Podcasts about Predictability

Today we're slowly walking through the calling of Matthew. Jesus saw Matthew at the tax collector's booth; we have to understand some of tax collector culture to grasp why Matthew would have had a negative reputation amongst his people. He's basically an IRS agent working in collaboration with the Roman empire to extort money from his own people. So yeah, he wasn't liked. Yet Jesus calls him anyway. What did Jesus see in him? What did Jesus recognize that he hadn't yet recognized about himself? Jesus is always doing stuff like this because apparently, this is how grace works. Grace sees something in people before it fully exists. Grace recognizes the person you can become before you can see the person you can become. So let's talk about the booth, which is more than just a piece of furniture. What does it represent? Safety. Security. Predictability. Identity. And yet, he leaves it behind. Why? Who knows? But the call of Jesus into something new was stronger than the comfort he's known in his booth. We all have booths. Some of us are sitting in them now. The booth of bitterness. Of cynicism. Of Certainty. Of other peoples' expectations of us. Of our past wounds or failures. All kinds of booths. Here's the thing about booths: they can become so familiar that they begin to feel like home. Even when they shrink our souls and keep us from becoming the person we were made to be. Jesus says, "Follow me, I've got something better in store for you." Then the story gets interesting. He's at Matthew's home eating with tax collectors and sinners. This makes the religious people nervous. Who you eat with reveals who your people are. And Jesus keeps surprising people with who he eats with. He doesn't just preach grace, he practices it. Makes it visible. So the religious people question him. In response, he says, "It isn't the healthy who need a doctor, but the sick." Here's what's funny. No one questions a doctor for spending time in the hospital. Jesus being with these people doesn't mean he's a failure as a rabbi, it shows his purpose. Then he says the thing about God desiring mercy, not sacrifice. He's saying that when religion gets disconnected from compassion, it loses its heart. It stops looking like and revealing God. Then he says the thing about calling not the righteous, but the sinners. What's the difference between righteous people and sinners? The sinners know they're in need of healing. The righteous KNOW they DON'T need healing, which, of course, is the thing that makes them sick. This is an invitation to move toward transformation. The righteous don't want transformation because they don't think they need it. But the sick...they notice that Matthew doesn't stay in his booth. He leaves it behind and is transformed. Then he eventually writes it down. He's transformed and helps the generations that follow find healing, too. He becomes a witness. Because that's what grace does. Speaker: Aaron Vis Scripture: Matthew 9:9-13 http://bible.com/events/49620456

Economist Joachim Klement originally just wanted to show how absurd it is to predict soccer World Cup winners using statistical models. But then he was right three times in a row with his world champion prediction. In an interview, he explains how economic data and probabilities flow into his analyses, why soccer is still never completely predictable and why luck often remains just as important as any statistics. - Eigentlich wollte der Ökonom Joachim Klement nur zeigen, wie absurd es ist, Fußball-Weltmeisterschaften mit statistischen Modellen vorherzusagen. Doch dann lag er mit seiner Weltmeisterprognose dreimal in Folge richtig. Im Gespräch erklärt er, wie Wirtschaftsdaten und Wahrscheinlichkeiten in seine Analysen einfließen, warum Fußball trotzdem nie vollständig berechenbar ist und weshalb Glück oft genauso wichtig bleibt wie jede Statistik.

A lot of investors have written off bonds after 2022. In this episode, Paddy Delaney explains why that conclusion is based on a misreading of how bonds work — and what the historical data actually shows. The 10-year US Treasury yield went from under 6% to over 11% during the 1970s. Bonds still returned 5.4% per year. The worst single year was a loss of less than 1%. If bonds survived that rate environment, what does it mean for the environment we are in today? In this episode: - How bond returns are calculated (starting yield and duration) - Why rising interest rates improve your future bond returns, not reduce them - What the 1970s data shows, using Damodaran historical records - What this means practically for anyone with bonds in an ARF or occupational pension - A short note on lifestyling: being moved into bonds automatically is very different from choosing to hold them This episode is relevant if you are approaching retirement, already in retirement, or reviewing an ARF or pension that includes a bond allocation. If you would like to talk through your own situation, book a Clarity Call at www.informeddecisions.ie Full blog post: www.informeddecisions.ie/post/bonds-arf-retirement-ireland  • All Informed Decisions podcast episodes: www.informeddecisions.ie/podcast/   ABOUT THE SHOW The Informed Decisions podcast is hosted by Paddy Delaney QFA RPA APA — independent, fee-only retirement planner in Ireland. The podcast and the blog at informeddecisions.ie are educational resources for Irish professionals, business owners, and high-net-worth individuals navigating retirement, tax efficiency, and investment strategy. Find Paddy at www.informeddecisions.ie   TIMESTAMPS 00:00 Introduction to Bonds and Market Perceptions 02:43 Understanding Bonds: Their Role and Functionality 05:20 The Impact of Interest Rates on Bond Investments 08:20 Predictability of Bond Returns and Historical Context 11:11 The Mechanics of Bond Funds and Their Advantages 14:01 Current Bond Market Landscape and Future Outlook 17:03 Strategic Considerations for Investors and Pension Holders 19:46 Common Misconceptions and Mistakes in Bond Investing 22:25 Key Takeaways and Final Thoughts   DISCLAIMER This podcast is for general educational purposes only. It does not constitute personalised financial advice. Figures and rules referenced reflect the position as at May 2026 and are subject to change. Always speak to a qualified, independent financial advisor about your specific situation.

A venture capitalist walks into a bar."I'll have what everyone else is having."Patrick told that joke about his own profession on this week's Bricks, Bucks & Bytes, and it set up the sharpest exchange of the episode: venture stopped backing hard problems and started buying momentum.We're joined by Alain Waha, CTO of Buro Happold, and Richard Fifita, CEO of Veyor, fresh off a $7.5M Series A, alongside Dustin DeVan.What we get into:→ Autodesk's $3.6 billion all cash acquisition of MaintainX, and why Dustin, who watched this strategy take shape from inside Autodesk, says it all leads back to the digital twin→ "Knowledge arbitrage": Alain's framework for what stays defensible when knowledge becomes computable→ Why construction robotics needs systems integrators more than it needs humanoids→ How Veyor went from backed up concrete trucks to managing deliveries at JFK, SFO and major data center projectsFull episode is live now on YouTube and Spotify.#bricksandbytes #bricksbytes #bricksbucksandbytes #aec #construction #constructiontech #ai #vcOur Sponsors:BreadCrumb- 50,000+ projects globally. All running safer, faster, with Breadcrumb. - breadcrumb.coAphex is the multiplayer planning platform where construction teams plan together, stay aligned, and deliver projects faster – check out aphex.coArchdesk - “The #1 Construction Management Software for Growing Companies - Manage your projects from Tender to Handover” check archdesk.comChapters00:00 Intro00:30 Introduction and Technical Challenges03:21 Live Streaming and Event Experiences06:13 Autodesk's Acquisition of MaintainX11:50 Data Ownership and Predictability in Construction16:23 Knowledge Arbitrage in Engineering and Robotics20:00 Exploring Knowledge Arbitrage in Robotics22:06 The Role of Systems Integration in Construction Robotics22:54 Challenges in Robotics for Construction Trades24:16 Collaborative Robots: The Future of Construction25:59 The Disconnect Between Innovation and AI in Construction27:30 Testing Software vs. Materials in Construction27:45 The Reluctance to Experiment in Construction Tech29:52 Capital Efficiency and Technology Adoption in Construction32:49 The Venture Capital Landscape and Its Challenges36:33 The Future of Venture Capital in Technology44:46 Innovative Event Planning in Construction Technology47:26 Branding and Customer Perception in Construction48:11 Disruption in Construction: Insights from Automotive Industry51:09 Bouygues' Innovation Lab: A New Era for Construction51:53 Introducing Richard: Veyor's Journey and Innovations56:59 Streamlining Material Management in Construction01:01:58 Challenges in Construction Scheduling and Delivery01:05:36 The Aussie Tech Scene in Austin, Texas

"Feel the rhythm, Feel the rhyme! Get on up, it's bobsled time!"Remember that iconic line from Cool Runnings? It turns out the Jamaican bobsled team knew a thing or two about metabolic health.In a bobsled, if the team isn't moving in a predictable, perfect rhythm, the sled crashes. Your body operates the exact same way. When we throw the extremes and rollercoaster habits at our body, we create total chaos. In this episode, we are unpacking why Predictability > Chaos, how to stop treating your body like the enemy, and how to get your own "bobsled" running smoothly again.Resource: Katy SaltsmanWe are so grateful for your support! Please share this podcast with someone who needs it and leave us review: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/positive-on-purpose/id1531548022

In this episode of The Core Report Special Edition, Financial Journalist Govindraj Ethiraj speaks with Rishi Agrawal of TeamLease Regtech and Dr Rajeswari Sengupta on why the Indian rupee is under pressure, why foreign investors are pulling money out, and why India's business rules still make growth harder than it should be.Dr. Rajeswari Sengupta, Associate Professor of Economics, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, explains the macroeconomic stress behind the rupee fall, energy shock, oil price pressure, current account deficit, foreign capital outflows, AI shock and India's weakening appeal for global investors. She also explains why price adjustment, currency depreciation and policy certainty may matter more than short term defence of the rupee.Rishi Agrawal, CEO and Co Founder of TeamLease RegTech, explains the bottom up challenge facing Indian businesses. From red tape and compliance burden to labour law reform, Jan Vishwas, decriminalisation, digitisation and the need for a UPI moment for business compliance, he breaks down what must change to make India more attractive for entrepreneurs, MSMEs, manufacturers and foreign investors.CHAPTERS:(00:00) Introduction(02:33) Why the Rupee Was Weak Before the West Asia Crisis(07:22) The Three Shocks Facing India: Iran, AI, and China Plus One(09:20) Why India Needs Price Adjustment, Not Suppression(10:03) The Regulatory Architecture Holding Businesses Back(11:50) Decriminalisation, Jan Vishwas, and the Shift From Fear to Trust(15:04) What Still Makes India Attractive for Investors(17:00) Why the Current Account Deficit Has Become a Bigger Worry(21:23) When Policy Response Starts Looking Like Panic(23:23) The Ground Reality for MSMEs and Manufacturers(26:00) Why India Needs a UPI Moment for Compliance(28:00) What Labour Law Reform Could Change for Businesses(29:53) When Will Regulatory Reform Show Economic Results?(31:07) Why India Still Needs Policy Certainty and Predictability(33:00) The Case for Recalibrating India's Growth AmbitionsFor more of our coverage check out ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠thecore.in⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe to our Newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow us on:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ |⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Linkedin⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠Youtube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Michael I. Jordan, described by Science magazine as the most influential computer scientist alive, has never thought of himself as an AI researcher. In this conversation he explains why that distinction matters.SPONSOR:---Cyber Fund built the Monastery to help founders ship products that were impossible a year ago. Applications for Batch 1 are now open.Apply now: https://cyber.fund---Jordan trained as a statistician and cognitive scientist, and his career has been spent building machine learning systems that work in the real world: supply chains, commerce, healthcare, and large economic systems. When the field rebranded itself as AI and then AGI, he did not follow. Instead he argues that the framing is wrong. AI is better understood as a collective economic system than as a race to build a disembodied superintelligence.We talk about why AGI is mostly a PR term, what machine learning achieved before the LLM hype cycle, and why the assistant-on-your-shoulder vision may be less compelling than it sounds. Jordan explains why explanations need to be actionable, not merely mechanistic; why AlphaFold's missing error bars matter; how prediction-powered inference changes the picture; and why drug discovery is an incentive-design problem rather than a pure pattern-matching problem.ERRATA: Science magazine ranked him the most influential computer scientist, not Nature---TIMESTAMPS:00:00:00 Cold open: A demoralizing message to young builders00:02:04 CyberFund sponsor read00:02:50 From symbolic AI to machine learning systems00:05:42 Why AGI is mostly a PR term00:08:48 A collectivist, economic perspective on AI00:11:33 Why LLMs need system design, not hype00:14:50 Predictability beats faux understanding00:17:55 AlphaFold, bias, and prediction-powered inference00:21:48 Stop anthropomorphizing intelligence00:27:44 Drug discovery as an incentive problem00:32:29 The three-layer data market00:38:07 Social knowledge, markets, and culture00:45:39 Creator economics beyond Spotify00:48:30 How science-fiction AI narratives mislead young builders00:51:45 AI should improve humans, not replace them00:56:42 Safety is a property of the whole system00:58:12 Silicon Valley gurus and the cream off the top01:00:47 Game theory, mechanism design, and contracts01:04:39 Conformal prediction, e-values, and anytime inference01:08:11 A new liberal arts triangle for the AI era01:11:30 The Bayesian duck and markets as uncertainty reductionReScript (transcript, PDF, refs etc) - https://app.rescript.info/public/share/fb68f94af29d3745c6cf6125e01328b5---REFERENCES:person:[00:02:50] Michael I. Jordan (homepage)https://people.eecs.berkeley.edu/~jordan/paper:[00:06:01] A Collectivist, Economic Perspective on AIhttps://arxiv.org/abs/2507.06268[00:18:09] AlphaFoldhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03819-2[00:20:36] Prediction-Powered Inferencehttps://arxiv.org/abs/2301.09633[00:33:47] On Three-Layer Data Marketshttps://arxiv.org/abs/2402.09697[01:04:39] Conformal Prediction with Conditional Guaranteeshttps://arxiv.org/abs/2107.07511[01:04:51] A Tutorial on Conformal Predictionhttps://www.jmlr.org/papers/v9/shafer08a.html[01:06:00] E-Values Expand the Scope of Conformal Predictionhttps://arxiv.org/abs/2503.13050[01:08:23] Computational Thinkinghttps://www.cs.cmu.edu/~CompThink/papers/Wing06.pdfother:[00:28:20] How Should the FDA Test?https://rdi.berkeley.edu/events/sbc-assets/pdfs/Summit%20session%20speaker%20slides%20submission%20form-s1-5%20%28File%20responses%29/Slides%20in%20PDF%20%28Please%20name%20the%20submitted%20file%20as%20_firstname_-_lastname_-slides.pdf%29.%20%28File%20responses%29/27-Michael%20Jordan-Session%20V.pdf#page=15[00:28:40] Michael I. Jordan Session V Slides

Burnie and Ashley discuss The Boys ending, but first: cave diving accidents, looking to the helpers, Immersion Shark Week, the predicability paradox, and our most memorable narrative endings.

 The Power of a Reset: How & Why to Start a New Routine Sometimes life doesn't completely fall apart… it just slowly drifts out of alignment. Your schedule feels chaotic. Your energy is low. You feel reactive instead of intentional. You stop feeling like yourself. In this episode, we talk about the power of routines, why so many people eventually need a reset, and how small daily habits can completely change the direction of your life. Recorded from our brand-new studio inside the MarketBeat Media Center, this conversation dives into the connection between structure, stress, fitness, marriage, and everyday life. What We Cover in This Episode Why Routines Matter More Than People Realize Most people hear the word "routine" and immediately think restriction. But routines actually create freedom. We discuss how routines: Reduce stress and decision fatigue Build momentum when motivation disappears Shape identity and self-confidence Improve energy, sleep, fitness, parenting, marriage, and mental health Your life is usually a reflection of your daily habits. Signs You Need a Reset Sometimes people don't realize they need a reset until they feel completely burnt out. We talk through common signs like: Waking up stressed Constantly feeling behind Scrolling more than living Poor sleep Feeling disconnected from your spouse Neglecting fitness and self-care Living in constant chaos Over time, chaos can start to feel normal — even when it's unhealthy. How to Start a New Routine (Without Overhauling Your Entire Life) One of the biggest mistakes people make is trying to change everything at once. Instead, we break down a simple framework: Start With One Area Focus on the biggest pain point first: Mornings Workouts Nutrition Bedtime Productivity Family organization Create Small Wins Simple habits repeated consistently: Drink water first thing Take a 10-minute walk Stretch before bed Prep meals Read instead of scrolling Schedule Your Priorities If something matters, it needs a place on the calendar. Remove Friction Make healthy habits easier: Lay out clothes Prep lunches Schedule workouts Clean up the kitchen at night Expect Imperfection Missing one day isn't failure. Quitting completely is. Fitness & Routine Go Hand-in-Hand We also talk about why fitness is often the habit that changes everything else. Movement improves: Mood Sleep Patience Confidence Energy Stress regulation And people often overcomplicate it. The simple fitness reset: Walk daily Lift weights 3x/week Stretch Eat protein Sleep earlier Stay consistent You don't need extreme. You need sustainable. How Routines Impact Marriage & Family Routines don't just change individuals — they change households. We discuss how: Predictability creates peace Couples communicate better with structure Kids thrive with consistency Healthy habits become contagious When the home feels calmer, everyone feels calmer. Final Takeaway You do not need to reinvent your entire life tomorrow. You just need to start. One better morning. One workout. One walk. One earlier bedtime. Small routines repeated consistently can completely transform your life — not because routines make life perfect, but because they create stability in a chaotic world. And sometimes a reset isn't about becoming someone new. It's about returning to the person you know you can be

