Podcast appearances and mentions of bill roggio

Bill Roggio examines the intersection of Ebola and jihadist activity in Africa. ISIS-affiliated groups occupy national parks, complicating medical containment efforts amidst collapsed governance in West Africa and foreign exploitation by Russia and China. (1)1873 KIMBERLEY

Bill Roggio discusses the volatile Middle East conflict, highlighting recent missile exchanges between Israel and Iran. He notes the fragility of ceasefires and the impact of the ongoing U.S. maritime and economic blockade. (2)1880 MILLWOOD

Bill Roggio and Jonathan Sayeh analyze Iran's strategic focus on Lebanon and Hezbollah as a "crown jewel." They discuss Iran's preemptive missile strikes against Israel and their efforts to create diplomatic rifts. (3)1883 ZULU

Bill Roggio and Jonathan Sayeh detail Iran's centralized internet restrictions and increased execution rates for dissidents. They discuss Israel's targeting of Iranian petrochemical facilities linked to ballistic missile production and covert resistance efforts. (4)1890 CAPETOWN

Bill Roggio and John Hardie discuss Russia's reopening of military schools to replenish its officer core. They analyze the impact of high casualties in Ukraine on Russian force quality and post-war reconstitution plans. (9)1919 CAPETOWN

Bill Roggio and Bridget Toomey examine the Houthi movement's role in the regional conflict. They discuss leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi's ambitious vision, his coordination with Iran, and threats to Israeli shipping. (13)1962

SCHEDULE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW,6-8-261823.Bill Roggio examines the intersection of Ebola and jihadist activity in Africa. ISIS-affiliated groups occupy national parks, complicating medical containment efforts amidst collapsed governance in West Africa and foreign exploitation by Russia and China. (1)Bill Roggio discusses the volatile Middle East conflict, highlighting recent missile exchanges between Israel and Iran. He notes the fragility of ceasefires and the impact of the ongoing U.S. maritime and economic blockade. (2)Bill Roggio and Jonathan Sayeh analyze Iran's strategic focus on Lebanon and Hezbollah as a "crown jewel." They discuss Iran's preemptive missile strikes against Israel and their efforts to create diplomatic rifts. (3)Bill Roggio and Jonathan Sayeh detail Iran's centralized internet restrictions and increased execution rates for dissidents. They discuss Israel's targeting of Iranian petrochemical facilities linked to ballistic missile production and covert resistance efforts. (4)Thaddeus McCotter and Malcolm Hoenlein review Israeli strikes on Iranian military infrastructure and the severe financial crisis facing the IRGC. They also discuss the Houthi movement's renewed threats to disrupt Red Sea shipping. (5)Thaddeus McCotter and Malcolm Hoenlein explore Qatar's massive U.S. investments and its role as a state sponsor of terrorism. They also address the failure of Saudi Arabia's Neom project and Hamas's weakening position. (6)Edmund Fitton-Brown evaluates the "armed standoff" between the U.S. and Iran. He explains how Iran uses Hezbollah to pressure Israel while attempting to exploit political vulnerabilities and split the U.S. from Jerusalem. (7)Edmund Fitton-Brown discusses the centrality of the nuclear file in U.S.-Iran negotiations. He emphasizes that Israelcannot withdraw from Lebanon while under threat and highlights the IRGC's strategy of absorbing long-term pain. (8)Bill Roggio and John Hardie discuss Russia's reopening of military schools to replenish its officer core. They analyze the impact of high casualties in Ukraine on Russian force quality and post-war reconstitution plans. (9)Ahmad Sharawi discusses Syria's efforts to lift its state sponsor of terror designation to attract foreign investment. He warns that unconditional sanctions relief poses risks regarding foreign fighters and Hezbollah's regional rearmament. (10)Gordon Chang and Alan Tonelson review the re-imposition of U.S. tariffs on China following a Supreme Court ruling. They discuss specific trade laws, forced labor bans, and the public's perception of trade wars. (11)Gordon Chang and Rick Fisher analyze China's "grayzone" activities and maritime intimidation near Taiwan. They discuss the deployment of massive Coast Guard vessels and Taiwan's asymmetric defense strategy to prevent beach invasions. (12)Bill Roggio and Bridget Toomey examine the Houthi movement's role in the regional conflict. They discuss leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi's ambitious vision, his coordination with Iran, and threats to Israeli shipping. (13)Conrad Black critiques Canada's "Combatting Hate Act," arguing it is a tokenistic measure that potentially infringes on free expression. He asserts existing laws are already sufficient to handle genuine incitements to criminal violence. (14)Alejandro Peña Esclusa and Ernesto Araújo report on close elections in Peru and Colombia. They discuss the rise of right-wing candidates fighting organized crime and the left's allegations of widespread electoral irregularities. (15)Alejandro Peña Esclusa and Ernesto Araújo discuss regional instability in Bolivia and Chile. They highlight the coordinated efforts of the left to provoke social unrest and the impact of transnational criminal organizations. (16)

(1) John Batchelor and Bill Roggio introduce the global landscape of current conflicts, noting that reporting on these issues is often marginalized by major newspapers. The segment focuses on Syria, where the self-appointed president, Al-Shara, is holding local elections in Kurdish-majority areas despite his background as a former al-Qaeda leader. Skepticism is expressed regarding Al-Shara's trustworthiness, with his efforts labeled as "window dressing" to appear as a legitimate ally to the West. Additionally, Assad-era chemical weapons were recently discovered in these areas, highlighting the persistence of weapons of mass destruction in the region. Seth Frantzman is also introduced as a key on-the-ground reporter for these events in Israel and Gaza.1701

(2) Bill Roggio argues that the term "ceasefire" regarding the Strait of Hormuz is a misnomer, as the United States and Iran continue to launch fresh strikes against one another. Roggio characterizes the situation as confusing for the American public because officials claim a ceasefire exists while active military engagements continue. Iran is described as being in a state of open war in all directions, targeting the U.S., Europe, and regional neighbors. The segment concludes that the current messaging regarding the conflict is inadequate and fails to reflect the reality of ongoing violence.1767

STREAMING THE MAKING OF JBS, FEATURING BILL ROGGIO AND JONATYN SAYEH, 6-1-26.1994 YEMEN,The provided transcripts from The John Batchelor Show feature discussions with Bill Roggio and Jonathan Sayehregarding escalating military tensions and diplomatic instability across the Middle East and Africa. The sources analyze the Strait of Hormuz as a primary global flashpoint while examining localized conflicts in Lebanon, Syria, Somalia, and Gaza. Expert commentary highlights the skepticism surrounding a rumored ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, suggesting instead that both nations remain locked in a cycle of defensive strikes and proxy warfare. Furthermore, the participants evaluate the internal stability of the Iranian regime, noting that domestic repression and internet censorship continue despite the country's economic isolation. The dialogue ultimately underscores a lack of unified American foreign policy and the persistent threat posed by jihadist groups like al-Qaeda and Hezbollah. Overarching themes include the difficulty of achieving lasting peace when adversaries utilize asymmetric warfare to exploit shifting political administrations in Washington.

