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In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dig into the surge in market volatility and what they believe is truly behind it. They explore shifting rate-cut expectations from the Fed, how mixed economic data is shaping the outlook, and why recent remarks from Fed officials have rattled markets. Ryan and Sonu also break down the sharp risk-off moves in crypto, the resilience of sectors like healthcare and commodities, and more.Key TakeawaysFed Tone Shift: Fed officials struck a more cautious tone after their October meeting, sharply lowering expectations for a December rate cut and contributing to market weakness.Labor Data Uncertainty: With government shutdown-related data gaps, the Fed is flying partially blind, making upcoming payroll numbers pivotal in determining whether cuts resume.Crypto as Risk-Off Signal: Bitcoin and Ethereum have seen steep declines since last month, acting as a clear risk-off indicator and spilling into tech-adjacent equities.Sector Divergence: Healthcare (especially biotech), utilities, and value stocks have held up better during the pullback, while small-cap growth and speculative tech have lagged sharply.Commodities Showing Strength: Despite volatility, key commodities like copper, natural gas, silver, and jet fuel are meaningfully higher year-to-date—signs that global activity is holding up better than headlines suggest.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comHashtags#FactsVsFeelings #MarketVolatility #FederalReserve #MacroPodcast #InvestingInsights #MarketOutlook #CarsonGroup
Crucial data will arrive for investors this week. Nvidia will report earnings, with the chipmaker seen as a bellwether for the AI trade. US weekly jobless claims data and September payrolls are set to release on Thursday. Chris Maxey, Managing Director and Chief Market Strategist at Wealthspire Advisors, discusses how these reports will impact the markets.Plus, Japan's 3Q GDP saw its the first decline in six quarters. Trinh Nguyen, Natixis Emerging Markets Asia Economist, provides a cautious outlook for emerging markets in 2026.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Josh Young, Portfolio Manager at Bison interests, and Tracy Shuchart, Founder/CEO and Chief Market Strategist, at Hilltower Resource Advisors, stop by the Energy News Beat and Energy Impacts Podcasts - With Stu Turley for an in-depth look at the global oil and gas financial markets. Highlights of the Podcast00:00 – Opening & Guest Introductions02:32 – AI Boom vs. Power Shortage07:18 – AI Hype vs. Energy Reality11:42 – Nuclear Reality Check16:03 – Coal's Comeback18:02 – Natural Gas Outlook21:15 – Pipeline Bottlenecks & Permitting Trouble24:33 – Chevron Entering Data Center Power25:19 – Pipeline Twinning Not As Easy As It Sounds28:08 – Geopolitics Ignored by the Market33:24 – Demand: Stronger Than Narratives Suggest37:05 – Sanctions, “Kinetic Sanctions,” & Enforcement Reality42:31 – Dollar Weaponization, Gold Buying, & the Milkshake Theory49:52 – Commodities Rotation & Energy Lag55:11 – Propaganda & the Climate Narrative01:01:21 – Pendulum Swings & Hope for Middle Ground01:02:50 – Utility Mismanagement & Decentralization01:05:04 – Will Democrats Blame Republicans for High Power Prices?01:06:10 – Government Control, Incentives & Rate Failures01:09:59 – Tracy on Fox Business: Uranium Bottleneck01:22:35 – Closing Thoughts & Market Outlook
Fresh news out of Washington: as a potential end to the shutdown looms - and Treasury Secretary Bessent makes new comments promising relief on prices... Carl Quintanilla and Sara Eisen broke down the latest, along with a slew of breaking news just crossing at 10 out of both the Federal Reserve and the AI complex. Jefferies Chief Market Strategist David Zervos gave his take on what it all means for stocks, while the team also got a read from the ground on the airlines - and any ongoing shutdown impacts - with the CEO of Delta. Also in focus: AMD shares surging as investors get bullish on the name - hear one chip analyst's take on the double-digit move, and whether shares are still a buy here. Plus: details on Toyota's big new EV bet here in the U.S., announced just this hour. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss how markets are responding to the government's impending reopening, improving earnings, and shifting political dynamics. They unpack why consumer sentiment remains low despite strong market and economic data, explore the reality behind so-called “K-shaped” growth, and explain why they still see powerful tailwinds for investors heading into 2026.Key TakeawaysGovernment Reopening & Market Optimism: Ryan and Sonu expect the government to fully reopen within a week, though they highlight that split power in Congress has often aligned with positive stock performance.Political Shifts & Gridlock Effect: Off-year elections showed strong results for Democrats, setting up a potential split Congress—an outcome that markets have rewarded in past cycles due to reduced legislative volatility.Consumer Sentiment vs. Market Reality: Confidence levels remain near historic lows even as inflation cools and the job market holds steady. The hosts argue that perception, not data, is fueling pessimism.Earnings Strength & Global Tailwinds: S&P 500 earnings growth surged from 7.9% to 13%, with companies generating more than half their revenue abroad leading the way—evidence that global demand continues to support U.S. markets.Debunking the “K-Shaped Economy” Narrative: Sonu breaks down why claims of widening inequality are overstated, emphasizing that spending patterns and income distribution remain consistent with long-term trends.Labor Market Stability: Despite attention-grabbing layoff headlines, jobless claims and hiring plans show a resilient labor market, reinforcing the broader theme of economic strength beneath the noise.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comHashtags#FactsVsFeelings #MarketOutlook #InvestingInsights #EconomicUpdate #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #CarsonGroup
