British cognitive psychologist
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After a tumultuous month, stocks soared after President Trump delayed tariffs on the European Union. Then, a look at Trump Media's $2.5 billion deal to buy bitcoin, deepening Trump's crypto footprint. And, the President escalates his feud with Harvard as the White House moves to pause all student visa interviews. David Drucker, Jeff Mason, Leigh Ann Caldwell, Joe Weisenthal, Tracy Alloway, Mark McKinnon, and Tom Di Liberto join The 11th Hour this Tuesday.
The markets may be hanging in there but they also held strong in early 2020—right up until Covid hit New York. Meanwhile, tariffs are driving consumer confidence down, firms are talking about cutting back on hiring and investments, and Goldman Sachs is predicting that the U.S. will have the highest inflation and lowest growth of any developed economy this year. Plus, Scott Bessent is not a calming influence, and Trump has a real 'War on Christmas' in the works. The Stalwart Joe Weisenthal joins Tim Miller. show notes Joe and Tracy Alloway's newsletter on how the markets can get things wrong (gift) Recent 'Odd Lots' pod on the coming empty shelves & the War on Christmas Joe's Bluesky post on the War on Christmas
In the second episode of Bloomberg BusinessWeek’s new podcast Everybody’s Business, Max Chafkin and Stacey Vanek Smith talk market turmoil. The stock market has been on a wild ride ever since the Trump Administration put sweeping tariffs in place, but it was trouble in the bond market that seemed to get the President’s attention and inspire the White House to hit pause on the tariffs. Tracy Alloway of the Odd Lots podcast joins to help explain. And what does a big, global company like Apple do in a protectionist world? Mark Gurman, Bloomberg’s Chief Correspondent covering consumer technology, explains why the tariff announcement has hit Apple’s stock especially hard and how much you can expect the price of your iPhone to rise. Finally, have scientists unearthed an ancient howl? Stacey is blown away while Max is (unsurprisingly) skeptical.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The market plunge is just pure Trump chaos, and perfectly matches his record as a businessman. From his numerous bankruptcies and many failures—including his airline, his casinos, his university, his water, and his steaks—he's been running one long con. And the supposedly smart people who should have known better put him back in power, somehow thinking he would never do something like destroy global trade. Meanwhile, in Michigan, where there have already been job losses directly caused by Trump's tariff war, State Senator Mallory McMorrow announced she's running for the U.S. Senate—saying she's had enough of the leadership and the bullshit in DC. Bloomberg's Tracy Alloway and Mallory McMorrow join Tim Miller. show notes Tracy's Bloomberg podcast, "Odd Lots" Mallory McMorrow's Instagram Mallory's new book, “HATE WON'T WIN: Find Your Power and Leave This Place Better Than We Found It.”
The price of eggs was up 15% in January, driving overall inflation higher. The cause? Bird flu. We’re joined by farmer Jim Hayes, as well as the hosts of Bloomberg’s Odd Lots podcast, Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway, to talk about how bird flu threatens the chicken supply chain and public health — and what, if anything, can be done to lower egg prices. Listen to Beak Capitalism from Odd Lots.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In the US right now, there is a lot of talk about a so-called "nuclear revival," though it remains to be seen whether whether that translates into action. Meanwhile, China has built 37 nuclear reactors in the last decade, with even more in the works. So what does it take to build nuclear at scale? On this episode of the Odd Lots podcast, Bloomberg's Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway speak to David Fishman, a China-based energy analyst at The Lantau Group. He explains all the elements of the country's nuclear success, from financing to manufacturing to its domestic power markets. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Katie and Matt sit down with Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal, hosts of the Odd Lots podcast, to discuss their new series on the chicken industry, Ray Dalio's connection to McNuggets, cheap protein, the Victorian chicken bubble, factory farming and Chicken Libor. You can listen to Odd Lots' Beak Capitalism here, here, and here. Become a Bloomberg.com subscriber using our special intro offer at bloomberg.com/podcastoffer. You'll unlock deep reporting, data and analysis from reporters around the world, plus access to a suite of subscriber-only newsletters.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
What can the humble chicken reveal about the economic conditions shaping our lives? Turns out, a lot. Understanding the chicken industry can help explain some of the thorniest issues facing the US economy. In “Beak Capitalism,” a new three-part series, Odd Lots hosts Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway trace chicken from the farm to the factory to the table. In the first episode, they examine the consumer side of the industry – including the chicken sandwiches war back in 2019 and the rising cost of eggs. Further listening: Beak Capitalism, Part 2: The Chickenization of Everything See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Earlier this election cycle, Nate and Maria appeared on Odd Lots to talk about prediction markets and election betting. It was a fun conversation -- and we're releasing it now for anyone hoping to get their final bets in. Political prediction markets — where traders can make bets on election outcomes — have been around for years. But in this cycle in particular, we've seen an explosion of interest, with people constantly checking the odds on sites like Polymarket and PredictIt to assess the state of the US presidential race. But how accurate are these markets? How do people make money on them? What do they tell us beyond what traditional polling or modeling already indicates? On this episode, Odd Lots hosts Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway speak with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova, the co-hosts of the new podcast Risky Business. Silver is, of course, a famed election modeler, and both are serious poker players with good instincts for gambling and odds. We discuss how these markets work and what the markets and models are saying right now about the current US campaign. Read More at Bloomberg.com:https://bloom.bg/46Q66tS https://bloom.bg/3X54rNPSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Your memory is the subject as we talk with Tracy Packiam Alloway, an award-winning psychologist, author, TEDx speaker, and TV contributor who has spent her career studying working memory. Her research on the topic has been featured on The Today Show, Good Morning America, Forbes, and Newsweek, as well as in countless journal articles. Her website is https://tracypackiam.com/ Shopify is the all-in-one commerce platform that makes it simple for anyone to start, run and grow your own successful business. With Shopify, you'll create an online store, discover new customers, and grow the following that keeps them coming back. Shopify makes getting paid simple, by instantly accepting every type of payment. With Shopify's single dashboard, you can manage orders, shipping and payments from anywhere. Shopify's award-winning help is there to support your success every step of the way. Sign up for a one-dollar-per-month trial period at Shopify.com/nobody.
Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for April 12th, 2024Featuring: Neil Dutta, Partner at Renaissance Macro Research, along with Ira Jersey, Chief US Rates Strategist with Bloomberg Intelligence, on CPI and the Fed Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway, host of Bloomberg's Odd Lots podcast, on CPI Steven Ricchiuto, Chief US Economist with Mizuho Securities, on CPI Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo with her Newspaper Headlines Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Ask Lifeyness: You can try out the new Lifeyness Assistant here if you have a Chat GPT 4 account. What is the origin of lifeyness? And how is it best practiced? Welp, I thought you'd never ask! Welcome to the season finale of Season 1 of Lifeyness. In this final episode, Professor Sarah examines various ways to support a holistically healthy life. She summarizes her research, which combines academic study, guest interviews, and her personal experiences, into ten main principles. These include sound healing, conscious embodiment, breathwork, temperature therapy, and barefoot living among others. She leans on her interviews and readings from notable experts in psychology, spirituality and holistic health, such as Michael Singer, Dr. Tracy Alloway, Dr. Peter Levine and Dr. Rhonda Patrick. All in the name of enhancing general wellness, emotional health, and a vibrant physical state of being! Takeaways (with links)! Get started here with some suggestions from each practice: Conscious Embodiment Abigail Rose Clarke (Ep 18), Jessi Fiske and Qoya (Ep 7), Sara Sohn (Ep 13),Qoya Breathwork James Nestor, Breath, Wim Hof style Lifeyness breathing meditation, Rob Lenfesty guided breathwork Surrender and Flow: Michael Singer, Alan Watts, Ram Dass, Byron Katie, Martha Beck Temperature Therapy: Dr. Rhonda Patrick, Wim Hof Nature Immersion Dr. Jean Larson, Nature Based Therapeutics 6. Barefoot Health Earthing, Clinton Ober 7. Play Therapy Jessie Shternshus, Improv Effect, Tracy Alloway, award-winning psychologist, Ash Perrin, Founder and CEO of The Flying Seagulls project 8. Somatic Healing Peter Levine, Efu Nyaki of Somatic Experiencing 9. Touch and Sound Therapy Julia Everson talks about healing 10. Belonging and Sanctuary Brene Brown Episode 19: Place and Embodiment for Artists Contact: Tiktok @book_of_lifeyness Instagram @book_of_lifeyness Email: thelifeynesspodcast@gmail.com 00:00 Introduction to Lifeyness 02:01 The Journey Begins: Interviewing Alexis 02:50 Exploring the Roots of Addiction 03:50 A New Life: The Family's Second Chance 04:08 The Lifeyness Project: A Lived Research 04:48 The Power of Nature and Body Harmony 05:18 The Struggle Against Nature: Society's Influence 05:45 The Joy of Letting Go and Embracing Nature 06:27 The Lifeyness Capsule: Distilling the Research 07:12 The Lifeyness Assistant: An AI Wellness Guide 07:58 The 10 Key Practices of Lifiness 11:39 The Power of Breath Work 15:03 Surrender and Flow: Embracing Life's Currents 16:56 Temperature Therapy: The Biohack 18:09 Nature Immersion: Returning to Our Roots 20:23 Barefoot Living: Grounding in Nature 21:35 Embracing Play: Learning from Kids 21:57 Somatic and Trauma Healing: Addressing the Nervous System 24:40 Therapeutic Touch and Sound: Healing Through Sensation 26:04 Belonging to Place and Creating Home: Bridging Inner and Outer Worlds 30:10 Conclusion: The End of Season One Image Credit: DigitalMarketingSupport.org Music Credit: Song for a New Beginning by William Claeson Full script: This season has been an exploration into all of the ways I can support this kind of life. From sound healing, to play experts, to the teachings of Michael Singer, it was a research project made social by way of podcasting. My background is in academia and typically research and writing are done in solitude. So this speaking with friends and colleagues in public on shareable bits of audio has been a treat. And now I want to distill all of the research into a capsule here. I call it a capsule because I'm reminded of those time capsules that you bury in the ground and then you pull them up 20 years later to see what was important to the family at a moment in time. But this one I don't want to bury. I want to remember it. daily if possible and share it with anyone else who may find it beneficial as well. So I've compacted all of the books I've read and episodes I've researched into the 10 best practices of lifeyness. Do you remember what it feels like? Comfortable in your own skin? Not just confident, but also pain free, healthy, and carefree? Think about the most robust version of your own childhood body. This is what lifiness feels like. A joyful spirit and a vibrant physical state of being. I'm your guide, Professor Sarah. Storyteller, teacher, and wellness enthusiast. Reach into the vitality of your own girlhood to supercharge your grown up life. Hello listeners, and welcome back to Lifiness. In January of last year, I had an idea. I wanted to interview my daughter, Alexis. She'd been sober for a year and living with us again for six months. After having gone through the grief and constant pain of being separated from a child and not knowing if she would return from the grip of addiction, This turn of events seemed like a dream. It was a new life. No matter what happened from that point, which I had learned that I had very little control over. That's the typical takeaway from the ruins of addiction. But no matter what happened, I wanted to document that point in time. I also had thoughts of creating a podcast. But these two things were not necessarily one in the same until I actually did the interview, that first interview. The conversation I had with her was more of an exploration of what the heck happened. I had family members and perhaps the larger community in mind when we recorded it. An explanation of sorts. But what I found was there was this nugget of truth I had been discovering on my own about myself. And that was the joy of embodiment and the hell of disembodiment. So when we got to the question, what made you start using? What made you start down this path of addiction? It was clear to her that feeling uncomfortable in her body and disconnected was key. At the time of that first recording, I was kind of in the middle of reconfiguring my home life. My son, her younger brother, was starting high school, you know, and she was here starting her whole new life again. And starting college. Um, so for all of us it was a whole new life. It was a second chance at family. We were going to do it together. I had the blessing of a sabbatical from work. And I was making sure our home felt like the sanctuary that it could be. I was also finishing my first novel. And nourishing other creative projects. And lifiness is one of those. It became this lived research project in which I was trying out concepts and practices on myself. And realizing life could be so much fuller, more comfortable, more joyful. I actually abandoned my novel revisions at the time, um, because I was so inspired by the non fiction books that I was reading, and by my peers who were doing amazing things, and by the results I was getting in both mind and body, that I borrowed a mic. I downloaded some software and I set up shop as a podcaster. Like I said, I decided it would be a research project. In a nutshell, what I learned is that living in harmony with nature and the nature of your body is a sure way to find peace and achieve health. Inspired by my daughter's sober living, I wondered, Do I really need to be on antidepressants? Like I have been for 15 years. So that was a big shift for me, one that I didn't take lightly. I did under the supervision of my doctor, but now I've been antidepressant free for over a year. The thing is, there are so many messages coming in that tell us to fight against nature, whether that's ads for processed foods or antidepressants. Or anti aging propaganda, or social media and TV, keeping us rooted to the couch and not moving the way our bodies are built to move. There's also the push to constantly self promote, acquire more and more, and work around the clock. You may not even realize you're under this spell. I know I didn't fully comprehend it until I started practicing letting go, playing, and spending unrestricted time in nature. I started feeling more relaxed and playful and carefree. And it began to feel like this direct route to health and happiness. And I wanted to name it, and write it down, and create best practices for myself. I just didn't want to forget it because it served me so well. Reading and interviewing, trial and error, research and practice. It all became what I call lifeyness. And at this point, I think I've really found a good mix. And now I want to distill all of the research into a capsule here. This is not a summary of all the episodes, by any means, but rather a thoughtful distillation of everything I've learned over the past year or two, really, as I've journeyed into health and happiness. I'm giving 10 basic tenets here. I've actually also created Lifeyness Guided Meditations that live on YouTube that I will mention as well. But I'm dumping an exhaustive list of valuable insight into a brand new genre and tool, the GPT. As I continue to work on this as a book, which I am also doing as well, I thought it could be cool to create my own lifiness assistant. I've been playing around in the AI space lately, so I thought it'd be interesting to see how to create a GPT that is a wellness assistant, specifically a lifiness assistant. Since I can only include so much here as a podcast. Episode, I've uploaded all of the knowledge and books and thought leaders and my own ideas about emotional health and spiritual health and wellness. into this GPT. So you can go to OpenAI if you want to ask Lifeyness a question. I hope this is helpful and I hope that it enhances your life in some way. Please reach out to me on Instagram at bookoflifeyness or TikTok at bookoflifeyness to let me know. All right, so here we are with the 10 key practices of Lifeyness. Number one, we have to start with conscious embodiment. This is kind of the key to everything else, or a goal to get to, with some of the other tactics I have here. So, embodiment