At Any Rate

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Noelle Grainger, Head of Global Equity Research at J.P. Morgan, takes a closer look at the story behind some of the biggest trends, themes and industries in markets today.

J.P. Morgan


    • Nov 18, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekdays NEW EPISODES
    • 17m AVG DURATION
    • 648 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from At Any Rate

    Global Rates: Analyzing Eurex and US futures roll

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2025 9:00


    In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Ipek Ozil discuss the drivers of US and Eurex futures roll and their outlook for Dec25/Mar26 bond futures rollover.   Speakers:  Ipek Ozil, Head of US Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy Khagendra Gupta, Head of European Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 18 November 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5125943-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5131611-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global FX: EUR/USD contemplation, GBP fiscal and JPY woes

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 14, 2025 15:04


    Arindam Sandilya, Meera Chandan and James Nelligan discuss the outlook for currencies with a focus on the European FX bloc.   This podcast was recorded on 14 November 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5131492-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Commodities: Rising LNG supply underscores need for demand-side infrastructure

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 14, 2025 12:56


    Greg Shearer speaks with Otar Dgebuadze and Nina Fahy on the rising global LNG supply, slowdown of demand in key established markets and how the infrastructure challenges limits significant demand growth in emerging LNG markets. Team thinks this ultimately warrants higher flexibility through storage and production in the US natural gas market.   Speakers:   Nina Fahy, Head of US Natural Gas Research Otar Dgebuadze, Natural Gas Research Greg Shearer, Head of Base & Precious Metals Research   This podcast was recorded on November 14, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5112751-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    EM Fixed Income: A year of Latam elections

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 13, 2025 19:54


    Anezka Christovova, Ben Ramsey, Tania Escobedo, Alisa Meyers and Gisela Brant discuss election considerations for LatAm fixed income markets. This podcast was recorded on 13 November 2025. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Agri Outlook for 2026/27: Volatility to return off compressed levels in 2026, as global agri availability continues to slide

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2025 14:25


    Tracey shares the Agri outlook for 2026/27, elaborating on her view: bearish short-term prospects for US soybeans but constructive outlooks for grains and cotton. Cocoa to return to BCOM Index and prices are expected to remain firm near $6,000/tonne in 2026, while sugar prices show upside risk amid low stocks and political uncertainty. Broad food price inflation persists, with La Nina weather risks and policy developments in the US, Brazil, and India shaping the outlook. Speaker: Tracey Allen, Senior Commodities Strategist, Head of Agricultural Commodities Research   This podcast was recorded on 7 November 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5098766-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5128475-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5096654-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5090092-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5008151-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

    European Rates: BoE and Scandi central bank roundup

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2025 7:59


    In this podcast Francis Diamond and Khagendra Gupta discuss the recent Riksbank, Norges Bank and BoE meetings this week and implications for European rates markets.   This podcast was recorded on 07 November 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5122904-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global FX: Dollar oscillates; more fiscal clarity for GBP & CAD

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2025 13:10


    This week, our Global FX Strategists discuss various US factors influencing the dollar, the outlook for EUR, and the latest budget-related developments from the UK & Canada.   Speakers Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy. Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy. James Nelligan, Global FX Strategy.   This podcast was recorded on 07 November 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5105543-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    EM Fixed Income: All the small things

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 6, 2025 16:06


    Jonny Goulden, Anezka Christovova and Ben Ramsey discuss the latest market developments and their impacts for the EM fixed income asset class. This podcast was recorded on 06 November 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4117650-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Rates: Trick or Treating with Central Banks

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2025 10:04


    Ipek Ozil and Khagendra Gupta discuss the recent and upcoming central bank developments as well as their impact on derivatives markets.   Speakers:  Ipek Ozil, Head of US Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy Khagendra Gupta, Head of European Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 31 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5118629-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5119964-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

    Global FX: Hawkish Fed & dovish BoJ force a Yen forecast rethink

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2025 23:38


    This week, our Global FX Strategists discuss whether the hawkish Fed surprise changes the outlook for the dollar, how we're thinking about USD/JPY forecasts after a dovish BoJ meeting, and whether recent political events in Asia moves the needle for G10 & EM FX.   Speakers Arindam Sandilya, Global FX Strategy Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy ​Junya Tanase, Japan Markets Research   This podcast was recorded on 31 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5121407-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.    

