Podcasts about chief market strategist

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Best podcasts about chief market strategist

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Latest podcast episodes about chief market strategist

Geopolitics & Empire
Josef Schachter: Third World Oil Cycle, Iran, Volatility, Resilience, & Opportunity

Geopolitics & Empire

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2026 47:22


Energy analyst Josef Schachter discusses the evolving landscape of the global oil and gas sector. He identifies a new bull market cycle that began in 2020, driven largely by the industrial needs of the developing world and the essential role of fossil fuels in mining green energy minerals. Schachter details how geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the conflict in Ukraine create significant market volatility and supply risks. He provides a technical outlook on price floors and investment strategies, specifically highlighting the resilience of the American and Canadian energy markets. While addressing the rise of electric vehicles and data centers, he argues that traditional hydrocarbons will remain dominant into the 2030s.  Escape the Technocracy Live Workshop (w/ Geopolitics & Empire)! https://escapethetechnocracy.com/product-escape-the-technocracy-live-workshop-season-2 Watch on BitChute / Brighteon / Rumble / Substack / YouTube *Support Geopolitics & Empire! Become a Member https://geopoliticsandempire.substack.com Donate https://geopoliticsandempire.com/donations Consult https://geopoliticsandempire.com/consultation **Listen Ad-Free for $4.99 a Month or $49.99 a Year! Apple Subscriptions https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/geopolitics-empire/id1003465597 Supercast https://geopoliticsandempire.supercast.com ***Visit Our Affiliates & Sponsors! Above Phone https://abovephone.com/?above=geopolitics American Gold Exchange https://www.amergold.com/geopolitics Escape The Technocracy (15% off w/ GEOPOLITICS!) https://escapethetechnocracy.com/geopolitics Expat Money (FREE “WW3 Plan-B” Report!) https://expatmoney.com/geopolitics PassVult https://passvult.com Sociatates Civis https://societates-civis.com StartMail https://www.startmail.com/partner/?ref=ngu4nzr Wise Wolf Gold https://www.wolfpack.gold/?ref=geopolitics Websites Schachter Energy Report https://schachterenergyreport.ca Schachter’s Eye on Energy Substack https://josefschachter.substack.com X https://x.com/JosefSchachter LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/josefschachter About Josef Schachter As a 40+ year veteran of the Canadian Investment Management Industry, Josef Schachter has experienced several exceptional and turbulent global economic and stock market cycles.  With his primary focus in the stock market and the energy sector, Josef is able to weave global political, economic and monetary issues with current energy data into a compelling story of what's going on, what is to come, and why. Josef is a frequent guest on Michael Campbell's Podcast ‘Mikes Money Talks' and other podcast and radio shows and is often quoted in the media.  He is a regular Guest Speaker at the annual World Outlook Financial Conference in Vancouver and he delivers presentations to various companies and organizations. For several years, he was a frequent and notably colourful  commentator on BNN Bloomberg's Market Call. Josef provided Oil and Gas research to Maison Placements Canada geared to their institutional clients for 15 years ending April 2017, and was acknowledged as the first analyst in Canada to predict the Oil Price Plunge of 2014. Prior to establishing his firm Schachter Asset Management Inc. in 1996, Josef was the Chief Market Strategist at Richardson Greenshields, a Director of RGCL and a member of its Investment Policy Committee. He holds a Chartered Financial Analyst designation and is a past Chairman of the Canadian Council of Financial Analysts. *Podcast intro music used with permission is from the song “The Queens Jig” by the fantastic “Musicke & Mirth” from their album “Music for Two Lyra Viols”: http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)

Market Weekly
ETF inflows: Heading for a record high?

Market Weekly

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 8:05


June saw particularly strong inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs), taking total assets under management in UCITS ETF beyond €3 trillion for the first time. As Daniel Dornel, Head of ETF Research, explains to Chief Market Strategist, Daniel Morris, inflows were strongest in the US and Japan; European and emerging market figures were less impressive.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
Here's Our Midyear Outlook 2026 (FvF Ep. 196)

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 58:24


In this mid-year outlook episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, revisit their 2026 forecast and explain why they've raised their S&P 500 target from 12-15% to 15-18% for the year, while holding bonds steady at 3-5%. They walk through how AI capex has become a macroeconomic story as much as a market one, contributing roughly 90 basis points per quarter to real GDP growth, and why hyperscaler spending plans for 2026 and 2027 keep getting revised sharply higher.The conversation covers the labor market's quiet resilience, why business creation data suggests confidence rather than desperation, an inflation picture that isn't going away despite market expectations for Fed rate hikes, and a sector rotation story where former "value" stocks like Micron have become momentum plays almost overnight. Ryan and Sonu also dig into earnings estimate revisions, midterm-year volatility patterns, diversifiers like gold and managed futures, and swap stories from their World Cup travels before previewing next week's guest.[Key Takeaways]Carson raised its 2026 S&P 500 target from 12-15% to 15-18% at the midpoint of the year, with the index already up 11% total return year-to-date; bonds remain forecast at 3-5%.AI-related hardware and software investment (excluding data centers) has contributed about 45% of real GDP growth over the last five quarters, roughly 90 basis points per quarter.Hyperscaler capex estimates keep climbing: the five largest tech spenders were projected to spend $470 billion in 2026 back in November; that figure is now $740 billion, with 2027 estimates rising from $530 billion to nearly $900 billion.S&P 500 2026 EPS estimates have risen from $308 to $339 a share (up 10%) since the start of the year, with 2027 estimates up 12%, led by technology, energy, and materials.The labor market shows underlying strength despite headline softness, with unemployment at 4.2%, average payroll growth around 110,000 a month, and falling continuing claims.Inflation remains sticky due to incomplete tariff pass-through, reshoring-related cost increases, and rising computer/software prices, a reversal from the deflationary tech trends of the 1990s.Jump to:0:00 - Welcome And The Midyear Setup1:45 - Why We Raised The Stock Target5:38 - AI Spending Shows Up In GDP9:44 - The Consumer Looks Better Than Feels14:20 - Business Creation As A Confidence Signal17:08 - The Real Leaders Inside “Tech”18:53 - Earnings Keep Getting Revised Higher27:03 - The Inflation Problem Isn't Gone31:06 - The Fed Pause Versus Hike Pricing35:00 - Second-Half Equity Playbook And Rotation42:19 - Volatility, Breadth, And Midterm Patterns49:06 - Bonds, Oil Headlines, Gold, Diversifiers52:55 - World Cup Travel Notes And Wrap-Up57:08 - DisclosuresConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Charles Payne's Unstoppable Prosperity Podcast
Charles' Take: Is Wall Street's Favorite Formula Broken?

Charles Payne's Unstoppable Prosperity Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 9, 2026 9:00


Charles is joined by Victoria Fernandez, Chief Market Strategist at Crossmark Global Investments, to discuss why even the biggest Wall Street fund managers are struggling right now, why a legendary investor is dumping stocks to chase short-term trends, and whether software giants like Fortinet and Adobe are still safe bets for your money. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Market Weekly
Fixed income ETFs: Simple, transparent, low-cost beta exposure

Market Weekly

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 9, 2026 10:00


Despite trebling in size since 2020, fixed income ETF (exchange-traded fund) assets remain under-bought in Europe. Luca Pagni, Head of Fixed Income ETFs, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, that there is still great growth potential for bond ETFs – for a variety of reasons.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
The Summer Rally Continues (FvF Ep. 195)

