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13 episodes with derivatives research
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2 episodes with derivatives research
2 episodes with derivatives research
In a follow-up to our February podcast that introduced commodities as an asset class, we return to the subject. This time around, we explore the intersection of geopolitics and commodities, how the transition to clean power is changing demand patterns, and the outlook for some specific commodities – including the yellow metal. Our speakers are Elisa Piscopiello, Senior ETF Analyst, and Francisco Blanch, who is Managing Director, Head of Global Commodities and Derivatives Research at Bank of America. This podcast is hosted by Harry Brooks, Content Manager. Figures on the declining cost of renewable power are from BloombergNEF as at June 2023. For professional investors only. Capital at risk.
Bob Michele, JPMorgan Asset Management CIO & Global Head of Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities says the Fed may have to tip the economy into recession before cutting rates. Bill Dudley, Former New York Fed President & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist criticizes the Fed's proposal to increase capital requirements for the biggest banks. Greg Boutle, BNP Paribas, US Head Of Equity And Derivative Strategy explains why he ditched his call for an 11% drop in the S&P this year. Francisco Blanch, BofA Global Research Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research says he sees Brent Crude at $90 next year. Bhakti Hansoti, Johns Hopkins University Associate Professor of Emergency says Covid is similar to the flu.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Research Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says the oil market is 'springy' because inventories remain quite low. Brent Schutte, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Chief Investment Officer, says the bond market is telling you that inflation is a thing of the past. Blerina Uruci, T.Rowe Price US Economist, says the Fed will need to continue hiking. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, says the Republican party is very fractured in the House. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Jean Boivin, Head of the BlackRock Investment Institute, says central banks are finally waking up. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Research Head of Global Commodities and Derivatives Research, says there is a huge amount of uncertainty over what the future of energy looks like. Rubeela Farooqi, High Frequency Economics Chief US Economist, is seeing dislocations in the labor market. Tracy Alloway, Odd Lots Podcast Co-Host, discusses her interview with Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross Asset Strategist, says markets are in an interesting pause before the September Fed meeting. Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says credit fundamentals are still strong. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Research Head of Global Commodities and Derivatives Research, says fossil fuels face a tough future ahead. Dan Ives, Wedbush Securities Senior Equity Research Analyst, says Apple is only in the middle innings of an unprecedented upward cycle. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bram joins us to discuss what vol markets are telling us about the earnings season and also to discuss his Global ETF Handbook. Speakers: Thomas Salopek, Global Cross Asset Strategy Bram Kaplan, Equity Derivatives Research This podcast was recorded on August 2, 2022. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4152075-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4124769-0.pdf for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2022 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.
Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Research Head of Global Commodities and Derivatives Research, says demand-rationing measures may be needed around world to tame record fuel prices. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy Founder & Author of The Facebook Effect, discusses Meta after Sheryl Sandberg. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says the Fed's forecasts are aspirational. Megan Greene, Harvard Kennedy School Senior Fellow & Kroll Institute Global Chief Economist, doesn't expect a recession in the next 12 months. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
James Bullard, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President, says U.S. monetary policy needs to be tightened quickly to stop putting upward pressure on inflation. Angela Stent, Brookings Non-Resident Senior Fellow & Former U.S. National Intelligence Officer for Russia and Eurasia, says Putin's ambitions reach beyond Ukraine. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Research Head of Global Commodities and Derivatives Research, still expects crude to rise to $150 this summer. Joanne Feeney, Advisors Capital Management Partner & Portfolio Manager, says equities are the only game in town. David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman discusses his interview with Citadel Founder & CEO Ken Griffin. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist and Managing Director, says markets are overly optimistic on the labor market and monetary policy. Joshua Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean, discusses school protocols for dealing with Covid outbreaks and the new normal of returning to work and school. Francisco Blanch, BofA Head of Global Commodities and Derivatives Research, remains constructive on commodities. Amy Wu Silverman, RBC Equity Derivatives Strategist, explains why the firm calls this the Ed Sheeran or Dave Matthews rally. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, details why he thinks ‘too many investors are underpricing risk.' Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
