Podcasts about Confirmation bias

Have you ever wondered why we repeatedly make irrational decisions without realizing it? In this summary of The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli, we dive into the hidden cognitive biases and psychological traps that secretly sabotage our choices.From the "Sunk Cost Fallacy" and "Confirmation Bias" to "Social Proof" and the "Illusion of Control", Dobelli exposes the systematic deviations from optimal, rational thought that humans stumble over generation after generation. Watch to learn how to recognize these predictable thinking errors, protect yourself from irrationality, and make much smarter decisions in your personal life, business, and investments.#tags #TheArtOfThinkingClearly #RolfDobelli #CognitiveBiases #DecisionMaking #Psychology #CriticalThinking #BookSummary #SelfImprovement #MentalModels #BehavioralEconomics #Rationality

Send us Fan MailMore information does not produce better decisions. This episode of Thinking 2 Think makes the case that data overload -- not data scarcity -- is the real leadership crisis of 2026. Executive Director and author M.A. Aponte draws on his experience in charter school leadership, Wall Street, and law enforcement to break down exactly how cognitive bias corrupts data interpretation and what the most effective leaders do differently when the signals are unclear. What You Will Learn:•         The critical difference between signal vs. noise in organizational data•         Why confirmation bias, availability bias, anchoring bias, and overconfidence are the four most dangerous cognitive biases in leadership decision making•         What Bayesian thinking actually means for leaders -- without the statistics•         How to apply the Three-Gate Signal Filter before drawing any conclusion from ambiguous data•         A real case study of an organization that confused noise for signal -- and built a strategic plan around the wrong conclusion Q&A: What This Episode AnswersQ: What is the difference between signal and noise in leadership data?A: Signal is data that meaningfully changes a decision. Noise is everything else. The same data point can be signal through one lens and noise through another -- depending entirely on the decision you are trying to make. Most leaders skip defining the decision first. That is how they end up treating noise like signal. Q: How do cognitive biases affect leadership decisions?A: Four biases are most damaging: Confirmation bias leads you to favor data that confirms what you already believe. Availability bias overweights recent, vivid events over slow-building trends. Anchoring bias locks you to the first number you see. Overconfidence bias makes leaders express ninety percent certainty on sixty-five percent evidence. Each of these is documented, measurable, and correctable -- but only if you know which one is running. Q: What is Bayesian thinking for leaders?A: Bayesian thinking means your confidence in any conclusion should be proportional to the quality and quantity of your evidence -- and should update continuously as new evidence arrives. In practice, it means defining in advance what would cause you to change your mind. That single discipline protects against confirmation bias after the fact. The Three-Gate Signal Filter (from this episode):•         Gate One: What specific decision does this data inform?•         Gate Two: What is the base rate -- what would I expect without any intervention?•         Gate Three: What evidence would cause me to revise this conclusion? Resources and Related Episodes:•         Subscribe to The Logical Mind newsletter at maaponte.substack.com•         Thinking 2 Think podcast: pod.link/1531984919•         Companion Substack post: The Three-Gate Signal Filter ExplainedSupport the showJoin My Substack for more content: maaponte.substack.comConsulting/Advisory Services: MAAponte.comProfessional LinkedIn Page: www.linkedin.com/in/maaponteFinancial Budget/Wealth Management app (FREE): https://centsora.com/CHECK OUT OUR NEW CRITICAL THINKING GAME APP! Currently in BETA: Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.base692af669b00f0dc8d8ad6653.appWeb: https://play.google.com/apps/testing/com.base692af669b00f0dc8d8ad6653.app*Coming soon to Apple Store

Alien disclosure and the confirmation of alien life have been convoluted, even though CIA data dumps, projects for contact, declassified material, and many other revelations are pointing to the extraterrestrial reality. What is most convincing is that science is now arguing over the way we handle the reality and whether or not we approach it with hope or pessimism. On this episode of Ground Zero, Clyde Lewis talks with UFO and alien researcher and author Whitley Strieber about ALIEN CONFIRMATION BIAS. The original broadcast was on February 8, 2017.

Im zweiten Teil dieser Doppelfolge geht es um die systemische Wertedimension nach Robert S. Hartman — also um den Einfluss von Hierarchien, Status, Rollen, Zugehörigkeit und organisationalen Strukturen auf unsere Wahrnehmung von Menschen.Warum wirken Titel oft kompetenter als Verhalten?Weshalb erzeugen Systeme ihre eigenen Wahrheiten?Und wie entstehen daraus kollektive Verzerrungen und Fehlurteile?Ich spreche über typische systemische Beobachtungsfehler wie Authority Bias, Status Bias, Confirmation Bias oder Ingroup Bias — und darüber, warum viele Organisationen ihre eigenen Narrative stabilisieren, ohne es zu bemerken.Zum Schluss führe ich die menschliche, praktische und systemische Wertedimension zusammen und zeige, warum gute Diagnostik keine Schubladen erzeugen sollte — sondern eine Gegenperspektive zu unseren eigenen Verzerrungen sein kann.Eine Folge über Wahrnehmung, Blindstellen, Systeme — und die Herausforderung, Menschen möglichst präzise zu beobachten.profilingvalues Mediathek: https://podcast.profilingvalues.comFolie 1: Systemische_Wertedimension_Wahrnehmungsverzerrungen.pptxFolie 2: Wertedimension_Gesamtuebersicht_1.pptxLinkedin Profil Dr. Ulrich Vogel: https://de.linkedin.com/in/ulrich-vogel-profilingvaluesprofilingvalues Website: https://www.profilingvalues.comAutorenseite Dr. Uli Vogel: https://uli-vogel.com/Linkedin Profil profilingvalues: https://de.linkedin.com/company/profiling-values?trk=public_profile_topcard-current-companyprofilingvalues Blog: https://profilingvalues.com/ueber-uns/pv-blog/Keywords: Fehlurteile, Wahrnehmungsverzerrungen, Biases, systemische Biases, Authority Bias, Status Bias, Confirmation Bias, Ingroup Bias, Framing Effect, Robert S. Hartman, Wertedimensionen, Hierarchien, Status, Unternehmenskultur, Organisationsentwicklung, Führung, Diagnostik, Personaldiagnostik, Leadership, Systeme, Narrative, Wahrnehmung, Rollen, Strukturen, Komplexität, Menschenbeobachtung

Welcome back to When Our Adult Children Walk Away, a podcast dedicated to one of the most painful, and one of the least talked-about, experiences a family can go through: estrangement. I'm Dr. Janet Steinkamp. No guilt. No shame. No blame. Social media did not cause your estrangement. But it may be making it feel more permanent, more absolute, and harder to resolve. In this episode, Dr. Janet Steinkamp breaks down what current research says about the role social media platforms play in estrangement dynamics, and why understanding the algorithm may be one of the most important steps toward finding your way forward. IN THIS EPISODE: Why research does not support the claim that social media causes estrangement, but does raise concern about amplification How algorithm-driven content shapes what both parents and adult children see, believe, and feel What echo chambers are and how they reduce openness to alternative perspectives over time Why platforms reward outrage and certainty over nuance and reconciliation How these dynamics affect both sides of an estrangement equally The key insight: algorithms are designed to keep us engaged online, not to bring families closer together What it looks like to be more intentional about the content you consume "The algorithms are designed to increase engagement in the internet, not with our adult children." - Dr. Janet Steinkamp CONNECT:Subscribe to the YouTube channel at @DrJanetSteinkamp and follow the podcast wherever you listen so you never miss an episode. If today's episode was helpful, share it with someone who needs to hear it. You never know who in your life is quietly carrying this same experience. For one-on-one coaching, reach out to Dr. Janet directly through the website. https://www.whenouradultchildrenwalkaway.com/service-page/60-minute-consultation JOIN US FOR VIRTUAL OFFICE HOURS: https://www.whenouradultchildrenwalkaway.com/office-hours Produced by Balancing Life's Issues #FamilyEstrangement #AdultChildren #EstrangementRecovery #ParentingAdultChildren #FamilyHealing #NoContact #EstrangedParents #FamilyCommunication #SocialMediaAndMentalHealth #EchoChambersExplained #DrJanetSteinkamp #WhenOurAdultChildrenWalkAway #FamilyReconciliation #EstrangementSupport #EmotionalHealing⏱ CHAPTERS 00:00 Welcome  01:15 Does Social Media Cause Estrangement?  03:30 How Algorithms Amplify What We Already Believe  06:00 Echo Chambers and Confirmation Bias  08:30 Emotional Amplification Online  11:00 Why Simplified Narratives Are Dangerous for Families  13:30 Both Parents and Adult Children Are Affected  15:30 The Key Takeaway  17:00 Being Intentional About What You Consume  Hi Listeners. I'd love to hear from you. Send an email to Janet@jesteinkamp. It is not possible to respond to your Fan Mail posts directly.DISCLAIMERThe content of this podcast is based on my professional work as an estrangement coach and my personal estrangement journey. Any examples, characters, or stories referenced are drawn from my own lived experience or represent a composite of multiple real-life situations shared with me over time. PROFESSIONAL STANDARDS: Dr. Janet SteinkampWhen Our Adult Children Walk Away with Dr. Janet Steinkamp explores healthy communication, ethical interaction, safe family relationships, and reciprocal (appropriate) boundaries. The podcast provides education and support for parents navigating: family estrangement, communication breakdown, emotional grief, reconciliation efforts, healthy boundary development, adult family relationship dynamics Dr. Janet Steinkamp's work emphasizes:, emotionally healthy communication, adult accountability, ethical and safe relationship practices, mutual respect and appropriate boundaries, voluntary communication and reconnection, safe and appropriate family systems. Listeners gain practical tools to improve communication, understand the dynamics of estrangement, and pursue emotional responsibility, compassion, and integrity. 

