Podcasts about belief bias

In this episode of The Brainy Business, Melina Palmer delves into the fascinating concept of selective attention biases, shedding light on how our brains naturally filter what we focus on, influencing our decisions and perceptions. Through real-life examples and relatable anecdotes, Melina explores various biases, including the frequency illusion, mere exposure effect, and Von Restorff effect, to showcase how our perceptions are shaped by what we pay attention to.  By emphasizing the power of shifting focus and expectations, she highlights the practical implications of understanding and challenging these biases. Melina's insights provide valuable guidance on how to navigate cognitive biases effectively and make more informed choices in various aspects of life and business. Her engaging and relatable approach makes this episode a must-listen for anyone keen on improving decision-making skills. So, tune in and discover how being mindful of selective attention biases can lead to more informed choices and positive outcomes. In this episode: Recognize selective attention biases to make more informed decisions. Explore the impact of repeated exposure to enhance your perceptions. Identify cognitive biases in memory recall for improved cognitive awareness. Learn to manage the influence of expectations on focus for better decision-making. Overcome confirmation bias to enhance the quality of your judgments. Show Notes: 00:00:00 - Introduction Melina introduces the concept of selective attention biases and its impact on decision-making. The episode will cover biases related to where we focus our attention, how it impacts decisions, and how it colors our perception when looking back. 00:04:08 - Frequency Illusion and Recency Illusion Melina discusses the frequency illusion, selection bias, and recency illusion, explaining how our brains notice things more after they come to our attention. This leads to biases in decision-making and impacts our perceptions. 00:10:07 - Selective Perception and Attentional Bias Melina delves into the concepts of selective perception and attentional bias, highlighting how our expectations influence the way we perceive things. She emphasizes the power of shifting focus and expectations for positive impact. 00:13:34 - Rhyme as Reason Effect, Belief Bias, and Conjunction Fallacy Melina explores the impact of the rhyme as reason effect on decision-making and the tendency to believe rhyming statements. She also explains the belief bias and conjunction fallacy, shedding light on how our biases influence the logical strength of arguments. 00:16:06 - Base Rate Fallacy and Base Rate Neglect Melina discusses the base rate fallacy and neglect, emphasizing how we tend to focus on specific information while ignoring general or base rate information. These biases can lead to faulty decision-making and misinterpretation of probabilities. 00:16:58 - Understanding Biased Decision Making Blue dominates the cab market, but witnesses tend to misidentify cab colors. This bias affects decision-making and highlights the need to consider base rates in our judgments. 00:19:17 - Impact of Biases on Research and Business Biases impact scientists' studies and lead to expectancy effects, illusory correlations, and subjective validation. These biases can hinder businesses' ability to accurately assess customer groups and marketing strategies. 00:23:13 - Overcoming Confirmation Bias Confirmation bias affects our ability to search for and interpret information. We tend to focus on information that confirms our beliefs, leading to narrow perspectives. Overcoming bias requires open-mindedness and seeking input from diverse perspectives. 00:27:24 - Hindsight Bias and Outcome Bias Hindsight bias leads us to view past events as more predictable than they were, impacting future decisions. Outcome bias causes us to judge decisions based on their results rather than the information available at the time. Both biases can distort our memory of past events. 00:29:41 - Conclusion Melina's top insights from the conversation. What stuck with you while listening to the episode? What are you going to try? Come share it with Melina on social media -- you'll find her as @thebrainybiz everywhere and as Melina Palmer on LinkedIn. Thanks for listening. Don't forget to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Android. If you like what you heard, please leave a review on iTunes and share what you liked about the show.  I hope you love everything recommended via The Brainy Business! Everything was independently reviewed and selected by me, Melina Palmer. So you know, as an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. That means if you decide to shop from the links on this page (via Amazon or others), The Brainy Business may collect a share of sales or other compensation. Let's connect: Melina@TheBrainyBusiness.com The Brainy Business® on Facebook The Brainy Business on Twitter The Brainy Business on Instagram The Brainy Business on LinkedIn Melina on LinkedIn The Brainy Business on Youtube Learn and Support The Brainy Business: Check out and get your copies of Melina's Books.  Get the Books Mentioned on (or related to) this Episode: Foolproof, by Sander van der Linden Tune In, by Nuala Walsh What Your Employees Need and Can't Tell You, by Melina Palmer Both/And Thinking, by Wendy Smith and Marianne Lewis Thinking, Fast and Slow, by Daniel Kahneman Top Recommended Next Episode: Nuala Walsh Interview (ep 153) Already Heard That One? Try These:  Sander van der Linden Interview (ep 337) Wendy Smith Interview (ep 261) Overview of Personal Biases (ep 45) Biases Toward Others – Including Groups (ep 314) Memory Biases (ep 280) Present Versus Future Biases (ep 246) Availability Bias (ep 310) Other Important Links:  Brainy Bites - Melina's LinkedIn Newsletter

