POPULARITY
Anatol Lieven discusses NATO's top US commander, General Grynkewich, who states Russia is not looking for conflict despite European concerns about US military withdrawals. Lieven agrees, noting that the Russian army is bogged down in Ukraine, making a deliberate attack on NATO members like the Baltics appear militarily absurd. (1)1919
Anatol Lieven examines rising anti-immigrant tensions in the United Kingdom, where violent demonstrations in Belfastand England highlight growing public anger toward sudden demographic changes and crimes allegedly committed by asylum seekers. Lieven suggests these tensions are politically explosive, potentially forcing a leadership change in the Labour Party if right-wing parties continue to gain ground. (2)1919
Preview for Later Today: Anatol Lieven highlights escalating violence in Northern Ireland and England aimed at immigrants. Public anger stems from high-profile crimes committed by asylum seekers, impacting social stability in once-homogeneous local communities.1909
Anatol Lieven analyzes Ukrainian drone strikes on St. Petersburg, which damaged energy infrastructure and embarrassed the Kremlin during an economic forum. Lieven observes that the war has evolved into a "battle of drones," undermining Russia's imperial image and increasing internal pressure on Putin as his original strategic goals remain unfulfilled.
Anatol Lieven discusses the civil unrest following the murder of Henry Novak in England. He critiques the police response and explains how Nigel Farage is exploiting the tragedy to fuel nationalist sentiment. Additionally, Lievenassesses the political decline of Keir Starmer and the potential rise of Andy Burnham.1943 STORK CLUB
Diesmal unternimmt das Kinderreporterteam eine Zeitreise in die Vergangenheit. Anatol, Elina, Emma, Clara und Lia aus der Volksschule Graz St. Veit interessieren sich für alte Schriften und haben im Workshop mit dem Archäologen Robert Pritz kostbare Bücher und Schriftrollen bewundert. Dieser Podcast begleitet die Sendung "Guten Morgen Steiermark", Radio Steiermark, 30.5.2026
Preview for Later Today: Anatol Lieven analyzes the stalemate in Ukraine, highlighting the exhaustion of both populations and the political unpopularity of mass conscription, even as leadership on both sides maintains maximalist positions regarding the ongoing war.1930 LONDN
(2) Anatol Lieven examines the struggle for UK Labour Party leadership, where Andy Burnham is the preferred candidate to replace Keir Starmer but must first win a by-election. The rising Reform Party poses a significant threat to established political figures.CARTHAGE
(1) Anatol Lieven discusses Moscow's escalation and the future of Ukraine negotiations, noting that Russia has threatened targeted strikes on Ukrainian headquarters in Kyiv. High casualty rates and stalled front lines contribute to a mood of frustration in Moscow.18991
Anatol Lieven discusses the resignation of Latvia's Prime Minister following air defense failures. Ukrainian drones targeting Russia have been transiting Baltic airspace, leading to Russian threats of retaliation. Lieven explores the risk of unintended escalation between NATO and Russia amidst suspicions of Baltic-Ukrainian cooperation regarding these drone flight paths. (1/16)
Following meetings in Beijing, Vladimir Putin seeks to finalize a gas pipeline to China to offset lost European markets. Anatol Lieven notes that while trade in dual-use technology grows, China remains cautious about full military escalation. Russia's involvement in the Iran and Ukraine wars complicates its position, as it lacks spare weaponry for Iran. (2/16)1900
Anatol Lieven details the internal rebellion against Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Following poor election results, rival Wes Streeting's resignation signals a broader challenge for party control and the future of leadership. (2/16)1920 CHARLESTON SC
Anatol Lieven explores the meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, focusing on China's economic shifts and the precarious nature of Taiwan's independence, which remains a primary flashpoint for potential war. (1/16)SOUTH CAROLINA
PREVIEW for Later Today: Anatol Lieven analyzes turmoil within the Labour Party, focusing on MP Wes Streeting'smove to challenge Keir Starmer. Streeting's timing is influenced by poor election results and the potential exoneration of rival Angela Rayner.1901 COMMONS
Anatol Lieven analyzes China's diplomatic strategy, noting Beijing's desire for a Trump-Xi summit despite Middle Eastern conflicts. China aims to manage trade tariffs and stabilize Taiwan relations, believing that U.S. involvement in external wars may ultimately weaken American alliances in Asia and strengthen China's regional standing. (9/16)1942
