THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast

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The Window is a sports betting podcast hosted and produced by a professional sports bettor, Matt Russell, from a Canadian perspective. Don’t let the geography fool you, Matt dives deep into NCAA sports, NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL. If you can bet on it, Matt probably has a take on it. Find out how the pros are betting the game and cashing tickets at the window. Matt’s a 2-time Supercontest cash winner, and finally he’s sharing his knowledge about sports betting and the markets. Follow him on twitter: @mrussauthentic

Matt Russell


    • Aug 17, 2021 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekdays NEW EPISODES
    • 57m AVG DURATION
    • 325 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast

    HOW I SPENT MY SUMMER “VACATION” (8.17): Major show announcement and emptying the football notebook

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 17, 2021 115:38


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down what's happening with the podcast and why. Then he unloads the notebook on the upcoming NFL and NCAA season.

    LAS VEGAS NFL CONTESTS (7.28): Matty Simo and Jeff Benson

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2021 79:27


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) discusses his experiences as he enters his 10th season of competing in the biggest NFL handicapping contests in the world. Matty Simo (@Vegas_Matty) of FootballContest.com joins Matt to discuss changes to the Supercontest and the two Circa Sports contests. Then Jeff Benson (@JeffreyBenson12) of Circa Sports drops by to discuss the thought process for Circa upping their prize pools to $10 million. Finally, Matt breaks down how YOU can join the “Friends of THE WINDOW” Circa Survivor entry.

    HOOP DREAMS (7.26): NBA Draft, Olympic Basketball, and NBA Finals re-‘cap w/ Sheldon Alexander

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 26, 2021 68:51


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the first weekend of the Tokyo Olympics, which included a big win in the pool. Then Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) joins Matt to breakdown whether Team USA is a good bet to get it together to win gold. Then the guys debate the Jalens atop the NBA Draft Board and dig into the Raptors being the key movers when it comes to betting draft props. Matt gives out a few reminders on tips for betting any draft, including why the game of ‘musical hats' might come into play on Thursday.

    TOKYO DRIFT (7.22): Betting the Summer Olympics with Drew Dinsick

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2021 80:53


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Drew Dinsick (@Whale_Capper) of NBC's ‘Bet The Edge' Podcast, as the two have a rollicking discussion about the Tokyo Summer Games. Drew gives out some gold medal count bets, including why he's fading the host nation. Matt makes Drew put on the maple leaf, and the two find some bets to make on the Canadians looking for gold in Japan. Finally, in the “Glimpse Round”, Matt peppers Drew with some of the lesser known sports. Will Drew have all the answers?

    ST. GEORGES AND GIANNIS (7.19): British Open recap and NBA Finals w/ Sheldon Alexander

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2021 56:29


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the weekend at the British Open and how betting on historical happenings isn't usually the best angle. Why everything fell the right way for Collin Morikawa and how he's a lethal weapon when that happens. Then Matt brings in Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to discuss the Bucks getting to within one win of an NBA Championship, and whether there's anything left to bet on for Tuesday night.

    KOEPKA-PALOOZA? (7.14): British Open Preview w/ ‘Cutmaker Jeff' and NBA Finals Game 4 Bets

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2021 62:19


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Jeff Staley (@CutmakerJeff) to help him breakdown the first British Open in two years. Jeff tells Matt the story of how he started betting on Brooks Koepka every major and the two discuss other contenders for the season's final major. Then, Matt gives out his plays for the tournament and Game 4 of the NBA Finals with six prop bets and live-betting angles to watch for.

    GOOD THINGS COME IN THREES (7.12): EURO 2020 Final, NBA Finals w/ Sheldon Alexander & weekend recap

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 12, 2021 67:08


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to discuss the first 3 games of the NBA Finals and what each team is doing to try to exploit the other, and how we should use that to bet on various props for Game 4. But first, Matt looks back at a wild EURO 2020 final that cashes Italy +800 from before the tournament, why riding with them was a value play versus a bet based on a handicap, and what recreational betting means for betting on soccer.