In dieser Folge von Werte-Impulse geht es um die menschliche und praktische Wertedimension nach Robert S. Hartman — und um die Frage, warum unsere Wahrnehmung von Menschen so fehleranfällig ist.Warum wirken manche Menschen sofort kompetent?Warum vertrauen wir Personen, die uns ähnlich sind? Und weshalb werden Aktivität, Tempo und Sichtbarkeit so oft mit echter Substanz verwechselt?Ich spreche über typische Wahrnehmungsverzerrungen wie Primacy-Effekt, Similarity Bias, Halo-Effekt, Action Bias oder Outcome Bias — und darüber, wie diese Denkfehler Recruiting, Führung und Zusammenarbeit beeinflussen.Außerdem zeige ich, warum unser Gehirn ständig Komplexität reduzieren muss, weshalb daraus systematische Fehlurteile entstehen und warum Menschenbeobachtung deutlich anspruchsvoller ist, als viele glauben.Eine Folge über Wirkung, Sympathie, Aktivität — und die Grenzen unserer scheinbar objektiven Wahrnehmung.profilingvalues Mediathek: https://podcast.profilingvalues.com Folie 1: Menschliche_Wertedimension_Wahrnehmungsverzerrungen.pptxFolie 2: Praktische_Wertedimension_Wahrnehmungsverzerrungen.pptxLinkedin Profil Dr. Ulrich Vogel: https://de.linkedin.com/in/ulrich-vogel-profilingvaluesprofilingvalues Website: https://www.profilingvalues.comAutorenseite Dr. Uli Vogel: https://uli-vogel.com/Linkedin Profil profilingvalues: https://de.linkedin.com/company/profiling-values?trk=public_profile_topcard-current-companyprofilingvalues Blog: https://profilingvalues.com/ueber-uns/pv-blog/Keywords: Fehlurteile, Wahrnehmungsverzerrungen, Biases, Menschenkenntnis, Sympathie, Wirkung, Kompetenzillusion, Halo-Effekt, Primacy-Effekt, Thin Slicing, Similarity Bias, Confirmation Bias, Action Bias, Outcome Bias, Salience Bias, Robert S. Hartman, Wertedimensionen, Recruiting, Führung, Diagnostik, Personaldiagnostik, Unternehmenskultur, Leadership, Wahrnehmung, Persönlichkeit, Wirkung vs. Substanz

Trading wirkt am Anfang oft wie ein Intelligenzspiel. Je mehr man versteht, analysiert und interpretiert, desto besser sollte man werden – oder? Die Realität sieht anders aus. Der Markt bleibt unsicher. Tops und Bottoms lassen sich nicht konstant vorhersagen. Und genau hier beginnt das eigentliche Problem: unser Kopf. In dieser Folge geht es darum, warum viele Trader nicht am Markt scheitern, sondern an sich selbst. Confirmation Bias, Overconfidence, Overthinking – all das führt dazu, dass wir nicht den Markt handeln, sondern unsere eigene Interpretation davon. Die Lösung liegt nicht in mehr Analyse, sondern in Struktur. Regelbasiertes Trading schafft Klarheit: Setup ja oder nein. Kein Gefühl, keine Interpretation, kein Chaos. Diese Episode zeigt dir, warum Disziplin und Regeln langfristig wichtiger sind als jede perfekte Marktprognose – und warum Trading dich am Ende vor allem eines lehrt: dich selbst besser zu kontrollieren als den Markt. Trading lernen - Unsere Strategie einfach erklärt Persönliche Trading Ausbildung ⮕ https://4rex-impulse.com Broker mit niedrigen Spreads ⮕ https://broker.4rex-impulse.com Telegram Kanal ⮕ https://t.me/FourRex

Adam Mastroianni says he likes to "study how people perceive and misperceive their social worlds, from the person sitting across the table to the whole country buzzing around them."  In this Blue Sky conversation, Dr. Mastroianni describes research he and a colleague conducted that demonstrates that human beings falsely assume that the world used to be better, and that we continue to decline in terms of moral standards and civil behavior.  This cognitive "bug" he has detected can lead us to develop a more pessimistic view of the world and also leaves us more susceptible to believe in the message of autocrats who promise to take us back to a time when the world – and people – were somehow better than they are today.  Adam's insights are fascinating, as are the techniques he uses in his research, and he explains his findings and observations with great wit and wisdom.    Chapters: 00:00 Introduction to Dr. Adam Mastroianni  The host introduces Dr. Adam Mastroianni, an experimental psychologist and author of 'Experimental History,' who will discuss a curious psychological phenomenon.   03:08 The Illusion of Decline: A Mental Bug  Dr. Mastroianni explains his research on why people perceive the world as getting worse, even when it's improving. He attributes this to two phenomena: negativity bias, which makes us focus on bad information, and fading affect bias, where bad memories fade faster than good ones.  06:38 Historical Perception and Global Trends  The discussion delves into how this 'bug' affects perceptions of the past, even before one's birth, creating a 'good old days' illusion. Research from 60 different countries shows a consistent belief in moral decline, suggesting it's a universal psychological tendency rather than event-driven.  11:09 Ignorance of History and Political Divide The conversation explores whether a lack of historical awareness contributes to the illusion of decline. Dr. Mastroianni and the host discuss how historical events, like the caning of Senator Charles Sumner, put current political divides in perspective, highlighting that 'unprecedented' times are often precedented.  15:45 Political Ramifications and Research Methods  The host and Dr. Mastroianni discuss how the belief in moral decline can be exploited by autocrats promising to restore a non-existent past. Dr. Mastroianni details his research methods, including economic games and surveys across cultures, to demonstrate how people consistently misperceive a decline in qualities like honesty, even when evidence suggests the opposite.  23:59 Media, Confirmation Bias, and Satisfaction  The conversation shifts to the role of media and confirmation bias in reinforcing negative perceptions. Dr. Mastroianni introduces the concept that people often imagine how things could be better, even excellent things like pets, contributing to a constant state of dissatisfaction and driving consumer culture.  33:01 Optimism, Technology, and Research Directions  The host asks if the 'things could be better' mindset offers a glimmer of optimism, even if it often fuels dissatisfaction. They briefly touch upon technology, like AI, as a new area where people project both extreme hopes and fears, and Dr. Mastroianni discusses his future research, focusing on meta-science and finding a unifying paradigm for psychology.  37:57 Debunking Myths and Embracing the Unknown  Dr. Mastroianni emphasizes that much of what we believe in science is likely wrong, and open discourse is crucial for progress, dispelling the myth that 'everything has been invented.'  

Ask a question or send feedbackDespite Western Australia's booming mining driven economy, new data reveals that most WA families are still anxious about money. In this episode, David Andrew and Aden Wilkins sit down with Kristen Turnbull, Director of CoreData Reasarch WA, to unpack the findings of the Voice of WA research report. This was a statewide survey of more than 1,000 Western Australians exploring their relationship with money, financial confidence, and outlook for retirement.------Follow Follow Kristen Turnbull: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kristenturnbullcoredata/Follow David Andrew:LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/davidandrewfamilywealthadviser/Capital Partners: https://capital-partners.com.au/team-members/david-andrew/ Follow Aden Wilkins:LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/aden-wilkins-40b006105/ Capital Partners: https://capital-partners.com.au/team-members/aden-wilkins/ Follow Capital Partners on socials:Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapitalPartnersPWA/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/capital-partners-3/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/capitalpartnersprivatewealth/ ------Chapters:(0:00) Welcome and Wins of the Week(4:47) Introducing Kristen Turnbull and the Voice of WA Report(7:15) WA's Booming Economy So Why Are Families Still Anxious?(12:30) Financial Stress Hits Every Income Bracket(16:00) The Thin Veneer of Affluence(19:20) The Numbers That Prove Advice Makes a Difference(24:00) Choice Architects and Confirmation Bias(29:30) Why Even Financial Experts Take Advice(33:45) The Squeezed Middle and the Tax Reform Problem(39:40) Retirement Expectations vs Reality(44:30) The Advice Shortage Crisis and Information Overload(50:00) Health, Social Connection and WA Values------Recorded and produced by Podwave Studios https://podwavestudios.au/The Purposeful Investor Podcast is a public service provided for Australian investors wanting to make smart decisions with their money, avoid costly mistakes, look after the people they care about, and, have a great life!We draw on over 30 years of experience from David Andrew and the Capital Partners team.For more information on Capital Partners' award winning team, visit capital-partners.com.au. Have a question? Email us ask@capital-partners.com.au.This episode provides general advice only. We do not consider your personal circumstances when we share this information. Always refer to your financial adviser for advice about your personal circumstances. Capital Partners Consulting Pty Ltd AFSL 227148 trading as Capital Partners Private Wealth Advisers ABN 27 086 670 788.

