Podcasts about Predictability

On this episode of "The Bruce Exclusive", Bruce breaks his intended silence on the O'Cyrus Torrence contract extension, discusses how diving into predictability can reveal whether it's good or bad, and talks optimal resource allocation. Topics include Brandon Beane, Joe Brady, O'Cyrus Torrence, Khalil Shakir, Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills free agents, Buffalo Bills draft picks, Buffalo Bills free agents, and more! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Routines help students feel safe, organized, emotionally regulated, and ready for learning. They help smooth transition from summer's flexibility into the structured demands of the school year, lowering stress for both you and your students. In this episode, we'll discuss the five reasons predictable routines are crucial to your students success this year. Get the Behavior Support you deserve! Sign Up to be one of the first ones supported: https://diane-bachman.mykajabi.com/signup-49d2eb82-8cce-4753-9f4c-af7ccc181ce1 Pick up this journal for your students—it's the perfect tool to help you track your students behaviors and see where they need more support!           GET YOUR STUDENT BEHAVIOR JOURNAL on AMAZON TODAY!                                             https://a.co/d/iFwFezb             Get trauma-informed language swaps, quick-response scripts, what-to-do flowchart, print-and-go intervention cards, student regulation menu, and an impulse tracking chart….ALL for only $10!                    https://diane-bachman.mykajabi.com/impulsivity-toolkit If you found today's episode valuable, subscribe and please leave me a review in Apple Podcast, Google Podcast, Spotify, IHeart, or wherever you're listening. Your voice matters and will help others!   Is there a behavior topic you would like to hear or hear more of? We can chat through any of these ways….   Website: Behavior Strategies 4 Class    Book a FREE Strategy Call Today:  https://calendly.com/4behavior    Let's Connect! - diane@behaviorstrategies4class.com,    Join my Facebook Group! - Behavior Strategies 4 Class (193) Diane Bachman - YouTube (25) Diane Bachman | LinkedIn

For years, workplace conversations have centered on flexibility as the key to employee satisfaction. Kelley Rexroad challenges that assumption. In this episode of What the Heck is Happening in HR, she argues that what employees truly crave is predictability: clear expectations, consistent communication, and the ability to plan their lives with confidence. Using unlimited PTO as a powerful example, Kelley explores how ambiguity often creates more stress than structure. Learn why clarity reduces anxiety, strengthens trust, and may be one of the most overlooked drivers of employee engagement and retention.#Leadership #HumanResources #EmployeeExperience #WorkplaceCulture #FutureOfWork #Management #EmployeeEngagement #HRLeadership #WorkplaceWellbeing #OrganizationalDevelopment #TrustAtWork #WhatTheHeckIsHappeningInHR

The perfect band member is an incredible player, always available, completely prepared, easy to work with, affordable, ambitious—but not *too* ambitious—and somehow has nothing else happening in their life.Unfortunately, that person does not exist.Every musician brings a combination of talent, reliability, availability, personality, preparation, ambition, and baggage. The real question is not whether someone has flaws. It is whether your band can function with those particular flaws—and whether the problem is actually the musician or the position they have been hired to fill.This week, we discuss:• The unavoidable trade-offs involved in hiring musicians• Why great players are not always the best band members• Choosing availability and reliability over raw talent• What an audition can—and cannot—tell you• The danger of hiring someone based on imagined potential• Separating personal preferences from actual deal breakers• Why repeatedly replacing the same position may reveal a structural problem• How clear expectations, communication, calendars, charts, practice tracks, payment systems, and defined leadership make imperfect lineups work• Why predictability may be more valuable than perfectionWe also get an update on Dan's attempt to restage his band, consider a potential live band karaoke pivot, fall into Adam's latest impossible-guitar rabbit hole, explore the very sparkly world of Cream Guitars, and revisit notable CBC episodes from this week in the show's history.Try JamZone Premium free for 30 days: https://jamzone.com/l/pro/CBCJZWhat quality comes first when you hire a musician: talent, reliability, availability, preparation, or personality? What have you learned never to compromise on?Leave a comment or email us at [coverbandconfidential@gmail.com](mailto:coverbandconfidential@gmail.com).Cover Band Confidential is the podcast for cover band musicians and band leaders who want to rock more and suck less.This week is CBC History:1 year ago Spicy Takes and Sore Fingers (aka Dan's first post-surgery gig) https://www.podomatic.com/podcasts/coverbandconfidential/episodes/2025-08-07T17_00_00-07_002 years ago 5 creative ways to engage with your audience! (on-stage and off) https://www.podomatic.com/podcasts/coverbandconfidential/episodes/2024-08-08T19_00_00-07_003 years ago When is it Time to Reevaluate? https://www.podomatic.com/podcasts/coverbandconfidential/episodes/2023-08-10T19_00_00-07_004 years ago How To Get Started With In-Ear Monitors https://www.podomatic.com/podcasts/coverbandconfidential/episodes/2022-08-11T17_58_07-07_005 years ago Setlist and Flow (AmberCast Part Deux) https://www.podomatic.com/podcasts/coverbandconfidential/episodes/2021-08-12T19_09_44-07_006 years ago CBC #114 (Song Selection Revisited) https://www.podomatic.com/podcasts/coverbandconfidential/episodes/2020-08-06T19_31_27-07_007 years ago CBC #062 (Mike Schulte of The Pork Tornadoes) https://www.podomatic.com/podcasts/coverbandconfidential/episodes/2019-08-07T19_26_28-07_008 years ago CBC Episode 019 (Coming Clean) https://www.podomatic.com/podcasts/coverbandconfidential/episodes/2018-08-10T04_16_16-07_00#CoverBand #BandLeader #WorkingMusician #GiggingMusician #BandAdvice00:00 Cold Open and Introductions00:55 Restaging the Band02:31 Gear Quest and Cream Guitars06:40 Jam Zone Promo Housekeeping07:35 This Week in CBC History11:23 Perfect Lineup Fantasy15:09 Defining the Ideal Member17:41 Tradeoffs and Reality Checks20:00 Choosing the Right Flaws21:03 Availability vs Skill21:44 What the Gig Requires24:33 Auditions Miss the Truth26:15 Is the Chair on Fire30:42 Hiring on Hope32:55 Preferences vs Dealbreakers37:43 Predictability and Systems42:26 Listener Scenario and Wrap

"Leading is empowering, guiding, inspiring and having a shared goal of working together." "You need to build up trust, and for me what really helped was the one-on-ones." "Nobody wants to have a surprise in the meeting." "Predictability is really important for any leader." "Leadership is bringing your people forward and putting them in the position where they can perform at their best."   Thomas Fraessle is the Representative Director and CEO of ITK Engineering Japan, a professional engineering services company that develops customised software and systems solutions across automotive, healthcare, railway and other technology-intensive sectors. ITK originated in Germany and later became part of the Bosch Group. Fraessle studied electrical engineering and completed his diploma thesis at Mercedes-Benz, working on vehicle energy simulation and battery sizing. He then joined ITK when it was still a relatively small engineering company, attracted by the chance to work across varied projects rather than enter a large corporation. After assignments supporting General Motors Europe, he asked for an opportunity to work abroad and chose Japan precisely because it was unfamiliar and culturally distant from his previous experience. He first arrived in Japan in 2008, worked through a local partner and helped initiate the establishment of ITK's own Japanese operation. After returning to Germany and developing his leadership experience, he came back to Japan in February 2022 as Representative Director and CEO. His career reflects adaptability across engineering, business development and people leadership, as well as the transition from individual technical contributor to cross-cultural organisational leader.   Thomas Fraessle's leadership journey in Japan began with curiosity rather than a carefully mapped expatriate career. After studying electrical engineering and completing a practical diploma thesis at Mercedes-Benz, he joined the then-small ITK Engineering because he wanted exposure to multiple projects and responsibilities. An assignment supporting General Motors Europe introduced him to international collaboration and prompted him to ask ITK's founder for an overseas opportunity. Given a choice between the United States and Japan, he selected Japan because it represented the more unfamiliar challenge. That first period in Japan, beginning in 2008, gave Fraessle direct experience as an engineer working with Japanese customers. More than a decade later, he returned as the head of ITK Engineering Japan. The country was familiar, but the responsibility was entirely different. As CEO, he had to build alignment, create trust, communicate direction and encourage people to speak candidly. He quickly discovered that leadership concepts such as motivation, feedback and empowerment do not travel unchanged across cultures. One of the sharpest differences was feedback. In Germany, direct feedback could be treated as a normal part of improving performance. In Japan, the word itself could sound negative, as though a leader was about to explain what an employee had done badly. Fraessle found that honest views rarely appeared automatically in group meetings. He therefore invested in repeated one-to-one conversations, asking not simply what was wrong, but how the team could improve something together and what support people needed from him. Trust accumulated gradually, and some changes required a full year of discussion and preparation. This experience led him to appreciate nemawashi—the groundwork conducted before a formal decision. In many Western meetings, participants debate an issue and decide in the room. In Japan, the visible meeting may be the final confirmation of extensive prior consultation. Fraessle learned to plant ideas, explain them more than once, listen to objections and allow people time to reach confidence in the direction. Although the process can seem slow, it can produce stronger implementation because surprises and unresolved resistance have been reduced beforehand. Trust is also reinforced through transparency and predictability. Fraessle explains not only KPIs and decisions, but the business reasoning behind them. He distinguishes explanation from excuse-making: the leader should own the decision rather than hide behind headquarters. He is also willing to acknowledge mistakes, viewing this as strength rather than weakness. Employees need to know that problems can be raised without anger, blame or humiliation. A leader whose reactions vary with mood creates hesitation; a consistent leader makes it safer to speak up. Fraessle translated these beliefs into organisational practices. He introduced company gatherings after the isolation of COVID-19, created engineering workshops and cross-project technical groups, and redesigned the office around shared desks and easier interaction. These choices were not cosmetic. They created occasions for engineers from different projects to meet, exchange solutions and generate ideas that could be reused with other customers. His approach to hybrid work is similarly contextual rather than rigid: customer satisfaction, project needs and team collaboration matter more than mechanically applying one rule to everyone. His ultimate definition of leadership is practical and developmental. It is about bringing people forward, helping them build competence, giving them confidence to decide, guiding them with useful feedback and placing them where they can perform at their best. In Japan, that requires patience, relationship-building and respect for context. The leader's task is not to impose a foreign operating model immediately, but to understand why the current system exists, preserve what serves customers and then lead change with clarity and consistency. Q&A Summary What makes leadership in Japan unique? Leadership in Japan is shaped by context, relationship history and extensive preparation before visible decisions. Fraessle found that people may not openly disagree in a group, particularly when hierarchy, seniority or concern about losing face is involved. A formal meeting may therefore confirm a direction that has already been discussed through nemawashi rather than serve as the arena where competing views are first exposed. Leaders must learn to read what is not being said, create private channels for honest discussion and give colleagues time to absorb and test a proposal. Japan's strong commitment to quality and long-term customer trust also affects leadership. A defect or poorly handled mistake can damage a relationship that took years to establish, so teams often seek a very high degree of certainty before acting. Why do global executives struggle? Global executives often struggle because they interpret different behaviour as poor performance or resistance. A process may appear inefficient from headquarters, yet exist because a Japanese customer requires it or because it protects a long-standing relationship. Fraessle advises leaders to investigate why people work in a particular way before changing it. He benefited from having previously worked at customer sites in Japan and understood that management reports rarely show the full picture. Another difficulty is expecting direct feedback. Employees may say yes to preserve harmony without meaning that they fully support immediate execution. Foreign leaders can also mistake English silence for lack of knowledge, when capable employees are simply reluctant to risk making a linguistic mistake in public. Is Japan truly risk-averse? Fraessle's experience suggests that Japanese employees are not simply unwilling to take risks; they are highly conscious of quality, accountability and the social consequences of being wrong. An engineer may study a question for weeks before asking for help because appearing unprepared could mean losing face. That caution can protect quality, but it can also slow learning. Fraessle encourages people to ask earlier, communicate sooner and use colleagues' expertise. He also makes clear that mistakes are normal and that leaders should own their own errors. Risk-taking becomes more realistic when people know how failures will be handled, when trials are bounded and when the purpose of experimentation is organisational learning rather than individual judgement. What leadership style actually works? The most effective style in Fraessle's account combines approachability, consistency, transparency and role modelling. He used one-to-one meetings to build trust and even created a short personal guide explaining his direct German communication style so colleagues would not misread it as personal hostility. He established regular company meetings and informal gatherings so employees could see him, question him and understand how he behaved. He explains why targets and decisions matter, does not blame headquarters for choices he has made, and apologises when he is wrong. Above all, he stresses predictability. Employees should not have to study the leader's mood before deciding whether it is safe to raise a problem. How can technology help? Technology is central to ITK's business, but Fraessle's leadership lesson is that innovation requires human structures as well as technical expertise. Engineers working deeply on individual customer projects can become isolated from one another. ITK Engineering Japan therefore creates engineering workshops and cross-project technical groups where employees demonstrate tools, discuss cybersecurity, programming and systems challenges, and ask peers for alternative solutions. Ideas arising from these exchanges can improve one project and later become reusable solutions for other customers. Digital collaboration also supports an international workforce, but Fraessle does not treat technology as a substitute for human contact. Office design, shared desks, company meetings and informal conversation deliberately create the serendipitous exchanges that remote work can reduce. Does language proficiency matter? Fraessle believes learning Japanese is valuable because an expatriate leader is a guest in the country and language deepens cultural understanding. He also candidly acknowledges how difficult it is to improve without regular use and wishes he had invested more heavily at the beginning. At executive level, it is possible to lead without full proficiency, and sometimes using English can create a neutral international space. The larger challenge is psychological safety: many Japanese employees possess stronger English than they reveal in the office because they fear mistakes. Leaders should provide different ways to communicate, allow preparation and create low-pressure opportunities for people to use the language. What's the ultimate leadership lesson? Fraessle defines leadership as bringing people forward. The leader should guide, inspire and support employees, help them build the competence required for autonomy, and give them the confidence to make decisions. This begins with trust and a genuine relationship. It also requires patience: change in Japan may take longer than an overseas headquarters expects, but forcing action without understanding can destroy commitment or customer value. The ultimate lesson is to understand the system before altering it, remain consistent in words and behaviour, and create an environment where people can contribute, question, learn and perform at their best. Author Credentials Dr. Greg Story, Ph.D. in Japanese Decision-Making, is President of Dale Carnegie Tokyo Training and Adjunct Professor at Griffith University. He is a two-time winner of the Dale Carnegie "One Carnegie Award" (2018, 2021) and recipient of the Griffith University Business School Outstanding Alumnus Award (2012). As a Dale Carnegie Master Trainer, Greg is certified to deliver globally across all leadership, communication, sales, and presentation programs, including Leadership Training for Results. He has written several books, including three best-sellers — Japan Business Mastery, Japan Sales Mastery, and Japan Presentations Mastery — along with Japan Leadership Mastery and How to Stop Wasting Money on Training. His works have also been translated into Japanese, including Za Eigyō (ザ営業), Purezen no Tatsujin (プレゼンの達人), Torēningu de Okane o Muda ni Suru no wa Yamemashō (トレーニングでお金を無駄にするのはやめましょう), and Gendaiban "Hito o Ugokasu" Rīdā (現代版「人を動かす」リーダー). In addition to his books, Greg publishes daily blogs on LinkedIn, Facebook, and Twitter, offering practical insights on leadership, communication, and Japanese business culture. He is also the host of six weekly podcasts, including The Leadership Japan Series, The Sales Japan Series, The Presentations Japan Series, Japan Business Mastery, and Japan's Top Business Interviews. On YouTube, he produces three weekly shows — The Cutting Edge Japan Business Show, Japan Business Mastery, and Japan's Top Business Interviews — which have become leading resources for executives seeking strategies for success in Japan.

Neuroscientist Stuart Firestein (Columbia University) joins Breaking Math to make an extravagant claim: uncertainty isn't a weakness in science — it's the defining feature that makes progress possible. In this episode, we break down why the "one right answer" myth is one of the most damaging ideas in science, why real experts are often the most uncertain people in the room, and why authority and expertise pull in opposite directions, covering two fundamentally different kinds of probability, why Darwin never erased a 300-year-old classification system built on an assumption he disproved, why AI is exceptional at prediction but not built for causation, and why pseudoscience always has a confident answer while real science rarely does — plus the philosophical difference between hope and optimism, and why Voltaire had to invent the word "optimism" in 1759 to describe it. Chapters03:00 Predictability and the sea of uncertainties04:08 Science as a search for probabilities and multiple solutions06:16 Biological classification and the dynamic nature of species09:10 The optimistic view of a branching universe12:41 Probability as the language of optimism16:48 Two types of probability and their roles17:50 AI, probabilistic models, and the future of certainty21:40 Science and the creation of better ignorance23:21 The importance of asking questions over giving answers27:21 Authority versus knowledge in science30:04 Pluralism and multiple solutions in science32:46 Science in the gray area of uncertainty35:39 The brain and randomness in thought39:44 Science as a source of hope and optimismFollow Breaking Math onSubstack (https://breakingmath.substack.com/)X (https://x.com/breakingmathpod)Instagram (https://www.instagram.com/breakingmathmedia/)Bluesky (https://bsky.app/profile/breakingmath.bsky.social)Website (https://www.breakingmath.io/)YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/@BreakingMathPod)Follow Noah onInstagram (https://www.instagram.com/profnoahgian/)X (https://x.com/ProfNoahGian)Bluesky (https://bsky.app/profile/profnoahgian.bsky.social)Follow Autumn onX (https://x.com/1autumn_leaf)Bluesky (https://bsky.app/profile/1autumnleaf.bsky.social)Instagram (https://www.instagram.com/1autumnleaf/)Substack (https://substack.com/@1autumnleaf)email: breakingmathpodcast@gmail.com

David Saffrin of Sunrun Solar joins Jon Hansen to introduce Your Money Matters listeners to Sunrun Solar. David explains how Sunrun's no‑upfront‑cost solar lease with bundled battery backup helps homeowners lock in more predictable power costs and keep the lights on during severe storms. Sunrun also evaluates each home's roof, trees, and usage for a 15‑year agreement. […]

Have you ever walked into a room and felt your body relax—or tense up—before anything even happened?In this episode of the Building Resilience Podcast, Leah explores what safety really means for the nervous system. She explains why safety is not a series of stages, how predictability and choice shape your body's response, and why another person can support your regulation without being responsible for it.You'll also learn why healthy relationships are not free from conflict, why repair builds trust, and how psychological, spiritual, and cultural safety influence the way we connect with others.Key TakeawaysSafety is something your nervous system continually evaluates.Predictability, privacy, and choice help the body feel safe.Co-regulation matters, but no one can create safety for you.Relational safety comes from repair, not avoiding conflict.People feel safer when they can speak honestly without punishment.Safety must be defined by the person experiencing it.LINKS AND RESOURCES:Advanced Training in Nervous System Resilience : https://leahdavidsonlifecoaching.com/coach-training-join COMMUNITYMIDLIFE NERVOUS SYSTEM REWIRE COMMUNITY