John Williams, Federal Reserve Bank New York President, says the Fed's taper timing will be driven by data. Francisco Blanch, BofA Securities Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says Bitcoin is inversely correlated with gold. Binky Chadha, Deutsche Bank Chief Global Strategist, says he is long banks, financials and energy. Anna Han, Wells Fargo Equity Strategist, says equities can move higher even as rates are moving higher. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
John Williams, Federal Reserve Bank New York President, says the Fed's taper timing will be driven by data. Francisco Blanch, BofA Securities Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says Bitcoin is inversely correlated with gold. Binky Chadha, Deutsche Bank Chief Global Strategist, says he is long banks, financials and energy. Anna Han, Wells Fargo Equity Strategist, says equities can move higher even as rates are moving higher. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Former New York Federal Reserve President, says rates will climb much higher than expected once the Fed does begin to hike. Jared Bernstein, Council of Economic Advisers Member, says having childcare in the infrastructure package is a high priority. Francisco Blanch, BofA Securities Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says copper could go as high 20K per ton if the supply of scarp doesn't make it into the market. Arvind Krishna, IBM Chairman & CEO, says AI will be infused into every enterprise and every process this century. Sarah Hunt, Alpine Woods Capital Investors Portfolio Manager, says tech still has a lot of pricing power. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Former New York Federal Reserve President, says rates will climb much higher than expected once the Fed does begin to hike. Jared Bernstein, Council of Economic Advisers Member, says having childcare in the infrastructure package is a high priority. Francisco Blanch, BofA Securities Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says copper could go as high 20K per ton if the supply of scarp doesn't make it into the market. Arvind Krishna, IBM Chairman & CEO, says AI will be infused into every enterprise and every process this century. Sarah Hunt, Alpine Woods Capital Investors Portfolio Manager, says tech still has a lot of pricing power.
Michael Feroli, JPMorgan Securities Chief U.S. Economist, says above trend GDP growth will likely persist. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Chief Strategist, says this will be a difficult year for the Fed. Greg Peters, PGIM Senior Portfolio Manager, says the real yield matters more than inflation dynamics right now. Francisco Blanch, BofA Securities Head of Global Commodities and Derivatives Research, says metals still have quite a run ahead. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Michael Feroli, JPMorgan Securities Chief U.S. Economist, says above trend GDP growth will likely persist. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Chief Strategist, says this will be a difficult year for the Fed. Greg Peters, PGIM Senior Portfolio Manager, says the real yield matters more than inflation dynamics right now. Francisco Blanch, BofA Securities Head of Global Commodities and Derivatives Research, says metals still have quite a run ahead.
Francisco Blanch, BofA Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says the flurry of liquidity is driving the divergence in asset values. Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief U.S. Economist, explains why 2021 will be a balancing act of long-run optimism with near-term challenges. Deborah Fuller, University of Washington School of Medicine Microbiology Professor, discusses the long-term effects of Covid-19. Karen Pierce, U.K. Ambassador to the U.S., says a trade deal with the U.S. can be done in 2021. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Francisco Blanch, BofA Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says the flurry of liquidity is driving the divergence in asset values. Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief U.S. Economist, explains why 2021 will be a balancing act of long-run optimism with near-term challenges. Deborah Fuller, University of Washington School of Medicine Microbiology Professor, discusses the long-term effects of Covid-19. Karen Pierce, U.K. Ambassador to the U.S., says a trade deal with the U.S. can be done in 2021.
Adena Friedman, Nasdaq President & CEO, says the SEC has done an excellent job at managing the responsibility of disclosure obligations. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says gold has been the biggest beneficiary from the reflation story. Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley Head of U.S. Public Policy Research & Municipal Credit Strategy, expects an agreement in Washington over the next wave of U.S. stimulus within three weeks. Sir Howard Davies, NatWest Group Chairman, discusses the implications of rising U.S.-China tensions against the backdrop of a fragile economic environment.