Why is it hard to objectively judge an argument for something we disagree with? Is it harder for arguments we do believe in? And do we focus more on the thought process or the outcome?   In less than four minutes, discover a better way to get your point through to others.

There are many instances in which you might think you're using your best coach judgment in a sales conversation or consult. We have thoughts about what our clients are capable of, who they are now and who they can become, and the drama in front of them. But the truth is if you're spending time in your mind versus questioning everything they offer you, you aren't serving them.   Join me today as I show you the signs you're not coaching your clients from a clean space and how your belief biases might be preventing you from serving them effectively. You'll learn why both positive and negative belief biases cloud your judgment, what it can look like in action, and how to stop weaving your thoughts into your clients' decisions.   If you want to start making serious money as a coach, you need to check out 2K for 2K. Click here to join: https://staceyboehman.com/2kfor2k!

Guest: Helen RobertsYou've seen the warnings: "Don't drive through floodwaters." "Evacuate when officials ask during hurricanes or wildfires." "Tornadoes can strike any town, even if they've never hit your town before." "Heat is the biggest weather-killer." These are some of the messages meteorologists put out there in extreme weather events. Today on WeatherGeeks…we delve into why these extreme weather warnings can go *ignored* and find out what we can do about it with Helen Roberts from the UK Met Office. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Belief Bias Hello, this is Hall T. Martin with the Startup Funding Espresso -- your daily shot of startup funding and investing. The belief bias is a bias defined by Wikipedia as an effect where someone's evaluation of the logical strength of an argument is biased by the believability of the conclusion Similar to the confirmation bias, investors bring their experience to the startup pitch and make judgments on the proposed pitch while underway. Investors will believe more strongly in a startup pitch if they agree with the proposed fundraising plan and exit strategy. Startups that propose outsized forecasts and out-of-the-norm exit valuations will find it harder to gain the support of the investor. To overcome the belief bias, investors should consider the market sector, the strength of the technology and product, and the skills of the team before estimating the outcome. Startups should make clear the facts behind the proposed valuation and exit plan using comparables and other factors that impact the outcome. The startup continues to grow and change so it's important to stay up to date with the latest valuations and fundraising plans.    Thank you for joining us for the Startup Funding Espresso where we help startups and investors connect for funding. Let's go startup something today. _______________________________________________________ For more episodes from Investor Connect, please visit the site at:   Check out our other podcasts here:   For Investors check out:   For Startups check out:   For eGuides check out:   For upcoming Events, check out    For Feedback please contact info@tencapital.group    Please , share, and leave a review. Music courtesy of .

Today on ThinkSmart with TMFG Financial Planners Rob McClelland and Mike Connon discuss some of the science behind what leads humans to be bad investors. Investing is easy, isn't it? Well, maybe not with all the parts that make up the human psyche, you might be surprised that we ever have a successful outcome. Today we discuss; Anchoring, Sunk Cost Fallacy, Back-fire effect, and Belief Bias amongst a host of other tendencies that investors tend to lean on. Join us to learn more.

