Podcasts about chief market strategist

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Josef Schachter to the show. Josef is the Founder of Schachter Asset Management Inc. Josef clarifies that the current energy market tightness is not a crude oil shortage but a severe refining capacity problem, particularly impacting Asia. While US production has surged to 24 million barrels daily, allowing for exports, a lack of refined products in Asia has driven local prices to the equivalent of over $150 per barrel. He attributes the volatility to geopolitical tensions, noting that oil prices swung from the high $90s to $67 before rebounding into the mid-$80s on renewed conflict fears. Schachter outlines three potential scenarios for oil prices. If peace talks succeed and the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab reopen, prices could fall back below $70, aided by China's massive strategic reserves and floating storage. If the conflict remains contained, a trading range between $70 and $94 is likely. However, a significant escalation involving Iran and key shipping lanes could push prices past the previous high of $119, potentially reaching $141.50. He warns that such a sustained spike above $120 would trigger severe global economic headwinds, combining with AI-driven job losses and high government debt to potentially cause a deep recession. From an investment perspective, Schachter sees energy producers as undervalued, trading on long-term price assumptions of $60-$65 oil despite his forecast of $80 average for the year and $90 in 2027. He highlights Canada as a particularly attractive region due to a new, supportive political stance toward fossil fuels, vast undrilled reserves, and discounted valuations compared to US peers. He advises that higher prices will economically transform lower-tier drilling inventory into highly profitable assets, offering significant upside for investors across the energy and service sectors. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:42 – Current energy market conditions 00:02:46 – Crude oil supply analysis 00:04:23 – Refined product shortages 00:09:28 – Floating storage discussion 00:14:40 – Oil Shortage Debunking Thesis 00:17:47 – Dire Straits, Situation 00:21:08 – Asia refining crisis 00:25:42 – Asian Demand & Implications 00:29:05 – Recession and price scenarios 00:31:58 – Oil producer investment opportunities 00:35:48 – Canada energy sector outlook 00:41:10 – Other Opportunities? 00:46:47 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://schachterenergyreport.ca Subscription Discount for Palisade Listeners, $100 off the first year of our subscription, use coupon code “POD100” https://schachterenergyreport.ca/subscriptions/ Josef Schachter is a 40+ year veteran of the Canadian Investment Management Industry, Josef Schachter has experienced several exceptional and turbulent global economic and stock market cycles. With his primary focus in the stock market and the energy sector, Josef is able to weave global political, economic and monetary issues with current energy data into a compelling story of what's going on, what is to come, and why. Josef is a frequent guest on Michael Campbell's Podcast ‘Mikes Money Talks' and other podcast and radio shows and is often quoted in the media. He is a regular Guest Speaker at the annual World Outlook Financial Conference in Vancouver and he delivers presentations to various companies and organizations. For several years, he was a frequent and notably colourful commentator on BNN Bloomberg's Market Call. Josef provided Oil and Gas research to Maison Placements Canada geared to their institutional clients for 15 years ending April 2017, and was acknowledged as the first analyst in Canada to predict the Oil Price Plunge of 2014. Prior to establishing his firm Schachter Asset Management Inc. in 1996, Josef was the Chief Market Strategist at Richardson Greenshields, a Director of RGCL and a member of its Investment Policy Committee. He holds a Chartered Financial Analyst designation and is a past Chairman of the Canadian Council of Financial Analysts.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is impacting the media and advertising industries, triggering a pivot away from simply generating billable hours towards the production of higher value-added content. Matthijs Leendertse, Senior Lecturer for Media Economics at Erasmus University, Rotterdam, talks with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the development of AI and its potential future impact on our societies.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

In this episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dig into Apple reclaiming its title as the world's largest company by market cap after sitting out the AI spending race, while hyperscalers like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft pour ever-larger sums into CapEx. They break down record Q2 blended earnings growth of 38% year-over-year, the outsized role investment gains in private holdings like SpaceX and Anthropic played in Google's headline profit beat, andwhy core net income tells a different story. The conversation shifts to the "chip crash" playing out in South Korea, where the KOSPI has fallen more than 30% from its June 22 peak amid margin calls and central bank rate hikes, and what that says about crowded momentum trades and the explosion of leveraged ETF products tied to tech and semis. Ryan and Sonu also cover the rotation into low volatility, financials, and healthcare, why flows into tech remain historically stretched even after the pullback, and preview this week's Fed decision amid unusually high rate-hike odds. They close with apersonal update on Ryan's eye surgery, a shoutout to guest and TrendLabs Founder JC Parets' record-breaking episode, and details on the live 200th episode show in Boston.[Key Takeaways]Apple overtook NVIDIA as the world's largest company by market cap (~$4.9 trillion) after largely sitting out heavy AI CapEx spending, while free cash flow for semiconductor companies surpassed hyperscaler free cash flow for the first time this quarter.Q2 blended S&P 500 earnings growth hit 38% year-over-year, the best pace since Q3 2021, driven largely by tech (+65%), energy (+128%), and communication services (+112%); excluding Google, growth drops to 26%.A large share of Google's reported profit surge came from investment gains in private holdings (SpaceX, Anthropic) rather than core operations, a pattern also inflating net income at Amazon, NVIDIA, and Microsoft.South Korea's KOSPI fell roughly 33% from its June 22nd peak (before a further 10% one-day drop) as margin calls and a Bank of Korea rate hike hit heavily levered chip and momentum trades.Momentum's one-year excess return over the S&P 500 pulled back from the 96th to the 75th percentile relative to the last 40 years, while low volatility stocks are up 8% and financials up 11% since the market's June 2nd peak.Fed rate-hike odds this week sit near their highest pre-meeting level in recent memory, with the committee reportedly divided as inflation, a resilient labor market, and AI/Middle East-driven cost pressures complicate the outlook.Jump to:0:00 - Welcome And Quick Setup0:31 - Apple Reclaims Top Market Cap5:16 - AI Capex Arms Race Reality Check8:35 - Record Margins And Earnings Surge16:44 - South Korea Sparks Chip Crash23:49 - Ryan's Eye Patch Surgery Story29:58 - Why Tech Flows Look Crowded35:28 - Leveraged Products And Margin Call Risk42:40 - Rotation Into Low Vol And Defensives46:57 - Contrarian Thinking Versus Momentum54:41 - Interstellar Detour And Time Talk57:19 - Fed Uncertainty And Rate Hike Odds1:02:16 - Live Boston Show And Final ThanksConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Kristina Hooper is  Chief Market Strategist at Man Group, a global alternative investment manager. In this role, she provides views and insights on the economy and markets and appears regularly on CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo Finance, and Reuters TV. Prior to joining Man Group in 2025 Christina served as the chief global market strategist at Invesco and previously worked at Allianz Global Investors. Our conversation covers her early career, the lasting effects of her Catholic school education and how an investment club inspired a love of stocks and investing. We move to her focus on economics and behaviour and how her legal training assisted her with creating an argument. She shares some of her more contrarian takes today and shares some of the inspiration that has shaped her career.The Fiftyfaces Podcast is supported by Franklin Templeton and Alvine Capital. Franklin Templeton is a global investment management firm that provides a broad range of investment solutions, including mutual funds, ETFs, alternative investments, wealth management, and technology-enabled financial services. Founded in 1947, the firm manages approximately $1.8 trillion in assets under management (AUM) and serves individual and institutional investors across more than 150 countriesFounded in 2005, Alvine Capital is a European focused private capital advisory and placement agent that provides capital raising services to investment managers. From its base in London and its office in Stockholm it creates bespoke capital raising programs that blend appropriate investor targeting and sophisticated marketing to deliver a fundraise aligned with institutional expectations

What could Andy Burnham's first week as UK prime minister reveal about future government policy? In our latest podcast, we explore the political, economic and market implications of the UK's new leadership and the changes announced so far. Listen in for insights from Julien Lafargue, Chief Market Strategist, Alex Jackman from the Regional Corporate Affairs team at Barclays and Luke Mayberry, Investment Strategist.

