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PREVIEW: Western Leadership Fails to Address Radical Ideology: Colleague Bill Roggio criticizes Western leadership for failing to address the foundational radical ideology spawning groups like al-Qaeda and ISIS, contending that politicians avoid this core issue by focusing on political finger-pointing and side topics, ignoring the networks that continue to promote extremist violence globally. 1909 ARABIAN DESERT
PREVIEW: Russia Retains Initiative but Exaggerates Gains in Ukraine: Colleague John Hardie evaluates the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, noting that while Russia retains the initiative, it consistently exaggerates its territorial gains, explaining that despite Ukrainian infantry shortages, their use of drones and counterattacks has prevented Russia from achieving a major operational breakthrough or capitalizing fully on its material advantages. 1941 GERMAN OCCUPATION
PREVIEW: Lebanon's Slow Deterioration Amid International Inaction: Colleague David Daoud analyzes the crisis in Lebanon, contrasting France's lenient approach to Hezbollah with the United States' more aggressive stance, arguing that the international community's fear of causing a civil war by pressing for disarmament is inadvertently allowing Lebanon to slowly deteriorate into a failed state. 1914 BEIRUT
PREVIEW: Chile's Political Shift Toward Capitalism and Democracy: Colleague Ernesto Araujo discusses Chile's recent political shift, where voters rejected a far-left constitution in favor of capitalism and democracy, arguing that unlike in Brazil, Chile's institutions remained healthy enough to resist the "destabilization" of socialism because the left lacked sufficient time to destroy the country's social fabric. 1903 CHILE
Freedom of Navigation and Challenging Excessive Maritime Claims: Colleague Jerry Hendrix explains the historical "cannonball rule" for defining territorial waters and how modern nations like China and Russia are challenging these norms with excessive maritime claims, detailing how US Navy Freedom of Navigation operations serve to physically contest these claims and maintain the "free sea" doctrine. 1912
Surprising Koala Population Explosion in New South Wales: Colleague Jeremy Zakis reports a surprising population explosion of koalas in New South Wales, rising to 274,000 due to lush vegetation and fewer fires, explaining that advanced surveys using drones and acoustics confirmed these numbers and describing the surprisingly loud, guttural growls these animals make during mating season.
Queensland Girl Bitten by Snake Now Fundraising for Rescue Helicopter: Colleague Jeremy Zakis recounts the survival of Joanna Lamb, a ten-year-old Queensland girl bitten by a deadly Eastern Brown snake, noting that after being saved by an air ambulance, she is now selling cows to fund a permanent rescue helicopter for her remote community to ensure others have access to life-saving care.
Targeting Adversary Vulnerabilities and Future Fleet Architecture: Colleague Jerry Hendrix highlights the economic vulnerability of adversaries like China, who rely heavily on sea lanes for energy and resources, outlining a future fleet architecture targeting over 450 ships and emphasizing the critical role of unmanned surface vessels and an expanded logistics force to sustain global naval operations. 1940 IMPERIAL NAVY HQ
A "Moneyball" Approach to Fleet Composition: Colleague Jerry Hendrix argues for a balanced fleet mix, using a "Moneyball" analogy to distinguish between high-end warfighting assets and smaller ships for persistent presence, advocating for new Constellation-class frigates as utility vessels and upgrading existing Arleigh Burke destroyers to rapidly address near-term threats. 1936
The Western Pacific as the Modern Strategic Frontier: Colleague Jerry Hendrix discusses his book To Provide and Maintain a Navy, identifying the Western Pacific as the modern strategic equivalent of the Cold War's Inner German Border, exploring the historical development of "free sea" legal concepts by Hugo Grotius and their necessity for global economic prosperity. 1925