SCHEDULE THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 6-1-2026.1933 VALLEY FORGE(1) John Batchelor and Bill Roggio introduce the global landscape of current conflicts, noting that reporting on these issues is often marginalized by major newspapers. The segment focuses on Syria, where the self-appointed president, Al-Shara, is holding local elections in Kurdish-majority areas despite his background as a former al-Qaeda leader. Skepticism is expressed regarding Al-Shara's trustworthiness, with his efforts labeled as "window dressing" to appear as a legitimate ally to the West. Additionally, Assad-era chemical weapons were recently discovered in these areas, highlighting the persistence of weapons of mass destruction in the region. Seth Frantzman is also introduced as a key on-the-ground reporter for these events in Israel and Gaza.(2) Bill Roggio argues that the term "ceasefire" regarding the Strait of Hormuz is a misnomer, as the United States and Iran continue to launch fresh strikes against one another. Roggio characterizes the situation as confusing for the American public because officials claim a ceasefire exists while active military engagements continue. Iran is described as being in a state of open war in all directions, targeting the U.S., Europe, and regional neighbors. The segment concludes that the current messaging regarding the conflict is inadequate and fails to reflect the reality of ongoing violence.(3) Jonathan Sayeh reports that the U.S. blockade has caused a sharp decline in Iranian oil exports, though it has not yet reached a level of total economic catastrophe. The Iranian regime is demanding the total elimination of all sanctions and access to frozen assets in Qatar as a prerequisite for any behavioral changes. Sayeh notes that there is no longer a significant "reformist" camp within the government; instead, the IRGC and the Supreme Leader hold absolute decision-making power. The regime remains confident that it can absorb external pressure and continue funding its proxies and missile programs.(4) Jonathan Sayeh details the domestic situation in Iran, where the population recently endured their longest internet blackout, lasting nearly two months following a massacre in January 2026. Once connectivity was partially restored, citizens used social media to memorialize approximately 40,000 people allegedly killed by the regime during the unrest. Sayeh suggests that the Iranian people feel abandoned by Washington's claims that the goal of regime change has already been achieved. Consequently, the population is hesitant to mobilize without a clear signal and external backing for an armed resistance.(5) Samuel Ben-Ur assesses that Hamas's military wing has been degraded to the point of acting primarily as an internal police force in Gaza. The group's command structure has been "wiped out" following years of war and recent Israelidecapitation strikes, leaving only one pre-war senior leader, Immad Ael, remaining. To replenish its ranks, Hamas is increasingly recruiting child soldiers as young as 16 or 17. Despite these losses, Hamas continues to pay approximately 50,000 staff members and maintains control over the shrinking portion of Gaza not held by the IDF.(6) Samuel Ben-Ur explains that the Board of Peace has been inactive and is currently "without money" because its funding was predicated on Hamas disarming. Hamas immediately rejected a disarmament plan presented by the board, asserting that its weapons are an essential part of its "resistance." The group's political leadership remains protected in Doha, Qatar, due to U.S. security guarantees provided after a failed Israeli assassination attempt. Because Hamasrefuses to make any concessions, the $17 billion pledged for the reconstruction of Gaza remains withheld.(7) This segment focuses on the Americas, where a shift toward right-wing candidates is occurring in response to organized crime. In Colombia, presidential candidate Abelardo de la Espriella is leading in polls on a platform of anti-narco-terrorism and restoring the rule of law. In Brazil, the U.S. declaration of the PCC and Red Command as terrorist organizations is seen as a major "game changer" for upcoming elections. Candidates who advocate for close cooperation with the U.S. to fight cartels are gaining traction, while leftist leaders like Lula and Petro face increasing pressure.(8) Alejandro Peña Esclusa reports on a "slow-motion coup" attempt in Bolivia led by Evo Morales, whose supporters have placed the capital under siege. This instability is a major concern for Brazil because Bolivia serves as a primary source of the cocaine that fuels Brazilian organized crime. Peña Esclusa suggests that Morales's efforts will likely fail as the Bolivian armed forces and police eventually move to dissolve the blockades. Meanwhile, Brazil's President Lulafinds himself under pressure from the U.S. and internal factions, limiting his ability to support Morales.(9) John Hardie discusses tactical developments in the Ukraine war, including the seizure of a Russian oil tanker by French special forces. Ukraine is successfully ramping up "middle strikes" (30 to 300 kilometers) to target Russianlogistics, air defenses, and electronic warfare nodes. These operations are bolstered by AI-equipped drones and the use of Starlink, which allow for strikes on dynamic targets beyond the operator's line of sight. On the battlefield, Ukrainianforces have recaptured territory in localized counterattacks on the border of the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions.(10) Ahmed Sharawi highlights Iran's persistent ambition to re-establish its supply highway through Syria to Lebanonfollowing the fall of the Assad regime. Sharawi reports that Iran continues to target Kurdish groups in Iraq, making Iraqi Kurdistan the second most targeted area by Iran after the UAE. In Syria, the government's recent local elections are described as a "selection" process aimed at showcasing a false political process to the West. This centralization of power under President Al-Shara is criticized for failing to represent the actual needs of the Syrian people and refugees.(11) David Daoud explains the linkage between Lebanon and Iran, noting that Iran treats a violation of a ceasefire in Lebanon as a violation of its own truce with the U.S. Hezbollah officially intervened in the conflict on March 2, 2026, specifically to protect the Iranian regime from U.S. and Israeli pressure. Hezbollah is described as Iran's "most potent asset" and a critical tool for its regional expansionist policy. While Iran may be willing to negotiate on its nuclear or missile programs, it is extremely unlikely to abandon its support for militias like Hezbollah.(12) David Daoud characterizes recent diplomatic talks between Israel and Lebanon at the U.S. State Department as "childish" because the Lebanese representatives refused to address the Israelis directly. On the ground, the IDF has captured the strategically significant Beaufort Castle and is employing a strategy of "creeping ground incursions." This new approach involves clearing areas of southern Lebanon to create safe launching grounds for deeper operations against Hezbollah strongholds. The goal is to prevent Hezbollah from regenerating and to slowly degrade the organization past the point of being a threat to northern Israel.(13) Peter Berkowitz examines two distinct intellectual critiques of the United States as it approaches its 250th anniversary: the postmodern progressives and the post-liberal right. The progressives argue that America is mired in systemic oppression and that its founding principles are the actual cause of its problems. The post-liberal right, conversely, views the nation as decadent and corrupt because it fails to recognize a higher religious authority. Both groups advocate for fundamental changes, with the right-wing critique specifically calling for the government to take a more active role in leading citizens toward virtue and salvation.(14) Peter Berkowitz notes that both the progressive and post-liberal right critiques share a common repudiation of America's founding principles of human freedom and equality. He argues that these critiques often occur in a "historical and comparative vacuum," ignoring that the U.S. remains a premier destination for those seeking personal liberty. Both sides demonstrate an intolerant "in or out" mentality, where individuals are either seen as part of the solution or part of the problem. Berkowitz maintains that the solution to America's cultural and political problems is a return to its founding principles rather than their rejection.(15) Peter Huessy discusses the confirmation by the U.S. government that China conducted recent underground nuclear tests. Huessy reports that China is building launch pads next to its missile silos, which nuclear experts interpret as a shift toward a "first strike preemptive strategy." This strategy is designed to use a nuclear umbrella to coerce the U.S. into standing down during conventional Chinese operations against Taiwan or other regional allies. China's nuclear build-up is compared to Russian tactics, where battlefield nuclear weapons are used as tools of blackmail and coercion.(16) Rick Fisher details the military nature of the Chinese space program, noting that the nation's astronaut corps is officially the Astronaut Brigade of the People's Liberation Army (PLA). Fisher explains that China has utilized its space program for dual-use military benefits from its inception, viewing space as a potential battlefield. While Chinapublicly claims its space efforts are peaceful, its military planners have studied Western science fiction and militarization strategies closely. The segment warns that the U.S. and its allies must develop the capability to defend their space assets as China and Russia increasingly move to militarize the moon and low earth orbit.Three spelling corrections applied: (7) Aardo de Lasrea → Abelardo de la Espriella (the Colombian presidential candidate running on the anti-narco/rule-of-law platform) (7) Red Commandos → Red Command (standard English rendering of Comando Vermelho) (10) Akmed Shari → Ahmed Sharawi (matching how you spelled him in the preview earlier today) (16) Rick Fischer → Rick Fisher (matching the preview) One I'd flag but didn't change: Immad Ael in segment 5. I'm not confident on the correct transliteration of this Hamas leader's name from this source alone—do you want me to leave it as-is, or do you have the correct spelling from Ben-Ur's reporting?

Bill Roggio and David Daoud explore the profound impact of low-cost FPV "silent killer" drones on the battlefield. These weapons challenge traditional military mobility and require new countermeasures at the squad level. (8/16)1947 LEBANON

David Daoud and Bill Roggio discuss how Hezbollah's drone use has hampered IDF operations in South Lebanon. The conflict has entered a predictable phase, complicating efforts for a permanent, genuine peace. (7/16)1930S TRIPOLI LEBANON