In today's Daily Editorial, we are joined by Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Capital Markets and Editor of the Marc to Market website. We dive into the key macro forces shaping global markets, including rising Treasury yields, rising US Dollar, energy price volatility, and central bank expectations ahead of upcoming central bank meetings. Mark breaks down the broader implications for currency trends and international capital flows. Key Discussion Points: Surging Treasury Yields: A look into the sharp rise in the US 10-year yield and how global bond markets are reacting to shifting duration risks. US Dollar Momentum: An analysis of the greenback's continued strength, driven by rate differentials and foreign equity inflows. Oil Price Escalation: How the recent spike in crude contracts is reshaping inflation expectations and putting pressure on short-term rates. Federal Reserve Outlook: Insights into market-implied probabilities for upcoming Fed meetings and the central bank's delicate balancing act.   Click here to visit Marc's site - Marc To Market - https://www.marctomarket.com/   ---------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/   Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

A century of market history reveals patterns of optimism, risk and resilience that continue to shape investment decisions today. This special summer series examines landmark events—from the 1929 crash to the Global Financial Crisis—to illuminate the forces behind market upheavals and the lessons they offer for modern investors. The conversation also highlights how long-term perspective and disciplined strategy can help investors navigate volatility and avoid common pitfalls. In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, as they introduce some of the turning points that have shaped markets throughout history.   Watch the video version on YouTube.  Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

Equities in the US, Europe, Japan and emerging markets should see strong second quarter earnings growth. As Nadia Grant, Head of Global Equities, tells Chief Market Strategist, Daniel Morris, year-to-date equity returns have been highly concentrated, notably AI-linked hardware stocks ‘at the expense of everything else, particularly software'.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

AI-related companies have helped to propel markets to record highs this year, but how much will AI reshape productivity, labour markets and economic growth? In this week's podcast, Lukas Gehrig, Head of Quantitative Macro and Thematic Strategy, joins host Julien Lafargue, our Chief Market Strategist, to explore how much AI could penetrate people's jobs and whether productivity gains can offset slowing demographic trends.

Energy analyst Josef Schachter discusses the evolving landscape of the global oil and gas sector. He identifies a new bull market cycle that began in 2020, driven largely by the industrial needs of the developing world and the essential role of fossil fuels in mining green energy minerals. Schachter details how geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the conflict in Ukraine create significant market volatility and supply risks. He provides a technical outlook on price floors and investment strategies, specifically highlighting the resilience of the American and Canadian energy markets. While addressing the rise of electric vehicles and data centers, he argues that traditional hydrocarbons will remain dominant into the 2030s.  Escape the Technocracy Live Workshop (w/ Geopolitics & Empire)! https://escapethetechnocracy.com/product-escape-the-technocracy-live-workshop-season-2 Watch on BitChute / Brighteon / Rumble / Substack / YouTube *Support Geopolitics & Empire! Become a Member https://geopoliticsandempire.substack.com Donate https://geopoliticsandempire.com/donations Consult https://geopoliticsandempire.com/consultation **Listen Ad-Free for $4.99 a Month or $49.99 a Year! Apple Subscriptions https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/geopolitics-empire/id1003465597 Supercast https://geopoliticsandempire.supercast.com ***Visit Our Affiliates & Sponsors! Above Phone https://abovephone.com/?above=geopolitics American Gold Exchange https://www.amergold.com/geopolitics Escape The Technocracy (15% off w/ GEOPOLITICS!) https://escapethetechnocracy.com/geopolitics Expat Money (FREE “WW3 Plan-B” Report!) https://expatmoney.com/geopolitics PassVult https://passvult.com Sociatates Civis https://societates-civis.com StartMail https://www.startmail.com/partner/?ref=ngu4nzr Wise Wolf Gold https://www.wolfpack.gold/?ref=geopolitics Websites Schachter Energy Report https://schachterenergyreport.ca Schachter’s Eye on Energy Substack https://josefschachter.substack.com X https://x.com/JosefSchachter LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/josefschachter About Josef Schachter As a 40+ year veteran of the Canadian Investment Management Industry, Josef Schachter has experienced several exceptional and turbulent global economic and stock market cycles.  With his primary focus in the stock market and the energy sector, Josef is able to weave global political, economic and monetary issues with current energy data into a compelling story of what's going on, what is to come, and why. Josef is a frequent guest on Michael Campbell's Podcast ‘Mikes Money Talks' and other podcast and radio shows and is often quoted in the media.  He is a regular Guest Speaker at the annual World Outlook Financial Conference in Vancouver and he delivers presentations to various companies and organizations. For several years, he was a frequent and notably colourful  commentator on BNN Bloomberg's Market Call. Josef provided Oil and Gas research to Maison Placements Canada geared to their institutional clients for 15 years ending April 2017, and was acknowledged as the first analyst in Canada to predict the Oil Price Plunge of 2014. Prior to establishing his firm Schachter Asset Management Inc. in 1996, Josef was the Chief Market Strategist at Richardson Greenshields, a Director of RGCL and a member of its Investment Policy Committee. He holds a Chartered Financial Analyst designation and is a past Chairman of the Canadian Council of Financial Analysts. *Podcast intro music used with permission is from the song “The Queens Jig” by the fantastic “Musicke & Mirth” from their album “Music for Two Lyra Viols”: http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)

June saw particularly strong inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs), taking total assets under management in UCITS ETF beyond €3 trillion for the first time. As Daniel Dornel, Head of ETF Research, explains to Chief Market Strategist, Daniel Morris, inflows were strongest in the US and Japan; European and emerging market figures were less impressive.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

David Osman of IRF is joined by Chris Watling, the Founder, CEO & Chief Market Strategist at Longview Economics. ----more---- In this podcast, Chris Watling explains how the A.I. investment boom is impacting on the US economy and elsewhere. He discusses the underlying trends in income and consumption with reference to the wealth-effect of the A.I.-driven rise in the US stock market. He points out how US economic growth appears to be broadening in response to the credit cycle and the industrial cycle. Chris discusses the outlook for inflation, with particular reference to the current geopolitical concerns and the rise in energy costs. He then assesses the likely differences in the monetary policy responses in Europe, the US and Japan. He also explains how the conduct of US monetary policy is likely to evolve under the new Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh and how that will eventually influence other central banks around the world. This leads into a discussion about the outlook for the US dollar. Then, in conjunction with his view on the prospects for the world economy, Chris sets out some of his key global strategy recommendations for asset allocations in the Bond, Equity and Commodity markets, including his views on several of the most important emerging markets.   Prior to founding LongView Economics in 2003, Chris Watling was the European Economist and Strategist at Cazenove where he developed his proprietary Risk Appetite Gauge Models, which are also known as “RAG” Models. When combined with SELL-off indicators, these “RAG” Models have proved to be very successful in calling equity market direction and timing waves of risk aversion in global markets. LongView Economics is an Independent Global Macro and Strategy Advisory Boutique that is located in London. Their pioneering research approach brings Macro and Markets together, drawing on Deep Macro Analysis of the most important global themes, cycles and events in order to make actionable, often contrarian, investment and trading recommendations.