Well, hey there. Welcome back. Do you like music? The Hidden Magic of Good Music It’s a silly question because everyone likes some form of music and sometimes when someone asks you, “What’s your favorite kind of music?” sometimes that’s really hard to answer. I recently went down yet another rabbit hole which I want to share with you. I wanted to know why certain songs and certain sounds made you feel genuine feelings. When I was writing the sword and the sunflower, I stumbled on a number of different pieces of music and one of them became the theme song for the heroine. So it came down to this question. What makes a song likable? What makes a good song a good song? What makes a song stick in your head? And as it turns out, it’s predictability. No, it can’t be that. That’s boring. No, not boring. Predictable. Why Predictability Drives Great Storytelling Let’s switch gears to storytelling. What makes a good story a good story? Is it the subject matter? And I’m going to talk specifically about fiction here. Is it the subject matter? Is it the way it’s told? Is it uh-oh? It’s predictability. And again, you’re going to say, “No, I don’t want to read a predictable fiction story. Do I?” And there’s a part of your brain that’s going, “Well, wait, wait, wait, wait, hold on, hold on. Let’s switch back to the music. If something is too predictable, then it’s boring. We get the pattern and we’re done. We are pattern matching creatures. We sense patterns and things and we typically act on them. Sometimes we have other programs running in our brain that cause us to ignore a pattern and sometimes we get burned for ignoring that pattern. If you’re jumping rope or running, riding a skateboard, boxing, and countless other physical activities, there’s all a pattern that’s occurring. a pattern you are recognizing. And the more you can recognize this pattern, the more you can act on it and feel comfortable with it. The Balance Between Pattern and Chaos But obviously running for 10 or 20 minutes left, right, left, right, left, right, can’t possibly be the same as listening to music, right? But it is. When you listen to a song and you can predict what’s about to happen next, it gives you a certain level of comfort of security. you say, “Yeah, that’s how the beat is going in this song.” But then when it does something slightly different that still makes sense, that gives us excitement. If it just did the same beat over and over again, droning on and on for 5 minutes, yes, it would be very boring. But when it takes some liberties, when it gets a little creative, and still maintains the pattern, that’s when it’s fun. Too much predictability and it’s boring. Too much chaos and it’s simply chaos. You think it’s not worth your time. Well, this is just a bunch of random stuff. I don’t want to listen to this. This story goes all over the map. The characters do not respond the way that characters should respond. The author was crazy. The story is way too predictable. I knew exactly what’s go what was going to happen from the very beginning. It was I was just plotting through and just going through the motions. Those are the extremes that keep us from enjoying those forms of media. Breaking the Pattern: Muscle and Diet Confusion And even exercise is that way. You get fatigued with it. In fact, there’s a concept called muscle confusion that sort of counteracts what happens when you do the same thing over and over again. If you just run in a circle over and over again, your body goes, “Oh, wait. I’m getting this. I know what to do. This is easier now. I’m not getting anything out of it.” So, you have to break it up. So you have to have muscle confusion in the 4-hour body. Tim Ferrris talks about a sort of diet confusion in which you confuse your metabolism by not eating exactly the same things. Once a week you eat something crazy. You eat all the stuff that you were craving and it messes your system up to the point where your system goes, “Wait, I’m not going to adapt to this anymore. I’m not going to suddenly reduce my metabolism because I know what you’re going to eat.” The Anticipation of the “Drop” But I know, I know you’re still thinking about the music, right? You’re still thinking, “No, I don’t like songs because they’re predictable.” But this is what makes them catchy because your brain says, “Yeah, it does that stuff I want. It does that stuff in the order that kind of makes sense in a really cool way.” I mean, we’re not just talking about a repeatable pattern of one, two. It could be 1 2 7 9 1 2 7 9 and here comes that nine. How many songs have you told someone, “Hey, no, no, no, listen. Wait, wait, wait, wait. Here’s where the drop happens. Wait, wait, wait. Here’s the chorus. Oh my god, I love that. Just, just wait for it. And someone doesn’t quite get the song because you went through the song a few times and your brain went, “Oh yeah, this is happening in that order. I know it’s going to happen now and this is cool.” And they’re not waiting. They they listen to a few notes of it. They go, “It’s just not for me.” And then maybe later they come to you and they go, “Yeah, it’s kind of a cool song.” It’s the same thing with a story. In fact, an epic, a big giant book requires even more attention than a song that’s 3 minutes long where you start to read it and you say, “Okay, I’m getting what’s going on here. This is a slow burn. This is a book that moves in a certain direction and I have to pay attention to it.” or this is kind of a fast book and it’s going to be humorous, but there’s still going to be good points made. Jokes and parables typically take you down a journey and then there’s a sharp left turn at the end. Oh, it was this person the whole time. Now that makes sense now that I’ve read the whole story. Oh, I get it. Haha. That’s what makes it funny that it’s predictably a crazy 90° turn. You need more convincing. Structure and Predictability in Non-Fiction and Presentations Non-fiction is the same way. How many times have you gone to a presentation, someone does it for your networking group or for school or what have you, even your business, and you’re watching and you’re thinking, where is this going? I is this an important fact or is are we just building to the important fact? I can’t tell the difference between the major facts I should be writing down and just some anecdote that’s related to it. Are we are we half done? Like wait, what what really are we learning here? So, if you can’t predict what’s happening, and again, I know every time I use the word predict, you’re like, well, that means I already know it. No, you’re recognizing the pattern in place. Do you want to talk about how that works in relationships too or are we covering enough bases here? Okay, fine. So, back to presentations. If you can understand the segments of a presentation, okay, here’s a major fact and facts underneath it, which leads us to the next fact that we’re building up to, and the facts underneath it, which then builds us to the next one, and so forth. And then we finally have an outcome at the end. I’m all ears. This is interesting. And I will tell you when I write my non-fictions, I follow that as well. I don’t say, “No, no, no, no. Listen, guys. Guys, sit down. Listen, listen, listen.” And then babble on and on. Don’t I know what you’re thinking. No, I really don’t babble on and on. And I’m really not babbling here. I’m following the same procedure here. But again, in my non-fiction, I follow the pattern, the predictable pattern of I’m going to introduce to you some concepts, and I’ll I’ll touch on them a little bit in case you’re not up to speed. And then I’m going to introduce my concepts. And then I’m going to build on to the next ones and next ones. And then I’m going to say, well, what do you do with that? And that should sound remarkably like this podcast in which I do exactly the same thing. I introduce something to you. we talk about it and then I say,”Well, how does that affect you in the real world?” Leveraging Pattern Matching in Real Life So, we’re actually getting to the part where we say, “How does this affect you in the real world? And what can you do about it?” Well, the first thing you need to do is recognize the fact that pattern matching and pattern recognition are not bad things. It’s what our brains are designed to do. So if you’re going to fight that, you’re going to have a lot of friction and stress in your life. If you accept it and use it and use it for good and enjoyment and productivity, it can be a really awesome thing. It can help you and say, “Hey, you know, we typically see these patterns with these clients, so we know what to do here, right? I have this pattern and I know it’s going to lead me to be lazy in this particular way. So, I know what to do here. Do you see how you can use patterns to adjust behavior, adapt to client needs before they even know they need things and so forth? Think of how powerful that is. And I’m not telling you anything new, right? You’re you already know that pattern matching and using patterns and systems and procedures and all those beautiful words that I love. You know how useful those are. But what I’m saying is it happens on a level that you may not realize. And it happens in things that you’re getting enjoyment from. So go listen to some of your favorite songs again. Think about what I’ve said about predictability. Go read some books. Think about predictability. And I’ll see you next time. Outro which you knew I was going to say because you recognize this pattern. Take care.

Analysts Don Kellogg and Roger Entner dive into the current state of carrier price locks as well as consumer sentiment, exploring the findings from Roger's new report on the subject, "Promises, Promises, Promises."00:00 Episode intro 00:25 Overview of the price lock landscape 01:34 Verizon's price lock landscape 02:56 T-Mobile's price lock landscape 03:09 Carrier price plans are innumerable 04:41 AT&T's price lock landscape 05:22 Charter's price lock landscape 06:06 Comcast's price lock landscape 06:47 Consumers prefer straightforward pricing 07:58 Cable equipment fees as a pain point 09:22 Carrier strategies differ overall 10:07 AT&T OneConnect's pricing 10:54 Fiber vs. satellite 12:03 Carrier reporting frequency 13:14 Report overview and episode wrap-upTags: telecom, telecommunications, wireless, prepaid, postpaid, cellular phone, Don Kellogg, Roger Entner, price locks, AT&T, Verizon, churn, net adds, T-Mobile, data, Charter, cable, Comcast, inflation, Verizon FiOS, routers, AT&T OneConnect, fiber, FWA, satellite, Starlink, reporting

Episode Excerpt: In this episode of United States Real Estate Investor® Conversations, Mike and John break down why predictability may be one of the most underrated forces in real estate wealth building. They explore how steady mortgage rates, modest appreciation, reliable rent, growing inventory, equity snowballing, and patient long-term planning can help investors build serious wealth without chasing wild market swings.See full article: https://www.unitedstatesrealestateinvestor.com/why-predictability-is-underrated-in-real-estate-wealth-building-2/See the Real Estate Investor of the Year 2025: https://www.unitedstatesrealestateinvestor.com/united-states-real-estate-investor-real-estate-investor-of-the-year-2025-jonathan-gray/United States Real Estate Investor® Real Estate Investor of the Year is sponsored by thetrustisyou.comKill the noise: https://unitedstatesrealestateinvestor.com/2026ownershipreset—Ready to kill the rat race?This free beginner's guide will show you exactly how to start, even if you're broke, busy, or scared to death of losing a dime.It's short. It's simple. It's real.Download now: https://www.unitedstatesrealestateinvestor.com/freeguide/—Helping you learn how to achieve financial freedom through real estate investing. https://www.unitedstatesrealestateinvestor.com/

Episode 187 – The Truth About Consistent Cash Flow (And Why Most Founders Never Achieve It)What if the reason your business feels unstable… isn't your revenue — but your lack of predictability?In this episode of Dawn of a New Era – The Billionaire Brain, Dawn McGruer shares a powerful and honest insight into one of the most misunderstood aspects of business growth: the difference between revenue and consistent cash flow.From the outside, many businesses look successful. Money is coming in. Growth is happening.But behind the scenes… there's often uncertainty.This episode reveals why big months and revenue spikes don't create real stability — and how the absence of predictability can keep founders in a constant cycle of pressure, overthinking, and reactive decision-making.If you've ever had strong revenue… but still felt on edge about what comes next… this conversation will completely shift how you think about financial growth and control.Dawn breaks down the key shifts required to move from unpredictable income to consistent, reliable cash flow — not through more effort, but through stronger structure, simpler models, and repeatable systems.Because when you stop asking “How do I make more money?” and start asking “How do I make this predictable?” everything changes.Cash flow is not about chasing.It's about building.Because the truth is this:Revenue creates excitement. Predictability creates freedom.If you want to build a business that feels stable, scalable, and fully in your control — this episode will change the way you think about money.In This Episode You'll Discover• Why revenue spikes don't equal financial stability • The difference between income and consistent cash flow • How unpredictability creates stress, hesitation, and poor decision-making • Why founders often build for growth… instead of sustainability • The shift from chasing big months to building consistent systems • Why more offers and complexity often reduce stability • The power of simplifying your business model for scalability • How understanding your numbers changes how you lead • The role of repeatable systems in creating predictable income • Why consistency comes from structure — not luck • How stable cash flow improves clarity, focus, and strategic thinking • The identity shift required to move from chasing revenue to leading a businessKey Insight From This EpisodeThe founders who experience true freedom are not chasing bigger months.They are building predictable ones.Instead of asking, “How do I make more money?”They start asking, “How do I make this repeatable?”And that shift is where businesses move from volatility… to stability.Reflection Questions for FoundersTake a moment to reflect on these questions from the episode:Am I building for revenue spikes… or consistent cash flow? Do I have a model that creates predictable income each month? Am I adding complexity instead of strengthening what already works? Do I truly understand what income I can rely on? Where am I making decisions from pressure instead of clarity? What systems could make my revenue more repeatable?Because sometimes the next level of growth isn't earning more.It's knowing it will come again.Share This EpisodeIf this episode helped you rethink how you approach money and stability in your business, share it with a founder who's ready to move from unpredictable income to consistent cash flow.These are the conversations that redefine financial growth, control, and what it really means to scale sustainably.Think like a millionaire. Scale like a CEO. Expand like an icon.Connect with Dawn:Instagram @dawnmcgruer @dawnofanewerapodcastFacebook https://www.facebook.com/dawnamcgruerLinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/businessconsort/Web www.dawnmcgruer.comThis podcast is in association with @HerPowerCommunity - The #1 Female Founders Global Community where connections flourish & growth is intentionalhttps://www.patreon.com/c/herpowercommunity This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis: Podkite - https://podkite.com/privacy

SummaryGreat leaders aren't just visionaries—they are unwaveringly predictable, establishing trust and stability within their teams. In this week's Visionary Leader with Jim Robinson episode, Jim explores why consistency is a cornerstone of effective leadership and how it fosters an environment where accountability, emotional safety, and success can flourish.Predictability isn't about rigid routines, but rather about being consistent in values, behaviors, and responses, especially under pressure. Jim shares how leaders who consistently show up as their authentic selves build a reputation for emotional steadiness. People crave that reliability; it anchors them during turbulent times and minimizes anxiety that comes from unexpected shifts or inconsistent treatment.The episode highlights the difference between charismatic and steady leaders. While charisma can attract attention, Jim argues that steadiness is what keeps people loyal and driven. Teams take comfort in knowing what to expect from their leader, allowing them to focus on their own performance rather than bracing for leadership mood swings.Practical habits, or as Jim calls them, “rituals,” cement a leader's dependability. Whether it's daily routines or established processes, these rituals make success repeatable and create an infectious culture of excellence.Ultimately, if a leader is great and predictable, people will want to follow. Predictability paves the way from “the poster from Kmart” to “the Mona Lisa”—the kind of legacy every leader hopes to paint. Tune in today!Show Notes(00:00) Empowering Consistent Leadership Practices(04:39) Choosing Steady over Charismatic Leaders(09:23) Avoiding Unpredictability in Leadership(11:44) Consistency and Emotional Steadiness in Leadership(16:51) Building Customer Loyalty Through LeadershipLinksJim Robinson CGP Maintenance and Construction Services

The death of Duke Robert's chief ally, William of Breteuil, and the succession crisis it kicked off, was destabilizing the duchy of Normandy.   And while I'm sure it was a relief that King Henry and Robert of Meulan had brokered a sort of resolution to the crisis… everyone watching knew their intrusion into Norman […] The post 498 – Power and Predictability first appeared on The British History Podcast.

Today, host John Norlin shares a strategy called Grandma's Rule, a practical, research-backed approach to building predictability into the classroom through first-then scheduling and visual routines. John walks through why predictable environments lead to regulation, engagement, and ultimately learning, and how educators can set this up in a way that increases student motivation from the start. This episode is part of the CharacterStrong Weekly series — short, immediately applicable strategies educators can put to work the same day. In this episode, John offers important reminders for educators and leaders: Students crave predictability, when they can anticipate what is coming and why, they are better regulated and more ready to learn. First-then scheduling makes routines visible and explicit, giving students something to reference and helping educators get ahead of behavior proactively. Sequencing preferred and less preferred activities strategically increases student motivation without requiring more time or resources. Learn More About CharacterStrong:  Access FREE MTSS Curriculum Samples Request a Quote Today! Learn more about CharacterStrong Implementation Support Visit the CharacterStrong Website

Watch Us On YouTube! Announcing a new, ongoing benefit for annual subscribers of our Slack community. Annual subscribers receive a free Points Path Alerts subscription OR a 30% discount on Points Path Pro. The airline industry feels a little shaky right now — and travelers may start to feel it. This week on Miles To Go, Ed and Richard dig into mounting questions around Spirit Airlines and whether the low-cost carrier can survive rising fuel prices and financial pressure. If Spirit disappears, what does that mean for fares, competition, and the broader travel ecosystem? From there, the conversation turns to United's latest move: introducing "basic" versions of premium cabin tickets. With fewer benefits, no changes, and more restrictions, it's another step in the ongoing trend of airlines unbundling even their most expensive products. They also break down a surprising airline move — Air Canada pulling out of JFK for the summer — and what that says about costs and demand in the New York market. Finally, a deep dive into a topic every frequent traveler can relate to: the real cost of getting to and from the airport. From Atlanta's predictable (but expensive) Delta dominance to New York's chaotic (but competitive) airport ecosystem, they compare what works — and what doesn't — when it comes to major U.S. hubs. Get hydrated like Ed in Vegas with Nuun If you enjoy the podcast, I hope you'll take a moment to leave us a rating. That helps us grow our audience! If you're looking for a way to support the show, we'd love to have you join us in our Travel Slack Community.  Join me and other travel experts for informative conversations about the travel world, the best ways to use your miles and points, Zoom happy hours and exciting giveaways. Monthly access Annual access Personal consultation plus annual access We have witty, funny, sarcastic discussions about travel, for members only. My fellow travel experts are available to answer your questions and we host video chats multiple times per month. Follow Us! Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/milestogopodcast/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@milestogopodcast Ed Pizza: https://www.instagram.com/pizzainmotion/ Richard Kerr: https://www.instagram.com/kerrpoints/ ✈️ What We Cover in This Episode ✈️ Spirit Airlines and industry uncertainty Rising fuel prices and financial pressure Bailout rumors and what happens next Why low-cost carriers matter for competition ✈️ Airline consolidation and competition Why the JetBlue–Spirit merger mattered What happens if a low-cost carrier disappears How pricing pressure could change ✈️ United introduces "basic" premium fares Restrictions in business and premium economy No changes, fewer perks, and seat assignment limits Why this could confuse travelers ✈️ The growing complexity of airline pricing Basic Economy lessons repeating at higher tiers Why fare differences are getting harder to track How travelers can avoid mistakes ✈️ Air Canada pulls out of JFK (for now) Cost pressures vs demand Why Newark and LaGuardia may be better options What this signals for airline strategy ✈️ The real cost of airport access Ride-share prices skyrocketing in NYC Why getting to the airport can cost more than your flight Taxi vs rideshare vs public transit tradeoffs ✈️ Atlanta vs New York airports Delta dominance vs multi-airline competition Predictability vs flexibility Which setup is actually better for travelers ✈️ Airport security and infrastructure challenges Atlanta TSA bottlenecks AirTrain and transit frustrations Why airport design still matters ⏱️ Episode 433 Timestamps 0:49 – Opening banter and travel plans 6:08 – Spirit Airlines uncertainty and bailout rumors 10:14 – Why low-cost carriers matter for pricing 11:17 – Air Canada pulling out of JFK 16:01 – Hong Kong follow-up and listener feedback 19:08 – United's new "basic" business class fares 24:07 – Why Basic Economy keeps expanding 25:04 – Pricing transparency and travel portals 30:27 – Best food options at the Cosmopolitan in Vegas 30:56 – Atlanta vs New York airport comparison