    IT WAS ALWAYS VASILEVSKIY (7.8): Stanley Cup Playoff Breakdown, NBA Finals Game 2 and EURO 2020

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 8, 2021 66:05


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the last game of the NHL season, as the Lightning win the Stanley Cup in five games. Matt looks back at the pre-series handicap to evaluate how his bets did. Then Matt breaks down a profitable run in the 2021 Stanley Cup Playoffs. Then Game 2 of the NBA FINALS has Matt wondering about what will be different from Game 1, and how to bet accordingly. Finally, what to do with an Italy +800 EURO 2020 ticket? Matt decides what he's doing for Sunday's final.

    FREAKIN' OUT, FREAK IN (7.7): Giannis returns but Suns win & Stanley Cup Final Game 5 betting

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2021 49:58


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Game 1 of the NBA Finals, and how the surprise return of The Greek Freak shook up the betting markets and prop bets alike. Also, with his return, how should we treat the series after Game 1. Then Matt looks at what he hopes isn't the final game of the NHL season, even if it feels that way. Finally, EURO 2020 keeps on thrilling as Italy survives and advances - why, at this stage, it shouldn't matter how.

    SO YOU'RE TELLIN ME THERE'S A CHANCE (7.6): Habs win, NBA Finals bets, and EURO 2020

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 6, 2021 56:27


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Finals, as the Canadiens avoid the sweep. Why the series now feels like fair value for a 3-1 Lightning lead. Then Matt breaks down his bets for the NBA Finals, including a side and player props for Game 1. Finally, Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) makes his final appearance of the season, to discuss the semi-finals of EURO 2020, and his take on the NBA Finals.

    SUNS OF ANARCHY (7.5): NBA Finals Preview w/ Sheldon Alexander

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 5, 2021 72:15


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) of the On Blast Podcast Network to break down all things NBA Finals. What are the important matchups between the Suns and Bucks, and how can we exploit the betting market in this unique series? Then Matt looks back at Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final, and whether that's a wrap on the successful betting run on the Montreal Canadiens. Finally, Matt looks back at the quarter-finals of EURO 2020.

    HOLIDAYS... AND PAULS...AND VASILEVSKIYS (7.2): Stanley Cup Final, and what to do about the NBA?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 2, 2021 69:44


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks waaaay back at Game 2 of the Stanley Cup Final, and how we'd view the series if the Canadiens were scoring goals the way the Lightning are. Then Matt runs through the last two nights in the NBA, and what he's seen from the Bucks, and why betting the Suns now is worth the risk to lock in a price. Finally, a refresher on what he's hoping for in the quarterfinals of EURO 2020.

    NAUGHT' GOOD FOR THE BUCKS (6.30): Bucks lose big in Game 4, PHX-LAC, and the Stanley Cup Finals

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2021 56:36


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Game 4 between the Bucks and Hawks, and the failed venture ‘Project Connaughton', Giannis going down, and what to do about Game 5. Then Matt looks at tonight game between the Suns and Clippers and how everyone wants Phoenix to advance affecting the point spread. Then Matt goes off on society and how it's reacted to Montreal losing Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final. Finally, EURO 2020, more mixed results on Tuesday and how Matt's betting the Quarter-Final round.

    DOWN IN THE DUMP-INS (6.29): The who, what, when, where and why for the SCF and NBA Props?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 29, 2021 48:53


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Game One of the Stanley Cup Final. Why there was a lot to like from the loss for Montreal, even though there are a couple fatal flaws to their game. Matt breaks down the biggest issues for the Habs going forward. Then Matt looks back at the Clippers surprising win over the Suns, and why he might be on LA for Game Six. Then Matt has a bet or two for the Bucks-Hawks Game 4 but it's not even close to what you'd expect. Then Matt relives Monday's insane afternoon at EURO 2020.