Many people with eating disorders get labeled as perfectionists. Sometimes that's accurate. Sometimes it's only part of the story. In this episode of the Dr. Marianne-Land Podcast, I explore the overlap between OCD and eating disorders, perfectionism, anxiety, autism, ADHD, and the cognitive effects of malnutrition. I explain why similar behaviors can have very different underlying causes and why understanding those differences can change the course of eating disorder treatment and recovery. If you've ever found yourself stuck in food rules, body checking, repetitive thoughts, calorie calculations, reassurance-seeking, or endless self-doubt, this episode offers a more nuanced way to understand what's happening beneath the surface. Rather than focusing only on what behaviors look like, I discuss why identifying their function leads to more effective and compassionate care. What You'll Learn In this episode, you'll learn how perfectionism differs from OCD in eating disorder recovery and why the distinction matters. I discuss why intrusive thoughts, compulsive checking, and reassurance-seeking are often mistaken for perfectionism, how anorexia nervosa and other restrictive eating disorders can increase obsessive thinking, and why starvation affects cognitive flexibility and mental rigidity. I also explain how autism, ADHD, sensory needs, and routine dependence can sometimes resemble OCD while reflecting very different underlying experiences. Finally, I share why understanding the function of eating disorder behaviors helps clinicians, individuals, and families choose more effective treatment approaches. OCD, Perfectionism, and Eating Disorders Perfectionism has long been associated with anorexia nervosa, bulimia nervosa, and other eating disorders. At the same time, many people who believe they're simply perfectionists may also experience OCD, significant anxiety, or both. Looking only at outward behaviors can miss what is actually maintaining the cycle of restriction, compulsions, fear, and distress. In this episode, I discuss why food-related rituals, repeated checking, body checking, calorie counting, and reassurance-seeking may look similar across different conditions while serving very different purposes. Understanding those differences helps people receive more individualized, neurodivergent-affirming care instead of one-size-fits-all treatment. Why Neurodivergence Makes the Picture More Complex Autism, ADHD, ARFID, sensory processing differences, and nervous system regulation can all influence eating behaviors, routines, and food preferences. Predictability and consistency often help neurodivergent people reduce overwhelm and make eating feel safer. Those experiences are not automatically signs of OCD or perfectionism. I explain why clinicians need to understand the role of sensory processing, cognitive load, executive functioning, and nervous system regulation before drawing conclusions about repetitive eating behaviors. This perspective supports more accurate assessment and more compassionate eating disorder treatment. Why This Matters for Recovery Recovery looks different depending on what's driving the behavior. Someone whose eating disorder is fueled primarily by perfectionism may need different interventions than someone struggling with OCD, autism, or multiple overlapping conditions. When treatment targets the underlying process instead of the surface behavior alone, recovery often becomes more individualized, effective, and sustainable. Understanding the "why" behind eating disorder behaviors creates opportunities for greater self-compassion and more meaningful healing. This Episode Is For You If... This episode is for anyone recovering from anorexia, bulimia, ARFID, binge eating disorder, or another eating disorder who has wondered whether perfectionism tells the whole story. It's also for autistic, ADHD, and AuDHD individuals, parents, caregivers, therapists, dietitians, physicians, and other professionals who want a more nuanced understanding of OCD, perfectionism, neurodivergence, and eating disorder recovery. Related Episodes OCD & Eating Disorders: Why Food Rules, Rituals, & “Not Feeling Right” Take Over on Apple & Spotify. When Eating Disorders Meet Anxiety, OCD, or Depression: Co-Occurring Challenges & Recovery Strategies on Apple & Spotify. Obsessions, Compulsions, and Control: How OCD Intertwines With Eating Disorders on Apple & Spotify. Food, Fear, & Fixation: How OCD Shapes Eating Disorders on Apple & Spotify. Work With Dr. Marianne Miller If you're looking for a neurodivergent-affirming eating disorder therapist, I provide therapy for adults and adolescents throughout California and Washington, D.C. I also offer parent consultation and eating disorder coaching worldwide. My practice specializes in ARFID therapy, anorexia treatment, bulimia treatment, binge eating disorder therapy, autism and ADHD, and neurodivergent-affirming eating disorder care. I use a sensory-attuned, trauma-informed, autonomy-supportive approach that honors each person's unique nervous system and lived experience. Learn more about therapy, consultation, my ARFID & Selective Eating Course, and additional resources at www.drmariannemiller.com. If you enjoyed this episode, please follow the Dr. Marianne-Land Podcast, leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts or on Spotify, and share this episode with someone who may benefit from a more compassionate understanding of OCD, perfectionism, and eating disorder recovery.

How To Reduce Aligner Refinements | Orthodontics In Interview | Enzo Pasciuti."If you don't understand fixed appliance mechanics, you won't truly understand aligner mechanics.""Don't judge your aligner cases on the computer. Judge them clinically.""Predictability isn't about using fewer aligners, it's about respecting biomechanics and biology.".Why do some orthodontists achieve consistently lower refinement rates with aligners. Joining me is Enzo Pasciuti, shedding light on key mechanics, planning  philosophies and clinical pearls that have helped him achieve predictability and  reducing refinements, whilst acknowledging challenging aligner mechanics, increasing the number of aligners, and rigidly adhering to biomechanical principles of all tooth movement..We discuss the importance of clinically assessing every refinement, and why orthodontists should never rely solely on virtual treatment planning. Enzo also explains how attachments, passive aligners, staged treatment planning, and Dental Monitoring can significantly improve clinical outcomes..We also explore instability with aligners, a frequently overlooked outcome when unplanned, common mistakes clinicians make with aligners, and why every orthodontist should first master fixed appliance mechanics before expecting excellence with clear aligners..

Will it ever feel like the “right time” to put growth strategies into action? It often feels like you need to hit a certain milestone before you set bigger plans in motion, but is that really true? In this episode, I'm tackling the myth that you need to wait to hit some magic number before you can get serious about building momentum. I'll break down the most common roadblocks that hold coaching and service businesses back, and more importantly, share what you can do about them, right now. Whether you've just started taking clients, or you've hit a plateau and feel like things are getting stuck, everything I talk about today is designed to help you remove friction and see real results. You don't need a massive audience, a shiny website, or a complex setup to benefit from these steps. If you've got a working business, however new or established - you're ready. Here's what you'll discover in this episode: Why there's no such thing as the “perfect moment” to implement business growth strategies, and what to focus on instead. What are the core constraints that hold your business back from recognition, conversion, profit, and predictability? How do you know if you're being overlooked, or if potential clients are unsure about saying yes to working with you? Why your offer flow (or “ecosystem”) is so important for profitability, and how to structure it so you're not burning out or capping your growth. What a “demand system” really does for your business, and how it helps you create steady, reliable income (even if you want to take some time off). Ready to stop second-guessing and start moving forward? Listen in for the simple, actionable answers you've been looking for! ....................................................... LEARN MORE WITH JESSICA - Master Your Marketing If you'd like to learn more about the strategies that build demand, profit and sustainable growth, then register here for access: https://jessicaosborn.com/mym ………………………………………… Are you a woman in business? YOU'RE INVITED! JOIN our guests and other listeners in She's The Business Community on Facebook and let's continue the conversation! Https://www.facebook.com/groups/shesthebusinesscommunity ................................................. Loving this podcast? We'd love it if you'd give us a 5 star rating and help others find it too! Simply hit the 5 stars and (if you have 10 seconds to spare) add a few words as a review. Interested in being a guest? All the info is here: https://www.jessicaosborn.com/STB-guest-application ......................................................... About your host: Jessica Osborn is a marketing strategist and positioning expert - helping online coaches become unmistakable leaders in their industry so they are consistently in demand for their services. With over 25 years in marketing and 15 years as a successful entrepreneur, she shares deep insights and timeless principles to help you grow a sustainable and profitable business that fits your version of an ideal lifestyle. Learn more & book an intro call: https://jessicaosborn.com Instagram or Threads: https://instagram.com/jessica.osborn LinkedIn: Https://linkedin.com/in/jessicaaosborn Facebook: https://facebook.com/jessicaosborn.bxcoach

Malcolm Reid Sr.: Ingredients for Success for the Modern Generalist and Kicking the Hopium Habit In this episode of the Stay On Course Podcast, Julie sits down with Malcolm Reid Sr., founder of Pro Global Business Advisors, to talk leadership, purpose, and the mindset shifts that separate predictable business growth from hope based guessing. Guest Background Malcolm Reid Sr. founded Pro Global Business Advisors, helping over a thousand coaches serve small business owners with integrity Known for a strong stance against hype driven coaching and for equipping ethical coaches with real systems and support Creator of Profit Advisor, a platform that brings marketing, sales, and fulfillment technology into one methodology Spent decades in music and corporate America before building twenty five years of entrepreneurial experience What They Discussed Why the specialist model is losing ground to the modern generalist in a world shaped by AI The full meaning behind the phrase a jack of all trades is a master of none Why so many entrepreneurs run their business on hope instead of tracked, predictable systems The triplets that keep business owners stuck: gonna do, did not do, and want to do The importance of success metrics and consistent prospecting, even after landing clients How Profit Advisor gives coaches a business in a box, without long contracts or restrictive territories The path to becoming a certified Profit Advisor and building real credibility Malcolm's journey from corporate America to becoming unemployable in the traditional workforce His early career in music, including work alongside KRS-One and Grandmaster Kaz The value of self leadership and consistency for long term legacy building Memorable Quotes Change you must or irrelevant you will become A jack of all trades is a master of none, but it is a whole lot better than just a master of one People are addicted to hope There are parking spaces on that road, that journey to success. Park, but back up and get back on the journey Get one percent better per week, and by the end of the year you will be sixty seven percent better than where you started Key Takeaways Systems beat hope. Predictability comes from tracked metrics, not wishful thinking Becoming a generalist, someone who can do more and deliver faster, is increasingly valuable Growth requires discipline. Small, consistent improvement compounds over time Every failure becomes part of the foundation for helping the next person Purpose and self leadership carry entrepreneurs through moments that feel insurmountable This episode is a must listen for coaches and small business owners ready to build a business rooted in purpose, clarity, and predictable success. Connect with Malcolm Reid Sr. Website: ProGlobalBA.com Free Book: 100kleak.com Company: Pro Global Business Advisors Connect with Julie Riga Website: julieriga.com/lead Social Media: LinkedIn | Facebook | Instagra. Coaching: Learn more about leadership coaching and transformation Stacklist: https://stacklist.app/julieriga Subscribe to Stay On Course wherever you listen to podcasts, and share this episode with the leaders in your life who need to hear about purpose, growth, and legacy. #stayoncourse #leadership #purpose #growth #entrepreneur Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

IT services M&A is in one of its most active stretches in years. We explain how private equity defines the market, the platform and tuck-in roll-up strategy behind most deals, and how AI is separating premium platforms from commoditized providers. You will also hear which segments are hot, which are cooling, and the exact questions to ask when an investor calls. Timestamps & Chapters 0:00 – Why private equity keeps calling 1:13 – How we define the IT services market 4:11 – The long tail: ~50,000 firms and three channels 7:03 – Why PE targets IT services: growth and recurring revenue 12:31 – Predictability drives investment 13:48 – Platform and tuck-in roll-up strategy (the math) 16:32 – AI and the services-as-software shift 18:27 – Raising the bar: AI-enabled service delivery 24:06 – Go AI-first or fall behind 26:28 – Hot vs cooling segments (specialize, verticalize, productize) 29:13 – What to do when private equity calls 33:18 – Closing thoughts   Key Takeaways Predictable Cash Flows: Private equity favors IT services because recurring and repeat revenue make future cash flows highly predictable. The Roll-Up Strategy: The dominant model relies on buying a platform company around 5–7x EBITDA, scaling via tuck-ins, and exiting near 8–12x. The New Minimum: Recurring revenue above 50% used to impress investors—today, it is the bare minimum expectation. Market Temperature: Hot: Cybersecurity, AI & Machine Learning, regulated cloud, OT/industrial, and vertically focused MSPs. Cooling: Pure staffing and generalist break-fix providers. When PE Calls: Prepare beforehand: know your numbers inside out and engage a specialist M&A advisor.   Links & Resources Blog Post: Read the full article Valuation Tool: Free Valuation Calculator Schedule a Consultation: Book a confidential conversation Podcast: Listen on your favorite podcast platform Official Website: Revenue Rocket About Revenue Rocket Revenue Rocket is a sell-side and buy-side M&A advisory firm focused exclusively on IT services companies, including MSPs, cybersecurity, cloud, custom application development, and VARs. #MergersAndAcquisitions #ITServices #MSP #ShootTheMoon #RevenueRocket #ExitStrategy #PrivateEquity#AIinITService Getting calls from private equity? Do not wing it. Schedule a confidential conversation with Revenue Rocket to understand your options and your value. Listen to Shoot the Moon on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.Buy, sell, or grow your tech-enabled services firm with Revenue Rocket.

The central structural shift addressed is the fracture of the longstanding per-user, per-month MSP pricing model due to AI-enabled consumption-based (tokenized) billing, which introduces variable costs previously absent from MSP contracts. This shift is being reinforced by vendor strategies from firms such as Microsoft, Atera, ConnectWise, N-able, and Pax8, each proposing different mechanisms for channel partners to integrate and manage AI costs and capabilities. Recent research from Omnia, highlighted by Jessica Davis, underscores the pace and fragmentation of this evolution, creating new exposure for MSPs to vendor-driven pricing and value capture. Data from an Omnia poll of 255 MSPs found 40% are maintaining traditional per-user pricing, while 60% are reevaluating or transitioning toward hybrid, outcome-based, or true consumption models. Business of Tech research shows that two-thirds of MSPs have not referenced AI at all in their customer-facing positioning, and those that do overwhelmingly reference Microsoft as their AI provider. According to Jessica Davis, much of the 40% maintaining legacy pricing may not be doing so out of clear strategy or discipline, but because they have yet to encounter the practical or financial impacts of AI usage patterns. Secondary developments discussed include vendor-driven channel consolidation in the form of proprietary control planes: Kaseya, ConnectWise, N-able, and Pax8 are all positioning their platforms as the central operational layer for AI services, but with divergent models—ranging from bundled internal use to open orchestration. Dave Sobel and Jessica Davis note that this fragmentation and experimentation by vendors creates substantial complexity for MSPs, who face real risk of shifting from managed service models to a lower-margin reseller role, particularly as vendors seek to capture value through consumption pricing. Additionally, the rapid pace of AI tool development is enabling some MSPs, particularly advanced or less-regulated firms, to bypass vendors and build custom integrations or internal automations. For operators, the practical implications are increased operational risk and pricing uncertainty, coupled with the challenge of balancing internal efficiency gains against eventual client demand for AI-driven services. Vendor dependency is deepening as MSPs must choose whether to commit to a control plane and cede elements of value and data custody, or attempt to differentiate through custom service layers. The most immediate risk is margin compression from ill-managed or misaligned pricing models—a threat compounded if MSPs fail to map their AI cost and value flows. According to Jessica Davis, MSPs who closely monitor their actual AI-related costs and value delivered, rather than reacting prematurely or simply holding the line, will be better positioned to adapt to ongoing changes in both technology and vendor strategy.   Supported by: Pax8Guardz

From the business community's perspective, La Crosse needs a city administrator. La Crosse Area Chamber of Commerce CEO Sam Scinta and government relations director Allyson Fergot in studio explaining why 99% of their members support the move — and why they believe operating without one is costing the city more in the long run. HIGHLIGHTS: Overwhelming business support: Why 99% of the Chamber's 540-plus members—from small shops to non-profits and healthcare—back the position. Streamlining development: Why local non-profits told the Chamber they would rather have a city administrator than a new zoning code to cut through red tape. Managing a $74 million operation: Why treating city government like a complex enterprise requires consistent, professional management alongside elected policy makers. Predictability for local business: How a central administrator creates clear processes and stable leadership that outlasts political turnover. Next week the city council begins again its debate on creating the charter ordinance position, beginning with the Judiciary and Administrative Committee (agenda) at 5 p.m. Wednesday. The council did get the same ordinance through by a 7-6 vote back in February, but it needed a supermajority. NOTE: This interview was recorded prior to Mayor Shaundel Washington-Spivey releasing a video opposing the proposed charter ordinance. The mayor argued the specific legislation takes statutory power away from elected leadership and removes the voice of the people from City Hall. Watch and read more about the mayor's response here.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Danil Chernyshev: Why Teams Always Adapt—And How Bad Rules Push Them Into Zombie Scrum Read the full Show Notes and search through the world's largest audio library on Agile and Scrum directly on the Scrum Master Toolbox Podcast website: http://bit.ly/SMTP_ShowNotes.   "Teams always adapt. You only get to decide what they adapt to." - Danil Chernyshev   Most dysfunction doesn't start with the team—it starts with the structure around them. Danil shares the story of a classic metrics-driven organization where Scrum Masters reported to a dedicated manager who measured their success by team velocity. That manager tracked retrospectives in a separate log, and would show up at the daily Scrum to confirm everyone answered the three questions. The result was predictable: the retrospective became a clock to survive, the daily became a checkbox with no real conversation, and velocity turned into theater—stories closed as "done," then reopened as "part two" in the next sprint. There was never a real done increment. Danil refuses to blame the team. They were doing exactly what teams always do—adapting to survive the rules and boundaries handed to them. As he and Vasco explore, the only real choice a leader has is not whether a team adapts, but what they adapt to. Dictate bureaucracy, and they'll adapt to surviving it. That's how productive, enjoyable work quietly turns into zombie Scrum. Servant leadership exists precisely so someone helps the team adapt toward value—not toward compliance.   In this segment, we talk about User Story Mapping by Jeff Patton and Peter Economy, and you can hear Jeff Patton on the podcast.   Self-reflection Question: Look at a behavior on your team you find frustrating—what rule or structure might that team be adapting to in order to survive? Featured Book of the Week: Actionable Agile Metrics for Predictability by Daniel Vacanti Danil calls this book eye-opening. It changed how he thinks about metrics—not as a reporting tool for executives, but as something teams can use for themselves to understand what to do next and how to improve. As he puts it, "after that book, you will probably know that a lot of cumulative flow diagrams that you saw in your past, they doesn't work well, and need to be rebuilt." The book makes flow metrics serve the team first, while still giving leadership the transparency they need. You can also hear Daniel Vacanti on the podcast, and get the book here: Actionable Agile Metrics for Predictability by Daniel Vacanti.   [The Scrum Master Toolbox Podcast Recommends]