is the awareness that body, thoughts, and emotions are all aligned components that have an effect on your overall health. So, a lot like animals, young children, they really inhabit themselves fully. But injury or neglect can sever the mind body connection over time. So some of my ideas are that through loving attention and support, we can come back to our bodies again. I um, interviewed Abigail Rose Clark, who just published a book called Returning Home to Our Bodies, and she is a somatics expert. She is someone who has a background in yoga, but she has a lot of tactics to get embodied and to know what that really feels like. The background for me is that I didn't realize in the past that I would almost, like, lose consciousness in a way and forget what I would say when I was in a social setting or, like, speaking publicly. Like, I would go to parties, um, and have to drink a lot so I would feel comfortable just, like, speaking. Like, I would almost black out and have this sense of not being in my body at all. So I've had to practice kind of, like, Keeping mind and body together while I'm out in public and social situations. Even to this day, I'm, like, when I'm speaking in front of an audience, um, or even more so when I'm kind of, like, socializing, um, one on one, I have this feeling of disembodiment. And, um, I've gotten better at it, but sometimes that connection between mind and body is very tenuous. The episode with Sarah Sohn on sex and embodiment, um, in that episode, which is number 13, she has a practice on embodiment and sexual wellness, which is kind of a fun one to do. And then also, Jessie Fisk, she is the teacher of Koya, which their motto is, we remember that our essence is wise, wild, and free. And one thing I've learned over the past few years is that freedom, security, play, and relaxation are necessary to a good life. So Koya was a good way of me coming back into my body and going to the Koya dance classes that Jessie would put on here in Jacksonville, and she still does. So I just want to give you one practical takeaway for each of these. Practical way to practice conscious embodiment. It's to just set aside time each day for a body scan meditation, and you can Google that. There's plenty of them out there on YouTube, but basically it systematically brings awareness to each part of your body without judgment. Um, I have some meditations on YouTube for this kind of thing as well, but really it's just a body scan because a lot of times we go day after day after day without even kind of paying attention to certain parts of our bodies. Um, whether, you know, we don't touch them, we don't stretch them, but just not having awareness can kind of sever that mind body connection. So number one is conscious embodiment. That's a really important one. Number two is breath work. Breath work starts with a really simple premise. Just by directing attention toward the inhale and the exhale, we can tap into our parasympathetic nervous system to counter anxiety and stress. So, I came to this from Wim Hof's methods to in breath serving this highway between mind and body. So, like I said from last time, you know, I would kind of have this severance between mind and body, especially in social situations. And one way to really kind of disconnect and not have to feel that is using alcohol. And I feel like I used that a lot when I was living with a former boyfriend. And especially when his friends would come over, it made me feel very uncomfortable. And so either I would go out for a walk, kind of run away, or I'd go to the alcohol if I couldn't leave, right? It was at his house during COVID that I discovered breathwork. It would, it was a way for me to really alleviate anxiety, whether that was anxiety over COVID. And thinking about the oxygenation of my bloodstream for the first time ever, or if it was a social anxiety just kind of having to be with him all the time and we weren't really aligned in our personalities. And I was teaching from home and I would do, I found these Wim Hof breathing methods and it would help me reduce anxiety about whether it was work, working from home, our relationship, the kids working or doing their schoolwork from home. A lot of it, it was just very stressful. And what I found is after three rounds of this breath work, I discovered this feeling, not just the feeling of reduced anxiety, but a feeling of euphoria that I had never achieved, you know, without drugs or chemicals or running. Running is one of them, but it's a harder to get there. So this felt like a magical biohack. And that's when I went kind of down the rabbit hole of intentional breath work and I began healing myself from the outside in, rather than the inside out, meaning, I was calming down my body physically so that my spirit could feel safe and that's kind of my way of getting closer to like a spiritual healing. I had to start from the kind of physical side. So breath work is a really good way of doing that. If you're not somebody who is into meditation or spiritual kind of work. You're, you kind of respond better physically. I have a meditation, a Wim Hof meditation on YouTube, but it's also based on Rob Limfeste's work, and he does Wim Hof breathing. You can find him on YouTube as well. Another way that I really got into breath work and learned a little bit more about it, um, this is kind of another takeaway, is reading the book by James Nestor called Breath, The New Science of a Lost Art. Um, and that teaches readers a lot about kind of the anatomy of your sinuses, your mouth, your um, your breathing, and how it supports health or how it can support health. Number three, I call this one Surrender and Flow. So I want to begin with a quote by Michael Singer. He says, you gain nothing by being bothered by life's events. It doesn't change the world. You just suffer. There's always going to be something that can bother you if you let it. Only you can take inner freedom away from yourself or give it to yourself. So basically here he's talking about unconditional happiness. Just going to the source of happiness, going into happiness. Something that everyone can potentially do. Not putting conditions on your happiness. Like saying, once I feel better, I'll be happy. Once I'm wealthier, I'll be happy. Once I have this relationship, I'll be happy. So thinkers like Michael Singer, Ram Dass, Alan Watts, Byron Katie. Um, Martha Beck, they all are about non resistance, non attachment, flowing with life's currents. Um, so rather than exerting force or tension, you go to what the tradition of Daoism talks about is the middle way, there's balancing ease and effort so that you're meeting every moment kind of openheartedly. Um, so this is really important. And it's The knowledge that suffering is optional, because a lot of the suffering that we do is just pushing back on life. It doesn't mean you don't participate in life, that you don't try. But that all that trying and pushing and exerting is not conditional for your happiness. And I would definitely put, um, Eckhart Tolle in this, in this category, that with the power of now, you know, if we are embracing reality and taking it for what it is rather than putting our preferences on the world constantly, then we can be much happier. So number four, temperature therapy, what I'm calling temperature therapy. Um, I began following Dr. Rhonda Patrick on this one, um, dry saunas at around 160 to 170 degrees Fahrenheit for at least 15 minutes a day. This can be really helpful for human growth hormone, um, for sleep, for symptoms of perimenopause, for muscle recovery. I've been practicing this and this has kind of changed the game for me. I had already known that cold plunges, so this is why I call it temperature therapy, because it could be hot, it could be cold, but basically exposing your body to a little bit of stress, a little bit of controlled stress. And like I said, I'd known that I was really into cold plunges after doing the Wim Hof breathing and program. Um, so I have a little cold bath outside that I keep on the balcony, but only recently have I been doing the hot saunas, and that's really changed things. So, ritualizing sauna, cryotherapy, cold showers, um, this can all boost your immune system and boost your mood. That's a big one for me. Number five, nature immersion. This one I'm so excited about. I'm really happy that I have returned to nature after so many years thinking that I was a city girl. I'm really not. Um, but I don't even like those distinctions, those labels. We're all nature people, right? We all belong to the biological world, uh, it just kind of depends on how many barriers you've put against the natural world. Um, but tuning into nature's wisdom really returns us to our senses. This is a really good way to get embodied. So those visual cues from the outside, the textures of the natural world, this grounds us in something that's larger than our narrow human affairs, right? Like when we think about the world these days, a lot of times we're just thinking about the little human part of the world. All of our stories and our technology, but really the world is so much bigger than that. Um, so I think opening up and immersing in nature as Dr. Jean Larson of the University of Minnesota, I had her on the show. Um, she talks about nature based therapeutics, which she's the developer of. She emphasized how important it is to integrate nature into healing, right? She has these fancy names for it. Therapeutic horticulture, animal assisted interventions, facilitated green exercise, therapeutic landscapes. But it's basically just getting out and being in nature. It really has a profound physical, emotional, and psychological side effect, positive side effect. Just engaging with natural environments. This reduces stress, and there's so much research to back this up, including Dr. Larson's research, but by engaging with natural environments, you can reduce stress, improve mood, obviously increase your physical activity, um, you can even enhance cognitive function. I think that's really exciting. Number six, and if I had seen this A couple years ago I would think, wow, this is so crunchy, this is not me at all. But barefoot living is a big one. Whether inside or outdoors, feeling grounded. And it's not just about having your naked feet on the earth, which is important. Um, there's all kinds of anti inflammatory benefits that you can get from this, from actually being grounded, like an electrical cord is grounded. But also for me, I had an ankle injury last summer and one of the things I started doing is just going around barefoot and it helped me with posture, with my musculature, which with healing, um, because of the way that I was walking and the way that my posture was realigning without shoes and without heels on. So it's also very fun. I love being barefoot, but. But I did read a lot of research on this. And then the one book, Earthing, is one that I would recommend. It's a good takeaway. Martin Zucker, Steven Sinatra, and Clinton Ober, there's a lot of research in there. Number seven, embracing play. This is so important for lifeyness. As adults, we can learn so much from kids. Um, I talked to several different people, Tracy Alloway, who is a researcher here in Jacksonville at the University of North Florida on memory and happiness. Um, she talks a lot about how play is an important part. I talked to Jesse Stehrensjoos of the Improv Effect, who works with corporations and incorporates games and playing. I also talked to Melissa Lorena. She just published a book on being a more playful mom. We really all need outlets for this kind of thing, not just gamifying things, not just gaming of course, but getting away from screens and really having kind of unsupervised play where you're just playing in the natural world or in the, you know, natural world of humans. Like you're interacting with other humans and you're able to laugh and be silly. Maybe take an improv class. So that's a big one. The next one is, number seven, somatic and trauma healing. So somatic healing was pioneered by Dr. Peter Levine, starting in the 1970s. I spoke with one of his faculty members at the Somatic Healing Center, Ifu Nayaki, um, She talks about when difficult emotions and memories take root in the body. There are practices that address the nervous system, um, that can heal the nervous system beyond talk therapy. So she includes talk therapy, but she also has body work and breathing exercises, um, so that you can avoid cycles from the past and unwind that tension in your body and that post traumatic growth that has kind of taken hold in the body. Um, one concrete example of somatic healing, uh, somatic practice is Dr. Peter Levine's vooing technique, which is where you sit comfortably, kind of like you're meditating, but you're just sitting there taking a deep breath, and then you make a low vibrating sound, voo, V O O, to release tension. Use your most authentic but lowest voice you can, and you breathe out with the sound vvvv, and this stimulates the nerve that runs right, um, into, in the center of your core. Um, You may have heard of the vasovagal response. Um, It's kind of a stress response. This is to calm it down and calm down all your organs in the meantime. Number eight is therapeutic touch and sound. So auditory, tactile, and vibration based therapies, they can really remind us how we are affected by these physical sensations, these external sensations. So I spoke with Julia Everson, um, she has a practice here called Touch, Massage, and Reiki, so she does some energy work as well. But she is a wonderful practitioner of sound healing, which I, of course, I knew that I love massages and I love touch therapy, but I had not been open to the idea, um, of how sound therapy works. It operates on the principle that everything is in a state of vibration, including our bodies. So she would use singing bowls and gongs in her practice, um, when I would go to the sessions. And something that you can do, if you're listening, is find a sound bath session in your area. They have them at yoga studios, sometimes they hold them outside. So look into that, that is a wonderful experience. And with the right practitioner, they create this very safe space where you can really take this in and get some healing out of it. Okay, number 10. We've gotten to the last lifiness best practice, and that one is a little bit more abstract, but important for everyone. This I'm just calling belonging to place and creating home. I think these go hand in hand. I've been watching this show on Apple TV called Home, which takes a unique residential property with a unique design, and it explores the story of the family that lives there, the landscape, the town. And the architecture, of course, it's kind of slow moving, but it's a beautiful documentary series, um, that I find soothing, especially the parts where they show how like a house can be integrated into nature, um, makes me think of kind of the tradition of Frank Lloyd Wright. Many of them like showcase unique ways of interacting with outdoors and a lot of them have like these indoor outdoor spaces. Um, but it also makes me think of our first best practice on this list, conscious embodiment. So kind of finding the body, um, and the spirit of the home, right? And making it not separated from the physical world, but integrated into the physical world, which is I think how our spirit should be too. Part of this last one, belonging. I feel like has to do with physical geography, has to do with maybe not feeling like you belong at first when you live in a place, but finding your space, finding your place. And belonging is not the same as fitting in. I believe that it was Brene Brown who made this distinction. Um, fitting in is kind of forcing. Belonging is just having that sense of already being in the place that you feel comfortable. And I think by putting down roots, we really bridge those inner and outer worlds. Once you find sanctuary, um, in your home, it's much easier to go out into the world and be brave and to create beautiful things and create networks and friendships. I've struggled with this, I think, my whole life. Where I'm not grounded at home. And so when I'm out in the world, I'm feeling insecure, I'm feeling ungrounded, I'm feeling untethered. Um, so I think doing the work, I mean, it's almost like a metaphor for doing the work on the inside before you can connect with other people doing the work of creating sanctuary and home. And we talked about this in the last episode where I had the artist round table on the show. And they spoke of this feeling of not belonging and belonging and feeling embodied and disembodied. And there were a lot of parallels there, kind of taking as artists, these, they were all artists and taking the ideas from the abstract world of the imagination into the physical reality through their art, kind of like giving that abstract idea a body and bringing it down to earth. So I think for this last best practice. I just want to say to listeners, creating more safety, more security, more sanctuary in the home is a sure way to begin feeling safe. More connected outside of the home and being able to express yourself more safely. And that's something that I've been working on here in my home, and I feel like I have made that change. And one of the reasons I have been feeling happy is because I always have a safe space, many safe spaces, to go to when I come home. So thank you so much for joining me on this final episode of season one of Lifey ness. It's been a wonderful journey, and I am so happy to have had so many amazing guests. And I would love to know what you think about this final episode if you could reach out to me at Book of Lifiness. I'm definitely going to be taking a little break after this, um, but I hope to be back here soon. And I hope you have a beautiful day, relaxing evening.