Addressing the Crew in Guam and Leadership Lessons: Colleague Thomas Modly describes his trip to Guam to address the USS Theodore Roosevelt crew over the ship's loudspeaker amid high tensions, reflecting on the fallout and sharing leadership lessons about empathy and communication, emphasizing that acting officials must exercise full authority rather than just "keeping the seat warm". 1905
The "355 Plus" Fleet Initiative and the Ford-Class "Edsel": Colleague Thomas Modly outlines his "355 Plus" fleet initiative and efforts to modernize naval education for a cognitive age as Acting Secretary, explaining his "Gray Zone" management priorities and addressing the technical challenges and cost overruns plaguing the USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier, which he nicknamed the "Edsel". 1904
From Naval Academy to Acting Secretary: Colleague Thomas Modly discusses his memoir Vectors, detailing his journey from the Naval Academy class of 1983 to becoming an aviator and Pentagon official, reflecting on his family's immigrant history, working under Donald Rumsfeld on defense reform, and accepting the role of Under Secretary of the Navy. 1888
England's Ashes Disaster and Dallas the Dog's Joyful Example: Colleague Jeremy Zakis discusses the English cricket team's disastrous performance in the Ashes, trailing Australia 2-0 while facing backlash for aggressive behavior toward reporters, contrasting this negativity with a story about Dallas, a dog who befriends wild birds, suggesting the English team could learn from such joy. 1940
Thunderstorms Extinguish Fires but Spark New Wildfire Risks: Colleague Jeremy Zakis describes spectacular thunderstorms moving from the Blue Mountains to the coast, characterized by intense lightning and heavy rain, noting that while recent downpours extinguished previous fires, fresh lightning strikes combined with forecast heat and wind create a renewed risk for dangerous wildfires in the coming weeks.
 Identifying the Bomber and the Complex Attack Theory: Colleagues Jerry Dunleavy and James Hasson assert the administration concealed the identity of the Abbey Gate bomber because he was a known terrorist released after the US abandoned Bagram, questioning the official narrative and presenting evidence from service members suggesting the event was a complex attack involving gunfire, not just a suicide vest. 1950 KABUL
Beijing's Sequential Strategy to Break the Coalition: Colleague Elbridge Colby explains that Beijing has abandoned "hide and bide" for a focused and sequential strategy designed to dismantle the anti-hegemonic coalition, targeting vulnerable US partners to demonstrate American hollowness, hoping to erode regional confidence and achieve dominance without fighting a total, catastrophic war.
Coalition Building and the Strategy's Purpose: Colleague Elbridge Colby explains that the goal of US strategy is protecting American security and prosperity, not necessarily promoting democracy, meaning the coalition may include non-republican states, identifying defensibility, cost, and resolve as critical filters for allies, ensuring they can hold territory without demanding excessive American sacrifice. 1903 QING DYNASTY
Defining Limited War Under the Nuclear Shadow: Colleague Elbridge Colby defines limited war as a conflict where incentives exist to avoid apocalyptic violence, even between nuclear powers like the US and China, arguing the US must prepare for limited conflict to prevent China from exploiting the "nuclear shadow" to achieve victory through risk-taking. 1940 JAPAN MONUMENT
The Strategic Failure of Abandoning Bagram for HKIA: Colleagues Jerry Dunleavy and James Hasson discuss the catastrophic decision to shutter Bagram Air Base, forcing an evacuation through an indefensible civilian airport in Kabul, describing the immediate collapse of security, the release of terrorists from prisons, and the desperate measures US troops took to maintain order during the evacuation. 1910 PESHAWAR
The Haqqani Security Partner and the Ignored Sniper Warning: Colleagues Jerry Dunleavy and James Hasson explain that the US relied on the Haqqani network—suicide bombing experts with ties to Al-Qaeda—for security, revealing that a sniper team identified the likely ISIS-K bomber based on specific intelligence but was denied engagement authority by leadership, leading to the deadly attack hours later. 1842 RETREST FROM KABUL