Neurodivergent students can know the answer, understand the lesson, and still be unable to access learning in a classroom that feels loud, unpredictable, overwhelming, or emotionally unsafeIn this episode of Authentically ADHD, Carmen explores what autistic, ADHD, and AuDHD students may need before their brains can fully engage with instruction. We break down the neuroscience behind sensory overload, working-memory challenges, stress responses, executive dysfunction, and co-regulation—and why behaviors that look like avoidance, laziness, defiance, or inattention are often signs that a student's nervous system is working overtime.You'll learn practical ways to create more accessible learning environments through visual supports, predictable routines, movement, sensory accommodations, meaningful choices, smaller task-entry points, and connection before correction.Because support is not coddling. Regulation is not the same as compliance. And a student should not have to prove they can survive the classroom before they are allowed to learn in it.Thank you for tuning in!Follow me!This Substack is reader-supported. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Guide for Parents and TeachersThe Ready To Learn Guide For ND StudentsFirst we reframe the behavior, then check access barriers, then build supports, scripts, and a one-week action plan.It includes:* A ready-to-learn access ladder* Behavior-reframing chart* Sensory and environmental access scan* Predictability and transition planner* Working-memory and task-entry supports* Movement, choice, and flexible participation tools* Co-regulation scripts* A response plan for overload, shutdowns, or escalation* Home-school communication tracker* One-page student learning access profile* Seven-day support experiment* Quick-reference page for adults* Research and resource notesThe strategies are grounded in current classroom accommodation guidance, Universal Design for Learning, executive-function and stress-response science, co-regulation research, and studies examining sensory access in autistic students. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit carmenauthenticallyadhd.substack.com/subscribe

Dr. Jeffrey Edwards, founder and chief risk strategist of FFERM Technologies, joins host KJ to challenge the financial industry's decades-old reliance on likelihood and impact heat maps for risk management. He traces that methodology back to a 1984 Department of Defense weapons framework that was never designed for financial services, and explains why it leaves institutions blind to risk contagion, compounding, and black swan events. The episode makes a compelling case that the next major financial collapse is not unpredictable. It is just being measured with the wrong ruler. Key Takeaways: 4:58 — Where did the financial industry's risk management framework actually come from? 14:28 — What happens when two separate risk events collide at the same time? 15:32 – When should an institution stop relying on the heat map as its primary risk tool? 23:19 — How does FFERM Technologies transform a risk score into something actually useful? Quote of the Show (13:09):"Math can guide you down the wrong path if you're asking and looking at it the wrong way." – Dr. Jeffrey Edwards Join our Anti-PR newsletter where we’re keeping a watchful and clever eye on PR trends, PR fails, and interesting news in tech so you don't have to. You're welcome. Want PR that actually matters? Get 30 minutes of expert advice in a fast-paced, zero-nonsense session from Karla Jo Helms, a veteran Crisis PR and Anti-PR Strategist who knows how to tell your story in the best possible light and get the exposure you need to disrupt your industry. Click here to book your call: https://info.jotopr.com/free-anti-pr-eval Ways to connect with Dr. Jeffrey Edwards:LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/drjeffreyedwardsCompany Website: https://www.ffermtech.com/site How to get more Disruption/Interruption: Amazon Music - https://music.amazon.com/podcasts/eccda84d-4d5b-4c52-ba54-7fd8af3cbe87/disruption-interruption Apple Podcast - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/disruption-interruption/id1581985755 Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/6yGSwcSp8J354awJkCmJlD YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=disruption+%2F+interuuptionSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Today, my guest is Muriel Touati. Muriel is a French entrepreneur based in New York City, and the CEO of Exit 3D Studio. After building her own business and sitting on the buyer's side, she now helps B service founders build businesses that are transferable and buyer ready. And in just a minute, we're going to speak with Muriel Touati about how to close the four structural gaps that silently kill valuation.    https://www.exit3dstudio.com/  

If you've been struggling to help your dog rest or relax, despite following protocols and trying your dangest, it's time to zoom out and look at the environment. This week, Emily and Veronica dig into the three common ways the environment gets in the way, and why the classroom we're teaching in matters just as much as what we're teaching. TLDL (too long, didn't listen): 3 Key Takeaways 1️⃣ Environment is the classroom – Predictability, safe space, and routine are what make relaxation possible in the first place. 2️⃣ Your dog's body is part of their environment – Pain, allergies, and temperature sensitivity all affect their capacity to relax. 3️⃣ One thing at a time – Don't overhaul everything at once.For the full episode show notes, including the resources mentioned in this episode, go here.Amazon Affiliate StorefrontFind products we recommend at the Pet Harmony Amazon Storefront.As an Amazon Associate, Pet Harmony earns from qualifying purchases.More from Pet HarmonyPet Parents: enrichment ideas and practical behavior tips

What if defiance is really dysregulation? In this episode I sit down with Alyssa Blask Campbell — New York Times bestselling author of Tiny Humans, Big Emotions, founder of Seed & Sow, and co-creator of the Collaborative Emotion Processing method — to talk about emotional intelligence, unique nervous systems, and why the behavior we find hardest is so often a child asking for support. When we see challenging behavior, we're usually looking at a nervous system that needs support — not a child who needs fixing. Alyssa breaks down the five components of emotional intelligence — self-awareness, self-regulation, empathy, motivation, and social skills — and why every one of us develops them differently. She shares a fresh way to understand empathy, a powerful reframe around the word "autistic" and our own implicit biases, and why so much of supporting a dysregulated child starts with regulating ourselves first. We also get into her flagship free tool, the regulation questionnaire built alongside OTs, and the sensory shift that's helping schools cut behavior support calls by 60 percent — not by adding more tools, but by matching the right tool to the child in front of you. We'll talk about: the five components of emotional intelligence, and why we each develop them differently why regulation is never one-size-fits-all a fresh way to understand empathy: believing a feeling is true for the child the Collaborative Emotion Processing method, and why most of it is about us how implicit bias shapes the way we respond to an autism diagnosis the free regulation questionnaire, and the sensory shift that cut behavior calls by 60% In This Episode, You'll Learn The five components of emotional intelligence: self-awareness, self-regulation, empathy, motivation, and social skills Why "the volcano" is such a powerful way to teach kids self-awareness Why regulation strategies have to match a child's unique nervous system A new definition of empathy — connecting over what a child feels, not why How implicit biases quietly shape what we expect of an autistic child Why supporting kids well starts with regulating ourselves first The difference between sensory-seeking and sensory-sensitive needs, and why the right tool matters How a free regulation questionnaire helps match the right support to the right child Why predictable routines are regulating and build a child's autonomy Key Takeaways Challenging behavior is often a dysregulated nervous system asking for support Every human has a unique nervous system — regulation is not one-size-fits-all We each develop the five components of emotional intelligence differently Empathy means believing a child's feeling is true, no matter the reason behind it The work starts with the adult: our self-awareness, our biases, our self-care The right sensory tool beats more tools — match the tool to the child Meeting sensory needs for everyone can dramatically reduce behavior support calls Predictability regulates the nervous system and supports autonomy Your reactivity isn't failure; it's dysregulation — and there's a path forward Try This Name the "volcano" with a child to build self-awareness before the explosion Ask what truly calms this nervous system instead of defaulting to deep breaths Practice empathy by believing the feeling, without judging the reason for it Notice the story or bias behind your own reaction to a behavior Map your own nervous system: what recharges you, and what drains you Offer a sensory tool to any child who needs it, not just to one labeled child Build in predictable routines and transition objects to ease the day Regulate yourself first, then return to the child with more capacity Related Resources & Links  Seed & Sow — free Regulation Questionnaire Tiny Humans, Big Emotions by Alyssa Blask Campbell Big Kids, Bigger Feelings by Alyssa Blask Campbell Preschool Autism Summit (July 2026) We all have a unique nervous system, and none of us regulate the same way. When we stop trying to manage behavior and start getting curious about the human in front of us — what's dysregulating, what's regulating, what support would actually help — everything softens. Behavior becomes communication, and our job becomes connection. That's good for our autistic learners, and it turns out it's good for every child in the room.

This conversation examines how today's advanced digital technologies — edge sensors, mobile devices, guided workflows, and AI-driven analytics — are improving frontline execution in oil & gas refining and downstream operations. The industrial sector needs a worker-first approach that empowers frontline teams with intuitive, consumer-grade apps that help them perform tasks more safely and efficiently.For emission monitoring, end users are looking for technologies that can instantly pinpoint leak sources and replace manual, scheduled inspections with real‑time, anomaly-triggered notifications delivered directly to mobile devices. The discussion also covers outcomes such as:•safer work execution•faster decisions with better context•reduced unplanned downtime•stronger operational predictability Panelists-Inderpreet Shoker, ARC Advisory GroupAdrian Araiza, CitgoKrishna Uppuluri, mPACT2WO/MolexWould you like to be a guest on our growing podcast?Do you have an intriguing or thought provoking topic you'd like to discuss on our podcast? Please contact Our Producer Tom Cabot TCabot@Arcweb.comView all the episodes here: https://thedigitaltransformationpodcast.buzzsprout.com

Welcome to the show! Today we're talking about something that's becoming increasingly important in workers' compensation medicine and claims management. What actually happens when a clinic embeds RateFast into its workflow — especially in relation to Third Party Administrators, or TPAs?The future isn't replacing physicians. The future is augmenting clinical communication and improving clarity between stakeholders. When the medical side, claims side, and employer side all operate from more structured information, the entire ecosystem becomes healthier.And ultimately the injured worker benefits too.Embedding RateFast into a clinic workflow doesn't just improve reporting. It fundamentally changes the relationship between clinics, TPAs, employers, and the entire claims ecosystem.It creates structure. Predictability. Transparency. And collaborative decision-making. And as workers' compensation continues evolving, those systems will become increasingly important.

Welcome to another episode of The AZREIA Show! In this episode, Michael Del Prete, Executive Director of AZREIA, breaks down the latest trends shaping the Arizona real estate market and explains why today's conditions may offer one of the most predictable investing environments in recent years. Rather than focusing on sensational headlines about market crashes or housing booms, Mike analyzes the data behind median home prices, inventory levels, inflation, and buyer activity to help investors understand what is really happening across Phoenix and the broader Arizona market. Mike explores how increased housing inventory is creating stronger negotiating opportunities for buyers, why stable pricing can benefit long-term investors, and how rental market shifts are influencing cash flow and tenant retention strategies. He also discusses the current state of foreclosures, short sales, Subject-To investing, and seller financing, explaining where today's opportunities exist and why disciplined underwriting remains more important than ever. Whether you're a new investor looking for your first deal or an experienced investor refining your strategy, this episode delivers actionable market insights to help you make informed decisions with confidence. Mike also shares updates on upcoming AZREIA networking events, including the July All-Chapters Meeting and Investor Lounge Tour, highlighting opportunities to connect with Arizona's real estate investing community while staying ahead of an evolving market. 01:25 – The Truth About the Phoenix Market (Hype vs. Predictability) 02:25 – Arizona Median Home Prices & Inflation Adjustments 04:50 – Inventory Check: 3.3 Months of Supply & Buyer Options 05:28 – How to Use Your New Negotiation Leverage 07:52 – Phoenix Rent Trends & Avoiding Costly Tenant Turnover 11:10 – The Reality of Foreclosures, Short Sales, and Sub-2 Deals 18:35 – Upcoming AZREIA Events: July All-Chapters Meeting & Lounge Tours -- Contact Alden of Silver Crest Opportunity Fund at http://silvercrestopportunityfund.com "AZREIA does not endorse specific investments. Please do your own due diligence." Want to grow your real estate business?

Welcome back to ADHD-ish! I'm Diann Wingert, and in this episode, we're addressing a question that many business owners with ADHD hesitate to ask themselves: Do you actually like the work that brings you your most reliable income?Not just the money, but the day-to-day tasks, the routine, and the clients you serve month after month. Understanding neurodiversity means recognizing that what works for neurotypical business owners—predictable recurring revenue models—may actively sabotage your success.Because so many of them hate to admit they don't, I'm breaking down what I call the “recurring revenue trap”—the idea that true business maturity comes from stacking retainers, running memberships, or launching evergreen offers for that coveted, predictable income.This myth is especially damaging for those of us navigating neurodiversity in business. But what happens when your ADHD brain, which craves novelty, challenge, and variety, clashes with the sameness and repetition these models demand?If you've ever found yourself bored, resentful, or white-knuckling through work that “should” feel like a win, the problem isn't you—it's a structural mismatch between how neurodiversity is wired and traditional business models.3 key takeaways for ADHD business owners:Predictability vs. Novelty: Recurring revenue models (like retainers and memberships) are built for brains that thrive on sameness and routine—not the dopamine-hungry ADHD brain, which craves novelty, challenge, and change. Understanding neurodiversity means designing around these realities, not fighting them.Structural Not Personal: Burning out on reliable income streams isn't a failure—it's a sign of structural mismatch. ADHD brains are wired to lose motivation with repetitive, predictable work. This is where value based pricing strategy becomes essential—charging for outcomes and transformation, not time.Design for Your Brain: You DON'T have to quit recurring revenue altogether. Instead, intentionally build novelty into your recurring offers—limited run cohorts, rotating scopes, themed “seasons,” and planned refreshes let you keep both financial stability and creative energy. A flexible retainer model can honor both your needs and your neurodiversity.6 Dopamine-rich alternatives to boring recurring revenue models:Limited-run cohorts: Short sprints, not never-ending slogsRetainers with rotating scope: New focus each quarter keeps it freshMemberships by season/theme: Built-in breaks & changing contentQuarterly intensives: Ditch the monthly grind; go deep, then restPlanned sunsets: Don't beat dead offers—set a clear end date!Built-in refreshes: Schedule reinventions before boredom strikesThe offer you're white-knuckling today is NOT the offer that'll get you to the next level. Try, tweak, or sunset—but make it on YOUR terms. Mentioned during this episode:Episode #238_Creative Sprint Days: One Entrepreneur's Solution for an ADHD-Friendly Business, with Evan Sargent Other episodes in the series:Ep #315: How Successful ADHD Entrepreneurs Trigger Hyperfocus on DemandEp #317: Time Blindness is a Pricing Problem, Not Just a Productivity ProblemYour ADHD-ish ™ host, Diann Wingert Diann Wingert is a business strategist, coach, serial entrepreneur, former psychotherapist, and passionate thought leader at the intersection of ADHD and entrepreneurship. In addition to hosting the ADHD-ish ™ podcast, Diann is the creator of The ADHD-ish ™ Method, a practicing Buddhist, dog mom, and relentlessly curious human.Want help to reimagine business with your ADHD traits in mind? Schedule a free consultation to explore 1:1 ADHD entrepreneur coaching with ADHD business strategist and coach, serial business owner, and former licensed psychotherapist, Diann Wingert.For more ADHD-informed business strategies, follow ADHD-ish for the rest of the Reframing Your ADHD Traits as Business Strategies, as well as inspiring guest interviews and real client success stories! Subscribe/Follow ADHD-ish on Apple or Spotify© 2026 ADHD-ish™ Podcast. Intro music by Ishan Dincer / Melody Loops / Outro music by Vladimir / Bobi Music / All rights reserved.

Welcome back to ADHD-ish! I'm Diann Wingert, and in this episode, we're addressing a question that many business owners with ADHD hesitate to ask themselves: Do you actually like the work that brings you your most reliable income?Not just the money, but the day-to-day tasks, the routine, and the clients you serve month after month. Understanding neurodiversity means recognizing that what works for neurotypical business owners—predictable recurring revenue models—may actively sabotage your success.Because so many of them hate to admit they don't, I'm breaking down what I call the “recurring revenue trap”—the idea that true business maturity comes from stacking retainers, running memberships, or launching evergreen offers for that coveted, predictable income.This myth is especially damaging for those of us navigating neurodiversity in business. But what happens when your ADHD brain, which craves novelty, challenge, and variety, clashes with the sameness and repetition these models demand?If you've ever found yourself bored, resentful, or white-knuckling through work that “should” feel like a win, the problem isn't you—it's a structural mismatch between how neurodiversity is wired and traditional business models.3 key takeaways for ADHD business owners:Predictability vs. Novelty: Recurring revenue models (like retainers and memberships) are built for brains that thrive on sameness and routine—not the dopamine-hungry ADHD brain, which craves novelty, challenge, and change. Understanding neurodiversity means designing around these realities, not fighting them.Structural Not Personal: Burning out on reliable income streams isn't a failure—it's a sign of structural mismatch. ADHD brains are wired to lose motivation with repetitive, predictable work. This is where value based pricing strategy becomes essential—charging for outcomes and transformation, not time.Design for Your Brain: You DON'T have to quit recurring revenue altogether. Instead, intentionally build novelty into your recurring offers—limited run cohorts, rotating scopes, themed “seasons,” and planned refreshes let you keep both financial stability and creative energy. A flexible retainer model can honor both your needs and your neurodiversity.6 Dopamine-rich alternatives to boring recurring revenue models:Limited-run cohorts: Short sprints, not never-ending slogsRetainers with rotating scope: New focus each quarter keeps it freshMemberships by season/theme: Built-in breaks & changing contentQuarterly intensives: Ditch the monthly grind; go deep, then restPlanned sunsets: Don't beat dead offers—set a clear end date!Built-in refreshes: Schedule reinventions before boredom strikesThe offer you're white-knuckling today is NOT the offer that'll get you to the next level. Try, tweak, or sunset—but make it on YOUR terms. Mentioned during this episode:Episode #238_Creative Sprint Days: One Entrepreneur's Solution for an ADHD-Friendly Business, with Evan Sargent Other episodes in the series:Ep #315: How Successful ADHD Entrepreneurs Trigger Hyperfocus on DemandEp #317: Time Blindness is a Pricing Problem, Not Just a Productivity ProblemYour ADHD-ish ™ host, Diann Wingert Diann Wingert is a business strategist, coach, serial entrepreneur, former psychotherapist, and passionate thought leader at the intersection of ADHD and entrepreneurship. In addition to hosting the ADHD-ish ™ podcast, Diann is the creator of The ADHD-ish ™ Method, a practicing Buddhist, dog mom, and relentlessly curious human.Want help to reimagine business with your ADHD traits in mind? Schedule a free consultation to explore 1:1 ADHD entrepreneur coaching with ADHD business strategist and coach, serial business owner, and former licensed psychotherapist, Diann Wingert.For more ADHD-informed business strategies, follow ADHD-ish for the rest of the Reframing Your ADHD Traits as Business Strategies, as well as inspiring guest interviews and real client success stories! Subscribe/Follow ADHD-ish on Apple or Spotify© 2026 ADHD-ish™ Podcast. Intro music by Ishan Dincer / Melody Loops / Outro music by Vladimir / Bobi Music / All rights reserved.

