prabowo Subianto moved to quell widespread protests across the country with parliament removing hefty lawmaker allowances that had sparked public outrage, while warning that firm action will be taken against violent demonstrators. For more, we hear from Faris Mokhtar, Bloomberg's Southeast Asia Global Business Reporter. He speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Avril Hong on The Asia Trade.Asian investors may tread cautiously on Monday amid uncertainty following a US federal appeals court ruling that President Donald Trump's sweeping trade tariffs were illegal. Contracts for the S&P 500 rose 0.2% and those for the Nasdaq 100 index advanced 0.3% in early Asian trading after a selloff in technology shares Friday trimmed the gains for the month. Contracts indicated losses for Australian and Japanese shares at the open, and gains in Hong Kong. US bond futures nudged lower, with the cash market closed for the Labor Day holiday. We look at the market landscape with Ron Temple, Chief Market Strategist at Lazard.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, welcome back legendary investor Cliff Asness, Co-Founding Partner, Managing Principal, and Chief Investment Officer of AQR Capital Management. From market bubbles and speculative manias to AI-driven strategies and even Superman movies, this milestone 150th episode blends sharp market insight with candid (and fun) conversation.Key Takeaways:Bubble Talk: Cliff explains why today's markets are expensive but stop short of a true “bubble.”Black Swan Events: Why extreme market shocks happen far more often than statistics suggest.Rise of Grift: Social media and meme coins are fueling grift-like behavior in markets.AQR Evolution: How AQR has shifted toward data-driven models and capital efficiency.Portable Alpha: Insights on stacking returns and improving diversification.Buffer Products: Why complex downside-protection ETFs may just be expensive ways of holding cash and equities.Personal Stories: Cliff shares Marvel fan moments, career “what-ifs,” and parenting wisdom. Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Cliff:• LinkedIn: Cliff Asness• X: @CliffordAsness Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CliffAsness #AQR #MarketBubbles #InvestingInsights #PortableAlpha #BlackSwan #FinancePodcast #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese
This week, Phil has special guest Julie Biel, Chief Market Strategist, from Kayne Anderson Rudnick to discuss market trends, diversification strategies and current investment opportunities.
Watch the video version on YouTube. As economic and policy environments shift, understanding how tactical and strategic asset allocation can adapt is crucial for financial advisors and investors alike. Balancing long-term views with short-term market movements, our Multi-Asset Solutions team highlights the opportunities presented by volatility and dislocation. Discover how credit markets, particularly U.S. high yield, are being tactically adjusted in response to current valuations, and learn why diversification remains a vital strategy. Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and David Lebovitz, Research Analyst and member of the Fundamental research team to unpack the complexities of asset allocation, offering valuable insights for achieving long-term investment goals. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, break down the latest market moves, the outlook for rate cuts, and what the data is really telling us about inflation and growth. From cooling economic numbers to investor sentiment, this week's conversation highlights why the market isn't as fragile as headlines suggest — and what investors should really be watching for the rest of 2025. Key Takeaways:Jobs slowdown: Payrolls are cooling, but we're still not seeing signs of a recession.Inflation easing: Core numbers are moderating, opening the door for rate cuts from the Fed.Rate cuts in focus: The Fed is likely to take action soon, with markets pricing a cut in September.Markets resilient: Despite investor worries, the markets continue to reach new highs.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #Inflation #RateCuts #EconomicUpdate #StockMarket #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, sit down with veteran market technician JC Parets, founder of TrendLabs, for a fast-moving discussion on technical analysis, market sentiment, gold, global equities, crypto, and the discipline of changing your mind when the charts say so. Packed with insights, laughs, and a few baseball stories, this episode cuts through the noise and focuses on what really matters for investors right now.Key TakeawaysFlows over fundamentals — Why positioning matters more than headlines.Global bull market — Confirmation from Europe, Asia, and Latin AmericaGold breakout — Record highs in every major currencyCrypto rotation — Ethereum strength vs. Bitcoin and growing institutional accessU.S. dollar — Rejection at key levels and implications for risk assetsRisk management mindset — Moving quickly when trades don't workBusiness lessons — Building teams, staying liquid, and taking it one day at a timeConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with J.C.:• Website: All Star Charts • LinkedIn: J.C. Parets• X: @JC_ParetsX Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comJ.C. Parets is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Statements and opinions made by our guests are for general information only and may not be a reflection of CWM, LLC. #FactsVsFeelings #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Gold #Crypto #MarketSentiment #GlobalMarkets #InvestingPodcast #TrendFollowing #FinancialAdvisors