Most entrepreneurs think freedom comes after they sell their business — but the truth is, it starts long before that.In this episode of The $100M Entrepreneur Podcast, I break down what it really means to be “exit ready” and why the smartest founders mentally exit years before the actual sale. I'll walk you through the exit readiness formula — profit, predictability, and independence — and explains how each one impacts your valuation and your freedom. You'll learn the difference between operational, strategic, and ownership exits, and how to shift from operator to owner to investor.I also dives into how to build leadership, install systems, and test your absence so your business can run without you.If you want a business that works for you — not because of you — this episode will show you how to start building it.About Brad SugarsInternationally known as one of the most influential entrepreneurs, Brad Sugars is a bestselling author, keynote speaker, and the #1 business coach in the world. Over the course of his 30-year career as an entrepreneur, Brad has become the CEO of 9+ companies and is the owner of the multimillion-dollar franchise ActionCOACH®. As a husband and father of five, Brad is equally as passionate about his family as he is about business. That's why, Brad is a strong advocate for building a business that works without you – so you can spend more time doing what really matters to you. Over the years of starting, scaling and selling many businesses, Brad has earned his fair share of scars. Being an entrepreneur is not an easy road. But if you can learn from those who have gone before you, it becomes a lot easier than going at it alone.Please click here to learn more about Brad Sugars: https://bradsugars.com/Build a Business That Gives You More Time, Money & Life: Get The $100M Playbook: https://go.bradsugars.com/100m-playbook-ebook

Enterprise customers demand 99.9% availability, regardless of how the underlying software is built. In this episode, Murali Swaminathan (CTO @ Freshworks) discusses how enterprises actually win with AI! We explore the “Architecture of Predictability” – proactive architectural safeguards to scale “responsible AI by design” across a global organization serving 75,000 customers. Murali shares his leadership playbook for implementing the technical safeguards and product trust controls that empower hundreds of engineers to build safely. We also dive into the shift from deterministic flowcharts to “workflows with a brain” and why backend systems engineers are the secret bedrock of agentic products. Plus, Murali deconstructs the dual evolution required of modern leaders: mastering strategic thinking at the business level while cultivating systems thinking at the engineering level.   ABOUT MURALI SWAMINATHAN Murali Swaminathan joined Freshworks as Chief Technology Officer in September 2024. Murali is responsible for Freshworks' technology roadmap and strategy, leading the company's global engineering and architecture teams. With over 30 years of experience in software engineering, he has held leadership roles at ServiceNow, Recommind (now OpenText), and CA Technologies (now Broadcom), where he delivered scalable, secure solutions that enabled digital transformation and business agility. Murali holds a master's degree in Software Engineering Management from Carnegie Mellon University and a bachelor's degree in electronics and instrumentation from Annamalai University in India.   SHOW NOTES: Freshworks' operating context: Engineering for 75,000 global customers (2:09) Navigating the tension between rapid AI adoption and enterprise-grade reliability (4:58) Breaking the "Positive Scenario" Trap: Using AI to automate negative test cases and corner-case detection (6:40) Why Responsible AI is a competitive advantage: Building "kill switches" and trust gates (8:31) Responsible AI by Design: Moving from reactive compliance to proactive architectural safeguards (10:48) Technical safeguards: Leveraging hyperscaler frameworks for model compliance and data anonymization (13:39) Product Trust Controls: Demonstrating reliability through role-based access and thresholds (16:25) Why engineering leaders should experiment in small teams before global rollout (20:35) Simulating Chaos: Using Business Continuity Planning (BCP) to test AI system resilience (22:13) Workflows with a brain: Transitioning from deterministic flows to agentic runtime decisions (24:16) The AI Team Profile: Why backend system engineers, not just data scientists, are the bedrock of agentic products (29:25) Cultivating a mindset shift toward agentic system orchestration (32:10) The shift to systems thinking: How engineering roles evolve from "building pieces" to managing end-to-end system flows (33:38) How to approach strategic business thinking as an engineering leader (36:43) Rapid Fire Questions: Guy Kawasaki's "Think Remarkable" and the best way to predict the future (38:23)   LINKS AND RESOURCES Think Remarkable: 9 Paths to Transform Your Life and Make a Difference - Tech titan and creator of the Remarkable People podcast Guy Kawasaki delivers a practical, tactical, and sometimes radical discussion of how to make a difference in the world and live a fulfilling life.   This episode wouldn't have been possible without the help of our incredible production team: Patrick Gallagher - Producer & Co-Host Jerry Li - Co-Host Noah Olberding - Associate Producer, Audio & Video Editor https://www.linkedin.com/in/noah-olberding/ Dan Overheim - Audio Engineer, Dan's also an avid 3D printer - https://www.bnd3d.com/ Ellie Coggins Angus - Copywriter, Check out her other work at https://elliecoggins.com/about/ Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

HT2598 - Predictability In a chess game, what happens when both players see the inevitability of the outcome? They throw in the towel and quit the game. I feel that way about certain television shows and movies. Once the plot becomes predictable, I lose interest. Doesn't it make sense that this same idea pertains to photography as well? The minute I see a portfolio from, say, Yosemite and the first few images are perfectly predictable, I find my motivation for viewing the rest of the portfolio diminishes. Show your appreciation for our free weekly Podcast and our free daily Here's a Thought… with a donation Thanks!

