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Atlantic tropical development on the horizon next week --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/todd-nardone4/message

AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENEDINTO TROPICAL STORM ARLENE...At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Arlene was located about 340 miles NNW of the western tip of Cuba. Arlene is moving toward the south near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this motion is expected to increase slightly through tonight.Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Arlene is expected to weaken by tonight, and it is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low on Saturday.Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) northeast of the center.The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with localized higher amounts up to 5 inches are possible through Saturday across portions of the central and southern Florida Peninsula. This rainfall is not directly related to Tropical Depression Two. Regardless, the heavy rainfall could lead to isolated flash, urban, and small stream flooding impacts.Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.Hurricanes.gov/Arlene --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/todd-nardone4/message

Update on the area of low pressure over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico:Recent satellite wind data, along with buoy and ship observations indicate the area of low pressure over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico has a broad but well-defined circulation with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the low is also showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions remain marginally favorable for additional development, and if these trends continue, a short-lived tropical depression or storm is likely to form as soon as this afternoon. The system is likely to meander over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico through tonight but begin a slow southward motion on Friday. By this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for additional development as the system continues moving southward, likely remaining offshore over the Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later this afternoon. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall could occur over portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. Additional information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather Prediction Center. It has a high (70 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and in the next 7 days. For the latest update, please visit: hurricanes.govFor the latest marine weather update: hurricanes.gov/marine --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/todd-nardone4/message

oday, in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico, showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico have increased and become better organized during the overnight hours. Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form over that time span as the system meanders over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. However, by this weekend environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for additional development as the system drifts southward, likely remaining offshore over the Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall could occur over portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. Additional information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather Prediction Center. It has a medium (50 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and in the next 5 days. For the latest updates, please visit: hurricanes.govFor the latest marine conditions, visit: hurricanes.gov/marine --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/todd-nardone4/message

Promo Force season of the Hurricane update,show update will officially start on June 1 2023 every hour for active Hurricane development. Every day from now on curve Hurricane development between 8 AM and 9 PM . Around-the-clock coverage war happens if a hurricane Calgary 4 Hurricane or a category 5 Hurricane determined by bra National Hurricane Center out of Miami Florida not new Germond not determined by our operational Hurricane division team . We will stay on top of it if the National Hurricane Center determined it is a Category 4 or Category 5 Hurricane with a maximum wind of 100 Mario per hour then aura overnight team. Will be activated for a 24-hour podcast Aaron social media Hurricane update. variance the hurricane season Journey at tnw weather.com either under the hurricane center tap or the National Hurricane Center tap each tab Will be different but everything you need to know about between though 2023 and 2024 Hurricane season --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/todd-nardone4/message

..DANIELLE BECOMES THE FIRST ATLANTIC HURRICANE OF THE SEASON... At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Danielle was about 885 miles (1425 km) west of the Azores (near latitude 37.9 North, longitude 43.3 West). Danielle is moving toward the west near 1 mph (2 km/h). The hurricane is forecast to meander over the open Atlantic during the next couple of days, then slowly turn toward the northeast early next week. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). For more information, please visit: www.hurricanes.gov/Danielle

To the Eastern North Pacific: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 300 miles south of the southern end of the Baja California Peninsula has become a little better organized overnight. Environmental conditions appear favorable for the development of this system and a tropical depression or tropical storm is forecast to form over the next day or so as it moves northwest at about 10 mph, prob able to remain several hundred miles offshore west of Baja California South. Additional information about this system, including gale warnings, can be found in the High Sea Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. It has a high (90 percent) chance of formation in the next 8 hours and 5 days. South-South Mexico: An area of severe weather has formed over the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Gradual development of this system is possible over the course of the next few days, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week as it moves westward or west-northwest Cer South and Southwest Coast CA Mexico. It has a low (10 percent) chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a medium (60 percent) chance in the next 5 days. www.hurricanes.gov

.DARBY RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES... At 1200 AM HST (1000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Darby was located near latitude 14.5 North, and longitude 122.2 West. Darby is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A westward motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days, followed by a gradual turn toward the west-northwest later this week. Recent satellite images indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is possible, and Darby could become a major hurricane later today. A weakening trend is expected to begin later this week. Darby is a small hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches). Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. hurricanes.gov/#Darby