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 8, 2026 51:40


In Episode 195 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, celebrate the Dow's first close above 53,000 and break down the fastest 1,000-point milestone in the index's history. They unpack what's really driving the S&P 500's 10% first-half gain, splitting the return into earnings growth, margin expansion, and multiple contraction to make the case that this rally isn't a valuation-driven bubble.The episode also covers the widening gap between mega-cap tech and the "lag 7," how AI is quietly showing up in small-cap and industrial stock returns, record highs across advance-decline lines, and why a stretched momentum trade doesn't have to mean disaster for the second half. Ryan and Sonu also swap origin stories marking their four- and seven-year anniversaries at Carson, react to Team USA's World Cup exit, and preview next week's mid-year outlook.[Key Takeaways]The S&P 500's 10% first-half return was driven almost entirely by fundamentals: earnings growth contributed 18 percentage points while multiple contraction subtracted about 8.5 points, meaning stocks are actually cheaper than they were six months ago.Forward margins have jumped from roughly 14.5% to 16% since January, contributing 10 percentage points to the year-to-date return alongside 8 points from sales growth tied to nominal GDP.Technology gained 33% in the first half even as the "Mag 7" fell about 4%, showing how much dispersion exists within the sector as AI-driven names pull away from laggards like Apple and Microsoft.AI's influence now stretches well beyond big tech: roughly 12 of the Russell 2000's 23% first-half gain traced back to AI-linked names, with industrials contributing more than financials.Multiple advance-decline lines, including the NYSE, S&P 500, small-cap, and global Dow, hit all-time highs, a breadth signal that has historically preceded market peaks by about 11 months on average.The S&P 500 momentum index's trailing one-year excess return sits in the 96th percentile versus the last 40 years, prompting Carson to trim some momentum exposure in favor of diversification rather than trying to time an exit.Jump to:0:00 - Welcome And Market Milestones0:58 - Dow 53,000 And Summer Rally3:26 - What Really Drove Returns8:31 - AI Volatility Plus Sector Rotation16:31 - Breadth Signals And Slingshot Stats23:29 - Momentum Extremes And Risk Management28:45 - Ryan's Carson Origin Story32:05 - Sonu's Origin Story And AI Era42:04 - World Cup Heartbreak And Leadership47:57 - Payrolls Takeaways And Wrap-UpConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Market Weekly
London Climate Action Week: In the heat of the moment, time to seek concrete solutions

Market Weekly

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 6, 2026 11:00


The recent heat wave in Europe provided a unique environment for the 75,000 attendees of the London Climate Action Week. Climate Lead Thibaud Clisson tells Chief Market Strategist, Daniel Morris, that this major climate finance gathering focused on seeking concrete solutions to accelerate and finance the energy transition and climate adaptations, and on how to best channel private funding towards practical solutions.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

The KE Report
Marc Chandler – US Jobs Report, Q2 GDP Estimates, FED Policy, North American MCA Trade Agreement, Interest Rates, Currencies, and Supply Shocks

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 3, 2026 25:01


In this edition of The KE Report, I sat down with Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Capital Markets and Editor of the Marc to Market website, to unpack another full week of macroeconomic data.  We focused on the US jobs report, GDP estimates for Q2, the mid-week European central bank meeting where Kevin Warsh spoke, the shift to an annual review of the Mexico/Canada/America (“MCA”) trade agreement, further geopolitics effects of tariffs and the Strait of Hormuz supply shock, and how all of that factors into interest rates, currencies, and international markets.   Key Discussion Points:   Jobs Report Metrics Come In Weaker Than Expected: The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the US added just 57,000 jobs in June, a slowdown from previous months and below the 113,000 economists expected. The unemployment rate, however, ticked down to 4.2%, below the expected 4.3%. Marc gets under-the-hood and looks at the nuances of the regular revisions to the jobs data, the nature of the data collection and inherent challenges with getting it all in a timely basis, and how the low participation rate effected the unemployment rate. The Atlanta-based GDP Now Forecasts ~1.2% GDP Growth in Q2:  While this number is also subject to revision when the official number comes out, and is contrast to Bloomberg's 2.2% GDP growth estimate, it highlights a reduction in growth in Q2 versus Q1. When contrasting the 1.2% GDP growth estimate versus the May inflation reading at 4.2% area, some economists point to negative growth in “real” inflation-adjusted terms and point to this being stagflation.   Marc weighs in on the conversation and is less convinced of the economy being in that kind of dire stagflationary pressure, and lays out the case for steady growth and how different segments of the economy are in different situations. Inflation Expectations and Fed Policy: A few weeks after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's debut meeting, and after getting more comments from him this last week at the European Central Bank Forum, the market is pricing in a hawkish trajectory for the end of the year; with 1.5 hikes prices in. This is affecting the short-end of the bond yield curve, while the longer-dated treasury yields are flattening. Mark weighs in on the key takeaways in these trends as well as where "real" inflation-adjusted interest rates are coming in. International Market Movers:  Widening the scope beyond US markets, we discuss interest rates, currencies, and stock markets abroad from Europe to Asia, and the trends and moves by specific countries that have Marc's attention. Mexico/Canada/America (“MCA”) Trade Agreement Goes To Annual Review: Marc highlights that now that July 1st deadline has come and gone, the MCA is still intact, but now goes to an annual renewal and review for the next decade.  This brings up the larger discussion around North American trade and economies of scale between the 3 countries, and the benefits of the MCA versus bilateral trade agreements. Strait of Hormuz Supply Shock Effects Multiply: While the MOU for the ceasefire between the US and Iran is on unsure footing, there has been a significant drop in crude oil prices over the last couple of weeks, easing some future inflation expectations.  However, the resulting supply shock in fertilizers and pesticides, had an impact on farming in a year where the warmer weather effects from El Niño are anticipated to result in lower food yields.  This is one of the big themes Marc will be watching for the balance of this year and setting up for 2027.   Click here to visit Marc's site – Marc To Market – https://www.marctomarket.com/     For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.    

Market Weekly
Geopolitics and the economy: How war-triggered oil price shock was largely avoided

Market Weekly

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 2, 2026 9:42


Dire predictions about possible catastrophic impacts of the Iran conflict on oil prices – and thus on the global economy – appear to have largely proven unfounded. Thijs Van de Graaf, Professor of International Energy Politics at Ghent University, talks with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the range of factors that have mitigated the effects of the war.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Build Your Network
INTERVIEW | Make Money Building a Billion-Dollar Business: Lessons from Three Founders

Build Your Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 1, 2026 25:53


Building a billion-dollar company requires more than a great idea—it takes customer obsession, disciplined investing, and smart scaling. In this special compilation episode, Travis Chappell brings together insights from three remarkable entrepreneurs: Tomer London, co-founder and Chief Product Officer of Gusto; Jim Lebenthal, Chief Market Strategist at Cerity Partners; and Richard Harpin, founder of HomeServe. Together, they share practical lessons on creating products customers love, investing for the long term, and scaling businesses without losing control. On this episode we talk about: Why solving real customer problems is the foundation of billion-dollar companies. The importance of product development and customer feedback in building lasting businesses. Why long-term investing consistently outperforms trying to time the market. How entrepreneurs should think about fundraising, ownership, and scaling. The systems, metrics, and business models that helped HomeServe grow into a multi-billion-dollar company. Top 3 Takeaways The best businesses begin with a deep understanding of customer pain points and an unwavering commitment to building products that genuinely solve them. Whether investing or building a company, patience and long-term thinking outperform chasing short-term wins. Prove your business model before scaling aggressively. Grow sustainably, maintain ownership whenever possible, and let strong unit economics guide expansion. Notable Quotes "Consumers get amazing technology. Small businesses deserve great technology too." "The best days in the market almost always happen right after the worst days." "Keep it small, prove the model, get to profitability, and then, if you need money to scale, that's when you should bring in an investor." Connect with the Guests: Tomer London LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomerlondon/ Other: Gusto: https://gusto.com/ Jim Lebenthal LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jim-lebenthal/ Book: How to Ride the Subway: Getting Around on Wall Street and Life Other: Cerity Partners: https://ceritypartners.com/ Richard Harpin Book: How to Make a Billion in Nine Steps Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/richard_harpin/ A Word from Our Sponsors: - Visit DrinkAG1.com/TMM to get a free AG1 Travel Case with 7 free AG1Travel Packs in your Welcome Kit with your first AG1 subscription order while supplieslast.  - Go to Leesa.com for 30% OFF select mattresses (through July 12, 2026) PLUS get an extra $50 off with promo code TMM, exclusive for my listeners  - To learn more about Mode Mobile and its investor community, go to https://invest.modemobile.com/travismakesmoney -Travis Makes Money is made possible by High Level – the All-In-One Sales & Marketing Platform built for agencies, by an agency.Capture leads, nurture them, and close more deals—all from one powerful platform.Get an extended free trial at gohighlevel.com/travis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
Stop, Drop, & Rotate (FvF Ep. 194)