In this mid-year outlook episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, revisit their 2026 forecast and explain why they've raised their S&P 500 target from 12-15% to 15-18% for the year, while holding bonds steady at 3-5%. They walk through how AI capex has become a macroeconomic story as much as a market one, contributing roughly 90 basis points per quarter to real GDP growth, and why hyperscaler spending plans for 2026 and 2027 keep getting revised sharply higher.The conversation covers the labor market's quiet resilience, why business creation data suggests confidence rather than desperation, an inflation picture that isn't going away despite market expectations for Fed rate hikes, and a sector rotation story where former "value" stocks like Micron have become momentum plays almost overnight. Ryan and Sonu also dig into earnings estimate revisions, midterm-year volatility patterns, diversifiers like gold and managed futures, and swap stories from their World Cup travels before previewing next week's guest.[Key Takeaways]Carson raised its 2026 S&P 500 target from 12-15% to 15-18% at the midpoint of the year, with the index already up 11% total return year-to-date; bonds remain forecast at 3-5%.AI-related hardware and software investment (excluding data centers) has contributed about 45% of real GDP growth over the last five quarters, roughly 90 basis points per quarter.Hyperscaler capex estimates keep climbing: the five largest tech spenders were projected to spend $470 billion in 2026 back in November; that figure is now $740 billion, with 2027 estimates rising from $530 billion to nearly $900 billion.S&P 500 2026 EPS estimates have risen from $308 to $339 a share (up 10%) since the start of the year, with 2027 estimates up 12%, led by technology, energy, and materials.The labor market shows underlying strength despite headline softness, with unemployment at 4.2%, average payroll growth around 110,000 a month, and falling continuing claims.Inflation remains sticky due to incomplete tariff pass-through, reshoring-related cost increases, and rising computer/software prices, a reversal from the deflationary tech trends of the 1990s.Jump to:0:00 - Welcome And The Midyear Setup1:45 - Why We Raised The Stock Target5:38 - AI Spending Shows Up In GDP9:44 - The Consumer Looks Better Than Feels14:20 - Business Creation As A Confidence Signal17:08 - The Real Leaders Inside “Tech”18:53 - Earnings Keep Getting Revised Higher27:03 - The Inflation Problem Isn't Gone31:06 - The Fed Pause Versus Hike Pricing35:00 - Second-Half Equity Playbook And Rotation42:19 - Volatility, Breadth, And Midterm Patterns49:06 - Bonds, Oil Headlines, Gold, Diversifiers52:55 - World Cup Travel Notes And Wrap-Up57:08 - DisclosuresConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

AI has changed how quickly we can gather and understand information, but what is it doing to the quality of our decisions? In this week's podcast, Alex Joshi, Head of Behavioural Finance, and Rob Smith, AI and Data Science Strategist, join Julien Lafargue, our Chief Market Strategist, to explore 'cognitive surrender' and consider how to keep making good decisions. They also discuss the shift from AI chatbots to AI agents, the rising costs of using AI agents and the anticipated trends that could be seen over the rest of the year.

Charles is joined by Victoria Fernandez, Chief Market Strategist at Crossmark Global Investments, to discuss why even the biggest Wall Street fund managers are struggling right now, why a legendary investor is dumping stocks to chase short-term trends, and whether software giants like Fortinet and Adobe are still safe bets for your money. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Despite trebling in size since 2020, fixed income ETF (exchange-traded fund) assets remain under-bought in Europe. Luca Pagni, Head of Fixed Income ETFs, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, that there is still great growth potential for bond ETFs – for a variety of reasons.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

In Episode 195 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, celebrate the Dow's first close above 53,000 and break down the fastest 1,000-point milestone in the index's history. They unpack what's really driving the S&P 500's 10% first-half gain, splitting the return into earnings growth, margin expansion, and multiple contraction to make the case that this rally isn't a valuation-driven bubble.The episode also covers the widening gap between mega-cap tech and the "lag 7," how AI is quietly showing up in small-cap and industrial stock returns, record highs across advance-decline lines, and why a stretched momentum trade doesn't have to mean disaster for the second half. Ryan and Sonu also swap origin stories marking their four- and seven-year anniversaries at Carson, react to Team USA's World Cup exit, and preview next week's mid-year outlook.[Key Takeaways]The S&P 500's 10% first-half return was driven almost entirely by fundamentals: earnings growth contributed 18 percentage points while multiple contraction subtracted about 8.5 points, meaning stocks are actually cheaper than they were six months ago.Forward margins have jumped from roughly 14.5% to 16% since January, contributing 10 percentage points to the year-to-date return alongside 8 points from sales growth tied to nominal GDP.Technology gained 33% in the first half even as the "Mag 7" fell about 4%, showing how much dispersion exists within the sector as AI-driven names pull away from laggards like Apple and Microsoft.AI's influence now stretches well beyond big tech: roughly 12 of the Russell 2000's 23% first-half gain traced back to AI-linked names, with industrials contributing more than financials.Multiple advance-decline lines, including the NYSE, S&P 500, small-cap, and global Dow, hit all-time highs, a breadth signal that has historically preceded market peaks by about 11 months on average.The S&P 500 momentum index's trailing one-year excess return sits in the 96th percentile versus the last 40 years, prompting Carson to trim some momentum exposure in favor of diversification rather than trying to time an exit.Jump to:0:00 - Welcome And Market Milestones0:58 - Dow 53,000 And Summer Rally3:26 - What Really Drove Returns8:31 - AI Volatility Plus Sector Rotation16:31 - Breadth Signals And Slingshot Stats23:29 - Momentum Extremes And Risk Management28:45 - Ryan's Carson Origin Story32:05 - Sonu's Origin Story And AI Era42:04 - World Cup Heartbreak And Leadership47:57 - Payrolls Takeaways And Wrap-UpConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

The recent heat wave in Europe provided a unique environment for the 75,000 attendees of the London Climate Action Week. Climate Lead Thibaud Clisson tells Chief Market Strategist, Daniel Morris, that this major climate finance gathering focused on seeking concrete solutions to accelerate and finance the energy transition and climate adaptations, and on how to best channel private funding towards practical solutions.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

