The John Batchelor Show

STREAM THE MAKING OF THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW3-12-261910 BRUSSELS CITY HALL HOTEL DE VILLEThis transcript captures the preparatory and live segments of the *John Batchelor Show*, where the host and his guests navigate the complexities of modern technology and international trade. The discussion begins with an analysis of artificial intelligence, weighing its potential to boost productivity against concerns regarding reliability, job displacement, and the necessity of human oversight. The dialogue then transitions to the Trump administration's tariff policies, which guest Richard Epstein criticizes as economically damaging and legally problematic due to the procedural uncertainty they create for businesses. Woven throughout the exchange are reflections on geopolitical instability, specifically focusing on the escalating conflict in the Middle East and its impact on global supply chains. Ultimately, the source highlights a shared sense of technological and political turbulence that defines the contemporary era. (1)

SHOW SCHEDULE THURSDAY 3-12-20261917 COTSWOLDS ENGLAND1. Mary Anastasia O'Grady (Wall Street Journal) discusses Iranian presence in Venezuela, focusing on war drones and agents with Venezuelan passports. She notes the U.S. recognition of Delcy Rodriguez as acting president while pursuing a democratic transition. (1)2. Natalie Ecanow (Foundation for Defense of Democracies) examines Qatar's "Special Watch List" designation for religious freedom abuses, specifically involving a Baha'i leader. She highlights the contradiction of Qatar hosting groups like Hamas while maintaining strategic U.S. partnerships. (2)3. Jeff McCausland (CBS News) analyzes modern warfare's reliance on drones and missiles, noting the lack of a clear U.S. strategy for the Iran conflict. He criticizes the administration's poor messaging regarding tragic civilian casualties. (3)4. Jeff McCausland (CBS News) discusses technology favoring defense in Ukraine and Iran through drones and GPS. He examines Iran's asymmetric strategy targeting global supply chains and their willingness to fight a long attrition war. (4)5. Evan Ellis (U.S. Army War College) details Panama's port contract disputes with China and the transition to APM Terminals. He also discusses ongoing lawfare in Guatemala and the U.S. intention to return Haitian migrants despite local violence. (5)6. Evan Ellis (U.S. Army War College) reports on rumored secret diplomacy between the U.S. and Cuba's Castro family. He explains Cuba's severe economic collapse and electricity crisis following the loss of subsidized oil from Venezuela. (6)7. Evan Ellis (U.S. Army War College) discusses U.S. direct engagement with Venezuela's leadership regarding oil and mining investments. He also analyzes shifting political trends in Colombia and Peru, where right-of-center candidates are gaining significant momentum. (7)8. Evan Ellis (U.S. Army War College) notes cooled relations between Brazil's Lula and the U.S. due to Brazil's foreign policy shifts toward the BRICS. He also analyzes the rise of conservative leader Jose Antonio Kast in Chile. (8)9. Paul Thomas Chamberlain (Columbia University) recounts U.S. strategic calculations before Pearl Harbor, highlighting uncertainty about carrier technology. He describes the U.S. as a reluctant, "anti-colonial" empire facing imminent threats to its Philippine possessions and interests. (9)10. Paul Thomas Chamberlain (Columbia University) identifies late 1942 as World War II's turning point, citing Stalingrad, Guadalcanal, and North Africa. These battles signaled the rise of continent-spanning superpowers over traditional colonial empires in a new world order. (10)11. Paul Thomas Chamberlain (Columbia University) analyzes the Casablanca and Cairo conferences, highlighting Roosevelt's strategies to keep Stalin as an ally. The U.S. promoted anti-colonialism and self-determination to establish a post-war liberal capitalist order dominated by American economy. (11)12. Paul Thomas Chamberlain (Columbia University) examines Allied plans like Operation Ranke to contain Soviet influence as Germany neared collapse. Despite focusing on Europe, the U.S. successfully launched simultaneous offensive thrusts across the Pacific against the Japanese Empire. (12)13. Anatol Lieven (Quincy Institute) discusses the Iran war's impact, noting Russia's benefits through increased energy profits and diverted Western air defenses. He criticizes the U.S. administration for failing to predict predictable Iranian retaliation against global energy supplies. (13)14. Anatol Lieven (Quincy Institute) explores the resurgence of the "Great Game," detailing Israel's goal to dismantle the Iranian state. He argues that bombing will not break Iranian resistance and notes European reluctance to impose sanctions. (14)15. Richard Epstein (Civitas Institute) criticizes President Trump's trade policies and tariff investigations, arguing they cause severe domestic economic dislocation. He highlights the legal uncertainty businesses face regarding tariff refunds and the potential for prolonged litigation. (15)16. Richard Epstein (Civitas Institute) discusses the Middle East war's threat to niche commodities essential for high-end microchips. He critiques recent energy policies and emphasizes the difficulty of assessing military progress due to limited public information. (16)