Interview recorded - 12th of November, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Chris Vermeulen. Chris is the Founder & Chief Market Strategist at The Technical Traders. During our conversation we spoke about his outlook on the economy, magnificent seven bubble, potential market crash, bull trap, precious metals, US dollar and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:05 - Outlook in the economy2:35 - Magnificent seven4:34 - Market crash on the horizon?6:29 - What Chris is watching10:29 - Bull trap?12:18 - Government shutdown15:04 - Government treasuries17:29 - Dot com bubble?19:22 - Allocating during crisis?22:17 - Precious metals23:09 - US Dollar24:34 - Bitcoin27:24 - One message to takeaway?Chris Vermeulen is a visionary investor who pioneered an industry-breaking method of investing called “Asset Revesting.” Chris introduced this innovative approach in his latest book, “Asset Revesting – How to Exclusively Hold Assets Rising in Value, Profit During Bear Markets, and Continue Building Wealth in Retirement.“Chris's journey in the financial world began in 1997 at 16. Using his innate talent for trading and risk management, Chris earned enough money to pay for his final year of college, where he earned a business diploma in operations management. He then transitioned into a full-time entrepreneur and trader, achieving financial freedom in his 20s.His expertise in technical analysis led him to create systematic processes that uncover unique trading and investment opportunities. A persistent advocate for managing portfolio risk, Chris has little faith in the buy-and-hold strategy, which often entails holding onto depreciating assets.Chris's innovative approach to asset allocation emphasizes efficiency, resulting in systems that manage portfolio positions, exhibit low drawdowns, and consistently outperform the markets. His short-term and long-term strategies are perfect for those seeking proven techniques to manage and protect capital.Chris is widely recognized as an exceptional technical trader, possessing profound insight and a keen understanding of market trends. He shares his wisdom in his book “Technical Trading Mastery, Second Edition – 7 Steps to Win with Logic,” further solidifying his reputation as a trailblazer in the financial industry.Chris Vermeulen - Website - https://thetechnicaltraders.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/TheTechTradersYouTube - @TheTechnicalTraders WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseasThumbnail image from - https://www.financialexpress.com/world-news/us-news/why-did-the-us-stock-market-fall-over-1-1-trillion-was-wiped-out/3934378/
"I'm looking for a 30% explosion to $5,100 gold by year-end," says Chris Vermeulen, Chief Market Strategist of The Technical Traders. In today's interview with Daniela Cambone, the veteran chartist, who accurately called gold's recent breakout, dissects the "mere three-wave correction" that has spooked momentum traders. He details the "herd mentality" that first drove prices higher and argues this pullback is a classic shakeout before a parabolic surge, drawing direct and "scary" parallels to the 2007 pre-crisis setup.✅ FREE RESOURCESDownload The Private Wealth Playbook — a data-backed guide to strategically acquiring gold and silver for maximum protection, privacy, and performance. Plus, get Daniela Cambone's Top 10 Lessons to safeguard your wealth (FREE)
In today's rapidly evolving investment landscape, staying ahead means understanding how asset allocation strategies are adapting to new market realities. This episode of Insights Now explores the dynamic interplay between macroeconomic trends, policy shifts and the growing importance of research in portfolio construction. From the impact of fiscal and trade policies to the rise of alternatives and real assets, our experts discuss how diversification beyond the traditional 60/40 model is helping investors build resilience against inflation, rate shocks and other market disruptions. In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, as they reflect on the season's most important takeaways from the Multi-Asset Solutions team and share their outlook for the future of asset allocation. Watch the video version on YouTube. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
In the latest episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss the powerful role of momentum in today's markets and what investors should expect heading into year-end. They examine how the S&P 500's impressive rally fits into historical context, why tech leadership remains dominant, and how market breadth and global participation are evolving. The conversation also explores the impact of Federal Reserve policy shifts, cooling trade tensions, and the surprising resilience of the U.S. economy.Key TakeawaysHistoric Market Strength: The S&P 500 has gained nearly 23% over the past six months, placing this move in the top 4% of all six-month returns. History shows that strong momentum often leads to continued upside in the following year.Tech-Driven Leadership: The recent rally has been powered largely by technology. The Magnificent Seven continue to dominate, with the S&P 500 Technology Index up 44% over six months. Global Momentum: It's not just the U.S.—developed and emerging markets are rallying too. South Korea, Taiwan, and China are leading EM gains, while countries like South Africa, Mexico, and Japan also show strong performance.Economic Resilience: Despite talk of a “K-shaped” economy, U.S. GDP growth remains near 2%. Earnings are rising across sectors, with 80% of companies beating on both revenue and profits.Trade Tensions Easing: The U.S.–China trade war appears to be cooling, with both sides de-escalating tariffs and trade restrictions. China is resuming soybean purchases and suspending certain export controls, while the U.S. has paused new restrictions—reducing a major geopolitical headwind.Fed's Delicate Balance: The Federal Reserve cut rates again, bringing total cuts to 150 basis points since the cycle's peak. While inflation remains a concern for some members, Powell's comments suggested a dovish tone, emphasizing that inflation pressures are manageable and economic momentum remains intact.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Hashtags#FactsVsFeelings #MarketMomentum #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #CarsonGroup #InvestingInsights #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #GlobalMarkets
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, hosted a special Halloween livestream featuring Joe Fahmy, Managing Director at Zor Capital, and Warren Pies, Co-Founder and Strategist at 3Fourteen Research. Together they explore what's driving markets at the end of 2025—from AI-led growth and investor sentiment to fiscal spending, oil, and the broader economic outlook. The result is an entertaining and insightful look at how two veteran strategists interpret this bull market and what it could mean heading into 2026 and beyond.Key TakeawaysJoe Fahmy Segment:Broad-Based Bull Market: Joe sees strength well beyond the “Magnificent 7,” with AI, quantum computing, and clean energy creating multiple growth engines.Adaptability Over Bias: He stresses that successful investors aren't perma-bulls or perma-bears. They adapt as the data changes.Technical Discipline: Joe relies on the 50-day moving average to define market health. Above it, stay constructive; below it, get defensive.Cautious Sentiment: He notes that many investors remain nervous, which helps sustain the market's “wall of worry” and supports further upside.AI as the Next Revolution: He predicts the current bull market could extend into 2027 as AI transforms productivity similar to past technological breakthroughs.Warren Pies Segment:Debasement: Warren frames today's cycle as a shift from deflation fears to worries about fiscal expansion, debt, and currency dilution.Equities as Inflation Hedges: He highlights that S&P 500 earnings have outpaced inflation nearly every year since 2009, proving stocks' resilience.Energy Outlook: Warren maintains a bearish view on oil, citing signs of oversupply and weakening global demand.Equity and Yield Outlook: He expects modest but positive stock gains through 2026 as yields drift lower and fiscal support remains steady.Economic View: Warren describes the U.S. economy as being in a “muddle-through slowdown,” with government spending and the wealth effect offsetting recession risks.Joe and Warren are not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by these individuals may not be representative of CWM, LLC.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Joe Fahmy:• X: @jfahmyConnect with Warren Pies:• LinkedIn: Warren Pies• X: @WarrenPies Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Hashtags#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Markets #Investing #BullMarket #AI #Economy #Inflation #StockMarket #MarketOutlook