Adena Friedman, Nasdaq President & CEO, says the SEC has done an excellent job at managing the responsibility of disclosure obligations. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says gold has been the biggest beneficiary from the reflation story. Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley Head of U.S. Public Policy Research & Municipal Credit Strategy, expects an agreement in Washington over the next wave of U.S. stimulus within three weeks. Sir Howard Davies, NatWest Group Chairman, discusses the implications of rising U.S.-China tensions against the backdrop of a fragile economic environment. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, says that U.S. policy measures have inevitably expanded debt as far as the eye can see. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, says U.S. GDP will see the steepest drop in modern history due to the COVID-19 lockdowns. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, expects economic recovery in the second half of next year, but worries about the unanticipated impact of financing 'an awful lot of misery' until that time. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Head of U.S. and Americas Programme, says it's difficult to predict how much more stimulus is needed to combat the coronavirus's economic impact. Dr. Andrew Pekosz, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Professor and Virologist, says the broad spectrum of disease induced by the novel coronavirus complicates the effectiveness of drug treatments. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, says that U.S. policy measures have inevitably expanded debt as far as the eye can see. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, says U.S. GDP will see the steepest drop in modern history due to the COVID-19 lockdowns. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, expects economic recovery in the second half of next year, but worries about the unanticipated impact of financing 'an awful lot of misery' until that time. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Head of U.S. and Americas Programme, says it's difficult to predict how much more stimulus is needed to combat the coronavirus’s economic impact. Dr. Andrew Pekosz, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Professor and Virologist, says the broad spectrum of disease induced by the novel coronavirus complicates the effectiveness of drug treatments.
Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, expects to see the steepest decline in global oil consumption before the summer. James Bullard, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President, says the Fed has capacity to carry 10% more debt. Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist and Managing Director of Global Research, says he wouldn't be surprised to see more Fed action. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says the United States will become less dependent on single supply sources in the future as a result of the coronavirus. Sebastien Galy, Nordea Bank Senior Macro Strategist, believes the Fed will continue to surprise and adapt to this brutal situation. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, expects to see the steepest decline in global oil consumption before the summer. James Bullard, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President, says the Fed has capacity to carry 10% more debt. Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist and Managing Director of Global Research, says he wouldn't be surprised to see more Fed action. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says the United States will become less dependent on single supply sources in the future as a result of the coronavirus. Sebastien Galy, Nordea Bank Senior Macro Strategist, believes the Fed will continue to surprise and adapt to this brutal situation.
Steve Wieting, Citi Private Bank Global Chief Investment Strategist, says this is a bad time to sell investments. Patrick Armstrong, Plurimi Wealth CIO, says earnings are going to be decimated for a lot of industries in Q2. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, says the hardest part of this crisis is not knowing the demand growth we'll get in Q2. Michelle Meyer, Bank of America Head of U.S. Economics predicts U.S. GDP will drop 12% in the second quarter.
Steve Wieting, Citi Private Bank Global Chief Investment Strategist, says this is a bad time to sell investments. Patrick Armstrong, Plurimi Wealth CIO, says earnings are going to be decimated for a lot of industries in Q2. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, says the hardest part of this crisis is not knowing the demand growth we'll get in Q2. Michelle Meyer, Bank of America Head of U.S. Economics predicts U.S. GDP will drop 12% in the second quarter. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz Chief Economic Adviser & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, foresees a "whatever it takes" approach for central banks. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, says brent oil could dip into the $20s. John Wraith, UBS Head of U.K. Rates Strategy, says the markets are anticipating rates getting close to zero. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says panicked behavior creates opportunity for investors. Luke Kawa, Bloomberg Corss-Asset Reporter, discusses volatility in the U.S. 10-year yield. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz Chief Economic Adviser & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, foresees a "whatever it takes" approach for central banks. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, says brent oil could dip into the $20s. John Wraith, UBS Head of U.K. Rates Strategy, says the markets are anticipating rates getting close to zero. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says panicked behavior creates opportunity for investors. Luke Kawa, Bloomberg Corss-Asset Reporter, discusses volatility in the U.S. 10-year yield.
