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Israel attacked Iran overnight. How is the market reacting to the attack? We take a look at Gold, Oil, the Dollar and a lot more. We further discuss the current state of the economy, the stock market and where we are in the commodity cycle! #gold #israel #iran
Top US investment banks have raised their forecasts for China's GDP this year, citing the positive impact of government's recent growth policies.
This week we heard GDP growth has dropped, yet we've just given ourselves a pay rise. Does it really matter if the economy isn't growing as much as we would like and is GDP the best measure anyway? What will this mean for inflation? This week we give the economy a health check and look at what this all means for the future of jobs.
Soft US services and job surveys support rate cut expectations for later in the year. Australia's headline growth falls in Q1, and South Korea's currency and stock market get a boost from an election ending months of uncertainty. In our deep dive interview, ANZ Head of Australian Economics Adam Boyton explains why the economy is in better shape than yesterday's Q1 GDP indicated. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/
Aubrey converses with Miyelani Mkhabela-Chief Economist at Antswisa Capital about what we could possibly expect next week when Budget 3.0 is tabled in parliament. THE AUBREY MASANGO SHOW BOILERPLATE The Aubrey Masango Show is presented by late night radio broadcaster Aubrey Masango. Aubrey hosts in-depth interviews on controversial political issues and chats to experts offering life advice and guidance in areas of psychology, personal finance and more. All Aubrey’s interviews are podcasted for you to catch-up and listen. Thank you for listening to this podcast from The Aubrey Masango Show. Listen live on weekdays between 20:00 and 24:00 (SA Time) to The Aubrey Masango Show broadcast on 702 https://buff.ly/gk3y0Kj and on CapeTalk between 20:00 and 21:00 (SA Time) https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk Find out more about the show here https://buff.ly/lzyKCv0 and get all the catch-up podcasts https://buff.ly/rT6znsn Subscribe to the 702 and CapeTalk Daily and Weekly Newsletters https://buff.ly/v5mfet Follow us on social media: 702 on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TalkRadio702 702 on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@talkradio702 702 on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/talkradio702/ 702 on X: https://x.com/Radio702 702 on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@radio702 CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Fergal O'Brien, IBEC's Economics and Policy Division, reacts to the latest economic forecasts presented by the Minister of Finance.
On Episode 570 of The Core Report, financial journalist Govindraj Ethiraj takes you through the biggest stories in business and manufacturing.SHOW NOTES(00:00) The Take(07:33) US markets roil after negative GDP growth(09:48) GST collections hit all time high in April(11:35) Oil is back around $60 a barrel(14:14) Investors are now selling US corporate bonds(15:53) Two Indian companies including Adani scrap ambitious chip manufacturing plansREGISTER for Accenture's Data and AI WeekListeners! We await your feedback....The Core and The Core Report is ad supported and FREE for all readers and listeners. Write in to shiva@thecore.in for sponsorships and brand studio requirementsFor more of our coverage check out thecore.inSubscribe to our NewsletterFollow us on:Twitter | Instagram | Facebook | Linkedin | Youtube
MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
Singapore shares were little moved today, after ending the previous session flat. The Straits Times Index was up 0.07% at 3,834.77 points at about 12.26pm Singapore time with a value turnover of S$801.09M in the broader market. In terms of counters to watch today, we have CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust after it posted net property income (NPI) of S$291.5 million for Q1 FY2025, a 0.8 per cent drop from the previous corresponding period. Elsewhere, from China reportedly considering suspending its 125 per cent tariff on some US imports to how Singapore Airlines has partnered OpenAI to develop and execute generative AI solutions for the airline – more international and corporate headlines remain in focus. On Market View, Money Matters’ finance presenter Chua Tian Tian unpacked the developments with Benjamin Goh, Head of Research and Investor Education, SIAS.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Prescient's Tian Pan mulls China's response to the trade war, saying: ‘What's encouraging is that on the Chinese side it appears all of their responses seem well planned in advance'.
The economy is on fire—at least according to the latest GDP numbers. But is this growth real, or is it just a result of massive government spending? And how does it impact the housing market, which is showing signs of slowing down? In this episode of Drunk Real Estate, we break down the big economic headlines, including the surprising GDP surge and what it means for investors, homeowners, and renters. Is this an opportunity—or a disaster waiting to happen? We also dive into how government policies are influencing real estate, the hidden risks behind the numbers, and what moves smart investors should be making right now. Tune in for:
New tariffs will surely lead to a rise in inflation, as will the oil price, if Iran ignores Trump's ultimatum to a new nuclear deal. With inflation expected to stay high, we look for only one rate cut this year, and think 2026 will be an easier year to cut rates. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is technically weak, having broken its March low. It is heavily weighted toward the champions of Artificial Intelligence that have driven the bull market of the past five years. The consensus forecast for 2025 S&P 500 index EPS growth that was over 13% in February, is below 10% today. But since World War 2, April has been the second-best month of the year for the S&P, and in the years when the S&P fell by 3% or more in March, April had an average gain of 6%.