    Global Commodities: China's LNG demand to peak in early 2030s

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2025 11:31


    China's gas market has seen robust demand growth, matched with domestic production growth and rising Russian pipeline flows, leading to our conclusion that LNG demand will peak in 2032. However this doesn't diminish China's role in the global LNG market. With extensive regasification infrastructure, rising storage capacity, a diverse LNG contract portfolio, and multiple supply sources, China is positioned to potentially transition from a pure LNG importer to a global trader, gaining greater flexibility and optionality.   Speakers:   Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities Research Otar Dgebuadze, Natural Gas Research   This podcast was recorded on October 31, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5110171-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    EM Fixed Income: Not spooked yet

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 19:40


    Jonny Goulden, Anezka Christovova and Ben Ramsey discuss the latest market developments and their impacts for the EM fixed income asset class. This podcast was recorded on 30 October 2025. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Asia Cross Asset Podcast: From Abenomics to ‘Sanae-nomics' - What to expect for Japan policies, markets and the Yen

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2025 27:26


    Featured in this podcast are Ayako Fujita, Rie Nishihara, Junya Tanase and Arindam Sandilya discuss the outlook for Japanese macro and markets in the wake of Sanae Takaichi's assuming office as PM and ahead of the upcoming October BoJ MPM This podcast was recorded on Oct 27, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://jpmorganmarkets.com/research/content/GPS-5097313-0, https://jpmorganmarkets.com/research/content/GPS-5102873-0, https://jpmorganmarkets.com/research/content/GPS-5107290-0, https://jpmorganmarkets.com/research/content/GPS-5111360-0 and https://jpmorganmarkets.com/research/content/GPS-5112300-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

    At Any Rate: Of funding and refundings

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 22:29


    Rates strategists Jay Barry, Teresa Ho, and Phoebe White discuss recent developments in money markets and what it could mean for the Fed's QT process. They also preview the November refunding.   Speakers: Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy     Teresa Ho, Head of US Short Duration Strategy   This podcast was recorded on October 24, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5111573-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5111467-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5112512-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global FX: Japan focus, US/China, PMIs, Fed/ECB

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 26:53


    Patrick Locke, Junya Tanase, Meera Chandan, Arindam Sandilya and James Nelligan discuss the pivotal Japan macro week ahead of us, as well as the outlook for ECB/ Fed and US-China trade talks.   This podcast was recorded on 24 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5111208-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Commodities: Oil glut paves way for stronger sanctions. If enforced

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 13:38


    Nearly 70% of Russian crude production and exports are now under sanctions, raising costs and slowing settlements even though only 5% of exports use US dollars. Russia has relied on offshore traders and new entities to maintain flows, but this is more challenging for major producers like Rosneft and Lukoil. Indian imports may fall by 400 kbd, while Chinese flows should remain steady. Over time, Russia can redirect up to 0.8 mbd to other markets and China could absorb an additional 1 mbd, but profit margins will narrow due to higher costs and deeper discounts. Export volumes are expected to stabilize within a quarter after an initial pause.   Speaker:   Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities Research   This podcast was recorded on October 24, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5106838-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    EM Fixed Income: Reviewing the global & previewing the upcoming idiosyncratic

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 23, 2025 23:15


    Jonny Goulden, Anezka Christovova and Gisela Brant discuss the latest market developments and their impacts for the EM fixed income asset class. This podcast was recorded on 23 October 2025. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Taking stock of the evolving value proposition of stablecoins