#131: Has this ever happened to you? Someone holds a belief about you that isn't accurate. At all! This happens all the time for those of us leading others. What do you do about it? In this episode I share some ideas.  Read or Subscribe to my new weekly leadership articles my new website :http://www.russhill.meCheck out the pre-sale of my new course called The Leader Playbook: The Decide to Lead Course. It's discounted 26% during the presale. Find out more here:https://gumroad.com/russhillConnect with me on LinkedIn or to send me a DM:https://www.linkedin.com/in/russleads/Tap here to check out my first book, Decide to Lead, on Amazon. Thank you so much to the hundreds of you who have already purchased it!--About the podcast:The Culture Hacks Podcast with Russ Hill is for leaders of teams who want to grow and accelerate their results. In each episode, Russ Hill shares what he's learned consulting executives on their organization culture. Subscribe to get two new episodes every week. To connect with Russ about what he does with company culture message him on LinkedIn!

Enjoy this episode…and subscribe to our channel https://www.youtube.com/user/josephcloughhypnosis?sub_confirmation=1 In this episode broadcasted live on YouTube I go into how your mind will trick you into self-sabotage and missed opportunities due to the bias of your belief, plus I answer your questions.   Download my FREE Hypnosis App in your app store, just search "Joseph Clough"    PLUS… if YOU want to discover "How to Silence Your 'Inner Critic,'  Quit The 'Imposter Syndrome' to Level Up Your Career or Business!" I have a free training for you…go to https://www.josephclough.info/power  to view my free OnDemand Masterclass   In the Masterclass you'll quickly discover:   Secret #1 "Why you must discover the HIDDEN ROOT CAUSE of all lack of confidence, worry and self-doubt, that once found (what most therapists do not want you to know…). If you do not discover this...you continue to feel like a failure."   Secret #2 "Why you are NOT an imposter and how to switch your brain to work for you, rather against you."   Secret #3 "How to master the 5 FEARS of rejection, failure, being good enough, getting help and imposter syndrome."   Go to https://www.josephclough.info/power  to view my free OnDemand    Who Am I?   I'm Joseph Clough, #1 best-selling Hay House author, and creator of over 300 hours of Hypnosis and Coaching that have been downloaded over 9,000,000 times.    I am also an international Speaker, Celebrity Coach and Hypnotherapist.   My goal in life is to help each person achieve their full potential and that includes you. I combine advanced techniques of Eastern and Western inner transformation, my own techniques and Hypnotherapy, and have worked with celebrities and professional athlete clients.    Disclaimer:   Warning: By watching & listening and using Josephs free or paid work or apps you expressly agree that you use of this website or through other platforms is at your sole risk.    The information with this video, Joseph’s work or apps or online work, techniques and exercises provided within these free and paid products are for educational purposes only. Do not use the techniques or exercises contained within some of these free or paid products whilst driving or operating machinery, or if you suffer from epilepsy, clinical depression or any other nervous or psychiatric conditions. The information provided is NOT a substitute for proper medical advice. If in doubt, please consult your doctor or licensed medical practitioner.   Any decision you make having received any of Joseph Clough's free or products are your own and you remain wholly responsible for any decisions and actions you take.   #hypnosis #hypnotherapy #meditation #confidence #impostersyndrome #Hypnotist #worry #anxiety #career #business #success #self-development #selfhelp #wealth #money #coach #celebrity #inspiration #josephclough #nlp #coaching 

#83 - Belief Bias: What It Is and How To Protect Yourself From It Belief bias (and confirmation bias) are subtle ways we trick ourselves.

