Podcasts about chief market strategist

After a strong start to the year and renewed highs across global markets, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, step into the growing tension between Washington and the Federal Reserve, and what it could mean for markets, confidence, and policy credibility. They react to Jamie Dimon's latest comments on economic resilience, unpack the unusual legal pressure facing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and explain why markets appear far more focused on earnings and growth than political noise.Key Takeaways:Markets are prioritizing fundamentals: Earnings growth, productivity gains, and consumer resilience are outweighing the political headlinesFed independence is being tested: The legal and political pressure on the Fed raises long-term questions, but the markets remain focused on outcomes, not noiseMetals are sending a signal: The strength in gold, silver, and industrial metals reflects both global demand and policy uncertaintyLabor markets are cooling, not breaking: Hiring is slower, but the layoffs remain low and prime-age employment stays historically strongBreadth continues to improve: The leadership is expanding beyond mega-cap tech, reinforcing the durability of the current bull marketJump to:0:00 — Economic Resilience, Consumers, And Bank Signals6:00 — Powell, Politics, And Central Bank Independence12:15 — Gold, Metals, And Washington Crosscurrents19:00 — Credit Cards, Housing Policy, And Affordability Risks28:20 — Market Breadth, Diversification, And January Signals31:10 — Labor Market Cooling, Youth Hiring, And Revisions41:00 — Productivity, Margins, And Revenue Per WorkerConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Let's start with the Bad News?The ICE game3 UnitedHealth Group Minnetonka41 Target Minneapolis105 U.S. Bancorp; IR site not working: Minneapolis108 Best Buy Richfield115 CHS Inver Grove Heights174 3M Maplewood216 General Mills Golden Valley230 Ameriprise Financial MinneapolisAnthony Saglimbene, Chief Market Strategist, Ameriprise Financial: Is Corporate America Up For Its First Big Test Of 2026? 1/12/2026“geopolitical and Washington headlines have increased risk, from developments in Venezuela to broader policy noise, including the pending International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) decision which didn't occur last week, affordability proposals in Washington, and unexpected policies and executive orders that could impact housing and defense companies”233 C.H. Robinson Eden Prairie262 Land O'Lakes Arden Hills274 Ecolab St. Paul319 Xcel Energy Minneapolis352 Hormel Foods Austin388 Thrivent Financial MinneapolisThe Good GameThe oil CEO who stood up to Trump is a follower of the disciplined ‘Exxon way' with a history of blunt statementsBig Oil executives met at the White House to discuss investing billions to revive Venezuela's oil industry.Exxon Mobil CEO Darren Woods pushed back, calling Venezuela “uninvestable” without long-term reforms.President Trump reacted angrily, calling Exxon “too cute” and signaling he may exclude the company from Venezuela.Woods declined to appease Trump at the expense of Exxon shareholders.Analysts said Exxon stock would likely have fallen if it committed billions to Venezuela's uneconomic, high-risk environment.Veteran analyst Jim Wicklund said Woods was the only executive willing to speak plainly.Industry has little urgency to return to Venezuela, and no deal can offset the extreme political risk.Even sweeter terms wouldn't change the math: political risk outweighs potential rewards by “a factor of 10.”Microsoft Pledges to Pay More for Electricity, Drawing Praise From Trump A senior Microsoft executive on Tuesday addressed the impact data centers have on the electrical costs for home consumers, an increasingly touchy subject that became a political hot button in November's elections.In a blog post ahead of a speech on artificial intelligence, Brad Smith, Microsoft's president, reiterated that Microsoft wants to pay for the electricity its data center use and avoid affecting everyday customers. “We'll ask utilities and public commissions to set our rates high enough to cover the electricity costs for our data centers,” Mr. Smith wrote.US Judge Allows Orsted to Resume $5 Billion Rhode Island Offshore Wind Project Halted by TrumpRevolution Wind is a $5 billion development co-owned by Orsted that aims to deliver renewable power to Rhode Island and Connecticut. It is the first of five offshore wind projects paused by Interior Secretary Doug Burgum in late December over what officials described as radar interference risks identified by the Department of Defense.Trump tries to reduce CEO pay and halt billions in stock buybacks at defense contractorsThe executive order is creating a “new, government-mandated form of ESG,” referring to the environmental, social, and governance framework that grew prominent in recent years and prodded CEOs to focus on their companies' broader stakeholder impact and not just shareholders.Ironically, the prioritization of ESG was derided as “woke” by critics and the administration has been generally hostile toward ESG. The defense contractor order is conceptually similar in that it prods companies to prioritize a customer over maximizing value for shareholders.President Donald Trump signed an executive order zeroing in on pay packages for executives at large defense contractors deemed to have underperformed on existing government contracts while chasing newer, bigger deals, according to the White House. At the same time, the order claims, these companies have bought back billions in stock, enriching both shareholders and executives.“Effective immediately, they are not permitted in any way, shape, or form to pay dividends or buy back stock, until such time as they are able to produce a superior product, on time and on budget,” the order, titled “Prioritizing the Warfighter in Defense Contracting,” states.The order further directs the Secretary of War to identify contractors that have underperformed the terms of their deals with the government and hatch a plan to resolve delays and production issues. If the resolution plan is insufficient, according to the secretary, future contracts will include provisions banning stock buybacks and dividends and will prohibit tying pay to “short-term financial metrics” such as free cash flow or earnings per share.Trump elaborated in a post on his messaging platform Truth Social last week, railing against pay packages in the defense industry, claiming they are “exorbitant and unjustifiable” given the delays in delivering military equipment. Until those issues are remediated, “no Executive should be allowed to make in excess of $5 Million Dollars which, as high as it sounds, is a mere fraction of what they are making now,” the president wrote.US oil lobby group backs repeal of climate rule for vehicles, not power plantsThe American Petroleum Institute supports the Environmental Protection Agency's proposal to repeal the foundation of greenhouse gas regulations for vehicles but not for power plants and other stationary industrial facilities."We would not support repealing the endangerment finding for stationary sources," API President Mike Sommers told reporters, adding that the trade group believes it has "the greatest standing" from a regulatory perspective and it is clear the EPA has authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from those sources.Judge: Trump violated Fifth Amendment by ending energy grants in only blue statesCourt Rules Trump DOE Violated the Constitution When It Cancelled Clean Energy Funding in Specific StatesAdministration Action Violated Constitutional Guarantee to Equal Protection Under the LawNorway Pushes Electric Vehicles to Nearly All New Car Sales in 2025Electric vehicles accounted for 95.9 percent of all new car registrations in Norway in 2025, rising to almost 98 percent in December, placing the country far ahead of global peers.A mix of targeted tax relief for low cost electric vehicles and rising charges on petrol and diesel cars has reshaped consumer demand and manufacturer strategy.Norway's approach contrasts with the wider European Union, where weaker demand has prompted a rollback of the planned 2035 ban on internal combustion engine vehicles.Meet autistic Barbie: the newest Mattel doll launched in line intended to celebrate diversityMattel said it developed the autistic doll over more than 18 months in partnership with the Autistic Self Advocacy Network, a nonprofit organization that advocates for the rights and better media representation of people with autismThe eyes of the new Barbie shift slightly to the side to represent how some people with autism sometimes avoid direct eye contact, he said. The doll also was given articulated elbows and wrists to acknowledge stimming, hand flapping and other gestures that some autistic people use to process sensory information or to express excitement, according to Mattel.The development team debated whether to dress the doll in a tight or a loose-fitting outfit, Pervez said. Some autistic people wear loose clothes because they are sensitive to the feel of fabric seams, while others wear figure-hugging garments to give them a sense of where their bodies are, he said. The team ended up choosing an A-line dress with short sleeves and a flowy skirt that provides less fabric-to-skin contact.The doll also wears flat shoes to promote stability and ease of movement, according to Mattel.Each doll comes with a pink finger clip fidget spinner, noise-canceling headphones and a pink tablet modeled after the devices some autistic people who struggle to speak use to communicate.Elon Musk's X Under UK Investigation Over Grok's Sexualized A.I. ImagesA British regulator said it had started a formal investigation into Mr. Musk's chatbot over the spread of illegal images.Malaysia and Indonesia block Musk's Grok over sexually explicit deepfakes Meta removes nearly 550,000 social media accounts under Australian age ban This new crash test dummy could keep women safer in car accidentsWhile regulators have been testing crash impacts for decades, there's a dearth of data on women, who face a higher risk of death in auto accidents. In November, regulators unveiled THOR-05F — short for “Test device for Human Occupant Restraint, 5th-percentile Female” — the first crash test dummy specifically based on a woman's body.Elon Musk's Lawsuit Accusing ChatGPT-Maker OpenAI Of Betraying Its Nonprofit Mission Can Go To Trial, Judge Rules‍ ‍Trump calls for 1-year 10% cap on credit card interest ratesThis is a mistake President': Bill Ackman responds to Trump's call for a one-year 10% cap on credit card interestActivist investors set record number of campaigns in 2025Last year's number of attacks marked a nearly 5% increase over 2024 and eclipsed the previous record of 249 made in 2018, the data showed.

Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Josef Schachter to the show. Josef Schachter is Founder, Schachter Asset Management Inc. The discussion centers on the current and future outlook for the global energy market, with a particular focus on oil and natural gas production and investment opportunities. Schachter presents a bullish perspective on the energy sector, forecasting a significant upward trajectory for oil prices. He predicts WTI oil prices will range from $52-$66 in Q1 2026, rising to $74-$84 in Q4, potentially reaching $100 per barrel by 2028-2029. This projection is underpinned by several key factors, including normal demand growth of 1.2-1.3 million barrels per day and constrained OPEC production capabilities. A critical aspect of Schachter’s thesis is the global lack of new oil discoveries and declining production rates. He highlights that shell oil production experiences 30-50% decline rates in the first year, necessitating continuous drilling. He notes, that over a billion people worldwide lack stable electricity access, presenting a significant future demand opportunity for energy resources. The conversation explores investment strategies within the energy sector, with Schachter recommending a diversified approach based on individual risk profiles. He suggests considering natural gas, light to medium gravity oil exposure, and service industry stocks. Notably, he emphasizes the importance of companies with strong balance sheets, insider ownership, and prudent management. Schachter is particularly optimistic about Canadian energy companies, many of which are currently trading at two to three times cash flow, with potential to expand to seven or eight times during a potential energy super cycle. He points out attractive dividend yields from various energy companies, ranging from 5% to 11%. The conversation also touches on geopolitical factors, including potential developments in Venezuela and the global shift in energy production and consumption. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:23 – Oil Price Outlook 00:04:39 – Inventory Analysis 00:08:29 – Venezuela Oil Shift 00:10:21 – Rule of Law 00:14:53 – Canadian Stock Impacts 00:17:11 – Investment Opportunities 00:19:00 – Dividend Yields 00:21:30 – Energy Super Cycle 00:22:49 – M&A Activity 00:35:32 – Discovery Shortages 00:40:38 – Global Demand Growth 00:48:16 – Energy Report Details Guest Links: Website: https://schachterenergyreport.ca Josef Schachter is a 40+ year veteran of the Canadian Investment Management Industry, Josef Schachter has experienced several exceptional and turbulent global economic and stock market cycles. With his primary focus in the stock market and the energy sector, Josef is able to weave global political, economic and monetary issues with current energy data into a compelling story of what's going on, what is to come, and why. Josef is a frequent guest on Michael Campbell's Podcast ‘Mikes Money Talks' and other podcast and radio shows and is often quoted in the media. He is a regular Guest Speaker at the annual World Outlook Financial Conference in Vancouver and he delivers presentations to various companies and organizations. For several years, he was a frequent and notably colourful commentator on BNN Bloomberg's Market Call. Josef provided Oil and Gas research to Maison Placements Canada geared to their institutional clients for 15 years ending April 2017, and was acknowledged as the first analyst in Canada to predict the Oil Price Plunge of 2014. Prior to establishing his firm Schachter Asset Management Inc. in 1996, Josef was the Chief Market Strategist at Richardson Greenshields, a Director of RGCL and a member of its Investment Policy Committee. He holds a Chartered Financial Analyst designation and is a past Chairman of the Canadian Council of Financial Analysts.

After a volatile first half and another year of strong headline returns, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, step back to assess what actually shaped markets in 2025 and what that foundation means heading into 2026.They revisit why early-year turbulence caught so many investors off guard, how companies navigated tariffs and margin pressure more effectively than expected, and why earnings growth remained the quiet backbone of the rally. The conversation then turns forward, covering their 2026 outlook for stocks and bonds, the role of AI-driven capital spending, global market leadership, and why sentiment continues to lag reality even as breadth improves. Along the way, they discuss inflation stickiness, labor market crosscurrents, policy tailwinds, and where diversification still matters most as the cycle matures.Key Takeaways: • Earnings did the heavy lifting: Profit growth and margin resilience, not valuation expansion, powered market gains • Volatility followed the script: Early-year drawdowns fit historical patterns despite widespread surprise • Global leadership expanded: International markets and cyclicals outpaced expectations as breadth improved • AI spending surged: Capital expenditures accelerated across major tech platforms, reinforcing long-term growth trends • 2026 outlook remains constructive: Above-average equity returns and modest bond gains hinge on steady growth without recessionJump to:0:00 — Setting The Stage For 20251:48 — Tariffs, Liberation Day, And Market Bottom4:30 — Sentiment, Concentration Myths, And Breadth9:45 — Speculation Falls, AI Leaders Repriced14:45 — Small Caps, Transports, And Rate Cuts22:30 — IPO Drought, Private Markets, And Valuations27:20 — Media Moments, Gold, And Diversifiers32:20 — Fed Cuts, Dots, And Labor Revisions40:10 — 2026 Playbook: Mid Caps, Financials, Healthcare46:30 — Global Vs. U.S., EM Tilt, And PolicyConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Venezuela's embattled leader, Nicolás Maduro, is in a New York City courtroom today—facing charges that include narco-terrorism and conspiracy to import cocaine. This weekend's bold operation in Venezuela has major geopolitical implications but could also impact oil supply abroad. While oil prices have seen some movement since news broke Saturday morning, energy stocks are rising as investors bet U.S. companies could eventually gain access to Venezuela's massive oil reserves. All of this comes as we kick off a new year and a new month—one that could bring a significant announcement from President Trump on his next pick for Federal Reserve chair… along with a potential Supreme Court ruling on the president's tariffs. Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at SlateStone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss how investors are reacting to the news out of Venezuela. Plus, he lays out his expectations for this week and 2026. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Venezuela's embattled leader, Nicolás Maduro, is in a New York City courtroom today—facing charges that include narco-terrorism and conspiracy to import cocaine. This weekend's bold operation in Venezuela has major geopolitical implications but could also impact oil supply abroad. While oil prices have seen some movement since news broke Saturday morning, energy stocks are rising as investors bet U.S. companies could eventually gain access to Venezuela's massive oil reserves. All of this comes as we kick off a new year and a new month—one that could bring a significant announcement from President Trump on his next pick for Federal Reserve chair… along with a potential Supreme Court ruling on the president's tariffs. Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at SlateStone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss how investors are reacting to the news out of Venezuela. Plus, he lays out his expectations for this week and 2026. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, flies solo for this new episode of Facts vs Feelings, joined by longtime chart-watchers Chris Kimble, former CEO of Kimble Charting Solutions, and Scott Brown, Founder of Brown Technical Insights, for a wide-ranging conversation on what the market is signaling as 2025 comes to a close.They dig into market breadth, sector leadership, financials, commodities, and metals that have gone nowhere for over a decade, along with gold's role, sentiment disconnects, and why certain “boring” areas may be setting up for something much bigger. The discussion blends technical analysis, long-term market history, portfolio construction, and the psychological side of investing, offering context for what could matter most heading into 2026.Chris and Scott are not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by these individuals may not be representative of CWM, LLC.Jump to:0:00 — Opening and guest introductions1:41 — Market surprises and leadership shifts6:05 — Financials, tech, and market breadth12:10 — Gold, metals, and long-term breakouts18:40 — Sentiment, seasonality, and market signals26:10 — China, Fibonacci levels, and global setup34:20 — Research, portfolio construction, and the 2026 outlookConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Scott:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/scott-brown-cmt-22b62891/• X: https://x.com/scottcharts?lang=enConnect with Chris:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/chris-kimble-708b4681/• X: https://x.com/KimbleChartingQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