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 1, 2026 42:41


In Episode 194 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, take on the "June swoon" and the powerful market rotation shaking up underlying sector leadership. They analyze insights from Sonu's time at the Economic Club of New York, covering Scott Bessent's speech on national security industrial policy, Kevin Warsh's influence at the Fed, and the broader message of the global market.The episode also digs into an unprecedented market breadth anomaly, a massive weekly outperformance in healthcare, the state of small caps, and why the current bull market is far from finished.From Apple's steep hardware price hikes and roaring nominal consumer spending to structural lessons from the 1990s dot-com bubble, the conversation connects the week's biggest headlines to the harder macroeconomic data underneath.Key Takeaways:The S&P 500 logged a five-day losing streak, yet advancing stocks outnumbered decliners every single day, a market anomaly unseen in nearly 30 years. Meanwhile, major advanced-decline lines hit all-time highs.While mega-cap tech paused, mid-caps rose 2.9% and small caps grew 3% month-to-date. Concurrently, healthcare staged an extraordinary 8% weekly jump, marking its largest weekly outperformance on record.Market warnings are often early; the S&P 500 doubled over the three years following Alan Greenspan's 1996 "irrational exuberance" speech. Navigating secular waves like AI requires strategic re-diversification, not exiting the equity market early.While inflation-adjusted real consumption sits around 2%, nominal spending rocketed at an 8.6% annualized pace over the last three months. Because corporate revenue is nominal, this massive wave of consumer spending continues to bolster corporate earnings.Driven by AI-related memory chip shortages, Apple announced steep price hikes including 30% for the HomePod mini and 55% for Apple TV. This demonstrates how one company's supply chain inflation becomes another tech supplier's margin expansion.Massive fiscal deficits at 6% to 7% of GDP mirror the late 1960s, continuing to inject liquidity and minimize near-term recession risks. We expect the Fed to keep rate cuts on pause as core services inflation remains sticky at a 4% annualized pace.While June represents a seasonally weak timeframe, July is historically the strongest month for stocks over the past 20 years, closing positive in 13 of the last 14 years.Jump to:0:02 - Welcome And NYC Market Leaders6:36 - June Swoon Turns Into Rotation9:50 - Breadth Thrust And Sector Breakouts16:24 - AI Momentum And Dotcom Lessons27:40 - Inflation Pressures And Apple Pricing33:32 - Fed Pause Risks And Fiscal Deficits35:42 - July Seasonality And Wrap UpConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

The KE Report
Marc Chandler – Macroeconomic Movers In Oil, Bonds, Currencies, Central Bank Policy, US Equities, and International Markets

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 29, 2026 20:59


In this Sunday special edition of The KE Report, I sat down with Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Capital Markets and Editor of the Marc to Market website, to unpack a whirlwind week for global macroeconomics, geopolitics effects on the oil sector, central bank policy and how that factors into interest rates and currencies, and international markets.   Key Discussion Points: Strait of Hormuz Geopolitics and The Oil Price Response: We discuss the significant drop in crude oil prices over the last couple of weeks as a market response to the MOU signed between the US and Iran, but counterbalance the conversation with the renewed tensions to end the week and heading into the weekend. Inflation Expectations and Fed Policy: Two weeks after Fed Chair Warsh's debut meeting, the market is pricing in a hawkish trajectory for the end of the year, which is affecting the short-end of the yield curve, while the longer-dated treasury yields are flattening. Mark weighs in on the key takeaways in the trends. The Surging US Dollar Index: Why the dollar is breaking out of its year-long range, achieving new highs against the Japanese Yen and Canadian Dollar, and defying widespread expectations of a decline. MAG-7 Leadership Rolls Over: We've seen many of the megacap tech stocks rolling over the last couple of weeks, and dissect whether this is healthy rotation into other sectors, or a more worrisome sign. SpaceX IPO Fallout For The Space Stocks:  We review the potential frothy market sentiment read of high profile IPOs like SpaceX and Anthropic, and what this means for the space sector valuations dropping most of this year. Mark points out that the increased issuance of shares overall in the market data means that the same money is chasing even more paper, and causing selling in some sectors to rotate into the new trending stories. International Market Movers:  We discuss interest rates, currencies, and stock markets abroad from Europe to Asia, and the trends and moves by specific countries that have Marc's attention.   Click here to visit Marc's site – Marc To Market – https://www.marctomarket.com/   For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.  

Shaye Ganam
Loonie caught between slow domestic economy and stronger U.S. dollar

Shaye Ganam

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 29, 2026 10:16


Karl Schamotta is the Chief Market Strategist at Corpay Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Rod Arquette Show
The Rod and Greg Show: World Cup Visitors Love the U.S.; The American Republic is Falling

Rod Arquette Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2026 91:26 Transcription Available


The Rod and Greg Show Daily Rundown – Friday, June 26, 20264:20 pm: Guy Ciarrocchi, political commentator and contributor to Broad and Liberty, joins Rod and Greg to discuss his piece on the praise America, and Americans, are receiving from tourists visiting for the World Cup soccer tournament.4:38 pm: Josh Findlay, National Election Protection Director for the Texas Public Policy Foundation, joins the program to discuss his piece for Townhall about how the Los Angeles City Council has decided to allow non-citizens to vote in school board elections.6:05 pm: John Daniel Davidson, Senior Correspondent at The Federalist, joins the show to discuss his piece about how the American Republic is falling apart.6:20 pm: We'll listen back to yesterday's interview with Jamie Barnes, Division Director of Utah Forestry, Fire and State Lands, and the State Forester, about the details behind the decision to ban personal fireworks in Utah this 4th of July.6:38 pm: We'll air an encore of this week's interview with James Thorne, Chief Market Strategist for Wellington-Altus Private Wealth, about his piece for Real Clear Politics on how President Trump has helped secure piece in the world using American strength.6:50 pm: This week's CEO's You Should Know features Phil James of Fort Knox Safes.

The FOX News Rundown
Business Rundown: 'Sticky' Inflation And The Creeping Spread of Socialism

The FOX News Rundown

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2026 20:40


It was a mixed week on Wall Street with technology and inflation in focus. Investors seem more cautious about the AI boom as inflation rose in May with the PCE report rising 4.1% from than a year ago. Partner and Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth LLC Kenny Polcari joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss what that means for summer spending, plus the rise in popularity of socialism among young voters. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

From Washington – FOX News Radio
Business Rundown: 'Sticky' Inflation And The Creeping Spread of Socialism

From Washington – FOX News Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2026 20:40


It was a mixed week on Wall Street with technology and inflation in focus. Investors seem more cautious about the AI boom as inflation rose in May with the PCE report rising 4.1% from than a year ago. Partner and Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth LLC Kenny Polcari joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss what that means for summer spending, plus the rise in popularity of socialism among young voters. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Fox News Rundown Evening Edition
Business Rundown: 'Sticky' Inflation And The Creeping Spread of Socialism

Fox News Rundown Evening Edition

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2026 20:40


It was a mixed week on Wall Street with technology and inflation in focus. Investors seem more cautious about the AI boom as inflation rose in May with the PCE report rising 4.1% from than a year ago. Partner and Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth LLC Kenny Polcari joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss what that means for summer spending, plus the rise in popularity of socialism among young voters. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

J.P. Morgan Insights (video)
2026 Mid-Year Outlook: Crosscurrents and Divergence Amidst an Increasing AI Surge

J.P. Morgan Insights (video)

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2026 29:07


At the year's midpoint, investors face a landscape shaped by surging AI investment, geopolitical uncertainty and diverging economic fortunes. The AI boom is powering exceptional growth in technology and semiconductors, while higher energy prices and global tensions add complexity to inflation and consumer sentiment. Shifting central bank policies and evolving global trends are redefining the outlook for fixed income, international equities and alternative assets. In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, as they present their mid-year outlook and share timely insights for navigating today's market crosscurrents. Watch the video version on YouTube.  Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
Let's Run It Hot (FvF Ep. 193)