16. Richard Epstein (Civitas Institute)discusses the Middle East war's threat to niche commodities essential for high-end microchips. He critiques recent energy policies and emphasizes the difficulty of assessing military progress due to limited public information. (16)1900 BRUSSELS

15. Richard Epstein (Civitas Institute)criticizes President Trump's trade policies and tariff investigations, arguing they cause severe domestic economic dislocation. He highlights the legal uncertainty businesses face regarding tariff refunds and the potential for prolonged litigation. (15)1900 BRUSSELS

14. Anatol Lieven (Quincy Institute)explores the resurgence of the "Great Game," detailing Israel's goal to dismantle the Iranian state. He argues that bombing will not break Iranian resistance and notes European reluctance to impose sanctions. (14)1900 RUSSIA EMPIRE

13. Anatol Lieven (Quincy Institute)discusses the Iran war's impact, noting Russia's benefits through increased energy profits and diverted Western air defenses. He criticizes the U.S. administration for failing to predict predictable Iranianretaliation against global energy supplies. (13)1876 PERSIA

12. Professor Paul Thomas Chamberlain details Allied contingency plans like Operation Rank, designed to rush airborne troops into Berlin to prevent the Red Army from occupying all of Europe if Germany collapsed suddenly. He explains that by 1944, Churchill was deeply concerned about Soviet dominance and sought to redirect Western forces into the Balkans or Mediterranean to protect Britishinterests. Despite these internal tensions, the U.S. demonstrated unprecedented superpower capability by launching simultaneous major offensives across both the Pacific and Europe. (12)1942 TORCH AT CASABLANCA

11. Professor Paul Thomas Chamberlain describes the Casablanca and Tehran conferences, where Allied leaders grappled with the realization that the Soviet Union would emerge as a dominant European power. He highlights Roosevelt's anti-colonial vision, which sought to replace imperial systems with a liberal capitalist order based on free trade and self-determination. Roosevelt's outreach to Chiang Kai-shek in Cairo reflected his recognition of China as a future pillar of this new international framework, often managed in private and out of earshot of Winston Churchill. (11)1942 STALINGRAD

10. Professor Paul Thomas Chamberlain identifies November 1942as the critical turning point of World War II, marked by the simultaneous battles of Stalingrad, Guadalcanal, and North Africa. These events signaled the rise of superpowers—continent-spanning states with massive industrial bases—that began to eclipse the old European colonial empires. By this point, the expansion of the Germanand Japanese empires had been halted, shifting the global power structure toward the United States and the Soviet Union. (10)1942 WINSTON AND REGIMENT

9. Professor Paul Thomas Chamberlainof Columbia University recounts the November 1941 White House meetingswhere U.S. leaders prepared for an imminent, yet poorly understood, Japaneseattack. He explains that military planners initially focused on the Philippines and discounted a strike on Pearl Harborbecause they underestimated the lethality of aircraft carriers. Chamberlain highlights that this era marked the transition from traditional battleship-centric warfare to the carrier-dominated strategies that would define the Pacific theater. (9)1942 MERCHANT MARINE