2025 kept investors off balance, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, and Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group turned to Art Hogan, Chief Market Strategist at B. Riley Wealth Management, to make sense of what actually drove the year. They dig into the gap between perception and reality on market breadth, why speculative pockets unraveled even as leadership widened, and how steady rate cuts, shifting Fed signals, and a softer labor backdrop shaped sentiment. Art also brings decades of perspective on small caps, mid caps, financials, healthcare, and the global forces that may matter most as investors position for 2026.Art Hogan, nor B. Riley Wealth Management, are affiliated with CWM, LLC.Key Takeaways:• Market leadership broadened: More sectors and stocks contributed to gains than investors realized• Speculative areas reset: High-risk themes sold off sharply despite broader market strength• Fed signals stayed mixed: Cuts continued while disagreements inside the committee grew• Labor data softened: Slower hiring and revisions added pressure beneath the surface• Cyclicals built momentum: Financials, healthcare, industrials, and global markets carried meaningful strengthJump to:0:00 — Setting the Stage for 20255:20 — Breadth, Sentiment, and Concentration Fears9:30 — Speculative Shakeout and AI Valuations13:45 — Pullbacks, Psychology, and Market Stats17:15 — The Everything Rally in Context20:40 — Small Caps, Transports, and Quality Leadership34:30 — Fed Cuts, Labor Signals, and the 2026 OutlookConnect with Art• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/arthogan/• X: https://x.com/ArthurHoganIIIConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

A rare split is opening inside the Federal Reserve. Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, and Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Wealth, dig into what that tension really means as growth projections move higher and rate cuts keep coming. They break down the widening gap between market expectations and the Fed's own outlook, the mixed signals coming from the latest dot plot, and what dissenting votes reveal about how policymakers are reading inflation and a softening labor market. At the same time, they look to the areas gaining strength, including cyclicals, global markets, commodities and the latest AI rotation, to understand how a divided Fed is shaping positioning as investors look ahead to 2026.Key Takeaways:• The Fed is diverging internally: The dot plots and dissents show widening disagreement on how aggressively to cut• Markets are pricing a different path: Traders expect more easing than the Fed, especially beyond 2026• Growth projections are rising: The Fed now sees stronger 2025–2026 GDP despite ongoing cuts• Labor-market signals are weakening: Falling quits and slowing hiring increase pressure on policymakers• Cyclical strength continues: Industrials, materials, and developed international markets are pushing the rally forwardJump to:0:00 - Cold Open, Holidays, And Setup2:45 - AI Leadership Rotates And Market Breadth8:50 - Cyclicals Lead, Global Rally Builds14:40 - Europe, Developed Markets, And Industrials20:55 - IPOs, Sentiment, And Bull Market Signals27:00 - The Fed Cuts: Dots, Dissent, And Markets35:20 -Neutral Rate, Long-Run Inflation, And 202641:50 - Press Conference Takeaways And Labor Risks48:10 - Gold Breakout And Commodities Pulse53:30 - Labor Market: JOLTS, Quits, And WagesConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Carl Quintanilla, Sara Eisen, and David Faber kicked off the hour with new housing data and fresh developments in the race for the next Fed Chair - before breaking down one Chief Market Strategist's sky-high S&P price target into the year ahead. Plus: longtime market veteran Ruchir Sharma joined the team with what he calls "the 4 O's of a bubble" that are flashing warning signs right now... while Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi brought his expectations for tomorrow's blockbuster double jobs report.  Also in focus: a fresh read on the consumer out of CNBC's latest All-America Survey - hear the surprising results, this hour...  Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

One of the most shocking pieces of information I've seen in the last year is how high the average age of all homebuyers has become. Depending on the source, I've seen between 59 and 62 years old. This is the *average* age. We've never seen a housing market quite like this, so I turned to Charlie Bilello, the Chief Market Strategist for the firm Creative Planning to help me understand it better. While I talk at length about the regulatory, design and policy aspects of housing on the podcast, Charlie is an expert in the financial side.We trace a bit of the history of how we changed the idea of housing from shelter to a financial product, and then hit on how those policy changes have created the mess we are in today. Charlie has a wealth of ideas that are admittedly unpopular, but could go to great lengths to fix the housing market over the short and long term.Along the way, we talk about fifty year mortgages, the impact of this issue on everyone under forty years old, the concentration of wealth with Baby Boomers, and why it's so hard to make changes.If you want more from Charlie, check out his excellent YouTube channel.Find more content on The Messy City on Kevin's Substack page.Music notes: all songs by low standards, ca. 2010. Videos here. If you'd like a CD for low standards, message me and you can have one for only $5.Intro: “Why Be Friends”Outro: “Fairweather Friend” Get full access to The Messy City at kevinklinkenberg.substack.com/subscribe

You could call this an early Christmas gift. A delayed September PCE report was released last week, focusing on core inflation—a price measure closely watched by the Federal Reserve. It came in cooler than expected, which is encouraging for the Trump administration, as it has been pushing the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. While attention is on this week's rate decision, eyes are already on next year. You could say the current Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, is on Trump's naughty list, and the nominee to replace him will likely be named in early 2026. What will that mean for the direction of monetary policy? Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, shares insights on what investors are expecting from the Fed this week, who they think may replace Powell, and what to anticipate from the markets in the final weeks of 2025. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

