Podcast appearances and mentions of Gary Klein

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Best podcasts about Gary Klein

Latest podcast episodes about Gary Klein

Left of Greg Podcast
Recognition Primed Decision Making: Dr. Gary Klein

Left of Greg Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2025 81:16 Transcription Available


Send us a textGary Klein, renowned cognitive psychologist and pioneer of the Recognition-Primed Decision Model, takes us deep into the minds of experts operating under the most demanding conditions. Drawing from decades studying firefighters, law enforcement officers, and military personnel, Klein reveals the surprising truth about expertise - it's not about comparing options or following procedures, but rather recognizing patterns developed through years of experience.What makes this conversation exceptional is Klein's ability to demystify the seemingly magical "gut instincts" of experts. He explains how professionals don't simply follow intuition blindly but engage in rapid mental simulations to test their responses before acting. This blend of pattern recognition and analysis enables split-second decisions in life-or-death situations where traditional analytical methods would take far too long.Klein's insights challenge conventional thinking about bias and expertise. While academia often emphasizes the flaws in intuitive thinking, Klein's research demonstrates how heuristics and expertise-driven pattern matching serve as powerful tools in real-world settings. His Shadowbox training method, which allows novices to see through expert eyes, offers a revolutionary approach to accelerating expertise development.The conversation explores fascinating concepts like tacit knowledge (expertise that can't be easily articulated), the importance of curiosity in developing expertise, and why voluntary compliance techniques are crucial for law enforcement. Klein also discusses his ongoing work on developing more effective training methods and his continued fascination with the phenomenon of insight.For anyone who makes decisions under pressure, works in high-stakes environments, or simply wants to understand how expertise truly functions, this episode provides invaluable wisdom from one of the field's most influential thinkers. Listen, share with colleagues, and discover how training your cognitive skills might be more important than any checklist or procedure.Support the showWebsite: https://thehumanbehaviorpodcast.buzzsprout.com/shareFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/TheHumanBehaviorPodcastInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thehumanbehaviorpodcast/ Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ArcadiaCognerati More about Greg and Brian: https://arcadiacognerati.com/arcadia-cognerati-leadership-team/