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2026 56:03


In Episode 193 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, talk about the passing of former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan and what his 18-year tenure actually produced for markets.Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting as chair featured a statement that clocked in at roughly 130 words and told markets almost nothing about how the new Fed intends to make decisions.Sonu makes the case that despite all the hawkish headlines, dot plot drama, and a two-year yield that jumped 16 basis points on Fed day (the largest single-day move on a Fed decision since 2008), actual real policy rates are more accommodative now than they were in March. The committee is split 9-9 on whether to hike this year, Warsh has opted out of the dot plot entirely, and inflation is running well above target, with core PCE likely to finish the year above 3.3%.Apple's announcement that iPhone prices are going up due to memory chip shortages puts a real-world face on the inflation story. PPI for semiconductor chips and printed circuit boards is running above 100% annualized. Meanwhile the Dow, Russell 2000, and S&P MidCap 400 all closed at all-time highs last Thursday, which is the market's own vote on whether any of this is a crisis. The episode closes with a look at sector leadership, why communication services being down 6% to 7% year-to-date while tech is up 33% is genuinely strange, and why momentum breaking down is the signal to potentially worry about and why it isn't breaking down yet.Key Takeaways: Former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan oversaw a 190% gain in the S&P 500 over 18 years, second only to William McChesney Martin. He also presided over two bubbles that burst within a decade, the tech crash, and the housing collapse, producing what remains the worst decade for equity investors in history.Kevin Warsh's first Fed statement came in at roughly 130 words, the shortest non-emergency statement in modern Fed history. He also declined to submit a dot plot projection. The practical effect is that markets are now pricing guidance from the other 18 members, who are not stepping back from the spotlight.The dot plot went 9-9 on whether to hike in 2026. Three months ago, 12 of 19 members expected at least one cut this year. That shift may explain the volatility. 428 S&P 500 stocks fell on Fed day, the broadest single-day decline of the year, but it does not automatically mean the Fed is hawkish.After subtracting the Fed's own inflation projections from its own rate projections, real policy rates are actually more accommodative now than in March, dropping from an implied 0.7% real rate to 0.5%. With core PCE running around 3.5% to 3.8% annualized, the real policy rate is effectively near zero.Apple's decision to raise iPhone prices due to memory chip shortages is the real-world confirmation of a broadening inflation story. PPI for semiconductor chips and printed circuit boards is running above 100% annualized.The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Russell 2000, and S&P MidCap 400 all closed at all-time highs last Thursday. The NYSE advance-decline line and the small cap advance-decline line both hit all-time highs the prior Tuesday.Jump to:0:00 — World Cup Weekend and Father's Day3:07 — Remembering Alan Greenspan's Fed8:05 — A New Chair and a Short Statement13:25 — Dot Plot Split and Market Shock19:45 — Yield Curve Signals and Bond Surprise24:35 — AI Supply Chains and Price Pressure28:20 — The Case for a Dovish Fed34:40 — Economy Strength and Running It Hot37:10 — A Car Break in Reality Check40:35 — Breadth Seasonality and Sector Rotation53:20 — Closing Thoughts and Listener RequestsConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

The FOX News Rundown
Business Rundown: Did Alan Greenspan Warn Us About Today's AI Boom?

The FOX News Rundown

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2026 16:53


Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has passed away at the age of 100, leaving behind a massive, complex economic legacy. Does his most famous warning about the economy perfectly describe the market we are living in right now? Chief Market Strategist for ProCap Financial Phil Rosen joins Lou Basenese to discuss Greenspan's nearly 19-year tenure steering the economy and whether his iconic “irrational exuberance” warning is fitting for today's volatile markets and the AI boom. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

WTFinance
"This is 1929 All Over Again" | Peter Grandich

WTFinance

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2026 41:45


The Mercantilist Restoration - https://anthonyfatseas.substack.com/p/the-mercantilist-restoration-how?r=1ni7opInterview recorded - 17th of June, 2026On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Peter Grandich. Peter Grandich is a Wall Street veteran known as the Wall Street Whiz Kid, and the founder of Peter Grandich and Company.During our conversation we spoke about his economic overview, risk of a similar scenario to the great depression, K shaped economy, AI, Precious metals, underappreciated assets and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction3:14 - Economic overview5:52 - Stock market concern9:49 - Crash catalyst?16:28 - Lame duck president?18:25 - K shaped economy & AI boom22:34 - Government inefficiencies25:54 - Precious metals long31:07 - Underappreciated assets?33:15 - Kevin Warsh hawkish37:29 - Global overview39:12 - One message to takeaway?Peter Grandich entered Wall Street in the mid-1980s with neither formal education nor training, and within three years was appointed Head of Investment Strategy for a leading New York Stock Exchange-member firm. He would go on to hold positions as Chief Market Strategist, Portfolio Manager for four hedge funds and a mutual fund that bore his name. His abilities have resulted in hundreds of media interviews, including Good Morning America, Fox News, CNBC, Wall Street Journal, Barron's, Financial Post, Globe and Mail, US News & World Report, New York Times, Business Week, MarketWatch, Business News Network and dozens more. He has spoken at investment conferences around the globe, edited numerous investment newsletters and was one of the more sought-after financial commentators.His autobiography, Confessions of a Wall Street Whiz Kid, was first published in the fall of 2011. The second edition was released in 2014, while the third edition, Confessions of a Former Wall Street Whiz Kid, was issued in October 2015. The fourth edition of the book was later released in April 2019, and the fifth edition was issued in May 2021.The fifth edition of the book is currently available on Amazon.com, but you can also read the book for free online. Read the book online.Grandich was the editor and publisher of The Grandich Letter from 1984 to 2014. He was also Senior Commentator for Moneytalks.net from 2013 to 2015.In 2013, Grandich founded the Athletes & Business Alliance (ABA), a private organization of professional athletes and business executives who exchange ideas and build relationships with an emphasis on capitalizing on the talents of all involved. A symbiotic organization, ABA is a network of accomplished individuals in an environment where one can develop personal associations with a structured and supportive system of giving and receiving business. The ABA boasts a select membership of diverse senior-level executives, high net worth business owners, and both active and retired pro athletes. By invitation only, high-level corporate and business decision-makers and prominent athletes intermingle. To achieve success, businesses must utilize effective marketing tools, secure new customers to generate repeat business and provide superior customer service that engenders loyalty. The ABA provides an environment to do this and more.Peter Grandich currently resides in New Jersey with his wife, Mary, and they have one daughter, Tara.Peter Grandich - Website - https://petergrandich.com/X - https://twitter.com/PeterGrandichYouTube - @Peter-Grandich Blog - https://petergrandich.com/blog-posts/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

From Washington – FOX News Radio
Business Rundown: Did Alan Greenspan Warn Us About Today's AI Boom?

From Washington – FOX News Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2026 16:53


Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has passed away at the age of 100, leaving behind a massive, complex economic legacy. Does his most famous warning about the economy perfectly describe the market we are living in right now? Chief Market Strategist for ProCap Financial Phil Rosen joins Lou Basenese to discuss Greenspan's nearly 19-year tenure steering the economy and whether his iconic “irrational exuberance” warning is fitting for today's volatile markets and the AI boom. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Fox News Rundown Evening Edition
Business Rundown: Did Alan Greenspan Warn Us About Today's AI Boom?

Fox News Rundown Evening Edition

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2026 16:53


Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has passed away at the age of 100, leaving behind a massive, complex economic legacy. Does his most famous warning about the economy perfectly describe the market we are living in right now? Chief Market Strategist for ProCap Financial Phil Rosen joins Lou Basenese to discuss Greenspan's nearly 19-year tenure steering the economy and whether his iconic “irrational exuberance” warning is fitting for today's volatile markets and the AI boom. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Market Weekly
Cheaper, smarter and ever broader uses: AI offers a long growth runway

Market Weekly

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 18, 2026 14:50


Artificial intelligence (AI) models continue to get smarter and cheaper, spurring adoption and expanding the total addressable market. Pamela Hegarty and Derek Glynn, Co-portfolio Managers of BNPP AM's disruptive technology strategy provide Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, with their expert views of the current AI industry and its investment potential, not least in supporting both training and inferencing applications.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Closing Bell
Closing Bell Overtime: Warsh Spooks Markets 6/17/26

Closing Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2026 46:28


The first Federal Reserve meeting under Chair Kevin Warsh and markets react negatively as yields surge and stocks fall. David Zervos, Chief Market Strategist at Jefferies, explains how investors should interpret the Fed's message and where markets could head next. Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research argues that bull markets do not die of old age and explains why he remains overweight equities. Michelle Meyer, Chief Economist at Mastercard, discusses how higher energy costs are affecting spending patterns and why consumers continue to adapt despite pressure on discretionary budgets. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Okay, Computer.
Chris Verrone: There's Something Happening Here

Okay, Computer.