You could call this an early Christmas gift. A delayed September PCE report was released last week, focusing on core inflation—a price measure closely watched by the Federal Reserve. It came in cooler than expected, which is encouraging for the Trump administration, as it has been pushing the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. While attention is on this week's rate decision, eyes are already on next year. You could say the current Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, is on Trump's naughty list, and the nominee to replace him will likely be named in early 2026. What will that mean for the direction of monetary policy? Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, shares insights on what investors are expecting from the Fed this week, who they think may replace Powell, and what to anticipate from the markets in the final weeks of 2025. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

You could call this an early Christmas gift. A delayed September PCE report was released last week, focusing on core inflation—a price measure closely watched by the Federal Reserve. It came in cooler than expected, which is encouraging for the Trump administration, as it has been pushing the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. While attention is on this week's rate decision, eyes are already on next year. You could say the current Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, is on Trump's naughty list, and the nominee to replace him will likely be named in early 2026. What will that mean for the direction of monetary policy? Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, shares insights on what investors are expecting from the Fed this week, who they think may replace Powell, and what to anticipate from the markets in the final weeks of 2025. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Gain timely insights into the uncertainty and opportunity that define the investment landscape for 2026 in “AI Lift and Economic Drift.” This engaging discussion unpacks how resilient U.S. economic growth is set against a backdrop of powerful structural trends, including the transformative impact of artificial intelligence. Key themes include the importance of diversification, the challenges posed by elevated starting points for risk assets and the need for thoughtful portfolio construction to navigate ongoing market divergences. Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, alongside David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist and Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist, as they share expert views and strategies to help investors prepare for the year ahead. Watch the video version on YouTube.  Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

French President Emmanuel Macron pushed for more Chinese investment during a meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, as Paris looks to rebalance its economic ties with Beijing and narrow a persistent trade gap. Macron said Europe, including France, needs a clearer framework to attract more Chinese direct investment. He warned that China's growing trade surplus with the rest of the world is becoming unsustainable, while investment flowing into Europe remains too low. We heard from Bloomberg China Correspondent Minmin Low. Asian equities dropped in early trading following a lackluster session on Wall Street that weighed on tech stocks and bonds, with focus turning to the release of key US inflation data later on Friday. We get an outlook from Charu Chanana, Saxo Chief Investment Strategist. She spoke to Bloomberg's Avril Hong and Paul Allen. And in the states, markets struggled to gain traction ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting next week. We spoke to James Thorne, Chief Market Strategist at Wellington-Altus Private Wealth.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into the sharp late-November market swings, why December historically favors gains, and how shifting Fed expectations have driven sentiment. They break down sector rotation, the surprising divergence between crypto and junk tech, the return of market breadth, and the growing possibility of reflationary growth into 2026. The conversation also covers rising unemployment data, an increasingly divided Fed, and how the accelerating AI investment race may continue fueling key parts of the market.Key TakeawaysMarket Breadth Expansion: The advance-decline line hitting new highs shows the rally is widening beyond just mega-cap tech.Sector Rotation Strength: Technology lagged in November while healthcare, materials, staples, and financials helped offset the pullback—validating diversified positioning.Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Whipsawed: Odds of a December cut plunged below 30% before surging back above 80% due to rising unemployment, dovish Fed commentary, and Beige Book labor softness.Reflationary Growth View for 2026: Strong global commodities, resilient demand, and expected Fed easing support the case for reflation rather than recession.Crypto Decouples from Junk Tech: Bitcoin fell sharply while non-profitable tech surged, breaking a correlation that typically signals risk-on/off behavior.AI Spending Cycle Accelerates: Competition among AI leaders is driving massive capital spending—benefiting chipmakers, data centers, and related sectors.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comHashtags#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #FedPolicy #Reflation #InvestmentStrategy #Macroeconomics #FinancialMarkets #YearEndRally

Phil Orlando is the Chief Market Strategist and Global Head of Investment Directors at Federated Hermes. Phil reflects on the outcomes of the November elections and shares thoughts on the potential implications to the 2026 midterms. We also discuss the potential road ahead for U.S. trade policy, along with monetary policy ahead of the December FOMC meeting. Host: Daniel Cassidy

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, sit down with Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, to break down the current cyclical and secular bull markets, how AI compares to past transformative periods, what rising rates have meant for valuations, and why international equities are becoming more attractive. They also touch on the role of gold and Bitcoin, how to think about barbell strategies, and what history teaches about market narratives. Key TakeawaysMarket Setup: Today's environment features a cyclical bull market on top of a long-running secular bull market, similar to past periods like 1994 and the late 1990s.Interest Rates & Valuations: The 2022 market drop came largely from PE compression as rates jumped from near zero to 5%, while earnings actually grew.Historical Parallels: Timmer highlights similarities between today and both the late 1960s (loose fiscal policy, sticky inflation) and late 1990s (tech-driven excitement).Barbell Approach: A mix of mega-cap leaders and undervalued international equities may help manage concentration risk, especially as Europe and Japan boost payouts and trade at lower valuations.Gold & Bitcoin: Timmer views both as scarce, diversifying assets that hedge against periods when bonds may struggle, especially in potential fiscal-dominance environments.Small Caps vs. Large Caps: Small caps show mixed performance due to both traditional domestic exposure and speculative, unprofitable tech tied to AI.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Jurrien Timmer:• LinkedIn: Jurrien Timmer• X: @TimmerFidelityQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comDisclosure: Jurrien Timmer is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC.Hashtags#FactsVsFeelings #MarketInsights #InvestingPodcast #MacroOutlook #GlobalMarkets #AssetAllocation #CarsonGroup

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dig into the surge in market volatility and what they believe is truly behind it. They explore shifting rate-cut expectations from the Fed, how mixed economic data is shaping the outlook, and why recent remarks from Fed officials have rattled markets. Ryan and Sonu also break down the sharp risk-off moves in crypto, the resilience of sectors like healthcare and commodities, and more.Key TakeawaysFed Tone Shift: Fed officials struck a more cautious tone after their October meeting, sharply lowering expectations for a December rate cut and contributing to market weakness.Labor Data Uncertainty: With government shutdown-related data gaps, the Fed is flying partially blind, making upcoming payroll numbers pivotal in determining whether cuts resume.Crypto as Risk-Off Signal: Bitcoin and Ethereum have seen steep declines since last month, acting as a clear risk-off indicator and spilling into tech-adjacent equities.Sector Divergence: Healthcare (especially biotech), utilities, and value stocks have held up better during the pullback, while small-cap growth and speculative tech have lagged sharply.Commodities Showing Strength: Despite volatility, key commodities like copper, natural gas, silver, and jet fuel are meaningfully higher year-to-date—signs that global activity is holding up better than headlines suggest.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comHashtags#FactsVsFeelings #MarketVolatility #FederalReserve #MacroPodcast #InvestingInsights #MarketOutlook #CarsonGroup