#91 - Belief Bias: The Dangers of Believing Your Own BeliefsToday I talk about belief bias and confirmation bias and how both are mental traps that will get you into trouble. I expand on how these have created our divisive political landscape and why people are out rioting in the streets.... all because they are victims of bias.The Ancestral Mind Podcast is your source to Learn the First Principles of what makes you the human animal you are. We explore anything relating to human optimization from the ancestral perspective. By looking at our evolutionary past, we can get all the data we need to perform better today. Let's get back to REALNESS, back to nature, and get your genes firing the right way instead of the wrong way. Join the movement of people finally seeing through the food lies we've been fed by the powers at the top. Fats are in, carbs are out and sugar is a BANE. Support our work on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/colinstuckert - Help me spread the message of Ancestral health so we can save as many people as possible. We are in desperate need of a health revolution!ResourcesGet the free PDF Cheatsheet download - 7 Principles of Living Wild by The Ancestral MindColin's Youtube Videos for The Ancestral MindGet your Real Food Wild ingredients at Wildfoods co and use code AMPODCAST12 for 12% off your entire order!My favorite grass-fed/grass-finished WILD beef. Stuff is as clean as you can get: https://shopalderspring.com?sca_ref=109629.Gqj1Vg7cPPSee my recommend cooking and recording gear: https://kit.co/colinstuckertMy weekly Friday newsletter full of related content: https://www.getrevue.co/profile/colin-stucketFollow Colin:Instagram and my personal website where I write about productivity, mindset, and success: https://colin.coachWild Foods InstagramCheck out my long-form articles on healthGrab one of the 50 Free Slots: Build Your CEO Morning Routine: Goal Setting, Thinking, Ideas, Deep Work https://skl.sh/2TuVMmZThe Productive Mind: How To Think About And Build Your Productivity Routine - 27 free slots left - use this link https://skl.sh/338brMnWhat I Put In my coffee every morning… my #DrinkYourFat elixir:Wild Cocoa ButterWild MCT OilWild CoffeeWild CocotropicWhat I take daily for optimal health:Wild Fish OilWild ShroomsWild Pink saltWild CollagenFollow BrentBrentity on Twitter

The culture of your team or organization is largely a result of the beliefs that exists on your team. Some of those beliefs are working for you and some of them are slowing down achieving the results you need to deliver. That was the topic of our Live Online virtual Zoom meeting Tuesday, April 28th. This episode is the audio from that free session with Russ Hill, Jared Jones, and Tanner Corbridge.To get daily content and interviews about leading during this disruptive times subscribe to this series and get daily content tap on the subscribe button in this podcast app.Here are some of the links from the show:Register for FREE Live Online Event: Leading Through UncertaintyLink to register: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_PZ2pKKdVRPaoIu0z0rmNDwConnect with Russ Hill on LinkedIn Connect with Tanner Corbridge on LinkedInConnect with Jared Jones on LinkedInJoin the PIL Culture Community on LinkedInVisit our website: Partners In Leadershiphttp://www.partnersinleadership.com--About the podcast:How do you lead during a period of significant disruption - like the coronavirus? The team at Partners In Leadership share their insights from coaching and consulting leaders around the globe for more than three decades.

Things Thought on Circle Drive Come on in and listen to some things thought Tonight I am again just thinking out loud Aa Belief Bias? KFSA 95.1 FM and 950 Am http://www.hogcountry931.com/ facebook https://www.facebook.com/AaThingsThoughtOnCircleDrive/ email bentleycraig@outlook.com message https://m.me/AaThingsThoughtOnCircleDrive?fbclid=IwAR17kexZ25Wom_G9PsZ-5vOZ_ePhHglnAkHLP86uunxh-4kJF9g_GR-1els http://www.fringeradionetwork.com/?fbclid=IwAR2ZeUd28Y7WDLp9R6o9_etrFhtJX_tKKuDpadnbAAQ9_DLC9iFxogGH_FU Suicide Hotline 800-273-8255 Poison Control 800-222-1222 --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/nuclearknucklehead/message

Things Thought on Circle Drive Come on in and listen to some things thought Tonight I am again just thinking out loud Aa Belief Bias? KFSA 95.1 FM and 950 Am http://www.hogcountry931.com/ facebook      https://www.facebook.com/AaThingsThoughtOnCircleDrive/ email            bentleycraig@outlook.com message      https://m.me/AaThingsThoughtOnCircleDrive?fbclid=IwAR17kexZ25Wom_G9PsZ-5vOZ_ePhHglnAkHLP86uunxh-4kJF9g_GR-1els http://www.fringeradionetwork.com/?fbclid=IwAR2ZeUd28Y7WDLp9R6o9_etrFhtJX_tKKuDpadnbAAQ9_DLC9iFxogGH_FU Suicide Hotline      800-273-8255 Poison Control        800-222-1222 --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/bentley-craig/message

The Bodhisattva ideal is not about making the world a better place. It is about helping others find peace and clarity in the circumstances of their lives, whatever they may be. If you hold a utopian ideal, you are lost in belief. As noted below, belief blinds. You are trying to make the world conform to what you hold inside. This is always a recipe for disaster. Among the hells this idea has generated are The Inquisition, The Gulag, The Cultural Revolution, any number of wars and any number of cults (Buddhism, unfortunately, is not immune to cults).Ken McLeod