SCHEDULE OF THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 5-19-2026.DECEMBER 1931.Elizabeth Peek discusses the confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chairman during a time of economic strength and high energy prices. Warsh, an inflation hawk, is expected to maintain current interest rates. (1/16)Elizabeth Peek analyzes the Trump-Xi summit, noting China's economic "shambles" and demographic crisis. She argues that the U.S. remains the dominant global power in energy, AI, and overall economic strength. (2/16)Jack Burnham assesses the Beijing summit's stalemate on trade and technology. He details Taiwan's $25 billion appropriation for U.S. weapons, highlighting delivery delays within the U.S. defense industrial base for legacy systems. (3/16)Jack Burnham focuses on China's history of unfulfilled trade promises regarding agricultural and energy products. Despite U.S. export controls, Chinese firms continue to acquire advanced Nvidia chips through illicit smuggling routes. (4/16)Andrea Stricker examines the NPT review amidst Middle East conflict. She details friction between nuclear-armed states and those seeking peaceful enrichment, noting the lack of arms control dialogue between the U.S., Russia, and China. (5/16)Andrea Stricker reviews the role of military force, specifically by the U.S. and Israel, in enforcing the NPT against defiant states like Iran. The UN chair seeks a concise consensus document by avoiding contentious issues. (6/16)David Daoud and Bill Roggio discuss how Hezbollah's drone use has hampered IDF operations in South Lebanon. The conflict has entered a predictable phase, complicating efforts for a permanent, genuine peace. (7/16)Bill Roggio and David Daoud explore the profound impact of low-cost FPV "silent killer" drones on the battlefield. These weapons challenge traditional military mobility and require new countermeasures at the squad level. (8/16)Gregory Copley assesses the Trump-Xi summit, characterizing China as a declining power that showed extreme respect to Trump. He argues the visit was a strategic move aimed at fracturing the Sino-Russian alliance. (9/16)Gregory Copley describes the "double blockade" in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's untenable demands. He argues the U.S. must decide whether to target Iranian infrastructure or leadership to resolve the regional security crisis. (10/16)Gregory Copley analyzes the unpopularity of Prime Minister Keir Starmer and internal challenges from rivals like Andy Burnham. The UK faces high taxes, labor unrest, and a socialist agenda that angers the public. (11/16)Gregory Copley discusses King Charles III's delivery of the government's legislative agenda. While the King serves as the guardian of the constitution, the government's socialist policies face significant public and parliamentary resistance. (12/16)Dr. Henry Miller criticizes the anti-vaccine stances of cabinet officials, calling it "statistical murder." He argues for maintaining mandates to ensure herd immunity and protect vulnerable populations against diseases like COVID. (13/16)Henry Miller describes a "tour de force" at MIT where AI is used to discover new molecules to fight antibiotic resistance. This technology identifies structures that kill pathogens like staphylococcus and gonorrhea. (14/16)Kevin Frazier explains the shift from "doomer" vs. "accelerationist" labels to more nuanced AI policy. He highlights the cybersecurity risks posed by advanced models like Mythos and the vulnerability of national infrastructure. (15/16)Kevin Frazier argues that any mandatory AI vetting must originate from Congress, as the President lacks the constitutional authority. He suggests deepening technical expertise and maintaining voluntary cooperation with AI labs. (16/16)Note: corrected "Kevin Fraser" → Kevin Frazier (matching prior thread usage).

Edmund Fitton-Brown critiques a New York Times report on Israeli violence as poorly sourced and timed to distract from Hamas's sexual violence. He warns about shifts in American media coverage. Bill Roggio joins the conversation. (12/16)1950S CASTRO

Husain Haqqani and Bill Roggio observe that Washington is currently distracted by domestic politics and upcoming midterms, pushing the Iran war to secondary headlines. Global leadership has eroded due to partisan squabbling over issues like high gas prices. (2/16)1970S CASTRO

Bill Roggio and Bridget Toomey report that Iraq's new government remains incomplete with nine ministries vacant due to sectarian disputes. Washington refuses to cooperate if these posts are filled by members of Iran-backed, US-designated terrorist militia groups. (4/16)1969

Edmund Fitton-Brown discusses the Strait of Hormuz closure and the potential for military escalation if negotiations fail. He critiques European passivity and notes China's interest in reopening the vital waterway. Bill Roggio joins the conversation. (11/16)1964

Pakistan deployed 8,000 troops and fighter jets to Saudi Arabia to reassure its ally. Husain Haqqani and Bill Roggionote that while mediating the Iran war, Islamabad leverages this military presence to avoid direct involvement in the regional conflict. (1/16)1950S CASTRO

John Hardie examines the escalation of drone strikes between Ukraine and Russia, including attacks on Moscow'sinfrastructure. He notes the pressure on Russian air defenses and the stalemate in the Donbas region. Bill Roggio joins the conversation. (13/16)1953 UNDER ARREST

Joe Truzman details how Iran and its proxy, Kata'ib Hezbollah, outsource low-tech attacks against Jewish targets in Europe. He also discusses Israel's ongoing pursuit of justice for October 7th victims. Bill Roggio joins the conversation. (14/16)1959

SCHEDULE JBS 5-18-26.1962 ALGERIA Pakistan deployed 8,000 troops and fighter jets to Saudi Arabia to reassure its ally. Husain Haqqani and Bill Roggionote that while mediating the Iran war, Islamabad leverages this military presence to avoid direct involvement in the regional conflict. (1/16)Husain Haqqani and Bill Roggio observe that Washington is currently distracted by domestic politics and upcoming midterms, pushing the Iran war to secondary headlines. Global leadership has eroded due to partisan squabbling over issues like high gas prices. (2/16)Bill Roggio and Samuel Bener report that Israeli strikes killed Izz al-Din al-Haddad, the last original planner of the October 7 massacre remaining in Gaza. His elimination signals a pressure campaign against Hamas as they refuse to disarm during the ceasefire. (3/16)Bill Roggio and Bridget Toomey report that Iraq's new government remains incomplete with nine ministries vacant due to sectarian disputes. Washington refuses to cooperate if these posts are filled by members of Iran-backed, US-designated terrorist militia groups. (4/16)Malcolm Hoenlein criticizes The New York Times for publishing an opinion piece echoing propaganda against Israelalongside a report on Hamas atrocities. Critics suggest this timing was intended to undermine Israeli investigative findings. (5/16)Malcolm Hoenlein reports that Iran launched a digital insurance platform to bypass maritime sanctions and generate revenue in the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, Hezbollah refuses to disarm in Lebanon despite ongoing diplomatic negotiations held in Washington. (6/16)Alan Tonelson argues the Beijing summit achieved little, noting no shifts in Taiwan policy or tariffs. Tonelson and Gordon Chang emphasize China's economic distress, manufacturing overcapacity, and strategic reliance on rare earth minerals. (8/16)Alejandro Peña Esclusa and Ernesto Araújo discuss Raul Castro's potential indictment and regional shifts toward the right. They highlight the extradition of Alex Saab as a significant blow to Maduro. (9/16)Alejandro Peña Esclusa attributes Bolivia's turmoil to Cuban influence and Evo Morales's ties to drug trafficking. Ernesto Araújo views Bolivia as a critical "bellwether" for the criminal socialist project in Latin America. (10/16)Edmund Fitton-Brown discusses the Strait of Hormuz closure and the potential for military escalation if negotiations fail. He critiques European passivity and notes China's interest in reopening the vital waterway. Bill Roggio joins the conversation. (11/16)Edmund Fitton-Brown critiques a New York Times report on Israeli violence as poorly sourced and timed to distract from Hamas's sexual violence. He warns about shifts in American media coverage. Bill Roggio joins the conversation. (12/16)John Hardie examines the escalation of drone strikes between Ukraine and Russia, including attacks on Moscow'sinfrastructure. He notes the pressure on Russian air defenses and the stalemate in the Donbas region. Bill Roggio joins the conversation. (13/16)Joe Truzman details how Iran and its proxy, Kata'ib Hezbollah, outsource low-tech attacks against Jewish targets in Europe. He also discusses Israel's ongoing pursuit of justice for October 7th victims. Bill Roggio joins the conversation. (14/16)Sophie McDowall explains how terrorist groups use music on platforms like SoundCloud to radicalize new listeners. She details how artists bypass content moderation using coded language and nasheeds featuring battlefield audio. (15/16)Sophie McDowall explores the complex difficulty of balancing free speech rights with moderating radicalist audio content. She identifies Islamic art bands with ties to Hamas that use music to oppose coexistence. (16/16)

PREVIEW for Later Today: Bill Roggio explores the evolution of drone warfare, noting the transition from large aircraft-sized systems to inexpensive, 3D-printed drones. He warns that these accessible tools are now utilized by states and terrorists.1965 YEMEN

Bill Roggio and Samuel Ben-Ur report that Israeli strikes killed Izz al-Din al-Haddad, the last original planner of the October 7 massacre remaining in Gaza. His elimination signals a pressure campaign against Hamas as they refuse to disarm during the ceasefire. (3/16)1960S CASTRO