Crucial data will arrive for investors this week. Nvidia will report earnings, with the chipmaker seen as a bellwether for the AI trade. US weekly jobless claims data and September payrolls are set to release on Thursday. Chris Maxey, Managing Director and Chief Market Strategist at Wealthspire Advisors, discusses how these reports will impact the markets.Plus, Japan's 3Q GDP saw its the first decline in six quarters. Trinh Nguyen, Natixis Emerging Markets Asia Economist, provides a cautious outlook for emerging markets in 2026.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Josh Young, Portfolio Manager at Bison interests, and Tracy Shuchart, Founder/CEO and Chief Market Strategist, at Hilltower Resource Advisors, stop by the Energy News Beat and Energy Impacts Podcasts - With Stu Turley for an in-depth look at the global oil and gas financial markets. Highlights of the Podcast00:00 – Opening & Guest Introductions02:32 – AI Boom vs. Power Shortage07:18 – AI Hype vs. Energy Reality11:42 – Nuclear Reality Check16:03 – Coal's Comeback18:02 – Natural Gas Outlook21:15 – Pipeline Bottlenecks & Permitting Trouble24:33 – Chevron Entering Data Center Power25:19 – Pipeline Twinning Not As Easy As It Sounds28:08 – Geopolitics Ignored by the Market33:24 – Demand: Stronger Than Narratives Suggest37:05 – Sanctions, “Kinetic Sanctions,” & Enforcement Reality42:31 – Dollar Weaponization, Gold Buying, & the Milkshake Theory49:52 – Commodities Rotation & Energy Lag55:11 – Propaganda & the Climate Narrative01:01:21 – Pendulum Swings & Hope for Middle Ground01:02:50 – Utility Mismanagement & Decentralization01:05:04 – Will Democrats Blame Republicans for High Power Prices?01:06:10 – Government Control, Incentives & Rate Failures01:09:59 – Tracy on Fox Business: Uranium Bottleneck01:22:35 – Closing Thoughts & Market Outlook

Fresh news out of Washington: as a potential end to the shutdown looms - and Treasury Secretary Bessent makes new comments promising relief on prices... Carl Quintanilla and Sara Eisen broke down the latest, along with a slew of breaking news just crossing at 10 out of both the Federal Reserve and the AI complex. Jefferies Chief Market Strategist David Zervos gave his take on what it all means for stocks, while the team also got a read from the ground on the airlines - and any ongoing shutdown impacts - with the CEO of Delta.  Also in focus: AMD shares surging as investors get bullish on the name - hear one chip analyst's take on the double-digit move, and whether shares are still a buy here. Plus: details on Toyota's big new EV bet here in the U.S., announced just this hour.  Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss how markets are responding to the government's impending reopening, improving earnings, and shifting political dynamics. They unpack why consumer sentiment remains low despite strong market and economic data, explore the reality behind so-called “K-shaped” growth, and explain why they still see powerful tailwinds for investors heading into 2026.Key TakeawaysGovernment Reopening & Market Optimism: Ryan and Sonu expect the government to fully reopen within a week, though they highlight that split power in Congress has often aligned with positive stock performance.Political Shifts & Gridlock Effect: Off-year elections showed strong results for Democrats, setting up a potential split Congress—an outcome that markets have rewarded in past cycles due to reduced legislative volatility.Consumer Sentiment vs. Market Reality: Confidence levels remain near historic lows even as inflation cools and the job market holds steady. The hosts argue that perception, not data, is fueling pessimism.Earnings Strength & Global Tailwinds: S&P 500 earnings growth surged from 7.9% to 13%, with companies generating more than half their revenue abroad leading the way—evidence that global demand continues to support U.S. markets.Debunking the “K-Shaped Economy” Narrative: Sonu breaks down why claims of widening inequality are overstated, emphasizing that spending patterns and income distribution remain consistent with long-term trends.Labor Market Stability: Despite attention-grabbing layoff headlines, jobless claims and hiring plans show a resilient labor market, reinforcing the broader theme of economic strength beneath the noise.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comHashtags#FactsVsFeelings #MarketOutlook #InvestingInsights #EconomicUpdate #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #CarsonGroup 

Interview recorded - 12th of November, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Chris Vermeulen. Chris is the Founder & Chief Market Strategist at The Technical Traders. During our conversation we spoke about his outlook on the economy, magnificent seven bubble, potential market crash, bull trap, precious metals, US dollar and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:05 - Outlook in the economy2:35 - Magnificent seven4:34 - Market crash on the horizon?6:29 - What Chris is watching10:29 - Bull trap?12:18 - Government shutdown15:04 - Government treasuries17:29 - Dot com bubble?19:22 - Allocating during crisis?22:17 - Precious metals23:09 - US Dollar24:34 - Bitcoin27:24 - One message to takeaway?Chris Vermeulen is a visionary investor who pioneered an industry-breaking method of investing called “Asset Revesting.” Chris introduced this innovative approach in his latest book, “Asset Revesting – How to Exclusively Hold Assets Rising in Value, Profit During Bear Markets, and Continue Building Wealth in Retirement.“Chris's journey in the financial world began in 1997 at 16. Using his innate talent for trading and risk management, Chris earned enough money to pay for his final year of college, where he earned a business diploma in operations management. He then transitioned into a full-time entrepreneur and trader, achieving financial freedom in his 20s.His expertise in technical analysis led him to create systematic processes that uncover unique trading and investment opportunities. A persistent advocate for managing portfolio risk, Chris has little faith in the buy-and-hold strategy, which often entails holding onto depreciating assets.Chris's innovative approach to asset allocation emphasizes efficiency, resulting in systems that manage portfolio positions, exhibit low drawdowns, and consistently outperform the markets. His short-term and long-term strategies are perfect for those seeking proven techniques to manage and protect capital.Chris is widely recognized as an exceptional technical trader, possessing profound insight and a keen understanding of market trends. He shares his wisdom in his book “Technical Trading Mastery, Second Edition – 7 Steps to Win with Logic,” further solidifying his reputation as a trailblazer in the financial industry.Chris Vermeulen - Website - https://thetechnicaltraders.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/TheTechTradersYouTube - @TheTechnicalTraders WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseasThumbnail image from - https://www.financialexpress.com/world-news/us-news/why-did-the-us-stock-market-fall-over-1-1-trillion-was-wiped-out/3934378/

"I'm looking for a 30% explosion to $5,100 gold by year-end," says Chris Vermeulen, Chief Market Strategist of The Technical Traders. In today's interview with Daniela Cambone, the veteran chartist, who accurately called gold's recent breakout, dissects the "mere three-wave correction" that has spooked momentum traders. He details the "herd mentality" that first drove prices higher and argues this pullback is a classic shakeout before a parabolic surge, drawing direct and "scary" parallels to the 2007 pre-crisis setup.✅ FREE RESOURCESDownload The Private Wealth Playbook — a data-backed guide to strategically acquiring gold and silver for maximum protection, privacy, and performance. Plus, get Daniela Cambone's Top 10 Lessons to safeguard your wealth (FREE)

In today's rapidly evolving investment landscape, staying ahead means understanding how asset allocation strategies are adapting to new market realities. This episode of Insights Now explores the dynamic interplay between macroeconomic trends, policy shifts and the growing importance of research in portfolio construction. From the impact of fiscal and trade policies to the rise of alternatives and real assets, our experts discuss how diversification beyond the traditional 60/40 model is helping investors build resilience against inflation, rate shocks and other market disruptions.    In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, as they reflect on the season's most important takeaways from the Multi-Asset Solutions team and share their outlook for the future of asset allocation. Watch the video version on YouTube.  Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify    