RIMScast
Collateral Benefits Of Pre-Mortem Analysis

RIMScast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 8, 2025 35:16


Welcome to RIMScast. Your host is Justin Smulison, Business Content Manager at RIMS, the Risk and Insurance Management Society.   Justin and his guests, Denise Sobczak and Michael Zuraw, introduce the new RIMS paper: “The Pre-Mortem Method: Learning From Failure Without Actually Failing”. Unlike post-mortem analysis, a pre-mortem risk assessment attempts to learn from failure before a project even begins. This report highlights the advantages of implementing a pre-mortem risk assessment approach to strategic projects. Download the report to learn about the three steps to activate a pre-mortem assessment that fosters a better understanding of a project's overall objectives, and ultimately improves transparency, communication, and business outcomes. Justin, Michael, and Denise discuss implementation steps and frequency of pre-mortems in an organization. They cover ways of documentation and tracking insights from pre-mortem exercises, and tools for structuring an effective pre-mortem session. They explore how to involve participants and how to flip the script from naysaying to contributing insights. They consider the collateral benefits of involving your organization in a pre-mortem analysis. They share examples of how the pre-mortem works in their organizations.   Listen to gain insight into this innovative risk management tool to build upon the successes and achievements of your organization. Key Takeaways: [:01] About RIMS and RIMScast. [:17] About this episode of RIMScast. Our topic is pre-mortem analysis, which we will explore with past and present members of the RIMS Strategic & Enterprise Risk Management Council. [:42] RIMS-CRMP Workshops! As part of RIMS's continuing strategic partnership with Purima, we have a two-day course coming up on April 22nd and 23rd. Links to these courses can be found through the Certification page of RIMS.org and this episode's show notes. [1:01] Virtual Workshops! On April 16th and 17th, Chris Hansen will lead “Managing Worker Compensation, Employer's Liability, and Employment Practices in the U.S.” [1:14] On June 12th, Pat Saporito will host “Managing Data for ERM” and will return on June 26th to present the very popular new course, “Generative AI for Risk Management”. [1:30] A link to the full schedule of virtual workshops can be found on the RIMS.org/education and RIMS.org/education/online-learning pages. A link is also in this episode's show notes. [1:41] RISKWORLD registration is open. Engage Today and Embrace Tomorrow, May 4th through 7th in Chicago. Register at RIMS.org/RISKWORLD. Also, remember that there will be lots of pre-conference workshops being held in Chicago just ahead of RISKWORLD. [1:59] These courses include “Applying and Integrating ERM,” “Captives as an Alternate Risk Financing Technique,” “Contractual Risk Transfer,” “Fundamentals of Insurance,” “Fundamentals of Risk Management,” RIMS-CRMP Exam Prep, and more! The links are in the show notes. [2:18] In March, RIMS released a new professional report called “The Pre-Mortem Method: Learning from Failure Without Actually Failing.” The two authors of this report are joining me here today! They have both been RIMScast guests. [2:39] Denise Sobczak is the Director of Group Risk Management at the BIC Group and Michael Zuraw is the Senior Director of Global Enterprise Risk Management for Onsemi. [2:52] Denise is a former member and Michael is a current member of the RIMS Strategic & Enterprise Risk Management Council. Their paper, “The Pre-Mortem Method,” is available through the Risk Knowledge page of RIMS.org. Tap on the White Paper button on that page. [3:10] We're going to hear how Denise and Michael have used the pre-mortem method at their respective companies. We're going to give you tips on how to lead pre-mortem analysis discussions at your organizations whether for a big merger or unveiling a new product. [3:32] This conversation will continue on May 7th at RISKWORLD when Denise hosts “Pre-Mortem or Post-Mortem: If You Were a Patient, What Would Choose?” That session will be held in Room BC185. [3:47] Interview! Michael Zuraw and Denise Sobczak, welcome back to RIMScast! [3:55] Denise and Michael's paper is “The Pre-Mortem Method: Learning from Failure Without Actually Failing.” Pre-mortem analysis is a risk assessment approach that you apply to strategic projects. [4:13] The concept is simple. You assume that an initiative fails. Then you identify triggers of that failure and develop plans to avoid and mitigate them to achieve success. It was developed by Gary Klein and has been widely applied in the business world. [4:39] Michael says the approach was discovered by cognitive psychologists. It releases folks from some of the biases, such as groupthink and confirmation bias, that will muck up decisions. This approach encourages participation and takes risk identification to the next level. [5:07] Justin calls the paper an easy read that people can keep returning to. [5:22] The Strategic & ERM Council decided to do a track on scenario planning. One of their first shareouts was a paper on scenario planning with a segue on pre-mortem risk assessment on how to draw those scenarios. [5:44] Many things are going on, with a level of uncertainty in the external environment that drives uncertainty in the internal environment. As a risk practitioner, it's very important to have these tools. [5:59] Michael joined the Strategic & ERM Council a little over a year ago after they had started the scenario planning. He had already read the SERM Council paper on scenario planning with great interest. Michael is a fan of Gary Klein's and had used pre-mortems. [6:24] When Denise and others mentioned they were going to take the next step in their series of scenario planning to include a pre-mortem discussion, Michael immediately volunteered to be part of it. It was a topic he was familiar with and he had done some sessions on it already. [7:05] Denise explains a pre-mortem is one of many risk assessment tools available. There's no set number for how often an organization should perform one. The main attraction of this tool is its use when you are short on time and have few resources and you want a high-value output. [7:53] It's good to use a pre-mortem when there are a lot of cross-functional initiatives with interdependencies that create complexity and generate risks. [8:07] Michael thinks that for major strategic decisions, a pre-mortem should almost always be used. As you use it, you find out that it's very efficient and not complicated. You can learn from it to include contrarians in discussions to question all assumptions. It changes your risk culture. [8:52] Pieces of the pre-mortem method find their way into the way people approach everyday decisions, even without doing a formal pre-mortem analysis. A pre-mortem analysis is not difficult or expensive to do. As often as you think it provides value, have at it! [9:20] The primary thing a pre-mortem does is open the door to legitimizing doubt. It allows the group decision process to stay in inquiry not to be sucked into advocacy before all the risks are discussed and mitigated. [9:44] Michael notes that as the pre-mortem opens up concerns, they can be put on the table and discussed. The key is you have to take the next step which is to consider what you can change and improve your plan to prepare for the possibility of that risk and mitigate it. [10:08] The goal is to take what you've learned, feed it back into the decision process, and come out with a better plan than you had going in. [10:16] It's very key to get the insights and embed them into the company's core processes versus having a stand-alone tracker for the pre-mortem that you've done. If you've done a pre-mortem for a strategic initiative, integrate it into the status update reports for that initiative. [10:34] If the pre-mortem is related to an event, integrate it into regular management reviews, operating reviews, or even risk governance. Integrate insights that will help you into your core processes. [10:49] Denise and Justin discuss recording remote pre-mortem sessions on Zoom and transcribing them. Justin suggests recording even in-person sessions on Zoom for a transcript. [11:40] Michael says having a transcript of a pre-mortem helps because you want people to focus attention on the conversation and not on note-taking. Sometimes you want to go back and get some context. In-person meetings also allow seeing body language. [12:11] The point of this is to get it out there and talk about it. It's very interactive. [13:19] Pre-mortems are structured to picture a failure six months into the future. Then set a two-minute timer and ask everyone to write down what went wrong. Each one comes up with ideas without the group's influence and writes down key failure points that caused this outcome. [14:04] As a result, things that were just below the surface come out first. Even the staunchest advocate of the plan has to come up with something. The creativity of what could have gone wrong becomes an asset, not a detriment. [14:31] You're not a naysayer, you're an identifier. The basic premises of ERM are risk identification, risk prioritization, and risk response. A pre-mortem creates a more robust identification. You're a contributor. You've discussed something that you hadn't before. [14:54] Denise explains that a pre-mortem is a paradise for the naysayers because they don't have the burden to say it failed. We give that to them. It's not about being skeptical or negative but identifying the contributors that could have caused the failure and being part of the solution. [15:18] Plug Time! RIMS Webinars! On April 10th, Audit Board will present “What CISOs Want Risk Executives to Know About Cyber Risk in 2025”. [15:30] Following the success of their recent webinar, HUB International returns for the next installment of their Ready for Tomorrow Series, “From Defense to Prevention: Strengthening Your Liability Risk Management Approach”. That session will be on April 17th. [15:45] On April 24th, RiskConnect returns to deliver “Better Together: The Marriage of Insurable Risk and Business Continuity”. [15:54] More webinars will be announced soon and added to the RIMS.org/webinars page. Go there to register. Registration is complimentary for RIMS members. [16:05] Important Announcement! RIMS and the Institute of Internal Auditors have entered into an agreement to deliver a selection of the other group's educational programming to their members. Twenty-nine shared courses will be available to both association's members. [16:23] RIMS members can explore the IIA courses that are now available to them at See Courses Here. To access RIMS's complete selection of workshops, webinars, and courses, visit RIMS.org/Education. [16:42] Let's Get Back to our Discussion about Pre-Mortem Analysis with Michael Zurow and Denise Sobczak! [17:09] Denise says individuals who have had experience with failures can tap into that experience in new situations. Newcomers can offer a fresh perspective. The key is diversity of thought and experience. Make participants comfortable to express their opinions. [17:38] Watch out for those who would take over. As you facilitate the pre-mortem, make sure that you're engaging and that it's a responsive type of facilitation. There's no right or wrong answer when you're looking for triggers. Later on, you will prioritize. [18:22] Michael has been at Onsemi for 20 years with broad exposure in product line management and supply chain. Four and a half years ago, Onsemi had a new CO and much of the top management changed. The question was what did the stakeholders want from ERM. [18:44] There was some change in how they approached it. He did pre-mortems before and he has done them since. The key is broad participation of the players, broad perspectives, and leading it to say that we want to know what you think. We want to question our assumptions. [19:08] That basic approach is to try to make the plan better, not bring it down, trying to improve the likelihood of success. That plays through all types of corporate change. [19:35] Participants should not be in the top tier of leaders, but in middle management with some boots on the ground. The middle management group forms the culture and they know enough key details about what the planners are thinking and to ask, what if they're wrong? [20:14] Denise expects the participants to be the people who are knee-deep in the initiative and are the subject matter experts. You can also invite folks who are not in the initiative but who have a say from the legal, financial, and business support perspectives. [20:42] The number of participants depends on the setting. An in-person setting can accommodate 10 or 15. In a virtual setting, you can have eight to 10. You need to make sure that everyone can participate. [21:14] More RIMS Plugs! The Spencer Educational Foundation's goal to help build a talent pipeline of risk management and insurance professionals is achieved in part by its collaboration with risk management and insurance educators across the U.S. and Canada. [21:33] Since 2010, Spencer has awarded over $3.3 million in general grants to support over 130 student-centered experiential learning initiatives at universities and RMI non-profits. [21:46] Spencer's 2026 application process will open on May 1st, 2025, and close on July 30th, 2025. General Grant awardees are typically notified at the end of October. Learn more about Spencer's General Grants through the Programs tab of SpencerEd.org. [22:06] Spencer has several events lined up before and during RISKWORLD 2025. On May 3rd, there's the Spencer-CNA Pickle Ball Social, on May 4th, the Spencer-Gallagher Golf Tournament, on May 5th, the Spencer Soiree, and on May 6th, the Spencer-Sedgwick 5K Fun Run. [22:25] You can register for or sponsor any of these through the links on this page or by visiting SpencerEd.org/riskworld2025. [22:35] The call for submissions for the RIMS Canada Conference, which will be held in Calgary from September 14th through the 17th, 2025, is now open. We want to hear from you! We are looking for dynamic, insightful presentations on key industry topics. [22:49] Topics may include are but not limited to alternative risk transfer, insurance, legal and regulatory, risk modification and loss control, the DEI Studio, the Thought Leader Stage, corporate sustainability, ESG, and more. [23:03] Submit your proposal by the submission deadline, Wednesday, April 16th at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time. Visit RIMSCanadaConference.ca and the link in this episode's notes for information. [23:17] If you will be in the Dallas/Fort Worth area on April 17th, be sure to stop by Lone Star Park for DFW RIMS's 7th Annual Night at the Races. It's going to be a blast! Guest, member, and student tickets are available. Visit DFWRIMS.org and the link in this episode's show notes. [23:41] Let's Return to our Discussion about Pre-Mortem Analysis with Denise Sobczak and Michael Zurow! [24:02] Denise mentions different ways to measure the ROI of a pre-mortem, in the light of inherited risk impact before mitigation versus residual risk, post-mitigation. [24:16] For a consumer goods company like BIC, Denise says it is more sensible to tie the effectiveness of the pre-mortem exercise with the overall achievement of the strategic goals or the operating targets because you are changing as you go. [24:38] Michael says it's tough to measure the effectiveness of a pre-mortem. You're asking a team that has already been assembled to spend half a day looking at the plan and, at the end, asking if they learned something that helped improve the plan. [25:30] Is the plan or decision better the day after the pre-mortem than it was the day before? Was it worth the four hours? Would you suggest doing this again? Would you recommend it to your peer? Advocating for a pre-mortem indicates its value, way beyond the cost of doing it. [26:16] Denise stresses the collateral benefits of a pre-mortem. If you are facilitating this type of risk assessment, you will reach a lot of folks in the organization and help them think differently. They will think of the risk management department or the ERM practitioner as a resource to use. [26:37] There is some amplification from a showcase of value to the organization from your function. Denise says a pre-mortem never took a day for her. Once she applied a pre-mortem in a 20-minute phone call with all the constituents. They came up with 15 reasons it could fail. [27:02] A pre-mortem can be formal or informal. The informal pre-mortem is as efficient and it is quicker. You need to understand what the culture of your organization is. If it is very formal, adapt to that. Denise tends to work in more agile organizations. [27:36] Michael works for a company that is heavy in engineering. A pre-mortem takes about two hours there. Engineers want to solve problems and tell you why their solution to the problem is awesome! They want data and rationalization justification. [28:15] Part of it is the moderation. Say the goal of this meeting is to get the concerns and issues out on the table. Afterward, we'll do a quick prioritization so we can assign owners to address the next step of how this feeds back into improving the plan. [28:32] As everybody took two minutes to write down the issues, get them out on the table and rotate through the biggest issue from each person as quickly as you can, one at a time, so no one gets into a laundry list of items. Keep the discussion moving across all the participants. [28:55] What you get is honest dialog and everyone participates. If you do that, you'll avoid overcomplicating it. It can be very simple. It's structured to help you manage that. As long as you keep it moving, it will be fine. [29:12] On 1:45 p.m., on May 7th, at RISKWORLD, in Room 185BC. Denise will be presenting “Pre-Mortem or Post-Mortem: If You Were Patient, Which One Would You Choose?” Denise will be extending the dialog from the paper and this episode. [29:37] Denise will miss Michael on stage. They had a successful session together at the RIMS ERM Fall Conference. Now that the paper is published, the presentation will be more robust. [29:55] The presentation will cover what pre-mortem risk assessment entails. You basically assume the strategic project has failed. Then you identify the triggers of that failure and develop plans to avoid and mitigate them to achieve success. Then you monitor. [30:25] Once Denise goes through the fundamentals, she will take you through a hands-on exercise of applying this technique. She will give a business case and have the audience start solving it and finding triggers. It's very easy. It will give a sense of what this is all about. [30:52] Denise's aim is that the participants, with the presentation and the white paper, will have another skillset to apply and bring value to their organization. There will be audience participation to close out the last day of the education track at RISKWORLD. [31:20] Denise will have a full hour and then there will be more audience participation when the Second City takes the stage for the Conference Finale. [31:34] Justin recommends attendees check out Denise's solid one-hour presentation. She assures you there will be no coasting in her session! [31:59] It has been such a pleasure to see you both. I appreciate you taking the time. You wrote a wonderful paper. The link is in this episode's notes. Go to RIMS.org/riskknowledge to check it out. Press the White Paper button and it will pop right up. Thank you both so much! [32:18] Special thanks again to Michael Zuraw and Denise Sobczak for joining us here on RIMScast. A link to their paper, “The Pre-Mortem Method: Learning from Failure Without Actually Failing” is available through the Risk Knowledge of RIMS.org. A link is in this episode's notes. [32:35] Beyond the pages and this episode, Denise will be extending the dialog at RISKWORLD on May 7th at 1:45 p.m. local time. She will deliver “Pre-Mortem or Post-Mortem: If You Were a Patient, Which Would You Choose?” That session will be held in room 185BC. [32:52] Register in advance through the RIMS Events App. [32:55] Plug Time! You can sponsor a RIMScast episode for this, our weekly show, or a dedicated episode. Links to sponsored episodes are in the show notes. [33:24] RIMScast has a global audience of risk and insurance professionals, legal professionals, students, business leaders, C-Suite executives, and more. Let's collaborate and help you reach them! Contact pd@rims.org for more information. [33:41] Become a RIMS member and get access to the tools, thought leadership, and network you need to succeed. Visit RIMS.org/membership or email membershipdept@RIMS.org for more information. [33:59] Risk Knowledge is the RIMS searchable content library that provides relevant information for today's risk professionals. Materials include RIMS executive reports, survey findings, contributed articles, industry research, benchmarking data, and more. [34:16] For the best reporting on the profession of risk management, read Risk Management Magazine at RMMagazine.com. It is written and published by the best minds in risk management. [34:30] Justin Smulison is the Business Content Manager at RIMS. You can email Justin at Content@RIMS.org. [34:37] Thank you all for your continued support and engagement on social media channels! We appreciate all your kind words. Listen every week! Stay safe!   Links: Presented by the RIMS SERMC: “The Pre-Mortem Method: Learning From Failure Without Actually Failing” RISKWORLD 2025 — May 4‒7 | Register today! Spencer Educational Foundation — General Grants 2026 — Application Dates Spencer's RISKWORLD Events — Register or Sponsor! RIMS-Certified Risk Management Professional (RIMS-CRMP) RISK PAC | RIMS Advocacy RIMS Risk Management magazine RIMS Now Announcement: RIMS and The Institute for Internal Auditors' Strategic Alliance on Education RIMS Canada Conference 2025 | September 14‒17 | Calgary | Submit a session by April 16. DFW RIMS — 7th Annual Night at the Races / Lone Star Park – April 17, 2025 Nominations for the Donald M. Stuart Award [Canada] The Strategic and Enterprise Risk Center “Truly Long-Term Strategic Risk Management in Focus” — RIMS Q&A with Michael Zuraw (2019) RIMS Webinars: RIMS.org/Webinars “What CISOs Want Risk Executives to Know About Cyber Risk in 2025” | Sponsored by Auditboard | April 10, 2025 “Ready for Tomorrow? From Defense to Prevention: Strengthening Your Liability Risk Management Approach” | Sponsored by Hub International | April 17, 2025 “Better Together: The Marriage of Insurable Risk and Business Continuity” | Sponsored by Riskonnect | April 24, 2025 “Understanding Third-Party Litigation Funding: Its Importance and How You Can Contribute” | Sponsored by Zurich | May 1, 2025   Upcoming RIMS-CRMP Prep Virtual Workshops: RIMS-CRMP Exam Prep with PARIMA | April 22‒23 Full RIMS-CRMP Prep Course Schedule   Upcoming Virtual Workshops: “Managing Worker Compensation, Employer's Liability and Employment Practices in the U.S.” | April 16‒17 | Instructor: Chris Hansen “Managing Data for ERM” | June 12 | Instructor: Pat Saporito  “Generative AI for Risk Management” | June 26 | Instructor: Pat Saporito See the full calendar of RIMS Virtual Workshops RIMS-CRMP Prep Workshops   Related RIMScast Episodes: “Maintaining an Award-Winning ERM Program with Michael Zuraw” “Scenario Planning with the RIMS SERMC” “Q1 2025 Risks with Morgan O'Rourke” “ERMotivation with Carrie Frandsen, RIMS-CRMP” “Risk Quantification Through Value-Based Frameworks” “Applying ERM Theory with Elise Farnham” “On Risk Appetite and Tolerance”   Sponsored RIMScast Episodes: “Understanding Third-Party Litigation Funding” | Sponsored by Zurich (New!) “What Risk Managers Can Learn From School Shootings” | Sponsored by Merrill Herzog (New!) “Simplifying the Challenges of OSHA Recordkeeping” | Sponsored by Medcor “Risk Management in a Changing World: A Deep Dive into AXA's 2024 Future Risks Report” | Sponsored by AXA XL “How Insurance Builds Resilience Against An Active Assailant Attack” | Sponsored by Merrill Herzog “Third-Party and Cyber Risk Management Tips” | Sponsored by Alliant “RMIS Innovation with Archer” | Sponsored by Archer “Navigating Commercial Property Risks with Captives” | Sponsored by Zurich “Breaking Down Silos: AXA XL's New Approach to Casualty Insurance” | Sponsored by AXA XL “Weathering Today's Property Claims Management Challenges” | Sponsored by AXA XL “Storm Prep 2024: The Growing Impact of Convective Storms and Hail” | Sponsored by Global Risk Consultants, a TÜV SÜD Company “Partnering Against Cyberrisk” | Sponsored by AXA XL “Harnessing the Power of Data and Analytics for Effective Risk Management” | Sponsored by Marsh “Accident Prevention — The Winning Formula For Construction and Insurance” | Sponsored by Otoos “Platinum Protection: Underwriting and Risk Engineering's Role in Protecting Commercial Properties” | Sponsored by AXA XL “Elevating RMIS — The Archer Way” | Sponsored by Archer   RIMS Publications, Content, and Links: RIMS Membership — Whether you are a new member or need to transition, be a part of the global risk management community! RIMS Virtual Workshops On-Demand Webinars RIMS-Certified Risk Management Professional (RIMS-CRMP) RISK PAC | RIMS Advocacy RIMS Strategic & Enterprise Risk Center RIMS-CRMP Stories — Featuring Walmart ERM Director Michelle Black!   RIMS Events, Education, and Services: RIMS Risk Maturity Model®   Sponsor RIMScast: Contact sales@rims.org or pd@rims.org for more information.   Want to Learn More? Keep up with the podcast on RIMS.org, and listen on Spotify and Apple Podcasts.   Have a question or suggestion? Email: Content@rims.org.   Join the Conversation! Follow @RIMSorg on Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn.   About our guests: Denise Sobczak, Director of Group Risk Management at the BIC Group Michael Zuraw, Senior Director of Global Enterprize Risk Management for Onsemi   Production and engineering provided by Podfly.  