The Fall of Kabul and the Night of the Zombies: Colleagues Jerry Dunleavy and James Hasson recount the immediate aftermath of President Ghani fleeing, which led to the airport being overrun by desperate civilians, criticizing the strategic failures that left a skeleton crew of troops to manage a massive evacuation while Taliban forces and released terrorists gathered outside the gates. 1900 PESHAWAR TO KABUL
Visa Failures and the Refusal to Plan a NEO: Colleagues Jerry Dunleavy and James Hasson explain that the refusal to address Special Immigrant Visa bottlenecks or declare a Non-combatant Evacuation Operation early forced a chaotic evacuation surrounded by the Taliban, noting that despite military warnings, the State Department halted visa processing for health protocols, ignoring the imminent collapse of the Afghan government. 1910 KABUL-DARUM TRAMWAY
The Deception Regarding Afghan Troop Strength: Colleagues Jerry Dunleavy and James Hasson detail how the administration misled the public with inflated Afghan troop numbers, hiding the reality of "ghost units" and police forces, adding that removing essential contractors guaranteed the military's failure, yet officials maintained optimistic rhetoric that trapped American citizens and allies behind Taliban lines. 1919 KABUL BOMBED
Implementing a Strategy of Denial Defense: Colleague Elbridge Colby explains that a denial defense seeks to prevent China from seizing and holding key territory, specifically Taiwan, noting the coalition need not achieve total dominance but must destroy the invasion force in transit or deny it the ability to sustain control, effectively blocking China's political objectives. 1900 GERMANS ARRIVE CHINA
The Danger of a Fait Accompli Invasion: Colleague Elbridge Colby argues China aims for a fait accompli, utilizing invasion rather than punishment to seize territory quickly, with this strategy relying on surprise and dulling US warning systems to secure gains before intervention is possible, forcing the US to choose between accepting defeat or a costly reversal. 1900 JAPAN
SHOW 12-12-2025 THE SHOW BEGINS IN DOUBTS ABOUT 2026.2 Las Vegas Venues, California Rail, and Disney's AI Investment: Colleague Jeff Bliss reports that Las Vegas's Allegiant Stadium is now a top-grossing venue while many resorts are dropping unpopular fees, discussing California's new rail line to Anaheim, mismanagement of the Pacific Palisades fire, and high gas prices, additionally covering Disney's investment in OpenAI and its new luxury community, Cotino. Nvidia's Jensen Huang and the AI Revolution: Colleague Brandon Weichert praises Nvidia's Jensen Huang as a pivotal geopolitical figure driving the AI revolution, comparing AI's growth to the railroad boom and predicting long-term economic benefits and massive opportunities for construction and energy sectors as the US builds infrastructure to support data centers. Business Resilience and AI Tools in Construction: Colleague Gene Marks reports on business resilience in Austin despite tariff concerns and describes a safety conference in Fargo where AI tools were a focus, explaining that AI and robotics like Boston Dynamics' Spot are supplementing rather than replacing workers in construction, helping address severe labor shortages. Health Reimbursement Arrangements and AI's Economic Potential: Colleague Gene Marks advocates for Health Reimbursement Arrangements, noting they allow small businesses to control costs while employees buy their own insurance tax-free, also discussing AI's potential to double economic growth and advising businesses to ignore doomsday predictions and embrace tools that enhance productivity and daily life. Lancaster County's Economic Divide and Holiday Retail: Colleague Jim McTague reports from Lancaster County, highlighting the economic divide between flush Baby Boomers and struggling younger generations, observing strong holiday retail activity exemplified by crowded venues like Shady Maple and a proliferation of Amazon delivery trucks, suggesting the economy remains afloat despite challenges. La Scala's Season Opening and Milan's Christmas