The price of vol, in single stocks, in equity sectors and across asset classes is on the mind of Stuart Kaiser. Now the head of equity derivatives research at UBS, Stuart spends his time helping the firm’s institutional clients find value on both the long and short side of the derivatives market. Landing at Goldman Sachs a stone's throw away from the global financial crisis, Stuart developed his skill set by looking for opportunities in the single stock options market at a time of massive transition in implied volatility. During our conversation, we revisit the surge in option premia in US financials, from extremely low to unrecognizably high levels in a matter of a year. In this context, Stuart shares his views on the vol risk premia, noting that it can sometimes be compelling to sell vol at low levels, especially when markets are trending in muted fashion as they did in 2017. As part of his process for supporting clients, Stuart continuously evaluates volatility surfaces. He shares the process he uses, describing how he utilizes back-tests and how he arrives at points on the curve that carry best and are optimal in the context of the risks being hedged. We also discuss 2018, a year book-ended by market disruption events of very different character that required unique trade construction in hedging. Lastly, Stuart shares his framework for evaluating cross-asset risk factors and how he looks for warning signs that sister asset classes like FX and rates may send to equity investors. Today, amidst a challenging environment for carrying options, he sees value in gold volatility. Please enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my discussion with Stuart Kaiser.
Steve Eisman, Eisman Group Neuberger Berman Senior Portfolio Manager, discusses the companies he is currently shorting. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, talks about parabolic moves, like the one in Tesla, reminding they almost always return to the point of breakout; also Kass explains why he thinks shares of Amazon will trade $5000 a share by 2023. John Hudak, Brookings Senior Fellow Governance Studies, hopes this is the end of the Iowa caucuses. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says that the Fed cutting rates has created a huge tailwind for risk assets and commodities. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says moderate growth is the new normal for 2020.
Steve Eisman, Eisman Group Neuberger Berman Senior Portfolio Manager, discusses the companies he is currently shorting. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, talks about parabolic moves, like the one in Tesla, reminding they almost always return to the point of breakout; also Kass explains why he thinks shares of Amazon will trade $5000 a share by 2023. John Hudak, Brookings Senior Fellow Governance Studies, hopes this is the end of the Iowa caucuses. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says that the Fed cutting rates has created a huge tailwind for risk assets and commodities. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says moderate growth is the new normal for 2020. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Diana Amoa, JPMorgan Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says a lot of the concerns about global growth that were weighing on sentiment have been priced out of the market. Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Group Chief Economist, says we are in a new era of structurally weaker growth in emerging and developed markets. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says America's energy boom has boosted U.S. immunity to the trade war with China. And Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence U.S. Media Analyst, says Disney+ is the linchpin for Disney's direct-to-consumer strategy. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Diana Amoa, JPMorgan Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says a lot of the concerns about global growth that were weighing on sentiment have been priced out of the market. Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Group Chief Economist, says we are in a new era of structurally weaker growth in emerging and developed markets. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says America's energy boom has boosted U.S. immunity to the trade war with China. And Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence U.S. Media Analyst, says Disney+ is the linchpin for Disney's direct-to-consumer strategy.