8. Professor Evan Ellis analyzes the reversal of the "pink tide" in South America, highlighted by the election of conservative capitalist Jose Antonio Kastin Chile. He discusses the cooling relations between the U.S. and Brazil's President Lula, who is currently in a statistical tie for re-election with Flavio Bolsonaro. Lula's recent condemnations of U.S. military strikes and his deepening ties with BRICS partners have alienated the Trumpadministration, leading to the cancellation of his planned White House visit. (8)1902 CARACAS

7. Professor Evan Ellis evaluates the political maneuvers in Venezuela, where the U.S. is dealing directly with Delcy and Jorge Rodriguez to manage oil production and mining investments. He notes that while new laws have expanded the autonomy of foreign oil companies like Chevron and Shell, the broader goal of a democratic transition remains stalled. Simultaneously, Ellis tracks electoral trends in Colombia and Peru, where right-of-center candidates like Paloma Valencia and Keiko Fujimori are emerging as front-runners. (7)CARACAS

6. Professor Evan Ellis reviews the dire economic crisis in Cuba, where the loss of Venezuelan and Russian oil has caused the near-total collapse of the power grid and tourism sector. He addresses reports of secret negotiations between the Trumpadministration and Raulito, the grandson of Raul Castro, which aim to leverage extreme economic pressure for a regime behavior change. This potential deal would focus on undermining government control while easing the humanitarian crisis through authorized private oil shipments. (6)1940 CARACAS

5. Professor Evan Ellis of the US Army War College details the geopolitical struggle over Panama's ports, where an interim contract was awarded to an American-affiliated company after a Chinese-owned operator's lease was ruled unconstitutional. He discusses the Chinese government's retaliation, which includes suspending services and threatening that Panama will pay a "heavy price" for the decision. Ellis also examines migration policies impacting Haitians in the U.S., noting that the removal of Temporary Protected Status (TPS)could return vulnerable people to a nation plagued by violence. (5)1866 PANAMA

4. Colonel Jeff McCausland further analyzes the asymmetric warfare tactics employed by Iran, which include the use of maritime drones to threaten shipping in the Straits of Hormuz. He notes that modern technology, such as Starlink and precise GPS, has shifted the advantage toward the defense, making cheap drones highly effective against expensive platforms like the Patriot missile system. Additionally, he points out that Ukraine has become a significant advisor to Gulf states, sharing advanced drone-countermeasure expertise developed on their own battlefields. (4)1866 PERSIA

3. Retired Colonel Jeff McCauslandcritiques the conduct of the 2026 war with Iran, emphasizing the lack of a clear strategy or end state despite thousands of successful target strikes. He highlights a major messaging failure by the administration following a Tomahawk missile strike on a primary school that reportedly killed 170 people. McCausland warns that the U.S. entered this conflict with minimal international support, having only Israel as a formal ally in the initial stages. (3)1750 ISFAHAN PERSIA

2. Natalie Econo from the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies (FDD) explains why Qatar has been recommended for the Special Watch List (SWL) for religious freedom violations. She notes that while the U.S. views Qatar as a major non-NATO ally and mediator, the country continues to host Hamas and the Taliban. The designation serves as a warning that Qatar's adherence to religious freedom and speech—illustrated by the persecution of a Baha'i leader—is not meeting U.S. criteria. (2)1904 DOHA

NUMBER FILE SEPARATE SINGLE PARAGRAPH 1-12 1. Mary Anastasia O'Grady of the *Wall Street Journal* explores the presence of Iranian assets in Venezuela, noting that Iranian technology was used to build an assembly plant for military drones in the state of Aragua. She discusses the status of acting president Delcy Rodriguez, whom the U.S. recently recognized as the sole head of state in federal court, a move that appears to sideline the democratic opposition leader Maria Corina Machado. O'Grady also highlights the legal significance of Alex Saab, an interlocutor between Tehran and Caracas, who is viewed as a "treasure trove" of information regarding the criminal charges against the Maduro regime. (1)1900

PREVIEW FOR LATER. Anatol Lievencritiques the U.S. administration's failure to predict Iranian attacks on the Strait of Hormuz. He notes that even a Hungarian school teacher recognized these predictable retaliations against international energy supplies,. GUEST AND AFFILIATION: Anatol Lieven, Quincy Institute,. (1)1956 HUNGARY