    FLUSH WITH CASH (6.28): Stanley Cup Final Preview, and NBA w/ Sheldon Alexander

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 28, 2021 64:40


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the big win for Montreal that put them into the Stanley Cup Final and put the podcast up over 17 units on the playoffs. Then Matt looks ahead to the Canadiens-Lightning series and the core principle for how he'll bet this series. Then it's Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) of the On Blast Podcast Network, to discuss the week that was in the NBA Playoffs, and what the odds might look like for the NBA Finals. Then Matt looks back at a wild weekend at EURO 2020.

    MAMA SAID KNOCK YOU OUT STAGE (6.24): TB/NYI go 7, Hoping Habs close out + Previewing EURO 2020 R16

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2021 89:10


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Ted Ballantyne to breakdown the Knockout Stage of EURO 2020, as they discuss bets to make for all eight Round of 16 games. But first, Matt looks back Game Six between Tampa and New York, and why a shift in plans may be in order for Game 7. Then Matt looks at how you might want to freeroll the Habs against the the Golden Knights, even if he isn't, and what to do about the NBA Conference Finals.

    CANADA'S DAY (6.23): BILL C-218, The Habs, The Valley Oop, and EURO 2020

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2021 55:50


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down what Bill C-218 should mean for the show, while the Habs win again continuing the success we've had planting our flag on that team. Then Matt looks back at the Suns dramatic win last night, but why his past self might have lost a bet on the game. Then Matt discusses the line moves in both the NHL and NBA games on the board. Plus, why Matt's hoping a few teams go scoreless on Wednesday at EURO 2020.

    EIGHT IS MORE THAN ENOUGH (6.22): Tampa rolls, not betting MTL, or PHX, EURO 2020, + hedging lessons

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2021 80:33


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the blowout in Tampa last night, and ahead to Canadiens-Knights on Tuesday night. Why we might not want to bet on the Habs in game 5. Then Matt takes a look at the Clippers-Suns Game 2, and breaks down how hedging a big futures win can be harder than it seems when we make the bet. Finally, Matt looks at the last six games of the Group Stage at EURO 2020 - what do we need, and what do the teams need to set themselves up for success on their path to the Championship.

    MEGA SPORTS WEEKEND REVIEW (6.21): NBA w/ Sheldon Alexander, NHL, US Open and EURO 2020

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2021 85:04


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to look back at the nightly chaos of the NBA Playoffs. Then Matt looks at a pair of games in Montreal over the weekend and why the Habs are performing better than their bettors could have hoped despite a brutal loss in Game 4. Then it's a look back at the US Open as the favorite wins, but took the long route to get there. Finally, EURO 2020 gave us a pair of sweeps, both good and bad on the weekend.

    SPORTS SMORGASBORD (6.18): US Open Live-Betting, NHL, NBA and EURO 2020

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 18, 2021 46:01


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives his take on Torrey Pines after round 1 of the US Open, where there might be some value atop the board. Then it's a look back at last night in Long Island. Why attributing the Isles likelihood of winning to their building isn't fair to them, and why Andrei Vasilevskiy is somehow still underrated. Then it's a look at the Vegas Golden Knights as a road team, and what that means for Game 3 in Montreal. Then Matt talks about his least favorite team, the Milwaukee Bucks finally coming through, and the good news/bad news of the games on Friday night. Finally, a look ahead to the weekend at EURO 2020. Is there any shenanigans to factor in to our handicap of Monday's games?

    PRICE CHECK ON AISLE 2[20] (6.17): Habs win, TB/NYI, NBA uncomfortable bets, and EURO 2020

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2021 44:14


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a big win for the podcast with the Habs cashing as big dogs in Vegas. Then Matt looks at Game 3 on Long Island between the Lightning and the Islanders. Matt looks back at one of the weirdest days in NBA history before giving out a bet that may shock you for Game 6 between the Nets and Bucks. Finally, a recap and lookahead to more games at EURO 2020.