Our values seem good and right, like the news giving you factual information, and that makes it hard to coach to the best of your abilities, especially if you're new to coaching. I'm giving you real examples of false negatives and false positives to demonstrate how you might be weaving your thoughts into your client's decisions. Get full show notes and more information here: https://staceyboehman.com/014

What could possibly go wrong? I think one of the biggest mistakes that we as humans make is that we are far too optimistic about how something we’re planning might go. In doing so we often fool ourselves into believing that it will work as planned, and overlook what could go wrong. In this weeks episode, we’ll discuss how we can take steps to avoid the blind spots that can easily derail us. How many times have you started a project, or tried to start a new habit, only to run into all kinds of unexpected resistance? Maybe you want to start going running each morning or maybe you have a project at work and despite your best-laid plans, things start heading off the rails in ways that you never expected. The optimism and energy you had starts to wane as you deal with one setback after another. I run into this all the time. I think that I have things well planned out only to find that what I thought were conservative estimates and plans were far too optimistic. When we make overly optimistic plans, we act as if it were a simple mathematical formula that we can plug in the right variables and have things turn out exactly as expected. But as we all well know, the best plans don’t mean anything if they can’t stand up to the reality of a situation. We fall into overly optimistic thinking because our brains are trying to be efficient. It takes time and effort to dig into a planning process and go deeper than our initial optimistic plans. It takes exploring uncomfortable thoughts and ideas and being willing to throw away any ideas that don’t stand up to reality, even if we’re very attached to them. So why is it so hard to get things nailed down and complete the things we want? First, we’ll look at two of the most common mental traps that we fall into. Then we’ll look at some ways we can work around own limitations, and help mitigate the challenges that surprise us along the way. Confirmation Bias >“The first principle is that you must not fool yourself - and you are the easiest person to fool.” >—Richard Feynman Probably the most pernicious enemy of trying to plan for something is confirmation bias. Confirmation bias is when we seek out evidence which supports our decision and ignore evidence that conflicts with our preconceptions. It is the clearest example of overly optimistic thinking, and we are all guilty of it. Confirmation bias blinds us to all kinds of other possible solutions. When are too attached to an idea, when we want to prove that we already have the solution, we miss out on finding better solutions. The more that we can approach something with an attitude of seeing where we could be wrong, the more likely it is that our plan will stand up to scrutiny and be more successful. Take the time to examine your own bias and to ask yourself, “Am I defending this idea simply because it’s mine? Am I ignoring contradictory information because I’m too in love with my own idea?” We saw this happen in the second Iraq war where, because the decision makers had the idea that there had to be illegal weapons in the country, even the smallest bit of data that could bolster the argument was held up as definitive proof. Anything showing the opposite was simply dismissed and ignored because it didn’t support the idea. Once the country was invaded, it became evident that there were no such weapons and it became clear that the evidence was flimsy at best. Beliefs Belief Bias is a concept similar to Confirmation Bias. Whereas Confirmation Bias seeks out information to confirm the decision we want, Belief Bias is when we use an existing belief to support a conclusion that lines up with that belief. When we don’t allow our belief to be challenged, and to be open to the idea that we might be wrong, we don’t allow reality to influence our decisions. We may make bad decisions because they are based upon a faulty belief. Circumstances change, discoveries happen, and being open to new evidence is critical to making progress in ourselves, as well as successfully completing projects that we embark on. For example, if we believe that women are not as smart as men, then we may dismiss a great idea because we believe that only good ideas can come from men. I’ve heard from a few women about how their ideas were dismissed at work, simply because they were a woman. Once the same idea was presented by a male colleague, it would be given the consideration it deserved. Because of this belief, it’s taken centuries for women to be treated as equals, to be paid the same as men, to be able to vote. As we progress as a society we often ask ourselves how could we ever have held such a ridiculous belief? So how do we avoid these traps? What are some steps that we can take to be sure that we aren’t fooling ourselves? Open to Criticism >“If any man is able to convince me and show me that I do not think or act right, I will gladly