PREVIEW FOR LATER. Natalie Ecanowexplores Qatar's contradictory role as a U.S. ally while hosting groups like Hamas and the Taliban. She highlights evidence of secret funding to Hamas leadership, bypassing official channels,. GUEST AND AFFILIATION: Natalie Ecanow, Foundation for the Defense of Democracies,. (2)1904 DOHA

PREVIEW FOR LATER. Evan Ellis warns that ending Temporary Protected Status for Haitians could be a "death sentence." Returning vulnerable people to a disintegrating, violent nation lacks both economic opportunity and basic security,. GUEST AND AFFILIATION: Evan Ellis, US Army War College,. (3)1900 HAITI

PREVIEW FOR LATER. Richard Epsteinexplains legal mechanisms for refunding illegal tariff money following a Supreme Court ruling. He argues for using preliminary injunctions to challenge the administration's disruptive and quixotic trade policies. GUEST AND AFFILIATION: Richard Epstein (Affiliation not specified in the sources). (4)1911 SCOTUS

PREVIEW FOR LATER. Colonel Jeff McCausland argues that transactional U.S. policies fail to account for the cultural power of martyrdom. He explains how the willingness to resist beyond death defies material incentives. GUEST AND AFFILIATION: Colonel Jeff McCausland, CBS News. (5)1879

PREVIEW FOR LATER. Mary Anastasia O'Grady examines the lack of a democratic timeline in Venezuela's transition plan. While the administration attempts economic stabilization, hardliners remain in power, making the path to elections unclear,. GUEST AND AFFILIATION: Mary Anastasia O'Grady, Wall Street Journal,. (6)

1897 ENTRY OF THE KING OF PERSIAThe following individuals joined the discussion to analyze the current geopolitical and economic landscape: (1)*   Gordon Chang, Columnist and co-host *   Peter Huessy, President of Geostrategic Analysis and Fellow at the National Institute for Deterrent Studies *   Alan Tonelson, Manufacturing and trade expert who blogs at *Reality Check* *   Rebecca Grant, Vice President of the Lexington Institute (2)### Summary of Geopolitical Instability and Global Consequences (3)Global Economic "Tsunami" and Resource Shortages The potential closure or instability of the Strait of Hormuz poses a threat far beyond the price of oil, described by participants as a looming economic "tsunami". Critical shortages are building for products like fertilizer (urea), sulfur, and petroleum products used in high-end manufacturing. Sulfur is particularly vital as it is required to process the copper used in semiconductors and high-end electronics. While the U.S. may be self-sufficient in fertilizer, the heavy technology-dependent economies of East Asia, including Taiwan, face significant risks to their semiconductor production if these supply chains are severed. Recent reports indicate this threat is immediate, with three cargo ships, including a bulk carrier from Bangkok, recently hit by projectiles in the Strait. (4)China as a Hostile Trade Partner and Provocateur China is characterized as a "hostile trade partner" and an "enemy combatant" that wages proxy wars through Russia in Ukraine and Iran in the Middle East. Experts note that Iran's military capabilities are heavily supported by China, which provides supersonic missiles and the semiconductors found in Iranian drones. Furthermore, Iran's nuclear program is described as a subset of the North Korean program, which was historically promoted by China to keep the U.S. pinned down. Domestically, China continues to ignore promises to stop the flow of fentanyl precursors, with participants noting that leader Xi Jinping has now "dishonored" four such promises to U.S. presidents. (5)U.S. Navy Operational Limits The U.S. Navy is currently facing significant strain, described as being "tightly squeezed" regarding its aircraft carrier fleet. The USS Gerald R. Ford has seen its deployment extended to 11 months, performing continuous combat operations in the Mediterranean and Caribbean. Similarly, the USS Nimitz, which was scheduled for decommissioning, has had its service extended to participate in Southern Command exercises. Although these carriers possess "layered defense" systems capable of neutralizing Chinese supersonic missiles and drones, the Navy lacks a sufficient number of ships to maintain these global commitments indefinitely; while law requires 11 carriers, experts argue the current global challenge requires 15. (6)The "Brothers of Mayhem" Alliance The participants argue that China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea act as a coordinated group of "brothers of mayhem". This alliance is not merely fighting over territory or reputation but is engaged in a fundamental contest over "what kind of world we're going to live in". While the West seeks to maintain the status quo and open trade routes, this opposing bloc utilizes economic warfare, proxy conflicts, and the threat of nuclear escalation—such as China's hinted "first-strike" nuclear posture—to challenge Western hegemony. (7)