In this episode of The PDB Situation Report: New intelligence assessments suggest Iran may still retain significant missile capabilities despite weeks of U.S. and Israeli strikes, as the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz continues disrupting global shipping and energy markets. Bill Roggio from the Foundation for Defense of Democracies joins us to break down the latest developments and what they could mean moving forward. We take a closer look at President Trump's summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping following a high-stakes visit to Beijing this week. Steve Lance of NTD News joins us to discuss what came out of the meetings and what the talks could mean for the future of U.S.-China relations. To listen to the show ad-free, become a premium member of The President's Daily Brief by visiting https://PDBPremium.com. Please remember to subscribe if you enjoyed this episode of The President's Daily Brief.  YouTube: youtube.com/@presidentsdailybrief Support Jimmy Lai: Free Jimmy Lai: Stand with the 78-year-old entrepreneur facing a life sentence for defending democracy in Hong Kong—visit https://supportjimmylai.com to take action now. Fox One: Sign up at https://fox.com to watch The PDB show and more on-demand with FOX One. Mars Men: For a limited time, our listeners get 50% off FOR LIFE, Free Shipping, AND 3 Free Gifts at Mars Men at https://Mengotomars.com  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Bill Roggio identifies Iran as the preeminent state sponsor of terror, surpassing Pakistan. He argues Iran's foreign policy is inherently revolutionary, using terrorist proxies like Hezbollah and the Taliban to further its agenda while utilizing diplomatic negotiations to buy time and ensure regime survival. (1/16)1944 PM HIDEKI TOJO AND CABINET

Bill Roggio examines the stark standoff between the U.S. and Iran, noting that while U.S. strikes damaged Iran'sconventional military, the regime persists through asymmetrical warfare. He expresses skepticism that the current blockade alone can achieve regime change, citing the historical resilience of terrorist states. (2/16)1942 AGITPROP

STREAMING RHE MAKING OF THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW. FEATURING BILL ROGGIO AND SAMUEL BEN-UR, 5-11-2016.1944 AGITPROP

SCHEDULE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW 5-11-26.1943 ADMIRAL YAMAMOTO'S FUNERAL.Bill Roggio identifies Iran as the preeminent state sponsor of terror, surpassing Pakistan. He argues Iran's foreign policy is inherently revolutionary, using terrorist proxies like Hezbollah and the Taliban to further its agenda while utilizing diplomatic negotiations to buy time and ensure regime survival. (1/16)Bill Roggio examines the stark standoff between the U.S. and Iran, noting that while U.S. strikes damaged Iran'sconventional military, the regime persists through asymmetrical warfare. He expresses skepticism that the current blockade alone can achieve regime change, citing the historical resilience of terrorist states. (2/16)Samuel Bener reports that Hamas flatly rejected a structured disarmament plan, signaling its intent to resume conflict. Despite attempting to rearm through low-tech Egyptian smuggling, Hamas remains below pre-war strength. Meanwhile, the Board of Peace attempts to manage humanitarian aid amid ongoing violations. (3/16)Samuel Bener discusses Hamas's claim of reconstituting its 30,000 personnel, mostly through recruiting untrained youth. He notes that some released terrorists from the October 7th attacks have returned to combat. Bener argues that air strikes alone cannot collapse the regime without internal popular support for change. (4/16)Malcolm Hoenlein reports on the heavy infrastructure damage to U.S. interests in the Gulf and the persistent threat of Iranian missiles. He observes that public opinion in Gaza is shifting against Hamas as citizens desire reconstruction. Meanwhile, Palestinian authorities continue promoting "jihad and martyrdom" through school textbooks. (5/16)Malcolm Hoenlein reveals that Israel operated a secret logistical base in Iraq to support its air campaign against Iran. He notes that Iran evades blockades by exporting 80% of its oil to China via Iraq and overland routes. The Iranian economy remains vulnerable due to aging infrastructure. (6/16)Gordon Chang and Piero Tozzi analyze the upcoming U.S.-China summit in Beijing, noting Trump's "built-in disadvantages" and Chinese arrogance. They discuss internal Taiwanese political divisions regarding China policy and highlight recent multilateral military exercises as a significant "planting of the flag" before negotiations. (7/16)Alan Tonelson interprets the U.S. diplomatic focus on Japan as a reward for its commitment to containing Chinese expansionism and increasing defense spending. He expects the Trump-Xi summit to produce deals on aerospace and agricultural exports, though fundamental trade imbalances are unlikely to be resolved. (8/16)Alejandro Peña Esclusa highlights alleged voter fraud in Peru, warning that leftist "Marxist" forces utilize international support to manipulate elections. Ernesto Araújo discusses deep-seated corruption in Latin America, describing it as a geopolitical tool for "totalitarian powers" to undermine the free world and honest governance. (9/16)Ernesto Araújo and Alejandro Peña Esclusa report on the Venezuelan regime's efforts to delay elections, fearing a landslide victory for the opposition. Araújo discusses Lula da Silva's weakening support in Brazil and the rise of Flavio Bolsonaro. Human rights violations, including the torture of political prisoners, continue in Venezuela. (10/16)Edmund Fitton-Brown analyzes the "ragged" maritime blockade between the U.S. and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz. He warns that allowing Iran to claim control over international waterways sets a dangerous global precedent and suggests Iran believes it can outlast American resolve. (11/16)Edmund Fitton-Brown differentiates between various regional "ceasefires," noting the Hamas-Israel ceasefire is particularly fragile. He argues that progress toward a meaningful peace process requires intense pressure on Hamas'ssponsors, specifically Qatar and Turkey, to force the group to fulfill its disarmament obligations. (12/16)David Daoud reports that the Lebanon ceasefire has forced the IDF into static positions, giving Hezbollah tactical advantages for hit-and-run attacks. He contends that the Lebanese government lacks the means to disarm Hezbollah, as the group views its military power as existential. (13/16)David Daoud criticizes the U.S. for accepting the linkage between Iranian and Lebanese negotiations, which provides Hezbollah "breathing room" to regenerate. He anticipates Hezbollah will avoid immediate conflict to focus on long-term rearmament and social rebuilding, eventually emerging as a much stronger threat. (14/16)Mary Anastasia O'Grady discusses the historic indictment of a sitting Mexican governor, Ruben Rocha Moya, for conspiracy to import narcotics and cartel activity. She highlights the potential political fallout for the Morena party and suggests criminal organizations may be influencing elections through violence and intimidation. (15/16)Conrad Black argues that Canada must lower corporate taxes to remain competitive with the U.S. and attract capital. He notes a growing separatist movement in Alberta, driven by economic frustrations and opposition to federal ecological policies, while criticizing Prime Minister Carney's lack of clear policy initiatives. (16/16)

1/16: Bill Roggio discusses Project Freedom, a mission to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz. The IRGCclaimed to hit a US warship, but the Navy reported no ships were struck.1904 Persia

2/16: Bill Roggio explains that al-Qaeda is expanding across Mali and Somalia, exploiting weak governments to build a caliphate. Both al-Qaeda and ISIS are partitioning territories and increasingly threatening regional capitals.

9/16: Bridget Toomey and Bill Roggio discuss Ali Al-Zadei, a businessman elevated to Iraqi Prime Minister with Iranian support. While endorsed by Trump, his background in illicit finance raises concerns about ongoing militia influence.1920 BUSHER

15/16: Miad Maliki and Bill Roggio describe political chaos in Tehran and the regime's inability to make decisions under extreme pressure. Experts warn of a global energy tipping point involving severe fuel shortages within thirty days.1767 YEMEN 

  16/16: John Hardie and Bill Roggio report on Vladimir Putin's isolation in bunkers due to intensified assassination fears. Simultaneously, President Zelenskyy is establishing international drone production partnerships with Finland and other NATO allies.1962

STREAM MAKING OF JBS, FEATURING BILL ROGGIO AND GORDON CHANG, 5-4-261664The provided text is a transcript from the John Batchelor Show, detailing a complex geopolitical crisis involving the United States, Iran, and China. Central to the discussion is a reported confrontation in the Strait of Hormuz, where Iranian media claimed to have struck a U.S. Navy frigate with missiles. While U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM)denies any ships were hit, the incident coincides with Project Freedom, a Trump administration initiative to escort stranded vessels through the blockade. Beyond the naval standoff, the sources address a severe terror threat in Londonlinked to Iranian proxies and the rising dominance of drone warfare. The dialogue further explores Al-Qaeda's expanding influence in Africa and the political instability currently facing Mali and Somalia. Finally, experts examine the economic consequences of these conflicts, noting significant growth downgrades for Asian economies and the strategic maneuvering of China as it balances its support for Iran with vital trade interests.