In the latest episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss the powerful role of momentum in today's markets and what investors should expect heading into year-end. They examine how the S&P 500's impressive rally fits into historical context, why tech leadership remains dominant, and how market breadth and global participation are evolving. The conversation also explores the impact of Federal Reserve policy shifts, cooling trade tensions, and the surprising resilience of the U.S. economy.Key TakeawaysHistoric Market Strength: The S&P 500 has gained nearly 23% over the past six months, placing this move in the top 4% of all six-month returns. History shows that strong momentum often leads to continued upside in the following year.Tech-Driven Leadership: The recent rally has been powered largely by technology. The Magnificent Seven continue to dominate, with the S&P 500 Technology Index up 44% over six months. Global Momentum: It's not just the U.S.—developed and emerging markets are rallying too. South Korea, Taiwan, and China are leading EM gains, while countries like South Africa, Mexico, and Japan also show strong performance.Economic Resilience: Despite talk of a “K-shaped” economy, U.S. GDP growth remains near 2%. Earnings are rising across sectors, with 80% of companies beating on both revenue and profits.Trade Tensions Easing: The U.S.–China trade war appears to be cooling, with both sides de-escalating tariffs and trade restrictions. China is resuming soybean purchases and suspending certain export controls, while the U.S. has paused new restrictions—reducing a major geopolitical headwind.Fed's Delicate Balance: The Federal Reserve cut rates again, bringing total cuts to 150 basis points since the cycle's peak. While inflation remains a concern for some members, Powell's comments suggested a dovish tone, emphasizing that inflation pressures are manageable and economic momentum remains intact.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Hashtags#FactsVsFeelings #MarketMomentum #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #CarsonGroup #InvestingInsights #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #GlobalMarkets  

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, hosted a special Halloween livestream featuring Joe Fahmy, Managing Director at Zor Capital, and Warren Pies, Co-Founder and Strategist at 3Fourteen Research. Together they explore what's driving markets at the end of 2025—from AI-led growth and investor sentiment to fiscal spending, oil, and the broader economic outlook. The result is an entertaining and insightful look at how two veteran strategists interpret this bull market and what it could mean heading into 2026 and beyond.Key TakeawaysJoe Fahmy Segment:Broad-Based Bull Market: Joe sees strength well beyond the “Magnificent 7,” with AI, quantum computing, and clean energy creating multiple growth engines.Adaptability Over Bias: He stresses that successful investors aren't perma-bulls or perma-bears. They adapt as the data changes.Technical Discipline: Joe relies on the 50-day moving average to define market health. Above it, stay constructive; below it, get defensive.Cautious Sentiment: He notes that many investors remain nervous, which helps sustain the market's “wall of worry” and supports further upside.AI as the Next Revolution: He predicts the current bull market could extend into 2027 as AI transforms productivity similar to past technological breakthroughs.Warren Pies Segment:Debasement: Warren frames today's cycle as a shift from deflation fears to worries about fiscal expansion, debt, and currency dilution.Equities as Inflation Hedges: He highlights that S&P 500 earnings have outpaced inflation nearly every year since 2009, proving stocks' resilience.Energy Outlook: Warren maintains a bearish view on oil, citing signs of oversupply and weakening global demand.Equity and Yield Outlook: He expects modest but positive stock gains through 2026 as yields drift lower and fiscal support remains steady.Economic View: Warren describes the U.S. economy as being in a “muddle-through slowdown,” with government spending and the wealth effect offsetting recession risks.Joe and Warren are not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by these individuals may not be representative of CWM, LLC.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Joe Fahmy:• X: @jfahmyConnect with Warren Pies:• LinkedIn: Warren Pies• X: @WarrenPies Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Hashtags#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Markets #Investing #BullMarket #AI #Economy #Inflation #StockMarket #MarketOutlook

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss why a strong year-end rally may already be underway. They explore the drivers behind market momentum, earnings strength, inflation trends, and the Fed's next moves, while adding insight, a bit of humor, and practical perspective for investors heading into the final stretch of 2025.Key Takeaways:·       Seasonality on Investors' Side: November and December have historically been strong months for equities, especially when the S&P 500 is up 15% heading into year-end.·       Resilient Earnings: Nearly 87% of S&P 500 companies have beaten earnings expectations, one of the strongest showings in years.·       Sentiment Still Skeptical: Surveys continue to show more bears than bulls, but confidence is building as investors look toward a possible year-end rally.·       Inflation Cooling but Sticky: Core CPI rose just 0.23% in September (2.8% annualized), showing progress even as service-sector prices remain firm.·       The Fed Turns Dovish: Rate cuts are expected to continue into 2026, potentially bringing policy below 3%—a setup that has historically supported markets.·       Easing Trade Tensions: U.S.–China progress on tariffs and rare earths adds another macro tailwind to investor confidence.·       Market Breadth: Equal-weight indexes across the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq recently hit all-time highs, showing strength beyond mega-cap tech.DON'T MISS our special Halloween livestream on YouTube starting at 10:30amCT this Friday, October 31, 2025! Click here for more info: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0alr4-vDLK8 Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Hashtags: #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketRally #InvestingInsights #StockMarket #Inflation #FederalReserve #EarningsSeason #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #WealthManagement   

On this episode of Animal Spirits: Talk Your Book, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Michael Batnick⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ben Carlson⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ are joined by Gabby Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas at JP Morgan to discuss the 30th annual edition of the firm's capital market assumptions report that covers stock returns, bond yields, inflation, GDP forecasts and more. Find complete show notes on our blogs... Ben Carlson's ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠A Wealth of Common Sense⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Michael Batnick's ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Irrelevant Investor⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Feel free to shoot us an email at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠animalspirits@thecompoundnews.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation. Check out the latest in financial blogger fashion at The Compound shop: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://idontshop.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Ben Carlson are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. See our disclosures here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ritholtz Wealth Management⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

After an economic data blackout for weeks, we got an inflation update this morning showing a lower-than-expected increase in the consumer price index. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the price of everyday goods like gasoline, groceries, and rent costs rose 0.3% in September compared to August, and the annual inflation rate rose to 3%. That is above the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2% as policymakers there meet next week to decide their next interest rate move With the Fed, CEOs, investors, and pretty much everyone flying blind in regard to economic data, thanks to the nearly month-long government shutdown, how important was today's inflation update? Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins Fox Business' Gerri Willis to discuss how investors are navigating the current data desert, the President's latest spat with Canada over trade talks, and some of the headlines coming out of the White House. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Watch the video version on YouTube.  Shifting macroeconomic trends and evolving consumer behavior continue to redefine the investment landscape, challenging asset managers to adapt their strategies for long-term success. Discover how multi-asset research teams at J.P. Morgan Asset Management approach asset allocation in a rapidly changing environment, with a particular emphasis on consumer markets. Key themes include lessons learned from years of investing in the consumer sector, the value of understanding where consumers are spending, and the use of proprietary data to identify emerging trends and shifts in confidence.   In this episode, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and guest Daniel Bloomgarden, Global Head of Research for Multi-Asset Solutions, discuss how technology continues to reshape retail, the complexities of building and maintaining strong consumer brands and the ways companies are adapting to ongoing supply chain disruptions and tariff challenges. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