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 23, 2025 34:29


    We discuss the key takeaways of our recently published report “Macro Corporate Spotlight: Taking stock of the evolving value proposition of stablecoins”.  Clients of J.P. Morgan can access this via the JPMM website.   Speakers: Teresa Ho – Head of U.S. Short Duration Strategy Jonny Goulden – Head of EM Fixed Income Strategy Meera Chandan – Co-head of FX Strategy Kunj Padh – FX Strategy Moderator: Luis Oganes – Head of Global Macro Research   This podcast was recorded on 22 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5093422-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

    Global Commodities: Cocoa demand crunch not as bitter as feared

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2025 12:45


    With Halloween around the corner, one of the peak seasons for chocolate and confectionery demand, cocoa prices have corrected sharply lower, down -20% MOM and YTD losses are approaching -40%, after historic gains through 2025. This week, the final-quarter demand side data for the 2024/25 season arrived, and the 3Q grind was generally better than expected – albeit still historically weak. It will, however, take some time before consumers start to see the declining input costs of chocolate production hit their hip pocket. But there are strong indications that perhaps the worst of the cocoa market crunch is over, and that industry can plan with a little more confidence than in recent years. Speaker: Tracey Allen, Senior Commodities Strategist, Head of Agricultural Commodities Research   This podcast was recorded on 17 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5096654-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

    US Rates - Does QT's end matter for funding and Treasury markets?

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2025 14:27


    With QT likely to conclude by the end of the year, US Rates strategists Teresa Ho and Phoebe White discuss the implications for funding and Treasury markets, as well as their broader views on rates. Speakers: Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy Teresa Ho, Head of US Short Duration Strategy This podcast was recorded on October 17, 2025.  This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global FX: Sailing the USD Bearish Ship in Murky Waters

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2025 17:14


    Against a backdrop of limited data visibility from the US government shutdown, our Global FX Strategists discuss 1) how global growth momentum indicators are tracking, 2) new flare-ups in credit risk & US-China relations impacting the currency space, 3) recent developments in Australia & NZ, and finally 4) some impressions on FX market themes from this week's IMF/Word Bank meetings.   Speakers: Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy Arindam Sandilya, Global FX Strategy Ben Jarman, Global FX Strategy Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy This podcast was recorded on October 17, 2025 This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5106732-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

    European Rates: market moves, 2026 Euro area issuance, SSAs, Scandi markets and European inflation

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2025 13:53


    In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss the recent European rate markets moves as well as a variety of different topics: 2026 Euro area issuance, SSAs, Scandi markets and European inflation.   This podcast was recorded on 17 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5103174-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Asia Cross Asset Podcast: Japan - The New LDP Leader: Implications for policy and markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 13, 2025 22:37


    Featured in this podcast are Sajjid Chinoy, Ayako Fujita, Junya Tanase, Takafumi Yamawaki, Rie Nishihara and Tim West. This episode was recorded on October 10, 2025. The surprise election of Sanae Takaichi as head of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in Japan has brought Abenomics back in the air. But the macro environment in Japan is currently very different with inflation uncomfortably elevated and sticky. To make sense of what Takaichi would mean for economic policy and markets, Sajjid Z. Chinoy (Head of Asia Economics) and Tim West (Executive Director, Japan Sales) are joined in this week's podcast by: Ayako Fujita – Chief Japan Economist Junya Tanase – Chief Japan FX Strategist Takafumi Yamawaki – Head of Japan Fixed Income Research Rie Nishihara – Head of Japan Equity Strategy This podcast was recorded on Oct 10, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

    Global FX and Commodities: The bullish case for gold, the bearish case for USD ex-yen and the shutdown showdown

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 28:36


    Meera Chandan, Natasha Kaneva, Anezka Christovova, Junya Tanase and Patrick Locke discuss the outlook for gold/ the dollar, emphasize the case for cyclical FX, re-examine the prospects for yen following political developments in Japan and look ahead to next steps in the US government shutdown.   This podcast was recorded on 10 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5098922-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    EM Sovereign External Repayment Risks: Staying alive after 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 19:09


