Podcasts about chief market strategist

Companies across the food and agriculture value chain have been facing challenges ranging from changing eating habits as a result of weight loss drugs to tighter US rules on food additives. Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Agne Rackauskaite, Portfolio Manager, discuss the implications of these developments and potential winners and losers.  For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. From jobs data revisions and labor supply challenges to the Fed's upcoming rate decisions, productivity, AI, and the outlook for portfolios, this episode is packed with insights advisors and investors can use right now.Key TakeawaysJobs revisions: Recent downward adjustments highlight slowing payroll growth.Labor market: Supply shortages are keeping unemployment low despite weak hiring.Productivity: AI may boost output, but inequality risks remain.Fed policy: There's a debate on whether cuts would stimulate the economy or actually drag it down.Tax refunds: 2025 policy changes could deliver a stimulus-like boost.Global opportunities: International equities could benefit from a weaker dollar.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Dr. David Kelly:• Website: Dr. David Kelly• LinkedIn: Dr. David KellyQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comDisclosure: Dr. David Kelly is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC.#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #DavidKelly #MarketOutlook #FedPolicy #InvestingPodcast #ExcelConference #Economy2025

Watch the video version on YouTube.    As fiscal, trade, and regulatory policies take center stage, adapting asset allocation strategies has never been more important. This episode explores how today's policy shifts—from fiscal stimulus and rising tariffs to accelerated deregulation—are shaping market opportunities and risks. Our Multi-Asset Solutions team examines the short- and long-term impacts of recent legislation, the evolving role of government in markets, and the distributional effects on both consumers and corporations. Gain perspective on how higher debt levels, changing demand for Treasuries, and sector-specific policy changes are influencing portfolio decisions, and why staying agile is key in a landscape defined by uncertainty and transition.   Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and Geng Ngarmboonanant, Research Analyst on the Multi-Asset Solutions team, as they break down the latest policy developments and share practical insights for navigating today's complex investment environment.   Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify 

After a lean period in recent years, European small-cap stocks have entered positive territory. Damien Kohler, Head of European Small Caps, talks to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the attractions of small capitalisation companies and their place in portfolios of investors with an appetite for income.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by Strider Elass of First Trust and Samuel Rines of WisdomTree for a timely discussion on the labor market, inflation trends, tariffs, and what investors should watch heading into late 2025. The conversation covers job growth concentration in a few sectors, revisions in employment data, underlying inflation measures, and how tariffs may reshape growth, manufacturing, and markets.Key TakeawaysAfter the latest jobs report, unemployment sits at 4.3%, with weakness concentrated outside health, education, and government.Real-time shelter metrics suggest underlying inflation is lower than official reports.Effective tariff rates could rise further, pressuring companies and growth.Growth could see a potential reacceleration in late 2025, but risk remains of structural slowdown.Health care services have been driving job creation, while manufacturing faces losses.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Strider Elass:• LinkedIn: Strider Elass• X: @StriderElassConnect with Samuel Rines:• LinkedIn: Samuel Rines• X: @SamuelRinesQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comStrider Elass and Samuel Rines are not affiliated with CWM, LLC.  Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC.#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #JobsReport #Inflation #Tariffs #Economy2025 #InvestingPodcast

Asian stocks climbed for a fourth day on Tuesday as Wall Street's upbeat mood ahead of expected Federal Reserve rate cuts flowed into regional trading. MSCI's Asia-Pacific equities gauge reached its highest level since February 2021 with tech firms like Taiwan Semiconductor and Alibaba Group contributing most to the gains. Shares in Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong rose, while those in Australia declined. The moves followed a surge in bets on rate cuts by the US central bank that pushed stocks near record highs on hopes that easier policy will bolster corporate America. We look at the market landscape with Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist at BMO Private Wealth.In Japan, the implications of the nation's latest political turmoil have spilled into markets. The Nikkei 225 advanced to touch a new intraday record high in the morning. The country's government bonds were firmer after having slumped Monday as Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's decision to step down underscored expectations for looser fiscal policy. Bloomberg Opinion Columnist Gearoid Reidy joins with insight on the road ahead for Japan's ruling bloc.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Get updates for my new book: https://Theperfectportfoliobook.com  -----  AI has fueled massive gains for Big Tech, but can one sector really carry the market forever?  In this episode, I'm joined by Callie Cox, Chief Market Strategist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, to explore the tension between Wall Street's AI-fueled optimism and the realities of a slowing economy. We discuss what history teaches us about dominant companies, how to spot the difference between hype and durable innovation, and what long-term investors should really be watching. Listen now and learn: ► Why “the stock market is not the economy” — and why that matters in today's AI-driven rally. ► How concentrated earnings growth in tech creates both opportunity and risk. ► What history (GE, dot-coms) tells us about the limits of dominant companies. ► Which sectors beyond Big Tech could quietly benefit from AI adoption.   Visit www.TheLongTermInvestor.com for show notes, free resources, and a place to submit questions. (02:22) AI optimism vs. a shaky economic backdrop (05:59) Can tech alone carry market earnings growth? (09:37) Dreaming vs. reality in AI investing (15:36) Lessons from GE and what they mean for Big Tech (19:29) Who really benefits from AI adoption? (21:53) The risks of concentration in the Magnificent 7 (24:51) Balancing story vs. evidence as a long-term investor (29:15) Early signs of real AI adoption and productivity gains (32:04) Everyday use cases of AI in real life Disclosure: This content, which contains security-related opinions and/or information, is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon in any manner as professional advice, or an endorsement of any practices, products or services. There can be no guarantees or assurances that the views expressed here will be applicable for any particular facts or circumstances, and should not be relied upon in any manner. You should consult your own advisers as to legal, business, tax, and other related matters concerning any investment. The commentary in this “post” (including any related blog, podcasts, videos, and social media) reflects the personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of the Plancorp LLC employees providing such comments, and should not be regarded the views of Plancorp LLC. or its respective affiliates or as a description of advisory services provided by Plancorp LLC or performance returns of any Plancorp LLC client. References to any securities or digital assets, or performance data, are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others. Please see disclosures here.