Watch the video version on YouTube. Research analysts play a pivotal role in fixed income markets, where active management is crucial due to the vast array of issuers and securities. The fixed income industry encompasses a diverse range of bond sectors, including rates, emerging market debt, municipals, high yield and securitized debt, each offering a unique set of complexities and opportunities for investors to explore. As economic policies evolve, fixed income research analysts navigate heightened volatility, especially in interest rates and credit spreads. Their insights underscore the importance of strategic analysis and investment in quality issuers and assets to effectively address these challenges. In this episode, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, is joined by Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Together, they share expert perspectives on the evolving fixed income landscape and reflect on insights gathered from fixed income research analysts. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
“A market bloodbath is in the works,” warns Gareth Soloway, Chief Market Strategist at Verified Investment. Speaking with Daniela Cambone, Soloway breaks down why the S&P 500 is flashing a critical warning sign, saying, “When you get a reversal day where you open above the all-time highs and close essentially below the recent lows, that spells trouble.”He explains that institutional investors are unloading into retail FOMO and that the market could be on the verge of a 30–50% decline, comparable to the dot-com collapse. Soloway also shares why “buying the dip” may soon fail investors, why gold could see a near-term pullback before its next breakout, and why silver's next springboard level sits near $34.65. He warns that Bitcoin remains vulnerable to a major drop if the stock market weakens and reveals why he is turning his attention to Chinese stocks in the second half of the year.✅ FREE RESOURCESDownload the Ultimate Decision-Making Guide on Gold & Silver plus Daniela Cambone's Top 10 Lessons to safeguard your wealth (FREE)
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss the latest surprising jobs data, significant payroll revisions, and President Trump's controversial firing of Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner Erica Groshen. Ryan and Sonu also provide insights into the Fed's next moves, inflation challenges, and the unexpected factors influencing recent labor market trends.Key Takeaways:Surprising Jobs Report: July's payroll came in at 73,000—lower than expected—with massive downward revisions for previous months.Payroll Data Accuracy: These significant revisions to recent month's data are due to survey response rates, seasonal adjustments, and methodology nuances.Immigration and Labor: A drop in immigration has impacted the labor supply, with fewer jobs now needed monthly to match population growth.Federal Reserve Outlook: Mixed economic signals have complicated rate cut decisions, leaving Fed Chair Jerome Powell cautious and focused on inflation risks.AI Spending Surge: AI-related investment has significantly boosted GDP growth, offsetting weaker consumer spending.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #JobsReport #FederalReserve #Inflation #JeromePowell #LaborMarket #PayrollRevisions #AIInvestment #EconomicTrends #FinancePodcast #CarsonGroup
Jefferies' Chief Market Strategist, David Zervos responds to the President's comments on who's still in the running to be the next Fed Chair. Plus why he says many on wall street have let "politically charged hostility take over their investment process." Then the CEO of Williams, handling around a third of U.S. natural gas transportation, weighs in on the regulatory environment and the possibility of a gas pipeline to New York City. And the CEO of Tanger is at Post 9. Breaking down the outlook for the consumer and the trends he's watching at his company's portfolio of outlet shopping centers.
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss the recent easing of global trade tensions and how markets have responded positively. They dive into three popular market myths currently being debated, analyze corporate earnings, and provide their reasoning on why stocks continue to perform well despite skepticism.Key Takeaways:Trade War Cooling: New trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and other nations signal a potential end to President Trump's trade war, providing stability and optimism to the markets.Market Myths Debunked: Weak Market Breadth: False. Equal-weight indexes and sector-wide gains show the market rally is broad-based. Margin Debt Fears: Exaggerated. While margin debt reached record levels, relative to market cap it remains historically manageable. Foreign Investment Fears: Unfounded. Foreign investment into U.S. stocks and bonds is strong, contrary to earlier warnings.Corporate Earnings Strength: Companies like Johnson & Johnson and 3M show improved earnings forecasts despite tariff impacts, highlighting resilience in U.S. corporate profits.Sentiment Check: Despite market highs, public sentiment remains cautious, which historically aligns with continued market strength.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #TradeWar #MarketMyths #Stocks #Investing #Tariffs #GlobalEconomy #FinancePodcast #StockMarketNews #EarningsSeason #EconomicOutlook
In this episode of 401(k) Roundtable, Rick Unser is joined by Charlie Bilello, Chief Market Strategist at Creative Planning. Known for The Week in Charts on YouTube and as co-host of the Signal or Noise? podcast with Peter Mallouk, Charlie brings a data-driven perspective to today's markets. The conversation covers market volatility, bear market patterns, and the enduring importance of diversification. They also explore the performance of international vs. U.S. stocks, the strength of the dollar, interest rates, and recent economic policy shifts. A timely and insightful episode for anyone trying to make sense of today's investment landscape.