Anatol Lieven analyzes reports of Vladimir Putin operating from bunkers to avoid precision strikes. He discusses Ukraine's emergence as a "drone war startup" and the resulting economic strain. Lieven notes that while the frontline remains frozen, Russian public support for the conflict is beginning to crumble. (10/16)1938 HITLERJUGEND
STREAMING MAKING OF JBS, FEATURING JIM MCTAGUE AND ANATOL LIEVEN, 5-7-2026.1948? BERLINThis transcript features a wide-ranging conversation between host John Bachelor and journalist Jim McTag regarding the evolution of storytelling and technology. The dialogue begins with a critique of metafiction and the shift in the publishing industry toward digital distribution and family sagas. A significant portion of the discussion focuses on the practical applications of AI, with the speakers comparing different platforms like Gemini and Grok for creative work such as cartooning. The participants also analyze current global economic pressures, specifically rising oil prices, the "fog of war" in the Middle East, and the rapid expansion of AI data centers impacting real estate in Lancaster, Pennsylvania. The segment concludes with brief, interrupted attempts to interview Anatol Lieven about the geopolitical tensions surrounding China, Taiwan, and the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
Conversations on Groong - May 8, 2026In this episode of Conversations on Groong, Dr. Anatol Lieven joins us to examine Russia's place in a rapidly shifting global order. The discussion looks at the war in Ukraine, the state of Russia-EU relations after Viktor Orbán's political defeat, and the uncertain trajectory of the war on Iran, including whether any real diplomatic offramp still exists. They also explore whether Russia's relationship with Iran is truly strategic or mainly transactional, how China fits into the wider balance of power, and what all of this means for the South Caucasus, Armenia's current path under Pashinyan, and Azerbaijan's ambitions to turn wartime leverage into lasting regional influence.TopicsRussia, Iran, Europe, multipolar orderUkraine war and Russia-West tensionsIran war and diplomatic offrampsArmenia, TRIPP, South CaucasusGuest: Anatol LievenHosts:Hovik ManucharyanAsbed BedrossianEpisode 541 | Recorded: May 5, 2026SHOW NOTES: https://podcasts.groong.org/541VIDEO: https://youtu.be/bnwKcnMSZTk#AnatolLieven #Russia #Iran #Europe #UkraineWar #SouthCaucasusSubscribe and follow us everywhere you are: linktr.ee/groong
PREVIEW for Later Today: Anatol Lieven explores Chinese perspectives on a potential Trump visit and regional conflicts. China anticipates that economic strain from the Iran war may ultimately weaken American alliances in Asia, facilitating future Chinese regional leadership.
1. Guest: Anatol Lieven. Lieven discusses the Middle East crisis, noting Russia benefits from rising oil prices while China fears global economic instability. Future concerns include potential US retaliation against Europe regarding Ukraine aid and Greenland, alongside upcoming tariff negotiations between President Trump and Xi Jinping in Beijing. 11905 HOLLYWOOD HOTEL
2. Guest: Anatol Lieven. Lieven analyzes UK politics, characterizing Prime Minister Keir Starmer as a "dead man walking" due to record low popularity and scandals involving Lord Mandelson. Regarding Ukraine, he suggests they are achieving a qualified victory by holding the line, though long-term survival is threatened by manpower and funding shortages. 21905 DELONGPRE MANSE
Preview: Anatol Lieven discusses European fears regarding a potential Trump administration. Concerns include retaliatory cuts to Ukrainian military aid and intelligence, or extreme actions like seizing Greenland, which could shatter the NATO alliance.1912 OTTAWA
STREAM MAKING OF THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, FEATURING JIM MCTAGUE, ANATOL LIEVEN, 4-16-2026.1880 FRENCH IRONCLAD MAGENTA.The current global landscape is defined by a profound disconnect between market optimism and geopolitical instability. While the S&P 500 and NASDAQ have recently seen "rally mode," this "bullishness" is described as "irrational exuberance" in the face of ongoing violence in Eurasia. Jim McTague argues that the market is in a bubble, predicting a 30% downside retreat before the end of May as "black swans" like the conflict in the Middle East begin to frighten investors.A primary catalyst for this potential economic "stampede" is the disruption of critical energy corridors, specifically the Strait of Hormuz and Baba Mandeb. Saudi Arabia, which previously encouraged military pressure on Iran, has recently signaled a desire for the U.S. to "back off" as it realizes its own oil pipelines to the Red Sea are vulnerable to Houthi violence. If these waterways remain shut down, oil revenues for Gulf states—which rely on these routes for 70% to 90% of their income—will collapse, likely triggering a global recession.Simultaneously, Artificial Intelligence (AI) is being used by major corporations as a "convenient excuse" for significant layoffs, even as it remains a "primitive tool" prone to frequent errors. While 30% of the general public expects large-scale job losses, institutional investors view these cuts as strategic cost-cutting rather than a broader labor market warning. The fear of AI-driven displacement is particularly acute among younger generations, leading some to predict a future defined by either "demagogues" exploiting unemployment or a new era of forced leisure. Currently, AI functions more as a "drawing partner" or administrative assistant that still requires a human "editor and proofreader" to manage its "hallucinations" and mistakes.In Europe, the political tide may be turning following a resounding rebuke of Victor Orban in the Hungarian elections. The victory of Peter Magyar is seen as "good news" for Ukraine, as it removes a major block to a 90-billion-euro EU loan package. However, European economies remain fragile, with governments in Germany and France heavily subsidizing gas prices to prevent political upheaval from far-right parties like the AFD.Finally, the international order is under strain as China's patience with the U.S. and Israel wears thin due to the economic damage caused by the Iran conflict. Similarly, the "special relationship" between the UK and the US is facing a "national humiliation" as King Charles prepares to visit a Washington administration that has been openly insulting to British leadership. Amidst this 21st-century chaos, the sources recall the 17th-century painter Johannes Vermeer, whose work emerged from a similar era of religious war to promote a "liberal tradition" of tolerance that remains the foundation of modern society.
3. Anatol Lieven evaluates Hungary's election, where Peter Magyar defeated Viktor Orbán. This victory could lift blocks on Ukrainian aid, though Hungary remains dependent on Russian energy and faces European economic hurdles.1884 DANISH IRONCLAD NORDENSKJOLD
Preview for Later TodayAnatol Lieven examines how Viktor Orbán's exit lifts the block on EU aid for Ukraine. While the loan may proceed, regional instability and potential recession threaten Europe's economic stability and debt.1930 BUDAPEST
4. Anatol Lieven warns of a global recession fueled by oil shocks and Middle East conflict. He describes Donald Trump as a wrecking ball for American international reputation and diplomatic relations in Europe.1885 CHILEAN IRONCLAD ENCALADA
5. Anatol Lieven evaluates NATO's internal divisions over the Middle East crisis and potential reconstruction in Iran. He analyzes how Russia and China balance prioritieswhile the U.S. considers lifting sanctions for regional stability. (5)1800 ROSEWELL PLANTATION, VA
THE MAKING OF THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, FEATURING LANCE GATLING, JIM MCTAGUE, ANATOL LIEVEN, 4-9-20161945 TOKYO STATION FIRED MARCH 1945The provided transcript features a broadcast of The John Bachelor Show, where the host and several experts analyze the global economic and geopolitical fallout of a crisis in the Straits of Hormuz. The discussion highlights how the constricted oil supply has spiked fuel prices differently across the globe, comparing high costs in Japan and Europe to relatively lower prices in the United States. Panelists examine the strategic responses of various nations, noting that Japan has tapped its national petroleum reserves while Russiabenefits financially from the elevated market prices. The conversation further explores the shifting diplomatic landscape, questioning whether NATO or China will play a primary role in the eventual reconstruction of Iran. Additionally, the participants debate the long-term stability of the post-World War II global order under the influence of current American domestic politics. The segment concludes by touching on a more positive outlook for Latin American diplomacy and energy production in Venezuela. (1)
6. Anatol Lieven analyzes Prime Minister Keir Starmer's low approval ratings and his party's fragmentation during international crises. He explores Britain's diplomatic balance between public opinion and its essential security alliance with the United States. (6)1868 VA
PREVIEW FOR LATER TODAY. GUEST. Anatol Leven examines the diverging yet united interests of Russia and China in the Gulf crisis, noting how Russia profits from high oil prices while both seek to prevent American regional dominance. (4)
JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW SCHEDULE 4-2-202618611. Anatol Lieven analyzes President Trump's response to the Iran conflict and rising energy prices. He discusses NATO's internal divisions as European allies prioritize local economic interests and geographic proximity over American strategy.,, (1)2. Anatol Lieven examines Ukraine's new business model exporting drone expertise to the Gulf. He notes Russia's intelligence support for Iran and China's cautious stance regarding potential for wider escalation in the Middle East., (2)3. Josh Rogin reports on the Hill and Valley Forum, where Silicon Valley and Washington leaders discuss defense modernization. He addresses bureaucratic hurdles and China's significant manufacturing lead in critical military technologies.,, (3)4. Josh Rogin analyzes Europe's lagging defense capabilities and the global drone production race. He highlights restrictive ITAR regulations and explains how AI automation in manufacturing helps the United States compete against China's scale.,, (4)5. Evan Ellis details the inauguration of Chile's conservative President Jose Antonio Kast. He examines Kast's challenges with organized crime and immigration while managing deep economic dependence on China and maintaining American security ties., (5)6. Evan Ellis discusses Brazilian President Lula's endorsement of Michelle Bachelet for UN Secretary General. He reflects on Chile's ideological shifts between pro-market right-wing policies and the left's focus on social benefits.,, (6)7. Evan Ellis evaluates a Russian oil delivery to Cuba and possible backroom negotiations with the Trump administration. He also analyzes the normalization of Venezuela's Delcy Rodriguez amidst efforts toward a regional political transition.,, (7)8. Evan Ellis previews Peru's upcoming presidential election and a tightening race in Brazil. He discusses how corruption scandals, such as the Bank of Masters, are impacting President Lula's popularity against challenger Flavio Bolsonaro.,, (8)9. Fitz Brundage recounts the capture of black Union sailors and the subsequent halt of Civil War prisoner exchanges. He explains how the Emancipation Proclamation transformed the war's legal status and the humanitarian treatment.,, (9)10. Fitz Brundage explains the Dix-Hill cartel and the historical evolution of prisoner exchanges. He describes the system of parole and the specific calculus used to swap soldiers of varying ranks to ensure fairness.,, (10)11. Fitz Brundage examines Civil War prison administrators John Winder and William Hoffman. He details the harsh conditions at Libby Prison and Hoffman's focus on extreme cost-saving measures at the expense of prisoner welfare.,, (11)12. Fitz Brundage analyzes the Lieber Code, which codified the humane treatment of prisoners of war. He discusses the "military necessity" loophole and the Confederacy's rejection of these Union-led regulations as illegitimate.,, (12)13. Jim McTague and Simon Constable report on rising global commodity prices, including Brent crude and diesel. They discuss the impact of the Iran conflict on fertilizer supplies and the resulting economic strain.,,, (13)14. Jim McTague and Simon Constable analyze UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer's response to the Middle East crisis. They discuss Britain's limited military capacity and inflammatory newspaper claims regarding drone warfare and minesweeping capabilities.,, (14)15.Kevin Frazier and Thaddius McCotter Kevin Fraser and Thaddius Mart advocate for embracing artificial intelligence as a governance tool. They discuss state-level regulatory hurdles, the rise of a "portfolio economy," and the necessity of educating families on responsible use.,, (15)16. Kevin Frazier and Thaddius McCotter explore the relational aspects of AI and its influence on youth. They contrast AI subscription models with social media's engagement-driven algorithms, emphasizing the need for AI literacy.,, (16)
Anatol Lieven discusses the implications of the U.S. potentially leaving NATO. He notes that while a full withdrawal would require Senate approval, a hostile administration could still undermine the alliance by cutting intelligence sharing or halting the sale of critical weapons and air defense systems to European partners. (3)
1. Anatol Lieven discusses President Trump's response to the Iran conflict and rising energy prices. He analyzes NATO's fragmenting unity as Europeanallies refuse military participation and prioritize economic interests over American strategy. (1)1574
2. Anatol Lieven explores Ukraine's new business model selling drone expertise to the Gulf. He notes the merging of global conflicts, Russia's intelligence support for Iran, and China's cautious but influential economic role. (2)1574