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The best revenge is massive success. — Frank Sinatra Prior Session's Trade Execution Summary Grid:   Receive TODAY's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Beware of Confirmation Bias." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.

Send us Fan MailLIVE at the International Association of Arson Investigators ITC 2026, hosts Scott Kuhlman and Chasity Owens sit down with fire investigator Nicole Brewer for one of the podcast's most insightful conversations yet. Nicole shares her journey from firefighter to fire investigator, her transition from public to private sector investigations, and how advanced education through Eastern Kentucky University and Oklahoma State University shaped her approach to forensic fire analysis. The discussion dives deep into scientific methodology, courtroom testimony, cognitive bias in fire investigations, and practical strategies investigators can use to strengthen their origin and cause determinations.The episode also explores the growing role of cognitive bias awareness in forensic science and how fire investigators can minimize unconscious influence during investigations. Nicole introduces her “Bias Minimization Worksheet” and explains how techniques like linear sequential unmasking and structured hypothesis testing can improve investigative reliability, courtroom confidence, and case defensibility. From real trial experiences and grand jury testimony to SAW (Scientific Advisory Workgroup) case reviews, this episode delivers valuable insight for both new and seasoned investigators looking to sharpen their methodology and elevate their professionalism in the field.Thank you for listening! If you enjoyed the episode, give us 5 stars, hit the follow button, and subscribe on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and anywhere you are listening in from. Follow us on social media!Instagram: @infocusfire_podcastLinkedIn: INFOCUS podcastFacebook: INFOCUS podcastTikTok: @infocus_podcast

Confirmation bias is shaping your decisions right now. Not occasionally. Every day. And the unsettling part is that the smarter you are, the harder it is to see it happening. By the end of this episode you'll know exactly what confirmation bias is. How to recognize when it has taken over a room. And three specific practices that actually work. Not borrowed frameworks, but what forty years of high-stakes decisions has taught me. Let's get into it. What Is Confirmation Bias? Confirmation bias is your brain's tendency to seek out, favor, and remember information that confirms what you already believe, filtering out everything that contradicts it. Most people think that just means seeking out information that agrees with them. That's part of it. But here's what makes it truly dangerous. Once you form a strong belief, three things happen automatically. Unequal Evaluation. Picture two studies landing on your desk. One says your strategy is working. One says it isn't. You read the first and nod. You read the second and start looking for the flaw: the methodology, the sample size, the funding source. Selective Memory. Your brain doesn't store evidence equally. What supports your belief stays accessible. What contradicts it becomes harder to recall the longer you hold the belief. The Backfire Effect. When someone directly challenges a belief you hold, your brain treats it as a threat. The response isn't reconsideration. It's defense. Studies show you actually leave the argument more convinced than when you entered it. Together, the longer you hold a belief and the more it matters to you, the harder it becomes to change, no matter how much evidence says you should. Confirmation Bias in Today's World Confirmation bias has always been part of human thinking. What's changed is the environment around it. Algorithms feed you content that matches what you already believe. Social media shows you opinions from people who think like you. Search engines rank results based on what you've clicked before. Every system you interact with daily is built to confirm your existing views. Not by accident, but because confirmation keeps you engaged. The result compounds. The more confirming information you consume, the stronger your existing beliefs become. The stronger your beliefs become, the more your brain filters out opposing information. The more that information gets filtered, the harder it becomes to update your thinking, even when updating is exactly what the situation demands. This is mindjacking in action. The systematic replacement of your thinking by systems built to do it for you. And confirmation bias is one of its most powerful tools. It's visible everywhere. In public discourse where people can no longer agree on basic facts. In organizations that keep funding failing strategies long after the evidence says stop. In leaders who build teams designed to tell them what they want to hear. You might assume that smarter, more experienced people are less susceptible to this. The research says otherwise. The Smartest Person in the Room Gets It Wrong Here's what surprises most people. Confirmation bias doesn't get weaker as you get smarter. It gets stronger. Dan Kahan at Yale ran a study. He gave people a math problem where the correct answer contradicted their political beliefs. The smarter the person, the more likely they were to get the answer wrong, in the direction that protected their belief. More intelligence, applied more effectively, in service of the conclusion they'd already reached. A smart person who has formed a wrong belief is better at defending it. They find flaws in the opposing data faster. They construct more sophisticated arguments. They're more convincing to others and to themselves. I watched this play out in a board meeting. A CEO had championed a major strategy. Three separate analyses came back contradicting it. Each time, he found a different flaw in the methodology. By the end of the meeting he'd convinced the room the data was unreliable. The strategy continued. The outcome was exactly what the data predicted. He wasn't dishonest. He was skilled. His intelligence was working against him. And everyone in that room let it happen. If you're intelligent, experienced, and confident in your judgment, you are not immune to confirmation bias. You are more vulnerable to it. If you know someone who is always the smartest person in the room, send them this episode. They need it more than most. How to Overcome Confirmation Bias: What Actually Works Knowing about confirmation bias doesn't stop it. I know this from experience, not from research. I've been in rooms where everyone understood exactly what was happening and it happened anyway. What works is different from what you've probably been taught. Catch It in Yourself: The Flip Debate The moment I've most reliably caught confirmation bias operating in myself hasn't come from a checklist or a framework. It's come from a specific kind of conversation. I keep a small group of trusted advisors, people I call my kitchen cabinet. These aren't peers. They're almost never inside the organization. They have no stake in the outcome and no incentive to tell me what I want to hear. When I'm about to make a significant decision and I feel the pull of certainty, I take it to one of them. The conversation has a specific structure. I argue my position, fully and genuinely, the strongest version I can make. Then I stop. And I argue the opposite. Not a token acknowledgment of the other side. A real debate. I take the side I'm most resistant to and make the best case I can for it. What happens in that second argument is where confirmation bias shows up. The gaps. The assumptions I'd been protecting. The evidence I'd felt the urge to dismiss. When you're forced to argue a case you don't believe, you find the things you didn't want to see when you were arguing the one you do. An outside advisor is essential. Someone who will push back, ask hard questions, and notice when the flip argument is being faked. You can't do this with someone who needs something from you. The absence of stakes is what makes the honesty possible. Catch It in a Room: Two Signals to Watch For I've learned to watch for two signals that tell me confirmation bias has taken over a room. Both are visible before the decision is made. Almost everyone misses them. The first signal is the unwillingness to debate the other side. When a room has really decided, before the discussion is officially over, nobody wants to argue the opposing position. Not even hypothetically. Raise the other side and watch what happens. Eyes go flat. The conversation moves on. Someone changes the subject. If a room can't genuinely engage with the strongest case against the preferred direction, confirmation bias is driving. The second signal is circular justification. Listen for reasoning that keeps returning to its own starting point. The evidence for the decision is the decision itself. When you can't find an external reason, just a restatement of the conclusion, confirmation bias is driving. When I hear circular justification in a room, I stop the conversation. Not to embarrass anyone. To name what's happening. "We're not evaluating anymore. We're confirming. Let's go back to the evidence." That single intervention has changed the outcome of more decisions than any framework I've ever been taught. Change How You Decide: Full Options, Real Challenge Here's the most consistent change I've made in my own decision-making, and it comes directly from watching what confirmation bias costs people: I force a full pros and cons analysis on every serious option. Not just the one I'm leaning toward. This sounds obvious. Almost nobody does it. The natural pull is to build the case for the option that already feels right and compare it against the weaknesses of the alternatives. That's confirmation bias disguised as analysis. What I do instead is give every option on the table the same treatment. The best case for it. The best case against it. Without knowing in advance which one I'm going to choose. For decisions that carry real weight, I take it further. I bring in my brain trust: direct reports who will tell me what I don't want to hear, kitchen cabinet advisors, trusted board members. I ask specifically for the challenges. Not validation. Not enthusiasm. The places where the thinking is weak, the assumptions that might not hold, the evidence I might have filtered out. One question has changed how I approach every major decision: what am I not seeing? The answers, from people who have no incentive to protect my view, are exactly where the confirmation bias lives. Confirmation Bias Exercise: Try This Today This week, before you finalize any decision you've already started leaning toward, do one thing. Find one person outside your organization, someone with no stake in the outcome, and run the flip debate. Argue your position fully. Then stop and argue the opposite, with the same effort and commitment. Don't summarize the other side. Argue it. Make the best case you can for the view you're most resistant to. Notice what comes up in that second argument. The gaps. The assumptions. The evidence you'd been setting aside. That's where your confirmation bias is living. Run that exercise this week. Not once. Every time you feel the pull of certainty on a decision that matters. The Benefits of Overcoming Confirmation Bias The payoff from these practices compounds over time. Examined beliefs are more reliable than accumulated ones. Decisions that accounted for opposing evidence hold up better than decisions that filtered it out. Judgment that evaluates rather than confirms earns a different kind of trust from the people around you. Beyond your own decisions, catching confirmation bias makes you harder to capture. Every algorithm, every platform, and every persuader around you is built to exploit it. Seeing it operate in yourself reduces their leverage over your thinking. That's what these practices build. Not certainty. Something better. Examined confidence.  