China's economy has been in rough shape, and the government is trying to address it. But there's another threat on the horizon: the US election.During their presidencies, both Joe Biden and Donald Trump backed policies that drove the US and China further apart. Now, they're both campaigning for re-election on continuing on that trajectory.In this episode, Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway from the Odd Lots podcast speak with Tom Orlik, chief economist at Bloomberg Economics, and Mackenzie Hawkins, US industrial policy reporter for Bloomberg News. They've measured what a Trump or Biden victory in 2024 could mean for China's economy, and beyond. Subscribe to Odd Lots to get all of their episodes.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Today's episode is a special edition of Bloomberg's Big Take DC podcast, featuring an interview with our own Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway. They spoke to Big Take host Saleha Mohsin of Bloomberg News, about how the US has managed to avoid a recession — and whether the Federal Reserve's decisions were based on reliable data. It also features an interview with Claudia Sahm, an ex-Fed economist and contributor to Bloomberg Opinion. To hear more from Big Take DC, subscribe to their show.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Last year, as the US Federal Reserve kept raising interest rates to rein in inflation, Chair Jerome Powell kept pointing to one category of data that was guiding its decision: The labor market. But it's possible that the labor market data-of-choice may have been faulty.Having a clear picture of how Americans are really doing is crucial during a presidential election cycle. Bloomberg's Saleha Mohsin talked with Claudia Sahm, an ex-Fed economist, and with Odd Lots podcast hosts Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway about whether economists have the best data to make key decisions about the US economy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Tonight on The Last Word: Donald Trump is “planning on testifying” in the E. Jean Carroll defamation suit. Also, President Biden again stresses a two-state solution to Benjamin Netanyahu. Plus, the U.S. is now producing more oil than any other country. And the Virginia House swears in its first Black speaker. Neal Katyal, Susanne Craig, Aaron David Miller, Tracy Alloway, and Virginia House Speaker Don Scott join Ali Velshi.
On today's podcast: 1) Investigators probing the fuselage blowout on a Boeing Co. 737 Max 9 on Jan. 5 determined that the door plug moved upward before ejecting and that fittings holding the part in place came loose, as the two US carriers operating the now-grounded aircraft said their own maintenance checks uncovered loose bolts on the parked jets. 2) Donald Trump's lawyers will spar with federal prosecutors Tuesday in a high-stakes court battle to determine if he is immune from charges of trying to overturn the 2020 election because he was president at the time. 3) US lawmakers demanded answers from the Pentagon after Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin failed to notify the White House about his hospitalization for four days, saying they weren't satisfied with the explanation for his absence. 4) The White House's “work is not done” when it comes to lowering prices for American consumers according to the president's top economic advisor, Lael Brainard. That's despite the recent slowing of inflation that has seen the headline consumer price index fall to 0.1% in November. Full Transcript: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. We begin with the latest developments in the investigation into the door panel blowout on a Boeing seven thirty seven Max nine. Bloomberg's John Tucker is here with the latest, John and Nathan. More and more of the focus is turning to bolts and whether they were properly tightened, as the NTSB tries to find answers to how that unused door panel blew off that Alaska Airlines Boeing seven thirty seven Max nine over Portland. Another airline says it's found loose bolts. United confirms it found loose bolts after inspecting identical door plugs as the one that blew out on the Alaska plane. NTSB chairman Jennifer Hamendi, we are aware of the reports of that are coming back from the inspections from United and Alaska and Boeing. Our team is collecting that information and there will be some follow up from the inspections. It's unclear how many loose polts were found. The NTSB may now broaden the probe into other Max nine jets beyond the Alaska Airlines model on which the accident occurred. It intensified scrutiny of the manufacturing process at Bowling and its key supplier, Spirit Aerosystems, which makes the fuselage for the seven thirty seven Max. I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. All right, John, Thanks well. Another major story that we're following this morning involves a high stakes court hearing in Washington, d C. Lawyers for Donald Trumpell's spar with federal prosecutors over whether the former president is immuniform charges of trying to overturn the twenty twenty election results. Bloomberg's Amy Morris has more from Washington. Oral arguments are set for today before a three judge panel with the US Court of Appeals for the d C Circuit over whether Donald Trump is shielded from prosecution for his actions before and during the January sixth riot at the US Capitol. Now Trump said on social media he planned to attend, but he is not expected to address the court. The judges could hand down their ruling at any time after the hearing, and a ruling in favor of Trump could be a fatal blow to the Justice Department's efforts to try him. While either side has the right to appeal. Neither the full DC Court nor the US Supreme Court are required to take the case, so this Court's ruling could be the final word in Washington. Amy Morris Bloomberg Radio, Okay, Amy, thank you will staying in Washington. Bipartisan anger is building against Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. We get that story from Bloomberg's Dan Schwartzman. Politicians on both sides of the isle are demanding answers as to why Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin failed to let anyone know he was hospitalized on New Year's Day. The retired general didn't even let the White House know he was at Walter Reed Medical Center for four days, depending on a day after that. Austin was hospitalized, but did not tell the White House, Congress, or even the deputy Defense Secretary for several days. Republican Senator Susan Collins Remaine says it's quote inexplicable that the Secretary's condition remains shrouded in secrecy, while Massachusetts Democrat Seth Mulden says this astounding that the president in Austin's own deputy did know he was in the hospital. According to White House spokesman John Kirkby President Biden has no plans to replace Austin. Dan Schwartzman Bloomberg Radio. All right, Dan, thanks now to the latest developments in the Middle East. Secretary of State Anthony Blncoln says, who the militants will face consequences if they continue to attack ships in the Red Sea, he told reporters, and more violence will be detrimental for the region. It's clearly not in the interest of anyone Israel Lebanon Hasbola for that matter, to see to see this escalator and to see an actual conflict, and the Israelis have been very clear with us that they want to find a diplomatic way for it. Secretary of State Anthony Blincn meets with Israel's leader Benjamin and Yahoo later today. Let's turn back to markets now, Karen, As you mentioned, futures are lower following yesterday's rally on Wall Street that saw the Nasdaq surge more than two percent. In Asia, the knee Can in Japan closed at its highest level in thirty four years. Me and mole Nathan. Former bond king Bill Gross is signaling he is now steering clear of treasuries in a post on x gros said ten year treasury yields at four percent are overvalued. Gross made millions late last year after a big bet the Fed would pivot toward interest rate cuts for twenty twenty four. Well Karen, the President's top economic advisor, says the White House's work is not done when it comes to lowering prices for American consumers. Lyyle Brainerd spoke with Joe Wisenthal and Tracy Alloway on the Bloomberg Godlots podcast. Some prices have not come down, and we're fighting pretty hard to get those prices to come down. One area that really is difficult for Americans is healthcare. White House Economic advisor Lyle Brainerd ads the administration will use its position to continue calling out corporations who aren't passing along cost savings to consumers. For the full conversation, download the latest edition of Bloomberg Odd Lots that's available everywhere you get your podcasts. And Shares of Nvidia closed at a record high. The company's chip technology dominates in data centers used to create artificial intelligence software where now in Nvidia's announced new products to help the personal computer industry lower consumers with AIPCS. Another chip maker in the spotlight this morning, Nathan Samsung Electronics has posted at six straight quarter of declining operating profit. The results underscore how demand for smartphones and the memory chips remained sluggish given economic uncertainty, and shares of Match are up more than eight percent in early trading. That says The Wall Street Journal reports Elliott Investment Management has built a stake of about a billion dollars in the dating app company. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Amy Morris. Amy, Good morning, Good morning, Karen. Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Orcis was an eagle pass taxes to meet with elected leaders and border patrol agents at the southern US border. Now, he says it's too early to tell if the significant drop in border crossings over the past week is related to the holiday season or stepped up enforcement operationations in Mexico. Our immigration system is outdated and broken and has been in need of reform for literally decades. On this, everyone agrees. Arizona Senator Kirsten Cinema, an independent who has been central in negotiations, says She's not sure whether text is going to be available, but she hopes there will be something to present this week. House Republicans are pushing to impeach may orc As Senate Republicans want him to help cut a border security deal. President Biden meanwhile moving to win back black voters. Bloomberg's Nancy Lyons has more on his trip to South Carolina. President Biden delivered remarks at Mother Emmanuel Ame Church in Charleston, South Carolina, where white supremacist killed nine people in twenty fifteen. Biden says, our country must deal with racism. It is a poison throughout our history. Driptest nation apart, says no place in America, not today tomorrow. Ever, Biden's favorability among black voters in seven swing states has slipped so seven percentage points since October to sixty one percent in December. That's according to a Bloomberg News Morning Consult poll in Washington. Nancy Lyons Bloomberg Radio. Now. Former President Trump wants his supporters to give him a definitive win in Iowa, even with a commanding, leaving the polls with less than a week before the caucuses. Trumps stressed turnout the people of this state are going to cast the most important vote of your entire lives. I believe that too very much. I used to say that twenty sixteen, and I believed it then, and now I believe this is even much more important. The Trump campaign believes a decisive Iowa victory would put pressure on his GOP rivals to drop out. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley have failed to gain much significant ground in the Iowa polls against Trump. Next up New Hampshire January twenty third. That's where Nicki Haley has been gaining more momentum while still trailing Trump. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I Mamy Morris and this is Bloomberg Karen righting me. Thank you. We to bring you news throughout the day here on Bloomberg Radio. But now you can get the latest news on demand whenever you want it. Subscribe to Bloomberg News Now to get the latest headlines at the click of a button. Get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app Bloomberg dot Com plus Apples, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update. Here's John stash Hour John Karn. The Michigan Wolverines national champions in college footwall in Houston. They beat Washington thirty four to thirteen. It was a quick start for Michigan. First two possessions were both Donovan Edwards touchdown runs. They covered forty one and forty three yards. Michigan didn't get into the end zone again until the fourth quarter. Blake Korum scored capping a seventy one yard drive, and later Quorum scored again, coming after Mike Stanisil's eighty one yard interception return. Washington star quarterback Michael Pennix junior twenty seven of fifty one, did have two interceptions. Mission goes fifteen to zero, wins the national title for the first time since nineteen ninety seven, and the question now is if Jim Harbar returns as coach or heads back to the NFL. The Washington Commanders looking for a new coach after they had the second worst record in the NFL. They've got new ownership and Ron Rivera fired after four years on the job. Carolina Panthers already knew they were looking for a new coach now at GM as well as the Panthers fired to the manager Scott Fitterer. Celtics got forty points from Jalen Brown, but lost at Indiana one thirty three to one thirty one. The Pacers lost their star player Tyrese Haliburton a hamstring injury. He's headed for an MRI. John Moran is headed for a season ending shoulder surgery. Memphisis star guard was suspended for the first twenty five games of the season and ends up only playing nine games on the year. Wizard's thirtieth loss to the year beaten by Oklahoma City one thirty six to one twenty eight. The Bruins lost at Colorado four to three in a shootout. John Stash Edward Bloomberg sports from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Sirius, Exam, the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager Boeing is working to get at seven thirty seven Max nine Jets back in the air after the FAA ordered them temporarily grounded following last week's door panel blowout. But the investigation into the cash cow for Boeing is finding more installation issues maybe than just the ones on that Alaska Airlines flight. For more, we're joined now by Bloomberg News Global Aviation head Benedict Campbell. Thanks for being here, Benedict. Get us caught up on the investigation so far. Good morning. So we heard from the NTSB again yesterday, the holding daily press briefings to give the latest update. And what we heard yesterday is that indeed they are still focused on this particular Alaska aircraft, but they've said that they might well be looking more deeply at other aircraft broadly, more broadly than just the seven three seven Max nine. Right now, the focus remains very much on that door panel, on that plug as they call it, that came flying out, and they're trying to determine what exactly caused that component to come loose. One thing that they did say was they are focused intensely on the bolts that are sort of a fixing that particular component. And speaking of bolts, we have heard from United Air and from Alaska that they've found some loose bolts on their aircraft, so obviously that's sort of the area around which the investigation is focused right now. How unusual is it to see these signs of improper tightening on an aircraft like this? Is this part of the reason