..CELIA EXPECTED TO START WEAKENING LATER THIS WEEKEND... At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Celia was about 340 miles ( 545 km) south of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Celia is moving towards the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A continued west-northwestward motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected through early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Celia is expected to gradually weaken for the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). SURF: Swells are affecting portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico and will spread northward to the southern Baja California peninsula and the coast of west-central Mexico today. These conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. Please visit: www.hurricanes.gov

CELIA BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN... At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Celia was about 365 miles (590 km) south of Acapulco, Mexico. Celia is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn to the west-northwest is expected by tonight, and that motion should continue during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is expected, and Celia is forecast to become a hurricane in a few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). SURF: Swells will likely increase along portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico in a couple of days. These conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. Please visit: www.hurricanes.gov

..ALEX BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA... At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Alex was about 130 miles ( 210 km) north-northeast of Bermuda. Alex is moving toward the east-northeast near 29 mph (46 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue into Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast, and Alex is expected to become an extratropical low later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. During the past couple of hours, the Bermuda Airport reported a sustained wind of 43 mph (69 km/h) with a gust to 56 mph (90 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). WIND: Tropical storm conditions should continue on Bermuda for the next several hours. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE IN BERMUDA AS ALEX PASSES NEARBY... At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Alex is about 100 miles (was located near latitude 33.8 North, longitude 65.1 West. Alex is moving toward the east-northeast near 28 mph (44 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue until the storm is absorbed tomorrow. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Alex is expected to become an extratropical low later today. WIND: Tropical storm conditions should continue in Bermuda through this afternoon. The Bermuda Airport reported a sustained wind of 39 mph (63 km/h) with a gust to 59 mph (95 km/h) within the last hour. A Bermuda Weather Service buoy at Crescent Reef, just north of Bermuda, recently reported a sustained wind of 55 mph (89 km/h) with a gust to 72 mph (116 km/h). An automated station at the Bermuda Heliport reported a sustained wind of 49 mph (79 km/h) and a gust to 67 mph (108 km/h). WIND: Tropical storm conditions should continue on Bermuda through this afternoon. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Alex is expected to bring 1 to 2 inches or 25 to 50 mm of rain across Bermuda through this afternoon. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

..DISTURBANCE NOW CROSSING SOUTH FLORIDA… ...FLOODING RAINS OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA... At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the disturbance IS ABOUT 35 MILES (60 km) northeast of Naples, Florida. The system is moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the east-northeast with an additional increase in forward speed is expected on Sunday, followed by a turn toward the east Monday night. On the forecast track, the disturbance is expected to move across southern or central Florida today, over the southwestern Atlantic north of the Bahamas tonight, and near or to the north of Bermuda on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm off the east coast of Florida by tonight, and some strengthening is forecast tonight through Monday as the system moves farther away from Florida over the western Atlantic. It has a high (90 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and during the next five days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 210 miles (335 km) to the east of the center. Over the past few hours, a weather station at Fowey Rocks near Miami, Florida reported sustained winds of 46 mph (74 km/h) and a wind gust of 56 mph (91 km/h) at an elevation of 144 ft (44 m). RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall will continue to affect portions of South Florida and the Keys through this morning, beginning to diminish this afternoon. Heavy rainfall will continue across the northwestern Bahamas through today. The following storm totals are expected: South Florida: Storm total of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maxima of 15 inches. Considerable flash and urban flooding is expected. Florida Keys: Storm total of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maxima of 10 inches. This rain may produce flash and urban flooding. Northwestern Bahamas: Storm total of 4 to 8 inches with maxima of 12 inches. This rain may produce flash and urban flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in Florida today, especially in squalls, and in the northwestern Bahamas by this afternoon. STORM SURGE: Storm surge could raise water levels by as much 1- 3 ft above normal tide levels in the extreme northwestern Bahamas. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. TORNADOES: A couple tornadoes are possible over the southern Florida Peninsula and Upper Keys through early afternoon. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