In this powerful episode of The Reformed Brotherhood, Tony and Jesse return to their parable series with an in-depth examination of the Laborers in the Vineyard from Matthew 20:1-16. This often-misunderstood parable confronts our natural inclination toward merit-based thinking and exposes the scandal of God's grace. The hosts unpack the covenantal language embedded in the text, particularly the workers' "grumbling"—a loaded term echoing Israel's wilderness rebellion. Through careful exegesis and theological reflection, they demonstrate how this parable dismantles religious entitlement while celebrating God's sovereign freedom to bestow mercy according to His purposes, not our calculations. The discussion offers fresh insights into grace, election, and the radical generosity that defines God's kingdom economy. Key Takeaways The parable operates on covenant logic, not economic fairness: The landowner's dealings with his workers reflect covenantal promise-keeping rather than marketplace transactions, establishing that God's relationship with His people is fundamentally gracious. "Grumbling" carries profound theological weight: The Greek word used for the workers' complaint is the same term in the Septuagint for Israel's wilderness rebellion—not mere dissatisfaction, but a covenantal accusation against God's faithfulness. Two types of workers represent two approaches to God: The first-hired workers who contracted for specific wages represent those relating to God through legal obligation and merit, while later workers who trusted the owner's promise represent faith-based relationship. The reversal of payment order is narratively essential: By paying the last workers first, the landowner deliberately exposes the merit-based assumptions of the first workers, forcing them to confront their entitlement. Grace doesn't negate justice—it transcends it: The landowner fulfills every contractual obligation while simultaneously exercising sovereign generosity beyond what is owed, demonstrating that mercy and justice coexist in God's character. The parable addresses the present kingdom, not just heaven: Because it includes grumbling and complaint, this parable describes life in God's kingdom now—the "already but not yet"—rather than the consummated state. Divine sovereignty in salvation is the theological climax: The landowner's declaration "Am I not allowed to do what I choose with what belongs to me?" directly addresses God's freedom in election and the scandal of unmerited grace. Key Ideas The Covenantal Nature of the Landowner's Dealings The parable's opening establishes a formal agreement between the landowner and the first workers: one denarius for a day's labor. This contractual arrangement is crucial for understanding what follows. Unlike marketplace haggling, this represents a covenant—the landowner binds himself to provide what he has promised. Tony emphasizes that even this initial contract is an act of condescension and grace, as the master had no obligation to employ anyone at all. As the day progresses, subsequent workers are hired with increasingly less formal agreements. By the third hour, the landowner promises only "whatever is right," and by the eleventh hour, no wage is even mentioned. These later workers enter the vineyard based entirely on the landowner's character and trustworthiness. This progression mirrors the movement from law to gospel—from contractual obligation to trusting promise. The theological implication is profound: those who relate to God based on His gracious word rather than calculated merit are actually in a more secure position than those who attempt to earn their standing through works. The Wilderness Echo: Grumbling as Covenant Violation The hosts make a critical exegetical observation about the Greek word for "grumbling" (γογγύζω) used in verse 11. This is not casual complaining but the identical term used throughout the Septuagint to describe Israel's covenant rebellion in the wilderness. When the workers grumble "upon receiving" their wages, they're not merely expressing disappointment about pay inequality—they're filing a covenant lawsuit against the master, accusing him of unfaithfulness. This connection to Numbers 16 and Exodus 16-17 is devastating. The Israelites' wilderness grumbling wasn't about logistics or comfort; it was fundamentally about doubting God's covenant fidelity. By employing this loaded terminology, Matthew signals that the first workers' complaint is nothing less than accusing God of covenant violation. The landowner's response ("Friend, I am doing you no wrong. Did you not agree with me for a denarius?") is a covenant defense—he has fulfilled his obligations precisely. The workers' real offense is not miscalculation but begrudging God's freedom to show mercy beyond what is contractually required. The "Evil Eye" and Begrudging God's Grace The final rhetorical question—"Or do you begrudge my generosity?"—contains another Jewish idiom often lost in translation. The Greek literally reads, "Is your eye evil because I am good?" This "evil eye" imagery appears throughout Scripture as a metaphor for envy, stinginess, and resentment toward another's blessing. The landowner's question cuts to the heart: are you cursing me for being generous? This directly parallels Jonah's response to Nineveh's salvation. Jonah had just experienced miraculous deliverance through the great fish, yet when God showed identical mercy to the Ninevites, Jonah's response was essentially, "I knew you were gracious—that's why I ran!" The parable exposes the same perverse logic: those who have received covenant mercy begrudging that same mercy extended to others. For the Pharisees listening to Jesus, this was an indictment of their resentment toward tax collectors and sinners receiving the kingdom. For Christians today, it challenges any sense of spiritual superiority based on how long we've been in the kingdom or how much we've sacrificed. Memorable Quotes Am I not allowed to do what I choose with what belongs to me? Or do you begrudge my generosity? That 'or' is a logical connector—either I'm not allowed to do what I want with my belongings, which is ridiculous, or if I am allowed, then you must be mad at me for being generous. Those are the only options. — Tony Arsenal The grumbling in the Old Testament in this context is a covenantal accusation. These workers aren't just complaining about not getting what they thought they would—they're questioning the veracity of the covenant that was made. — Tony Arsenal Most of us are this eleventh-hour call. It's much better to be in the place of that younger brother who comes in and repents than to be the older brother who is stubborn and finds some reason to come before God with self-righteous grievances. — Jesse Schwamb Full Episode Transcript [00:01:05] Jesse Schwamb: Welcome to episode 488 of the Reformer Brotherhood. I'm Jesse  [00:01:13] Tony Arsenal: and I am still Tony, and this is the podcast where Tony comes back. Hey brother.  [00:01:19] Jesse Schwamb: Hey brother. The band is back together again, man. It's reunited and boy, do you feel it? It feels good, doesn't  [00:01:26] Tony Arsenal: it? I do, I do. I'm excited to come back. It was nice to take a break. [00:01:29] Jesse Schwamb: Good.  [00:01:29] Tony Arsenal: I, uh, I've been, you know, texted with you a couple times. Just it was, I did my best to sort of not think about the podcast because that's sort of defeats the purpose of taking a break from something if you spend a lot of time thinking about it. Um, so I'm back. I'm refreshed. I'm ready to go.  [00:01:44] Break and Work Chaos [00:01:44] Tony Arsenal: I appreciate the listeners' patience. Uh, it's been sort of a weird, crazy busy time at work. Uh, there's a lot going on. I, I lost like. 60% of my staff in the course of like three weeks. And, um, I'm still kind of in the thick of it, but we're coming out of it. So took a little bit of time to just make sure that I was having a, an appropriate space to de-stress from that and take care of my family and attend to worship. And, um, it was really a, a blessing to have that. Uh, sort of sabbatical. Ironically, the sabbatical wars were going on at the same time on Twitter, and Jesse is blissfully unaware of that 'cause he's not involved in in the Twitter. That's true. Um, but yeah, just took a little break and it's kinda like overblown it, to call it a sabbatical. Like this is a podcast, it's a hobby, but, but it was nice to have, uh, a little bit of extra time, you know, couple hours extra week, uh, uh, each week of extra time to just decompress and, uh, play with the kids and spend time with my wife and clean the house a little bit, which was good.  [00:02:36] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, it is always good to have a clean house. You look great. You seem refreshed. The voice sounds good, and I'm like, I don't know, in year seven or eight of my Twitter sabbatical, it's going great so far. I feel like I haven't missed a whole lot. The world still seems wild and I'm sure, or X, right? We gotta go X on this. It's  [00:02:53] Tony Arsenal: always Twitter. It's always gonna be Twitter. I don't care what Elon Musk  says.  [00:02:56] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, I'm listen. I'm totally fine with that.  [00:02:58] Back to Parables [00:02:58] Jesse Schwamb: And I teased this in the last episode, but we can't be stopped. I mean, people should know this by now, we have an inexorable march through the parables of Jesus's true. That will not be stopped. We're always gonna come back until there are no more. And on this episode, we're gonna be hanging out in Matthew 20, talking about laborers in the Kingdom of Heaven.  [00:03:17] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Yeah. I'm stoked. I'm, I'm, I'm excited to get back into it. I'm excited to get back into the word together with everybody. I'm excited to clear whatever that was on in my throat out  [00:03:27] Jesse Schwamb: emotion,  [00:03:27] Tony Arsenal: live on the air. Uh, but yeah, it'll be good. I'm, I'm stoked. I mean, I love this stuff and it's good to be back.  [00:03:32] Jesse Schwamb: Listen, you had the rest. Now let's talk about labor. So speaking of labor, it's, it's time for you to work up here, Tony. Are you affirming with or denying against on this episode?  [00:03:42] Tony Arsenal: Uh, I'm affirming something and I'm hopeful, uh, that just a little behind the scenes activity here. Jesse recorded episode 487, like an hour and a half ago. I have not yet listened to it, so I don't know if you did an affirmation and I I did. If you did. I hope it's not the same one.  [00:03:58] Jesse Schwamb: I did not. You're  [00:03:59] Tony Arsenal: safe. Uh, good. So I'm safe.  [00:04:01] Artemis II Hype [00:04:01] Tony Arsenal: So, um, I'm affirming the Artemis two mission. Um, oh, nice. Have you been, I mean, I know you're not on Twitter, but I'm sure there's news elsewhere. Uh, this amazing mission around the moon, um, for astronaut, for astronauts, I think, um, the furthest man space travel, um, since the Apollo program. Um. Pretty intense, pretty amazing pictures, right? The camera technologies amazing. Increased exponentially, uh, since we were there last. Um, this is ostensibly in preparation for an actual moon landing, which who knows when that will be? Um, but as far as I've seen, the mission was a resounding success. There was no right. I think they had, they ran into a few little hiccups early on with some technical things, but nothing crazy. I have not heard. Um, I know they did touch down and they did reentry. Um, I've not heard anything one way or another, but I'm assuming since I have not heard terrible, tragic news that they made it through, did they do the reentry? I'm really, apparently I'm not actually paying as much attention to this as I thought I was. I saw a lot of information about reentry, but I guess, I don't know for sure when that happened or is happening.  [00:05:05] Jesse Schwamb: I mean, by this point, when people listen to it, it'll be old news anyway, right? So  [00:05:09] Tony Arsenal: For sure. Yeah. And either, either it went terribly wrong and I'm gonna feel awful, or it went fine and I'm gonna feel a little silly for. Throwing a caveat that it went terribly wrong out there. But, um, it's cool. It's, it's amazing. I mean, I, I commented to my wife the other day and she's kinda like, yeah, maybe we should like, spend that money on people who are on the planet. I was like, okay, I can, I can buy that wisdom. But, um, there's something very cool and very Genesis, uh, one, ask Genesis one and two, ask about flying out into space and taking dominion over Yeah, for sure. Over a, a little ball of rock, uh, you know, uh, 25,000 miles away or whatever it is. Um. And, you know, I'm like an engineering nerd. I, I don't know anything about engineering, but I love watching YouTube videos that explain stuff like this. And  [00:05:52] Jesse Schwamb: me  [00:05:52] Tony Arsenal: too, all of the videos that have cropped up now about free return and how, like they're able to basically like do minimal burn on the thrusters to get into the right trajectory and then just like meet the moon in the place it's gonna be. And then the, you know, the moon's gravity captures it and whips it back around and then shoots it back towards Earth. And for the most part, they're able to do all of that with relatively minor, um, relatively minor energy output because they're just utilizing physics and gravity and math, um, to fly to the moon and come back. Yes. It's pretty crazy amazing. So, yeah. Amazing. And the photos of like the, the sort of like new versions of the Earthrise photos are really, really phenomenal. Um, they're crisp, they're clean, they're obviously like the best, the best actual pho photographic images we've had of the lunar surface. Um. And the, the far side of the lunar surface, which we get all sorts of like telescopic photos and things of this side of the lunar surface because it's tightly locked and is facing us at all times. We don't get a ton of really great photography of the far side of the moon, which is a big part of what this mission was, so,  [00:06:56] Jesse Schwamb: right.  [00:06:56] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. If you haven't seen the photos, I mean, they're out there, they're amazing. There will be even more available once we get back. You know, they, they're transmitting only the most stellar, amazing ones. Um, and, but they're taking, I'm sure thousands and thousands of photos and, um, so yeah, it's pretty cool. I'm affirming the Artemis two mission. Um. It's just amazing what, what people can do with common grace, you know? That's right. In insight into nature. Um, I don't know anything about the astronauts. I don't know anything about their religious faith or their spiritual life or anything like that. But, um, the people who design this, the people who fly it, they're just tapping into the truth that's present in God's creation. So good on them. Uh, either I'm glad they got home, wish they have a safe home coming, or something along those lines, I guess. I don't know.  [00:07:40] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, you'll be happy to know that NASA is reporting that the four astronauts are an excellent condition after they landed in the Pacific Ocean. So  [00:07:47] Tony Arsenal: good.  [00:07:47] Jesse Schwamb: All, all appears to be well. And it says they have a giant SD card of pictures that's they've been taking. Yeah. And saving. I'm sure. They were just, they were just too big to send to over wifi.  [00:07:58] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Like massive wideness. Yeah. I mean, I'm sure they have a ton that they didn't send because you know Right. Data rates to the moon are pretty high. Yeah.  [00:08:05] Jesse Schwamb: Ex. Yeah.  [00:08:05] Tony Arsenal: This economy is crazy. So  [00:08:07] Jesse Schwamb: Exactly. In this economy. Really In this economy. Yeah, exactly.  [00:08:11] Cosmic Worship Reflections [00:08:11] Jesse Schwamb: I think you're right. This is good. I haven't talked about this at all. It's hard not to get just stoked, even in the amateur way about the science, the technology, the physics of all this stuff, and then even the astronauts just being overwhelmed by what they're seeing. [00:08:24] Tony Arsenal: Mm-hmm.  [00:08:25] Jesse Schwamb: It's hard not to get pulled into that and think about the universe that God has created and find that there is something transcendent just, uh, by observing all of these things. Yeah. Like even casually, which I think shows, again, this is literally the, the heavens and the earth crying out for God, showing his immeasurable power and, you know, immortal nature. It's incredible that we can even see and be a part of some of these things. Just wild.  [00:08:49] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Yeah, and I think it's crazy that they can get signals to the moon. I mean, I drive home from Dartmouth College and I go through half of the spot there, and I don't have a cell signal, but we can get images from the moon. Um, so yeah, it's great. It's great. Check it out if you haven't seen it. If you haven't heard about it, I don't know what you're doing. Uh, this is probably the largest major scientific advancement in our generation. Um, in terms of like big scale scientific enterprise projects. There's been a lot of really amazing technology that's been developed. But this is like the first big. Almost like risky kind of scientific,  [00:09:30] Jesse Schwamb: right?  [00:09:30] Tony Arsenal: I dunno. Gambit or I dunno, gamble that we've done in a long time. Big deal. I mean, big a lot. Deal of things. Deal. Nothing went wrong. Nothing ma major went wrong. Praise God that they all got back to the planet safely. Right. But, um, a lot of things could have gone wrong, uh, and they didn't. So check out the photos, check out the scientific data they're gonna get. I mean, I'm sure they've got all sorts of information about the way the, the, the space ship moved, all of that stuff. It's gonna be really interesting to see kind of how this all comes about.  [00:09:56] Jesse Schwamb: Get some worship on, right? Yeah. I mean this is what a one, a thing to be reminded about how big and how glorious God is. [00:10:01] Tony Arsenal: Yeah.  [00:10:01] Jesse Schwamb: And, and to realize, like you said, the risks of this exploration. And this is God again, creating all of this outta nothing. Why? Yeah. Just absolutely wild. Incredible.  [00:10:12] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Yeah, for  [00:10:12] Jesse Schwamb: sure. Blown away.  [00:10:13] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. What about you, Jesse? What do you have for us?  [00:10:15] Bayes and Predictability [00:10:15] Jesse Schwamb: I got affirmation. It's equally nerdy, and actually this is as is always the case. This is why one of many reasons I miss you is it, it dovetails so nicely, so I'm affirming with a book. It's called Everything Is Predictable, how Esy and Statistics Explains the World. It's by a guy named Tom Chivers. I know this sounds super nerdy, but hear me out on this because Thomas Bayes, if you don't know this guy is first kind of like a wild and interesting guy, but this whole theory he put forward is super interesting. And this book is not like a mathematics book. It's like reads almost like a statistical thriller, which as it came outta my mouth, realized it was not maybe more ingratiating. I could have chosen better words than statistical thriller. But Thomas Bayes was alive in the 17 hundreds. And what's interesting to me at least about him, is he was an English statistician, who was a Presbyterian minister actually. He was a non-conformist and his, this whole theorem that he developed was actually published after his death. And the non-conformist part is super interesting. It's all in this book, even some of his different theological ideas. But because he was non-conformist, it basically meant like he couldn't learn. He was kicked out of all the English universities. He had to go to Scotland. Even all of that shaped how he came up with this particular theorem. But the gist of it is. Rather than treating like probabilities, as we think about it as this fixed frequency, you know, how many times does this thing occur? He argued and realized that it should represent a degree of belief and then you would update that belief rationally as new evidence comes in. And I know that sounds super quaint, but this is like what machine learning is based on medical diagnosis. A lot of like space travel is based on this in terms of understanding uncertainty and systems spam, all of that stuff. Here's an example, I think Tony, because we are, we have to carry forward with the top 50 medical podcast thing, right? We've got going on here. Lemme just give everybody an example of why you need this and why you automatically think this way. So. Statistics is really important, especially in medical testing. This was really prevalent in during COVID. So there's two ways that you can describe how a medical test performs you. You know this already, Tony, you're an expert. So one would be like sensitivity. So like how AIG  [00:12:19] Tony Arsenal: not an expert.  [00:12:20] Jesse Schwamb: Oh, you're definitely an expert in testing. Here we go. So one would be like sensitivity. How good is the test at catching people who are sick? So if you're sick, you, you want the test to identify that, that you're sick. That's sensitivity. So a test with a 99% sensitivity is gonna correctly identify 99 out of a hundred people who are truly sick. It always gonna miss one person. It's a false negative. The other half of that coin is something called specificity. So if sensitivity is all about catching the people who are sick, specificity is gonna say, how good is the test at clearing people who are not sick? And so a test with 99% specificity, you might have correctly guessed, is gonna identify or clear 99 out of a hundred healthy people. Now if you have a test. Both of those 99% sensitive and 99% specific, you might be thinking, that is the dream. That's exactly what I want. That that test is gonna be so precise and accurate. How could my intuition fail me? But this is the thing. It actually fails all the time, and here's why. Let's say that. You go out and you screen a group of people, a general population for a rare disease that affects one in a thousand people. One in a thousand people, rare disease. So if you screen 10,000 people from the general population, that means that truly only 10 of them are going to have the actual disease. I'm not gonna do all the math 'cause it'll, oh, this is already making for amazing podcasting. But here's the bottom line. That test, which sounds so good on the face, is going to identify 109 people as truly sick or truly having disease. But the problem is that only 10 of them actually have it. That means that only there's, it only has a success rate of 9%. There's only 9% chance you actually have the disease, but it's falsely identified. The short end of this is Bayes corrects that problem. He fixes it with his theorem so that we get to the right number of people. That's what's called like a base fallacy rate. It's not taking into account that really only 10 people should have this particular disease or this sickness. So I know that's sounds super nerdy, but so much of our lives are based on this. We have a prior belief or a prior set of things that we understand about the world. And then as evidence comes in, we refine that. That sounds so normal and normative, but it's revolutionary in this book actually. Bayes versus what's called like frequentist or frequent, um, probability is like hotly debated. People actually throw down over this theorem. So it's a really fun read. Go check out. Everything is predictable. Al Bayesian statistics explains our world. It really is for everybody. And then you can impress your friends with all the statistical pross you're gonna have when you're done reading it.  [00:14:56] Tony Arsenal: Like the medical administrator hat that I can't always take off is like, why would we screen 10,000 people? Are, are they all symptomatic? Are none of them symptomatic? But suppose it doesn't really  [00:15:08] Jesse Schwamb: matter for the example. That's a great, so generally what happens here is, let's say it's like some kind of rare form of cancer, unless you use Bayesian statistics, what you'll find is you'll get these false positive rates. So these tests do use Bayesian statistics. It corrects, in other words, for this problem. So there might be a lot of people that are gonna screen for this because if you, you wanna know if you have it, but you don't wanna get it wrong and say that you do. So this ensures his approach ensures that you get it. Right. It's wild. Fascinating stuff.  [00:15:34] Tony Arsenal: Yeah, and I would think actually, you know, there's probably, there's other mechanisms as well where they would, where they would sort of screen out. People that shouldn't be tested or help identify false negatives, false positives. Um, but yeah, that's, that's interesting. I probably won't read that book, but it sounds like an interesting read. I just don't have a lot of room on my A TBR shelf.  [00:15:55] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, listen. That, that's fair.  [00:15:57] Goodreads DNF Update [00:15:57] Jesse Schwamb: By the way, here's like a, a side affirmation. I think you and I both share speaking like books and cataloging books. If you use Good Reads, good Reads. Right. Finally adding a list of the Do Not Did Not Finish book. That's fantastic. This, this might be an example for some people, so pick it up and even if you don't have a place for it, guess where you can put it on the did not finish list. Yeah. Good Reads.  [00:16:16] Tony Arsenal: That's finally, that's one of those like, like why didn't they add that 15 years ago? Kind of an updates and you get the email and they're like, we're so excited to introduce the did Not Finish thing. And we're like, yeah. Like of course. Like, duh. It's likes, like, we're proud to introduce that. Your keypad now has a zero on it.  [00:16:36] Jesse Schwamb: Right. So  [00:16:37] Tony Arsenal: yeah. I'm, I'm excited about the DNR, um, the DNF, um, I'm so excited. I can't even remember what it's called. Yeah. The shelf. But, uh, very, very useful. The DNR list  [00:16:47] Jesse Schwamb: is a diff it is a different list. Speaking of medical things, it's a different  [00:16:50] Tony Arsenal: list. Yeah. Yeah, that's definitely a different thing. Usually it's not a list. It's a list of one in most cases.  [00:16:56] Jesse Schwamb: Exactly,  [00:16:57] Tony Arsenal: yeah. You can't put other people on your  [00:17:00] Jesse Schwamb: DNR  [00:17:00] Tony Arsenal: This,  [00:17:00] Jesse Schwamb: I suppose. Yeah, I should clarify that. You can really, you can only really put yourself, or I suppose somebody for whom you have that kind of authority over on that list, but I was thinking that more from like a medical perspective, that somewhere there would be a database in which there might be a list of DNR. I don't know.  [00:17:15] Tony Arsenal: Yeah, maybe. I don't know. I'm not sure. Probably there was at some point, but I think with medical chart technology now, that's probably like a. A moot point. Yeah. They don't need to be able to like cross reference a master list anymore. They just look in the patient's electronic record. We're really like in the weeds here. You can tell it's been a while since I've, I've podcasted. I don't really remember how to do this.  [00:17:35] Jesse Schwamb: This is great.  [00:17:36] Segue to Matthew 20 [00:17:36] Jesse Schwamb: I think at this point we try to make some kind of awkward segue that is mildly successful. Again, probably has statistically like a 20 to 27% chance of being successful and really hitting the mark. Yeah. So do you have anything that's gonna move us into this?  [00:17:49] Tony Arsenal: Yeah, I mean, I feel like you've been podcasting for the last several weeks without me and I've been working hard and now I'm kind of coming in as Johnny come lately and we're gonna get paid the same amount so. Even though you've worked harder for longer and I'm coming in late to the game here. [00:18:03] Jesse Schwamb: Oh man. Ple loved ones. Please tell me you got that. Please tell me you got all of that. That's, that's what you show up for here. Yeah, that was  [00:18:10] Tony Arsenal: a deep cut.  [00:18:11] Jesse Schwamb: That, that was beautiful. And I think leads us right into Matthew 20. So I think we've got at least 16 verses to get through here. Maybe again, if we're gonna keep a statistical theme here, something about engineering and math, all that stuff, we'll let everybody else pick the over under and whether or not we're gonna get through this and how many verses that's going to be. But at this point, we might as well begin.  [00:18:32] Tony Arsenal: Yes. Yeah.  [00:18:33] Read the Parable [00:18:33] Tony Arsenal: I'll start by reading. Uh, we're here in Matthew chapter 20, the first 16 versus this is the parable of the laborers in the vineyard and it reads. For the Kingdom of Heaven is like a master of a house who went out early in the morning to hire laborer laborers for his vineyard. After agreeing with the laborers for a denarius a day, he sent them into the vineyard and going out about the third hour, he saw others standing idle in the marketplace. He said to them, you go into the vineyard too, and whatever is right, I will give you. So they went, going out again about the sixth hour and the ninth hour, he did the same. And about the 11th hour, he went out and found others standing. And he said to them, why do you stand here idle all day? They said to him, because no one has hired us. And he said to them, you go into the vineyard too. And when the evening came, the owner of the vineyard said to his foreman, call the laborers and pay them with their wages, beginning with the last up to the first. And when those hired about the 11th hour came, each of them received a denarius. Now, when those hired first came, they thought they would receive more, but each of them also received a denarius. And on receiving it, they grumbled at the master of the house saying, these last worked only one hour and you have made them equal to us who have borne the burden of the day and the scorching heat. And he replied to one of them, friend, I'm doing you no wrong. Did you not agree with me? For a denarius, take what belongs to you and go, I choose to give the last worker as I give to you. Am I not allowed to do what I choose with what belongs to me? Or do you beg, do you begrudge my generosity? So the last will be first and the first will be last. Now I just wanna head this off. I did bite my tongue earlier and I probably am lisping and this is like a running gag. We thought that we'd resolved it. Uh, so if you hear me stumble over my words a little bit, it's just, it's just the struggle bus today.  [00:20:24] Jesse Schwamb: Listen, this is the, these are like the real things we have to deal with when the podcasting, like the real threats, the real injuries. I appreciate you like working through it. Like you just get back up and you walk it off with your tongue.  [00:20:35] Tony Arsenal: Yeah, my, my, uh, my podcasting hiatus was actually just a recovery of the last time I bit my tongue. I just needed a couple weeks to, no, I'm just kidding.  [00:20:43] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, we didn't wanna say.  [00:20:44] Tony Arsenal: Yeah.  [00:20:44] Kingdom Fairness and Grumbling [00:20:44] Tony Arsenal: So, Jesse, this is a, this is a parable that follows right on the heels, um, of kind of everything we've been talking about. And I think as we go through these parables and we look at them and we, we sort of pick them up and we look at the different facets of them, we sort of compare them to each other. We kind of, we kind of place them in their context really. They all have basically the same theme, right? Like they're all kind of circulating around these same topics. In this parable, it's circulating around this idea that, um, the, the owner of the vineyard, the master of the vineyard, is allowed to pay the people he employs whatever he wants. And as long as the payment that is due to an individual is received by that individual, then what other people receive and how they receive it and how hard they've worked and how hard they didn't work. That's really not germane to whether or not the, the laborer received a fair wage, uh, in the first place. Right. So we're, we're circling around themes of kind of fairness of, uh, of sort of resentment, I think for resentment at the master's generosity, which has been a big theme in previous ones. So this will be good for us to expand on. There's always little nuggets and kernels of things that are different from other parables, and then it's interesting to always see the ways that they kind of line up and, and tell us similar things.  [00:21:57] Jesse Schwamb: And this parable is unique to Matthew. Yeah. And it does function as this exposition or expansion of what Jesus says in chapter 19 where it says, but many who are first will be last. And the last first, which is repeated with this lovely like inverted emphasis in, at the end of this as you just read. So it belongs to this like interesting cluster of teacher teachings on discipleship and reward nature of the kingdom of God. And we've, we've spoken a lot about that. I think I was just reminded of this as you were, you were. Reading this, I feel like I remember this from some teaching, like this parable is kind of like a unique chiasm that's anchored on the landowner, sovereign generosity, which you brought up. And then there's the complaints of the first hired, which is mirrored by the late comers vulnerability. And then the landowners, two speeches which divide everything, kind of provide sandwich and the like, the theological climax. It does start in that really familiar way, which we've gotten accustomed to thinking about that introductory formula of the kingdom of heaven is like, and it signals of course that what follows is not gonna be a lesson in economics, but it's gonna use all this economic language as theological disclosure for how God's kingdom operates. And it starts again, like you said, with this master of the house, which to me seems. Pretty clearly like a, a God figure himself. Yeah. It's, that's kind of like a reoccurring mathian image. I think. So we've got this vineyard, which of course has all this symbolism, steeply rooted in Israel's covenant imagination and evokes God's people and his redemptive labor among them. So, man, now that I'm saying this all loud, is this thing like super pregnant with all kinds of like imagery and meaning?  [00:23:27] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Yeah. And you know, it's, it's always good to remember, although parables have kind of some parables, most parables have sort of distinct discreet, symbolic elements where like, this represents that this represents that almost in an allegorical form. And, and in some cases, like purely in allegorical form, where it's like pilgrim's progress where each, each individual, each entity, each location each represents some sort of symbolic value. But we have to remember that when, when it says the parable of the kingdom of heaven is like the master of the house, it's not just like the master of the house. Yes. Right. It's like this whole scenario. Yes. It's, it's like. Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. It's like everything that follows, it's like the entire, um, the entire paree here. That's what the Kingdom of Heaven is like. And one of the things that I think is striking about this is the kingdom of heaven is like some people complaining, like the people complaining about, some people are getting the same wage for less work. Um, that is part of what the Kingdom of Heaven is like. So I think we sometimes think of, of. The kingdom of heaven in, um, in the parables, we think of it as though God is just saying, this is what heaven is like. Right? Jesus Just saying like, this is what heaven is like, but the kingdom of heaven, that language is broader than what we normally would say, uh, is. We're thinking of heaven, like in the, the spiritual abode where God lives and the angels live. Um, where, where the departed saints are waiting for the resurrection, the kingdom of heaven is, is also inclusive of the, the sort of like. Time now between the victory of Christ on the cross and the consummation of the kingdom and the last day, the kingdom of heaven is inclusive of that time period too. And so this parable sort of situates us. I think it situates us in that pre consummated state where we're talking about what it's like to be a part of the kingdom of heaven here and now in our fallen state, but still solidly in the kingdom of heaven. 'cause there's not gonna be any complaining or grumbling about God's justice in God's fairness once we're in the final resurrected state. Right? Sure. Nobody's gonna be looking back and be like, yeah, you were way too gracious for that guy. Nobody's gonna be playing the Jonah part when we're all resurrected and we're worshiping for, for all time going forward. So this parable, because there are elements of. Dissatisfaction or elements of grumbling or complaining similar to like the, the parable of the prodigal son. There's this sun figure, the, the older sun figure who like is just a bonehead and doesn't get it. Well, that can't be talking about the people who are in the resurrection kingdom in the final kingdom. It's gotta be talking about people who are still awaiting the resurrection of the body and who are still not yet. Uh, and even in, in that parable, the, the older son doesn't even seem to be a figure who's, who's regener. Maybe he does become regener at some point in the future, but he doesn't seem to be. In, even in God's kingdom, he doesn't seem to be, even among God's people, he's consistently placed outside of the field. You don't even know he exists until Nick halfway through the parable. This is similar in that there are these workers, they're receiving their wages and some of them are, are outwardly dissatisfied and grumbling against the master of the house. Um, so I think if we think about parables as describing heaven rather than the kingdom of heaven, we can lose sight of, of what's actually being said in a lot of them. [00:26:50] Contracts Versus Grace [00:26:50] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, that's really good stuff because it strikes me that there are like, strangely, two groups here mentioned, I, I find this really kind of fascinating. We, I think we should talk about this, like the first group has like the most formal agreement, it's almost a legal contract, right? Various was like a standard day laborers wage sufficient mostly for subsistence. And so that detail seems theologically loaded to me. These workers relate to the landowner on the basis of a contract and what is owed. And so their claim at the end of the day will be exactly that. They're owed something and they know it, and that sets up Then this contrast with a second group, which is mostly all about grace because by the time we get to that third hour, like. Approximately like 9:00 AM then we're beginning this pattern repeated at the sixth and the ninth hours. And crucially, for those workers who go out, go out and get recruited, there's no wage that's specified for them. Only the promise of like whatever is right. And so they enter the vineyard, not on the basis of a contract, but on the basis of like the owner's word and character. And that seems to be like more of a picture of trust and not, not calculation. Yeah. Separate than like the first group. And that marketplace, idleness, as I read this, doesn't imply like laziness because verse seven clarifies like they just had not been hired. Right? They were overworked, they were unemployed. They were marginalized. So it does set up, like you said, everything you just talked about, about the kind of this, I like that. Like the Jonah, the Jonah whiners or whatever, like yeah, they want to complain about this, right? There are, and there are two, two separate groups that have kind of been brought into the fold, not under different terms or pretenses, but differently. [00:28:17] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. And I think too, bear's saying, um. Although there are elements of parables that are very, very directly applicable. Mm. We shouldn't read this as though every, every specific thing in the parable is not a parable. Right. Right. I think we can look at this and we can go, you know, you can read this in a way where, oh yeah, there's some people actually earn their, earn their wage, they earn ary. Right. It's a fair contract. And they work all day and he says, well, I'm gonna give you what's right, what you, what I owe you.  [00:28:45] God Owes Nothing [00:28:45] Tony Arsenal: The reality is God doesn't owe any of us anything. Right? Right. He owes us wrath and judgment and destruction. And so even, even the people who are the hard workers in the kingdom of God don't merit and never could merit, um, to, in a certain sense, in a strict sense and stick with me before you send your, your angry emails in a real strict sense. Even Adam couldn't merit. What was, well, it was guaranteed to him, according to the Covenant of Works, God had to condescend to make the covenant of works in order for Adam to have any sort of fruition of his blessedness. So there there's no natural obligation, strict obligation that God has to reward the work of his creatures because nothing they could do could ever be sufficient enough to obligate him. So the, the obligation of himself, and that's, this is where I do think this is strong, the fact that he obligates himself to these workers to give them their denarius after a hard day's work  [00:29:37] Jesse Schwamb: exactly  [00:29:37] Tony Arsenal: is itself. A covenantal, um, contractual, yes. But I actually read this as sort of a covenantal thing and the, the strange part is that the people don't recognize the sort of semi gracious covenantal nature of this. Yes.  [00:29:50] Grace In The Hiring [00:29:50] Tony Arsenal: I think, um, you know, there have been times when I, where I've been unemployed, um, not for very long. Now, I know some people face unemployment for a lot longer than I ever have, but I know there was times where I was, I was looking for work and someone would say to me like, Hey, you know, my, my, my lawn needs to be mowed. Could you come over and I'll, I'll give you 25 bucks to mow my lawn. It's a small lawn. Um. That's a gracious act in most cases. Right, right. Um, yes, I'm performing a task. Yes, they're paying me, but they didn't have to offer me that work. They didn't have to offer me that job, especially when it's something that like they could have accomplished themselves. They could have just done it themselves. Um, so I think there's an element of that here, that there's, there's a condescension of the master to these workers, to these laborers who are not part of his household. These are not, they're not slaves. These are not people who are part of his household, who are regular employees. These are people that he goes out into the market to, to find and to hire. And as we see some of, some of these mark, like the difference between the ones that are hired and the ones that are not hired until later in the day, the parable's not super clear about what it is. Just that they're not hired, it doesn't say the lazy ones were left there. The ones were exactly, that were ugly or had like limp legs or like just couldn't cut it. It just says like there was some that didn't get hired. Um, so there's a gracious element of this, and that makes the recognition at the end or the lack of recognition at the end by these full day laborers, the, the sort of like recognition, this, this entitled ness, um, that actually makes it all the worst. It's like the people who are outwardly attached to the covenant of grace. Um, I know all the Baptists in our, our group, their heads just exploded, but like are outwardly attached to the covenant of grace, um, who wanna somehow complain about like the graciousness of the covenant of grace that they're outwardly attached to it. It's just sort of like a form of, of theological and temporary insanity, I think. And that's what we see on full display here.  [00:31:40] Jesse Schwamb: It's definitely all grace. You're right that nobody's gonna get injustice right in this parable. And I think that's definitely exemplified the further out you go in this hiring order. [00:31:49] Eleventh Hour Mercy [00:31:49] Jesse Schwamb: So by the time you get to 5:00 PM which is pretty extraordinary, right? Only really like one hour remains before sense, right? It's the end of the working day.  [00:31:56] Tony Arsenal: Yeah.  [00:31:56] Jesse Schwamb: You can imagine like these guys who are being hired at the hour probably can contribute very little in the last hour of the day, right? But this owner goes out and hires them and no agreement is stated whatsoever. It's just pure grace. The landowner's question, why do you stand here idle all day? I think to your point, underlies their vulnerability. They were not idle by choice, presumably. And so I think we rightly here in this, like a foreshadowing of those who are called the late in redemptive history, Gentile sinners, the seemingly least qualified for kingdom membership. All of that I think is at play and it's all, it's getting this lovely setup of all these groups to help us understand what that kingdom is actually like.  [00:32:33] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Yeah.  [00:32:35] Reverse Payroll Setup [00:32:35] Tony Arsenal: And then we have this, um, this is where the sort of dramatic tension turns, right? The end of the day comes and, uh, the master calls the, the people that he brought last, right? He calls the people who'd only been there for an hour and he starts to go down the list of the people who, the people who were last, and the people who came in next. And the people who came in next, right? And the workers who had contracted at the beginning of the day. Um, they're watching this happen and they're kind of going, oh, this is gonna be good. Like, that guy's only been here for an hour and he got a denarius. You know, the logic is probably like, I'm gonna get 12 denarius, like I'm gonna go 12 days worth of work. Um, because I think there's an assumption on their part, um, that the master's fair that he is, he's providing an equitable wage. Um, of course the master is fair, but he's providing an equitable wage that's commensurate with the work delivered. A delivered, delivered, right? And that, that's the key to this parable.  [00:33:26] Merit Mindset Exposed [00:33:26] Tony Arsenal: I think the expectation that God. Helps those who help themselves. Right? God rewards those who put in the hard work. God. God provides blessing or salvation according to the merit provided by the one who's being saved. That perspective is what's on full display here. Yes. By the people who are, uh, the ones who contracted for the full day. They're not thinking about the covenant that they have with this person or the contract they have with this person. They're not thinking about the fact that they agreed to work for the day in order to earn a day's wage. They're thinking about how this actually is gonna work out great in their favor. They're looking at this as a strictly merit-based kind of a, a thing. And you would think that like when the, the one hour people come in, they get a denarius, and then the three hour people come in and they get a denarius. You'd think they would pick up on it at some point, but then in the course of the payroll, it doesn't seem that they do. They still get to the bottom of the list and think they're gonna get more compared to the other people who all got the same.  [00:34:22] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, that display piece is critical to this. It is like complete setup. Like you can imagine he, the landowner calling everybody together at the end of the day and they're all standing around. Some of them are exhausted because they've again born all their work in the heat of the day on their backs. They're tired, they're dirty, maybe they're exhausted. And he starts in this reverse order. And by the way, we should note that there is something here that's beautiful in that the law, the landowner is law abiding because right evening payment is mandated in the Torah. So we see all this taking place as to fulfill the law in some ways. But the reversal of the order that last of first is like such deliberative and good narrative storytelling and staging, isn't it? 'cause it ensures that the first hired workers are going to witness the payment of those who work the least. And if without that order, if you just did it the other way around, the more a crisis of the parable disc like completely goes away.  [00:35:10] Tony Arsenal: Yeah.  [00:35:10] Jesse Schwamb: So this execution of the payment at the owner's will, it just shows that he has. He's completely independent. His sovereignty belong. The sovereignty belongs to the master alone. And so this 11th hour workers receiving a full day's wage for one hour of work, that's like an act of sheer generosity. It's not proportional justice. And I think as reform, people, maybe all of us at some point have had this conversation about predestination and justice and mercy. And again, really I think putting a crowbar between this idea that nobody is receiving injustice, but some are receiving mercy and grace. And here these first hired workers seeing this form, like you said, this expectation that they're gonna receive more, like you said, where that came from. Yeah, it's just them, right? It's purely manufactured in their own reasoning. It's not anchored in the covenantal promise and certainly not witnessed in the grace that they should be receive, like perceiving as the payments get doled out, like sequentially moving in their reverse order toward those who have worked the longest. But their expectation reveals that they have fundamentally misread like the landowner's character. They're still operating in the register of a contract and not grace.  [00:36:16] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. And you know, I think to sort of lock this covenant covenantal frame and sort of like lack of recognition of the covenant into place too, when you look at the language of this parable, um, and especially kind of what it's following up on, it's coming on the heels of this interaction with this rich, rich young ruler who comes in and he thinks that he's gonna earn eternal life by keeping the commandments. Um, and, and he, he has this outward sense or this outward display of pty. He's calling Jesus good. He's saying he, you know, he keeps the commandments, Jesus doesn't even disagree with him actually, that he has connect. Yes. You know, I think it's implied that, well, of course you haven't, but he, he still is graciously trying to like, convince this guy, no, you actually need to abandon your self righteousness and, and pursue and follow me. Um. But this is a parable where like other people are listening, right? There's other witnesses. This isn't like the rich young ruler came to him in the middle of the night, like Nicodemus. This is something that's happened on PO on in the public. So we can anticipate that the Pharisees and the Sadducees and the scribes and the lawyers were all aware of this. They may have been there, but they were at least aware of this happening. And I think there's some language in here that is actually directed at those people.  [00:37:30] Grumbling As Accusation [00:37:30] Tony Arsenal: And, and here's where it comes in, is you get to verse, um, we'll start reading again at verse nine. It says, when those hired about the 11th hour came, each of them received a denarius. Now, when those hired first came, so we're referring to the people who are hired at the beginning of the day. Now, when those who were hired first came, they thought they would receive more, but each of them also received a denarius and on receiving it, right? So this is as, this is, um, uh, just unbelievable as they're receiving the denarius on receiving it, they grumbled at the master of the house. Now, just the way that I read that and said the word grumbled tells you that that word is really important here. Yes. If you look at this Greek word. And you compare it to the, the word, the usage of this word in the, the, um, Sept. Yes. Which of course is the Greek translation of the Old Testament. This word most commonly appears in the wilderness wandering accounts. [00:38:22] Jesse Schwamb: Yes.  [00:38:23] Tony Arsenal: Right. And the, the primary sin of the Israelites during the wilderness wandering was grumbling against the Lord. And this grumbling against the Lord in that context is not just a general complaining, right. It's not just like a, a sort of like a, a general dissatisfaction or like murmuring. This isn't like water cooler frustration about your boss. The grumbling in the Old Testament in this context is a covenantal accusation, right. So this is tied to the, the accounts where Moses first is told to strike the rock, and he does so when the water comes out, and then second is told to speak to the rock, but he strikes it. I won't go into all the details, but the scene that's being, being displayed there is the people come, they accuse the Lord of abandoning them into the wilderness. And this scene where Moses is set up on the rock and he strikes the rock, that scene is a judicial scene. The people have filed a covenant accusation against the Lord, and in reality, it's the people who have been unfaithful. But the Lord standing in the place of the rock is the one who is struck, right? Jesus was the rock in the wilderness from which the water came. Paul says that in First Corinthians, right? So this language of grumbling in this is not just, they're not just complaining about the fact that they didn't get what they thought they were going to, they're questioning the veracity of the covenant that was made. So they're, they're still locked into this merit-based. This merit-based idea even more than it seemed at first, right? There's a logic to the idea that like, oh, if the, the master is actually paying a wage of one denarius for per hour, like there's a logic to that. But it's not just that they're saying, and this is, this explains the response of the master. It's not just that they're saying like, Hey, wait a second, like the wage rate that you're paying is not right. They're saying you have violated the terms of our covenant in the way that you have paid us. 'cause it's upon receiving it that they complain or they grumble and the master says more or less like, Hey. You agreed with me for one Denarius, I'm giving you what you've earned. I'm giving you what you agreed on. Why don't you take it and go. So the answer is not to try to justify why he is free to pay these other people more, or why he's free to pay these people a perceived less. The answer is, again, they're complaining against the covenant. He is bringing it back to the covenant saying, well, here's what the covenant relationship was. You work for the day. I give you Denarius. We're square here, we're on the same page. We've fulfilled our covenant obligations, and you've received your reward for that. So I, I think that's another thing we have to lock in here is this is not just a general idea of like unfairness that's being presented. This is not just a general idea that people are saying the master of the house is unfair. They're saying he's covenantal. Unfaithful. Right? That's a pretty big accusation.  [00:41:09] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, that is, thank you by the way, for completely stealing the whole tugen thing from me. Like I was just going hot to Tugen to find that reference. And now all I can do is add to it. So that is from at least one of those occasions, a number 16, and I just wanna read the verse. This is 16 six. So Moses and Aaron said to all the sons of Israel at evening, you will know that Yahweh has brought you outta the land of Egypt. And in the morning you will see the glory of Yahweh for he hears your grumblings against Yahweh. And what we are that you grumble against us. So I'm totally with you. This is not subtle. The workers first complaint here, the first workers' complaint is like theologically serious. Uh, I think that's what you're hitting us on. Like it charges the owner with injustice. Right. And as I read it, the grievance has like two layers or two parts, I would say. One is this comparative part, which is basically saying, you made us equal to them. Right? And the second be like a meritorious part, they have worked harder and in worse conditions. And that's why they say things like, it's, it's all inflammatory language, isn't it? Like the scorching heat emphasizes like the real bodily cost and their complaint. I think if we're honest, it's not irrational, but it's spiritually revealing at least because Right, they believe their greater effort, mayors greater reward and they resent that grace shown to others. So like you said, they're bringing forward a very serious grievance and it's, it's not just like, Hey, we think maybe could you give us a bonus? Right. But that is a matter of faithfulness. And in fact, like as I'm looking at this tugen here, shout out to logos Bible software. And I'm saying that that verb that we're talking about in Exodus 16 is in the imperfect tense. So this is, they kept on grumbling and it is like an an echo of Israel's murmuring in the wilderness, which I presume like Matthew certainly had intentionally used there or had that view in part casting these workers as the same types of those who relate to God through entitlement rather than gratitude. So it's like insults upon insult here, but it is to emphasize this fact that it's no small accusation, it's not subtle, it's meant to be in your face. They're coming in hot with this and they're making a big deal about it.  [00:43:16] Tony Arsenal: Yeah, and again, I think like underscoring the covenantal nature of this is so key. And I think, you know, when we look at this, we really have to land that this is not just saying. Your wage structure is not right. 'cause and, and we gotta remember, they weren't there when the master went and made this bargain, or, you know, brought these other workers into the vineyard. They weren't there to hear what covenant or contract he did or didn't make. And as we've commented, they didn't, he didn't even make a covenant with them. He basically just said, I'm gonna put you to work and I'll pay you what's fair. I'll pay you what's right. Um, and they went, okay, you need the work and thank you. Like, I think, I think that's kind of like the, the scene here is they're standing there. They recognize they're not gonna get a wage for the day, especially these ones that he's coming in at the 11th hour, they're not gonna get a wage for the day. And as you said, these are subsistence workers. Right. These are people that if you don't get a wage, and this is the, the grounding of the Old Testament, um, the Old Testament command of, of paying at the end of the day is that if they don't get their wage, they're not gonna eat. They're not gonna have food, they're not gonna have the money they need to survive. Um, so he comes in and he basically says like. You don't have a job that's not gonna be good for you. I'll take care of you. I'll, I'll give you a job and I'll take care of you. And the ones who are complaining and grumbling, they have no line of sight to that process. That, that's right. They make a lot of assumptions about the, and this is, goes back to, um. The parable of the talents, which we haven't really talked about yet. The, the, there's a lot of assumptions about the nature of this master that the, the contracted or covenanted day laborers are making that don't turn out to be accurate. Right. They, they assume that he's working, as you've said, that he's working on this one-to-one, you know, quid pro quo. You do this, I do that kind of a, a methodology and he's actually operating on a basis of a much more. Basic, uh, grace principle. Uh, and again, even, even the principle of hiring these original workers and covenanting with them is gracious in the sense that he didn't have to hire them. Right. So, so all along the way they're, they're, it's like the epitome of looking a gift horse in the mouth.  [00:45:24] Jesse Schwamb: Yes.  [00:45:24] Tony Arsenal: They've been hired, and so yes, it is right for them to expect their, um, to expect their wage, whatever that wage might be. But they, they are misinterpreting the idea of what the wages are and how the wages are to be delivered. They're, they're applying, this is actually a lot like job's, friends, right? Their, their logic is not actually all that bad, but they have, they have missing parts of the picture that makes the logic. Apply differently in this particular situation. They think that this, this master works on a strict merit-based. You do X amount of work, you receive X amount of money. And this master is actually more functioning on this covenantal principle of, I'm gonna pay you what's right, regardless of what, what work you've done, which, what work is actually owed to you. And the master makes these, this agreement with these other workers to just say, go into the vineyard and then when the evening comes, I'll pay you. Right. Well, he intended to pay them what they needed to survive, regardless of how much work they provided. Right? So they're all, even though there's a formal contract to say these, this group works for the whole day and this group, you know, and, and they receive one day's labor, at the end of the day, he's graciously providing another day of survival for all of these people, for the work that they're, they're putting forward regardless of how much they actually contribute to his bottom line. [00:46:41] Owner Defends The Covenant [00:46:41] Jesse Schwamb: And we see that in verse 13, where the landowner gives his defense, you know, it says. He and he replied, friends, I'm doing you no wrong. Did you not agree with me for Denarius? Now the address, because now I'm deep in the Greek Tony. Here we go. So the address I'm seeing in, uh, again, shout out to Locus Bible software, it, this use of friend is not like the warm fellows, but like a more formal or distance term of address. It's used elsewhere in Matthew. But I think the point here is that the owner's first line of defense is this contractual point, which you're saying. I have not wronged you. He's kept his agreement precisely. No injustice has been done. And that's crucial. The owner doesn't re appreciate justice. He actually fulfills it. He obligates himself and he fulfills that obligation. And what the worker receives is exactly what was promised and exactly what is due. And so by the time he gets to verse 14 where he says, take what belongs to you, and go, I choose to give to this last worker as I give to you here. I think this is like the theological beating hide of this whole bad boy. Yeah.  [00:47:37] Jesse Schwamb: The landowner explicitly invokes his will, his sovereign freedom to do and to give as he pleases, which is exactly how God behaves. It's not a negation of justice, but this declaration of something beyond justice, it is grace. He exercises his freedom and generosity to those who had no claim, and the command, take what belongs to you and go is, is kind of like a world dismissal, like, like you were saying. Yeah. We're in the courtroom. He's like, I, I've ruled on this already. Like, bring Brian, bring your grievance. Here's my ruling. Take what you have and go. Their grumbling has revealed that they're not celebrating the kingdom. They're actually grieving it. So yeah, you know, I think original invocation of like Jonah is right on the money. It's basically like, are are you mad enough? Yeah, I'm mad enough to die. Like, how dare you give me, give me this great shade and then take it away from me. Yeah. And in some ways this is even worse because what they have been given has been that were promised to them, was given to them, and they get to retain and God says, go, or the landowner as God says, go now and take what is yours. Take what I've given to you graciously. But your point that like what supersedes that, the antecedent to all of that is still God's covenant keeping, covenant making promise, making, right? That sets the whole thing up. But I love this idea that, you know, I will choose, it's my desire, it's language of divine volition. And of course the reform theology, this single verb resonates with the entire doctrine of election. It's God's free, sovereign, and gracious will to bestow blessing without reference to merit, like praise his name.  [00:49:00] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Yeah. And then we come to kind of the close of this parable, right? And this is, this reall