In this edition of The KE Report, I sat down with Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Capital Markets and Editor of the Marc to Market website, to unpack another full week of macroeconomic data.  We focused on the US jobs report, GDP estimates for Q2, the mid-week European central bank meeting where Kevin Warsh spoke, the shift to an annual review of the Mexico/Canada/America (“MCA”) trade agreement, further geopolitics effects of tariffs and the Strait of Hormuz supply shock, and how all of that factors into interest rates, currencies, and international markets.   Key Discussion Points:   Jobs Report Metrics Come In Weaker Than Expected: The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the US added just 57,000 jobs in June, a slowdown from previous months and below the 113,000 economists expected. The unemployment rate, however, ticked down to 4.2%, below the expected 4.3%. Marc gets under-the-hood and looks at the nuances of the regular revisions to the jobs data, the nature of the data collection and inherent challenges with getting it all in a timely basis, and how the low participation rate effected the unemployment rate. The Atlanta-based GDP Now Forecasts ~1.2% GDP Growth in Q2:  While this number is also subject to revision when the official number comes out, and is contrast to Bloomberg's 2.2% GDP growth estimate, it highlights a reduction in growth in Q2 versus Q1. When contrasting the 1.2% GDP growth estimate versus the May inflation reading at 4.2% area, some economists point to negative growth in “real” inflation-adjusted terms and point to this being stagflation.   Marc weighs in on the conversation and is less convinced of the economy being in that kind of dire stagflationary pressure, and lays out the case for steady growth and how different segments of the economy are in different situations. Inflation Expectations and Fed Policy: A few weeks after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's debut meeting, and after getting more comments from him this last week at the European Central Bank Forum, the market is pricing in a hawkish trajectory for the end of the year; with 1.5 hikes prices in. This is affecting the short-end of the bond yield curve, while the longer-dated treasury yields are flattening. Mark weighs in on the key takeaways in these trends as well as where "real" inflation-adjusted interest rates are coming in. International Market Movers:  Widening the scope beyond US markets, we discuss interest rates, currencies, and stock markets abroad from Europe to Asia, and the trends and moves by specific countries that have Marc's attention. Mexico/Canada/America (“MCA”) Trade Agreement Goes To Annual Review: Marc highlights that now that July 1st deadline has come and gone, the MCA is still intact, but now goes to an annual renewal and review for the next decade.  This brings up the larger discussion around North American trade and economies of scale between the 3 countries, and the benefits of the MCA versus bilateral trade agreements. Strait of Hormuz Supply Shock Effects Multiply: While the MOU for the ceasefire between the US and Iran is on unsure footing, there has been a significant drop in crude oil prices over the last couple of weeks, easing some future inflation expectations.  However, the resulting supply shock in fertilizers and pesticides, had an impact on farming in a year where the warmer weather effects from El Niño are anticipated to result in lower food yields.  This is one of the big themes Marc will be watching for the balance of this year and setting up for 2027.   Click here to visit Marc's site – Marc To Market – https://www.marctomarket.com/     For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.    

Dire predictions about possible catastrophic impacts of the Iran conflict on oil prices – and thus on the global economy – appear to have largely proven unfounded. Thijs Van de Graaf, Professor of International Energy Politics at Ghent University, talks with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the range of factors that have mitigated the effects of the war.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Building a billion-dollar company requires more than a great idea—it takes customer obsession, disciplined investing, and smart scaling. In this special compilation episode, Travis Chappell brings together insights from three remarkable entrepreneurs: Tomer London, co-founder and Chief Product Officer of Gusto; Jim Lebenthal, Chief Market Strategist at Cerity Partners; and Richard Harpin, founder of HomeServe. Together, they share practical lessons on creating products customers love, investing for the long term, and scaling businesses without losing control. On this episode we talk about: Why solving real customer problems is the foundation of billion-dollar companies. The importance of product development and customer feedback in building lasting businesses. Why long-term investing consistently outperforms trying to time the market. How entrepreneurs should think about fundraising, ownership, and scaling. The systems, metrics, and business models that helped HomeServe grow into a multi-billion-dollar company. Top 3 Takeaways The best businesses begin with a deep understanding of customer pain points and an unwavering commitment to building products that genuinely solve them. Whether investing or building a company, patience and long-term thinking outperform chasing short-term wins. Prove your business model before scaling aggressively. Grow sustainably, maintain ownership whenever possible, and let strong unit economics guide expansion. Notable Quotes "Consumers get amazing technology. Small businesses deserve great technology too." "The best days in the market almost always happen right after the worst days." "Keep it small, prove the model, get to profitability, and then, if you need money to scale, that's when you should bring in an investor." Connect with the Guests: Tomer London LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomerlondon/ Other: Gusto: https://gusto.com/ Jim Lebenthal LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jim-lebenthal/ Book: How to Ride the Subway: Getting Around on Wall Street and Life Other: Cerity Partners: https://ceritypartners.com/ Richard Harpin Book: How to Make a Billion in Nine Steps Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/richard_harpin/ A Word from Our Sponsors: - Visit DrinkAG1.com/TMM to get a free AG1 Travel Case with 7 free AG1Travel Packs in your Welcome Kit with your first AG1 subscription order while supplieslast.  - Go to Leesa.com for 30% OFF select mattresses (through July 12, 2026) PLUS get an extra $50 off with promo code TMM, exclusive for my listeners  - To learn more about Mode Mobile and its investor community, go to https://invest.modemobile.com/travismakesmoney -Travis Makes Money is made possible by High Level – the All-In-One Sales & Marketing Platform built for agencies, by an agency.Capture leads, nurture them, and close more deals—all from one powerful platform.Get an extended free trial at gohighlevel.com/travis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In Episode 194 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, take on the "June swoon" and the powerful market rotation shaking up underlying sector leadership. They analyze insights from Sonu's time at the Economic Club of New York, covering Scott Bessent's speech on national security industrial policy, Kevin Warsh's influence at the Fed, and the broader message of the global market.The episode also digs into an unprecedented market breadth anomaly, a massive weekly outperformance in healthcare, the state of small caps, and why the current bull market is far from finished.From Apple's steep hardware price hikes and roaring nominal consumer spending to structural lessons from the 1990s dot-com bubble, the conversation connects the week's biggest headlines to the harder macroeconomic data underneath.Key Takeaways:The S&P 500 logged a five-day losing streak, yet advancing stocks outnumbered decliners every single day, a market anomaly unseen in nearly 30 years. Meanwhile, major advanced-decline lines hit all-time highs.While mega-cap tech paused, mid-caps rose 2.9% and small caps grew 3% month-to-date. Concurrently, healthcare staged an extraordinary 8% weekly jump, marking its largest weekly outperformance on record.Market warnings are often early; the S&P 500 doubled over the three years following Alan Greenspan's 1996 "irrational exuberance" speech. Navigating secular waves like AI requires strategic re-diversification, not exiting the equity market early.While inflation-adjusted real consumption sits around 2%, nominal spending rocketed at an 8.6% annualized pace over the last three months. Because corporate revenue is nominal, this massive wave of consumer spending continues to bolster corporate earnings.Driven by AI-related memory chip shortages, Apple announced steep price hikes including 30% for the HomePod mini and 55% for Apple TV. This demonstrates how one company's supply chain inflation becomes another tech supplier's margin expansion.Massive fiscal deficits at 6% to 7% of GDP mirror the late 1960s, continuing to inject liquidity and minimize near-term recession risks. We expect the Fed to keep rate cuts on pause as core services inflation remains sticky at a 4% annualized pace.While June represents a seasonally weak timeframe, July is historically the strongest month for stocks over the past 20 years, closing positive in 13 of the last 14 years.Jump to:0:02 - Welcome And NYC Market Leaders6:36 - June Swoon Turns Into Rotation9:50 - Breadth Thrust And Sector Breakouts16:24 - AI Momentum And Dotcom Lessons27:40 - Inflation Pressures And Apple Pricing33:32 - Fed Pause Risks And Fiscal Deficits35:42 - July Seasonality And Wrap UpConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