.FLOODING RAINS OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA... ...THE DISTURBANCE SHOULD MOVE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY… At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the poorly defined center of the disturbance was located about 45 miles (70 km) south-southwest of Ft. Myers, Florida. The system is moving faster toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the east-northeast with an additional increase in forward speed is expected on Sunday, followed by a turn toward the east Monday night. On the forecast track, the disturbance is expected to move across southern or central Florida today, over the southwestern Atlantic north of the Bahamas tonight, and near or to the north of Bermuda on Monday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts, mainly in squalls. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm off the east coast of Florida by tonight, and some strengthening is forecast tonight through Monday as the system moves farther away from Florida over the western Atlantic. It has a high (90 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and during the next five days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km) to the east of the center. Over the past few hours, a weather station at Government Cut near Miami, Florida reported sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h) and a wind gust of 53 mph (85 km/h) at an elevation of 75 ft (23 m). RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall will affect portions of South Florida, the Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas through today. The following storm totals are expected: South Florida: Storm total of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maxima of 15 inches. Considerable flash and urban flooding are expected. Florida Keys: Storm total of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maxima of 10 inches. This rain may produce flash and urban flooding. Northwestern Bahamas: Storm total of 4 to 8 inches with maxima of 12 inches. This rain may produce flash and urban flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in Florida today, especially in squalls, and in the northwestern Bahamas by this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are still possible in western Cuba through this morning, mainly in squalls. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Marco Island, FL to North Miami Beach, FL including Biscayne Bay...1-2 ft Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas...1-2 ft Extreme Northwestern Bahamas: Storm surge could raise water levels by as much 1- 3 ft above normal tide levels. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible over the southern Florida Peninsula and Upper Keys through the early afternoon. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. www.nhc.noaa.gov

.DISTURBANCE MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST... Northwestern Bahamas: 3 to 6 inches with maximum of 10 inches. This rain may produce flash and urban flooding. At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the disturbance was about 350 miles (560 km) southwest of Ft. Myers, Florida. The system is moving toward the northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the system should move across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico tonight, across the southern and central portions of the Florida Peninsula on Saturday, and then over the southwestern Atlantic north of the northwestern Bahamas late Saturday through Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is expected to develop a well-defined center and become a tropical storm tonight, and some slight strengthening is possible while it approaches Florida. Additional strengthening is possible after the system moves east of Florida over the western Atlantic Saturday night and Sunday. It has a high (90 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and during the next five days. RAINFALL: The potential tropical cyclone will continue to produce heavy rains across western Cuba through today. Heavy rain will begin to affect Central Florida, South Florida and the Keys today through Saturday, and affect northwestern Bahamas tonight through Saturday. The following storm total rainfall amounts are expected: Western Cuba: 6 to 10 inches, with isolated maxima of 14 inches. This rain may cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. Central Florida, South Florida, and the Florida Keys: 4 to 8 inches with maxima of 12 inches across South Florida and in the Keys This rain may produce considerable flash and urban flooding. Northwestern Bahamas: 3 to 6 inches with maxima of 10 inches. This rain may produce flash and urban flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in Cuba through tonight, in Florida tonight and on Saturday, and in the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Cuba this afternoon and tonight. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Marco Island, FL to Card Sound Bridge...1-3 ft Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Marco Island, FL...1-2 ft Charlotte Harbor...1-2 ft Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas...1-2 ft Card Sound Bridge to North Miami Beach, FL including Biscayne Bay...1-2 ft Extreme Northwestern Bahamas: storm surge could raise water levels by as much 1- 3 ft above normal tide levels. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible over the southern Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys tonight and Saturday. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

...DISTURBANCE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO… ...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA… At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the disturbance was about 125 miles (200 km) north of Cozumel, Mexico and about 430 miles (690 km) southwest of Ft. Myers, Florida. The system is moving toward the northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed starting later today. On the forecast track, the system should move across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico through tonight, across the southern and central portions of the Florida Peninsula on Saturday, and then over the southwestern Atlantic north of the northwestern Bahamas Saturday afternoon through Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is expected to develop a well-defined center and become a tropical storm later today, and some slight strengthening is possible while it approaches Florida today and tonight. Additional strengthening is possible after the system moves east of Florida over the western Atlantic late Saturday and Sunday. It has a high (90 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and during the next five days. RAINFALL: The potential tropical cyclone will continue to produce heavy rains across western Cuba through today. Heavy rain will begin to affect Central Florida, South Florida and the Keys today through Saturday, and affect northwestern Bahamas tonight through Saturday. The following storm total rainfall amounts are expected: Western Cuba: 6 to 10 inches, with isolated maxima of 14 inches. This rain may cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. Central Florida, South Florida, and the Florida Keys: 4 to 8 inches with maxima of 12 inches across South Florida and in the Keys This rain may produce considerable flash and urban flooding. Northwestern Bahamas: 3 to 6 inches with maxima of 10 inches. This rain may produce flash and urban flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in Cuba today and tonight, in Florida tonight and on Saturday, and in the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Cuba today and tonight. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Marco Island, FL to Card Sound Bridge...1-3 ft Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Marco Island, FL...1-2 ft Charlotte Harbor...1-2 ft Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas...1-2 ft Card Sound Bridge to North Miami Beach, FL including Biscayne Bay...1-2 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible over South Florida beginning this evening and continuing through Saturday. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. www.nhc.noaa.gov