SHOW SCHEDULE 3-11-20261906 SF ON FIRE AFTER THE EARTHQUAKE.1. SEG 1: Gordon Chang and Peter Huessy discuss China's petroleum reserves and rising fuel prices. They analyze the potential for nuclear escalation and Iran's efforts to disrupt global trade through the Strait of Hormuz. (1)2. SEG 2: Rebecca Grant and Gordon Chang analyze the US Navy's carrier shortage. The USS Nimitz remains active for Latin American exercises while the USS Gerald R. Ford faces a prolonged 11-month combat deployment. (2)3. SEG 3: Alan Tonelson and Gordon Chang discuss China's failure to stop fentanyl precursor exports. They evaluate tariffs as non-military tools to pressure nations while addressing war-related shortages in fertilizer and electronics components. (3)4. SEG 4: Bill Roggio details the tragic US missile strike on an Iranian girl's school. He argues that while air strikes destroy military assets, air power alone cannot achieve regime change or ensure final victory. (4)5. SEG 5: Jack Burnham analyzes China's "lukewarm" support for Iran and its focus on energy security. Beijing is learning lessons from Western precision strikes while continuing internal repression of ethnic minorities through forced labor. (5)6. SEG 6: Jack Burnham reports on the DOJ dropping charges against Chinese scientists accused of smuggling biological samples. This reversal, involving the Chinese consulate, may be linked to upcoming trade negotiations or prosecutorial challenges. (6)7. SEG 7: Kevin Fraser warns that state legislatures are rushing to regulate AI with potentially unconstitutional laws. He advocates for market-driven transparency and allowing consumers to choose models based on their specific needs and preferences. (7)8. SEG 8: Kevin Fraser explores distinctions between AI models like Grok and Claude. He highlights regulatory "sandboxes" in states like Utah and Montana that foster innovation while monitoring for potential technological harms and ensuring transparency. (8)9. SEG 9: Michael Bernstam explains how the American shale revolution mitigates global energy shocks. He warns central banks against fueling inflation and emphasizes that while global supply chains are vulnerable, US production provides a critical buffer. (9)10. SEG 10: Michael Bernstam discusses how rising oil prices bolster Russia's budget. However, the Russian economy faces contraction and "military Keynesianism," while the United States remains a resilient net energy exporter despite global supply chain disruptions. (10)11. SEG 11: Ivana Stradner examines the Kremlin's information warfare campaign to keep Viktor Orbán in power. Orbán, formerly an anti-Soviet activist, now aligns with Putin to ensure political survival and counter Western democratic decision-making processes. (11)12. SEG 12: Ivana Stradner outlines strategies to counter Russian influence in Hungary, including exposing Orbán's corruption and ties to China. She argues that information is a potent, invisible weapon used to polarize and weaken the West. (12)13. SEG 13: Simon Constable reports on skyrocketing European energy prices due to Middle East conflict. Shortages in sulfur and bromine threaten global semiconductor manufacturing and food security as fertilizer costs nearly double for struggling farmers. (13)14. SEG 14: Simon Constable critiques Prime Minister Keir Starmer's hesitant leadership. He notes the Royal Navy has been "hollowed out" over three decades, leaving Britain with fewer warships than France and a tiny, underfunded standing army. (14)15. SEG 15: Bob Zimmerman discusses the Senate's shift toward private space exploration, potentially ending the SLS program. NASA is increasingly contracting commercial entities for lunar habitats, reusable rockets, and specialized satellite launch capabilities to reduce costs. (15)16. SEG 16: Bob Zimmerman reviews the DART mission's success in altering an asteroid's orbit. He also reports that the European Space Agency lost contact with a solar probe after its batteries drained due to misaligned solar panels. (16)