--{ "Dominant Minority and Passive Majority vs Sentient Minority"}-- Detaching from the mainstream and the alternative - The choices we make - Casualties in a long war - Alan Greenspan - Anna Paulina Luna and interdimensional beings - Political routines, promises and "Something for Nothing" - Free flu shots - Differing scripts for each age group - John Edwards speech - MANDATORY Health Care - "Preventative" and "Mental Health" Care - Psychological evaluations - Cradle to Grave - (Permanent) Income Tax - "Temporary" War Tax of Britain - Loopholes for elite - Lawyers-Liars - The "New Freedom" - Good Reasons and Real Reasons - Schmucks - National DNA databases - Criminal, medical blood samples - Information collection, Law enforcement - Predictability for "safety" - Airport biometric scanning - Cashless society, system of punishment and reward - "Total Quality Management" - Problem of elite AND vast majority of population (Land of the Dead) - Democracy to force minority to conform - Governance, Government - Good slaves. Groups and organizations - Conformity, sameness, gregariousness - Intolerance of individualism - Animating force of Spirit. Creatures of instinct (earth bound) - Compassion is a survival mechanism - Global government; Scientific dictatorship under "Benevolence" - Mindset of passive compliance, content to be happy slaves - Mind Control for the Masses. Article: "Judge Wants Everyone in U.K. on DNA Database" by James Orr, Sept. 5, 2007 Guardian Unlimited)

In today's Ask Abundance, I'm joined by Rebecca Smith, Limitless Practice grad, now on Team Abundance, premium-fee private pay practice in New Orleans. We're talking about leaving a "secure" job (pension, health insurance, predictable salary) to start a private practice when everyone around you thinks you've lost your mind.   Spoiler: you probably haven't. You've probably already made the decision. We get into why safety is more of a feeling than a fact, what you actually need to make this work in 2026, & why the people calling you crazy might just be bad psychics.   Sponsored by TherapyNotes®: Looking to switch EHRs? Try TherapyNotes® for 2 months free by using promo code ABUNDANT at therapynotes.com.   Links You'll Love: You've known for a while that the platforms aren't working for you. Platform to Private Pay is a 12-week group program that walks you through the transition, without abandoning your clients or tanking your income while you figure it out. Doors open June 29. Join the waitlist: www.abundancepracticebuilding.com/platform Need help building & filling your practice? Check out the Abundance Party (only $345!): https://www.abundancepracticebuilding.com/party  Grab the free worksheet mentioned in today's episode at www.abundancepracticebuilding.com/worksheet_opt.

Why is it that an ephemeral arrangement of sounds can move us to tears, while the exact same sequence might sound like chaotic noise to someone from another culture?Reader in Cognitive Science at Queen Mary University of London and Honorary Professor of Neuroscience at Aarhus University, Dr. Marcus Pearce joins host PJ Wehry to discuss the overlooked significance of our brain's probabilistic predictions.Dr. Pearce explores the computational mysteries of how we process sound in his book, Learning to Listen, Listening to Learn: Music Perception and the Psychology of Enculturation. They examine how our pleasure in music stems from an ingrained psychological drive to predict the future, and how understanding this can help us map out cultural evolution.In this conversation they explore:How our brains act as statistical prediction machines, constantly building internal models to anticipate the next note for an evolutionary survival advantage.The surprising realization that the perception of consonance and dissonance is not biologically universal, as shown by differing reactions in cultures like the Chimane of Bolivia.Why the pleasure we derive from music relies on an "inverted U-shaped" relationship, where a balance between predictable patterns and complex surprises maximizes our enjoyment.The use of interpretable probabilistic AI models, rather than "black box" neural networks, to better understand how a listener's perception matures within a musical tradition.How music acts as a safe training ground for humans to vicariously experience complex emotional states and hone cognitive processes without real-world risk.The role of cultural evolution in music, explaining why groundbreaking, highly complex composers like Stravinsky were initially rejected by audiences before eventually becoming standard repertoire.This is a conversation for anyone interested in cognitive science, evolutionary psychology, and musicology who wants to understand the biological weight behind our favorite songs and how we process the beautifully complex structures of human sound.Make sure to check out Dr. Pearce's book: Learning to Listen, Listening to Learn: Music Perception and the Psychology of Enculturation

Today we're slowly walking through the calling of Matthew. Jesus saw Matthew at the tax collector's booth; we have to understand some of tax collector culture to grasp why Matthew would have had a negative reputation amongst his people. He's basically an IRS agent working in collaboration with the Roman empire to extort money from his own people. So yeah, he wasn't liked. Yet Jesus calls him anyway. What did Jesus see in him? What did Jesus recognize that he hadn't yet recognized about himself? Jesus is always doing stuff like this because apparently, this is how grace works. Grace sees something in people before it fully exists. Grace recognizes the person you can become before you can see the person you can become. So let's talk about the booth, which is more than just a piece of furniture. What does it represent? Safety. Security. Predictability. Identity. And yet, he leaves it behind. Why? Who knows? But the call of Jesus into something new was stronger than the comfort he's known in his booth. We all have booths. Some of us are sitting in them now. The booth of bitterness. Of cynicism. Of Certainty. Of other peoples' expectations of us. Of our past wounds or failures. All kinds of booths. Here's the thing about booths: they can become so familiar that they begin to feel like home. Even when they shrink our souls and keep us from becoming the person we were made to be. Jesus says, "Follow me, I've got something better in store for you." Then the story gets interesting. He's at Matthew's home eating with tax collectors and sinners. This makes the religious people nervous. Who you eat with reveals who your people are. And Jesus keeps surprising people with who he eats with. He doesn't just preach grace, he practices it. Makes it visible. So the religious people question him. In response, he says, "It isn't the healthy who need a doctor, but the sick." Here's what's funny. No one questions a doctor for spending time in the hospital. Jesus being with these people doesn't mean he's a failure as a rabbi, it shows his purpose. Then he says the thing about God desiring mercy, not sacrifice. He's saying that when religion gets disconnected from compassion, it loses its heart. It stops looking like and revealing God. Then he says the thing about calling not the righteous, but the sinners. What's the difference between righteous people and sinners? The sinners know they're in need of healing. The righteous KNOW they DON'T need healing, which, of course, is the thing that makes them sick. This is an invitation to move toward transformation. The righteous don't want transformation because they don't think they need it. But the sick...they notice that Matthew doesn't stay in his booth. He leaves it behind and is transformed. Then he eventually writes it down. He's transformed and helps the generations that follow find healing, too. He becomes a witness. Because that's what grace does. Speaker: Aaron Vis Scripture: Matthew 9:9-13 http://bible.com/events/49620456

Economist Joachim Klement originally just wanted to show how absurd it is to predict soccer World Cup winners using statistical models. But then he was right three times in a row with his world champion prediction. In an interview, he explains how economic data and probabilities flow into his analyses, why soccer is still never completely predictable and why luck often remains just as important as any statistics. - Eigentlich wollte der Ökonom Joachim Klement nur zeigen, wie absurd es ist, Fußball-Weltmeisterschaften mit statistischen Modellen vorherzusagen. Doch dann lag er mit seiner Weltmeisterprognose dreimal in Folge richtig. Im Gespräch erklärt er, wie Wirtschaftsdaten und Wahrscheinlichkeiten in seine Analysen einfließen, warum Fußball trotzdem nie vollständig berechenbar ist und weshalb Glück oft genauso wichtig bleibt wie jede Statistik.

A lot of investors have written off bonds after 2022. In this episode, Paddy Delaney explains why that conclusion is based on a misreading of how bonds work — and what the historical data actually shows. The 10-year US Treasury yield went from under 6% to over 11% during the 1970s. Bonds still returned 5.4% per year. The worst single year was a loss of less than 1%. If bonds survived that rate environment, what does it mean for the environment we are in today? In this episode: - How bond returns are calculated (starting yield and duration) - Why rising interest rates improve your future bond returns, not reduce them - What the 1970s data shows, using Damodaran historical records - What this means practically for anyone with bonds in an ARF or occupational pension - A short note on lifestyling: being moved into bonds automatically is very different from choosing to hold them This episode is relevant if you are approaching retirement, already in retirement, or reviewing an ARF or pension that includes a bond allocation. If you would like to talk through your own situation, book a Clarity Call at www.informeddecisions.ie Full blog post: www.informeddecisions.ie/post/bonds-arf-retirement-ireland  • All Informed Decisions podcast episodes: www.informeddecisions.ie/podcast/   ABOUT THE SHOW The Informed Decisions podcast is hosted by Paddy Delaney QFA RPA APA — independent, fee-only retirement planner in Ireland. The podcast and the blog at informeddecisions.ie are educational resources for Irish professionals, business owners, and high-net-worth individuals navigating retirement, tax efficiency, and investment strategy. Find Paddy at www.informeddecisions.ie   TIMESTAMPS 00:00 Introduction to Bonds and Market Perceptions 02:43 Understanding Bonds: Their Role and Functionality 05:20 The Impact of Interest Rates on Bond Investments 08:20 Predictability of Bond Returns and Historical Context 11:11 The Mechanics of Bond Funds and Their Advantages 14:01 Current Bond Market Landscape and Future Outlook 17:03 Strategic Considerations for Investors and Pension Holders 19:46 Common Misconceptions and Mistakes in Bond Investing 22:25 Key Takeaways and Final Thoughts   DISCLAIMER This podcast is for general educational purposes only. It does not constitute personalised financial advice. Figures and rules referenced reflect the position as at May 2026 and are subject to change. Always speak to a qualified, independent financial advisor about your specific situation.

A venture capitalist walks into a bar."I'll have what everyone else is having."Patrick told that joke about his own profession on this week's Bricks, Bucks & Bytes, and it set up the sharpest exchange of the episode: venture stopped backing hard problems and started buying momentum.We're joined by Alain Waha, CTO of Buro Happold, and Richard Fifita, CEO of Veyor, fresh off a $7.5M Series A, alongside Dustin DeVan.What we get into:→ Autodesk's $3.6 billion all cash acquisition of MaintainX, and why Dustin, who watched this strategy take shape from inside Autodesk, says it all leads back to the digital twin→ "Knowledge arbitrage": Alain's framework for what stays defensible when knowledge becomes computable→ Why construction robotics needs systems integrators more than it needs humanoids→ How Veyor went from backed up concrete trucks to managing deliveries at JFK, SFO and major data center projectsFull episode is live now on YouTube and Spotify.#bricksandbytes #bricksbytes #bricksbucksandbytes #aec #construction #constructiontech #ai #vcOur Sponsors:BreadCrumb- 50,000+ projects globally. All running safer, faster, with Breadcrumb. - breadcrumb.coAphex is the multiplayer planning platform where construction teams plan together, stay aligned, and deliver projects faster – check out aphex.coArchdesk - “The #1 Construction Management Software for Growing Companies - Manage your projects from Tender to Handover” check archdesk.comChapters00:00 Intro00:30 Introduction and Technical Challenges03:21 Live Streaming and Event Experiences06:13 Autodesk's Acquisition of MaintainX11:50 Data Ownership and Predictability in Construction16:23 Knowledge Arbitrage in Engineering and Robotics20:00 Exploring Knowledge Arbitrage in Robotics22:06 The Role of Systems Integration in Construction Robotics22:54 Challenges in Robotics for Construction Trades24:16 Collaborative Robots: The Future of Construction25:59 The Disconnect Between Innovation and AI in Construction27:30 Testing Software vs. Materials in Construction27:45 The Reluctance to Experiment in Construction Tech29:52 Capital Efficiency and Technology Adoption in Construction32:49 The Venture Capital Landscape and Its Challenges36:33 The Future of Venture Capital in Technology44:46 Innovative Event Planning in Construction Technology47:26 Branding and Customer Perception in Construction48:11 Disruption in Construction: Insights from Automotive Industry51:09 Bouygues' Innovation Lab: A New Era for Construction51:53 Introducing Richard: Veyor's Journey and Innovations56:59 Streamlining Material Management in Construction01:01:58 Challenges in Construction Scheduling and Delivery01:05:36 The Aussie Tech Scene in Austin, Texas

"Feel the rhythm, Feel the rhyme! Get on up, it's bobsled time!"Remember that iconic line from Cool Runnings? It turns out the Jamaican bobsled team knew a thing or two about metabolic health.In a bobsled, if the team isn't moving in a predictable, perfect rhythm, the sled crashes. Your body operates the exact same way. When we throw the extremes and rollercoaster habits at our body, we create total chaos. In this episode, we are unpacking why Predictability > Chaos, how to stop treating your body like the enemy, and how to get your own "bobsled" running smoothly again.Resource: Katy SaltsmanWe are so grateful for your support! Please share this podcast with someone who needs it and leave us review: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/positive-on-purpose/id1531548022

In this episode of The Core Report Special Edition, Financial Journalist Govindraj Ethiraj speaks with Rishi Agrawal of TeamLease Regtech and Dr Rajeswari Sengupta on why the Indian rupee is under pressure, why foreign investors are pulling money out, and why India's business rules still make growth harder than it should be.Dr. Rajeswari Sengupta, Associate Professor of Economics, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, explains the macroeconomic stress behind the rupee fall, energy shock, oil price pressure, current account deficit, foreign capital outflows, AI shock and India's weakening appeal for global investors. She also explains why price adjustment, currency depreciation and policy certainty may matter more than short term defence of the rupee.Rishi Agrawal, CEO and Co Founder of TeamLease RegTech, explains the bottom up challenge facing Indian businesses. From red tape and compliance burden to labour law reform, Jan Vishwas, decriminalisation, digitisation and the need for a UPI moment for business compliance, he breaks down what must change to make India more attractive for entrepreneurs, MSMEs, manufacturers and foreign investors.CHAPTERS:(00:00) Introduction(02:33) Why the Rupee Was Weak Before the West Asia Crisis(07:22) The Three Shocks Facing India: Iran, AI, and China Plus One(09:20) Why India Needs Price Adjustment, Not Suppression(10:03) The Regulatory Architecture Holding Businesses Back(11:50) Decriminalisation, Jan Vishwas, and the Shift From Fear to Trust(15:04) What Still Makes India Attractive for Investors(17:00) Why the Current Account Deficit Has Become a Bigger Worry(21:23) When Policy Response Starts Looking Like Panic(23:23) The Ground Reality for MSMEs and Manufacturers(26:00) Why India Needs a UPI Moment for Compliance(28:00) What Labour Law Reform Could Change for Businesses(29:53) When Will Regulatory Reform Show Economic Results?(31:07) Why India Still Needs Policy Certainty and Predictability(33:00) The Case for Recalibrating India's Growth AmbitionsFor more of our coverage check out ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠thecore.in⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe to our Newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow us on:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ |⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Linkedin⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠Youtube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Michael I. Jordan, described by Science magazine as the most influential computer scientist alive, has never thought of himself as an AI researcher. In this conversation he explains why that distinction matters.SPONSOR:---Cyber Fund built the Monastery to help founders ship products that were impossible a year ago. Applications for Batch 1 are now open.Apply now: https://cyber.fund---Jordan trained as a statistician and cognitive scientist, and his career has been spent building machine learning systems that work in the real world: supply chains, commerce, healthcare, and large economic systems. When the field rebranded itself as AI and then AGI, he did not follow. Instead he argues that the framing is wrong. AI is better understood as a collective economic system than as a race to build a disembodied superintelligence.We talk about why AGI is mostly a PR term, what machine learning achieved before the LLM hype cycle, and why the assistant-on-your-shoulder vision may be less compelling than it sounds. Jordan explains why explanations need to be actionable, not merely mechanistic; why AlphaFold's missing error bars matter; how prediction-powered inference changes the picture; and why drug discovery is an incentive-design problem rather than a pure pattern-matching problem.ERRATA: Science magazine ranked him the most influential computer scientist, not Nature---TIMESTAMPS:00:00:00 Cold open: A demoralizing message to young builders00:02:04 CyberFund sponsor read00:02:50 From symbolic AI to machine learning systems00:05:42 Why AGI is mostly a PR term00:08:48 A collectivist, economic perspective on AI00:11:33 Why LLMs need system design, not hype00:14:50 Predictability beats faux understanding00:17:55 AlphaFold, bias, and prediction-powered inference00:21:48 Stop anthropomorphizing intelligence00:27:44 Drug discovery as an incentive problem00:32:29 The three-layer data market00:38:07 Social knowledge, markets, and culture00:45:39 Creator economics beyond Spotify00:48:30 How science-fiction AI narratives mislead young builders00:51:45 AI should improve humans, not replace them00:56:42 Safety is a property of the whole system00:58:12 Silicon Valley gurus and the cream off the top01:00:47 Game theory, mechanism design, and contracts01:04:39 Conformal prediction, e-values, and anytime inference01:08:11 A new liberal arts triangle for the AI era01:11:30 The Bayesian duck and markets as uncertainty reductionReScript (transcript, PDF, refs etc) - https://app.rescript.info/public/share/fb68f94af29d3745c6cf6125e01328b5---REFERENCES:person:[00:02:50] Michael I. Jordan (homepage)https://people.eecs.berkeley.edu/~jordan/paper:[00:06:01] A Collectivist, Economic Perspective on AIhttps://arxiv.org/abs/2507.06268[00:18:09] AlphaFoldhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03819-2[00:20:36] Prediction-Powered Inferencehttps://arxiv.org/abs/2301.09633[00:33:47] On Three-Layer Data Marketshttps://arxiv.org/abs/2402.09697[01:04:39] Conformal Prediction with Conditional Guaranteeshttps://arxiv.org/abs/2107.07511[01:04:51] A Tutorial on Conformal Predictionhttps://www.jmlr.org/papers/v9/shafer08a.html[01:06:00] E-Values Expand the Scope of Conformal Predictionhttps://arxiv.org/abs/2503.13050[01:08:23] Computational Thinkinghttps://www.cs.cmu.edu/~CompThink/papers/Wing06.pdfother:[00:28:20] How Should the FDA Test?https://rdi.berkeley.edu/events/sbc-assets/pdfs/Summit%20session%20speaker%20slides%20submission%20form-s1-5%20%28File%20responses%29/Slides%20in%20PDF%20%28Please%20name%20the%20submitted%20file%20as%20_firstname_-_lastname_-slides.pdf%29.%20%28File%20responses%29/27-Michael%20Jordan-Session%20V.pdf#page=15[00:28:40] Michael I. Jordan Session V Slides

Burnie and Ashley discuss The Boys ending, but first: cave diving accidents, looking to the helpers, Immersion Shark Week, the predicability paradox, and our most memorable narrative endings.