In this Sunday special edition of The KE Report, I sat down with Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Capital Markets and Editor of the Marc to Market website, to unpack a whirlwind week for global macroeconomics, geopolitics effects on the oil sector, central bank policy and how that factors into interest rates and currencies, and international markets.   Key Discussion Points: Strait of Hormuz Geopolitics and The Oil Price Response: We discuss the significant drop in crude oil prices over the last couple of weeks as a market response to the MOU signed between the US and Iran, but counterbalance the conversation with the renewed tensions to end the week and heading into the weekend. Inflation Expectations and Fed Policy: Two weeks after Fed Chair Warsh's debut meeting, the market is pricing in a hawkish trajectory for the end of the year, which is affecting the short-end of the yield curve, while the longer-dated treasury yields are flattening. Mark weighs in on the key takeaways in the trends. The Surging US Dollar Index: Why the dollar is breaking out of its year-long range, achieving new highs against the Japanese Yen and Canadian Dollar, and defying widespread expectations of a decline. MAG-7 Leadership Rolls Over: We've seen many of the megacap tech stocks rolling over the last couple of weeks, and dissect whether this is healthy rotation into other sectors, or a more worrisome sign. SpaceX IPO Fallout For The Space Stocks:  We review the potential frothy market sentiment read of high profile IPOs like SpaceX and Anthropic, and what this means for the space sector valuations dropping most of this year. Mark points out that the increased issuance of shares overall in the market data means that the same money is chasing even more paper, and causing selling in some sectors to rotate into the new trending stories. International Market Movers:  We discuss interest rates, currencies, and stock markets abroad from Europe to Asia, and the trends and moves by specific countries that have Marc's attention.   Click here to visit Marc's site – Marc To Market – https://www.marctomarket.com/   For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.  

Karl Schamotta is the Chief Market Strategist at Corpay Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Rod and Greg Show Daily Rundown – Friday, June 26, 20264:20 pm: Guy Ciarrocchi, political commentator and contributor to Broad and Liberty, joins Rod and Greg to discuss his piece on the praise America, and Americans, are receiving from tourists visiting for the World Cup soccer tournament.4:38 pm: Josh Findlay, National Election Protection Director for the Texas Public Policy Foundation, joins the program to discuss his piece for Townhall about how the Los Angeles City Council has decided to allow non-citizens to vote in school board elections.6:05 pm: John Daniel Davidson, Senior Correspondent at The Federalist, joins the show to discuss his piece about how the American Republic is falling apart.6:20 pm: We'll listen back to yesterday's interview with Jamie Barnes, Division Director of Utah Forestry, Fire and State Lands, and the State Forester, about the details behind the decision to ban personal fireworks in Utah this 4th of July.6:38 pm: We'll air an encore of this week's interview with James Thorne, Chief Market Strategist for Wellington-Altus Private Wealth, about his piece for Real Clear Politics on how President Trump has helped secure piece in the world using American strength.6:50 pm: This week's CEO's You Should Know features Phil James of Fort Knox Safes.

It was a mixed week on Wall Street with technology and inflation in focus. Investors seem more cautious about the AI boom as inflation rose in May with the PCE report rising 4.1% from than a year ago. Partner and Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth LLC Kenny Polcari joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss what that means for summer spending, plus the rise in popularity of socialism among young voters. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

It was a mixed week on Wall Street with technology and inflation in focus. Investors seem more cautious about the AI boom as inflation rose in May with the PCE report rising 4.1% from than a year ago. Partner and Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth LLC Kenny Polcari joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss what that means for summer spending, plus the rise in popularity of socialism among young voters. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

It was a mixed week on Wall Street with technology and inflation in focus. Investors seem more cautious about the AI boom as inflation rose in May with the PCE report rising 4.1% from than a year ago. Partner and Chief Market Strategist at Slatestone Wealth LLC Kenny Polcari joins FOX Business' Lydia Hu to discuss what that means for summer spending, plus the rise in popularity of socialism among young voters. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

At the year's midpoint, investors face a landscape shaped by surging AI investment, geopolitical uncertainty and diverging economic fortunes. The AI boom is powering exceptional growth in technology and semiconductors, while higher energy prices and global tensions add complexity to inflation and consumer sentiment. Shifting central bank policies and evolving global trends are redefining the outlook for fixed income, international equities and alternative assets. In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, as they present their mid-year outlook and share timely insights for navigating today's market crosscurrents. Watch the video version on YouTube.  Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