why we're getting these suggestions that the investigation could go beyond the Max nine Absolutely, and this is obviously something you don't want to find on an aircraft. Is something that they have found, not just in this case, but also in previous sort of investigations where they looked at improper manufacturing. We had a misaligned drilling holes on some seven three sevens last year. Then we had some loose bolts in another part of a plane. So these defects appear to come up again and again. And you have to remember the Max, the seven three seven Max has a very sort of fragile reputation after these two crashes that happened almost five years ago. A lot of people still somewhat squeamish about that aircraft and an Abbus not Abbus Boeing have managed to repair that reputation, but somewhat fragilely. And the question now is will that pull them back into a hole. How can they emerge from that? Those are a lot of things they're trying to work through right now. Yeah, it raises the question about whether Boeing could be running into a crisis of confidence with flyers. Is that the concern for Boeing? That is very much the concern. I mean, we've seen the crisis of confidence on the side of the investors. If you look at what happened with the stock yesterday took a deep tumble. Spirit Aerosystems, that's the company that makes the fuselage for the seven three seven is by An is by far Boeing's most important supplier. They also dropped quite sharply yesterday. So there is a real crisis and confidence For the time being, it's the focus is very much sort of on the investor side, on the financial side. But if this spreads into a bigger crisis, say the flyers, the flying public, and then the customers ultimately, that will obviously be something very hard for Boeing to get back from. This had been the year, or supposed to be the year of the great comeback of Boeing. They've they've had a couple of difficult years, as I said, but they'd managed to get their manufacturing back in order, the orders and deliveries are back. They'd planned to really increase the output rate of the seven three seven. All of these things were sort of what lay ahead for them for this year, and right now it looks as if things will certainly low down for them quite a bit. The FAA, which is the regulator in the US, they're saying, not so fast. We want to make sure this plane is ready to fly again before we can unground it, and Boeing has to sort of comply with that. Is this something that could put the relationship between Boeing and Spirit Aerosystems in jeopardy? I mean, where could the blame potentially lie for this? Got about a minute left. It's a difficult relationship that these two companies have. Spirit used to be part of Boeing. Then it will spun out, but they're still very much sort of entwined and then locked in a slightly unhappy marriage here. They obviously Boeing needs to have very close quality controls at Spirit to make sure that the products that get shipped over to Boeing meet their standards, and that's something that hasn't always been the case in the past. So Boeing really needs to tighten the screws, as it were, on Spirit and make sure that they have the right people there, they have the right controls. There's new management at that company. Ultimately the buck stops with Boeing. They need to have the final sign off on the plane. You can blame Spirit and point your finger as much as you want at them, but the plane is ultimately sold by Boeing, so they need to make sure that the network is up to snuff. This is Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed at six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg one oh six to one in Boston, and Bloomberg ninety sixty in San Francisco. Our flagship New York station is also available on your Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app, seriusxmb iHeartRadio app, and on Bloomberg dot Com. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the new you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg DaybreakSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On this episode, our listeners called in with their questions. They ranged from the personal, like "What happened with Tracy's coal?" to the editorial, such as "What are the big stories we want to be covering more?" Hosts Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway are the ones who get interviewed in this special holiday episode.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg discuss the rise in pseudoscience, the “administrification” in America, the trillion-dollar non-profit sector, and more. Daffy is offering Econ 102 listeners a free $25 for the charity of their choice when they join: https://www.daffy.org/econ102 – Sponsors: GIVEWELL | DAFFY | NETSUITE Have you ever wondered where your donation could have the most impact? GiveWell has now spent over 15 years researching charitable organizations and only directs funding to the highest impact opportunities they've found in global health and poverty alleviation. Make informed decisions about high-impact giving. If you've never donated through GiveWell before, you can have your donation matched up to $100 before the end of the year, or as long as matching funds last. To claim your match, go to https://givewell.org and pick “Podcast” and enter Econ 102 at checkout. Daffy is the most modern and accessible donor-advised fund, making it easier to put money aside for charity. You can make your tax-deductible contributions all at once or set aside a little each week or month. And you don't just have to donate cash, you can easily contribute stocks, ETFs, or crypto. Plus, you never have to track receipts from your donations again. It's free to get started and Econ 102 listeners get $25 towards the charity of their choice. Daffy is offering Econ 102 listeners a free $25 for the charity of their choice when they join Daffy https://www.daffy.org/econ102 NetSuite has 25 years of providing financial software for all your business needs. More than 36,000 businesses have already upgraded to NetSuite by Oracle, gaining visibility and control over their financials, inventory, HR, eCommerce, and more. If you're looking for an ERP platform head to NetSuite http://netsuite.com/102 and download your own customized KPI checklist. – Econ 102 is a part of the Turpentine podcast network. To learn more: www.turpentine.co – RECOMMENDED PODCAST: LIVE PLAYERS Join host Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg as they analyze the mindsets of today's most intriguing business leaders, investors, and innovators through the lens of their bold actions and contrarian worldviews. You'll come away with a deeper understanding of the development of technology, business, political power, culture and more. LIsten and subscribe everywhere you get your podcasts: https://link.chtbl.com/liveplayers. – LINKS: Noahpinion on Substack: https://www.noahpinion.blog/ “Politicized science inevitably tends toward pseudoscience” – https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/politicized-science-inevitably-tends ‘The Diamond Age' by Neal Stephenson: https://www.amazon.com/Diamond-Age-Illustrated-Primer-Spectra/dp/0553380966 “Nobody says hi in San Francisco” – https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/nobody-says-hi-in-san-francisco ‘Mau-Mauing the Flak Catchers' an essay by Tom Wolfe – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radical_Chic_%26_Mau-Mauing_the_Flak_Catchers – RECOMMENDED PODCAST: Odd Lots is a Bloomberg podcast hosted by Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway. Each week they speak with the perfect guest to explore the most interesting topics in finance, markets and economics. https://www.bloomberg.com/oddlots – X / TWITTER: @noahpinion (Noah) @eriktorenberg (Erik) – Timestamps (00:00) Episode Preview (01:21) New Release Day (01:35) Q&As (02:43) The politicization of science (16:51) SPONSORS: GIVEWELL & DAFFY (18:17) Is Academia Primarily Left? (21:58) The Administrator Boom (25:59) SPONSORS: NETSUITE & ODD LOTS (29:13) The Trillion Dollar Non-profit sector (31:06) Special Interest Groups (32:42) Nonprofit vs Government (43:24) Politicians on Nonprofits (46:23) Global productivity slowdown (53:09) Charter Schools (55:17) Accelerating those at the bottom (59:24) A.I. Tutors
Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg discuss Noah's travel reflections from Singapore, the recent San Francisco cleanup, and the dystopian routes of progressivism. Daffy is offering Econ 102 listeners a free $25 for the charity of their choice when they join: https://www.daffy.org/econ102 – Sponsors: GIVEWELL | DAFFY | NETSUITE Have you ever wondered where your donation could have the most impact? GiveWell has now spent over 15 years researching charitable organizations and only directs funding to the highest impact opportunities they've found in global health and poverty alleviation. Make informed decisions about high-impact giving. If you've never donated through GiveWell before, you can have your donation matched up to $100 before the end of the year, or as long as matching funds last. To claim your match, go to https://givewell.org and pick “Podcast” and enter Econ 102 at checkout. Daffy is the most modern and accessible donor-advised fund, making it easier to put money aside for charity. You can make your tax-deductible contributions all at once or set aside a little each week or month. And you don't just have to donate cash, you can easily contribute stocks, ETFs, or crypto. Plus, you never have to track receipts from your donations again. It's free to get started and Econ 102 listeners get $25 towards the charity of their choice. Daffy is offering Econ 102 listeners a free $25 for the charity of their choice when they join Daffy https://www.daffy.org/econ102 NetSuite has 25 years of providing financial software for all your business needs. More than 36,000 businesses have already upgraded to NetSuite by Oracle, gaining visibility and control over their financials, inventory, HR, eCommerce, and more. If you're looking for an ERP platform head to NetSuite http://netsuite.com/102 and download your own customized KPI checklist. – Econ 102 is a part of the Turpentine podcast network. To learn more: www.turpentine.co – RECOMMENDED PODCAST: Odd Lots is a Bloomberg podcast hosted by Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway. Each week they speak with the perfect guest to explore the most interesting topics in finance, markets and economics. https://www.bloomberg.com/oddlots – RECOMMENDED PODCAST: Every week investor and writer of the popular newsletter The Diff, Byrne Hobart, and co-host Erik Torenberg discuss today's major inflection points in technology, business, and markets – and help listeners build a diversified portfolio of trends and ideas for the future. Subscribe to “The Riff” with Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg: https://link.chtbl.com/theriff – RECOMMENDED PODCAST: LIVE PLAYERS Join host Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg as they analyze the mindsets of today's most intriguing business leaders, investors, and innovators through the lens of their bold actions and contrarian worldviews. You'll come away with a deeper understanding of the development of technology, business, political power, culture and more. LIsten and subscribe everywhere you get your podcasts: https://link.chtbl.com/liveplayers. – TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Episode Preview (01:53) Noah's Travel Reflection (03:58) Singapore's Secret to Solar Punk (07:33-18:08) Policies we can learn from Singapore (10:06) Healthcare (11:33) Housing Policy (16:35) Singapore and El Salvador's Strict Crime Policies (18:09) Sponsor: GIVEWELL (19:35) San Francisco's Sudden Cleanup (22:00) Government and Social Media and AI (31:00) Sponsors: DAFFY and NETSUITE (33:22) Progressive Dystopias (39:47) Immigration vs Gentification (43:38) Progressive Education (46:47) Why Liberalism is Losing the Information War (51:50) Banning Tik Tok (57:32) Pronouncing Xi Jing Ping Correctly
Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg discuss the new geopolitical dynamics in Asia and the Middle East, why demographics may mean waning conflict, and take a dive into Ireland's wealth. Daffy is offering Econ 102 listeners a free $25 for the charity of their choice when they join: https://www.daffy.org/econ102 – Sponsors: GIVEWELL | DAFFY | NETSUITE Have you ever wondered where your donation could have the most impact? GiveWell has now spent over 15 years researching charitable organizations and only directs funding to the highest impact opportunities they've found in global health and poverty alleviation. Make informed decisions about high-impact giving. If you've never donated through GiveWell before, you can have your donation matched up to $100 before the end of the year, or as long as matching funds last. To claim your match, go to https://givewell.org and pick “Podcast” + enter Econ 102 at checkout. Daffy is the most modern and accessible donor-advised fund, making it easier to put money aside for charity. You can make your tax-deductible contributions all at once or set aside a little each week or month. And you don't just have to donate cash, you can easily contribute stocks, ETFs, or crypto. Plus, you never have to track receipts from your donations again. It's free to get started and Econ 102 listeners get $25 towards the charity of their choice. Daffy is offering Econ 102 listeners a free $25 for the charity of their choice when they join Daffy https://www.daffy.org/econ102 NetSuite has 25 years of providing financial software for all your business needs. More than 36,000 businesses have already upgraded to NetSuite by Oracle, gaining visibility and control over their financials, inventory, HR, eCommerce, and more. If you're looking for an ERP platform head to NetSuite http://netsuite.com/102 and download your own customized KPI checklist. – Econ 102 is a part of the Turpentine podcast network. To learn more: www.turpentine.co – RECOMMENDED PODCAST: Odd Lots is a Bloomberg podcast hosted by Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway. Each week they speak with the perfect guest to explore the most interesting topics in finance, markets and economics. https://www.bloomberg.com/oddlots – RECOMMENDED PODCAST: Every week investor and writer of the popular newsletter The Diff, Byrne Hobart, and co-host Erik Torenberg discuss today's major inflection points in technology, business, and markets – and help listeners build a diversified portfolio of trends and ideas for the future. Subscribe to “The Riff” with Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg: https://link.chtbl.com/theriff – LINKS: - Noah Smith, How Ireland Got So Rich https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/how-ireland-got-so-rich - Noah Smith, The Middle East is Getting Older: https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/the-middle-east-is-getting-older – X / TWITTER: @noahpinion (Noah) @eriktorenberg (Erik) – TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Episode Preview (01:47) Noah's reflections from the Kilkenomics Festival (02:44) Why and how Ireland got rich (11:14) What is the legacy of Brexit? (13:16) Pro and counter arguments for Brexit (15:27) Sponsors: GiveWell | Daffy (18:10) Noah on the 2nd Cold War (24:20) Why Asia is more important to the US than the Middle East (29:57) Sponsor: NetSuite (31:04) Iran in the Israel-Gaza conflict (34:45) Predictions for the next decade in Middle East (41:17) On fertility rates (45:51) Where would Israel be in 10 years? (50:13) The endless pressures on Israel (51:07) What would need to be true for Noah to be bullish on Israel? (57:08) Countering the collaboration between Gaza and Israel