Atmosphere: Colleague Lorenzo Fiori describes attending the season opening at La Scala, featuring a dramatic Russian opera that audiences connected to current geopolitical tensions, also noting the festive Christmas atmosphere in Milan and Prime Minister Meloni's continued, albeit non-military, support for Ukraine. SpaceX IPO Rumors and EU Space Regulations: Colleague Bob Zimmerman discusses rumors of a SpaceX IPO and new scientific strategies for using Starship for Mars exploration, reporting on the Pentagon's certification requirements for Blue Origin's New Glenn and critiquing proposed EU space laws that could impose bureaucratic hurdles on international private space companies. Mapping the Sun's Corona and Rethinking Ice Giants: Colleague Bob Zimmerman details scientific advances including mapping the sun's corona and rethinking Uranus and Neptune as having rocky interiors rather than just ice, mentioning discoveries regarding supernova composition, the lack of supermassive black holes in small galaxies, and new images of Mars' polar ice layers. "The Incident" of 1641 and Charles I's Failed Plot: Colleague Jonathan Healey narrates "The Incident" of 1641, a failed plot by Charles I to arrest Scottish Covenanter leaders, explaining that the conspiracy's exposure and Charles's subsequent denial destroyed his political standing in Scotland, forcing him to concede power to the Scottish Parliament and weakening his position before the English Civil War. The Prelude to the English Civil War: Colleague Jonathan Healey discusses the prelude to the English Civil War, detailing the power struggles between Charles I and the Commons and Lords, explaining the execution of the King's advisor Strafford, noting Charles's regret and the rising influence of reformists who feared royal tyranny and supported impeachment. The Junto and Puritan Influence in Parliament: Colleague Jonathan Healey describes the political geography of London, introducing the "Junto," a reformist party coordinating between Parliament's houses, analyzing the influence of Puritans and key opposition figures like John Pym and Mandeville who strategically challenged Charles I's authority regarding church reform and arbitrary taxation. The Grand Remonstrance and Popular Politics: Colleague Jonathan Healey explains the "Grand Remonstrance," a document used by the Junto to rally public support against the King, highlighting how rising literacy and the printing press fueled popular politics in London, while also discussing Queen Henrietta Maria's political acumen and Catholic faith amidst the growing conflict. Critiquing Isolationism and the Risks of Disengagement: Colleague Henry Sokolski critiques isolationist arguments, comparing current sentiments to pre-WWII attitudes, warning against relying solely on missile defense bubbles and discussing the distinct threats posed by Russia and China, emphasizing that US disengagement could lead to global instability and unchecked nuclear proliferation. Saudi Uranium Enrichment and Proliferation Risks: Colleague Henry Sokolski discusses the risks of allowing Saudi Arabia to enrich uranium, fearing it creates a bomb-making option, warning that making exceptions for Saudi Arabia could trigger a proliferation cascade among neighbors like Turkey and Egypt, undermining global non-proliferation efforts amidst rising tensions involving Russia and NATO. The Historical Context of Humphrey's Executor: Colleague Richard Epstein analyzes the historical context of Humphrey's Executor, explaining how the administrative state grew from the 1930s, detailing FDR's attempt to politicize independent commissions and the Supreme Court's justification, arguing that while constitutionally questionable, long-standing prescription has solidified these agencies' legal status over time. Presidential Power and Independent Agency Dismissals: Colleague Richard Epstein discusses current Supreme Court arguments regarding presidential power to fire independent board members, referencing actions by both Trump and Biden, critiquing the politicization of agencies like the FTC under Lina Khan and warning that unchecked executive authority to dismiss advisory boards undermines necessary checks and balances.