 The Power of a Reset: How & Why to Start a New Routine Sometimes life doesn't completely fall apart… it just slowly drifts out of alignment. Your schedule feels chaotic. Your energy is low. You feel reactive instead of intentional. You stop feeling like yourself. In this episode, we talk about the power of routines, why so many people eventually need a reset, and how small daily habits can completely change the direction of your life. Recorded from our brand-new studio inside the MarketBeat Media Center, this conversation dives into the connection between structure, stress, fitness, marriage, and everyday life. What We Cover in This Episode Why Routines Matter More Than People Realize Most people hear the word "routine" and immediately think restriction. But routines actually create freedom. We discuss how routines: Reduce stress and decision fatigue Build momentum when motivation disappears Shape identity and self-confidence Improve energy, sleep, fitness, parenting, marriage, and mental health Your life is usually a reflection of your daily habits. Signs You Need a Reset Sometimes people don't realize they need a reset until they feel completely burnt out. We talk through common signs like: Waking up stressed Constantly feeling behind Scrolling more than living Poor sleep Feeling disconnected from your spouse Neglecting fitness and self-care Living in constant chaos Over time, chaos can start to feel normal — even when it's unhealthy. How to Start a New Routine (Without Overhauling Your Entire Life) One of the biggest mistakes people make is trying to change everything at once. Instead, we break down a simple framework: Start With One Area Focus on the biggest pain point first: Mornings Workouts Nutrition Bedtime Productivity Family organization Create Small Wins Simple habits repeated consistently: Drink water first thing Take a 10-minute walk Stretch before bed Prep meals Read instead of scrolling Schedule Your Priorities If something matters, it needs a place on the calendar. Remove Friction Make healthy habits easier: Lay out clothes Prep lunches Schedule workouts Clean up the kitchen at night Expect Imperfection Missing one day isn't failure. Quitting completely is. Fitness & Routine Go Hand-in-Hand We also talk about why fitness is often the habit that changes everything else. Movement improves: Mood Sleep Patience Confidence Energy Stress regulation And people often overcomplicate it. The simple fitness reset: Walk daily Lift weights 3x/week Stretch Eat protein Sleep earlier Stay consistent You don't need extreme. You need sustainable. How Routines Impact Marriage & Family Routines don't just change individuals — they change households. We discuss how: Predictability creates peace Couples communicate better with structure Kids thrive with consistency Healthy habits become contagious When the home feels calmer, everyone feels calmer. Final Takeaway You do not need to reinvent your entire life tomorrow. You just need to start. One better morning. One workout. One walk. One earlier bedtime. Small routines repeated consistently can completely transform your life — not because routines make life perfect, but because they create stability in a chaotic world. And sometimes a reset isn't about becoming someone new. It's about returning to the person you know you can be

Well, hey there. Welcome back. Do you like music? The Hidden Magic of Good Music It’s a silly question because everyone likes some form of music and sometimes when someone asks you, “What’s your favorite kind of music?” sometimes that’s really hard to answer. I recently went down yet another rabbit hole which I want to share with you. I wanted to know why certain songs and certain sounds made you feel genuine feelings. When I was writing the sword and the sunflower, I stumbled on a number of different pieces of music and one of them became the theme song for the heroine. So it came down to this question. What makes a song likable? What makes a good song a good song? What makes a song stick in your head? And as it turns out, it’s predictability. No, it can’t be that. That’s boring. No, not boring. Predictable. Why Predictability Drives Great Storytelling Let’s switch gears to storytelling. What makes a good story a good story? Is it the subject matter? And I’m going to talk specifically about fiction here. Is it the subject matter? Is it the way it’s told? Is it uh-oh? It’s predictability. And again, you’re going to say, “No, I don’t want to read a predictable fiction story. Do I?” And there’s a part of your brain that’s going, “Well, wait, wait, wait, wait, hold on, hold on. Let’s switch back to the music. If something is too predictable, then it’s boring. We get the pattern and we’re done. We are pattern matching creatures. We sense patterns and things and we typically act on them. Sometimes we have other programs running in our brain that cause us to ignore a pattern and sometimes we get burned for ignoring that pattern. If you’re jumping rope or running, riding a skateboard, boxing, and countless other physical activities, there’s all a pattern that’s occurring. a pattern you are recognizing. And the more you can recognize this pattern, the more you can act on it and feel comfortable with it. The Balance Between Pattern and Chaos But obviously running for 10 or 20 minutes left, right, left, right, left, right, can’t possibly be the same as listening to music, right? But it is. When you listen to a song and you can predict what’s about to happen next, it gives you a certain level of comfort of security. you say, “Yeah, that’s how the beat is going in this song.” But then when it does something slightly different that still makes sense, that gives us excitement. If it just did the same beat over and over again, droning on and on for 5 minutes, yes, it would be very boring. But when it takes some liberties, when it gets a little creative, and still maintains the pattern, that’s when it’s fun. Too much predictability and it’s boring. Too much chaos and it’s simply chaos. You think it’s not worth your time. Well, this is just a bunch of random stuff. I don’t want to listen to this. This story goes all over the map. The characters do not respond the way that characters should respond. The author was crazy. The story is way too predictable. I knew exactly what’s go what was going to happen from the very beginning. It was I was just plotting through and just going through the motions. Those are the extremes that keep us from enjoying those forms of media. Breaking the Pattern: Muscle and Diet Confusion And even exercise is that way. You get fatigued with it. In fact, there’s a concept called muscle confusion that sort of counteracts what happens when you do the same thing over and over again. If you just run in a circle over and over again, your body goes, “Oh, wait. I’m getting this. I know what to do. This is easier now. I’m not getting anything out of it.” So, you have to break it up. So you have to have muscle confusion in the 4-hour body. Tim Ferrris talks about a sort of diet confusion in which you confuse your metabolism by not eating exactly the same things. Once a week you eat something crazy. You eat all the stuff that you were craving and it messes your system up to the point where your system goes, “Wait, I’m not going to adapt to this anymore. I’m not going to suddenly reduce my metabolism because I know what you’re going to eat.” The Anticipation of the “Drop” But I know, I know you’re still thinking about the music, right? You’re still thinking, “No, I don’t like songs because they’re predictable.” But this is what makes them catchy because your brain says, “Yeah, it does that stuff I want. It does that stuff in the order that kind of makes sense in a really cool way.” I mean, we’re not just talking about a repeatable pattern of one, two. It could be 1 2 7 9 1 2 7 9 and here comes that nine. How many songs have you told someone, “Hey, no, no, no, listen. Wait, wait, wait, wait. Here’s where the drop happens. Wait, wait, wait. Here’s the chorus. Oh my god, I love that. Just, just wait for it. And someone doesn’t quite get the song because you went through the song a few times and your brain went, “Oh yeah, this is happening in that order. I know it’s going to happen now and this is cool.” And they’re not waiting. They they listen to a few notes of it. They go, “It’s just not for me.” And then maybe later they come to you and they go, “Yeah, it’s kind of a cool song.” It’s the same thing with a story. In fact, an epic, a big giant book requires even more attention than a song that’s 3 minutes long where you start to read it and you say, “Okay, I’m getting what’s going on here. This is a slow burn. This is a book that moves in a certain direction and I have to pay attention to it.” or this is kind of a fast book and it’s going to be humorous, but there’s still going to be good points made. Jokes and parables typically take you down a journey and then there’s a sharp left turn at the end. Oh, it was this person the whole time. Now that makes sense now that I’ve read the whole story. Oh, I get it. Haha. That’s what makes it funny that it’s predictably a crazy 90° turn. You need more convincing. Structure and Predictability in Non-Fiction and Presentations Non-fiction is the same way. How many times have you gone to a presentation, someone does it for your networking group or for school or what have you, even your business, and you’re watching and you’re thinking, where is this going? I is this an important fact or is are we just building to the important fact? I can’t tell the difference between the major facts I should be writing down and just some anecdote that’s related to it. Are we are we half done? Like wait, what what really are we learning here? So, if you can’t predict what’s happening, and again, I know every time I use the word predict, you’re like, well, that means I already know it. No, you’re recognizing the pattern in place. Do you want to talk about how that works in relationships too or are we covering enough bases here? Okay, fine. So, back to presentations. If you can understand the segments of a presentation, okay, here’s a major fact and facts underneath it, which leads us to the next fact that we’re building up to, and the facts underneath it, which then builds us to the next one, and so forth. And then we finally have an outcome at the end. I’m all ears. This is interesting. And I will tell you when I write my non-fictions, I follow that as well. I don’t say, “No, no, no, no. Listen, guys. Guys, sit down. Listen, listen, listen.” And then babble on and on. Don’t I know what you’re thinking. No, I really don’t babble on and on. And I’m really not babbling here. I’m following the same procedure here. But again, in my non-fiction, I follow the pattern, the predictable pattern of I’m going to introduce to you some concepts, and I’ll I’ll touch on them a little bit in case you’re not up to speed. And then I’m going to introduce my concepts. And then I’m going to build on to the next ones and next ones. And then I’m going to say, well, what do you do with that? And that should sound remarkably like this podcast in which I do exactly the same thing. I introduce something to you. we talk about it and then I say,”Well, how does that affect you in the real world?” Leveraging Pattern Matching in Real Life So, we’re actually getting to the part where we say, “How does this affect you in the real world? And what can you do about it?” Well, the first thing you need to do is recognize the fact that pattern matching and pattern recognition are not bad things. It’s what our brains are designed to do. So if you’re going to fight that, you’re going to have a lot of friction and stress in your life. If you accept it and use it and use it for good and enjoyment and productivity, it can be a really awesome thing. It can help you and say, “Hey, you know, we typically see these patterns with these clients, so we know what to do here, right? I have this pattern and I know it’s going to lead me to be lazy in this particular way. So, I know what to do here. Do you see how you can use patterns to adjust behavior, adapt to client needs before they even know they need things and so forth? Think of how powerful that is. And I’m not telling you anything new, right? You’re you already know that pattern matching and using patterns and systems and procedures and all those beautiful words that I love. You know how useful those are. But what I’m saying is it happens on a level that you may not realize. And it happens in things that you’re getting enjoyment from. So go listen to some of your favorite songs again. Think about what I’ve said about predictability. Go read some books. Think about predictability. And I’ll see you next time. Outro which you knew I was going to say because you recognize this pattern. Take care.

Episode Excerpt: In this episode of United States Real Estate Investor® Conversations, Mike and John break down why predictability may be one of the most underrated forces in real estate wealth building. They explore how steady mortgage rates, modest appreciation, reliable rent, growing inventory, equity snowballing, and patient long-term planning can help investors build serious wealth without chasing wild market swings.See full article: https://www.unitedstatesrealestateinvestor.com/why-predictability-is-underrated-in-real-estate-wealth-building-2/See the Real Estate Investor of the Year 2025: https://www.unitedstatesrealestateinvestor.com/united-states-real-estate-investor-real-estate-investor-of-the-year-2025-jonathan-gray/United States Real Estate Investor® Real Estate Investor of the Year is sponsored by thetrustisyou.comKill the noise: https://unitedstatesrealestateinvestor.com/2026ownershipreset—Ready to kill the rat race?This free beginner's guide will show you exactly how to start, even if you're broke, busy, or scared to death of losing a dime.It's short. It's simple. It's real.Download now: https://www.unitedstatesrealestateinvestor.com/freeguide/—Helping you learn how to achieve financial freedom through real estate investing. https://www.unitedstatesrealestateinvestor.com/

SummaryGreat leaders aren't just visionaries—they are unwaveringly predictable, establishing trust and stability within their teams. In this week's Visionary Leader with Jim Robinson episode, Jim explores why consistency is a cornerstone of effective leadership and how it fosters an environment where accountability, emotional safety, and success can flourish.Predictability isn't about rigid routines, but rather about being consistent in values, behaviors, and responses, especially under pressure. Jim shares how leaders who consistently show up as their authentic selves build a reputation for emotional steadiness. People crave that reliability; it anchors them during turbulent times and minimizes anxiety that comes from unexpected shifts or inconsistent treatment.The episode highlights the difference between charismatic and steady leaders. While charisma can attract attention, Jim argues that steadiness is what keeps people loyal and driven. Teams take comfort in knowing what to expect from their leader, allowing them to focus on their own performance rather than bracing for leadership mood swings.Practical habits, or as Jim calls them, “rituals,” cement a leader's dependability. Whether it's daily routines or established processes, these rituals make success repeatable and create an infectious culture of excellence.Ultimately, if a leader is great and predictable, people will want to follow. Predictability paves the way from “the poster from Kmart” to “the Mona Lisa”—the kind of legacy every leader hopes to paint. Tune in today!Show Notes(00:00) Empowering Consistent Leadership Practices(04:39) Choosing Steady over Charismatic Leaders(09:23) Avoiding Unpredictability in Leadership(11:44) Consistency and Emotional Steadiness in Leadership(16:51) Building Customer Loyalty Through LeadershipLinksJim Robinson CGP Maintenance and Construction Services

The death of Duke Robert's chief ally, William of Breteuil, and the succession crisis it kicked off, was destabilizing the duchy of Normandy.   And while I'm sure it was a relief that King Henry and Robert of Meulan had brokered a sort of resolution to the crisis… everyone watching knew their intrusion into Norman […] The post 498 – Power and Predictability first appeared on The British History Podcast.

Today, host John Norlin shares a strategy called Grandma's Rule, a practical, research-backed approach to building predictability into the classroom through first-then scheduling and visual routines. John walks through why predictable environments lead to regulation, engagement, and ultimately learning, and how educators can set this up in a way that increases student motivation from the start. This episode is part of the CharacterStrong Weekly series — short, immediately applicable strategies educators can put to work the same day. In this episode, John offers important reminders for educators and leaders: Students crave predictability, when they can anticipate what is coming and why, they are better regulated and more ready to learn. First-then scheduling makes routines visible and explicit, giving students something to reference and helping educators get ahead of behavior proactively. Sequencing preferred and less preferred activities strategically increases student motivation without requiring more time or resources. Learn More About CharacterStrong:  Access FREE MTSS Curriculum Samples Request a Quote Today! Learn more about CharacterStrong Implementation Support Visit the CharacterStrong Website

Watch Us On YouTube! Announcing a new, ongoing benefit for annual subscribers of our Slack community. Annual subscribers receive a free Points Path Alerts subscription OR a 30% discount on Points Path Pro. The airline industry feels a little shaky right now — and travelers may start to feel it. This week on Miles To Go, Ed and Richard dig into mounting questions around Spirit Airlines and whether the low-cost carrier can survive rising fuel prices and financial pressure. If Spirit disappears, what does that mean for fares, competition, and the broader travel ecosystem? From there, the conversation turns to United's latest move: introducing "basic" versions of premium cabin tickets. With fewer benefits, no changes, and more restrictions, it's another step in the ongoing trend of airlines unbundling even their most expensive products. They also break down a surprising airline move — Air Canada pulling out of JFK for the summer — and what that says about costs and demand in the New York market. Finally, a deep dive into a topic every frequent traveler can relate to: the real cost of getting to and from the airport. From Atlanta's predictable (but expensive) Delta dominance to New York's chaotic (but competitive) airport ecosystem, they compare what works — and what doesn't — when it comes to major U.S. hubs. Get hydrated like Ed in Vegas with Nuun If you enjoy the podcast, I hope you'll take a moment to leave us a rating. That helps us grow our audience! If you're looking for a way to support the show, we'd love to have you join us in our Travel Slack Community.  Join me and other travel experts for informative conversations about the travel world, the best ways to use your miles and points, Zoom happy hours and exciting giveaways. Monthly access Annual access Personal consultation plus annual access We have witty, funny, sarcastic discussions about travel, for members only. My fellow travel experts are available to answer your questions and we host video chats multiple times per month. Follow Us! Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/milestogopodcast/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@milestogopodcast Ed Pizza: https://www.instagram.com/pizzainmotion/ Richard Kerr: https://www.instagram.com/kerrpoints/ ✈️ What We Cover in This Episode ✈️ Spirit Airlines and industry uncertainty Rising fuel prices and financial pressure Bailout rumors and what happens next Why low-cost carriers matter for competition ✈️ Airline consolidation and competition Why the JetBlue–Spirit merger mattered What happens if a low-cost carrier disappears How pricing pressure could change ✈️ United introduces "basic" premium fares Restrictions in business and premium economy No changes, fewer perks, and seat assignment limits Why this could confuse travelers ✈️ The growing complexity of airline pricing Basic Economy lessons repeating at higher tiers Why fare differences are getting harder to track How travelers can avoid mistakes ✈️ Air Canada pulls out of JFK (for now) Cost pressures vs demand Why Newark and LaGuardia may be better options What this signals for airline strategy ✈️ The real cost of airport access Ride-share prices skyrocketing in NYC Why getting to the airport can cost more than your flight Taxi vs rideshare vs public transit tradeoffs ✈️ Atlanta vs New York airports Delta dominance vs multi-airline competition Predictability vs flexibility Which setup is actually better for travelers ✈️ Airport security and infrastructure challenges Atlanta TSA bottlenecks AirTrain and transit frustrations Why airport design still matters ⏱️ Episode 433 Timestamps 0:49 – Opening banter and travel plans 6:08 – Spirit Airlines uncertainty and bailout rumors 10:14 – Why low-cost carriers matter for pricing 11:17 – Air Canada pulling out of JFK 16:01 – Hong Kong follow-up and listener feedback 19:08 – United's new "basic" business class fares 24:07 – Why Basic Economy keeps expanding 25:04 – Pricing transparency and travel portals 30:27 – Best food options at the Cosmopolitan in Vegas 30:56 – Atlanta vs New York airport comparison

Enterprise customers demand 99.9% availability, regardless of how the underlying software is built. In this episode, Murali Swaminathan (CTO @ Freshworks) discusses how enterprises actually win with AI! We explore the “Architecture of Predictability” – proactive architectural safeguards to scale “responsible AI by design” across a global organization serving 75,000 customers. Murali shares his leadership playbook for implementing the technical safeguards and product trust controls that empower hundreds of engineers to build safely. We also dive into the shift from deterministic flowcharts to “workflows with a brain” and why backend systems engineers are the secret bedrock of agentic products. Plus, Murali deconstructs the dual evolution required of modern leaders: mastering strategic thinking at the business level while cultivating systems thinking at the engineering level.   ABOUT MURALI SWAMINATHAN Murali Swaminathan joined Freshworks as Chief Technology Officer in September 2024. Murali is responsible for Freshworks' technology roadmap and strategy, leading the company's global engineering and architecture teams. With over 30 years of experience in software engineering, he has held leadership roles at ServiceNow, Recommind (now OpenText), and CA Technologies (now Broadcom), where he delivered scalable, secure solutions that enabled digital transformation and business agility. Murali holds a master's degree in Software Engineering Management from Carnegie Mellon University and a bachelor's degree in electronics and instrumentation from Annamalai University in India.   SHOW NOTES: Freshworks' operating context: Engineering for 75,000 global customers (2:09) Navigating the tension between rapid AI adoption and enterprise-grade reliability (4:58) Breaking the "Positive Scenario" Trap: Using AI to automate negative test cases and corner-case detection (6:40) Why Responsible AI is a competitive advantage: Building "kill switches" and trust gates (8:31) Responsible AI by Design: Moving from reactive compliance to proactive architectural safeguards (10:48) Technical safeguards: Leveraging hyperscaler frameworks for model compliance and data anonymization (13:39) Product Trust Controls: Demonstrating reliability through role-based access and thresholds (16:25) Why engineering leaders should experiment in small teams before global rollout (20:35) Simulating Chaos: Using Business Continuity Planning (BCP) to test AI system resilience (22:13) Workflows with a brain: Transitioning from deterministic flows to agentic runtime decisions (24:16) The AI Team Profile: Why backend system engineers, not just data scientists, are the bedrock of agentic products (29:25) Cultivating a mindset shift toward agentic system orchestration (32:10) The shift to systems thinking: How engineering roles evolve from "building pieces" to managing end-to-end system flows (33:38) How to approach strategic business thinking as an engineering leader (36:43) Rapid Fire Questions: Guy Kawasaki's "Think Remarkable" and the best way to predict the future (38:23)   LINKS AND RESOURCES Think Remarkable: 9 Paths to Transform Your Life and Make a Difference - Tech titan and creator of the Remarkable People podcast Guy Kawasaki delivers a practical, tactical, and sometimes radical discussion of how to make a difference in the world and live a fulfilling life.   This episode wouldn't have been possible without the help of our incredible production team: Patrick Gallagher - Producer & Co-Host Jerry Li - Co-Host Noah Olberding - Associate Producer, Audio & Video Editor https://www.linkedin.com/in/noah-olberding/ Dan Overheim - Audio Engineer, Dan's also an avid 3D printer - https://www.bnd3d.com/ Ellie Coggins Angus - Copywriter, Check out her other work at https://elliecoggins.com/about/ Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

HT2598 - Predictability In a chess game, what happens when both players see the inevitability of the outcome? They throw in the towel and quit the game. I feel that way about certain television shows and movies. Once the plot becomes predictable, I lose interest. Doesn't it make sense that this same idea pertains to photography as well? The minute I see a portfolio from, say, Yosemite and the first few images are perfectly predictable, I find my motivation for viewing the rest of the portfolio diminishes. Show your appreciation for our free weekly Podcast and our free daily Here's a Thought… with a donation Thanks!