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into a seasonally tricky September. They break down Fed Chair Jerome Powell's dovish stance at the Jackson Hole Symposium, the Fed's balancing act between jobs and inflation, the steepening yield curve, and why gold and international markets are worth watching. Despite short-term volatility risks, they explain why the long-term bull market remains intact.Key Takeaways:Jackson Hole Reaction: Powell leaned dovish, sparking a strong rally, but September cuts aren't a lock.Fed Outlook: Markets are pricing in six rate cuts by late 2026 — potentially a big tailwind.Home Equity = Dry Powder: Falling rates could unleash a wave of consumer spending power.Steepening Yield Curves: A global signal pointing to growth and inflation expectations.Gold Breakout: With its price rising for eight months in a row, gold can be a long-term hedge against volatile inflation and a diversifier beyond bonds.Inflation Risks: Broader services inflation remains sticky, keeping pressure on the Fed.Seasonal Weakness: September has historically been the market's toughest month, but optimism remains.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #Inflation #Gold #ETFs #EconomicUpdate #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese

Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi held their first meeting since Donald Trump returned to power, with the longstanding Asian rivals pledging deeper cooperation as they deal with the economic fallout from the US trade war. Modi announced the resumption of direct flights between the two countries, and said ties in the past year have stabilized after soldiers pulled back from the friction points on the border. The two met at the port city of Tianjin on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit, a security-focused bloc co-founded by China. Bloomberg's Stephen Engle reports from Tianjin.Meantime, Indonesia President Prabowo Subianto moved to quell widespread protests across the country with parliament removing hefty lawmaker allowances that had sparked public outrage, while warning that firm action will be taken against violent demonstrators. For more, we hear from Faris Mokhtar, Bloomberg's Southeast Asia Global Business Reporter. He speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Avril Hong on The Asia Trade.Asian investors may tread cautiously on Monday amid uncertainty following a US federal appeals court ruling that President Donald Trump's sweeping trade tariffs were illegal. Contracts for the S&P 500 rose 0.2% and those for the Nasdaq 100 index advanced 0.3% in early Asian trading after a selloff in technology shares Friday trimmed the gains for the month. Contracts indicated losses for Australian and Japanese shares at the open, and gains in Hong Kong. US bond futures nudged lower, with the cash market closed for the Labor Day holiday. We look at the market landscape with Ron Temple, Chief Market Strategist at Lazard.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, welcome back legendary investor Cliff Asness, Co-Founding Partner, Managing Principal, and Chief Investment Officer of AQR Capital Management. From market bubbles and speculative manias to AI-driven strategies and even Superman movies, this milestone 150th episode blends sharp market insight with candid (and fun) conversation.Key Takeaways:Bubble Talk: Cliff explains why today's markets are expensive but stop short of a true “bubble.”Black Swan Events: Why extreme market shocks happen far more often than statistics suggest.Rise of Grift: Social media and meme coins are fueling grift-like behavior in markets.AQR Evolution: How AQR has shifted toward data-driven models and capital efficiency.Portable Alpha: Insights on stacking returns and improving diversification.Buffer Products: Why complex downside-protection ETFs may just be expensive ways of holding cash and equities.Personal Stories: Cliff shares Marvel fan moments, career “what-ifs,” and parenting wisdom. Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Cliff:• LinkedIn: Cliff Asness• X: @CliffordAsness Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CliffAsness #AQR #MarketBubbles #InvestingInsights #PortableAlpha #BlackSwan #FinancePodcast #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese

This week, Phil has special guest Julie Biel, Chief Market Strategist, from Kayne Anderson Rudnick to discuss market trends, diversification strategies and current investment opportunities.

Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, Carson Group, discusses why investors may not need to be too concerned about a fifth straight day of losses for the S&P 500 and tech stocks; how markets reacted to Walmart earnings; Fed Chair Powell's upcoming speech at Jackson Hole; and latest details about the US-EU trade agreement. Produced & Presented by Emaad AkhtarSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch the video version on YouTube.  As economic and policy environments shift, understanding how tactical and strategic asset allocation can adapt is crucial for financial advisors and investors alike. Balancing long-term views with short-term market movements, our Multi-Asset Solutions team highlights the opportunities presented by volatility and dislocation. Discover how credit markets, particularly U.S. high yield, are being tactically adjusted in response to current valuations, and learn why diversification remains a vital strategy. Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and David Lebovitz, Research Analyst and member of the Fundamental research team to unpack the complexities of asset allocation, offering valuable insights for achieving long-term investment goals. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify 

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, break down the latest market moves, the outlook for rate cuts, and what the data is really telling us about inflation and growth. From cooling economic numbers to investor sentiment, this week's conversation highlights why the market isn't as fragile as headlines suggest — and what investors should really be watching for the rest of 2025. Key Takeaways:Jobs slowdown: Payrolls are cooling, but we're still not seeing signs of a recession.Inflation easing: Core numbers are moderating, opening the door for rate cuts from the Fed.Rate cuts in focus: The Fed is likely to take action soon, with markets pricing a cut in September.Markets resilient: Despite investor worries, the markets continue to reach new highs.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #Inflation #RateCuts #EconomicUpdate #StockMarket #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, sit down with veteran market technician JC Parets, founder of TrendLabs, for a fast-moving discussion on technical analysis, market sentiment, gold, global equities, crypto, and the discipline of changing your mind when the charts say so. Packed with insights, laughs, and a few baseball stories, this episode cuts through the noise and focuses on what really matters for investors right now.Key TakeawaysFlows over fundamentals — Why positioning matters more than headlines.Global bull market — Confirmation from Europe, Asia, and Latin AmericaGold breakout — Record highs in every major currencyCrypto rotation — Ethereum strength vs. Bitcoin and growing institutional accessU.S. dollar — Rejection at key levels and implications for risk assetsRisk management mindset — Moving quickly when trades don't workBusiness lessons — Building teams, staying liquid, and taking it one day at a timeConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with J.C.:• Website: All Star Charts • LinkedIn: J.C. Parets• X: @JC_ParetsX Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comJ.C. Parets is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Statements and opinions made by our guests are for general information only and may not be a reflection of CWM, LLC. #FactsVsFeelings #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Gold #Crypto #MarketSentiment #GlobalMarkets #InvestingPodcast #TrendFollowing #FinancialAdvisors

In our latest podcast, Julien Lafargue, Chief Market Strategist, reflects on key themes moving financial markets, from sector-specific tariffs to growing concerns over stagflation risk. He also discusses the Bank of England's latest rate-setting meeting, and the implications for future interest rate decisions.