At first blush, market volatility and fragility would appear to be two sides of the same coin. But for Ben Bowler and his global team at BAML, the last 5 years has uniquely seen muted overall daily volatility punctuated by occasional but extreme market outbursts. In Ben’s role as global head of derivative research, he has studied this period - one in which market kurtosis, that pesky 4th moment, has been substantially high. Perhaps owing to the conditioning wrought by the heavy hand of Central Banks, investors have, in Bowler’s rendering, increasingly competed for “dip Alpha”. Thus, the market’s growing tendency to lurch from calm to calamity as crowded positioning is unwound and then ultimately re-established once the Central Bank asserts its desire to see easier financial conditions. The result is a remarkable change in the character of market volatility post crisis. In addition to exploring the notion of market fragility, my conversation with Ben considers the volatility risk premium, the value of signals from the landscape of cross-asset vol, and the impact of vol selling on the market’s gamma profile and resulting level of realized index volatility. We also broadly discuss the impact of risk control funds, the speed with which exposures can be de-risked and the greater incidence of flash-crash type events. Ben's insights are excellent. I hope you enjoy this discussion as much as I did, my conversation with Ben Bowler on this episode of the Alpha Exchange.
TWIFO 159: Pop-Tart Arbitrage And The Mysteries of the Options Liquidity Matrix. Russell Rhoads, Director of Derivatives Research at Tabb Group, joins us to break down the latest findings from his Options Liquidity Matrix. Mark and Russell also discuss: - Is pop tart arbitrage the new frontier of trading? - Why is WTI call skew so weak? - What is going on with Gold volatility? - How does the explosion of micro emini futures volume impact the broader equity market? - What the heck is going on in the crypto markets? - And much more... Futures Options Feedback QUESTION FROM ANTHONY: Are we in a new volatility regime for gold? QUESTION FROM CLDD: How do I read this Fedwatch tool? QUESTION FROM 787WEST: I like the movers and shakers but you only do them for futures. Is there a futures options movers and shakers report as well?
TWIFO 159: Pop-Tart Arbitrage And Mysteries of the Options Liquidity Matrix. Russell Rhoads, Director of Derivatives Research at Tabb Group, joins us to break down the latest findings from his Options Liquidity Matrix. Mark and Russell also discuss: - Is pop tart arbitrage the new frontier of trading? - Why is WTI call skew so weak? - What is going on with Gold volatility? - How does the explosion of micro emini futures volume impact the broader equity market? - What the heck is going on in the crypto markets? - And much more... Futures Options Feedback QUESTION FROM ANTHONY: Are we in a new volatility regime for gold? QUESTION FROM CLDD: How do I read this Fedwatch tool? QUESTION FROM 787WEST: I like the movers and shakers but you only do them for futures. Is there a futures options movers and shakers report as well?
Lionel is CEO of Bitspread Financial Solutions. He has more than 20 years of investment banking experience at BNP, Credit Suisse, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch and CitiGroup, including global and Managing Director roles, heading several functions around Financial Engineering, Derivatives Research, Product Management, Complex Structuring and Market Risk. As the blockchain asset space rapidly becomes more institutionalised and professionalised, he believes it is the next frontier for finance. BitSpread is a blockchain asset research and advisory firm, who are the first to provide institutional quality capital protected investing strategies that limit the downside while providing exposure to the potential upside of cryptocurrencies.
John P. Davidson, Chief Executive Officer, OCC is interviewed by Russell Rhoads, Head of Derivatives Research, TABB Group / Adjunct Professor at Loyola University, Chicago.
China's USD 12-trillion stock market is a vast and complicated panoply of different share types across a wide variety of markets, exchanges and share classes. With the rising role of A-shares amongst international emerging markets indices, understanding the market dynamics of China's equity markets will be increasingly critical. Listen to Will Stephens, Head of Asia Synthetic Equity and Derivatives Research and co-head of Asia Pacific Equity Strategy.
China's USD 12-trillion stock market is a vast and complicated panoply of different share types across a wide variety of markets, exchanges and share classes. With the rising role of A-shares amongst international emerging markets indices, understanding the market dynamics of China's equity markets will be increasingly critical. Listen to Will Stephens, Head of Asia Synthetic Equity and Derivatives Research and co-head of Asia Pacific Equity Strategy.
China's USD 12-trillion stock market is a vast and complicated panoply of different share types across a wide variety of markets, exchanges and share classes. With the rising role of A-shares amongst international emerging markets indices, understanding the market dynamics of China's equity markets will be increasingly critical. Listen to Will Stephens, Head of Asia Synthetic Equity and Derivatives Research and co-head of Asia Pacific Equity Strategy.