DISTURBANCE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the disturbance was centered about 125 miles (200 km) north of Cozumel, Mexico and about 420 miles (675 km) southwest of Ft. Myers, Florida. The system is moving toward the northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected to begin later today and continue through Sunday. On the forecast track, the system is forecast to move across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico through tonight, across the southern and central portions of the Florida Peninsula on Saturday, and then over the southwestern Atlantic north of the northwestern Bahamas Saturday afternoon through Sunday. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is expected to develop a well-defined center and become a tropical storm later today, and some slight strengthening is possible while it approaches Florida today and tonight. Additional strengthening is possible after the system moves east of Florida over the western Atlantic late Saturday and Sunday. It has a high (90 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and during the next five days. RAINFALL: The potential tropical cyclone will continue to produce heavy rains across western Cuba through today. Heavy rain will begin to affect Central Florida, South Florida and the Keys today through Saturday, and affect the northwestern Bahamas tonight through Saturday. The following storm total rainfall amounts are expected: Western Cuba: 6 to 10 inches, with isolated maxima of 14 inches. This rain may cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. Central Florida, South Florida, and the Florida Keys: 4 to 8 inches with maxima of 12 inches across South Florida and in the Keys. This rain may produce considerable flash and urban flooding. Northwestern Bahamas: 3 to 6 inches with maxima of 10 inches. This rain may produce flash and urban flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in Cuba later today and tonight, in Florida tonight and on Saturday, and in the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Cuba today and tonight. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Marco Island, FL to Card Sound Bridge...1-3 ft Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Marco Island, FL...1-2 ft Charlotte Harbor...1-2 ft Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas...1-2 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible over South Florida beginning this evening and continuing through Saturday. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. www.nhc.noaa.gov

On this Thursday afternoon, a broad area of low pressure located over the northeastern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Yucatan Peninsula. Despite strong upper-level winds, this system is likely to become a tropical depression or tropical storm while it moves slowly northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or two. Interests in western Cuba, the Florida Keys, the Florida Peninsula, and the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system, and tropical storm watches or warnings will likely be required for some of these areas later today. It has a high (90 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and during the next five days. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall are likely across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and western Cuba during the next day or so, spreading across southern and central Florida and the Florida Keys Friday and Friday night, and the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday. These heavy rains could cause scattered to numerous flash floods across South Florida and the Florida Keys. www.hurricanes.gov

On this Thursday morning, NHC is closely monitoring a broad area of low pressure located over the northeastern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Yucatan Peninsula. Despite strong upper-level winds, this system is likely to become a tropical depression or tropical storm while it moves slowly northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the southeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or two. Interests in western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for some of these areas later today. It has a high (80 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a during the next five days. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall are likely across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and western Cuba during the next day or so, spreading across southern and central Florida and the Florida Keys Friday and Friday night, and the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday. These heavy rains could cause scattered to numerous flash floods across South Florida and the Florida Keys. Elsewhere, shower activity associated with a weak surface trough located about 200 miles east-northeast of the northwestern Bahamas has diminished, and upper-level winds remain strong in the area. Development of this system is not expected while it moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph over the southwestern Atlantic during the next couple of days. It has a near zero chance of development during the next 48 hours and five days. www.hurricanes.gov

n this Wednesday afternoon, NHC is closely monitoring a broad area of low pressure located near the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Yucatan Peninsula. Despite strong upper-level winds, gradual development is forecast and this system is likely to become a tropical depression while it moves slowly northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or two. It has a high (70 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a high (80 percent) chance during the next five days. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula during the next day or so, spreading across western Cuba, South Florida, and the Florida Keys on Friday and Saturday. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. Elsewhere, a weak surface trough located about 150 miles northeast of the northwest Bahamas is producing disorganized shower activity. Surface pressures are currently high across the area, and significant development of this system appears unlikely as it moves generally east-northeastward the next several days away from the southeastern United States. It has a low (10 percent) chance during the next 48 hours and five days. www.hurricanes.gov