    OPEN CONCEPT (6.16): NHL, NBA, EURO 2020, and a U.S. OPEN preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2021 56:01


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Game 2 between Tampa and New York, and then look at how the series derivative markets are the place to find value between Montreal and Vegas. Then Matt looks back at a sorry effort from the Bucks, that was wholly unsurprising, as the NBA Playoffs crumble with more injuries to star players. Then Matt talks about Tuesday's action at EURO 2020. Finally, it's a U.S. Open preview. Who is Matt targeting at Torrey Pines?

    FACING A FLEURY (7.15): Habs/VGK, the NBA, and EURO 2020 w/ Ted Ballantyne

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2021 60:13


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Game 1 between Montreal and Vegas. Were the Golden Knights as dominant as we were led to believe? Tampa Bay looks to bounce back tonight, but it's the Milwaukee Bucks that are getting our attention. Matt discusses the two other series in the NBA and if there's anything worth betting in LAC-UTAH and ATL-PHI. Finally, Ted Ballantyne (@tedballantyne) joins Matt to discuss the next leg of games in Group play at EURO 2020.

    BUCK AND WHOA! (6.14): NBA Playoffs, EURO 2020, and Stanley Cup Semis

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 14, 2021 71:17


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) opens the show by looking back at the weekend at EURO 2020 - the good, the bad, and the ugly scene in Copenhagen. Matt then looks at game one in Tampa between the Islanders and the Lightning, and takes a final glance as the puck drops Monday night on Montreal-Vegas. Then Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) joins the show to discuss the last weekend in the NBA, and helps Matt figure out his bets for the coming week, and should Matt get his hopes up about the Milwaukee Bucks.

    FALLEN SNOW (6.11): Stanley Cup Semi-Final Preview, and the weekend in the NBA

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2021 42:39


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks to the newly matched Stanley Cup Semi-Finals, and previews the two series. What's the deal with the price in the Montreal-Vegas matchup? Is Matt back on the Canadiens for a third time? What about the Islanders? Where does the value lie between Tampa and New York? Then Matt looks at the NBA games for the weekend. Did the Bucks show us anything? Still riding the Suns?

    PUCKING IT, PACKING IT, AND PICKING IT (6.10): NHL, NBA and EURO 2020 Picks

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2021 36:33


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Bruins ouster at the hands of the Islanders, and wonders aloud why the Avalanche are taking money tonight. Then Matt gives credit to the Suns, while trying to steer clear from the Bucks tonight. Is Matt betting the Clippers Moneyline tonight? Or just the series price? Then Matt takes what he's learned from yesterday's EURO 2020 preview and gives out tournament futures and props bets along with a play for every game in the first weekend of play.

    EURO 2020 PREVIEW (6.9): Getting up to pace w/ Ted Ballantyne

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2021 109:37


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) to help get him to speed on EURO 2020. Matt picks Ted's brain for who he thinks can surprise in the Group Stage, which of the contenders are overvalued and which dark horse teams are undervalued. The boys look at the prop markets for Golden Boot, Best Player, and who'll score the most and least goals. Then Matt looks back at last night's playoff action as the Avs get stunned at home, and the Canes can't score (1:31:00). Finally, why Matt's making his first game bet on the Bruins tonight.

    MONTREAL SMOKED MEAT (6.8): The Habs sweep, the Bruins in deep, and plays for Tuesday night

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2021 27:41


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Habs sweep of the Jets, and why their dominant metrics worked, but why there's a pair of series with similar numbers that league us with some confusion. Matt then talks about the closest series on the ice, that's the only one to be 3-1. Then Matt looks ahead to tonight's games in both the NHL and NBA.

    A LOT GOING ON (6.7): Golf and Formula 1 chaos, NBA w/ Sheldon Alexander and our Habs gettin it done

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 7, 2021 83:24


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a wild weekend for bettors in a handful of sports. Then it's a celebration of a big weekend for the Montreal Canadiens, and a reality check for the Avalanche. Finally, Matt is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to break down round of the NBA Playoffs, what can we expect from the Bucks now that they have another break go their way. Plus, what to make of the LA Clippers?