Eric Hansotia, Chief Executive Officer at AGCO, discusses growth, technology and sustainability in the agriculture industry. theSkimm Co-Founder Danielle Weisberg talks about their Show Us Your Child Care initiative. Bloomberg News Chief Correspondent for Global Macro Markets Liz McCormick and Bloomberg News Cross Asset Reporter Denitsa Tsekova provide the details of their Businessweek Magazine story Hedge Funds Turbocharge Volatility in Cratering US Bond Market. And we Drive to the Close with Amanda Agati, Chief Investment Officer at PNC Asset Management Group.Hosts: Carol Massar and Mike Regan. Producer: Paul Brennan. FULL TRANSCRIPT: This is Bloomberg Business. Wait inside from the reporters and editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio. Well shares at Adco. Check it out, everybody, They're up our third day, They're at more than six percent in that time. Company reported earnings yesterday morning, of which third quarter just at EPs was a big beat. Third quarter net sales in line with expectations, and the maker of tractors and combines also said it still sees fiscal year net sales of about fourteen point seven billion, slightly above street estimates, with fiscal year just ADPs of about fifteen dollars seventy five cents a share. That's fifty cents above the company's earlier forecasts. Three analysts nonetheless cutting their price targets on the company by an average of three and a half percent since it reported yesterday. So let's get to it. We have a great guest. We have the CEO, Chairman, President and CEO at ADCO, Eric Hansotea. Excuse me, Eric Hensotia, He's on zoom from Duluth, Georgia, and he joins, us, forgive me, forgive me. I'm trying to race to get to you. So I apologize. Eric. Oh you good, no problem, Really great to have you here with us. First of all, how are you? And I do have to ask you about the FED? In an environment where the FED says, you know, we could still continue raising rates, we're still worried about inflation. Does that kind of mesh with the outlook that you see? Well, your first question was how am I doing great? Just couldn't be happier with the progress that our company is having relative to our strategy. We're going to have two billion more in sales this year, We're going to grow margins significantly relative to the and it's all in line with our high tech focus on being the industry leader and smart farming machines relatively to the FED. You know, interest rates do weigh on farmers' minds. These are big as they carry a lot of technology. They're expensive machines, many times half a million to a million dollars, and so they often finance those machines, and higher interest rates are part of the part of the decision. I'm expecting that we're you know, at a high plateau and that we're more likely over the coming year to have red rates go down then up, and that would be welcomed by our customers, you know, Eric, I'm looking at the revenue growth of ag CO over the years and really some impressive growth there. Twenty twenty one is up, twenty two, twenty twenty two up fourteen percent, sixteen percent. This year, it does, at least according to analyst estimates, look like you might be in for a dip in revenue last year. And I'm wondering what's the what's driving that? Is that entirely an interest rate story or is there is there something else going on? It's actually very little related to interest rates. Agriculture often is not connected, not correlated highly with the regular GDP growth. It's more tied to the agricultural agricultural economy. So the price of corn, wheat, soybeans, and that's a function of how much green there is in the world. For the last two or three years, there's been green shortages and so green prices have been high. That means more profit for our farmers. Now they've had a great year this year in terms of harvest and so there's a little bit more stock prices have come down a bit, and that's really more what drives farmer profitability and then turn their interest to purchase equipment. Hey, Eric, what I wonder is longer term how you guys think about the business, how you plan, because I wonder if things like weather, climate change, demographics globally, is that more significant in terms of how you think about the growth longer term? And if so, what does that maybe indicate to you. Yeah, that's a great point, Carol. So we see three macro tailwinds plus this weather factor. So let me touch those real quickly. Number One, we're moving from eight billion people to ten billion people between now and twenty fifty. Number two, emerging economies are adding more meat to their diet as they do that. That's a multiplier on the demand for green chicken is a two to one multiplier, beef is a ten to one multiplier. And then third is renewable fuels, so ethanol in the United States. But now the next one is renewable diesel. Ethanol consumes forty percent of the corn crop today. Renewable diesel is likely going to grow to that same kind of proportion over the next few years. Those are all macro tailwinds that cause the farmer to have higher yields and more pressure on higher yields. And then weather is another one. We're having more severe droughts and more severe floods every year that reduces the overall global global ability to produce cream. So you add those four factors together and the farmers are pushed to have higher yields while using less inputs, less fertilizer, pesticide, chemicals and things like that, and so there's a big squeeze for productivity. Using our technology, we're using artificial intelligence on our now to be able to use vision systems so identify the difference between a weed and a plant as a machine's going through the field and spray only the weed, saving like seventy percent of the chemical and a lot of automation of features throughout all of our products. Can you say, I'm assuming you've been using AI for a long time though, right, Yes, we have. Across many of our machines. We use AI to understand the variation in soil or crop and have the machine learn over time to be able to optimize itself real time in the field. It's amazing because when you think of AI. The last thing I think most people think of is farm labor. Do you think of machines though, I think a machine. Well, Eric made a great point and I wanted to ask about this. Is right at the beginning, you said that technology aspect of your business is so important, and again, if you're not really familiar with ACO, you might not think about that. But one thing I wanted to ask about, Eric, and full disclosure, I'm not an expert on tractors. In fact, I hire a kid to cut my own grass, so I'm really I've driven a tract, this big one. There we go. So I'm coming at this from a pure ignorance state of mind. But I would think that self driving technology would be easier to implement on the farm with a tractor. But from my understanding is it's not really I wonder if you could talk to us a little about where you are with that type of technology. You know what we see it anytime soon? Or is it just, for whatever reason, too complicated to have self driving tractors. It's a great topic. It's at the heart of our strategy is putting technology on machines to have the machine be smarter and be able to do more things for the customer. I talked about the sprayer. We're automating all our functions on all of our machines. We've increased our engineering spend by sixty percent over the last three or four years since we started a strategy. We've bought six tech companies. We just announced the biggest AGG tech deal in history with Trimble agg where is over a two billion dollar deal to bring those to their technology and our technology together. So technology is a big deal. Now let's talk about the autonomy question. Already, guidance, which Trimble is is one of the world leaders in is used by farmers once they get into the field. They get into the field and they already turn on auto steer, which is a satellite driven guidance, tip the steering wheel out of the way and the machine steers for itself. Now it's still supervised today, but most large AGG has is the machine is doing the steering for itself. We've committed when we were in Wall Street last week last year, we committed that by the end of the decades, so twenty thirty, we would have the full crop cycle, meaning planting, spring, tractors, harvesting, all autonomous with no driver in them, and by twenty twenty five we'd have a retrofit kit that would be able to be put on an existing machine to make it autonomous. So it's a more contained environment. There's not so much other traffic and other things in the way, and you can stop. You don't have a lot of other traffic around, so you can if there's runs into a situation hasn't seen before, the machine will just failsafe mode is stop and then you can remotely view into it and restart it. It's like about right, there's lots of move there's a lot of space around you. Autopilots work really really well. Hey, in twenty twenty four, what do we expect for your company? Do you see higher prices due to inflation continuing And just got about forty seconds. Yeah, yeah, prices are going to moderate. You know, these last couple of years, we put a lot of pricing into the market, more than our a little bit more than our cost. We expect to still put more than our cost into the market because of all this technology we're bringing in the value it generates. But inflation is coming down pretty significantly for us, and so we think it'll be much more normalized. You know, we haven't given guidance, but it'll be more in the mid to low single digits than where we've been before. Any any kind of peak ten seconds in terms of the ag machinery market, do you see any kind of peeking out just very quickly. Well, we've still got strong demand going into next year. Our order boards are out six or seven months on large egg. We're sold out for our seasonal products. We're all through Mighty Year twenty four, so we still see twenty four as a good year, although getting more normalized. All right, love it, listen, come back soon, so appreciate it. Eric Hansodia He is chairman, president CEO at AGCO on zoom from Duluth, Georgia, So appreciate your time. On this Wednesday, you're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern Listen on Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app and the Bloomberg Business app, or watch us live on YouTube. All right, we're going to switch gears a little bit off of earnings. Talk about the skim. It's a non partisan digital media company catering to women. It's a subscription newsletter company to offer up things like the daily Skim Skim Money. There's also a podcast and a lot more in terms of what they do the privately held company. Their investors include GV which was formerly Google Ventures. Also Disney. We just heard Denise talk about Disney when it comes to the Hulu ownership. Ventures is another investor in the company. We talked with both of the founders back in March, and great to have back with us this time around. The Skim co founder Danielle Weisberg. She's on Zoom in New York City. Danielle, how are you. I'm good, Thanks so much for having me here today. Before we get into some specifics, I always like to talk perspective. You guys have been around for more than a decade. It's been a few months, about six months or so since we last talked. Talk to us about, you know, how business is doing this year, and just talk to us about how you see the environment right now. Yeah, So you know, listen, you guys are in this day in and day out in terms of public companies, and I think that when it comes to this environment, we know ADS spending has been really up and down. It's been tenuous. I think that when those budgets flex, the biggest thing that you can rely on is a direct relationship with a sought after customer. And at the Skim we have been representing millions of win women for over a decade. Our audience is the people that you want to reach and that you need to reach. They are the ones that are making ninety five percent of household purchasing and spending decisions. So while the overall media landscape continues to have challenges, we've certainly felt that, but at the Skim, what we come back to again and again is what you can't duplicate and what you can't just start overnight, which is a real direct relationship with a group of women who look for look for us every single day. How big is that group? Just remind us in terms of your reaction base over twelve million women. Wow, that's a lot. That is a lot. Are you just remind me to only subscription based or no, there's ad dollars that comes in. No, we have a differentiated revenue model. So we have sponsorship, we have subscription, and actually our fastest growing line of revenue has been commerce. Danielle, at the Skin, you have a very interesting initiative going on called show us your Childcare, Talk to us a little bit about what that is, what the goal of that is. Yeah, so it's a good day to talk about it because there was I don't know if you guys saw this, but there was a report today where we were finally able to look at data in comparison to childcare costs in twenty nineteen. So the price of childcare is up thirty two percent. That means that many families can't afford to both work, and that price search outpaysd overall inflation. I mean, when you look back this year, how much time have we spent reporting on inflation and thinking about what that is doing to families and the decisions that they're having to make, and think about then what it means to say childcare costs are going beyond that. And again this isn't new. This child share share childcare crisis has been in existence for years and the pandemic only made that worse. And in fact, the only time that there has been an investment the US has ever made a sizable investment in childcare was during the pandemic. And when that pandemic era funding expired, which it did, there were no other solutions offered. So it's leaving about three point two million children and their families without childcare options, and that is absolutely just unacceptable. We have an economy that more and more relies on parents, both of them to work, and to do that, you need to make sure that your kids have proper care. Right Listen, you're preaching to the choir. Nobody's going to like get. We totally agree. We talk so much here, I feel like about the lack of affordable daycare or childcare, if you will, for many, many millions of Americans. Other countries seem to have figured it out. You guys, have a partnership and talk to us a little bit about it with moms first. You're partnering also with companies such as Verizon, MasterCards, show Banni on this. Tell us what specifically are you are doing to kind of impact this problem or the situation. Yeah, So we launched hashtags show us your Childcare. And this is the second real civic action campaign that we've lost that we've launched. The first was hashtag show us Your Leave. And what we believe is really matching areas with there is a disconnect for what the government is doing so. Again, childcare has not been something that's been solved by Democrats in leadership or Republicans, and so because of that, we again have really needed the private sector to step up. And I think that this is a time when there's not one right way to know how to support your business through a childcare cliff. But how best do you think the private sector can do it? I think many would argue, yeah, maybe the government doesn't