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2026 32:22


Click the link http://kalshi.com/r/MOSES or download the Kalshi App and use code MOSES to sign up and trade today!Checkout the WAWD Substack here: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/Danny Moses sits down with Chris Verrone, Chief Market Strategist and Head of Technical & Macro Research at Strategas, for a wide-ranging conversation on a market that keeps shrugging off every shock thrown at it. Chris breaks down why he's calling this the "hit me again" market — tariffs, an energy shock, war — and none of it has seemed to matter.They dig into improving market breadth (65% of stocks above their 200-day, a far cry from the narrow 2000 peak), the rotation question of where money goes if it leaves tech, memory, and semis, and why Chris is running a deliberately balanced book into healthcare, financials, and consumer. Plus: Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting and why "no cuts are the new Fed cuts," the path of financial deregulation and a coming wave of bank M&A, the $40 trillion debt question and why the bond market is the only arbiter that matters, his contrarian bearish gold call, and a healthy dose of skepticism on parabolic AI and SpaceX-style valuations — "put the chips in your pocket."Follow Chris on X: https://x.com/verrone_chris?lang=enFollow Chris on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/chris-verrone-6b1ab4111--ABOUT THE SHOWFor decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners.Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Build Your Network
INTERVIEW | Make Money by Thinking Long-Term and Avoiding the Market Timing Trap with Jim Lebenthal

Build Your Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2026 30:56


Jim Lebenthal, Chief Market Strategist at Cerity Partners, joins Travis to share lessons from more than 25 years of managing investment portfolios and advising clients through every type of market environment. A former U.S. Navy submarine officer and regular CNBC contributor, Jim brings a unique perspective on investing, discipline, risk management, and human behavior. Drawing from his new book, How to Ride the Subway, he explains why successful investing often comes down to patience, trust, and resisting the urge to outsmart the market. On this episode we talk about: How Jim's early experiences investing shaped his career in wealth management Lessons learned from serving as a nuclear submarine officer in the U.S. Navy Why trust, empathy, and communication are essential in financial advising The dangers of market timing, day trading, and speculative investing Current market conditions, inflation concerns, and the future of major AI-driven IPOs Top 3 Takeaways Long-term investing consistently outperforms attempts to time the market, and missing just a handful of the market's best days can dramatically reduce returns. Successful financial advisors build trust through empathy, honesty, and consistent communication—not just investment performance. Speculation and gambling often masquerade as investing, but true wealth creation comes from patience, discipline, and owning quality assets over time. Notable Quotes "Trust is the currency of the financial advisory world." "The best days in the market almost always happen right next to the worst days." "Trading rapidly is a good way to lose money." Connect with Jim Lebenthal: Book: How to Ride the Subway: Getting Around on Wall Street and in Life CNBC: Regular contributor on CNBC's Halftime Report Company: Cerity Partners LinkedIN: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-lebenthal-2793685/ A Word from Our Sponsors: Today's episode is brought to you by our incredible sponsors. Their support allows us to continue bringing you conversations with top investors, entrepreneurs, and thought leaders. Be sure to check out the links below and support the brands that help make the Travis Makes Money Podcast possible. - Are you ready to start your own creatorjourney and make it big? Visitwww.fanvue.com today and launch yourcareer! - To learn more about Mode Mobile and its investor community, go to https://invest.modemobile.com/travismakesmoney -Travis Makes Money is made possible by High Level – the All-In-One Sales & Marketing Platform built for agencies, by an agency.Capture leads, nurture them, and close more deals—all from one powerful platform.Get an extended free trial at gohighlevel.com/travis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
Stocks, SpaceX, and Subways

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2026 67:44


The Inside Economics team welcomes Jim Lebenthal, Chief Market Strategist at Cerity Partners, to discuss all things investing on the morning of the SpaceX IPO. Jim discusses the equity market's extraordinary run, whether AI stocks are overvalued, and how investors should think about picking individual stocks versus investing in index funds. The team also welcomes Matt Colyar to talk about this week's inflation data, and Marisa addresses a slew of comments from last week's podcast.  Guest: Jim Lebenthal, Chief Market Strategist at Cerity Partners For more from Jim Lebenthal, visit his website: www.jimmylebenthal.com Jim's book, How to Ride the Subway: Getting Around on Wall Street and in Life (Regalo Press March 2026), is available here Jenna Score: 8.5 Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's Analytics Follow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn   Questions or Comments, please email us at InsideEconomics@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

SF Live
Is The SpaceX IPO Causing Gold To Crash? | Gareth Soloway

SF Live

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2026 33:46


Gareth Soloway, Chief Market Strategist at Verified Investing, joins Soar Financially to discuss the AI stock frenzy, the Space IPO, market euphoria, gold and silver weakness, bond yields, recession risks, and where smart money may be rotating next.#gold #bitcoin #silver -----------Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver------------

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
Live from Chicago with Jim Bianco and Jeff Kilburg (FvF Ep. 191)

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2026 53:20


In Episode 191 of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, go live from Chicago with Jeff Kilburg, Founder and CEO & CIO at KKM Financial, and Jim Bianco, President at Bianco Research, for a wide-ranging conversation on where markets stand now and what could matter next. The episode centers on the bull market's concentration in AI and large-cap tech, the durability of the rally, the role of active management, and why diversification may need to look different than it did a decade ago.The conversation also digs into earnings momentum, cross-ownership in AI, the impact of higher bond yields on long-duration assets, and whether software is being transformed or disrupted by AI.From bubbles and breadth to bond yields, oil shocks, and portfolio construction, the episode connects live market commentary to the forces shaping returns underneath the surface.Jump to:0:00 — Live Crowd and Big Questions1:48 — What A Bubble Really Means6:00 — Earnings Momentum and AI Optimism12:35 — Circular Ownership and AI ROI16:05 — AI Replaces Software or Adds Cost21:55 — 60/40 Is Not Dead Just Different30:10 — Return Stacking and Better Diversifiers36:30 — Oil, Inflation Volatility, and Bonds41:40 — Concentration, Active Picks, And Dispersion47:20 — Hard-Won Advice and Closing ThanksConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Rod Arquette Show
The Rod and Greg Show: Why is Citizen Only Voting Controversial? Plus, Senator Mike Lee

Rod Arquette Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2026 92:24 Transcription Available


The Rod and Greg Show Daily Rundown – Tuesday, June 9, 20264:20 pm: Senator Mike Lee joins the show for his weekly conversation with Rod and Greg about what's happening in Washington, D.C., and today they'll discuss his thoughts on the LDS Church, at least initially, not being recognized as being of Christian denomination. Plus, they'll discuss why what's happening in the California primary election is why it's necessary to pass the SAVE Act.4:38 pm: Jack Tomczak, Vice President of Outreach for Americans for Citizen Voting, joins the program to discuss the question of how the idea of citizen-only voting could be controversial.6:05 pm: Anthony Iafrate, Associate Editor for The Daily Caller, joins Rod and Greg for a conversation about his piece on which party won the gerrymandering war.6:38 pm: James Thorne, Chief Market Strategist for Wellington-Altus Private Wealth, joins Rod and Greg to discuss his piece for Real Clear Politics on how Scott Bessent could be the most consequential Secretary of the Treasury since Alexander Hamilton. 

Financial Sense(R) Newshour
Summer Sell-Off or Pause? Gina Martin Adams on Tech, Oil, and Rate-Hike Risk

Financial Sense(R) Newshour

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 6, 2026 28:34


Jun 5, 2026 – After a record-breaking rally, Gina Martin Adams, Chief Market Strategist at HB Wealth, joins Jim Puplava to discuss what's driving equities, risks from oil and inflation, the impact of hyperscaler investments, and her sector picks...