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss why a strong year-end rally may already be underway. They explore the drivers behind market momentum, earnings strength, inflation trends, and the Fed's next moves, while adding insight, a bit of humor, and practical perspective for investors heading into the final stretch of 2025.Key Takeaways:· Seasonality on Investors' Side: November and December have historically been strong months for equities, especially when the S&P 500 is up 15% heading into year-end.· Resilient Earnings: Nearly 87% of S&P 500 companies have beaten earnings expectations, one of the strongest showings in years.· Sentiment Still Skeptical: Surveys continue to show more bears than bulls, but confidence is building as investors look toward a possible year-end rally.· Inflation Cooling but Sticky: Core CPI rose just 0.23% in September (2.8% annualized), showing progress even as service-sector prices remain firm.· The Fed Turns Dovish: Rate cuts are expected to continue into 2026, potentially bringing policy below 3%—a setup that has historically supported markets.· Easing Trade Tensions: U.S.–China progress on tariffs and rare earths adds another macro tailwind to investor confidence.· Market Breadth: Equal-weight indexes across the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq recently hit all-time highs, showing strength beyond mega-cap tech.DON'T MISS our special Halloween livestream on YouTube starting at 10:30amCT this Friday, October 31, 2025! Click here for more info: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0alr4-vDLK8 Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Hashtags: #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketRally #InvestingInsights #StockMarket #Inflation #FederalReserve #EarningsSeason #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #WealthManagement
On this episode of Animal Spirits: Talk Your Book, Michael Batnick and Ben Carlson are joined by Gabby Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas at JP Morgan to discuss the 30th annual edition of the firm's capital market assumptions report that covers stock returns, bond yields, inflation, GDP forecasts and more. Find complete show notes on our blogs... Ben Carlson's A Wealth of Common Sense Michael Batnick's The Irrelevant Investor Feel free to shoot us an email at animalspirits@thecompoundnews.com with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation. Check out the latest in financial blogger fashion at The Compound shop: https://idontshop.com Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Ben Carlson are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
After an economic data blackout for weeks, we got an inflation update this morning showing a lower-than-expected increase in the consumer price index. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the price of everyday goods like gasoline, groceries, and rent costs rose 0.3% in September compared to August, and the annual inflation rate rose to 3%. That is above the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2% as policymakers there meet next week to decide their next interest rate move With the Fed, CEOs, investors, and pretty much everyone flying blind in regard to economic data, thanks to the nearly month-long government shutdown, how important was today's inflation update? Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins Fox Business' Gerri Willis to discuss how investors are navigating the current data desert, the President's latest spat with Canada over trade talks, and some of the headlines coming out of the White House. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Watch the video version on YouTube. Shifting macroeconomic trends and evolving consumer behavior continue to redefine the investment landscape, challenging asset managers to adapt their strategies for long-term success. Discover how multi-asset research teams at J.P. Morgan Asset Management approach asset allocation in a rapidly changing environment, with a particular emphasis on consumer markets. Key themes include lessons learned from years of investing in the consumer sector, the value of understanding where consumers are spending, and the use of proprietary data to identify emerging trends and shifts in confidence. In this episode, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and guest Daniel Bloomgarden, Global Head of Research for Multi-Asset Solutions, discuss how technology continues to reshape retail, the complexities of building and maintaining strong consumer brands and the ways companies are adapting to ongoing supply chain disruptions and tariff challenges. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
After an economic data blackout for weeks, we got an inflation update this morning showing a lower-than-expected increase in the consumer price index. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the price of everyday goods like gasoline, groceries, and rent costs rose 0.3% in September compared to August, and the annual inflation rate rose to 3%. That is above the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2% as policymakers there meet next week to decide their next interest rate move With the Fed, CEOs, investors, and pretty much everyone flying blind in regard to economic data, thanks to the nearly month-long government shutdown, how important was today's inflation update? Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins Fox Business' Gerri Willis to discuss how investors are navigating the current data desert, the President's latest spat with Canada over trade talks, and some of the headlines coming out of the White House. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
After an economic data blackout for weeks, we got an inflation update this morning showing a lower-than-expected increase in the consumer price index. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the price of everyday goods like gasoline, groceries, and rent costs rose 0.3% in September compared to August, and the annual inflation rate rose to 3%. That is above the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2% as policymakers there meet next week to decide their next interest rate move With the Fed, CEOs, investors, and pretty much everyone flying blind in regard to economic data, thanks to the nearly month-long government shutdown, how important was today's inflation update? Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins Fox Business' Gerri Willis to discuss how investors are navigating the current data desert, the President's latest spat with Canada over trade talks, and some of the headlines coming out of the White House. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