In this powerful episode of The Reformed Brotherhood, Tony and Jesse return to their parable series with an in-depth examination of the Laborers in the Vineyard from Matthew 20:1-16. This often-misunderstood parable confronts our natural inclination toward merit-based thinking and exposes the scandal of God's grace. The hosts unpack the covenantal language embedded in the text, particularly the workers' "grumbling"—a loaded term echoing Israel's wilderness rebellion. Through careful exegesis and theological reflection, they demonstrate how this parable dismantles religious entitlement while celebrating God's sovereign freedom to bestow mercy according to His purposes, not our calculations. The discussion offers fresh insights into grace, election, and the radical generosity that defines God's kingdom economy. Key Takeaways The parable operates on covenant logic, not economic fairness: The landowner's dealings with his workers reflect covenantal promise-keeping rather than marketplace transactions, establishing that God's relationship with His people is fundamentally gracious. "Grumbling" carries profound theological weight: The Greek word used for the workers' complaint is the same term in the Septuagint for Israel's wilderness rebellion—not mere dissatisfaction, but a covenantal accusation against God's faithfulness. Two types of workers represent two approaches to God: The first-hired workers who contracted for specific wages represent those relating to God through legal obligation and merit, while later workers who trusted the owner's promise represent faith-based relationship. The reversal of payment order is narratively essential: By paying the last workers first, the landowner deliberately exposes the merit-based assumptions of the first workers, forcing them to confront their entitlement. Grace doesn't negate justice—it transcends it: The landowner fulfills every contractual obligation while simultaneously exercising sovereign generosity beyond what is owed, demonstrating that mercy and justice coexist in God's character. The parable addresses the present kingdom, not just heaven: Because it includes grumbling and complaint, this parable describes life in God's kingdom now—the "already but not yet"—rather than the consummated state. Divine sovereignty in salvation is the theological climax: The landowner's declaration "Am I not allowed to do what I choose with what belongs to me?" directly addresses God's freedom in election and the scandal of unmerited grace. Key Ideas The Covenantal Nature of the Landowner's Dealings The parable's opening establishes a formal agreement between the landowner and the first workers: one denarius for a day's labor. This contractual arrangement is crucial for understanding what follows. Unlike marketplace haggling, this represents a covenant—the landowner binds himself to provide what he has promised. Tony emphasizes that even this initial contract is an act of condescension and grace, as the master had no obligation to employ anyone at all. As the day progresses, subsequent workers are hired with increasingly less formal agreements. By the third hour, the landowner promises only "whatever is right," and by the eleventh hour, no wage is even mentioned. These later workers enter the vineyard based entirely on the landowner's character and trustworthiness. This progression mirrors the movement from law to gospel—from contractual obligation to trusting promise. The theological implication is profound: those who relate to God based on His gracious word rather than calculated merit are actually in a more secure position than those who attempt to earn their standing through works. The Wilderness Echo: Grumbling as Covenant Violation The hosts make a critical exegetical observation about the Greek word for "grumbling" (γογγύζω) used in verse 11. This is not casual complaining but the identical term used throughout the Septuagint to describe Israel's covenant rebellion in the wilderness. When the workers grumble "upon receiving" their wages, they're not merely expressing disappointment about pay inequality—they're filing a covenant lawsuit against the master, accusing him of unfaithfulness. This connection to Numbers 16 and Exodus 16-17 is devastating. The Israelites' wilderness grumbling wasn't about logistics or comfort; it was fundamentally about doubting God's covenant fidelity. By employing this loaded terminology, Matthew signals that the first workers' complaint is nothing less than accusing God of covenant violation. The landowner's response ("Friend, I am doing you no wrong. Did you not agree with me for a denarius?") is a covenant defense—he has fulfilled his obligations precisely. The workers' real offense is not miscalculation but begrudging God's freedom to show mercy beyond what is contractually required. The "Evil Eye" and Begrudging God's Grace The final rhetorical question—"Or do you begrudge my generosity?"—contains another Jewish idiom often lost in translation. The Greek literally reads, "Is your eye evil because I am good?" This "evil eye" imagery appears throughout Scripture as a metaphor for envy, stinginess, and resentment toward another's blessing. The landowner's question cuts to the heart: are you cursing me for being generous? This directly parallels Jonah's response to Nineveh's salvation. Jonah had just experienced miraculous deliverance through the great fish, yet when God showed identical mercy to the Ninevites, Jonah's response was essentially, "I knew you were gracious—that's why I ran!" The parable exposes the same perverse logic: those who have received covenant mercy begrudging that same mercy extended to others. For the Pharisees listening to Jesus, this was an indictment of their resentment toward tax collectors and sinners receiving the kingdom. For Christians today, it challenges any sense of spiritual superiority based on how long we've been in the kingdom or how much we've sacrificed. Memorable Quotes Am I not allowed to do what I choose with what belongs to me? Or do you begrudge my generosity? That 'or' is a logical connector—either I'm not allowed to do what I want with my belongings, which is ridiculous, or if I am allowed, then you must be mad at me for being generous. Those are the only options. — Tony Arsenal The grumbling in the Old Testament in this context is a covenantal accusation. These workers aren't just complaining about not getting what they thought they would—they're questioning the veracity of the covenant that was made. — Tony Arsenal Most of us are this eleventh-hour call. It's much better to be in the place of that younger brother who comes in and repents than to be the older brother who is stubborn and finds some reason to come before God with self-righteous grievances. — Jesse Schwamb Full Episode Transcript [00:01:05] Jesse Schwamb: Welcome to episode 488 of the Reformer Brotherhood. I'm Jesse  [00:01:13] Tony Arsenal: and I am still Tony, and this is the podcast where Tony comes back. Hey brother.  [00:01:19] Jesse Schwamb: Hey brother. The band is back together again, man. It's reunited and boy, do you feel it? It feels good, doesn't  [00:01:26] Tony Arsenal: it? I do, I do. I'm excited to come back. It was nice to take a break. [00:01:29] Jesse Schwamb: Good.  [00:01:29] Tony Arsenal: I, uh, I've been, you know, texted with you a couple times. Just it was, I did my best to sort of not think about the podcast because that's sort of defeats the purpose of taking a break from something if you spend a lot of time thinking about it. Um, so I'm back. I'm refreshed. I'm ready to go.  [00:01:44] Break and Work Chaos [00:01:44] Tony Arsenal: I appreciate the listeners' patience. Uh, it's been sort of a weird, crazy busy time at work. Uh, there's a lot going on. I, I lost like. 60% of my staff in the course of like three weeks. And, um, I'm still kind of in the thick of it, but we're coming out of it. So took a little bit of time to just make sure that I was having a, an appropriate space to de-stress from that and take care of my family and attend to worship. And, um, it was really a, a blessing to have that. Uh, sort of sabbatical. Ironically, the sabbatical wars were going on at the same time on Twitter, and Jesse is blissfully unaware of that 'cause he's not involved in in the Twitter. That's true. Um, but yeah, just took a little break and it's kinda like overblown it, to call it a sabbatical. Like this is a podcast, it's a hobby, but, but it was nice to have, uh, a little bit of extra time, you know, couple hours extra week, uh, uh, each week of extra time to just decompress and, uh, play with the kids and spend time with my wife and clean the house a little bit, which was good.  [00:02:36] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, it is always good to have a clean house. You look great. You seem refreshed. The voice sounds good, and I'm like, I don't know, in year seven or eight of my Twitter sabbatical, it's going great so far. I feel like I haven't missed a whole lot. The world still seems wild and I'm sure, or X, right? We gotta go X on this. It's  [00:02:53] Tony Arsenal: always Twitter. It's always gonna be Twitter. I don't care what Elon Musk  says.  [00:02:56] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, I'm listen. I'm totally fine with that.  [00:02:58] Back to Parables [00:02:58] Jesse Schwamb: And I teased this in the last episode, but we can't be stopped. I mean, people should know this by now, we have an inexorable march through the parables of Jesus's true. That will not be stopped. We're always gonna come back until there are no more. And on this episode, we're gonna be hanging out in Matthew 20, talking about laborers in the Kingdom of Heaven.  [00:03:17] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Yeah. I'm stoked. I'm, I'm, I'm excited to get back into it. I'm excited to get back into the word together with everybody. I'm excited to clear whatever that was on in my throat out  [00:03:27] Jesse Schwamb: emotion,  [00:03:27] Tony Arsenal: live on the air. Uh, but yeah, it'll be good. I'm, I'm stoked. I mean, I love this stuff and it's good to be back.  [00:03:32] Jesse Schwamb: Listen, you had the rest. Now let's talk about labor. So speaking of labor, it's, it's time for you to work up here, Tony. Are you affirming with or denying against on this episode?  [00:03:42] Tony Arsenal: Uh, I'm affirming something and I'm hopeful, uh, that just a little behind the scenes activity here. Jesse recorded episode 487, like an hour and a half ago. I have not yet listened to it, so I don't know if you did an affirmation and I I did. If you did. I hope it's not the same one.  [00:03:58] Jesse Schwamb: I did not. You're  [00:03:59] Tony Arsenal: safe. Uh, good. So I'm safe.  [00:04:01] Artemis II Hype [00:04:01] Tony Arsenal: So, um, I'm affirming the Artemis two mission. Um, oh, nice. Have you been, I mean, I know you're not on Twitter, but I'm sure there's news elsewhere. Uh, this amazing mission around the moon, um, for astronaut, for astronauts, I think, um, the furthest man space travel, um, since the Apollo program. Um. Pretty intense, pretty amazing pictures, right? The camera technologies amazing. Increased exponentially, uh, since we were there last. Um, this is ostensibly in preparation for an actual moon landing, which who knows when that will be? Um, but as far as I've seen, the mission was a resounding success. There was no right. I think they had, they ran into a few little hiccups early on with some technical things, but nothing crazy. I have not heard. Um, I know they did touch down and they did reentry. Um, I've not heard anything one way or another, but I'm assuming since I have not heard terrible, tragic news that they made it through, did they do the reentry? I'm really, apparently I'm not actually paying as much attention to this as I thought I was. I saw a lot of information about reentry, but I guess, I don't know for sure when that happened or is happening.  [00:05:05] Jesse Schwamb: I mean, by this point, when people listen to it, it'll be old news anyway, right? So  [00:05:09] Tony Arsenal: For sure. Yeah. And either, either it went terribly wrong and I'm gonna feel awful, or it went fine and I'm gonna feel a little silly for. Throwing a caveat that it went terribly wrong out there. But, um, it's cool. It's, it's amazing. I mean, I, I commented to my wife the other day and she's kinda like, yeah, maybe we should like, spend that money on people who are on the planet. I was like, okay, I can, I can buy that wisdom. But, um, there's something very cool and very Genesis, uh, one, ask Genesis one and two, ask about flying out into space and taking dominion over Yeah, for sure. Over a, a little ball of rock, uh, you know, uh, 25,000 miles away or whatever it is. Um. And, you know, I'm like an engineering nerd. I, I don't know anything about engineering, but I love watching YouTube videos that explain stuff like this. And  [00:05:52] Jesse Schwamb: me  [00:05:52] Tony Arsenal: too, all of the videos that have cropped up now about free return and how, like they're able to basically like do minimal burn on the thrusters to get into the right trajectory and then just like meet the moon in the place it's gonna be. And then the, you know, the moon's gravity captures it and whips it back around and then shoots it back towards Earth. And for the most part, they're able to do all of that with relatively minor, um, relatively minor energy output because they're just utilizing physics and gravity and math, um, to fly to the moon and come back. Yes. It's pretty crazy amazing. So, yeah. Amazing. And the photos of like the, the sort of like new versions of the Earthrise photos are really, really phenomenal. Um, they're crisp, they're clean, they're obviously like the best, the best actual pho photographic images we've had of the lunar surface. Um. And the, the far side of the lunar surface, which we get all sorts of like telescopic photos and things of this side of the lunar surface because it's tightly locked and is facing us at all times. We don't get a ton of really great photography of the far side of the moon, which is a big part of what this mission was, so,  [00:06:56] Jesse Schwamb: right.  [00:06:56] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. If you haven't seen the photos, I mean, they're out there, they're amazing. There will be even more available once we get back. You know, they, they're transmitting only the most stellar, amazing ones. Um, and, but they're taking, I'm sure thousands and thousands of photos and, um, so yeah, it's pretty cool. I'm affirming the Artemis two mission. Um. It's just amazing what, what people can do with common grace, you know? That's right. In insight into nature. Um, I don't know anything about the astronauts. I don't know anything about their religious faith or their spiritual life or anything like that. But, um, the people who design this, the people who fly it, they're just tapping into the truth that's present in God's creation. So good on them. Uh, either I'm glad they got home, wish they have a safe home coming, or something along those lines, I guess. I don't know.  [00:07:40] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, you'll be happy to know that NASA is reporting that the four astronauts are an excellent condition after they landed in the Pacific Ocean. So  [00:07:47] Tony Arsenal: good.  [00:07:47] Jesse Schwamb: All, all appears to be well. And it says they have a giant SD card of pictures that's they've been taking. Yeah. And saving. I'm sure. They were just, they were just too big to send to over wifi.  [00:07:58] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Like massive wideness. Yeah. I mean, I'm sure they have a ton that they didn't send because you know Right. Data rates to the moon are pretty high. Yeah.  [00:08:05] Jesse Schwamb: Ex. Yeah.  [00:08:05] Tony Arsenal: This economy is crazy. So  [00:08:07] Jesse Schwamb: Exactly. In this economy. Really In this economy. Yeah, exactly.  [00:08:11] Cosmic Worship Reflections [00:08:11] Jesse Schwamb: I think you're right. This is good. I haven't talked about this at all. It's hard not to get just stoked, even in the amateur way about the science, the technology, the physics of all this stuff, and then even the astronauts just being overwhelmed by what they're seeing. [00:08:24] Tony Arsenal: Mm-hmm.  [00:08:25] Jesse Schwamb: It's hard not to get pulled into that and think about the universe that God has created and find that there is something transcendent just, uh, by observing all of these things. Yeah. Like even casually, which I think shows, again, this is literally the, the heavens and the earth crying out for God, showing his immeasurable power and, you know, immortal nature. It's incredible that we can even see and be a part of some of these things. Just wild.  [00:08:49] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Yeah, and I think it's crazy that they can get signals to the moon. I mean, I drive home from Dartmouth College and I go through half of the spot there, and I don't have a cell signal, but we can get images from the moon. Um, so yeah, it's great. It's great. Check it out if you haven't seen it. If you haven't heard about it, I don't know what you're doing. Uh, this is probably the largest major scientific advancement in our generation. Um, in terms of like big scale scientific enterprise projects. There's been a lot of really amazing technology that's been developed. But this is like the first big. Almost like risky kind of scientific,  [00:09:30] Jesse Schwamb: right?  [00:09:30] Tony Arsenal: I dunno. Gambit or I dunno, gamble that we've done in a long time. Big deal. I mean, big a lot. Deal of things. Deal. Nothing went wrong. Nothing ma major went wrong. Praise God that they all got back to the planet safely. Right. But, um, a lot of things could have gone wrong, uh, and they didn't. So check out the photos, check out the scientific data they're gonna get. I mean, I'm sure they've got all sorts of information about the way the, the, the space ship moved, all of that stuff. It's gonna be really interesting to see kind of how this all comes about.  [00:09:56] Jesse Schwamb: Get some worship on, right? Yeah. I mean this is what a one, a thing to be reminded about how big and how glorious God is. [00:10:01] Tony Arsenal: Yeah.  [00:10:01] Jesse Schwamb: And, and to realize, like you said, the risks of this exploration. And this is God again, creating all of this outta nothing. Why? Yeah. Just absolutely wild. Incredible.  [00:10:12] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Yeah, for  [00:10:12] Jesse Schwamb: sure. Blown away.  [00:10:13] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. What about you, Jesse? What do you have for us?  [00:10:15] Bayes and Predictability [00:10:15] Jesse Schwamb: I got affirmation. It's equally nerdy, and actually this is as is always the case. This is why one of many reasons I miss you is it, it dovetails so nicely, so I'm affirming with a book. It's called Everything Is Predictable, how Esy and Statistics Explains the World. It's by a guy named Tom Chivers. I know this sounds super nerdy, but hear me out on this because Thomas Bayes, if you don't know this guy is first kind of like a wild and interesting guy, but this whole theory he put forward is super interesting. And this book is not like a mathematics book. It's like reads almost like a statistical thriller, which as it came outta my mouth, realized it was not maybe more ingratiating. I could have chosen better words than statistical thriller. But Thomas Bayes was alive in the 17 hundreds. And what's interesting to me at least about him, is he was an English statistician, who was a Presbyterian minister actually. He was a non-conformist and his, this whole theorem that he developed was actually published after his death. And the non-conformist part is super interesting. It's all in this book, even some of his different theological ideas. But because he was non-conformist, it basically meant like he couldn't learn. He was kicked out of all the English universities. He had to go to Scotland. Even all of that shaped how he came up with this particular theorem. But the gist of it is. Rather than treating like probabilities, as we think about it as this fixed frequency, you know, how many times does this thing occur? He argued and realized that it should represent a degree of belief and then you would update that belief rationally as new evidence comes in. And I know that sounds super quaint, but this is like what machine learning is based on medical diagnosis. A lot of like space travel is based on this in terms of understanding uncertainty and systems spam, all of that stuff. Here's an example, I think Tony, because we are, we have to carry forward with the top 50 medical podcast thing, right? We've got going on here. Lemme just give everybody an example of why you need this and why you automatically think this way. So. Statistics is really important, especially in medical testing. This was really prevalent in during COVID. So there's two ways that you can describe how a medical test performs you. You know this already, Tony, you're an expert. So one would be like sensitivity. So like how AIG  [00:12:19] Tony Arsenal: not an expert.  [00:12:20] Jesse Schwamb: Oh, you're definitely an expert in testing. Here we go. So one would be like sensitivity. How good is the test at catching people who are sick? So if you're sick, you, you want the test to identify that, that you're sick. That's sensitivity. So a test with a 99% sensitivity is gonna correctly identify 99 out of a hundred people who are truly sick. It always gonna miss one person. It's a false negative. The other half of that coin is something called specificity. So if sensitivity is all about catching the people who are sick, specificity is gonna say, how good is the test at clearing people who are not sick? And so a test with 99% specificity, you might have correctly guessed, is gonna identify or clear 99 out of a hundred healthy people. Now if you have a test. Both of those 99% sensitive and 99% specific, you might be thinking, that is the dream. That's exactly what I want. That that test is gonna be so precise and accurate. How could my intuition fail me? But this is the thing. It actually fails all the time, and here's why. Let's say that. You go out and you screen a group of people, a general population for a rare disease that affects one in a thousand people. One in a thousand people, rare disease. So if you screen 10,000 people from the general population, that means that truly only 10 of them are going to have the actual disease. I'm not gonna do all the math 'cause it'll, oh, this is already making for amazing podcasting. But here's the bottom line. That test, which sounds so good on the face, is going to identify 109 people as truly sick or truly having disease. But the problem is that only 10 of them actually have it. That means that only there's, it only has a success rate of 9%. There's only 9% chance you actually have the disease, but it's falsely identified. The short end of this is Bayes corrects that problem. He fixes it with his theorem so that we get to the right number of people. That's what's called like a base fallacy rate. It's not taking into account that really only 10 people should have this particular disease or this sickness. So I know that's sounds super nerdy, but so much of our lives are based on this. We have a prior belief or a prior set of things that we understand about the world. And then as evidence comes in, we refine that. That sounds so normal and normative, but it's revolutionary in this book actually. Bayes versus what's called like frequentist or frequent, um, probability is like hotly debated. People actually throw down over this theorem. So it's a really fun read. Go check out. Everything is predictable. Al Bayesian statistics explains our world. It really is for everybody. And then you can impress your friends with all the statistical pross you're gonna have when you're done reading it.  [00:14:56] Tony Arsenal: Like the medical administrator hat that I can't always take off is like, why would we screen 10,000 people? Are, are they all symptomatic? Are none of them symptomatic? But suppose it doesn't really  [00:15:08] Jesse Schwamb: matter for the example. That's a great, so generally what happens here is, let's say it's like some kind of rare form of cancer, unless you use Bayesian statistics, what you'll find is you'll get these false positive rates. So these tests do use Bayesian statistics. It corrects, in other words, for this problem. So there might be a lot of people that are gonna screen for this because if you, you wanna know if you have it, but you don't wanna get it wrong and say that you do. So this ensures his approach ensures that you get it. Right. It's wild. Fascinating stuff.  [00:15:34] Tony Arsenal: Yeah, and I would think actually, you know, there's probably, there's other mechanisms as well where they would, where they would sort of screen out. People that shouldn't be tested or help identify false negatives, false positives. Um, but yeah, that's, that's interesting. I probably won't read that book, but it sounds like an interesting read. I just don't have a lot of room on my A TBR shelf.  [00:15:55] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, listen. That, that's fair.  [00:15:57] Goodreads DNF Update [00:15:57] Jesse Schwamb: By the way, here's like a, a side affirmation. I think you and I both share speaking like books and cataloging books. If you use Good Reads, good Reads. Right. Finally adding a list of the Do Not Did Not Finish book. That's fantastic. This, this might be an example for some people, so pick it up and even if you don't have a place for it, guess where you can put it on the did not finish list. Yeah. Good Reads.  [00:16:16] Tony Arsenal: That's finally, that's one of those like, like why didn't they add that 15 years ago? Kind of an updates and you get the email and they're like, we're so excited to introduce the did Not Finish thing. And we're like, yeah. Like of course. Like, duh. It's likes, like, we're proud to introduce that. Your keypad now has a zero on it.  [00:16:36] Jesse Schwamb: Right. So  [00:16:37] Tony Arsenal: yeah. I'm, I'm excited about the DNR, um, the DNF, um, I'm so excited. I can't even remember what it's called. Yeah. The shelf. But, uh, very, very useful. The DNR list  [00:16:47] Jesse Schwamb: is a diff it is a different list. Speaking of medical things, it's a different  [00:16:50] Tony Arsenal: list. Yeah. Yeah, that's definitely a different thing. Usually it's not a list. It's a list of one in most cases.  [00:16:56] Jesse Schwamb: Exactly,  [00:16:57] Tony Arsenal: yeah. You can't put other people on your  [00:17:00] Jesse Schwamb: DNR  [00:17:00] Tony Arsenal: This,  [00:17:00] Jesse Schwamb: I suppose. Yeah, I should clarify that. You can really, you can only really put yourself, or I suppose somebody for whom you have that kind of authority over on that list, but I was thinking that more from like a medical perspective, that somewhere there would be a database in which there might be a list of DNR. I don't know.  [00:17:15] Tony Arsenal: Yeah, maybe. I don't know. I'm not sure. Probably there was at some point, but I think with medical chart technology now, that's probably like a. A moot point. Yeah. They don't need to be able to like cross reference a master list anymore. They just look in the patient's electronic record. We're really like in the weeds here. You can tell it's been a while since I've, I've podcasted. I don't really remember how to do this.  [00:17:35] Jesse Schwamb: This is great.  [00:17:36] Segue to Matthew 20 [00:17:36] Jesse Schwamb: I think at this point we try to make some kind of awkward segue that is mildly successful. Again, probably has statistically like a 20 to 27% chance of being successful and really hitting the mark. Yeah. So do you have anything that's gonna move us into this?  [00:17:49] Tony Arsenal: Yeah, I mean, I feel like you've been podcasting for the last several weeks without me and I've been working hard and now I'm kind of coming in as Johnny come lately and we're gonna get paid the same amount so. Even though you've worked harder for longer and I'm coming in late to the game here. [00:18:03] Jesse Schwamb: Oh man. Ple loved ones. Please tell me you got that. Please tell me you got all of that. That's, that's what you show up for here. Yeah, that was  [00:18:10] Tony Arsenal: a deep cut.  [00:18:11] Jesse Schwamb: That, that was beautiful. And I think leads us right into Matthew 20. So I think we've got at least 16 verses to get through here. Maybe again, if we're gonna keep a statistical theme here, something about engineering and math, all that stuff, we'll let everybody else pick the over under and whether or not we're gonna get through this and how many verses that's going to be. But at this point, we might as well begin.  [00:18:32] Tony Arsenal: Yes. Yeah.  [00:18:33] Read the Parable [00:18:33] Tony Arsenal: I'll start by reading. Uh, we're here in Matthew chapter 20, the first 16 versus this is the parable of the laborers in the vineyard and it reads. For the Kingdom of Heaven is like a master of a house who went out early in the morning to hire laborer laborers for his vineyard. After agreeing with the laborers for a denarius a day, he sent them into the vineyard and going out about the third hour, he saw others standing idle in the marketplace. He said to them, you go into the vineyard too, and whatever is right, I will give you. So they went, going out again about the sixth hour and the ninth hour, he did the same. And about the 11th hour, he went out and found others standing. And he said to them, why do you stand here idle all day? They said to him, because no one has hired us. And he said to them, you go into the vineyard too. And when the evening came, the owner of the vineyard said to his foreman, call the laborers and pay them with their wages, beginning with the last up to the first. And when those hired about the 11th hour came, each of them received a denarius. Now, when those hired first came, they thought they would receive more, but each of them also received a denarius. And on receiving it, they grumbled at the master of the house saying, these last worked only one hour and you have made them equal to us who have borne the burden of the day and the scorching heat. And he replied to one of them, friend, I'm doing you no wrong. Did you not agree with me? For a denarius, take what belongs to you and go, I choose to give the last worker as I give to you. Am I not allowed to do what I choose with what belongs to me? Or do you beg, do you begrudge my generosity? So the last will be first and the first will be last. Now I just wanna head this off. I did bite my tongue earlier and I probably am lisping and this is like a running gag. We thought that we'd resolved it. Uh, so if you hear me stumble over my words a little bit, it's just, it's just the struggle bus today.  [00:20:24] Jesse Schwamb: Listen, this is the, these are like the real things we have to deal with when the podcasting, like the real threats, the real injuries. I appreciate you like working through it. Like you just get back up and you walk it off with your tongue.  [00:20:35] Tony Arsenal: Yeah, my, my, uh, my podcasting hiatus was actually just a recovery of the last time I bit my tongue. I just needed a couple weeks to, no, I'm just kidding.  [00:20:43] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, we didn't wanna say.  [00:20:44] Tony Arsenal: Yeah.  [00:20:44] Kingdom Fairness and Grumbling [00:20:44] Tony Arsenal: So, Jesse, this is a, this is a parable that follows right on the heels, um, of kind of everything we've been talking about. And I think as we go through these parables and we look at them and we, we sort of pick them up and we look at the different facets of them, we sort of compare them to each other. We kind of, we kind of place them in their context really. They all have basically the same theme, right? Like they're all kind of circulating around these same topics. In this parable, it's circulating around this idea that, um, the, the owner of the vineyard, the master of the vineyard, is allowed to pay the people he employs whatever he wants. And as long as the payment that is due to an individual is received by that individual, then what other people receive and how they receive it and how hard they've worked and how hard they didn't work. That's really not germane to whether or not the, the laborer received a fair wage, uh, in the first place. Right. So we're, we're circling around themes of kind of fairness of, uh, of sort of resentment, I think for resentment at the master's generosity, which has been a big theme in previous ones. So this will be good for us to expand on. There's always little nuggets and kernels of things that are different from other parables, and then it's interesting to always see the ways that they kind of line up and, and tell us similar things.  [00:21:57] Jesse Schwamb: And this parable is unique to Matthew. Yeah. And it does function as this exposition or expansion of what Jesus says in chapter 19 where it says, but many who are first will be last. And the last first, which is repeated with this lovely like inverted emphasis in, at the end of this as you just read. So it belongs to this like interesting cluster of teacher teachings on discipleship and reward nature of the kingdom of God. And we've, we've spoken a lot about that. I think I was just reminded of this as you were, you were. Reading this, I feel like I remember this from some teaching, like this parable is kind of like a unique chiasm that's anchored on the landowner, sovereign generosity, which you brought up. And then there's the complaints of the first hired, which is mirrored by the late comers vulnerability. And then the landowners, two speeches which divide everything, kind of provide sandwich and the like, the theological climax. It does start in that really familiar way, which we've gotten accustomed to thinking about that introductory formula of the kingdom of heaven is like, and it signals of course that what follows is not gonna be a lesson in economics, but it's gonna use all this economic language as theological disclosure for how God's kingdom operates. And it starts again, like you said, with this master of the house, which to me seems. Pretty clearly like a, a God figure himself. Yeah. It's, that's kind of like a reoccurring mathian image. I think. So we've got this vineyard, which of course has all this symbolism, steeply rooted in Israel's covenant imagination and evokes God's people and his redemptive labor among them. So, man, now that I'm saying this all loud, is this thing like super pregnant with all kinds of like imagery and meaning?  [00:23:27] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Yeah. And you know, it's, it's always good to remember, although parables have kind of some parables, most parables have sort of distinct discreet, symbolic elements where like, this represents that this represents that almost in an allegorical form. And, and in some cases, like purely in allegorical form, where it's like pilgrim's progress where each, each individual, each entity, each location each represents some sort of symbolic value. But we have to remember that when, when it says the parable of the kingdom of heaven is like the master of the house, it's not just like the master of the house. Yes. Right. It's like this whole scenario. Yes. It's, it's like. Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. It's like everything that follows, it's like the entire, um, the entire paree here. That's what the Kingdom of Heaven is like. And one of the things that I think is striking about this is the kingdom of heaven is like some people complaining, like the people complaining about, some people are getting the same wage for less work. Um, that is part of what the Kingdom of Heaven is like. So I think we sometimes think of, of. The kingdom of heaven in, um, in the parables, we think of it as though God is just saying, this is what heaven is like. Right? Jesus Just saying like, this is what heaven is like, but the kingdom of heaven, that language is broader than what we normally would say, uh, is. We're thinking of heaven, like in the, the spiritual abode where God lives and the angels live. Um, where, where the departed saints are waiting for the resurrection, the kingdom of heaven is, is also inclusive of the, the sort of like. Time now between the victory of Christ on the cross and the consummation of the kingdom and the last day, the kingdom of heaven is inclusive of that time period too. And so this parable sort of situates us. I think it situates us in that pre consummated state where we're talking about what it's like to be a part of the kingdom of heaven here and now in our fallen state, but still solidly in the kingdom of heaven. 'cause there's not gonna be any complaining or grumbling about God's justice in God's fairness once we're in the final resurrected state. Right? Sure. Nobody's gonna be looking back and be like, yeah, you were way too gracious for that guy. Nobody's gonna be playing the Jonah part when we're all resurrected and we're worshiping for, for all time going forward. So this parable, because there are elements of. Dissatisfaction or elements of grumbling or complaining similar to like the, the parable of the prodigal son. There's this sun figure, the, the older sun figure who like is just a bonehead and doesn't get it. Well, that can't be talking about the people who are in the resurrection kingdom in the final kingdom. It's gotta be talking about people who are still awaiting the resurrection of the body and who are still not yet. Uh, and even in, in that parable, the, the older son doesn't even seem to be a figure who's, who's regener. Maybe he does become regener at some point in the future, but he doesn't seem to be. In, even in God's kingdom, he doesn't seem to be, even among God's people, he's consistently placed outside of the field. You don't even know he exists until Nick halfway through the parable. This is similar in that there are these workers, they're receiving their wages and some of them are, are outwardly dissatisfied and grumbling against the master of the house. Um, so I think if we think about parables as describing heaven rather than the kingdom of heaven, we can lose sight of, of what's actually being said in a lot of them. [00:26:50] Contracts Versus Grace [00:26:50] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, that's really good stuff because it strikes me that there are like, strangely, two groups here mentioned, I, I find this really kind of fascinating. We, I think we should talk about this, like the first group has like the most formal agreement, it's almost a legal contract, right? Various was like a standard day laborers wage sufficient mostly for subsistence. And so that detail seems theologically loaded to me. These workers relate to the landowner on the basis of a contract and what is owed. And so their claim at the end of the day will be exactly that. They're owed something and they know it, and that sets up Then this contrast with a second group, which is mostly all about grace because by the time we get to that third hour, like. Approximately like 9:00 AM then we're beginning this pattern repeated at the sixth and the ninth hours. And crucially, for those workers who go out, go out and get recruited, there's no wage that's specified for them. Only the promise of like whatever is right. And so they enter the vineyard, not on the basis of a contract, but on the basis of like the owner's word and character. And that seems to be like more of a picture of trust and not, not calculation. Yeah. Separate than like the first group. And that marketplace, idleness, as I read this, doesn't imply like laziness because verse seven clarifies like they just had not been hired. Right? They were overworked, they were unemployed. They were marginalized. So it does set up, like you said, everything you just talked about, about the kind of this, I like that. Like the Jonah, the Jonah whiners or whatever, like yeah, they want to complain about this, right? There are, and there are two, two separate groups that have kind of been brought into the fold, not under different terms or pretenses, but differently. [00:28:17] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. And I think too, bear's saying, um. Although there are elements of parables that are very, very directly applicable. Mm. We shouldn't read this as though every, every specific thing in the parable is not a parable. Right. Right. I think we can look at this and we can go, you know, you can read this in a way where, oh yeah, there's some people actually earn their, earn their wage, they earn ary. Right. It's a fair contract. And they work all day and he says, well, I'm gonna give you what's right, what you, what I owe you.  [00:28:45] God Owes Nothing [00:28:45] Tony Arsenal: The reality is God doesn't owe any of us anything. Right? Right. He owes us wrath and judgment and destruction. And so even, even the people who are the hard workers in the kingdom of God don't merit and never could merit, um, to, in a certain sense, in a strict sense and stick with me before you send your, your angry emails in a real strict sense. Even Adam couldn't merit. What was, well, it was guaranteed to him, according to the Covenant of Works, God had to condescend to make the covenant of works in order for Adam to have any sort of fruition of his blessedness. So there there's no natural obligation, strict obligation that God has to reward the work of his creatures because nothing they could do could ever be sufficient enough to obligate him. So the, the obligation of himself, and that's, this is where I do think this is strong, the fact that he obligates himself to these workers to give them their denarius after a hard day's work  [00:29:37] Jesse Schwamb: exactly  [00:29:37] Tony Arsenal: is itself. A covenantal, um, contractual, yes. But I actually read this as sort of a covenantal thing and the, the strange part is that the people don't recognize the sort of semi gracious covenantal nature of this. Yes.  [00:29:50] Grace In The Hiring [00:29:50] Tony Arsenal: I think, um, you know, there have been times when I, where I've been unemployed, um, not for very long. Now, I know some people face unemployment for a lot longer than I ever have, but I know there was times where I was, I was looking for work and someone would say to me like, Hey, you know, my, my, my lawn needs to be mowed. Could you come over and I'll, I'll give you 25 bucks to mow my lawn. It's a small lawn. Um. That's a gracious act in most cases. Right, right. Um, yes, I'm performing a task. Yes, they're paying me, but they didn't have to offer me that work. They didn't have to offer me that job, especially when it's something that like they could have accomplished themselves. They could have just done it themselves. Um, so I think there's an element of that here, that there's, there's a condescension of the master to these workers, to these laborers who are not part of his household. These are not, they're not slaves. These are not people who are part of his household, who are regular employees. These are people that he goes out into the market to, to find and to hire. And as we see some of, some of these mark, like the difference between the ones that are hired and the ones that are not hired until later in the day, the parable's not super clear about what it is. Just that they're not hired, it doesn't say the lazy ones were left there. The ones were exactly, that were ugly or had like limp legs or like just couldn't cut it. It just says like there was some that didn't get hired. Um, so there's a gracious element of this, and that makes the recognition at the end or the lack of recognition at the end by these full day laborers, the, the sort of like recognition, this, this entitled ness, um, that actually makes it all the worst. It's like the people who are outwardly attached to the covenant of grace. Um, I know all the Baptists in our, our group, their heads just exploded, but like are outwardly attached to the covenant of grace, um, who wanna somehow complain about like the graciousness of the covenant of grace that they're outwardly attached to it. It's just sort of like a form of, of theological and temporary insanity, I think. And that's what we see on full display here.  [00:31:40] Jesse Schwamb: It's definitely all grace. You're right that nobody's gonna get injustice right in this parable. And I think that's definitely exemplified the further out you go in this hiring order. [00:31:49] Eleventh Hour Mercy [00:31:49] Jesse Schwamb: So by the time you get to 5:00 PM which is pretty extraordinary, right? Only really like one hour remains before sense, right? It's the end of the working day.  [00:31:56] Tony Arsenal: Yeah.  [00:31:56] Jesse Schwamb: You can imagine like these guys who are being hired at the hour probably can contribute very little in the last hour of the day, right? But this owner goes out and hires them and no agreement is stated whatsoever. It's just pure grace. The landowner's question, why do you stand here idle all day? I think to your point, underlies their vulnerability. They were not idle by choice, presumably. And so I think we rightly here in this, like a foreshadowing of those who are called the late in redemptive history, Gentile sinners, the seemingly least qualified for kingdom membership. All of that I think is at play and it's all, it's getting this lovely setup of all these groups to help us understand what that kingdom is actually like.  [00:32:33] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Yeah.  [00:32:35] Reverse Payroll Setup [00:32:35] Tony Arsenal: And then we have this, um, this is where the sort of dramatic tension turns, right? The end of the day comes and, uh, the master calls the, the people that he brought last, right? He calls the people who'd only been there for an hour and he starts to go down the list of the people who, the people who were last, and the people who came in next. And the people who came in next, right? And the workers who had contracted at the beginning of the day. Um, they're watching this happen and they're kind of going, oh, this is gonna be good. Like, that guy's only been here for an hour and he got a denarius. You know, the logic is probably like, I'm gonna get 12 denarius, like I'm gonna go 12 days worth of work. Um, because I think there's an assumption on their part, um, that the master's fair that he is, he's providing an equitable wage. Um, of course the master is fair, but he's providing an equitable wage that's commensurate with the work delivered. A delivered, delivered, right? And that, that's the key to this parable.  [00:33:26] Merit Mindset Exposed [00:33:26] Tony Arsenal: I think the expectation that God. Helps those who help themselves. Right? God rewards those who put in the hard work. God. God provides blessing or salvation according to the merit provided by the one who's being saved. That perspective is what's on full display here. Yes. By the people who are, uh, the ones who contracted for the full day. They're not thinking about the covenant that they have with this person or the contract they have with this person. They're not thinking about the fact that they agreed to work for the day in order to earn a day's wage. They're thinking about how this actually is gonna work out great in their favor. They're looking at this as a strictly merit-based kind of a, a thing. And you would think that like when the, the one hour people come in, they get a denarius, and then the three hour people come in and they get a denarius. You'd think they would pick up on it at some point, but then in the course of the payroll, it doesn't seem that they do. They still get to the bottom of the list and think they're gonna get more compared to the other people who all got the same.  [00:34:22] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, that display piece is critical to this. It is like complete setup. Like you can imagine he, the landowner calling everybody together at the end of the day and they're all standing around. Some of them are exhausted because they've again born all their work in the heat of the day on their backs. They're tired, they're dirty, maybe they're exhausted. And he starts in this reverse order. And by the way, we should note that there is something here that's beautiful in that the law, the landowner is law abiding because right evening payment is mandated in the Torah. So we see all this taking place as to fulfill the law in some ways. But the reversal of the order that last of first is like such deliberative and good narrative storytelling and staging, isn't it? 'cause it ensures that the first hired workers are going to witness the payment of those who work the least. And if without that order, if you just did it the other way around, the more a crisis of the parable disc like completely goes away.  [00:35:10] Tony Arsenal: Yeah.  [00:35:10] Jesse Schwamb: So this execution of the payment at the owner's will, it just shows that he has. He's completely independent. His sovereignty belong. The sovereignty belongs to the master alone. And so this 11th hour workers receiving a full day's wage for one hour of work, that's like an act of sheer generosity. It's not proportional justice. And I think as reform, people, maybe all of us at some point have had this conversation about predestination and justice and mercy. And again, really I think putting a crowbar between this idea that nobody is receiving injustice, but some are receiving mercy and grace. And here these first hired workers seeing this form, like you said, this expectation that they're gonna receive more, like you said, where that came from. Yeah, it's just them, right? It's purely manufactured in their own reasoning. It's not anchored in the covenantal promise and certainly not witnessed in the grace that they should be receive, like perceiving as the payments get doled out, like sequentially moving in their reverse order toward those who have worked the longest. But their expectation reveals that they have fundamentally misread like the landowner's character. They're still operating in the register of a contract and not grace.  [00:36:16] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. And you know, I think to sort of lock this covenant covenantal frame and sort of like lack of recognition of the covenant into place too, when you look at the language of this parable, um, and especially kind of what it's following up on, it's coming on the heels of this interaction with this rich, rich young ruler who comes in and he thinks that he's gonna earn eternal life by keeping the commandments. Um, and, and he, he has this outward sense or this outward display of pty. He's calling Jesus good. He's saying he, you know, he keeps the commandments, Jesus doesn't even disagree with him actually, that he has connect. Yes. You know, I think it's implied that, well, of course you haven't, but he, he still is graciously trying to like, convince this guy, no, you actually need to abandon your self righteousness and, and pursue and follow me. Um. But this is a parable where like other people are listening, right? There's other witnesses. This isn't like the rich young ruler came to him in the middle of the night, like Nicodemus. This is something that's happened on PO on in the public. So we can anticipate that the Pharisees and the Sadducees and the scribes and the lawyers were all aware of this. They may have been there, but they were at least aware of this happening. And I think there's some language in here that is actually directed at those people.  [00:37:30] Grumbling As Accusation [00:37:30] Tony Arsenal: And, and here's where it comes in, is you get to verse, um, we'll start reading again at verse nine. It says, when those hired about the 11th hour came, each of them received a denarius. Now, when those hired first came, so we're referring to the people who are hired at the beginning of the day. Now, when those who were hired first came, they thought they would receive more, but each of them also received a denarius and on receiving it, right? So this is as, this is, um, uh, just unbelievable as they're receiving the denarius on receiving it, they grumbled at the master of the house. Now, just the way that I read that and said the word grumbled tells you that that word is really important here. Yes. If you look at this Greek word. And you compare it to the, the word, the usage of this word in the, the, um, Sept. Yes. Which of course is the Greek translation of the Old Testament. This word most commonly appears in the wilderness wandering accounts. [00:38:22] Jesse Schwamb: Yes.  [00:38:23] Tony Arsenal: Right. And the, the primary sin of the Israelites during the wilderness wandering was grumbling against the Lord. And this grumbling against the Lord in that context is not just a general complaining, right. It's not just like a, a sort of like a, a general dissatisfaction or like murmuring. This isn't like water cooler frustration about your boss. The grumbling in the Old Testament in this context is a covenantal accusation, right. So this is tied to the, the accounts where Moses first is told to strike the rock, and he does so when the water comes out, and then second is told to speak to the rock, but he strikes it. I won't go into all the details, but the scene that's being, being displayed there is the people come, they accuse the Lord of abandoning them into the wilderness. And this scene where Moses is set up on the rock and he strikes the rock, that scene is a judicial scene. The people have filed a covenant accusation against the Lord, and in reality, it's the people who have been unfaithful. But the Lord standing in the place of the rock is the one who is struck, right? Jesus was the rock in the wilderness from which the water came. Paul says that in First Corinthians, right? So this language of grumbling in this is not just, they're not just complaining about the fact that they didn't get what they thought they were going to, they're questioning the veracity of the covenant that was made. So they're, they're still locked into this merit-based. This merit-based idea even more than it seemed at first, right? There's a logic to the idea that like, oh, if the, the master is actually paying a wage of one denarius for per hour, like there's a logic to that. But it's not just that they're saying, and this is, this explains the response of the master. It's not just that they're saying like, Hey, wait a second, like the wage rate that you're paying is not right. They're saying you have violated the terms of our covenant in the way that you have paid us. 'cause it's upon receiving it that they complain or they grumble and the master says more or less like, Hey. You agreed with me for one Denarius, I'm giving you what you've earned. I'm giving you what you agreed on. Why don't you take it and go. So the answer is not to try to justify why he is free to pay these other people more, or why he's free to pay these people a perceived less. The answer is, again, they're complaining against the covenant. He is bringing it back to the covenant saying, well, here's what the covenant relationship was. You work for the day. I give you Denarius. We're square here, we're on the same page. We've fulfilled our covenant obligations, and you've received your reward for that. So I, I think that's another thing we have to lock in here is this is not just a general idea of like unfairness that's being presented. This is not just a general idea that people are saying the master of the house is unfair. They're saying he's covenantal. Unfaithful. Right? That's a pretty big accusation.  [00:41:09] Jesse Schwamb: Yeah, that is, thank you by the way, for completely stealing the whole tugen thing from me. Like I was just going hot to Tugen to find that reference. And now all I can do is add to it. So that is from at least one of those occasions, a number 16, and I just wanna read the verse. This is 16 six. So Moses and Aaron said to all the sons of Israel at evening, you will know that Yahweh has brought you outta the land of Egypt. And in the morning you will see the glory of Yahweh for he hears your grumblings against Yahweh. And what we are that you grumble against us. So I'm totally with you. This is not subtle. The workers first complaint here, the first workers' complaint is like theologically serious. Uh, I think that's what you're hitting us on. Like it charges the owner with injustice. Right. And as I read it, the grievance has like two layers or two parts, I would say. One is this comparative part, which is basically saying, you made us equal to them. Right? And the second be like a meritorious part, they have worked harder and in worse conditions. And that's why they say things like, it's, it's all inflammatory language, isn't it? Like the scorching heat emphasizes like the real bodily cost and their complaint. I think if we're honest, it's not irrational, but it's spiritually revealing at least because Right, they believe their greater effort, mayors greater reward and they resent that grace shown to others. So like you said, they're bringing forward a very serious grievance and it's, it's not just like, Hey, we think maybe could you give us a bonus? Right. But that is a matter of faithfulness. And in fact, like as I'm looking at this tugen here, shout out to logos Bible software. And I'm saying that that verb that we're talking about in Exodus 16 is in the imperfect tense. So this is, they kept on grumbling and it is like an an echo of Israel's murmuring in the wilderness, which I presume like Matthew certainly had intentionally used there or had that view in part casting these workers as the same types of those who relate to God through entitlement rather than gratitude. So it's like insults upon insult here, but it is to emphasize this fact that it's no small accusation, it's not subtle, it's meant to be in your face. They're coming in hot with this and they're making a big deal about it.  [00:43:16] Tony Arsenal: Yeah, and again, I think like underscoring the covenantal nature of this is so key. And I think, you know, when we look at this, we really have to land that this is not just saying. Your wage structure is not right. 'cause and, and we gotta remember, they weren't there when the master went and made this bargain, or, you know, brought these other workers into the vineyard. They weren't there to hear what covenant or contract he did or didn't make. And as we've commented, they didn't, he didn't even make a covenant with them. He basically just said, I'm gonna put you to work and I'll pay you what's fair. I'll pay you what's right. Um, and they went, okay, you need the work and thank you. Like, I think, I think that's kind of like the, the scene here is they're standing there. They recognize they're not gonna get a wage for the day, especially these ones that he's coming in at the 11th hour, they're not gonna get a wage for the day. And as you said, these are subsistence workers. Right. These are people that if you don't get a wage, and this is the, the grounding of the Old Testament, um, the Old Testament command of, of paying at the end of the day is that if they don't get their wage, they're not gonna eat. They're not gonna have food, they're not gonna have the money they need to survive. Um, so he comes in and he basically says like. You don't have a job that's not gonna be good for you. I'll take care of you. I'll, I'll give you a job and I'll take care of you. And the ones who are complaining and grumbling, they have no line of sight to that process. That, that's right. They make a lot of assumptions about the, and this is, goes back to, um. The parable of the talents, which we haven't really talked about yet. The, the, there's a lot of assumptions about the nature of this master that the, the contracted or covenanted day laborers are making that don't turn out to be accurate. Right. They, they assume that he's working, as you've said, that he's working on this one-to-one, you know, quid pro quo. You do this, I do that kind of a, a methodology and he's actually operating on a basis of a much more. Basic, uh, grace principle. Uh, and again, even, even the principle of hiring these original workers and covenanting with them is gracious in the sense that he didn't have to hire them. Right. So, so all along the way they're, they're, it's like the epitome of looking a gift horse in the mouth.  [00:45:24] Jesse Schwamb: Yes.  [00:45:24] Tony Arsenal: They've been hired, and so yes, it is right for them to expect their, um, to expect their wage, whatever that wage might be. But they, they are misinterpreting the idea of what the wages are and how the wages are to be delivered. They're, they're applying, this is actually a lot like job's, friends, right? Their, their logic is not actually all that bad, but they have, they have missing parts of the picture that makes the logic. Apply differently in this particular situation. They think that this, this master works on a strict merit-based. You do X amount of work, you receive X amount of money. And this master is actually more functioning on this covenantal principle of, I'm gonna pay you what's right, regardless of what, what work you've done, which, what work is actually owed to you. And the master makes these, this agreement with these other workers to just say, go into the vineyard and then when the evening comes, I'll pay you. Right. Well, he intended to pay them what they needed to survive, regardless of how much work they provided. Right? So they're all, even though there's a formal contract to say these, this group works for the whole day and this group, you know, and, and they receive one day's labor, at the end of the day, he's graciously providing another day of survival for all of these people, for the work that they're, they're putting forward regardless of how much they actually contribute to his bottom line. [00:46:41] Owner Defends The Covenant [00:46:41] Jesse Schwamb: And we see that in verse 13, where the landowner gives his defense, you know, it says. He and he replied, friends, I'm doing you no wrong. Did you not agree with me for Denarius? Now the address, because now I'm deep in the Greek Tony. Here we go. So the address I'm seeing in, uh, again, shout out to Locus Bible software, it, this use of friend is not like the warm fellows, but like a more formal or distance term of address. It's used elsewhere in Matthew. But I think the point here is that the owner's first line of defense is this contractual point, which you're saying. I have not wronged you. He's kept his agreement precisely. No injustice has been done. And that's crucial. The owner doesn't re appreciate justice. He actually fulfills it. He obligates himself and he fulfills that obligation. And what the worker receives is exactly what was promised and exactly what is due. And so by the time he gets to verse 14 where he says, take what belongs to you, and go, I choose to give to this last worker as I give to you here. I think this is like the theological beating hide of this whole bad boy. Yeah.  [00:47:37] Jesse Schwamb: The landowner explicitly invokes his will, his sovereign freedom to do and to give as he pleases, which is exactly how God behaves. It's not a negation of justice, but this declaration of something beyond justice, it is grace. He exercises his freedom and generosity to those who had no claim, and the command, take what belongs to you and go is, is kind of like a world dismissal, like, like you were saying. Yeah. We're in the courtroom. He's like, I, I've ruled on this already. Like, bring Brian, bring your grievance. Here's my ruling. Take what you have and go. Their grumbling has revealed that they're not celebrating the kingdom. They're actually grieving it. So yeah, you know, I think original invocation of like Jonah is right on the money. It's basically like, are are you mad enough? Yeah, I'm mad enough to die. Like, how dare you give me, give me this great shade and then take it away from me. Yeah. And in some ways this is even worse because what they have been given has been that were promised to them, was given to them, and they get to retain and God says, go, or the landowner as God says, go now and take what is yours. Take what I've given to you graciously. But your point that like what supersedes that, the antecedent to all of that is still God's covenant keeping, covenant making promise, making, right? That sets the whole thing up. But I love this idea that, you know, I will choose, it's my desire, it's language of divine volition. And of course the reform theology, this single verb resonates with the entire doctrine of election. It's God's free, sovereign, and gracious will to bestow blessing without reference to merit, like praise his name.  [00:49:00] Tony Arsenal: Yeah. Yeah. And then we come to kind of the close of this parable, right? And this is, this reall