J.P. Morgan Insights (video)
Making sense of geopolitical risk

J.P. Morgan Insights (video)

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2026 30:17


Geopolitical volatility is reshaping the global economic landscape, influencing everything from energy markets and trade flows to technological innovation and security strategies. As events in Iran, Ukraine and China drive profound shifts across markets, investors are challenged to adapt to a world where resilience and strategic foresight are more critical than ever. Heightened defense spending, evolving supply chains, and new approaches to international cooperation are redefining opportunities and risks, demanding a sophisticated understanding of the forces at play. In this episode, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, is joined by Derek Chollet, Head of the JPMorganChase Center for Geopolitics, to share his perspectives on the geopolitical forces shaping today's markets and tomorrow's investment decisions.  Watch the video version on YouTube.  Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

Market Weekly
Disrupting the world order

Market Weekly

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2026 12:16


In this special edition, Sophie Dimopoulou, Head of External Distribution in Luxembourg, is joined by Professor Athanasios Platias, Professor Emeritus of Strategy at the University of Piraeus in Greece, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist at BNP Paribas Asset Management. Together they discuss how geopolitics and artificial intelligence are each effecting profound change on the global economy.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
Talking SpaceX IPO (FvF Ep. 190)

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 3, 2026 66:44


In Episode 190 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, take on the SpaceX IPO and what it could mean for indexes, mega-cap weights, and the next phase of the AI trade. They're joined by Blake Anderson, Director of Portfolio Management at Carson Group, for a wide-ranging conversation on market breadth, small caps, tech leadership, Google's AI spending, software, and the growing influence of data centers and high-quality cash flows in today's market.The episode also digs into the latest rally in stocks, the role of FOMO, the state of the bond market, and why this bull market may still have more room to run even as leadership narrows.From IPO mechanics and index inclusion rules to the economics of AI infrastructure, the conversation connects the market's biggest headlines to the harder data underneath.Key Takeaways:The S&P 500 is up nine consecutive weeks. When it has gained more than 15% in April and May combined, June has never been lower and the rest of the year averages nearly 19% gains.Small caps are up 18% year-to-date and it seems like nobody is talking about it. A third of those returns trace back to three companies, all tied to data centers and AI infrastructure.SpaceX chose the Nasdaq, and Nasdaq changed its rules. Mega-cap companies can now be assessed for index inclusion just 15 days post-IPO instead of waiting six months.At a $2 trillion valuation against $19 billion in 2025 revenue, SpaceX carries a price-to-sales ratio above 90. Historically, IPOs with price-to-sales above 40 average a 94% first-day pop, but a negative 45% three-year return.A deal disclosed in the SpaceX S1 could see Anthropic pay up to $15 billion annually for data center capacity, nearly matching SpaceX's entire 2025 revenue in a single contract.Google is raising $80 billion in equity and has cut buybacks to zero. AI infrastructure spending has moved from optional to existential, with payoff timing still uncertain.Jump to:0:00 — Welcome and the SpaceX question1:19 — Markets rip higher after the spring rally10:33 — Breadth, small caps, and hidden leaders14:10 — FOMO signals and the bubble check15:59 — Blake joins on tech and rates20:48 — Google funds AI data centers26:22 — Software's AI reset and data moats29:13 — SpaceX IPO filing and index rule changes43:01 — IPO stats, valuation risk, and consumer wrapConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#SpaceXIPO #FactsVsFeelings #investing #stockmarket #AI #techinvesting #IPO #smallcaps #SP500 #bullmarket #NVIDIA #Starlink #Anthropic #OpenAI #marketanalysis #portfoliomanagement #indexfunds #WallStreet #fintech #CarsonGroup

TD Ameritrade Network
Market Matters: Shay Boloor on Next AI Boom, Recapping PLTR & DOCN Investments

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 1, 2026 41:50


On this episode of Market Matters, Shay Boloor, Chief Market Strategist at Futurum Equities, breaks down Big Tech and the AI trade. He explains why AI didn't kill Google's search business, examines the next potential waves of the AI boom, and gives an inside look at the life of a market strategist. Shay also recaps some of his best market calls, including Palantir (PLTR) and Digital Ocean (DOCN).======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

J.P. Morgan Insights (video)
Saving smarter for college

J.P. Morgan Insights (video)

Play Episode Listen Later May 29, 2026 20:17


College costs have soared well beyond inflation, making education planning a critical challenge for families and advisors. With public and private tuition rising faster than household incomes, the conversation has shifted from simply saving to strategically investing for education. Choosing the right vehicle—like a 529 plan—can make a meaningful difference, offering tax-deferred growth, tax-free withdrawals, and state-level benefits. This episode examines common misconceptions, the impact of procrastination and the realities of scholarships to provide a practical lens for advisors and parents seeking clarity in a changing environment. In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and Tricia Scarlata, Head of Education Savings at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, as they share actionable perspectives and personal experiences on building smarter education savings plans. Watch the video version on YouTube.  Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

Market Weekly
European small caps offer income and growth

Market Weekly

Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2026 10:24


European small cap stocks have outperformed their large cap peers so far this year. Damien Kohler, Head of European Small Cap Equities tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, that small caps can prove positive for investors pursuing an active barbell strategy of a strong income-oriented approach combined with identifying underpriced potential for growth.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

In Episode 189 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, break down the disconnect between how people feel about the economy and what the hard data is actually showing. They connect the dots between oil prices, inflation expectations, Treasury yields, and why markets may not be reacting to geopolitical headlines the way many investors expect.It's a real-time look at the K-shaped economy: tighter budgets at the bottom, resilient spending at the top.Ryan and Sonu walk through stretched momentum after an eight-week rally, sector rotation beneath the surface, and another massive earnings season. They also explain why private AI investments are quietly becoming a meaningful contributor to public company profits, something many investors still aren't fully accounting for.Key Takeaways:Oil prices, Treasury yields, and inflation expectations remain tightly connected even when markets appear calm.Consumer behavior is splitting across income levels, reinforcing the idea of a K-shaped economy.Soft data like sentiment surveys continues diverging from hard data like earnings and employment.Earnings, buyback activity, and AI exposure are reshaping market leadership.Market momentum remains strong, but sector leadership underneath the surface keeps rotating.Bond markets may be the biggest force shaping Fed expectations and investor behavior goingJump to:3:06 — Strait Tensions and Oil Prices6:41 — The All-Electric Ferrari Debate8:39 — Consumer Strain Signals13:15 — Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Lows21:37 — Home Water Leaks and Insurance Headaches25:18 — Sector Breadth and Market Leadership33:15 — Momentum Crowding and the Win Streak37:41 —Earnings and Buybacks45:01 — Private AI Valuations Inside Public Earnings48:13 —Health Data and AI Coaching50:44 — Chicago Live Show Details54:00 — Grading Powell and New Fed Risks1:05:12 — Fed Hike Odds and Week AheadConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

On The Tape
Liz Thomas at Harry's | Standing Table #3

On The Tape

Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2026 24:39


Today, we're back on Wall Street and dining at Harry's, a trusted Wall Street institution for over 50 years. Joining us is Liz Thomas, Chief Market Strategist at SoFi. Her origin story starts in Wisconsin, but she's made a name for herself in New York as a trusted market and investment guru. Prior to joining SoFi, Liz was the Director of Market Strategy at BNY Mellon, a Portfolio Analyst at Baird, and a Research Analyst at BMO Global Asset Management. Timecodes 00:00 — “Edgy Broads” 00:21 — Welcome to Standing Table at Harry's on Wall Street 01:24 — Meet SoFi's Head of Investment Strategy, Liz Thomas 02:24 — From Wisconsin to Wall Street: Liz's Journey Begins 04:54 — The Mentor Who Changed Liz's Career Path 06:14 — Guy & Dan Tell the Early Fast Money Origin Story 09:35 — Liz Opens Up About Leaving Everything Behind for NYC 12:31 — Becoming a CNBC Personality & Inspiring Young Women 16:18 — Why Liz Took the Leap from BNY Mellon to SoFi 20:49 — Marriage, Motherhood & Being the Breadwinner 22:21 — Liz's Mission Supporting Women Through Grace Outreach 23:37 — Liz's Career Advice: Don't Wait to Be Noticed Standing Table is made possible through our continued partnership with Apex Fintech Solutions. Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. For more information, visit the Apex Fintech Solutions website: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/apex-fintech/ —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Squawk on the Street
10AM Hour: Warsh Gets Sworn In, T. Rowe's Tech Picks, & Early SpaceX Investor Talks IPO 5/22/26