The Burden of Escalation After Invasion: Colleague Elbridge Colby argues that if denial defense succeeds, the burden of escalation shifts to China, forcing it to choose between retreating or risking nuclear war; however, if defense fails, the coalition faces the daunting challenge of generating the political resolve necessary to counterattack and reverse a Chinese occupation. 1903 QING DYNASTY
La Scala's Season Opening and Milan's Christmas Atmosphere: Colleague Lorenzo Fiori describes attending the season opening at La Scala, featuring a dramatic Russian opera that audiences connected to current geopolitical tensions, also noting the festive Christmas atmosphere in Milan and Prime Minister Meloni's continued, albeit non-military, support for Ukraine. 1957
The Historical Context of Humphrey's Executor: Colleague Richard Epstein analyzes the historical context of Humphrey's Executor, explaining how the administrative state grew from the 1930s, detailing FDR's attempt to politicize independent commissions and the Supreme Court's justification, arguing that while constitutionally questionable, long-standing prescription has solidified these agencies' legal status over time. 1955
Saudi Uranium Enrichment and Proliferation Risks: Colleague Henry Sokolski discusses the risks of allowing Saudi Arabia to enrich uranium, fearing it creates a bomb-making option, warning that making exceptions for Saudi Arabia could trigger a proliferation cascade among neighbors like Turkey and Egypt, undermining global non-proliferation efforts amidst rising tensions involving Russia and NATO. 1954
Critiquing Isolationism and the Risks of Disengagement: Colleague Henry Sokolski critiques isolationist arguments, comparing current sentiments to pre-WWII attitudes, warning against relying solely on missile defense bubbles and discussing the distinct threats posed by Russia and China, emphasizing that US disengagement could lead to global instability and unchecked nuclear proliferation. 1932
The Grand Remonstrance and Popular Politics: Colleague Jonathan Healey explains the "Grand Remonstrance," a document used by the Junto to rally public support against the King, highlighting how rising literacy and the printing press fueled popular politics in London, while also discussing Queen Henrietta Maria's political acumen and Catholic faith amidst the growing conflict. 1650
The Junto and Puritan Influence in Parliament: Colleague Jonathan Healey describes the political geography of London, introducing the "Junto," a reformist party coordinating between Parliament's houses, analyzing the influence of Puritans and key opposition figures like John Pym and Mandeville who strategically challenged Charles I's authority regarding church reform and arbitrary taxation. 1649
The Prelude to the English Civil War: Colleague Jonathan Healey discusses the prelude to the English Civil War, detailing the power struggles between Charles I and the Commons and Lords, explaining the execution of the King's advisor Strafford, noting Charles's regret and the rising influence of reformists who feared royal tyranny and supported impeachment. 1648 CROMWELL
"The Incident" of 1641 and Charles I's Failed Plot: Colleague Jonathan Healey narrates "The Incident" of 1641, a failed plot by Charles I to arrest Scottish Covenanter leaders, explaining that the conspiracy's exposure and Charles's subsequent denial destroyed his political standing in Scotland, forcing him to concede power to the Scottish Parliament and weakening his position before the English Civil War. 1647
Mapping the Sun's Corona and Rethinking Ice Giants: Colleague Bob Zimmerman details scientific advances including mapping the sun's corona and rethinking Uranus and Neptune as having rocky interiors rather than just ice, mentioning discoveries regarding supernova composition, the lack of supermassive black holes in small galaxies, and new images of Mars' polar ice layers. 1950
SpaceX IPO Rumors and EU Space Regulations: Colleague Bob Zimmerman discusses rumors of a SpaceX IPO and new scientific strategies for using Starship for Mars exploration, reporting on the Pentagon's certification requirements for Blue Origin's New Glenn and critiquing proposed EU space laws that could impose bureaucratic hurdles on international private space companies. 1938
Lancaster County's Economic Divide and Holiday Retail: Colleague Jim McTague reports from Lancaster County, highlighting the economic divide between flush Baby Boomers and struggling younger generations, observing strong holiday retail activity exemplified by crowded venues like Shady Maple and a proliferation of Amazon delivery trucks, suggesting the economy remains afloat despite challenges. 1959