In this episode, author and journalist Puja Mehra speaks to Journalist and Consulting Editor at Business Standard, Subhomoy Bhattacharjee. They discuss the deficiencies within the power sector, why it is incurring losses, the parallels between Power Sector Policy and GST policy, how the power sector disincentivises business and much more. Tune in for insights into the absurdities into one of the most important sectors of the economy.For more of our coverage check out thecore.inSubscribe to our NewsletterFollow us on:Twitter |Instagram |Facebook |Linkedin |Youtube
The US economy will growin 2025–26, but tariffs and other factors are dampening expectations. The US economy is expected to grow by 2.0% this year and 1.7% in 2026, according to The Conference Board—both revised down from previous projections. What's driving this pessimism about economic growth, and could stagflation become a serious risk? Join Steve Odland and guest Yelena Shulyatyeva, Senior US Economist at The Conference Board Economy, Strategy & Finance Center, to find out what's driving this economic uncertainty, how tariffs could affect GDP and inflation, and why The Conference Board expects the Federal Reserve to make three rate cuts in 2025. (00:21) Overview of the U.S. Economic Forecast (01:10) Factors Influencing GDP Growth (02:42) Consumer Confidence and Spending (05:42) Labor Market Projections (10:12) Inflation and Stagflation Concerns (12:05) Federal Reserve's Rate Decisions (17:25) Impact of Tariffs on the Economy (20:46) Global Economic Outlook For more from The Conference Board: Global Forecast Update Tariff Tracker What's Behind Conflicting US CEO & Consumer Confidence Readings?
The Fed has just held US official interest rates, but has forecast slower growth and two more rate cuts. Traders pushed the US dollar and market interest rates down. Gold jumped to a new high. The Bank of Japan also holds, but is expected to keep hiking. Australian jobs data today is forecast to show more growth. NZ GDP is forecast to bounce. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Pacific Economist Kishti Sen looks at Fiji's growth outlook and considers what is needed to drive growth. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/
India's GDP reached $3.91 trillion in 2024, but key challenges like rising debt, job scarcity, infrastructure gaps & widening wealth disparity stifles growth for all.
China says it is fully confident in achieving the economic growth target of around five percent as there is solid foundation and support for the economy(1:12). Trade tensions are a major topic at the Two Sessions meetings in Beijing, with experts saying China is resilient and can navigate these challenges(11:18). The World Trade Organization says Canada has formally requested a hearing regarding U.S. tariffs enacted this week(19:39).
China has set its GDP growth target for this year at around five percent.
Around 5%, that's the growth target China has set for 2025, the same as last year. This was announced by Chinese Premier Li Qiang in his government work report, presented to the annual gathering of China's top legislators for deliberations. The report reviewed the government's work last year, outlined economic and social priorities, policy directions for the year ahead and actions to be taken. Why is China so confident about achieving similar levels of growth as last year? How does China plan to achieve these targets?
Business Day acting editor Tiisetso Motsoeneng talks is joined by Nedbank COO Mfundo Nkuhlu.
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about the Atlanta Fed's model forecasting negative GDP growth in the first quarter and what that means for mortgage rates. The two also discuss President Trump's plans for tariffs. Related to this episode: Trump confirms 25% tariffs on Mexican, Canadian imports will start Tuesday | HousingWire HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Cut through the media noise. Debunk Robert Kiyosaki's latest market crash warning. Ease financial and geopolitical anxiety with facts: GDP is growing over 2%, inflation is cooling, and the labor market has snapped back to a healthy balance—challenge fear-driven narratives by focusing on fundamentals. Could Walmart's earnings stumble be a hiccup rather than a harbinger? Isn't Amazon's quarterly revenue record the bigger story? With FactSet forecasting healthy S&P 500 earnings growth for 2025, is it time to lean in rather than sit out? Examine Columbia Threadneedle's study to see why today's 4.5% to 5% bond yields make them a potentially productive strategy because they sometimes sidestep cash drag to secure stable returns. Want a retirement game plan? Wes and Jeff walk listeners through the “Fill the Gap” strategy: know your income shortfall, multiply by 25, and hopefully retire with confidence. Then, unpack the “Doge Dividend” proposal, a concept floated by the Trump administration suggesting taxpayer rebates tied to deficit reductions. Would one-time stimulus checks be more or less productive than debt rollback? Listen to find out more, and if you're heading to the Waffle House, brace for that new 50-cent egg surcharge.