.REMNANTS OF AGATHA EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE... The mountainous terrain of southern Mexico continues to take a toll on Agatha. Although a fairly well-defined mid-level circulation is still evident in satellite imagery, the low-level center has dissipated over southern Mexico. Therefore, this will be the final advisory on Agatha. At 10 a.m. CDT, the remnants were located about 80 miles (125 km) north-northeast of Salina Cruz, Mexico. The remnants are moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the remnants of Agatha will continue to move inland over southern Mexico today. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). Additional weakening is expected today. Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico through tonight. The following storm total rainfall amounts are currently expected: - Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican states of Veracruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on heavy rainfall and flooding, please see products issued by your national meteorological service.

..LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DUE TO AGATHA'S HEAVY RAINS... A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bahias de Huatulco eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan Mexico. Tropical storm conditions, especially in squalls, are expected to continue in the warning area through this morning. At 4 a.m. CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Agatha was located inland over Mexico about 45 miles (75 km) north-northwest of Santa Cruz. It's moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will continue to move farther inland over southern Mexico this morning. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). Further weakening is expected, and Agatha is forecast to dissipate over southern Mexico by this afternoon. Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico through tonight. The following storm total rainfall amounts are currently expected: - Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican states of Veracruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, withisolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 10 a.m. CDT - www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Agatha

.AGATHA MAKES LANDFALL JUST WEST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN SPREADING INLAND... * A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua. * A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Barra De Tonala. * A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan and Lagunas de Chacahua westward to Punta Maldonado. Hurricane conditions will continue to spread inland within a portion of the hurricane warning area through this evening. Hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area through this evening. Tropical storm conditions will spread eastward within the warning area through tonight. Satellite imagery indicates that Hurricane Agatha has made landfall along the coast of southern Mexico just west of Puerto Angel, Mexico. At 4 p.m. CDT, the center of Agatha was located inland about 5 miles (10 km) west of Puerto Angel. It's moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will continue to move inland over Oaxaca through early Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches). Rapid weakening is expected as the hurricane moves farther inland. Agatha is forecast to weaken to a tropical storm later tonight, and dissipate over southeastern Mexico by late Tuesday. Storm surge is expected to produce dangerous coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where the center of Agatha makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico through Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected: - Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican states of Veracruz, Tabasco and eastern portions of Guerrero: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 10 p.m. CDT - www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Agatha

...AGATHA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN MEXICO LATER TODAY... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN SPREADING INLAND ACROSS OAXACA... * A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua. * A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Barra De Tonala. * A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan and Lagunas de Chacahua westward to Punta Maldonado. Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area and possible in the watch area by this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions have begun along the coast of Oaxaca and will spread eastward within the warning area through the day. At 10 a.m. CDT, the center of Hurricane Agatha was located over the eastern Pacific Ocean about 50 miles (80 km) southwest of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Agatha is moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will make landfall in the state of Oaxaca, Mexico, this afternoon or this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). An observation in Puerto Angel recently reported a wind gust of 40 mph (65 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches). Little change in strength is expected to occur today before Agatha reaches the coast of Oaxaca. Rapid weakening is expected after landfall, and Agatha is forecast to dissipate over southeastern Mexico by late Tuesday. Storm surge is expected to produce dangerous coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where the center of Agatha makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico through Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected: -Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican states of Veracruz, Tabasco and eastern portions of Guerrero: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 4 p.m. CDT - www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Agatha

..SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS NOW OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF OAXACA... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER OAXACA THROUGH THE DAY... * A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua. * A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Barra De Tonala. * A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan and Lagunas de Chacahua westward to Punta Maldonado. Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area and possible in the watch area on Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning tonight or early Monday. At 4 a.m. CDT, the center of Hurricane Agatha was located over the eastern Pacific Ocean about 100 miles 160 km) southwest of the Puerto Angel, Mexico. Agatha is moving toward the northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will make landfall in the state of Oaxaca, Mexico, this afternoon or this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches). Little change in strength is expected today before Agatha reaches the coast of Oaxaca. Rapid weakening is expected after landfall, and Agatha is forecast to dissipate over southeastern Mexico by late Tuesday. Storm surge is expected to produce dangerous coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where thecenter of Agatha makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico by later today into Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected: - Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. - Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 10 a.m. CDT - www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Agatha