Serious Angler
This Changed How We Manage Fish! | REEL BIOLOGY

Serious Angler

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 20, 2025 85:55


Send us a textOn today's episode we have a special one for you guys, we launch a new segment here on the Serious Angler Podcast called the Reel Biology! Every two weeks we will be joined by our fisheries biologist pal Steven Bardin to talk about conservation, fish biology, the pressing topics in fish and fish management and so much more. On today's first episode we are joined by legend Gary Klein to talk about how fish care has evolved over the years and much more.Want to submit a question to the Lake Hotline and have it answered on the show by Steve? Email us at theseriousangler@gmail.com or DM Serious Angler on social media!

See See by Ceci
The Gut, A Peculiar, Emotional, Storyteller with Dr. Elsa Richardson (Part 2)

See See by Ceci

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 17, 2025 41:52


We invite you to join us as we embark on an exploration of the art of decision-making with Dr. Gary Klein, a leading figure in the field of psychology and a pioneer in the domain of Naturalistic Decision Making (NDM). Over the course of his career, Dr. Klein has conducted extensive research, which has significantly impacted our understanding of decision-making under pressure. His work draws upon the experiences of military commanders, firefighters, doctors, and pilots who have demonstrated the ability to remain calm and make critical choices under stress. This episode is essential listening for anyone seeking to enhance their decision-making abilities and leverage the potential of expert thinking. It offers an opportunity for listeners to gain insight into how Dr. Klein's innovative methods facilitate the development of expertise amongst professionals, encourage the transformation of human error into valuable insights, and cultivate an environment of openness and transparency within organizational structures. Don´t miss the opportunity to learn from one of the most esteemed figures in psychology, praised by the late Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman, who wrote "There should be more psychologists like him" and see for yourself why Malcolm Gladwell, author of Outliers and Blink, makes perfect sense when he says: "I know of no one who combines theory and observation – intellectual rigor and painstaking observation of the real world – so brilliantly and gracefully as Gary Klein". *Dr. Gary A. Klein is a distinguished researcher and thought leader in the field of decision-making. He currently holds the position of Senior Scientist at MacroCognition LLC and is the Founder and Chief Scientist at Shadow Box LLC.

See See by Ceci
Intuition: Decoding Decision-Making with Dr. Gary A. Klein (Part 2)

See See by Ceci

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2024 46:38


We invite you to join us as we embark on an exploration of the art of decision-making with Dr. Gary Klein, a leading figure in the field of psychology and a pioneer in the domain of Naturalistic Decision Making (NDM). Over the course of his career, Dr. Klein has conducted extensive research, which has significantly impacted our understanding of decision-making under pressure. His work draws upon the experiences of military commanders, firefighters, doctors, and pilots who have demonstrated the ability to remain calm and make critical choices under stress. This episode is essential listening for anyone seeking to enhance their decision-making abilities and leverage the potential of expert thinking. It offers an opportunity for listeners to gain insight into how Dr. Klein's innovative methods facilitate the development of expertise amongst professionals, encourage the transformation of human error into valuable insights, and cultivate an environment of openness and transparency within organizational structures. Don´t miss the opportunity to learn from one of the most esteemed figures in psychology, praised by the late Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman, who wrote "There should be more psychologists like him" and see for yourself why Malcolm Gladwell, author of Outliers and Blink, makes perfect sense when he says: "I know of no one who combines theory and observation – intellectual rigor and painstaking observation of the real world – so brilliantly and gracefully as Gary Klein". *Dr. Gary A. Klein is a distinguished researcher and thought leader in the field of decision-making. He currently holds the position of Senior Scientist at MacroCognition LLC and is the Founder and Chief Scientist at Shadow Box LLC.

See See by Ceci
Intuition: Decoding Decision-Making with Dr. Gary A. Klein (Part 1)

See See by Ceci

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2024 45:58


Join us as we explore the art of decision-making with Dr. Gary Klein, one of the most influential minds in psychology and a pioneer in Naturalistic Decision Making (NDM). With over four decades of research, Dr. Klein has revolutionized how we understand high-pressure decisions, drawing from the experiences of military commanders, firefighters, doctors, and pilots who stay calm and make critical choices under stress. Discover how his groundbreaking work has reshaped decision-making frameworks. Learn how Dr. Klein's innovative methods train professionals to think like experts, turn human error into valuable lessons, and foster cultures of openness in organizations. Plus, hear how his latest book, Entangled Minds, debunks the myth that AI will replace human decisions, showing instead how AI, when used properly, can make us smarter. Don't miss the chance to learn from one of the most respected figures in psychology, praised by the late Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman, who wrote “There should be more psychologists like him” and confirm by yourself why Malcolm Gladwell, author of Outliers and Blink,   makes perfect sense when he says: “I know of no one who combines theory and observation—intellectual rigor and painstaking observation of the real world—so brilliantly and gracefully as Gary Klein”. This episode is a must-listen for anyone looking to refine their decision-making skills and harness the power of expert thinking. *Dr. Gary Klein. Dr. Klein holds the position of Senior Scientist at MacroCognition LLC, as well as Founder and Chief Scientist at Shadow Box LLC.

The Debrief with Jon Becker
Improving Tactical Decision Making – Dr. Gary Klein

The Debrief with Jon Becker

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 27, 2024 63:54


My guest today is a true legend in the field of decision making, Dr. Gary Klein.  Gary is the author of the book Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions, and five other books. His work includes groundbreaking research into the cognitive models we use for decision making including the Recognition-Primed Decision (RPD) model, the Data/Frame model of sensemaking, the Management By Discovery model of planning in complex settings, and the Triple Path Model of Insight. He has developed methods including the Pre-Mortem method of risk assessment, techniques for Cognitive Task Analysis, the ShadowBox training approach, and also helped pioneer the Naturalistic Decision-Making movement in 1989. Dr. Klein has decades of work experience in dozens of work domains, including military, healthcare, and emergency response. I am excited to have Gary on the show because his work with military and emergency response work provides a great framework for us to not only understand our decision making but also how to improve it through training and simulation.  Course Discussed on Show: https://www.shadowboxtraining.com/courses/masterclass-in-practical-decision-making/ Gary's Books: Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions – ISBN13 - 978-0262112277Seeing What Others Don't: The Remarkable Ways We Gain Insights – ISBN13 -978-1610392518Book Recommendation:How to Stay Smart in a Smart World: Why Human Intelligence Still Beats Algorithms by Gerd Gigerenzer – ISBN13 - 978-0262046954Contact Info:ShadowBox Training – Accelerate ExpertiseGary Klein - WELCOME

Bass After Dark
What should we know about crayfish? (ft. Gary Klein, Dr. Zachary Loughman, and Mike McClelland)

Bass After Dark

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 16, 2024 150:26


Bass After Dark — inch for inch and pound for pound, the best show in fishing — is back for another lively, and LIVE, episode. Don't miss Ken Duke, Brian the Carpenter, and our three mystery panelists (spoiler alert: it's Gary Klein, Dr. Zachary Loughman, and Mike McClelland) as we dive into the question: What should we know about crayfish? More Bass After Dark: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BassAfterDark Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bass-after-dark/id1716082782 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3yMvtb7iKPlblLxqlLbOmz Rumble: https://rumble.com/user/BassAfterDark Instagram: ⁠https://instagram.com/bassafterdarkshow⁠ Facebook: ⁠https://facebook.com/bassafterdark⁠ Stock media provided by Sounder_Music / Pond5 Stock media provided by lovemushroom / Pond5 Stock music provided by Sineius / Pond5

The All Things Risk Podcast
Ep. 234: Dr. Gary Klein - On Lessons in Naturalistic Decision-Making

The All Things Risk Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 16, 2024 70:41


Today, I bring you my conversation with an absolute legend, Gary Klein. Gary is a renowned pioneer in naturalistic decision-making. He has extensively researched how experienced professionals (e.g. experienced physicians, firefighters, police officers, etc.) make decisions in high-pressure environments, relying on their intuition without extensive analysis. This led Gary to develop the “Recognition Primed Decision Model”. And if you've ever come across the PreMortem technique, Gary invented that. The PreMortem is something that helps decision-makers anticipate failures before they occur. He's also collaborated with Nobel laureate, the late Daniel Kahneman, but did so as “collaborative adversaries” as he has a different take on cognitive biases. And you will hear more about that directly from Gary. Gary's work also inspired Malcolm Gladwell's book, Blink, and so much more. He is an absolute legend. In this conversation, we talk about the role of intuition and decision-making in reducing errors and enhancing insights, which Gary has done extensive work on. Gary shares some great context and advice on the PreMortem and so much more. I think Gary's work is essential to understanding and practising quality decision-making. Show notes: Gary's website Naturalistic Decision-Making - www.naturalisticdecisionmaking.org Gary's firm, Shadow Box Training: www.naturalisticdecisionmaking.org Gary's “Masterclass in Practical Decision-Making” QR code to the masterclass: Gary's latest book, Snapshots of the Mind Recognition-primed Decision Model PreMortem method Gary's article with Daniel Kahneman, “A Failure to Disagree” Gary's book Seeing What Others Don't – The Remarkable Ways We Gain Insights _ _ _ _ _ _ Like what you heard? Subscribe: https://thedecisionmaking.studio/ Learn more about The Decision-Making Studio: https://thedecisionmaking.studio/podcast Sign up for our “Decision Navigators” course: https://lnkd.in/eMZSPft4  

The All Things Risk Podcast
Ep. 228: Dave Snowden - On How to Make Sense of an Uncertain World

The All Things Risk Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2024 58:57