Watch the video version on YouTube.   Research analysts play a pivotal role in fixed income markets, where active management is crucial due to the vast array of issuers and securities. The fixed income industry encompasses a diverse range of bond sectors, including rates, emerging market debt, municipals, high yield and securitized debt, each offering a unique set of complexities and opportunities for investors to explore. As economic policies evolve, fixed income research analysts navigate heightened volatility, especially in interest rates and credit spreads. Their insights underscore the importance of strategic analysis and investment in quality issuers and assets to effectively address these challenges.   In this episode, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, is joined by Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Together, they share expert perspectives on the evolving fixed income landscape and reflect on insights gathered from fixed income research analysts.   Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify 

“A market bloodbath is in the works,” warns Gareth Soloway, Chief Market Strategist at Verified Investment. Speaking with Daniela Cambone, Soloway breaks down why the S&P 500 is flashing a critical warning sign, saying, “When you get a reversal day where you open above the all-time highs and close essentially below the recent lows, that spells trouble.”He explains that institutional investors are unloading into retail FOMO and that the market could be on the verge of a 30–50% decline, comparable to the dot-com collapse. Soloway also shares why “buying the dip” may soon fail investors, why gold could see a near-term pullback before its next breakout, and why silver's next springboard level sits near $34.65. He warns that Bitcoin remains vulnerable to a major drop if the stock market weakens and reveals why he is turning his attention to Chinese stocks in the second half of the year.✅ FREE RESOURCESDownload the Ultimate Decision-Making Guide on Gold & Silver plus Daniela Cambone's Top 10 Lessons to safeguard your wealth (FREE)

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss the latest surprising jobs data, significant payroll revisions, and President Trump's controversial firing of Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner Erica Groshen. Ryan and Sonu also provide insights into the Fed's next moves, inflation challenges, and the unexpected factors influencing recent labor market trends.Key Takeaways:Surprising Jobs Report: July's payroll came in at 73,000—lower than expected—with massive downward revisions for previous months.Payroll Data Accuracy: These significant revisions to recent month's data are due to survey response rates, seasonal adjustments, and methodology nuances.Immigration and Labor: A drop in immigration has impacted the labor supply, with fewer jobs now needed monthly to match population growth.Federal Reserve Outlook: Mixed economic signals have complicated rate cut decisions, leaving Fed Chair Jerome Powell cautious and focused on inflation risks.AI Spending Surge: AI-related investment has significantly boosted GDP growth, offsetting weaker consumer spending.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #JobsReport #FederalReserve #Inflation #JeromePowell #LaborMarket #PayrollRevisions #AIInvestment #EconomicTrends #FinancePodcast #CarsonGroup

Jefferies' Chief Market Strategist, David Zervos responds to the President's comments on who's still in the running to be the next Fed Chair. Plus why he says many on wall street have let "politically charged hostility take over their investment process." Then the CEO of Williams, handling around a third of U.S. natural gas transportation, weighs in on the regulatory environment and the possibility of a gas pipeline to New York City. And the CEO of Tanger is at Post 9. Breaking down the outlook for the consumer and the trends he's watching at his company's portfolio of outlet shopping centers.

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss the recent easing of global trade tensions and how markets have responded positively. They dive into three popular market myths currently being debated, analyze corporate earnings, and provide their reasoning on why stocks continue to perform well despite skepticism.Key Takeaways:Trade War Cooling: New trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and other nations signal a potential end to President Trump's trade war, providing stability and optimism to the markets.Market Myths Debunked: Weak Market Breadth: False. Equal-weight indexes and sector-wide gains show the market rally is broad-based. Margin Debt Fears: Exaggerated. While margin debt reached record levels, relative to market cap it remains historically manageable. Foreign Investment Fears: Unfounded. Foreign investment into U.S. stocks and bonds is strong, contrary to earlier warnings.Corporate Earnings Strength: Companies like Johnson & Johnson and 3M show improved earnings forecasts despite tariff impacts, highlighting resilience in U.S. corporate profits.Sentiment Check: Despite market highs, public sentiment remains cautious, which historically aligns with continued market strength.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #TradeWar #MarketMyths #Stocks #Investing #Tariffs #GlobalEconomy #FinancePodcast #StockMarketNews #EarningsSeason #EconomicOutlook

In this episode of 401(k) Roundtable, Rick Unser is joined by Charlie Bilello, Chief Market Strategist at Creative Planning. Known for The Week in Charts on YouTube and as co-host of the Signal or Noise? podcast with Peter Mallouk, Charlie brings a data-driven perspective to today's markets. The conversation covers market volatility, bear market patterns, and the enduring importance of diversification. They also explore the performance of international vs. U.S. stocks, the strength of the dollar, interest rates, and recent economic policy shifts. A timely and insightful episode for anyone trying to make sense of today's investment landscape.

Stock-index futures climbed after the European Union struck a deal with President Donald Trump that will see the bloc face 15% tariffs on most exports, averting a potentially damaging trade war. S&P 500 contracts rose 0.4% and those for European stocks jumped 1%. The euro was slightly stronger against the dollar after the US-EU deal. Asian shares fluctuated at the open as Japanese equities declined 0.4%. Treasuries dipped slightly with yields on the 10-year gaining one basis point to 4.4%. Gold edged lower and oil was marginally higher. Investors are bracing for a busy week of data - including meetings of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan - and earnings from megacap companies that could set the tone for the rest of the year in markets and the economy. Stocks have risen from their slump in April as investors speculate the US will strike trade deals with countries and that will help avoid significant damage to company earnings and the global economy. We preview the trading week ahead with Clark Geranen, Chief Market Strategist at CalBay Investments. Plus - Australia and the UK signed a landmark 50-year defense treaty on Saturday to underpin the construction of nuclear-powered submarines, senior ministers from both nations said. Both sides stressed that the treaty doesn't impact the AUKUS security partnership between Australia, the UK and the US - currently under review by the Trump administration. For a closer look, we speak with Paul Allen, Australia Correspondent for Bloomberg Television.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In Episode 145 of Facts vs Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist unpack recent market reactions, Trump's potential impact on Jerome Powell's Fed tenure, and new inflation data that surprised most economists. Key TakeawaysEvent Study on Powell's Potential Firing: Markets briefly reacted negatively to rumors of Jerome Powell's firing, showcasing investor sensitivities.Surprising Inflation Data: Recent Producer Price Index (PPI) came in below all 50 Bloomberg economist forecasts.Debate Over Tariff Inflation: Discussion on whether tariffs represent one-time pricing adjustments or ongoing inflationary pressures.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InflationData #InterestRates #MarketReactions #EconomicInsights #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese

We've just secured a trade deal with Japan, boosting hopes for broader agreements - and financial markets have been on a roll. Art Hogan, Chief Market Strategist at B. Riley Financial in New York, joins Andy Giersher on the Gains podcast to break it all down. Make sure to subscribe to us on the Audacy app; leave us a review & rate on Apple Music, too! Have a question for host Andy Giersher? Tweet him @Giersh. Never miss an episode from us! Hit the follow button on our Insta & Twitter

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist dive into the recent controversy surrounding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, exploring potential political pressures, the Fed's massive headquarters renovation project, and the broader implications for monetary policy and the economy if there were to be a change in Fed leadership.Key TakeawaysJerome Powell Under Pressure: Discussion about the Trump administration's criticism of the Fed Chair.Fed HQ Controversy: Debate around whether the Fed's $2.5 billion headquarters renovation represents fiscal irresponsibility or necessary infrastructure investment.Political Tensions: Examination of how ongoing criticisms may impact Powell's role and future Fed independence.Market Implications: Insight into how potential Fed leadership changes or political tensions could influence market behavior and economic policy.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #FedControversy #EconomicPolicy #TrumpAdministration #InterestRates #MarketInsights #FinancialPodcast #EconomicOutlook #MonetaryPolicy #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese

Asian equities are poised for a positive open as traders brush off President Donald Trump's latest tariff threats as bargaining tactics that are unlikely to derail global trade. Stock-index futures for Japan, Hong Kong and Australia pointed to a higher open in early Asian trading. The S&P 500 eked out a gain Monday as Trump indicated he's open to trade talks, though still insisted his new tariff rates are "the deals." Contracts for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq edged lower and Bitcoin retreated from its record high. We get some market perspective from Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist at BMO Private Wealth. Plus - Mizuho Financial Group CEO Masahiro Kihara is signaling that he is confident the Japanese lender can meet its long-term target of about ¥1 trillion - or $6.8 billion - in annual profit even as trade wars threaten to stifle growth. He speaks with Bloomberg's Francine Lacqua in London.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

As yet another new wave of tariff threats come out of the White House, investors have yet to bail out of the U.S. stock market like they did in April. Is their bet on American Exceptionalism about to unwind, or is this new bull market unfazed by the upending of the global economy? Callie Cox, Chief Market Strategist for Ritholtz Wealth joins The Express for her take on our unbridled enthusiasm, and lessons for long-term investors. Plus, new 50% tariffs on Copper set to go into effect August 1st will be felt across nearly every major industrial and electronic category. If those don't cause an inflationary charge, nothing will. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, provide a midyear market review and outlook for 2025. Reflecting on major surprises in the first half of the year, including unexpected tariff announcements and subsequent reversals, they analyze market performance in the first half of the year against historical trends. The discussion highlights market resilience, key economic indicators, historical market trends, and strategic insights into navigating the second half of 2025 effectively.Key TakeawaysUnexpected Tariff Volatility The Liberation Day announcement by President Trump of extremely high tariffs surprised markets significantly. Equally surprising was how rapidly these tariffs were paused, causing abrupt swings in market sentiment.Investor Sentiment Shifts Many investors who were initially bearish following the tariff announcements underestimated the market's capacity to rebound strongly, emphasizing the importance of managing emotional biases and market timing.Market Resilience and Momentum Despite early setbacks, the markets showed resilience, demonstrating strong recovery patterns consistent with historical trends.Bull Still Charging The average bull market lasts about five years, but the current on we're in hasn't lasted even three yet—something to keep in mind next time the market experiences a setback.Fed Stays on Pause Market volatility kept the Fed on the sidelines in the first half of 2025, but we may see rate cuts by the fall if the markets stay on track.A Big Beautiful Boost Thought the recently passed Big Beautiful Bill will likely add to the deficit in the coming years, it could also provide a boon to the markets in the back half of the year.Strategic Insights for Second Half 2025 Historical market trends indicate a potentially strong performance for the latter half of 2025. Investors are advised to focus on long-term strategies and diversification, and remain cautious of headline-driven market reactions.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #MidyearOutlook2025 #MarketVolatility #Tariffs #InvestorSentiment #EconomicTrends #MarketForecast #HistoricalPatterns #InvestmentStrategy #StockMarketInsights #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #CarsonGroup #MarketRecovery

In this week's episode of the Facts Vs Feelings podcast, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, sit down with Barry Gilbert, VP Asset Allocation Strategist at Carson Group, for an insightful conversation on effective portfolio management strategies. Barry shares valuable perspectives on the importance of teamwork, constructive debate, and making decisive investment decisions based on clear, actionable insights. Ryan and Sonu also discuss the historical strength of the July market, providing investors with context and strategic guidance for navigating the second half of the year.Key TakeawaysJuly Stock Market Trends and Analysis July has historically been strong, with the S&P 500 rising 10 consecutive years in that month, and it's notably the strongest month during post-election years.Impact of Positive May and June Performance Historically, positive returns in both May and June forecast strong market performance for the rest of the year—typically gaining around 9-10% in the final six months.Effective Portfolio Management Insights Barry Gilbert stresses the importance of constructive debate, critical thinking, and conviction-driven investment decisions in successful asset allocation strategies.Carson Group's Investment Philosophy Barry highlights Carson's culture of managing real money through rigorous debate and collaborative decision-making.Investor Guidance and Market Volatility Ryan and Sonu emphasize the importance of maintaining a long-term investment perspective and managing emotional reactions during short-term market fluctuations.Connect with Barry:• LinkedIn: Barry Gilbert• X: @gilbert3142Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #PortfolioManagement #InvestmentStrategies #JulyMarketRally #StockMarketTrends #CarsonGroup #FinancialPodcast #MarketVolatility #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese

Why do governments lie about how we will be bankrupted by pension and health costs in 30 years? How can we persuade young people to start saving now to avert this catastrophe? And why is saving cash not enough? Robert and Steph speak to Karen Ward, Chief Market Strategist at JP Morgan Asset Management about her new and terrifying research into Britain's savings crisis. We appreciate your feedback on The Rest Is Money to help make the podcast and our partnerships better: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://opinion-v2.askattest.com/app/41f5060f-0f52-45bc-bf86-bf3c9793618e?language=ENG⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Sign up to our newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ to get more stories from the world of business and finance. Email: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠restismoney@gmail.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ X: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@TheRestIsMoney⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@TheRestIsMoney⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@RestIsMoney⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://⁠⁠⁠goalhanger.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Find out more about Premium Bonds at ⁠https://NSandI.com⁠ Visit: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://monzo.com/therestismoney⁠⁠⁠/⁠⁠⁠⁠ Assistant Producers: India Dunkley, Alice Horrell, Hannah Grieve Producer: Ross Buchanan Head of Content: Tom Whiter Exec Producers: Tony Pastor + Jack Davenport Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Pete Najarian, Co-Founder of Market Rebellion and optionMONSTER   Ken Polcari, Managing Partner at Kace Capital Advisors; Chief Market Strategist at SlateStone Wealth Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In the latest Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss recent Middle East tensions involving the U.S. and Iran, the surprisingly minimal market reaction despite high geopolitical stakes, and insights into historical parallels and fiscal spending impacts on stock markets. They also cover recent criticisms of Fed Chair Jerome Powell by President Trump and debate the Fed's current policy paralysis amid uncertainty about inflation, unemployment, and economic growth. Key Takeaways Middle East Tensions and Market Response: The U.S. recently attacked suspected nuclear sites in Iran, and despite immediate fears, the S&P 500 rallied over 1%, and oil prices sharply reversed after an initial spike—down nearly 14% in one day, one of the largest reversals in history.Geopolitical Patterns and Historical Context: The hosts point out historical examples, such as World War I and the Iraq War, where war-driven fiscal spending and deficit growth actually boosted stock markets significantly. Economic and Fiscal Implications of Conflict: Wars often lead to increased defense and deficit spending, which, despite negative human impacts, can boost corporate profits and stock markets, as seen historically (e.g., Iraq War 2003).President Trump's Criticism of Jerome Powell and Fed Policy: President Trump publicly criticized Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting interest rates, calling Powell a "numbskull" and suggesting lower rates would save trillions for the U.S.Fed's Policy Paralysis Amid Uncertainty: The Fed faces conflicting economic signals: higher projected inflation (due partly to tariffs), rising unemployment, and slowing growth, resulting in policy paralysis. Sonu criticized Powell's comments claiming labor market strength, pointing to rising unemployment claims and slowing payrolls as clear signs of labor market weakness.Odds of Fed Rate Cuts Increasing: Market-implied probabilities show a significant rise in expectations for a rate cut by September 2025, largely driven by recent sharp declines in oil prices.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com #FactsVsFeelings #MiddleEastTensions #StockMarketReaction #IranConflict #FiscalSpending #JeromePowell #FedPolicy #TrumpVsPowell #InterestRates #EconomicUncertainty #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese

In a new episode of the Conversations with Commerce Trust podcast, Chief Investment Officer and host David Hagee is joined by Scott Colbert, Chief Economist and Director of Fixed Income Management, Brent Schowe, Director of Investment Research, and KC Mathews, Chief Market Strategist, to discuss the current state of the U.S. economy and the outlook for the remainder of 2025, including: Will we or won't we go into a recession in 2025?  The impact of interest rates, policy, and the job market on economic growth How tariffs may impact inflation going forward  How the decline in the U.S. dollar has impacted markets  Market volatility and opportunities in fixed income  Find all of our Podcasts at: https://www.commercetrustcompany.com/research-and-insights/podcasts

In the latest Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by financial journalist and TKer founder and editor Sam Ro. Together, they cover Sam's background, his curated newsletter approach, emerging data-quality issues at the BLS, and why human judgment still matters in the age of AI.Key TakeawaysWhat Sam Ro Actually Does All Day Sam is the founder and editor of TKer (pronounced ticker), a daily financial newsletter. He previously led markets coverage at Business Insider and was managing editor at Yahoo Finance. His role now is synthesizing market data and macro trends into clear, actionable insights for readers — many of whom are financial advisors.The Market Goes Up—Until It Doesn't Sam chose the slogan “The stock market usually goes up” for his newsletter because, well, the market usually goes up. But, as Sam cautions, it's important for investors to be prepared for downturns, or they can get badly dinged in the short term.Parsing the Data The group discusses a recent announcement from the Bureau of Labor Statistics about collecting less data than before, and how budget cuts and staffing issues at the bureau could lead to less accurate data collection in economic surveys like CPI and employment reports.More Than Just Statistics Sam, who majored in religion in college, discusses the notion that data only goes so far in predicting the markets. Models can't predict everything, and sometimes you just need to embrace uncertainty and have a bit of faith that the markets will sort themselves out over time.AI Can't Replace Human JudgmentWhile AI chatbots now summarize reports faster—and sometimes more eloquently—than humans, Sam stresses that interpreting nuance and making editorial decisions remain human domains. Connect with Ryan:•       LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick•       X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:•       LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese•       X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Sam:·      https://www.tker.co/·      X: @SamRo ·      LinkedIn: sammyroQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com #FactsVsFeelings #SamRo #TickerNewsletter #MarketFlows #StockMarket #InvestorDiscipline #FinancialMedia #Macroeconomics #FinancialPlanning #MarketInsights #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese

In the latest Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, unpack the political feud between Donald Trump and Elon Musk — and what it signals for markets, sentiment, and investor behavior.But this episode covers more than just political drama: Ryan and Sonu break down what recent data says about inflation, the labor market, and Federal Reserve policy, while stressing the importance of not overreacting to headlines.Key TakeawaysTheater Meets Market Implications The Trump-Musk spat included insults, accusations, and the threat of government contract cancellations. Ryan and Sonu dig into how this narrative dominated headlines and its potential impact on investor sentiment.Markets Rally Despite the Drama Despite political noise, equity markets have remained resilient. The S&P 500 has posted strong returns since April lows, reflecting underlying market strength.Economic Data Is Mixed, Not Recessionary While headlines emphasize slowing job growth and sticky inflation, Ryan and Sonu stress that the broader picture doesn't scream recession. Job openings remain high, unemployment is low, and wages continue to rise.Fed Remains Cautious While job growth is slowing and inflation still sticky, the Fed is likely to keep interest rates paused for the foreseeable future—though a drop in inflation could trigger a reexamination.Watch Market Breadth and Participation Rather than obsess over megacap tech stocks, the hosts urge listeners to track participation across sectors and in global markets. Broader market strength is a bullish sign that shouldn't be ignored. Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com #FactsVsFeelings #LaborMarket #JobsReport #FederalReserve #InterestRates #EconomicUpdate #FinancialPlanning #WageGrowth #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #StockMarket #MacroTrends 

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dig into the recent market rally and the surprisingly solid economic data that continues to confound many bearish predictions. From stock performance and inflation trends to the latest tariff drama, Ryan and Sonu break down what they believe is actually happening beneath the market's surface.Key TakeawaysMarkets Continue to Surprise on the Upside After a brief dip in April, stocks bounced back strong in May, and with only one down week out of the last six, the S&P 500 is up 1.1% YTD.Tariff Drama ContinuesA court ruling struck down President Trump's sweeping tariffs, though they remain in place for now. Ryan and Sonu dive into the latest drama surrounding tariffs, as well as the TACO trends that's bolstered many investors.Inflation Is Cooling in Key Areas Goods prices are down, shelter inflation is slowing, and real-time data suggests CPI and PCE will continue to moderate—supporting the idea that the inflation spike is behind us.No Sign of a Recession With inflation cooling and the labor market holding strong, odds of recession have retreated from what we saw earlier in the year.Financial Media Still Loves the Bear Case Ryan and Sonu note how recession headlines haven't caught up with the data. Fear sells, but facts are more bullish than many want to admit. Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com #FactsVsFeelings #StockMarket #EconomicUpdate #JobsReport #FedPolicy #InflationTrends #RecessionDebate #BullMarket #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #MarketRally #FinancialPodcast #InvestmentInsights #S&P500 #HousingMarket #LaborMarket

Tariff headlines are once again dominating markets after a legal back-and-forth last week on the status of Trump’s century-high levies. On Friday, President Trump said he would double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports and accused China of violating an agreement with the US to ease levies. We got reaction from Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist at BMO Private Wealth.Plus- we go to New Zealand, where demand for 'golden visas' has increased under looser rules. The country has eased its rules in February to attract more foreign investment. We got reaction from Stuart Nash, Former Minister of Economic Development in New Zealand and co-founder of Nash Kelly Global.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

After some really messy economic headlines for the last few months, we may actually have some good news. To break it down, Nicole is joined by Ryan Detrick, the Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group. Today, Ryan shares some signs he's seeing in the market that nearly always indicate good news ahead… and whether this time could be different.

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, welcome tech analyst Dan Ives, Managing Director at Wedbush, to discuss the state of AI, the future of autonomous technologies, China-U.S. relations in tech, and investment opportunities beyond the usual headlines.Broadcasting from Carson's 2025 Spring Partner Summit in Omaha, this conversation blends covers everything from Tesla and Palantir to Microsoft's AI momentum and more.Key TakeawaysTesla Is Not Just a Car Company: Dan emphasized that Tesla should be valued as a disruptive AI and robotics company, not merely an automaker. Autonomous robotics are seen as a core driver of its future valuation.AI Party Is Just Getting Started: We're still in the early innings of the AI revolution—around “10:30 p.m.” on an all-night timeline, according to Dan. He likens skeptics to party-poopers who will wish they had joined once the sun comes up.China Cannot Be Decoupled: Efforts to cut ties with China in tech manufacturing are unrealistic, says Dan. The U.S. relies heavily on Chinese infrastructure, and disrupting this would have broad economic consequences.Apple as the AI Highway: While Apple may have lagged in AI innovation early on, Dan believes it will become the dominant platform for consumer AI applications thanks to its vast device ecosystem and installed base.Microsoft's Untapped AI Monetization: Despite a recent lull in stock performance, Dan sees Microsoft as massively underappreciated in its AI capabilities, especially within its enterprise customer base.Google (Alphabet) Is Underloved: Alphabet is currently the most underestimated of the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks, particularly due to overstated concerns about search being disrupted by AI.Palantir's Long-Term Role: Dan projects Palantir as a trillion-dollar company in the making, thanks to its growing role in enterprise and sovereign AI applications.AI Stocks Beyond the Headlines: Emerging names like Pegasystems, SoundHound, Veronis, and CyberArk are cited as under-the-radar plays in the AI boom, especially in areas like cybersecurity and data infrastructure.Autonomous + Robotics = Game Changer: Dan envisions a near-future where humanoid robots under $20,000 become household norms—transforming labor, transportation, and daily life.Bitcoin's Role in Tech: Bitcoin's institutional adoption is growing, and Dan sees it as a risk-on asset with increasing relevance, especially in a deregulated environment. Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrick Connect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Connect with Dan:• LinkedIn: Daniel Ives• X: @DivesTech Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #DanIves #AIRevolution #TeslaAI #MicrosoftAI #TechInvesting #AutonomousFuture #InnovationEconomy #NVIDIA #Palantir #CryptoAndTech #ChinaUSRelations #BigTech #FutureOfWork #CarsonPartners #FinancialPodcast 