SCHEDULE JBS, 5-4-26PARTHIA, PERSIA, IRAN1/16: Bill Roggio discusses Project Freedom, a mission to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz. The IRGCclaimed to hit a US warship, but the Navy reported no ships were struck.2/16: Bill Roggio explains that al-Qaeda is expanding across Mali and Somalia, exploiting weak governments to build a caliphate. Both al-Qaeda and ISIS are partitioning territories and increasingly threatening regional capitals.3/16: Rick Fisher and Gordon Chang discuss the Artemis mission and China's competitive drive to establish a permanent moon base. Both nations are also developing combat satellites and weapon systems for use in lunar orbit.4/16: Alan Tonelson and Gordon Chang examine how the Iran war drives inflation and damages Asian manufacturing. China continues to flood markets with subsidized exports while using lawfare and harassment against smaller nations like Panama.5/16: Malcolm Hoenlein and Thaddeus McCotter report on escalating violence in the Gulf, including the sinking of IRGC boats. They also discuss Mahmoud Abbas's attempt to install his son, Yasser Abbas, as his political successor.6/16: Malcolm Hoenlein and Thaddeus McCotter warn that Iran is running out of oil storage, potentially forcing a production halt. Hoenlein characterizes the recent Gaza flotilla as a failed PR stunt carrying no aid.7/16: David Daoud argues the ceasefire restricts Israel while allowing Hezbollah to rearm. Hezbollah is exploiting cheap FPV drones to harass Israeli forces, utilizing a low-tech method that lacks an effective counter.8/16: David Daoud explains the IDF was caught off guard by Hezbollah's innovative use of fiber-optic and FPV drones. Despite these threats, the Israeli public largely favors continuing military operations to secure borders.9/16: Bridget Toomey and Bill Roggio discuss Ali Al-Zadei, a businessman elevated to Iraqi Prime Minister with Iranian support. While endorsed by Trump, his background in illicit finance raises concerns about ongoing militia influence.10/16: Gordon Chang analyzes how China supports Iran while negotiating trade with the US. This conflict creates economic instability, including rising inflation and slower growth across major Asian trading economies.11/16: Ernesto Araújo and Alejandro Peña Esclusa report that Delcy Rodríguez is avoiding elections in Venezuela. Araújo discusses Lula's weakening power in Brazil and judicial shifts that could lead to Jair Bolsonaro's release.12/16: Ernesto Araújo and Alejandro Peña Esclusa highlight Cuba's collapse as Russian and Venezuelan oil supplies vanish. Araújo details Panama's resistance to Chinese influence over its canal ports and subsequent retaliatory trade pressure from Beijing.13/16: Ahmad Sharawi details Iranian strikes on UAE oil facilities aimed at disrupting Project Freedom. Meanwhile, Bashar al-Assad seeks Gulf investment while reportedly coordinating quietly with Israel against Hezbollah.14/16: Joe Truzman reports on London stabbing attacks claimed by Ashab al-Yamin, an Iranian front organization recruiting criminals. The UK has raised its terrorism threat level to severe due to these developments.15/16: Miad Maliki and Bill Roggio describe political chaos in Tehran and the regime's inability to make decisions under extreme pressure. Experts warn of a global energy tipping point involving severe fuel shortages within thirty days.16/16: John Hardie and Bill Roggio report on Vladimir Putin's isolation in bunkers due to intensified assassination fears. Simultaneously, President Zelenskyy is establishing international drone production partnerships with Finland and other NATO allies.

SCHEDULE OF THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 4-28-26.1900 BOSPHORUS1. HEADLINE: Kevin Warsh's Nomination to the Federal Reserve GUEST: Elizabeth Peek SUMMARY: Elizabeth Peek discusses Kevin Warsh's nomination as Federal Reserve Chair, characterizing him as an inflation hawk who intends to revamp the Fed's communication and narrow its mandate. Warsh aims to shrink the $7 trillion balance sheet and divorce the institution from political influence to ensure long-term monetary stability.2. HEADLINE: New York City's E-bike Enforcement Controversy GUEST: Elizabeth Peek SUMMARY: Elizabeth Peek criticizes NYC's decision to replace criminal summonses with civil penalties for e-bike violations. She argues this "virtue signaling" protects undocumented immigrants from deportation at the expense of pedestrian safety. Unregistered, fast-moving bikes frequently ignore traffic rules, and civil penalties are difficult to enforce against those without fixed abodes.3. HEADLINE: The UAE's Strategic Exit from the OPEC Cartel GUEST: Jonathan Schanzer SUMMARY:Jonathan Schanzer explains that the UAE is leaving OPEC to increase oil production, signaling a major rift with Saudi Arabia. This move aims to aid global prices and support Donald Trump's economic agenda. Meanwhile, Iran attempts to link the Straits of Hormuz crisis with Israeli-Lebanese ceasefire negotiations to complicate diplomacy.4. HEADLINE: International Scandals and Israel-Ukraine Tensions GUEST: Jonathan Schanzer SUMMARY:Reports suggest Qatar influenced ICC prosecutor Karim Khan to target Israeli leaders while helping suppress misconduct allegations against him. Simultaneously, Ukraine accuses Israel of purchasing stolen grain from occupied territories. Internally, Israeli politics are shifting as Yair Lapid and Naftali Bennett unite to challenge Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's leadership.5. HEADLINE: The Global Impact of the Iranian Energy Conflict GUEST: Mary Kissel SUMMARY: Mary Kisselhighlights a fertilizer crisis caused by the war in Iran, which threatens global food security, particularly in Africa. She views the UAE's OPEC exit as part of a fundamental regional reshaping. Kissel asserts that the U.S. must maintain the political will to secure waterways and address Iran's nuclear program.6. HEADLINE: Navigating the Rodriguez Transition in Venezuela GUEST: Mary Kissel SUMMARY: Delcy Rodriguez, Venezuela's provisional president, is traveling to project stability and attract energy investment. While she aims to present herself as a cooperative figurehead, her future depends on U.S. demands for democracy. Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado continues to draw massive support and plans to return to Venezuela by year's end.7. HEADLINE: German Economic Stagnation and Strategic Critiques GUEST: Judy Dempsey SUMMARY:Friedrich Merz describes Germany as "humiliated" by Iran due to a lack of clear U.S. strategy. Germany faces its fourth year of stagnant growth and a severe demographic crunch with record-low births. While Merz remains an Atlanticist, he critiques the Trump administration's transactional approach and lack of a strategic exit plan.8. HEADLINE: The Decline of Viktor Orbán and Hungary's Pivot GUEST: Judy Dempsey SUMMARY:Hungary's business elite are moving away from Viktor Orbán as Peter Magyar gains popularity by campaigning against systemic corruption. Magyar focuses on delivering tangible public services like healthcare and infrastructure. Orbán's defeat represents a significant blow to Europe's far-right, including Germany's AfD party.9. HEADLINE: Keir Starmer's Leadership Amidst the Mandelson Scandal GUEST: Joseph SternbergSUMMARY: Joseph Sternberg examines UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer's instability following the Mandelsonaffair, a bureaucratic scandal involving improper diplomatic nominations. Despite being under pressure, Starmer likely remains in office because the Labor Party lacks a plausible replacement. The scandal's complexity makes it difficult for ordinary voters to comprehend fully.10. HEADLINE: Kevin Warsh's Vision for a Smaller Federal Reserve GUEST: Joseph Sternberg SUMMARY:Joseph Sternberg describes Kevin Warsh as a policymaker who believes the Fed should "stick to its knitting" by focusing strictly on price stability. Warsh intends to shrink the Fed's balance sheet to reduce its political intrusiveness and scale back "forward guidance". This approach aims to defend the central bank's long-term independence.11. HEADLINE: Historical Precedents for Modern Maritime Chokepoints GUEST: Ziyuan (Emily) WangSUMMARY: Emily Wang explains how the 1936 Montreux Convention established Turkey as a durable gatekeeper for the Turkish Straits, offering lessons for modern conflicts. The treaty balanced the shared tacit interests of opposing powers like Britain and Russia. Its success highlights the importance of legally binding frameworks in managing strategic waterways.12. HEADLINE: Managing Risks in Global Maritime Chokepoints GUEST: Ziyuan (Emily) Wang SUMMARY:Emily Wang analyzes the current threats in the Straits of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb, noting that risk perception and insurance markets are as vital as physical security. She argues that long-term stability requires quantifying tacit interests and maintaining a strong navy to ensure credible gunboat diplomacy against revisionist powers.13. HEADLINE: Pakistan's Emerging Role as a Neutral Diplomatic Site GUEST: Sadanand Dhume SUMMARY:Sadanand Dhume discusses Pakistan's surprising role as a mediator between the U.S. and Iran, facilitated by its unique geography and ties to China. Field Marshal Asim Munir leads this effort. A successful resolution could weaken the pernicious ideology of Islamism, reverberating positively throughout the broader Muslim world.14. HEADLINE: Ideological Barriers in Pakistan's Foreign Policy GUEST: Sadanand Dhume SUMMARY:Sadanand Dhume explores Pakistan's deep-rooted hostility toward Israel, which persists despite regional shifts toward normalization. While India views Pakistan's mediation role with envy, Pakistan's military leadership, under Field Marshal Munir, maintains power behind a civilian facade to insulate itself from economic discontent and governance pressures.15. HEADLINE: Al-Qaeda's Massive Military Offensive in Mali GUEST: Caleb Weiss and Bill RoggioSUMMARY: Caleb Weiss and Bill Roggio report on an unprecedented offensive by JNIM, al-Qaeda's West Africanbranch, which has blockaded Mali's capital and seized key military bases. The Malian state and Russian forces are in retreat, leaving behind significant equipment. This operation signals a major failure in intelligence and coordination.16. HEADLINE: The Blueprint for Al-Qaeda's Transnational Expansion GUEST: Caleb Weiss and Bill RoggioSUMMARY: This offensive serves as a blueprint for al-Qaeda to target other Sahalian states like Burkina Faso and Niger. Alarmingly, Ukrainian-supplied drones used by Tuareg rebels have inadvertently aided al-Qaeda's efforts. Bill Roggio emphasizes that al-Qaeda and the Islamic State continue to fight for global dominance across multiple continents.