Today, my guest is Dave Snowden, a leading expert in complexity theory and knowledge management. Dave is the creator of the Cynefin Framework, which is a tool for understanding challenges and helping us make decisions within the right context. His work is international in nature. It covers government and industry, looking at complex issues relating to strategy and organizational decision-making. He is a popular and passionate keynote speaker on a range of topics, and he's well-known for his pragmatic cynicism - and you will hear that come through as you listen to this episode. I wish I had come across Dave's work earlier in my career because I think I'd have made some different career choices. In particular, his 2007 Harvard Business Review article with Mary Boone is excellent. It was on the cover of the November edition of the HBR and won the Academy of Management Award for Best Paper of that year. In this episode, we dive into the nuances of decision-making in complex environments. He walks us through the Cynefin Framework and how it helps us understand the challenges at hand. Dave shares insights into how organizations can avoid the pitfalls of traditional decision-making approaches that often oversimplify complex issues. We also explore the role of narrative in making sense of complexity and how his work with something called SenseMaker, supports capturing and interpreting diverse perspectives. If you're interested in how to navigate complexity and make better decisions in uncertain times, this episode is a must-listen. Show notes: Dave Snowden The Cynefin Framework Dave and Mary Boone's 2007 HBR Article, “A Leader's Framework for Decision-Making” SenseMaker Estuarine Mapping EU Field Guide to Managing Complexity (and Chaos) in Times of Crisis Wardley Maps - A strategic mapping technique that helps organizations understand and adapt to their competitive landscape. Gary Klein's Pre-mortem Max Boisot's I-Space London taxi drivers' “The Knowledge” Taylorism Agile Hawthorne effect Cynefin's ‘risk matrix' Abductive thinking Dave on algorithmic induction Dave on AI: “anthropomorphising idiot savants” _ _ _ _ Like what you heard? Subscribe to The Decision-Making Studio Podcast Sign up for our Decision Navigators Course https://thedecisionmaking.studio/        

Building HVAC Science - Building Performance, Science, Health & Comfort
EP180 Home Monitoring Madness: Tracking Energy, Air, and More with Bill and ELK (July 2024)

Building HVAC Science - Building Performance, Science, Health & Comfort

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 23, 2024 40:04


In this episode of the Building HVAC Science Podcast, hosts Bill Spohn and Eric Kaiser engage in a lively "duo cast" discussing the various measurements they take in their homes and the reasons behind them. They start the conversation by reflecting on their recent episode with Gary Klein, which inspired Eric to set up a data logging system to monitor hot water temperatures in his home. This leads to a broader discussion about the different tools and devices they use to track energy consumption and efficiency, such as the Emporia Vue energy monitor, which helped Bill identify a faulty installation in his heat pump system. The hosts delve into their personal experiences with various smart home devices, including air quality monitors from Airthings, radon monitors, and even an innovative weather station called Tempest. They share insights on how these devices have provided valuable data, helping them make informed decisions about their home's energy use and indoor air quality. Bill highlights his use of an ERV system that runs based on CO2 levels. At the same time, Eric discusses his plans to upgrade his home's ventilation and dehumidification systems using the Haven air quality monitor. Toward the end of the episode, Bill and Eric discuss their use of fitness trackers, discussing the metrics they monitor for personal health. Bill also mentions his latest acquisition, a Bluetooth meat probe, which he plans to use to perfect his grilling techniques. The episode wraps up with the hosts emphasizing the importance of integrating monitoring tools into everyday life to enhance comfort, efficiency, and well-being and inviting listeners to reach out for more information on the products discussed. Contact us at bill@trutechtools.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/billspohn/ ekaiser@trutechtools.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/eric-kaiser-323a1563/ The spray foam attic ping pong effect: https://www.energyvanguard.com/blog/high-humidity-in-a-spray-foam-attic-part-2/ Products we mention in this podcast: HAVEN IAQ monitors: https://trutechtools.com/haven Airthings Radon CO2 and more: https://trutechtools.com/Airthings Emporia Circuit Power Monitors and EV Chargers: https://www.emporiaenergy.com/ CERV2: Bill's Conditioning ERV that uses a CO2 sensor to decide when to run: https://buildequinox.com/ Home weather station: https://shop.tempest.earth/products/tempest Security cameras: Eric's:  https://www.eufy.com/eufycam#navimenu_4_copy Bill's: https://www.wyze.com/products/wyze-cam EcoQube Radon: https://ecosense.io/products/ecoqube Aranet COs monitor: https://aranet.com/products/aranet4-home Meater Bluetooth cooking thermometer: https://store-us.meater.com/products/meater-plus Kardia portable 6 lead EKG: https://store.kardia.com/products/kardiamobile Apple watch for fitness: https://www.apple.com/watch/ Home Automation: https://www.home-assistant.io/   This episode was recorded in July 2024.

Building HVAC Science - Building Performance, Science, Health & Comfort
EP179 The Science of Hot Water: Insights and Innovations with Gary Klein (July 2024)

Building HVAC Science - Building Performance, Science, Health & Comfort

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2024 44:05


In this episode of the Building HVAC Science Podcast, hosts Bill Spohn and Eric Kaiser are joined by Gary Klein, a veteran in the field of energy conservation, particularly in hot water system design. The discussion begins with Klein explaining his innovative teaching method, using tape on the floor to illustrate the distances between water heaters and home fixtures. This method helps participants understand the time it takes for hot water to reach different parts of a house. Klein emphasizes the importance of efficient hot water system design, criticizing common practices that prioritize aesthetics over functionality. The conversation then shifts to Klein's experiences and contributions to right-sizing plumbing systems, highlighting the inefficiencies in current standards based on outdated data. He discusses the development of the water demand calculator, a tool that more accurately estimates peak water demand and leads to more efficient pipe sizing. Klein provides examples of how modern buildings can significantly reduce their water supply infrastructure needs, using real data to support the argument for updating plumbing codes and practices to reflect contemporary water use patterns. In the final segment, Klein shares personal anecdotes from his extensive career, including his time in Lesotho, where he implemented solar energy solutions. He reflects on his work in the United States, promoting the adoption of air-source heat pump water heaters and continuing to lead efforts in right-sizing plumbing systems. Klein also touches on his teaching philosophy, advocating for practical, evidence-based approaches to plumbing and energy conservation. The episode concludes with Klein urging industry professionals to integrate modern technologies effectively and to consider real-world usage patterns in their designs. Gary's LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/gary-klein-b112592/ Gary's website: https://www.garykleinassociates.com/ IAPMO Water Demand Calculator: https://www.iapmo.org/water-demand-calculator/   Larry Weigarten's books mentioned in the episode: The Water Heater Workbook: A Hands-On Guide to Water Heaters: https://a.co/d/g2vN6rt The Philosopher's Wrench: Using Your Creativity, Heart & Tools to Fix the World: https://a.co/d/7zmtq5A     This episode was recorded in July 2024.

Through Conversations
Unleashing Your Intuition in an Unpredictable World.

Through Conversations

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2024 17:07


In Solo Episode 102, I kick things off with an introduction and preview of what's to come. I then dive into a discussion about my upcoming book and how it explores the fascinating world of intuition. We explore the insights from intuition experts Gary Klein and Annie Murphy Paul, focusing on how we can harness the power of intuition. Finally, we explore how to use intuition for achieving great results in various aspects of life. This episode is all about tapping into that inner knowing and making it work for you.Highlights:00:00 Introduction and Episode Preview 02:21 About Alex's Book 05:24 Intuition Experts: Gary Klein, Annie Murphy Paul 10:22 Harnessing the Power of Intuition 14:00 Intuition for Achieving Great Results// Connect With Me //My Substack: https://throughconversations.substack.comWebsite: https://throughconversations.com// Social //Twitter: https://twitter.com/thruconvpodcastInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thruconvpodcast/?hl=enYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCl67XqJVdVtBqiCWahS776g

Wet Fly Swing Fly Fishing Podcast
633 | Next-Gen Angling Boats with Rich Batcheller of Abstract Watercraft - Driftboats vs Rafts, Carbon Fiber, Boats

Wet Fly Swing Fly Fishing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2024 59:45


Show Notes:  https://wetflyswing.com/633 Presented By: TroutRoutes Today, we're diving into the world of next-generation angling boats with Rich Batcheller from Abstract Watercraft. Rich is the brain behind the revolutionary carbon fiber raft. Find out how their design can help eliminate line tangles and redefine rafting, as well as the features that set this boat apart. Stay tuned for an insider's look into the future of watercraft with Rich Batcheller. Show Notes with Rich Batcheller on Abstract Watercraft.  02:28 - Rich's fly fishing journey is greatly influenced by his father. He grew up fishing for sturgeon and salmon on the Willamette River. Today, he enjoys saltwater cutthroat fishing on Bay Bridge Island. A quick shoutout to Brian Niska, the host of our In the Bucket Podcast. He recently chatted with Trevor Covich about steelhead fishing. Give it a listen here!  Abstract Model 1 07:54 - Rich describes the Abstract Model 1 as an ultralight, self-bailing carbon fiber insert that drops into a whitewater raft. He explains how this design makes fishing easier and more efficient. Here are some standout features: Ultralight Design: Weighs around 275 pounds, 125–150 pounds lighter than a comparable drift boat. Carbon Fiber Insert (Provides a rigid floor and walk-around environment). No Traditional Rowing Frame Easy to Dismantle 12:51 - Rich shares their journey in developing this new category of boat, their vision, and the challenges faced. 17:48 - We explore the idea of selling their unique carbon fiber insert separately for other boat models. Rich acknowledges this possibility, but he mentions their partnership with SOTAR. He talks about SOTAR's durability and customer service, noting its lightweight and easy customization options, which align with everything Abstract Watercraft is trying to do. Check out our episode with Adam Hudson, where we talk about drift boats versus rafts. 28:20 - One big thing about their raft is the solid platform you can stand on. It lets you move around easily, which is super helpful when you're fishing or guiding people. 33:04 - Rich shared about his early career at Klein Bicycles, where he learned a lot about design and engineering from working alongside Gary Klein. Looking Forward with Abstract Watercraft 54:51 - Keep an eye on Abstract Watercraft's Instagram and website for their upcoming official boat launch. Rich is excited about this new model featuring integrated rod holders, extra storage, and lightweight carbon fiber materials. Show Notes:  https://wetflyswing.com/633

The EMS Educator
Realism in EMS Simulation

The EMS Educator

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 5, 2024 45:39


Creating and managing realistic patient simulations is not an easy task.  EMS educators have a lot on their plate -- from designing the scenario to training facilitators to choosing the equipment to avoiding training scars.  What are best practices? We asked simulation gurus Brittany Prater, Director of Alabama EMS Region One and Robby May, ALS Education Specialist at Howard County Department of Fire and Rescue.  Listen as Rob, Maia and Hilary ask about the tricks of the trade and learn how to make your simulations prepare students for the real world. Mentioned in the episode: Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions by Gary Klein  https://www.amazon.com/Sources-Power-People-Make-Decisions/dp/0262611465 Society for Simulation in Healthcare  https://www.ssih.org/ Healthy Simulation https://www.healthysimulation.com/ I'm a New Medic. And I'm Scared to Death. https://www.hmpgloballearningnetwork.com/site/emsworld/perspectives/im-new-medic-and-im-scared-death Brittany.prater@calhoun.edu robby.k.may@gmail.com The EMS Educator will publish on the first Friday of every month! Be sure to turn on your notifications so you can listen as soon as the episode drops, and like/follow us on your favorite platform. This podcast is sponsored by EMS Gives Life.  Would you consider becoming a living organ donor? For more info visit www.emsgiveslife.org Check out the Prodigy EMS Bounty Program! Earn $1000 for your best talks! Get your CE at www.prodigyems.com  Follow @ProdigyEMS on Twitter, FB, YouTube & IG.