.AGATHA ALMOST A MAJOR HURRICANE... ...WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DETERIORATING IN SOUTHERN MEXICO TONIGHT... * A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua. * A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Barra De Tonala. * A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan and Lagunas de Chacahua westward to Punta Maldonado. Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area and possible in the watch area on Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning tonight or early Monday. At 4 p.m. CDT, the center of Hurricane Agatha was located over the eastern Pacific Ocean about 185 miles (295 km) southwest of the Puerto Angel, Mexico. drifting to the northeast near 1 mph (2 km/h), and a faster northeastward motion is expected to begin tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will make landfall in southern Mexico Monday afternoon or evening. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The minimum central pressure based on data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 964 mb (28.47 inches). Additional strengthening is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours and Agatha is forecast to become a major hurricane when it reaches the coast of southern Mexico on Monday. Storm surge is expected to produce dangerous coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where thecenter of Agatha makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico by later today into Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected: - Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. - Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 10 p.m. CDT - www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Agatha

.AGATHA RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING... ...ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED BEFORE THE HURRICANE REACHES THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO ON MONDAY... * A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua. * A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Barra De Tonala. * A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan and Lagunas de Chacahua westward to Punta Maldonado. Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area and possibly in the watch area on Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning tonight or early Monday. At 10 a.m. CDT, the center of Hurricane Agatha was located over the eastern Pacific Ocean about 200 miles (320 km) west-southwest of the Puerto Angel, Mexico. Agatha is moving toward the north-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A turn toward the northeast is expected later today, with a motion toward the northeast continuing through Monday night. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will approach the southern coast of Mexico later today and tonight and make landfall there on Monday. Agatha is rapidly strengthening. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches). Additional strengthening is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours and Agatha is forecast to be near major hurricane strength when it reaches the coast of southern Mexico on Monday. Storm surge is expected to produce dangerous coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where thecenter of Agatha makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico by later today into Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected: - Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. - Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 4 p.m. CDT - www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Agatha

FIRST NAMED STORM OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON FORMS OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY AS IT APPROACHES SOUTHERN MEXICO... A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the southern coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Punta Maldonado. Hurricane conditions are possible within that area on Monday, with tropical storm conditions possible late Sunday or early Monday. Interests elsewhere in southern Mexico should closely monitor the progress of Agatha. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required for portions of this area later today. At 7 a.m. CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Agatha was located over the eastern North Pacific Ocean about 220 miles (355 km) southwest of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Agatha is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the northeast by Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will approach the southern coast of Mexico on Sunday and make landfall there on Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). Additional steady to rapid strengthening is forecast to occur, and Agatha is expected to become a hurricane on Sunday. Storm surge could produce coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center passes the coast in areas of onshore winds. The surge may be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico by Sunday into Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected: - Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican states of Chiapas and the eastern portions of Guerrero: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. - Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 10 a.m. CDT - www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Agatha

On this Monday morning, there is a trough of low pressure located over the eastern North Pacific Ocean several hundred miles southwest of the coast of Mexico. It continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some slow development while this system drifts eastward

Beautiful Friday - Enjoy! H:81

The US president Joe Biden travels to New York, And New Jersey to survey the damage from hurricane IDA.

Saturday, August 28, 2021 update on rapid intensifying hurricane ida.

Sunday morning August 15, 2021 Tropical Storm Grace Update. From the national hurricane center _ NHC.

Tropical storm Grace update from National hurricane center

Here is the tropical advisory on The Atlantic Ocean at this hour. On Monday morning June 14, 2021

Stay tuned for new episodes of the TNW news podcast with hurricane season right around the corner new episodes will come out soon.