In an industry with high turnover and lots of workers fresh out of school, on-the-job education is par for the course. But even for experienced owners and managers, the skills needed to handle personal and performance issues that come up in the salon are often not fully developed. That's why were so lucky to have a conversation with today's guest, Araceli Castañeda. Araceli is a leadership trainer in Summit Salon Business Center's Leadership and Wellness Training division. She's also COO, General Manager and an owner at The Fixx Hair Studio in New Braunfels, Texas. Araceli has a bachelors degree in psychology and a masters in Marriage and Family Therapy.   As Araceli shares with host Blake Reed Evans, managers should go into conversations with employees with an attitude of curiosity. You'll get a lot from this conversation with two seasoned salon leaders including: What kind of questions to ask How to listen Understanding generational shifts in expections of reward and disapointment Advice for checking internal biases Self-regulation mini-skills for leaders Legal and ethical limitations of managment-employee conversations RESOURCES Learn more about Araceli and schedule a 30 minute discovery call. You can also email her at acastaneda@summitsalon.com. Sign up for Araceli's Summit leadership subscription series.  Take the Summit Owner Burnout Diagnostic, a research-backed self-assessment to help salon owners identify burnout patterns and receive personalized recommendations for sustainable wellness. Find more information about burnout and the diagnostic tool here.  Follow Summit Salon Business Center on Instagram @SummitSalon, and on TikTok at SummitSalon. SUMM IT UP is now on YouTube! Watch extended cuts of our interviews at www.youtube.com/@summitunlockedFind host Blake Reed Evans on Instagram @BlakeReedEvans and on TikTok at blakereedevans. His DM's are always open! You can email Blake at bevans@summitsalon.com. Visit us at SummitSalon.com to connect with others in the industry. SUMM IT UP is produced and edited by Andrea Muraskin. The executive producer is Tim Fisk.

Ask Rachel anythingClick here for my blog post and summary of the core skillsOur teenagers are growing up in a world saturated with information, outrage, and algorithms designed to keep them scrolling. As parents, it can feel overwhelming: How do we help our kids navigate AI, social media, fake news, and online manipulation—without either over-controlling them or throwing up our hands?In this episode, I talk to Dr Maree Davies, senior lecturer at the University of Auckland and author of Teaching Critical Thinking to Teenagers: How kids can be street smart about AI, algorithms, fake news and social media.Her work is all about making critical thinking accessible to all teenagers, not just the academically gifted. And crucially, she shows how these skills can actually reduce anxiety by giving teens a sense of control over the flood of information they face every day.We explore:What critical thinking really is (beyond the academic buzzword) and why the tween and early teen years (11–15) are such a powerful window for learning itHow cognitive bias, schemas, and teenage brain development affect the way young people react to information—especially on social mediaMarie's Street Smarts model for teaching critical thinking at home and in school, starting from a teen's own story and perspectiveHow to talk to teens about algorithms, AI, fake news, and influencers in a way that feels respectful, engaging, and non-preachyThe role of relationships, respect, and status in adolescent life—and how we can use these realities to open up richer conversationsWhy modelling our own struggles (with phones, news, time management, etc.) is far more powerful than lecturingPractical question types and conversation prompts that help teens move from emotional reactions to thoughtful, reasoned viewsThis is one of my favourite recent conversations and I'd love as many people as possible to hear it. These skills matter because our teenagers are being shaped—every day—by forces they often don't fully understand. Critical thinking isn't about turning them into cynics; it's about giving them tools, language, and confidence to question, to evaluate, and, when necessary, to change their minds.It's also about strengthening our own connection with them, so that they feel heard, respected, and equipped to take their place in the world as thoughtful, compassionate adults.Support the showPlease hit the follow button if you like the podcast, and share it with anyone who might benefit. You can review us on Apple podcasts by going to the show page, scrolling down to the bottom where you can click on a star then you can leave your message. Please don't hesitate to seek the advice of a specialist if you're not coping. There's no shame in reaching out for support. When you look after yourself your entire family benefits.My email is teenagersuntangled@gmail.com My website has a blog, searchable episodes, and ways to contact me:www.teenagersuntangled.comFind me on Substack: https://teenagersuntangled.substack.com/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/teenagersuntangled/Facebook: https://m.facebook.com/teenagersuntangled/You can reach Susie at www.amindful-life.co.uk

We all know change can be hard, but what about changing our own thinking? Can the discomfort associated with conflicting ideas keep us from fully engaging with them, or prevent us from objectively weighing data? Why does 'putting it on the shelf' sometimes feel like our only option? The human tendency to seek validation for existing beliefs is called Confirmation Bias. Religions and politics both depend on it; by naturally pursuing evidence that supports our current position, people maintain the conviction that "My team is the best." In Episode 262, Cynthia and Susan discuss confirmation bias, and some of the ways it may function among church members. As Brian McLaren explains, "People only change their minds when the pain of not changing surpasses the pain of changing."

Why do you keep finding “proof” that your partner is pulling away or can't be trusted? In this episode, host Dr. Sarah Hensley and co-host Raina Butcher explore how Confirmation Bias shapes your relationship reality through the lens of Psychology and attachment theory. Your attachment style—anxious, avoidant, or secure—acts as a filter, influencing what you notice, how you interpret behavior, and the meaning you assign to it. We break down how these patterns reinforce themselves: anxious attachment scans for rejection, avoidant attachment looks for reasons to disconnect, and both can create self-fulfilling cycles. You'll learn how to recognize these cognitive blind spots, challenge automatic assumptions, and shift toward healthier, more secure relationship dynamics.Tune in to The Love Doc Podcast every Tuesday morning for candid conversations, expert insights, and the guidance you need to navigate love and relationships in today's world. For more information on Dr. Hensley's offerings, explore the links below and connect with her on social media.Patreon link: patreon.com/TheLoveDocPodcastDr. Hensley's Hybrid Group Coaching: https://courses.thelovedoc.com/group-coachingBook one on one with Dr. Hensley or one of her certified coaches: Virtual CoachingPurchase Dr. Hensley's online courses: https://courses.thelovedoc.com/coursesTik-Tok: @drsarahhensleyInstagram: @dr.sarahhensleyFacebook: Dr. Sarah HensleyYoutube: @Dr.SarahHensleyDisclaimer: The content shared on this podcast reflects personal experiences, opinions, and perspectives. The stories told are based on real-life events as remembered and interpreted by the hosts and guests. While we may discuss past relationships, custody matters, or personal dynamics, we do so from our point of view and with the intention of healing, education, and advocacy.Identities are not disclosed unless already publicly known or permitted, and any resemblance to actual persons, living or dead, is purely coincidental unless explicitly stated. The information provided is not intended to defame, malign, or harm any individual or entity.We do not offer legal advice or psychological diagnosis. Listeners are encouraged to consult with professionals regarding their specific circumstances.By listening to this podcast, you agree that the hosts are not liable for any losses, damages, or misunderstandings arising from its content.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-love-doc-podcast--6390558/support.

Du kaufst ein rotes Auto & plötzlich siehst du sie überall. Die waren vorher auch da. Du hast sie nur nicht gesehen.Was steckt dahinter? Und was hat das mit deinem Alltag, deinen Gedanken und deiner Realität zu tun?In dieser Folge spreche ich über selektive Wahrnehmung, das Reticuläre Aktivierungssystem (RAS) und den Confirmation Bias, und warum dein Gehirn jeden Tag aktiv filtert, was du wahrnimmst und was nicht.Denn deine Realität da draußen ist immer auch ein Spiegel dessen, womit du reingehst.Selektive Wahrnehmung, Red Car Theory, RAS, Reticuläres Aktivierungssystem, Confirmation Bias, Mindset Deutsch, Persönlichkeitsentwicklung, Selbstreflexion, Mental Health Deutsch, Alltagspsychologie, Wahrnehmung, Gehirn, Realität, Selbstoptimierung, Persönliches Wachstum, Psychologie Alltag, Mindset Tipps, Unterbewusstsein

This week on Driving Law, Kyla Lee and Paul Doroshenko break down what may be one of the most consequential Canadian decisions on drug recognition evaluations. The case examines what happens when police fail to follow the required 12-step DRE process, and why skipping even one step can make the entire investigation unlawful. They discuss how drug recognition evaluations function as warrantless searches, why police must stay within the exact authority granted by the Criminal Code, and how tunnel vision and confirmation bias can affect impaired driving investigations. The decision also raises serious questions about the structure of DRE forms and whether they push officers toward predetermined conclusions. Plus, the Ridiculous Driver of the Week involves two teenagers, a riding lawnmower, and a Target store. Check out the "Lawyer Told Me Not To Talk To You" T-shirts and hoodies at Lawyertoldme.com and "Sit Still Jackson" at sitstilljackson.com.