    Ben Ramsey, Nishant Poojary and Jonny Goulden discuss the latest publication on EM Sovereign External Repayment Risks. This report builds on our previous work, providing a comprehensive assessment of external repayment risks across a broad set of EM and frontier sovereigns. We focus on 18 sovereigns flagged by our risk metric assessment as most vulnerable to credit events. Our set of countries features many familiar names that have faced stress in the past, but there are also some new names in the mix. Our key finding is that the majority of at-risk EM sovereigns possess sufficient reserves and financing sources to meet upcoming Eurobond amortizations through 2026.   Speakers Jonny Goulden, Head of EM Fixed Income Strategy Ben Ramsey, Head of EM Sovereign Credit Strategy Nishant Poojary, Emerging Markets Strategy   This podcast was recorded on October 8, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4987663-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global FX: Shutdown limbo

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 22:07


    This week, our Global FX Strategists, Arindam Sandilya and Patrick Locke break down the latest on 1) the US government shutdown's impact on the dollar, 2) next week's Japan LDP election for JPY, and 3) notable flows from recently-released FX reserve manager data for 2Q. This podcast was recorded on 03 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5093564-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Rates: Cross currency basis 4Q25 outlook

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 10:13


    In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Ipek Ozil discuss the drivers of €STR/SOFR cross currency bases.   Speakers:  Ipek Ozil, Head of US Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy Khagendra Gupta, Head of European Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 3 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5092332-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

    Global Commodities: Agri trade returns to President Trumps Agenda

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 18:17


    Agri markets have returned to the US trade agenda, following President Trump's commitment to discuss China's absence of US soybean export orders at an upcoming meeting with President Xi. However, it's likely too late for US soybean farmers and exporters to regain market share through the current season, unless the Chinese reserve moves into stockpiling mode. During this episode, Tracey also discusses the agri market outlook including recent fundamental developments and weather risks as the ENSO cycle is transitioning to La Nina. Our September 2025 assessment of global agri commodity fundamentals has found that availability remains at or near multi-year lows in 2025/26 and with markets priced for production perfection, we see upside price risks ahead across much of the complex.    Speakers:   Tracey Allen, Senior Commodities Strategist, Head of Agricultural Commodities Research   This podcast was recorded on October 3, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5090092-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5088200-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5094837-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    EM Fixed Income: Is better growth worse for EM?

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2025 22:50


    Jonny Goulden, Anezka Christovova and Ben Ramsey discuss the latest market developments and their impacts for the EM fixed income asset class.   This podcast was recorded on 01 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. For more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    US Rates - So long EFFR, welcome TGCR

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2025 15:19


    US Rates Strategists Teresa Ho and Ipek Ozil reflect on shifts to SOFR and EFFR this month as well as discuss the implications of TGCR as an alternative benchmark.   Speakers Teresa Ho, Head, U.S. Short Duration Strategy Ipek Ozil, Head, U.S. Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on September 26, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5083215-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5082188-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5090225-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global FX: Systematic signals, payrolls/ shutdown, risks to EUR/USD, AI-FX links

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2025 21:34


    Meera Chandan, Antonin Delair and Patrick Locke discuss the lower conviction and data dependent outlook for the dollar, as well as implications from systematic signals, the US government shutdown and payrolls. Risks around the EUR/USD view as well as AI-FX linkages are discussed.   Speakers Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy Antonin Delair, Global FX Strategy Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy   This podcast was recorded on September 26, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5089100-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Commodities: Supply disruptions give copper prices breakout velocity

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2025 9:10


    A larger than initially expected supply disruption from the world's second largest copper mine, Freeport's Grasberg in Indonesia, will significantly tighten the copper market in the coming quarters and has flipped our forecasted S&D balance to deficits for this year and in 2026.  Much tighter fundamentals and the draw on limited ex-US inventory flips us bullish on copper, seeing prices pushing towards $11,250/mt in the coming quarters.   Speaker: Greg Shearer, Head of Base & Precious Metals Research   This podcast was recorded on September 26, 2025.   This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5089117-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.    