need to be involved, that there are private sectors that have definitely been very profitable and that as a benefit, or to help out their workers to make it easier, or in a tight labor force, bring more workers in to actually provide childcare. So what are the one or two things that can really make a difference here. Well, the first is use it to attract and retain talent. So this is a big way to make your policies transparent. Use our hashtag show us your childcare. And that's where we've gotten over eighty companies such as Pinterest, Shobani, ww ets, Verizon to make their policies transparent. And what that does is it really virtue signals that you care about families and that you are going to put your money where your mouth is. But what any of those companies actually do, That's what I'm curious about. What do they do that actually helps people with their childcare needs. Yeah, so it's everything from flexible work hours to cash stipends to put towards childcare costs. One of the things that we do at the SKIM is team up with a partner VB to make sure that there's backup care options. So we offer kind of a bank of credits those days when you have normal childcare but you need a plan B your childcare provider is closed or someone sick. So it really runs the gamut to onsite childcare centers. And again, you know, it's going to depend on the size of your business how much you're able to invest. But there are different things out there, and we want to make sure that that's part of the conversation when it comes to benefits. And I imagine there's a pretty good economic incentive for some companies to get more engaged with childcare. Is that a selling point of this initiative? And Daniel just got about twenty seconds. Yeah, I think it is, and I think overall as a society, we should all make sure that we have a growing workforce that we have nice things like social securities, and to do that, we need to make sure that women stay in the workforce. So I think overall there's a benefit there, but there's also investing employees they'll stay longer. All Right, we got to run, Thank you so much, A very timely issued something we've been talking about. Bloomberg. This give co founder Danielle Weisberg on zoom in New York City. This is Bloomberg. You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the Bloomberg Business app, and YouTube. You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station, Just say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty. Yeah. One man's loss is another one's game. That is definitely cocky. Attention of the hedge fund industry on this FED decision day Wednesday, if you will, the US Treasury, you know, trade is definitely on our minds, Mike. The funny thing is it's been on our minds a lot this year, amid big swings in the trade volatility in any given day, we've seen tremendous swings. Yeah. Absolutely, and it's fascinating to see sort of new classes of hedge funds get involved in the treasury market. You know, there's certain macro funds that are always president there. But whenever I see the name long tail Alpha, you know, a tail risk catch fund, I know something's gone wrong somewhere when these guys are actively involved in the trade. So I think that's the case with the story. Well, let's get to it, because it's a story that is reported out in the new issue of Bloomberg Business Week. Let's get into what's going on, as I said in the upcoming new issue on newsstands tomorrow, already online a Bloomberg dot com slash business Week, and of course on the Bloomberg terminal. So let's get to it. Bloomberg News Chief correspondent for Global macro Markets, Liz McCormick is with us. She is on zoom in New Jersey, and also with us is Bloomberg News crossauset reporter Denisatsakova. She's here in our Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio. Guys, so great to have you here with us. It is in BusinessWeek, the upcoming new issue, which will be out on newsstands tomorrow. Denise, let's start with you. I'm curious about the conversation in the newsroom. Joel has a tendency they'll kind of walk around the newsroom and like kind of poke people about stories. How did this story come about? What was the conversation or did you know one of you say like, you should see what hedge fund guys are up to, So tell us how this came to be. Yeah, so it came back to that theme. We've talked a lot about price sensitive and price incentensitive buyers, so we wanted to look into who are really those new buyers, and hedgephone's a big part of it. And obviously, like if you think of just generally trading treasuries and think of it as the safest market and kind of a little bit slower moving market compared to I don't know, compared to equities, currencies, I don't know. So the conversation came, how has the day of those people changed? And this is what we ask them, So won't tail Alpha ven year's day is very different? You know. The first anecdote is he wakes up every two hours to check the prices, and you know, it's being there on your Bloomberg terminal or whatever. You check your prices all the time and following every little move and then every small data release is very important and potentially it can make you move things. And obviously, like some of those traits have voice trades, sometimes you have to be in the and look at all those releases together decide where you have to make moves. And you can imagine this is very different than I don't know, five years ago, when the FED was such a big important buyer and prices maybe weren't as sensitive to those things. Yeah, this is why I'm not a tail risk hedge fund. That that well, well, I want to bring listen to this conversation, Liz, because we talk about the extreme volatility that we see in the US bond market this year. So are they playing our hedge fund guys and gals, if you will, playing a significant role in that volatility? Well? Yeah, right? Is it circular? Right? And they like the volatility, they come in, they create more volatility, right, So it kind of feeds on itself and then more it becomes and I have to do a shout out. I know Tracy Alloway at some point did a story treasury is trading like a meme stock, so we have to book that one up. But that it becomes like, you know, what was it? Oh, I think Mike Reagan must have edited one of these stories we did where there was other things that were like the hot things that was crypto. And now look at this treasuries even today, look at the yields across the curve. It's like down, you know, over fifteen bases points. It's crazy. So I think hedge fund's coming in because there's more volatility and trading than that adds to it. But they do kind of on the flip side say hey, we're adding to the liquidity, we're you know, making markets. And Deniza knows. Today we had the refunding today and they had their barring committee, which the Treasury always does look into different things. One of them was like the demand base, and they brought up things that were in our story, not that it was from our story, but that the buying base has changed. You know, you have less commercial banks, foreign central banks, you have more households and hedge funds you know, involved in the treasury market. So it's kind of interesting that they brought that up today. Mike did call it a meme stock by the way early. Yeah, I really wanted to take credit for that, but of course Liz Tracy's way ahead of me as usual. But Liz, you know, one of the sort of standard bread and butter hedge fund trades when it comes to the treasury market is something known as the basis trade, which basically looks to profit between discrepancies in the price of bond futures and the actual bonds trading in the cash market. That seems to be kicking into high gear this year, and there's a bit of a backlash to that from the government and some scrutiny about what hedge funds are doing. I know, it's created its own backlash to the backlash, Ken Griffin coming out and saying, why do they care about this? This is sort of an innocuous trade that actually helps save taxpayers money in the bond market. Walk us through the basis trade and why there is scrutiny of it right now? Yeah, in fact, you're front running another story I have covered. Helpful get it out before you do. But yeah, it's been interesting. Like you said, we've had the FED, the BIS, A lot of regulators say hey, we'll worry the side of the size of this basis trade is gotten as jig as it was like in March twenty twenty, and we know what happened then. But yeah, normally this is kind of like you say, picking pennies up under steamroller. You're shorting the futures, you're buying the cash. If you take it to you know, to expiration of the futures, they should converge and where they see some discrepancies, some price discrepancies, that's why you'll do that trade. Where the risk comes in is that most of that is done using leverage, meaning using the repo market to finance the treasury side. So you have the risk that's what happened in like twenty nineteen, that repo rates go crazy for whatever reason and you just can't keep funding this trade. On the flip side when volatility picks up, as you know in futures, you tend to get margin calls. It's just part of the metrics. And so if you started getting margin calls on the short side, so you know, things can just go awry on both sides and all of a sudden, you know you just can't keep in this trade. Then there's a mass exit. That's the way that there's a problem when everyone's running on the same way, right and no one can get out. And remember Mike, in twenty twenty, we had people saying, hey, I had a good trade, I couldn't even get out of that because there's just no liquidity, right. Well, that's what I wanted to ask. Don't we want it to be a little bit of a sleepy market that you know, foreign central banks and the Fed and others you know, use and can count on to be kind of trade a certain way. I mean, don't we to some extent they need to care about the composition of buyers or are we just glad that there are buyers in this market. We do care about the composition for sure, and obviously, like just to give perspective, So those big traditional buyers, including the FED, commercial banks, foreign buyers used to count for seventy five percent of the ownership of the treasury market. That number now is fifty five percent. So this is a very big drop. And speaking to different experts who've been following this for a year, a lot of people saying that in a case where there's a little like a slightly bigger shock, probably there will be very sharp moves, and the market is more fragile to those moves that and it was in the past because obviously hedge funds are a big part. They're very price sensitive, but mutual are also growing fast, pension funds are growing fast. They're not necessarily moving as fast as hedge funds obviously, but are sensitive to macro events. So all those different participants are a lot more likely to react on who knows the next banking news or oil prices or any of those little things. But hedge funds have always been a part of this market, right, it is now there a bigger part we know, percentage wise. Yeah, they have tripled in the past year. So currently they own two point three trillion, which is close to ten percent of the treasury market. Which makes me wonder if he gets sleepy again, Mike, do they just run in the other direction right to make money? Yeah, and it makes me You know, the dirty word in macroland is are you a tourist in this market? Yeah? Are you really a macro fund who's used to this trade and knows what to do? Or are you taking riskue you're an equity manager, you know. I've seen a few headlines out this week Bill Ackman with shortening treasuries, he's changed his mind. He's now covering that shere Stan, Truck and Miller are a very wealth known hedge fund manager used to work with George Sourez without saying he's very bullish treasuries. So is that at least the tourist sort of mentality. Does it seem like the consensus is we've seen the peak and yields, it's now time to back up the truck and start going along the treasury market? Do you think? I think the peak is for sure, very important, but it's also very important that for a very long time it was the direction of trouble was very sure. And obviously like the Fed is likely to continue rowing off its bounce sheet, so them being a smaller portion of it guarantees more volatility, whether those traits are whether short bonds will still be a successful trade. Obviously this is this is going back to the debate where we've seen the peak, but the fact that they're more say realty value trades or or you know, basis traits or things where you can exploit that volatility stace. No matter whether we've reached dot peakids I wonder too, Liz, come on back in. I mean what you make for someoney who's also followed this, you know for a long time in terms of the bond market and treasury trade to see a greater role of hedge funds. I do wonder, listen. They love volatility, right, they want things to move. That's how you make money and quickly for investors. But I do wonder does that potentially, you know, or could it spell trouble? We always talk about right, these changing rate environments, and you know, as the tide goes out, like we get to see all the problems and we you know, could it create some kind of crisis many or otherwise in the future. Well, I have to say, and I wouldn't be doing a good service. And maybe Treasury Department will still talk to me if I do mention that. John Josh Frost, to the Treasury Department Assistant Secretary for Financial Markets, said publicly in a press conference. Listen, we still have a very diverse buyer base. We're not lying on any one type of investor or group of investors. So they're saying, hey, we're doing fine. But to your point, Carol, I think that is why regulators worry like they're zoning in on leverage of things, but you don't want a massive positioning and with one group of investors, who if they go the other way, you just create this groundswell of movement and they take everyone else out in the process. So I think that's the risk when any trade gets too big, especially when it's leveraged, that's a problem. But like I said, Treasury saying, we're okay, we're looking at all this, but we still have enough folks that want to buy our stuff that we're not concerned. But like, who knows well to see what happens for now? How? Yeah? Yeah, Well, let's I wonder you know that that expression crowded trade comes to mind with a story like this. I mean, is there enough diversity in sort of the trades going on or is there a risk of crowding in certain trades, especially you know when you look at how the yield curve is really steepened pretty aggressively in the last couple month, you know, is that potentially a crowded trade or you know, are there any pockets of crowded trades we should think about in this market right now? Well? I would say I think the biggest one is the basis, even though some people argue there's reasons it's not as big, But I keep saying, like Denisa says, it's this debate have yields peaked and that I think people keep getting burned, you know. I mean, we've seen a massive fall today, but that yields have peaked, let me just load up, bring up the truck and buy them, and then yields go up again. And so I think that's where the risk is that people are trying to just can't seem to time this market right, you know. So that's creating the extra volatility, not just from the hedge funds but just regular macro funds, et cetera, thinking it's time now. Maybe they're okay in the long run because this will come back. But I think that's the risk that