    AHO-MATEY! (6.4): The Canes breathe life, the Bruins clip the Islanders and the Weekend Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2021 52:38


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night's dual overtime games in the NHL. How the Hurricanes saved the day with one goal, and why Semyon Varlamov had to wait to overtime to let in in a soft goal. Then Matt looks ahead to the games on the ice this weekend. How he's betting the next two in the MTL-WPG series, and a now or never bet on Vegas. Then Matt feels relief to see the Blazers and Lakers put out of our misery, with a look ahead to a pair of interesting matchups starting round two this weekend.

    HAB-IT FORMING (6.3): Montreal wins, Vegas loses and pain watching the NBA

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 3, 2021 47:21


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Habs win in game one, as they slow they don't let the Jets get off the tarmac. Then Matt basks in bets he didn't make, that won and lost in Colorado, as the Golden Knights come up short of tying the series with the Avalanche. Then Matt looks ahead to tonight's games in Tampa and Long Island and bets to make there. Finally, Matt laments an ugly night in the NBA and how there's nothing predictable about the first round and why he's avoiding the rest of it.

    A DAME SHAME (6.2): The other Blazers crumble, and the Canes can't catch a break

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2021 35:09


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night's crazy game in Denver where Damian Lillard drags his team to overtime only to get no help. With four games on the slate tonight, what bets look the best in each of those. Then Matt looks at what went wrong in Carolina for the Hurricanes again in Game 2. Finally, the Habs-Jets series drops the puck in game one, but how should we allocate our capital in a series Matt's billed as the Hockey Handicapping Super Bowl.

    LAST RESPONDERS (6.1): The Leafs fall, Chaos in Beantown, and the NBA

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 1, 2021 47:07


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Maple Leafs and Canadiens game seven and why betting on this series was more about Montreal than it was Toronto, and that the Leafs don't need to blow up the roster in a panic. Then Matt takes the first look ahead to MTL-WPG - who should be favoured in the series? A wild one in Boston ends in a surprising way based on what we're told about momentum. Then it's a look at the game 2 tonight between Tampa Bay and Carolina. Finally, Matt looks how he's playing the three series that continue tonight in the NBA.

    SEVENTH HEAVEN AND HELL (5.31): Habs/Leafs, Stanley 2nd Round and NBA w/ Sheldon Alexander

    Play Episode Listen Later May 31, 2021 84:20


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back the weekend in sports betting. The Stanley Cup Playoffs are into the 2nd Round with the exception of the Habs and Leafs going to game seven tonight. Why Matt's not worried about the Hurricanes, why the Avalanche continue to confirm their quality, and what to do about the Isles and Bruins on Monday night? Then Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) joins Matt to look deeper into the NBA Playoffs of the last week, and Matt runs by him a bunch of bets in the first round. Then the guys look ahead to the inevitable Nets-Bucks series in round two.

    ROUND 2 STANLEY CUP PLAYOFF PREVIEW (5.28): Looking at the weekend to come in the NHL and NBA

    Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2021 52:26


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night's action in the NHL and NBA. The Habs pull the upset at +200, and the Canes seize the series. Then it's a look at the three second round series that start this weekend. Then Matt looks who would have won the “first round Conn Smythe” for each team, and what went right and wrong for “The Wheel” so far. Finally, the Bucks cruise but the Blazers disappoint as Matt looks to a busy basketball weekend and his plan for betting each series.

    BIG APPLE, BIG BALLS (5.27): The Islanders and Knicks come through, and into the Wild

    Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2021 36:58


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a big night for the podcast as the Islanders cash a bunch of bets: Game Moneyline, Series, and Series -1.5. Then the Wild force a game seven. Matt breaks down the anatomy of how to bet an underdog in a series throughout, and how that compares to betting one single series bet. Matt looks at tonight's games and what he's looking to do with a pair of elimination games. Then it's a look back at last night in the NBA where we cashed with the Knicks. Finally, Matt looks at the pair of bets he's making on Thursday night's games.