    Global Rates: Scandi Central Banks and noisy UK politics

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2025 9:57


    In this podcast Francis Diamond and Khagendra Gupta discuss the Riksbank and Norges Bank meetings this month and implications for Scandinavian rate markets as well as recent noise around UK politics.   This podcast was recorded on 26 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5087057-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    EM Fixed Income: Frontier Markets Focus

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2025 21:22


    Ayomide Mejabi, Nicolaie Alexandru, Katherine Marney and Gbolahan Taiwo discuss the mood at the 2025 Emerging and Frontier Markets Opportunities Conference in London focusing on key themes and highlighting specific frontier countries.   This podcast was recorded on 23 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. For more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Commodities: At Any Rate: Party like a semiquincentenarian

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2025 15:09


    With the Fed cutting cycle commencing this week, consensus expectations of a straightforward series of quarter-point rate cuts conceals a broad spectrum of potential outcomes. Commodities have rallied 15% on average over previous benign cutting cycles yet have faced much stiffer headwinds over past recessionary-tinged rate-cutting cycles. That being said, the risk of renewed inflation is also high, especially in the US, which will celebrate its 250th anniversary in 2026. Reflation, accompanied by stronger underlying growth momentum, has produced the strongest and most broad-based positive environment for commodities, averaging +1.6% monthly returns. Natasha Kaneva is joined by Greg Shearer to discuss how commodities have performed over previous Fed cutting cycles and what to expect this time around.   Speakers:   Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities Research Greg Shearer, Head of Base & Precious Metals Research    This podcast was recorded on September 19, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5082200-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global FX: Take-aways from FOMC and other DM central banks

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2025 20:53


    Following DM central bank Superweek, we discuss currency take-aways from the Fed, BoC, Norges Bank and BoE and preview FX implications from the SNB and Riksbank next week.   Speakers: Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy James Nelligan, Global FX Strategy Junya Tanase, Global FX Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 19 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5085230-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Rates: Digging into a week of DM central bank decisions

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2025 18:51


    Rates strategists Jay Barry and Francis Diamond discuss the outcomes of this week's FOMC, BoE, and BoJ meetings, and the impact on DM rates markets.   Speakers:  Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy Francis Diamond, Head of European Rate Strategy   This podcast was recorded on September 19, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related reports at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5084041-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5085131-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Rates: Monthly Inflation Outlook

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2025 6:49


    US Rates strategist Phoebe White and European Rates strategist Frida Infante discuss the August inflation data and their outlook for inflation markets going forward. While they see limited catalysts to push Euro area breakevens out of recent ranges, the backdrop remains supportive for US breakevens.   Speakers: Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy Frida Infante, European Rates Strategist   This podcast was recorded on September 18, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5077727-0 for more information; please visit  www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.    

    EM Fixed Income: (EM) Credit where credit's due

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2025 22:18


    Jonny Goulden, Ben Ramsey, YM Hong and Ayomide Mejabi discuss the implications of the Fed cut for EM, as well as the mood at the Emerging and Frontier Markets Opportunities Conference in London. This podcast was recorded on 18 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4117650-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    US Rates: Yield curve bull flattens ahead of September FOMC

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 10:36


    US Rates strategists Phoebe White and Ipek Ozil reflect on the drivers of this week's bull flattening move and discuss views ahead of next week's FOMC meeting and the September corporate tax day.   Speakers Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy Ipek Ozil, Head of US Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on Sept 12, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5080506-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5076988-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global FX: Previewing central bank event risk for FX

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 27:39


    This week, our Global FX Strategists touch on the latest developments in CNY, and preview a loaded central bank week for currencies.    Speakers Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy Arindam Sandilya, Global FX Strategy Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy James Nelligan, Global FX Strategy   This podcast was recorded on Sept 12, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5079822-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Rates: ECB and BoE meetings, French spreads and Dutch indexation

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 19:43


    In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss the Euro market post the September ECB meeting, French spreads following the appointment of a new PM and the upcoming BoE meeting.   Speakers: Francis Diamond, Head of European Rates Strategy Aditya Chordia, Rates Strategy Khagendra Gupta, Rates Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 12 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5076241-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Commodities: Beware the Ides of September