American travelers are prioritizing stability over deals, airlines are testing whether passengers will pay for sleep in economy, and Saudi Arabia is scaling back parts of its tourism ambitions to focus on what actually drives demand. On today's Skift Daily Briefing, Sarah Dandashy breaks down why predictability is reshaping travel decisions, what Air New Zealand's new $495 Skynest product signals for airline strategy, and how Saudi Arabia is recalibrating Vision 2030. This episode is presented by Lodgify! Articles Referenced: Honorable Mention: @AskAConcierge on IG How Cartels Conflict and Live Tourism Are Redrawing the American Travel Map The $495 Nap Bunk Beds Are Coming to Economy Class This Fall Saudi Arabia Scraps Tourism Funding in Vision 2030 Shake Up Connect with Skift LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/skift/ WhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaAL375LikgIXmNPYQ0L/ Facebook: https://facebook.com/skiftnews Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/skiftnews/ Threads: https://www.threads.net/@skiftnews Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/skiftnews.bsky.social X: https://twitter.com/skift Subscribe to @SkiftNews ↗ and never miss an update from the travel industry.

This episode breaks down why leadership rises and falls on one question: do people actually believe you? Pastor Q walks through how character builds credibility, why overpromising kills trust, and how consistency creates confidence in the people you lead. It's a practical look at what it takes to earn respect, build trust over time, and lead in a way that people don't just follow, but believe in. CONNECT WITH US: • Mark Q | Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/markquattrochi/ • JUST LEAD | Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/justleadme/ LISTEN & SUBSCRIBE If you haven't yet, make sure to tap subscribe on your favorite podcast platform — Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and Youtube! https://www.thebrisketshoppe.com/ https://www.instagram.com/thebrisketshoppe

In this episode of The Cardiac Recovery Room, moderator Amanda Rea, a nurse practitioner and Lead of Advanced Practice and Clinical Program Manager in the Division of Cardiac Surgery at the University of Maryland St. Joseph Medical Center in Townson, MD, USA, spoke with Kali Dayton, a critical care nurse practitioner, host of the Walking Home From the ICU and Walking You Through the ICU podcasts, and CEO of Dayton ICU Consulting, about early mobility, verticalization, and delirium.   Chapters 00:00 Intro  01:04 Patient Philosophy  02:45 Early Sedation-Delirium Relationship  05:23 RASS Scale, Sedation  07:06 Cardiac ICU Patients  08:35 Lack of Delirium Tracking or Data  10:56 ROI from Good Care & Data  14:44 Preventative Approach  16:16 Convincing Hesitant Adopters  18:59 Patient Case Study  21:19 Cultural Paradigm  24:48 Mobilization  27:07 Verticalization Beds  30:03 Gravity on Patient Health  32:14 Mobility Screening  33:14 Defining Walking  34:47 Mobility Responsibility  36:55 Standardization & Predictability  38:23 Key Points  They discussed what an awake and walking intensive care unit (ICU) is, how early mobility and sedation tie in with delirium, and the history of critical care medicine. The conversation also covered the Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale (RASS) and deep sedation, as well as risk factors for delirium, outdated sedation practices and mobility management, and the importance of having a high reliability environment. Additionally, they explored the ABCDEF bundle and a case study of a patient experiencing delirium. The episode further addressed verticalization beds, walking pads for verticalization, nurse screening tools, and ambulation.  The Cardiac Recovery Room is the place to hear the conversations colleagues are having after the meetings. Each month, a new episode will be released featuring a leadership panel from the ERAS Cardiac Society.  Disclaimer The information and views presented on CTSNet.org represent the views of the authors and contributors of the material and not of CTSNet. Please review our full disclaimer page here.

You've heard the buzzwords: agency, choice, control, predictability. But if you've ever tried to implement all of them at once and you know it can feel like trying to juggle 100 balls. Emily and Allie break down why agency isn't a pass/fail ethical litmus test, but rather a set of individual dials you can turn up or down depending on your learner, your context, and your real-life constraints.Whether you're working with a rescue dog who's never seen an open door as an option, a senior pup navigating the stairs, or yourself trying to make it through a brutal work sprint, this conversation reframes how to think about autonomy, empowerment, and what it actually means to give someone more agency in the real world.TLDL (too long, didn't listen): 3 Key Takeaways 1️⃣ Agency Has More Dials Than You Think — Skill and bandwidth are missing from most conversations about agency, and leaving them out sets up both trainers and learners to struggle.2️⃣ Dials, Not Checklists — You don't need to have all the dials turned up at once. Knowing which specific dial to adjust makes you more effective, more sustainable, and less overwhelmed.3️⃣ Predictability Is Often the Most Accessible Place to Start — When choice and control aren't possible, a simple predictability cue can meaningfully restore a sense of agency for your learner.For the full episode show notes, including the resources mentioned in this episode, go here.More from Pet HarmonyPet Parents: enrichment ideas and practical behavior tips

Are your AI coding tools actually making your team faster, or are they just creating downstream chaos? This week, Ben Lloyd Pearson and Dan Lines introduce APEX, LinearB's new engineering leadership framework built explicitly to measure and manage software delivery in the AI era. Moving beyond traditional frameworks like DORA and SPACE, APEX balances AI Leverage, Predictability, Efficiency, and Developer experience to ensure upstream code generation translates into actual business value. Tune in to learn how to break past the illusion of coding speed, prevent AI slop from clogging your review pipelines, and discover which pillar of the APEX framework your team needs to tackle first.Download the APEX FrameworkFollow the show:Subscribe to our Substack Follow us on LinkedInSubscribe to our YouTube ChannelLeave us a ReviewFollow the hosts:Follow AndrewFollow BenFollow DanFollow today's guest:LinearB APEX Framework: Explore the full operating model, visual breakdowns, and the guide to operationalizing the metrics.Workflow Automation: Learn about LinearB's gitStream (policy-as-code for PR automation) and WorkerB (developer bot for minimizing idle time).OFFERSStart Free Trial: Get started with LinearB's AI productivity platform for free.Book a Demo: Learn how you can ship faster, improve DevEx, and lead with confidence in the AI era.LEARN ABOUT LINEARBAI Code Reviews: Automate reviews to catch bugs, security risks, and performance issues before they hit production.AI & Productivity Insights: Go beyond DORA with AI-powered recommendations and dashboards to measure and improve performance.AI-Powered Workflow Automations: Use AI-generated PR descriptions, smart routing, and other automations to reduce developer toil.MCP Server: Interact with your engineering data using natural language to build custom reports and get answers on the fly.

#243Have your students finished listening to something or reading in the target language and you looked around the room, and wondered… Did anyone actually understand that? Not because your students weren't trying. Not because the language was too challenging. But because they didn't yet know how to listen for meaning. Today's episode is about something that often gets overlooked in language teaching: students have to learn the skill of comprehension. A few small daily routines can have a big impact on students learning this essential skill. Topics in this Episode: Comprehension is a skill, not a byproductCI is useful for building language subconsciously. It is the essential ingredient for language acquisition, allowing students to understand and internalize new language naturally. Now we need to consider the skill of comprehension when students engage with language that does not have CI embedded. Daily micro-comprehension moves.  They take 10–30 seconds and fit inside any lesson. The goal is helping students actively process meaning. Not CI because the goal is not to acquire vocabulary and structures, but to understand without the intentional scaffolds.PointChooseSequenceRestatePredictable Routines Reduce Cognitive Load. Predictability allows students to spend less mental energy on what the activity is and more on understanding the language.Ready For Tomorrow Quick Win PD Course: Daily Strategies that Build ComprehensionA Few Ways We Can Work Together:Ready For Tomorrow Quick Win PD for Individual TeachersOn-Site or Virtual Workshops for Language DepartmentsSelf-Paced Program for For Language DepartmentsConnect With Me & The World Language Classroom Community:Website: wlclassrom.comInstagram:  @wlclassroomFacebook Group: World Language ClassroomFacebook:  /wlclassroomLinkedIn: Joshua CabralBluesky: /wlclassroom.bsky.sociaX (Twitter):  @wlclassroomThreads: @wlclassroomSend me a text and let me know your thoughts on this episode or the podcast.

“You don't run a shop—you run a system that either produces profit or chaos.”“Auto repair is the input. Profit is the output.”“If your numbers aren't clear, your leadership isn't either.”“You don't fix profit by getting busier—you fix it by getting better.”“If you are the system, you are the bottleneck.”“Capacity problems are usually leadership problems.”“Systems create predictability. Predictability creates profit.”“The industry is shifting from fixing cars to running businesses.”“You either have a machine—or a stressful job.”“Leadership evolution always precedes business growth.”​​In this episode, Coach Chris Cotton challenges shop owners to rethink their entire business model. You don't run an auto repair shop—you run a profit engine fueled by auto repair.Chris breaks down the key drivers of profitability, exposes common system failures, and outlines how leadership, process, and measurement must align to create consistent results.If you're tired of chaos, inconsistent profits, and feeling stuck—this episode will give you the clarity and direction to start building a real business.​​Are you running a shop… or are you running a machine?In this episode of The Weekly Blitz, Coach Chris Cotton breaks down one of the most important mindset shifts in the auto repair industry: your shop is not the product—profit is.Learn how to identify the key drivers of your business, eliminate profit leaks, build systems that scale, and step into the leadership role required to grow beyond survival mode.If you're ready to stop reacting and start operating with intention, this episode is for you.The Weekly Blitz is brought to you by our friends over at Shop Marketing Pros. If you want to take your shop to the next level, you need great marketing. Shop Marketing Pros does top-tier marketing for top-tier shops.Click here to learn more about Top Tier Marketing by Shop Marketing Pros and schedule a demo: https://shopmarketingpros.com/chris/Check out their podcast here: https://autorepairmarketing.captivate.fm/If you would like to join their private Facebook Group, go here: https://www.facebook.com/groups/autorepairmarketingmastermindConnect with Chris:AutoFix-Auto Shop Coachingwww.autoshopcoaching.comwww.aftermarketradionetwork.com940-400-1008Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/AutoFixAutoShopCoachingYouTube: https://bit.ly/3ClX0aeEmail Chris: chris@autofixsos.comThe Automotive Repair Podcast Network: https://automotiverepairpodcastnetwork.com/Remarkable Results Radio Podcast with Carm Capriotto: Advancing the Aftermarket by Facilitating Wisdom Through Story Telling and Open DiscussionDiagnosing the Aftermarket A to Z with Matt Fanslow: From Diagnostics to Metallica and Mental Health, Matt Fanslow is Lifting the Hood on Life.The Auto Repair Marketing Podcast with Kim and Brian Walker: Marketing Experts Brian & Kim Walker Work with Shop Owners to Take it to the Next Level.The Weekly Blitz with Chris Cotton: Weekly Inspiration with Business Coach Chris Cotton from AutoFix - Auto Shop Coaching.Business by the Numbers with Hunt Demarest: Understand the Numbers of Your Business with CPA Hunt Demarest.Speak Up! Effective Communication with Craig O'Neill: Develop Interpersonal and Professional Communication Skills when Speaking to Audiences of Any Size.