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What bank earnings reveal for 2025 Most big bank earnings are out now and the news and the guidance did lean on the positive side. A concern was revealed, which was no surprise to us that loan growth was only up 1.1% from a year ago. It is expected to see loan growth for 2025 of around 2.6%. Bank of America was the big winner here reporting loan demand grew 5 % from last year, but regional bank KeyCorp disappointed investors with their guidance as they are estimating loan balances would drop 2 to 5% in 2025. A positive in their report was net interest income would rise 20%. That was not good enough for the analyst community as the stock sold off following the report. Net interest income, also known as NII is the difference of what a bank pays for money and what they loaned it out at. This is a big factor when one is investing in banks considering it is such a large part of their profits. We have talked before that we do expect to see more mergers and acquisitions, also known as M&A going forward. This could help banks like KeyCorp and other smaller banks that go on sale as their stock drops, as there may be a floor to the fall with bigger banks potentially having some interest in scooping up the smaller banks as they go on sale. There are over 4500 banks in the United States, that is a lot of potential for bank M&A. Expected reductions in regulations for banking would also be a great benefit to Wells Fargo and some other banks as well. I do believe in having a strong balanced portfolio and if you don't have some type of financial bank or financial institution in your portfolio, I believe you are missing out. DeepSeek news sends US AI stocks into freefall! DeepSeek AI is a Chinese artificial intelligence start up that rivals US companies like ChatGPT, Anthropic, and several others. DeepSeek has seen it's popularity surge after releasing its reasoning model known as R1. This model apparently tops or is in line with the US competition and on Monday the DeepSeek app took over OpenAI's spot for the most downloaded free app in the US. Many of you can probably guess my thoughts on this after my concerns with TikTok, but I do feel this is extremely dangerous and users must be careful in understanding what type of data they are giving to China. The main reason this news sparked panic in the markets was DeepSeek was apparently able to launch its free, open-source large language model in just two months at a cost of under $6 million. That is million with an M and that is important considering all these US businesses that are spending billions and billions of dollars on AI. The first big question here is was all that money a waste and is there a more efficient way to achieve AI success like DeepSeek? Also, there have been curbs to insure China didn't receive the best chips. Did they steal trade secrets, find a way to get their hands on the chips, or most troubling would be, did they create their own technology that would rival a company like Nvidia? Personally, I was not too troubled by the decline on Monday considering we have no exposure to the AI space. I continue to believe it is just way too early to invest in this space and there could be other future competition that comes in that we don't even know of yet. I do also believe this points to how fickle the market can be and with a news story like this being able to take down some of the most beloved winners from 2024, the extremely high valuations for the market should concern investors in the broad-based S&P 500 or Nasdaq. I am still looking for value stocks to do well in 2025, but could this be the beginning of a decline for these overpriced tech names? Custodians are not Fiduciaries, why that's important to you? Your financial advisor may be a fiduciary, but their custodian might not be and it could cost you money. Being a fiduciary registered with the SEC for around 20 years now, we take seriously our obligation to always do what's best for our clients. That also includes choosing a custodian to hold our clients' assets. We spent a lot of time looking for the right fit to make sure our custodian doesn't charge any unnecessary fees. This may come as a surprise to you, but not all custodians are the same. There are custodians that advisors use that may charge little fees like trading fees or maintenance fees that are passed on to you the client, that the advisor should make you aware of. Something recently came to light called an asset shift where some custodians encourage investment advisors to switch out of certain funds so that the custodian will make more money off of the assets they recommend. Unfortunately, this may not be best for the client and they may receive a lower yield. Keep in mind this is not illegal because the custodian does not have a fiduciary responsibility to do what is best for the client. Also, if the custodian forces the investment advisor to switch some funds into funds where the custodian will make more fees off of the new recommended fund, it could also cause a taxable situation for the client. This may be more prevalent in your smaller advisory firms with maybe fifty to hundred million dollars in assets under management. The custodian could tell the advisor either you need to increase your assets with us or begin paying an annual custody fee of anywhere from $200-$400 a year. That fee could really hurt the advisor, as an example if the advisor had 100 clients and they were charged $400 a year per client that would cost them $40,000 a year. More than likely, the advisor would probably have to raise their management fee to their clients to help offset the expense. Investors should ask their financial advisor, even if they are fiduciary if any of their recommendations are being forced by their custodian, which would cost you the client more money. I'm happy to report at our firm the custodian that we have chosen and have used now for ten years puts no pressure on us at all. This could be perhaps because we do have nearly $700 million in assets under management. GDP growth shows the consumer was still strong in Q4 Gross Domestic Product or GDP missed expectations for 2.5% growth in the fourth quarter, but the growth rate of 2.3% was still ok. For the full year we did see a small deceleration in growth as GDP growth fell from 2.9% in 2023 to 2.8% in 2024. While none of this sounds overly optimistic, the consumer really carried the GDP growth in Q4, which I see as positive. Personal consumption expenditures saw growth of 4.2% in Q4 thanks to growth of 6.6% for goods and 3.1% for services. It was surprising to see durable goods really saw nice growth of 12.1% in the quarter, which compared to nondurable goods growth of 3.8%. The miss compared to the expectations can largely be attributed to the change in private inventories as that subtracted 0.93% from the headline GDP number. This category is quite volatile and considering it subtracted 0.22% from the headline number in Q3, I would not be surprised to see it actually