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 13:39


    We revisit the five conditions outlined in June that are necessary for crude oil prices to start reflecting the expected year-end weakness, and suggest that September could be a turning point for the oil market. Global oil inventories built, but the rise in OECD stocks has been modest by comparison. In response, both Brent and WTI curves have flattened out and turned into a ‘smile.' Refining margins and runs surged in the third quarter, supporting a rebuilding of global product inventories, though stocks in certain regions and products remain below their five-year averages. As a result, refining margins have eased from their previous stratospheric highs, yet continue to hold up well.   Speaker: Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities Research   This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5078020-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Emerging Markets Outlook and Strategy for September 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2025 15:18


    Jonny Goulden, Anezka Christovova and Nora Szentivanyi discuss the latest market developments and their impacts for the EM fixed income asset class.   This podcast was recorded on 11 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5072575-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global FX and Rates: Yield curve steepening, payrolls and FX hedge ratios

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 5, 2025 18:30


    Meera Chandan, Francis Diamond, Patrick Locke and Octavia Popescu discuss the drivers of yield curve steepening across DM markets, FX implications of fiscal differentiation/ US payrolls and the latest developments in FX hedge ratios.   Speakers Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy Francis Diamond, Global Rates Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy Octavia Popescu, Global FX Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 5 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5073426-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Commodities: Risk premium out, storage premium in

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 5, 2025 14:02


    Oil prices have been trading at a premium to fair value over the last two months with Brent's outperformance driven not by geopolitical factors but rather by an lopsided build in global inventories,  with China accounting for two-thirds of the increase. While OECD inventories remain the primary driver in our pricing model, only 25% of this year's global stock build has entered OECD storage, compared to the historical average of 40%, creating a valuation challenge. Mathematically, lower OECD intake raises Brent's fair value, even as global stocks build, resulting in a storage premium. Looking ahead to 2H25, the key questions are how much spare storage capacity China has—currently about 600 million barrels—and whether China will use excess crude to ramp up processing and export more refined products. For now, stock builds are likely to continue outside price-setting Western markets, and despite higher refinery runs, Chinese product exports remain below last year's levels as domestic inventories are replenished. Still, given the market's move toward a sizable surplus and ongoing uncertainty around both the scale and drivers of China's stock build, we are maintaining our current price forecasts.   Speaker:   Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities Research   This podcast was recorded on September 5, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5066258-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    EM Fixed Income: Wake me up when September starts

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 24:38


    Jonny Goulden, Anezka Christovova and Ben Ramsey discuss the post-summer investment environment for EM and thoughts around tomorrow's payrolls scenarios. This podcast was recorded on 04 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4117650-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Rates: Scandi Rates Outlook

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 10:38


    In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Frida Infante discuss recent developments and our views in Sweden and Norway rates market.    This podcast was recorded on 04 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5074338-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Rates: Euro area and UK rate markets into the end of summer

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 29, 2025 14:38


    In this podcast, Francis Diamond and Khagendra Gupta discuss their latest views on Euro area and UK rate market as markets start to move out of summer holiday mode.   This podcast was recorded on 29 August 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5070106-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global Economics, FX and Rates: French political scenarios for macro markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2025 25:59


    Meera Chandan, Aditya Chordia and Raphael Brun-Aguerre discuss the various possible outcomes for the French political landscape and discuss implications for the economic/ fiscal, rates and FX markets. This podcast was recorded on 28 August 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5068210-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

    Global FX: The weak dollar view passes a flow test

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2025 18:17


    This week, our FX Strategists break down the growth/inflation mix in the US and how that's impacting the dollar, before providing an update on the state of cross-border USD flows and FX hedging. They also provide a recap of recent tactical developments in G10, including the dovish RBNZ surprise and recent data out of the UK.     Speakers Arindam Sandilya, Global FX Strategy Ben Jarman, Global Economics, Rates & FX Strategy Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy James Nelligan, Global FX Strategy Octavia Popescu, Global FX Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 22 August 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5061667-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

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