In Episode 193 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, talk about the passing of former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan and what his 18-year tenure actually produced for markets.Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting as chair featured a statement that clocked in at roughly 130 words and told markets almost nothing about how the new Fed intends to make decisions.Sonu makes the case that despite all the hawkish headlines, dot plot drama, and a two-year yield that jumped 16 basis points on Fed day (the largest single-day move on a Fed decision since 2008), actual real policy rates are more accommodative now than they were in March. The committee is split 9-9 on whether to hike this year, Warsh has opted out of the dot plot entirely, and inflation is running well above target, with core PCE likely to finish the year above 3.3%.Apple's announcement that iPhone prices are going up due to memory chip shortages puts a real-world face on the inflation story. PPI for semiconductor chips and printed circuit boards is running above 100% annualized. Meanwhile the Dow, Russell 2000, and S&P MidCap 400 all closed at all-time highs last Thursday, which is the market's own vote on whether any of this is a crisis. The episode closes with a look at sector leadership, why communication services being down 6% to 7% year-to-date while tech is up 33% is genuinely strange, and why momentum breaking down is the signal to potentially worry about and why it isn't breaking down yet.Key Takeaways: Former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan oversaw a 190% gain in the S&P 500 over 18 years, second only to William McChesney Martin. He also presided over two bubbles that burst within a decade, the tech crash, and the housing collapse, producing what remains the worst decade for equity investors in history.Kevin Warsh's first Fed statement came in at roughly 130 words, the shortest non-emergency statement in modern Fed history. He also declined to submit a dot plot projection. The practical effect is that markets are now pricing guidance from the other 18 members, who are not stepping back from the spotlight.The dot plot went 9-9 on whether to hike in 2026. Three months ago, 12 of 19 members expected at least one cut this year. That shift may explain the volatility. 428 S&P 500 stocks fell on Fed day, the broadest single-day decline of the year, but it does not automatically mean the Fed is hawkish.After subtracting the Fed's own inflation projections from its own rate projections, real policy rates are actually more accommodative now than in March, dropping from an implied 0.7% real rate to 0.5%. With core PCE running around 3.5% to 3.8% annualized, the real policy rate is effectively near zero.Apple's decision to raise iPhone prices due to memory chip shortages is the real-world confirmation of a broadening inflation story. PPI for semiconductor chips and printed circuit boards is running above 100% annualized.The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Russell 2000, and S&P MidCap 400 all closed at all-time highs last Thursday. The NYSE advance-decline line and the small cap advance-decline line both hit all-time highs the prior Tuesday.Jump to:0:00 — World Cup Weekend and Father's Day3:07 — Remembering Alan Greenspan's Fed8:05 — A New Chair and a Short Statement13:25 — Dot Plot Split and Market Shock19:45 — Yield Curve Signals and Bond Surprise24:35 — AI Supply Chains and Price Pressure28:20 — The Case for a Dovish Fed34:40 — Economy Strength and Running It Hot37:10 — A Car Break in Reality Check40:35 — Breadth Seasonality and Sector Rotation53:20 — Closing Thoughts and Listener RequestsConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has passed away at the age of 100, leaving behind a massive, complex economic legacy. Does his most famous warning about the economy perfectly describe the market we are living in right now? Chief Market Strategist for ProCap Financial Phil Rosen joins Lou Basenese to discuss Greenspan's nearly 19-year tenure steering the economy and whether his iconic “irrational exuberance” warning is fitting for today's volatile markets and the AI boom. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Mercantilist Restoration - https://anthonyfatseas.substack.com/p/the-mercantilist-restoration-how?r=1ni7opInterview recorded - 17th of June, 2026On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Peter Grandich. Peter Grandich is a Wall Street veteran known as the Wall Street Whiz Kid, and the founder of Peter Grandich and Company.During our conversation we spoke about his economic overview, risk of a similar scenario to the great depression, K shaped economy, AI, Precious metals, underappreciated assets and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction3:14 - Economic overview5:52 - Stock market concern9:49 - Crash catalyst?16:28 - Lame duck president?18:25 - K shaped economy & AI boom22:34 - Government inefficiencies25:54 - Precious metals long31:07 - Underappreciated assets?33:15 - Kevin Warsh hawkish37:29 - Global overview39:12 - One message to takeaway?Peter Grandich entered Wall Street in the mid-1980s with neither formal education nor training, and within three years was appointed Head of Investment Strategy for a leading New York Stock Exchange-member firm. He would go on to hold positions as Chief Market Strategist, Portfolio Manager for four hedge funds and a mutual fund that bore his name. His abilities have resulted in hundreds of media interviews, including Good Morning America, Fox News, CNBC, Wall Street Journal, Barron's, Financial Post, Globe and Mail, US News & World Report, New York Times, Business Week, MarketWatch, Business News Network and dozens more. He has spoken at investment conferences around the globe, edited numerous investment newsletters and was one of the more sought-after financial commentators.His autobiography, Confessions of a Wall Street Whiz Kid, was first published in the fall of 2011. The second edition was released in 2014, while the third edition, Confessions of a Former Wall Street Whiz Kid, was issued in October 2015. The fourth edition of the book was later released in April 2019, and the fifth edition was issued in May 2021.The fifth edition of the book is currently available on Amazon.com, but you can also read the book for free online. Read the book online.Grandich was the editor and publisher of The Grandich Letter from 1984 to 2014. He was also Senior Commentator for Moneytalks.net from 2013 to 2015.In 2013, Grandich founded the Athletes & Business Alliance (ABA), a private organization of professional athletes and business executives who exchange ideas and build relationships with an emphasis on capitalizing on the talents of all involved. A symbiotic organization, ABA is a network of accomplished individuals in an environment where one can develop personal associations with a structured and supportive system of giving and receiving business. The ABA boasts a select membership of diverse senior-level executives, high net worth business owners, and both active and retired pro athletes. By invitation only, high-level corporate and business decision-makers and prominent athletes intermingle. To achieve success, businesses must utilize effective marketing tools, secure new customers to generate repeat business and provide superior customer service that engenders loyalty. The ABA provides an environment to do this and more.Peter Grandich currently resides in New Jersey with his wife, Mary, and they have one daughter, Tara.Peter Grandich - Website - https://petergrandich.com/X - https://twitter.com/PeterGrandichYouTube - @Peter-Grandich Blog - https://petergrandich.com/blog-posts/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has passed away at the age of 100, leaving behind a massive, complex economic legacy. Does his most famous warning about the economy perfectly describe the market we are living in right now? Chief Market Strategist for ProCap Financial Phil Rosen joins Lou Basenese to discuss Greenspan's nearly 19-year tenure steering the economy and whether his iconic “irrational exuberance” warning is fitting for today's volatile markets and the AI boom. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has passed away at the age of 100, leaving behind a massive, complex economic legacy. Does his most famous warning about the economy perfectly describe the market we are living in right now? Chief Market Strategist for ProCap Financial Phil Rosen joins Lou Basenese to discuss Greenspan's nearly 19-year tenure steering the economy and whether his iconic “irrational exuberance” warning is fitting for today's volatile markets and the AI boom. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Artificial intelligence (AI) models continue to get smarter and cheaper, spurring adoption and expanding the total addressable market. Pamela Hegarty and Derek Glynn, Co-portfolio Managers of BNPP AM's disruptive technology strategy provide Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, with their expert views of the current AI industry and its investment potential, not least in supporting both training and inferencing applications.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