Are Trump's unfunded tax cuts trashing America's “exorbitant privilege”? Has Europe stopped being "goodie goodie" and is it at last going for growth? Do Reeves's fiscal rules hurt her by ramping up damaging speculation? Steph and Robert speak with Karen Ward, Chief Market Strategist for EMEA at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Visit: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://monzo.com/therestismoney/⁠⁠ Email: restismoney@gmail.com X: @TheRestIsMoney Instagram: @TheRestIsMoney TikTok: @RestIsMoney goalhanger.com Video Editor: Teo Ayodeji-Ansell Producers: India Dunkley & Ross Buchanan Head of Content: Tom Whiter Exec Producers: Tony Pastor + Jack Davenport Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

On Wednesday's AOA, we start the show discussing the MAHA Commission report along with thoughts on reconciliation and the sorghum yield contest with Amy France, Chairwoman of the National Sorghum Producers. In Segment Two, we get an update on various swine disease threats in the U.S. and around the world with Lisa Becton, Associate Director for the Swine Health Information Center (SHIC). In Segment Three, we talk about market action this week in grains and livestock with Ted Seifried, VP and Chief Market Strategist of Zaner Ag Hedge. Then we wrap the show with news headlines including an update on false reports of New World Screwworm in Missouri.

Samantha LaDuc is the Founder and Chief Market Strategist of LaDucTrading, spotting major macro trends early and translating complex market structure data into tradable sector rotation themes. She talks the possibility of the Trump tax cuts, risks of decoupling from China, electric cars, thoughts on Bessent, Lutnick, bitcoin and much more. PLEASE SUBSCRIBE LIKE AND SHARE THIS PODCAST!!!   Watch Show Rumble- https://rumble.com/v6tpfwz-ai-the-neutron-bomb-of-information-samantha-laduc.html YouTube- https://youtu.be/S1Z-kg_BtzU   Follow Me X- https://x.com/CoffeeandaMike IG- https://www.instagram.com/coffeeandamike/ Facebook- https://www.facebook.com/CoffeeandaMike/ YouTube- https://www.youtube.com/@Coffeeandamike Rumble- https://rumble.com/search/all?q=coffee%20and%20a%20mike Substack- https://coffeeandamike.substack.com/ Apple Podcasts- https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/coffee-and-a-mike/id1436799008 Gab- https://gab.com/CoffeeandaMike Locals- https://coffeeandamike.locals.com/ Website- www.coffeeandamike.com Email- info@coffeeandamike.com   Support My Work Venmo- https://www.venmo.com/u/coffeeandamike Paypal- https://www.paypal.com/biz/profile/Coffeeandamike Substack- https://coffeeandamike.substack.com/ Patreon- http://patreon.com/coffeeandamike Locals- https://coffeeandamike.locals.com/ Cash App- https://cash.app/$coffeeandamike Buy Me a Coffee- https://buymeacoffee.com/coffeeandamike Bitcoin- coffeeandamike@strike.me   Mail Check or Money Order- Coffee and a Mike LLC P.O. Box 25383 Scottsdale, AZ 85255-9998   Follow Samantha LaDuc X- https://x.com/SamanthaLaDuc Substack- https://www.samanthaladuc.com/ Website- https://laductrading.com/   Sponsors Vaulted/Precious Metals- https://vaulted.blbvux.net/coffeeandamike McAlvany Precious Metals- https://mcalvany.com/coffeeandamike/ Independence Ark Natural Farming- https://www.independenceark.com/    

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by returning guest Skanda Amarnath, Executive Director of Employ America, as they dive deep into macroeconomic dynamics, market reactions, and policy shifts.Together, they examine inflation metrics, shifting recession probabilities, the role of tariffs, and the evolving landscape of productivity and AI-related capital investment. Skanda brings grounded clarity on interpreting economic data without succumbing to noise or sensationalism, offering practical insights for advisors and investors alike.Key Takeaways:PCE vs CPI for Tracking Inflation: CPI gets more attention due to its simplicity and timing, but the Fed prioritizes PCE. Skanda emphasizes that CPI may be better for gauging immediate market sentiment, while PCE is conceptually stronger for long-term economic trends.Macro Noise & Recession Probability: Macroeconomic forecasting in today's environment is fraught with uncertainty. Constant updates from institutions and media (e.g., fluctuating recession odds) highlight the need for discipline in economic modeling and scenario planning.Economic Resilience Remains Strong: Despite shocks from trade policies and tariffs, data like payroll growth and strong consumer balance sheets suggest the U.S. economy remains fundamentally sound.Tariff Impacts on Inflation and Growth: Tariffs increase costs that are typically passed through to businesses and consumers; however, much depends on the magnitude. Unilateral trade policies introduce substantial risk and uncertainty for exporters and investors.AI-Driven Productivity Is Real — But Vulnerable: Capital expenditures in Q1 were strongly influenced by AI infrastructure investments. While this is currently a major tailwind for GDP and productivity, overreliance on one sector (like tech) can create future vulnerabilities if momentum shifts.Why Lower Oil Prices Haven't Translated to Relief at the Pump Oil prices are down, but gas prices haven't followed suit. Sonu dove into that topic in his recent blog: https://www.carsongroup.com/insights/blog/why-lower-oil-prices-havent-translated-to-relief-at-the-pump/Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrick Connect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Connect with Skanda:• X: @IrvingSwisher Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com #FactsVsFeelings #Macroeconomics #Inflation #CPI #PCE #RecessionWatch #EconomicForecast #AIInvestment #ProductivityGrowth #Tariffs #FinancialMarkets #EmployAmerica #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #SkandaAmarnath