In this episode of Mental Health Goes to School, hosts Candida Fink and Jo-Ann Berry dive into the complex and often misunderstood relationship between children's screen time and their mental health. They explore a recent longitudinal study and discuss why the focus is shifting from total hours spent online to the nature of "addictive use." The conversation covers the developmental vulnerabilities of the adolescent brain, the impact of sleep disruption on learning, and the importance of teaching digital literacy.SummaryThe episode centers on a New York Times article discussing a study of children aged 10 to 14, which suggests that "addictive use"—the inability to stop using a device—is a more significant risk factor for mental health issues than total screen time alone. Candida and Jo-Ann break down the biological and social reasons why teenagers are particularly susceptible to the "hooks" of social media and gaming algorithms. They also explore the ripple effects of screen-related sleep deprivation on classroom performance and emotional regulation.Key Takeaways & Practical TipsAddiction Over Duration: It's not just about how many hours kids spend on screens; it's about their ability to disengage. Look for signs of "addictive use," such as irritability when forced to put the phone away or choosing screens over essential activities like sleep.The Developing Brain: Adolescents have a highly active "go" system (impulse/reward) but an under-developed "stop" system (frontal lobe). This makes them biologically more vulnerable to addictive algorithms.Prioritize Sleep: Screen use often leads to sleep deprivation, which significantly impairs a student's ability to learn new content and regulate anxiety. A tired brain has a much harder time accessing newly learned emotional coping skills.Digital Literacy: Help children understand that their "attention is the commodity." Teaching them how algorithms work can help them become more conscious users rather than passive products of the platform.Wait Until 8th: The hosts discuss the benefits of delaying social media access until at least age 13 or 14 to allow for more brain maturation and the development of in-person social skills.Resources MentionedNew York Times Article: "Real Risk to Youth Mental Health Is Addictive Use, Not Screen Time Alone, Study Finds.” by Ellen BarryWait Until 8th: A movement encouraging parents to delay giving children smartphones until 8th grade.AAP (American Academy of Pediatrics) Screentime Guidance and referencesConnect With UsWe want to hear your thoughts! Have you noticed a difference between "screen time" and "addictive use" in your home or classroom?Website: Mental Health Goes to SchoolSocial Media: Follow us and join the conversation on YouTube and Instagram.Feedback: If you love the show, please leave us a review or an emoji on your favorite podcast platform! If you have concerns, email us directly through our website so we can chat.Episode Timeline00:00 – Saturday morning greetings and the "non-gardening" garden (grapevines and concrete).04:30 – Diving into the New York Times article: Screen time vs. addictive use.06:15 – Understanding the ABCD study: Tracking kids from age 10 to 14.08:45 – The biological "hook": Why the adolescent brain struggles to resist addictive content.12:20 – Social feedback loops and the "Confirmation Bias" of Instagram and TikTok.15:00 – The Sleep Connection: How screen-induced exhaustion affects the classroom and anxiety.18:30 – Content matters: Gaming vs. Social Media vs. Video.22:00 – Policy and Regulation: Cell phone bans in schools and the Australian age-limit model.25:40 – The Myth of Multitasking: Why a phone on the desk is a distraction even when it's off.28:15 – AI in the Office: The pitfalls of AI medical scribes and "hallucinated" diagnoses.33:50 – Final thoughts and how to support the podcast.If you enjoy our content, please like and follow - and review if you can!

Send Wilk a text with your feedback! (incoming msgs only - I can't reply) Corey Nathan, host of "Talkin' Politics and Religion Without Killin' Each Other" joins Wilk for a conversation about what it actually takes to bridge divides, starting with one of the hardest conversations a person can have: telling your Orthodox Jewish father you've become a Christian.They dig into the real mechanics of tribalism — how confirmation bias works, why the reticular activating system locks us into one-sided views of the world, and how outrage entrepreneurs profit from keeping people angry at each other.But this isn't just a diagnosis. Corey and Wilk talk about practical ways to shift your frame of reference, why one degree of movement matters more than a 180-degree conversion, and what it looks like to stay in relationship with people you profoundly disagree with.If you've ever lost someone — not to death, but to a divide — this one is worth your time.Learn more about and connect with Corey Nathan by checking out the full show notes for this episode at www.DerateTheHate.com.The world is a better place if we are better people. That begins with each of us as individuals. Be kind to one another. Be grateful for all you've got. Make every day the day that you want it to be!Please follow The Derate The Hate podcast on:Facebook, Instagram, Twitter(X) ,  YouTube Subscribe to us wherever you enjoy your audio or from our site. Please leave us a rating and feedback on Apple podcasts or other platforms. You can share your thoughts or request Wilk for a speaking engagement on our contact page: DerateTheHate.com/ContactThe Derate The Hate podcast is proudly produced in collaboration with Braver Angels — America's largest grassroots, cross-partisan organization working toward civic renewal and bridging partisan divides. Learn more: BraverAngels.orgWelcome to the Derate The Hate Podcast!*The views expressed by Wilk, his guest hosts &/or guests on the Derate The Hate podcast are their own and should not be attributed to any organization they may otherwise be affiliated with.

Part 2 solo podcast on hedonic adaption, the dunning-kruger effect, confirmation bias, occam's razor and hanlon's razor.    Timestamps (may vary by 2-4 minutes based on your podcast platform)   00:15 Introduction to Psychological Terms 00:48 Understanding Hedonic Adaptation 13:02 The Dunning-Kruger Effect 20:43 Exploring Confirmation Bias 24:58 Unravelling Identity and Self-Destructive Behaviours 26:22 The Impact of Confirmation Bias 28:32 Understanding Occam's Razor 35:33 Exploring Hanlon's Razor 45:01 Awareness and Personal Growth     6 month business mentorship:  https://briankeanefitness.com/mentorship-and-business-coaching   The Circle:  https://briankeanefitness.com/online-mastermind  

Have you ever walked into a school and instantly thought, ‘Wow, they really take pride in this place' (just from the logo, colors, or displays)? That's confirmation bias in action: you believe something, see clues that support it, and your judgment locks in.Let's face it. People bring preconceptions. They'll interpret everything based on those first impressions, consciously or not. That's why branding is confirmation bias. The smart part? You get to create it.In this post, we'll unpack how clever branding builds positive bias, share quirky and relatable examples that'll make you smile (and maybe nod a little too hard), and offer actionable strategies to help your school own its brand.For more information or help with your school website, contact School Webmasters at 888.750.4556 or visit www.SchoolWebmasters.com and request a quote!

On this episode of The Secure Family Podcast, host Andy Murphy sits down with former FBI undercover operative and cybersecurity expert Eric O'Neill for a fascinating conversation about how modern scams really work. Eric explains why today's cybercriminals don't think like hackers—they think like spies, using deception, pressure, impersonation, and psychology to target everyday people.   Andy and Eric break down the fake DMV and toll road text scams that hit millions of phones, how criminals gather personal data to make attacks feel believable, and why AI deepfakes are making scams more dangerous than ever. They also share practical ways families can protect themselves, spot red flags before it's too late, and respond quickly if an account or identity is compromised.   If you want to understand the new world of cybercrime in plain English—and learn how to stay one step ahead—this is an episode you don't want to miss.    For more for Eric O'Neill visit: https://ericoneill.net Take control of your data with DeleteMe. Because they sponsor the podcast you can get 20% off a privacy plan from DeleteMe with promo code: DAD.  Connect

You can watch two people look at the same video of the Minneapolis shooting and come to completely opposite conclusions about what happened. Why? Because their brains — literally — were looking at different parts of the screen. That's selective perception. And once Dr. Jay Van Bavel explained it to me, I couldn't stop seeing it everywhere. In my feed. In my family. In myself. Jay is one of the top 1% of researchers in the world — not my words, that's Clarivate — and a professor of psychology and neuroscience at NYU. His research has been cited by the US Supreme Court, the Senate, and the World Health Organization. And in this conversation, he did not let me off the hook. Neither will you. We went deep on why our brains are not built for social media, how AI is becoming a full-time confirmation bias machine, what's actually happening to democracy right now, and — I promise there's a reason to keep listening — one genuinely hopeful hack backed by hard data that can lower your polarization by 25%. In this episode, you'll learn: Why two people can watch the exact same video and reach opposite conclusions — and it's not about intelligence or bad faith How AI chatbots are 50% more sycophantic than actual humans — and what that's doing to your relationships and your politics What the research actually says about Trump's approval drop and the role of "apolitical" influencers in shifting minds The one social media move backed by a clinical study that can reduce your polarization by 25% in a single month — and keep it lower for a full year Rather watch on YouTube? https://youtu.be/-upTCa6s7oc Resources & Links Mentioned: Dr. Jay Van Bavel's Substack: The Power of Us NYU Center for Conflict and Cooperation: nyu.edu The Power of Us (book) by Jay Van Bavel & Dominic Packer Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/allison__hare LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/allisonhare/ Website: https://allisonhare.com Book a free podcast clarity call: https://allisonhare.com/freecall Be sure to rate, review, and follow this podcast on your player and also, connect with me IRL for more goodness and life-changing stuff.Schedule a FREE podcast clarity call with me - Your future audience is out there. Talk to them!Sign up for the free weekly emailAllisonHare.comFollow me on Instagram, LinkedIn, Facebook, and YouTube.DOWNLOAD the free podcast equipment guide- No guesswork, no google rabbit holes, start recording todayReb3l Dance Fitness - Try it at home! Free month with this link.Feedback and Contact:: allison@allisonhare.com

Ever feel like no matter what you do, you keep ending up in the same place?Same overwhelm. Same frustration. Same patterns.There's a reason for that, and once you see it, you can start changing it.In this episode, we're talking about the Confirmation Bias-- what it is, why it keeps us stuck, and the simplest way to overcome it.