16. SEG 16: Bob Zimmerman reviews the DART mission's success in altering an asteroid's orbit. He also reports that the European Space Agency lost contact with a solar probe after its batteries drained due to misaligned solar panels. (16)AUGUST 1964

15. SEG 15: Bob Zimmerman discusses the Senate's shift toward private space exploration, potentially ending the SLS program. NASA is increasingly contracting commercial entities for lunar habitats, reusable rockets, and specialized satellite launch capabilities to reduce costs. (15)FEBRUARY 1965

14. SEG 14: Simon Constable critiques Prime Minister Keir Starmer's hesitant leadership. He notes the Royal Navy has been "hollowed out" over three decades, leaving Britain with fewer warships than France and a tiny, underfunded standing army. (14)TOTTENHAM

13. SEG 13: Simon Constable reports on skyrocketing European energy prices due to Middle East conflict. Shortages in sulfur and bromine threaten global semiconductor manufacturing and food security as fertilizer costs nearly double for struggling farmers. (13)1866 SUEX CANAL

12. SEG 12: Ivana Stradner outlines strategies to counter Russian influence in Hungary, including exposing Orbán's corruption and ties to China. She argues that information is a potent, invisible weapon used to polarize and weaken the West. (12)1956 HUNGARY

11. SEG 11: Ivana Stradner examines the Kremlin's information warfare campaign to keep Viktor Orbán in power. Orbán, formerly an anti-Soviet activist, now aligns with Putin to ensure political survival and counter Western democratic decision-making processes. (11)1956 HUNGARY ARMED REBELLION

10. SEG 10: Michael Bernstam discusses how rising oil prices bolster Russia's budget. However, the Russian economy faces contraction and "military Keynesianism," while the United Statesremains a resilient net energy exporter despite global supply chain disruptions. (10)1900 BAKU

9. SEG 9: Michael Bernstam explains how the American shale revolution mitigates global energy shocks. He warns central banks against fueling inflation and emphasizes that while global supply chains are vulnerable, US production provides a critical buffer. (9)1905 BUTTE MONTANA

8. Guest Kevin Frazier compares the current AI era to the early industrial railroad boom. He notes distinctions between AI models and praises states like Utah and Montana for fostering innovation through regulatory sandboxes. (8)FEBRUARY 1930

7. Guest Kevin Frazier addresses state-level AI regulation, warning against shortsighted laws that limit human agency. He advocates for transparencyand consumer choice over "regulatory capture" that mirrors historical over-litigation in other industries. (7)1968 ISAAC ASSIMOV,AUTHOR I, ROBOT

6. Guest Jack Burnham reports on the DOJ dropping charges against Chinese scientists for biological smuggling. He suggests this turnaround may be linked to upcoming trade negotiations or inherent difficulties in obtaining espionage convictions. (6)1903

5. Guest Jack Burnham describes China's lukewarm support for Iran and focus on energy security. He also highlights the CCP's internal repression of ethnic minorities through forced labor and incentivized Han Chinese migration. (5)1909 BEHEADING ROBBERS

4. Guest Bill Roggio discusses a tragic US strike on an Iranian school. He argues that air power alone cannot win wars or overthrow regimes, citing lessons from the Taliban's victory in Afghanistan. (4)1903 TRIAL OF PM MOSSADEQH AT THE DIRECTION OF MI6 AND CIA.

3. Guest Alan Tonelson evaluates wartime trade, highlighting China's failure to stop fentanyl precursors. He discusses the impact of tariffs and potential global shortages of fertilizer and sulfur due to Middle East instability. (3)1793

2. Guest Rebecca Grant analyzes the US Navy's overextended carrier fleet, specifically the USS Gerald R. Ford's 11-month deployment. She emphasizes the need for more carriers to counter global threats from Iran and China. (2)1793

1. Guests Gordon Chang and Peter Huessy discuss how Middle Eastconflict causes commodity shortages for China. They explore nuclear threatsfrom Iran and North Korea, noting China's role in promoting global proliferation. (1)1904 PEKING FRUITS