    RECOVERY RATE (5.26): The Leafs go deep, elimination stage tonight, and NBA Playoff predictability

    Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2021 27:27


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night's pair of games in the NHL. The Leafs depth overwhelms the Canadiens, the Canes play great, still end up in overtime with the Preds. Then Matt gives his plays for Wednesday night. What do with the Islanders given we're already on the series and adjusted series bets? Trusting Spencer Knight and the Cats again? Why are the Wild +120 after being +105 in their other home games against the Golden Knights? Then Matt looks back at the NBA and why even the upsets shouldn't be all that surprising given what we know about these teams year after year. Matt gives out his best bet for the hardwood, and a bet he kinda likes as well.

    PUCK LUCK (5.25): A big night in the NHL doesn't come without a little good fortune

    Play Episode Listen Later May 25, 2021 32:01


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down a big night on the ice for the podcast, going 3-1 on four underdog plays. Why the results may have flattered the handicapping of the games. Then it's a look to tonight's pair of games in the NHL, and an Oilers obit. Then Matt talks about a winning night in the NBA, thanks to some good advice and even more betting discipline.

    PHIL IT UP AGAIN (5.24): PGA Recap, Stanley Cup Playoffs and NBA w/ Sheldon Alexander

    Play Episode Listen Later May 24, 2021 70:29


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the PGA Championship, as Phil Mickelson comes through for the fan in him, but stops his Louis Oosthuizen 65-1 bet from coming home. Then it's a look at the weekend that was in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. How a pair of Sunday overtime's ruined an otherwise solid weekend. Then Matt is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to get a recap of the NBA Playoffs first weekend, and what we might want to bet this week.

    MAY MADNESS (5.21): The Habs highlight NHL craziness, the PGA and NBA Playoffs start

    Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2021 55:40


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a wild night on the ice Thursday. How his thesis on the Montreal Canadiens proved correct in the first game of that series. Then it's a look ahead to Friday night's slate, where a pair of underdogs are getting our money. Then it's NBA Playoff time, who is Matt looking to take against the spread and series as it gets going for real. Plus, some first round takes from the PGA Championship, why a bunched up leaderboard is good for live-betting, and a pre-tournament prop.

    WHAT DO YOU “KNOW” (5.20): Gauging the variance in MTL-TOR

    Play Episode Listen Later May 20, 2021 49:11


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the NBA's much better night, as closing line value bounces back for the MEM -3.5, and the Warriors-Lakers game holds up to hype. Then Matt looks back at last night in the NHL, where the Capitals trick us with their goaltending carousel, the Jets do Jets' things, and the two big underdogs show some fight, but fail. Then it's a preview of the Canadiens and Maple Leafs and why this series is different from the two other big mismatches. Finally, Matt's got three plays for Thursday night in the NHL.

    RATIO'D (5.19): High-Danger Chances in the NHL, and High Danger Winds at the PGA

    Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2021 48:05


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a weird night on the ice, as scoring was at a premium and three teams that had the majority of the play all lost. Why betting the Panthers and the Islanders down 0-2 were great bets even in a loss. Then it's a look back at the gross efforts in the NBA play-in tournament. Finally, Matt breaks down what he expects from the PGA Championship at Kiawah Island. Why is Rory the favourite? How does course unfamiliarity affect who might excel? What are the key points on the course to keep in mind for live-betting the tournament, and who are the targets, and top-20s?

    NBA PLAYOFF PREVIEW (5.17): With Sheldon Alexander

    Play Episode Listen Later May 18, 2021 90:37


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) of the On Blast Podcast network, to catch us up on the NBA's weird regular season as we set up for betting on the NBA Playoffs. Who's overvalued? Who's undervalued? And who are some of the characters that we may find ourselves betting on or against in the next month or so. Matt and Sheldon guess the lines for the Play-In games, and try to look for value based on each team's form coming into the playoffs. But first, Matt looks back at another 2-0 day in the Stanley Cup Playoffs, why the metrics are giving us the clues we need about these teams to put ourselves in a position to be profitable. Also, Matt looks ahead to Tuesday night's game twos, as he wonders if it's worth backing the underdogs given what we may or may not be invested in already.