Francisco Blanch, head of Global Commodities and Derivatives at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, joins DoubleLine’s Jeffrey Sherman and Sam Lau to discuss his pioneering work in the creation of enhanced commodities indices and the complex web of supply, demand, ... Read More
Today's special guest co-host is Russell Rhoads, Formerly Dr. VIX and current Head of Derivatives Research at the Tabb Group. Topics this week include: Crude Oil/WTI Nat Gas Equities Metals/Gold/Copper Ags/Soybeans Futures Options Feedback: Listeners take the reins Question from Elleneals - Given the skew setup in equities with calls being cheaper than puts from a vol perspective why would you ever buy a collar? Why doesn't everyone always sell the skew and use bullish risk reversals? The market seems to be set up for it.
Today's special guest co-host is Russell Rhoads, Formerly Dr. VIX and current Head of Derivatives Research at the Tabb Group. Topics this week include: Crude Oil/WTI Nat Gas Equities Metals/Gold/Copper Ags/Soybeans Futures Options Feedback: Listeners take the reins Question from Elleneals - Given the skew setup in equities with calls being cheaper than puts from a vol perspective why would you ever buy a collar? Why doesn't everyone always sell the skew and use bullish risk reversals? The market seems to be set up for it.
Michael McKee and Kathleen Hays, Bloomberg News Correspondents, are in Jackson Hole for the 2018 Economic Symposium. Hays speaks with Kansas City Fed President Esther George and McKee previews his upcoming interviews. Amo Mbatha, Bloomberg News Reporter, discusses South Africa's reaction to President Trump's tweet. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of FX Strategy, says the modern economy tends to downgrade the importance of land in income distribution. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, thinks gold never responds well in environments of rising rates and a strong dollar. Nina Schick, Rasmussen Global Director of Data and Polling Company, and Richard Turnill, BlackRock Investment Institute Global Chief Investment Strategist, discuss U.S.-Russia relations. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Michael McKee and Kathleen Hays, Bloomberg News Correspondents, are in Jackson Hole for the 2018 Economic Symposium. Hays speaks with Kansas City Fed President Esther George and McKee previews his upcoming interviews. Amo Mbatha, Bloomberg News Reporter, discusses South Africa's reaction to President Trump's tweet. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of FX Strategy, says the modern economy tends to downgrade the importance of land in income distribution. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, thinks gold never responds well in environments of rising rates and a strong dollar. Nina Schick, Rasmussen Global Director of Data and Polling Company, and Richard Turnill, BlackRock Investment Institute Global Chief Investment Strategist, discuss U.S.-Russia relations.