Squawk on the Street

Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2026 44:01


Carl Quintanilla, Leslie Picker, and Michael Santoli kicked off the hour with fresh consumer data and Fed commentary - before breaking down the broader market outlook with MetLife's Chief Market Strategist. Plus: the tech stocks worth taking a look at here - with T. Rowe Price's Dominic Rizzo, and a discussion of why SpaceX should be seen as more than just a rocket company (according to an early investor in the firm).    Elsewhere this hour: all eyes on Washington ahead of Kevin Warsh's swearing in ceremony as the next Fed chair... Former Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota joined the team with his take on the action - and what's next.    Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
Welcome to the Party, Mr. Warsh (FvF Ep. 188)

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Play Episode Listen Later May 20, 2026 54:35


In Episode 188 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, welcome new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh the only way they know how: with data, context, and zero sugarcoating.When Jerome Powell took over in February 2018, the Dow dropped 4.6% on his first day, the worst debut of any Fed chair in modern memory. This time, it's not the equity market doing the hazing. It's the bond market. The 30-year Treasury yield sits above 5% for the first time since 2007, and Japan's yields just hit levels not seen since the 1990s. Ryan and Sonu explain why the dynamics that once pushed foreign money into Treasuries are quietly reversing and what that means for U.S. investors.From there, Sonu walks through industrial production data that almost nobody is talking about. Manufacturing is running at nearly 5% annualized. High-tech equipment production is up 61% above 2019 levels in real terms. This is hard data, not a survey, and it runs directly counter to the narrative that the economy is softening.Then comes earnings. With 91% of S&P 500 companies reported, earnings growth is running at 27% against expectations of 13%. Communication services, expected to be down nearly 4%, came in up roughly 40%. The consumer is holding up, too, with retail sales running at 13% annualized and 95.2% of all household debt paid on time per the New York Fed.The episode closes with a look at what to watch: NVIDIA earnings, FOMC minutes, and a bond market both hosts are keeping a very close eye on.Key Takeaways:The bond market is testing Kevin Warsh the same way equity markets tested every Fed chair before him, and the dynamics driving yields higher are not going away quickly.AI is showing up in the hard data, not just stock prices. High-tech equipment production is up 61% above 2019 levels in real terms.S&P 500 growth came in at 27% against a 13% estimate during earnings season. Communication services swung from an expected decline of nearly 4% to a gain of roughly 40%.The two-year Treasury yield above the Fed funds rate signals the market believes the Fed is behind the curve. Rate cut calls from the sell side are, in Sonu's words, a John McEnroe moment.The S&P 500 is up seven consecutive weeks, gaining over 16% during that stretch. One year after prior streaks of this magnitude, the market has never been lower and is up 16% on average.Jump to:0:00 — Welcome and Who's Running the Fed?6:10 — Bonds Are Testing the New Fed Chair13:05 — Manufacturing Heats Up and AI Shows Up in Hard Data21:40 — Japan Sparks a Global Yield Reprice34:55 — Portfolio Moves on Duration and Cash43:55 — Earnings and AI Spending49:20 — Consumer Strength, Retail Sales, and Final ThoughtsConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia Edition
US Says China Agrees to Spend Billions on Agricultural Goods

Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia Edition

Play Episode Listen Later May 18, 2026 20:46 Transcription Available


China has agreed to purchase at least $17 billion of agricultural products from the US annually through 2028, the White House said in a fact sheet detailing President Donald Trump's two-day summit in China. A day earlier, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce released its own readout of the meeting, which said the US and China will adopt a series of measures, including mutually cutting levies on certain products. China did not provide specifics, adding that teams from both countries were still negotiating details, and the White House release was silent on tariffs. Trump previously suggested that tariffs did not come up in his meetings with Chinese President Xi Jinping. We spoke to Rebecca Choong Wilkins, Bloomberg's Asia EcoGov Correspondent. Plus - A selloff in global bonds extended as the deadlock over the Iran war drove oil prices higher, fueling inflation concerns and raising bets that central banks will need to keep tightening policy. Bloomberg TV hosts Haidi Stroud-Watts and Shery Ahn spoke to Kristina Hooper, Chief Market Strategist at Man Group.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

J.P. Morgan Insights (video)
Taking stock of today's markets

J.P. Morgan Insights (video)

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2026 18:09


Amid fast-moving headlines and shifting market dynamics, it's time to pause and take a fresh pulse on what matters most. From energy disruptions and inflation to the rise of AI and evolving consumer sentiment, today's landscape calls for clarity and perspective. Explore the key forces shaping portfolios, uncover emerging opportunities, and rethink risk in a world where change is constant.   In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, as they spotlight the market's defining themes and offer timely insights for advisors and investors. Watch the video version on YouTube.  Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
Party Like It's 1999 (FvF Ep. 187)

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 57:55


In Episode 187 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, ask the question on every investor's mind: Does today's market feel like 1999?The episode opens with genuine nostalgia. Ryan recalls tripling his play money on Sycamore and Juniper Networks before losing it all on margin. Sonu remembers 75% of his engineering class having job offers by August of senior year. The vibes were very different then.From there, Ryan and Sonu dig into the numbers raising eyebrows. Semiconductors now make up roughly 22% of the S&P 500, up from around 6% at last April's lows. A telecom ETF built around AI infrastructure is up 44% year to date. These are not boring numbers. But beneath all that heat, sentiment is in the toilet, breadth is holding up, and credit spreads are making new cycle lows in ways that look nothing like the quiet deterioration that began in 1998. Ryan and Sonu make the case that this is not 1999. Not yet, anyway.Then Sonu drops inflation data that deserves a second read. Computer software and accessories, where AI token and cloud spending shows up in CPI, is running at an 83% annualized pace over the last three months. The Fed has a real problem. Ryan and Sonu walk through why stable jobs plus hard inflation plus a dovish Fed still adds up to bullish for equities, before closing out with a stronger-than-expected labor market update, a preview of the US-China trade meeting, and a record-breaking Uber ride from O'Hare to Cedar Rapids.Key Takeaways:Semiconductor stocks and AI infrastructure names are posting numbers that feel frothy on the surface, but earnings growth and genuine demand provide far more fundamental support than the dot-com era ever did.The NYSE advance decline line just hit an all-time high. In 1998, it peaked 18 months before the market did. That divergence is not happening today.AI-related inflation is real and showing up in the data. Computer software in PCE is running nearly 60% annualized over the last six months. This is not just an energy or tariff story.The S&P 500 has posted six consecutive weekly gains totaling over 16%, the second best such streak on record. One year later, the market has historically been up 17% on average.The labor market is quietly stabilizing. Blue-collar sectors that were bleeding jobs in 2024 are turning around, and prime-age employment sits at its highest ratio since before the 2008 financial crisis.The longer the Fed delays action on inflation, the greater the Volcker-style risk in 2027 or 2028. The AI capex boom has driven roughly 45% of real GDP growth over the last five quarters. When that fades, the math changes.Jump to:0:00 — Welcome and the 1999 Question2:00 — College Memories and Dot Com Vibes6:20 — New Highs with Rotten Sentiment10:30 — Frothy Semis and Leverage Lessons15:50 — AI Infrastructure Trade and Sector Gaps22:40 — Breadth, Credit Spreads, and Bull Signals33:10 — CPI Heat from Tariffs and AI Bottlenecks41:50 — Fed Risks and When Booms Break49:40 — Payrolls Update and Blue-Collar Turn54:20 — China Trade Talk, Travel Chaos, and WrapConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
Talking 'Sell in May' with Jeff Hirsch (FvF Ep. 186)