benefit the headline number in the first quarter of this year. Considering the strength of the consumer, I was actually quite pleased with this report and I believe it is a good sign for our economy as we look forward. I do believe we will see some bumps in the road this year, but I still think we should see GDP growth in the 2-3% range for the full year. Get Organized for Tax Time Tax season is upon us which means you are probably starting to receive tax documents that will be used to file your taxes. Whether you file taxes yourself, or work with a tax preparer, make sure you gather all the information needed and have at least some understanding of what it means. The tax documents alone do not always provide the information required to complete a tax return. For example, contributions to a traditional IRA can either be tax deductible or non-deductible, such as when making a backdoor Roth contribution. However, no tax form is generated to tell the tax preparer that a contribution was made at all which means the tax deduction would be missed, or your basis in the IRA would not be reported. In both cases you would be paying more tax than necessary. With tax-deferred retirement accounts anytime money is distributed, a 1099-r is generated, but it is not always clear whether the distribution is taxable or not. If the tax preparer is not aware that the 1099-r is from a direct or indirect rollover, a qualified charitable distribution, or the conversion from a non-deductible IRA, they may incorrectly report the distribution as taxable income. When you are gathering your documents, make sure you are gathering everything. If you have a taxable brokerage account, even if you didn't withdraw any money, you will still receive a 1099 because any interest, dividends, or realized capital gains are reportable. If you have a mortgage, you will receive at least one 1098 and you may receive multiple. If you refinanced during the year or even if your mortgage was sold from one lender to another, which is quite common, you will receive a 1098 from each lender. If you don't include all of them, you won't receive your full interest deduction. Most people don't like dealing with taxes and everyone hates paying them, but take the time to understand your situation enough so you don't pay more than you need to. Companies Discussed: Electronic Arts Inc. (EA), CSX Corporation (CSX), Dole PLC (DOLE), Juniper Networks, Inc. (JNPR)
In this episode of Nurturing Financial Freedom, we kick off 2025 by discussing the economic highlights of 2024 and what lies ahead for the U.S. economy and markets. Ed provides an economic overview, while Alex dives into financial market performance and predictions.2024 saw significant progress in inflation reduction, with CPI falling from its 2022 peak of 9.1% to 2.8% by late 2024. While the Fed's soft landing approach avoided recession and brought inflation closer to its 2% target, uncertainties like potential tariffs remain. GDP growth for 2024 ended on a strong note at 2.7%, and economists project continued growth in 2025, with estimates ranging from 2.1% to 2.4%. The labor market, though slightly looser than in previous years, remains robust, with unemployment at 4.1%, still below historical averages.Interest rates, which peaked at 5.25% in mid-2023, were reduced incrementally to 4.25% by the end of 2024. While the Fed is not expected to cut rates further in early 2025, analysts predict additional rate reductions later this year, potentially lowering rates to around 3.25% by year-end.Turning to the markets, 2024 was a stellar year for U.S. equities, driven largely by the “Magnificent Seven” tech giants. The S&P 500 delivered an impressive 25% return, although most of this growth came from a small number of dominant stocks. In contrast, value stocks underperformed, returning 12.3%, while international stocks lagged with a modest 4.4% return. Other asset classes, including small and mid-cap stocks, bonds, and real estate, showed moderate gains. Gold, interestingly, mirrored the stock market's strong performance, rising by 25.5%.Looking ahead to 2025, major banks predict modest market growth, with the S&P 500 expected to yield returns of approximately 10%-12%. But despite a number of predictions - they are just that: predictions. And Alex shares what he and the team think about these predictions. They are speculative, and market behavior is inherently unpredictable. The key takeaway is to remain diversified, stick to a long-term financial plan, and avoid reactionary decisions based on short-term market volatility.As always, staying prepared for market uncertainty while maintaining a balanced, goals-based strategy is critical for long-term success. You can always email Alex and Ed at info@birchrunfinancial.com or give them a call at 484-395-2190.Or visit them on the web at https://www.birchrunfinancial.com/Alex and Ed's Book: Mastering The Money Mind: https://www.amazon.com/Mastering-Money-Mind-Thinking-Personal/dp/1544530536 Any opinions are those of Ed Lambert Alex Cabot, and Jon Gay and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. The examples throughout this material are for illustrative purposes only. Raymond James does not provide tax or legal services. Please discuss these matters with the appropriate professional. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. CDs are insured by the FDIC and offer a fixed rate of return, whereas the return and principal value of investment securities fluctuate with changes in market conditions. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. Stock Market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. This information is not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security referred to herein. Future investment performance cannot be guaranteed, investment yields will fluctuate with market conditions. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic volatility. There is an inverse relationship between interest rate movements and bond prices. Generally, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and when interest rates fall, bond prices generally rise. Investing in small cap stocks generally involves greater risks, and therefore, may not be appropriate for every investor. The prices of small company stocks may be subject to more volatility than those of large company stocks. Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Raymond James Financial Services Advisors, Inc. Birch Run Financial is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services. Birch Run Financial is located at 595 E Swedesford Rd, Ste 360, Wayne PA 19087 and can be reached at 484-395-2190. Any rating is not intended to be an endorsement, or any way indicative of the advisors' abilities to provide investment advice or management. This podcast is intended for informational purposes only.Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize, or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors.Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users or members.