The Revolution with Jim & Trav
Summertime Lunkers with Dave Mercer, Gary Klein and CatDaddy

The Revolution with Jim & Trav

Play Episode Listen Later May 20, 2024 49:48


This week on The Revolution with Jim and Trav we're going after Summertime Lunkers! CatDaddy will talk about the effectiveness of punch and dip baits, Dave Mercer from "Facts of Fishing" will pinpoint the best times, lures and presentations for bass, and Gary Klein with "Major League Fishing" will divulge secrets from the tournament trail. The Revolution is presented by Outdoor Channel, Sportsman Channel, World Fishing Network and MyOutdoorTV.

Optimal Finance Daily
2725: Cognitive Bias by The Mad Fientist on Financial Investments & Investing Risk vs. Reward

Optimal Finance Daily

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2024 11:40


Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 2725: Explore the profound impact of cognitive biases on our decision-making processes, especially in high-stakes scenarios like financial investments. This episode, inspired by a Mad Fientist article, delves into everyday examples and psychological experiments that reveal our subconscious preferences for risk over certainty, influenced by how choices are framed. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://www.madfientist.com/cognitive-bias/ Quotes to ponder: "If the problem is framed as a loss, as it is in the island #1 scenario, we become risk-seeking." "Your brain is useful when setting up an investment plan but it's not useful when you execute that plan." Episode references: The Simple Path to Wealth by JL Collins: https://www.amazon.com/Simple-Path-Wealth-financial-independence/dp/1533667926 Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely: https://www.amazon.com/Predictably-Irrational-Revised-Expanded-Decisions/dp/0061353248 You Are Not So Smart by David McRaney: https://www.amazon.com/You-Are-Not-So-Smart/dp/1592407366 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman: https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0374533555 Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions by Gary Klein: https://www.amazon.com/Sources-Power-People-Make-Decisions/dp/0262611465 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Optimal Finance Daily - ARCHIVE 1 - Episodes 1-300 ONLY
2725: Cognitive Bias by The Mad Fientist on Financial Investments & Investing Risk vs. Reward

Optimal Finance Daily - ARCHIVE 1 - Episodes 1-300 ONLY

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2024 11:40


Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 2725: Explore the profound impact of cognitive biases on our decision-making processes, especially in high-stakes scenarios like financial investments. This episode, inspired by a Mad Fientist article, delves into everyday examples and psychological experiments that reveal our subconscious preferences for risk over certainty, influenced by how choices are framed. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://www.madfientist.com/cognitive-bias/ Quotes to ponder: "If the problem is framed as a loss, as it is in the island #1 scenario, we become risk-seeking." "Your brain is useful when setting up an investment plan but it's not useful when you execute that plan." Episode references: The Simple Path to Wealth by JL Collins: https://www.amazon.com/Simple-Path-Wealth-financial-independence/dp/1533667926 Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely: https://www.amazon.com/Predictably-Irrational-Revised-Expanded-Decisions/dp/0061353248 You Are Not So Smart by David McRaney: https://www.amazon.com/You-Are-Not-So-Smart/dp/1592407366 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman: https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0374533555 Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions by Gary Klein: https://www.amazon.com/Sources-Power-People-Make-Decisions/dp/0262611465 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Optimal Finance Daily - ARCHIVE 2 - Episodes 301-600 ONLY
2725: Cognitive Bias by The Mad Fientist on Financial Investments & Investing Risk vs. Reward

Optimal Finance Daily - ARCHIVE 2 - Episodes 301-600 ONLY

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2024 11:40


Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 2725: Explore the profound impact of cognitive biases on our decision-making processes, especially in high-stakes scenarios like financial investments. This episode, inspired by a Mad Fientist article, delves into everyday examples and psychological experiments that reveal our subconscious preferences for risk over certainty, influenced by how choices are framed. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://www.madfientist.com/cognitive-bias/ Quotes to ponder: "If the problem is framed as a loss, as it is in the island #1 scenario, we become risk-seeking." "Your brain is useful when setting up an investment plan but it's not useful when you execute that plan." Episode references: The Simple Path to Wealth by JL Collins: https://www.amazon.com/Simple-Path-Wealth-financial-independence/dp/1533667926 Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely: https://www.amazon.com/Predictably-Irrational-Revised-Expanded-Decisions/dp/0061353248 You Are Not So Smart by David McRaney: https://www.amazon.com/You-Are-Not-So-Smart/dp/1592407366 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman: https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0374533555 Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions by Gary Klein: https://www.amazon.com/Sources-Power-People-Make-Decisions/dp/0262611465 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Behind the Mirror
The Future of Therapy Training: Exploring Process Coding with Pioneers Dr. Henny Westra and Alyssa Di Bartolomeo

Behind the Mirror

Play Episode Listen Later May 10, 2024 50:08


The transformative work of Dr. Henny Westra and Alyssa Di Bartolomeo in their paper, "Developing expertise in psychotherapy: The case for process coding as clinical training," represents a significant advancement in therapeutic practice. They introduce a novel framework called "process coding" to enhance therapists' skills by using session recordings to better understand and refine therapeutic techniques. This method addresses common issues such as therapists' misremembering interactions, enabling a more accurate and effective review and improvement of their sessions. Their approach promises to dramatically enhance therapists' ability to assist clients by offering a systematic way to analyze therapy tapes, which uncovers subtle dynamics and missed opportunities within sessions. The importance of their work lies in providing a clear, evidence-based path toward refining therapeutic skills beyond traditional training, shifting the focus from theoretical knowledge to practical, observable outcomes. This innovative method could potentially revolutionize the way therapists train and develop their expertise, ultimately leading to more effective client interventions and outcomes.   Links and resources mentioned: Why tough tactics fail and rapport gets results: Observing Rapport-Based Interpersonal Techniques (ORBIT) to generate useful information from terrorists. This is the article summarizing the early research Laurence Alison et al conducted on police interrogations. I believe it was in this paper they discuss, “you can't always make things better, but negative interactions can sure make things worse.” Conditions for Intuitive Expertise: A Failure to Disagree This is Gary Klein and Daniel Kahneman's article on the areas where expertise can develop and the areas where it can't. My big takeaway was areas with clear and quick feedback are the ones who produce expertise. The wizards of deception detection - Maureen O'Sullivan and Paul Ekman One of my favorite articles. O'Sullivan and Ekman show that most people, even trained therapists, just aren't that good at reading different facial expressions. Meet You in McGinnis Meadows: Lessons in Attunement - Scott Miller and Brooke Mathews Miller and Mathews discuss her path to becoming an expert therapist. I've not read this in a few years but I remember her learning a lot from her work observing horses. Contact Dr. Henny Westra at hwestra[ at] yorku.ca Contact Alyssa Di Bartolomeo alyssaad @] yorku.ca; Twitter/X @aadibartolomeo   Learn more at : Jordanthecounselor.com        

House of Horns: A show about the L.A. Rams
Rams draft recap with LA Times reporter Gary Klein

House of Horns: A show about the L.A. Rams

Play Episode Listen Later May 3, 2024 59:04


House of Horns has a special guest for this live episode to recap the Los Angeles Rams' 2024 NFL Draft class. They will be joined by Los Angeles Times reporter Gary Klein, who has covered the Rams since 2016. Klein will drop all the knowledge on the Rams' draft picks. Make sure to join and comment with questions for Gary.Subscribe to the Compas on the Beat newsletter

FireNuggets Podcast
FireNuggets Podcast - 046 - John Schmitt

FireNuggets Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2024 107:20


John F. Schmitt is a former Marine Corps infantry officer.  In 1989 he authored Warfighting, the keystone doctrinal manual that introduced the Marine Corps' new operational doctrine of maneuver warfare and became a manifesto for the institutional reforms of the 1990s.  Warfighting has since been translated into several foreign languages and republished as a management guide for business leaders.  He subsequently authored several other high-level Marine Corps doctrinal manuals, including Campaigning, Expeditionary Operations, Planning, and Command and Control.  He invented and popularized tactical decision games (TDGs), which have become a staple of Marine Corps training and education and have been exported into other domains.  In 1994, he authored Mastering Tactics:  A Tactical Decision Game Workbook.  He has authored numerous future operating concepts for the Department of Defense.  In 1999, he and Gary Klein developed the Recognitional Planning Model (RPM), a staff planning methodology based on Klein's RPD model.  He was an independent consultant in military affairs for over 25 years before joining ShadowBox.  He resides in Auburn, Alabama, with his wife Laura, and two dogs.  His hobbies include cycling, coaching soccer, reading, and arguing with Gary. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/firenuggets-inc/support

No Stupid Questions
189. When Should You Trust Your Gut?

No Stupid Questions

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 31, 2024 40:06


Does instinct trump expertise? Can playing poker improve your intuition? And why did Angela jump off of a moving trolley car? SOURCES:Tom Brady, former quarterback for the New England Patriots.Daniel Kahneman, professor emeritus of psychology and public affairs at Princeton University.Gary Klein, cognitive psychologist and pioneer in the field of naturalistic decision making.Brock Purdy, quarterback for the San Francisco 49ers.Josh Waitzkin, former chess player, martial arts competitor, and author. RESOURCES:"When and How To Sleep Train Your Baby," by Cleveland Clinic (2021)."The ShadowBox Approach to Cognitive Skills Training: An Empirical Evaluation," by Gary Klein and Joseph Borders (Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making, 2016).Thinking, Fast and Slow, by Daniel Kahneman (2011)."Conditions for Intuitive Expertise: A Failure to Disagree," by Daniel Kahneman and Gary Klein (American Psychologist, 2009)."Dumb Ways to Die," by Metro Trains Melbourne (2009).The Art of Learning: An Inner Journey to Optimal Performance, by Josh Waitzkin (2007).Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions, by Gary Klein (1998). EXTRAS:"Why Is It So Hard to Make Decisions?" by No Stupid Questions (2023)."Daniel Kahneman on Why Our Judgment is Flawed — and What to Do About It," by People I (Mostly) Admire (2021)."How to Make a Bad Decision," by Freakonomics Radio (2016).