Stability emerges not from perfection but from accumulated wisdom.Predictability, in this sense, becomes a virtue. A conservative neighbor pays his bills, fixes his roof, raises his children, and rarely announces himself as history's greatest hero for doing so. Achievement is understood as responsibility fulfilled, not identity constructed.This humility stems from an uncomfortable recognition: human beings are not gods. We operate within systems larger than ourselves, whether moral, natural, or divine. Conservatives tend to accept this arrangement, which explains why they build institutions meant to endure rather than experiments designed to impress.Leftism, by contrast, promises transcendence. It whispers that limitations are oppressive illusions and that society itself can be redesigned like a smartphone app awaiting an update.And that is where the doping begins.In physics, doping alters a material's properties by introducing impurities. Add a foreign element to silicon and suddenly electrons behave differently. The structure still looks intact, but its behavior changes fundamentally.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Is your schedule “full” but still feels chaotic, stressful, and unproductive? In this episode, Kirk Behrendt talks with ACT Dental coach Robyn Theisen about the real reason your schedule feels like chaos—and how to fix it by designing your day with intention, predictability, and clear scheduling agreements. You'll learn how to work backwards from annual goals to daily targets, use block scheduling without losing flexibility, protect emergency time, and stop letting patients dictate your day. Listen to Episode 1029 of The Best Practices Show!Main Takeaways:Chaos in the schedule is a design problem, not a people problem.Predictability in the schedule reduces stress for the doctor, the team, and the patient experience.A proactive schedule shifts the practice from being busy to being productive and consistently hitting goals.Build the schedule by working backwards from annual production goals to determine daily production targets.Use block scheduling across the entire week and protect block integrity by shifting blocks instead of overriding them.Reserve true emergency time and use separate urgency time for patients who need to get in but can't come immediately.Assign a single owner of the schedule and reinforce their decisions so the system stays consistent.Snippets:00:00 Intro01:45 Why a reactive schedule increases stress for the team and patients.03:05 Predictability as a major driver of dentist and team happiness.04:45 Why schedule chaos is a design problem, not a people problem.05:50 What a schedule without intention looks like.08:05 How to work backwards from annual goals to daily production targets.10:35 Using the production-per-day feature in practice management software.12:10 Build the schedule for the doctor's wants first, then patient needs.17:10 How blocks protect flow, profit, and patient access.18:55 Why you need block scheduling across the whole week.20:05 New patient and hygiene/perio scheduling must be intentional.21:40 Emergency time vs. urgency time and how each should be used.24:05 Confirming key appointments earlier and setting scheduling agreements.25:05 One person must own the schedule and the dentist must support that role.26:05 “Show me your schedule and I can tell you how you'll feel at day's end.”27:10 Rating the day to identify what made it a 10 or a 5.29:05 BPA resource mentioned: Ideal Day Scheduling Guide.Guest Bio/Guest Resources:Robyn Theisen brings an entire life and legacy of dental experience to the team and every team with which she works as the daughter and sister of dentists. With almost 20 years of experience in dentistry, her roles ranged from practice management to operations at Patterson Dental to coaching teams. Robyn's passion is empowering teams to realize that they can dramatically impact the lives of the people they serve by implementing skills and systems to remove barriers to life-changing dental treatment. She has done it for decades and does it every day with dental teams.Outside of coaching, she enjoys time with her husband, Rob, and two daughters, Emerson and Ruby. She loves traveling, music, fitness, and cheering on the Michigan State Spartans.More Helpful Links for a Better Practice & a Better Life:The Best Practices Show: https://www.actdental.com/podcast/Best Practices Association: https://www.actdental.com/bpaUpcoming Events & Workshops: https://www.actdental.com/events/Smile Source: https://www.smilesource.com/Subscribe on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.comSubscribe on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com

#205: The Biology of Belief Part 1: Why Your Body Doesn't Feel Safe -Your Body Is Listening to Something You're Not Aware Of   Ever have that feeling where nothing is technically wrong… but your body is bracing? You're doing the things. Eating well. Taking care of yourself. Staying on top of it. And yet there's this low-level tension running in the background like your system never fully powers down. This is where we start. Because what if that feeling isn't random… and it's not something you need to fix? Let me say something that might rattle the wellness algorithm a little: What if it's actually your body doing exactly what it was designed to do? In this first episode of the Biology of Belief series, we're zooming out and looking at the foundation most people never think about. The signal your body is constantly reading. The one that determines whether you heal, regulate, and expand… or whether you stay guarded, braced, and in protection mode. And here's the part that changes everything once you see it: Your body isn't responding to what you know. It's responding to what it detects. What we get into in this episode: There's a moment in this episode that starts with something simple. Standing in the kitchen, holding a cup of tea, realizing your body is already ten steps ahead of your day. Nothing is wrong. But nothing feels settled either. That moment opens the door to a much bigger question. What is your body actually responding to? We talk about why symptoms aren't random, why your body doesn't operate on logic, and how your nervous system is constantly scanning for safety before your conscious mind even catches up. This is the foundation everything else builds on. In this episode, we cover: Why your body prioritizes safety over everything else The difference between what you know and what your body detects Why doing everything right doesn't always lead to results How symptoms like fatigue, gut issues, and anxiety are protective signals The role of predictability in calming your nervous system How self-trust is built through small, consistent actions Why pace and pressure shape your physiology Timestamps: 00:00 That constant “on” feeling you can't quite explain 02:00 The kitchen moment that sparked a different question 03:15 Why your body doesn't care how much you know 05:00 Protection mode vs growth mode and what your symptoms are telling you 07:00 Why logic doesn't change how your body responds 09:00 Predictability as a signal of safety 12:00 How urgency keeps your body in stress mode 15:00 Why consistency matters more than intensity The takeaway: Your body isn't fragile. It's adaptive, intelligent, and constantly working to protect you. And when it doesn't feel safe, it will always choose protection over healing. Not because it's broken. Because it's doing its job. If this episode made something click, stay with that. That awareness is where this whole series begins. If you want a simple place to start applying this, the Morning Mindset Journal is linked in the show notes. It's a quick, structured way to build consistency and start sending your body a different signal. Follow the show so you don't miss Part 2, where we get into why knowing what to do still doesn't translate into change.

In this episode, Renee and Anthony Rogers sit down with Rob Dyer and Kerri-Ann Hayes to unpack the delicate balance between logistical systems and the Spontaneity of the Holy Spirit. Whether you are leading a large team or serving in a smaller ministry context, finding the "sweet spot" between a well-laid plan and the freedom to pivot is essential for sustainable ministry growth. Understanding the "Why" Behind Structure Many ministry leaders view structure as the enemy of the Spirit, but this episode reframes systems as the very thing that creates space for the Spirit to move. Structure as a Safety Net: Clear systems can provide security for the people you serve. When the groundwork is handled, people feel free to engage spiritually. The Power of Predictability: For those in your care, knowing what to expect reduces anxiety. This is especially true for families and volunteers who rely on clear communication to show up fully. Systems as Stewardship: Building a solid infrastructure is a way of honoring the resources and the people that God has entrusted to your ministry.

Episode 128 – Safety & Predictability, Control, Choice & Agency   The last 4 weeks of our lives here in Abu Dhabi have been interesting to say the least. Being under constant threat from Iranian missiles and hearing the loud "booms" of the interceptors taking care of them has been like nothing I have experienced before.   Living in this state of unrest really got me thinking about what we take for granted – the feeling of safety and predictability in our everyday lives and being able to live with a sense of control, choice and agency. I also know that this is not the case for many of my patients. Living in a constant state of fear or anxiety with little predictability of the environment and/or social relationships can be hugely debilitating and will affect quality of life, wellbeing and welfare.   There are some really easy ways to introduce more of these important welfare factors into your pets' and patients' lives and I chat you through some of my favourite ways of doing so.   All it takes is to make some small changes to implement these foundational needs!   If you liked this episode of the show, Veterinary Behaviour Chat, please LEAVE A 5-STAR REVIEW, like, share, and subscribe!   Facebook Group: Join The Veterinary Behaviour Community on Facebook   You can CONNECT with me: Website: Visit my website Trinity Veterinary Behaviour Instagram: Follow Trinity Veterinary Behaviour on Instagram Trinity Veterinary Behaviour Facebook: Join us on Trinity Veterinary Behaviour's Facebook page Trinity Veterinary Behaviour YouTube: Subscribe to Trinity Veterinary Behaviour on YouTube LinkedIn Profile: Connect with me on LinkedIn   Thank you for tuning in!

Your team can handle hard days, but they struggle when they cannot predict your response.In multifamily operations, uncertainty is part of the job. A pipe bursts. A team member quits during lease-up. A resident leaves a damaging online review late on a Sunday night before the ownership reviews performance on Monday morning. Those moments are real and unavoidable. What should not be unpredictable is the leader.Predictable multifamily leaders create psychological safety. Teams know what to expect from their tone, their decision-making, and their follow-through. That consistency lowers anxiety, and lower anxiety improves execution. For operators asking how to improve speed across a portfolio, this is one of the clearest places to start.Audit your own predictability first. Start with tone. Then look at decision-making. Then examine follow-through. Are your yesterdays lining up with your tomorrows? Your team is always watching, and they remember your patterns more than your pep talks.In property management, behavior and character shape culture faster than policy ever will. On-site teams watch how leaders speak to residents, supplier partners, and each other. They watch how pressure gets handled. They watch whether leadership brings clarity or chaos when the day goes sideways. From those moments, they build their own standard for what leadership really means.That is why calm matters. A leader who shows up frantic spreads confusion. A leader who shows up steady creates clarity. That steadiness is not weakness. It is control. It is judgment. It is leadership maturity. Call it stoic. Call it composed. Call it grounded. The result is the same. Steady leaders earn more trust, get better attention, and drive better performance from the people they lead.In multifamily, your actions always speak louder than your message. Your team may forget the speech, but they will remember how you made them feel when pressure hit. Predictability builds trust, protects culture, and helps teams move through disruption without losing their footing.Subscribe now. Every episode is built for multifamily leaders who want stronger teams, sharper execution, and a culture people can actually trust.MultifamilyCollective Blog: https://www.multifamilycollective.comThe Daily Collective Book: https://amzn.to/3YI6BDaHosted by: https://www.multifamilymedianetwork.com

Clean and green growth has moved from ambition to execution, but the challenge is one of pace. Investment conditions are key: predictable rules, credible pathways, and coordination across value chains, finance and government. This episode of What Next? Leadership Conversations for a Better Future, Helena Norrman, Marina Grossi, and Sang-Hyup Kim explains why transition policy now sits at the centre of industrial strategy, competitiveness and geopolitics. 00:00 Predictability is the first enabler 07:30 Transition policy is industrial strategy 15:30 The foundations for future competitiveness is shaped by coordination today 26:30 Examples of effective coalitions What Next? An Investec-Cambridge podcast series · Investec Focus Radio SA

Predictability Is My North StarVelocity said “healthy.”The system said “unhealthy.”I chose to trust the system.For six straight Sprints, the velocity chart looked great. Every Sprint, the team hit the number. Every review, the dashboard showed green.And yet… the last couple of Sprints felt bad.Work thrashed. Priorities shifted. Unplanned items kept sneaking in. The team was exhausted, and I needed a way to explain why the system felt chaotic when the metric insisted everything was fine.That was the moment I realized velocity wasn't telling me the truth. I needed a better way to understand what was happening. I needed a way to see what went wrong and account for the change.That's when Predictability Became My North Star.How to connect with AgileDad:- [website] ⁠https://www.agiledad.com/⁠- [instagram] ⁠https://www.instagram.com/agile_coach/⁠- [facebook] ⁠https://www.facebook.com/RealAgileDad/⁠- [Linkedin] ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/leehenson/

John Ahrendt, the head of franchise relations for Keke's Breakfast Cafe, talks about the unique operational DNA that drives the brand's success. Arendt, a 40-year industry veteran with roots in the Outback Steakhouse system, discusses how Keke's maintains its "founder-inspired" magic—characterized by massive portions and "elevated American classics"—while scaling under the corporate umbrella of Denny's. The conversation delves into the tactical "rhythm" of the breakfast model, including the importance of "throughput" during peak weekend hours, the strategic use of Denny's franchisee network for national expansion, and the philosophy of keeping systems simple enough that they require no formal training to master.10 Key Takeaways The Power of Simplicity: Effective systems, like Keke's or even Google, should be intuitive enough to use with almost no formal training. The "Shots on Goal" Mentality: Every table is a fresh opportunity to refine service and outdo the previous interaction. Predictability of Breakfast: Unlike dinner service, breakfast offers high predictability, with 50-60% of sales occurring on weekends, allowing for highly targeted labor and training. Throughput is King: During peak hours, "elegant cues"—such as dropping the check early or offering a coffee to go—are essential to managing "campers" and maintaining flow without being rude. Founder Vision vs. Scalability: Keke's spent 16 years refining its P&L and menu before scaling, proving that a solid foundation is necessary to grow. Strategic Real Estate: Keke's targets "daily needs" locations near high-end supermarkets like Publix or Whole Foods to capture guests within a 5-to-10-minute drive. The "Eyes Eat First": Large, visually "elevated" portions drive organic marketing, as guests naturally want to photograph and share the food. Leveraging Existing Networks: By tapping into the established Denny's franchisee network, Keke's was able to expand across seven states rapidly with trusted partners. Operational Recovery: The breakfast model allows for faster "recovery" from mistakes; an omelet can be remade in two minutes, whereas a steakhouse mistake might take 22 minutes to fix. Transferable Industry Skills: Restaurant work teaches discipline and human connection—skills that technology and AI cannot easily replace.

The Tyranny of Predictability: The Shepherd and the God Who Breaks the System ( Collective Writings II) Samson Raphael Hirsch On pesach 

Zoning debates across metro Atlanta are becoming more complex as communities wrestle with growth, housing affordability and neighborhood opposition. Developers navigating today's approval process must balance strong housing demand with increased public scrutiny and evolving local policies. Michèle L. Battle, president of Battle Law, joins Host Carol Morgan on the Atlanta Real Estate Forum Radio podcast to discuss how zoning approvals and community expectations are reshaping development across Georgia. Georgia's Zoning Landscape Is Becoming More Complex Over the past 20 years, zoning approvals in metro Atlanta have become more challenging. Rapid population growth across the region contributes to increased housing demand and intensifies scrutiny of new projects. “When I first got into zoning law, it was really a period of growth that was happening in the metro Atlanta area,” said Battle. “But communities and government officials have become more and more sophisticated in how they are approaching zoning-related matters.” Many jurisdictions now rely on detailed, comprehensive plans and land-use strategies to guide development, limiting flexibility once a proposal reaches the zoning stage. At the same time, residents are more engaged in the process and more willing to voice concerns about density, design and neighborhood impact. As cities and counties refine long-term plans and respond to resident feedback, developers often encounter fewer flexible options and more extensive negotiations before receiving approval. Community Resistance and Housing Affordability Community opposition — often referred to as “Not in My Backyard” (NIMBY) — plays a significant role in zoning hearings today. Residents frequently raise concerns about density, traffic and school capacity while still hoping to attract new retail and restaurants to their communities. “Most of the communities don't want housing,” said Battle. “What they want are the amenities that go with the housing.” Retail and restaurant development typically follows population growth, but opposition to new housing can limit the density needed to support those businesses. Affordability sits at the center of many zoning debates as construction costs continue to rise and buyers struggle to keep up with higher home prices. Many Atlanta homeowners purchased their properties decades ago at far lower prices. Today's first-time homebuyers face a dramatically different market. “Our children can't buy a house because they can't afford a $400,000 home,” said Battle. “And if we want them out of our houses, we have to figure out how to build something they can buy.” Social Media and AI Are Influencing Zoning Battles Technology is accelerating the formation of public opinion around development proposals. Projects can gain attention online long before developers formally present them to planning commissions or local officials. Artificial intelligence is also beginning to appear in zoning hearings in unexpected ways. “I've now been at hearings where it is very clear that people are getting up to the podium and reading straight off an AI script,” said Battle. “They'll ask AI what the opposition would be to this project and then read two or three pages of information.” While technology has increased public engagement, it has also contributed to misinformation about development and housing economics. Litigation Isn't Always the Best Path Zoning disputes sometimes lead to lawsuits, but most developers prefer negotiation and compromise. Court battles can delay projects for months or even years while adding significant legal costs and uncertainty. “I pride myself on trying to win my cases so that I don't have to send them to all the amazing litigators that I know.” Even when developers prevail in court, the decision often sends the project back through the same local approval process that sparked the dispute. That reality reinforces the value of addressing concerns early with local officials and residents rather than relying on litigation. Three Steps Developers Should Take Before Filing Rezoning Developers can take several proactive steps before filing a rezoning application: Meet with planning departments to understand expectations and review recent cases Meet with the elected official representing the district to discuss development priorities Engage the surrounding community early in the process Battle emphasizes that the key to a successful new development is “communication, communication and more communication” to prevent unnecessary scrutiny. Consistency and Predictability in Zoning Codes A lack of predictability remains one of the biggest challenges developers face in the zoning process. Local governments often approve rezonings but attach numerous conditions that extend beyond existing ordinances. In some cases, those conditions even contradict the zoning code itself. Battle said, “I should be able to come in and apply for R-3 or R-5 or whatever it is and not have to worry about you putting 15 conditions on me that go outside of what you've put in your zoning code.” Greater consistency helps developers make informed investment decisions and reduce uncertainty in the entitlement process. Addressing Tensions Around Growth and Equity Battle also pointed to ongoing tension surrounding development patterns across metro Atlanta. In some communities, residents believe they are not receiving the same level of investment or housing quality as in other areas. Many of these concerns stem from misunderstandings about development economics, construction costs and housing pricing. Battle believes that greater transparency around how housing is financed, built and priced could help communities better understand the challenges developers face and the constraints shaping today's housing market. Tune in to the full episode to hear more insights on navigating Georgia's evolving zoning landscape and the strategies developers can use to move projects forward. To learn more about Battle Law, visit https://BattleLawPC.com/. About Battle Law Battle Law P.C. guides developers, property owners and organizations through the complex world of zoning, land use and permitting in Georgia. The firm provides hands-on support with rezoning applications, land development, variances and commercial real estate transactions, helping clients navigate approvals and avoid costly delays. With a focus on practical solutions and clear guidance, the firm combines legal expertise with strategic insight to help projects succeed. Podcast Thanks Thank you to Denim Marketing for sponsoring Atlanta Real Estate Forum Radio. Known as a trendsetter, Denim Marketing has been blogging since 2006 and podcasting since 2011. Contact them when you need quality, original content for social media, public relations, blogging, email marketing and promotions. A comfortable fit for companies of all shapes and sizes, Denim Marketing understands marketing strategies are not one-size-fits-all. The agency works with your company to create a perfectly tailored marketing strategy that will suit your needs and niche. Try Denim Marketing on for size by calling 770-383-3360 or by visiting www.DenimMarketing.com. About Atlanta Real Estate Forum Radio Atlanta Real Estate Forum Radio, presented by Denim Marketing, highlights the movers and shakers in the Atlanta real estate industry – the home builders, developers, Realtors and suppliers working to provide the American dream for Atlantans. For more information on how you can be featured as a guest, contact Denim Marketing at 770-383-3360 or fill out the Atlanta Real Estate Forum contact form. Subscribe to the Atlanta Real Estate Forum Radio podcast on iTunes, and if you like this week's show, be sure to rate it. Atlanta Real Estate Forum Radio was recently honored on FeedSpot's Top 100 Atlanta Podcasts, ranking 16th overall and number one out of all ranked real estate podcasts. The post Battle Law: The New Reality of Zoning in Georgia appeared first on Atlanta Real Estate Forum.