Today on Moment of Zen, we're bringing you the third episode of "This Won't Last", the newest show from Turpentine. Keith Rabois, Logan Bartlett, Kevin Ryan, and Zach Weinberg dissect the 2025 political landscape in a spirited discussion of Trump's evolved messaging and surprising tech industry backing. The conversation weaves through immigration policy, corporate political neutrality, and market dynamics - from Silicon Valley's rightward shift to urban crime challenges and insurance markets and explores how America's tech-policy nexus is reshaping in real-time. —
China's gross domestic product expanded by 5 percent in 2024 - meeting the country's preset annual growth target of around 5 percent, fueled by a slew of policy measures taking effect gradually last year, official data showed on Friday.The country's annual GDP came in at 134.9 trillion yuan ($18.4 trillion) in 2024, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. For the fourth quarter of 2024, the Chinese economy grew 5.4 percent year-on-year, following a 4.6 percent growth in the third quarter.China's value-added industrial output grew by 5.8 percent year-on-year in 2024. The figure rose by 6.2 percent in December following a 5.4 percent growth in November. Retail sales, a key measurement of consumer spending, grew by 3.5 percent for the year, while retail sales in December increased by 3.7 percent versus the 3 percent growth recorded a month earlier. Fixed-asset investment - a gauge of expenditures on items including infrastructure, property, machinery and equipment – rose by 3.2 percent in 2024, while in the first 11 months, it grew by 3.3 percent. The surveyed urban jobless rate came in at 5.1 percent in December versus 5 percent in November, according to the NBS. NBS data showed over the past five years, China's contribution to global economic growth has averaged around 30 percent, making it the largest driver of growth for the world economy.Looking ahead, Zhang Ming, deputy director of the Institute of Finance and Banking, which is part of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said China's annual GDP growth rate is likely to reach 4.7 percent to 5 percent in 2025 if the government takes expansionary moves in macroeconomic adjustments.
Welcome to Furniture Industry News! In this episode, we cover the latest developments shaping the furniture world, from legal shifts to emerging retail trends. Here's what we discussed:Show NotesTikTok Ban and Marketing AlternativesThe U.S. Supreme Court allows a TikTok ban to take effect this weekend.Implications for furniture retailers relying on TikTok for design inspiration and customer engagement.Explore alternatives like Instagram Reels and YouTube Shorts to stay connected with your audience.Furniture Industry Closes 2024 with Strong SalesCommerce Department reports a strong finish to furniture sales in 2024.Insights into what drove the demand and strategies to sustain momentum in 2025.AI Adoption in Retail: Challenges and SolutionsHigh costs, technical hurdles, and integration issues slow AI adoption in furniture retail.Simple solutions like inventory optimization and partnering with tech firms to ease implementation.U.S. Blacklists Chinese Ocean Carrier and ShipbuildersImpacts on shipping times and costs for businesses reliant on Chinese imports.Strategies to diversify supply chains and minimize disruptions.China's GDP Growth and Global Trade RelationsChina reports 5% GDP growth in 2024.Insights into the Xi-Trump phone call and its potential impact on U.S.-China trade policies.Ashley Furniture Named a “Top Brand to Watch”Ashley's recognition for its innovative omnichannel approach and store experience.Lessons for retailers on blending in-store and digital customer experiences.Legal Alert: NY Attorney General Sues Furniture RetailerAllegations of fraud against a New York furniture retailer, emphasizing the importance of transparency and customer satisfaction.J.B. Hunt's Revenue DeclineLogistics giant reports revenue drops for Q4 and 2024 overall.Key takeaways for furniture businesses relying on J.B. Hunt or similar carriers.Key Takeaway:Stay informed, adapt to market changes, and focus on transparency and innovation to thrive in 2025.Subscribe:If you found this episode helpful, be sure to subscribe to Furniture Industry News so you never miss the latest updates.
MRKT Matrix - Tuesday, December 31st Stocks slip in last day of 2024, but S&P 500 on track for second 20% annual gain in a row (CNBC) Stocks on Pace for Best Two Years in a Quarter-Century (Bloomberg) ‘Magnificent 7' stocks responsible for more than half of the S&P 500′s 2024 gain (CNBC) Silicon Valley's turn of fortune: Intel has worst year ever, while Broadcom enjoys record gain (CNBC) Tesla Stock Surge Runs Up Against a Potential Annual Sales Drop (Bloomberg) Beijing Pushes to Use China-Made Chips in Its EVs (WSJ) Xi Says China's 2024 GDP Growth to Hit Target of Around 5% (Bloomberg) Chinese Companies Have Sidestepped Trump's Tariffs. They Could Do It Again. (NYTimes) In Lackluster Year for Emerging Markets, Riskiest Bonds Shone (Bloomberg) Crypto's $205 Billion Stablecoin Market Set to Go Mainstream (Bloomberg) --- Subscribe to our newsletter: https://riskreversalmedia.beehiiv.com/subscribe MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs
In its December 18 meeting, the Federal Reserve signalled that inflation is going to be higher than it expected. If the Fed has to raise rates again at some point next year, the market would not like that at all. The S&P 500 index has returned 60% in the last 2 years, and is trading at valuations seen only in the dot-com and pandemic stimulus booms.But the final phase of a bull market can last a painfully long time for those who try to be contrarian. We remain invested, but contemplate reducing risk at some point in 2025. It will be a year of capital preservation, after 2 years of capital growth.