Volatility Review with very special guest co-host Russell Rhoads, Head of Derivatives Research at the Tabb Group. Volatility and selloffs return briefly during earning season. VIX Cash - 11.83, down slightly from last week. VVIX - 88, unchanged from last week. VIX Options - ADV: 440k, VIX call/put: 3/1, Total 7.95m (5.96m Calls, 1.99m Puts) VXX - 28.5, 2 points lower than last week. Volatility options question of the week: VXX has finally broken through the 30 handle. Many of you are fascinated with the ongoing saga of the VXX Jan 10 Puts. OI is over 200k and thousands continue to trade for $.01. Our question: Would you trade these puts? 57% - Yes: Buy for $.01 14% - Yes: Sell for $.01 23% - No. It's Just Gambling 6% - I have enough VXX Puts Volatility Voicemail: Listeners have their say Question from VolBug - When it's all said and done, is the bottom line that all inverse VIX products, whether short term or mid-term, can be subject to an acceleration event like SVXY given a high enough spike in the VIX? Thanks! Question from LL09 - Are you guys still trading these things? Saw 1k go up yesterday. Was that meatball? Comment from LVAC2 - Etrade wants to charge me $159.95 to buy 200 of those VXX Jan 10 puts. That's highway robbery! Crystal Ball: Getting our prognosticating on Last week: Mark L. -11.45 Mark S. -12.76 Guest - 12.05 This week: Mark L. -12.25 Andrew -11.01 Russell - 13.05
Volatility Review with very special guest co-host Russell Rhoads, Head of Derivatives Research at the Tabb Group. Volatility and selloffs return briefly during earning season. VIX Cash - 11.83, down slightly from last week. VVIX - 88, unchanged from last week. VIX Options - ADV: 440k, VIX call/put: 3/1, Total 7.95m (5.96m Calls, 1.99m Puts) VXX - 28.5, 2 points lower than last week. Volatility options question of the week: VXX has finally broken through the 30 handle. Many of you are fascinated with the ongoing saga of the VXX Jan 10 Puts. OI is over 200k and thousands continue to trade for $.01. Our question: Would you trade these puts? 57% - Yes: Buy for $.01 14% - Yes: Sell for $.01 23% - No. It's Just Gambling 6% - I have enough VXX Puts Volatility Voicemail: Listeners have their say Question from VolBug - When it's all said and done, is the bottom line that all inverse VIX products, whether short term or mid-term, can be subject to an acceleration event like SVXY given a high enough spike in the VIX? Thanks! Question from LL09 - Are you guys still trading these things? Saw 1k go up yesterday. Was that meatball? Comment from LVAC2 - Etrade wants to charge me $159.95 to buy 200 of those VXX Jan 10 puts. That's highway robbery! Crystal Ball: Getting our prognosticating on Last week: Mark L. -11.45 Mark S. -12.76 Guest - 12.05 This week: Mark L. -12.25 Andrew -11.01 Russell - 13.05
Kate Moore, BlackRock Chief Equity Strategist, says she still strongly believes that equities are the place to be. Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor, does not think we've seen the worst of the populist surge yet. Francisco Blanch, Merrill Lynch Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says oil prices could definitely push higher if geopolitical risk becomes more prominent. John Sununu, Former WH Chief of Staff under President George H.W. Bush, joins us to remember Barbara Bush.
Kate Moore, BlackRock Chief Equity Strategist, says she still strongly believes that equities are the place to be. Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor, does not think we've seen the worst of the populist surge yet. Francisco Blanch, Merrill Lynch Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says oil prices could definitely push higher if geopolitical risk becomes more prominent. John Sununu, Former WH Chief of Staff under President George H.W. Bush, joins us to remember Barbara Bush. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Volatility Viewpoint: The guest today is Scott Maidel, Derivatives Research, FTSE Russell Investments. He discusses: His viewpoint on current volatility landscape VIX spot level - Did VIX cash perform as expected? What are volatility strategies? How to talk about volatility mechanics and characteristics with clients? Updates on current and pending Russell volatility products Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective VIX Cash: Performance vs Market expectations. VVIX: Hovering around 115. VIX Options: Decent but not a strong volume week. Total 7.71m (5.89m Calls, 1.82m Puts) Crude Oil: Volatility creeping back into crude. Crystal Ball: Peering over the market precipice. Earnings season ahoy. Volatility prognostication.
OIC 2014: A Deep Dive into the State of the Industry with Andy Nybo Mark is joined by Andy Nybo, Head of Derivatives Research at TABB Group. They discuss: The use of U.S. listed options by European investors Growing demand for ETF options The insatiable appetite for VIX The state of the industry, including rising volumes, muted uptick in vol, and mini options Pending AAPL split Market structure And more…
OIC 2014: A Deep Dive into the State of the Industry with Andy Nybo Mark is joined by Andy Nybo, Head of Derivatives Research at TABB Group. They discuss: The use of U.S. listed options by European investors Growing demand for ETF options The insatiable appetite for VIX The state of the industry, including rising volumes, muted uptick in vol, and mini options Pending AAPL split Market structure And more…
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