A tech-fueled rally lifted Wall Street, with the S&P 500 closing in on record highs as easing trade tensions and strong earnings boosted investor confidence. Hopes for progress ahead of President Trump’s upcoming meeting with China’s Xi Jinping helped offset worries about oil prices and inflation. Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, break downs what’s driving the rebound, how investors are positioning ahead of key inflation data, and what the latest corporate layoffs signal about the broader economy. Produced/Presented: Ryan HuangSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Summary: In the latest episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, welcome Kate Hall, VP of Alternative Due Diligence at Carson Group. They dive into the “cockroaches in a bull market” conversation—what it means for credit markets, how private credit has evolved, and why due diligence and diversification are key in today's environment. The trio also discusses gold's surge, strong bank earnings, and why market signals still favor a solid finish to the year.Key Takeaways:Credit Spreads – Markets remain steady with limited signs of broad stress.Private Credit Boom – The space has tripled since 2015, creating new risk dynamics.Diversification – Broad exposure cushions isolated defaults or fraud risks.Gold Momentum – Rising prices reflect sticky inflation and rate-cut expectations.Market Sentiment – A cooling VIX and broad participation support a strong Q4 outlook.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Kate Hall:• LinkedIn: Kate HallQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comHashtags: #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #KateHall #PrivateCredit #Investing #Markets #BullMarket #Gold #MarketInsights #FinancialAdvisors #EconomicOutlook #Diversification
Should the budget stop the avoidance of employers' national insurance by the UK's highest paid professions? How does the government restore the confidence of its creditors? Are we facing a private credit crash? Robert discusses with Chief Market Strategist of JP Morgan Asset Management Europe, Karen Ward. Find out more about how Google's AI is helping fuel the UK's growth and transformation and read the report at goo.gle/aiworks. Email: restismoney@gmail.com X: @TheRestIsMoney Instagram: @TheRestIsMoney TikTok: @RestIsMoney https://goalhanger.com Assistant Producer: India Dunkley, Alice Horrell Producer: Ross Buchanan Head of Content: Tom Whiter Exec Producers: Tony Pastor + Jack Davenport Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Making progress on the energy transition, net zero sustainability, and inclusive growth requires an effort that transcends borders and means involving a wide range of parties including asset owners and policymakers. Jane Ambachtsheer, Global Head of Sustainability, talks to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the significance of this meeting, the PRI advocacy network and its principles for responsible investment, and what investors can expect from the PRI in Person in Sao Paulo, Brazil on 4 - 6 November 2025.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party sealed a new coalition deal that sets up Sanae Takaichi to become the country's first female prime minister. LDP President Takaichi and Hirofumi Yoshimura, co-leader of the Japan Innovation Party, also known as Ishin, signed the coalition agreement on Monday evening. Combined, the LDP and Ishin hold 231 seats in the lower house of parliament. While that is two seats shy of a majority, divisions between opposition parties mean Takaichi is almost certain to win a parliamentary vote on Tuesday to decide the prime minister. We get perspective from Sheila Smith, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow for Asia Pacific Studies. She spoke to Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Avril Hong. Plus - Wall Street traders drove stocks higher amid solid signals from Corporate America and hopes that tensions between the world's two largest economies are cooling. Bond yields edged lower. With the earnings season well underway, about 85% of the companies in the S&P 500 reporting results so far have beaten profit estimates. That's helped fuel a rebound in equities, with the benchmark notching its best two-day gain since June. Sentiment was also buoyed by expectations the trade war will de-escalate as the US and China return to the negotiating table. We heard from Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist at BMO Private Wealth.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Summary: In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into the renewed tensions between the U.S. and China—what they're calling “Trade War 3.0.” They break down the latest round of tariffs, China's restrictions on rare earth exports, and what this means for markets, global trade, and investors. The conversation also touches on October's trademark market volatility, the three-year anniversary of the current bull market, and Carson Group's exciting milestone of surpassing $50 billion in assets under management. To wrap up, Ryan and Sonu discuss how AI investments are shaping economic growth and why diversification remains key as the market rides this wave of innovation.Key Takeaways:Trade War 3.0: The China trade war is back, with new tariffs and export restrictions creating fresh market uncertainty.Not a Shock: October remains the most volatile month for markets—current swings are historically typical.The Bull's Birthday: The three-year bull market continues to show resilience and momentum heading into year four.Massive Impact: AI-related investment is a key driver of GDP growth, fueling spending, innovation, and market optimism.Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @SonuVargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you — factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Investing #MarketOutlook #ChinaTradeWar #Tariffs #GlobalMarkets #EconomicTrends #RareEarths #AIMarkets #NVIDIA #OpenAI #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #MarketInsights