On this episode of the Crazy Wisdom Podcast, host Stewart Alsop sits down with returning guest Terrance Yang for a wide-ranging discussion on critical financial and societal issues. They explore the state of U.S. federal debt, drawing comparisons to historical periods like World War II, and consider modern-day parallels with Argentina's economic struggles and the election of Javier Milei. The conversation shifts to broader reflections on government waste, regulatory overreach, and the potential for AI to streamline bureaucracy and disrupt traditional finance. Terrance shares sharp insights on Bitcoin as a long-term investment and critiques other cryptocurrencies as vehicles for insider speculation. The episode also touches on market-making, trading psychology, and the rise of autonomous vehicles, hinting at the transformative impact of AI-driven innovation. You can connect with Terrance through his LinkedIn profile.Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation!Timestamps00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome00:35 Discussing U.S. Debt and Financial Insights02:14 Historical Context and Comparisons04:38 Libertarian Governments and Economic Policies08:55 Government Spending and Regulation18:21 Homelessness and Urban Challenges23:06 Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Insights26:22 Investment Strategies and Market Dynamics33:28 AI and Future Investments34:06 AI Market Predictions and Amazon's Strategy36:37 The Struggles of Big Tech with AI Integration38:21 The Future of Self-Driving and Flying Cars42:22 Investment Advice: Bitcoin and AI53:52 Argentina's Economic Lessons01:04:23 The Role of AI in Government and Society01:08:12 Conclusion and Contact InformationKey Insights1. The U.S. Debt Crisis Has Parallels to World War II, But the Path Forward is UnclearTerrance Yang highlights how the current U.S. debt situation resembles the debt spike seen during World War II. Back then, the U.S. "grew its way out" of debt as GDP growth outpaced debt growth. However, today's environment is more complex, with federal net outlays growing at an unsustainable rate. While the debt-to-GDP ratio appears alarming, Yang suggests that focusing on cash flow (tax revenue minus expenditures) as a percentage of GDP offers a more nuanced view. The big question is whether the U.S. can grow its way out of debt again or if fundamental spending cuts are required.2. Bitcoin is a Long-Term Bet, But Most Other Cryptos Are Insider GamesYang views Bitcoin as the only viable long-term store of value among cryptocurrencies, while labeling most altcoins as speculative vehicles designed to "pump and dump" retail investors. He advises listeners to avoid trading Bitcoin due to the dominance of market makers like Goldman Sachs, who use superior data and trading models. Instead, he recommends dollar-cost averaging and focusing on the long-term potential of Bitcoin as "digital gold." Yang cautions against chasing short-term gains in crypto, comparing it to amateur players trying to compete with professional athletes.3. Regulatory Overreach is Stifling American Efficiency, But AI Could Change ThatThe conversation critiques the inefficiencies in U.S. government bureaucracy, using California's high-speed rail project as a cautionary tale of regulatory bloat and government waste. Terrance Yang believes AI has the potential to streamline government services, automate repetitive tasks, and reduce the need for an ever-expanding workforce. He suggests that as government employees retire, many of their roles could be replaced with AI systems, leading to leaner, more efficient public institutions. This vision echoes similar efficiency models seen in Singapore and other high-performing nations.4. The Rise of AI-Enhanced Legal and Coding ProductivityYang points out how large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT Pro are already allowing people to reduce their reliance on lawyers and coders. People are saving thousands of dollars in legal fees by using AI to review contracts and analyze legal risks. In coding, AI tools are helping developers find errors, refactor code, and improve efficiency. Yang himself plans to use AI to help document Bitcoin's core code, a project aimed at making the codebase more accessible to non-technical users. This marks a major shift in the accessibility of technical knowledge.5. Trading is a Rigged Game, and Most People Should Stay OutYang compares day trading to amateur athletes trying to compete with NBA stars like LeBron James. Most retail investors are going up against highly sophisticated market makers like Citadel and Jane Street, who have access to superior information, tools, and algorithms. He explains that market makers profit by always being ready to buy and sell, unlike retail traders who get caught up in emotional decision-making. The best option for most people, Yang says, is to avoid trading entirely and instead invest in low-cost index funds, like the Vanguard S&P 500 fund.6. Argentina's Crisis Offers Lessons for the U.S. on Debt and Welfare StatesDrawing on Argentina's economic collapse, the conversation explores how unsustainable welfare policies and out-of-control debt can bring a nation to its knees. Stewart Alsop notes that while Argentina's citizens are acutely aware of their country's fiscal dysfunction, many Americans remain oblivious to similar risks in the U.S. Yang and Alsop highlight that Argentina's reliance on printing pesos mirrors what could happen if the U.S. dollar's dominance weakens. Javier Milei's rise as Argentina's libertarian president signals a possible shift away from this broken system, but the U.S. appears far from having its own "wake-up moment."7. AI-Driven Automation Will Reshape Cities, Transportation, and JobsWaymo's driverless cars, which are already being tested in Los Angeles, represent a fundamental shift in how cities will operate in the future. Yang explains how autonomous vehicles could make traffic "less painful" by allowing passengers to be productive while stuck in slow-moving traffic. This shift will likely spur greater suburbanization as people find it more tolerable to live farther from work. Coupled with AI-driven automation in government and the workforce, the nature of cities and daily life is poised for a profound transformation, with L.A. potentially becoming more livable than it has been in decades.