The first Federal Reserve meeting under Chair Kevin Warsh and markets react negatively as yields surge and stocks fall. David Zervos, Chief Market Strategist at Jefferies, explains how investors should interpret the Fed's message and where markets could head next. Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research argues that bull markets do not die of old age and explains why he remains overweight equities. Michelle Meyer, Chief Economist at Mastercard, discusses how higher energy costs are affecting spending patterns and why consumers continue to adapt despite pressure on discretionary budgets. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Click the link http://kalshi.com/r/MOSES or download the Kalshi App and use code MOSES to sign up and trade today!Checkout the WAWD Substack here: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/Danny Moses sits down with Chris Verrone, Chief Market Strategist and Head of Technical & Macro Research at Strategas, for a wide-ranging conversation on a market that keeps shrugging off every shock thrown at it. Chris breaks down why he's calling this the "hit me again" market — tariffs, an energy shock, war — and none of it has seemed to matter.They dig into improving market breadth (65% of stocks above their 200-day, a far cry from the narrow 2000 peak), the rotation question of where money goes if it leaves tech, memory, and semis, and why Chris is running a deliberately balanced book into healthcare, financials, and consumer. Plus: Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting and why "no cuts are the new Fed cuts," the path of financial deregulation and a coming wave of bank M&A, the $40 trillion debt question and why the bond market is the only arbiter that matters, his contrarian bearish gold call, and a healthy dose of skepticism on parabolic AI and SpaceX-style valuations — "put the chips in your pocket."Follow Chris on X: https://x.com/verrone_chris?lang=enFollow Chris on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/chris-verrone-6b1ab4111--ABOUT THE SHOWFor decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners.Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Jim Lebenthal, Chief Market Strategist at Cerity Partners, joins Travis to share lessons from more than 25 years of managing investment portfolios and advising clients through every type of market environment. A former U.S. Navy submarine officer and regular CNBC contributor, Jim brings a unique perspective on investing, discipline, risk management, and human behavior. Drawing from his new book, How to Ride the Subway, he explains why successful investing often comes down to patience, trust, and resisting the urge to outsmart the market. On this episode we talk about: How Jim's early experiences investing shaped his career in wealth management Lessons learned from serving as a nuclear submarine officer in the U.S. Navy Why trust, empathy, and communication are essential in financial advising The dangers of market timing, day trading, and speculative investing Current market conditions, inflation concerns, and the future of major AI-driven IPOs Top 3 Takeaways Long-term investing consistently outperforms attempts to time the market, and missing just a handful of the market's best days can dramatically reduce returns. Successful financial advisors build trust through empathy, honesty, and consistent communication—not just investment performance. Speculation and gambling often masquerade as investing, but true wealth creation comes from patience, discipline, and owning quality assets over time. Notable Quotes "Trust is the currency of the financial advisory world." "The best days in the market almost always happen right next to the worst days." "Trading rapidly is a good way to lose money." Connect with Jim Lebenthal: Book: How to Ride the Subway: Getting Around on Wall Street and in Life CNBC: Regular contributor on CNBC's Halftime Report Company: Cerity Partners LinkedIN: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-lebenthal-2793685/ A Word from Our Sponsors: Today's episode is brought to you by our incredible sponsors. Their support allows us to continue bringing you conversations with top investors, entrepreneurs, and thought leaders. Be sure to check out the links below and support the brands that help make the Travis Makes Money Podcast possible. - Are you ready to start your own creatorjourney and make it big? Visitwww.fanvue.com today and launch yourcareer! - To learn more about Mode Mobile and its investor community, go to https://invest.modemobile.com/travismakesmoney -Travis Makes Money is made possible by High Level – the All-In-One Sales & Marketing Platform built for agencies, by an agency.Capture leads, nurture them, and close more deals—all from one powerful platform.Get an extended free trial at gohighlevel.com/travis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Inside Economics team welcomes Jim Lebenthal, Chief Market Strategist at Cerity Partners, to discuss all things investing on the morning of the SpaceX IPO. Jim discusses the equity market's extraordinary run, whether AI stocks are overvalued, and how investors should think about picking individual stocks versus investing in index funds. The team also welcomes Matt Colyar to talk about this week's inflation data, and Marisa addresses a slew of comments from last week's podcast.  Guest: Jim Lebenthal, Chief Market Strategist at Cerity Partners For more from Jim Lebenthal, visit his website: www.jimmylebenthal.com Jim's book, How to Ride the Subway: Getting Around on Wall Street and in Life (Regalo Press March 2026), is available here Jenna Score: 8.5 Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's Analytics Follow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn   Questions or Comments, please email us at InsideEconomics@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In Episode 191 of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, go live from Chicago with Jeff Kilburg, Founder and CEO & CIO at KKM Financial, and Jim Bianco, President at Bianco Research, for a wide-ranging conversation on where markets stand now and what could matter next. The episode centers on the bull market's concentration in AI and large-cap tech, the durability of the rally, the role of active management, and why diversification may need to look different than it did a decade ago.The conversation also digs into earnings momentum, cross-ownership in AI, the impact of higher bond yields on long-duration assets, and whether software is being transformed or disrupted by AI.From bubbles and breadth to bond yields, oil shocks, and portfolio construction, the episode connects live market commentary to the forces shaping returns underneath the surface.Jump to:0:00 — Live Crowd and Big Questions1:48 — What A Bubble Really Means6:00 — Earnings Momentum and AI Optimism12:35 — Circular Ownership and AI ROI16:05 — AI Replaces Software or Adds Cost21:55 — 60/40 Is Not Dead Just Different30:10 — Return Stacking and Better Diversifiers36:30 — Oil, Inflation Volatility, and Bonds41:40 — Concentration, Active Picks, And Dispersion47:20 — Hard-Won Advice and Closing ThanksConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

The Rod and Greg Show Daily Rundown – Tuesday, June 9, 20264:20 pm: Senator Mike Lee joins the show for his weekly conversation with Rod and Greg about what's happening in Washington, D.C., and today they'll discuss his thoughts on the LDS Church, at least initially, not being recognized as being of Christian denomination. Plus, they'll discuss why what's happening in the California primary election is why it's necessary to pass the SAVE Act.4:38 pm: Jack Tomczak, Vice President of Outreach for Americans for Citizen Voting, joins the program to discuss the question of how the idea of citizen-only voting could be controversial.6:05 pm: Anthony Iafrate, Associate Editor for The Daily Caller, joins Rod and Greg for a conversation about his piece on which party won the gerrymandering war.6:38 pm: James Thorne, Chief Market Strategist for Wellington-Altus Private Wealth, joins Rod and Greg to discuss his piece for Real Clear Politics on how Scott Bessent could be the most consequential Secretary of the Treasury since Alexander Hamilton. 

Jun 5, 2026 – After a record-breaking rally, Gina Martin Adams, Chief Market Strategist at HB Wealth, joins Jim Puplava to discuss what's driving equities, risks from oil and inflation, the impact of hyperscaler investments, and her sector picks...

Geopolitical volatility is reshaping the global economic landscape, influencing everything from energy markets and trade flows to technological innovation and security strategies. As events in Iran, Ukraine and China drive profound shifts across markets, investors are challenged to adapt to a world where resilience and strategic foresight are more critical than ever. Heightened defense spending, evolving supply chains, and new approaches to international cooperation are redefining opportunities and risks, demanding a sophisticated understanding of the forces at play. In this episode, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, is joined by Derek Chollet, Head of the JPMorganChase Center for Geopolitics, to share his perspectives on the geopolitical forces shaping today's markets and tomorrow's investment decisions.  Watch the video version on YouTube.  Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

In Episode 190 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, take on the SpaceX IPO and what it could mean for indexes, mega-cap weights, and the next phase of the AI trade. They're joined by Blake Anderson, Director of Portfolio Management at Carson Group, for a wide-ranging conversation on market breadth, small caps, tech leadership, Google's AI spending, software, and the growing influence of data centers and high-quality cash flows in today's market.The episode also digs into the latest rally in stocks, the role of FOMO, the state of the bond market, and why this bull market may still have more room to run even as leadership narrows.From IPO mechanics and index inclusion rules to the economics of AI infrastructure, the conversation connects the market's biggest headlines to the harder data underneath.Key Takeaways:The S&P 500 is up nine consecutive weeks. When it has gained more than 15% in April and May combined, June has never been lower and the rest of the year averages nearly 19% gains.Small caps are up 18% year-to-date and it seems like nobody is talking about it. A third of those returns trace back to three companies, all tied to data centers and AI infrastructure.SpaceX chose the Nasdaq, and Nasdaq changed its rules. Mega-cap companies can now be assessed for index inclusion just 15 days post-IPO instead of waiting six months.At a $2 trillion valuation against $19 billion in 2025 revenue, SpaceX carries a price-to-sales ratio above 90. Historically, IPOs with price-to-sales above 40 average a 94% first-day pop, but a negative 45% three-year return.A deal disclosed in the SpaceX S1 could see Anthropic pay up to $15 billion annually for data center capacity, nearly matching SpaceX's entire 2025 revenue in a single contract.Google is raising $80 billion in equity and has cut buybacks to zero. AI infrastructure spending has moved from optional to existential, with payoff timing still uncertain.Jump to:0:00 — Welcome and the SpaceX question1:19 — Markets rip higher after the spring rally10:33 — Breadth, small caps, and hidden leaders14:10 — FOMO signals and the bubble check15:59 — Blake joins on tech and rates20:48 — Google funds AI data centers26:22 — Software's AI reset and data moats29:13 — SpaceX IPO filing and index rule changes43:01 — IPO stats, valuation risk, and consumer wrapConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#SpaceXIPO #FactsVsFeelings #investing #stockmarket #AI #techinvesting #IPO #smallcaps #SP500 #bullmarket #NVIDIA #Starlink #Anthropic #OpenAI #marketanalysis #portfoliomanagement #indexfunds #WallStreet #fintech #CarsonGroup