New consumer data at the top of the hour: Carl Quintanilla, David Faber and Leslie Picker kicked things off with a look at the market set-up into a make-or-break week of results out of the Big Banks with JPMorgan Asset Management's Chief Market Strategist for Americas Gabriella Santos. Plus: a look at the bull case for Amazon with one analyst who calls it his top pick - along with a deep-dive on Lululemon shares with company founder Chip Wilson, who's taking aim at the company for what he calls blatant mismanagement in a new WSJ ad. Around the edges: the playbook for energy stocks as the President teases a potential diplomatic trip to the Middle East, and a live look at the NBA's first game in China since 2019 - with a focus on the money at stake. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Watch the video version on YouTube In today's rapidly evolving investment landscape, understanding how quantitative strategies are shaping asset management is more important than ever. This episode explores the dynamic world of quant investing, offering financial advisors and investors practical insights into how systematic, data-driven approaches are transforming portfolio construction and risk management. Discover how quant models identify market inefficiencies, adapt to shifting macroeconomic conditions, and complement traditional fundamental strategies to deliver robust, diversified outcomes. In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, as she sits down with Grace Koo, Co-Head of Risk Managed and Total Return Portfolios at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Together, they unpack the opportunities and challenges of quant investing, sharing actionable perspectives for advisors and investors seeking to stay ahead in a changing market. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, tackle the market implications of the ongoing government shutdown, the surge in gold prices, and what investors should expect from the Fed. They also dig into the booming AI investment cycle, shifting momentum across market caps, and why the labor market remains resilient even as hiring slows.Key TakeawaysGold Shines Bright: Gold has remained on the rise, nearing $4,000 an ounce as central banks buy aggressively and inflation concerns persist.Shutdown, Not Slowdown: Despite Washington gridlock, the S&P 500 keeps hitting record highs. Historically, markets shrug off shutdowns and focus on Fed policy instead.Rate Cuts Coming: Fed futures signal multiple cuts starting this fall. Weak hiring but low layoffs point to a cooling, not collapsing, economy.AI Spending Surge: OpenAI, NVIDIA, AMD, and others are driving a wave of capital investment, with AI-related spending now accounting for roughly 6% of U.S. GDP.Market Momentum Builds: Strong seasonality, easing rates, and improving earnings expectations set the stage for a solid Q4, even as mid-caps lag under tariff pressure.Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @SonuVargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you — factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Gold #FederalReserve #AI #GovernmentShutdown #Investing #StockMarket #WealthManagement #EconomicOutlook #MarketInsights
In this special episode of Facts vs. Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, sit down with Jan van Eck, CEO of VanEck, to discuss gold, crypto, ETFs, and the future of investing. From the history of the first U.S. gold fund to today's innovations in blockchain, stablecoins, and nuclear energy, Jan shares unique insights into how markets are evolving.Key TakeawaysGold & Bitcoin: Gold remains a global safe haven, while Bitcoin is increasingly seen as “digital gold,” according to Jan.Stablecoins: Potentially revolutionary for payments, creating new competition between banks and tech companies.Macro Trends: The rise of India could reshape global markets, while China's equity returns remain lackluster.Energy & AI: Nuclear energy is regaining bipartisan support as demand for power surges, particularly from AI growth.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Jan van Eck:• LinkedIn: Jan van Eck• X: @JanvanEck3 Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Disclosure: Jan van Eck is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC.#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Gold #Bitcoin #Crypto #ETFs #Stablecoins #Investing #WealthManagement #MarketInsights
When announcing interest rate cuts earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns about the labor market, following major downward revisions to job growth data. But is the US Employment picture as bleak as the Fed sees it? Markets get a clearer view on Friday when September's jobs report is released. The data could have a significant impact on the Ced's actions in the coming months as they try to navigate what Powell calls a “very difficult policy environment.” Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss his expectations for Friday's highly anticipated jobs report, what he expects from the Fed in the coming months, and how much Wall Street is worried about a potential government shutdown. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
When announcing interest rate cuts earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns about the labor market, following major downward revisions to job growth data. But is the US Employment picture as bleak as the Fed sees it? Markets get a clearer view on Friday when September's jobs report is released. The data could have a significant impact on the Ced's actions in the coming months as they try to navigate what Powell calls a “very difficult policy environment.” Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss his expectations for Friday's highly anticipated jobs report, what he expects from the Fed in the coming months, and how much Wall Street is worried about a potential government shutdown. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
When announcing interest rate cuts earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns about the labor market, following major downward revisions to job growth data. But is the US Employment picture as bleak as the Fed sees it? Markets get a clearer view on Friday when September's jobs report is released. The data could have a significant impact on the Ced's actions in the coming months as they try to navigate what Powell calls a “very difficult policy environment.” Kenny Polcari, the Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth, joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss his expectations for Friday's highly anticipated jobs report, what he expects from the Fed in the coming months, and how much Wall Street is worried about a potential government shutdown. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