Stephen Grootes speaks to Myles Waldeck, Head of M&A Buy-Side at Merchantec Capital, about the CEO Confidence Index, exploring the implications of a 2% decrease in confidence despite growing expectations for higher GDP growth.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week, we examine Australia's latest soft GDP figures. The headline number is a weak 0.3% quarterly expansion, the lowest rate of annual growth since the pandemic with private sector demand contributing nothing to this meager growth figure. Will the RBA stay the course with rates on hold in the face of a deepening per capita recession and falling living standards? We also look at what's driving Australia's poor economic performance relative to other OECD nations. Get your ticket to AGS: https://www.aicd.com.au/events/australian-governance-summit.html Subscribe to Mark's weekly column here: https://www.aicd.com.au/news-media/economic-weekly.html
On Episode 447 of The Core Report, financial journalist Govindraj Ethiraj talks to DK Joshi, Chief Economist at CRISIL Ltd. SHOW NOTES (00:00) The Take: The De-dollarization Debate Heats Up (05:09) Will markets pick up on US cues? (07:19) Oil prices slide further on demand woes (08:32) What is the arc of India's GDP Growth? (19:38) Bank credit to NBFCs slows (20:39) US recommends severe duties on solar panel imports from SE Asia How India's Economy Works with Puja Mehra Rhetoric vs Reality: Trump's Disruptive Agenda with Neelkanth Mishra Spotify | Apple | Youtube Listeners! We await your feedback.... The Core and The Core Report is ad supported and FREE for all readers and listeners. Write in to shiva@thecore.in for sponsorships and brand studio requirements For more of our coverage check out thecore.in Join and Interact anonymously on our whatsapp channel Subscribe to our Newsletter Follow us on: Twitter | Instagram | Facebook | Linkedin | Youtube
From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger.
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:54) Breaking down the DOGE roadmap (24:28) Milei's impact, DOGE's tight timeline, impact on GDP growth, "default sustainable," how to communicate DOGE (48:11) WW3 risk: Biden's recent escalation (1:00:43) Science Corner: Fat cells can remember being fat! Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/opinion/musk-and-ramaswamy-the-doge-plan-to-reform-government-supreme-court-guidance-end-executive-power-grab-fa51c020 https://x.com/BehizyTweets/status/1859364239229821022 https://x.com/sfliberty/status/1858936359949304105 https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1859946626271388068 https://x.com/realdogenews/status/1859233043686334791 https://x.com/popeye31jc/status/1859233598328492360 https://x.com/MattForVA/status/1859248996377612755 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8NLzc9kobDk https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-cpi https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1858258226199818595 https://x.com/Pismo_B/status/1858018620456186221 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/31/world/europe/russia-gains-ukraine-maps.html https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/17/politics/biden-authorizes-ukraine-missiles-russian-targets/index.html https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08165-7 https://x.com/bryan_johnson/status/1860022160833806646
Headlines:- MBC GROUP's Revenue Surge Reflects Regional Media Dominance- Sheikh Hamdan Sees Strong Leadership as Key to Dubai's 3.3% GDP Growth in Q2- Delivery Hero to List Talabat in Dubai, Plans $100M Dividend in 2025
As economic data shows resilience and market expectations shift, how can investors navigate these mixed signals?This week on Facts vs. Feelings, Neil Dutta, Head of Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research, and Skanda Amarnath, Executive Director at Employ America, join hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, to assess the economy's current strength and potential headwinds.From surprising 3% GDP growth and possible consumer spending slowdowns to pressures in the housing market driven by high mortgage rates, they discuss why current market optimism might be short-lived. Neil and Skanda also explore how inflation trends, influenced by wage growth and energy prices, could shape future economic stability.So, tune in as they further explore geopolitical risks, such as fiscal policy changes, and their implications for investors as the 2024 election approaches—offering strategies to stay informed and balanced in uncertain times!Key Highlights:Economic Growth Outlook: The strong 3% GDP growth might not last, with possible Q4 slowdowns stemming from decreased consumer and equipment spendingConsumer Spending Concerns: Challenges from stagnant real income growth and high mortgage rates could weigh on spendingFederal Reserve Strategy: A cautious approach to rate cuts, guided by labor cost data, points to measured future actionsInflation and Prices: While lower energy costs help curb inflation, core issues persist amidst moderated wage growthMarket Enthusiasm: Is optimism justified, or are markets overlooking key risks?Labor Market Shifts: Slowing job growth may impact consumer-driven economic momentumPolitical Uncertainty: Upcoming fiscal and policy changes may inject volatility into market forecasts and investment strategiesAnd much more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseConnect with Neil Dutta: LinkedIn: Neil DuttaRenaissance Macro ResearchConnect with Skanda Amarnath: Twitter: Skanda AmarnathEmploy America
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3Ao6vbh Market Insights & Election Uncertainty: Navigating the Week Ahead In this episode of Monday's Dividend Cafe, David Bahnsen, Chief Investment Officer and Managing Partner at The Bahnsen Group, discusses market activity, public policy, the Federal Reserve, housing, and economic data ahead of the upcoming election. He highlights market volatility and the uncertainty surrounding closely contested elections, with battleground states showing tight polling results. He addresses current economic indicators such as job creation, bond yields, and the performance of different market sectors. Bahnsen also comments on China's housing market, the expected Fed rate cut, and the contrasting perspectives in economic growth between the U.S. and Europe. The episode concludes with an invitation for listener questions and a note on potential election-related updates later in the week. 00:00 Introduction and Overview 00:38 Election Impact on Markets 