Tropical storm zeta Update Tuesday, October 27, 2020

Tropical storm beta Live podcast, update on tnw news NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT BETA HAS REDEVELOPED A LITTLE FARTHER TO THE WEST... *** A Storm Surge Warning is in effect from Port Aransas, Texas to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, Louisiana, including Copano Bay, Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay, Galveston Bay, Sabine Lake, and Lake Calcasieu. *** A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Port Aransas Texas to Morgan City Louisiana. *** A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas Texas. Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the tropical storm warning area along the southwestern Louisiana coast and will spread westward to the warning areas in Texas late today through early Monday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area along the south Texas coast on Monday. A tornado or two could occur Monday near the middle-to-upper Texas coast or the southwestern Louisiana coast. Through Thursday, Beta is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12 inches with isolated totals of 20 inches from the middle Texas coast to southern Louisiana, with 4 to 8 inches spreading northward into the lower Mississippi River Valley by mid-week. Flash and urban flooding is likely, as well as minor to isolated moderate river flooding. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office www.weather.gov At 1 p.m. CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Beta was located about 180 miles (290 km) east-southeast of Port O'Connor, Texas. Beta is moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue during the next day or so. A decrease in forward speed and a turn to the north and northeast is expected Monday night and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beta will continue to move toward the coast of Texas and will likely move inland by Monday night, and remain close to the coast of southeastern Texas on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days before Beta reaches the Texas coast. Weakening is anticipated once Beta moves inland. The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... - Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA to Ocean Springs, MS including Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Maurepas...1-3 ft - Port Aransas, TX to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA including Copano Bay, Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay, Galveston Bay, Sabine Lake, and Calcasieu Lake... 2-4 ft - Baffin Bay, TX to Port Aransas, TX including Corpus Christi Bay and Baffin Bay... 1-3 ft - Mouth of the Rio Grande to Baffin Bay, TX...1-2 ft The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 4 p.m. CDT - www.hurricanes.gov

Hurricane briefing on hurricane Sally.

Listen to my latest podcast and update on tropical depression. .CRISTOBAL WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION BUT CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVYRAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING... The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning from Campeche to Coatzacoalcos.There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Tropical storm watches or warnings may be required for portions of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico later today. Interests there and along the northern coast of the Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of Cristobal. As of 10 a.m. CDT, the center of now Tropical Depression Cristobal (pronounced krees-TOH-bahl) was located inland over Mexico about 160 miles (260 km) south-southwest Campeche.The depression is moving toward the east-southeast near 3 mph (6 km/h), and this motion should continue through midday. On the forecast track, the center will move over the land mass of extreme northwestern Guatemala and eastern Mexico today and tonight. The center is forecast to move back over the southern Gulf of Mexico Friday or Friday night, over the central Gulf of Mexico on Saturday, and approach the northern Gulf of Mexico coast Sunday and Sunday night. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected to occur through tonight. Re-intensification is expected to begin on Friday. Cristobal is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Saturday: Mexican states of Campeche, Quintana Roo, Tabasco, and Yucatan... - Additional 6 to 12 inches, isolated storm totals of 25 inches. -Mexican states of Veracruz and Oaxaca...Additional 5 to 10 inches. - Southern Guatemala and parts of Chiapas...Additional 15 to 20 inches, isolated storm total amounts of 35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th. - El Salvador...Additional 10 to 15 inches, isolated storm total amounts of 35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th. - Belize and Honduras...Additional 3 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches. Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 4 p.m. CDT with an intermediate advisory at 1 p.m. CDT - www.hurricanes.gov

Listen to my latest podcast episode where the tropical storm makes landfall. Tropical storm makes landfall Tropical storm . From ...CRISTOBAL MAKES LANDFALL IN THE STATE OF CAMPECHE, MEXICO... Reports from a U.S Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Tropical Storm Cristobal has made landfall near Atasta, Mexico, just to the west of Ciudad del Carmen. The maximum winds were estimated to be 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. As of 8:35 a.m. CDT, Cristobal was centered inland about 20 miles (30 km) west of Ciudad Del Carmen, Mexico, moving toward the southeast at 3 mph (6 km/h). The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 10 a.m. CDT - www.hurricanes.gov

Tropical depression podcast update . Here is the transcript from the national hurricane center . DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... ...LIFE-THREATENING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA... A Tropical Storm Warning continues along the coast of Mexico from Campeche westward to Puerto de Veracruz. Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area tonight. As of 7 a.m. CDT, Tropical Depression Three is centered over the Bay of Campeche about 125 miles (200 km) west of Campeche, Mexico. It's moving toward the west near 3 mph (5 km/h). On the forecast track, the center is forecast to be near the coast of the southern Bay of Campeche tonight through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today. When that occurs, it will be named Cristobal (pronounced krees-TOH-bahl). A U.S. Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later this morning. Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 20 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches over parts of the Mexican states of Tabasco, Veracruz, and Campeche. The depression is also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over northern Chiapas and other Mexican states, Quintana Roo and Yucatan. Additional rainfall of 10 to 15 inches, with isolated amounts of 25 inches is expected along the Pacific coasts of Chiapas, Guatemala, and El Salvador. Some of these Pacific locations received 20 inches of rain over the weekend, and storm total amounts of 35 inches are possible. Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 10 a.m. CDT - www.hurricanes.gov