unSILOed with Greg LaBlanc
390. Decoding the Expert Mind feat. Gary A. Klein

unSILOed with Greg LaBlanc

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 28, 2024 58:46


How did a breakthrough in understanding how humans make split-second decisions and how did studying firefighters unlock the key piece of understanding expertise?Gary Klein is the President of ShadowBox LLC who researches decision-making and is the author of several books. His latest book is Snapshots of the Mind, a compilation of essays that span his career. Also recently published was the 20th Anniversary edition of Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions which explores the ways in which expertise factors into decision-making in ways you may not have realized initially.Gary and Greg discuss the complexities of decision-making, covering the importance of experience, expertise, and the role of mental models. They also explore concepts such as positive cognitive psychology and the idea of implementing positive aspects of decision-making as opposed to focusing on flaws. Gary discusses his innovative ShadowBox method used for training decision-makers by providing simulations of expert decisions. He also talks about the role of insights in successful decision-making and the challenges organizations face in fostering a culture of insights.*unSILOed Podcast is produced by University FM.*Episode Quotes:Can you have an optimal error path?46:24: So, you want people to learn from feedback. But it's not that trivial because a lot of times, I see people say, "Yeah, we're going to provide feedback about whether you succeeded or not," but that's just the beginning. You also want to help people diagnose why they got it wrong, what they were misinterpreting, what they were missing that they should have been watching more carefully. And so there's that diagnostic part, which gets into the tacit knowledge, which sometimes people can do by themselves. Sometimes, you want to bring in another pair of eyes, somebody with more expertise, to help you unpack: "Why did I get that wrong? Or was there something I could have done that would have prevented this?" So you want to have that kind of opportunity for diagnosis to help get richer feedback rather than just, "I got it right or I got it wrong."Should you trust your intuition?19:25: People ask me, "When should you trust your intuition?" And the answer is never because intuition can mislead you. But that doesn't mean you should trust analytical methods either because they can mislead you as well. So, you need to be able to use both for intuition. You don't want to totally trust your intuition, but you want to at least listen to your intuition because your intuition may be telling you some things that aren't captured in the analyses.Distinguishing experts from journeymen28:26:  One of the hallmarks of humans, and particularly experts, is to engage in speculative reasoning when you've gone beyond what they've encountered before. And that's one of the ways that we distinguish experts from journeymen: you throw something at an expert that the expert hasn't seen before, and their eyes light up, and they say, "What can we do about this?" Whereas a journeyman says, "I don't know. I'm going to have to call somebody else in." And they get uncomfortable rather than enthusiastic. So yes, as people become more skilled, they love the challenge of having to engage in speculative reasoning. That's human capability and a human source of power.How experts navigate mistakes47:55: Some people, if they make a mistake, say, "Okay, I'm putting it behind me." But the real experts don't put the mistakes behind them. They're really upset about these mistakes, and they keep mulling about it until they can come up with some idea. "Here's what I could have done. Here's what I should have done." And then they can start to relax. And that's one of the ways we distinguish the real experts from the ones who are just pretending: you ask people what's the last mistake they made, and the real experts know the last mistake they made because they're still processing it.Show Links:Recommended Resources:Martin SeligmanDaniel KahnemanAmos TverskyArab oil embargoBilly BeaneBen ShneidermanCase methodKnowledge shieldingGuest Profile:Gary-Klein.comShadowboxTraining.comWikipedia ProfileLinkedIn ProfileHis Work:Amazon Author PageSnapshots of the MindSources of Power: How People Make DecisionsSeeing What Others Don't: The Remarkable Ways We Gain InsightsStreetlights and Shadows: Searching for the Keys to Adaptive Decision MakingWorking Minds: A Practitioner's Guide to Cognitive Task AnalysisIntuition at Work: Why Developing Your Gut Instincts Will Make You Better at What You DoLinking Expertise and Naturalistic Decision MakingResearchGate ProfileResarch.com ProfileGoogle Scholar Page

Bass Angler Magazine Podcast
Pre-spawn Fishing/ Being a great angler with Gary Klein

Bass Angler Magazine Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 28, 2024 70:53


Gary Klein has been a staple in Bass fishing for more than thirty years, he has qualified for 30 Bassmaster Classics not to mention his success in Co founding the MLF Tour. An organization that has absolutely changed bass fishing as a sport. His Knowledge is unsurpassed and he shares with us in this episode his tips on how to catch pre-spawn bass and then pivots and gives a great lesson on how to be the best Pro Fisherman you can be. This was a show that was just great to listen to myself. I hope you the the time to really listen to the knowledge this man has to offer. 

The Thinking Leader
Rebroadcast - Episode 50: Best Guest Lessons

The Thinking Leader

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2023 35:21


In this rebroadcast of the 50th episode celebration, Producer James interviews Bryce about some of the most memorable conversations and valuable lessons from the podcast's first 50 episodes. Bryce talks about his background as a journalist and how the experience provided him with valuable insights into the inner workings of businesses and industries. He also discusses the decision to leave journalism and how podcasting has allowed him to continue his curiosity and learning through interviews with experts in their fields. Bryce loves how podcasting gives him the opportunity to share knowledge and ideas with an audience, and looks forward to continuing to bring thought-provoking content in the future. Listen to the conversations mentioned in this episode: Alan Mulally on Leadership in Times of Crisis Part 1 of Allan Mullaly's BPR process Gary Klein on Using Premortem Analysis Dave Snowden on Decision Making in Chaotic Scenarios Captain David Marquet on How To Lead Effectively Michael Kleeman on What The Human Race Has Built is Sub-Optimal Rose Fass on Chocolate Conversations Justin Foster on Coaching Leaders to make Real Change Rebecca Harding on The Weaponization of Trade Sign up to the Red Team Thinking Community - Use the coupon code THINKINGLEADER for a free 30-day trial: https://community.redteamthinking.com/checkout/general-membership Want to find out if you're a Red Team Thinker? Click here to take a free assessment and get your personalized report: https://www.redteamthinking.com/rttassessment Visit our website: https://redteamthinking.com Watch this episode on YouTube: www.red-team.tv Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/redteamthinking/ Connect with Bryce: https://www.linkedin.com/in/brycehoffman/ Bestselling business author Bryce Hoffman and agility expert Marcus Dimbleby talk about decision making, strategy, resilience and leadership with some of the world's best CEOs, cognitive scientists, writers, and thinkers in this weekly podcast. Each episode offers new ideas and insights you can use to become a better leader and a better thinker – because bad leaders react, good leaders plan, and great leaders think!

Bank Notes
Success Through Failure: The PreMortem Method

Bank Notes

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 5, 2023 43:55


Cognitive psychologist Gary Klein has spent his career examining how decisions get made across real-world scenarios. He is well-known for creating the PreMortem Method of Risk Assessment, an risk management exercise that helps project team members imagine potential problems upfront, rather than examining shortfalls in hindsight. In this episode, we dig into the how and why of Klein's premortem practice, what differentiates it from other strategic tools, as well as the challenges of integrating a culture of curiosity into established ways of working. 

Wellness Curated
S8 E2 | Beyond Perception: The Crossroads of Choice

Wellness Curated

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 22, 2023 53:49


In this episode of Wellness Curated, host Anshu Bahanda explores the world of decision-making with the distinguished guest, Gary Klein, pioneer of Naturalistic Decision Making (NDM) and author of "Sources of Power" and "The Power of Intuition," among other influential titles. Gary's groundbreaking work in collaboration with the U.S. Army and Marines has reshaped our understanding of decision-making in high-pressure situations.In this discussion, Gary shares insights from his extensive research and real-world applications of NDM. He highlights various professions, examining how instincts and intuition play a crucial role in decision-making processes.Tune in to unravel the secrets of making better choices, and explore the intriguing concept of 'shadowboxing,' a technique used by the US military and other domains that Gary Klein has influenced. Shadowboxing allows individuals to mentally prepare for various scenarios, anticipate challenges, and refine their decision-making skills.Listeners will gain a deeper understanding of decision-making, including distinguishing intuition from instinct, with insights from Gary's expertise in managing biases. This balanced episode considers rational thought and intuitive decisions, offering practical insights from Gary Klein's studies and examples to improve decision-making.If you liked our episode, you can subscribe to our podcast on any of the major podcasting platforms like Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and Google Podcasts. Please leave us a review on Apple iTunes and help others discover this podcast. You can visit wellnesscurated.life and follow us on Twitter @WellnessCurated, On Instagram @wellnesscuratedbyanshubahanda,On Facebook @Wellness Curated by Anshu Bahanda,On LinkedIn @Wellness Curated by Anshu Bahanda, And on YouTube @wellnesscuratedbyanshubahanda. for more wellness tips to help you live your best life.

Luminate with Lan Anh Vu
Gary Klein – How to Make Better Decisions

Luminate with Lan Anh Vu

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2023 51:27


Today's guest is Gary Klein, a cognitive psychologist and one of the world's leading experts on human decision making. He has spent the last 50 years studying how and why people make the decisions they do. He is the author of six books, including the popular Seeing What Others Don't: The Remarkable Ways We Gain Insights; Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions. His latest book "Snapshots of the Mind " is available now. Gary pioneered the naturalistic decision-making movement and is the founder of ShadowBox Training, a cognitive skills training company. In this episode, we talk about how humans make decisions and how leaders can make better ones. We also talk about pre-mortem analysis, intuition, mental simulation, shadow box and so much more.

Canterbury Rugby's Coaches Corner
Coaches Corner Episode 46 - Gary Klein

Canterbury Rugby's Coaches Corner

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 14, 2023 83:07


As a coach, I'm sure you've spent many hours on the training field trying to help develop your players' decision-making abilities or you've been scratching your head on why a player did one thing, when it was clear they should have done another. Today, I'm joined cognitive psychologist, author and the pioneer of naturalistic decisions making Gary Klein.

Stryker & Klein
6am- Wrong Way Gary, Klein's Flies and MORE

Stryker & Klein

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 29, 2023 24:42


This hour we get a call from Wrong Way Gary, Klein's daughter has a problem with him killing flies and we try to give away some money 

WeFishASA
Episode 346: Episode #346, February 8, 2023

WeFishASA

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2023 58:47


Gary Klein is the co-creator of Major League Fishing. In four short years, MLF has revolutionized the world of competitive bass fishing. Gary Klein takes time from his busy schedule to discuss some thoughts about today's landscape in pro bass fishing, the recent rule changes in MLF and the upcoming 2023 Major League Fishing Bass Pro Tour schedule. Gary Klein is one of the smartest guys in pro fishing, so please give him a listen.Dan Johnston from St. Croix joins us to talk about extreme weather. Mother Nature is a cruel trickster who can bedevil us with Saharan heat one day and cold rainstorms the next. What does a fisherman do when confronted with these extreme weather situations? Dan Stefanich is a skilled outdoorsman who has some incredible experience in the world of ice fishing. Dan drops in to update us on the ice fishing scene on the legendary Lake of the Woods.

The Building Science Podcast
Do you like it hot? Do you want it now? Do you want it to last forever?