To support the ministry of Celebration Church please click here: https://subsplash.com/celebrationchurchtn/giveSubscribe to receive our latest content: https://tr.ee/2b6XuDKlaS...FOLLOW US►► Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/rwmccollum/►► Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rwmccollum/►► Twitter: https://twitter.com/rwmccollum#celebrationchurchnashville #online #jesus #celebrationchurch #church #onlinechurch #sermon #nashville....For a time is coming when people will no longer listen to sound and wholesome teaching. They will follow their own desires and look for teachers who will tell them whatever their itching ears want to hear. They will reject the truth and chase after myths.2 Timothy 4:3-4 (NLT)The danger described by the Apostle Paul is ‘Confirmation Bias', the tendency to interpret evidence and reality in such a way as to affirm what we want to believe. All of us have it to some degree. It is not sinful of itself—but it can be a doorway to deception. Understanding confirmation bias is crucial for maintaining a Christian faith rooted in biblical truth rather than our own desires.“We have a tendency to seek out what we already believe. We aren't always in search of truth, but we are in search of confirmation–evidence that confirms what we already think we know.”YearintheBible.comWe hope you can be with us this weekend as Pastor Ray continues the series “Developing Discernment” with a message on... “Confirmation Bias: A Doorway to Deception”

Instead of centering on tomorrow's worries, Jesus encourages us to look at how God is sustaining us today. Scripture: Matthew 6:9-13

This week on Swimming with Allocators, Earnest and Alexa welcome David Clark, CIO at Vencap, who unpacks the realities of venture capital, emphasizing a data-driven approach to understanding returns, the persistent and intensifying “power law” in VC, and why only a small percentage of funds and companies drive outsized results. The discussion covers the challenges of evaluating new managers versus established firms, the nuances of secondary investments, and the critical importance of consistent, top-tier fund performance. Listeners will gain insight into the pitfalls of confirmation bias, the difficulties facing retail investors, and why strategy, transparency, and adaptability are key for long-term VC success. Also don't miss Rebecca Stuart of Sidley as she explains how unprecedented AI-focused acqui-hires function as talent raids that can bypass standard change-of-control protections. She also outlines legal and structural strategies VCs and startups can use like broadened definitions of change of control, retention and vesting design, and coordinated employment/comp practices, to better protect portfolios and key teams. Highlights from this week's conversation include: Welcoming David to the Show and Previewing Today's Episode (0:18) David's Shift From Traditional LP Diligence to Data-Driven Investing (2:48)   How Long Feedback Loops and Unknown Unknowns Shape Venture Outcomes (5:16)   Confirmation Bias, Narratives, and Doing Pre-Meeting Homework on Managers (6:55)   Pattern Recognition and What World-Class Founders Look Like (8:49)   Using Power Laws and Top 1% Companies as the Core LP Filter (10:40)   Why Singles and Doubles Rarely Add Up to Great Venture Funds (13:46)   AI Acqui-Hires, Talent Raids, and Risks to VC Portfolios (17:20)   Deal Structures That Avoid Change of Control and LP Protections (19:04)   Retention Tools, Forfeiture for Competition, and Staggered Vesting Cliffs (20:53)   Democratization of VC, 401(k) Investors, and the Risk of Disappointment (25:22)   Emerging Managers and the Myth of the Middle Class in Venture (30:58)   Venture Secondaries, Premium Pricing, and Why Discounts Can Be Misleading (36:04)   Scope Creep, Platform Expansion, and When LPs Disengage From Big Firms (42:06)   VenCap is one of the longest-running dedicated venture capital fund-of-funds globally, investing in many of the world's leading VC firms for over three decades. The firm's strategy emphasizes long-term consistency, deep relationship networks, and concentrated exposure to top-tier venture capital companies across cycles. Sidley Austin LLP is a premier global law firm with a dedicated Venture Funds practice, advising top venture capital firms, institutional investors, and private equity sponsors on fund formation, investment structuring, and regulatory compliance. With deep expertise across private markets, Sidley provides strategic legal counsel to help funds scale effectively. Learn more at sidley.com. Swimming with Allocators is a podcast that dives into the intriguing world of Venture Capital from an LP (Limited Partner) perspective. Hosts Alexa Binns and Earnest Sweat are seasoned professionals who have donned various hats in the VC ecosystem. Each episode, we explore where the future opportunities lie in the VC landscape with insights from top LPs on their investment strategies and industry experts shedding light on emerging trends and technologies.  The information provided on this podcast does not, and is not intended to, constitute legal advice; instead, all information, content, and materials available on this podcast are for general informational purposes only. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This week's blogpost - https://bahnsen.co/4tQ4xaA Trevor Cummings hosts the Thoughts of Money Podcast with article author Blaine Carver and Brett Bonecutter, discussing Carver's piece “Stock Market Expectations.” Using examples from relationships, premarital counseling, and sports fandom, they emphasize that expectations must be communicated early, clearly, and realistically to avoid disappointment, resentment, and poor decisions. They connect this to investing by explaining how stocks can fall even on good results when expectations are “priced to perfection,” why unrealistic return targets (e.g., 20–25% annually) break financial plans, and how compounding magnifies small percentage differences. 00:00 Welcome to the Thoughts on Money Podcast + Introducing Blaine & Brett 00:21 Under-Promise, Over-Deliver: Why Expectations Drive Everything 00:59 Vikings Season Story: Rock-Bottom Expectations → “Best” Year 02:05 From Football to Finance: Priced to Perfection & Pleasant Surprises 04:34 Expectations in Marriage (and Advisor-Client Relationships) 06:55 Unrealistic Return Targets: The 20% Conversation & Compounding Reality Check 10:39 Long-Run vs One-Year Thinking: Annual vs Annualized + Attribution 12:11 Strategy Whiplash: 2025 vs 2026 Reversal & Staying the Course 14:35 The Expectations Gap: Investors Want 12.6%, Advisors Model 7.1% 17:27 Why the Gap Exists: Valuations, History, and Risk Accountability (Bitcoin Example) 20:19 The “Road” Matters: Normal Drawdowns, Slow Recoveries, and the Bumpy Path 26:17 Coping Tools: Dividends, Business Fundamentals, and the 14% Intra-Year Drawdown 29:52 Optimists vs Pessimists: Experience, Confirmation Bias, and Fear of Running Out 37:37 Closing Reflections: Gratitude vs Grumbling + Final Thoughts & How to Reach Us Links mentioned in this episode: http://thoughtsonmoney.com http://thebahnsengroup.com

In this episode, I'm unpacking the powerful mindset shift I learned in therapy that's changing how I view sales, growth, and identity as an entrepreneur. We're talking about the tendency to collect proof that our limiting beliefs are true and how that impacts confidence, risk-taking, and business decisions.If you've ever thought “I'm bad at selling,” “I'm behind,” or “this just isn't working,” this conversation will help you challenge those narratives and start searching for evidence in the opposite direction.This is a practical mindset episode for creative entrepreneurs ready to stop playing small and start rewriting their story.

⭐Get my app, the B2 Edge:https://studio.com/thiagoB1 to C1 English Roadmap: How I Built the B2 Edge (App Demo)The Truth About the B2 PlateauMost English learners are under the impression they are advanced because they can understand a YouTube video that only tells them what they want to hear. This is Confirmation Bias. You are "getting the gist," but you aren't building the language. And you're prioritizing "feeling good" instead of rolling up your sleeves and doing the work necessary to become truly fluent in English.In this video, I show how my teaching philosophy is built into my new app (B2 Edge) and how the app helps you produce language effectively.

In this episode of Acta Non Verba, Marcus Aurelius Anderson sits down with legendary self-defense expert and fear management coach Tony Blauer for an in-depth discussion on betrayal, resilience, and the power of managing fear in business and life. Tony shares candid stories of being betrayed by trusted partners and employees over his 40+ year career, revealing how he's shortened his recovery time from months to mere hours through the principles he teaches. The conversation explores the "timeline of violence" concept applied to business relationships, the importance of trusting your instincts, and why fear—when properly managed—becomes your greatest asset rather than your enemy. Episode Highlights [4:18] Betrayal is Inevitable for Innovators - If you're creating something original and breaking new ground, people will copy you. Tony shares how he went from taking months to recover from betrayal to processing it in 24 hours by building his "resilience muscle" through experience and applying his own fear management principles. [33:34] The Three I's: Instincts, Intuition, and Intelligence - Tony reveals the core of his SPEAR system's soft skills: your instincts give you a "bad feeling," your intuition whispers warnings, but cognitive dissonance often makes you ignore both. Learning to trust these signals and "choose safety" is critical in business partnerships, relationships, and dangerous situations. [53:54] You Can't Be Brave If You're Not Afraid - The primary ingredient of courage is fear. Tony explains why there are things in life you must do afraid, and you'll never not be afraid of them. The key is managing fear rather than eliminating it—mismanaged fear is always negative, but managed fear is always positive. [69:50] The Rational-Lie - We all rationalize why we should or shouldn't do something, but when you put a hyphen between "rational" and "lie," you realize you're selling yourself a story. Tony shares how recognizing your rational-lies—whether in business decisions, relationships, or self-defense situations—is the first step to making better choices. Tony Blauer is a pioneer in close-quarters combat, self-defense, and fear management training with over 40 years of experience. He created the SPEAR System (Spontaneous Protection Enabling Accelerated Response), the world's only behaviorally-based self-defense protocol founded on neurobiology, kinesiology, and psychology. Tony has trained military special forces, law enforcement agencies, and martial artists worldwide, and his research on fear and human performance has influenced everyone from Hollywood actors to elite operators. He's also developed the "Know Fear" program, teaching people how to convert fear into fuel for peak performance in high-stress situations. At 65, Tony continues to innovate and mentor through Blauer Training Systems, sharing hard-won wisdom on resilience, courage, and the intersection of physical and psychological preparedness. Learn more about the gift of Adversity and my mission to help my fellow humans create a better world by heading to www.marcusaureliusanderson.com. There you can take action by joining my ANV inner circle to get exclusive content and information.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

⭐Get my app, the B2 Edge:https://studio.com/thiagoStop Falling for the "Easy English" Trap.Are you actually learning English, or are you just addicted to the dopamine hit of "fast and easy" tips? If you feel like you've been stuck at the intermediate level for years, it's not because you lack talent. It's because the YouTube Algorithm and your own Confirmation Bias are working together to keep you comfortable—and stagnant.In this video, we go deep into the psychology of why your brain wants to be lied to. We'll look at:1) The Science of Bias: Why thinkers from Thucydides to Peter Wason warned us about "wanting to believe."2) The Algorithm Trap: How YouTube creates an echo chamber that hides the difficult (but necessary) work.3) The "Traveler" Teacher: Why you need to be skeptical of creators who sell a "lifestyle" instead of a method.