Long-lived software systems rarely stay tidy. Over time they accumulate decisions, workarounds, and layers of history that can make even simple changes feel risky. For engineers responsible for maintaining those systems, the challenge often becomes less about writing new code and more about understanding what already exists. In this episode of Maintainable, Robby Russell speaks with Joel Oliveira, Engineering Manager at ezCater, about what helps software remain understandable and adaptable as it evolves. Joel starts with a principle that often gets overlooked: predictability. When patterns are consistent and code is organized in familiar ways, engineers can navigate a codebase with confidence. Frameworks like Ruby on Rails reinforce this by encouraging shared conventions, making it easier for developers to orient themselves when working in a new application. The conversation also explores how common metrics can be misleading. Test coverage is often treated as a proxy for quality, but Joel explains that it can create a false sense of confidence. Instead, he values testing most as a thinking tool. Practices like test-driven development can help engineers clarify interfaces and better understand the problem before committing to an implementation. Joel also shares a story from ezCater about replacing an aging image-cropping service that had become difficult to maintain and required frequent restarts due to a memory leak. Rather than patch the system again, the team introduced ImageProxy, an open source image processing tool created by Evil Martians. Because the image URLs flowed through a single object in their GraphQL layer, the team could introduce an adapter and gradually route traffic to the new service using feature flags. This allowed them to migrate safely and incrementally instead of relying on a risky “big bang” change. Robby and Joel also discuss how engineers' perspectives shift over time. Early in a career it is easy to look at legacy code and label it as bad. Joel now sees older systems as layers of decisions shaped by real constraints. Approaching them with empathy makes it easier to improve them thoughtfully. The episode closes with advice for engineers maintaining complex systems: frame problems as opportunities. By documenting impact and proposing incremental improvements, teams can steadily move their software toward a healthier future. Maintainable software rarely comes from one heroic refactor. More often, it's the result of many small improvements made by teams who understand their systems and care about how they evolve. Episode Highlights 00:02:18 – Predictability as a Maintainability Feature Joel explains why predictable patterns and conventions make large codebases easier to navigate. 00:07:41 – When Test Coverage Misleads Why high coverage can give a false sense of quality. 00:12:05 – Consulting vs. Product Engineering How switching environments shaped Joel's approach to code. 00:16:32 – Replacing a Legacy Image Service ezCater's migration away from a failing Node-based image service. 00:21:14 – Migrating with Adapters and Feature Flags How the team gradually moved traffic to ImageProxy. 00:26:03 – Developing Empathy for Legacy Code Why older systems deserve understanding, not blame. 00:30:47 – The Shift to Engineering Management Joel reflects on moving from IC work to leading teams. 00:34:52 – Advice for Improving Complex Systems Small, consistent improvements matter more than big rewrites. Thanks to Our Sponsor! Turn hours of debugging into just minutes! AppSignal is a performance monitoring and error-tracking tool designed for Ruby, Elixir, Python, Node.js, Javascript, and other frameworks. It offers six powerful features with one simple interface, providing developers with real-time insights into the performance and health of web applications. Keep your coding cool and error-free, one line at a time!  Use the code maintainable to get a 10% discount for your first year. Check them out! Links / References Joel Oliveira — LinkedIn Joel Oliveira — Website Joel Oliveira — Mastodon (@jayroh) ezCater ImageProxy Subscribe to Maintainable on:Apple PodcastsSpotifyOr search "Maintainable" wherever you stream your podcasts.Keep up to date with the Maintainable Podcast by joining the newsletter.

Feeling stuck on the revenue treadmill—working harder, selling more, but taking home the same? We brought on Kelly Wise, strategic bookkeeper and CFO for online business owners, to break down how to build sustainable profit you can count on and finally pay yourself with confidence. Together we challenge the myth that growth alone fixes cash flow, and we show how expenses quietly swell to meet your sales unless you plan your margins on purpose.We start by defining sustainable profit in plain terms, then map it to the season your business is in: growth, maintenance, or restructure. Kelly shares the TIP framework—Time, Intention, Predictability—so you can choose how much energy to invest, plan outcomes upfront, and create profit that repeats. You'll learn how to spot the red flags of an unsustainable model: endless hours, flat take-home pay, reactive spending, and the urge to throw money at ads or hires without a clear strategy.From there, we turn bookkeeping into a power tool rather than a tax chore. Kelly walks us through the five expense buckets—Owner Compensation, Team, Marketing, Business Health, and Operations & Delivery—and how to convert each into a percentage of revenue to see what's healthy, what's bloated, and what's starving your profit. We dig into common pitfalls like over-indexing on ads, stacking subscriptions that go unused, and underinvesting in team support that would free you for sales and delivery.If you want a 90-day plan to lift profit without adding hours, we outline three simple moves: run a 15-minute profit pulse, cut low-ROI recurring costs, and right-size your team so your time goes to high-value work. For owners not on payroll, we clarify how to pay yourself from profit and set aside taxes intentionally. To make it concrete, Kelly shares her Create Predictable Paydays calculator—a simple, visual tool to average your revenue, expenses, and profit, then plan how much goes to you, taxes, savings, reinvestment, or debt.Subscribe for more straight-talking strategy, share this with a founder friend who's stuck chasing topline wins, and leave a review with the one expense you're cutting this week. Your profit plan starts now.Read the full article.If you want deeper coaching, more transparency, and the episodes that actually help you make decisions faster in your business, then subscribe to Unhinged.Support the show

If you lead through the CliftonStrengths talent theme of Adaptability, (or you know someone who does), this is the episode for you!     Today's Strength Snapshot is Adaptability The Adaptability talent theme thrives in the present moment. People with this strength are naturally flexible, responsive, spontaneous, and grounded in what's happening right now. At their core, Adaptability is about flow. These individuals are wired to adjust, shift, and respond as circumstances change. Instead of resisting unpredictability, they lean into it and find opportunity inside it. They often describe themselves as easygoing, agreeable, present, and in the moment. What motivates them most is the chance to respond to real-time needs. They enjoy new challenges, spontaneity, and environments that allow them to pivot quickly. Predictability and rigid plans tend to drain their energy.     When This Strength Is Thriving When Adaptability is operating at full strength, it brings calm responsiveness and real-time problem solving to any situation. This talent allows someone to follow the lead of change, adjust quickly, and stay productive even when the unexpected happens. Adaptability often shows up through roles like first responder, early adopter, accommodator, or follower. These individuals shine when circumstances shift. While others may freeze or resist, Adaptability steps forward, grounded and ready, meeting the moment exactly as it is.     To close, here's a simple 5-minute experiment to try in the next 24 hours… The next time something unexpected changes your plans, pause and ask: What opportunity just appeared that wasn't here before? Then act on one small adjustment that uses the change to your advantage.     Well, that's a wrap for today's episode. What small action can you take to show up at your best, given where you're starting today?

Episode Highlights With PhoenixMost people aren't stuck, they're predictable and they're playing it safeHow to break the pattern of predictability Presence helps break the predictability issue and the overwhelm and how to do itAnxiety comes when you're living in the future or the past, not the present Why motherhood is perhaps the biggest identity shift a person can go throughHow to surrender without losing ourselves as momsWhy the perfect balance is a farce for momsHow to surrender into being ok with not being “prefect” and letting go of mom guiltNavigating trauma especially as a mom and how to do it without it becoming your identity Surrender without bypassing and how to navigate thisWhat quantum fusion is how it talks to the operating system, so it's less about wishing and more about reprogramming the hardware How things can start to shift in 17 secondsEngaging your senses to help rewire the hardware Survival mode is killing you and how to solve it… she has a free course on thisHow to reprogram your inner algorithm Her take on psychedelics and important caveats for moms to knowThey can hold a mirror that bring us back to ourselvesResources MentionedRedefining Strong - Phoenix's bookPhoenix's website Sacred Celestial - use code WellnessMama for 10% off events or ceremoniesSurvival Mode is Killing You - free online courseBioptimizersI love and use so many products from them, but I especially love the magnesium and digestive enzymes. Visit bioptimizers.com/wellnessmama and use wellnessmama15 at checkout to get the best deal 

What if your “ideal guest avatar” is the very thing keeping your best guests from ever booking with you? Most hosts treat an avatar like a worksheet to fill out, giving them a name, an age, and a salary, but they never actually reach the person behind the booking button.In this episode, I'm pulling back the curtain on my "Iceberg Method" to combat this very problem. We're moving beyond demographics and diving into the silent pressures, anxieties, and hopes that drive your guests to hit "Book Now."Inside the episode, I dive into:A framework to stop marketing to surface-level actions and start speaking to the deep emotional layers underneath.Understanding the silent fear your guests carryWhy a calm, confident, and predictable listing will beat a "salesy" one every single time.How to use your reviews and description to prove you are the solution to their stress, not another problem to manage.Shifting your focus from who your guest is to what they are feeling when they find your listing.This isn't just a marketing lesson. It's about strategic empathy. I'm challenging you to look at your guest journey, from your first photo to your checkout instructions, through a new lens. You'll learn why your guest isn't really choosing between three bedrooms and four; they are choosing between regret and confidence.If you're ready to stop talking at your guests and start speaking to their real needs, this episode will show you exactly how to find the "hidden" copy that's already waiting in your guests' fears. It's time to evolve from a property owner into a strategic filter for the guest experience.HIGHLIGHTS AND KEY POINTS:[00:00] Introducing a more powerful, results-driven way to define your ideal guest avatar so it truly impacts your business[01:48] Why bookings are driven by emotion, not demographics, and how most hosts are marketing to the wrong layer[03:41] Why real ideal guest avatars live below the surface, and why most hosts are stuck marketing above it[05:08] The Iceberg Method – how actions, thoughts, and emotions shape every booking decision[06:58] How understanding hidden fears like letting family down, wasting money, or creating stress, is key to attracting the ideal guest[12:57] The difference between shallow and deep avatar thinking when defining your ideal guest[14:13] What are the five strategic questions to uncover the emotional drivers of your ideal guest[15:24] How truly understanding your guest transforms your listing copy, photos, communication, and even pricing confidenceGolden Nuggets:“When you understand the psychographics of your ideal guest avatar, that's where you start to create a booking engine with your listing.”“You are not selling excitement. You are not selling an amazing stay. What you are selling is confidence.”“Predictability beats promises. So your listing must be written so that it feels predictable.”“Your best listing copy is already hiding in your guests' fears not your amenities.”Let's Connect:Website : https://staceystjohn.com/Enjoyed the show? Subscribe, Rate, Review, Like, and Share!

Britain is failing the Bus Stop Test – David Goodhart reveals why mass immigration and elite dominance are destroying Britain's high-trust society. Join the Community: https://andrewgoldheretics.com SPONSORS: Organise your life: https://akiflow.pro/Heretics  Earn up to 4 per cent on gold, paid in gold: https://www.monetary-metals.com/heretics/  Cut your wireless bill to 15 bucks a month at https://mintmobile.com/heretics  In this explosive Heretics interview, David Goodhart – author of The Road to Somewhere and creator of the Anywheres vs Somewheres framework – explains how rapid demographic change, declining English ethnicity, eroded solidarity, and over-dominance of mobile educated elites are fracturing Britain. From the famous "Bus Stop Test" failing in many neighbourhoods to the collapse of welfare willingness, family breakdown, fertility crisis, and the shift toward majority-minority towns, Goodhart delivers unfiltered insights on integration failures, cultural transformation, populism, and the urgent need for balance and stability. #MassImmigration #BusStopTest #DavidGoodhart Join the 30k heretics on my mailing list: https://andrewgoldheretics.com  Check out my new documentary channel: https://youtube.com/@andrewgoldinvestigates  Andrew on X: https://twitter.com/andrewgold_ok   Insta: https://www.instagram.com/andrewgold_ok Heretics YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@andrewgoldheretics Chapters: 00:00 David Goodhart's Background 04:30 Solidarity vs Diversity – The Original Essay 09:20 English Ethnicity Decline & Majority Interests 14:50 The Bus Stop Test & Failed Integration 20:00 Changing Public Norms & Way of Life 25:30 Argentina's Immigration Lesson 31:00 Universalism Errors & Group Identity 36:30 Asymmetrical Multiculturalism Exposed 41:30 Anywheres vs Somewheres – The Core Divide 47:00 Education, Populism & Backlash 52:30 De-industrialisation & Immigration Effects 58:00 Stability & Predictability for Ordinary People 1:03:00 Bradford Model vs Mixed Communities 1:08:30 Books Overview: Head Heart & The Dilemma 1:14:00 Fertility Collapse & Family Policy Solutions 1:21:30 A Heretic David admires Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Most people think trust comes from doing more, saying yes more, and taking on more responsibility. I see it differently. Trust is built on predictability, not volume. In this episode, I explain how doing less but doing it consistently makes you easier to rely on. When my behavior stays steady no matter the mood or situation, people know exactly what to expect from me, and that's what builds real trust. Show Notes: [01:48]#1 Predictability reduces cognitive load for everyone else. [08:10]#2 Doing less clarifies priorities. [15:34]#3 Predictability is mistaken for boredom by the undisciplined.  [20:53] Recap Episodes Mentioned: 3526: How You Lose Presence Through Overstimulation 2013: The SAME Things, The SAME Way, EVERY Time Next Steps: --- Power Presence is not taught. It is enforced. If you are operating in environments where hesitation costs money, authority, or leverage, the Power Presence Mastermind exists as a controlled setting for discipline, execution, and consequence-based decision-making. Details live here: http://PowerPresenceProtocol.com/Mastermind  This Masterclass is the public record of standards. Private enforcement happens elsewhere. All episodes and the complete archive: → WorkOnYourGamePodcast.com 

Last week, our Client Seat episode featured me coaching Michelle through feeling out of control with her money after moving to Guatemala. The cash system felt chaotic. Multiple accounts, inconsistent tracking, and no clear rhythm for how money moved. She wanted stability back.This week, I'm showing you what was happening on my side of that conversation. The coaching decisions I was making while listening and what I chose to prioritize and intentionally left alone. When you don't know the client's context, when the situation is completely unfamiliar, you can still lead a session that creates real progress.This isn't about having all the answers, because we never will. It's about helping the client find clarity. Four specific observations from that session show how to guide someone toward that clarity when the path isn't obvious to either of you yet.Links & Resources:Join the Facebook groupFinancial Coaching EssentialsEpisode 133: Coaching session with Mary AnnClient Seat applicationKey Takeaways:Targeted focus narrows the conversation and reduces overwhelm. When a client's situation feels chaotic, ask: Where does it feel most out of control right now?Not knowing something doesn't remove your authority as a coach, but pretending does. Name what you don't know and stay present as the guide.Progress happens in layers. Stabilization comes before optimization. Solving one thing well creates momentum for what comes next.Your clients can be the expert on context while you remain the expert on process. True collaboration happens when you share the stage.When clients feel scattered, optimization adds pressure. Stabilization gives them room to breathe, refine, and improve from a solid foundation.Limited scope isn't a weakness. Framing realistic progress as a win builds trust and creates buy-in during the session.Predictability before perfection. Give clients something concrete they can work with right now, not everything they could eventually do.

Predictability is one of the most overlooked tools in dog training—and one of the most powerful. In this extended episode, we explore how consistent routines around feeding, walks, rest, and cues reduce anxiety, improve emotional regulation, and build true confidence in puppies and dogs. Backed by behavioral science, this episode shows why predictability makes dogs feel safe—and how safety is the foundation for calm behavior, learning, and trust.Support the showFollow us on social mediaInstagram @BAXTERandBella Facebook @TheOnlinePuppySchool YouTube @BAXTERandBellaSubscribe to our site for FREE weekly training tips! Check out our FREE resources!Join our membership here.