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2026 54:19


In Episode 186 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, are joined by a genuine industry legend, Jeff Hirsch, Editor-in-Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, now celebrating its 60th year. And yes, Jeff is also turning 60 this month.The conversation starts where May always takes us. "Sell in May and Go Away." Jeff immediately sets the record straight. It's not about selling everything on May 1. It's about repositioning, spring cleaning your portfolio, tightening stops, and getting ready for the historically weakest six months of the year. He walks through how MACD signals layered on seasonal patterns sharpen entries and exits, which sectors shine during the weak months, and why the Nasdaq's growing weight in the S&P 500 has stretched that weak window further into June.From there, the episode covers the Trump presidential cycle pattern, the sixth-year tailwinds, and how the midterm-year setup historically creates one of the best buying opportunities on the calendar. Jeff makes a candid near-term call on gold, makes the case for utilities and staples during the weak months, and explains why the mutual fund October 31 deadline is the true engine behind all of it.Oh, and Sonu's birthday is May 4. So officially: reposition on Sonu's birthday, go sober on Ryan's.Key Takeaways:"Sell in May" is widely misunderstood. The real strategy is repositioning, not abandoning the market entirely.Jeff uses MACD crossover signals layered on seasonal patterns to time entries (on or after October 1) and exits (on or after April 1 for the S&P 500, June 1 for Nasdaq).The Trump presidential cycle pattern, the sixth year of the decade, and the sixth year of the presidency all point toward a strong year. Jeff's target range is 8% to 12%, with 15% possible if geopolitical risks resolve.Utilities (XLU) and consumer staples are Jeff's preferred sector plays for the weak six months, with added tailwinds from data center electricity demand and dividends.Gold looks like a near-term top after a massive run. Jeff is watching for a seasonal re-entry opportunity in July or August.The real driver behind October seasonality is the mutual fund October 31 fiscal year-end deadline, which creates institutional churn, window dressing, and the conditions for the classic "bear killer" October bounce.Jump to:0:00 — Welcome and Meet Jeff Hirsch1:37 — Sell in May Reframed6:25 — MACD Signals and Seasonality10:55 — Sector Plays for the Weak Months14:55 — The Trump Cycle and Midterm Choppiness22:45 — Why Seasonal Patterns Exist35:05 — International Ideas and Cash Choices44:05 — Dead Indicators and the 401(k) Flow Shift50:10 — Gold, Grains, Options, and Calendar Quirks53:05 — Where to Follow Jeff and WrapConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enConnect with Jeff:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jeffrey-hirsch-8285358/• X: https://x.com/AlmanacTrader?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
Still Searching For Buffett (FvF Ep. 185)

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2026 42:48


In Episode 185 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, are recording live from Omaha at PodPony's studio during Carson's Q2 board meeting. They make a pilgrimage to the McDonald's on 40th and Dodge that Warren Buffett reportedly frequents. They got the scoop on his usual order, but did Buffett himself show up? You'll have to listen to find out!On the markets side, Ryan breaks down why the current secular bull market started in 2013 and what history says happens after you're up 100%, which is exactly where this bull market now stands from the October 2022 lows. The S&P just hit its 10th all-time high of the year, forward profit margins just reached a record 15.2%, and the data on "sell in May" may surprise you. Ryan's numbers show May has been up 12 of the last 13 years.The episode also covers the oil picture with WTI back near $100 and the Strait of Hormuz situation still unresolved, the consumer sentiment disconnect between how people feel and what retail sales are actually showing, and the Fed outlook heading into tomorrow's decision. Sonu explains why Kevin Walsh is leaning on trimmed mean PCE to justify rate cuts, and Ryan calls him out for putting everyone to sleep. Gold gets a candid look too, still in a long-term bull market but stretched after a massive run, with real rate pressure creating some short-term headwinds.Key Takeaways:The S&P 500 just hit its 10th all-time high of the year, and the bull market has officially crossed the 100% gain mark from the October 2022 lows.Forward profit margins just reached a record 15.2%, the highest ever recorded.Ryan makes the case that the current secular bull market began in 2013 and explains what history says comes next.Sell in May is largely a myth. May has been up 12 of the last 13 years.WTI is back near $100 and the Strait of Hormuz situation has not resolved the way markets hoped.Consumer sentiment remains near historic lows, but retail sales tell a very different story.Gold is still in a long-term bull market but faces short-term headwinds from real rate pressure after an extended run.Jump to:0:00 - Live from Omaha Setup 1:59 - All-Time Highs and Oil Shock 6:10 - Why Sentiment Feels So Low 11:27 - Board Meeting and Real Money 13:22 - Will AI Kill Investing Alpha? 16:09 - When Secular Bull Markets Start 21:00 - Global Breakouts and Gold Debate 22:36 - Rates, Inflation, and the Fed Shift 26:49 - Trimmed Mean PCE Explained 29:49 - Sell in May: Stats Check 32:58 - Bull Market Up 100% — Now What? 36:22 - McDonald's Hunt for Buffett 41:33 - Wrap-Up and DisclosuresConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
Social Hour With Josh Schafer and Talmon Smith (Social Hour Ep. 4)

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2026 62:37


The Social Hour is back for its 4th episode — and this one covered a lot of ground. Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, are joined by two sharp voices from the financial media world: Josh Schafer, Newsletter Editor and Investing Personality at Barron's Investor Circle, and Talmon Smith, Economics Reporter at The New York Times.Fair warning: Ryan's 140-pound Great Pyrenees may or may not have been snoring in the background, Talmon showed up fashionably late on Central Time, and somehow the conversation ended with a tease about something big coming to Omaha. But in between? Plenty of substance.They dig into semiconductors ripping 18 days in a row, the Intel comeback story nobody saw coming, and why AI infrastructure names from chips to optical networking to data center builders keep defying expectations. Josh breaks down what's actually driving the earnings surprise story, why FOMO is back in the market, and what the tailwinds (or lack thereof) look like for the back half of the year. Talmon brings the macro and human side of things, connecting the dots between surging corporate margins, collapsing consumer sentiment, and what affordability really means for everyday Americans. Sonu drops some eye-opening services inflation data that reframes the whole "inflation is solved" narrative.Key Takeaways:Semis on a historic run: The SOX up 18 consecutive days with broad breadth, not just NvidiaIntel's surprise: Earnings estimates doubled overnight and the turnaround thesis is gaining tractionAI infrastructure trade alive and well: Telecom ETF names like Iridium and Lumentum up 100%+ YTDEarnings boom: 26% EPS growth across 25% of S&P 500 reporters and this isn't just Big TechConsumer sentiment vs. stock market: Why both can be true at the same timeServices inflation running hot: Personal care, dental, and vehicle rentals all well above targetThe Fed's hands are tied: Labor market steady, inflation sticky, no clear path to cutsGDP watch: Real GDP print incoming, brace for noise and focus on nominalJosh Schafer and Talmon Smith are not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by these individuals may not be representative of CWM, LLC.Jump to:0:00 Disclosures and Social Hour Kickoff 1:15 Meet Barron's Josh Schafer 6:30 Semiconductors Rip on AI Buildout 10:20 Intel's Surprise Turnaround Narrative 14:10 Powell Drama Fades as Stocks Rally 18:35 Tech Layoffs and the Capex Squeeze 22:10 Earnings Boom Meets Inflation Pain 25:40 Talmon Smith on Affordability and Sentiment 37:50 The Fed's Dilemma and the 2% Target 52:40 GDP Angst and Market Narrative Confusion 59:30 Where to Follow and What's NextConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrick Connect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enConnect with Talmon:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tal-smith-b1898a326/• X: https://x.com/talmonsmithConnect with Josh:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/josh-schafer-b24723132/• X: https://x.com/_JoshSchaferQuestions? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Closing Bell
Closing Bell Overtime: Tesla Kicks Off Big Tech Earnings 4/22/26

Closing Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 22, 2026 43:42


Julie Biel, Chief Market Strategist at Kayne Anderson Rudnick, lays out the broader market theme and explains how investors should think about positioning as earnings and macro forces collide. Tesla headlines earnings. Seth Goldstein of Morningstar reacts to the results and what they signal for demand, margins and the EV landscape. Reports from IBM, Lam Research, ServiceNow and Texas Instruments add further insight into enterprise tech, semis and AI-driven spending trends. Gargi Chaudhuri of BlackRock on the firm's spring outlook and discusses where she sees opportunity across equities and portfolios. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Financial Sense(R) Newshour
Dave Keller on the Big Breakout: Sector Strength Behind the Headlines

Financial Sense(R) Newshour

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 18, 2026 35:19


Apr 17, 2026 – After this week's wrap-up, Financial Sense Newshour's Jim Puplava interviews Dave Keller, Chief Market Strategist at Sierra Alpha Research, to discuss the explosive moves in stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies as global events...