On the Risk Reversal Podcast, Dan Nathan hosts Marko Kolanovic, former Chief Market Strategist at JP Morgan, to discuss recent market movements and economic trends. They explore the impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts, market reactions to recent economic data, and how seasonal factors and technical aspects could influence market dynamics. The conversation highlights concerns about the sustainability of AI-driven market gains, the concentration of tech stocks, and the potential risks posed by geopolitical issues and tariffs. Marko offers insights into strategic investments in value stocks and critiques recent government involvement in major tech companies like Intel. The discussion wraps up with reflections on the broader implications of state capitalism versus free market principles. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Watch the video version on YouTube. Explore the evolving landscape of retirement investing in today's shifting macroeconomic environment. Discover how retirement is not just a destination, but a dynamic journey shaped by individual needs, spending patterns and regulatory changes. Gain valuable perspectives on the impact of recent policy changes, the increasing adoption of alternatives like real estate and private equity in retirement portfolios and the importance of balancing liquidity and market risk. Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, as she sits down with Katherine Santiago, Head of Quantitative Research for J.P. Morgan's Multi-Asset Solutions team, to discuss data-driven strategies, regulatory updates, and actionable tips for navigating the future of retirement investing. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, tackle the growing comparisons between today's market and the 1929 crash. They cut through the noise on gold sentiment, small-cap strength, earnings growth, Fed policy, and consumer resilience—all in under 52 minutes.Key Takeaways1929 comparisons: Why we believe today's bull market is not a replay of the Great Depression.Gold sentiment: The metal has been a strong diversifier for portfolios so far this year.Small caps: They're breaking out after nearly four years without new highs.Earnings reporting: The hosts debate quarterly vs. semiannual disclosures after President Trump floated the idea last week.The Fed: What the recent rate cut mean, labor market concerns, and why equities rallied.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #StockMarket #BullMarket #Gold #SmallCaps #Fed #RetailSales #InvestingPodcast #MarketUpdate
Companies across the food and agriculture value chain have been facing challenges ranging from changing eating habits as a result of weight loss drugs to tighter US rules on food additives. Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Agne Rackauskaite, Portfolio Manager, discuss the implications of these developments and potential winners and losers. For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. From jobs data revisions and labor supply challenges to the Fed's upcoming rate decisions, productivity, AI, and the outlook for portfolios, this episode is packed with insights advisors and investors can use right now.Key TakeawaysJobs revisions: Recent downward adjustments highlight slowing payroll growth.Labor market: Supply shortages are keeping unemployment low despite weak hiring.Productivity: AI may boost output, but inequality risks remain.Fed policy: There's a debate on whether cuts would stimulate the economy or actually drag it down.Tax refunds: 2025 policy changes could deliver a stimulus-like boost.Global opportunities: International equities could benefit from a weaker dollar.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Dr. David Kelly:• Website: Dr. David Kelly• LinkedIn: Dr. David KellyQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comDisclosure: Dr. David Kelly is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC.#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #DavidKelly #MarketOutlook #FedPolicy #InvestingPodcast #ExcelConference #Economy2025
Watch the video version on YouTube. As fiscal, trade, and regulatory policies take center stage, adapting asset allocation strategies has never been more important. This episode explores how today's policy shifts—from fiscal stimulus and rising tariffs to accelerated deregulation—are shaping market opportunities and risks. Our Multi-Asset Solutions team examines the short- and long-term impacts of recent legislation, the evolving role of government in markets, and the distributional effects on both consumers and corporations. Gain perspective on how higher debt levels, changing demand for Treasuries, and sector-specific policy changes are influencing portfolio decisions, and why staying agile is key in a landscape defined by uncertainty and transition. Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and Geng Ngarmboonanant, Research Analyst on the Multi-Asset Solutions team, as they break down the latest policy developments and share practical insights for navigating today's complex investment environment. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
After a lean period in recent years, European small-cap stocks have entered positive territory. Damien Kohler, Head of European Small Caps, talks to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the attractions of small capitalisation companies and their place in portfolios of investors with an appetite for income.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by Strider Elass of First Trust and Samuel Rines of WisdomTree for a timely discussion on the labor market, inflation trends, tariffs, and what investors should watch heading into late 2025. The conversation covers job growth concentration in a few sectors, revisions in employment data, underlying inflation measures, and how tariffs may reshape growth, manufacturing, and markets.Key TakeawaysAfter the latest jobs report, unemployment sits at 4.3%, with weakness concentrated outside health, education, and government.Real-time shelter metrics suggest underlying inflation is lower than official reports.Effective tariff rates could rise further, pressuring companies and growth.Growth could see a potential reacceleration in late 2025, but risk remains of structural slowdown.Health care services have been driving job creation, while manufacturing faces losses.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Strider Elass:• LinkedIn: Strider Elass• X: @StriderElassConnect with Samuel Rines:• LinkedIn: Samuel Rines• X: @SamuelRinesQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comStrider Elass and Samuel Rines are not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC.#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #JobsReport #Inflation #Tariffs #Economy2025 #InvestingPodcast
Asian stocks climbed for a fourth day on Tuesday as Wall Street's upbeat mood ahead of expected Federal Reserve rate cuts flowed into regional trading. MSCI's Asia-Pacific equities gauge reached its highest level since February 2021 with tech firms like Taiwan Semiconductor and Alibaba Group contributing most to the gains. Shares in Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong rose, while those in Australia declined. The moves followed a surge in bets on rate cuts by the US central bank that pushed stocks near record highs on hopes that easier policy will bolster corporate America. We look at the market landscape with Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist at BMO Private Wealth.In Japan, the implications of the nation's latest political turmoil have spilled into markets. The Nikkei 225 advanced to touch a new intraday record high in the morning. The country's government bonds were firmer after having slumped Monday as Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's decision to step down underscored expectations for looser fiscal policy. Bloomberg Opinion Columnist Gearoid Reidy joins with insight on the road ahead for Japan's ruling bloc.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Get updates for my new book: https://Theperfectportfoliobook.com ----- AI has fueled massive gains for Big Tech, but can one sector really carry the market forever? In this episode, I'm joined by Callie Cox, Chief Market Strategist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, to explore the tension between Wall Street's AI-fueled optimism and the realities of a slowing economy. We discuss what history teaches us about dominant companies, how to spot the difference between hype and durable innovation, and what long-term investors should really be watching. Listen now and learn: ► Why “the stock market is not the economy” — and why that matters in today's AI-driven rally. ► How concentrated earnings growth in tech creates both opportunity and risk. ► What history (GE, dot-coms) tells us about the limits of dominant companies. ► Which sectors beyond Big Tech could quietly benefit from AI adoption. Visit www.TheLongTermInvestor.com for show notes, free resources, and a place to submit questions. (02:22) AI optimism vs. a shaky economic backdrop (05:59) Can tech alone carry market earnings growth? (09:37) Dreaming vs. reality in AI investing (15:36) Lessons from GE and what they mean for Big Tech (19:29) Who really benefits from AI adoption? (21:53) The risks of concentration in the Magnificent 7 (24:51) Balancing story vs. evidence as a long-term investor (29:15) Early signs of real AI adoption and productivity gains (32:04) Everyday use cases of AI in real life Disclosure: This content, which contains security-related opinions and/or information, is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon in any manner as professional advice, or an endorsement of any practices, products or services. There can be no guarantees or assurances that the views expressed here will be applicable for any particular facts or circumstances, and should not be relied upon in any manner. You should consult your own advisers as to legal, business, tax, and other related matters concerning any investment. The commentary in this “post” (including any related blog, podcasts, videos, and social media) reflects the personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of the Plancorp LLC employees providing such comments, and should not be regarded the views of Plancorp LLC. or its respective affiliates or as a description of advisory services provided by Plancorp LLC or performance returns of any Plancorp LLC client. References to any securities or digital assets, or performance data, are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others. Please see disclosures here.
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into a seasonally tricky September. They break down Fed Chair Jerome Powell's dovish stance at the Jackson Hole Symposium, the Fed's balancing act between jobs and inflation, the steepening yield curve, and why gold and international markets are worth watching. Despite short-term volatility risks, they explain why the long-term bull market remains intact.Key Takeaways:Jackson Hole Reaction: Powell leaned dovish, sparking a strong rally, but September cuts aren't a lock.Fed Outlook: Markets are pricing in six rate cuts by late 2026 — potentially a big tailwind.Home Equity = Dry Powder: Falling rates could unleash a wave of consumer spending power.Steepening Yield Curves: A global signal pointing to growth and inflation expectations.Gold Breakout: With its price rising for eight months in a row, gold can be a long-term hedge against volatile inflation and a diversifier beyond bonds.Inflation Risks: Broader services inflation remains sticky, keeping pressure on the Fed.Seasonal Weakness: September has historically been the market's toughest month, but optimism remains.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #Inflation #Gold #ETFs #EconomicUpdate #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese
Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi held their first meeting since Donald Trump returned to power, with the longstanding Asian rivals pledging deeper cooperation as they deal with the economic fallout from the US trade war. Modi announced the resumption of direct flights between the two countries, and said ties in the past year have stabilized after soldiers pulled back from the friction points on the border. The two met at the port city of Tianjin on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit, a security-focused bloc co-founded by China. Bloomberg's Stephen Engle reports from Tianjin.Meantime, Indonesia President Prabowo Subianto moved to quell widespread protests across the country with parliament removing hefty lawmaker allowances that had sparked public outrage, while warning that firm action will be taken against violent demonstrators. For more, we hear from Faris Mokhtar, Bloomberg's Southeast Asia Global Business Reporter. He speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Avril Hong on The Asia Trade.Asian investors may tread cautiously on Monday amid uncertainty following a US federal appeals court ruling that President Donald Trump's sweeping trade tariffs were illegal. Contracts for the S&P 500 rose 0.2% and those for the Nasdaq 100 index advanced 0.3% in early Asian trading after a selloff in technology shares Friday trimmed the gains for the month. Contracts indicated losses for Australian and Japanese shares at the open, and gains in Hong Kong. US bond futures nudged lower, with the cash market closed for the Labor Day holiday. We look at the market landscape with Ron Temple, Chief Market Strategist at Lazard.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, welcome back legendary investor Cliff Asness, Co-Founding Partner, Managing Principal, and Chief Investment Officer of AQR Capital Management. From market bubbles and speculative manias to AI-driven strategies and even Superman movies, this milestone 150th episode blends sharp market insight with candid (and fun) conversation.Key Takeaways:Bubble Talk: Cliff explains why today's markets are expensive but stop short of a true “bubble.”Black Swan Events: Why extreme market shocks happen far more often than statistics suggest.Rise of Grift: Social media and meme coins are fueling grift-like behavior in markets.AQR Evolution: How AQR has shifted toward data-driven models and capital efficiency.Portable Alpha: Insights on stacking returns and improving diversification.Buffer Products: Why complex downside-protection ETFs may just be expensive ways of holding cash and equities.Personal Stories: Cliff shares Marvel fan moments, career “what-ifs,” and parenting wisdom. Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with Cliff:• LinkedIn: Cliff Asness• X: @CliffordAsness Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CliffAsness #AQR #MarketBubbles #InvestingInsights #PortableAlpha #BlackSwan #FinancePodcast #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese
This week, Phil has special guest Julie Biel, Chief Market Strategist, from Kayne Anderson Rudnick to discuss market trends, diversification strategies and current investment opportunities.