    PUTTING IN FOR OT (5.17): Stanley Cup Playoff Wild Start

    Play Episode Listen Later May 17, 2021 36:49


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the red hot start for the Stanley Cup Playoffs, and how the podcast cashed two out of three overtime wins. Then it's a look at Monday's slate, with two bets to make in the three games. Why “The Wheel” works to potentially help you avoid the “bet because it's on” pitfall.

    STANLEY CUP PLAYOFF PREVIEW PT. 2 (5.14): With Alex Moretto and Kris Abbott

    Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2021 91:53


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) opens the show with his bets for the Stanley Cup, along with some derivative series prices he's looking at. Then Matt is joined by Alex Moretto (@alexjmoretto) of THE SCORE, and Kris Abbott (@CoolbetKris) of COOLBET CANADA to breakdown the betting angles for the eight playoff series, Stanley Cup Futures, and the CONN SMYTHE TROPHY markets. Alex discusses his fears for the Habs-Leafs series, and a big position on the Bruins. Then Kris tells us about who the sportsbook hopes wins, and who they fear might. Along with some interesting novelty props for the playoffs. Then Matt breaks down how to calculate value in the Conn Smythe trophy market for playoff MVP.

    STANLEY CUP PLAYOFF PREVIEW PT. 1 (5.13): Finding value in the series markets

    Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2021 41:57


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) goes through each of the eight NHL first round series to find value in how to bet a side or derivative market. What version of the Habs will the Leafs get? Can Connor keep it going? The Bruins and Caps are the headliner, but is that right? Can the Isles do it again to New York? The Lightning look to get back a pair of big guns, while the Canes should storm the Predators. Why the matchup matters out west.

    PRICE GAUGING (5.12): Caps-Bruins tells on bettors and do we back the Sens again?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2021 27:42


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a surprisingly interesting betting night with the Capitals and Bruins game turning in to a good litmus test for what pricing means to bettors, and would everyone on the Caps get away with one? Then Matt looks at what it would take to bet on the Sens one more time. Finally, a look back at our record for the season, and why under .500 still means in the green.

    CHILLING OUT, ICING DOWN (5.11): NHL Regular Season proper comes to an end

    Play Episode Listen Later May 11, 2021 44:30


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the last big slate of regular season games in the NHL last night. Why there's not much to bet on tonight, and what we might see once some of the series odds get set, and how the new format might help us with any futures betting strategy. Then it's “Tuesday's with Ted” (@TedBallantyne) joins the show to discuss his betting Saturday with Canelo scoring a TKO, and the Man-City vs Chelsea matchup before THE matchup.

    ANATOMY OF A HEATER (5.10): Lessons in getting on a hot streak, and tonight's NHL board

    Play Episode Listen Later May 10, 2021 35:10


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a perfect weekend in the NHL, as the regular season winds down. How a good call on one game or one can be figuratively parlayed into more than just one win at this time of the season. Then it's a look at a busy slate in the NHL, the last big board for the regular season.

    PUCKIN' AROUND (5.7): Staying Aggressive vs Conservative in a season's final week

    Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2021 49:44


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a night that was a big boon to the bankroll of anyone looking to stay aggressive in the season's final week. Also, what “being careful” means to different people in the betting space. Matt dives deep into tonight's games between the Stars-Lightning as both teams have standings motivation and if we can quantify that when comparing our price to the markets. Finally, Matt looks ahead to the weekend's games - what his numbers are, and how early weekend results might affect what we'll bet on later.

    BLUE JACKET AND BLUE SHIRT BUZZ (5.6): Caution in betting the last week of the NHL

    Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2021 43:15


    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) describes the difference between sports betting talk and sports talk in the case of the Tom Wilson situation. Then Matt looks back at the games in the North and Central last night. A win with Columbus, the Sens stay hot, the Flames burn out, and the Stars have their soul stolen. Finally, Matt looks at the slate for Thursday - how to bet on the Leafs, the Oilers or the Canucks, and why it's a bigger risk than normal to back a big underdog at this point in the season.

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