This week on Prog-Watch I am spinning tracks from a lot of the PROG Magazine artists I missed over the last few months, and from a few other new releases! Hear fabulous music from HFMC, Sister Ray Davies, Mesmerising, Alan Morse, Hällas, Galasphere 347, Warrington-Runcorn New Town Development Plan, Sans Froid, Lorelle Meets The Obsolete, Vower, Confirmation Bias, and Oudeziel!  

Nick and Jonathan discuss the reports of the Browns approach and if it lends itself to more confirmation bias than a good process.

First off, yes. We know that "beginnership" is not a word. Now that we've covered that, let's revisit this classic Sh*t episode where we talk about the benefits of embracing "beginner status" in our everyday life and how much joy that can bring throughout the year. So stop thinking that you're an expert at everything and try something you've never done before. Whether it's baking a cake, knitting a scarf, or writing the next great American novel, solving a problem can be a massively satisfying enterprise and might just lead to that little thing called happiness. Beau Lotto & The Neuroscience of Creativity, Perception, & Confirmation Bias: ⁠https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vR2P5vW-nVc⁠ Nikki is now an ambassador for Club WPT Gold! Check out: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://clubwptgold.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and use code NIKKI to sign up! Follow the podcast on Insta: @shttheydonttellyou Follow Nikki on Insta: @NikkiLimo Follow Steve on Insta: @SteveGreeneComedy To visit our Patreon: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://www.patreon.com/stikki⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ To watch the podcast on YouTube: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://bit.ly/STDTYPodYouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Don't forget to subscribe to the podcast for free wherever you're listening, or by using this link: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://bit.ly/ShtTheyDontTellYou⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ If you want to support the show, and get all our episodes ad-free go to: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://stdty.supercast.tech/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ If you like the show, telling a friend about it would be amazing! You can text, email, Tweet, or send this link to a friend: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://bit.ly/ShtTheyDontTellYou⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ To submit your questions/feedback, email us at: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠podcast@nikki.limo⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ To call in with questions/feedback, leave us a voicemail at: (765) 734-0840 To watch more Nikki & Steve on YouTube: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://www.youtube.com/nikkilimo⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ To watch more of Nikki talking about Poker: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.twitch.tv/trickniks⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ To check out Nikki's Jewelry Line: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://kittensandcoffee.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Penn State's winless start to the big ten slate continued this week...and yet, they seem to be exceeding expectations? Or are they? Does it feel that way? We talk about how it feels to experience the 0-5 start we all generally thought would happen in the first place. We test the theory that not all 0-5's are created equal. We also preview this week's matchup and ask the question: will it end? Will Penn State finally get a win? Support the showFollow us on X and Instagram @ShotsGottaFall Like us on Facebook at Shots Gotta Fall: The Penn State Basketball PodcastSend us an e-mail Shotsgottafallpod@gmail.com Help support the show! https://www.buzzsprout.com/2043844/support Rate and review us and subscribe/follow Shots Gotta Fall wherever you download us every week!

Chapters:0:00 Sindhi Hate 4:15 Elite of Pakistan hates all indigenous communities 11:36 Confirmation Bias, Sindhi cultural day and Police Brutality 17:00 Propaganda and hate against communities 20:40 Bus vs Bike driver on Sindhi Cultural Day23:11 Hatred is being promoted in Karachi26:40 Karachi is used as a counter weight against Sindhi Resistance 29:00 People get hatred for just celebrating being Sindhi30:01 - Sindhi hatred pages on Instagram32:00 Understanding the Urdu Speaking and Mohajir Identity35:58 Karachi is being pushed back into violence and chaos39:22 Altaf Hussain is being relaunched41:41 The Politics of Pakistan and the Politics of Karachi42:44 Classism and hatred for the poor44:07 Save Karachi from racismThe Pakistan Experience is an independently produced podcast looking to tell stories about Pakistan through conversations. Please consider supporting us on Patreon:https://www.patreon.com/thepakistanexperienceTo support the channel:Jazzcash/Easypaisa - 0325 -2982912Patreon.com/thepakistanexperienceAnd Please stay in touch:https://twitter.com/ThePakistanExp1https://www.facebook.com/thepakistanexperiencehttps://instagram.com/thepakistanexpeperienceThe podcast is hosted by comedian and writer, Shehzad Ghias Shaikh. Shehzad is a Fulbright scholar with a Masters in Theatre from Brooklyn College. He is also one of the foremost Stand-up comedians in Pakistan and frequently writes for numerous publications. Instagram.com/shehzadghiasshaikhFacebook.com/Shehzadghias/Twitter.com/shehzad89Join this channel to get access to perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC44l9XMwecN5nSgIF2Dvivg/join

First-Ever AI App That Manifests Your Dreams Subconsciously—Download NOW!   http://www.manifesteverythingai.com/manifest-ai   Script To Manifest Your Dreams: www.wesleyvirgin.com   Get ready to meet the king of internet marketing and the overnight millionaire, Wesley Virgin! With over 1 billion views on social media, he's taken the online world by storm. Wesley's known for his knack for making money online and has created some of the most famous programs in the biz, including "Overnight Millionaire," "Genie Script," and "Done for You Affiliate Services."   But that's not all! Wesley also runs the epic "Millionaire in Training" community where thousands of aspiring entrepreneurs gather to learn the secrets of financial success. When he's not busy building wildly profitable online businesses, you can find him living the high life on Instagram @wesleymilliondollarvirgin.   He's not just a show-off though, Wesley takes the time to educate his followers on how to make money fast. With his massive influence and digital mentorship, Wesley is truly a global expert in the online business world. Get ready to learn, laugh, and make some serious cash with Wesley Virgin!

Criminal Psychologist Katherine Ramsland joins "Mind Over Murder" co-hosts Bill Thomas and Kristin Dilley to discuss confession killers, those criminals who confess to murders and other serious crimes that they did not commit.  Why do serial killers like Henry Lee Lucas, Ottis Toole and Samuel Little confess to scores of additional murders?  Why does this odd phenomenon keep recurring?  This bonus episode of "Mind Over Murder" originally ran on July 21, 2025.Time:  The Story of Henry Lee Lucas, the Notorious Subject of Netflix's The Confession Killerttps://time.com/5745028/the-confession-killer-henry-lee-lucas-netflix/Katherine Ramsland books:https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B000APFCQC?entity-to-process=B000APBAP4_author&ccs_id=52a60865-148b-45d0-a588-fb8cefc40647WTKR News 3: One year after development in Colonial Parkway Murders, where do things stand?https://www.wtkr.com/news/in-the-community/historic-triangle/one-year-after-development-in-colonial-parkway-murders-where-do-things-standWon't you help the Mind Over Murder podcast increase our visibility and shine the spotlight on the "Colonial Parkway Murders" and other unsolved cases? Contribute any amount you can here:https://www.gofundme.com/f/mind-over-murder-podcast-expenses?utm_campaign=p_lico+share-sheet&utm_medium=copy_link&utm_source=customerWTVR CBS News:  Colonial Parkway murders victims' families keep hope cases will be solved:https://www.wtvr.com/news/local-news/colonial-parkway-murders-update-april-19-2024WAVY TV 10 News:  New questions raised in Colonial Parkway murders:https://www.wavy.com/news/local-news/new-questions-raised-in-colonial-parkway-murders/Alan Wade Wilmer, Sr. has been named as the killer of Robin Edwards and David Knobling in the Colonial Parkway Murders in September 1987, as well as the murderer of Teresa Howell in June 1989. He has also been linked to the April 1988 disappearance and likely murder of Keith Call and Cassandra Hailey, another pair in the Colonial Parkway Murders.13News Now investigates: A serial killer's DNA will not be entered into CODIS database:https://www.13newsnow.com/video/news/local/13news-now-investigates/291-e82a9e0b-38e3-4f95-982a-40e960a71e49WAVY TV 10 on the Colonial Parkway Murders Announcement with photos:https://www.wavy.com/news/crime/deceased-man-identified-as-suspect-in-decades-old-homicides/WTKR News 3https://www.wtkr.com/news/is-man-linked-to-one-of-the-colonial-parkway-murders-connected-to-the-other-casesVirginian Pilot: Who was Alan Wade Wilmer Sr.? Man suspected in two ‘Colonial Parkway' murders died alone in 2017https://www.pilotonline.com/2024/01/14/who-was-alan-wade-wilmer-sr-man-suspected-in-colonial-parkway-murders-died-alone-in-2017/Colonial Parkway Murders Facebook page with more than 18,000 followers: https://www.facebook.com/ColonialParkwayCaseYou can also participate in an in-depth discussion of the Colonial Parkway Murders here:https://earonsgsk.proboards.com/board/50/colonial-parkway-murdersMind Over Murder is proud to be a Spreaker Prime Podcaster:https://www.spreaker.comJoin the discussion on our Mind Over MurderColonial Parkway Murders website: https://colonialparkwaymurders.com Mind Over Murder Podcast website: https://mindovermurderpodcast.comPlease subscribe and rate us at your favorite podcast sites. Ratings and reviews are very important. Please share and tell your friends!We launch a new episode of "Mind Over Murder" every Monday morning, and a bonus episode every Thursday morning.Sponsors: Othram and DNAsolves.comContribute Your DNA to help solve cases: https://dnasolves.com/user/registerFollow "Mind Over Murder" on Twitter: https://twitter.com/MurderOverFollow Bill Thomas on Twitter: https://twitter.com/BillThomas56Follow "Colonial Parkway Murders" on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ColonialParkwayCase/Follow us on InstaGram:: https://www.instagram.com/colonialparkwaymurders/Check out the entire Crawlspace Media network at http://crawlspace-media.com/All rights reserved. Mind Over Murder, Copyright Bill Thomas and Kristin Dilley, Another Dog Productions/Absolute Zero ProductionsBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/mind-over-murder--4847179/support.