PREVIEW FOR LATER. Bob Zimmerman explains the DART mission, which tested planetary defense by impacting a binary asteroid system. The experiment successfully demonstrated that a kinetic impact could alter an asteroid's orbit to protect Earth. (6)

PREVIEW FOR LATER. Alan Tonelson discusses the ongoing threat of fentanyl trafficking from China. While U.S. overdose deaths have declined due to improved treatment, experts suggest the flow of illicit substances remains largely unchanged. (5)1903

PREVIEW FOR LATER. Peter Huessydetails China's transition from a retaliatory nuclear force to an offensive first-strike capability. He highlights the massive buildup of missile silos and the strategic alliance between China and Iran. (4)1952 B-36 OVER DC

PREVIEW FOR LATER. Rebecca Grant emphasizes the urgent need to accelerate U.S. Navy carrier construction. Despite legal requirements for eleven carriers, current projections suggest a decline, leaving the fleet overstretched against global threats from China. (3)1942 LEXINGTON

PREVIEW FOR LATER. Jack Burnham examines the dropped prosecution of Chinese scientists accused of smuggling biological samples. Defense attorneys allege that the Chineseconsulate intervened with the Department of Justice to have the espionage-related charges dismissed. (2)APRIL 1953 KOREA WAR, PLA ENTERS

PREVIEW FOR LATER. Michael Bernstam discusses global energy market resilience. He argues that the Americanshale revolution is the primary factor keeping oil and gas prices relatively stable despite major supply chain disruptions and geopolitical conflicts. (1)1903 SANTA BARBARA

### STREAM-TUESDAY-3-10.mp3(4)*  50-Word Summary: John Batchelor assesses the "fog of war" in the Middle East, highlighting Iran's use of asymmetrical warfare. He then transitions to his personal bookshelf, reviewing several historical works that explore revolutionary figures, the Americanstruggle for independence, and the transformation of global empires throughout the 17th and 20th centuries. * Guests: None. *  Author Names and Book Titles: *  Josh Ireland: *The Death of Trotsky*. *  Edward J. Larson:*Declaring Independence: Why 1776 Matters*. *  Dennis Sewell: *Cromwell's Spy: From the American Colonies to the English Civil War, the Life of George Downing*. *  Leenda De Lisle: *Henrietta Maria*. *  Paul Thomas Chamberlain:*Scorched Earth: A Global History of World War II*. *  Thomas Payne:*Crisis* documents (referenced as a historical author). *  Thomas Jefferson:*Declaration of Independence* (referenced as a historical author). *  Marc Campion: Bloomberg columnist (referenced for his writing on Iran's asymmetry war-fighting). (5)1890 ROYAL NAVAL COLLEAGE ON THE THAMES, ALSO GREEWICH NAVAL HOSPITAL

### STREAM-ROGGIO-SAYEH-TUESDAY-3-9.mp3 (2)*  50-Word Summary: This recording covers the production and live broadcast of the John Batchelor Show during an escalating Middle East conflict. The hosts analyze surging oil prices and the Iranian regime's strategy of economic pressure. They debate the limitations of air power and the necessity of internal resistance for regime change. *  Guests: * Bill Roggio: Senior fellow for the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies and editor of the *Long War Journal*. *  Husain Haqqani: Former ambassador from Pakistan to the United States and senior fellow at the Hudson Institute. *  Jonathan Sayeh (referred to as "Janatyn" in the transcript): Expert on Iran at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies who previously lived in Tehran. *  (3)1978 ANTI-SHAH PROTEST

SHOW SCHEDULE 3-10-20261953 MOSSADEQH TRIAL TEHRAN### 1. Elizabeth Peek: Global Oil Resilience and AI Elizabeth Peak analyzes the global oil market's resilience, highlighting high US production and predicting short-term price volatility. She also explains how AI is rapidly improving corporate productivity, which she believes will drive stock market gains.,, (1)### 2. Elizabeth Peek: California's Economic Exodus Elizabeth Peak critiques Governor Gavin Newsom's management of California, citing high taxes and burdensome climate regulations. She notes a "steady exodus" of businesses and people to states like Texas and Florida due to extreme unaffordability. (2)### 3. Judy Dempsey: European Divisions and Energy Costs Judy Dempsey examines how the Iran conflict has divided European leaders. She highlights the immediate domestic impact of rising energy costs, noting that global oil prices act as a direct tax on families and inflation.,, (3)### 4. Judy Dempsey: German Political Shifts Judy Dempsey discusses the surprising resilience of the Green Party in a German economic powerhouse. While the Greens won pragmatically, she warns about the alarming rise of the far-right AfD party in upcoming Eastern elections. (4)### 5. Joseph Sternberg: Keir Starmer's Indecision Joseph Sternberg describes Prime Minister Keir Starmer as a "reluctant warrior" struggling with military readiness. He critiques Starmer's legalistic indecision and the lack of a credible economic growth plan to fund promised increases in defense.,, (5)### 6. Joseph Sternberg: Rise of the British Greens Joseph Sternberg explores the British Green Party's emergence as a socialist alternative to Labor. He explains how aggressive renewable energy targets have left the UK vulnerable to high prices and less resilient during international conflicts.,, (6)### 7. Mariam Waba: Egypt's Economic and Refugee Crisis Mariam Waba reports on Egypt's massive domestic fuel hikes amid regional turmoil. She analyzes President Sisi's challenge in managing multiple crises, including Muslim Brotherhood threats, military dominance of the economy, and nine million Sudanese refugees.,,, (7)### 8. Max Meizlish: Hezbollah's Illicit Financial Networks Max Meizlish exposes Al-Qard al-Hassan, Hezbollah's unregulated bank, as a hub for money laundering and gold smuggling. He urges the US Treasury to better resource investigators to track illicit funds used for funding terrorist activities.,,, (8)### 9. Joseph Sternberg: Starmer's Leadership Challenges Joseph Sternberg reiterates that Keir Starmer remains in a "state of total confusion" regarding Britain's role in the Iran conflict. He notes that Starmer's inability to unite his party undermines the country's strategic military standing.,, (9)### 10. Joseph Sternberg: Fragmentation of British Politics Joseph Sternberg analyzes the realignment of British politics, highlighting the Green Party's success with a socialist platform. He explains that while bi-elections show fragmentation, the UK's electoral system makes it difficult for small parties.,, (10)### 11. Daniel Mahoney: The Legacy of Norman Podhoretz Professor Daniel Mahoney honors Norman Podhoretz as a "man of letters" who defended high culture. He details Podhoretz's journey to neoconservatism and his fearless opposition to the cultural radicalism and nihilism of the 1960s., (11)### 12. Daniel Mahoney: Warnings of Rising Anti-Semitism Daniel Mahoney reflects on Podhoretz's warnings regarding rising anti-Semitism and "western self-hatred." He critiques the resurgence of anti-Semitic rhetoric in modern podcast culture and pleads for the defense of the Western inheritance and Israel., (12)### 13. Bud Weinstein: AI Data Centers and Electricity Bud Weinstein addresses the "half-truth" that AI data centers are causing electricity price hikes. He argues that grid congestion, lack of transmission investment, and regulatory issues—not AI—are the primary culprits for rising consumer bills., (13)### 14. Bud Weinstein: The Necessity of Coal and Petroleum Bud Weinstein stresses an "all of the above" energy strategy, noting that petroleum and coal remain vital for grid reliability during winter emergencies. He critiques the premature closing of coal plants as a driver of higher costs.,, (14)### 15. Bruce Bechtol: Iran-North Korea Missile Partnership Professor Bruce Bechtol details the strategic partnership between Iran and North Korea. He warns that North Korea has proliferated ICBM technology to Iran, providing them with systems capable of reaching the entire continental United States.,, (15)### 16. Bruce Bechtol: The Iranian Missile Arsenal Bruce Bechtol analyzes Iran's arsenal of North Korean-engineered missiles, including modified Scuds and Nodongs. He explains the challenge of locating mobile underground launchers and notes that North Korean technicians likely remain on the ground in Tehran.,,, (16)