In Episode 145 of Facts vs Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist unpack recent market reactions, Trump's potential impact on Jerome Powell's Fed tenure, and new inflation data that surprised most economists. Key TakeawaysEvent Study on Powell's Potential Firing: Markets briefly reacted negatively to rumors of Jerome Powell's firing, showcasing investor sensitivities.Surprising Inflation Data: Recent Producer Price Index (PPI) came in below all 50 Bloomberg economist forecasts.Debate Over Tariff Inflation: Discussion on whether tariffs represent one-time pricing adjustments or ongoing inflationary pressures.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InflationData #InterestRates #MarketReactions #EconomicInsights #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese
We've just secured a trade deal with Japan, boosting hopes for broader agreements - and financial markets have been on a roll. Art Hogan, Chief Market Strategist at B. Riley Financial in New York, joins Andy Giersher on the Gains podcast to break it all down. Make sure to subscribe to us on the Audacy app; leave us a review & rate on Apple Music, too! Have a question for host Andy Giersher? Tweet him @Giersh. Never miss an episode from us! Hit the follow button on our Insta & Twitter
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist dive into the recent controversy surrounding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, exploring potential political pressures, the Fed's massive headquarters renovation project, and the broader implications for monetary policy and the economy if there were to be a change in Fed leadership.Key TakeawaysJerome Powell Under Pressure: Discussion about the Trump administration's criticism of the Fed Chair.Fed HQ Controversy: Debate around whether the Fed's $2.5 billion headquarters renovation represents fiscal irresponsibility or necessary infrastructure investment.Political Tensions: Examination of how ongoing criticisms may impact Powell's role and future Fed independence.Market Implications: Insight into how potential Fed leadership changes or political tensions could influence market behavior and economic policy.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #FedControversy #EconomicPolicy #TrumpAdministration #InterestRates #MarketInsights #FinancialPodcast #EconomicOutlook #MonetaryPolicy #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese
As yet another new wave of tariff threats come out of the White House, investors have yet to bail out of the U.S. stock market like they did in April. Is their bet on American Exceptionalism about to unwind, or is this new bull market unfazed by the upending of the global economy? Callie Cox, Chief Market Strategist for Ritholtz Wealth joins The Express for her take on our unbridled enthusiasm, and lessons for long-term investors. Plus, new 50% tariffs on Copper set to go into effect August 1st will be felt across nearly every major industrial and electronic category. If those don't cause an inflationary charge, nothing will. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, provide a midyear market review and outlook for 2025. Reflecting on major surprises in the first half of the year, including unexpected tariff announcements and subsequent reversals, they analyze market performance in the first half of the year against historical trends. The discussion highlights market resilience, key economic indicators, historical market trends, and strategic insights into navigating the second half of 2025 effectively.Key TakeawaysUnexpected Tariff Volatility The Liberation Day announcement by President Trump of extremely high tariffs surprised markets significantly. Equally surprising was how rapidly these tariffs were paused, causing abrupt swings in market sentiment.Investor Sentiment Shifts Many investors who were initially bearish following the tariff announcements underestimated the market's capacity to rebound strongly, emphasizing the importance of managing emotional biases and market timing.Market Resilience and Momentum Despite early setbacks, the markets showed resilience, demonstrating strong recovery patterns consistent with historical trends.Bull Still Charging The average bull market lasts about five years, but the current on we're in hasn't lasted even three yet—something to keep in mind next time the market experiences a setback.Fed Stays on Pause Market volatility kept the Fed on the sidelines in the first half of 2025, but we may see rate cuts by the fall if the markets stay on track.A Big Beautiful Boost Thought the recently passed Big Beautiful Bill will likely add to the deficit in the coming years, it could also provide a boon to the markets in the back half of the year.Strategic Insights for Second Half 2025 Historical market trends indicate a potentially strong performance for the latter half of 2025. Investors are advised to focus on long-term strategies and diversification, and remain cautious of headline-driven market reactions.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #MidyearOutlook2025 #MarketVolatility #Tariffs #InvestorSentiment #EconomicTrends #MarketForecast #HistoricalPatterns #InvestmentStrategy #StockMarketInsights #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #CarsonGroup #MarketRecovery
In this week's episode of the Facts Vs Feelings podcast, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, sit down with Barry Gilbert, VP Asset Allocation Strategist at Carson Group, for an insightful conversation on effective portfolio management strategies. Barry shares valuable perspectives on the importance of teamwork, constructive debate, and making decisive investment decisions based on clear, actionable insights. Ryan and Sonu also discuss the historical strength of the July market, providing investors with context and strategic guidance for navigating the second half of the year.Key TakeawaysJuly Stock Market Trends and Analysis July has historically been strong, with the S&P 500 rising 10 consecutive years in that month, and it's notably the strongest month during post-election years.Impact of Positive May and June Performance Historically, positive returns in both May and June forecast strong market performance for the rest of the year—typically gaining around 9-10% in the final six months.Effective Portfolio Management Insights Barry Gilbert stresses the importance of constructive debate, critical thinking, and conviction-driven investment decisions in successful asset allocation strategies.Carson Group's Investment Philosophy Barry highlights Carson's culture of managing real money through rigorous debate and collaborative decision-making.Investor Guidance and Market Volatility Ryan and Sonu emphasize the importance of maintaining a long-term investment perspective and managing emotional reactions during short-term market fluctuations.Connect with Barry:• LinkedIn: Barry Gilbert• X: @gilbert3142Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #PortfolioManagement #InvestmentStrategies #JulyMarketRally #StockMarketTrends #CarsonGroup #FinancialPodcast #MarketVolatility #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese
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After some really messy economic headlines for the last few months, we may actually have some good news. To break it down, Nicole is joined by Ryan Detrick, the Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group. Today, Ryan shares some signs he's seeing in the market that nearly always indicate good news ahead… and whether this time could be different.