On this episode of Market Matters, Shay Boloor, Chief Market Strategist at Futurum Equities, breaks down Big Tech and the AI trade. He explains why AI didn't kill Google's search business, examines the next potential waves of the AI boom, and gives an inside look at the life of a market strategist. Shay also recaps some of his best market calls, including Palantir (PLTR) and Digital Ocean (DOCN).======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

College costs have soared well beyond inflation, making education planning a critical challenge for families and advisors. With public and private tuition rising faster than household incomes, the conversation has shifted from simply saving to strategically investing for education. Choosing the right vehicle—like a 529 plan—can make a meaningful difference, offering tax-deferred growth, tax-free withdrawals, and state-level benefits. This episode examines common misconceptions, the impact of procrastination and the realities of scholarships to provide a practical lens for advisors and parents seeking clarity in a changing environment. In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and Tricia Scarlata, Head of Education Savings at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, as they share actionable perspectives and personal experiences on building smarter education savings plans. Watch the video version on YouTube.  Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

In Episode 189 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, break down the disconnect between how people feel about the economy and what the hard data is actually showing. They connect the dots between oil prices, inflation expectations, Treasury yields, and why markets may not be reacting to geopolitical headlines the way many investors expect.It's a real-time look at the K-shaped economy: tighter budgets at the bottom, resilient spending at the top.Ryan and Sonu walk through stretched momentum after an eight-week rally, sector rotation beneath the surface, and another massive earnings season. They also explain why private AI investments are quietly becoming a meaningful contributor to public company profits, something many investors still aren't fully accounting for.Key Takeaways:Oil prices, Treasury yields, and inflation expectations remain tightly connected even when markets appear calm.Consumer behavior is splitting across income levels, reinforcing the idea of a K-shaped economy.Soft data like sentiment surveys continues diverging from hard data like earnings and employment.Earnings, buyback activity, and AI exposure are reshaping market leadership.Market momentum remains strong, but sector leadership underneath the surface keeps rotating.Bond markets may be the biggest force shaping Fed expectations and investor behavior goingJump to:3:06 — Strait Tensions and Oil Prices6:41 — The All-Electric Ferrari Debate8:39 — Consumer Strain Signals13:15 — Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Lows21:37 — Home Water Leaks and Insurance Headaches25:18 — Sector Breadth and Market Leadership33:15 — Momentum Crowding and the Win Streak37:41 —Earnings and Buybacks45:01 — Private AI Valuations Inside Public Earnings48:13 —Health Data and AI Coaching50:44 — Chicago Live Show Details54:00 — Grading Powell and New Fed Risks1:05:12 — Fed Hike Odds and Week AheadConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Today, we're back on Wall Street and dining at Harry's, a trusted Wall Street institution for over 50 years. Joining us is Liz Thomas, Chief Market Strategist at SoFi. Her origin story starts in Wisconsin, but she's made a name for herself in New York as a trusted market and investment guru. Prior to joining SoFi, Liz was the Director of Market Strategy at BNY Mellon, a Portfolio Analyst at Baird, and a Research Analyst at BMO Global Asset Management. Timecodes 00:00 — “Edgy Broads” 00:21 — Welcome to Standing Table at Harry's on Wall Street 01:24 — Meet SoFi's Head of Investment Strategy, Liz Thomas 02:24 — From Wisconsin to Wall Street: Liz's Journey Begins 04:54 — The Mentor Who Changed Liz's Career Path 06:14 — Guy & Dan Tell the Early Fast Money Origin Story 09:35 — Liz Opens Up About Leaving Everything Behind for NYC 12:31 — Becoming a CNBC Personality & Inspiring Young Women 16:18 — Why Liz Took the Leap from BNY Mellon to SoFi 20:49 — Marriage, Motherhood & Being the Breadwinner 22:21 — Liz's Mission Supporting Women Through Grace Outreach 23:37 — Liz's Career Advice: Don't Wait to Be Noticed Standing Table is made possible through our continued partnership with Apex Fintech Solutions. Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. For more information, visit the Apex Fintech Solutions website: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/apex-fintech/ —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Carl Quintanilla, Leslie Picker, and Michael Santoli kicked off the hour with fresh consumer data and Fed commentary - before breaking down the broader market outlook with MetLife's Chief Market Strategist. Plus: the tech stocks worth taking a look at here - with T. Rowe Price's Dominic Rizzo, and a discussion of why SpaceX should be seen as more than just a rocket company (according to an early investor in the firm).    Elsewhere this hour: all eyes on Washington ahead of Kevin Warsh's swearing in ceremony as the next Fed chair... Former Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota joined the team with his take on the action - and what's next.    Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In Episode 188 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, welcome new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh the only way they know how: with data, context, and zero sugarcoating.When Jerome Powell took over in February 2018, the Dow dropped 4.6% on his first day, the worst debut of any Fed chair in modern memory. This time, it's not the equity market doing the hazing. It's the bond market. The 30-year Treasury yield sits above 5% for the first time since 2007, and Japan's yields just hit levels not seen since the 1990s. Ryan and Sonu explain why the dynamics that once pushed foreign money into Treasuries are quietly reversing and what that means for U.S. investors.From there, Sonu walks through industrial production data that almost nobody is talking about. Manufacturing is running at nearly 5% annualized. High-tech equipment production is up 61% above 2019 levels in real terms. This is hard data, not a survey, and it runs directly counter to the narrative that the economy is softening.Then comes earnings. With 91% of S&P 500 companies reported, earnings growth is running at 27% against expectations of 13%. Communication services, expected to be down nearly 4%, came in up roughly 40%. The consumer is holding up, too, with retail sales running at 13% annualized and 95.2% of all household debt paid on time per the New York Fed.The episode closes with a look at what to watch: NVIDIA earnings, FOMC minutes, and a bond market both hosts are keeping a very close eye on.Key Takeaways:The bond market is testing Kevin Warsh the same way equity markets tested every Fed chair before him, and the dynamics driving yields higher are not going away quickly.AI is showing up in the hard data, not just stock prices. High-tech equipment production is up 61% above 2019 levels in real terms.S&P 500 growth came in at 27% against a 13% estimate during earnings season. Communication services swung from an expected decline of nearly 4% to a gain of roughly 40%.The two-year Treasury yield above the Fed funds rate signals the market believes the Fed is behind the curve. Rate cut calls from the sell side are, in Sonu's words, a John McEnroe moment.The S&P 500 is up seven consecutive weeks, gaining over 16% during that stretch. One year after prior streaks of this magnitude, the market has never been lower and is up 16% on average.Jump to:0:00 — Welcome and Who's Running the Fed?6:10 — Bonds Are Testing the New Fed Chair13:05 — Manufacturing Heats Up and AI Shows Up in Hard Data21:40 — Japan Sparks a Global Yield Reprice34:55 — Portfolio Moves on Duration and Cash43:55 — Earnings and AI Spending49:20 — Consumer Strength, Retail Sales, and Final ThoughtsConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com