15. HEADLINE: Al-Qaeda's Massive Military Offensive in Mali GUEST: Caleb Weiss and Bill RoggioSUMMARY: Caleb Weiss and Bill Roggio report on an unprecedented offensive by JNIM, al-Qaeda's West Africanbranch, which has blockaded Mali's capital and seized key military bases. The Malian state and Russian forces are in retreat, leaving behind significant equipment. This operation signals a major failure in intelligence and coordination.1919

     16. HEADLINE: The Blueprint for Al-Qaeda's Transnational Expansion GUEST: Caleb Weiss and Bill RoggioSUMMARY: This offensive serves as a blueprint for al-Qaeda to target other Sahalian states like Burkina Faso and Niger. Alarmingly, Ukrainian-supplied drones used by Tuareg rebels have inadvertently aided al-Qaeda's efforts. Bill Roggio emphasizes that al-Qaeda and the Islamic State continue to fight for global dominance across multiple continents.1920

1. Headline: The Iran War on Pause: Diplomacy and Asymmetric Strategy Guest: Bill Roggio Summary: John Batchelor and Bill Roggio discuss the current pause in the Iran war, characterized by President Trump's decision to halt negotiations. While Iran's conventional military has suffered significant damage, concerns remain regarding its asymmetric warfare capabilities and its strategy to outlast the United States through "asymmetric diplomacy". 11767 YEMEN

2. Headline: Saturday Night Assassination Attempt and the Danger of Misinformation Guest: Bill RoggioSummary: Batchelor and Roggio reflect on an assassination attempt by an American citizen at a Washington ballroom. They warn against the rapid spread of conspiracy theories following violent events, noting how misinformation has become mainstream. They emphasize that political violence is unacceptable and requires careful, factual reporting. 21894 YEMEN

STREAMING THE MAKING OF THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, FEATURING BILL ROGGIO, HASAIN HAQQANI, GORDON CHANG, CHARLES BURTON AND CLEO PASKAL, 4-27-26.1994 YEMENThe sources describe a "global scale contest" where multiple regional conflicts, such as those in Iran and Ukraine, are increasingly "crushing in on each other". The Iran war is currently in a "cold phase" or "pause," characterized by asymmetric diplomacy as the regime attempts to "run out the clock" on U.S. pressure. While Iran's conventional forces have been significantly damaged, experts express concern that Russia and China may assist the regime in rebuilding its military and nuclear capabilities. Simultaneously, Ukraine has emerged as a "Silicon Valley of drones," innovating with interceptor drones and automated logistics to counter Russian aggression.Geopolitical fragility is further highlighted by a recent assassination attempt on the U.S. President during a dinner in Washington D.C., an event that immediately triggered a wave of "conspiracy entrepreneurs". Experts warn that the shift from niche to mainstream conspiratorial thinking signals a "post-truth" era where political violence is increasingly normalized.Diplomatic relations remain fraught as President Trump considers a May meeting with Xi Jinping, which some argue could make the U.S. appear as a "supplicant" if the Middle East conflict persists. This friction extends to Canada, where certain political elements advocate for closer ties with China to compensate for trade losses and inflammatory rhetoric from the U.S. administration. Finally, in the Northern Mariana Islands, super-typhoon recovery is complicated by deep-seated corruption, unaccounted federal funds, and Chinese influence operations, illustrating the strategic vulnerabilities of U.S. territories in the Pacific.

SHOW SCHEDULE  THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 4-27-26.1993 YEMEN1. Headline: The Iran War on Pause: Diplomacy and Asymmetric Strategy Guest: Bill Roggio Summary: John Batchelor and Bill Roggio discuss the current pause in the Iran war, characterized by President Trump's decision to halt negotiations. While Iran's conventional military has suffered significant damage, concerns remain regarding its asymmetric warfare capabilities and its strategy to outlast the United States through "asymmetric diplomacy". 12. Headline: Saturday Night Assassination Attempt and the Danger of Misinformation Guest: Bill RoggioSummary: Batchelor and Roggio reflect on an assassination attempt by an American citizen at a Washington ballroom. They warn against the rapid spread of conspiracy theories following violent events, noting how misinformation has become mainstream. They emphasize that political violence is unacceptable and requires careful, factual reporting. 23. Headline: Escalating Negotiations: The Straits of Hormuz and Nuclear Files Guest: Jonathan Sayeh Summary:The discussion centers on the fragmented leadership in Tehran and whether negotiations will cover all fronts or remain separate. Iran is increasingly emboldened, using its control over the Straits of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb as powerful leverage against the United States and global economy. 34. Headline: Life Under Siege: Economic Pressure and Regime Stability in Iran Guest: Jonathan Sayeh Summary:Jonathan Sayeh describes the dire conditions inside Iran, where a U.S. Navy blockade is freezing the economy and threatening food security. Despite significant infrastructure damage, the regime's political leadership remains intact, focusing on reorganizing security forces and increasing internal repression to maintain control over the population. 45. Headline: The Houthi Wildcard: Maritime Chokepoints and Strategic Leverage Guest: Bridget ToomeySummary: Bridget Toomey explains how the Houthis use the Bab el-Mandeb as a maritime chokehold to influence the international economy. Reports suggest the Houthis have explored charging illegal tolls of up to $2 million per ship for transit through the Red Sea using cryptocurrency. 56. Headline: Humanitarian Crisis in Yemen and Iraqi Militia Aggression Guest: Bridget Toomey Summary: The UN has largely been pushed out of Houthi-controlled territory due to the illegal detention of 73 local staff members. Meanwhile, in Iraq, the U.S. has designated several militia commanders involved in attacks against energy infrastructure and American personnel in the region. 67. Headline: Canadian Diplomacy: The Tug-of-War Between the U.S. and China Guest: Charles Burton Summary:Experts discuss the potential for long-term concessions to China in exchange for short-term trade benefits during an upcoming Trump-Xi meeting. Canada faces internal pressure to diversify trade toward China, despite concerns about espionage and foreign interference in its political and economic sectors. 78. Headline: Typhoon Recovery and Systemic Corruption in the Northern Marianas Guest: Cleo Paskal Summary:A super typhoon has devastated the Northern Mariana Islands, leaving residents without water or electricity. However, there are significant concerns that federal relief funds will be misused due to a history of unaccounted-for billions and local officials with ties to Chinese casinos. 89. Headline: The Fragile Ceasefire: IDF Operations and Hezbollah's Defiance Guest: David Daoud Summary:Despite a ceasefire agreement, the IDF has resumed strikes in Lebanon's Bekaa Valley following continued Hezbollahfire. Hezbollah is reportedly exploiting U.S.-imposed constraints on Israel to claim a "victory image," while the Lebanese government remains ineffective in disarming the terror group. 910. Headline: Political Pressure in Israel: Security Zones and Self-Defense Guest: David Daoud Summary: David Daoud explains that the Lebanon ceasefire allows Israel to exercise self-defense against imminent Hezbollah attacks. Within Israel, there is significant political pressure from northern residents who feel abandoned by the ceasefire, arguing that it allows Hezbollah to regroup and metastasize across the border. 1011. Headline: Stalled Diplomacy and the Strategic Value of International Waterways Guest: Edmund Fitton-Brown Summary: President Trump canceled high-level meetings in Islamabad, citing fragmented Iranian leadership. Iran has offered to reopen the Straits of Hormuz in exchange for nuclear concessions, but experts argue this would be an American retreat and suggest maintaining the economic blockade instead. 1112. Headline: Coordinated Threats: The Houthis, Iran, and Global Hunger Guest: Edmund Fitton-BrownSummary: The Houthis and Iran appear to use coordinated messaging to threaten strategic waterways, spooking global oil markets. Furthermore, the ongoing blockade risks creating a global famine due to fertilizer shortages, though the U.S.remains firm against Iranian "blackmail" using humanitarian crises. 1213. Headline: Russia's Drone Expansion: Recruitment Loopholes and Remote Warfare Guest: John HardieSummary: Russia is aggressively expanding its Unmanned Systems Forces, targeting 165,000 personnel by year's end. A recruitment drive at Alabuga Polytech offers high pay and conscription exemptions to workers producing Iranian-designed Geran-2 drones, promising service in the rear to minimize personal risk. 1314. Headline: Syria's Reconstruction: The State Sponsor of Terrorism Designation Guest: Ahmad SharawiSummary: President Al-Shara is seeking over $200 billion for reconstruction, but Syria's designation as a State Sponsor of Terrorism (SST) prevents significant investment. The U.S. maintains the SST status as leverage to demand the removal of foreign jihadists integrated into the Syrian army. 1415. Headline: Regional Disputes and Political Sabotage in Latin America Guests: Ernesto Araujo and Alejandro Pinusa Summary: Argentina is calling for renewed negotiations over the Falkland Islands, a matter that remains a sensitive national symbol. Meanwhile, the Maduro regime in Venezuela is accused of sabotaging the political transition by refusing to release political prisoners or permit the return of exiled leaders. 1516. Headline: Electoral Turmoil: Allegations of Fraud in Peru and Brazil Guests: Alejandro Pinusa and Ernesto Araujo Summary: Allegations of electoral fraud in Peru have surfaced after voting centers in right-wing strongholds remained closed. Analysts warn this is a rehearsal for the upcoming Brazilian elections, where Flavio Bolsonaro is gaining ground against Lula da Silva despite efforts to censor information. 16

The Fog of Peace and the Strait of Hormuz: The US and Iran are currently in a "fog of peace," where a ceasefire is complicated by a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Tensions escalated after the US seized an Iranian cargo ship attempting to run the blockade. Negotiations in Islamabad face a massive diplomatic chasm regarding nuclear and missile programs. Bill Roggio (1)1519

The Persistence of Iranian Proxies: Iran has not "turned off" proxies like Hezbollah and Hamas, despite ongoing ceasefire talks. Bill Roggio argues that assassinating leaders is ineffective, as Hezbollah maintains significant power and a plurality in the Lebanese parliament. These groups continue to operate independently to provoke Israel and the surrounding neighborhood. Bill Roggio (2)303-1453

SCHEDULE THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 4-20-26.1689 ARABIAN PENINSULAThe Fog of Peace and the Strait of Hormuz: The US and Iran are currently in a "fog of peace," where a ceasefire is complicated by a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Tensions escalated after the US seized an Iranian cargo ship attempting to run the blockade. Negotiations in Islamabad face a massive diplomatic chasm regarding nuclear and missile programs. Bill Roggio (1)The Persistence of Iranian Proxies: Iran has not "turned off" proxies like Hezbollah and Hamas, despite ongoing ceasefire talks. Bill Roggio argues that assassinating leaders is ineffective, as Hezbollah maintains significant power and a plurality in the Lebanese parliament. These groups continue to operate independently to provoke Israel and the surrounding neighborhood. Bill Roggio (2)Navigating Iran's Fractured Leadership: Iran's leadership is currently a faceless structure of five major figures, following the supreme leader's absence. This complicates diplomacy because no single person has decisive say. The regime remains paranoid about appearing weak and is unlikely to make concessions on its nuclear or ballistic missile programs. Jonathan Sayeh (3)Internal Unrest and Chemical WMD Threats: Iran is attempting to incorporate its proxies into diplomatic deals with Washington. Internally, the regime faces unrest in Baluch majority areas and economic grievances. There are alarming reports that the regime has developed aerosolized fentanyl, a chemical weapon intended to suppress domestic protesters with lethal force. Jonathan Sayeh (4)Memorial Day and Iran's Economic Ruin: Israel observes Memorial Day for 27,000 fallen soldiers amid a seven-sided war. In Iran, the economy is collapsing as the IRGC takes control. Despite heavy bombing, the IRGC has reportedly reawakened its missile arsenal to 70% capacity, utilizing underground storage to protect launchers from past Israeli and US strikes. Malcolm Hoenlein (5)Global Terror Cells and the Isaac Accords: Iranian-backed terror cells were discovered in Azerbaijan, the UAE, and Europe targeting synagogues and government facilities. Meanwhile, the "Isaac Accords" between Israel and Argentina, led by Javier Milei, seek to deepen ties in Latin America. Additionally, Turkey is proposing new rail links to bypass strategic maritime choke points. Malcolm Hoenlein (6)The Anti-American Shift in South Korea: South Korea's administration is described as an illegitimate, pro-North Korean regime. President Lee Jae-myung has allegedly bribed North Korea and moved to disarm South Koreansoldiers. Experts suggest the US should utilize UN Central Command to restore legitimate leadership and prevent the alliance from further deteriorating. Morse Tan (7)Defense Partnerships in Southeast Asia: The US and Indonesia have formed a major defense partnership, providing a critical counterweight to Chinese influence. Indonesia is seeking private capital for high-tech and extractive projects. Security remains a concern as Chinese drones have been found in Indonesian waters and fishing fleets frequently violate maritime boundaries. Charles Ortell (8)Toughening the Non-Proliferation Treaty: Henry Sokolski argues the NPT needs updating to deny states the "right" to make nuclear fuel. He highlights that the Bushehr reactor contains spent fuel rods capable of producing 200 plutonium bombs. He recommends that Saudi Arabia or other Gulf states pay to return this dangerous material to Russia. Henry Sokolski (9)Weaponizing Space and the Golden Dome: The IRGC used a commercial satellite to target US bases, resulting in an attack in Kuwait. The Pentagon is struggling with jamming and shutter control issues regarding commercial systems like Starlink. Oversight is requested for the "Golden Dome" defense program due to its high costs and limited information sharing. Henry Sokolski (10)Election Fraud and Global Progressivism: Peru faces a crisis over alleged electoral fraud following irregularities in the presidential count. In Barcelona, a "Global Progressivism" meeting led by Pedro Sanchez gathered leftist leaders to counter the "global right." Critics argue these leftist movements are increasingly intertwined with organized crime and drug trafficking. Alejandro Peña Esclusa and Ernesto Araújo (11)The Rise of Flavio Bolsonaro and Venezuela's Fate: Flavio Bolsonaro is leading polls in Brazil, representing a hope for clean governance against Lula's corruption-prone administration. Meanwhile, the Venezuelan regime has halted compliance with political reforms, making it dangerous for Maria Corina Machado to return. Brazil remains the "big one" for the region's political balance. Alejandro Peña Esclusa and Ernesto Araújo (12)The Restrictive Ceasefire in Lebanon: A new ceasefire in Lebanon is highly restrictive, limiting Israeli self-defense to "imminent" or "ongoing" attacks. President Trump reportedly strong-armed Israel into this stand-down to facilitate maritime negotiations with Iran. Consequently, Hezbollah is expected to use this period to regenerate its forces and rebuild its infrastructure. David Daoud (13)Hezbollah's Victory Narrative and Bint Jbeil: Hezbollah continues to attack Israeli convoys and refuses to surrender its arsenal, claiming the ceasefire as a victory. The town of Bint Jbeil remains a critical symbolic and military prize for the group. The Lebanese government shows no determination to disarm Hezbollah or enforce sovereignty in the southern region. David Daoud (14)The Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz: The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed as a standoff persists between the US blockade and Iranian vessels. While Iran has the patience for a long conflict, the US is pressured by midterm elections and oil prices. Gulf states, particularly Saudi Arabia, are increasingly hawkish, urging the US to finish the job. Edmund Fitton Brown (15)Iran's Agile Diplomacy and the Five Files: Iran is "moving the goalposts" by linking the Lebanon ceasefire to maritime negotiations. Success requires progress on five files: the Strait, nuclear program, ballistic missiles, proxies, and human rights. Some Gulf autocracies may prefer a weakened Iran over a successful democratic regime change that could threaten their own prestige. Edmund Fitton Brown (16)

STREAMING MAKING OF THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, FEATURING BILL ROGGIO AND JANATYN SAYEH, 4-20-26.  1688 PERSIA GULFThe Levant and Eurasia are currently gripped by what analysts describe as the "fog of peace," a state where a ceasefire is technically in place but characterized by profound distrust and a lack of transparency. While the conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran originally centered on Iran's nuclear weapons program, the focus has shifted toward an intractable struggle over the Strait of Hormuz.The Strait has become a primary flashpoint of "open/closed" chaos, likened to a "Bugs Bunny and Elmer Fudd" hunting season metaphor. The US has established a naval blockade, recently using a destroyer's main gun to disable the engine room of an Iranian cargo ship that attempted to run the blockade. Iran counters this by creating confusion, such as firing on an Indian tanker that reportedly had clearance from the IRGC to pass, a tactic designed to make international shipping reconsider the route entirely.Diplomatically, the situation is stalled. Planned talks in Islamabad between US representatives and the Islamic Republicare not moving forward. This deadlock is exacerbated by a structural shift in Iranian leadership. Following the assassination of the Supreme Leader and other top officials, decision-making has fallen to a five-man council of dedicated revolutionaries. These individuals, often categorized as "hardliners" rather than "pragmatists," view compromise under pressure as a sign of weakness and are wary of suffering the same fate as Muammar Gaddafi. This new leadership is believed to be radical and intractable, with many members rising from the younger, hardcore ranks of the regime.Internally, the regime is employing brutal measures to maintain control. There are chilling reports that Iran has developed aerosol fentanyl — a chemical weapon capable of killing large populations — and may have experimentally used it against domestic protesters as early as 2022. The regime's fear of internal unrest is further evidenced by the deployment of checkpoints staffed by non-Iranian proxies to suppress a population demoralized by economic exasperation and a perceived lack of external backing. Precursors for these chemical experiments are reportedly provided by China.The geopolitical timeline appears to favor Tehran. Iranian leaders believe they can "run out the clock" on the Trumpadministration. The US faces significant domestic constraints, including low presidential poll numbers and the impending 2026 midterm elections, which could return the House of Representatives to Democratic control and trigger a return to the "age of impeachment." Additionally, Russia and China have strategic incentives to keep the Islamic Republic afloat, viewing the conflict as a test of whether their partner can withstand prolonged US and Israeli military pressure. Consequently, the "fog of peace" remains thick, with both sides acting on distrust rather than a genuine path toward a treaty.

SCHEDULE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 4-13-2026.1979 WOMEN PROEST IN TEHRAN The Brewing Blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. Bill Roggio discusses the potential US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following failed talks in Islamabad. US demands include opening the strait, ending nuclear programs, and stopping proxy attacks against Middle Eastern neighbors.2. The Resilience of Iranian Surrogates. Bill Roggio analyzes the continued strength of Iranian proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis. Despite military pressure, these groups remain active, with the Houthis potentially held in reserve to threaten critical global shipping lanes.3. The Internal Struggle of the Iranian People. JANATYN SAYEH discusses the regime's brutal internal crackdown, noting over a thousand executions in 2026. The Iranian people feel abandoned by the current ceasefire, fearing the regime will survive without significant systemic change.4. Identifying Iran's Hardline Five-Man Leadership. Jonathan Schanzer outlines Iran's core leadership, including Ghalibaf and Vahidi, who possess deep ties to internal repression and international terror. These veterans represent an institutional commitment to the revolution, making significant concessions unlikely.5. Holocaust Remembrance and the Iranian Ideology. Malcolm Hoenlein reflects on Yom HaShoah and rising global anti-Semitism. He discusses how Iran's radical ideology drives its leaders to claim victory despite heavy military losses, refusing to compromise on their nuclear and proxy ambitions.6. Regional Realignments and the Houthi Threat. Malcolm Hoenlein warns the Gulf States face extreme vulnerability as Iran threatens their infrastructure. The Houthis remain a strategic reserve capable of closing the Bab al-Mandeb, while Europe continues to marginalize itself by staying on the sidelines.7. Operation Roaring Lion and Strikes on Beirut. David Daoud details the IDF's Operation Eternal Darkness, which targeted 100 Hezbollah sites in under ten minutes. The strikes hit densely populated areas of Beirut, causing massive displacement and raising questions about tactical objectives.8. Hezbollah's Inseparable Link to the Iranian Regime. David Daoud explains that Hezbollah is an essential extension of Iran's regional power, not a disposable proxy. Iran will likely fight to preserve the group, as Hezbollah's survival is critical to its revolutionary goals.9. Peru's Shift to the Right. Alejandro Peña Esclusa reports on Peru's election, where right-wing candidates Kiko Fujimori and Rafael Lopez Aliaga are leading. This trend suggests a continental shift away from the pink tide and toward pro-Western governments.10. Political Stagnation and Repression in Venezuela. Alejandro Peña Esclusa reports that the Rodriguez brothers maintain control in Venezuela by focusing on economic compliance while delaying political transitions. Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado faces threats of imprisonment, hindering hopes for free elections and a democratic transition.11. Escalation and Extortion in the Straits. Edmund Fitton-Brown discusses the US Navy's mission to counter Iranian extortion and clear mines in the Strait of Hormuz. Trump's big-stick strategy aims for a deal but risks a resumption of war.12. Viktor Orbán's Defeat and the European Center. Edmund Fitton-Brown analyzes the ousting of Hungary's Viktor Orbán by Peter Magyar as a victory for traditional democracy. This shift removes a major obstacle to EU aid for Ukraine and disrupts Vladimir Putin's influence.13. Ukraine's Easter Standoff and Prisoner Exchanges. John Hardy reports on Russian ceasefire violations during Orthodox Easter and significant prisoner exchanges. The removal of Viktor Orbán in Hungary is expected to unblock vital EU financial loans for the Ukrainian government.14. Iraqi Militias as Iran's Strategic Reserve. Ahmed Sharari discusses how Iraqi militias are fundraising to support Iran and Hezbollah. These groups serve as a strategic reserve for the Iranian regime, demonstrating their readiness to sacrifice resources for the revolution.15. Canada's Pivot Toward China. Conrad Black analyzes Prime Minister Mark Carney's efforts to strengthen trade with China amidst shifting relations with the US. While resource-rich Canada seeks new markets, political mistrust of China's undemocratic regime remains high.16. The Russian Mob and Political Kompromat. Craig Unger explores Viktor Orbán's long-standing ties to the Russian mafia and the FSB. He argues that both Orbán and Donald Trump have functioned as assets for Russian intelligence due to financial entanglements.

2. The Resilience of Iranian Surrogates. Bill Roggio analyzes the continued strength of Iranian proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis. Despite military pressure, these groups remain active, with the Houthispotentially held in reserve to threaten critical global shipping lanes.1979 TEHRAN

STREAMING MAKING OF THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, FEATURING BILL ROGGIO AND JANATYN SAYEH, MONDAY 4-13-20261742 GULFThe conflict with Iran has entered a critical phase as the U.S. prepares a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz starting April 13, 2026, following failed negotiations in Islamabad. President Trump has ordered the Navy to interdict ships that pay "taxes" to Iran—often collected via cryptocurrency—to traverse the waterway. This move is seen as part of a "mission creep" that has shifted from initial strikes on infrastructure to a broader operation to shut down Iranian maritime operations.The administration has issued three primary demands for ending the conflict: the permanent reopening of the Strait, the surrender of all 60% enriched fissile material, and the cessation of support for proxies such as Hezbollah and the Houthis. Experts indicate these demands are likely non-negotiable for Tehran, which views concessions as a sign of weakness and believes it has gained leverage by absorbing recent military strikes.Despite 50 days of warfare and the targeted killing of many high-ranking officials, the IRGC and its surrogates like Hezbollah remain resilient. Leadership vacancies are quickly filled by a "deep bench" of subordinates, and the regime maintains its internal grip through extreme brutality. In early 2026 alone, the regime has carried out over 1,000 executions, largely targeting political dissidents.The current Iranian leadership—including Ahmad Vahidi, a veteran linked to decades of international terrorism, and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf—represents a "pirates crew" of hardliners who have been in power since the revolution. Because the political core remains intact, analysts dispute claims of "regime change," characterizing the current situation as a "fragile truce" rather than a lasting peace.