The Building Science Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2023 80:04


Gary Klein is in hot water and that's a good thing. Hot water is the often-overlooked aspect of energy use in our homes and buildings and that makes zero sense. Energy for water heating is either the second largest, or in some cases the largest single energy use and does not get enough attention.As if that were not motivation enough, hot water is also the place where convenience and energy savings align perfectly because no one wants to wait for hot water and no one (arguably) wants to needlessly waste energy. With all the product based attention on ways to heat water - air-water heat pumps, electric, gas, tankless - it may surprise you to learn that once you have hot water what you do with it can matter even more. Join us in this action packed interview with Gary Klien, a true national treasure in the realm of water heating and distribution as he applies simple logic again and again to break down the How and the Why of having hot water arrive efficiently When and Where you need it. Gary KleinGary Klein is the principal and founder of Gary Klein and Associates. Every day, across the United States, millions of gallons of water and millions of Btus of energy are lost in our hot-water systems through a combination of structural and behavioral waste. Ours is an era where efforts to conserve resources have led to ever-increasing complexity, be it in water heaters that are harder to understand and use, be it in the smart grid and electric meters that tell the utility all about our behavior. Given human nature, it is our responsibility to provide the infrastructure that supports efficient behaviors.Gary Klein is tackling this issue in a different way, rejecting complexity and concentrating on elegant simplicity. He works to change building codes and to get architects and builders to use plumbing systems that, by their design, deliver hot water quickly and with minimal waste. He has looked at the structural and behavioral waste and believes great resource savings are to be had in both. When he gives a presentation, it's impossible to doze in the back row. He calls on people at random to serve as props, marks lines on the floor in tape, makes people think, and makes them laugh. It works.TeamHosted by Kristof IrwinProduced by M. WalkerEdited by Nico Mignardi

Impact Outdoors Podcast
Steven Bardin and Kanyan Klein - Taking Fisheries Management to the Next Level

Impact Outdoors Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2023 62:41


Steven Bardin, owner and operator of Texas Pro Lake Management, and Kanyan Klein, also of TPLM, were able to join us at the 2023 Hunt Fish Podcast Summit and we got to sit down and talk about some of the innovative ways they are able to manage private lakes and ponds for landowners in Texas and beyond. We also discussed the formation of the Black Bass Stewardship Group between Bardin and bass fishing legend Gary Klein, Kanyan's dad, and how this has all led to working with Major League Fishing and the creation of their Fisheries Management Division. With multiple research projects going on during the tournaments to collect valuable data on all the fish caught and the conservation projects that are done at a majority of their tournament trail lakes, they are doing some incredible work and in turn able to help the state DNRs that MLF visits. This is a great episode, and we really get into some great topics about issues facing the fishing and tournament industry. Follow Steven and Kanyan on their social media channels and websites: Texas Pro Lake Management – #REELBIOLOGY (txprolake.com) Black Bass Stewardship Group – Angler Stewardship in Action Fisheries Management - Major League Fishing Steven Bardin (@txprolake) • Instagram photos and videos Kanyan Klein (@kanyanskatch) • Instagram photos and videos Facebook Please make sure and hit the like and subscribe button and leave us a rating and review if possible. If you'd like to email us comments or guest suggestions, feel free to reach out to me at: derek@impactoutdoorspodcast.com Music provided by Epidemic Sound: https://www.epidemicsound.com/track/qQlXQ3C110/ https://www.epidemicsound.com/track/sYTlJi27lG/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Thinking Leader
Episode 71: Rebroadcast - Using PreMortem Analysis to Make Better Decisions with Gary A. Klein

The Thinking Leader

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2023 45:45


This week on the show we throw back to one of our most requested episodes, Bryce's conversation with Dr. Gary Klein. Gary is the creator of PreMortem Analysis, a powerful tool designed to help leaders understand the ways their plans could fail so that they can ensure that they don't. In addition to discussing the origins of PreMortem and how it is used, they talk about how humans make decisions and how leaders can make better ones – particularly in these challenging times. Gary also discusses his latest innovation, a training tool he calls ShadowBox. Dr. Gary A. Klein is a cognitive psychologist and one of the world's leading experts on human decision making. He is the author of several books, including Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions and Seeing What Others Don't: The Remarkable Ways We Gain Insights. Gary pioneered the naturalistic decision-making movement and is the president of ShadowBox Training. In this episode: What is naturalistic decision making and what it reveals about how people make decisions How Gary analyzed the way in which people really make decisions, particularly under time pressures What leaders can learn from firefighters in order to make better decisions What is ShadowBox and how it works Sign up to the Red Team Thinking Community - Use the coupon code THINKINGLEADER for a free 30-day trial: https://community.redteamthinking.com/checkout/general-membership Want to find out if you're a Red Team Thinker? Click here to take a free assessment and get your personalized report: https://www.redteamthinking.com/rttassessment Visit our website: https://redteamthinking.com Watch this episode on YouTube: www.red-team.tv Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/redteamthinking/ Connect with Bryce: https://www.linkedin.com/in/brycehoffman/ Connect with Marcus: https://www.linkedin.com/in/marcusdimbleby/ Bestselling business author Bryce Hoffman and agility expert Marcus Dimbleby talk about decision making, strategy, resilience and leadership with some of the world's best CEOs, cognitive scientists, writers, and thinkers in this weekly podcast. Each episode offers new ideas and insights you can use to become a better leader and a better thinker – because bad leaders react, good leaders plan, and great leaders think!

Kapital
K101. Luis Martín Cabiedes & Boro Mas. Gracias por dudar

Kapital

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2023 128:40


Ray Loriga en el podcast de Javier Aznar citaba una preciosa frase de David Bowie: «Gracias por dudar». Esa máxima resume el enfoque académico de Daniel Kahneman y Amos Tversky, dos psicólogos que cambiaron para siempre el matemático campo de la economía. El libro Deshaciendo errores narra la historia de su amistad. Su teoría prospectiva estudia las incoherencias en el modelo de conducta racional y Luis y Boro, que han tomado muchas decisiones en incertidumbre, eran los dos invitados perfectos. Antiguos episodios Kapital: K11. Boro Mas. Ganarse la vida. K45. Luis Martín Cabiedes. Amar la incertidumbre. K61. Boro Mas. La verdad de las mentiras. K83. Boro Mas & Teresa. Mad Men. Kapital es posible gracias a sus colaboradores: ⁠⁠⁠Indexa Capital⁠⁠⁠. Gestión pasiva en fondos indexados. Indexa Capital ofrece carteras de fondos y planes de pensiones indexados con diversificación global y con costes totales en torno a 0,60 % al año. Indexa es el gestor automatizado independiente líder en España, con 1.600 millones de euros gestionados, de más de 63.000 clientes. Si quieres, puedes abrirte una cuenta sin compromiso. Utiliza el enlace promocional de Kapital para beneficiarte de un descuento especial: 10.000 euros sin comisión de Indexa durante el primer año. Barcelona Finance School⁠⁠. Una escuela líder en finanzas. La Barcelona Finance School (BFS) es una escuela de finanzas con proyección internacional creada por el Instituto de Estudios Financieros (IEF). Su objetivo es compartir el conocimiento y la experiencia acumulados por esta entidad, con una trayectoria de más de 30 años y una estrecha vinculación con el sector financiero. La oferta académica de la Barcelona Finance School (BFS) incluye másteres, posgrados y cursos de especialización, todos ellos con acreditación universitaria. Enlace con 300 euros de descuento en la matrícula de su Máster en Finanzas. ⁠Equito App⁠. Invierte en tokens inmobiliarios. Muchos españoles no pueden invertir en inmuebles porque los bancos exigen un capital alto antes de conceder un préstamo. Equito App llega para cambiar esto. Esta aplicación te permite invertir en el sector inmobiliario desde tan solo 100 euros, a través de un préstamo participativo en el que los intereses varían según los rendimientos y la plusvalía del inmueble. Aprovecha el código NB543 para obtener 30 euros de descuento en tu primera inversión de 500. Esta oferta es válida por un tiempo limitado. Entra en Equito.app para conocer todos los detalles del proyecto. Índice: 2.55. El sesgo más peligroso: el exceso de confianza. 14.27. ¿Cómo explicar que dos académicos se vayan a la guerra? 23.14. Kahneman sería un muy mal consultor. 31.30. No hay riesgos buenos o malos, hay riesgos bien y mal pagados. 34.27. El problema no es la ignorancia, sino la ilusión del conocimiento. 40.51. Buscar la causalidad en la casualidad. 54.06. Dudar y pensar la respuesta como señal de inteligencia. 1.01.24. La psicología de las burbujas financieras. 1.14.28. Ulises atándose al mástil para no caer en la tentación. 1.26.02. Arquitectura de la decisión. 1.30.51. Enfriar la primera intuición. 1.40.32. Los unknown unknowns. 1.51.45. El consejo de Taleb: ir a fiestas. 2.00.04. La función asimétrica del valor. Apuntes: Pensar rápido, pensar despacio. Daniel Kahneman. Deshaciendo errores. Michael Lewis. Ruído. Daniel Kahneman & Olivier Sibony & Cass Sunstein. Prospect theory. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky. The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky. Judgement under uncertainty. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky. A failure to disagree. Daniel Kahneman & Gary Klein. Before you make that big decision. Daniel Kahneman & Dan Lovallo & Olivier Sibony. Nudge. Richard Thaler & Cass Sunstein. Antifrágil. Nassim Nicholas Taleb. El cisne negro. Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Focus. Daniel Goleman. Predictably irrational. Dan Ariely. Buddhism and modern psychology. Robert Wright.

Better Fishing with 2 Bald Biologists
REDCREST Special Edition #1

Better Fishing with 2 Bald Biologists

Play Episode Listen Later May 11, 2023 74:37


Ben and Corey are at REDCREST 2023 talking with Major League Fishing founder Gary Klein and anglers Britt Myers and Marty Robinson about the sport of bass fishing and the importance of fisheries conservation.

The Retrofit Podcast
#009: Gary Klein, Hot Water and Energy Efficiency

The Retrofit Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2023 75:41


In this episode of the Retrofit Podcast, host Ryan Shanahan talks with Gary Klein, who provides consulting on sustainability with a particular emphasis on hot water. Gary and Ryan go deep on residential plumbing, hot water delivery, good showers, and more.

Not Dead Yet
Getting into Hot Water with Gary Klein

Not Dead Yet

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2023 63:54


This week we talk with Gary Klein, Gary Klein & Associates. Gary has been talking energy efficiency since the late '70s and has been carrying the torch for better plumbing systems through better design, right-sizing pipes, understanding behaviors and ultimately striving to better integrate a high performance hot water system into these buildings. What does he think about tankless, heat pumps, and interconnectivity? We talk codes, Hunter Curves and much more.PERC, the Propane Education & Research Councilwww.propane.comSubscribe to the Appetite for Construction podcast at any of your favorite streaming channels and don't forget about the other ways to interact with the Mechanical Hub Team! Follow Plumbing Perspective IG @plumbing_perspective Follow Mechanical Hub IG @mechanicalhub Sign up for our newsletter at www.mechanical-hub.com/enewsletter Visit our websites at www.mechanical-hub.com and www.plumbingperspective.com

WeFishASA
Episode 347: Episode #346, February 8, 2023

WeFishASA

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 9, 2023 58:47


Gary Klein is the co-creator of Major League Fishing. In four short years, MLF has revolutionized the world of competitive bass fishing. Gary Klein takes time from his busy schedule to discuss some thoughts about today's landscape in pro bass fishing, the recent rule changes in MLF and the upcoming 2023 Major League Fishing Bass Pro Tour schedule. Gary Klein is one of the smartest guys in pro fishing, so please give him a listen.Dan Johnston from St. Croix joins us to talk about extreme weather. Mother Nature is a cruel trickster who can bedevil us with Saharan heat one day and cold rainstorms the next. What does a fisherman do when confronted with these extreme weather situations? Dan Stefanich is a skilled outdoorsman who has some incredible experience in the world of ice fishing. Dan drops in to update us on the ice fishing scene on the legendary Lake of the Woods.

Petros And Money
A Tu Hermano Tuesday (Hour 2) 1/10/23

Petros And Money

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 11, 2023 44:44


Number, Word and Song of the Day. LA Times Rams beat writer Gary Klein. Minor Sports Stories.