This episode breaks down why leadership rises and falls on one question: do people actually believe you? Pastor Q walks through how character builds credibility, why overpromising kills trust, and how consistency creates confidence in the people you lead. It's a practical look at what it takes to earn respect, build trust over time, and lead in a way that people don't just follow, but believe in. CONNECT WITH US: • Mark Q | Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/markquattrochi/ • JUST LEAD | Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/justleadme/ LISTEN & SUBSCRIBE If you haven't yet, make sure to tap subscribe on your favorite podcast platform — Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and Youtube! https://www.thebrisketshoppe.com/ https://www.instagram.com/thebrisketshoppe

#243Have your students finished listening to something or reading in the target language and you looked around the room, and wondered… Did anyone actually understand that? Not because your students weren't trying. Not because the language was too challenging. But because they didn't yet know how to listen for meaning. Today's episode is about something that often gets overlooked in language teaching: students have to learn the skill of comprehension. A few small daily routines can have a big impact on students learning this essential skill. Topics in this Episode: Comprehension is a skill, not a byproductCI is useful for building language subconsciously. It is the essential ingredient for language acquisition, allowing students to understand and internalize new language naturally. Now we need to consider the skill of comprehension when students engage with language that does not have CI embedded. Daily micro-comprehension moves.  They take 10–30 seconds and fit inside any lesson. The goal is helping students actively process meaning. Not CI because the goal is not to acquire vocabulary and structures, but to understand without the intentional scaffolds.PointChooseSequenceRestatePredictable Routines Reduce Cognitive Load. Predictability allows students to spend less mental energy on what the activity is and more on understanding the language.Ready For Tomorrow Quick Win PD Course: Daily Strategies that Build ComprehensionA Few Ways We Can Work Together:Ready For Tomorrow Quick Win PD for Individual TeachersOn-Site or Virtual Workshops for Language DepartmentsSelf-Paced Program for For Language DepartmentsConnect With Me & The World Language Classroom Community:Website: wlclassrom.comInstagram:  @wlclassroomFacebook Group: World Language ClassroomFacebook:  /wlclassroomLinkedIn: Joshua CabralBluesky: /wlclassroom.bsky.sociaX (Twitter):  @wlclassroomThreads: @wlclassroomSend me a text and let me know your thoughts on this episode or the podcast.

Episode Highlights With PhoenixMost people aren't stuck, they're predictable and they're playing it safeHow to break the pattern of predictability Presence helps break the predictability issue and the overwhelm and how to do itAnxiety comes when you're living in the future or the past, not the present Why motherhood is perhaps the biggest identity shift a person can go throughHow to surrender without losing ourselves as momsWhy the perfect balance is a farce for momsHow to surrender into being ok with not being “prefect” and letting go of mom guiltNavigating trauma especially as a mom and how to do it without it becoming your identity Surrender without bypassing and how to navigate thisWhat quantum fusion is how it talks to the operating system, so it's less about wishing and more about reprogramming the hardware How things can start to shift in 17 secondsEngaging your senses to help rewire the hardware Survival mode is killing you and how to solve it… she has a free course on thisHow to reprogram your inner algorithm Her take on psychedelics and important caveats for moms to knowThey can hold a mirror that bring us back to ourselvesResources MentionedRedefining Strong - Phoenix's bookPhoenix's website Sacred Celestial - use code WellnessMama for 10% off events or ceremoniesSurvival Mode is Killing You - free online courseBioptimizersI love and use so many products from them, but I especially love the magnesium and digestive enzymes. Visit bioptimizers.com/wellnessmama and use wellnessmama15 at checkout to get the best deal