1. John Batchelor and Anatol Lieven discuss how the Middle East conflictimpacts the global economy through energy and fertilizer shortages. They explore whether major powers like Moscow and Washington are losing focus on the war in Ukraine due to the escalating crisis in the Persian Gulf. (1)1902 LEV TROTSKY IN EXILE AND FIRST WIFE ALEXANDRA SOKOLOSKAYA
PREVIEW FOR LATER. Guest: Anatol Lieven. Lieven analyzes how the war in Iran triggers energy shortages, fueling the rise of Germany's AFD and France's National Rally. These shifts threaten to create ungovernable coalitions and disrupt mainstream European stability. (4)1839 RHINELAND-PALATINATE
14. Anatol Lieven Headline: NATODisunity and Eastern EuropeanHardliners Lieven highlights internal friction within NATO regarding Donald Trump's isolationist rhetoric. While hardliners in Eastern Europe demand unity against Russia, countries like Poland remain primarily focused on their own national defense strategies. (14)1896 PETERSBURG
13. Anatol Lieven Headline: Seeking a Settlement in the Eurasia Crisis High energy prices are pressuring Europeannations like Belgium and Hungary to consider resuming trade with Russia. Lieven proposes a deal exchanging energy for compromises on the Donbass, though European leadership remains divided. (13)1900 MOSCOW
Anatol Lieven Anatol Lieven discusses whether Germany might reconnect with Russian energy to save its economy. He argues that political reputations and established security stances make a return to Moscow's oil and gas highly improbable.Germany's Energy Dilemma and the Improbability of a Russian U-Turn (5)1855 RUSSIA
13. Anatol Lieven (Quincy Institute)discusses the Iran war's impact, noting Russia's benefits through increased energy profits and diverted Western air defenses. He criticizes the U.S. administration for failing to predict predictable Iranianretaliation against global energy supplies. (13)1876 PERSIA
14. Anatol Lieven (Quincy Institute)explores the resurgence of the "Great Game," detailing Israel's goal to dismantle the Iranian state. He argues that bombing will not break Iranian resistance and notes European reluctance to impose sanctions. (14)1900 RUSSIA EMPIRE
PREVIEW FOR LATER. Anatol Lievencritiques the U.S. administration's failure to predict Iranian attacks on the Strait of Hormuz. He notes that even a Hungarian school teacher recognized these predictable retaliations against international energy supplies,. GUEST AND AFFILIATION: Anatol Lieven, Quincy Institute,. (1)1956 HUNGARY
Russia Leverages Middle East Conflict to Pressure European Energy Markets Anatol Lieven analyzes how the Middle East conflict strengthens Russia's leverage over Europe while potentially causing internal Iranian anarchy and a massive refugee crisis. (1)1875 CASPIAN SEA
Preview for Later Today: Anatol Lieven examines reports of the U.S. arming separatists and argues that Israel's ultimate goal is destroying Iran as a state to prevent future threats. (2)1945
Anatol Lieven examines Europe's missing voice in Kremlin negotiations, highlighting hurdles like sanctions relief and Russia's demand for Ukrainian withdrawal from the contested Donbass territory. 1.1890 MEXICO CITY
Anatol Lieven questions the lack of a clear strategy for US naval fleets near Iran, hoping for diplomatic compromise and economic opening rather than war. 2.1900 MEXICO
Negotiated Settlements and Expanding Security States. Anatol Lieven explains the European left's growing concerns about the Ukraine war fueling authoritarian security and surveillance measures. While a negotiated settlement requiring Ukraine to surrender the Donbas seems impossible in Kyiv, the conflict risks becoming a prolonged war of attrition dictated by modern drone warfare. #21918 4TH LIGHT HORSE IN THE JUDEAN HILLS
File: P-LIEVEN-2-18.mp3 Headline: The European Left's Stance on Ukraine and Expansion Guest Name: Anatol Leven 25 Word Summary: The European left supports defending Europe but strongly opposes further NATO and EU expansion, viewing the European Union as a fundamentally obstructive, anti-socialist capitalist organization1854 ODESSA
The European Left and the Ukraine Conflict. John Batchelor and Anatol Lieven discuss the European left's evolving stance on the Ukraine war. Facing economic strain, radical leftist parties are prioritizing peace and domestic issues over punishing Russia, driven by historical anti-NATO sentiments and deep skepticism toward European military expansion and the United States. #11918 LABOUR LONDON
Guest: Anatol Lieven. Lieven explains EU hesitation and anti-Russian sentiment regarding Ukraine aid, highlighting the reliance on U.S. support and the perception that Germany must lead Europe.