Naturalistic Decision Making
#39: The Origins and Future of Tactical Decision Games (TDGs) with John Schmitt

Naturalistic Decision Making

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2022 53:29


Today we welcome John Schmitt to the podcast. John is a Senior Research Associate and the head of the ShadowBox Danger Division, which focuses on decision training for law enforcement, military, firefighting, and other high-risk domains. John is a former Marine Corps infantry officer. As a captain, he authored Warfighting, the manual that introduced the Corps' new Maneuver Warfare operational doctrine and became the manifesto for the Marine Corps reforms of the 1990s. Warfighting has been reprinted commercially as a management guide for business leaders. He invented and popularized tactical decision games (TDGs), which have become a staple of Marine Corps training and have been exported to other domains. In 1994 he authored Mastering Tactics: A Tactical Decision Games Workbook. He has authored hundreds of TDGs. In 1999 he and Gary Klein developed the Recognitional Planning Model, a staff planning methodology based on Klein's Recognition-primed decision (RPD) model. His hobbies include cycling, soccer, reading and arguing with Gary. Learn more about John: [WEBINAR] Tackling Wicked Problems: Tools and Takeaways from the field of NDM ShadowBox Training Learn more about NDM: NaturalisticDecisionMaking.org Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making Where to find the hosts: Brian Moon Brian's website Brian's LinkedIn Brian's Twitter Laura Militello Laura's website Laura's LinkedIn Laura's Twitter

The Dan Patrick Show on PodcastOne
The Best of The Dan Patrick Show

The Dan Patrick Show on PodcastOne

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2022 40:11


On today's Dan Patrick Show, DP talks to Ross Tucker about the final week of NFL Preseason. What does this game mean to players on the cusp of making an NFL roster? Nick Wright discusses the situation with Russ and the Lakers. And LA Times writer Gary Klein explains what happened with the Rams and Bengals during their joint practice yesterday.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Leading the Rounds
The Stress Resistant Leader with Dr. Daniel Dworkis

Leading the Rounds

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2022 42:24


Dr. Daniel Dworkis is a clinical assistant professor of emergency medicine at University of Southern California and a medical officer for the Indian Health Service. He is the founder of The Lever institute, a virtual lab focused on building tools that help emergency departments become fulcrums for positive change in the communities they serve. His work focuses on the interface of emergency departments and population health, with an emphasis on geospatial analysis. His mission is to help everyone perform better in times of emergency and crisis. To this end he created and hosts  The Emergency Mind Podcast to bring lessons from the emergency department and beyond to you so you can apply knowledge under pressure and getting done what needs doing and done. He also wrote a book titled Emergency Mind: Wiring Your Brain for Performance Under PressureQuestions We Asked: Why did you feel the need to create The Emergency Mind? Is poise under pressure a learned skill or innate? What are valuable skills you have learned creating The Emergency Mind? How does someone successfully improve through a performance loop? What are ways to decrease stress while performing procedures? How does the Emergency Mind address team dynamics? How do you build a well functioning solid team?How do you run a successful debrief?  Advice for medical leaders under pressure? Book Suggestions? Quotes & Ideas: Applying knowledge under pressure is a separate learned skill What happens when you are trying to intubate a patient and miss the first time? How do you recover and make the second attempt? Prepare-> Perform-> Recover-> Evolve “Create an environment that sets you up for success” Experiment and be a scientist of yourself: Build->measure->learn Exposing yourself to stressful scenarios outside of the hospital can help you build skills to help clinically Use self-talk to help yourself manage acute stress When debriefing, learn to separate outcome from performance. You can sometimes have a poor outcome with perfect performance and also a good outcome with poor performance. Debriefs can use outcome vs. performance on a 2x2 matrix. Never Waste Suffering. Both ours as providers and the patients. Harness the wisdom in the room around you Practice when you are outside of pressure and then slowly introduce it to stressful situations Book Suggestions: Thinking Fast and Slow by Daniel Sources of Power by Gary Klein “A Failure to Disagree” paper by both Ghosts of the Fireground by Peter Leschak 

Serious Angler
PUNCHING 101 (Setups, Baits & WHY You Need To Punch Grass)

Serious Angler

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2022 57:13


On today's episode (Ep 307), we talk about punching grass mats! Setups to get started, baits to use and so much more. Ep with Gary Klein: https://youtu.be/2Xux3LQZNnQ Thanks for watching! Comment, Like and SUBSCRIBE! DISCOUNT CODES: -- NEW!! Get $40 off your X2Power AGM/Lithium battery by using code "serious40" at https://x2powerbattery.com/! Your battery will be shipped to your local Batteries Plus. -- Omnia Fishing: 15% off your first order, use code "SERIOUS" AND for 10% off after your first order use code "SERIOUS10" at (www.omniafishing.com) -- Hobie Eyewear (20% Off): Use This Link: https://shrsl.com/2w5mb & use code “SERIOUS20” -- Queen Tackle (20% Off): Use code “seriousangler20” at (https://www.queentackle.com/) Follow Along On Serious Angler Social Media: Instagram: www.instagram.com/seriousangler/ Facebook: www.facebook.com/SeriousAngler YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/SeriousAnglerBassFishing Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@seriousangler Have a question? Email us at theseriousangler@gmail.com ---------------- We can't choose the weather so why worry about it? Wear Blackfish and never have any worries about weather getting the best of you. Check em out at https://blackfishgear.com/ Do you have a bait you like that just isn't perfect? Become a tackle tinkerer with the help of our friends at Do-It Molds! Click this link to get set up: https://store.do-itmolds.com/ Want to order tackle from people that ACTUALLY fish and receive shipping you can TRUST? Order from the folks at Omnia Fishing! Use code "SERIOUS" to save yourself 15% and FREE shipping with orders over $50! https://www.omniafishing.com/ Have any boating or kayak needs? Give Morgan Marine a call and they will get you set up! Click the link below: https://www.morganmarine.net/ Are you looking to get yourself into the most efficient and highest rated fishing kayak? Check out Hobie Kayaks at: https://www.hobie.com/kayaks/ -------------- Follow Our Personal Social Media: Bailey's YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCOpM5fxOcUciqLsIB8dK7Ag Bailey's Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bailey_eigbrett/ Adam's Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/adam_deakin_/ Andy's Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fullfishingguideservice/ Andy's YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCkuwh_ttyk2uI6CKFHKNtAA Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BaileyEigbrettFishing Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FullFishingGuide ----- Want to get on some BIG Lake Erie Smallmouth Bass? Get in touch with Andrew and book a trip! Here is his Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/Fullfishingguideservice Andrew's Email: fullfishingguideservice@gmail.com Want assistance with Social Media, Website Creation, Podcasting, Content Creation and MORE? Check out Serious Angler Media Services! Email Bailey at baileyeigbrett97@gmail.com ----- #fishinggrass #SeriousAnglerPodcast #BassFishing --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/serious-angler/support

Podcast Notes Playlist: Latest Episodes
#144 Gary Klein: Insights For Making Better Decisions

Podcast Notes Playlist: Latest Episodes

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2022 89:59


Knowledge Project Podcast Notes Key Takeaways Insights are disorienting and they make you change the way you think; organizations think they want insights and innovation and say that they want innovation, but in reality, they don't, because insights force them to change Organizational mistakes are costly and public, but no one knows when an institution fails to make an insight, which is why they often default to error reduction Innovations have a track record of failure until they ultimately succeed, so it's easy to dismiss something that has failed 9 times, not knowing that a 10th iteration may have resulted in the innovation materializing Experts are well-aware of their mistakes; their mistakes eat away at them It's our natural tendency to dismiss anomalies because they threaten our existing worldview, but we should explore them when they happen  People tend to reach a certain level of performance, and then they stagnate; the ones that continue improving engage in a process of “unlearning” where they question their previously held notions about the given subject and explore new depths that would have otherwise remained unexplored had they not questioned their mental modelExperts welcome the chance to operate outside their comfort zone of routines because it may result in new insights, whereas journeymen are reluctant to operate in the gray area because their tried-and-true techniques and routines aren't useful Making mistakes + reflecting on those mistakes = progress toward becoming an expertBiases are related to our experiences; we don't dismiss our experiences, why should we dismiss our biases?“If the advantages and the disadvantages of the two options are almost perfectly balanced, it doesn't matter which one we pick.” – Gary Klein on the Zone of IndifferenceAnd yet people and committees will spend an enormous amount of time mulling over the choice when in reality it won't materially matter which one they chooseInstead of gaining compliance through fear and intimidation, work to gain compliance through trust and faith Read the full notes @ podcastnotes.orgCelebrated research psychologist Gary Klein has spent nearly 50 years studying how and why people make the decisions they do. On this episode, Klein calls on those five decades of experience to discuss pioneering the field of naturalistic decision making, the difference between experience and expertise, why some people stagnate at an intermediate level, Cognitive Flexibility Theory, the role of storytelling, how to gain insights, fixation errors, cognitive biases, mental models, how to fast-track expertise, and so much more.   During his career Klein has developed several models of cognitive processes as well as research and application methods, some of which have been incorporated in U.S. Army doctrine for command and control. In 2015 Klein founded ShadowBox LLC, a cognitive skills training company that has been employed in the military, law enforcement, healthcare, social services, and petrochemical domains, and provides a flexible, scenario-based training technique that allows trainees to see the world through the eyes of experts. He is also the author of five books, including the 2013 release Seeing What Others Don't: The Remarkable Ways We Gain Insights. -- Want even more? Members get early access, hand-edited transcripts, member-only episodes, and so much more. Learn more here: https://fs.blog/membership/ Every Sunday our Brain Food newsletter shares timeless insights and ideas that you can use at work and home. Add it to your inbox: https://fs.blog/newsletter/ Follow Shane on Twitter at: https://twitter.com/ShaneAParrish

The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish
#144 Gary Klein: Insights For Making Better Decisions

The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 9, 2022 89:59


Celebrated research psychologist Gary Klein has spent nearly 50 years studying how and why people make the decisions they do. On this episode, Klein calls on those five decades of experience to discuss pioneering the field of naturalistic decision making, the difference between experience and expertise, why some people stagnate at an intermediate level, Cognitive Flexibility Theory, the role of storytelling, how to gain insights, fixation errors, cognitive biases, mental models, how to fast-track expertise, and so much more.   During his career Klein has developed several models of cognitive processes as well as research and application methods, some of which have been incorporated in U.S. Army doctrine for command and control. In 2015 Klein founded ShadowBox LLC, a cognitive skills training company that has been employed in the military, law enforcement, healthcare, social services, and petrochemical domains, and provides a flexible, scenario-based training technique that allows trainees to see the world through the eyes of experts. He is also the author of five books, including the 2013 release Seeing What Others Don't: The Remarkable Ways We Gain Insights. -- Want even more? Members get early access, hand-edited transcripts, member-only episodes, and so much more. Learn more here: https://fs.blog/membership/ Every Sunday our Brain Food newsletter shares timeless insights and ideas that you can use at work and home. Add it to your inbox: https://fs.blog/newsletter/ Follow Shane on Twitter at: https://twitter.com/ShaneAParrish

H3 Podcast
Andrew Tate Nelk Podcast Disaster, Ethan's Dad Meets Jimmie Lee - H3TV #45

H3 Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 1, 2022 168:34


Today we break down the Andrew Tate Nelk Podcast dumpster fire, debut the first and last episode of the Elderlies podcast with Jimmie Lee & Gary Klein, and much more!

The NFL Rhodes Show with Lindsay Rhodes
Whose House with Kara Snead & Gary Klein

The NFL Rhodes Show with Lindsay Rhodes

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 31, 2022 67:26


After another incredible weekend of football, the Cincinnati Bengals and LA Rams have emerged as your Super Bowl 56 match-up! Lindsay kicks off the week by talking Rams with Kara Snead (former NFL Network reporter and wife of GM Les Snead), as well as the LA Times Gary Klein. They discuss how the so-called "Super Bowl or Bust" narrative took hold, how they got to this point and what it will mean for to host a Super Bowl in Los Angeles. Tune in Thursday as we go deep on Bengals!