After an economic data blackout for weeks, we got an inflation update this morning showing a lower-than-expected increase in the consumer price index. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the price of everyday goods like gasoline, groceries, and rent costs rose 0.3% in September compared to August, and the annual inflation rate rose to 3%. That is above the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2% as policymakers there meet next week to decide their next interest rate move With the Fed, CEOs, investors, and pretty much everyone flying blind in regard to economic data, thanks to the nearly month-long government shutdown, how important was today's inflation update? Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins Fox Business' Gerri Willis to discuss how investors are navigating the current data desert, the President's latest spat with Canada over trade talks, and some of the headlines coming out of the White House. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

After an economic data blackout for weeks, we got an inflation update this morning showing a lower-than-expected increase in the consumer price index. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the price of everyday goods like gasoline, groceries, and rent costs rose 0.3% in September compared to August, and the annual inflation rate rose to 3%. That is above the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2% as policymakers there meet next week to decide their next interest rate move With the Fed, CEOs, investors, and pretty much everyone flying blind in regard to economic data, thanks to the nearly month-long government shutdown, how important was today's inflation update? Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins Fox Business' Gerri Willis to discuss how investors are navigating the current data desert, the President's latest spat with Canada over trade talks, and some of the headlines coming out of the White House. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Summary: In the latest episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, welcome Kate Hall, VP of Alternative Due Diligence at Carson Group. They dive into the “cockroaches in a bull market” conversation—what it means for credit markets, how private credit has evolved, and why due diligence and diversification are key in today's environment. The trio also discusses gold's surge, strong bank earnings, and why market signals still favor a solid finish to the year.Key Takeaways:Credit Spreads – Markets remain steady with limited signs of broad stress.Private Credit Boom – The space has tripled since 2015, creating new risk dynamics.Diversification – Broad exposure cushions isolated defaults or fraud risks.Gold Momentum – Rising prices reflect sticky inflation and rate-cut expectations.Market Sentiment – A cooling VIX and broad participation support a strong Q4 outlook.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Kate Hall:• LinkedIn: Kate HallQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comHashtags: #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #KateHall #PrivateCredit #Investing #Markets #BullMarket #Gold #MarketInsights #FinancialAdvisors #EconomicOutlook #Diversification

Should the budget stop the avoidance of employers' national insurance by the UK's highest paid professions? How does the government restore the confidence of its creditors? Are we facing a private credit crash? Robert discusses with Chief Market Strategist of JP Morgan Asset Management Europe, Karen Ward. Find out more about how Google's AI is helping fuel the UK's growth and transformation and read the report at goo.gle/aiworks. Email: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠restismoney@gmail.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ X: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@TheRestIsMoney⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@TheRestIsMoney⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@RestIsMoney⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://⁠⁠⁠goalhanger.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Assistant Producer: India Dunkley, Alice Horrell Producer: Ross Buchanan Head of Content: Tom Whiter Exec Producers: Tony Pastor + Jack Davenport Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party sealed a new coalition deal that sets up Sanae Takaichi to become the country's first female prime minister. LDP President Takaichi and Hirofumi Yoshimura, co-leader of the Japan Innovation Party, also known as Ishin, signed the coalition agreement on Monday evening. Combined, the LDP and Ishin hold 231 seats in the lower house of parliament. While that is two seats shy of a majority, divisions between opposition parties mean Takaichi is almost certain to win a parliamentary vote on Tuesday to decide the prime minister. We get perspective from Sheila Smith, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow for Asia Pacific Studies. She spoke to Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Avril Hong. Plus - Wall Street traders drove stocks higher amid solid signals from Corporate America and hopes that tensions between the world's two largest economies are cooling. Bond yields edged lower. With the earnings season well underway, about 85% of the companies in the S&P 500 reporting results so far have beaten profit estimates. That's helped fuel a rebound in equities, with the benchmark notching its best two-day gain since June. Sentiment was also buoyed by expectations the trade war will de-escalate as the US and China return to the negotiating table. We heard from Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist at BMO Private Wealth.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Summary: In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into the renewed tensions between the U.S. and China—what they're calling “Trade War 3.0.” They break down the latest round of tariffs, China's restrictions on rare earth exports, and what this means for markets, global trade, and investors. The conversation also touches on October's trademark market volatility, the three-year anniversary of the current bull market, and Carson Group's exciting milestone of surpassing $50 billion in assets under management. To wrap up, Ryan and Sonu discuss how AI investments are shaping economic growth and why diversification remains key as the market rides this wave of innovation.Key Takeaways:Trade War 3.0: The China trade war is back, with new tariffs and export restrictions creating fresh market uncertainty.Not a Shock: October remains the most volatile month for markets—current swings are historically typical.The Bull's Birthday: The three-year bull market continues to show resilience and momentum heading into year four.Massive Impact: AI-related investment is a key driver of GDP growth, fueling spending, innovation, and market optimism.Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @SonuVargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you — factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Investing #MarketOutlook #ChinaTradeWar #Tariffs #GlobalMarkets #EconomicTrends #RareEarths #AIMarkets #NVIDIA #OpenAI #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #MarketInsights

New consumer data at the top of the hour: Carl Quintanilla, David Faber and Leslie Picker kicked things off with a look at the market set-up into a make-or-break week of results out of the Big Banks with JPMorgan Asset Management's Chief Market Strategist for Americas Gabriella Santos. Plus: a look at the bull case for Amazon with one analyst who calls it his top pick - along with a deep-dive on Lululemon shares with company founder Chip Wilson, who's taking aim at the company for what he calls blatant mismanagement in a new WSJ ad.  Around the edges: the playbook for energy stocks as the President teases a potential diplomatic trip to the Middle East, and a live look at the NBA's first game in China since 2019 - with a focus on the money at stake. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Watch the video version on YouTube In today's rapidly evolving investment landscape, understanding how quantitative strategies are shaping asset management is more important than ever. This episode explores the dynamic world of quant investing, offering financial advisors and investors practical insights into how systematic, data-driven approaches are transforming portfolio construction and risk management. Discover how quant models identify market inefficiencies, adapt to shifting macroeconomic conditions, and complement traditional fundamental strategies to deliver robust, diversified outcomes. In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, as she sits down with Grace Koo, Co-Head of Risk Managed and Total Return Portfolios at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Together, they unpack the opportunities and challenges of quant investing, sharing actionable perspectives for advisors and investors seeking to stay ahead in a changing market. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, tackle the market implications of the ongoing government shutdown, the surge in gold prices, and what investors should expect from the Fed. They also dig into the booming AI investment cycle, shifting momentum across market caps, and why the labor market remains resilient even as hiring slows.Key TakeawaysGold Shines Bright:  Gold has remained on the rise, nearing $4,000 an ounce as central banks buy aggressively and inflation concerns persist.Shutdown, Not Slowdown:  Despite Washington gridlock, the S&P 500 keeps hitting record highs. Historically, markets shrug off shutdowns and focus on Fed policy instead.Rate Cuts Coming:  Fed futures signal multiple cuts starting this fall. Weak hiring but low layoffs point to a cooling, not collapsing, economy.AI Spending Surge:  OpenAI, NVIDIA, AMD, and others are driving a wave of capital investment, with AI-related spending now accounting for roughly 6% of U.S. GDP.Market Momentum Builds:  Strong seasonality, easing rates, and improving earnings expectations set the stage for a solid Q4, even as mid-caps lag under tariff pressure.Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @SonuVargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you — factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Gold #FederalReserve #AI #GovernmentShutdown #Investing #StockMarket #WealthManagement #EconomicOutlook #MarketInsights