Presidential Power and Independent Agency Dismissals: Colleague Richard Epstein discusses current Supreme Court arguments regarding presidential power to fire independent board members, referencing actions by both Trump and Biden, critiquing the politicization of agencies like the FTC under Lina Khan and warning that unchecked executive authority to dismiss advisory boards undermines necessary checks and balances. 1868 JULES VERNE
Health Reimbursement Arrangements and AI's Economic Potential: Colleague Gene Marks advocates for Health Reimbursement Arrangements, noting they allow small businesses to control costs while employees buy their own insurance tax-free, also discussing AI's potential to double economic growth and advising businesses to ignore doomsday predictions and embrace tools that enhance productivity and daily life. 1964
Business Resilience and AI Tools in Construction: Colleague Gene Marks reports on business resilience in Austin despite tariff concerns and describes a safety conference in Fargo where AI tools were a focus, explaining that AI and robotics like Boston Dynamics' Spot are supplementing rather than replacing workers in construction, helping address severe labor shortages. 1962
Nvidia's Jensen Huang and the AI Revolution: Colleague Brandon Weichert praises Nvidia's Jensen Huang as a pivotal geopolitical figure driving the AI revolution, comparing AI's growth to the railroad boom and predicting long-term economic benefits and massive opportunities for construction and energy sectors as the US builds infrastructure to support data centers. 1938
The Emperor's Intervention and the Deadlock over Unconditional Surrender: Colleague Evan Thomas recounts that despite two atomic bombings, War Minister Anami proposed national suicide rather than surrender, deadlocking the Supreme Council, with Emperor Hirohito finally intervening to accept the Potsdam Declaration, though negotiations stalled over the status of the Emperor as the leadership feared execution for war crimes if they accepted unconditional surrender. 1934 TOKYO
General Spaatz's Hesitation and the Missions of Enola Gay and Bockscar: Colleague Evan Thomas explains that General "Tooey" Spaatz, troubled by civilian deaths in Europe, demanded written orders before commanding the atomic attacks on Japan, contrasting the execution of the Hiroshima mission with the "snake bit" Nagasaki raid, where pilot errors and cloud cover caused the bomb to miss its target, reducing the death toll. 1939 Â TOKYO
Foreign Minister Togo and the Japanese Supreme War Council: Colleague Evan Thomas highlights Foreign Minister Shigenori Togo as the sole civilian in Japan's "Big Six" council advocating surrender against military leaders demanding a "final battle," noting that facing assassination risks, Togo maneuvered the complex "stomach game" of Japanese politics, hoping unsuccessfully that the Soviet Union would mediate a peace settlement. 1933 TOKYO
Selecting the Target and Stimson's Intervention to Save Kyoto: Colleague Evan Thomas explains that the Target Committee sought to destroy a city to demonstrate the bomb's power, initially selecting Kyoto until Stimson overruled General Groves to save the cultural capital, with the Interim Committee dismissing a demonstration strike and deciding to bomb war plants surrounded by worker housing despite incoherent discussions regarding radiation dangers. 1931 TOKYO
Henry Stimson's Moral Struggle with Firebombing and the Atomic Bomb: Colleague Evan Thomas introduces Secretary of War Henry Stimson, a "Christian gentleman" and realist who agonized over the morality of war, noting that while overseeing the firebombing of Tokyo and the "Frankenstein monster" of the atomic bomb, Stimson struggled with the conflict between his moral vision and the necessity of using power. 1935 TOKYO
The Role of NATO and Nuclear Proliferation: Colleague Elbridge Colby asserts the US must prioritize Asia, urging European allies to assume responsibility for NATO's defense, noting that while friendly nuclear proliferation is not a panacea, integrated allied nuclear forces in Australia or Japan could bolster deterrence if the conventional military balance becomes unfavorable. 1900 BOXER REBELLION
The Binding Strategy and Harnessing Resolve: Colleague Elbridge Colby describes the binding strategy that leverages thumos (spiritedness) to force China into a dilemma: accept the status quo or trigger a war that unifies the coalition's resolve, ensuring aggression sparks moral outrage—similar to Pearl Harbor—to catalyze the willpower necessary to defeat a limited attack. 1906 ROAD TO INDIA
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