02:06 Market Volatility and Polling Analysis 08:20 Jobs Report and Economic Indicators 09:35 Federal Reserve and Energy Sector Update 10:17 GDP Growth and International Exposure 11:09 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Today, we're talking about reactions to President Biden's “garbage” comment; the economy's latest growth report; the Dodgers winning the World Series; and other top news for Friday, November 1st. Stay informed while remaining focused on Christ with The Pour Over Today. Please support our TPO sponsors! Cru: give.cru.org/tpo Upside: https://links.thepourover.org/Upside The Bible Study: https://links.thepourover.org/TheBibleStudy Politics for People Who Hate Politics: https://links.thepourover.org/PoliticsForPeopleWhoHatePolitics Keola Fit: https://links.thepourover.org/KeolaFit_Pod Compelled Podcast: https://links.thepourover.org/Compelled_TomTarrants Nothing Left Unsaid Podcast: https://linktr.ee/tgnlu CCCU: https://www.mycccu.com/tpobonus The Voice of the Martyrs: vom.org/TPO CSB Gift Guide: https://links.thepourover.org/CSBGiftGuide HelloFresh: hellofresh.com/freepourover
Join Chief U.S. Economist Lara Rhame, Executive Director of Investment Research Andrew Korz and Research Associate Alan Flannigan as they examine their outlooks for equities, credit, real estate and essential macroeconomic trends in Q4.They discuss their view on interest rates, inflation, and the labor market—and how these key macro factors could impact the investment landscape.For more research insights go to FSInvestments.com https://bit.ly/m/fsinvestments
Is the bull market's two-year run a sign of stability or the start of a shake-up?In this week's episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dig into what's driving market strength and what's ahead. With GDP growth, profit gains, and 254,000 new jobs added, they break down what these trends mean for investors navigating today's landscape.They also explore the economic fallout from recent hurricanes in Florida and share how you can help recovery efforts. Inflation and CPI data are key—hear how these might shape Fed decisions and your market strategy.Curious about election impacts? This market may keep defying pessimistic predictions, setting up a deeper dive in the next episode.Key Highlights:Bull Market Resilience: Insights into the economic factors driving the two-year bull run and its future outlookEmployment Data & Economic Strength: A breakdown of recent job growth and wage gains that support market stabilityInflation & Federal Reserve Policies: Analysis of inflation's impact on Fed rate cuts and why CPI data mattersHistorical Market Trends: Examination of past market behaviors and their implications for the current bull runHurricane Impact: Discussion of economic fallout and ways to support hurricane-affected communitiesAnd much more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese
Some economic measures are indicators for investors, others are red herrings. We unpack why gross domestic product is a sign of economic growth, but not always shareholder returns. (00:12) Buck Hartzell and Dylan Lewis discuss: - What's behind the sudden interest in China's Shanghai Composite and its 20% run in September. - Research showing that high GDP growth doesn't always turn into strong market returns for investors outside the U.S. - What to look for internationally, and why DLocal is a great small cap to study. (20:52) Can you find friends on a dating app? Platonic friends, that is. Mary Long caught up with Motley Fool Senior Analyst Alicia Alfiere for a look at Bumble, a dating app company that recently changed a foundational feature and is looking for growth in the friendship market. Vote here to help Motley Fool Money take home Signal's Best Money & Finance Show for 2024. Companies discussed: BABA, TCEHY, MELI, DLO, BMBL, MTCH Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Buck Hartzell, Mary Long, Alicia Alfiere Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Tim Sparks, Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The broader story this morning paints a positive picture for the UK economy. While growth in June took a pause, growth in Q2 for this year is estimated to be 0.6 per cent, roughly in line with what markets were predicting, as forecasts for UK growth have been repeatedly revised upwards since the start of the year. Growth was 0.8 per cent in the three months to May, indicating the positive upward trend only paused at the start of the summer. This sounds like great news, but has it come at the right time for Labour? Today we have also had A Level results and top marks have risen despite a return to pre-pandemic levels. What do the numbers say? James Heale speaks to Farser Nelson and Kate Andrews. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.
When the market goes down, people look for reasons. The one most cited now is the idea that Artificial Intelligence will not be as profitable as expected. With June Personal Consumption Expenditure Price index showing inflation is nicely under control, the Federal Reserve should indicate it will cut rates in September, when it meets this week. History is on the side of the S&P 500 index being nicely higher a year after the first rate cut in a rate cut cycle, as long as there is no recession. We forecast US GDP growth at 2.1% next year. The past 4 economic expansions since the “Great Moderation” began in 1982 lasted on average 103 months, while the current expansion is just 51 months old.
Some analysts project an optimistic economic forecast in the long run but slow growth for the remainder of 2024. Today's Stocks & Topics: POWL - Powell Industries Inc., Market Wrap, GRBK - Green Brick Partners Inc., Will GDP Growth Continue to Weaken Until the Fed Starts Cutting Interest Rates?, Second High-Risk Account, XBI - SPDR S&P Biotech ETF, Berkshire Hathaway, BGS - B&G Foods Inc., EQIX - Equinix Inc., DLR - Digital Realty Trust Inc., NSSC - NAPCO Security Technologies Inc.Our Sponsors:* Check out Rosetta Stone and use my code TODAY for a great deal: https://www.rosettastone.com/* Check out eBay Auto: www.ebay.com* Learn more at hackerone.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
The U.S. economy grew by just 1.6% last quarter — falling very short of expectations. At the same time, inflation was up, according to the latest PCE. What’s the Federal Reserve’s next move? Plus, small businesses could see big productivity gains by collaborating with other firms, a McKinsey report shows.
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