Watch the video version on YouTube. As economic and policy environments shift, understanding how tactical and strategic asset allocation can adapt is crucial for financial advisors and investors alike. Balancing long-term views with short-term market movements, our Multi-Asset Solutions team highlights the opportunities presented by volatility and dislocation. Discover how credit markets, particularly U.S. high yield, are being tactically adjusted in response to current valuations, and learn why diversification remains a vital strategy. Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and David Lebovitz, Research Analyst and member of the Fundamental research team to unpack the complexities of asset allocation, offering valuable insights for achieving long-term investment goals. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, break down the latest market moves, the outlook for rate cuts, and what the data is really telling us about inflation and growth. From cooling economic numbers to investor sentiment, this week's conversation highlights why the market isn't as fragile as headlines suggest — and what investors should really be watching for the rest of 2025. Key Takeaways:Jobs slowdown: Payrolls are cooling, but we're still not seeing signs of a recession.Inflation easing: Core numbers are moderating, opening the door for rate cuts from the Fed.Rate cuts in focus: The Fed is likely to take action soon, with markets pricing a cut in September.Markets resilient: Despite investor worries, the markets continue to reach new highs.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #Inflation #RateCuts #EconomicUpdate #StockMarket #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, sit down with veteran market technician JC Parets, founder of TrendLabs, for a fast-moving discussion on technical analysis, market sentiment, gold, global equities, crypto, and the discipline of changing your mind when the charts say so. Packed with insights, laughs, and a few baseball stories, this episode cuts through the noise and focuses on what really matters for investors right now.Key TakeawaysFlows over fundamentals — Why positioning matters more than headlines.Global bull market — Confirmation from Europe, Asia, and Latin AmericaGold breakout — Record highs in every major currencyCrypto rotation — Ethereum strength vs. Bitcoin and growing institutional accessU.S. dollar — Rejection at key levels and implications for risk assetsRisk management mindset — Moving quickly when trades don't workBusiness lessons — Building teams, staying liquid, and taking it one day at a timeConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseConnect with J.C.:• Website: All Star Charts • LinkedIn: J.C. Parets• X: @JC_ParetsX Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comJ.C. Parets is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Statements and opinions made by our guests are for general information only and may not be a reflection of CWM, LLC. #FactsVsFeelings #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Gold #Crypto #MarketSentiment #GlobalMarkets #InvestingPodcast #TrendFollowing #FinancialAdvisors
“A market bloodbath is in the works,” warns Gareth Soloway, Chief Market Strategist at Verified Investment. Speaking with Daniela Cambone, Soloway breaks down why the S&P 500 is flashing a critical warning sign, saying, “When you get a reversal day where you open above the all-time highs and close essentially below the recent lows, that spells trouble.”He explains that institutional investors are unloading into retail FOMO and that the market could be on the verge of a 30–50% decline, comparable to the dot-com collapse. Soloway also shares why “buying the dip” may soon fail investors, why gold could see a near-term pullback before its next breakout, and why silver's next springboard level sits near $34.65. He warns that Bitcoin remains vulnerable to a major drop if the stock market weakens and reveals why he is turning his attention to Chinese stocks in the second half of the year.✅ FREE RESOURCESDownload the Ultimate Decision-Making Guide on Gold & Silver plus Daniela Cambone's Top 10 Lessons to safeguard your wealth (FREE)
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss the latest surprising jobs data, significant payroll revisions, and President Trump's controversial firing of Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner Erica Groshen. Ryan and Sonu also provide insights into the Fed's next moves, inflation challenges, and the unexpected factors influencing recent labor market trends.Key Takeaways:Surprising Jobs Report: July's payroll came in at 73,000—lower than expected—with massive downward revisions for previous months.Payroll Data Accuracy: These significant revisions to recent month's data are due to survey response rates, seasonal adjustments, and methodology nuances.Immigration and Labor: A drop in immigration has impacted the labor supply, with fewer jobs now needed monthly to match population growth.Federal Reserve Outlook: Mixed economic signals have complicated rate cut decisions, leaving Fed Chair Jerome Powell cautious and focused on inflation risks.AI Spending Surge: AI-related investment has significantly boosted GDP growth, offsetting weaker consumer spending.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvargheseQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #JobsReport #FederalReserve #Inflation #JeromePowell #LaborMarket #PayrollRevisions #AIInvestment #EconomicTrends #FinancePodcast #CarsonGroup
In this episode of 401(k) Roundtable, Rick Unser is joined by Charlie Bilello, Chief Market Strategist at Creative Planning. Known for The Week in Charts on YouTube and as co-host of the Signal or Noise? podcast with Peter Mallouk, Charlie brings a data-driven perspective to today's markets. The conversation covers market volatility, bear market patterns, and the enduring importance of diversification. They also explore the performance of international vs. U.S. stocks, the strength of the dollar, interest rates, and recent economic policy shifts. A timely and insightful episode for anyone trying to make sense of today's investment landscape.
After some really messy economic headlines for the last few months, we may actually have some good news. To break it down, Nicole is joined by Ryan Detrick, the Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group. Today, Ryan shares some signs he's seeing in the market that nearly always indicate good news ahead… and whether this time could be different.