people just can't seem to get a clarity for sure where rates are going. Yeah, right, exactly. The crystal ball is really muddy right now, Deniza. Just to bring it back to how you guys kick off this story the founder of long Tail Alpha and talking to him, does it feel like it's a trade he plans to be in for a long time or is it something he's like, Yeah, this is maybe a one or two your thing or I don't know. Yeah, I think this is not including the story. But he actually said that probably the best time for this trade is yet to come. As cliche as that is, but this is something we've also heard. We talked to people, of course, I mean, what else could he say, But we also talk to people like who are selling trading algorithms and who very you know, have a very good perception where the basis trade is growing, and they're saying that in the past three months they've seen the most demand they've seen for these type of things, and obviously they have interest in saying that this will continue to be strong. But this is this is a thing we're saying. So for sure, there are numerous players in this space that are saying that as long as there is uncertainty of peakios, as long as the FED is rowing off his bounce sheets, as long as we see that volatility, uh, there may be more appetite for those things. Feels like we could see some more volatility, guys. Thank you so much. Bloomberg News process that reporter Deniza Zakova along with Bloomberg News, she correspondent for Global Macro Markets Liz McCormick. This story in the new upcoming issue of Bloomberg Business Week, on newstands tomorrow, already on the Bloomberg and already online at Bloomberg dot Com. I'm brother Marco, the journal. Now about you. Let me drive? No no, no no, no, please going to drive, honey, please, I'll do the gravels. Let's wat I want to try it. It's good question that try. This is the drive to the clothes dot com tek we'll buy around fold it on Bloomberg Radio and a very good afternoon, everybody. Welcome to Bloomberg Business Week live in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio, streaming on YouTube than Bloomberg Originals. It is a FED Wednesday, as you've been listening on TV and across Bloomberg channels. FED Wednesday, the first day of November, and the FED holding rates at a twenty two year high for a second straight meeting, and the FED Chief Jay Powell asking should we be hiking more? Which I feel like sets the tone. I'm Carol Masser. Tim Stanovec is off today and with us as Bloomberg's Mike Reagan, and I do feel like Mike. There was a lot of things where they He kind of continued to remind us that inflation is still elevated, and I feel like they might not be done yet. Yeah, I mean, and I don't think he said anything too new today really changed the outlook for interest rates at all. But we do have this really wild rally in the stock and the bond market right now, So I wonder you know how much of that is sort of people caught on the short end, short selling both stocks and bonds before this and now having to cover. I'm not one hundred percent convinced you can trust this as sort of the markets interpretation of what he's saying. Right you think about how they were positioning ahead of all of this and thinking it was going to be a lot more negga, Yeah, and so often, you know, we see these reactions in the market the day of a FED press conference and then wake up the next morning and wait a minute, everyone, wait twenty four hour cycle that hasn't happened before this year. It's a really good point. But we are seeing equities hold and it's pretty broad based buying. Let's get back to the markets. It is a FED Wednesday. Stocks are ralling. We've seen yields back off, and lucky for us on our drive to the close on this FED Wednesday is Amanda Gotti. She's chief investment officer at P and C Asset Management, joining us once again out there on zoom in Philadelphia. Amanda, there's a rally underway in stocks. Yields have backed off. I think Mike makes a great point that maybe some investors were caught off guard expecting a much more negative tone or negative description statement whatever from the Federal Reserve. Do you discount the trade today? Oh? Absolutely, I discount the trade. I mean, there's no question that sentiment has been pretty lousy in the last you know, four to six weeks. Yields of move rapidly higher. We think very crowded positioning at one end. So there's a scurrying around that's happening here into the close today to reposition. But I'm not sure that we learned a lot of new information. I mean, I think it's hard for me to say that Powell had his hawk costume on for Halloween. Maybe it was a little bit lighter of a tone than he has been recently. But the door is still very much open for additional tighter policy from here. So we think this rally is going to be short lived. And I know you're in Philadelphia, and I think we should make a deal not to discuss the Phillies at all during this interview. Thank you, I appreciate that. Yeah, yeah, me too. But I wonder, as October, for all the wrong reasons, I was in a hotel with the Arizona team when they lost. Uh yeah, am I wrong? Well they lost, they lost a few games in Philly, but they ended up winning the series. Hey, we're not going to talk about it, Carol, all right, Okay, still too soon now, I mean, you know, we're going to talk later in the show about sort of this wild year of volatility in the bond market. And I wonder, just as a professional in these markets, what's it like coming in every day and seeing these wild moves in the treasury market, you know, this market we were so accustomed to being quiet and sort of boring, you know, And what do you think is needed to calm it down? Well, it's a great question. It's almost an unanswerable one at the moment here. I think as investors we've been conditioned to a hashtag high volatility regime for quite some time now. I mean, think about the last three years of unprecedented challenges and return negative returns in the bond market, so we're starting to get conditioned to this. But I think at the end of the day, it's all a function of this unprecedented policy accommodation that came in at the onset of the pandemic and now this unprecedented unwinding. At the end of the day, it's just going to take a lot longer. I keep saying longer for longer. It's not higher for longer, it's longer for longer. Everything about this is just going to take longer to normalize than what investors would like. And I think it's, you know, again, kind of just hammering the same thing that I feel like Mike and I kind of agree in terms of what we got from Japwell, the risks of doing too little. They're worried about that, even though he's stressed right out of the gate, we've got a dual mandate and that eventually maybe some of this will start to work its way into the labor side of the equation. The risks of doing too little is certainly I feel like top of mind for him, absolutely, and we agree with that that's why we continue to think that the door is potentially open for some tighter policy ahead. I think the key question is whether the market has done the Fed's job for it or not. And he even acknowledged that a little bit that with the I think the market has done enough of the job for the FED at this point. I think it's done enough at the moment. I mean, think about the you know, one hundred bases points that we've seen a move here in the longer term portion of the curve. It's been a very violent move, no matter how you slice and dice it. And so I think for now we're definitely in sufficiently restrictive territory. But there's still plenty of ammo from an economic data perspective to go further here. Economic growth continues to come in pretty strong. Ism report today gave a very polar opposite story here, but US consumer is still very strong, inflation not to the long term target, So I think there is room. I think we just need to, as Pale said, let some of the lagged effects of this policy work its way through here. But we are definitely in restrictive territory for sure. Yo. I meta one of the themes this year is the yield curve, you know, the difference between yields on shorter term debt and longer term debt. And we've been living with this inverted curve for a long time where the shorter maturity debt is yielding more than the longer maturity debt. We have seen this very aggressive steepening in the last few months, and you had a really interesting point in your note to us talking about that steepening of the curve, and it's a very unique thing that's happening, this bear steepening of the curve while it's inverted. What's the takeaway from that, Well, I think it's an interesting dynamic because we of course have this inverted yield curve, it's been consistently inverted for the better part of a year plus, but we're also having this bear steepening phenomenon. And usually when you see that start to come into the equation, it's like, oh, here's the signal for something's going to crack in the backdrop. But it's actually only happened once in the last fifty years where we've had both of these dynamics in play that you don't usually see them together, and so the one time that we have in history was right before the nineteen sixty nine nineteen seventy recession began. And so one data point does not make a trend. It's not a perfect guide or predictor for what's to come next. But we do think the net effect is just a lot of pressure on high valuation stocks and the long end of the curve too. All right, we've got to run. Hey, listen, Amanda, Thank you so much, so appreciate. Amanda A. Gotti of URPNC. This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcast. Listen live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern on Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business App. You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube and always on the Bloomberg journaloneSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
For those who can't get enough Odd Lots, we're now offering you... "Lots More." This new podcast show, appearing on Fridays, will see hosts Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal chatting with some of your favorite Odd Lots guests about the latest breaking news and the biggest themes on their minds in markets, finance and economics. Joe's away for this episode. So Tracy gathers two of her favorite Bloomberg colleagues — Matt Levine and Mike Mackenzie — to talk about the basis trade that's got regulators worried, plus the recent bond market selloff, reminiscences over Tokyo in the 1990s and much more.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Your memory is our topic as we talk with Tracy Packiam Alloway, an award-winning psychologist, author, TEDx speaker, and TV contributer who has spent her career studying working memory. Her research on the topic has been featured on The Today Show, Good Morning America, Forbes and Newsweek, as well as in countless journal articles. Her website is https://tracypackiam.com/
Maybe it's nothing, but you've noticed that lately your friends are calling you out for your lateness, forgetfulness and your daydreaming, and after a quick Google search, you find out these are symptoms of ADHD. Whilst this may bring a sense of validation, it may also cause you to get curious on how these symptoms might be affecting your friendships. In today's episode, our resident friendship expert Danielle Bayard Jackson is joined by Dr Tracy Alloway, an award-winning Psychologist, TV expert, and Author of 15 books, to dive deep on the topic of ADHD and how it might be affecting your friendships. Together they discuss what ADHD is, how it presents itself in women, ways it can impact our relationships and what we can do as friends to understand and help support those with the diagnosis. And as always, stay tuned to the end for this week's homework, where Danielle offers tangible and practical advice for both sides - women who are affected by ADHD themselves, and those who are friends with someone with ADHD, and are looking for ways to better support and understand them. Click the ‘Follow' button now to not miss an episode. And remember, you can send us your questions on Instagram or at www.betterfemalefriendships.com To get in touch with Dr Tracy Alloway, you can reach out to her at www.instagram.com/drtracypackiam and www.tracypackiam.com To explore more of Danielle's friendship expertise, connect with her at www.instagram.com/daniellebayardjackson Stay updated with the latest episodes and podcast updates at https://www.instagram.com/friendforward **OFFER ENDS ON OCTOBER 1st** Sign up for Danielle's Friendship Elevated, a 12-week program for modern women who want to experience a real transformation in their female friendship landscape: https://www.betterfemalefriendships.com/membership Book a private coaching session with Danielle at www.betterfemalefriendships.com/coaching Join our private group chat for extra resources, at https://www.patreon.com/friendforward Book Danielle to speak at your upcoming conference or event, by emailing info@tellpublicrelations.com
For those who can't get enough Odd Lots, we're now offering you... "Lots More." This new podcast show, appearing on Fridays, will see hosts Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal chatting with some of your favorite Odd Lots guests about the latest breaking news and the biggest themes on their minds in markets, finance and economics. On this inaugural episode, they're joined by Neil Dutta of Renaissance Macro Research to talk inflation, a possible government shutdown, the risk of a Federal Reserve policy error, and just how high bond yields can get. Are we getting a soft-landing or an inflationary boom? And why do some investors find the doom-and-gloom philosophy so appealing?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Join Tom Keene, Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz, live From the 2023 Jackson Hole Symposium with esteemed guests including Mohamed El-Erian of Queens' College Cambridge, Tracy Alloway of Bloomberg Odd Lots, Patrick Harker of the Philadelphia Fed, Kristalina Georgieva of the IMF and Barry Eichengreen of UC Berkeley.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
From the renewed and growing power of American organized labor to the case for minting a $1 trillion coin to end debt-ceiling brinkmanship once and for all, Bloomberg's Odd Lots podcast has tried to tackle some of the most important topics related to the economy and financial markets. From Modern Monetary Theory to Bidenomics, the show hasn't found a topic it can't chew on.Now, the podcast's hosts get the chance to answer some questions instead of asking them. Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal joined the What Goes Up podcast to give their takes on some of the hot-button issues of the day. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
A much-dreaded recession doesn't actually seem to be materializing. We called up some experts — economics reporters Tracy Alloway and Greg Ip, plus our boss, Vox CEO Jim Bankoff — to figure out what's going on. This episode was produced by Miles Bryan, edited by Matt Collette, fact-checked by Laura Bullard, engineered by Patrick Boyd, and hosted by Noel King. Transcript at vox.com/todayexplained Support Today, Explained by making a financial contribution to Vox! bit.ly/givepodcasts Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Economic indicators tell us inflation is easing, but the prices at the supermarket tell a different story. Tracy Alloway calls it "Excuseflation". She's a finance and economy writer at Bloomberg and co-host of the podcast Odd Lots.