Listen to my podcast episode on the 11 AM Florida time advisory on post tropical storm Arthur. ARTHUR BECOMES POST-TROPICAL... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. At 11 a.m. EDT, the center of now Post-Tropical Storm Arthur was located about 400 miles (645 km) east-northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. It's moving toward the east near 15 mph (24 km/h), and Arthur is expected to gradually turn southward and slow down over the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. Some gradual weakening is forecast to occur beginning tonight and continuing through Wednesday. Swells generated by Arthur are expected to affect portions of the mid-Atlantic and southeast U.S. coasts during the nextday or two. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office - www.weather.gov This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service at http://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Listen to the podcast for your tropical storm update. Here is the readout from NHC the national hurricane center ARTHUR BRINGING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... A Tropical Storm Warning continues from Surf City to Duck, North Carolina, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area today. At 8 a.m. EDT, the center of Tropical Storm Arthur was located about 50 miles (85 km) east-southeast of Morehead City, North Carolina. It's moving toward the north-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h). On the forecast track, the center will approach the coast of North Carolina during the next few hours, and then move near or just east of the coast of North Carolina later today. Arthur is then forecast to turn away from the east coast of the United States tonight and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) mainly to the east of the center. NOAA buoy 41025 located about 20 miles (30 km) south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, has recently reported a wind gust to 43 mph (69 km/h). While some strengthening is forecast to occur during the next 48 hours, Arthur is likely to lose its tropical characteristics on Tuesday. Arthur is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over coastal North Carolina through this afternoon, with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches. Swells generated by Arthur are affecting portions of the southeast U.S. coast and are expected to spread northward along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast during the next day or two. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office - www.weather.gov. The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 11 a.m. EDT - www.hurricanes.gov

Tropical Storm Arthur was last recorded at 31.00, -77.30 with NNE wind speeds of 45mph! https://storms.pw/at202001

Watch my tropical storm Arthur update this morningtropical storm Arthur update this morning. Here is the readout from NHC ..ARTHUR MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD... Tropical Storm Arthur is centered at 8 a.m. EDT about 355 miles (575 km) south-southwest of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. It's moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected to occur during the next 24 to 48 hours. On the forecast track, Arthur will remain well offshore the east coast of Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina today, and then move near or just east of the coast of North Carolina on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. Some strengthening is forecast to occur during the next 48 hours. Arthur is likely to lose its tropical characteristics on Tuesday. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Surf City to Duck, North Carolina, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sound. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area on Monday. Arthur is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over coastal North Carolina tonight and Monday, with locally higher amounts. Swells generated by Arthur are affecting portions of the east coast of Central and North Florida. These swells are expected to spread northward during the next few days, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions across much of the U.S. southeast and mid-Atlantic coasts. Please consult products from your local weather office - www.weather.gov The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 11 a.m. EDT- hurricanes.gov

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azardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL 1059 AM CDT Sat May 25 2019 ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019- 261600- Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage-Cook- La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Will-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford- Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton- 1059 AM CDT Sat May 25 2019 /1159 AM EDT Sat May 25 2019/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North Central Illinois...Northeast Illinois and Northwest Indiana. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Elevated Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated: Elevated hail risk this evening...up to Quarter size. Limited damaging wind risk this evening...up to 60 mph. Limited Flooding Risk tonight. DISCUSSION... A few showers and possibly a thunderstorm will exit the early by early afternoon. Later this afternoon additional thunderstorms are likely to develop over Iowa in advance of an approaching cold front. These storms could shift eastward into portions of northern IL mid to late evening. Should these storms make into the area, conditions will be favorable for some strong to possibly severe thunderstorms. Large hail and damaging winds would be the primary threats. Some locally heavy rainfall will also be possible with these storms tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Sunday... Limited Severe Thunderstorm Risk. Monday... Elevated Severe Thunderstorm Risk. Limited Flooding Risk. Tuesday... Elevated Severe Thunderstorm Risk. Wednesday... Limited Non Thunderstorm Wind Risk. Friday... Elevated Thunderstorm Risk. DISCUSSION: While there will be many dry hours, there will also be periodic bouts of showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday. Some potential does exist for both severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall, possibly resulting in flooding. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters may be needed this evening. GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY: Moving toward the east at 35 to 45 mph. $$

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