In this special episode of Facts vs. Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, sit down with Jan van Eck, CEO of VanEck, to discuss gold, crypto, ETFs, and the future of investing. From the history of the first U.S. gold fund to today's innovations in blockchain, stablecoins, and nuclear energy, Jan shares unique insights into how markets are evolving.Key TakeawaysGold & Bitcoin: Gold remains a global safe haven, while Bitcoin is increasingly seen as “digital gold,” according to Jan.Stablecoins: Potentially revolutionary for payments, creating new competition between banks and tech companies.Macro Trends: The rise of India could reshape global markets, while China's equity returns remain lackluster.Energy & AI: Nuclear energy is regaining bipartisan support as demand for power surges, particularly from AI growth.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Jan van Eck:• LinkedIn: Jan van Eck• X: @JanvanEck3 Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Disclosure: Jan van Eck is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC.#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Gold #Bitcoin #Crypto #ETFs #Stablecoins #Investing #WealthManagement #MarketInsights 

When announcing interest rate cuts earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns about the labor market, following major downward revisions to job growth data. But is the US Employment picture as bleak as the Fed sees it? Markets get a clearer view on Friday when September's jobs report is released. The data could have a significant impact on the Ced's actions in the coming months as they try to navigate what Powell calls a “very difficult policy environment.” Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss his expectations for Friday's highly anticipated jobs report, what he expects from the Fed in the coming months, and how much Wall Street is worried about a potential government shutdown. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

When announcing interest rate cuts earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns about the labor market, following major downward revisions to job growth data. But is the US Employment picture as bleak as the Fed sees it? Markets get a clearer view on Friday when September's jobs report is released. The data could have a significant impact on the Ced's actions in the coming months as they try to navigate what Powell calls a “very difficult policy environment.” Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss his expectations for Friday's highly anticipated jobs report, what he expects from the Fed in the coming months, and how much Wall Street is worried about a potential government shutdown. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

On the Risk Reversal Podcast, Dan Nathan hosts Marko Kolanovic, former Chief Market Strategist at JP Morgan, to discuss recent market movements and economic trends. They explore the impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts, market reactions to recent economic data, and how seasonal factors and technical aspects could influence market dynamics. The conversation highlights concerns about the sustainability of AI-driven market gains, the concentration of tech stocks, and the potential risks posed by geopolitical issues and tariffs. Marko offers insights into strategic investments in value stocks and critiques recent government involvement in major tech companies like Intel. The discussion wraps up with reflections on the broader implications of state capitalism versus free market principles. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Watch the video version on YouTube.    Explore the evolving landscape of retirement investing in today's shifting macroeconomic environment. Discover how retirement is not just a destination, but a dynamic journey shaped by individual needs, spending patterns and regulatory changes. Gain valuable perspectives on the impact of recent policy changes, the increasing adoption of alternatives like real estate and private equity in retirement portfolios and the importance of balancing liquidity and market risk.    Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, as she sits down with Katherine Santiago, Head of Quantitative Research for J.P. Morgan's Multi-Asset Solutions team, to discuss data-driven strategies, regulatory updates, and actionable tips for navigating the future of retirement investing.   Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify 

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, tackle the growing comparisons between today's market and the 1929 crash. They cut through the noise on gold sentiment, small-cap strength, earnings growth, Fed policy, and consumer resilience—all in under 52 minutes.Key Takeaways1929 comparisons: Why we believe today's bull market is not a replay of the Great Depression.Gold sentiment: The metal has been a strong diversifier for portfolios so far this year.Small caps: They're breaking out after nearly four years without new highs.Earnings reporting: The hosts debate quarterly vs. semiannual disclosures after President Trump floated the idea last week.The Fed: What the recent rate cut mean, labor market concerns, and why equities rallied.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #StockMarket #BullMarket #Gold #SmallCaps #Fed #RetailSales #InvestingPodcast #MarketUpdate

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. From jobs data revisions and labor supply challenges to the Fed's upcoming rate decisions, productivity, AI, and the outlook for portfolios, this episode is packed with insights advisors and investors can use right now.Key TakeawaysJobs revisions: Recent downward adjustments highlight slowing payroll growth.Labor market: Supply shortages are keeping unemployment low despite weak hiring.Productivity: AI may boost output, but inequality risks remain.Fed policy: There's a debate on whether cuts would stimulate the economy or actually drag it down.Tax refunds: 2025 policy changes could deliver a stimulus-like boost.Global opportunities: International equities could benefit from a weaker dollar.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Dr. David Kelly:• Website: Dr. David Kelly• LinkedIn: Dr. David KellyQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comDisclosure: Dr. David Kelly is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC.#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #DavidKelly #MarketOutlook #FedPolicy #InvestingPodcast #ExcelConference #Economy2025

Get updates for my new book: https://Theperfectportfoliobook.com  -----  AI has fueled massive gains for Big Tech, but can one sector really carry the market forever?  In this episode, I'm joined by Callie Cox, Chief Market Strategist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, to explore the tension between Wall Street's AI-fueled optimism and the realities of a slowing economy. We discuss what history teaches us about dominant companies, how to spot the difference between hype and durable innovation, and what long-term investors should really be watching. Listen now and learn: ► Why “the stock market is not the economy” — and why that matters in today's AI-driven rally. ► How concentrated earnings growth in tech creates both opportunity and risk. ► What history (GE, dot-coms) tells us about the limits of dominant companies. ► Which sectors beyond Big Tech could quietly benefit from AI adoption.   Visit www.TheLongTermInvestor.com for show notes, free resources, and a place to submit questions. (02:22) AI optimism vs. a shaky economic backdrop (05:59) Can tech alone carry market earnings growth? (09:37) Dreaming vs. reality in AI investing (15:36) Lessons from GE and what they mean for Big Tech (19:29) Who really benefits from AI adoption? (21:53) The risks of concentration in the Magnificent 7 (24:51) Balancing story vs. evidence as a long-term investor (29:15) Early signs of real AI adoption and productivity gains (32:04) Everyday use cases of AI in real life Disclosure: This content, which contains security-related opinions and/or information, is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon in any manner as professional advice, or an endorsement of any practices, products or services. There can be no guarantees or assurances that the views expressed here will be applicable for any particular facts or circumstances, and should not be relied upon in any manner. You should consult your own advisers as to legal, business, tax, and other related matters concerning any investment. The commentary in this “post” (including any related blog, podcasts, videos, and social media) reflects the personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of the Plancorp LLC employees providing such comments, and should not be regarded the views of Plancorp LLC. or its respective affiliates or as a description of advisory services provided by Plancorp LLC or performance returns of any Plancorp LLC client. References to any securities or digital assets, or performance data, are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others. Please see disclosures here.