Tonight on The Last Word: 174 January 6 defendants reportedly say Donald Trump incited them. Also, the White House touts the economic benefits of Bidenomics. Plus, Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers uses his veto power to increase public school funding for the next 400 years. And Vladimir Putin's disastrous war in Ukraine enters its 500th day. Ruth Ben-Ghiat, Jennifer Rubin, Tracy Alloway, Rep. Gwen Moore and William Taylor join Ali Velshi.
On this edition of Wall Street Week, Sonal Desai, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO & Tracy Alloway, Bloomberg News Managing Editor dive into the enthusiasm around AI. C.S. Venkatakrishnan, Barclays CEO shares his thoughts on UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse and Robert Sulentic, CBRE CEO discusses the effect rates will have on commercial real estate in America's biggest cities. And Lawrence H. Summers, Former Treasury Secretary explains why he was confused by the Fed's action at its June meeting. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Tonight on The Last Word: President Biden delivers his first Oval Office speech after avoiding default. Also, The Washington Post reports that the Georgia Trump probe now includes actions outside of the state. Plus, Harris County officials call the Texas GOP election bills “politically motivated.” And Colorado Springs elects its first Black mayor. Tracy Alloway, Stephanie Kelton, Glenn Kirschner, Jane Hope Hamilton and Mayor-elect Yemi Mobolade join Ali Velshi.
The collapse of FTX and the knock-on effects on the crypto market continue to make headlines, but what other stories are likely to feature prominently in 2023? Bloomberg's Tracy Alloway and the FT's Philip Stafford give their views. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Pre-Note:One thing we did not get into was the relationship between the claps of FTX and the associated fraud and “Effective Altruism”—Effective Altruism not so much as a philosophy, but rather as a doctrine preached by a life-coach.If you want to have the highest chance of becoming rich, you make your bets as if you had a logarithmic utility function: if the downside to a bet cuts your wealth in half, you will not accept the bet unless the upside more than doubles your wealth. Accepting bets more risky than those that satisfy this Kelly Criterion, even though the gain exceeds the loss, will ultimately make you bankrupt and out of the game with very high probability and absolutely, filthy rich with very low probability.Effective Altruism tells you not only that you can but that you are under the strongest moral obligation to make such riskier-than-Kelly positive expected-value bets. The question, then, is what you do when the overwhelmingly likely bankruptcy takes place. And then the answer is often: the customers money was just sitting there, so we can borrow it to successfully gamble for resurrection, and then pay it back soon.Noah, however, is more cynical than I. He thinks there is a moderate chance that SBF, CE, and company are still very rich dudes indeed…Key Insights:* Future hypothetical Web3 good, perhaps, if there ever is a use case…* Web3 as currently existing not good—a fraud opportunity and a strongly negative-sum arena for grifters and loosely-wrapped gamblers…* Being a greater fool and buying crypto—not good…* SBF & CE & company may well still be very rich dudes…* Trust Vitalik Buterin, probably—but perhaps Noah is himself subject to affinity fraud…* Hexapodia!References:(Best to read these in order!)* Tracy Alloway & al.: Transcript: Sam Bankman-Fried and Matt Levine on How to Make Money in Crypto…* Sam Trabucco (from April 2021): ‘Two years ago, Alameda maintained pretty strict delta neutrality…* Adam Fisher: Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex—And Maybe You Should Too* Adam Cochrane: This was a crime plain and simple…* Tyler Cowen: A simple point about existential risk* Matt Levine: FTX's Balance Sheet Was Bad...* Byrne Hobart: Money, Credit, Trust, and FTX…* @0xfbifemboy: What Happened at Alameda Research…* Patrick Wyman: The Verge: Renaissance, Reformation, & 40 Years That Shook the World…+, of course:* Vernor Vinge: A Fire Upon the Deep Get full access to Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality at braddelong.substack.com/subscribe
Skyrocketing mortgage rates. Rent prices falling by their fastest pace in years (from their highest inflation rate in decades). Buyers and sellers are freaked out. What the hell is going on with American real estate?Today is a very special crossover event, featuring one of my favorite finance podcasts: 'Odd Lots' hosted by Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal. Most of what I think I know about the housing market is a river that flows from the headwater that is 'Odd Lots' and the online commentary of Tracy and Joe. So, this is a thrill for me. I hope it's a thrill for you. Host: Derek Thompson Guests: Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal Producer: Devon Manze Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Yesha Yadav is a law professor and associate dean of Vanderbilt Law School. Yesha works on banking and financial regulation, securities regulation, the law of money and payment system, and is a returning guest to the podcast. She rejoins Macro Musings to talk about recent developments in the Treasury market and the prospects for reform. David and Yesha also discuss the future of CBDC in the US, the recent economic crisis in the UK, and a lot more. Transcript for the episode can be found here. Yesha's Vanderbilt Law profile: https://law.vanderbilt.edu/bio/yesha-yadav Yesha's Google Scholar archive: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=Dn5cmSQAAAAJ&hl=en David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox! Related Links: *The Failed Promise of Treasuries in Financial Regulation* by Yesha Yadav and Pradeep Yadav *The Broken Bond Market* by Yesha Yadav and Jonathan Brogaard *Markets Didn't Oust Truss. The Bank of England Did.* by Narayana Kocherlakota *Treasuries Liquidity Problem Exposes Fed to ‘Biggest Nightmare'* by Liz McCormick *Yellen Flags Potential for Buybacks of Treasury Securities* by Christopher Condon *The Squeeze That Has the US Treasury Thinking About Buying Back Bonds* by Alexandra Harris *Hedge Funds Facing Tighter SEC Clearing Rules for Treasuries* by Lydia Beyoud and Alexandra Harris *Geithner-Led Group Faults Fed for Slow Work on Treasuries Market* by Liz McCormick *All-to-All Trading in the U.S. Treasury Market* by the New York Fed staff *Toby Nangle on What We Just Learned From Gilt Market Madness* by Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal
Tracy Alloway is the co-host of the Odd Lots podcast and a managing editor at Bloomberg Markets. You can follow Tracy on Twitter at https://twitter.com/tracyalloway and listen to her podcast here: https://open.spotify.com/show/1te7oSFyRVekxMBJUSethH Show Notes: Financial crisis hindsight Being obsessed with risk and systemic stability Historical parallels to the crisis of ‘08 Macro vs. micro bullshitting Why people refuse to say “I don't know” Victorian chicken bubble Tales of forensic accounting NFTs being used to launder money? NFTs' path to success Insights from collapse of previous civilizations Understanding the Human OS Fair Wages for Robots Praise for Citi's Matt King and Credit Suisse's Zoltan Pozsar
This week I'm sharing my conversation with Dr. Tracy Alloway, an award-winning psychologist and and author of Think Like a Girl whose appearances on CNN, Good Morning America, and The Doctors have made her the go-to woman for information about the brain. In this interview, Dr. Alloway shares some of the unique ways the female brain is wired, and I make connections between how that wiring can impact how we relate to our female friends. This interview was helpful as I work to write my own book, Fighting for our Friendships, which is coming to a book store near you in early 2024. Visit Betterfemalefriendships.com for more. Follow Dr. Alloway Follow Friend Forward Follow Danielle Bayard Jackson on TikTok or IG
How can women tap into their unique brainpower? Award-winning psychologist, author, professor, and TEDx speaker, Dr. Tracy Alloway, helps us understand more about the female mind & the misconceptions surrounding it. We talk about risk-taking, memory, and how you can use the differences in the female brain to your benefit. For more information, you can find Dr. Alloway at .
Earlier this year, there was a growing movement among some musicians (lead by Neil Young) to remove music from Spotify as a protest against Joe Rogan. But frustration at the streaming music giant goes back a lot further than that. And it has to do with how royalties are paid, and the lack of transparency about how music gets discovered on the service. On this episode of Odd Lots, Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal speak with Damon Krukowsky, the former drummer of the indie rock band Galaxie 500, and one half of the duo Damon and Naomi. He gives us his perception of industry economics, and explains his frustration as an independent musician with how the service works. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
For years 15 years, Hugh Hendry ran the hedge fund Eclectica Asset Management, earning a reputation as a provocative and contrarian thinker on the entire state of the world economy. These days though, he's living in St. Bart's, surfing, and managing luxury properties for the richest people in the world. But of course, he can't stop thinking about macro. On this episode off Odd Lots, Hendry joins Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal to talk about Europe's big energy mistake, China's property troubles, and why even after all this time, the world can't get enough dollar assets. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In times of uncertainty, people often reach for historical analogies. In recent weeks and months, as inflation has continued to climb and commodity prices spike, there's been a lot of talk of a return to the 1970s. But is that the right parallel? On this episode of Odd Lots, Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal speak to Macquarie Capital Strategist Viktor Shvets about why we should instead be looking at a different historical era. He argues that central banks are at risk of raising rates too quickly and flipping the world into recession. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
When it comes to commodities, Russia's invasion of Ukraine has had a notable impact on the price of oil and natural gas. It's also a huge deal for wheat, and food more broadly. Ukraine is a massive player in the global wheat market, and the planting season is basically right now. What's more, Russia is also a big wheat seller, and Belarus is a big supplier of fertilizer. On this episode of Odd Lots, Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal speak with Scott Irwin, an agriculture economist at the University of Illinois, about what he calls the biggest disruption he's seen in his career. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
It's happened again. Another container ship owned by the Evergreen Maritime Corp. has gotten stuck a year after the Ever Given became lodged in the Suez Canal and briefly halted the flow of global trade. This time the grounding happened in the Chesapeake Bay and involves the Ever Forward -- a 1000-foot container ship which happens to be carrying the contents of Tracy's entire Hong Kong apartment. On this episode of Odd Lots, Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal speak with maritime historian Sal Mercogliano about why another ship has gotten stuck, what it says about shipping and infrastructure, and how long Tracy might have to wait to get her stuff. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
There's a big question over whether Russia will be able (or willing) to make payments on billions of dollars it's borrowed from investors given its current situation. Not only does the country have a history of previous major defaults, but some of its outstanding bonds are also structured kind of strangely. On this episode of the Odd Lots podcast, Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal speak with University of Virginia law professor Mitu Gulati and University of North Carolina's Mark Weidemaier. They describe how odd some Russian bonds are and what might happen after default. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine has kicked off a giant mess in the world of commodities and sent prices surging. Commodities trader Pierre Andurand has made his name from navigating volatile energy markets, correctly positioning for negative prices oil in April 2020. Now, he sees tightness in the energy market staying for some time. On this episode of Odd Lots, he tells Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway how we might end up getting $200 per barrel crude oil by the end of the year, and what that would mean for the world. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The soaring price of electricity, particularly in Europe, is once again causing a search for alternative sources of power. Obviously there's a lot of interest in wind and solar -- the classic renewables. But due to their intermittency, it's difficult to use them to sustain the power grid without some kind of backup. Enter nuclear power? On this episode of Odd Lots, Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway speak with Meredith Angwin, the author of Shorting The Grid: The Hidden Fragility Of Our Electric Grid, and a long time energy researcher. She makes the argument that nuclear is safe, clean, sustainable, and the answer to concerns about grid reliability. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine has set off a new wave of concern about cyber attacks. Indeed, there were already reports of some in the run up to the war—like when hackers reportedly targeted U.S. gas producers. But while worries about cyber attacks have been around for a long time, it remains hard to get a handle on the actual threat. Such attacks aren't all that visible and information on them is often difficult to get, or comes long after the fact. On this episode of Odd Lots, Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway speak with Matt Suiche, a famous hacker and co-founder of Comae Technologies, about what a cyber war between Russia and the West may actually look like. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week, The Brave Enough Show podcast is bringing you another powerful interview focused on WOMEN and burnout. Listen and learn as Dr. Shillcutt chats with Dr. Tracy Alloway, physician, TEDX speaker and author of the New York Time's best seller “Think Like A Girl.” The leaders discuss leadership types that best avoid stress at work, strategies to make less emotional decisions and how biting a pencil can lead to more happiness. Find out how!