In this week's episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, break down the surprising market rally, major developments in the U.S.-China trade situation, and what the latest economic signals mean for investors.After weeks of tariff tension and fear of global slowdown, calmer heads may finally be prevailing. From trade negotiations to market breadth thrust indicators, and even a glimpse into the Fed's next move—the guys cover it all.Key Takeaways:Tariff Ceasefire with China: A surprise agreement between the U.S. and China rolls back reciprocal tariffs to 10%, averting the feared trade war escalation—though another 20% tariff still remains. The market reacted with a strong rally, showing signs of confidence.Trade Talks Reset, Not a Resolution: Though framed as a deal by the U.S., China calls it an “economic and trade consultation mechanism.” The agreement includes a 90-day pause and commitments to future negotiations. Non-tariff measures like export restrictions are also being lifted.Market Reaction Shows Strength: The Dow surged more than 1,000 points, and market internals and technicals suggest bullish momentum and historical patterns point to strong returns ahead.Bull Market Signals Everywhere: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have officially entered new bull markets. Patterns like strong monthly returns and recoveries from steep drawdowns historically signal higher markets in the months to come.Fed Rate Cuts Delayed by Tariff Uncertainty: Despite soft April CPI data and signs that inflation is under control, the Fed remains cautious. Rate cuts that once seemed likely in June or July may now be pushed to September or later.U.S. Recession Risk Declining Again: After a temporary spike in recession probability post-Liberation Day, analysts are walking those forecasts back as data stabilizes and trade tensions ease.Long-Term Strategy Over Headlines: Ryan and Sonu emphasize the importance of staying invested through volatility. Market history shows the best days often come right after the worst—don't miss them by panic selling. Connect with Ryan: ·       LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick·       X: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu: ·       LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese·       X: Sonu Varghese #FactsVsFeelings #MarketUpdate #TradeWar #Tariffs #ChinaUSRelations #StockMarket #BullMarket #Recession #Inflation #FederalReserve #FinancialPodcast #InvestmentStrategy #Economy #SP500 #MarketInsights #SonuVarghese #RyanDetrick

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into the messy, muddy Q1 GDP report and break down why the headline number might be misleading. They also explain the disconnect between public sentiment and actual economic data, touch on Warren Buffett's retirement announcement, set expectations for the Fed's next move, and more.Key Takeaways:GDP Looks Weak at First Glance—But Isn't: GDP for Q1 came in negative for the first time in three years, but parsing the data shows there are still plenty of signals—though also plenty of uncertainty.A Fond Farewell: Ryan and Sonu reflect on Warren Buffett's remarkable career after his announcement over the weekend that he'd be stepping away from Berkshire Hathaway.Consumer Spending Still Strong: Consumer spending has remained high even amid tariff uncertainty, but auto sales have been a sign of weakness.Fed Uncertainty: Though it's still unclear when or if the Fed might cut rates, we should get some clarity this week.Earnings Beat Expectations: Q1 earnings came in ahead of expectations, buoying the market during an uncertain time.Strong Stocks: The market ended April and opened May with a nine-day winning streak, a sign of resilience amid tariff uncertainty. Connect with Ryan:•       LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick•       X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:•       LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese•       X: @sonusvargheQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com  #FactsVsFeelings #GDPGrowth #ConsumerSpending #ImmigrationEconomics #MarketOutlook #FedPolicy #StockMarketUpdate #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #EconomicReality #RecessionMyth #StagflationDebunked

Stephanie Link, Chief Investment Strategist  Hightower Advisors; Head of Investment Solutions Ken Polcari, Managing Partner at Kace Capital Advisors;                 Chief Market Strategist at SlateStone Wealth Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dissect the market's strong rally amid tariff turmoil and examine whether policy pullbacks from Washington are signaling a win for the stock market.The duo also dives into technical indicators, sentiment extremes, earnings expectations, and the broader economic implications of continued trade tensions with China. Plus, a golden discussion — literally — about gold's recent surge and what it might mean for investors.Key Takeaways:Markets vs. TariffsPolicy SensitivityMarket Breadth & TechnicalsNear Bear MarketsTrade Impact LagFed & Policy OutlookEarnings ExpectationsSentiment ExtremesGold SurgeConnect with Ryan: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#StockMarket #Tariffs #MarketUpdate #EconomicOutlook #InvestorSentiment #S&P500 #Gold #MarketRally #FederalReserve #EarningsSeason #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #FinancialPodcast

If you've got some dry powder - cash on the sidelines - now could be the time to put it to work. With markets off their highs, it might be a smart moment to buy while stocks are essentially “on sale.” Today on the Gains podcast, we're tapping into some of our top market minds - regular contributors who always deliver smart insights. Each one shares a stock pick or investment idea you might want to consider right now. Joining us: - Jeff Kilburg, Founder and CEO, KKM Financial (Chicago, IL) - Matt Shapiro, President, MWS Capital (Chicago, IL) - Jack Ablin, Chief Investment Officer, Cresset Capital (Chicago, IL) - Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, Carson Group (Omaha, NE) -Tim Ghriskey, Senior Portfolio Strategist, Ingalls & Snyder (New York, NY) Make sure to subscribe to us on the Audacy app; leave us a review and rate us on Apple Music, too! Have a question for host Andy Giersher? Tweet him @Giersh. Never miss an episode from us! Hit the follow button on our Instagram and Twitter.

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by Cathie Wood of Ark Invest to unpack the state of innovation in finance, the market's reaction to tariffs, and the evolving role of AI, Bitcoin, and government in shaping the future economy.Together, they explore whether we are entering a recession or exiting one, and how long-term investors can cut through short-term volatility. Cathie also shares her thoughts on manufacturing reshoring, AI's role in diagnostics and automation, OpenAI's dominance, and why Bitcoin might just be getting started. Key Takeaways:Market headwinds are turning into tailwindsRisk of a recession is on the riseTariff chaos could be offset some by tax cuts and deregulationAI will catalyze every sectorBitcoin and gold can be hedges against market volatility, but there's still uncertaintyManufacturing is coming back to the U.S., but with more automationThe government's role in innovation is evolving as the private sector progressesConnect with Cathie:•       X: @cathiedwoodConnect with Ryan:•       LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick•       X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:•       LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese•       X: @sonusvarghe Relevant Hashtags:#CathieWood #ARKInvest #Bitcoin #AI #Tariffs #Innovation #StockMarket #Recession #FactsVsFeelings #TechnologyInvesting #CarsonGroup #FinancialPodcast #OpenAI #Automation #EconomicOutlook #RollingRecession #Reshoring #DigitalAssets #Investing