change; for I seek the truth by which no man was ever injured. But he is injured who abides in his error and ignorance.” >— Marcus Aurelius One of the most important areas of making better decisions is to be open to criticism. One of the reasons why we have made so much scientific progress over the last 100 years is because science is open to the idea that a discovery or an idea is only valid for now. That it is based upon the best evidence available and should only stand as long as withstands review and stands up to criticism. We should take this same idea and apply it in our own lives. We should only hold onto an idea or a habit as long as it serves us and helps moves us the direction we want to go. When we seek out contradictory opinions, we are taking steps to counter our own bias. When we come upon new information or receive criticism, we should be willing to review it and change direction if need be. Imagination >“How ridiculous and how strange to be surprised at anything which happens in life” >— Marcus Aurelius One of the things that sets us apart from other animals is our imagination. The ability to tell ourselves fictional stories, to think about what-if scenarios is a powerful tool in creating our future. Without imagination, we would not have the ability to create ideas about what we think the future will be like. We would have no way to plan for the future. This singular ability is what helps us to move from being reactionary beings to creators and designers of our future. But far too often we suffer from a failure of imagination and end up surprised that things don’t turn out as we expect. Because we have the gift of imagination we need to consider the unlikely, to think of the impossible, and be open to ideas that we may not like. This also opens us to a larger pool of possible solutions. Premortum >“Nothing happens to the wise man contrary to his expectations. >— Seneca One of the most important practices that the Stoics have is Premeditatio Malorum, which is to imagine all that possible ways that things could go wrong. I’ve talked about it before on the podcast, and it’s a very useful practice. This is not the same thing as being pessimistic. I like to think of it as a way to test your ideas and plans against reality, by using your imagination. This is not an easy exercise. It takes effort to let go of your wish to have the right solution and to think of all the things that could go wrong. I came across a similar exercise that psychologist Gary Klein calls a “premortem”, that illustrates this idea rather nicely. As Dr. Klein explains, “Our exercise, is to ask planners to imagine that it is months into the future and that their plan has been carried out. And it has failed. That is all they know; they have to explain why they think it failed.” Just as doctors do a postmortem to understand what happened after the fact, a premortem is a way to truly imagine the most likely ways that a plan could fail. Being Wrong A lot of the topics I’ve discussed today revolve around the fact that we don’t like to be wrong. We get attached to an idea and want that idea to be right, and thereby validating ourselves. But the thing is the more try to avoid failure, rather than facing it head on, the more failure we’re going to have. Being able to let go of needing to be right, of validating ourselves, the more we can get out of our own way and make better decisions. Hey friends, thanks for listening to the podcast. If you like what you hear, I would really appreciate it if you could help support me by making a pledge on Patreon. You can find me at patreon.com/stoiccoffee. Even just a small amount helps in keeping this podcast going. Also, head on over to my website at www.stoic.coffee and sign up for our weekly newsletter. And lastly, if you know of someone that might like or could benefit from this podcast, please share it with them. Word of mouth is one of the best ways to help this podcast grow. Thanks again for listening.

The beliefs you hold are affecting what you see. In this week's episode of Decide to Lead Russ Hill introduces the idea of Belief Bias or Confirmation Bias. We all look for experiences everyday that validate the beliefs we hold about our spouse, our boss, that other department, or even the customer. Russ walks through how to free yourself from the trap of not seeing experiences that contradict the beliefs you hold. Leave a comment at http://www.russhill.com/012

People will not give up their existing beliefs very easily. If you don’t deal with the Belief-Bias instinct first, you slow down the change process. Interview with New York Times bestselling author,... Visit our website for more information. http://www.ozprinciple.com. Register to attend one of our webinars. http://www.ozprinciple.com/webinar. Interview with New York Times bestselling author, Roger Connors.

You can only suspend belief-bias for a short period of time. Once you open that window and people are willing to consider a new, fresh point of view, that window will close quickly. Interview with... Visit our website for more information. http://www.ozprinciple.com. Register to attend one of our webinars. http://www.ozprinciple.com/webinar. Interview with New York Times bestselling author, Roger Connors.