How to make smarter decisions that improve your life by understanding your mind and it's hidden psychology. We are all storytelling creatures, desperate to fit the world into a narrative that makes sense to us. Thus, we build echo chambers not because we are stupid, but because we are afraid. The Confirmation Bias is a shield against the discomfort of being wrong. The Availability Bias shapes our worldview based on the loudest stories, not the most important facts. This episode reviews 7 cognitive biases the explore the friction between what is comfortable and what is true. Learning helps us build tools for the art of long-term thinking in a short-term world. Audit your inputs: Step outside your algorithmic feed to find the friction of opposing views. Reframe the risk: Turn "Black Swan" surprises into "White Swan" predictions by analyzing the unsexy data. Choose commitment: Overcome the paralysis of infinite choice by making a "good enough" decision and sticking to it. Go make a ruckus by choosing to think clearly today. SPONSORS

Are you suffering from confirmation bias?Are you stuck looking for proof that the way you do things is right? When was the last time you challenged your own business habits, or asked if there might be a better way to respond to wedding inquiries or create new offerings? In this episode, I dig into confirmation bias—why we cling to familiar strategies, how rejecting change might be holding you back, and what happens when you finally open yourself up to different perspectives and new solutions.Listen to this new 7-minute episode for fresh advice on breaking out of old patterns, weighing new options, and finding better ways to grow your wedding business.If you have any questions about anything in this, or any of my podcasts, or have a suggestion for a topic or guest, please reach out directly to me at Alan@WeddingBusinessSolutions.com or visit my website Podcast.AlanBerg.com Please be sure to subscribe to this podcast and leave a review (thanks, it really does make a difference). If you want to get notifications of new episodes and upcoming workshops and webinars, you can sign up at www.ConnectWithAlanBerg.com  View the full transcript on Alan's site: https://alanberg.com/blog/Have you ever wondered... "What would Alan say or do about this?" - well, now you can ask my AI Alter-Ego "Ask Alan Anything" the things you'd ask the real Alan, any time of the day or night. And as a listener of this podcast, you'll save 50%, so starting at only $10 per month you can "Ask Alan Anything"!Go to www.WhatWouldAlanSay.com and use the 50% off coupon code - podcast - to start asking Alan anything today. I'm Alan Berg. Thanks for listening. If you have any questions about this or if you'd like to suggest other topics for "The Wedding Business Solutions Podcast" please let me know. My email is Alan@WeddingBusinessSolutions.com. Look forward to seeing you on the next episode. Thanks. Listen to this and all episodes on Apple Podcast, YouTube or your favorite app/site: Apple Podcast: http://bit.ly/weddingbusinesssolutions YouTube: www.WeddingBusinessSolutionsPodcast.tv Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3sGsuB8 Stitcher: http://bit.ly/wbsstitcher Google Podcast: http://bit.ly/wbsgoogle iHeart Radio: https://ihr.fm/31C9Mic Pandora: http://bit.ly/wbspandora ©2025 Wedding Business Solutions LLC & AlanBerg.com

Are you accidentally sabotaging your own portfolio? In this must-watch episode of the Keep It Simple Podcast, Joey Badinger – Lead Advisor at AssetBuilder – reveals the 4 behavioral biases that even professional investors battle every single day. Recorded from AssetBuilder's headquarters in Plano, Texas, this short but powerful episode will help you spot and defeat the mental traps that cause most people to buy high, sell low, and underperform the market. Whether you're a DIY investor or work with an advisor, understanding overconfidence, recency bias, herd behavior, and confirmation bias is the difference between building real wealth and just spinning your wheels. Timestamps (only the big 5-10 moments): 00:00 – Intro & Important Disclaimer 00:40 – Welcome from Joey Badinger (Plano, TX) 01:15 – Why even the pros at AssetBuilder aren't immune to these biases 01:45 – Bias #1: Overconfidence – thinking you can consistently beat the market 04:50 – Bias #2: Recency Bias – “This time it's different” & panic selling 06:50 – Bias #3: Herd Behavior (FOMO) – the GameStop lesson & buying high 08:50 – Bias #4: Confirmation Bias – only listening to news that agrees with you 10:15 – Final recap of all 4 biases + how to fight them daily 10:40 – Closing & how to contact the AssetBuilder team Hosted by Joey Badinger Podcast: Keep It Simple by AssetBuilder Location: Plano, Texas Official site → https://www.assetbuilder.com Have questions? Email podcast@assetbuilder.com or book a free consultation on their site. If this helped you invest smarter, smash that LIKE button, SUBSCRIBE, and hit the bell – new episodes drop every week with simple, evidence-based strategies that actually work. #InvestingPsychology #BehavioralFinance #Overconfidence #RecencyBias #HerdBehavior #ConfirmationBias #AssetBuilder #KeepItSimplePodcast #IndexInvesting #WealthBuilding2025 #PersonalFinance

RIA Advisors' Financial Guardrails are timeless principles for building lasting wealth and protecting your financial future. Richard Rosso, CFP®, shares insights from decades of experience helping investors avoid common pitfalls and build financial wellness that lasts generations. From annuities and debt control to emotional investing and realistic return expectations, these guardrails are designed to keep you on track — no matter what markets do. 0:20 - Rules Can Save You in a Turbulent World 3:17 - Annuities Should Be Planned, not Sold 9:34 - A Home is a Liability, not an Asset 12:37 - Setting Good Financial Boundaries with Adult Children 15:25 - Debt Control & Savings Priorities 17:45 - Dealing with Student Loan Debt 19:33 - Personal Un-secured Debt - Credit Cards 22:03 - Good Health in Retirement 24:15 - Realistic Projections, Time Horizons, & Inflation Factors 27:33 - Be Vigilant of Confirmation Bias & Emotion 32:35 - Create a Household Wellness Evolution Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MM5vwaXJyls&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "The RIA Financial Guardrails" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Buy-the-Dip Isn't Dead Yet" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UU_zCk3hYhs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "Nvidia's Money Loop: Smart Move or Red Flag?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PBMx8sckBhk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #WealthManagement #InvestingTips #RetirementPlanning #MoneyMindset

What if reading the Bible wasn't about getting it right - but about letting it transform your life?In this episode of Two Pastors in a Mic, Cory and Channock unpack Cory's eBook How to Read the Bible. Together they explore what it really means to approach Scripture with curiosity, not certainty - and how understanding covenants, context, and the lens of Jesus changes everything.You'll hear:

Understand that checking your own biases is a means to protect yourself. Text me at 972-426-2640 so we can stay connected!Support me on Patreon!Twitter: @elliottspeaksInstagram: @elliottspeaks

Evan, Canty, & Michelle welcome Adam Schefter to the show to comment on a host of NFL injuries and position battles, including Lamar Jackson, Tyreek Hill, and the Browns QBs. Have signs about Shedeur Sanders not being prepared been there all along? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Evan, Canty, & Michelle welcome Adam Schefter to the show to comment on a host of NFL injuries and position battles, including Lamar Jackson, Tyreek Hill, and the Browns QBs. Have signs about Shedeur Sanders not being prepared been there all along? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Evan, Canty, & Michelle welcome Adam Schefter to the show to comment on a host of NFL injuries and position battles, including Lamar Jackson, Tyreek Hill, and the Browns QBs. Have signs about Shedeur Sanders not being prepared been there all along? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices